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2016

Aamaas, B., Berntsen, T. K., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Shine, K. P. and Bellouin, N. (2016) Regional emission metrics for short-lived climate forcers from multiple models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (11). pp. 7451-7468. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-7451-2016

Allan, R. P., Lavers, D. A. and Champion, A. J. (2016) Diagnosing links between atmospheric moisture and extreme daily precipitation over the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (9). pp. 3191-3206. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.4547

Allen, M. R., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Shine, K. P., Reisinger, A., Pierrehumbert, R. T. and Forster, P. M. (2016) New use of global warming potentials to compare cumulative and short-lived climate pollutants. Nature Climate Change. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2998

Anderson, T. R., Hawkins, E. and Jones, P. D. (2016) CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models. Endeavour. ISSN 0160-9327 doi: 10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002 (In Press)

Aplin, K. L. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Determining solar effects in Neptune’s atmosphere. Nature Communications, 7. 11976. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/ncomms11976

Aplin, K. L., Scott, C. J. and Gray, S. L. (2016) Atmospheric changes from solar eclipses. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150217. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0217 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Apsley, M. L., Mulder, K. J. and Schultz, D. M. (2016) Re-examining the U.K.'s greatest tornado outbreak: forecasting the limited extent of tornadoes along a cold front. Weather and Forecasting, 31 (3). pp. 853-875. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-15-0131.1

Armstrong, E., Valdes, P., House, J. and Singarayer, J. S. (2016) The role of CO2 and dynamic vegetation on the impact of temperate land use change in the HadCM3 coupled climate model. Earth Interactions, 20 (10). pp. 1-20. ISSN 1087-3562 doi: 10.1175/EI-D-15-0036.1

Arnal, L., Ramos, M.-H., Coughlan de Perez, E., Cloke, H., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., van Andel, S.-J. and Pappenberger, F. (2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (8). pp. 3109-3128. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016

Arnell, N. (2016) The global-scale impacts of climate change: the QUEST-GSI project. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 343-352. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1600-x

Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N. (2016) The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 387-401. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

Arnell, N. W., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 475-487. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7

Balan Sarojini, B., Stott, P. A. and Black, E. (2016) Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation. Nature Climate Change. ISSN 1758-678X (In Press)

Baran, A. J., Hill, P., Walters, D., Hardiman, S. C., Furtado, K., Field, P. R. and Manners, J. (2016) The impact of two coupled cirrus microphysics-radiation parameterizations on the temperature and specific humidity biases in the tropical tropopause layer in a climate model. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0821.1

Barnard, L., Portas, A. M., Gray, S. L. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) The National Eclipse Weather Experiment: an assessment of citizen scientist weather observations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150220. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0220 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Barrett, A. I., Gray, S., Kirshbaum, D. J., Roberts, N. M., Schultz, D. M. and Fairman, J. G. (2016) The utility of convection-permitting ensembles for the prediction of stationary convective bands. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (3). pp. 1093-1114. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0148.1

Best, M. J. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2016) Modelling the partitioning of turbulent fluxes at urban sites with varying vegetation cover. Journal of Hydrometeorology. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0126.1

Birch, C. E., Webster, S., Peatman, S. C., Parker, D. J., Matthews, A. J., Li, Y. and Hassim, M. E. (2016) Scale interactions between the MJO and the western maritime continent. Journal of Climate, 29 (7). pp. 2471-2492. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0557.1

Black, E., Tarnavsky, E., Maidment, R., Greatrex, H., Mookerjee, A., Quaife, T. and Brown, M. (2016) The use of remotely sensed rainfall for managing drought risk: a case study of weather index insurance in Zambia. Remote Sensing, 8 (4). 342. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: 10.3390/rs8040342

Bodas-Salcedo, A., Hill, P. G., Furtado, K., Williams, K. D., Field, P. R., Manners, J. C., Hyder, P. and Kato, S. (2016) Large contribution of supercooled liquid clouds to the solar radiation budget of the Southern Ocean. Journal of Climate, 29 (11). pp. 4213-4228. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0564.1

Bonan, B., Baines, M., Nichols, N. and Partridge, D. (2016) A moving-point approach to model shallow ice sheets: a study case with radially symmetrical ice sheets. The Cryosphere, 10 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-10-1-2016

Boon, A., Broquet, G., Clifford, D. J., Chevallier, F., Butterfield, D. M., Pison, I., Ramonet, M., Paris, J.-D. and Ciais, P. (2016) Analysis of the potential of near-ground measurements of CO2 and CH4 in London, UK, for the monitoring of city-scale emissions using an atmospheric transport model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (11). pp. 6735-6756. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-6735-2016

Buckingham, C. E., Naveira Garabato, A. C., Thompson, A. F., Brannigan, L., Lazar, A., Marshall, D. P., Nurser, A. J. G., Damerell, G., Heywood, K. J. and Belcher, S. E. (2016) Seasonality of submesoscale flows in the ocean surface boundary layer. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (5). pp. 2118-2126. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1002/2016GL068009

Bulgin, C. E., Embury, O. and Merchant, C. J. (2016) Sampling uncertainty in gridded sea surface temperature products and Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Global Area Coverage (GAC) data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 117. pp. 287-294. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2016.02.021

Bulgin, C. E., Embury, O., Corlett, G. and Merchant, C. (2016) Independent uncertainty estimates for coefficient based sea surface temperature retrieval from the Along-Trck Scanning Radiometer instruments. Remote Sensing of Environment, 178. pp. 213-222. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2016.02.022

Burt, S. (2016) Meteorological responses in the atmospheric boundary layer over southern England to the deep partial eclipse of 20 March 2015. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150214. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0214 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Butler, A. H., Arribas, A., Athanassiadou, M., Baehr, J., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Déqué, M., Domeisen, D. I.V., Fröhlich, K., Hendon, H., Imada, Y., Ishii, M., Iza, M., Karpechko, A. Y., Kumar, A., MacLachlan, C., Merryfield, W. J., Müller, W. A., O'Neill, A., Scaife, A. A., Scinocca, J., Sigmond, M., Stockdale, T. N. and Yasuda, T. (2016) The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (696). pp. 1413-1427. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2743

Byrne, N. J., Shepherd, T. G., Woollings, T. and Plumb, R. A. (2016) Annular modes and apparent eddy feedbacks in the Southern Hemisphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (8). pp. 3897-3902. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2016GL068851

Castro, I. P., Xie, Z.-T., Fuka, V., Robins, A. G., Carpentieri, M., Hayden, P., Hertwig, D. and Coceal, O. (2016) Measurements and computations of flow in an urban street system. Boundary-Layer Meteorology. ISSN 0006-8314 (In Press)

Cedorlof, M., Bengtsson, L. and Hodges, K. I. (2016) Assessing atmospheric temperature data sets for climate studies. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 68. 31503. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.31503

Ceppi, P. and Hartmann, D. L. (2016) Clouds and the atmospheric circulation response to warming. Journal of Climate, 29 (2). pp. 783-799. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0394.1

Ceppi, P., Hartmann, D. L. and Webb, M. J. (2016) Mechanisms of the negative shortwave cloud feedback in mid to high latitudes. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 139-157. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0327.1

Ceppi, P., McCoy, D. T. and Hartmann, D. L. (2016) Observational evidence for a negative shortwave cloud feedback in middle to high latitudes. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3). pp. 1331-1339. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL067499

Chevallier, M., Smith, G. C., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J.-F., Forget, G., Fujii, Y., Hernandez, F., Msadek, R., Peterson, K. A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M., Vernieres, G., Zuo, H., Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Ferry, N., Garric, G., Haines, K., Keeley, S., Kovach, R. M., Kuragano, T., Masina, S., Tang, Y., Tsujino, H. and Wang, X. (2016) Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean–sea ice reanalyses from the ORA-IP project. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-2985-y

Chrysoulakis, N. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2016) Understanding and reducing the anthropogenic heat emission. In: Santamouris, M. and Kolokotsa, D. (eds.) Urban climate mitigation techniques. Routledge, pp. 27-40. ISBN 9780415712132

Clark, P., Roberts, N., Lean, H., Ballard, S. P. and Charlton-Perez, C. (2016) Convection-permitting models: a step-change in rainfall forecasting. Meteorological Applications, 23 (2). pp. 165-181. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1538

Clark, P. A. (2016) Numerical simulations of the impact of the 20 March 2015 eclipse on UK weather. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150218. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0218 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Clifford, D., Alegre, R., Bennett, V., Blower, J., DeLuca, C., Kershaw, P., Lynnes, C., Mattmann, C., Phipps, R. and Rozum, I. (2016) Capturing and sharing our collective expertise on climate data: the CHARMe project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (4). pp. 531-539. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00189.1

Conceição, R., Melgão, M., Silva, H. G., Nicoll, K., Harrison, R. G. and Reis, A. H. (2016) Transport of the smoke plume from Chiado’s fire in Lisbon (Portugal) sensed by atmospheric electric field measurements. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health, 9 (3). pp. 275-283. ISSN 1873-9318 doi: 10.1007/s11869-015-0337-4

Dacre, H. F., Harvey, N. J., Webley, P. W. and Morton, D. (2016) How accurate are volcanic ash simulations of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (7). pp. 3534-3547. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2015JD024265

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, S. J., Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang , S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2016) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation. 2: Comparison over non-uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 387-405. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1002/2015MS000570

Dangendorf, S., Arns, A., Pinto, J. G., Ludwig, P. and Jensen, J. (2016) The exceptional influence of storm ‘Xaver’ on design water levels in the German Bight. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (5). 054001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054001

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S., Collins, M., Goessling, H. F., Guemas, V., Guillory, A., Hurlin, W. J., Ishii, M., Keeley, S. P. E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Sigmond, M., Tatebe, H. and Hawkins, E. (2016) The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (6). pp. 2255-2270. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-2255-2016

DeMott, C. A., Benedict, J. J., Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J. and Randall, D. A. (2016) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the MJO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2016JD025098

Dey, S. R. A., Plant, R. S., Roberts, N. M. and Migliorini, S. (2016) Assessing spatial precipitation uncertainties in a convective-scale ensemble. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Dey, S. R. A., Roberts, N. M., Plant, R. S. and Migliorini, S. (2016) A new method for the characterisation and verification of local spatial predictability for convective scale ensembles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2792

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T. and Shaffrey, L. (2016) Understanding the rapid summer warming and changes in temperature extremes since the mid-1990s over Western Europe. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3158-8

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T., Chen, W., Liu, X., Lu, R. and Sun, Y. (2016) Abrupt summer warming and changes in temperature extremes over Northeast Asia since the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33 (9). pp. 1005-1023. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5247-3

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T., Highwood, E. J. and Wilcox, L. J. (2016) Preferred response of the East Asian summer monsoon to local and non-local anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions. Climate Dynamics, 46 (5). pp. 1733-1751. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2671-5

Emerton, R. E., Stephens, E. M., Pappenberger, F., Pagano, T. C., Weerts, A. H., Wood, A. W., Salamon, P., Brown, J. D., Hjerdt, N., Donnelly, C., Baugh, C. and Cloke, H. L. (2016) Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 3 (3). pp. 391-418. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: 10.1002/wat2.1137

Esteve, A. R., Highwood, E. J. and Ryder, C. L. (2016) A case study of the radiative effect of aerosols over Europe: EUCAARI-LONGREX. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (12). pp. 7639-7651. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-7639-2016

Eyring, V., Righi, M., Lauer, A., Evaldsson, M., Wenzel, S., Jones, C., Anav, A., Andrews, O., Cionni, I., Davin, E. L., Deser, C., Ehbrecht, C., Friedlingstein, P., Gleckler, P., Gottschaldt, K.-D., Hagemann, S., Juckes, M., Kindermann, S., Krasting, J., Kunert, D., Levine, R., Loew, A., Mäkelä, J., Martin, G., Mason, E., Phillips, A. S., Read, S., Rio, C., Roehrig, R., Senftleben, D., Sterl, A., van Ulft, L. H., Walton, J., Wang, S. and Williams, K. D. (2016) ESMValTool (v1.0) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (5). pp. 1747-1802. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-1747-2016

Fieber, K. D., Davenport, I. J., Ferryman, J. M., Gurney, R. J., Becerra, V. M., Walker, J. P. and Hacker, J. M. (2016) CHP toolkit: case study of LAIe sensitivity to discontinuity of canopy cover in fruit plantations. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing. ISSN 0196-2892 doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2016.2550623

Fiedler, S., Knippertz, P., Woodward, S., Martin, G. M., Bellouin, N., Ross, A. N., Heinold, B., Schepanski, K., Birch, C. E. and Tegen, I. (2016) A process-based evaluation of dust-emitting winds in the CMIP5 simulation of HadGEM2-ES. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3-4). pp. 1107-1130. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2635-9

Flack, D. L. A., Plant, R. S., Gray, S. L., Lean, H. W., Keil, C. and Craig, G. C. (2016) Characterisation of convective regimes over the British Isles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (696). pp. 1541-1553. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2758

Forsyth, C., Rae, I. J., Murphy, K. R., Freeman, M. P., Huang , C.-L., Spence, H. E., Boyd, A. J., Coxon, J. C., Jackman, C. M., Kalmoni, N. M. E. and Watt, C. E. J. (2016) What effect do substorms have on the content of the radiation belts? Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2016JA022620

Fyfe, J. C., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Mann, M. E., Santer, B. D., Flato, G. M., Hawkins, E., Gillett, N. P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y. and Swart, N. C. (2016) Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 224-228. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2938

Glasser, N. F., Jansson, K. N., Duller, G. A. T., Singarayer, J., Holloway, M. and Harrison, S. (2016) Glacial lake drainage in Patagonia (13-8 kyr) and response of the adjacent Pacific Ocean. Scientific Reports, 6. 21064. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: 10.1038/srep21064

Goessling, H. F., Jung, T., Klebe, S., Baeseman, J., Bauer, P., Chen, P., Chevallier, M., Dole, R., Gordon, N., Ruti, P., Bradley, A., Bromwich, D. H., Casati, B., Chechin, D., Day, J. J., Massonnet, F., Mills, B., Renfrew, I., Smith, G. and Tatusko, R. (2016) Paving the way for the year of polar prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (4). ES85-ES88. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00270.1

Goessling, H. F., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Hawkins, E. and Jung, T. (2016) Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (4). pp. 1642-1650. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL067232

Gosling, S. N. and Arnell, N. W. (2016) A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 371-385. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0853-x

Goulart, E. V., Coceal, O., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2016) Spatial and temporal variability of the concentration field from localized releases in a regular building array. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 159 (2). pp. 241-257. ISSN 1573-1472 doi: 10.1007/s10546-016-0126-0

Gray, S. L. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Eclipse-induced wind changes over the British Isles on the 20 March 2015. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150224. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0224 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C. and Kotthaus, S. (2016) How is urbanization altering local and regional climate? In: Seto, K. C. , Solecki, W. D. and Griffith, C. A. (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of Urbanization and Global Environmental Change. Routledge. ISBN 9780415732260

Gryspeerdt, E., Quaas, J. and Bellouin, N. (2016) Constraining the aerosol influence on cloud fraction. Journal of Geophysical Research, 121 (7). pp. 3566-3583. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2015JD023744

Guarino, M. V., Teixeira, M. A. C. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2016) Turbulence generation by mountain wave breaking in flows with directional wind shear. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2862 (In Press)

Guemas, V., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D. and Tietsche, S. (2016) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 546-561. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2401

Guo, L., Turner, A. and Highwood, E. (2016) Local and remote impacts of aerosol species on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in a GCM. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 (In Press)

Gómara, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Zurita-Gotor, P., Ulbrich, S. and Pinto, J. G. (2016) Abrupt transitions in the NAO control of explosive North Atlantic cyclone development. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3015-9

Harrington, L. J., Frame, D. J., Fischer, E. M., Hawkins, E., Joshi, M. and Jones, C. D. (2016) Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (5). 055007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007

Harrison, G., Marlton, G., Williams, P. and Nicoll, K. (2016) Coordinated weather balloon solar radiation measurements during a solar eclipse. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150221. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0221 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Harrison, R. G. and Hanna, E. (2016) The solar eclipse: a natural meteorological experiment. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150225. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0225 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Harrison, R. G., Barth, E., Esposito, F., Merrison, J., Montmessin, F., Aplin, K. L., Borlina, C., Berthelier, J. J., Déprez, G., Farrell, W. M., Houghton, I. M. P., Renno, N. O., Nicoll, K. A., Tripathi, S. N. and Zimmerman, M. (2016) Applications of electrified dust and dust devil electrodynamics to Martian atmospheric electricity. Space Science Reviews. ISSN 0038-6308 doi: 10.1007/s11214-016-0241-8

Hartley, D. P., Kletzing, C. A., Kurth, W. S., Bounds, S. R., Averkamp, T. F., Hospodarsky, G. B., Wygant, J. R., Bonnell, J. W., Santolik, O. and Watt, C. E. J. (2016) Using the cold plasma dispersion relation and whistler mode waves to quantify the antenna sheath impedance of the Van Allen Probes EFW instrument. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 121 (5). pp. 4590-4606. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2016JA022501

Harvey, B. J., Methven, J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2016) Rossby wave propagation on potential vorticity fronts with finite width. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 794. pp. 775-797. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: 10.1017/jfm.2016.180

Harvey, N. and Dacre, H. (2016) Spatial evaluation of volcanic ash forecasts using satellite observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (2). pp. 861-872. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-861-2016

Hawcroft, M., Dacre, H., Forbes, R., Hodges, K., Shaffrey, L. and Stein, T. (2016) Using satellite and reanalysis data to evaluate the representation of latent heating in extratropical cyclones in a climate model. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3204-6

Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2016) Connecting climate model projections of global temperature change with the real world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (6). pp. 963-980. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00154.1

Hawkins, E., Smith, R. S., Gregory, J. M. and Stainforth, D. A. (2016) Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Climate Dynamics, 46 (11). pp. 3807-3819. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8

Hawkins, E., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Melia, N., Haines, K. and Keeley, S. (2016) Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 672-683. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2643

Hayer, C. S., Wadge, G., Edmonds, M. and Christopher, T. (2016) Sensitivity of OMI SO2 measurements to variable eruptive behaviour at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 312. pp. 1-10. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2016.01.014

Helling, C. , Harrison, R. G., Honary, F. , Diver, D. A. , Aplin, K. , Dobbs-Dixon, I. , Ebert, U., Inutsuka, S.-i. , Gordillo-Vazquez, F. J. and Littlefair, S. (2016) Atmospheric electrification in dusty, reactive gases in the solar system and beyond. Surveys in Geophysics. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-016-9361-7

Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2016) El Niño 2015/2016 impact analysis, monthly outlook February 2016. Report. Evidence on Demand doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.february2016.hironsletal3

Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2016) El Niño 2015/2016 impact analysis, monthly outlook January 2016. Report. Evidence on Demand doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.december2015.hironsletal2

Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2016) El Niño 2015/2016 impact analysis, monthly outlook March 2016. Report. Evidence on Demand, UK. doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.march2016.hironsletal3

Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2016) La Niña 2016/2017: historical impact analysis. Report. Evidence on Demand doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.february2016.hironsetal4

Hogan, R. J., Schafer, S. A. K., Klinger, C., Chiu, J. C. and Mayer, B. (2016) Representing 3-D cloud radiation effects in two-stream schemes: 2. Matrix formulation and broadband evaluation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (14). pp. 8583-8599. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2016JD024875

Holl, G., Walker, K. A., Conway, S., Saitoh, N., Boone, C. D., Strong, K. and Drummond, J. R. (2016) Methane cross-validation between three Fourier transform spectrometers: SCISAT ACE-FTS, GOSAT TANSO-FTS, and ground-based FTS measurements in the Canadian high Arctic. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9 (5). pp. 1961-1980. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-9-1961-2016

Holloway, C. E. and Woolnough, S. J. (2016) The sensitivity of convective aggregation to diabatic processes in idealized radiative-convective equilibrium simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 166-195. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1002/2015MS000511

Holloway, M. D., Sime, L. C., Singarayer, J. S., Tindall, J. C. and Valdes, P. J. (2016) Reconstructing paleosalinity from δ18O: coupled model simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum, Last Interglacial and Late Holocene. Quaternary Science Reviews, 131. pp. 350-364. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.07.007

Holmes, C. R. (2016) The impact of Arctic sea ice change on midlatitude climate. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Holmes, C. R., Woollings, T., Hawkins, E. and de Vries, H. (2016) Robust future changes in temperature variability under greenhouse gas forcing and the relationship with thermal advection. Journal of Climate, 29 (6). pp. 2221-2236. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00735.1

Hoogakker, B. A. A., Smith, R. S., Singarayer, J. S., Marchant, R., Prentice, I. C., Allen, J. R. M., Anderson, R. S., Bhagwat, S. A., Behling, H., Borisova, O., Bush, M., Correa-Metrio, A., de Vernal, A., Finch, J. M., Fréchette, B., Lozano-Garcia, S., Gosling, W. D., Granoszewski, W., Grimm, E. C., Grüger, E., Hanselman, J., Harrison, S. P., Hill, T. R., Huntley, B., Jiménez-Moreno, G., Kershaw, P., Ledru, M.-P., Magri, D., McKenzie, M., Müller, U., Nakagawa, T., Novenko, E., Penny, D., Sadori, L., Scott, L., Stevenson, J., Valdes, P. J., Vandergoes, M., Velichko, A., Whitlock, C. and Tzedakis, C. (2016) Terrestrial biosphere changes over the last 120 kyr. Climate of the Past, 12 (1). pp. 51-73. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-12-51-2016

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G.-Y. (2016) The longitudinal variation of equatorial waves due to propagation on a varying zonal flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73 (2). pp. 605-620. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-15-0167.1

Hunt, K. M. R., Turner, A. G., Inness, P. M., Parker, D. E. and Levine, R. C. (2016) On the structure and dynamics of Indian monsoon depressions. Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0138.1

Hunta, K. M. R. and Parker, D. J. (2016) The movement of Indian Monsoon Depressions by interaction with image vortices near the Himalayan Wall. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2812

Huntley, B., Collingham, Y. C., Singarayer, J. S., Valdes, P. J., Barnard, P., Midgley, G. F., Altwegg, R. and Ohlemüller, R. (2016) Explaining patterns of avian diversity and endemicity: climate and biomes of southern Africa over the last 140,000 years. Journal of Biogeography, 43 (5). pp. 874-886. ISSN 1365-2699 doi: 10.1111/jbi.12714

Häusler, M., Silva, J. M. N., Cerasoli, S., Lopez Saldana, G. and Pereira, J. M. C. (2016) Modelling spectral reflectance of open cork oak woodland: a simulation analysis of the effects of vegetation structure and background. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 37 (3). pp. 492-515. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: 10.1080/01431161.2015.1134847

Irvine, E. A., Shine, K. P. and Stringer, M. A. (2016) What are the implications of climate change for trans-Atlantic aircraft routing and flight time? Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 47. pp. 44-53. ISSN 1361-9209 doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2016.04.014

Johnson, S., Turner, A., Woolnough, S., Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2016) An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3151-2 (In Press)

Johnson, S. J., Levine, R. C., Turner, A. G., Martin, G. M., Woolnough, S. J., Schiemann, R., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Demory, M.-E. and Strachan, J. (2016) The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35◦ AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3-4). pp. 807-831. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1

Jung, T., Gordon, N. D., Bauer, P., Bromwich, D. H., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Dawson, J., Doblas-Reyes, F., Fairall, C., Goessling, H. F., Holland, M., Inoue, J., Iversen, T., Klebe, S., Lemke, P., Losch, M., Makshtas, A., Mills, B., Nurmi, P., Perovich, D., Reid, P., Renfrew, I. A., Smith, G., Svensson, G., Tolstykh, M. and Yang, Q. (2016) Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00246.1

Karremann, M. K., Liberato , M. L. R., Ordóñez, P. and Pinto, J. G. (2016) Characterisation of synoptic conditions and cyclones associated with top ranking potential wind loss events over Iberia. Atmospheric Science Letters, 17 (6). pp. 354-361. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.665

Karsisto, P., Fortelius, C., Demuzere, M., Grimmond, C. S. B., Oleson, K. W., Kouznetsov, R., Masson, V. and Järvi, L. (2016) Seasonal surface urban energy balance and wintertime stability simulated using three land-surface models in the high-latitude city Helsinki. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 401-417. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2659

Kasoar, M., Voulgarikis, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Shindell, D. T., Bellouin, N., Collins, W. J., Faluvegi, G. and Tsigaridis, K. (2016) Regional and global temperature response to anthropogenic SO2 emissions from China in three climate models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (15). pp. 9785-9804. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-9785-2016

Kasoar, M., Voulgarikis, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Shindell, D. T., Bellouin, N., Collins, W. J., Faluvegi, G. and Tsigaridis, K. (2016) Regional and global temperature response to anthropogenic SO2 emissions from China in three climate models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acp-2015-1017

Keane, R. J., Plant, B. and Tennant, W. J. (2016) Evaluation of the Plant–Craig stochastic convection scheme (v2.0) in the ensemble forecasting system MOGREPS-R (24 km) based on the Unified Model (v7.3). Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (5). pp. 1921-1935. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-1921-2016

Keat, W. J., Westbrook, C. D. and Illingworth, A. J. (2016) High-precision measurements of the co-polar correlation coefficient: non-Gaussian errors and retrieval of the dispersion parameter µ in rainfall. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0272.1

Kelemen, F. D., Ludwig, P., Reyers, M., Ulbrich, S. and Pinto, J. G. (2016) Evaluation of moisture sources for the Central European summer flood of May/June 2013 based on regional climate model simulations. Tellus A, 68. 29288. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.29288

Kennedy, D., Parker, T., Woollings, T., Harvey, B. and Shaffrey, L. (2016) The response of high-impact blocking weather systems to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2016GL069725

Kim, J.-H., Chan, W. N., Sridhar, B., Sharman, R. D., Williams, P. D. and Strahan, M. (2016) Impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on transatlantic flight routes and clear-air turbulence. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 55 (3). pp. 763-771. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0261.1

Kipling, Z., Stier, P., Johnson, C. E., Mann, G. W., Bellouin, N., Bauer, S. E., Bergman, T., Chin, M., Diehl, T., Ghan, S. J., Iversen, T., Kirkevåg, A., Kokkola, H., Liu, X., Luo, G., van Noije, T., Pringle, K. J., von Salzen, K., Schulz, M., Seland, Ø., Skeie, R. B., Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K. and Zhang, K. (2016) What controls the vertical distribution of aerosol? Relationships between process sensitivity in HadGEM3–UKCA and inter-model variation from AeroCom Phase II. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (4). pp. 2221-2241. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-2221-2016

Kivekäs, N., Carpman, J., Roldin, P., Leppä, J., O'Connor, E. J., Kristensson, A. and Asmi, E. (2016) Coupling an aerosol box model with one-dimensional flow: a tool for understanding observations of new particle formation events. Tellus B, 68. 29706. ISSN 1600-0889 doi: 10.3402/tellusb.v68.29706

Kostov, Y., Marshall, J., Hausmann , U., Armour, K., Ferreira, D. and Holland, M. (2016) Fast and slow responses of Southern Ocean sea surface temperature to SAM in coupled climate models. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 (In Press)

Kotthaus, S., O'Connor, E., Münkel, C., Charlton-Perez, C., Haeffelin, M., Gabey, A. M. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2016) Recommendations for processing atmospheric attenuated backscatter profiles from Vaisala CL31 ceilometers. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9. pp. 3769-3791. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-9-3769-2016

Kucharski, F., Parvin, A., Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., Farneti, R., Martin-Rey, M., Polo, I., Mohino, E., Losada, T. and Mechoso, C. R. (2016) The teleconnection of the tropical Atlantic to Indo-Pacific sea surface temperatures on inter-annual to centennial time scales: a review of recent findings. Atmosphere, 7 (2). 29. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: 10.3390/atmos7020029

Kumar, S., Allan, R. P., Zwiers, F., Lawrence, D. M. and Dirmeyer, P. A. (2016) Revisiting trends in wetness and dryness in the presence of internal climate variability and water limitations over land. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24). 10,867-10,875. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL066858

Lang, M., Van Leeuwen, P. J. and Browne, P. (2016) A systematic method of parameterisation estimation using data assimilation. Tellus A, 68. 29012. ISSN 1600-0870

Layden, A., MacCallum, S. N. and Merchant, C. J. (2016) Determining lake surface water temperatures worldwide using a tuned one-dimensional lake model (FLake, v1). Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (6). pp. 2167-2189. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-2167-2016

Lewis, S. R., Mulholland, D. P., Read, P. L., Montabone, L., Wilson, R. J. and Smith, M. D. (2016) The solsticial pause on Mars: 1. A planetary wave reanalysis. Icarus, 264. pp. 456-464. ISSN 0019-1035 doi: 10.1016/j.icarus.2015.08.039

Li, C., Lu, R. and Dong, B. (2016) Interdecadal changes on the seasonal prediction of the western North Pacific summer climate around the late 1970s and early 1990s. Climate Dynamics, 46 (7-8). pp. 2435-2448. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2711-1

Li, Q., Bou-Zeid, E., Anderson, W., Grimmond, S. and Hultmark, M. (2016) Quality and reliability of LES of convective scalar transfer at high Reynolds numbers. International Journal of Heat and Mass Transfer, 102. pp. 959-970. ISSN 0017-9310 doi: 10.1016/j.ijheatmasstransfer.2016.06.093

Lindberg, F., Onomura, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2016) Influence of ground surface characteristics on the mean radiant temperature in urban areas. International Journal of Biometeorology. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: 10.1007/s00484-016-1135-x

Lionello, P., Trigo, I. F., Gil, V., Liberato, M. L. R., Nissen, K. M., Pinto, J. G., Raible, C. C., Reale, M., Tanzarella, A., Trigo, R. M., Ulbrich, S. and Ulbrich, U. (2016) Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region: a consensus view among methods with different system identification and tracking criteria. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 68. 29391. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.29391

Lockwood, M. (2016) Jim Dungey, the open magnetosphere, and space weather. Space Weather, 14 (6). pp. 380-383. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1002/2016SW001438

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. and Barnard, L. (2016) Tests of sunspot number sequences: 4. Discontinuities around 1946 in various sunspot number and sunspot group number reconstructions. Solar Physics. ISSN 1573-093X (In Press)

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. and Usoskin, I. G. (2016) Tests of sunspot number sequences: 3. Effects of regression procedures on the calibration of historic sunspot data. Solar Physics. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: 10.1007/s11207-015-0829-2

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. and Usoskn, I. G. (2016) An assessment of sunspot number data composites over 1845-2014. The Astrophysical Journal, 824 (1). 54. ISSN 1538-4357 doi: 10.3847/0004-637X/824/1/54

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Scott, C. J., Usoskin, I. G. and Nevanlinna, H. (2016) Tests of sunspot number sequences: 2. Using geomagnetic and auroral data. Solar Physics. ISSN 1573-093X doi: 10.1007/s11207-016-0913-2 (In Press)

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. A. , Bentley, S., Scott, C. J. and Watt, C.E. (2016) On the origins and timescales of geoeffective IMF. Space Weather, 14 (6). pp. 406-432. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1002/2016SW001375

Lockwood, M., Scott, C. J., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. and Willis, D. M. (2016) Tests of sunspot number sequences: 1. Using ionosonde data. Solar Physics. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: 10.1007/s11207-016-0855-8

Loeb, N. G., Wang, H., Cheng, A., Kato, S., Fasullo, J. T., Xu, K.-M. and Allan, R. (2016) Observational constraints on atmospheric and oceanic cross-equatorial heat transports: revisiting the precipitation asymmetry problem in climate models. Climate Dynamics, 46 (9-10). pp. 3239-3257. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z

Lopes, F., Silva, H. G., Salgado, R., Potes, M., Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Atmospheric electrical field measurements near a fresh water reservoir and the formation of the lake breeze. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 68. 31592. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.31592

Ludwig, P., Schaffernicht, E. J., Shao, Y. and Pinto, J. G. (2016) Regional atmospheric circulation over Europe during the Last Glacial Maximum and its links to precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (5). pp. 2130-2145. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2015JD024444

MacIntosh, C. R., Allan, R. P., Baker, L. H., Bellouin, N., Collins, W., Mousavi, Z. and Shine, K. P. (2016) Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3). pp. 1263-1271. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL067231

MacLeod, D., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (7). pp. 2737-2743. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: 10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016

Macleod, D. A., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 79-90. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2631

Manganello, J. V., Hodges, K. I., Cash , B. A., Kinter III, J. L., Altshuler, E. L., Fennessy, M. J., Vitart, F., Molteni, F. and Towers, P. (2016) Seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity in a high-atmospheric-resolution coupled prediction system. Journal of Climate, 29 (3). pp. 1179-1200. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0531.1

Manninen, A. J., O'Connor, E. J., Vakkari, V. and Petäjä, T. (2016) A generalised background correction algorithm for a Halo Doppler lidar and its application to data from Finland. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 9 (2). pp. 817-827. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-9-817-2016

Marlton, G. J., Williams, P. D. and Nicoll, K. A. (2016) On the detection and attribution of gravity waves generated by the 20 March 2015 solar eclipse. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 374 (2077). 20150222. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0222 (themed issue: Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse)

Marsham, J. H., Parker, D. J., Todd, M. C., Banks, J. R., Brindley, H. E., Garcia-Carreras, L., Roberts, A. J. and Ryder, C. (2016) The contrasting roles of water and dust in controlling daily variations in radiative heating of the summertime Saharan heat low. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (5). pp. 3563-3575. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-3563-2016

Martin, T., Tsamados, M., Schroeder, D. and Feltham, D. (2016) The impact of variable sea ice roughness on changes in Arctic Ocean surface stress: a model study. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (3). pp. 1931-1952. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1002/2015JC011186

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Gray, S. L. and Methven, J. (2016) Diabatic processes and the evolution of two contrasting summer extratropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (9). pp. 3251-3276. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-15-0395.1

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Madonna, E., Gray, S. L. and Joos, H. (2016) A route to systematic error in forecasts of Rossby waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 196-210. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2645

Martínez-Asensio, A., Marcos, M., Tsimplis, M. N., Jorda, G., Feng, X. and Gomis, D. (2016) On the ability of statistical wind-wave models to capture the variability and long-term trends of the North Atlantic winter wave climate. Ocean Modelling, 103. pp. 177-189. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2016.02.006

Martínez-Asensio, A., Tsimplis, M. N., Feng, X., Marcos, M., Gomis, D., Jordà, G. and Josey, S. A. (2016) Response of the North Atlantic wave climate to atmospheric modes of variability. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (3). pp. 1210-1225. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.4415

Maslanka, W., Leppanen, L., Kontu, A., Sandells, M., Lemmetyinen, J., Schneebeli, M., Proksch, M., Matzl, M., Hannula, H.-R. and Gurney, R. (2016) Arctic Snow Microstructure Experiment for the development of snow emission modelling. Geoscientific Instumentation, Methods and Data Systems, 5 (1). pp. 85-94. doi: 10.5194/gi-5-85-2016

Mason, D. C., Trigg, M., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L., Neal , J. C. and Bates, P. D. (2016) Improving the TanDEM-X Digital Elevation Model for flood modelling using flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Remote Sensing of Environment, 173. pp. 15-28. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2015.11.018

Melia, N. (2016) On predicting the opening of Arctic sea routes. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Menary, M. B. (2016) Simulating decadal variability in the North Atlantic Ocean. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Mirza, A. K., Ballard, S. P., Dance, S. L., Maisey, P., Rooney, G. G. and Stone, E. K. (2016) Comparison of aircraft derived observations with in situ research aircraft measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2864 (In Press)

Miyazaki, K., Iwasaki, T. , Kawatani, Y. , Kobayashi, C. , Sugawara, S. and Hegglin, M. I. (2016) Inter-comparison of stratospheric mean-meridional circulation and eddy mixing among six reanalysis data sets. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (10). pp. 6131-6152. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-6131-2016

Moemken, J., Reyers, M., Buldmann, B. and Pinto, J. G. (2016) Decadal predictability of regional scale wind speed and wind energy potentials over Central Europe. Tellus A, 68. 29199. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v68.29199

Mulholland, D., Haines, K. and Balmaseda, M. A. (2016) Improving seasonal forecasting through tropical ocean bias corrections. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2869 (In Press)

Mulholland, D. P., Lewis, S. R., Read, P. L., Madeleine, J.-B. and Forget, F. (2016) The solsticial pause on Mars: 2 modelling and investigation of causes. Icarus, 264. pp. 465-477. ISSN 0019-1035 doi: 10.1016/j.icarus.2015.08.038

Mylläri, F., Asmi, E., Anttila, T., Saukko, E., Vakkari, V., Pirjola, L., Hillamo, R., Laurila, T., Häyrinen, A., Rautiainen, J., Lihavainen, H., O'Connor, E., Niemelä, V., Keskinen, J., Dal Maso, M. and Rönkkö, T. (2016) New particle formation in the fresh flue-gas plume from a coal-fired power plant: effect of flue-gas cleaning. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (11). pp. 7485-7496. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-16-7485-2016

Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Stratiform cloud electrification: comparison of theory with multiple in-cloud measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2858 (In Press)

Owens, M. (2016) Do the legs of magnetic clouds contain twisted flux-rope magnetic fields? The Astrophysical Journal, 818 (2). 197. ISSN 0004-637X doi: 10.3847/0004-637X/818/2/197

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Zhang, W., Li, H., Jin, F. F., Stuecker, M. F., Turner, A. G. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The annual-cycle modulation of meridional asymmetry in ENSO’s atmospheric response and its dependence on ENSO zonal structure. Journal of Climate, 28 (14). pp. 5795-5812. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00724.1

Zhang, W., Li, H., Stuecker, M. F., Jin, F.-F. and Turner, A. (2015) A new understanding of El Niño's impact over East Asia: dominance of the ENSO combination mode. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0104.1

Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F. and Turner, A. G. (2015) Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20). pp. 8570-8576. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL065703

de Leeuw, J., Methven, J. and Blackburn, M. (2015) Variability and trends in England and Wales precipitation. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.4521

de Leeuw, J., Methven, J. and Blackburn, M. (2015) Evaluation of ERA-Interim reanalysis precipitation products using England and Wales observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 798-806. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2395

van Dinther, D., Wood, C. R., Hartogensis, O. K., Nordbo, A. and O'Connor, E. J. (2015) Observing crosswind over urban terrain using scintillometer and Doppler lidar. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8 (4). pp. 1901-1911. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-8-1901-2015

von Larcher, T. and Williams, P. D., eds. (2015) Modeling atmospheric and oceanic flows: insights from laboratory experiments and numerical simulations. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, pp368. ISBN 9781118855935

2014

Ades, M. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2014) The equivalent-weights particle filter in a high-dimensional system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (687). pp. 484-503. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2370

Allan, R. P. (2014) Climate change: dichotomy of drought and deluge. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 700-701. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2243

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, M., Smith, D. and Vidale, P.-L. (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (15). pp. 5588-5597. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL060962

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Alpin, K.L. and Harrison, R.G. (2014) Atmospheric electric fields during the Carrington flare. Astronomy and Geophysics, 55 (5). 5.32-5.37. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: 10.1093/astrogeo/atu218

Ambaum, M. H. P. and Novak, L. (2014) A nonlinear oscillator describing storm track variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (685). pp. 2680-2684. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2352

Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2014) Gaussian anamorphosis in the analysis step of the EnKF: a joint state-variable/observation approach. Tellus A, 66. 23493. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.23493

Amezcua, J. and Williams, P. D. (2014) The composite-tendency RAW filter in semi-implicit integrations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 764-773. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2391

Anstey, J. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2014) High-latitude influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 1-21. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2132

Arnell, N. W., Charlton, M. B. and Lowe, J. A. (2014) The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK. Journal of Hydrology, 510. pp. 424-435. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.046

Arridge, C.S., Achilleos, N., Agarwal, J., Agnor, C.B., Ambrosi, R., André, N., Badman, S.V., Baines, K., Banfield, D., Barthélémy, M., Bisi, M.M., Blum, J., Bocanegra-Bahamon, T., Bonfond, B., Bracken, C., Brandt, P., Briand, C., Briois, C., Brooks, S., Castillo-Rogez, J., Cavalié, T., Christophe, B., Coates, A.J., Collinson, G., Cooper, J.F., Costa-Sitja, M., Courtin, R., Daglis, I.A., de Pater, I., Desai, M., Dirkx, D., Dougherty, M.K., Ebert, R.W., Filacchione, G., Fletcher, L.N., Fortney, J., Gerth, I., Grassi, D., Grodent, D., Grün, E., Gustin, J., Hedman, M., Helled, R., Henri, P., Hess, S., Hillier, J.K., Hofstadter, M.H., Holme, R., Horanyi, M., Hospodarsky, G., Hsu, S., Irwin, P., Jackman, C.M., Karatekin, O., Kempf, S., Khalisi, E., Konstantinidis, K., Krüger, H., Kurth, W.S., Labrianidis, C., Lainey, V., Lamy, L.L., Laneuville, M., Lucchesi, D., Luntzer, A., MacArthur, J., Maier, A., Masters, A., McKenna-Lawlor, S., Melin, H., Milillo, A., Moragas-Klostermeyer, G., Morschhauser, A., Moses, J.I., Mousis, O., Nettelmann, N., Neubauer, F.M., Nordheim, T., Noyelles, B., Orton, G.S., Owens, M., Peron, R., Plainaki, C., Postberg, F., Rambaux, N., Retherford, K., Reynaud, S., Roussos, E., Russell, C.T., Rymer, A.M., Sallantin, R., Sánchez-Lavega, A., Santolik, O., Saur, J., Sayanagi, K.M., Schenk, P., Schubert, J., Sergis, N., Sittler, E.C., Smith, A., Spahn, F., Srama, R., Stallard, T., Sterken, V., Sternovsky, Z., Tiscareno, M., Tobie, G., Tosi, F., Trieloff, M., Turrini, D., Turtle, E.P., Vinatier, S., Wilson, R. and Zarka, P. (2014) The science case for an orbital mission to Uranus: Exploring the origins and evolution of ice giant planets. Planetary and Space Science, 104 (Part A). pp. 122-140. ISSN 0032-0633 doi: 10.1016/j.pss.2014.08.009

Baker, L., Rudd, A., Migliorini, S. and Bannister, R. (2014) Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 21. pp. 19-39. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-21-19-2014 (special issue 'Ensemble methods in geophysical sciences')

Baker, L. H., Gray, S. L. and Clark, P. A. (2014) Idealised simulations of sting-jet cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 96-110. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2131

Baran, A. J., Hill, P., Furtado, K., Field, P. and Manners, J. (2014) A coupled cloud physics–radiation parameterization of the bulk optical properties of cirrus and its impact on the Met Office unified model global atmosphere 5.0 configuration. Journal of Climate, 27 (20). pp. 7725-7752. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00700.1

Barlow, J. F. (2014) Progress in observing and modelling the urban boundary layer. Urban Climate, 10 (2). pp. 216-240. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2014.03.011

Barnard, L., Scott, C., Owens, M., Lockwood, M., Tucker-Hood, K., Thomas, S., Crothers, S., Davies, J. A., Harrison, R., Lintott, C., Simpson, R., O'Donnell, J., Smith, A. M., Waterson, N., Bamford, S., Romeo, F., Kukula, M., Owens, B., Savani, N., Wilkinson, J., Baeten, E., Poeffel, L. and Harder, B. (2014) The Solar Stormwatch CME catalogue: results from the first space weather citizen science project. Space Weather, 12 (12). pp. 657-674. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1002/2014SW001119

Battaglia, A., Westbrook, C. D., Kniefel, S., Kollias, P., Humpage, N., Löhnert, U., Tyynelä, J. and Petty, G. W. (2014) G band atmospheric radars: new frontiers in cloud physics. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 7. pp. 1527-1546. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-7-1527-2014

Bebbington, D. and Carrea, L. (2014) Geometric polarimetry − part I: spinors and wave states. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 52 (7). pp. 3908-3923. ISSN 0196-2892 doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2013.2278141

Bellenger, H., Guilyardi, E., Leloup, J., Lengaigne, M. and Vialard, J. (2014) ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Climate Dynamics, 42 (7-8). pp. 1999-2018. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1783-z

Bennett, V., Kershaw, P., Pritchard, M., Churchill, J., Del Cano Novales, C., Juckes, M., Pascoe, S., Pepler, S., Stephens, A., Lawrence, B., Muller, J.-P., Kaharbouche, S., Latter, B. and Styles, J. (2014) EO science from big EO data on the JASMIN-CEMS infrastructure. In: 2014 conference on Big Data from Space (BiDS’14), 12-14 November 2014, Frascati, pp. 53-55.

Best, M. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2014) Importance of initial state and atmospheric conditions for urban land surface models' performance. Urban Climate, 10 (2). pp. 387-406. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2013.10.006

Bingham, R. J., Haines, K. and Lea, D. J. (2014) How well can we measure the ocean’s mean dynamic topography from space? Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119 (6). pp. 3336-3356. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1002/2013JC009354

Blower, J., Alegre, R., Bennett, V. L., Clifford, D., Kershaw, P. J., Lawrence, B., Lewis, J., Marsh, K., Nagni, M., O'Neill, A. and Phipps, R. (2014) Understanding climate data through commentary metadata: the CHARMe project. Communications in Computer and Information Science, 416. pp. 28-39. ISSN 1865-0929 doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-08425-1_4 (Theory and Practice of Digital Libraries -- TPDL 2013 Selected Workshops)

Blower, J., Clifford, D., Gonçalves, P. and Koubarakis, M. (2014) The MELODIES project: integrating diverse data using Linked Data and cloud computing. In: 2014 conference on Big Data from Space (BiDS’14), 12-14 November 2014, Frascati, pp. 244-247.

Bouttes, N. and Gregory, J. M. (2014) Attribution of the spatial pattern of CO2-forced sea level change to ocean surface flux changes. Environmental Research Letters, 9. 034004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034004

Bouttes, N., Gregory, J.M., Kuhlbrodt, T. and Smith, R.S. (2014) The drivers of projected North Atlantic sea level change. Climate Dynamics, 43 (5-6). pp. 1531-1544. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1973-8

Bradley, J. A., Singarayer, J. S. and Anesio, A. M. (2014) Microbial community dynamics in the forefield of glaciers. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 281 (1795). 20140882. ISSN 0962-8452 doi: 10.1098/rspb.2014.0882

Broecker, J. (2014) Assessing the performance of dynamical trajectory estimates. Physical Review E, 89 (6). 062919. ISSN 1550-2376 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.89.062919

Broecker, J. (2014) Resolution and discrimination - two sides of the same coin. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1277-1282. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2434

Brown, S., Cornforth, R., Boyd, E., Standley, S., Allen, M., Clement, K., Gonzalo, A., Erwin, G., Michelle, S., Haseeb, I. and Maliha, S., Brown, S., ed. (2014) Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) scoping study: Annex 3 - Early warning system and risk assessment case studies. Climate, Environment, Infrastructure and Livelihoods Professional Evidence and Applied Knowledge Services (CEIL PEAKS) programme. Technical Report. Evidence on Demand with the assistance of the UK Department for International Development (DFID) pp53. doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.june2014.brown

Browne, P. A., Budd, C. J., Piccolo, C. and Cullen, M. (2014) Fast three dimensional r-adaptive mesh redistribution. Journal of Computational Physics, 275. pp. 174-196. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: 10.1016/j.jcp.2014.06.009

Browne, P. A., Charlton-Perez, C. and Dance, S. L. (2014) RMetS special interest group meeting: high resolution data assimilation. Atmospheric Science Letters, 15 (4). pp. 354-357. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl2.512

Bulgin, C. E., Sembhi, H., Ghent, D., Remedios, J. J. and Merchant, C. (2014) Cloud clearing techniques over land for land surface temperature retrieval from the Advanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 35 (10). pp. 3594-3615. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: 10.1080/01431161.2014.907941

Cai, W., Borlace, S., Lengaigne, M., van Rensch, P., Collins, M., Vecchi, G. A., Timmermann, A., Santoso, A., Mcphaden, M. J., Wu, L., England, M. H., Wang, G., Guilyardi, E. and Jin, F.-F. (2014) Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 4 (2). pp. 111-116. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate2100

Cannon, D. and Brayshaw, D. (2014) An aggregated wind power generation model based on MERRA reanalysis data: MATLAB model and example data for the April 2014 wind farm distribution of Great Britain. University of Reading.

Carrea, L., Vernitski, A. and Reed, M. (2014) Optimized hash for network path encoding with minimized false positives. Computer Networks, 58. pp. 180-191. ISSN 1389-1286 doi: 10.1016/j.comnet.2013.09.002

Ceppi, P., Zelinka, M. D. and Hartmann, D. L. (2014) The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (9). pp. 3244-3250. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL060043

Champion, A. J. and Hodges, K. (2014) Importance of resolution and model configuration when downscaling extreme precipitation. Tellus A, 66. 23993. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.23993

Chan, I. H. and Shepherd, T. G. (2014) Diabatic balance model for the equatorial atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 (3). pp. 985-1001. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0224.1

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. (2014) Assessing the impacts of climate change on river flows in England using the UKCP09 climate change projections. Journal of Hydrology, 519. pp. 1723-1738. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.008

Chen, W., Lu, R. and Dong, B. (2014) Intensified anticyclonic anomaly over the western North Pacific during El Niño decaying summer under a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (24). pp. 13637-13650. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022199

Chen, W., Lu, R. and Dong, B. (2014) Revisiting asymmetry for the decaying phases of El Niño and La Niña. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 7 (4). pp. 275-278. ISSN 1674-2834 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.13.0091

Chiu, J. C., Holmes, J. A., Hogan, R. J. and O'Connor, E. J. (2014) The interdependence of continental warm cloud properties derived from unexploited solar background signals in ground-based lidar measurements. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14. pp. 8389-8401. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-14-8389-2014

Clifford, D., Blower, J., Alegre, R., Phipps, R., Bennett, V. and Kershaw, P. (2014) Annotating climate data with commentary: the CHARMe project. In: Big Data from Space (BiDS'14), pp. 251-254.

Coceal, O., Goulart, E. V., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2014) Flow structure and near-field dispersion in arrays of building-like obstacles. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 125. pp. 52-68. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2013.11.013

Cook, P. A. and Renfrew, I. A. (2014) Aircraft-based observations of air–sea turbulent fluxes around the British Isles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 139-152. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2345

Crooker, N. U., McPherron, R. L. and Owens, M. J. (2014) Comparison of interplanetary signatures of streamers and pseudostreamers. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 (6). pp. 4157-4163. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2014JA020079

Crosier, J., Choularton, T. W., Westbrook, C. D., Blyth, A. M., Bower, K. N., Connolly, P. J., Dearden, C., Gallagher, M. W., Cui, Z. and Nicol, J. C. (2014) Microphysical properties of cold frontal rainbands. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (681). pp. 1257-1268. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2206

Dacre, H. F., Clark, P. A., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Stringer, M. A. and Lavers, D. A. (2014) How do atmospheric rivers form? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (8). pp. 1243-1255. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00031.1

Dankers, R., Arnell, N., Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) First look at changes in flood hazard in the inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3257-3261. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Davies, W. H. and North, P. R. J. (2014) Synergistic angular and spectral estimation of aerosol properties using CHRIS/PROBA-1 and simulated Sentinel-3~data. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 7 (6). pp. 5381-5422. ISSN 1867-8610 doi: 10.5194/amtd-7-5381-2014

Davies-Barnard, T., Valdes, P. J., Jones, C. D. and Singarayer, J. (2014) Sensitivity of a coupled climate model to canopy interception capacity. Climate Dynamics, 42 (7-8). pp. 1715-1732. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2100-1

Davies-Barnard, T., Valdes, P. J., Singarayer, J. and Jones, C. D. (2014) Climatic impacts of land-use change due to crop yield increases and a universal carbon tax from a scenario model*. Journal of Climate, 27 (4). pp. 1413-1424. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00154.1

Davies-Barnard, T., Valdes, P. J., Singarayer, J. S., Pacifico, F. M. and Jones, C. D. (2014) Full effects of land use change in the representative concentration pathways. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (11). 114014. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114014

Day, J., Hawkins, E. and Tietsche, S. (2014) Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill? Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (21). pp. 7566-7575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL061694

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Dey, S. R. A., Leoncini, G., Roberts, N. M., Plant, R. S. and Migliorini, S. (2014) A spatial view of ensemble spread in convection permitting ensembles. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (11). pp. 4091-4107. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00172.1

Dhomse, S.S., Emmerson, K.M., Mann, G.W., Bellouin, N., Carslaw, K.S., Chipperfield, M.P., Hommel, R., Abraham, N.L., Telford, P., Braesicke, P., Dalvi, M., Johnson, C.E., O'Connor, F., Morgenstern, O., Pyle, J.A., Deshler, T., Zawodny, J.M. and Thomason, L.W. (2014) Aerosol microphysics simulations of the Mt.~Pinatubo eruption with the UM-UKCA composition-climate model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14. pp. 11221-11246. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-14-11221-2014

Dong, B., Sutton, R. and Shaffrey, L. (2014) The 2013 hot, dry summer in Western Europe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95 (9). S61-S66. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T., Highwood, E. and Wilcox, L. (2014) The impacts of European and Asian anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions on Sahel rainfall. Journal of Climate, 27 (18). pp. 7000-7017. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00769.1

Donohoe, A., Marshall, J., Ferreira, D., Armour, K. and McGee, D. (2014) The interannual variability of tropical precipitation and interhemispheric energy transport. Journal of Climate, 27 (9). pp. 3377-3392. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00499.1

Duncan, M., Crowley, K., Cornforth, R., Edwards, S., Ewbank, R., Karbassi, P., McLaren, C., Penya, J. L., Obrecht, A., Seargent, S. and Visman, E., (2014) Integrating science into humanitarian and development planning and practice to enhance community resilience. Report. UK Collaborative on Development Sciences, London, UK. pp49.

Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O’Neill, B. C., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., Van Vuuren, D. P. and Zwickel, T. (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122 (3). pp. 363-372. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

Elhalel, G., Yair, Y., Nicoll, K., Price, C., Reuveni, Y. and Harrison, R. G. (2014) Influence of short-term solar disturbances on the fair weather conduction current. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 4. A26. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: 10.1051/swsc/2014022

Elvidge, A. D., Renfrew, I. A., King, J. C., Orr, A., Lachlan-Cope, T. A., Weeks, M. and Gray, S. (2014) Foehn jets over the Larsen C ice shelf, Antarctica. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 698-713. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2382

Esteve, A. R., Highwood, E. J., Morgan, W. T., Allen, G., Coe, H., Grainger, R. G., Brown, P. and Szpek, K. (2014) A study on the sensitivities of simulated aerosol optical properties to composition and size distribution using airborne measurements. Atmospheric Environment, 89. pp. 517-524. ISSN 13522310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2014.02.063

Etminan, M., Highwood, E. J., Laube, J. C., McPheat, R., Marston, G., Shine, K. P. and Smith, K. M. (2014) Infrared absorption spectra, radiative efficiencies, and global warming potentials of newly-detected halogenated compounds: CFC-113a, CFC-112 and HCFC-133a. Atmosphere, 5 (3). pp. 473-483. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: 10.3390/atmos5030473

Feng, X. and Tsimplis, M. N. (2014) Sea level extremes at the coasts of China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119 (3). pp. 1593-1608. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1002/2013JC009607

Feng, X., Tsimplis, M.N., Quartly, G.D. and Yelland, M.J. (2014) Wave height analysis from 10 years of observations in the Norwegian Sea. Continental Shelf Research, 72. pp. 47-56. ISSN 0278-4343 doi: 10.1016/j.csr.2013.10.013

Feng, X., Tsimplis, M.N., Yelland, M.J. and Quartly, G.D. (2014) Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea. Global and Planetary Change, 113. pp. 68-76. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.12.010

Ferraro, A. J., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Highwood, E. J. (2014) A risk-based framework for assessing the effectiveness of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering. PLoS ONE, 9 (2). e88849. ISSN 1932-6203 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0088849

Ferraro, A. J., Highwood, E. J. and Charlton-Perez, A. J. (2014) Weakened tropical circulation and reduced precipitation in response to geoengineering. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (1). 014001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/014001

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Liu, X. and Dong, B. (2013) Influence of the Tibetan Plateau uplift on the Asian monsoon-arid environment evolution. Chinese Science Bulletin, 58 (34). pp. 4277-4291. ISSN 1861-9541 doi: 10.1007/s11434-013-5987-8

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Lockwood, M. and Owens, M. J. (2013) Comment on “What causes the flux excess in the heliospheric magnetic field?” by E. J. Smith. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 118 (5). pp. 1880-1887. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/jgra.50223

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Loridan, T., Lindberg, F., Jorba, O., Kotthaus, S., Grossman-Clarke, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2013) High resolution simulation of the variability of surface energy balance fluxes across central London with urban zones for energy partitioning. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 147 (3). pp. 493-523. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-013-9797-y

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Mulholland, D. P., Read, P. L. and Lewis, S. R. (2013) Simulating the interannual variability of major dust storms on Mars using variable lifting thresholds. Icarus, 223 (1). pp. 344-358. ISSN 0019-1035 doi: 10.1016/j.icarus.2012.12.003

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Nicol, J. C. and Illingworth, A. J. (2013) The effect of phase-correlated returns and spatial smoothing on the accuracy of radar refractivity retrievals. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30 (1). pp. 22-39. ISSN 0739-0572 doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00077.1

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Nicoll, K. (2013) A self-calibrating electrometer for atmospheric charge measurements from a balloon platform. Review of Scientific Instruments, 84 (9). 096107. ISSN 1089-7623 doi: 10.1063/1.4821500

Oliver, K. I. C. and Tailleux, R. (2013) Thermobaric control of gravitational potential energy generation by diapycnal mixing in the deep ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2). pp. 327-331. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL054235

Osborne, T., Rose, G. and Wheeler, T. (2013) Variation in the global-scale impacts of climate change on crop productivity due to climate model uncertainty and adaptation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 183-194. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.07.006

Osborne, T. M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2013) Evidence for a climate signal in trends of global crop yield variability over the past 50 years. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). 024001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024001

Osprey, A., Riley, G., Manjunathaiah, M. and Lawrence, B. (2013) A benchmark-driven modelling approach for evaluating deployment choices on a multicore architecture. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Parallel & Distributed Processing Techniques & Application (PDPTA'13), July 22-25 2013, Las Vegas.

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Owens, M. J., Challen, R., Methven, J., Henley, E. and Jackson, D. R. (2013) A 27 day persistence model of near-Earth solar wind conditions: a long lead-time forecast and a benchmark for dynamical models. Space Weather, 11 (5). pp. 225-236. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1002/swe.20040

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2012

Abrantes, F., Voelker, A. (H. L.), Sierro, F. J., Naughton, F., Rodrigues, T., Cach