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2014

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, M., Smith, D. and Vidale, P.-L. (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 00948276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL060962

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Ambaum, M. and Novak, L. (2014) A nonlinear oscillator describing storm track variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2352

Amezcua, J. and Williams, P. D. (2014) The composite-tendency RAW filter in semi-implicit integrations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2391

Anstey, J. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2014) High-latitude influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 1-21. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2132

Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N. (2014) The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

Arnell, N. W., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. and Zelazowski, P. (2014) Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7

Arnell, N. W., Charlton, M. B. and Lowe, J. A. (2014) The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK. Journal of Hydrology, 510. pp. 424-435. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.046

Baker, L., Rudd, A., Migliorini, S. and Bannister, R. (2014) Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 21. pp. 19-39. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-21-19-2014 (special issue 'Ensemble methods in geophysical sciences')

Baker, L. H., Gray, S. L. and Clark, P. A. (2014) Idealised simulations of sting-jet cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 96-110. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2131

Bingham, R. J., Haines, K. and Lea, D. (2014) A comparison of GOCE and drifter-based estimates of the North Atlantic steady-state surface circulation. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2014.03.012

Bingham, R.J., Haines, K. and Lea, D.J. (2014) How well can we measure the ocean’s mean dynamic topography from space? Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 119 (6). pp. 3336-3356. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1002/2013JC009354

Bouttes, N. and Gregory, J. M. (2014) Attribution of the spatial pattern of CO2-forced sea level change to ocean surface flux changes. Environmental Research Letters, 9. 034004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/034004

Browne, P.A., Charlton-Perez, C. and Dance, S.L. (2014) RMetS Special Interest Group Meeting: high resolution data assimilation. Atmospheric Science Letters. n/a-n/a. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl2.512

Bulgin, C. E., Eastwood, S., Embury, O., Merchant, C. J. and Donlon, C. (2014) Sea surface temperature climate change initiative: alternative image classification algorithms for sea-ice affected oceans. Remote Sensing of Environment. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2013.11.022 (In Press)

Bulgin, C. E., Sembhi, H., Ghent, D., Remedios, J. J. and Merchant, C. (2014) Cloud clearing techniques over land for land surface temperature retrieval from the Advanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer. International Journal of Remote Sensing. ISSN 0143-1161 (In Press)

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2014) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2371

Cannon, D. and Brayshaw, D. (2014) An aggregated wind power generation model based on MERRA reanalysis data: MATLAB model and example data for the April 2014 wind farm distribution of Great Britain. University of Reading.

Champion, A. J. and Hodges, K. (2014) Importance of resolution and model configuration when downscaling extreme precipitation. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 66. 23993. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v66.23993

Chan, I. H. and Shepherd, T. G. (2014) Diabatic balance model for the equatorial atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 (3). pp. 985-1001. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0224.1

Chiu, J. C., Holmes, J. A., Hogan, R. J. and O'Connor, E. J. (2014) The interdependence of continental warm cloud properties derived from unexploited solar background signals in ground-based lidar measurements. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14. pp. 8389-8401. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-14-8389-2014

Coceal, O., Goulart, E. V., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2014) Flow structure and near-field dispersion in arrays of building-like obstacles. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 125. pp. 52-68. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2013.11.013

Cook, P. A. and Renfrew, I. A. (2014) Aircraft-based observations of air–sea turbulent fluxes around the British Isles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2345 (In Press)

Davies, W.H. and North, P.R.J. (2014) Synergistic angular and spectral estimation of aerosol properties using CHRIS/PROBA-1 and simulated Sentinel-3~data. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 7 (6). pp. 5381-5422. ISSN 1867-8610 doi: 10.5194/amtd-7-5381-2014

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Dong, B., Sutton, R. and Shaffrey, L. (2014) The 2013 hot, dry summer in Western Europe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 (In Press)

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T., Highwood, E. and Wilcox, L. (2014) The impacts of European and Asian anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions on Sahel rainfall. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00769.1 (In Press)

Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O’Neill, B. C., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., Van Vuuren, D. P. and Zwickel, T. (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122 (3). pp. 363-372. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

Elvidge, A. D., Renfrew, I. A., King, J. C., Orr, A., Lachlan-Cope, T. A., Weeks, M. and Gray, S. (2014) Foehn jets over the Larsen C ice shelf, Antarctica. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2382

Etminan, M., Highwood, E. J., Laube, J. C., McPheat, R., Marston, G., Shine, K. P. and Smith, K. M. (2014) Infrared absorption spectra, radiative efficiencies, and global warming potentials of newly-detected halogenated compounds: CFC-113a, CFC-112 and HCFC-133a. Atmosphere, 5 (3). pp. 473-483. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: 10.3390/atmos5030473

Ferraro, A. J., Highwood, E. J. and Charlton-Perez, A. J. (2014) Weakened tropical circulation and reduced precipitation in response to geoengineering. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (1). 014001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/014001

Fieber, K. D., Davenport, I. J., Tanase, M. A., Ferryman, J. M., Gurney, R. J., Walker, J. P. and Hacker, J. M. (2014) Effective LAI and CHP of a single tree from small-footprint full-waveform LiDAR. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, 11 (9). 1634 -1638. ISSN 1545-598X doi: 10.1109/LGRS.2014.2303500

Field, P. R., Cotton, R. J., McBeath, K., Lock, A. P., Webster, S. and Allan, R. P. (2014) Improving a convection-permitting model simulation of a cold air outbreak. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 124-138. ISSN 00359009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2116

Forsyth, C., Fazakerley, A.N., Rae, I.J., Watt, C.E.J., Murphy, K., Wild, J.A., Karlsson, T., Mutel, R., Owen, C.J., Ergun, R., Masson, A., Berthomier, M., Donovan, E., Frey, H.U., Matzka, J., Stolle, C. and Zhang, Y. (2014) In-situ spatio-temporal measurements of the detailed azimuthal substructure of the substorm current wedge. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2013JA019302

Glasser, N.F., Davies, B., Carrivick, J.L., Rodes, A., Hambrey, M.J., Smellie, J.L. and Domack, E. (2014) Ice-stream initiation, duration and thinning on James Ross Island, northern Antarctic Peninsula. Quaternary Science Reviews, 86. pp. 78-88. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.11.012

Gleixner, S., Keenlyside, N., Hodges, K. I., Tseng, W.-L. and Bengtsson, L. (2014) An inter-hemispheric comparison of the tropical storm response to global warming. Climate Dynamics, 42 (7-8). pp. 2147-2157. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1914-6

Gray, S. L., Dunning, C. M., Methven, J., Masato, G. and Chagnon, J. M. (2014) Systematic model forecast error in Rossby wave structure. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL059282

Grewe, V., Frömming, C., Matthes, S., Brinkop, S., Ponater, M., Dietmüller, S., Jöckel, P., Garny, H., Tsati, E., Dahlmann, K., Søvde, O.A., Fuglestvedt, J., Berntsen, T. K., Shine, K.P., Irvine, E.A., Champougny, T. and Hullah, P. (2014) Aircraft routing with minimal climate impact: the REACT4C climate cost function modelling approach (V1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 7 (1). pp. 175-201. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-7-175-2014

Guemas, V., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D. and Tietsche, S. (2014) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2401 (In Press)

Hanley, K.E., Plant, B., Stein, T., Hogan, R., Nicol, J., Lean, H.W., Halliwell, C.E. and Clark, P. (2014) Mixing length controls on high resolution simulations of convective storms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2356 (In Press)

Harrison, R. G. and Nicoll, K. A. (2014) Note: Active optical detection of cloud from a balloon platform. Review of Scientific Instruments, 85 (6). 066104. ISSN 0034-6748 doi: 10.1063/1.4882318

Harrison, R. G., Aplin, K. L. and Rycroft, M.J. (2014) Brief Communication: Earthquake–cloud coupling through the global atmospheric electric circuit. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 14. pp. 773-777. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: 10.5194/nhess-14-773-2014

Harrison, R. G., Nicoll, K. A. and Aplin, K. L. (2014) Vertical profile measurements of lower troposphere ionisation. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2014.08.006 (In Press)

Hawkins, E., Dong, B., Robson, J., Sutton, R. and Smith, D. (2014) The interpretation and use of biases in decadal climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 27 (8). pp. 2931-2947. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00473.1

Hawkins, E., Edwards, T. and McNeall, D. (2014) Pause for thought. Nature Climate Change, 4 (3). pp. 154-156. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2150

Holloway, C. E., Petch, J. C., Beare, R. J., Bechtold, P., Craig, G. C., Derbyshire, S. H., Donner, L. J., Field, P. R., Gray, S. L., Marsham, J. H., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S., Roberts, N. M., Schultz, D. M., Stirling, A. J. and Woolnough, S. J. (2014) Understanding and representing atmospheric convection across scales: recommendations from the meeting held at Dartington Hall, Devon, UK, 28–30 January 2013. Atmospheric Science Letters. ISSN 1530-261X (In Press)

Huntingford, C., Marsh, T., Scaife, A. A., Kendon, E. J., Hannaford, J., Kay, A. L., Lockwood, M., Prudhomme, C., Reynard, N. S., Parry, S., Lowe, J. A., Screen, J. A., Ward, H. C., Roberts, M., Stott, P. A., Bell, V. A., Bailey, M., Jenkins, A., Legg, T., Otto, F. E. L., Massey, N., Schaller, N., Slingo, J. and Allen, M. R. (2014) Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14. Nature Climate Change, 4 (9). pp. 769-777. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2314

Irvine, E. A., Hoskins, B. J. and Shine, K. P. (2014) A Lagrangian analysis of ice-supersaturated air over the North Atlantic. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 119 (1). pp. 90-100. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2013JD020251

Irvine, E.A., Hoskins, B.J. and Shine, K.P. (2014) A simple framework for assessing the trade-off between the climate impact of aviation carbon dioxide emissions and contrails for a single flight. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (6). 064021. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064021

King, A. D., Klingaman, N. P., Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Jourdain, N. C. and Maher, P. (2014) Extreme rainfall variability in Australia: Patterns, drivers and predictability. Journal of Climate, 27 (15). pp. 6035-6050. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

Kotthaus, S., Smith, T. E.L., Wooster, M. J. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2014) Derivation of an urban materials spectral library through emittance and reflectance spectroscopy. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 94. pp. 194-212. ISSN 0924-2716 doi: 10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2014.05.005

Liu, C., Allan, R. P., Brooks, M. and Milton, S. (2014) Comparing tropical precipitation simulated by the Met Office NWP and climate models with satellite observations. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 (1). pp. 200-214. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-13-082.1

Lock, S.-J., Wood, N. and Weller, H. (2014) Numerical analyses of Runge–Kutta implicit–explicit schemes for horizontally explicit, vertically implicit solutions of atmospheric models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2246

Lockwood, M. and Owens, M. J. (2014) Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux and streamer belt width: 3. Modelling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2014JA019973 (In Press)

Lockwood, M. and Owens, M. J. (2014) Implications of the recent low solar minimum for the solar wind during the Maunder minimum. The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 781 (1). L7. ISSN 0004-637X doi: 10.1088/2041-8205/781/1/L7

Lockwood, M., Nevanlinna, H., Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. and Scott, C. J. (2014) Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 4: Near-Earth solar wind speed, IMF, and open solar flux. Annales Geophysicae, 32 (4). pp. 383-399. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: 10.5194/angeo-32-383-2014

Lockwood, M., Nevanlinna, H., Vokhmyanin, M., Ponyavin, D., Sokolov, S., Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. and Scott, C. J. (2014) Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 3: improved representation of solar cycle 11. Annales Geophysicae, 32 (4). pp. 367-381. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: 10.5194/angeo-32-367-2014

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. and Barnard, L. (2014) Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux and streamer belt width: 1. correction of the sunspot number record since 1874. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. n/a-n/a. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2014JA019970 (In Press)

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. and Barnard, L. (2014) Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux and streamer belt width: 2. Comparison with the geomagnetic data. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2014JA019972 (In Press)

Lynch, K. J., Brayshaw, D. J. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2014) Verification of European subseasonal wind speed forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2978-2990. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00341.1

Maidment, R. I., Grimes, D., Allan, R. P., Tarnavsky, E., Stringer, M., Hewison, T., Roebeling, R. and Black, E. (2014) The 30-year TAMSAT African rainfall climatology And time-series (TARCAT) dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2014JD021927

Mann, J. A.L., Chiu, J. C., Hogan, R. J., O'Connor, E. J., l'Ecuyer, T. S., Stein, T. H. M. and Jefferson, A. (2014) Aerosol impacts on drizzle properties in warm clouds from ARM Mobile Facility maritime and continental deployments. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2013JD021339 (In Press)

Manney, G. L., Hegglin, M. I., Daffer, W. H., Schwartz, M. H., Santee, M. L. and Pawson, S. (2014) Climatology of Upper Tropospheric–Lower Stratospheric (UTLS) Jets and Tropopauses in MERRA. Journal of Climate, 27 (9). pp. 3248-3271. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00243.1

Manzini, E., Karpechko, A. Y., Anstey, J., Baldwin , M. P., Black, R. X., Cagnazzo, C., Calvo, N. , Charlton-Perez, A., Christiansen, B., Davini, P., Gerber, E., Giorgetta, M., Gray, L., Hardiman, S. C., Lee, Y.-Y., Marsh, D. R., McDaniel, B. A., Purich, A., Scaife, A. A., Shindell, D., Son, S.-W., Watanabe, S. and Zappa, G. (2014) Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere – troposphere coupling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2013JD021403

Marshall, J., Armour, K. C., Scott, J. R., Kostov, Y., Hausmann, U., Ferreira, D., Shepherd, T. G. and Bitz, C. M. (2014) The ocean's role in polar climate change: asymmetric Arctic and Antarctic responses to greenhouse gas and ozone forcing. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 372 (2019). 20130040. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2013.0040

Martinez-Alvarado, O. (2014) Implications of model error for numerical climate prediction. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, 1 (1). pp. 131-153. ISSN 2198-5634 doi: 10.5194/npgd-1-131-2014

Martinez-Alvarado, O. and Plant, R. S. (2014) Parameterised diabatic processes in numerical simulations of an extratropical cyclone. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1742-1755. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2254

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Baker, L. H., Gray, S. L., Methven, J. and Plant, R. S. (2014) Distinguishing the cold conveyor belt and sting jet air streams in an intense extratropical cyclone. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2571-2595. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00348.1

Mason, D., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Dance, S. (2014) Improving flood inundation monitoring and modelling using remotely sensed data. Civil Engineering Surveyor. pp. 34-37.

Mason, D. C., Giustarini, L., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Detection of flooded urban areas in high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images using double scattering. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 28. pp. 150-159. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.002

Maycock, A. C., Joshi, M. M., Shine, K. P., Davis, S. M. and Rosenlof, K. H. (2014) The potential impact of changes in lower stratospheric water vapour on stratospheric temperatures over the past 30 years. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2287 (In Press)

McLandress, C., Plummer, D. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2014) Technical note: a simple procedure for removing temporal discontinuities in ERA-Interim upper stratospheric temperatures for use in nudged chemistry-climate model simulations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14 (3). pp. 1547-1555. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-14-1547-2014

McLandress, C., Shepherd, T. G., Reader, M. C., Plummer, D. A. and Shine, K. P. (2014) The climate impact of past changes in halocarbons and CO2in the tropical UTLS region. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00232.1

Murphy, K. R., Miles, D. M., Watt, C. E.J., Rae, I. J., Mann, I. R. and Frey, H. U. (2014) Automated determination of auroral breakup during the substorm expansion phase using all sky imager data. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2013JA018773

Neu, J. L., Hegglin, M. I., Tegtmeier, S., Bourassa, A., Degenstein, D., Froidevaux, L., Fuller , R., Funke, B., Gille, J., Jones, A., Rozanov, A., Toohey, M., von Clarmann, T., Walker, K. A. and Worden, J. R. (2014) The SPARC Data Initiative: Comparison of upper troposphere/lower stratosphere ozone climatologies from limb-viewing instruments and the nadir-viewing Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 119 (11). pp. 6971-6990. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2013JD020822

Nicol, J. C., Illingworth, A. J. and Bartholomew, K. (2014) The potential of 1 h refractivity changes from an operational C-band magnetron-based radar for numerical weather prediction validation and data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2223

Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R.G. (2014) Detection of lower tropospheric responses to solar energetic particles at midlatitudes. Physical Review Letters, 112 (22). 225001(1)-225001(5). ISSN 0031-9007 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.112.225001

Owens, M. J., Crooker, N.U. and Lockwood, M. (2014) Solar cycle evolution of dipolar and pseudostreamer belts and their relation to the slow solar wind. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 (1). pp. 36-46. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/2013JA019412

Pearson, K. J., Lister, G. M. S., Birch, C. E., Allan, R. P., Hogan, R. J. and Woolnough, S. J. (2014) Modelling the diurnal cycle of tropical convection across the "Grey Zone". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (679). pp. 491-499. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2145

Pearson, K.J., Shaffrey, L.C., Methven, J. and Hodges, K.I. (2014) Can a climate model reproduce extreme regional precipitation events over England and Wales? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2428

Peatman, S. C., Matthews, A. J. and Stevens, D. P. (2014) Propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation through the Maritime Continent and scale interaction with the diurnal cycle of precipitation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (680). pp. 814-825. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2161

Plant, R. S., Fuchs, Z. and Yano, J. I. (2014) Basic theory behind parameterizing atmospheric convection. EOS transactions, 95 (16). p. 137. ISSN 2324-9250 doi: 10.1002/2014EO160006

Polson, D., Bollasina, M. , Hegerl, G. C. and Wilcox, L. J. (2014) Decreased monsoon precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere due to anthropogenic aerosols. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1002/2014GL060811 (In Press)

Radel, G., Shine, K. P. and Ptashnik, I. V. (2014) Global radiative and climate effect of the water vapour continuum at visible and near-infrared wavelengths. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2385 (In Press)

Robson, J., Hodson, D., Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2014) Atlantic overturning in decline? Nature Geoscience, 7 (1). pp. 2-3. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2050

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2013

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Fraga, H., Malheiro, A.C., Moutinho-Pereira, J., Jones, G.V., Alves, F., Pinto, J. G. and Santos, J.A. (2013) Very high resolution bioclimatic zoning of Portuguese wine regions: present and future scenarios. Regional Environmental Change. ISSN 1436-378X doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0490-y

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Gómara, I., Pinto, J. G., Woollings, T., Masato, G., Zurita-Gotor, P. and Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. (2013) Rossby wave-breaking analysis of explosive cyclones in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2190

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Harrison, R. G. (2013) The Carnegie curve. Surveys in Geophysics, 34 (2). pp. 209-232. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9210-2

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Hawkins, E., Fricker, T. E., Challinor, A. J., Ferro, C. A. T., Ho, C. K. and Osborne, T. M. (2013) Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s. Global Change Biology, 19 (3). pp. 937-947. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/gcb.12069

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Haywood, J. M., Jones, A., Bellouin, N. and Stephenson, D. (2013) Asymmetric forcing from stratospheric aerosols impacts Sahelian rainfall. Nature Climate Change, 3 (7). pp. 660-665. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate1857

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Hirons, L. C. , Inness, P., Vitart, F. and Bechtold, P. (2013) Understanding advances in the simulation of intraseasonal variability in the ECMWF model. Part I: the representation of the MJO. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (675). pp. 1417-1426. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2060

Hirons, L. C., Inness, P., Vitart, F. and Bechtold , P. (2013) Understanding advances in the simulation of intraseasonal variability in the ECMWF model. Part II: the application of process-based diagnostics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (675). pp. 1427-1444. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2059

Hitchcock, P. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Zonal-mean dynamics of extended recoveries from stratospheric sudden warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (2). pp. 688-707. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0111.1

Hitchcock, P., Shepherd, T. G. and Manney, G. L. (2013) Statistical characterization of arctic polar-night jet oscillation events. Journal of Climate, 26 (6). pp. 2096-2116. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00202.1

Hitchcock, P., Shepherd, T. G., Taguchi, M., Yoden, S. and Noguchi, S. (2013) Lower-stratospheric radiative damping and polar-night jet oscillation events. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (5). pp. 1391-1408. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0193.1

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Ho, C. K., Hawkins, E., Shaffrey, L., Broecker, J., Hermanson, L., Murphy, J. M., Smith, D. M. and Eade, R. (2013) Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: the role of ensemble dispersion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (21). pp. 5770-5775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2013GL057630

Hodnebrog, O., Etminam, M., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Marston, G., Myhre, G., Nielsen, C. J., Shine, K. P. and Wallington, T. J. (2013) Global warming potentials and radiative efficiencies of halocarbons and related compounds: a comprehensive review. Review of Geophysics, 51 (2). pp. 300-378. ISSN 1944-9208 doi: 10.1002/rog.20013

Hodson, D. L. R., Keeley, S. P. E., West, A., Ridley, J., Hawkins, E. and Hewitt, H. T. (2013) Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections. Climate Dynamics, 40 (11-12). pp. 2849-2865. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1512-z

Hollman, R. , Merchant, C. J., Saunders, R., Downy, C., Buchwitz, M., Cazenave, A., Chuvieco, E., Defourny, P., de Leeuw, G., Forsberg, R., Holzer-Popp, T., Paul, F., Sandven, S., Sathyendranath, S., van Roozendael, M. and Wagner, W. (2013) The ESA climate change initiative: satellite data records for essential climate variables. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94 (10). ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00254.1

Holloway, C. E., Woolnough, S. J. and Lister, G. M. S. (2013) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part I: Characterization of large-scale organization and propagation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (5). pp. 1342-1369. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0227.1

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Hoskins, B. (2013) The potential for skill across the range of the seamless weather-climate prediction problem: a stimulus for our science. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (672). pp. 573-584. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1991

Houghton, I. M. P., Aplin, K. L. and Nicoll, K. (2013) Triboelectric charging of volcanic ash from the 2011 Grímsvötn eruption. Physical Review Letters, 111 (11). 118501. ISSN 0031-9007 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.111.118501

Hueging, H., Haas, R., Born, K., Jacob, D. and Pinto, J. G. (2013) Regional changes in wind energy potential over Europe using regional climate model ensemble projections. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 52 (4). pp. 903-917. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-12-086.1

Hunt, J. C., Timoshkina, Y. V., Bohnenstengel, S. I. and Belcher, S. (2013) Implications of climate change for expanding cities worldwide. Proceedings of the ICE - Urban Design and Planning, 166 (4). 241 -254 . ISSN 1755-0807 doi: 10.1680/udap.10.00062

Huntley, B., Allen, J. R. M., Collingham, Y. C., Hickler, T., Lister, A. M., Singarayer, J., Stuart, A. J., Sykes , M. T. and Valdes, P. J. (2013) Millennial climatic fluctuations are key to the structure of last glacial ecosystems. PLoS ONE, 8 (4). e61963. ISSN 1932-6203 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0061963

Irvine, E. A., Hoskins, B. J., Shine, K. P., Lunnon, R. W. and Froemming, C. (2013) Characterising North Atlantic weather patterns for climate-optimal aircraft routing. Meteorological Applications, 20 (1). pp. 80-93. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1291

Jackson, L.C., Schaller, N., Smith, R.S., Palmer, M.D. and Vellinga, M. (2013) Response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to a reversal of greenhouse gas increases. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1842-5 (In Press)

John, V. O., Allan, R. P., Bell, W., Buehler, S. A. and Kottayil, A. (2013) Assessment of intercalibration methods for satellite microwave humidity sounders. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (10). pp. 4906-4918. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50358

Kageyama, M., Merkel, U., Otto-Bliesner, B., Prange, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Lohmann, G., Ohgaito, R., Roche, D. M., Singarayer, J., Swingedouw, D. and Zhang, X. (2013) Climatic impacts of fresh water hosing under Last Glacial Maximum conditions: a multi-model study. Climate of the Past, 9 (2). pp. 935-953. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-9-935-2013

Klingaman, N. and Woolnough, S. (2013) Using a case-study approach to improve the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2314 (In Press)

Klingaman, N. and Woolnough, S. (2013) The role of air–sea coupling in the simulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2295 (In Press)

Klingaman, N., Woolnough, S. and Syktus, J. (2013) On the drivers of inter-annual and decadal rainfall variability in Queensland, Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (10). pp. 2413-2430. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3593

Koehler, A.-K., Challinor, A. J., Hawkins, E. and Asseng, S. (2013) Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034016

Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2013) Energy exchange in a dense urban environment Part II: impact of spatial heterogeneity of the surface. Urban Climate. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2013.10.001 (In Press)

Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2013) Energy exchange in a dense urban environment – Part I: temporal variability of long-term observations in central London. Urban Climate. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2013.10.002 (In Press)

Kubik, M. L., Coker, P. J., Barlow, J. F. and Hunt, C. (2013) A study into the accuracy of using meteorological wind data to estimate turbine generation output. Renewable Energy, 51. pp. 153-158. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.08.084

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Köhler, M.O., Rädel, G., Shine, K.P., Rogers, H.L. and Pyle, J.A. (2013) Latitudinal variation of the effect of aviation NOx emissions on atmospheric ozone and methane and related climate metrics. Atmospheric Environment, 64. pp. 1-9. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.09.013

Lane, S. E., Barlow, J. F. and Wood, C. R. (2013) An assessment of a three-beam Doppler lidar wind profiling method for use in urban areas. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 119. pp. 53-59. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2013.05.010

Lavers, D. A., Allan, R. P., Villarini, G., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Brayshaw, D. J. and Wade, A. J. (2013) Future changes in atmospheric rivers and their implications for winter flooding in Britain. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010

Lawrence, B. N. , Bennett, V. L., Churchill, J., Juckes, M., Kershaw, P., Pascoe, S., Pepler, S., Priitchard, M. and Stephens, A. (2013) Storing and manipulating environmental big data with JASMIN. In: IEEE Big Data, October 6-9, 2013, San Francisco. (In Press)

Leoncini, G., Plant, R. S., Gray, S. L. and Clark, P. A. (2013) Ensemble forecasts of a flood-producing storm: comparison of the influence of model-state perturbations and parameter modifications. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (670). pp. 198-211. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1951

Levine, R.C., Turner, A., Marathayil, D. and Martin, G. (2013) The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall. Climate Dynamics, 41 (1). pp. 155-172. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1656-x

Li, C., Lu, R. and Dong, B. (2013) Predictability of the western North Pacific summer climate associated with different ENSO phases by ENSEMBLES multi-model seasonal forecasts. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-2010-7

Li, C., Notz, D., Tietsche, S. and Marotzke, J. (2013) The transient versus the equilibrium response of sea ice to global warming. Journal of Climate, 26 (15). pp. 5624-5636. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00492.1

Liberato, M. L. R., Pinto, J. G., Trigo, R. M., Ludwig, P., Ordóñez, P., Yuen, D. and Trigo, I. F. (2013) Explosive development of winter storm Xynthia over the subtropical North Atlantic Ocean. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 13 (9). pp. 2239-2251. ISSN 1561-8633 doi: 10.5194/nhess-13-2239-2013

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Lishman, B., Sammonds, P. R. and Feltham, D. L. (2013) Critical slip and time dependence in sea ice friction. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 90-91. pp. 9-13. ISSN 0165-232X doi: 10.1016/j.coldregions.2013.03.004

Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. (2013) Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850–2100. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034002

Liu, J., Li, Z., Zheng, Y., Chiu, J. C., Zhao, F., Cadeddu, M., Weng, F. and Cribb, M. (2013) Cloud optical and microphysical properties derived from ground-based and satellite sensors over a site in the Yangtze Delta region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (16). pp. 9141-9152. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50648

Liu, X. and Dong, B. (2013) Influence of the Tibetan Plateau uplift on the Asian monsoon-arid environment evolution. Chinese Science Bulletin, 58 (34). pp. 4277-4291. ISSN 1861-9541 doi: 10.1007/s11434-013-5987-8

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Lloyd-Hughes, B., Shaffrey, L. C., Vidale, P. L. and Arnell, N. W. (2013) An evaluation of the spatiotemporal structure of large-scale European drought within the HiGEM climate model. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (8). pp. 2024-2035. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3570

Lockwood, M. (2013) Reconstruction and prediction of variations in the open solar magnetic flux and interplanetary conditions. Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 10. lrsp-2013-4. ISSN 1614-4961 doi: 10.12942/lrsp-2013-4

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Lockwood, M., Barnard, L., Nevanlinna, H., Owens, M.J., Harrison, R.G., Rouillard, A. P. and Davis, C. J. (2013) Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr – Part 2: A new reconstruction of the interplanetary magnetic field. Annales Geophysicae, 31 (11). pp. 1979-1992. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: 10.5194/angeo-31-1979-2013

Lomazzi, M., Entekhabi, D., Pinto, J. G., Roth, G. and Rudari, R. (2013) Synoptic preconditions for extreme flooding during the summer Asian Monsoon in the Mumbai area. Journal of Hydrometeorology. ISSN 1525-755X doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-039.1

Loridan, T., Lindberg, F., Jorba, O., Kotthaus, S., Grossman-Clarke, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2013) High resolution simulation of the variability of surface energy balance fluxes across central London with urban zones for energy partitioning. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 147 (3). pp. 493-523. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-013-9797-y

Ludwig, P., Pinto, J. G., Reyers, M. and Gray, S. L. (2013) The role of anomalous SST and surface fluxes over the Southeastern North Atlantic in the explosive development of windstorm Xynthia. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2253 (In Press)

Macfarlane, D. G., Odbert, H. M., Robertson, D. A., James, M. R., Pinkerton, H. and Wadge, G. (2013) Topographic and thermal mapping of volcanic terrain using AVTIS ground-based 94-GHz dual-mode radar/radiometric imager. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 51 (1). pp. 455-472. ISSN 0196-2892 doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2012.2202667

Maidment, R. I., Grimes, D. I. F., Allan, R. P., Greatrex, H., Rojas, O. and Leo, O. (2013) Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda. Meteorological Applications, 20 (3). pp. 308-317. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1283

Marathayil, D., Turner, A. G., Shaffrey, L. C. and Levine, R. C. (2013) Systematic winter sea-surface temperature biases in the northern Arabian Sea in HiGEM and the CMIP3 models. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (1). 014028. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014028

Mariotti, V., Paillard, D., Roche, D.M., Bouttes, N. and Bopp, L. (2013) Simulated last glacial maximum D14Catm and the deep glacial ocean carbon reservoir. Radiocarbon, 55 (2-3). pp. 1595-1602. ISSN 0033-8222 doi: 10.2458/azu_js_rc.55.16295

Marlton, G., Harrison, R. G. and Nicoll, K. A. (2013) Atmospheric point discharge current measurements using a temperature-compensated logarithmic current amplifier. Review of Scientific Instruments, 84 (6). 066103. ISSN 0034-6748 doi: 10.1063/1.4810849

Marshall, J., Donohoe, A., Ferreira, D. and McGee, D. (2013) The ocean’s role in setting the mean position of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1767-z

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Gray, S. L., Clark, P. A. and Baker, L. H. (2013) Objective detection of sting jets in low-resolution datasets. Meteorological Applications, 20 (1). pp. 41-55. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.297

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Joos, H., Chagnon, J., Boettcher, M., Gray, S., Plant, B., Methven, J. and Wernli, H. (2013) The dichotomous structure of the warm conveyor belt. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2276

Masato, G., Hoskins, B. J. and Woollings, T. (2013) Wave-breaking characteristics of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: a two-dimensional approach. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00240.1

Masato, G., Hoskins, B. J. and Woollings, T. (2013) Winter and Summer Northern Hemisphere blocking in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00466.1

Matthews, A. J., Pickup, G., Peatman, S. C., Clews, P. and Martin, J. (2013) The effect of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on station rainfall and river level in the Fly River system, Papua New Guinea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (19). 10,926-10,935. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50865

Maycock, A.P., Joshi, M. M., Shine, K.P. and Scaife, A. A. (2013) The circulation response to idealized changes in stratospheric water vapor. Journal of Climate, 26 (2). pp. 545-561. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00155.1

McLandress, C., Scinocca, J. F., Shepherd, T. G., Reader, M. C. and Manney, G. L. (2013) Dynamical control of the mesosphere by orographic and non-orographic gravity wave drag during the extended northern winters of 2006 and 2009. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70. pp. 2152-2169. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0297.1

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Merchant, C. J., Le Borgne, P., Roquet, H. and Legendre, G. (2013) Extended optimal estimation techniques for sea surface temperature from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infra-Red Imager (SEVIRI). Remote Sensing of Environment, 131. pp. 287-297. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.019

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Methven, J. (2013) Wave activity for large-amplitude disturbances described by the primitive equations on the sphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (6). pp. 1616-1630. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0228.1

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Mulholland, D. P., Read, P. L. and Lewis, S. R. (2013) Simulating the interannual variability of major dust storms on Mars using variable lifting thresholds. Icarus, 223 (1). pp. 344-358. ISSN 0019-1035 doi: 10.1016/j.icarus.2012.12.003

Muller, C. L., Chapman, L., Grimmond, C. S. B., Young, D. T. and Cai, X. (2013) Sensors and the city: a review of urban meteorological networks. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (7). pp. 1585-1600. ISSN 08998418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3678

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Nicol, J. C. and Illingworth, A. J. (2013) The effect of phase-correlated returns and spatial smoothing on the accuracy of radar refractivity retrievals. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30 (1). pp. 22-39. ISSN 0739-0572 doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00077.1

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Nicoll, K. (2013) A self-calibrating electrometer for atmospheric charge measurements from a balloon platform. Review of Scientific Instruments, 84 (9). 096107. ISSN 1089-7623 doi: 10.1063/1.4821500

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Oliver, K. I. C. and Tailleux, R. (2013) Thermobaric control of gravitational potential energy generation by diapycnal mixing in the deep ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2). pp. 327-331. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL054235

Osborne, T., Rose, G. and Wheeler, T. (2013) Variation in the global-scale impacts of climate change on crop productivity due to climate model uncertainty and adaptation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 183-194. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.07.006

Osborne, T. M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2013) Evidence for a climate signal in trends of global crop yield variability over the past 50 years. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). 024001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024001

Osprey, A., Riley, G., Manjunathaiah, M. and Lawrence, B. (2013) A benchmark-driven modelling approach for evaluating deployment choices on a multicore architecture. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Parallel & Distributed Processing Techniques & Application (PDPTA'13), July 22-25 2013, Las Vegas.

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Owens, M. J., Challen, R., Methven, J., Henley, E. and Jackson, D. R. (2013) A 27 day persistence model of near-Earth solar wind conditions: a long lead-time forecast and a benchmark for dynamical models. Space Weather, 11 (5). pp. 225-236. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1002/swe.20040

Owens, M. J., Crooker, N. U. and Lockwood, M. (2013) Solar origin of heliospheric magnetic field inversions: evidence for coronal loop opening within pseudostreamers. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 118 (5). pp. 1868-1879. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: 10.1002/jgra.50259

Petty, A. A., Feltham, D. L. and Holland, P. R. (2013) Impact of atmospheric forcing on Antarctic continental shelf water masses. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 43 (5). pp. 920-940. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-12-0172.1

Pinto, J. G., Bellenbaum, N., Karremann, M. K. and Della-Marta, P. M. (2013) Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and Europe under recent and future climate conditions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (22). 12,476-12,485. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2013JD020564

Pinto, J. G., Ulbrich, S., Parodi, A., Rudari, R., Boni, G. and Ulbrich, U. (2013) Identification and ranking of extraordinary rainfall events over northwest Italy: the role of Atlantic moisture. Journal of Geophysical Research, 118 (5). pp. 2085-2097. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50179

Plant, B. and Yano, J.-I. (2013) The energy-cycle analysis of the interactions between shallow and deep atmospheric convection. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans. ISSN 0377-0265 (In Press)

Polo, I., Dong, B. W. and Sutton, R. T. (2013) Changes in tropical Atlantic interannual variability from a substantial weakening of the meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1716-x

Polson, D., Hegerl, G. C., Allan, R. and Balan Sarojini, B. (2013) Have greenhouse gases intensified the contrast between wet and dry regions? Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (17). pp. 4783-4787. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/grl.50923

Pozzi, W., Sheffield, J., Stefanski, R., Cripe, D., Pulwarty, R., Vogt, J. V., Heim, R. R., Brewer, M. J., Svoboda, M., Westerhoff, R., Van Dijk, A. I.J.M., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Pappenberger, F., Werner, M., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Wagner, W., Schubert, S., Mo, K., Nicholson, M., Bettio, L., Nunez, L., van Beek, R., Bierkens, M., de Goncalves, L. G. G., de Mattos, J. G. Z. and Lawford, R. (2013) Towards global drought early warning capability: expanding international cooperation for the development of a framework for global drought monitoring and forecasting. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00176

Ptashnik, I.V., Petrova, T.M., Ponomarev, Y.N., Shine, K.P., Solodov, A.A. and Solodov, A.M. (2013) Near-infrared water vapour self-continuum at close to room temperature. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy & Radiative Transfer, 120. pp. 23-35. ISSN 0022-4073 doi: 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2013.02.016

Rae, I. J., Murphy, K. R., Miles, D. M., Watt, C. E. J. and Mann, I. R. (2013) Comment on "Formation of Substorm Pi2: A coherent response to auroral streamers and currents" by Nishimura et al. Journal of Geophysical Research - Space Physics, 118 (6). pp. 3488-3496. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/jgra.50336

Rap, A., Scott, C. E., Spracklen, D. V., Bellouin, N., Forster, P. M., Carslaw, K. S., Schmidt, A. and Mann, G. (2013) Natural aerosol direct and indirect radiative effects. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (12). pp. 3297-3301. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/grl.50441

Reader, M.C., Plummer, D.A., Scinocca, J.F. and Shepherd, T.G. (2013) Contributions to twentieth century total column ozone change from halocarbons, tropospheric ozone precursors, and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (23). pp. 6276-6281. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2013GL057776

Renard, J.-B., Tripathi, S. N., Michael, M., Rawal, A., Berthet, G., Fullekrug, M., Harrison, R. G., Robert, C., Tagger, M. and Gaubicher, B. (2013) 18 Nov 2013 In situ detection of electrified aerosols in the upper troposphere and stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13 (22). 11187– 11194. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-13-11187-2013

Reyers, M., Pinto, J. G. and Paeth, H. (2013) Statistical–dynamical downscaling of present day and future precipitation regimes in the Aksu river catchment in Central Asia. Global and Planetary Change, 107. pp. 36-49. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.04.003

Reynolds, R. W., Chelton, D. B., Roberts-Jones, J., Martin, M. J., Menemenlis, D. and Merchant, C. J. (2013) Objective determination of feature resolution in two sea surface temperature analyses. Journal of Climate, 26 (8). pp. 2514-2533. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00787.1

Richardson, M., Davenport, I. and Gurney, R. (2013) Global snow mass measurements and the effect of stratigraphic detail on inversion of microwave brightness temperatures. Surveys in Geophysics. ISSN 0169-3298 doi: 10.1007/s10712-013-9263-x

Robson, J., Sutton, R. and Smith, D. (2013) Predictable climate impacts of the decadal changes in the ocean in the 1990s. Journal of Climate, 26 (17). pp. 6329-6339. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00827.1

Rose, B. E. J. and Ferreira, D. (2013) Ocean heat transport and water vapor greenhouse in a warm equable climate: a new look at the low gradient paradox. Journal of Climate, 26 (6). pp. 2117-2136. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00547.1

Rose, B. E. J., Ferreira, D. and Marshall, J. (2013) The role of oceans and sea ice in abrupt transitions between multiple climate states. Journal of Climate, 26 (9). pp. 2862-2879. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00175.1

Samset, B. H., Myhre, G., Schulz, M., Balkanski, Y., Bauer, S., Berntsen, T. K., Bian, H., Bellouin, N., Diehl, T., Easter, R. C., Ghan, S. J., Iversen, T., Kinne, S., Kirkevåg, A., Lamarque, J.-F., Lin, G., Liu, X., Penner, J. E., Seland, Ø., Skeie, R. B., Stier, P., Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K. and Zhang, K. (2013) Black carbon vertical profiles strongly affect its radiative forcing uncertainty. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13 (5). pp. 2423-2434. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-13-2423-2013

Sansom, P. G., Stephenson, D. B., Ferro, C. A. T., Zappa, G. and Shaffrey, L. (2013) Simple uncertainty frameworks for selecting weighting schemes and interpreting multimodel ensemble climate change experiments. Journal of Climate, 26 (12). pp. 4017-4037. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00462.1

Santiago, J. L., Coceal, O. and Martilli, A. (2013) How to parametrize urban-canopy drag to reproduce wind-direction effects within the canopy. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 149 (1). pp. 43-63. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-013-9833-y

Santos, J. A., Woollings, T. and Pinto, J. G. (2013) Are the winters 2010 and 2012 archetypes exhibiting extreme opposite behavior of the North Atlantic jet stream? Monthly Weather Review, 141 (10). pp. 3626-3640. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00024.1

Santos, J.A., Grätsch, S.D., Karremann, M.K., Jones, G.V. and Pinto, J. G. (2013) Ensemble projections for wine production in the Douro Valley of Portugal. Climatic Change, 117 (1-2). pp. 211-225. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0538-x

Savani, N. P., Vourlidas, A., Pulkkinen, A., Nieves-Chinchilla, T., Lavraud, B. and Owens, M. J. (2013) Tracking the momentum flux of a CME and quantifying its influence on geomagnetically induced currents at Earth. Space Weather, 11 (5). pp. 245-261. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1002/swe.20038

Schiemann, R., Demory, M.-E., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J. and Vidale, P. L. (2013) The sensitivity of the tropical circulation and Maritime Continent precipitation to climate model resolution. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1997-0

Semedo, A., Weisse, R., Behrens, A., Sterl, A., Bengtsson, L. and Günther, H. (2013) Projection of global wave climate change towards the end of the 21st century. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00658.1

Sigmond, M., Scinocca, J. F., Kharin, V. V. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following stratospheric sudden warmings. Nature Geoscience, 6 (2). pp. 98-102. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: 10.1038/NGEO1698

Simpson, I. R., Hitchcock, P., Shepherd, T. G. and Scinocca, J. F. (2013) Southern annular mode dynamics in observations and models, Part I: The influence of climatological zonal wind biases in a comprehensive GCM. Journal of Climate, 26 (11). pp. 3953-3967. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00348.1

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Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Guemas, V., Hawkins, E., Hazeleger, W., Hermanson, L., Ho, C. K., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Lean, J., Matei, D., Merryfield, W. J., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Rosati, A., Wouters, B. and Wyser, K. (2013) Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (11-12). pp. 2875-2888. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0

Stewart, L. M., Dance, S. and Nichols, N. K. (2013) Data assimilation with correlated observation errors: experiments with a 1-D shallow water model. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 65. 19546. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.19546

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Brayshaw, D., Dent, C. and Zachary, S. (2012) Wind generation's contribution to supporting peak electricity demand: meteorological insights. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 226 (1). pp. 44-50. ISSN 1748-0078 doi: 10.1177/1748006X11417503

Broecker, J. (2012) Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts through decomposition of the empirical score. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 655-667. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1191-1

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Brooks, I. and Fowler, A. (2012) An evaluation of boundary-layer depth, inversion and entrainment parameters by large-eddy simulation. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 142 (2). pp. 245-263. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-011-9668-3

Cain, M., Methven, J. and Highwood, E.J. (2012) Quantification of chemical and physical processes influencing ozone during long-range transport using a trajectory ensemble. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12 (15). pp. 7015-7039. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-12-7015-2012

Cannon, D. J., Kirshbaum, D. J. and Gray, S. L. (2012) Under what conditions does embedded convection enhance orographic precipitation? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (663). pp. 391-406. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.926

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Chalmers, N., Highwood, E. J., Hawkins, E., Sutton, R. T. and Wilcox, L. J. (2012) Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18709. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052848

Chen, F., Bornstein, R., Grimmond, C. S. B., Li, J., Liang, X., Martilli, A., Miao, S., Voogt, J. and Wang, Y. (2012) Research priorities in observing and modeling urban weather and climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (11). pp. 1725-1728. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00217.1

Chen, W., Park, J.-K., Dong, B., Lu, R. and Jung, W.-S. (2012) The relationship between El Niño and the western North Pacific summer climate in a coupled GCM: role of the transition of El Niño decaying phases. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (D12111). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD017385

Chiu, J. C., Marshak, A., Huang, C.-H., Carnai, T., Hogan, R. J., Giles, D. M., Holben , B. N., O'Connor, E. J., Knyazikhin, Y. and Wiscombe, W. J. (2012) Cloud droplet size and liquid water path retrievals from zenith radiance measurements: examples from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program and the Aerosol Robotic Network. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. pp. 10313-10329. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-12-10313-2012

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Collins, W. J., Fry, M. M., Yu, H., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Shindell, D. T. and West, J. J. (2012) Global and regional temperature-change potentials for near-term climate forcers. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 12 (9). pp. 23261-23290. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acpd-12-23261-2012

Cornforth, R. (2012) Overview of the West African monsoon 2011. Weather, 67 (3). pp. 59-65. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.1896

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Costa, S. M. S. and Shine , K.P. (2012) Outgoing longwave radiation due to directly transmitted surface emission. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (6). pp. 1865-1870. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0248.1

Crawford, I., Bower, K.N., Choularton, T.W., Dearden, C., Crosier, J., Westbrook, C., Capes, G., Coes, H., Connolly, P.J., Dorsey, J.R., Gallagher, M.W., Williams, P., Trembath, J., Cui, Z. and Blyth, A. (2012) Ice formation and development in aged, wintertime cumulus over the UK: observations and modelling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12 (11). pp. 4963-4985. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-12-4963-2012

Custódio, M. d. S., Rocha, R. P. and Vidale, P. L. (2012) Analysis of precipitation climatology simulated by high resolution coupled global models over the South America. Hydrological Research Letters, 6. pp. 92-97. ISSN 1882-3416 doi: 10.3178/hrl.6.92

Dacre, H.F., Hawcroft, M.K., Stringer, M.A. and Hodges, K.I. (2012) An extratropical cyclone database: A tool for illustrating cyclone structure and evolution characteristics. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93. pp. 1497-1502. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00164.1

Daleu, C. L., Woolnough, S. and Plant, R. S. (2012) Cloud-resolving model simulations with one and two-way couplings via the weak-temperature gradient approximation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (12). pp. 3683-3699. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-058.1

Davies, B. J. and Glasser, N. F. (2012) Accelerating shrinkage of Patagonian glaciers from the Little Ice Age (∼AD 1870) to 2011. Journal of Glaciology, 58 (212). pp. 1063-1084. ISSN 0022-1430

Davies, B. J., Carrivick, J. L., Glasser, N. F., Hambrey, M. J. and Smellie, J. L. (2012) Variable glacier response to atmospheric warming, northern Antarctic Peninsula, 1988–2009. The Cryosphere, 6 (5). pp. 1031-1048. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-6-1031-2012

Davies, B. J., Hambrey, M. J., Smellie, J. L., Carrivick, J. L. and Glasser, N. F. (2012) Antarctic Peninsula ice sheet evolution during the Cenozoic Era. Quaternary Science Reviews, 31. pp. 30-66. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2011.10.012

Davies, B. J., Roberts, D. H., Bridgland, D. R. and Cofaigh, C. Ó. (2012) Dynamic Devensian ice flow in NE England: a sedimentological reconstruction. Boreas, 41 (3). pp. 337-336. ISSN 0300-9483 doi: 10.1111/j.1502-3885.2011.00237.x

Davies, B. J., Roberts, D.H., Bridgland, D.R., Ó Cofaigh, C., Riding, J.B., Demarchi, B., Penkman, K.E.H. and Pawley, S.M. (2012) Timing and depositional environments of a Middle Pleistocene glaciation of northeast England: New evidence from Warren House Gill, County Durham. Quaternary Science Reviews, 44. pp. 180-212. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.02.003

Davies, J. A., Harrison, R. A., Perry, C. H., Möstl, C., Lugaz, N., Rollett, T., Davis, C. J., Crothers, S. R., Temmer, M., Eyles, C. J. and Savani, N. P. (2012) A self-similar expansion model for use in solar wind transient propogation studies. The Astrophysical Journal, 750 (23). ISSN 0004-637X doi: 10.1088/0004-637X/750/1/23

Davis, C., Davies, J. A., Owens, M. and Lockwood, M. (2012) Predicting the arrival of high-speed solar wind streams at Earth using the STEREO Heliospheric Imagers. Space Weather, 10 (2). ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1029/2011SW000737

Day, J. J., Bamber, J. L., Valdes, P. J. and Kohler, J. (2012) The impact of a seasonally ice free Arctic Ocean on the temperature, precipitation and surface mass balance of Svalbard. The Cryosphere, 6. pp. 35-50. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-6-35-2012

Day, J. J., Hargreaves, J. C., Annan, J. D. and Abe-Ouchi, A. (2012) Sources of multi-decadal variability in Arctic sea ice extent. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (3). 034011. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034011

Devenish, B.J., Thomson, D.J., Marenco, F., Leadbetter, S.J., Ricketts, H. and Dacre, H. (2012) A study of the arrival over the United Kingdom in April 2010 of the Eyjafjallajökull ash cloud using ground-based lidar and numerical simulations. Atmospheric Environment, 48. pp. 152-164. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.06.033

Done, J. M., Craig, G. C., Gray, S. L. and Clark, P. A. (2012) Case-to-case variability of predictability of deep convection in a mesoscale model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (664). pp. 638-648. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.943

Ebmeier, S.K., Biggs, J., Mather, T.A., Elliott, J.R., Wadge, G. and Amelung, F. (2012) Measuring large topographic change with InSAR: lava thicknesses, extrusion rate and subsidence rate at Santiaguito volcano, Guatemala. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 335-336. pp. 216-225. ISSN 0012-821X doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2012.04.027

Embury, O. and Merchant, C. J. (2012) A reprocessing for climate of sea surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers: a new retrieval scheme. Remote Sensing of Environment, 116. pp. 47-61. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.11.020

Embury, O., Merchant, C.J. and Corlett, G.K. (2012) A reprocessing for climate of sea surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers: initial validation, accounting for skin and diurnal variability. Remote Sensing of Environment, 116. pp. 62-78. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2011.02.028

Embury, O., Merchant, C.J. and Filipiak, M.J. (2012) A reprocessing for climate of sea surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers: basis in radiative transfer. Remote Sensing of Environment, 116. pp. 32-46. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.10.016

Eriksson, A., Betti, L., Friend, A. D., Lycett, S. J., Singarayer, J. S., von Cramon-Taubadel, N., Valdes, P. J., Balloux, F. and Manica, A. (2012) Late Pleistocene climate change and the global expansion of anatomically modern humans. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109 (40). pp. 16089-16094. ISSN 1091-6490 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1209494109

Filipiak, M. J., Merchant, C. J., Kettle, H. and Le Borgne, P. (2012) A statistical model for sea surface diurnal warming driven by numercial weather predictions fluxes and winds. Ocean Science, 8 (2). pp. 197-209. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/os-8-197-2012

Fink, A. H., Pohle, S., Pinto, J. G. and Knippertz, P. (2012) Diagnosing the influence of diabatic processes on the explosive deepening of extratropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (7). L07803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL051025

Flocco, D., Schroeder, D., Feltham, D. L. and Hunke, E. C. (2012) Impact of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice simulations from 1990 to 2007. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (C9). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JC008195

Forsyth, C., Fazakerley, A. N., Walsh, A. P., Watt, C. E. J., Garza, K. J., Owen, C. J., Constantinescu, D., Dandouras, I., Fornaçon, K.-H., Lucek, E., Marklund, G. T., Sadeghi, S. S., Khotyaintsev, Y., Masson, A. and Doss, N. (2012) Temporal evolution and electric potential structure of the auroral acceleration region from multispacecraft measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. A12203. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JA017655

Fowler, A. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2012) Measures of observation impact in non-Gaussian data assimilation. Tellus A, 64. 17192. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.17192

Fowler, A., Bannister, R. and Eyre, J. (2012) A new floating model level scheme for the assimilation of boundary layer top inversions: the univariate assimilation of temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (664A). pp. 682-698. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.955

Fragoso, M., Trigo, R. M., Pinto, J. G., Lopes, S., Lopes, A., Ulbrich, S. and Magro, C. (2012) The 20 February 2010 Madeira flash-floods: synoptic analysis and extreme rainfall assessment. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 12 (3). pp. 715-730. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: 10.5194/nhess-12-715-2012

Fry, M. M., Naik, V., West, J. J., Schwarzkopf, M. D., Fiore, A. M., Collins, W. J., Dentener, F. J., Shindell, D. T., Atherton, C., Bergmann, D., Duncan, B. N., Hess, P., MacKenzie, I. A., Marmer, E., Schultz, M. G., Szopa, S., Wild, O. and Zeng, G. (2012) The influence of ozone precursor emissions from four world regions on tropospheric composition and radiative climate forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D07306. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011jd017134

Fujiwara, M. , Suzuki, J. , Gettelman, A. , Hegglin, M. I., Akiyoshi, H. and Shibata, K. (2012) Wave activity in the tropical tropopause layer in seven reanalysis and four chemistry climate model data sets. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D12). D12105. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016808

Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L. and Braud, I. (2012) Incorporation of water vapour transfer in the JULES Land Surface Model: implications for key soil variables and land surface fluxes. Water Resources Research, 48 (5). W05538. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: 10.1029/2011WR011811

Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L., Main, B., Gan, G. and Wu, Y. (2012) Interactions between the physical soil environment and a horizontal ground coupled heat pump, for a domestic site in the UK. Renewable Energy, 44. pp. 141-153. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.01.080

Gardiner, T. D., Coleman, M., Browning, H., Tallis, L., Ptashnik, I.V. and Shine, K.P. (2012) Absolute high spectral resolution measurements of surface solar radiation for detection of water vapour continuum absorption. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 370 (1968). pp. 2590-2610. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0221

Geddes, A., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Black, R. and Thomas, D. S. G. (2012) Migration, environmental change, and the ‘challenges of governance’. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 30 (6). pp. 951-967. ISSN 1472-3425 doi: 10.1068/c3006ed

Gerber, E. P., Butler, A., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Giorgetta, M., Manzini, E., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L. M., Sassi, F., Scaife, A. A., Shaw, T. A., Son, S.-W. and Watanabe, S. (2012) Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 (In Press)

Good, E. J., Kong, X., Embury, O. and Merchant, C. J. (2012) An infrared desert dust index for the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers. Remote Sensing of Environment, 116. pp. 159-176. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.06.016

Gottschalk, P., Smith, J. U., Wattenbach, M., Bellarby, J., Stehfest, E., Arnell, N. W., Osborn, T. J., Jones, C. and Smith, P. (2012) How will organic carbon stocks in mineral soils evolve under future climate? Global projections using RothC for a range of climate change scenarios. Biogeosciences, 9 (8). pp. 3151-3171. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: 10.5194/bg-9-3151-2012

Grant, A. L. M., Dacre, H. F., Thomson, D. J. and Marenco, F. (2012) Horizontal and vertical structure of the Eyjafjallajökull ash cloud over the UK: a comparison of airborne lidar observations and simulations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. pp. 10145-10159. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-12-10145-2012

Gray, S. L. and Harrison, R. G. (2012) Diagnosing eclipse-induced wind changes. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 468 (2143). pp. 1839-1850. ISSN 1364-5021 doi: 10.1098/rspa.2012.0007

Greenfield, J. A., Park, P. S., Farahani, E., Malik, S., Vieth, R., McFarlane, N. A., Shepherd, T. G. and Knight, J. A. (2012) Solar ultraviolet-B radiation and vitamin D: a cross-sectional population-based study using data from the 2007 to 2009 Canadian Health Measures Survey. BMC Public Health, 12 (660). ISSN 1471-2458 doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-660

Haas, R. and Pinto, J. G. (2012) A combined statistical and dynamical approach for downscaling large-scale footprints of European windstorms. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (23). L23804. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL054014

Halios, C. H., Helmis, C. G., Flocas, H. A., Nyeki, S. and Assimakopoulos, D. N. (2012) On the variability of the surface environment response to synoptic forcing over complex terrain: a multivariate data analysis approach. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 118 (3-4). pp. 107-115. ISSN 1436-5065 doi: 10.1007/s00703-012-0209-5

Harrison, G. and Nicoll, K. (2012) Balloon-borne disposable radiometer for cloud detection. Review of Scientific Instruments, 83 (2). 025111. ISSN 0034-6748 doi: 10.1063/1.3685252

Harrison, G., Nicoll, K. and Lomas, A. (2012) Programmable data acquisition system for research measurements from meteorological radiosondes. Review of Scientific Instruments, 83 (3). 036106. ISSN 0034-6748 doi: 10.1063/1.3697717

Harrison, R. G. and Wood, C. R. (2012) Ventilation effects on humidity measurements in thermometer screens. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (665). pp. 1114-1120. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.985

Harrison, R.G. (2012) Aerosol-induced correlation between visibility and atmospheric electricity. Journal of Aerosol Science, 52. pp. 121-126. ISSN 0021-8502 doi: 10.1016/j.jaerosci.2012.04.011

Hart, N. C.G., Reason, C. J.C. and Fauchereau, N. (2012) Building a tropical-extratropical cloud band metbot. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (12). pp. 4005-4016. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00127.1

Harvey, B. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Woollings, T. J., Zappa, G. and Hodges, K. I. (2012) How large are projected 21st century storm track changes? Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18707. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052873

Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2012) Time of emergence of climate signals. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (1). L01702. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL050087

Hawkins, E. and Vidale, P. L. (2012) Meteorology: Counting the coming storms. Nature Climate Change, 2 (8). pp. 574-575. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate1639

Hill, C., Ferreira, D., Campin, J.-M., Marshall, J., Abernathey, R. and Barrier, N. (2012) Controlling spurious diapycnal mixing in eddy-resolving height-coordinate ocean models: insights from virtual deliberate tracer release experiments. Ocean modelling, 45-46. pp. 14-26. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2011.12.001

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Hodson, D. L. R. and Sutton, R. T. (2012) The impact of resolution on the adjustment and decadal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 39 (12). pp. 3057-3073. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1309-0

Hoffmann, A., Clifford, D., Aulinas, J., Carton, J., Deconinck, F., Esen, B., Huesing, J., Kern, K., Kox, S., Krejci, D., Krings, T., Lohrey, S., Romano, P., Topham, R. and Weitnauer, C. (2012) A novel satellite mission concept for upper air water vapour, aerosol and cloud observations using integrated path differential absorption LiDAR limb sounding. Remote Sensing, 4 (4). pp. 867-910. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: 10.3390/rs4040867

Hogan, R. and Mason, I. (2012) Deterministic forecasts of binary events. In: Forecast verification: a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science. 2nd Edition. Wiley, pp. 31-59. doi: 10.1002/9781119960003

Hogan, R., Tian , L., Brown , P. R.A., Westbrook, C., Heymsfield, A. J. and Eastment, J. D. (2012) Radar scattering from ice aggregates using the horizontally aligned oblate spheroid approximation. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 51 (3). pp. 655-671. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-11-074.1

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Hook, S. R., Wilson, R. C., MacCallum, S. and Merchant, C. J. (2012) [Global climate] Lake surface temperature [in "State of the climate in 2011"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (7). S18-S19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Hoskins, B., Fonseca, R., Blackburn, M. and Jung, T. (2012) Relaxing the Tropics to an ‘observed’ state: analysis using a simple baroclinic model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (667). pp. 1618-1626. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1881

Hunt, F. K., Tailleux, R. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2012) The vertical structure of oceanic Rossby waves: a comparison of high-resolution model data to theoretical vertical structures. Ocean Science, 8 (1). pp. 19-35. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/os-8-19-2012

Illingworth, A. and Thompson, R. (2012) Radar bright band correction using the linear depolarisation ratio. In: International Symposium on Weather Radar and Hydrology (WRaH 2011), 18-21 Apr 2011, Exeter, UK, pp. 64-68.

Irvine, E.A., Hoskins, B.J. and Shine, K.P. (2012) The dependence of contrail formation on the weather pattern and altitude in the North Atlantic. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (12). L12802. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL051909

Jones, G. S., Lockwood, M. and Stott, P. A. (2012) What influence will future solar activity changes over the 21st century have on projected global near-surface temperature changes? Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (D5). D05103. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD017013

Jones, H. M., Haywood, J., Marenco, F., O'Sullivan, D., Meyer, J., Thorpe, R., Gallagher, M. W., Krämer, M., Bower, K. N., Radel, G., Rap, A., Woolley, A., Forster, P. and Coe, H. (2012) A methodology for in-situ and remote sensing of microphysical and radiative properties of contrails as they evolve into cirrus. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. 8157-8175. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-12-8157-2012

Kendon, E. J., Roberts, N. M., Senior, C. A. and Roberts, M. J. (2012) Realism of rainfall in a very high-resolution regional climate model. Journal of Climate, 25 (17). pp. 5791-5806. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00562.1

Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2012) Identification of micro-scale anthropogenic CO2, heat and moisture sources – processing eddy covariance fluxes for a dense urban environment. Atmospheric Environment, 57. pp. 301-316. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.04.024

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Krishnan, R., Sabin, T. P., Ayantika, D. C., Kitoh, A., Sugi, M., Murakami, H., Turner, A. G. , Slingo, J. M. and Rajendran, K. (2012) Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1317-0 (In Press)

Kristiansen, N.I., Stohl, A., Prata, F.J., Bukowiecki, N., Dacre, H., Eckhardt, S., Henne, S., Hort, B., Johnson, B.T., Marenco, F., Neininger, B., Reitebuch, O., Seibert, P., Thomson, D.J., Webster, H.N. and Weinzierl, B. (2012) Performance assessment of a volcanic ash transport model mini-ensemble used for inverse modeling of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117. D00U11. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016844

Kuhlbrodt, T. and Gregory, J. (2012) Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18608. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052952

Kuhlbrodt, T., Smith, R. S., Wang, Z. and Gregory, J. M. (2012) The influence of eddy parameterizations on the transport of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in coupled climate models. Ocean Modelling, 52-53. pp. 1-8. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.04.006

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Li, C., Lu, R. and Dong, B. (2012) Predictability of the western North Pacific summer climate demonstrated by the coupled models of ENSEMBLES. Climate Dynamics, 39 (1-2). pp. 329-346. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1274-z

Liu, C. and Allan, R. (2012) Multi-satellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D03101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016568

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. and Huffman, G. J. (2012) Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L13803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052093

Liu, Y., Wu, G., Hong, J., Dong, B., Duan, A., Bao, Q. and Zhou, L. (2012) Revisiting Asian monsoon formation and change associated with Tibetan Plateau forcing: II. Change. Climate Dynamics, 39 (5). pp. 1183-1195. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1335-y

Livingstone, S. J., Evans, D. J.A., Ó Cofaigh, C., Davies, B. J., Merritt, J. W., Huddart, D., Mitchell, W. A., Roberts, D. H. and Yorke, L. (2012) Glaciodynamics of the central sector of the last British–Irish ice sheet in Northern England. Earth-Science Reviews, 111 (1-2). pp. 25-55. ISSN 0012-8252 doi: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2011.12.006

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E. and Weller, H. (2012) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Part III: the shortwave flux feedback. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4275-4293. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00178.1

Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2012) A spatio-temporal structure-based approach to drought characterisation. International Journal of Climatology, 32 (3). pp. 406-418. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2280

Lockwood, M. (2012) Solar influence on global and regional climates. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (3-4). pp. 503-534. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9181-3

Lockwood, M., Owens, M., Barnard, L., Davis, C. and Thomas, S. (2012) Solar cycle 24: what is the sun up to? Astronomy and Geophysics, 53 (3). 3.09-3.15. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: 10.1111/j.1468-4004.2012.53309.x

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Loridan, T. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2012) Characterization of energy flux partitioning in urban environments: links with surface seasonal properties. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 51 (2). pp. 219-241. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-11-038.1

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Lossow, S., McLandress, C. and Shepherd, T. G. (2012) Influence of the Antarctic ozone hole on the polar mesopause region as simulated by the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 74. pp. 111-123. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2011.10.010

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Lugaz, N., Kintner, P., Möstl, C., Jian, L. K., Davis, C. J. and Farrugia, C. J. (2012) Heliospheric Observations of STEREO-Directed Coronal Mass Ejections in 2008 – 2010: Lessons for Future Observations of Earth-Directed CMEs. Solar Physics, 279 (2). pp. 497-515. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: 10.1007/s11207-012-0007-8

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Marshak, A., Knyazikhin, Y., Chiu, C. and Wiscombe, W. J. (2012) On spectral invariance of single scattering albedo for water droplets and ice crystals at weakly absorbing wavelengths. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy & Radiative Transfer, 113 (9). pp. 715-720. ISSN 0022-4073 doi: 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2012.02.021

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Maycock, A.C. and Shine, K.P. (2012) Stratospheric water vapor and climate: sensitivity to the representation in radiation codes. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117. D13102. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2012JD017484

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McLandress, C., Shepherd, T. G., Polavarapu, S. and Beagley, S. R. (2012) Is missing orographic gravity wave drag near 60°S the cause of the stratospheric zonal wind biases in chemistry–climate models? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (3). pp. 802-818. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0159.1

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Migliorini, S. (2012) On the equivalence between radiance and retrieval assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (1). pp. 258-265. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-10-05047.1

Mitchell, D. M., Osprey, S. M., Gray, L. J., Butchart, N., Hardiman, S. C., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Watson, P. (2012) The effect of climate change on the variability of the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (8). pp. 2608-2618. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-021.1

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Nicoll, K.A. (2012) Measurements of atmospheric electricity aloft. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (5). pp. 991-1057. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9188-9

Nyeki, S., Halios, C., Baum, W., Eleftheriadis, K., Flentje, H., Gröbner, J., Vuilleumier, L. and Wehrli, C. (2012) Ground-based aerosol optical depth trends at three high-altitude sites in Switzerland and Southern Germany from 1995–2010. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D18202. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JD017493

Owens, M. and Lockwood, M. (2012) Cyclic loss of open solar flux since 1868: the link to heliospheric current sheet tilt and implications for the Maunder Minimum. Journal of Geophysical Research - Space Physics, 117 (A4). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JA017193

Owens, M., Démoulin, P., Savani, N. P., Lavraud, B. and Ruffenach, A. (2012) Implications of non-cylindrical flux ropes for magnetic cloud reconstruction techniques and the interpretation of double flux rope events. Solar Physics. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: 10.1007/s11207-012-9939-2 (In Press)

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O’Gorman, P. A., Allan, R. P., Byrne, M. P. and Previdi, M. (2012) Energetic constraints on precipitation under climate change. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (3-4). pp. 585-608. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9159-6

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Payne, B. and Methven, J. (2012) The role of baroclinic waves in the initiation of tropical cyclones across the southern Indian Ocean. Atmospheric Science Letters, 13 (2). pp. 88-94. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.369

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Ptashnik, I. V., McPheat, R. A., Shine, K. P., Smith, K. M. and Williams, R.G. (2012) Water vapour foreign-continuum absorption in near-infrared windows from laboratory measurements. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 370 (1968). pp. 2557-2577. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0218

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Pulido, M., Polavarapu, S., Shepherd, T.G. and Thuburn, J. (2012) Estimation of optimal gravity wave parameters for climate models using data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (663). pp. 298-309. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.932 (Part B)

Rae, I. J., Watt, C. E. J., Murphy, K. R., Frey, H. U., Ozeke, L. G., Milling, D. K. and Mann, I. R. (2012) The correlation of ULF waves and auroral intensity before, during and after substorm expansion phase onset. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (A8). A08213. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JA017534

Robson, J., Sutton, R., Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Robson, J.I., Sutton, R.T. and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL053370

Rodger, C. J., Clilverd, M. A., Kavanagh, A. J., Watt, C. E. J., Verronen, P. T. and Raita, T. (2012) Contrasting the responses of three different ground-based instruments to energetic electron precipitation. Radio Science, 47 (2). RS2021. ISSN 1944–799x doi: 10.1029/2011RS004971

Rudd, A., Robins, A. G., Lepley, J. J. and Belcher, S. (2012) An inverse method for determining source characteristics for emergency response applications. Boundary-Layer Meteorology. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-012-9712-y (In Press)

Rudd, A.C., Roulstone, I. and Eyre, J. R. (2012) A simple column model to explore anticipated problems in variational assimilation of satellite observations. Environmental Modelling & Software, 27-28. pp. 23-39. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.10.001

Ruffenach, A., Lavraud, B., Owens, M. J., Sauvaud, J.-A., Savani, N. P., Rouillard, A. P., Démoulin, P., Foullon, C., Opitz, A., Fedorov, A., Jacquey, C. J., Génot, V., Louarn, P., Luhmann, J. G., Russell, C. T., Farrugia, C. J. and Galvin, A. B. (2012) Multispacecraft observation of magnetic cloud erosion by magnetic reconnection during propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research - Space Physics, 117 (A9). A09101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JA017624

Rycroft, M. J. and Harrison, R. G. (2012) Electromagnetic atmosphere-plasma coupling: the global atmospheric electric circuit. Space Science Reviews, 168 (1). pp. 363-384. ISSN 0038-6308 doi: 10.1007/s11214-011-9830-8

Rycroft, M. J., Nicoll, K. A., Aplin, K. L. and Harrison, R. G. (2012) Recent advances in global electric circuit coupling between the space environment and the troposphere. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 90-91. pp. 198-211. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2012.03.015

Sanchez-Lugo, A., Kennedy, J.J. and Berrisford, P. (2012) [Global climate] Surface temperature [in "State of the Climate in 2011"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (7). S14-S16. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (Supplement)

Santer, B. D., Painter, J. F. , Mears, C. A., Doutriaux, C., Caldwell, P., Arblaster, J. M., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Gillett, N. P., Gleckler, P. J., Lanzante, J., Perlwitz, J., Solomon, S., Stott, P. A., Taylor, K. E., Terray, L., Thorne, P. W., Wehner, M. F., Wentz, F. J., Wigley, T. M. L. , Wilcox, L. J. and Zou, C.-Z. (2012) Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110 (1). pp. 26-33. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1210514109

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Saulière, J., Brayshaw, D. J., Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2012) Further investigation of the impact of idealised continents and SST distributions on the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (3). pp. 840-856. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0113.1

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Scaife, A. A., Spangehi, T., Cubasch, U., Langematz, U., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S. C., Michou, M., Rozanov, E. and Shepherd, T. G. (2012) Climate change projections and stratosphere–troposphere interaction. Climate Dynamics, 38 (9-10). pp. 2089-2097. ISSN 0930-7575

Scholze, M., Allen, I., Collins, B., Cornell, S. E., Huntingford, C., Joshi, M., Lowe, J., Smith, R. and Wild, O. (2012) Earth system models: a tool to understand changes in the Earth system. In: Cornell, S.E., Prentice, I.C. and House, J.I. (eds.) Understanding the Earth system: global change science for application. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 129-159. ISBN 9781107009363

Shaon, A., Callaghan, S., Lawrence, B. N., Matthews, B., Osborn, T., Harpham, C. and Woolf, A. (2012) Opening up climate research: A linked data approach to publishing data provenance. International Journal of Digital Curation, 7 (1). pp. 163-173. ISSN 1746-8256 doi: 10.2218/ijdc.v7i1.223

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Shine, K. P., Ptashnik, I. V. and Radel, G. (2012) The water vapour continuum: brief history and recent developments. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (3-4). pp. 535-555. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9170-y

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Simelton, E., Fraser, E. D. G., Termansen, M., Benton, T. G., Gosling, S. N., South, A., Arnell, N. W., Challinor, A. J., Dougill, A. J. and Forster, P. M. (2012) The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought. Food Security, 4 (2). pp. 163-179. ISSN 1876-4517 doi: 10.1007/s12571-012-0173-4

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Barnard, L. and Lockwood, M. (2011) A survey of gradual solar energetic particle events. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. A05103. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: 10.1029/2010JA016133

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Black, E. (2011) Connecting climate and hydrological models for impacts studies. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 63-68. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Black, S. and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

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Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) Migration and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S1-S2. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.005

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S3-S11. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001

Boess, C., Lawless, A. S., Nichols, N. K. and Bunse-Gerstner, A. (2011) State estimation using model order reduction for unstable systems. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 155-160. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.033

Bohnenstengel, S., Schlüenzen, K.H. and Beyrich, F. (2011) Representativity of in situ precipitation measurements - a case study for the LITFASS area in North-Eastern Germany. Journal of Hydrology, 400 (3-4). pp. 387-395. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.01.052

Bohnenstengel, S. I., Evans, S., Clark, P. A. and Belcher, S. E. (2011) Simulations of the London urban heat island. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (659). pp. 1625-1640. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.855

Boutle, I. A., Belcher, S. E. and Plant, R. S. (2011) Moisture transport in mid-latitude cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (655). pp. 360-373. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.783

Bouttes, N., Paillard, D., Roche, D. M., Brovkin, V. and Bopp, L. (2011) Last Glacial Maximum CO2 and δ13C successfully reconciled. Geophysical Research Letters. L02705. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL044499

Branford, S., Coceal, O., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. (2011) Dispersion of a point-source release of a passive scalar through an urban-like array for different wind directions. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 139 (3). pp. 367-394. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-011-9589-1

Brayshaw, D., Black, E., Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D., Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2011) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part II: Sea surface temperatures. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (8). pp. 1784-1805. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3674.1

Brayshaw, D. J., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Smith, S. J. (2011) Changes in the Mediterranean climate during the Holocene: insights from global and regional climate modelling. Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 15-31. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610377528

Brayshaw, D. J., Troccoli, A., Fordham, R. and Methven, J. (2011) The impact of large scale atmospheric circulation patterns on wind power generation and its potential predictability: a case study over the UK. Renewable Energy, 36 (8). pp. 2087-2096. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.025

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Broecker, J. and Kantz, H. (2011) The concept of exchangeability in ensemble forecasting. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (1). pp. 1-5. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-18-1-2011

Brown, J. N., Fedorov, A. V. and Guilyardi, E. (2011) How well do coupled models replicate ocean energetics relevant to ENSO? Climate Dynamics, 36 (11-12). pp. 2147-2158. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0926-8

Bröcker, J., Siegert, S. and Kantz, H. (2011) Comment on ``Conditional Exceedance Probabilities''. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (10). pp. 3322-3324. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2011MWR3658.1

Budd, C.J., Freitag, M.A. and Nichols, N. (2011) Regularization techniques for ill-posed inverse problems in data assimilation. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 168-173. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.10.002

Bulgin, C. E., Palmer, P. I., Merchant, C. J., Siddans, R., Gonzi, S., Poulsen, C. A., Thomas, G. E., Sayer, A. M., Carboni, E., Granger, R. G., Highwood, E. and Ryder, C. L. (2011) Quantifying the response of the ORAC aerosol optical depth retrieval for MSG SEVIRI to aerosol model assumptions. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116 (D5). D05208. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014483

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Catto, J. L., Shaffrey, L. C. and Hodges, K. I. (2011) Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones in a warming climate in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Journal of Climate, 24 (20). pp. 5336-5352. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4181.1

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. (2011) Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England - an assessment of draft Water Resources Management Plans. Global Environmental Change, 21 (1). pp. 238-248. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.012

Charlton-Perez, A. and Dacre, H. (2011) Lewis Fry Richardson's forecast factory - for real. Weather, 66 (2). pp. 52-54. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.670

Chen, F., Kusaka, H., Bornstein, R., Ching, J., Grimmond, C.S.B., Grossman-Clarke, S., Loridan, T., Manning, K. W., Martilli, A., Miao, S., Sailor, D., Salamanca, F. P., Taha, H., Tewari, M., Wang, X., Wyszogrodzki, A. A. and Zhang, C. (2011) The integrated WRF/urban modelling system: development, evaluation, and applications to urban environmental problems. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (2). pp. 273-288. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2158

Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M., White, N. J., Platten, S. M. and Mitrovica, J. X. (2011) Understanding and projecting sea level change. Oceanography, 24 (2). pp. 130-143. ISSN 1042-8275

Church, J. A., White, N. J., Konikow, L. F., Domingues, C. M., Cogley, J. G., Rignot, E., Gregory, J. M., Van den Broeke, M. R., Monaghan, A. J. and Velicogna, I. (2011) Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophysical Research Letters, 38. L18601. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL048794

Cionni, I., Eyring, V., Lamarque, J.F., Randel, W.J., Stevenson, D.S., Wu, F., Bodeker, G.E., Shepherd, T.G., Shindell, D.T. and Waugh, D.W. (2011) Ozone database in support of CMIP5 simulations: results and corresponding radiative forcing. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (21). pp. 11267-11292. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-11267-2011

Cleugh, H. and Grimmond, S. (2011) Urban climates and global climate change. In: Henderson-Sellers, A. and McGuffie, K. (eds.) The future of the world's climate. 2nd edition. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 47-76. ISBN 9781283347952 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00003-8

Collins, B., Bellouin, N., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Gedney, N., Halloran, P., Hinton, T., Hughes, J., Jones, C. D., Joshi, M., Liddicoat, S., Martin, G., O'Connor, F., Rae, J., Senior, C., Sitch, S., Totterdell, I., Wiltshire, A. and Woodward, S. (2011) Development and evaluation of an Earth-System model – HadGEM2. Geoscientific Model Development, 4 (4). pp. 1051-1075. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-1051-2011

Cook, P. A. and Roscoe, H. K. (2011) Changes in reactive stratospheric gases due to a change in Brewer–Dobson circulation: results from a simple model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 13 (1). pp. 49-54. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.362

Crawford, B., Grimmond, C. S. B. and Christen, A. (2011) Five years of carbon dioxide fluxes measurements in a highly vegetated suburban area. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (4). pp. 896-905. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.11.017

Crooker, N. U. and Owens, M. J. (2011) Interchange reconnection: remote sensing of solar signature and role in heliospheric magnetic flux budget. Space Science Reviews, 172 (1-4). pp. 201-208. ISSN 1572-9672 doi: 10.1007/s11214-011-9748-1

Crosier, J., Bower, K. N., Choularton, T. W., Westbrook, C. D., Connolly, P. J., Cui, Z. Q., Crawford, I. P., Capes, G. L., Coe, H., Dorsey, J. R., Williams, P. I., Illingworth, A. J., Gallagher, M. W. and Blyth, A. M. (2011) Observations of ice multiplication in a weakly convective cell embedded in supercooled mid-level stratus. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (1). pp. 257-273. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-257-2011

Dacre, H. F. (2011) A new method for evaluating regional air quality forecasts. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (4). pp. 993-1002. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.10.048

Dacre, H. F., Grant, A. L. M., Hogan, R. J., Belcher, S. E., Thomson, D. J., Devenish, B. J., Marenco, F., Hort, M. C., Haywood, J. M., Ansmann, A., Mattis, I. and Clarisse, L. (2011) Evaluating the structure and magnitude of the ash plume during the initial phase of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption using lidar observations and NAME simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D00U03. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD015608

Davies, B. J., Roberts, D. H., Bridgland, D. R., Cofaigh, C. Ó. and Riding, J. B. (2011) Provenance and depositional environments of Quaternary sediments from the western North Sea Basin. Journal of Quaternary Science, 26 (1). pp. 59-75. ISSN 0267-8179 doi: 10.1002/jqs.1426

Davies, L., Bell, J. N. B., Bone, J., Head, M., Hill, L., Howard, C., Hobbs, S. J., Jones, D. T., Power, S. A., Rose, N., Ryder, C., Seed, L., Stevens, G., Toumi, R., Voulvoulis, N. and White, P. C. L. (2011) Open Air Laboratories (OPAL): a community-driven research programme. Environmental Pollution, 159 (8-9). pp. 2203-2210. ISSN 0269-7491 doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2011.02.053

Davis, C. J., Davies, J. A., St Cyr, O. C., Campbell-Brown, M., Skelt, A., Kaiser, M., Meyer-Vernet, N., Crothers, S., Lintott, C., Smith, A., Bamford, S. and Baeten, E. M. L. (2011) The distribution of interplanetary dust between 0.96 and 1.04 au as inferred from impacts on the STEREO spacecraft observed by the heliospheric imagers. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 420 (2). pp. 1355-1366. ISSN 0035-8711 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2966.2011.20125.x

Davis, C. J., de Koning, C. A., Davies, J. A., Biesecker, D., Millward, G., Dryer, M., Deehr, C., Webb, D. F., Schenk, K., Freeland, S. L., Möstl, C., Farrugia, C. J. and Odstrcil, D. (2011) A comparison of space weather analysis techniques used to predict the arrival of the Earth-directed CME and its shockwave launched on 8 April 2010. Space Weather, 9 (1). S01005. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1029/2010SW000620

Day, J. (2011) The impact of 21st century Arctic sea ice decline on the climate and mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet and Svalbard’s glaciers and ice caps. PhD thesis, University of Bristol.

De Kauwe, M., Disney, M., Quaife, T., Lewis, P. and Williams, M. (2011) An assessment of the MODIS collection 5 leaf area index product for a region of mixed coniferous forest. Remote Sensing of Environment, 115 (2). pp. 767-780. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.11.004

De Tero, G., Toniazzo, T. and Shaffrey, L. (2011) Ethiopian rainfall in climate models. In: Williams , C. J. R. and Kniveton , D. R. (eds.) African climate and climate change: physical, social and political perspective. Advances in Global Change Research (43). Springer, pp. 51-70. ISBN 9789048138418

Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A. C. M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A. J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S. B., Hersbach, H., Hólm, E. V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A. P., Monge-Sanz, B. M., Morcrette, J.-J., Park, B.-K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J.-N. and Vitart, F. (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (656). pp. 553-597. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.828 (Part A)

Dee, D., Berrisford, P., Bosilovich, M. G., Chelliah, M., Compo, G., Ebita, A., Jones, P. D., Kobayashi, S., Kumar, A., Rutledge, G., Saha, S., Sato, H., Simmons, A., Smith, C. and Vose, R. (2011) [Temperature] The use of reanalysis data for monitoring the state of the climate [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S34-S35. ISSN 1520-0477

Delanoe, J., Hogan, R., Forbes, R. M., Bodas-Salcedo, A. and Stein, T. H. M. (2011) Evaluation of ice cloud representation in the ECMWF and UK Met Office models using CloudSat and CALIPSO data. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (661). pp. 2064-2078. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.882

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 121-131. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 103-119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T. and Woollings, T. (2011) Changes of interannual NAO variability in response to greenhouse gases forcing. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1621-1641. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0936-6

Dragoni, D., Schmid, H. P., Wayson, C. A., Potter, H., Grimmond, C.S. B. and Randolph, J. C. (2011) Evidence of increased net ecosystem productivity associated with a longer vegetated season in a deciduous forest in south-central Indiana, USA. Global Change Biology, 17 (2). pp. 886-897. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02281.x

Drew, D. (2011) Analysis tools for urban wind turbines. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Dunlop, M. W., Zhang, Q.-H., Bogdanova, Y. V., Lockwood, M., Pu, Z., Hasegawa, H., Wang, J., Taylor, M. G. G. T., Berchem, J., Lavraud, B., Eastwood, J., Volwerk, M., Shen, C., Shi, J.-K., Constantinescu, D., Frey, H., Fazakerley, A., Sibeck, D., Escoubet, P., Wild, J. A. and Liu, Z.-X. (2011) Extended magnetic reconnection across the dayside magnetopause. Physical Review Letters, 107 (2). 025004. ISSN 0031-9007 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.107.025004

Ebell, K., Crewell, S., Löhnert, U., Turner, D. D. and O'Connor, E. J. (2011) Cloud statistics and cloud radiative effect for a low-mountain site. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (S1). pp. 306-324. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.748

Egea, G., Verhoef, A. and Vidale, P. L. (2011) Towards an improved and more flexible representation of water stress in coupled photosynthesis–stomatal conductance models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (10). pp. 1370-1384. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.05.019

Ferrari, R. and Ferreira, D. (2011) What processes drive the ocean heat transport? Ocean Modelling, 38 (3-4). pp. 171-186. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2011.02.013

Ferraro, A.J., Highwood, E.J. and Charlton-Perez, A.J. (2011) Stratospheric heating by potential geoengineering aerosols. Geophysical Research Letters, 34. L24706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049761

Ferreira, D., Marshall, J. and Rose, B. (2011) Climate determinism revisited: multiple equilibria in a complex climate model. Journal of Climate, 24 (4). pp. 992-1012. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3580.1

Frame, T. H. A., Ambaum, M. H. P., Gray, S. L. J. and Methven, J. (2011) Ensemble prediction of transitions of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1288-1297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.829

Froelich, N.J., Grimmond, C.S.B. and Schmid, H.P. (2011) Nocturnal cooling below a forest canopy: Model and evaluation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (7). pp. 957-968. ISSN 01681923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.02.015

Gettelman, A., Hoor, P., Pan, L. L., Randel, W. J., Hegglin, M. I. and Birner, T. (2011) The extratropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Reviews of Geophysics, 49 (3). RG3003. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1029/2011RG000355

Glasser, N.F., Scambos, T.A., Bohlander, J., Truffer, M., Pettit, E. and Davies, B. J. (2011) From ice-shelf tributary to tidewater glacier: continued rapid recession, acceleration and thinning of Röhss Glacier following the 1995 collapse of the Prince Gustav Ice Shelf, Antarctic Peninsula. Journal of Glaciology, 57 (203). pp. 397-406. ISSN 0022-1430 doi: 10.3189/002214311796905578

Gosling, S., Taylor, R. G., Arnell, N. and Todd, M. C. (2011) A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (1). pp. 279-294. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-15-279-2011

Grant, A. L. M. and Belcher, S. (2011) Wind-driven mixing below the oceanic mixed layer. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 41 (8). pp. 1556-1575. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-10-05020.1

Gray, S. L., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Baker, L. H. and Clark, P. A. (2011) Conditional symmetric instability in sting-jet storms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (659). pp. 1482-1500. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.859

Gregory, J. M. and Tailleux, R. (2011) Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO2-forced climate change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (5-6). pp. 893-914. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0847-6

Gregory, J. M. and Tailleux, R. (2011) Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO2-forced climate change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (5-6). pp. 893-914. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0847-6

Grimmond, C. S. B., Blackett, M., Best, M. J., Baik, J. J., Belcher, S. E., Beringer, J., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Calmet, I., Chen, F., Coutts, A., Dandou, A., Fortuniak, K., Gouvea, M. L., Hamdi, R., Hendry, M., Kanda, M., Kawai, T., Kawamoto, Y., Kondo, H., Krayenhoff, E. S., Lee, S. H., Loridan, T., Martilli, A., Masson, V., Miao, S., Oleson, K., Ooka, R., Pigeon, G., Porson, A., Ryu, Y. H., Salamanca, F., Steeneveld, G. J., Tombrou, M., Voogt, J. A., Young, D.T. and Zhang, N. (2011) Initial results from Phase 2 of the international urban energy balance model comparison. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (2). pp. 244-272. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.2227

Guilyardi, E., Balaji, V., Callaghan, S., DeLuca, C., Devine, G., Denvil, S., Ford, R., Pascoe, C., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. N., Steenman-Clark, L. and Valcke, S. (2011) The CMIP5 model and simulation documentation: a new standard for climate modelling metadata. CLIVAR Exchanges, 56: 16 (2). pp. 42-46. ISSN 1026-0471

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. (2011) Conditioning and preconditioning of the variational data assimilation problem. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 252-256. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.025

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. (2011) Conditioning of incremental variational data assimilation, with application to the Met Office system. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (4). pp. 782-792. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2011.00527.x

Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W., Bertrand, N., Best, M., Folwell, S., Kabat, P., Koirala, S., Oki, T., Polcher, J., Stacke, T., Viterbo, P., Weedon, G. P. , Yehm, P., Gerten, D., Gomes, S., Gosling, S. N. , Hagemann, S., Hanasaki, N., Harding, R. and Heinke, J. (2011) Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: setup and first results. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12 (5). pp. 869-884. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/2011JHM1324.1

Hanappe, P., Beurivé, A., Laguzet, F., Steels, L., Bellouin, N., Boucher, O., Yamazaki, Y. H., Aina, T. and Allen, M. (2011) FAMOUS, faster: using parallel computing techniques to accelerate the FAMOUS/HadCM3 climate model with a focus on the radiative transfer algorithm. Geoscientific Model Development, 4 (3). pp. 835-844. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-835-2011

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Lindberg, F. and Grimmond, C.S.B. (2011) Nature of vegetation and building morphology characteristics across a city: influence on shadow patterns and mean radiant temperatures in London. Urban Ecosystems, 14 (4). pp. 617-634. ISSN 1083-8155 doi: 10.1007/s11252-011-0184-5

Lindberg, F. and Grimmond, C.S.B. (2011) The influence of vegetation and building morphology on shadow patterns and mean radiant temperatures in urban areas: model development and evaluation. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 105 (3-4). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-010-0382-8

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Lockwood, M. (2011) Solar physics: shining a light on solar impacts. Nature Climate Change, 1 (2). pp. 98-99. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate1096

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Loridan, T., Grimmond, C.S.B., Offerle, B. D., Young, D. T., Smith, T. E. L., Järvi, L. and Lindberg, F. (2011) Local-scale urban meteorological parameterization scheme (LUMPS): longwave radiation parameterization and seasonality-related developments. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 50 (1). pp. 185-202. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: 10.1175/2010JAMC2474.1

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Zahn, M. and Allan, R. (2011) Changes in water vapor transports of the ascending branch of the tropical circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D18111. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016206

Zappa, G., Lucarini, V. and Navarra, A. (2011) Baroclinic stationary waves in aquaplanet models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (5). pp. 1023-1040. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3573.1

Zhang, Q.-H., Dunlop, M. W., Lockwood, M., Holme, R., Kamide, Y., Baumjohann, W., Liu, R.-Y., Yang, H.-G., Woodfield, E. E., Hu, H.-Q., Zhang, B.-C. and Liu, S.-L. (2011) The distribution of the ring current: Cluster observations. Annales Geophysicae, 29 (9). pp. 1655-1662. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: 10.5194/angeo-29-1655-2011

Zhang, Q.-H., Zhang, B.-C., Liu, R.-Y., Dunlop, M. W., Lockwood, M., Moen, J., Yang, H.-G., Hu, H.-Q., Hu, Z.-J., Liu, S.-L., McCrea, I. W. and Lester, M. (2011) On the importance of interplanetary magnetic field (By)on polar cap patch formation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. A05308. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: 10.1029/2010JA016287

van Leeuwen, P. (2011) Efficient non-linear data assimilation in geophysical fluid dynamics. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 52-58. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.011

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N., Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2011) The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 575-591. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003

2010

Allan, R. P. and Liepert, B. G. (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201

Allan, R. P., Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W. and Good, P. (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025205. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205

Allen, J. R.M., Hickler, T., Singarayer, J. S., Sykes, M. T., Valdes, P. J. and Huntley, B. (2010) Last glacial vegetation of northern Eurasia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (19-20). pp. 2604-2618. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.05.031 (Special Theme: Case Studies of Neodymium Isotopes in Paleoceanography)

Allen, L., Lindberg, F. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2010) Global to city scale urban anthropogenic heat flux: model and variability. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (13). pp. 1990-2005. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.2210

Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L., Marshall, D. P. and Munday, D. R. (2010) Where do winds drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L12605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL043355

Alpin, K.L. and Harrison, R.G. (2010) Compact cosmic ray detector for unattended atmospheric ionisation monitoring. Review of Scientific Instruments, 81 (12). 124501. ISSN 0034-6748 doi: 10.1063/1.3514986

Ambaum, M. H. P. (2010) Significance tests in climate science. Journal of Climate, 23 (22). pp. 5927-5932. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010jcli3746.1

Ambaum, M. H. P. (2010) Thermal physics of the atmosphere. Advancing Weather and Climate Science. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, pp240.

Andrade, C., Santos, J. A., Pinto, J. G., Corte-Real, J. and Leite, S. (2010) The Empirical Forcing Function as a tool for the diagnosis of large-scale atmospheric anomalies. Annales Geophysicae, 28 (1). pp. 75-87. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: 10.5194/angeo-28-75-2010

Andrews, T., Forster, P. M., Boucher, O., Bellouin, N. and Jones, A. (2010) Precipitation, radiative forcing and global temperature change. Geophysical Research Letters, 37 (14). L14701. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL043991

Andrés-Hernández, M.D., Stone, D., Brookes, D. M., Commane, R., Reeves, C. E., Huntrieser, H., Heard, D. E., Monks, P. S., Burrows, J. P., Schlager, H., Kartal, D., Evans, M. J., Floquet, C. F. A., Ingham, T., Methven, J. and Parker, A. E. (2010) Peroxy radical partitioning during the AMMA radical intercomparison exercise. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (21). pp. 10621-10638. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-10621-2010

Anstey, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. and Scinocca, J. F. (2010) Influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the extratropical winter stratosphere in an atmospheric general circulation model and in reanalysis data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (5). pp. 1402-1419. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3292.1

Arnell, N. W. (2010) Adapting to climate change: an evolving research programme. Climatic Change, 100 (1). pp. 107-111. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9839-0

Athanasiadis, P. J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2010) Do High-Frequency Eddies Contribute to Low-Frequency Teleconnection Tendencies?*. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (2). pp. 419-433. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: DOI:10.1175/2009jas3153.1

Austin, J., Scinocca, J., Plummer, D., Oman, L., Waugh, D., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Braesicke, D., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M., Cugnet, D., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Frith, S., Garcia, R. R., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S. C., Kinnison, D., Larmarque, J. F., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Teyssèdre, H., Wilson, R. J. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Decline and recovery of total column ozone using a multimodel time series analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M10. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD013857

Austin, J., Struthers, H., Scinocca, J., Plummer, D. A., Akiyoshi, H., Baumgaertner, A. J. G., Bekki, S., Bodeker, G. E., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Cugnet, D., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S. C., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D., Kubin, A., Lamarque, J. F., Langematz, U., Mancini, E., Marchland, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Nielsen, J. E., Pitari, G., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Chemistry‐climate model simulations of spring Antarctic ozone. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M11. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD013577

Bailey, E., Feltham, D. L. and Sammonds, P. R. (2010) A model for the consolidation of rafted sea ice. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (C4). C04015. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2008JC005103

Baker, A. , Asrat, A., Fairchild, I., Leng, M., Thomas, L. , Widmann, M., Jex, C. , Dong, B., Calsteren, P. v. and Bryant, C. (2010) Decadal-scale rainfall variability in Ethiopia recorded in an annually laminated, Holocene-age, stalagmite. Holocene, 20 (6). pp. 827-836. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610365934

Baklanov, A., Lawrence, M., Pandis, S., Mahura, A., Finardi, S., Moussiopoulos, N., Beekmann, M., Laj, P., Gomes, L., Jaffrezo, J.-L., Borbon, A., Coll, I., Gros, V., Sciare, J., Kukkonen, J., Galmarini, S., Giorgi, F., Grimmond, S., Esau, I., Stohl, A., Denby, B., Wagner, T., Butler, T., Baltensperger, U., Builtjes, P., van den Hout, D., van der Gon, H. D., Collins, B., Schluenzen, H., Kulmala, M., Zilitinkevich, S., Sokhi, R., Friedrich, R., Theloke, J., Kummer, U., Jalkinen, L., Halenka, T., Wiedensholer, A., Pyle, J. and Rossow, W. B. (2010) MEGAPOLI: concept of multi-scale modelling of megacity impact on air quality and climate. Advances in Science and Research, 4. pp. 115-120. ISSN 1992-0636 doi: 10.5194/asr-4-115-2010

Balkanski, Y., Myhre, G., Gauss, M., Radel, G., Highwood, E. J. and Shine, K. P. (2010) Direct radiative effect of aerosols emitted by transport from road, shipping and aviation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10. pp. 4477-4489. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-4477-2010

Balogun, A. A., Tomlin, A. S., Wood, C. R., Barlow, J. F., Belcher, S. E., Smalley, R. J., Lingard, J. J. N., Arnold, S. J., Dobre, A., Robins, A. G., Martin, D. and Shallcross, D. E. (2010) In-street wind direction variability in the vicinity of a busy intersection in central London. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 136 (3). pp. 489-513. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-010-9515-y

Battaglia, A., Tanelli , S., Kobayashi , S., Zrnic , D., Hogan, R. J. and Simmer, C. (2010) Multiple-scattering in radar systems: a review. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy & Radiative Transfer, 111 (6). pp. 917-947. ISSN 0022-4073 doi: 10.1016/j.jqsrt.2009.11.024

Baum, A., Scully, P. J., Perrie, W., Liu, D. and Lucarini, V. (2010) Mechanisms of femtosecond laser-induced refractive index modification of poly(methyl methacrylate). Journal of the Optical Society of America B-Optical Physics, 27 (1). 107-111 . ISSN 0030-3941 doi: 10.1364/JOSAB.27.000107

Bekki, S., Bodeker, G. E., Bais, A. F., Butchart, N., Eyring, V., Fahey, D. W., Kinnison, D. E., Langematz, U., Mayer, B., Portmann, R. W., Rozanov, E., Braesicke, P., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Chubarova, N. E., Cionni, I., Diaz , S. B., Gillett, N. P., Giorgetta, M. A., Komala, N., Lefevre, F., McLandress, C., Perlwitz, J., Peter, T. and Shibata, K., (2010) Report of the 2010 assessment of the scientific assessment panel: future ozone and its impact on surface UV. Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project. 52. Report. World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland. pp516.

Bengtsson, L. (2010) Aksel Wiin-Nielsen (1924–2010). EOS transactions, 91 (43). pp. 395-396. ISSN 0096-3941 doi: 10.1029/2010EO430006

Bengtsson, L. (2010) The global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025202. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025202

Betts, A. K. and Chiu, J. C. (2010) Idealized model for changes in equilibrium temperature, mixed layer depth, and boundary layer cloud over land in a doubled CO2 climate. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D19). D19108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD012888

Bisi, M. M., Breen, A. R., Jackson, B. V., Fallows, R. A., Walsh, A. P., Mikić, Z., Riley, P., Owen, C. J., Gonzalez-Esparza, A., Aguilar-Rodriguez, E., Morgan, H., Jensen, E. A., Wood, A. G., Owens, M. J., Tokumaru, M., Manoharan, P. K., Chashei, I. V., Giunta, A. S., Linker, J. A., Shishov, V. I., Tyul’bashev, S. A., Agalya, G., Glubokova, S. K., Hamilton, M. S., Fujiki, K., Hick, P. P., Clover, J. M. and Pintér, B. (2010) From the sun to the Earth: The 13 May 2005 coronal mass ejection. Solar Physics, 265 (1-2). pp. 49-127. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: DOI:10.1007/s11207-010-9602-8

Black, E., Mithen, S., Hoskins, B. and Cornforth, R. (2010) Water and society: past, present and future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5107-5110. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0216

Bouniol, D., Protat, A., Delanoe, J. , Pelon, J., Piriou, J.-M., Bouyssel, F., Tompkins, A. M., Wilson, D. R., Morille, Y., Haeffelin, M., O'Connor, E. J., Hogan, R. J., Illingworth, A. J., Donovan, D. P. and Baltink, H.-K. (2010) Using continuous ground-based radar and lidar measurements for evaluating the representation of clouds in four operational models. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 49 (9). pp. 1971-1991. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: 10.1175/2010JAMC2333.1

Boutle, I., Beare, R.J., Belcher, S. E., Brown, A.R. and Plant, R. S. (2010) The moist boundary layer under a mid-latitude weather system. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 134 (3). pp. 367-386. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-009-9452-9

Bouttes, N., Paillard, D. and Roche, D. (2010) Impact of brine-induced stratification on the glacial carbon cycle. Climate of the Past, 6 (5). pp. 575-589. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-6-575-2010

Bravo, I., Díaz-de-Mera, Y., Aranda, A., Smith, K., Shine, K. P. and Marston, G. (2010) Atmospheric chemistry of C4F9OC2H5 (HFE-7200), C4F9OCH3 (HFE-7100), C3F7OCH3 (HFE-7000) and C3F7CH2OH: temperature dependence of the kinetics of their reactions with OH radicals, atmospheric lifetimes and global warming potentials. Physical Chemistry Chemical Physics, 12 (19). pp. 5115-5125. ISSN 1463-9076 doi: 10.1039/b923092k

Brayshaw, D. J., Hoskins, B. and Black, E. (2010) Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5185-5223. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0180

Broecker, J. (2010) On variational data assimilation in continuous time. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (652). pp. 1906-1919. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.695

Broecker, J. (2010) Regularized logistic models for probabilistic forecasting and diagnostics. Monthly Weather Review, 138 (2). pp. 592-604. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2009MWR3126.1

Brunet, G., Shapiro, M., Hoskins, B., Moncrieff, M., Dole, R., Kiladis, G. N., Kirtman, B., Lorenc, A., Mills, B., Morss, R., Polavarapu, S., Rogers, D., Schaake, J. and Shukla, J. (2010) Collaboration of the weather and climate communities to advance subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91 (10). pp. 1397-1406. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2010BAMS3013.1

Bushell, A. C., Jackson, D. R., Butchart, N., Hardiman, S. C., Hinton, T. J., Osprey, S. M. and Gray, L. J. (2010) Sensitivity of GCM tropical middle atmosphere variability and climate to ozone and parametrized gravity wave changes. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D15101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD013340

Butchart, N., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Cionni, I., Hardiman, S., Krueger, K., Kushner, P., Newman, P., Osprey, S., Perlwitz, J., Sassi, F., Sigmond, M. and Wang, L. (2010) Stratospheric dynamics. In: Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G. and Waugh, T. W. (eds.) SPARC CCMVal Report on the Evaluation of Chemistry-Climate Models. SPARC, pp. 109-148.

Butchart, N., Cionni, I., Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G., Waugh, D. W., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M. P., Cordero, E., Dameris, M., Deckery, R., Dhomse, S., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R. R., Gettelman, A., Giorgetta, M. A., Kinnison, D. E., Li, F., Mancini, E., McLandress, C., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Sassi, F., Scinocca, J. F., Shibata, K., Steil, B. and Tian, W. (2010) Chemistry–climate model simulations of twenty-first century stratospheric climate and circulation changes. Journal of Climate, 23 (20). pp. 5349-5374. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3404.1

Callaghan, S. A., Treshansky, A., Moine, M., Guilyardi, E., Alias, A., Balaji, V., Bojariu, R., Cofino, A. S., Denvil, S., Elkington, M., Ford, R., Kolaninski, M., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B., Steenman-Clark, L. and Valcke, S. (2010) The METAFOR project: preserving data through metadata standards for climate models and simulations. In: Proceedings of the 1st International Digital Preservation Interoperability Framework Symposium, April 21 - 23 2010, Dresden, Germany , 6:1-6:8.

Catto, J. L., Shaffrey, L. C. and Hodges, K. I. (2010) Can climate models capture the structure of extratropical cyclones? Journal of Climate, 23 (7). pp. 1621-1635. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3318.1

Chadwick, R., Grimes, D. I. F., Saunders, R. W. , Francis, P. N. and Blackmore, T. A. (2010) The TAMORA algorithm: satellite rainfall estimates over West Africa using multi-spectral SEVIRI data. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 25. pp. 3-9. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-25-3-2010

Chagnon, J. M. and Gray, S. L. (2010) A comparison of stratosphere-troposphere transport in convection-permitting and convection-parameterizing simulations of three mesoscale convective systems. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D24). D24318. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014421

Charlton-Perez, A. , Lahoz, W. and Swinbank, R. (2010) General concepts in meteorology and dynamics. In: Lahoz, W., Khattatov, B. and Menard, R. (eds.) Data Assimilation: Making sense of observations. Springer, pp. 325-350. ISBN 9783540747024

Charlton-Perez, A., Dacre, H., Maskell, K., Reynolds, R., South, R. and Wood, C. (2010) Meteorology and climate inspire secondary school students. School Science Review, 92 (339). pp. 75-82. ISSN 0036-6811

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Hawkins, E., Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Kinnison, D. E., Akiyoshi, H., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., Lamarque, J. F., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Yamashita, Y., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Marchand, M., Mancini, E., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shibata, K., Shepherd, T. G., Tian, W. and Waugh, D. W. (2010) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9473-9486. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010

Chen, W., Dong, B. and Lu, R. (2010) Impact of the Atlantic Ocean on the multidecadal fluctuation of El Nino–Southern Oscillation–South Asian monsoon relationship in a coupled general circulation model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D17109. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD013596

Chiu, J. C., Huang, C.-H., Marshak, A., Slutsker, I., Giles, D. M., Holben, B. N., Knyazikhin, Y. and Wiscombe, W. J. (2010) Cloud optical depth retrievals from the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) cloud mode observations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D14). D14202. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD013121

Chiu, J. C., Marshak, A., Knyazikhin, Y. and Wiscombe, W. J. (2010) Spectrally-invariant behavior of zenith radiance around cloud edges simulated by radiative transfer. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (22). pp. 11295-11303. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-11295-2010

Clifford, D. (2010) Global estimates of snow water equivalent from passive microwave instruments: history, challenges and future developments. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 31 (14). pp. 3707-3726. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: 10.1080/01431161.2010.483482

Cohen, O., Attrill, G. D. R., Schwadron, N. A., Crooker, N. U., Owens, M. J., Downs, C. and Gombosi, T. I. (2010) Numerical simulation of the 12 May 1997 CME Event: The role of magnetic reconnection. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (A10). A10104. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JA015464

Coleman, L., Varghese, S., Tripathi, O. P., Jennings, S. G. and O'Dowd, C. D. (2010) Regional-scale ozone deposition to north-east Atlantic waters. Advances in Meteorology, 2010. 243701. ISSN 1687-9309 doi: 10.1155/2010/243701

Collins, M., An, S.-I., Cai, W., Ganachaud, A., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Jochum, M., Lengaigne, M., Power, S., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G. and Wittenberg, A. (2010) The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño. Nature Geoscience, 3 (6). pp. 391-397. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: DOI:10.1038/ngeo868

Collins, W. J., Sitch, S. and Boucher, O. (2010) How vegetation impacts affect climate metrics for ozone precursors. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D23). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014187

Crooker, N. U. and Owens, M. J. (2010) Impact of coronal mass ejections, interchange reconnection, and disconnection on heliospheric magnetic field strength. In: Solar & Heliospheric Observatory 2010 (SOHO-23), 21-25 Sep 2009 , Northeast Harbor, Maine, USA, pp. 279-286.

Crooker, N. U., Appleton, E. M., Schwadron, N. A. and Owens, M.J. (2010) Suprathermal electron flux peaks at stream interfaces: Signature of solar wind dynamics or tracer for open magnetic flux transport on the Sun? Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. A11101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JA015496

Cunningham, S., Marsh, R., Wood, R., Wallace, C., Kuhlbrodt, T. and Dye, S. (2010) Atlantic Heat Conveyor (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation). In: Marine Climate Change Impacts Annual Report Card 2010-11, MCCIP Science Review. MCCIP, Lowestoft, 14 pp..

Dacre, H. F. (2010) Evaluating the ability of a numerical weather prediction model to forecast tracer concentrations during ETEX 2. Atmospheric Environment, 44 (3). pp. 294-303. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.10.039

Dall'Osto, M., Harrison, R., Highwood, E. J., O'Dowd, C., Ceburnis, D., Querol, X. and Achterberg, E. (2010) Variation of the mixing state of Saharan dust particles with atmospheric transport. Atmospheric Environment, 44 (26). 3135 -3146 . ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.05.030

Dall'Osto, M., Thorpe, A., Beddows, D. C. S., Harrison, R. M., Barlow, J. F., Dunbar, T. A., Williams, P. I. and Coe, H. (2010) Remarkable dynamics of nanoparticles in the urban atmosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 10 (12). pp. 30651-30689. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acpd-10-30651-2010

Dall’Amico , M., Stott, P. A., Scaife, A. A., Gray, L. J., Rosenlof, K. H. and Karpechko, A. Y. (2010) Impact of stratospheric variability on tropospheric climate change. Climate Dynamics, 34 (2-3). pp. 399-417. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0580-1

Dall’Amico, M., Gray, L. J., Rosenlof, K. H., Scaife, A. A., Shine, K. P. and Stott, P. A. (2010) Stratospheric temperature trends: impact of ozone variability and the QBO. Climate Dynamics, 34 (2-3). p. 381. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0604-x

Dance, S. L. and Zou, Q. P. (2010) HESS Opinions ``Ensembles, uncertainty and flood prediction''. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 7 (3). pp. 3591-3611. ISSN 1812-2116 doi: 10.5194/hessd-7-3591-2010

Davies, W. H., North, P. R.J., Grey, W. M.F. and Barnsley, M. J. (2010) Improvements in Aerosol Optical Depth Estimation Using Multiangle CHRIS/PROBA Images. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 48 (1). pp. 18-24. ISSN 0196-2892 doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2009.2027024

Davis, C. J., Kennedy, J. and Davies, J. A. (2010) Assessing the accuracy of CME speed and trajectory estimates from STEREO observations through a comparison of independent methods. Solar Physics, 263 (1-2). pp. 209-222. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: 10.1007/s11207-010-9535-2

De Vries, H., Methven, J., Frame, T. H. A. and Hoskins, B. J. (2010) Baroclinic waves with parameterized effects of moisture interpreted using Rossby wave components. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (9). pp. 2766-2784. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3410.1

Delanoe, J. and Hogan, R. J. (2010) Combined CloudSat-CALIPSO-MODIS retrievals of the properties of ice clouds. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00H29. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD012346

Donat, M. G., Leckebusch, G. C., Pinto, J. G. and Ulbrich, U. (2010) European storminess and associated circulation weather types: future changes deduced from a multi-model ensemble of GCM simulations. Climate Research, 42 (1). pp. 27-43. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr00853

Donat, M. G., Leckebusch, G. C., Pinto, J. G. and Ulbrich, U. (2010) Examination of wind storms over Central Europe with respect to circulation weather types and NAO phases. International Journal of Climatology, 30 (9). pp. 1289-1300. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1982

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Eyring, V., Isaksen, I. S.A., Berntsen, T., Collins, W. J., Corbett, J. J., Endresen, O., Grainger, R. G., Moldanova, J., Schlager, H. and Stevenson, D. S. (2010) Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: shipping. Atmospheric Environment, 44 (37). pp. 4735-4771. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.04.059

Ferreira, D., Marshall, J. and Campin, J.-M. (2010) Localization of deep water formation: role of atmospheric moisture transport and geometrical constraints on ocean circulation. Journal of Climate, 23 (6). pp. 1456-1476. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3197.1

Flocco, D., Feltham, D. and Turner, A. K. (2010) Incorporation of a physically based melt pond scheme into the sea ice component of a climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. C08012. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JC005568

Fowler, A. (2010) Assimilation of misplaced boundary layer features. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

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Harrison, R. G. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2010) Observing Forbush decreases in cloud at Shetland. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72 (18). pp. 1408-1414. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2010.09.025

Harrison, R. G. and Usoskin, I. G. (2010) Solar modulation in surface atmospheric electricity. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72 (2-3). pp. 176-182. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2009.11.006

Harrison, R. G. and Walesby, K. T. (2010) A thermally stable tension meter for atmospheric soundings using kites. Review of Scientific Instruments, 81 (7). 076104. ISSN 1089-7623 doi: 10.1063/1.3465560

Harrison, R. G., Aplin, K. and Rycroft, M. (2010) Atmospheric electricity coupling between earthquake regions and the ionosphere. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72 (5-6). 376-381 . ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2009.12.004

Harrison, R. G., Nicoll, K., Ulanowski, Z. J. and Mather, T. (2010) Self-charging of the Eyjafjallajökull volcanic ash plume. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 024004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024004

Hart, N., Reason, C.J.C. and Fauchereau, N. (2010) Tropical-extratropical interactions over Southern Africa: three cases of heavy summer season rainfall. Monthly weather review, 138 (7). pp. 2608-2623. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3070.1

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Haywood, J. M., Jones, A., Clarisse, L., Bourassa, A., Barnes, J., Telford, P., Bellouin, N., Boucher, O., Agnew, P., Clerbaux, C., Coheur, P., Degenstein, D. and Braesicke, P. (2010) Observations of the eruption of the Sarychev volcano and simulations using the HadGEM2 climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115 (D21). D21212. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014447

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Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. (2010) Case studies in interannual to decadal climate predictability. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1169-1189. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0672-y

Heymsfield, A.J. and Westbrook, C. (2010) Advancements in the estimation of ice particle fall speeds using laboratory and field measurements. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (8). pp. 2469-2482. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3379.1

Hinssen, Y. B.L. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2010) Relation between the 100 hPa heat flux and stratospheric potential vorticity. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (12). pp. 4017-4027. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010jas3569.1

Hitchcock, P., Shepherd, T. G. and Yoden, S. (2010) On the approximation of local and linear radiative damping in the middle atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (6). pp. 2070-2085. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3286.1

Hodson, D. L. R., Sutton, R. T., Cassou, C., Keenlyside, N., Okumura, Y. and Zhou, T. (2010) Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A multimodel comparison. Climate Dynamics, 34 (7-8). pp. 1041-1058. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2

Hoffmann, D. L., Beck, J. W., Richards, D. A., Smart, P. L., Singarayer, J. S., Ketchmark, T. and Hawkesworth, C. J. (2010) Towards radiocarbon calibration beyond 28ka using speleothems from the Bahamas. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 289 (1-2). pp. 1-10. ISSN 0012-821X doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2009.10.004

Hogan, R. J. (2010) The full-spectrum correlated k method for longwave atmospheric radiative transfer: treatment of gaseous overlap. In: American Meteorological Society 13th Conference on Atmospheric Radiation, 28 June - 2 July 2010, Portland, Oregon, USA. (Unpublished)

Hogan, R. J. (2010) The full-spectrum correlated-k method for longwave atmospheric radiative transfer using an effective Planck function. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (6). pp. 2086-2100. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3202.1

Hogan, R. J., Ferro, C. A. T., Jolliffe, I. T. and Stephenson, D. B. (2010) Equitability revisited: why the “equitable threat score” is not equitable. Weather and Forecasting, 25 (2). pp. 710-726. ISSN 1520-0434 doi: 10.1175/2009WAF2222350.1

Holden, P. B., Edwards, N. R., Wolff, E. W., Lang, N. J., Singarayer, J. S., Valdes, P. J. and Stocker, T. F. (2010) Interhemispheric coupling, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet and warm Antarctic interglacials. Climate of the Past, 6 (4). pp. 431-443. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: 10.5194/cp-6-431-2010

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Hoor, P. , Wernli, H. , Hegglin, M. I. and Bönisch, H. (2010) Transport timescales and tracer properties in the extratropical UTLS. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (16). pp. 7929-7944. ISSN 7929-7944 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-7929-2010

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Lawless, A. S. (2010) A note on the analysis error associated with 3D-FGAT. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (649). pp. 1094-1098. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.619

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Lewis, M. W. and Gray, S. L. (2010) Categorisation of synoptic environments associated with mesoscale convective systems over the UK. Atmospheric Research, 97 (1-2). pp. 194-213. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.04.001

Lindberg, F. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2010) Continuous sky view factor maps from high resolution urban digital elevation models. Climate Research, 42 (3). pp. 177-183. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr00882

Lockwood, M. (2010) Solar change and climate: an update in the light of the current exceptional solar minimum. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 466 (2114). pp. 303-329. ISSN 1364-5021 doi: 10.1098/rspa.2009.0519

Lockwood, M. (2010) Solar induced climate effects. In: Meyers, R. A. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology. Springer. ISBN 9780387894690 (In Press)

Lockwood, M., Bell, C., Woollings, T., Harrison, R. G., Gray, L. J. and Haigh, J. D. (2010) Top-down solar modulation of climate: evidence for centennial-scale change. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (3). 034008. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034008

Lockwood, M., Harrison, R. G., Woollings, T. J. and Solanki, S. K. (2010) Are cold winters in Europe associated with low solar activity? Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 024001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024001

Loridan, T., Grimmond, C. S. B., Grossman-Clarke, S., Chen, F., Tewari, M., Manning, K., Martilli, A., Kusaka, H. and Best, M. (2010) Trade-offs and responsiveness of the single-layer urban canopy parametrization in WRF: an offline evaluation using the MOSCEM optimization algorithm and field observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (649). pp. 997-1019. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.614

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