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2015

Abraham, S., Bartlett, R., Standage, M., Black, A., Charlton-Perez, A. and McCloy, R. (2015) Do location specific forecasts pose a new challenge for communicating uncertainty? Meteorological Applications, 22 (3). pp. 554-562. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1487

Ades, M. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2015) The effect of the equivalent-weights particle filter on dynamical balance in a primitive equation model. Monthly Weather Review, 143 (2). pp. 581-596. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00050.1

Allison, L., Hawkins, E. and Woollings, T. (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9

Amezcua, J. and Williams, P. (2015) The composite-tendency Robert-Asselin-Williams (RAW) filter in semi-implicit integrations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 764-773. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2391

Anderson, B. T., Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Hawkins, E. and Syktus, J. (2015) Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1190-1196. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062593

Aplin, K. L. and Lockwood, M. (2015) Further considerations of cosmic ray modulation of infra-red radiation in the atmosphere. Astroparticle Physics, 68. pp. 52-60. ISSN 0927-6505 doi: 10.1016/j.astropartphys.2015.03.001

Arnell, N. (2015) A short guide to climate change risk. A Short Guide to Business Risk. Gower, Farnham, Surrey, pp226. ISBN 9781409453529

Arnell, N., Halliday, S., Battarbee, R. W., Skeffington, R. and Wade, A. (2015) The implications of climate change for the water environment in England. Progress in Physical Geography, 39 (1). pp. 93-120. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: 10.1177/0309133314560369

Baker, L., Collins, B., Olivie, D. J. L. , Cherian, R., Myhre, G. and Quaas, J. (2015) Climate responses to anthropogenic emissions of short-lived climate pollutants. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (14). pp. 8201-8216. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-15-8201-2015

Balsamo, G. , Albergel, C., Beljaars, A., Boussetta, S., Brun, E., Cloke, H., Dee, D., Dutra, E., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Pappenberger, F., de Rosnay, P., Stockdale, T. and Vitart, F. (2015) ERA-Interim/Land: a global land surface reanalysis data set. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19 (1). pp. 389-407. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-19-389-2015

Bannister, R. (2015) How is the balance of a forecast ensemble affected by adaptive and non-adaptive localization schemes? Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00379.1 (In Press)

Barlow, J. F., Halios, C. H., Lane, S. E. and Wood, C. R. (2015) Observations of urban boundary layer structure during a strong urban heat island event. Environmental Fluid Mechanics, 15 (2). pp. 1567-7419. ISSN 1567-7419 doi: 10.1007/s10652-014-9335-6

Barnard, L., Scott, C., Owens, M., Lockwood, M., Tucker-Hood, K., Wilkinson, J., Harder, B. and Baeten, E. (2015) Solar stormwatch: tracking solar eruptions. Astronomy & Geophysics, 56 (4). 4.20-4.24. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: 10.1093/astrogeo/atv131

Bartlett, L. J., Williams, D. R., Prescott, G. W., Balmford, A., Green, R. E., Eriksson, A., Valdes, P. J., Singarayer, J. S. and Manica, A. (2015) Robustness despite uncertainty: regional climate data reveal the dominant role of humans in explaining global extinctions of Late Quaternary megafauna. Ecography. ISSN 0906-7590 doi: 10.1111/ecog.01566

Belcher, S. E., Coceal, O., Goulart, E. V., Rudd, A. C. and Robins, A. G. (2015) Processes controlling atmospheric dispersion through city centres. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 763. pp. 51-81. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: 10.1017/jfm.2014.661

Beven, K., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F., Lamb, R. and Hunter, N. (2015) Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface. Science China Earth Sciences, 58 (1). pp. 25-35. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: 10.1007/s11430-014-5003-4

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M. and Bouttes, N. (2015) Analysis of the regional pattern of sea level change due to ocean dynamics and density changes for 1993-2099 in observations and CMIP5 AOGCMs. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2499-z

Bingham, R. J., Haines, K. and Lea, D. (2015) A comparison of GOCE and drifter-based estimates of the North Atlantic steady-state surface circulation. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 35 (A). pp. 140-150. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2014.03.012

Bony, S., Stevens, B., Frierson, D. M. W., Jakob, C., Kageyama, M., Pincus, R., Shepherd, T. G., Sherwood, S. C., Siebesma, A. P., Sobel, A. H., Watanabe, M. and Webb, M. J. (2015) Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience, 8 (4). pp. 261-268. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/NGEO2398

Boutle, I. A., Belcher, S. E. and Plant, R. S. (2015) Friction in mid-latitude cyclones: an Ekman-PV mechanism. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16 (2). pp. 103-109. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl2.526

Brown, S., Aplin, K. L., Jenkins, K. , Mander, S. , Walsh, C. and Williams, P. D. (2015) Is there a Rhythm Of The Rain? An analysis of weather in popular music. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 198-204. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.2464

Browne, P. A. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2015) Twin experiments with the equivalent weights particle filter and HadCM3. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2621

Browne, P. A. and Wilson, S. (2015) A simple method for integrating a complex model into an ensemble data assimilation system using MPI. Environmental Modelling & Software, 68. pp. 122-128. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.02.003

Burgess, B. H., Scott, R. K. and Shepherd, T. G. (2015) Kraichnan–Leith–Batchelor similarity theory and two-dimensional inverse cascades. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 767. pp. 467-496. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: 10.1017/jfm.2015.26

Burgess, M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme cold winters in the UK. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.2476

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2371

Cannon, D.J., Brayshaw, D.J., Methven, J., Coker, P.J. and Lenaghan, D. (2015) Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics : a 33 year case study in Great Britain. Renewable Energy, 75. pp. 767-778. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.024

Chagnon, J. M. and Gray, S. L. (2015) A diabatically-generated potential vorticity structure near the extratropical tropopause in three simulated extratropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00092.1

Champion, A. J., Allan, R. P. and Lavers, D. A. (2015) Atmospheric rivers do not explain UK summer extreme rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (14). pp. 6731-6741. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022863

Conceição, R., Melgão, M., Silva, H. G., Nicoll, K., Harrison, R. G. and Reis, A. H. (2015) Transport of the smoke plume from Chiado’s fire in Lisbon (Portugal) sensed by atmospheric electric field measurements. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health. ISSN 1873-9318 doi: 10.1007/s11869-015-0337-4

Dacre, H., Grant, A., Harvey, N., Thomson, D., Webster, H. and Marenco, F. (2015) Volcanic ash layer depth: processes and mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (2). pp. 637-645. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062454

Daleu, C. L., Woolnough, S. J. and Plant, R.S. (2015) Transition from suppressed to active convection modulated by a weak-temperature gradient derived large-scale circulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (2). pp. 834-853. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0041.1

Davies, W. H. and North, P. R. J. (2015) Synergistic angular and spectral estimation of aerosol properties using CHRIS/PROBA-1 and simulated Sentinel-3 data. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8 (4). pp. 1719-1731. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-8-1719-2015

Davies-Barnard, T., Valdes, P. J., Singarayer, J. S., Wiltshire, A. J. and Jones, C. D. (2015) Quantifying the relative importance of land cover change from climate and land-use in the representative concentration pathways. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: 10.1002/2014GB004949

Dodd, E. M. A., Merchant, C. J., Rayner, N. A. and Morice, C. P. (2015) An investigation into the impact of using various techniques to estimate Arctic surface air temperature anomalies. Journal of Climate, 28 (5). pp. 1743-1763. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00250.1

Dong, B. and Sutton, R. (2015) Dominant role of greenhouse-gas forcing in the recovery of Sahel rainfall. Nature Climate Change. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2664

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T., Highwood, E. J. and Wilcox, L. J. (2015) Preferred response of the East Asian summer monsoon to local and non-local anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2671-5 (In Press)

Drew, D., Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D., Barlow, J. and Coker, P. (2015) The impact of future offshore wind farms on wind power generation in Great Britain. Resources Policy, 4 (1). pp. 155-171. ISSN 0301-4207 doi: 10.3390/resources4010155

Dunning, C. M., Turner, A. G. and Brayshaw, D. J. (2015) The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 064002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002

Döll, P., Jiménez-Cisneros, B., Oki, T., Arnell, N. W., Benito, G., Cogley, J. G., Jiang, T., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Mwakalila, S. and Nishijima, A. (2015) Integrating risks of climate change into water management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60 (1). pp. 4-13. ISSN 0262-6667 doi: 10.1080/02626667.2014.967250

Economou, T., Stephenson, D. B., Pinto, J. G., Shaffrey, L. C. and Zappa, G. (2015) Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi-model ensemble of historical and future simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2591 (In Press)

Fairman, J. G., Schultz, D. M., Kirshbaum, D. J., Gray, S. L. and Barrett, A. I. (2015) A radar-based rainfall climatology of Great Britain and Ireland. Weather, 70 (5). pp. 153-158. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.2486

Feng, X., Tsimplis, M. N. and Woodworth, P. L. (2015) Nodal variations and long-term changes in the main tides on the coasts of China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120 (2). pp. 1215-1232. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1002/2014JC010312

Ferraro, A. J., Charlton-Perez, A. and Highwood, E. (2015) Stratospheric dynamics and midlatitude jets under geoengineering with space mirrors and sulfate and titania aerosols. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120 (2). pp. 414-429. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022734

Ferreira, D. and Marshall, J. (2015) Freshwater transport in the coupled ocean-atmosphere system: a passive ocean. Ocean Dynamics. ISSN 1616-7341 doi: 10.1007/s10236-015-0846-6

Ferreira, D., Marshall, J., Bitz, C. M., Solomon, S. and Plumb, A. (2015) Antarctic ocean and sea ice response to ozone depletion: a two timescale problem. Journal of Climate, 28 (3). pp. 1206-1226. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00313.1

Fielding, M. D., Chiu, J. C., Hogan, R. J., Feingold, G., Eloranta, E., O'Connor, E. J. and Cadeddu, M. P. (2015) Joint retrievals of cloud and drizzle in marine boundary layer clouds using ground-based radar, lidar and zenith radiances. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 8. pp. 2663-2683. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-8-2663-2015

Font, A., Grimmond, C. S. B., Kotthaus, S., Morguí, J. -A., Stockdale, C., O'Connor, E., Priestman, M. and Barratt, B. (2015) Daytime CO2 urban surface fluxes from airborne measurements, eddy-covariance observations and emissions inventory in Greater London. Environmental Pollution, 196. pp. 98-106. ISSN 0269-7491 doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2014.10.001

Frame, T. H. A., Methven, J., Roberts, N. M. and Titley, H. A. (2015) Predictability of frontal waves and cyclones. Weather and Forecasting. ISSN 0882-8156 (In Press)

Franzke, C. L. E., O'Kane, T. J., Berner, J., Williams, P. D. and Lucarini, V. (2015) Stochastic climate theory and modeling. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 6 (1). pp. 63-78. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: 10.1002/wcc.318

Frühauff, D., Glassmeier, K.-H., Lockwood, M. and Heyner, D. (2015) Extracting planetary waves from geomagnetic time series using Empirical Mode Decomposition. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 129. pp. 6-12. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2015.04.002

Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D., Dance, S. L., Cloke, H., Neal, J. C., Freer, J. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Satellite-supported flood forecasting in river networks: a real case study. Journal of Hydrology, 523. pp. 706-724. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.084

Gomes, H. B., Ambrizzi, T., Herdies, D. L., Hodges, K. and Pontes da Silva, B. F. (2015) Easterly wave disturbances over Northeast Brazil: an observational analysis. Advances in Meteorology, 2015. pp. 1-20. ISSN 1687-9309 doi: 10.1155/2015/176238

Goodliff, M., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2015) Comparing hybrid data assimilation methods on the Lorenz 1963 model with increasing nonlinearity. Tellus A, 67. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v67.26928

Grimmond, S., Carmicheal, G., Lean, H., Baklanov, A., Leroyer, S., Masson, V., Schluenzen, K.H. and Golding, B. (2015) Urban-scale Environmental Prediction Systems. In: Brunet, G., Jones, S. and Ruti, P. (eds.) Seamless Prediction of the Earth-System: from minutes to months. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, pp. 347-370. ISBN 9789263111562

Guo, L., Turner, A. and Highwood, E. (2015) Impacts of 20th century aerosol emissions on the South Asian monsoon in the CMIP5 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (11). pp. 6367-6378. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-15-6367-2015

Hanley, K. E., Plant, R. S., Stein, T. H. M., Hogan, R. J., Nicol, J. C., Lean, H. W., Halliwell, C. and Clark, P. A. (2015) Mixing length controls on high resolution simulations of convective storms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 272-284. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2356

Harrison, R. G., Nicoll, K. A. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2015) On the microphysical effects of observed cloud edge charging. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2554

Hart, N., Gray, S. and Clark, P. (2015) Detection of coherent airstreams using cluster analysis: application to an extratropical cyclone. Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00382.1 (In Press)

Harvey, B. J. , Shaffrey, L. C. and Woollings, T. J. (2015) Deconstructing the climate change response of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime storm tracks. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2510-8

Hawkins, E., McNeall, D., Williams, J., Stephenson, D. and Carlson, D. (2015) Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales. Nature, 519 (7543). p. 291. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/519291d

Hawkins, E., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Melia, N., Haines, K. and Keeley, S. (2015) Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2643

Hill, P., Morcrette, C. J. and Boutle, I. A. (2015) A regime-dependent parametrization of subgrid-scale cloud water content variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. n/a-n/a. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2506

Hirons, L.C., Klingaman, N.P. and Woolnough, S.J. (2015) MetUM-GOML: a near-globally coupled atmosphere–ocean-mixed-layer model. Geoscientific Model Development , 8. pp. 363-379. ISSN 1991-962X doi: 10.5194/gmd-8-363-2015

Hodyss, D. and Nichols, N. K. (2015) The error of representation: basic understanding. Tellus A, 67. 24822. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.3402/tellusa.v67.24822 ( )

Holloway, C. E., Woolnough, S. J. and Lister, G. M. S. (2015) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part II: Processes leading to differences in MJO development. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (7). pp. 2719-2743. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0308.1

Honjo, T., Yamato, H., Mikami, T. and Grimmond, C.S.B. (2015) Network optimization for enhanced resilience of urban heat island measurements. Sustainable Cities and Society. ISSN 22106707 doi: 10.1016/j.scs.2015.02.004 (In Press)

Huber, M., Tailleux, R., Ferreira, D., Kuhlbrodt, T. and Gregory, J. (2015) A traceable physical calibration of the vertical advection-diffusion equation for modelling ocean heat uptake. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (7). pp. 2333-2341. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL063383

Ineson, S., Maycock, A. C., Gray, L. J., Scaife, A. A., Dunstone, N. J., Harder, J. W., Knight, J. R., Lockwood, M., Manners, J. C. and Wood, R. A. (2015) Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum. Nature Communications, 6. 7535. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/ncomms8535

Jennings, R. P., Singarayer, J., Stone, E. J., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Khon, V., Nisancioglu, K. H., Pfeiffer, M., Zhang, X., Parker, A., Parton, A., Groucutt, H. S., White, T. S., Drake, N. A. and Petraglia, M. D. (2015) The greening of Arabia: multiple opportunities for human occupation of the Arabian peninsula during the Late Pleistocene inferred from an ensemble of climate model simulations. Quaternary International. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: 10.1016/j.quaint.2015.01.006

Jiang, X., Waliser, D. E., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J., Guan, B., Bellon, G., Crueger, T., DeMott, C., Hannay, C., Lin, H., Hu, W., Kim, D., Lappen, C.-L., Lu, M.-M., Ma, H.-Y., Miyakawa, T., Ridout, J. A., Schubert, S. D., Scinocca, J., Seo, K.-H., Shindo, E., Song, X., Stan, C., Tseng, W.-L., Wang, W., Wu, T., Wu, X., Wyser, K., Zhang, G. J. and Zhu, H. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: exploring key model physics in climate simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4718-4748. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022375

Johnson, S., Levine, R., Turner, A., Martin, G., Woolnough, S., Schiemann, R., Mizielinski, M., Roberts, M., Vidale, P. L., Demory, M.-E. and Strachan, J. (2015) The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35◦ AGCM. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1

Kauffeldt, A., Halldin, S., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Xu, C.-Y. and Cloke, H. L. (2015) Imbalanced land-surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064230

Klingaman, N. P., Jiang, X., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Waliser, D. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: synthesis and summary. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4671-4689. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2015JD023196

Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S., Jiang, X., Waliser, D., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Caian, M., Hannay, C., Kim, D., Ma, H.-Y., Merryfield, W. J., Miyakawa, T., Pritchard, M., Ridout, J. A., Roehrig, R., Shindo, E., Vitart, F., Wang, H., Cavanaugh, N. R., Mapes, B. E., Shelly, A. and Zhang, G. J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Linking hindcast fidelity to simulated diabatic heating and moistening. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4690-4717. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022374

Knippertz, P., Coe, H., Chiu, C., Evans, M. J., Fink, A. H., Kalthoff, N., Liousse, C., Mari, C., Allan, R., Brooks, B., Danour, S., Flamant, C., Jegede, O. O., Lohou, F. and Marsham, J. H. (2015) The DACCIWA project: dynamics-aerosol-chemistry-cloud interactions in West Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00108.1

Knowland, K. E., Doherty, R. M. and Hodges, K. I. (2015) The effects of springtime mid-latitude storms on trace gas composition determined from the MACC reanalysis. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (6). pp. 3605-3628. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-15-3605-2015

Knudsen, E. M., Orsolini, Y. J., Furevik, T. and Hodges, K. I. (2015) Observed anomalous atmospheric patterns in summers of unusual Arctic sea ice melt. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120 (7). pp. 2595-2611. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022608

Kuhlbrodt, T., Gregory, J. and Shaffrey, L. (2015) A process-based analysis of ocean heat uptake in an AOGCM with an eddy-permitting ocean component. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2534-0

Lindberg, F., Grimmond, S. and Martilli, A. (2015) Sunlit fractions on urban facets: impact of spatial resolution and approach. Urban Climate, 12. pp. 65-84. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2014.11.006

Liu, X., Sun, H., Miao, Y. , Dong, B. and Yin, Z.-Y. (2015) Impacts of uplift of northern Tibetan Plateau and formation of Asian inland deserts on regional climate and environment. Quaternary Science Reviews, 116. pp. 1-14. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.03.010

Lockwood, M. and Barnard, L. (2015) An arch in the UK. Astronomy and Geophysics, 56 (4). 4.25-4.30. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: 10.1093/astrogeo/atv132

López-Saldaña, G., Bistinas, I. and Pereira, J. M. C. (2015) Global analysis of radiative forcing from fire-induced shortwave albedo change. Biogeosciences, 12 (2). pp. 557-565. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: 10.5194/bg-12-557-2015

MacIntosh, C., Shine, K. and Collins, B. (2015) Radiative forcing and climate metrics for ozone precursor emissions: the impact of multi-model averaging. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15. pp. 3957-3969. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-15-3957-2015

Macleod, D. A., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2015) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2631 (In Press)

Marlton, G. J., Giles Harrison, R., Nicoll, K. A. and Williams, P. D. (2015) Note: A balloon-borne accelerometer technique for measuring atmospheric turbulence. Review of Scientific Instruments, 86 (1). 016109. ISSN 0034-6748 doi: 10.1063/1.4905529

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Madonna, E., Gray, S. L. and Joos, H. (2015) A route to systematic error in forecasts of Rossby waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2645 (In Press)

Martínez-Asensio, A., Tsimplis, M. N., Feng, X., Marcos, M., Gomis, D., Jordà, G. and Josey, S. A. (2015) Response of the North Atlantic wave climate to atmospheric modes of variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.4415

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2013

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Clark, P.A., Browning, K. A., Forbes, R. M., Morcrette, C. J., Blyth, A. M. and Lean, H. W. (2013) The evolution of an MCS over southern England. Part 2: Model simulations and sensitivity to microphysics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (679). pp. 458-479. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2142

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Bouttes, N., Paillard, D., Roche, D.M., Waelbroeck, C., Kageyama, M., Lourantou, A., Michel, E. and Bopp, L. (2012) Impact of oceanic processes on the carbon cycle during the last termination. Climate of the Past, 8 (1). pp. 149-170. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-8-149-2012

Bouttes, N., Roche, D.M. and Paillard, D. (2012) Systematic study of the impact of fresh water fluxes on the glacial carbon cycle. Climate of the Past, 8 (2). pp. 589-607. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-8-589-2012

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Brindley, H., Knippertz, P., Ryder, C. and Ashpole, I. (2012) A critical evaluation of the ability of the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) thermal infrared red-green-blue rendering to identify dust events: theoretical analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117. D07201. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2011JD017326

Broecker, J. (2012) Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts through decomposition of the empirical score. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 655-667. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1191-1

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Brooks, I. and Fowler, A. (2012) An evaluation of boundary-layer depth, inversion and entrainment parameters by large-eddy simulation. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 142 (2). pp. 245-263. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-011-9668-3

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Carrivick, J. L., Davies, B. J., Glasser, N. F., Nývlt, D. and Hambrey, M. J. (2012) Late-Holocene changes in character and behaviour of land-terminating glaciers on James Ross Island, Antarctica. Journal of Glaciology, 58 (212). pp. 1176-1190. ISSN 0022-1430

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Davis, C. J., Davies, J. A., Owens, M. and Lockwood, M. (2012) Predicting the arrival of high-speed solar wind streams at Earth using the STEREO Heliospheric Imagers. Space Weather, 10 (2). ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1029/2011SW000737

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Devenish, B.J., Thomson, D.J., Marenco, F., Leadbetter, S.J., Ricketts, H. and Dacre, H. (2012) A study of the arrival over the United Kingdom in April 2010 of the Eyjafjallajökull ash cloud using ground-based lidar and numerical simulations. Atmospheric Environment, 48. pp. 152-164. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2011.06.033

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Ebmeier, S.K., Biggs, J., Mather, T.A., Elliott, J.R., Wadge, G. and Amelung, F. (2012) Measuring large topographic change with InSAR: lava thicknesses, extrusion rate and subsidence rate at Santiaguito volcano, Guatemala. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 335-336. pp. 216-225. ISSN 0012-821X doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2012.04.027

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Embury, O., Merchant, C.J. and Filipiak, M.J. (2012) A reprocessing for climate of sea surface temperature from the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers: basis in radiative transfer. Remote Sensing of Environment, 116. pp. 32-46. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.10.016

Eriksson, A., Betti, L., Friend, A. D., Lycett, S. J., Singarayer, J. S., von Cramon-Taubadel, N., Valdes, P. J., Balloux, F. and Manica, A. (2012) Late Pleistocene climate change and the global expansion of anatomically modern humans. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109 (40). pp. 16089-16094. ISSN 1091-6490 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1209494109

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Fink, A. H., Pohle, S., Pinto, J. G. and Knippertz, P. (2012) Diagnosing the influence of diabatic processes on the explosive deepening of extratropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (7). L07803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL051025

Flocco, D., Schroeder, D., Feltham, D. L. and Hunke, E. C. (2012) Impact of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice simulations from 1990 to 2007. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (C9). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JC008195

Forsyth, C., Fazakerley, A. N., Walsh, A. P., Watt, C. E. J., Garza, K. J., Owen, C. J., Constantinescu, D., Dandouras, I., Fornaçon, K.-H., Lucek, E., Marklund, G. T., Sadeghi, S. S., Khotyaintsev, Y., Masson, A. and Doss, N. (2012) Temporal evolution and electric potential structure of the auroral acceleration region from multispacecraft measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. A12203. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JA017655

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Fragoso, M., Trigo, R. M., Pinto, J. G., Lopes, S., Lopes, A., Ulbrich, S. and Magro, C. (2012) The 20 February 2010 Madeira flash-floods: synoptic analysis and extreme rainfall assessment. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 12 (3). pp. 715-730. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: 10.5194/nhess-12-715-2012

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Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L. and Braud, I. (2012) Incorporation of water vapour transfer in the JULES Land Surface Model: implications for key soil variables and land surface fluxes. Water Resources Research, 48 (5). W05538. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: 10.1029/2011WR011811

Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L., Main, B., Gan, G. and Wu, Y. (2012) Interactions between the physical soil environment and a horizontal ground coupled heat pump, for a domestic site in the UK. Renewable Energy, 44. pp. 141-153. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.01.080

Gardiner, T. D., Coleman, M., Browning, H., Tallis, L., Ptashnik, I.V. and Shine, K.P. (2012) Absolute high spectral resolution measurements of surface solar radiation for detection of water vapour continuum absorption. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 370 (1968). pp. 2590-2610. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0221

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Gerber, E. P., Butler, A., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Giorgetta, M., Manzini, E., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L. M., Sassi, F., Scaife, A. A., Shaw, T. A., Son, S.-W. and Watanabe, S. (2012) Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (6). pp. 845-859. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1

Good, E. J., Kong, X., Embury, O. and Merchant, C. J. (2012) An infrared desert dust index for the Along-Track Scanning Radiometers. Remote Sensing of Environment, 116. pp. 159-176. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.06.016

Gottschalk, P., Smith, J. U., Wattenbach, M., Bellarby, J., Stehfest, E., Arnell, N. W., Osborn, T. J., Jones, C. and Smith, P. (2012) How will organic carbon stocks in mineral soils evolve under future climate? Global projections using RothC for a range of climate change scenarios. Biogeosciences, 9 (8). pp. 3151-3171. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: 10.5194/bg-9-3151-2012

Grant, A. L. M., Dacre, H. F., Thomson, D. J. and Marenco, F. (2012) Horizontal and vertical structure of the Eyjafjallajökull ash cloud over the UK: a comparison of airborne lidar observations and simulations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. pp. 10145-10159. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-12-10145-2012

Gray, S. L. and Harrison, R. G. (2012) Diagnosing eclipse-induced wind changes. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 468 (2143). pp. 1839-1850. ISSN 1364-5021 doi: 10.1098/rspa.2012.0007

Greenfield, J. A., Park, P. S., Farahani, E., Malik, S., Vieth, R., McFarlane, N. A., Shepherd, T. G. and Knight, J. A. (2012) Solar ultraviolet-B radiation and vitamin D: a cross-sectional population-based study using data from the 2007 to 2009 Canadian Health Measures Survey. BMC Public Health, 12 (660). ISSN 1471-2458 doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-660

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Halios, C. H., Helmis, C. G., Flocas, H. A., Nyeki, S. and Assimakopoulos, D. N. (2012) On the variability of the surface environment response to synoptic forcing over complex terrain: a multivariate data analysis approach. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 118 (3-4). pp. 107-115. ISSN 1436-5065 doi: 10.1007/s00703-012-0209-5

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2011

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Allan, R. (2011) Combining satellite data and models to estimate cloud radiative effect at the surface and in the atmosphere. Meteorological Applications, 18 (3). pp. 324-333. ISSN 1469-8080 (special issue: 'Sensing the weather')

Allan, R. P. (2011) Human influence on rainfall. Nature, 470 (7334). pp. 344-345. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/470344a

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Bannister, R. N. (2011) Issues in the assimilation of the sources of a trace gas by inverse modelling. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 106-112. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.017

Bannister, R. N., Migliorini, S. and Dixon, M. A. G. (2011) Ensemble prediction for nowcasting with a convection-permitting model - II: forecast error statistics. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (3). pp. 497-512. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00500.x

Barker, H. W., Jerg, M. P., Wehr, T., Kato, S. , Donovan, D. P. and Hogan, R. (2011) A 3D cloud-construction algorithm for the EarthCARE satellite mission. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (657). pp. 1042-1058. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.824 (Part B)

Barlow, J. F., Dunbar, T. M., Nemitz, E. G., Wood, C. R., Gallagher, M. W., Davies, F., O'Connor, E. and Harrison, R. M. (2011) Boundary layer dynamics over London, UK, as observed using Doppler lidar during REPARTEE-II. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (5). pp. 2111-2125. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-2111-2011

Barlow, J. F., Harrison, J., Robins, A. G. and Wood, C. R. (2011) A wind-tunnel study of flow distortion at a meteorological sensor on top of the BT Tower, London, UK. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 99 (9). pp. 899-907. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2011.05.001

Barnard, L. and Lockwood, M. (2011) A survey of gradual solar energetic particle events. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. A05103. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: 10.1029/2010JA016133

Barnard, L., Lockwood, M., Hapgood, M. A., Owens, M. J., Davis, C. J. and Steinhilber, F. (2011) Predicting space climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 38. L16103. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL048489

Barthlott, C., Burton, R., Kirshbaum, D., Hanley, K., Richard, E., Chaboreau, J.-P., Trentmann, J., Kern, B., Bauer, H.-S., Schwitalla, T., Keil, C., Seity, Y., Gadian, A., Blyth, A., Mobbs, S., Flamant, C. and Handwerker, J. (2011) Initiation of deep convection at marginal instability in an ensemble of mesoscale models: a case-study from COPS. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (S1). pp. 118-136. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.707

Baxter, G.M., Dance, S.L., Lawless, A.S. and Nichols, N.K. (2011) Four-dimensional variational data assimilation for high resolution nested models. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 137-141. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2011.01.023

Beaulieu, J.-P., Tinetti, G., Kipping, D. M., Ribas, I., Barber, R. J., Cho, J. Y.-K., Polichtchouk, I., Tennyson, J., Yurchenko, S. N., Griffith, C. A., Batista, V., Waldmann, I., Miller, S., Carey, S., Mousis, O., Fossey, S. J. and Aylward, A. (2011) Methane in the atmosphere of the transiting hot Neptune GJ436b? The Astrophysical Journal, 731 (1). 16. ISSN 0004-637X doi: 10.1088/0004-637X/731/1/16

Bellouin, N., Rae, J., Jones, A., Johnson, C., Haywood, J. and Boucher, O. (2011) Aerosol forcing in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) simulations by HadGEM2-ES and the role of ammonium nitrate. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116 (D20). D20206. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016074

Bengtsson, L. (2011) Foreword: International Space Science Institute (ISSI) workshop on the Earth’s cryosphere and sea level change. Surveys in Geophysics, 32 (4-5). pp. 315-317. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9136-0 (special Issue: ISSI Workshop on the Earth's Cryosphere and Sea Level Change)

Bengtsson, L., Koumoutsaris, S. and Hodges, K. (2011) Large-scale surface mass balance of ice sheets from a comprehensive atmospheric model. Surveys in Geophysics, 32 (4-5). pp. 459-474. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9120-8

Berrisford, P., Dee, D., Poli, P., Brugge, R., Fielding, K., Fuentes, M., Kallberg, P., Kobayashi, S., Uppala, S. and Simmons, A., (2011) The ERA-Interim archive, version 2.0. ERA report series. 1. Technical Report. ECMWF pp23.

Berrisford, P., Kållberg, P., Kobayashi, S., Dee, D., Uppala, S., Simmons, A. J., Poli, P. and Sato, H. (2011) Atmospheric conservation properties in ERA-Interim. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (659). pp. 1381-1399. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.864

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Black, E. (2011) Connecting climate and hydrological models for impacts studies. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 63-68. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Black, S. and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

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Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) Migration and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S1-S2. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.005

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S3-S11. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001

Boess, C., Lawless, A. S., Nichols, N. K. and Bunse-Gerstner, A. (2011) State estimation using model order reduction for unstable systems. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 155-160. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.033

Bohnenstengel, S., Schlüenzen, K.H. and Beyrich, F. (2011) Representativity of in situ precipitation measurements - a case study for the LITFASS area in North-Eastern Germany. Journal of Hydrology, 400 (3-4). pp. 387-395. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.01.052

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Bouttes, N., Paillard, D., Roche, D. M., Brovkin, V. and Bopp, L. (2011) Last Glacial Maximum CO2 and δ13C successfully reconciled. Geophysical Research Letters. L02705. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL044499

Branford, S., Coceal, O., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. (2011) Dispersion of a point-source release of a passive scalar through an urban-like array for different wind directions. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 139 (3). pp. 367-394. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-011-9589-1

Brayshaw, D., Black, E., Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D., Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2011) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part II: Sea surface temperatures. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (8). pp. 1784-1805. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3674.1

Brayshaw, D. J., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Smith, S. J. (2011) Changes in the Mediterranean climate during the Holocene: insights from global and regional climate modelling. Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 15-31. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610377528

Brayshaw, D. J., Troccoli, A., Fordham, R. and Methven, J. (2011) The impact of large scale atmospheric circulation patterns on wind power generation and its potential predictability: a case study over the UK. Renewable Energy, 36 (8). pp. 2087-2096. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.025

Broecker, J. (2011) Probability forecasts. In: Jolliffe, I.T. and Stephenson, D. B. (eds.) Forecast verification : a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science. 2nd ed. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford, pp. 119-139. ISBN 9780470660713

Broecker, J. and Kantz, H. (2011) The concept of exchangeability in ensemble forecasting. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (1). pp. 1-5. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-18-1-2011

Brown, J. N., Fedorov, A. V. and Guilyardi, E. (2011) How well do coupled models replicate ocean energetics relevant to ENSO? Climate Dynamics, 36 (11-12). pp. 2147-2158. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0926-8

Bröcker, J., Siegert, S. and Kantz, H. (2011) Comment on ``Conditional Exceedance Probabilities''. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (10). pp. 3322-3324. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2011MWR3658.1

Budd, C.J., Freitag, M.A. and Nichols, N. (2011) Regularization techniques for ill-posed inverse problems in data assimilation. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 168-173. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.10.002

Bulgin, C. E., Palmer, P. I., Merchant, C. J., Siddans, R., Gonzi, S., Poulsen, C. A., Thomas, G. E., Sayer, A. M., Carboni, E., Granger, R. G., Highwood, E. and Ryder, C. L. (2011) Quantifying the response of the ORAC aerosol optical depth retrieval for MSG SEVIRI to aerosol model assumptions. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116 (D5). D05208. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014483

Butchart, N., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Cionni, I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P. H., Krüger, K., Kushner, P. J., Newman, P. A., Osprey, S. M., Perlwitz, J., Sigmond, M., Wang, L., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Bekki, S., Baumgaertner, A., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Garcia, R., Garny, H., Jöckel, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Plummer, D., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W., Waugh, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2011) Multimodel climate and variability of the stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D05102. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014995

Catto, J. L., Shaffrey, L. C. and Hodges, K. I. (2011) Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones in a warming climate in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Journal of Climate, 24 (20). pp. 5336-5352. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4181.1

Cerdeira-Estrada, S. and López-Saldaña, G. (2011) A novel satellite-based ocean monitoring system for Mexico. Ciencias Marinas, 37. pp. 237-247. ISSN 0185-3880

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. (2011) Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England - an assessment of draft Water Resources Management Plans. Global Environmental Change, 21 (1). pp. 238-248. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.012

Charlton-Perez, A. and Dacre, H. (2011) Lewis Fry Richardson's forecast factory - for real. Weather, 66 (2). pp. 52-54. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.670

Chen, F., Kusaka, H., Bornstein, R., Ching, J., Grimmond, C.S.B., Grossman-Clarke, S., Loridan, T., Manning, K. W., Martilli, A., Miao, S., Sailor, D., Salamanca, F. P., Taha, H., Tewari, M., Wang, X., Wyszogrodzki, A. A. and Zhang, C. (2011) The integrated WRF/urban modelling system: development, evaluation, and applications to urban environmental problems. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (2). pp. 273-288. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2158

Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M., White, N. J., Platten, S. M. and Mitrovica, J. X. (2011) Understanding and projecting sea level change. Oceanography, 24 (2). pp. 130-143. ISSN 1042-8275

Church, J. A., White, N. J., Konikow, L. F., Domingues, C. M., Cogley, J. G., Rignot, E., Gregory, J. M., Van den Broeke, M. R., Monaghan, A. J. and Velicogna, I. (2011) Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophysical Research Letters, 38. L18601. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL048794

Cionni, I., Eyring, V., Lamarque, J.F., Randel, W.J., Stevenson, D.S., Wu, F., Bodeker, G.E., Shepherd, T.G., Shindell, D.T. and Waugh, D.W. (2011) Ozone database in support of CMIP5 simulations: results and corresponding radiative forcing. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (21). pp. 11267-11292. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-11267-2011

Cleugh, H. and Grimmond, S. (2011) Urban climates and global climate change. In: Henderson-Sellers, A. and McGuffie, K. (eds.) The future of the world's climate. 2nd edition. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 47-76. ISBN 9781283347952 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-386917-3.00003-8

Collins, B., Bellouin, N., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Gedney, N., Halloran, P., Hinton, T., Hughes, J., Jones, C. D., Joshi, M., Liddicoat, S., Martin, G., O'Connor, F., Rae, J., Senior, C., Sitch, S., Totterdell, I., Wiltshire, A. and Woodward, S. (2011) Development and evaluation of an Earth-System model – HadGEM2. Geoscientific Model Development, 4 (4). pp. 1051-1075. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-1051-2011

Cook, P. A. and Roscoe, H. K. (2011) Changes in reactive stratospheric gases due to a change in Brewer–Dobson circulation: results from a simple model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 13 (1). pp. 49-54. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.362

Crawford, B., Grimmond, C. S. B. and Christen, A. (2011) Five years of carbon dioxide fluxes measurements in a highly vegetated suburban area. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (4). pp. 896-905. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.11.017

Crooker, N. U. and Owens, M. J. (2011) Interchange reconnection: remote sensing of solar signature and role in heliospheric magnetic flux budget. Space Science Reviews, 172 (1-4). pp. 201-208. ISSN 1572-9672 doi: 10.1007/s11214-011-9748-1

Crosier, J., Bower, K. N., Choularton, T. W., Westbrook, C. D., Connolly, P. J., Cui, Z. Q., Crawford, I. P., Capes, G. L., Coe, H., Dorsey, J. R., Williams, P. I., Illingworth, A. J., Gallagher, M. W. and Blyth, A. M. (2011) Observations of ice multiplication in a weakly convective cell embedded in supercooled mid-level stratus. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (1). pp. 257-273. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-257-2011

Dacre, H. F. (2011) A new method for evaluating regional air quality forecasts. Atmospheric Environment, 45 (4). pp. 993-1002. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.10.048

Dacre, H. F., Grant, A. L. M., Hogan, R. J., Belcher, S. E., Thomson, D. J., Devenish, B. J., Marenco, F., Hort, M. C., Haywood, J. M., Ansmann, A., Mattis, I. and Clarisse, L. (2011) Evaluating the structure and magnitude of the ash plume during the initial phase of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption using lidar observations and NAME simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D00U03. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD015608

Dall'Osto, M., Thorpe, A., Beddows, D. C. S., Harrison, R. M., Barlow, J. F., Dunbar, T., Williams, P. I. and Coe, H. (2011) Remarkable dynamics of nanoparticles in the urban atmosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (13). pp. 6623-6637. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-6623-2011

Davies, B. J., Roberts, D. H., Bridgland, D. R., Cofaigh, C. Ó. and Riding, J. B. (2011) Provenance and depositional environments of Quaternary sediments from the western North Sea Basin. Journal of Quaternary Science, 26 (1). pp. 59-75. ISSN 0267-8179 doi: 10.1002/jqs.1426

Davies, L., Bell, J. N. B., Bone, J., Head, M., Hill, L., Howard, C., Hobbs, S. J., Jones, D. T., Power, S. A., Rose, N., Ryder, C., Seed, L., Stevens, G., Toumi, R., Voulvoulis, N. and White, P. C. L. (2011) Open Air Laboratories (OPAL): a community-driven research programme. Environmental Pollution, 159 (8-9). pp. 2203-2210. ISSN 0269-7491 doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2011.02.053

Davis, C. J., Davies, J. A., St Cyr, O. C., Campbell-Brown, M., Skelt, A., Kaiser, M., Meyer-Vernet, N., Crothers, S., Lintott, C., Smith, A., Bamford, S. and Baeten, E. M. L. (2011) The distribution of interplanetary dust between 0.96 and 1.04 au as inferred from impacts on the STEREO spacecraft observed by the heliospheric imagers. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 420 (2). pp. 1355-1366. ISSN 0035-8711 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2966.2011.20125.x

Davis, C. J., de Koning, C. A., Davies, J. A., Biesecker, D., Millward, G., Dryer, M., Deehr, C., Webb, D. F., Schenk, K., Freeland, S. L., Möstl, C., Farrugia, C. J. and Odstrcil, D. (2011) A comparison of space weather analysis techniques used to predict the arrival of the Earth-directed CME and its shockwave launched on 8 April 2010. Space Weather, 9 (1). S01005. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: 10.1029/2010SW000620

Day, J. (2011) The impact of 21st century Arctic sea ice decline on the climate and mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet and Svalbard’s glaciers and ice caps. PhD thesis, University of Bristol.

De Kauwe, M., Disney, M., Quaife, T., Lewis, P. and Williams, M. (2011) An assessment of the MODIS collection 5 leaf area index product for a region of mixed coniferous forest. Remote Sensing of Environment, 115 (2). pp. 767-780. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2010.11.004

De Tero, G., Toniazzo, T. and Shaffrey, L. (2011) Ethiopian rainfall in climate models. In: Williams , C. J. R. and Kniveton , D. R. (eds.) African climate and climate change: physical, social and political perspective. Advances in Global Change Research (43). Springer, pp. 51-70. ISBN 9789048138418

Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A. C. M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A. J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S. B., Hersbach, H., Hólm, E. V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A. P., Monge-Sanz, B. M., Morcrette, J.-J., Park, B.-K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J.-N. and Vitart, F. (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (656). pp. 553-597. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.828 (Part A)

Dee, D., Berrisford, P., Bosilovich, M. G., Chelliah, M., Compo, G., Ebita, A., Jones, P. D., Kobayashi, S., Kumar, A., Rutledge, G., Saha, S., Sato, H., Simmons, A., Smith, C. and Vose, R. (2011) [Temperature] The use of reanalysis data for monitoring the state of the climate [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S34-S35. ISSN 1520-0477

Delanoe, J., Hogan, R., Forbes, R. M., Bodas-Salcedo, A. and Stein, T. H. M. (2011) Evaluation of ice cloud representation in the ECMWF and UK Met Office models using CloudSat and CALIPSO data. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (661). pp. 2064-2078. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.882

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 121-131. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 103-119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8

Dong, B., Sutton, R. T. and Woollings, T. (2011) Changes of interannual NAO variability in response to greenhouse gases forcing. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1621-1641. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0936-6

Dragoni, D., Schmid, H. P., Wayson, C. A., Potter, H., Grimmond, C.S. B. and Randolph, J. C. (2011) Evidence of increased net ecosystem productivity associated with a longer vegetated season in a deciduous forest in south-central Indiana, USA. Global Change Biology, 17 (2). pp. 886-897. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02281.x

Drew, D. (2011) Analysis tools for urban wind turbines. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Dunlop, M. W., Zhang, Q.-H., Bogdanova, Y. V., Lockwood, M., Pu, Z., Hasegawa, H., Wang, J., Taylor, M. G. G. T., Berchem, J., Lavraud, B., Eastwood, J., Volwerk, M., Shen, C., Shi, J.-K., Constantinescu, D., Frey, H., Fazakerley, A., Sibeck, D., Escoubet, P., Wild, J. A. and Liu, Z.-X. (2011) Extended magnetic reconnection across the dayside magnetopause. Physical Review Letters, 107 (2). 025004. ISSN 0031-9007 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.107.025004

Ebell, K., Crewell, S., Löhnert, U., Turner, D. D. and O'Connor, E. J. (2011) Cloud statistics and cloud radiative effect for a low-mountain site. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (S1). pp. 306-324. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.748

Egea, G., Verhoef, A. and Vidale, P. L. (2011) Towards an improved and more flexible representation of water stress in coupled photosynthesis–stomatal conductance models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (10). pp. 1370-1384. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.05.019

Ferrari, R. and Ferreira, D. (2011) What processes drive the ocean heat transport? Ocean Modelling, 38 (3-4). pp. 171-186. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2011.02.013

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Ferreira, D., Marshall, J. and Rose, B. (2011) Climate determinism revisited: multiple equilibria in a complex climate model. Journal of Climate, 24 (4). pp. 992-1012. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3580.1

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McGregor, S. L., Hughes, W. J., Arge, C. N., Owens, M. J. and Odstrcil, D. (2011) The distribution of solar wind speeds during solar minimum: calibration for numerical solar wind modeling constraints on the source of the slow solar wind. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. A03101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JA015881

McLandress, C., Shepherd, T. G., Scinocca, J. F., Plummer, D. A., Sigmond, M., Jonsson, A. I. and Reader, M. C. (2011) Separating the dynamical effects of climate change and ozone depletion. Part II: Southern Hemisphere troposphere. Journal of Climate, 24 (6). pp. 1850-1868. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3958.1

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Mitchell, D. M., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2011) The structure and evolution of the stratospheric vortex in response to natural forcings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D15110. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD015788

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Mithen, S. and Black, E., eds. (2011) Water, life and civilisation: climate, environment and society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp543. ISBN 9780521769570

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Myhre, G., Shine, K. P., Radel, G.</