A month's worth of rain in a day?

Harvey, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794 and Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 (2026) A month's worth of rain in a day? Weather. ISSN 0043-1656 (In Press)

Abstract/Summary

Phrases like “a month’s worth of rain in a day” make for dra- matic news headlines. But how often do such events oc- cur? Are they more likely in certain locations or seasons? And can we expect more in the future? Here we examine these questions for the UK using observations and high- resolution model simulations. We find that almost all such events occur in summer in regions with the smallest monthly rainfall climatology and that future projections exhibit sub- stantial increases in frequency due to a simultaneous inten- sification of extreme rainfall events coupled with a marked drying of UK summers.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://centaur.reading.ac.uk/id/eprint/131578
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO) Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
Publisher	Wiley
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