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Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2012) A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology. Journal of Hydrology, 420-421. pp. 1-16. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Vianna Cuadra, S., Osborne, T. and Van Den Hoof, C. (2012) Cultivating C4 crops in a changing climate: sugarcane in Ghana. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4). 044027. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044027

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Connecting climate and hydrological models for impacts studies. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 63-68. ISBN 9780521769570

Nortcliff, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Potter, R. (2011) Current water demands and future strategies under changing climatic conditions. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 403-414. ISBN 9780521769570

Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Manley, R., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Guest, J., Al Numait, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2011) Future projections of water availability in a semi-arid region of the eastern Mediterranean: a case study of Wadi Hasa, Jordan. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 175-188. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, eds. (2011) Water, life and civilisation: climate, environment and society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp543. ISBN 9780521769570

Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Holmes, P., El Bastawesy, M., Smith, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) The hydrology of the Wadi Faynan. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 157-174. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) The present-day climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24. ISBN 9780521769570

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 121-131. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 103-119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Hoskins, B. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2010) Water and society: past, present and future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5107-5110. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0216

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, El-Bastawesy, M., Holmes, P. A. C., Butterfield, D., Nuimat, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2010) A model-based assessment of the effects of projected climate change on the water resources of Jordan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 368 (1931). pp. 5151-5172. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0207

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Rambeau, C. M. C. (2010) Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: insights from models and observations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5173-5184. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0199

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2010) Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5185-5223. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0180

Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583, Underwood, F. M., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Nicoll, M. A. C. and Norris, K. J. (2010) Evidence for long-term regional changes in precipitation on the East Coast Mountains in Mauritius. International Journal of Climatology, 30 (8). pp. 1164-1177. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1953

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D.I.F., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, O'Neill, A. and Pardo-Iguzquiza, E. (2009) Evaluation of reanalysis rainfall estimates over Ethiopia. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (1). pp. 67-78. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1699

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2009) The impact of climate change on daily precipitation statistics for Jordan and Israel. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 192-200. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.233

Diro, G. T., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Grimes, D. I. F. (2008) Seasonal forecasting of Ethiopian spring rains. Meteorological Applications, 15 (1). pp. 73-83. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.63

Washington, R., Harrison, M., Conway, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Challinor, A., Grimes, D., Jones, R., Morse, A., Kay, G. and Todd, M. (2006) African climate change: Taking the shorter route. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87 (10). pp. 1355-1366. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-87-10-1355

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2006) The influence of oceanic conditions on the hot Europen summer of 2003. Climate Dynamics, 28. pp. 53-66.

Pezzulli, S., Frederic, P., Majithia, S., Sabbagh, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Stephenson, D. (2006) The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: A hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 22 (2). pp. 113-125. ISSN 1524-1904

Johnson, H., Kovats, R. S., McGregor, G. R., Stedman, J., Gibbs, M., Walton, H., Cook, L. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) Impact of the 2003 heat wave on mortality and hospital admissions. England Health Statistics Quarterly, 25. pp. 6-11.

Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Slingo, J. M., Roberts, M. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) Indian Ocean climate and dipole variability in Hadley Centre coupled GCMs. Journal Of Climate, 18 (13). pp. 2286-2307. ISSN 1520-0442

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and O'Neill, A., (2005) Validation of area rainfall estimates over North-eastern Africa. Poster presentation. UNSPECIFIED, European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna 24-29 April.

Slingo, J., Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Hoskins, B., Berrisford, P. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) The meteorology of the Western Indian Ocean, and the influence of the east African highlands. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826). pp. 25-42. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2004.1473

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) The relationship between Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature and east African rainfall. Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society Of London Series A-Mathematical Physical And Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826). pp. 43-47.

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Blackburn, M., Harrison, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X, Hoskins, B. J. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2004) Factors contributing to the summer 2003 European heatwave. Weather, 59 (8). pp. 217-223. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/wea.74.04

Gissila, T., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Grimes, D. I. F. and Slingo, J. M. (2004) Seasonal forecasting of the Ethiopian summer rains. International Journal Of Climatology, 24 (11). pp. 1345-1358.

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Slingo, J.M. and Sperber, K.R. (2003) An observational study of the relationship between excessively strong short rains in coastal East Africa and Indian Ocean SST. Monthly Weather Review, 131. pp. 74-94.