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The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the
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Meteorological Applications, 31 (2).
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Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291.
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Optimal spatial scales for seasonal forecasts over Africa.
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Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture
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Underestimation of global photosynthesis in Earth System Models due to representation of vegetation structure.
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‘Eastern African paradox’ rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense long rains.
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Groundwater and resilience to drought in the Ethiopian Highlands.
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doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1
Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2015)
Recent observed and simulated changes in precipitation over Africa.
Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (19).
pp. 8155-8164.
ISSN 0094-8276
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065765
Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Grimes, D., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Stringer, M., Chadwick, R. and Kayitakire, F.
(2014)
Extension of the TAMSAT satellite-based rainfall monitoring over Africa and from 1983 to present.
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 (12).
pp. 2805-2822.
ISSN 1558-8424
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0016.1
Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Stringer, M., Hewison, T., Roebeling, R. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2014)
The 30-year TAMSAT African rainfall climatology and time-series (TARCAT) dataset.
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (18).
pp. 10619-10644.
ISSN 2169-8996
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021927
Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Mulligan, M., Ouessar, M., Faye, A. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2013)
Dynamic hydrological modeling in drylands with TRMM based rainfall.
Remote Sensing, 5 (12).
pp. 6691-6716.
ISSN 2072-4292
doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs5126691
Balan Sarojini, B., Stott, P. A., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Polson, D.
(2012)
Fingerprints of changes in annual and seasonal precipitation from CMIP5 models over land and ocean.
Geophysical Research Letters, 39.
L21706.
ISSN 1944–8007
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053373
Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443
(2012)
A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology.
Journal of Hydrology, 420-421.
pp. 1-16.
ISSN 0022-1694
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Vianna Cuadra, S., Osborne, T. and Van Den Hoof, C.
(2012)
Cultivating C4 crops in a changing climate: sugarcane in Ghana.
Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4).
044027.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044027
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2011)
Connecting climate and hydrological models for impacts studies.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 63-68.
ISBN 9780521769570
Nortcliff, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Potter, R.
(2011)
Current water demands and future strategies under changing climatic conditions.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 403-414.
ISBN 9780521769570
Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443
(2011)
From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244.
ISBN 9780521769570
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B.
(2011)
Future climate of the Middle East.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62.
ISBN 9780521769570
Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Manley, R., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Guest, J., Al Numait, S. and Jamjoum, K.
(2011)
Future projections of water availability in a semi-arid region of the eastern Mediterranean: a case study of Wadi Hasa, Jordan.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 175-188.
ISBN 9780521769570
Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J.
(2011)
Past climates of the Middle East.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50.
ISBN 9780521769570
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C.
(2011)
Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112.
ISBN 9780521769570
Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, eds.
(2011)
Water, life and civilisation: climate, environment and society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp543.
ISBN 9780521769570
Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Holmes, P., El Bastawesy, M., Smith, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443
(2011)
The hydrology of the Wadi Faynan.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 157-174.
ISBN 9780521769570
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362
(2011)
The present-day climate of the Middle East.
In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.)
Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley.
International Hydrology Series.
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24.
ISBN 9780521769570
Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2011)
Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea
surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting.
Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2).
pp. 121-131.
ISSN 0930-7575
doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x
Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2011)
Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling.
Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2).
pp. 103-119.
ISSN 0930-7575
doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Hoskins, B. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556
(2010)
Water and society: past, present and future.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931).
pp. 5107-5110.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0216
Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, El-Bastawesy, M., Holmes, P. A. C., Butterfield, D., Nuimat, S. and Jamjoum, K.
(2010)
A model-based assessment of the effects of projected climate change on the water resources of Jordan.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 368 (1931).
pp. 5151-5172.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0207
Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Rambeau, C. M. C.
(2010)
Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: insights from models and observations.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931).
pp. 5173-5184.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0199
Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2010)
Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931).
pp. 5185-5223.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0180
Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583, Underwood, F. M., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Nicoll, M. A. C. and Norris, K. J.
(2010)
Evidence for long-term regional changes in precipitation on the East Coast Mountains in Mauritius.
International Journal of Climatology, 30 (8).
pp. 1164-1177.
ISSN 0899-8418
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1953
Diro, G. T., Grimes, D.I.F., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, O'Neill, A. and Pardo-Iguzquiza, E.
(2009)
Evaluation of reanalysis rainfall estimates over Ethiopia.
International Journal of Climatology, 29 (1).
pp. 67-78.
ISSN 0899-8418
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1699
Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2009)
The impact of climate change on daily precipitation statistics for Jordan and Israel.
Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3).
pp. 192-200.
ISSN 1530-261X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.233
Diro, G. T., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Grimes, D. I. F.
(2008)
Seasonal forecasting of Ethiopian spring rains.
Meteorological Applications, 15 (1).
pp. 73-83.
ISSN 1469-8080
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.63
Washington, R., Harrison, M., Conway, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Challinor, A., Grimes, D., Jones, R., Morse, A., Kay, G. and Todd, M.
(2006)
African climate change: Taking the shorter route.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87 (10).
pp. 1355-1366.
ISSN 1520-0477
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-87-10-1355
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2006)
The influence of oceanic conditions on the hot Europen summer of 2003.
Climate Dynamics, 28.
pp. 53-66.
Pezzulli, S., Frederic, P., Majithia, S., Sabbagh, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Stephenson, D.
(2006)
The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: A hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator.
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 22 (2).
pp. 113-125.
ISSN 1524-1904
Johnson, H., Kovats, R. S., McGregor, G. R., Stedman, J., Gibbs, M., Walton, H., Cook, L. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2005)
Impact of the 2003 heat wave on mortality and hospital admissions.
England Health Statistics Quarterly, 25.
pp. 6-11.
Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Slingo, J. M., Roberts, M. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2005)
Indian Ocean climate and dipole variability in Hadley Centre coupled GCMs.
Journal Of Climate, 18 (13).
pp. 2286-2307.
ISSN 1520-0442
Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and O'Neill, A.,
(2005)
Validation of area rainfall estimates over North-eastern Africa. Poster presentation.
UNSPECIFIED, European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna 24-29 April.
Slingo, J., Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Hoskins, B., Berrisford, P. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2005)
The meteorology of the Western Indian Ocean, and the influence of the east African highlands.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826).
pp. 25-42.
ISSN 1364-503X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2004.1473
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186
(2005)
The relationship between Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature and east African rainfall.
Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society Of London Series A-Mathematical Physical And Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826).
pp. 43-47.
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Blackburn, M., Harrison, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X, Hoskins, B. J. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872
(2004)
Factors contributing to the summer 2003 European heatwave.
Weather, 59 (8).
pp. 217-223.
ISSN 0043-1656
doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/wea.74.04
Gissila, T., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Grimes, D. I. F. and Slingo, J. M.
(2004)
Seasonal forecasting of the Ethiopian summer rains.
International Journal Of Climatology, 24 (11).
pp. 1345-1358.
Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Slingo, J.M. and Sperber, K.R.
(2003)
An observational study of the relationship between excessively strong short rains in coastal East Africa and Indian Ocean SST.
Monthly Weather Review, 131.
pp. 74-94.
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