Diong, Jeong-Yik, Xavier, Prince, Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Abdullah, Firdaus Ammar (2023) Equatorial Rossby waves on Cold Surge Days and their impact on rainfall. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4493

Chevuturi, Amulya ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, Nick P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Rudroff, Conrado M., Coelho, Caio A.S and Schongart, Jochen (2023) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus using dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Services, 30. 100342. ISSN Elsevier doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100342

Ferrett, Samantha ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Yang, Gui-Ying ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Holloway, Chris E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Wolf, Gabriel (2023) Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0300.1 (In Press)

Gonzalez, Paula L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Howard, Emma, Ferrett, Samantha ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Frame, Thomas H. A., Martinez-Alvarado, Oscar ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Methven, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2023) Weather patterns in Southeast Asia: enhancing high-impact weather sub-seasonal forecast skill. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (750). pp. 19-39. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4378

Dione, Cheikh, Talib, Joshua, Bwaka, Ado M., Kamga, Andre F., Bita Fouda, Andre A., Hirons, Linda ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Latt, Anderson, Thompson, Elisabeth, Lingani, Clement, Indasi, Victor, Adefisan, Elijah A. and Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2022) Improved sub-seasonal forecasts to support preparedness action for meningitis outbreak in Africa. Climate Services, 28. 100326. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100326

Gudoshava, Masilin, Wainwright, Caroline ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, Linda ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Endris, Hussen S., Segele, Zewdu T., Woolnough, Steven ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Atheru, Zachary and Artan, Guleid (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with early and late onset for eastern Africa short rains. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (12). pp. 6562-6578. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7627

Harvey, Natalie J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Daleu, Chimene L., Stratton, Rachel A., Plant, Robert S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Stirling, Alison J. (2022) The impact of surface heterogeneity on the diurnal cycle of deep convection. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (749). pp. 3509-3527. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4371

Lee, Simon H., Charlton-Perez, Andrew J., Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Furtado, Jason C. (2022) How do stratospheric perturbations influence North American weather regime predictions? Journal of Climate, 35 (18). pp. 5915-5932. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0413.1

Gudoshava, Masilin, Wanzala, Maureen, Thompson, Elisabeth, Mwesigwa, Jasper, Endris, Hussen Seid, Segele, Zewdu, Hirons, Linda ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Kipkogei, Oliver, Mumbua, Charity, Njoka, Wawira, Baraibar, Marta, de Andrade, Felipe, Woolnough, Steve ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Atheru, Zachary and Artan, Guleid (2022) Application of real time S2S forecasts over Eastern Africa in the co-production of climate services. Climate Services, 27. 100319. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100319

Visman, E, Hirons, Linda ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Todd, M., Mwangi, E., Dione, C., Gudoshava, M., Otieno, G., Ahiataku, M., Quaye, D., Lawal, K., Talib, J., Fletcher, J., Diop, A., Diedhiou, T., Ndiaye, D., Oloniyan, E., Nying'uro, P., Kiptum, C., Kilavi, M., Adefisan, E., Indasi, V., Waruru, S., Taylor, A. and Woolnough, Steven ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, (2022) Institutionalising co-production of weather and climate services: Learning from the African SWIFT and ForPAc projects. GCRF African SWIFT Policy Briefs. Report. University of Leeds

Parker, Douglas J., Blyth, Alan M., Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Dougill, Andrew J., Bain, Caroline L., de Coning, Estelle, Diop-Kane, Mariane, Foamouhoue, Andre Kamga, Lamptey, Benjamin, Ndiaye, Ousmane, Ruti, Paolo, Adefisan, Elijah A., Amekudzi, Leonard K., Antwi-Agyei, Philip, Birch, Cathryn E., Cafaro, Carlo ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Carr, Hamish, Chanzu, Benard, Clarke, Samantha J., Coskeran, Helen, Danuor, Sylvester K., de Andrade, Felipe M., Diakaria, Kone, Dione, Cheikh, Diop, Cheikh Abdoulahat, Fletcher, Jennifer K., Gaye, Amadou T., Groves, James L., Gudoshava, Masilin, Hartley, Andrew J., Hirons, Linda C., Ibrahim, Ishiyaku, James, Tamora D., Lawal, Kamoru A., Marsham, John H., Mutemi, J. N., Okogbue, Emmanuel Chilekwu, Olaniyan, Eniola, Omoshoto, J. B., Portuphy, Joseph, Roberts, Alexander J., Schwendike, Juliane, Segele, Zewdu T., Stein, Thorwald H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Taylor, Andrea L., Taylor, Christopher M., Warnaars, Tanya A., Webster, Stuart, Woodhams, Beth J. and Youds, Lorraine (2022) The African SWIFT project: growing science capability to bring about a revolution in weather prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (2). pp. 349-369. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0047.1

Coelho, Caio A. S., Baker, Jessica C. A., Spracklen, Dominick V., Kubota, Paulo Y., de Souza, Dayana C., Guimarães, Bruno S., Figueroa, Silvio N., Bonatti, J. P., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, Nicholas P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Chevuturi, Amulya ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Hart, Neil, Zilli, Marcia and Jones, C. D. (2022) A perspective for advancing climate prediction services in Brazil. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e29. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.29

Howard, Emma, Thomas, Simon, Frame, Thomas H. A., Gonzalez, Paula L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Methven, John ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Martinez-Alvarado, Oscar ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2022) Weather patterns in Southeast Asia: relationship with tropical variability and heavy precipitation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (743). pp. 747-769. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4227

Beverley, Jonathan D., Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, Laura H., Johnson, Stephanie J., Weisheimer, Antje and O'Reilly, Christopher H. (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2615-2636. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6

Ficchi, Andrea, Cloke, Hannah, Neves, Claudia ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1201-5720, Woolnough, Steve ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Coughlan de Perez, Erin, Zsoter, Ervin, Pinto, Izidine, Meque, Arlindo and Stephens, Elisabeth (2021) Beyond El Niño: unsung climate modes drive African floods. Weather and Climate Extremes, 33. 100345. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100345

Hirons, Linda, Woolnough, Steven ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Dione, Cheikh, Thompson, Elisabeth, de Andrade, Felipe, Talib, Joshua, Konte, Oumar, Diedhiou, Tidiane, Quaye, David, Opoku, Nana, Lawal, Kamoru, Olaniyan, Eniola, Nying'uro, Patricia, Kiptum, Chris, Gudoshava, Masilin, Phillips, Lauren, Youds, Lorraine, Parker, Doug and Blyth, Alan, (2021) Exploiting sub-seasonal forecast predictability in Africa: a key to sustainable development. Report. University of Leeds, Leeds. doi: https://doi.org/10.5518/100/72

Endris, Hussen Seid, Hirons, Linda, Segele, Zewdu Tessema, Gudoshava, Masilin, Woolnough, Steven ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Artan, Guleid A. (2021) Evaluation of the skill of monthly precipitation forecasts from global prediction systems over the Greater Horn of Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (4). pp. 1275-1298. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0177.1

Hirons, Linda, Thompson, Elisabeth, Dione, Cheikh, Indasi, Victor S., Kilavi, Mary, Nkiaka, Elias, Talib, Joshua, Visman, Emma, Adefisan, Elijah A., de Andrade, Felipe, Ashong, Jesse, Mwesigwa, Jasper Batureine, Boult, Vicky ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Diédhiou, Tidiane, Konte, Oumar, Gudoshava, Masilin, Kiptum, Chris, Amoah, Richmond Konadu, Lamptey, Benjamin, Lawal, Kamoru Abiodun, Muita, Richard, Nzekwu, Richard, Nying'uro, Patricia, Ochieng, Willis, Olaniyan, Eniola, Opoku, Nana Kofi, Endris, Hussen Seid, Segele, Zewdu, Igri, Pascal Moudi, Mwangi, Emmah and Woolnough, Steven ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2021) Using co-production to improve the appropriate use of sub-seasonal forecasts in Africa. Climate Services, 23. 100246. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100246

Muetzelfeldt, Mark R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Plant, Robert S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Clark, Peter A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Stirling, Alison J. and Woolnough, Steven J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2021) A climatology of tropical wind shear produced by clustering wind profiles from the Met Office Unified Model (GA7.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (6). pp. 4035-4049. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4035-2021

Guimaraes, Bruno dos Santos, Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos, Woolnough, Steven James, Kubota, Paulo Yoshio, Bastarz, Carlos Frederico, Figueroa, Silvio Nilo, Bonatti, Jose Paulo and de Souza, Dayana Castilo (2021) An inter-comparison performance assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction model against four sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 2359-2375. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05589-5

de Andrade, Felipe M., Young, Matthew P., MacLeod, David, Hirons, Linda C., Woolnough, Steven J. and Black, Emily (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

Yang, Gui-Ying ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Ferrett, Samantha, Woolnough, Steven, Methven, John and Holloway, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 171-193. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1

Klingaman, Nicholas P ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Young, Matthew, Chevuturi, Amulya ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Guimaraes, Bruno, Guo, Liang, Woolnough, Steven, Coelho, Caio A S, Kubota, Paulo Y and Holloway, Christopher E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Subseasonal prediction performance for austral summer South American rainfall. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 147-169. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0203.1

Lawal, Kamoru, A, Olaniyan, Eniola, Ishiyaku, Ibrahim, Hirons, Linda, C, Thompson, Elisabeth, Talib, Joshua, Boult, Vicky L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Ogungbenro, Stephen Bunmi, Gbode, Ezekiel Imoleayo, Ajayi, Vincent Olanrewaju, Okogbue, Emmanuel Chilekwu, Adefisan, Elijah, A, Indasi, Victor, S, Youds, Lorraine, Nkiaka, Elias, Stone, Daithi A, Nzekwu, Richard, Folorunso, Olusegun, Oyedepo, John, A, New, Mark, G and Woolnough, Steven J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2021) Progress and challenges of demand-led co-produced sub-seasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) climate forecasts in Nigeria. Frontiers in climate, 3. 712502. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.712502

Lee, Simon H., Charlton-Perez, Andrew J., Furtado, Jason C. and Woolnough, Steven J. (2020) Representation of the Scandinavia-Greenland pattern and its relationship with the polar vortex in S2S forecast models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (733). pp. 4083-4098. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3892

Talib, Joshua, Woolnough, Steven, Klingaman, Nick ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, Chris ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the sensitivity of the ITCZ to convective mixing. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (12). e2020MS002322. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002322

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, S. J., Stirling, A. J. and Harvey, N. J (2020) Memory properties in cloud--resolving simulations of the diurnal cycle of deep convection. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS001897. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001897

Lee, Joshua C. K., Lee, Robert W., Woolnough, Steven J. and Boxall, Luke J. (2020) The links between the Madden-Julian oscillation and European weather regimes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 141 (1-2). pp. 567-586. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03223-2

Merryfield, William J, Baehr, Johanna, Batte, Lauriane, Becker, Emily J, Butler, Amy H, Coelho, Caio AS, Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Dirmeyer, Paul A, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J, Domeisen, Daniela IV, Ferranti, Laura, Ilynia, Tatiana, Kumar, Arun, Muller, Wolfgang A, Rixen, Michel, Robertson, Andrew W, Smith, Doug M, Takaya, Yuhei, Tuma, Matthias, Vitart, Frederic, White, Christopher J, Alvarez, Mariano S, Ardilouze, Constantin, Attard, Hannah, Baggett, Cory, Balmaseda, Magdalena A, Beraki, Asmerom F, Battacharjee, Partha S, Bilbao, Roberto, Marques De Andrade, Felipe, DeFlorio, Michael J, Diaz, Leandro B, Ehsan, Muhammad A, Frangkoulidis, Georgios, Grainger, Sam, Green, Benjamin W, Hell, Momme C, Infanti, Johnna M, Isensee, Katharina, Kataoka, Takahito, Kirtman, Ben P, Klingaman, Nicholas P, Lee, June-Yi, Mayer, Kirsten, McKay, Roseanna, Mecking, Jennifer, Miller, Douglas E, Neddermann, Nele, Ng, Chin HJ, Osso, Albert, Pankatz, Klaus, Peatman, Simon, Pegion, Kathy, Perwitz, Judith, Raclade-Coronel, G Cristina, Reintges, Annika, Renkl, Christoph, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Spring, Aaron, Stan, Cristiana, Sun, Y Qiang, Tozer, Carly R, Vigaud, Nicolas, Woolnough, Steven and Yeager, Stephen (2020) Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (6). E869-E896. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1

Guimarães, Bruno S., Coelho, Caio A. S., Woolnough, Steve, J., Kubota, Paulo Y., Bastarz, Carlos F., Figueroa, Silvio N., Bonatti, José P. and Souza, Dayana C. (2020) Configuration and hindcast quality assessment of a brazilian global sub‐seasonal prediction system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1067-1084. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3725

Ferrett, Samantha, Yang, Gui-Ying, Woolnough, Steven J., Methven, John, Hodges, Kevin and Holloway, Christopher E. (2020) Linking extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia to equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (727). pp. 665-684. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3699

Gu, Jian-Feng, Plant, Robert Stephen, Holloway, Christopher E., Jones, Todd R., Stirling, Alison, Clark, Peter A., Woolnough, Steven J. and Webb, Thomas L. (2020) Evaluation of the bulk mass flux formulation using large eddy simulations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 77 (6). pp. 2115-2137. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0224.1

Lee, Robert W., Woolnough, Steven J., Charlton-Perez, Andrew J. and Vitart, Frederic (2019) ENSO modulation of MJO teleconnections to the north Atlantic & Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (22). pp. 13535-13545. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084683

Lee, S. H., Charlton-Perez, Andrew, Furtado, J. C. and Woolnough, Steven (2019) Abrupt stratospheric vortex weakening associated with North Atlantic anticyclonic wave breaking. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (15). pp. 8563-8575. ISSN 2169-897X doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030940

Chevuturi, Amulya, Turner, Andrew G., Woolnough, Steven J., Martin, Gill M. and MacLachlan, Craig (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1

Beverley, Jonathan D., Woolnough, Steven J., Baker, Laura H., Johnson, Stephanie J. and Weisheimer, Antje (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4

Woolnough, Steven J. (2018) The Madden-Julian Oscillation. In: Robertson, Andrew W. and Vitart, Frédéric (eds.) Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting. Elsevier, pp. 93-117. ISBN 9780128117149 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00005-X

Peatman, Simon C., Methven, John and Woolnough, Steven J. (2018) Isolating the effects of moisture entrainment on convectively coupled equatorial waves in an aquaplanet GCM. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (9). pp. 3139-3157. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0098.1

Talib, Joshua, Woolnough, Steven J., Klingaman, Nicholas P. and Holloway, Christopher E. (2018) The role of the cloud radiative effect in the sensitivity of the Intertropical Convergence Zone to convective mixing. Journal of Climate, 31 (17). pp. 6821-6838. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0794.1

Kamieniecki, Jan A., Ambaum, Maarten H. P., Plant, Robert S. and Woolnough, Steven J. (2018) The implications of an idealised large-scale circulation for mechanical work done by tropical convection. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (8). pp. 2533-2547. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0314.1

Yang, Gui-Ying, Methven, John, Woolnough, Steven, Hodges, Kevin and Hoskins, Brian (2018) Linking African easterly wave activity with equatorial waves and the influence of Rossby waves from the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1783-1809. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0184.1

Shonk, Jonathan K .P, Guilyardi, Eric, Toniazzo, Thomas, Woolnough, Steven J. and Stockdale, Tim (2018) Identifying causes of Western Pacific ITCZ drift in ECMWF System 4 hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 50 (3-4). pp. 939-954. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3650-9

Hirons, L. C., Klingaman, N. P. and Woolnough, S. J. (2018) The impact of air–sea interactions on the representation of tropical precipitation extremes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (2). pp. 550-559. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001252

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S. and Woolnough, S. J. (2017) Using the weak-temperature gradient approximation to evaluate parameterizations: an example of the transition from suppressed to active convection. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9 (6). pp. 2350-2367. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS000940

Walters, David, Brooks, Malcolm, Boutle, Ian, Melvin, Thomas, Stratton, Rachel, Vosper, Simon, Wells, Helen, Williams, Keith, Wood, Nigel, Allen, Thomas, Bushell, Andrew, Copsey, Dan, Earnshaw, Paul, Edwards, John, Gross, Markus, Hardiman, Steven, Harris, Chris, Heming, Julian, Klingaman, Nick, Levine, Richard, Manners, James, Martin, Gill, Milton, Sean, Mittermaier, Marion, Morcrette, Cyril, Riddick, Thomas, Roberts, Malcolm, Sanchez, Claudio, Selwood, Paul, Stirling, Alison, Smith, Chris, Suri, Dan, Tennant, Warren, Vidale, Pier Luigi, Wilkinson, Jonathan, Willett, Martin, Woolnough, Steven and Xavier, Prince (2017) The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 6.0/6.1 and JULES Global Land 6.0/6.1 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (4). pp. 1487-1520. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1487-2017

Emerton, Rebecca, Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E. M., Zsoter, E., Woolnough, S. J. and Pappenberger, F. (2017) Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard. Nature Communications, 8. 14796. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14796

Johnson, Stephanie J, Turner, Andy, Woolnough, Steven, Martin, G. and MacLachlan, C. (2017) An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1447-1465. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3151-2

Klingaman, Nicholas P., Jiang, Xianan, Xavier, Prince K., Petch, Jon, Waliser, Duane and Woolnough, Steven J. (2017) Vertical structure and diabatic processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation. In: Chang, Chih-Pei, Kuo, Hung-Chi, Lau, Ngar-Cheung, Johnson, Richard H., Wang, Bin and Wheeler, Matthew C. (eds.) Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast (3rd Edition). World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, New Jersey, pp. 161-172. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/10305

Vitart, F., Ardilouze, C., Bonet, A., Brookshaw, A., Chen, M., Codorean, C., Deque, M., Ferranti, L., Fucile, E., Fuentes, M., Hendon, H., Hodgson, J., Kang, H. S., Kumar, A., Lin, H., Liu, G., Liu, X., Malguzzi, P., Mallas, I., Manoussakis, M., Mastrangelo, D., MacLachlan, C., McLean, P., Minami, A., Mladek, R., Nakazawa, T., Najim, S., Nie, Y., Rixen, M., Robertson, A. W., Ruti, P., Sun, C., Takaya, Y., Tlostykh, M., Venuti, F., Waliser, D., Woolnough, S., Wu, T., Won, D-J., Xiao, H., Zaripov, R. and Zhang, L. (2017) The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (S2S) project database. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (1). pp. 163-173. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0017.1

DeMott, Charlotte A., Benedict, James J., Klingaman, Nicholas P., Woolnough, Steven J. and Randall, David A. (2016) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the MJO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (14). pp. 8350-8373. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025098

Daleu, Chimene L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, Steven J., Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang, S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2016) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation. 2: comparison over non-uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 387-405. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000570

Holloway, Chris E. and Woolnough, Steven J. (2016) The sensitivity of convective aggregation to diabatic processes in idealized radiative-convective equilibrium simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 166-195. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000511

Johnson, Stephanie J., Levine, Richard C., Turner, Andy G., Martin, Gill M., Woolnough, Steven J., Schiemann, Reinhard, Mizielinski, Matthew S., Roberts, Malcolm J., Vidale, Pier Luigi, Demory, Marie-Estelle and Strachan, Jane (2016) The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35◦ AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3-4). pp. 807-831. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1

DeMott, Charlotte A., Klingaman, Nicholas P. and Woolnough, Steven J. (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000478

Daleu, Chimene L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, Steven J., Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang, S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2015) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation: 1. Comparison over uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7 (4). pp. 1576-1601. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000468

Holloway, Christopher E., Woolnough, Steven J. and Lister, Grenville M. S. (2015) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part II: Processes leading to differences in MJO development. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (7). pp. 2719-2743. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0308.1

Xavier, Prince K., Petch, Jon C., Klingaman, Nicholas P., Woolnough, Steven J., Jiang, Xianan, Waliser, Duane E., Caian, Mihaela, Cole, Jason, Hagos, Samson M., Hannay, Cecile, Kim, Daehyun, Miyakawa, Tomoki, Pritchard, Michael S., Roehrig, Romain, Shindo, Eiki, Vitart, Frederic and Wang, Hailan (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Biases and uncertainties at short range. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4749-4763. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022718

Klingaman, Nicholas P, Woolnough, Steven, Jiang, Xianan, Waliser, Duane, Xavier, Prince K, Petch, Jon, Caian, Mihaela, Hannay, Cecile, Kim, Daehyun, Ma, Hsi-Yen, Merryfield, William J., Miyakawa, Tomoki, Pritchard, Mike, Ridout, James A., Roehrig, Romain, Shindo, Eiki, Vitart, Frederic, Wang, Hailan, Cavanaugh, Nicholas R., Mapes, Brian E., Shelly, Ann and Zhang, Guang J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Linking hindcast fidelity to simulated diabatic heating and moistening. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4690-4717. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022374

Jiang, Xianan, Waliser, Duane E., Xavier, Prince K., Petch, Jon, Klingaman, Nicholas P., Woolnough, Steven J., Guan, Bin, Bellon, Gilles, Crueger, Traute, DeMott, Charlotte, Hannay, Cecile, Lin, Hai, Hu, Wenting, Kim, Daehyun, Lappen, Cara-Lyn, Lu, Mong-Ming, Ma, Hsi-Yen, Miyakawa, Tomoki, Ridout, James A., Schubert, Siegfried D., Scinocca, John, Seo, Kyong-Hwan, Shindo, Eiki, Song, Xiaoliang, Stan, Cristina, Tseng, Wan-Ling, Wang, Wanqiu, Wu, Tongwen, Wu, Xiaoqing, Wyser, Klaus, Zhang, Guang J and Zhu, Hongyan (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: exploring key model physics in climate simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4718-4748. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022375

Klingaman, Nicholas P., Jiang, Xianan, Xavier, Prince K., Petch, Jon, Waliser, Duane and Woolnough, Steven J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: synthesis and summary. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4671-4689. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023196

Hirons, L.C., Klingaman, N.P. and Woolnough, S.J. (2015) MetUM-GOML: a near-globally coupled atmosphere–ocean-mixed-layer model. Geoscientific Model Development, 8. pp. 363-379. ISSN 1991-962X doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-363-2015

Daleu, C. L., Woolnough, S. J. and Plant, R.S. (2015) Transition from suppressed to active convection modulated by a weak-temperature gradient derived large-scale circulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (2). pp. 834-853. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0041.1

Bush, Stephanie J., Turner, Andy G., Woolnough, Steven J., Martin, Gill M. and Klingaman, Nick P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2371

Stein, Thorwald H. M., Parker, Douglas J., Hogan, Robin J., Birch, Cathryn, Holloway, Chris E., Lister, Grenville, Marsham, John H. and Woolnough, Steven J. (2015) The representation of the West-African Monsoon vertical cloud structure in the Met Office Unified Model: an evaluation with CloudSat. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2614

Toniazzo, Thomas and Woolnough, Steven (2014) Development of warm SST errors in the southern tropical Atlantic in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 43 (11). pp. 2889-2913. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1691-2

Klingaman, Nick and Woolnough, Steven (2014) The role of air–sea coupling in the simulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (684). pp. 2272-2286. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2295

Vanniere, Benoit, Guilyardi, Eric, Toniazzo, Thomas, Madec, Gurvan and Woolnough, Steve (2014) A systematic approach to identify the sources of tropical SST errors in coupled models using the adjustment of initialised experiments. Climate Dynamics, 43 (7-8). pp. 2261-2282. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2051-6

Holloway, Christopher E., Petch, Jon C., Beare, Robert J., Bechtold, Peter, Craig, George C., Derbyshire, Stephen H., Donner, Leo J., Field, Paul R., Gray, Suzanne L., Marsham, John H., Parker, Douglas J., Plant, Robert S., Roberts, Nigel M., Schultz, David M., Stirling, Alison J. and Woolnough, Steven J. (2014) Understanding and representing atmospheric convection across scales: recommendations from the meeting held at Dartington Hall, Devon, UK, 28–30 January 2013. Atmospheric Science Letters, 15 (4). pp. 348-353. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl2.508

Pearson, K. J., Lister, G. M. S., Birch, C. E., Allan, R. P., Hogan, R. J. and Woolnough, S. J. (2014) Modelling the diurnal cycle of tropical convection across the "Grey Zone". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (679). pp. 491-499. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2145

Klingaman, Nick and Woolnough, Steven (2014) Using a case-study approach to improve the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (685). pp. 2491-2505. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2314

Tobin, Isabelle, Bony, Sandrine, Holloway, Christopher E, Grandpeix, Jean-Yves, Seze, Genevieve, Coppin, David, Woolnough, Steven J and Roca, Remy (2013) Does convective aggregation need to be represented in cumulus parameterizations? Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5 (4). pp. 692-703. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jame.20047

Klingaman, Nicholas, Woolnough, Steven and Syktus, Jozef (2013) On the drivers of inter-annual and decadal rainfall variability in Queensland, Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (10). pp. 2413-2430. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3593

Holloway, Christopher E., Woolnough, Steven J. and Lister, Grenville M. S. (2013) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part I: Characterization of large-scale organization and propagation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (5). pp. 1342-1369. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0227.1

Vanniere, Benoit, Guilyardi, Eric, Madec, Gurvan, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. and Woolnough, Steven (2013) Using seasonal hindcasts to understand the origin of the equatorial cold tongue bias in CGCMs and its impact on ENSO. Climate Dynamics, 40 (3-4). pp. 963-981. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1429-6

Holloway, C.E., Woolnough, S.J. and Lister, G.M.S. (2012) Precipitation distributions for explicit versus parameterized convection in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138. pp. 1692-1708. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1903

Turner, A. G., Joshi, M., Robertson, E. S. and Woolnough, S. J. (2012) The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 811-826. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1254-3

Daleu, Chimene L., Woolnough, Steven J. and Plant, R. S. (2012) Cloud-resolving model simulations with one- and two-way couplings via the weak temperature gradient approximation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (12). pp. 3683-3699. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-058.1

Klingaman, Nicholas P., Woolnough, Steven J., Weller, Hilary and Slingo, Julia M. (2011) The impact of finer-resolution air-sea coupling on the intraseasonal oscillation of the Indian monsoon. Journal of Climate, 24 (10). pp. 2451-2468. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3868.1

Woolnough, Steven James, Blossey, P.N, Xu, K.-M., Bechtold, P., Chaboureau, J.-P., Hosomi, T., Iacobellis, S.F., Luo, Y., Petch, J.C., Wong, R. and Xie, S. (2010) Modelling convective processes during the suppressed phase of the a Madden-Julian Oscillation: Comparing single-column models with cloud resolving models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (647). pp. 333-353. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.568

Waliser, D, Sperber, K, Hendon, H, Kim, D, Maloney, E, Wheeler, M, Weickmann, K, Zhang, C, Donner, L, Gottschalck, J, Higgins, W, Kang, I-S, Legler, D, Moncrieff, M, Schubert, S, Stern, W, Vitart, F, Wang , B, Wang, W and Woolnough, Steven James (2009) MJO Simulation Diagnostics. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3006-3030. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2731.1

Klingaman, Nicholas Pappas, Weller, Hilary, Woolnough, Steven James, Inness, Peter Michael and Slingo, Julia Mary (2009) Coupled simulations of the Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillation using a fine-resolution mixed-layer ocean model. In: ECMWF Workshop on Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions, 10-12 Nov 2008, Reading, pp. 195-205.

Bernie, D.J., Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Slingo, J.M., Woolnough, S.J. and Cole, J. (2008) Impact of resolving the diurnal cycle in an ocean-atmosphere GCM. Part 2: A diurnally coupled CGCM. Climate Dynamics, 31 (7-8). pp. 909-925. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0429-z

Willett, M.R., Bechtold, P., Williamson, D.L., Petch, J.C., Milton, S.F. and Woolnough, S.J. (2008) Modelling suppressed and active convection: Comparisons between three global atmospheric models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 134 (636). pp. 1881-1896. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.317

Bernie, D. J., Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Slingo, J. M. and Woolnough, S. W. (2007) Impact of resolving the diurnal cycle in an ocean-atmosphere GCM. Part 1: A diurnally forced OGCM. Climate Dynamics, 29 (6). pp. 575-590. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0249-6

Petch, J. C., Willet, M., Wong, R. Y. and Woolnough, S. J. (2007) Modelling suppressed and active convection. Comparing a numerical weather predicition, cloud resolving and single-column model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133 (626). pp. 1087-1100. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.109

Vitart, F., Woolnough, S. J., Balmaseda, M. A. and Tompkins, A. M. (2007) Monthly Forecasting of the Madden-Julian Oscillation using a coupled GCM. Monthly Weather Review, 135 (7). pp. 2700-2715. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3415.1

Woolnough, S. J., Vitart, F. and Balmaseda, M. A. (2007) The role of the ocean in the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Implications for MJO prediction. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 133 (622). pp. 117-128. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4

Bernie, D. J., Woolnough, S. J., Slingo, J. M. and Guilyardi, E. (2005) Modeling diurnal and intraseasonal variability of the ocean mixed layer. Journal Of Climate, 18 (8). pp. 1190-1202. ISSN 1520-0442

Woolnough, S. J., Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2004) The diurnal cycle of convection and atmospheric tides in an aquaplanet. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 61. pp. 2559-2573. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3290.1

Slingo, Julia, Inness, Peter, Neale, Richard, Woolnough, Steven and Yang, Gui (2002) Scale interactions on diurnal to seasonal timescales and their relevance to model systematic errors. Annals of Geophysics, 46 (1). pp. 139-155. ISSN 2037-416X doi: https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-3383

Inness, Peter Michael, Slingo, Julia Mary, Woolnough, Steven James, Neale, Richard B. and Pope, V. D. (2001) Organisation of tropical convection in a GCM with varying vertical resolution: Implications for the simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 17 (10). pp. 777-793. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820000148

Woolnough, Steven James, Slingo, Julia Mary and Hoskins, Brian John (2001) The organisation of tropical convection by intraseasonal sea surface temperature anomalies. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (573). pp. 887-908. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712757310

Woolnough, Steven James, Slingo, Julia Mary and Hoskins, Brian John (2000) The relationship between convection and sea surface temperature on intraseasonal timescales. Journal of Climate, 13 (12). pp. 2086-2104. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2086:TRBCAS>2.0.CO;2

Woolnough, Steven James, Allen, John Robert Lawrence and Wood, W.L. (1995) An exploratory numerical model of sediment deposition over tidal saltmarshes. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 41 (5). pp. 515-543. ISSN 0272-7714 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/0272-7714(95)90025-X