Article

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8095

Bulgin, C. E., Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df (In Press)

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. and Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 (2022) Recent decadal weakening of the summer Eurasian westerly jet attributable to anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Nature Communications, 13. 1148. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28816-5

Saffin, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6744-7785, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Bland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2706-2853, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Sanchez, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5069-6849 (2021) Circulation conservation in the outflow of warm conveyor belts and consequences for Rossby wave evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4143

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Woiwode, W., Dörnbrack, A., Polichtchouk, I., Johansson, S., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Höpfner, M., Ungermann, J. and Friedl-Vallon, F. (2020) Technical note: lowermost-stratospheric moist bias in ECMWF IFS model diagnosed from airborne GLORIA observations during winter/spring 2016. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20. pp. 15379-15387. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-367

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Cook, P., Shaffrey, L. C. and Schiemann, R. (2020) The response of the northern hemisphere storm tracks and jet streams to climate change in the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (23). e2020JD032701. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032701

Schäfler, A., Harvey, B., Methven, J., Doyle, J. D., Rahm, S., Reitebuch, O., Weiler, F. and Witschas, B. (2020) Observation of jet stream winds during NAWDEX and characterization of systematic meteorological analysis errors. Monthly Weather Review, 148 (7). pp. 2889-2907. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0229.1

Harvey, B., Methven, J., Sanchez, C. and Schaefler, A. (2020) Diabatic generation of negative potential vorticity and its impact on the North Atlantic jet stream. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1477-1497. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3747

Harvey, B., Methven, J. and Ambaum, M. (2018) An adiabatic mechanism for the reduction of jet meander amplitude by potential vorticity filamentation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75. pp. 4091-4106. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0136.1

Novakova, L., Ambaum, M. H. P. and Harvey, B. J. (2018) Baroclinic adjustment and dissipative control of storm tracks. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (9). pp. 2955-2970. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0210.1

Woollings, T., Barriopedro, D., Methven, J., Son, S.-W., Martius, O., Harvey, B., Sillmann, J., Lupo, A. R. and Seneviratne, S. (2018) Blocking and its response to climate change. Current Climate Change Reports, 4 (3). pp. 287-300. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0108-z

Schäfler, A., Craig, G., Wernli, H., Arbogast, P., Doyle, J. D., McTaggart-Cowan, R., Methven, J., Rivière, G., Ament, F., Boettcher, M., Bramberger, M., Cazenave, Q., Cotton, R., Crewell, S., Delanoë, J., Dörnbrack, A., Ehrlich, A., Ewald, F., Fix, A., Grams, C. M., Gray, S. L., Grob, H., Groß, S., Hagen, M., Harvey, B., Hirsch, L., Jacob, M., Kölling, T., Konow, H., Lemmerz, C., Lux, O., Magnusson, L., Mayer, B., Mech, M., Moore, R., Pelon, J., Quinting, J., Rahm, S., Rapp, M., Rautenhaus, M., Reitebuch, O., Reynolds, C. A., Sodemann, H., Spengler, T., Vaughan, G., Wendisch, M., Wirth, M., Witschas, B., Wolf, K. and Zinner, T. (2018) The North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). pp. 1607-1637. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0003.1

Li, C., Michel, C., Graff, L. S., Bethke, I., Zappa, G., Bracegirdle, T. J., Fischer, E., Harvey, B., Iversen, T., King, M. P., Krishnan, H., Lierhammer, L., Mitchell, D., Scinocca, J., Shiogama, H., Stone, D. A. and Wettstein, J. J. (2018) Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5C and 2.0C warming and implications for regional impacts. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (2). pp. 359-382. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018

Harvey, B., Methven, J., Eagle, C. and Lean, H. (2017) Does the representation of flow structure and turbulence at a cold front converge on multi-scale observations with model resolution? Monthly Weather Review, 145 (11). pp. 4345-4363. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0479.1

Mitchell, D., Davini, P., Harvey, B., Massey, N., Haustein, K., Woollings, T., Jones, R., Otto, F., Guillod, B., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M. (2017) Assessing mid-latitude dynamics in extreme event attribution systems. Climate Dynamics, 48 (11-12). pp. 3889-3901. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3308-z

Kennedy, D., Parker, T., Woollings, T., Harvey, B. and Shaffrey, L. (2016) The response of high-impact blocking weather systems to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (13). pp. 7250-7258. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069725

Harvey, B. J., Methven, J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2016) Rossby wave propagation on potential vorticity fronts with finite width. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 794. pp. 775-797. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2016.180

Harvey, B. J., Shaffrey, L. C. and Woollings, T. J. (2015) Deconstructing the climate change response of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime storm tracks. Climate Dynamics, 45 (9). pp. 2847-2860. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2510-8

Vaughan, G., Methven, J., Anderson, D., Antonescu, B., Baker, L., Baker, T. P., Ballard, S. P., Bower, K. N., Brown, P. R. A., Chagnon, J., Choularton, T. W., Chylik, J., Connolly, P. J., Cook, P. A., Cotton, R. J., Crosier, J., Dearden, C., Dorsey, J. R., Frame, T. H. A., Gallagher, M. W., Goodliff, M., Gray, S. L., Harvey, B. J., Knippertz, P., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Lloyd, G., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Nicol, J., Norris, J., Öström, E., Owen, J., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S., Renfrew, I. A., Roberts, N. M., Rosenberg, P., Rudd, A. C., Schultz, D. M., Taylor, J. P., Trzeciak, T., Tubbs, R., Vance, A. K., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Wellpott, A. and Woolley, A. (2015) Cloud banding and winds in intense European cyclones: results from the DIAMET project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00238.1

Harvey, B., Shaffrey, L. and Woollings, T. (2014) Equator-to-pole temperature differences and the extra-tropical storm track responses of the CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43 (5-6). pp. 1171-1182. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1883-9

Woollings, T., Harvey, B. and Masato, G. (2014) Arctic warming, atmospheric blocking and cold European winters in CMIP5 models. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (1). 014002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/014002

Woollings, T., Harvey, B., Zahn, M. and Shaffrey, L. (2012) On the role of the ocean in projected atmospheric stability changes in the Atlantic polar low region. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (24). L24802. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054016

Harvey, B. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Woollings, T. J., Zappa, G. and Hodges, K. I. (2012) How large are projected 21st century storm track changes? Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18707. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052873

Harvey, B. J., Ambaum, M. H. P. and Carton, X. J. (2011) Instability of shielded surface temperature vortices. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68. pp. 964-971. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010jas3669.1

Harvey, B. J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2011) Perturbed Rankine vortices in surface quasi-geostrophic dynamics. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 105 (4-5). pp. 377-391. ISSN 1029-0419 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091921003694719

Harvey, B. J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2010) Instability of surface-temperature filaments in strain and shear. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (651). pp. 1506-1513. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.651