Items where Author is "Shepherd, Professor Ted"
Group by: Item Type | No Grouping Number of items: 286. ArticleMindlin, Julia, Vera, Carolina S., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Osman, Marisol (2023) Plausible drying and wetting scenarios for summer in southeastern South America. Journal of Climate, 36 (22). pp. 7973-7991. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0134.1 Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Coulter, Liese, Dessai, Suraje, Shepherd, Theodore G., Sillmann, Jana and Van den Hurk, Bart (2023) Varieties of approaches to constructing Physical Climate Storylines: a review. WIREs Climate Change. ISSN 1757-7799 (In Press) Li, Runqiu, Xu, Xin, Xu, Xiangde, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Wang, Yuan (2023) Importance of orographic gravity waves over the Tibetan plateau on the spring rainfall in East Asia. Science China Earth Sciences, 66 (11). pp. 2594-2602. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-023-1204-6 Chan, Wilson C.H., Arnell, Nigel W., Darch, Geoff, Facer-Childs, Katie, Shepherd, Theodore G., Tanguy, Maliko and van der Wiel, Karin (2023) Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain. Journal of Hydrology, 625. 130074. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130074 Lloyd, Elisabeth A and Shepherd, Theodore G (2023) Foundations of attribution in climate-change science. Environmental Research Climate, 2 (3). 034014. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/aceea1 Caviedes-Voullième, Daniel and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2023) Climate storylines as a way of bridging the gap between information and decision-making in hydrological risk. PLOS Climate, 2 (8). e0000270. ISSN 2767-3200 doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000270 Jain, Shipra, Scaife, Adam A., Shepherd, Theodore G., Deser, Clara, Dunstone, Nick, Schmidt, Gavin A., Trenberth, Kevin E. and Turkington, Thea (2023) Importance of internal variability for climate model assessment. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 68. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00389-0 van den Hurk, Bart J. J. M., Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Boere, Esther, Ciullo, Alessio, Coulter, Liese, Dessai, Suraje, Ercin, Ertug, Goulart, Hemrique M.D., Hamed, Raed, Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan, Koks, Elco, Kubiczek, Patryk, Levermann, Anders, Mechler, Reinhard, van Meersbergen, Maarten, Mester, Benedikt, Middelanis, Robin, Minderhoud, Katie, Mysiak, Jaroslav, Nirandjan, Sadhana, van den Oord, Gijs, Otto, Christian, Sayers, Paul, Schewe, Jacob, Shepherd, Theodore G., Sillmann, Jana, Stuparu, Dana, Vogt, Thomas and Witpas, Katrien (2023) Climate impact storylines for assessing socio-economic responses to remote events. Climate Risk Management, 40. 100500. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2023.100500 Brunet, Gilbert, Parsons, David B., Ivanov, Dimitar, Lee, Boram, Bauer, Peter, Bernier, Natacha B., Bouchet, Veronique, Brown, Andy, Busalacchi, Antonio, Campbell Flatter, Georgina, Goffer, Rei, Davies, Paul, Ebert, Beth, Gutbrod, Karl, Hong, Songyou, Kenabatho, P. K., Koppert, Hans-Joachim, Lesolle, David, Lynch, Amanda H., Mahfouf, Jean-François, Ogallo, Laban, Palmer, Tim, Petty, Kevin, Schulze, Dennis, Shepherd, Theodore G., Stocker, Thomas F., Thorpe, Alan and Yu, Rucong (2023) Advancing weather and climate forecasting for our changing world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (4). E909-E927. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0262.1 Ghosh, Rohit and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2023) Storylines of Maritime Continent dry period precipitation changes under global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (3). 034017. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb788 Falkena, S.K.J., de Wiljes, J., Weisheimer, A. and Shepherd, T.G. (2023) A Bayesian approach to atmospheric circulation regime assignment. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0419.1 (In Press) Kunimitsu, Taro, Baldissera Pacchetti, Marina, Ciullo, Alessio, Sillmann, Jana, Shepherd, Theodore G., Taner, Mehmet Ümit and van den Hurk, Bart (2023) Representing storylines with causal networks to support decision making: framework and example. Climate Risk Management, 40. 100496. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2023.100496 Breul, Philipp, Ceppi, Paulo and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2023) Revisiting the wintertime emergent constraint of the southern hemispheric midlatitude jet response to global warming. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (1). pp. 39-47. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-39-2023 Osman, Marisol, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Vera, Carolina S. (2022) The combined influence of the stratospheric polar vortex and ENSO on zonal asymmetries in the Southern Hemisphere upper tropospheric circulation during austral spring and summer. Climate Dynamics, 59 (9-10). pp. 2949-2964. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06225-0 Arribas, Alberto, Fairgrieve, Ross, Dhu, Trevor, Bell, Juliet, Cornforth, Rosalind, Gooley, Geoff, Hilson, Chris J., Luers, Amy, Shepherd, Theodore G., Street, Roger and Wood, Nick (2022) Climate risk assessment needs urgent improvement. Nature Communications, 13. 4326. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-31979-w Chan, Wilson C. H., Shepherd, Theodore G., Facer-Childs, Katie, Darch, Geoff and Arnell, Nigel W. (2022) Tracking the methodological development of climate change projections for UK river flows. Progress in Physical Geography, 46 (4). pp. 589-612. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/03091333221079201 Breul, Philipp, Ceppi, Paulo and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2022) Relationship between Southern Hemispheric jet variability and forced response: the role of the stratosphere. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3. pp. 645-658. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-645-2022 Chan, Wilson C. H., Shepherd, Theodore G., Facer-Childs, Katie, Darch, Geoff and Arnell, Nigel W. (2022) Storylines of UK drought based on the 2010-2012 event. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26 (7). pp. 1755-1777. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1755-2022 Monge-Sanz, Beatriz M., Bozzo, Alessio, Byrne, Nicholas, Chipperfield, Martyn P., Diamantakis, Michail, Flemming, Johannes, Gray, Lesley J., Hogan, Robin J., Jones, Luke, Magnusson, Linus, Polichtchouk, Inna, Shepherd, Theodore G., Wedi, Nils and Weisheimer, Antje (2022) A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth system models: performance, impacts and future. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22. pp. 4277-4302. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4277-2022 Rodrigues, Regina R. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2022) Small is beautiful: climate-change science as if people mattered. PNAS Nexus, 1 (1). pgac009. ISSN 2752-6542 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac009 Scaife, A. A., Baldwin, M. P., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C.I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P., Karpechko, A. Y., Lim, E.-P., Noguchi, S., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L., Richter, J. H., Scinocca, J., Sigmond, M., Shepherd, T. G., Son, S.-W. and Thompson, D. W. J. (2022) Long-range prediction and the stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22. pp. 2601-2623. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2601-2022 Pulkkinen, Karoliina, Undorf, Sabine, Bender, Frida, Wikman-Svahn, Per, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Flynn, Clare, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Jönsson, Aiden, Leung, Gah-Kai, Roussos, Joe, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Thompson, Erica (2022) The value of values in climate science. Nature Climate Change, 12. pp. 4-6. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01238-9 Tamarin-Brodsky, Talia, Hodges, Kevin, Hoskins, Brian J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2022) A simple model for interpreting temperature variability and its higher-order changes. Journal of Climate, 35 (1). pp. 387-403. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0310.1 Falkena, Swinda K. J., de Wiljes, Jana, Weisheimer, Antje and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2022) Detection of interannual ensemble forecast signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using atmospheric circulation regimes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (742). pp. 434-453. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4213 Yessimbet, Kamilya, Shepherd, Theodore G., Ossó, Albert C. and Steiner, Andrea K. (2022) Pathways of influence between northern hemisphere blocking and stratospheric polar vortex variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (23). e2022GL100895. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100895 Shepherd, Theodore G. and Lloyd, Elisabeth A. (2021) Meaningful climate science. Climatic Change, 169 (17). ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03246-2 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2021) Bringing physical reasoning into statistical practice in climate-change science. Climatic Change, 169 (2). ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03226-6
Leung, Tsz Yan Stephan, Claudia C., Zagar, Nedjeljka and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2021) Waves and coherent flows in the tropical atmosphere: new opportunities, old challenges. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (738). pp. 2597-2624. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4109 Lloyd, Elisabeth A. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2021) Climate change attribution and legal contexts: evidence and the role of storylines. Climatic Change, 167. 28. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03177-y Mindlin, Julia, Shepherd, Theodore G., Vera, Carolina and Osman, Marisol (2021) Combined effects of global warming and ozone depletion/recovery on Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation and regional precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (12). e2021GL092568. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL092568 Bevacqua, Emanuele, Shepherd, Theodore G., Watson, Peter A. G., Sparrow, Sarah, Wallom, David and Mitchell, Dann (2021) Larger spatial footprint of wintertime total precipitation extremes in a warmer climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (8). e2020GL091990. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091990 Zappa, Giuseppe, Bevacqua, Emanuele and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2021) Communicating potentially large but non-robust changes in multi-model projections of future climate. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (6). pp. 3657-3669. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7041 Lim, Eun-Pa, Hendon, Henry H., Butler, Amy H., Thompson, David W. J., Lawrence, Zachary D., Scaife, Adam A., Shepherd, Theodore G., Polichtchouk, Inna, Nakamura, Hisashi, Kobayashi, Chiaki, Comer, Ruth, Coy, Lawrence, Dowdy, Andrew, Garreaud, Rene D., Newman, Paul A. and Wang, Guomin (2021) The 2019 Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex weakening and its impacts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (6). pp. 1150-1171. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0112.1 Sillmann, Jana, Shepherd, Theodore G., van den Hurk, Bart, Hazeleger, Wilco, Martius, Olivia, Slingo, Julia and Zscheischler, Jakob (2021) Event-based storylines to address climate risk. Earth's Future, 9 (2). ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001783 Zappa, Giuseppe, Ceppi, Paulo and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2021) Eurasian cooling in response to Arctic sea-ice loss is not proved by maximum covariance analysis. Nature Climate Change, 11. pp. 106-108. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00982-8 van Garderen, L., Feser, F. and Shepherd, T. G. (2021) A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS), 21 (1). pp. 171-186. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021
Kretschmer, M. Young, Hannah R., Shepherd, Theodore G., Acidri, James, Cornforth, Rosalind J., Petty, Celia, Seaman, John and Todman, Lindsay C. (2021) Storylines for decision-making: climate and food security in Namibia. Climate and Development, 13 (6). pp. 515-528. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1808438 Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. (2020) Shorter cyclone clusters modulate changes in European wintertime precipitation extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (12). 124005. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde7 Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K., Shepherd, T. G., Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z
Leung, Tsz Yan Juanchich, M., Shepherd, T. G. and Sirota, M. (2020) Negations in uncertainty lexicon affect attention, decision-making and trust. Climatic Change, 162 (3). pp. 1677-1698. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02737-y Falkena, S. K. J., de Wiljes, J., Weisheimer, A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2020) Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146. pp. 2801-2814. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3818 Bevacqua, Emanuele, Vousdoukas, Michalis I., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Vrac, Mathieu (2020) Brief communication: the role of using precipitation or river discharge data when assessing global coastal compound flooding. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS), 20. pp. 1765-1782. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1765-2020 Lloyd, Elisabeth A. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2020) Environmental catastrophes, climate change, and attribution. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1469 (1). pp. 105-124. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14308 Shepherd, T. G. and Sobel, A. H. (2020) Localness in climate change. Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa and the Middle East, 40 (1). pp. 7-16. ISSN 1548-226X doi: https://doi.org/10.1215/1089201X-8185983 Mindlin, J., Shepherd, T. G., Vera, C., Osman, M., Zappa, G., Lee, R. W. and Hodges, K. I. (2020) Storyline description of Southern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation and precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 4399-4421. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05234-1 Zappa, Giuseppe, Ceppi, Paulo and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2020) Time-evolving sea surface warming patterns modulate the climate change response of subtropical precipitation over land. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (9). pp. 4539-4545. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1911015117 Hartung, K., Shepherd, T.G., Hoskins, B.J., Methven, J. and Svensson, G. (2020) Diagnosing topographic forcing in an atmospheric dataset: the case of the North American Cordillera. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (726). pp. 314-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3677 Boljka, L. and Shepherd, T.G. (2020) Multiscale extratropical barotropic variability on the subseasonal-to-seasonal timescale. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (726). pp. 301-313. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3676 Tamarin-Brodsky, T., Hodges, K., Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. (2020) Changes in northern hemisphere temperature variability shaped by regional warming patterns. Nature Geoscience, 13. pp. 414-421. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0576-3
Kretschmer, M.
Leung, Tsz Yan Ceppi, P. and Shepherd, T. G. (2019) The role of the stratospheric polar vortex for the austral jet response to greenhouse gas forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (12). pp. 6972-6979. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082883 Sandu, I., van Niekerk, A., Shepherd, T. G., Vosper, S. B., Zadra, A., Bacmeister, J., Beljaars, A., Brown, A. R., Dörnbrack, A., McFarlane, N., Pithan, F. and Svensson, G. (2019) Impacts of orography on large-scale atmospheric circulation. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2. 10. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0065-9 Shepherd, T. G. (2019) Storyline approach to the construction of regional climate change information. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 475 (2225). 20190013. ISSN 1471-2946 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2019.0013 Løhre, E., Juanchich, M., Sirota, M., Teigen, K. H. and Shepherd, T. G. (2019) Climate scientists’ wide prediction intervals may be more likely but are perceived to be less certain. Weather, Climate and Society, 11 (3). pp. 565-575. ISSN 1948-8327 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0136.1
Saggioro, Elena Byrne, N. J., Shepherd, T. G. and Polichtchouk, I. (2019) Subseasonal-to-seasonal predictability of the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet during austral spring and early summer. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (13). pp. 6841-6855. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD030173 Tamarin-Brodsky, Talia, Hodges, Kevin, Hoskins, Brian J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2019) A dynamical perspective on atmospheric temperature variability and its response to climate change. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1707-1724. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0462.1 Shepherd, Theodore G., Boyd, E., Calel, R. A., Chapman, S. C., Dessai, S., Dima-West, I. M., Fowler, H. J., James, R., Maraun, D., Martius, O., Senior, C. A., Sobel, A. H., Stainforth, D. A., Tett, S. F. B., Trenberth, K. E., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Watkins, N. W., Wilby, R. L. and Zenghelis, D. A. (2018) Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change. Climatic Change, 151 (3-4). pp. 555-571. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9 Polichtchouk, Inna, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Byrne, Nicholas J. (2018) Impact of parametrized nonorographic gravity wave drag on stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the northern and southern hemispheres. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (16). pp. 8612-8618. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078981 Boljka, L., Shepherd, T. G. and Blackburn, M. (2018) On the coupling between barotropic and baroclinic modes of extratropical atmospheric variability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1853-1871. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0370.1 Boljka, L. and Shepherd, T. G. (2018) A multiscale asymptotic theory of extratropical wave–mean flow interaction. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1833-1852. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-17-0307.1 Byrne, N. J. and Shepherd, T. G. (2018) Seasonal persistence of circulation anomalies in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere, and its implications for the troposphere. Journal of Climate, 31 (9). pp. 3467-3483. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0557.1 Polichtchouk, I., Shepherd, T. G., Hogan, R. J. and Bechtold, P. (2018) Sensitivity of the Brewer-Dobson circulation and polar vortex variability to parameterized nonorographic gravity wave drag in a high-resolution atmospheric model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (5). pp. 1525-1543. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-17-0304.1 Ceppi, Paulo, Zappa, Giuseppe, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Gregory, Jonathan M. (2018) Fast and slow components of the extratropical atmospheric circulation response to CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 31 (3). pp. 1091-1105. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0323.1 Zappa, Giuseppe, Pithan, Felix and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2018) Multimodel evidence for an atmospheric circulation response to Arctic sea ice loss in the CMIP5 future projections. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (2). pp. 1011-1019. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076096 Karlsson, B. and Shepherd, T. G. (2018) The improbable clouds at the edge of the atmosphere. Physics Today, 71 (6). pp. 30-60. ISSN 0031-9228 doi: https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.3946 Ceppi, Paulo and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2017) Contributions of climate feedbacks to changes in atmospheric circulation. Journal of Climate, 30 (22). pp. 9097-9118. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0189.1 Byrne, Nicholas J., Shepherd, Theodore G., Woollings, Tim and Plumb, R. Alan (2017) Non-stationarity in Southern Hemisphere climate variability associated with the seasonal breakdown of the stratospheric polar vortex. Journal of Climate, 30 (18). pp. 7125-7139. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0097.1 Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. (2017) Storylines of atmospheric circulation change for European regional climate impact assessment. Journal of Climate, 30 (16). pp. 6561-6577. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0807.1 van Niekerk, A., Scinocca, J. F. and Shepherd, T. G. (2017) The modulation of stationary waves, and their response to climate change, by parameterized orographic drag. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74 (8). pp. 2557-2574. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0085.1 Maraun, Douglas, Shepherd, Theodore G., Widmann, Martin, Zappa, Giuseppe, Walton, Daniel, Gutierrez, Jose M., Hagemann, Stefan, Richter, Ingo, Soares, Pedro M. M., Hall, Alex and Mearns, Linda O. (2017) Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations. Nature Climate Change, 7. pp. 764-773. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE3418 Polichtchouk, I. and Shepherd, T. G. (2016) Zonal-mean circulation response to reduced air-sea momentum roughness. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (700). pp. 2611-2622. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2850 (Part A) Shepherd, T.G. (2016) Effects of a warming Arctic. Science, 353 (6303). pp. 989-990. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag2349 Pithan, F., Shepherd, T. G., Zappa, G. and Sandu, I. (2016) Climate model biases in jet streams, blocking and storm tracks resulting from missing orographic drag. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (13). pp. 7231-7240. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069551 van Niekerk, A., Shepherd, T. G., Vosper, S. B. and Webster, S. (2016) Sensitivity of resolved and parameterized surface drag to changes in resolution and parameterization. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (699). pp. 2300-2313. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2821 Simmons, Adrian, Fellous, Jean-Louis, Ramaswamy, Venkatachalam, Trenberth, Kevin, Asrar, Ghassem, Balmaseda, Magdalena, Burrows, John P., Ciais, Philippe, Drinkwater, Mark, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Gobron, Nadine, Guilyardi, Eric, Halpern, David, Heimann, Martin, Johannessen, Johnny, Levelt, Pieternel F., Lopez-Baeza, Ernesto, Penner, Joyce, Scholes, Robert and Shepherd, Ted (2016) Observation and integrated Earth-system science: a roadmap for 2016–2025. Advances in Space Research, 57 (10). pp. 2037-2103. ISSN 0273-1177 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2016.03.008 Byrne, N. J., Shepherd, T. G., Woollings, T. and Plumb, R. A. (2016) Annular modes and apparent eddy feedbacks in the Southern Hemisphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (8). pp. 3897-3902. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068851 Sandu, Irina, Bechtold, Peter, Beljaars, Anton, Bozzo, Alessio, Pithan, Felix, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Zadra, Ayrton (2016) Impacts of parameterized orographic drag on the Northern Hemisphere winter circulation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 196-211. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000564 Shepherd, T. G. (2016) A common framework for approaches to extreme event attribution. Current Climate Change Reports, 2. pp. 28-38. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-016-0033-y Overland, J. E., Dethloff, K., Francis, J. A., Hall, R. J., Hanna, E., Kim, S.-J., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. and Vihma, T. (2016) Nonlinear response of mid-latitude weather to the changing Arctic. Nature Climate Change, 6 (11). pp. 992-999. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3121 Zappa, Giuseppe, Hoskins, Brian J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2015) The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (10). 104012. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104012 McLandress, C., Shepherd, T. G., Jonsson, A. I., von Clarmann, T. and Funke, B. (2015) A method for merging nadir-sounding climate records, with an application to the global-mean stratospheric temperature data sets from SSU and AMSU. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15. pp. 9271-9284. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-9271-2015 Zappa, Giuseppe, Hoskins, Brian J. and Shepherd, Ted G. (2015) Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation. Journal of Climate, 28 (16). pp. 6381-6397. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00823.1 Shepherd, T. G. (2015) The dynamics of temperature extremes. Nature, 522 (7557). pp. 425-427. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/522425a Trenberth, Kevin E., Fasullo, John T. and Shepherd, Ted G. (2015) Attribution of climate extreme events. Nature Climate Change, 5 (8). pp. 725-730. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2657 Bony, Sandrine, Stevens, Bjorn, Frierson, Dargan M. W., Jakob, Christian, Kageyama, Masa, Pincus, Robert, Shepherd, Theodore G., Sherwood, Steven C., Siebesma, A. Pier, Sobel, Adam H., Watanabe, Masahiro and Webb, Mark J. (2015) Clouds, circulation and climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience, 8 (4). pp. 261-268. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO2398 Matthias, V., Shepherd, T. G., Hoffmann, P. and Rapp, M. (2015) The Hiccup: a dynamical coupling process during the autumn transition in the Northern Hemisphere – similarities and differences to sudden stratospheric warmings. Annales Geophysicae, 33 (2). pp. 199-206. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-33-199-2015 Burgess, B. H., Scott, R. K. and Shepherd, T. G. (2015) Kraichnan–Leith–Batchelor similarity theory and two-dimensional inverse cascades. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 767. pp. 467-496. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2015.26 Yamashita, Y., Akiyoshi, H., Shepherd, T. G. and Takahashi, M. (2015) The combined influences of westerly phase of the quasi biennial oscillation and 11-year solar maximum conditions on the Northern Hemisphere extratropical winter circulation. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 93 (6). pp. 629-644. ISSN 0026-1165 doi: https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2015-054 Shepherd, T.G. (2014) Atmospheric circulation as a source of uncertainty in climate change projections. Nature Geoscience, 7. pp. 703-708. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2253 Marshall, John, Armour, Kyle C., Scott, Jeffery R., Kostov, Yavor, Hausmann, Ute, Ferreira, David, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Bitz, Cecilia M. (2014) The ocean's role in polar climate change: asymmetric Arctic and Antarctic responses to greenhouse gas and ozone forcing. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 372 (2019). 20130040. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2013.0040 Sigmond, Michael and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2014) Compensation between resolved wave driving and parameterized orographic gravity wave driving of the Brewer–Dobson circulation and its response to climate change. Journal of Climate, 27 (14). pp. 5601-5610. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00644.1 Shepherd, T. G., Plummer, D. A., Scinocca, J. F., Hegglin, M. I., Fioletov, V. E., Reader, M. C., Remsberg, E., von Clarmann, T. and Wang, H. J. (2014) Reconciliation of halogen-induced ozone loss with the total-column ozone record. Nature Geoscience, 7 (6). pp. 443-449. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO2155 Anstey, James A. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2014) High-latitude influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 1-21. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2132 Chan, Ian H. and Shepherd, Ted G. (2014) Diabatic balance model for the equatorial atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71 (3). pp. 985-1001. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-13-0224.1 McLandress, C., Plummer, D. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2014) Technical note: a simple procedure for removing temporal discontinuities in ERA-Interim upper stratospheric temperatures for use in nudged chemistry-climate model simulations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14 (3). pp. 1547-1555. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-1547-2014 Hegglin, M.I., Plummer, D.A., Shepherd, T.G., Scinocca, J.F., Anderson, J., Froidevaux, L., Funke, B., Hurst, D., Rozanov, A., Urban, J., von Clarmann, T., Walker, K.A., Wang, H.J., Tegtmeier, S. and Weigel, K. (2014) Vertical structure of stratospheric water vapour trends derived from merged satellite data. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 768-776. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2236 McLandress, Charles, Shepherd, Theodore G., Reader, M. Catherine, Plummer, David A. and Shine, Keith P. (2014) The climate impact of past changes in halocarbons and CO2in the tropical UTLS region. Journal of Climate, 27 (23). pp. 8646-8660. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00232.1 Reader, M. C., Plummer, D. A., Scinocca, J. F. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Contributions to twentieth century total column ozone change from halocarbons, tropospheric ozone precursors, and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (23). pp. 6276-6281. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057776 Birner, T., Thompson, D. W. J. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Up-gradient eddy fluxes of potential vorticity near the subtropical jet. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (22). pp. 5988-5993. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057728 McLandress, Charles, Scinocca, John F., Shepherd, Theodore G., Reader, M. Catherine and Manney, Gloria L. (2013) Dynamical control of the mesosphere by orographic and non-orographic gravity wave drag during the extended northern winters of 2006 and 2009. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70. pp. 2152-2169. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0297.1 Simpson, Isla R., Shepherd, Theodore G., Hitchcock, Peter and Scinocca, John F. (2013) Southern annular mode dynamics in observations and models, Part II: Eddy feedbacks. Journal of Climate, 26 (14). pp. 5220-5241. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00495.1 Sigmond, M., Scinocca, J. F., Kharin, V. V. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following stratospheric sudden warmings. Nature Geoscience, 6 (2). pp. 98-102. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1698 Chan, I. H. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Balance model for equatorial long waves. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 725. pp. 55-90. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2013.146 Hitchcock, Peter, Shepherd, Theodore G., Taguchi, Masakazu, Yoden, Shigeo and Noguchi, Shunsuke (2013) Lower-stratospheric radiative damping and polar-night jet oscillation events. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (5). pp. 1391-1408. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0193.1 Simpson, Isla R., Hitchcock, Peter, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Scinocca, John F. (2013) Southern annular mode dynamics in observations and models, Part I: The influence of climatological zonal wind biases in a comprehensive GCM. Journal of Climate, 26 (11). pp. 3953-3967. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00348.1 Burgess, B. H. and Shepherd, T. G. (2013) Spectral nonlocality, absolute equilibria and Kraichnan-Leith-Batchelor phenomenology in two-dimensional turbulent energy cascades. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 725. pp. 332-371. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2013.192 Hitchcock, Peter, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Manney, Gloria L. (2013) Statistical characterization of arctic polar-night jet oscillation events. Journal of Climate, 26 (6). pp. 2096-2116. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00202.1 Hitchcock, Peter and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2013) Zonal-mean dynamics of extended recoveries from stratospheric sudden warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (2). pp. 688-707. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0111.1 Burgess, B. H., Erler, Andre R. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2013) The troposphere-to-stratosphere transition in kinetic energy spectra and nonlinear spectral fluxes as seen in ECMWF analyses. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (2). pp. 669-687. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0129.1 McLandress, Charles, Shepherd, T. G., Polavarapu, Saroia and Beagley, Stephen R. (2012) Is missing orographic gravity wave drag near 60°S the cause of the stratospheric zonal wind biases in chemistry–climate models? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (3). pp. 802-818. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-0159.1 Pulido, M., Polavarapu, S., Shepherd, T.G. and Thuburn, J. (2012) Estimation of optimal gravity wave parameters for climate models using data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (663). pp. 298-309. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.932 (Part B) Lossow, Stefan, McLandress, Charles and Shepherd, T. G. (2012) Influence of the Antarctic ozone hole on the polar mesopause region as simulated by the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 74. pp. 111-123. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2011.10.010 Scaife, Adam A., Spangehi, Thomas, Cubasch, Ulrich, Langematz, Ulrike, Akiyoshi, Hidehara, Bekki, Slimone, Butchart, Neal, Chipperfield, Martyn P., Gettelman, Andrew, Hardiman, Steven C., Michou, Martine, Rozanov, Eugene and Shepherd, T. G. (2012) Climate change projections and stratosphere–troposphere interaction. Climate Dynamics, 38 (9-10). pp. 2089-2097. ISSN 0930-7575 McLandress, C., Perlwitz, J. and Shepherd, T. G. (2012) Comment on "Tropospheric temperature response to stratospheric ozone recovery in the 21st century" by Hu et al. (2011). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. pp. 2533-2540. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-2533-2012 Greenfield, Jamie A., Park, Philip S., Farahani, Ellie, Malik, Suneil, Vieth, Reinhold, McFarlane, Norman A., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Knight, Julia A. (2012) Solar ultraviolet-B radiation and vitamin D: a cross-sectional population-based study using data from the 2007 to 2009 Canadian Health Measures Survey. BMC Public Health, 12 (660). ISSN 1471-2458 doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-660 Simpson, Isla R., Shepherd, T. G. and Sigmond, Michael (2011) Dynamics of the lower stratospheric circulation response to ENSO. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (11). pp. 2537-2556. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-05.1 Simpson, I. R., Hitchcock, P., Shepherd, T. G. and Scinocca, J. F. (2011) Stratospheric variability and tropospheric annular‐mode timescales. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (20). L20806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049304 Strahan, S.E., Douglass, A.R., Stolarski, R.S., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M.P., Cugnet, D., Dhomse, S., Frith, S.M., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S.C., Kinnison, D.E., Lamarque, J.-F., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Olivié, D., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D.A., Pyle, J.A., Scinocca, J.F., Shepherd, T.G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W. and Yamashita, Y. (2011) Using transport diagnostics to understand chemistry climate model ozone simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116 (D17). D17302. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015360 Karlsson, B., Randall, C. E., Shepherd, T. G., Harvey, V. L., Lumpe, J., Nielsen, K., Bailey, S. M., Hervig, M. and Russell, J. M. (2011) On the seasonal onset of polar mesospheric clouds and the breakdown of the stratospheric polar vortex in the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D18107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD015989 Butchart, N., Charlton-Perez, Andrew J., Cionni, I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P. H., Krüger, K., Kushner, P. J., Newman, P. A., Osprey, S. M., Perlwitz, J., Sigmond, M., Wang, L., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Bekki, S., Baumgaertner, A., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Garcia, R., Garny, H., Jöckel, P., Lamarque, J.-F., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Plummer, D., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W., Waugh, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2011) Multimodel climate and variability of the stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D05102. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014995 Cionni, I., Eyring, V., Lamarque, J.F., Randel, W.J., Stevenson, D.S., Wu, F., Bodeker, G.E., Shepherd, T.G., Shindell, D.T. and Waugh, D.W. (2011) Ozone database in support of CMIP5 simulations: results and corresponding radiative forcing. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (21). pp. 11267-11292. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-11267-2011 Bais, A. F., Tourpali, K., Kazantzidis, A., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dameris, M., Eyring, V., Garny, H., Jachetti, D., J¨ockel, P., Kubin, A., Langematz, U., Mancini, E., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Newman, P. A., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Tian, W. and Yamashita, Y. (2011) Projections of UV radiation changes in the 21st century: impact of ozone recovery and cloud effects. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (15). pp. 7533-7545. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-7533-2011 McLandress, Charles, Shepherd, Theodore G., Scinocca, John F., Plummer, David A., Sigmond, Michael, Jonsson, Andreas I. and Reader, M. Catherine (2011) Separating the dynamical effects of climate change and ozone depletion. Part II: Southern Hemisphere troposphere. Journal of Climate, 24 (6). pp. 1850-1868. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3958.1 Shepherd, T. G. and McLandress, Charles (2011) A robust mechanism for strengthening of the Brewer–Dobson circulation in response to climate change: critical-layer control of subtropical wave breaking. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (4). pp. 784-797. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3608.1 Oman, L.D., Plummer, D.A., Waugh, D.W., Austin, J., Scinocca, J.F., Douglass, A.R., Salawitch, R.J., Canty, T., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M.P., Cugnet, D., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Frith, S., Hardiman, S.C., Kinnison, D.E., Lamarque, J.-F., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Nielsen, J.E., Olivié, D., Pitari, G., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T G., Shibata, K., Stolarski, R.S., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W., Yamashita, Y. and Ziemke, J.R. (2010) Multimodel assessment of the factors driving stratospheric ozone evolution over the 21st century. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 115 (D24). D24306. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014362 Gettelman, A., Hegglin, Michaela I., Son, S.-W., Kim, J., Fujiwara, M., Birner, T., Kremser, S., Rex, M., Añel, J. A., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Bekki, S., Braesike, P., Brühl, C., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Garny, H., Hardiman, S. C., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Lamarque, J. F., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H. and Tian, W. (2010) Multimodel assessment of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere: tropics and global trends. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M08. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013638 Tegtmeier, S., Fioletov, V. E. and Shepherd, T. G. (2010) A global picture of the seasonal persistence of stratospheric ozone anomalies. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D18119. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013011 Austin, John, Struthers, H., Scinocca, J., Plummer, D. A., Akiyoshi, H., Baumgaertner, A. J. G., Bekki, S., Bodeker, G. E., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Cugnet, D., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S. C., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D., Kubin, A., Lamarque, J. F., Langematz, U., Mancini, E., Marchland, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Nielsen, J. E., Pitari, G., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Chemistry‐climate model simulations of spring Antarctic ozone. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M11. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013577 Butchart, Neal, Cionni, I., Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G., Waugh, D. W., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M. P., Cordero, E., Dameris, M., Deckery, R., Dhomse, S., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R. R., Gettelman, A., Giorgetta, M. A., Kinnison, D. E., Li, F., Mancini, E., McLandress, C., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Sassi, F., Scinocca, J. F., Shibata, K., Steil, B. and Tian, W. (2010) Chemistry–climate model simulations of twenty-first century stratospheric climate and circulation changes. Journal of Climate, 23 (20). pp. 5349-5374. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3404.1 Austin, John, Scinocca, J., Plummer, D., Oman, L., Waugh, D., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Braesicke, D., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M., Cugnet, D., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Eyring, V., Frith, S., Garcia, R. R., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S. C., Kinnison, D., Larmarque, J. F., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Teyssèdre, H., Wilson, R. J. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Decline and recovery of total column ozone using a multimodel time series analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M10. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD013857 Son, S.- W., Gerber, E. P., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L. M., Gillett, N. P., Seo, K.-H., Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G., Waugh, D., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Baumgaertner, A., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Butchart, N., Chippenfield, M. P., Cugnet, D., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S., Garny, H., Garcia, R., Hardiman, S. C., Jöckel, P., Lamarque, J. F., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Nakamura, T., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Pyle, J., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J. F., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Impact of stratospheric ozone on Southern Hemisphere circulation change: A multimodel assessment. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 115 (D3). D00M07. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014271 Anstey, James A., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Scinocca, John F. (2010) Influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the extratropical winter stratosphere in an atmospheric general circulation model and in reanalysis data. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (5). pp. 1402-1419. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3292.1 Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Kinnison, D. E., Scinocca, J. F., Waugh, D. W., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Chipperfield, M. P., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S. M., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Kubin, A., Langematz, U., Mancini, E., Marchand, M., Nakamura, T., Oman, L. D., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Tian, W., Braesicke, P., Hardiman, S. C., Lamarque, J. F., Morgenstern, O., Pyle, J. A., Smale, D. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Multi-model assessment of stratospheric ozone return dates and ozone recovery in CCMVal-2 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9451-9472. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9451-2010 Hegglin, M.I., Gettelman, A., Hoor, P., Krichevsky, R., Manney, G. L., Pan, L. L., Son, S.-W., Stiller, G., Tilmes, S., Walker, K. A., Eyring, V., Shepherd, T. G., Waugh, D., Akiyoshi, H., Añel, J. A., Austin, J., Baumgaertner, A., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S., Garny, H., Hardiman, S. C., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Lamarque, J. F., Mancini, E., Michou, M., Morgenstern, O., Nakamura, T., Olivié, D., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J. F., Shibata, K., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Tian, W. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Multimodel assessment of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere: Extratropics. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 115 (D3). D00M09. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD013884 Hitchcock, Peter, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Yoden, Shigeo (2010) On the approximation of local and linear radiative damping in the middle atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (6). pp. 2070-2085. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3286.1 Vyushin, D. I., Shepherd, T. G. and Fioletov, V. E. (2010) On the statistical modeling of persistence in total ozone anomalies. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D16306. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013105 Plummer, D. A., Scinocca, J. F., Shepherd, T. G., Reader, M. C. and Jonsson, A. I. (2010) Quantifying the contributions to stratospheric ozone changes from ozone depleting substances and greenhouse gases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10. pp. 8803-8820. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-8803-2010 Morgenstern, O., Giorgetta, M. A., Shibata, K., Eyring, V., Waugh, D. W., Shepherd, T. G., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Baumgaertner, A. J. G., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M. P., Cugnet, D., Dameris, M., Dhomse, S., Frith, S. M., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Hardiman, S. C., Hegglin, M. I., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Lamarque, J. -F., Mancini, E., Manzini, E., Marchand, M., Michou, M., Nakamura, T., Nielsen, J. E., Olivié, D., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J. F., Smale, D., Teyssèdre, H., Toohey, M., Tian, W. and Yamashita, Y. (2010) Review of the formulation of present‐generation stratospheric chemistry‐climate models and associated external forcings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M02. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013728 Tegtmeier, S., Fioletov, V. E. and Shepherd, T. G. (2010) Seasonal persistence of ozone and zonal wind anomalies in the equatorial stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D18118. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013010 McLandress, Charles, Jonsson, Andreas I., Plummer, David A., Reader, M. Catherine, Scinocca, John F. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2010) Separating the dynamical effects of climate change and ozone depletion. Part I: Southern Hemisphere stratosphere. Journal of Climate, 23 (18). pp. 5002-5020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3586.1 Gerber, Edwin P., Baldwin, Mark P., Akiyoshi, Hideharu, Austin, John, Bekki, Slimmane, Braesicke, Peter, Butchart, Neal, Chipperfield, Martyn, Dameris, Martin, Dhomse, Sandip, Firth, Stacey M., Garcia, Roland R., Garny, Hella, Gettelman, Andrew, Hardiman, Steven C., Karpechko, Alexey, Marchand, Marion, Morgenstern, Olaf, Nielsen, Eric, Pawson, Steven, Peter, Tom, Plummer, David A., Pyle, John A., Rozanov, Eugene, Scinocca, John F., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Smale, Dan (2010) Stratosphere‐troposphere coupling and annular mode variability in chemistry‐climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D00M06. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013770 Toohey, M., Strong, K., Bernath, P. F., Boone, D., Walker, K. A., Jonsson, A. I. and Shepherd, T. G. (2010) Validating the reported random errors of ACE‐FTS measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D20304. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014185 Charlton-Perez, Andrew James, Hawkins, Edward, Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Kinnison, D. E., Akiyoshi, H., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., Lamarque, J. F., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Yamashita, Y., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Marchand, M., Mancini, E., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shibata, K., Shepherd, Ted, Tian, W. and Waugh, D. W. (2010) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9473-9486. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010 Scinocca, J.F., Reader, M.C., Plummer, D.A., Sigmond, M., Kushner, P.J., Shepherd, T.G. and Ravishankara, A.R. (2009) Impact of sudden Arctic sea-ice loss on stratospheric polar ozone recovery. Geophysical Research Letters, 36 (24). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL041239 McLandress, Charles and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2009) Impact of climate change on stratospheric sudden warmings as simulated by the Canadian middle atmosphere model. Journal of Climate, 22 (20). pp. 5449-5463. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3069.1 Hegglin, Michaela I and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2009) Large climate-induced changes in ultraviolet index and stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone flux. Nature Geoscience, 2 (10). pp. 687-691. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO604 Shaw, Tiffany A. and Shepherd, Theordore G. (2009) A theoretical framework for energy and momentum consistency in subgrid-scale parameterization for climate models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66. pp. 3095-3114. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3051.1 Karlsson, Bodil, McLandress, Charles and Shepherd, Theodore G (2009) Inter-hemispheric mesospheric coupling in a comprehensive middle atmosphere model. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 71 (3-4). pp. 518-530. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2008.08.006 McLandress, Charles and Shepherd, T. G. (2009) Simulated anthropogenic changes in the Brewer–Dobson circulation, including its extension to high latitudes. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1516-1540. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2679.1 Cagnazzo, C., Manzini, E., Calvo, N., Douglass, A., Akiyoshi, H., Bekki, S., Chipperfield, M., Dameris, M., Deushi, M., Fischer, A.M., Garny, H., Gettelman, A., Giorgetta, M.A., Plummer, D., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T.G., Shibata, K., Stenke, A., Struthers, H. and Tian, W. (2009) Northern winter stratospheric temperature and ozone responses to ENSO inferred from an ensemble of Chemistry Climate Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (22). pp. 8935-8948. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-8935-2009 Hitchcock, P., Shepherd, T. G. and McLandress, C. (2009) Past and future conditions for polar stratospheric cloud formation simulated by the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (2). pp. 483-495. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-483-2009 Shaw, Tiffany A., Sigmond, Michael, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Scinocca, John F. (2009) Sensitivity of simulated climate to conservation of momentum in gravity wave drag parameterization. Journal of Climate, 22 (10). pp. 2726-2742. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2688.1 Jonsson, A. I., Fomichev, V. I. and Shepherd, T. G. (2009) The effect of nonlinearity in CO2 heating rates on the attribution of stratospheric ozone and temperature changes. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (21). pp. 8447-8452. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-8447-2009 Neef, Lisa J., Polavarapu, Saroja M. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2009) A low-order model investigation of the analysis of gravity waves in the ensemble Kalman filter. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (6). pp. 1717-1734. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2585.1 Anstey, J.A. and Shepherd, Ted G. (2008) Response of the northern stratospheric polar vortex to the seasonal alignment of QBO phase transitions. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (22). L22810. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL035721 Son, S.-W., Polvani, L. M., Waugh, D. W., Akiyoshi, H., Garcia, R., Kinnison, D., Pawson, S., Rozanov, E., Shepherd, T. G and Shibata, K. (2008) The impact of stratospheric ozone recovery on the Southern Hemisphere westerly jet. Science, 320 (5882). pp. 1486-1489. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1155939 Fruman, Mark D. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2008) Symmetric stability of compressible zonal flows on a generalized equatorial β plane. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 65 (6). pp. 1927-1940. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JAS2582.1 Melo, S. M. L., Blatherwick, R., Davies, J., Fogal, P., de Grandprè, J., McConnell, J., McElroy, C. T., McLandress, C., Murcray, F. J., Olson, J. R., Semeniuk, K., Shepherd, T. G., Strong, K., Tarasick, D. and Williams-Rioux, B. J. (2008) Summertime stratospheric processes at northern mid-latitudes: comparisons between MANTRA balloon measurements and the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8 (7). pp. 2057-2071. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-2057-2008 Pendlebury, D., Shepherd, T. G., Pritchard, M. and McLandress, C. (2008) Normal mode Rossby waves and their effects on chemical composition in the late summer stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8 (7). pp. 1925-1935. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-1925-2008 Ren, Shuzhan, Polavarapu, Saroja M. and Shepherd, T. G (2008) Vertical propagation of information in a middle atmosphere data assimilation system by gravity-wave drag feedbacks. Geophysical Research Letters, 35. L06804. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032699 Shaw, T.A. and Shepherd, T.G. (2008) Raising the roof. Nature Geoscience, 1. pp. 12-13. ISSN 1752-0894 Shaw, Tiffany A. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2008) Wave-activity conservation laws for the three-dimensional anelastic and Boussinesq equations with a horizontally homogeneous background flow. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 594. pp. 493-506. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112007009160 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2008) Dynamics, stratospheric ozone, and climate change. Atmosphere-Ocean, 46 (1). pp. 117-138. ISSN 1480-9214 doi: https://doi.org/10.3137/ao.460106 Shepherd, T. G. and Jonsson, A. I. (2008) On the attribution of stratospheric ozone and temperature changes to changes in ozone-depleting substances and well-mixed greenhouse gases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8 (5). pp. 1435-1444. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-1435-2008 Tegtmeier, S., Fioletov, V. E. and Shepherd, T. G. (2008) Seasonal persistence of northern low- and middle-latitude anomalies of ozone and other trace gases in the upper stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113. D21308. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD009860 Hegglin, Michaela I., Boone, C.D., Manney, G.L., Shepherd, Ted G., Walker, K.A., Bernath, P.F., Daffer, W.H., Hoor, P. and Schiller, C. (2008) Validation of ACE-FTS satellite data in the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) using non-coincident measurements. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8 (6). pp. 1483-1499. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-8-1483-2008 Baldwin, M.P., Dameris, M. and Shepherd, T.G. (2007) How will the stratosphere affect climate change? Science, 316. pp. 1576-1577. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144303 Shaw, Tiffany A. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2007) Angular momentum conservation and gravity wave drag parameterization: implications for climate models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64 (1). pp. 190-203. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3823.1 Vyushin, Dmitry I., Fioletov, Vitali E. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2007) Impact of long-range correlations on trend detection in total ozone. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. D14307. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD008168 Farahani, F., Fast, H., Mittermeier, R. L., Makino, Y., Strong, K, McLandress, C., Shepherd, T. G., Chipperfield, M. P., Hannigan, J. W., Coffey, M., Mikuteit, S., Hase, F., Blumenstock, T. and Raffalski, U. (2007) Lunar and solar FTIR nitric acid measurements at Eureka in winter 2001/2002: comparisons with observations at Thule and Kiruna and with CMAM and SLIMCAT model calculations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. D01305. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD007096 Sica, R. J., Argall, P. S., Shepherd, T. G. and Koshyk, J. N. (2007) Model-measurement comparison of mesospheric temperature inversions, and a simple theory for their occurrence. Geophysical Research Letters, 34. L23806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL030627 Eyring, V., Waugh, D. W., Bodeker, G. E., Cordero, E., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Beagley, S. R., Boville, B. A., Braesicke, P., Brühl, C., Butchart, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Dameris, M., Deckert, R., Deushi, M., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R. R., Gettelman, A., Giongetta, M. A., Kinnison, D. E., Mancini, E., Manzini, E., Marsh, D. R., Matthes, S., Nagashima, T., Newman, P. A., Nielsen, J. F., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Schraner, M., Scinocca, J. F., Semeniuk, K., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Steil, B., Stolarski, R. S., Tian, W. and Yoshiki, M. (2007) Multimodel projections of stratospheric ozone in the 21st century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. D16303. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD008332 Hegglin, Michaela I. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2007) O_3-N_2O correlations from the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment: revisiting a diagnostic of transport and chemistry in the stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. D19301. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD008281 Tegtmeier, S. and Shepherd, T. G. (2007) Persistence and photochemical decay of springtime total ozone anomalies in the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7. pp. 485-493. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-7-485-2007 Fomichev, V. I., Jonsson, A. I., De Grandpré, J., Beagley, S. R., McLandress, C. and Shepherd, T. G. (2007) Response of the middle atmosphere to CO2 doubling: results from the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Journal of Climate, 20 (7). pp. 1121-1144. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4030.1 Shepherd, T. G. (2007) Transport in the middle atmosphere. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 85B. pp. 165-191. ISSN 0026-1165 Tomikawa, Yoshihiro, Sato, Kaoru and Shepherd, T. G. (2006) A diagnostic study of waves on the tropopause. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 63 (12). pp. 3315-3332. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3800.1 Eyring, V., Butchart, N., Waugh, D. W., Akiyoshi, H., Austin, J., Bekki, S., Bodeker, G. E., Boville, B. A., Brühl, C., Chipperfield, M. P., Cordero, E., Dameris, M., Deushi, M., Fioletov, V. E., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R. R., Gettelman, A., Giorgetta, M. A., Grewe, V., Jourdain, L., Kinnison, D. E., Mancini, E., Manzini, E., Marchand, M., Marsh, D. R., Nagashima, T., Newman, P. A., Nielsen, J. E., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Plummer, D. A., Rozanov, E., Schraner, M., Shepherd, T. G., Shibata, K., Stolarski, R. S., Struthers, H., Tian, W. and Yoshiki, M. (2006) Assessment of temperature, trace species, and ozone in chemistry-climate model simulations of the recent past. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111 (D22). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD007327 Neef, Lisa J., Polavarapu, Saroja M. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2006) Four-dimensional data assimilation and balanced dynamics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 63 (7). pp. 1840-1858. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3714.1 McLandress, C., Ward, W. E., Fomichev, V. I., Semeniuk, K., Beagley, S. R., McFarlane, N. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2006) Large-scale dynamics of the mesosphere and lower thermosphere: an analysis using the extended Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111 (D17). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006776 Codoban, Sorin and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2006) On the available energy of an axisymmetric vortex. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 15 (4). pp. 401-407. ISSN 0941-2948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1127/0941-2948/2006/0143 Thompson, David W. J., Furtado, Jason C. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2006) On the tropospheric response to anomalous stratospheric wave drag and radiative heating. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 63 (10). pp. 2616-2629. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3771.1 Birner, T., Sankey, D. and Shepherd, T. G. (2006) The tropopause inversion layer in models and analyses. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (14). L14804. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026549 Saujani, Simal and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2006) A unified theory of balance in the extratropics. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 569. pp. 447-464. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112006002783 Lukovich, Jennifer Verlaine and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2005) Stirring and mixing in two-dimensional divergent flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (11). pp. 3933-3954. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3580.1 Eyring, V., Harris, N. R. P., Rex, M., Shepherd, Ted G., Fahey, D. W., Amanatidis, G. T., Austin, J., Chipperfield, M. P., Dameris, M., Forster, P. M. De F., Gettelman, A., Graf, H. F., Nagashima, T., Newman, P. A., Pawson, S., Prather, M. J., Pyle, J. A., Salawitch, R. J., Santer, B. D. and Waugh, D. W. (2005) A strategy for process-oriented validation of coupled chemistry–climate models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86 (8). pp. 1117-1133. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-86-8-1117 Wunch, Debra, Tingley, Martin P., Shepherd, Theodore G., Drummond, James R., Moore, G. W. K. and Strong, Kimberly (2005) Climatology and predictability of the late summer stratospheric zonal wind turnaround over Vanscoy, Saskatchewan. Atmosphere-Ocean, 43 (4). pp. 301-313. ISSN 1480-9214 doi: https://doi.org/10.3137/ao.430402 Campbell, Lucy J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2005) Constraints on wave drag parameterization schemes for simulating the quasi-biennial oscillation. Part I: gravity wave forcing. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (12). pp. 4178-4195. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3616.1 Campbell, Lucy J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2005) Constraints on wave drag parameterization schemes for simulating the quasi-biennial oscillation. Part II: combined effects of gravity waves and equatorial planetary waves. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (12). pp. 4196-4205. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS3617.1 Polavarapu, S., Shepherd, T. G., Rochon, Y. and Ren, S. (2005) Some challenges of middle atmosphere data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131 (613). pp. 3513-3527. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.05.87 Fioletov, Vitali E. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2005) Summertime total ozone variations over middle and polar latitudes. Geophysical Research Letters, 32 (4). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL022080 Tran, Chuong V., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Cho, Han-Ru (2004) Extensivity of two-dimensional turbulence. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 192 (3-4). pp. 187-195. ISSN 0167-2789 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2004.01.002 Shepherd, Theodore G. and Shaw, Tiffany A. (2004) The angular momentum constraint on climate sensitivity and downward influence in the middle atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 61 (23). pp. 2899-2908. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-3295.1 Sankey, David and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Correlations of long-lived chemical species in a middle atmosphere general circulation model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D16). 4494. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002799 Codoban, Sorin and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Energetics of a symmetric circulation including momentum constraints. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 60 (16). pp. 2019-2028. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2003)060<2019:EOASCI>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Large-scale atmospheric dynamics for atmospheric chemists. Chemical Reviews, 103 (12). pp. 4509-4532. ISSN 1520-6890 doi: https://doi.org/10.1021/cr020511z Pendlebury, Diane and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Planetary-wave-induced transport in the stratosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 60 (11). pp. 1456-1470. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2003)060<1456:PTITS>2.0.CO;2 Fioletov, Vitali E. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Seasonal persistence of midlatitude total ozone anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (7). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002GL016739 Austin, J., Shindell, D., Beagley, S. R., Brühl, C., Dameris, M., Manzini, E., Nagashima, T., Newman, P., Pawson, S., Pitari, G., Rozanov, E., Schnadt, C. and Shepherd, T. G. (2003) Uncertainties and assessments of chemistry-climate models of the stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 3 (1). pp. 1-27. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-3-1-2003 Saujani, Simal and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2002) Comments on 'Balance and the slow quasimanifold: some explicit results'. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59 (19). pp. 2874-2877. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<2874:COBATS>2.0.CO;2 Tran, Chuong V. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2002) Constraints on the spectral distribution of energy and enstrophy dissipation in forced two-dimensional turbulence. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 165 (3-4). pp. 199-212. ISSN 0167-2789 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2789(02)00391-3 Fomichev, V. I., Ward, W. E., Beagley, S. R., McLandress, C., McConnell, J. C., McFarlane, N. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2002) Extended Canadian middle atmosphere model: zonal-mean climatology and physical parameterizations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 107 (D10). 4087. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2001JD000479 Wirosoetisno, D., Shepherd, T. G. and Temam, R. M. (2002) Free gravity waves and balanced dynamics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59. pp. 3382-3398. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<3382:FGWABD>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2002) Issues in stratosphere-troposphere coupling. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 80 (4B). pp. 769-792. ISSN 2186-9057 doi: https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.80.769 Tran, Chuong V., Shepherd, Theodore G. and Cho, Han-Ru (2002) Stability of stationary solutions of the forced Navier-Stokes equations on the two-torus. Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems: Series B, 2 (4). pp. 483-494. ISSN 1531-3492 doi: https://doi.org/10.3934/dcdsb.2002.2.483 Semeniuk, K. and Shepherd, T. G. (2002) The effect of non-uniform radiative damping on the zonal-mean dynamics of the extratropical middle atmosphere. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128 (579). pp. 259-284. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/00359000260498888 Iwayama, Takahiro, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Watanabe, Takeshi (2002) An ‘ideal’ form of decaying two-dimensional turbulence. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 456. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112001007509 Iwayama, Takahiro, Watanabe, Takeshi and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2001) Infrared dynamics of decaying two-dimensional turbulence governed by the Charney-Hasegawa-Mima equation. Journal of the Physical Society of Japan, 70 (2). pp. 376-386. ISSN 1347-4073 doi: https://doi.org/10.1143/JPSJ.70.376 Semeniuk, Kirill and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2001) Mechanisms for tropical upwelling in the stratosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58 (21). pp. 3097-3115. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3097:MFTUIT>2.0.CO;2 Semeniuk, Kirill and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2001) The middle-atmosphere Hadley circulation and equatorial inertial adjustment. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58 (21). pp. 3077-3096. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<3077:TMAHCA>2.0.CO;2 Wirosoetisno, Djoko and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2000) Averaging, slaving and balance dynamics in a simple atmospheric model. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 141 (1-2). pp. 37-53. ISSN 0167-2789 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2789(00)00022-1 Pawson, S., Kodera, K., Hamilton, K., Shepherd, T. G., Beagley, S. R., Boville, B. A., Farrara, J. D., Fairlie, T. D. A., Kitoh, A., Lahoz, W. A., Langematz, U., Manzini, E., Rind, D. H., Scaife, A. A., Shibata, K., Simon, P., Swinbank, R., Takacs, L., Wilson, R. J., Al-Saadi, J. A., Amodei, M., Chiba, M., Coy, L., de Grandpré, J., Eckman, R. S., Fiorino, M., Grose, W. L., Koide, H., Koshyk, J. N., Li, D., Lerner, J., Mahlman, J. D., McFarlane, N. A., Mechoso, C. R., Molod, A., O'Neill, A., Pierce, R. B., Randel, W. J., Rood, R. B. and Wu, F. (2000) The GCM–Reality Intercomparison Project for SPARC (GRIPS): scientific issues and initial results. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81 (4). pp. 781-796. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0781:TGIPFS>2.3.CO;2 Wirosoetisno, Djoko and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2000) On the existence of two-dimensional Euler flows satisfying energy-Casimir stability criteria. Physics of Fluids, 12 (3). pp. 727-731. ISSN 1070-6631 doi: https://doi.org/10.1063/1.870280 Shepherd, Theodore G., Koshyk, John N. and Ngan, Keith (2000) On the nature of large-scale mixing in the stratosphere and mesosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105 (D10). pp. 12433-12446. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000JD900133 de Grandpré, J., Beagley, S. R., Fomichev, V. I., Griffioen, E., McConnell, J. C., Medvedev, A. S. and Shepherd, T. G. (2000) Ozone climatology using interactive chemistry: results from the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105 (D21). pp. 26475-26491. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000JD900427 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2000) The middle atmosphere. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 62 (17-18). pp. 1587-1601. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1364-6826(00)00114-0 Shepherd, T. G. (1999) The stratosphere and climate. CMOS Bulletin SCMO, 27 (6). pp. 174-179. Wirosoetisno, Djoko and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1999) Nonlinear stability of Euler flows in two-dimensional periodic domains. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 90 (3-4). pp. 229-246. ISSN 0309-1929 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091929908204120 Vanneste, J. and Shepherd, T. G. (1999) On wave action and phase in the non-canonical Hamiltonian formulation. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 455 (1981). pp. 3-21. ISSN 1364-5021 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1999.0301 Ngan, Keith and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1999) A closer look at chaotic advection in the stratosphere: part I: geometric structure. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56 (24). pp. 4134-4152. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1999)056<4134:ACLACA>2.0.CO;2 Ngan, Keith and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1999) A closer look at chaotic advection in the stratosphere: part II: statistical diagnostics. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56 (24). pp. 4153-4166. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1999)056<4153:ACLACA>2.0.CO;2 Kushner, Paul J., McIntyre, Michael E. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1998) Coupled Kelvin-wave and mirage-wave instabilities in semigeostrophic dynamics. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 28 (3). pp. 513-518. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1998)028<0513:CKWAMW>2.0.CO;2 Vanneste, J. and Shepherd, T. G. (1998) On the group-velocity property for wave-activity conservation laws. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 55 (6). pp. 1063-1068. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<1063:OTGVPF>2.0.CO;2 Ngan, Keith and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1997) Chaotic mixing and transport in Rossby-wave critical layers. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 334. pp. 315-351. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112096004363 Ngan, Keith and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1997) Comments on some recent measurements of anomalously steep N2O and O3tracer spectra in the stratospheric surf zone. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102 (D20). pp. 24001-24004. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/97JD01767 Nore, C. and Shepherd, T. G. (1997) A Hamiltonian weak-wave model for shallow-water flow. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 453 (1958). pp. 563-580. ISSN 1364-5021 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1997.0031 Ren, Shuzhan and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1997) Lateral boundary contributions to wave-activity invariants and nonlinear stability theorems for balanced dynamics. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 345. pp. 287-305. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112097006216 Beagley, S. R., de Grandpré, J., Koshyk, J. N., McFarlane, N. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (1997) Radiative-dynamical climatology of the first-generation Canadian middle atmosphere model. Atmosphere-Ocean, 35 (3). pp. 293-331. ISSN 1480-9214 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.1997.9649595 Yongming, Liu, Mu, Mu and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1996) Nonlinear stability of continuously stratified quasi-geostrophic flow. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 325. pp. 419-439. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S002211209600818X Bokhove, Onno and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1996) On Hamiltonian balanced dynamics and the slowest invariant manifold. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 53 (2). pp. 276-297. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<0276:OHBDAT>2.0.CO;2 Mu, Mu, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Swanson, Kyle (1996) On nonlinear symmetric stability and the nonlinear saturation of symmetric instability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 53 (20). pp. 2918-2923. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<2918:ONSSAT>2.0.CO;2 Haynes, P. H., McIntyre, M. E. and Shepherd, T. G. (1996) Reply. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 53 (14). pp. 2105-2107. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<2105:R>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, T. G., Semeniuk, K. and Koshyk, J. N. (1996) Sponge layer feedbacks in middle-atmosphere models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 101 (D18). pp. 23447-23464. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/96JD01994 Shepherd, T. G. (1995) The Canadian MAM Project. CMOS Bulletin, 23. pp. 3-12. Bowman, John C. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1995) Nonlinear symmetric stability of planetary atmospheres. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 296. pp. 391-407. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112095002175 Warn, T., Bokhove, O., Shepherd, T. G. and Vallis, G. K. (1995) Rossby number expansions, slaving principles, and balance dynamics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 121 (523). pp. 723-739. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712152313 Kushner, Paul J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1995) Wave-activity conservation laws and stability theorems for semi-geostrophic dynamics: part 1. pseudomomentum-based theory. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 290. pp. 67-104. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112095002424 Kushner, Paul J. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1995) Wave-activity conservation laws and stability theorems for semi-geostrophic dynamics: part 2. pseudoenergy-based theory. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 290. pp. 105-129. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112095002436 Mu, Mu and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1994) Nonlinear stability of Eady's model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 51 (23). pp. 3427-3436. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1994)051<3427:NSOEM>2.0.CO;2 Mu, Mu, Qingcun, Zeng, Shepherd, Theodore G. and Yongming, Liu (1994) Nonlinear stability of multilayer quasi-geostrophic flow. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 264. pp. 165-184. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112094000625 Mu, Mu and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1994) On Arnol'd's second nonlinear stability theorem for two-dimensional quasi-geostrophic flow. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 75 (1). pp. 21-37. ISSN 0309-1929 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091929408203645 Douglas, Solomon Castillo, Harrison, David M. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1994) The physical pendulum in an advanced undergraduate course in mechanics. Computers in Physics, 8 (4). pp. 416-419. ISSN 0894-1866 Cho, H-R., Shepherd, T. G. and Vladimirov, V. A. (1993) Application of the direct Liapunov method to the problem of symmetric stability in the atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 50 (6). pp. 822-836. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1993)050<0822:AOTDLM>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1993) Nonlinear saturation of baroclinic instability: part III: bounds on the energy. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 50 (16). pp. 2697-2709. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1993)050<2697:NSOBIP>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1993) A unified theory of available potential energy. Atmosphere-Ocean, 31 (1). pp. 1-26. ISSN 1480-9214 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.1993.9649460 Scinocca, J. F. and Shepherd, T. G. (1992) Nonlinear wave-activity conservation laws and Hamiltonian structure for the two-dimensional anelastic equations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 49 (1). pp. 5-28. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1992)049<0005:NWACLA>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, T. G. (1991) Nonlinear stability and the saturation of instabilities to axisymmetric vortices. European Journal of Mechanics & Fluids B: Fluids, 10 (2). pp. 93-98. ISSN 0997-7546 Haynes, P. H., McIntyre, M. E., Shepherd, T. G., Marks, C. J. and Shine, K. P. (1991) On the 'downward control' of extratropical diabatic circulations by eddy-induced mean zonal forces. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 48 (4). pp. 651-678. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1991)048<0651:OTCOED>2.0.CO;2 Dritschel, D. G., Haynes, P. H., Juckes, M. N. and Shepherd, T. G. (1991) The stability of a two-dimensional vorticity filament under uniform strain. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 230 (1). pp. 647-665. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112091000915 Carnevale, George F. and Shepherd, Theodore G. (1990) On the interpretation of Andrews’ theorem. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 51 (1-4). pp. 1-17. ISSN 1029-0419 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091929008219847 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1990) A general method for finding extremal states of Hamiltonian dynamical systems, with applications to perfect fluids. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 213 (1). pp. 573-587. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112090002452 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1989) Nonlinear saturation of baroclinic instability: part II: continuously stratified fluid. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 46 (7). pp. 888-907. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<0888:NSOBIP>2.0.CO;2 Haynes, P. H. and Shepherd, T. G. (1989) The importance of surface pressure changes in the response of the atmosphere to zonally-symmetric thermal and mechanical forcing. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 115 (490). pp. 1181-1208. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49711549002 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1988) Nonlinear saturation of baroclinic instability: part I: the two-layer model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 45 (14). pp. 2014-2025. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1988)045<2014:NSOBIP>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, T. G. (1988) On Rossby waves modified by weak sinusoidal shear. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 40 (3-4). pp. 225-237. ISSN 1029-0419 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091928808208826 Shepherd, T. G. (1988) Remarks concerning the double cascade as a necessary mechanism for the instability of steady equivalent-barotropic flows. Il Nuovo Cimento C, 11 (4). pp. 439-442. ISSN 0390-5551 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02533136 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1988) Rigorous bounds on the nonlinear saturation of instabilities to parallel shear flows. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 196. pp. 291-322. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S002211208800271X Shepherd, Theodore G. (1987) Non-ergodicity of inviscid two-dimensional flow on a beta-plane and on the surface of a rotating sphere. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 184 (1). pp. 289-302. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112087002891 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1987) Rossby waves and two-dimensional turbulence in a large-scale zonal jet. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 183 (1). pp. 467-509. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112087002738 Mcintyre, M. E. and Shepherd, T. G. (1987) An exact local conservation theorem for finite-amplitude disturbances to non-parallel shear flows, with remarks on Hamiltonian structure and on Arnol'd's stability theorems. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 181 (1). p. 527. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112087002209 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1987) A spectral view of nonlinear fluxes and stationary-transient interaction in the atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 44 (8). pp. 1166-1179. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1987)044<1166:ASVONF>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1985) Time development of small disturbances to plane Couette Flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 42 (17). pp. 1868-1872. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1985)042<1868:TDOSDT>2.0.CO;2 Boer, G. J. and Shepherd, T. G. (1983) Large-scale two-dimensional turbulence in the atmosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 40 (1). pp. 164-184. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1983)040<0164:LSTDTI>2.0.CO;2 Shepherd, T. G. (1983) Mean motions induced by baroclinic instability in a jet. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 27 (1-2). pp. 35-72. ISSN 1029-0419 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091928308210120 Book or Report SectionShepherd, Theodore G. and Truong, Chi Huyen (2023) Storylining climes. In: Smyer Yü, Dan and Wouters, Jelle J. P. (eds.) Storying multipolar climes of the Himalaya, Andes and Arctic. Routledge, London, pp. 157-183. ISBN 9781032388267 doi: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003347026-12
Hinkel, Jochen, Cornforth, Rosalind, Todman, Lindsay, Fairgreave, Ross, Plumpton, Heather, Shepherd, Ted, Tarnavsky, Elena Shepherd, T. G. (2020) Barotropic aspects of large-scale atmospheric turbulence. In: Bouchet, Freddy, Schneider, Tapio, Venaille, Antoine and Salomon, Christophe (eds.) Fundamental Aspects of Turbulent Flows in Climate Dynamics. Lecture Notes of the Les Houches Summer School (109). Oxford University Press, pp. 183-222. ISBN 9780198855217 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198855217.003.0004 Iwayama, Takahiro and Shepherd, Theodore G. (2006) Self-similarity of vorticity dynamics in decaying two-dimensional turbulence. In: Kida, Shigeo (ed.) IUTAM Symposium on elementary vortices and coherent structures: significance in turbulence dynamics. Fluid mechanics and its applications (79). Springer, pp. 177-182. ISBN 9781402041808 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/1-4020-4181-0_19 Pyle, John, Shepherd, Theodore, Bodeker, Gregory, Canziani, Pablo, Dameris, Martin, Forster, Piers, Gruzdev, Aleksandr, Müller, Rolf, Muthama, Nzioka John, Pitari, Giovanni, Randel, William, Fioletov, Vitali, Grooß, Jens-Uwe, Montzka, Stephen, Newman, Paul, Thomason, Larry and Velders, Guus (2005) Ozone and climate: a review of interconnections. In: McFarland, Mack (ed.) IPCC/TEAP Special Report: Safeguarding the Ozone Layer and the Global Climate System. Cambridge University Press, pp. 85-132. ISBN 9780521682060 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Hamiltonian geophysical fluid dynamics. In: Holton, James R., Curry, Judith A. and Pyle, John A. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, pp. 929-938. ISBN 9780122270901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B0-12-227090-8/00008-7 Shepherd, Theodore G. (2003) Ripa’s Theorem and its relatives. In: Velasco Fuentes, O. U., Sheinbaum, J. and Ochoa, J. (eds.) Nonlinear processes in geophysical fluid dynamics: a tribute to the scientific work of Pedro Ripa. Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, pp. 1-14. ISBN 9789401039963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-0074-1_1 Iwayama, T., Shepherd, T. G. and Watanabe, T. (2002) Self-similarity of decaying two-dimensional turbulence governed by the Charney-Hasegawa-Mima equation. In: Kaneda, Y. and Gotoh, T. (eds.) Statistical Theories and Computational Approaches to Turbulence: Modern Perspectives and Application to Global-Scale Flows. Springer-Verlag, pp. 341-349. ISBN 4431703357 Shepherd, T. G. (1992) Arnol'd stability applied to fluid flow: success and failures. In: Carnevale, George F. and Pierrehumbert, Raymond T. (eds.) Nonlinear phenomena in atmospheric and oceanic sciences. Springer-Verlag, New York, pp. 187-206. ISBN 0387978186 Shepherd, T. G. (1992) Extremal properties and Hamiltonian structure of the Euler equations. In: Moffat, H. K. (ed.) Topological Aspects of the Dynamics of Fluids and Plasmas. Kluwer Academic, pp. 275-292. ISBN 0792319001 Shepherd, T. G. (1990) Isovortical constraints on the statistical-dynamical behaviour of strongly nonlinear two-dimensional and quasi-geostrophic flow. In: Moffatt, H. K. and Tsinober, A. (eds.) Topological fluid mechanics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 278-287. ISBN 0521381452 Shepherd, Theodore G. (1990) Symmetries, conservation laws, and Hamiltonian structure in geophysical fluid dynamics. In: Dmowska, Renata (ed.) Advances in Geophysics. Elsevier, pp. 287-338. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-2687(08)60429-X Shepherd, T. G. (1987) Inhomogeneous two-dimensional turbulence in the atmosphere. In: Comte-Bellot, Geneviève and Mathieu, Jean (eds.) Advances in turbulence. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp. 269-278. ISBN 978-3-642-83047-1 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-83045-7_31 ReportYoung, Hannah R., Cornforth, Rosalind J., Todman, Lindsay C., Miret Barrio, Javier A., Shepherd, Theodore G., Petty, Celia, O'Sullivan, Donal, Wagstaff, Carol, Mason, Onyinye and Talwisa, Miriam, (2020) Assessing the impact of climate change on sweet potato in Uganda. Report. Walker Institute pp4. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3836642 Young, Hannah, Plumpton, Heather, Miret Barrio, Javier Alberto, Cornforth, Rosalind J., Petty, Celia, Todman, Lindsay, O'Sullivan, Donal M., Wagstaff, Carol, Mason, Onyinye, Shepherd, Ted, Saabwe, Colline and Talwisa, Miriam, (2020) Sweet potato production in Uganda in a changing climate: what is the role for fertilisers. Working Paper. Walker Institute pp8. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3955098 Shepherd, T. G., Polichtchouk, I., Hogan, R. J. and Simmons, A. J., (2018) Report on Stratosphere Task Force. ECMWF Technical Memoranda. 824. Technical Report. ECMWF, Reading, U.K.. pp32. Ravishankara, A.R. and Shepherd, T.G., (1999) Lower stratospheric processes. Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project. 44. Technical Report. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. ISBN 9280717227 |
