Items where Author is "Broecker, Dr Jochen"
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Bröcker, Jochen Bröcker, Jochen (2023) Existence and uniqueness for variational data assimilation in continuous time. Mathematical Control & Related Fields, 13 (1). pp. 94-115. ISSN 2156-8472 doi: https://doi.org/10.3934/mcrf.2021050 Bröcker, J. (2023) Testing the reliability of forecasting systems. Journal of Applied Statistics, 50 (1). pp. 106-130. ISSN 1360-0532 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1981833
Bröcker, Jochen
Charlton-Perez, Andrew J. Bröcker, Jochen and Bouallègue, Zied Ben (2020) Stratified rank histograms for ensemble forecast verification under serial dependence. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (729). pp. 1976-1990. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3778 Charlton-Perez, Andrew J., Bröcker, Jochen, Stockdale, Timothy N. and Johnson, Stephanie (2019) When and where do ECMWF seasonal forecast systems exhibit anomalously low signal‐to‐noise ratio? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (725). pp. 3466-3478. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3631 Cafaro, Carlo, Frame, Thomas H. A., Methven, John, Roberts, Nigel and Broecker, Jochen (2019) The added value of convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of sea breeze compared to a Bayesian forecast driven by the global ensemble. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (721). pp. 1780-1798. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3531 Bröcker, Jochen (2019) What is the correct cost functional for variational data assimilation? Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 389-399. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4146-y Broecker, Jochen (2018) Assessing the reliability of ensemble forecasting systems under serial dependence. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717). pp. 2666-2675. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3379 Oljača, Lea, Bröcker, Jochen and Kuna, Tobias (2018) Almost sure error bounds for data assimilation in dissipative systems with unbounded observation noise. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 17 (4). pp. 2882-2914. ISSN 1536-0040 doi: https://doi.org/10.1137/17M1162305 Bröcker, Jochen and Del Magno, Gianluigi (2017) Asymptotic stability of the optimal filter for random chaotic maps. Nonlinearity, 30 (5). pp. 1809-1833. ISSN 1361-6544 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/aa639c Bröcker, Jochen (2017) Existence and uniqueness for four-dimensional variational data assimilation in discrete time. SIAM Journal of Applied Dynamical Systems, 16 (1). pp. 361-374. ISSN 1536-0040 doi: https://doi.org/10.1137/16M1068918 Mallia-Parfitt, Noeleene and Broecker, Jochen (2016) Assessing the performance of data assimilation algorithms which employ linear error feedback. Chaos, 26 (10). 103109. ISSN 1089-7682 doi: https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4965029 Messner, Jakob W., Zeileis, Achim, Broecker, Jochen and Mayr, Georg J. (2014) Probabilistic wind power forecasts with an inverse power curve transformation and censored regression. Wind Energy, 17 (11). pp. 1753-1766. ISSN 1099-1824 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/we.1666 Broecker, Jochen (2014) Assessing the performance of dynamical trajectory estimates. Physical Review E, 89 (6). 062919. ISSN 1550-2376 doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.89.062919 Broecker, Jochen (2014) Resolution and discrimination - two sides of the same coin. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1277-1282. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2434 Ho, Chun Kit, Hawkins, Ed, Shaffrey, Len, Broecker, Jochen, Hermanson, Leon, Murphy, James M., Smith, Doug M. and Eade, Rosie (2013) Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: the role of ensemble dispersion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (21). pp. 5770-5775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057630 Gundermann, Julia, Kantz, Holger and Broecker, Jochen (2013) Crooks' fluctuation theorem for a process on a two dimensional fluid field. Physical Review Letters, 110 (23). 234502. ISSN 0031-9007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.110.234502 Broecker, Jochen (2012) Evaluating raw ensembles with the continuous ranked probability score. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (667). pp. 1611-1617. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1891 Broecker, Jochen and Szendro, Ivan G. (2012) Sensitivity and out-of-sample error in continuous time data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (664). pp. 785-801. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.940 Broecker, Jochen (2012) Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts through decomposition of the empirical score. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 655-667. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1191-1 Siegert, Stefan, Broecker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2012) Rank histograms of stratified Monte-Carlo ensembles. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (12). pp. 1558-1571. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00302.1 Bröcker, Jochen, Siegert, Stefan and Kantz, Holger (2011) Comment on ``Conditional Exceedance Probabilities''. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (10). pp. 3322-3324. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011MWR3658.1 Siegert, Stefan, Broecker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2011) Predicting outliers in ensemble forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (660). pp. 1887-1897. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.868 Broecker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2011) The concept of exchangeability in ensemble forecasting. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (1). pp. 1-5. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-18-1-2011 Broecker, Jochen (2010) On variational data assimilation in continuous time. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (652). pp. 1906-1919. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.695 Broecker, Jochen (2010) Regularized logistic models for probabilistic forecasting and diagnostics. Monthly Weather Review, 138 (2). pp. 592-604. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009MWR3126.1 Broecker, Jochen, Engster, David and Parlitz, Ulrich (2009) Probabilistic evaluation of time series models : a comparison of several approaches. Chaos, 19 (4). ISSN 1089-7682 Broecker, Jochen (2009) Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (643). 1512 - 1519. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.456 Broecker, Jochen and Smith, Leonard A. (2008) From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 60 (4). pp. 663-678. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00333.x Broecker, Jochen (2008) On reliability analysis of multi-categorical forecasts. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 15 (4). pp. 661-673. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-661-2008 Book or Report SectionSiegert, Stefan, Broecker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2015) Skill of data-based predictions versus dynamical models. In: Chavez, Mario, Ghil, Michael and Urrutia-Fucugauchi, Jaime (eds.) Extreme Events — Observations, Modeling, and Economics. John Wiley & Sons, Inc, pp. 35-50. ISBN 9781119157014 Broecker, Jochen (2011) Probability forecasts. In: Jolliffe, I.T. and Stephenson, David B. (eds.) Forecast verification : a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science. 2nd ed. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford, pp. 119-139. ISBN 9780470660713 Hallerberg, Sarah, Broecker, Jochen and Kantz, Holger (2008) Prediction of extreme events. In: Donner, Reik V. and Barbosa, Susana M. (eds.) Nonlinear time series analysis in the geosciences : applications in climatology, geodynamics, and solar-terrestrial physics. Lecture notes in earth sciences, 112. Springer, Berlin ; London, pp. 35-59. ISBN 9783540789376 |
