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Evans, L. C., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Sims, I., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2020) The importance of including habitat-specific behaviour in models of butterfly movement. Oecologia, 193 (2). pp. 249-259. ISSN 1432-1939 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-020-04638-4

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Evans, L. C., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Sims, I., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2020) Behaviour underpins the predictive power of a trait-based model of butterfly movement. Ecology and Evolution, 10 (7). pp. 3200-3208. ISSN 2045-7758 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5957

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Schmucki, R., Pe'er, G., Roy, D. B., Stefanescu, C., Van Swaay, C. A.M., Oliver, T. H., Kuussaari, M., Van Strien, A. J., Ries, L., Settele, J., Musche, M., Carnicer, J., Schweiger, O., Brereton, T. M., Harpke, A., Heliölä, J., Kühn, E. and Julliard, R. (2016) A regionally informed abundance index for supporting integrative analyses across butterfly monitoring schemes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 53 (2). pp. 501-510. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12561

Redhead, J. W., Fox, R., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. H. (2016) Assessing species’ habitat associations from occurrence records, standardised monitoring data and expert opinion: a test with British butterflies. Ecological Indicators, 62. pp. 271-278. ISSN 1470-160X doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.11.004

Oliver, T. H., Heard, M. S., Isaac, N. J.B., Roy, D. B., Procter, D., Eigenbrod, F., Freckleton, R., Hector, A., Orme, C. D. L., Petchey, O. L., Proença, V., Raffaelli, D., Blake Suttle, K., Mace, G. M., Martín-López, B., Woodcock, B. A. and Bullock, J. M. (2016) A synthesis is emerging between biodiversity–ecosystem function and ecological resilience research: reply to Mori. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 31 (2). pp. 89-92. ISSN 0169-5347 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2015.12.008

Oliver, T. H., Smithers, R. J., Beale, C. M. and Watts, K. (2016) Are existing biodiversity conservation strategies appropriate in a changing climate? Biological Conservation, 193. pp. 17-26. ISSN 0006-3207 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.10.024

Oliver, T. H., Isaac, N. J. B., August, T. A., Woodcock, B. A., Roy, D. B. and Bullock, J. M. (2015) Declining resilience of ecosystem functions under biodiversity loss. Nature Communications, 6. 10122. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10122

Oliver, T. H., Heard, M. S., Isaac, N. J.B., Roy, D. B., Procter, D., Eigenbrod, F., Freckleton, R., Hector, A., Orme, C. D. L., Petchey, O. L., Proença, V., Raffaelli, D., Suttle, K. B., Mace, G. M., Martín-López, B., Woodcock, B. A. and Bullock, J. M. (2015) Biodiversity and resilience of ecosystem functions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 30 (11). pp. 673-684. ISSN 0169-5347 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2015.08.009

Oliver, T. H., Marshall, H. H., Morecroft, M. D., Brereton, T., Prudhomme, C. and Huntingford, C. (2015) Interacting effects of climate change and habitat fragmentation on drought-sensitive butterflies. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 941-945. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2746

Gillingham, P. K., Bradbury, R. B., Roy, D. B., Anderson, B. J., Baxter, J. M., Bourn, N. A. D., Crick, H. Q. P., Findon, R. A., Fox, R., Franco, A., Hill, J. K., Hodgson, J. A., Holt, A. R., Morecroft, M. D., O'Hanlon, N. J., Oliver, T. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Procter, D. A., Thomas, J. A., Walker, K. J., Walmsley, C. A., Wilson, R. J. and Thomas, C. D. (2015) The effectiveness of protected areas in the conservation of species with changing geographical ranges. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 115 (3). pp. 707-717. ISSN 0024-4066 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12506

Oliver, T. H. and Roy, D. B. (2015) The pitfalls of ecological forecasting. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 115 (3). pp. 767-778. ISSN 0024-4066 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12579

Roy, D. B., Oliver, T. H., Botham, M. S., Beckmann, B., Brereton, T., Dennis, R. L. H., Harrower, C., Phillimore, A. B. and Thomas, J. A. (2015) Similarities in butterfly emergence dates among populations suggest local adaptation to climate. Global Change Biology, 21 (9). pp. 3313-3322. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12920

Oliver, T. H., Smithers, R. J., Bailey, S., Walmsley, C. A. and Watts, K. (2015) Corrigendum: a decision framework for considering climate change adaptation in biodiversity conservation planning. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52 (2). p. 538. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12396

Mason, S. C., Palmer, G., Fox, R., Gillings, S., Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D. and Oliver, T. H. (2015) Geographical range margins of many taxonomic groups continue to shift polewards. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 115 (3). pp. 586-597. ISSN 0024-4066 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12574

Palmer, G., Hill, J. K., Brereton, T. M., Brooks, D. R., Chapman, J. W., Fox, R., Oliver, T. H. and Thomas, C. D. (2015) Individualistic sensitivities and exposure to climate change explain variation in species' distribution and abundance changes. Science Advances, 1 (9). e1400220. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1400220

Newson, S. E., Oliver, T. H., Gillings, S., Crick, H. Q. P., Morecroft, M. D., Duffield, S. J., Macgregor, N. A. and Pearce-Higgins, J. W. (2014) Can site and landscape-scale environmental attributes buffer bird populations against weather events? Ecography, 37 (9). pp. 872-882. ISSN 0906-7590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00575

Fox, R., Oliver, T. H., Harrower, C., Parsons, M. S., Thomas, C. D. and Roy, D. B. (2014) Long-term changes to the frequency of occurrence of British moths are consistent with opposing and synergistic effects of climate and land-use changes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51 (4). pp. 949-957. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12256

Oliver, T. H. and Morecroft, M. D. (2014) Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity: attribution problems, risks, and opportunities. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 5 (3). pp. 317-335. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.271

Oliver, T. H., Stefanescu, C., Paramo, F., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2014) Latitudinal gradients in butterfly population variability are influenced by landscape heterogeneity. Ecography, 37 (9). pp. 863-871. ISSN 1600-0587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00608

Dooley, C. A., Bonsall, M. B., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. (2013) Spatial variation in the magnitude and functional form of density-dependent processes on the large skipper butterfly Ochlodes sylvanus. Ecological Entomology, 38 (6). pp. 608-616. ISSN 0307-6946 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/een.12055

Bishop, T. R., Botham, M. S., Fox, R., Leather, S. R., Chapman, D. S. and Oliver, T. H. (2013) The utility of distribution data in predicting phenology. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 4 (11). pp. 1024-1032. ISSN 2041-210X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12112

Oliver, T. H., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2013) Population resilience to an extreme drought is influenced by habitat area and fragmentation in the local landscape. Ecography, 36 (5). pp. 579-586. ISSN 0906-7590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07665.x

Powney, G. D., Broaders, L. K. and Oliver, T. H. (2012) Towards a measure of functional connectivity: local synchrony matches small scale movements in a woodland edge butterfly. Landscape Ecology, 27 (8). pp. 1109-1120. ISSN 0921-2973 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-012-9771-y

Oliver, T. H., Thomas, C. D., Hill, J. K., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2012) Habitat associations of thermophilous butterflies are reduced despite climatic warming. Global Change Biology, 18 (9). pp. 2720-2729. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02737.x

Oliver, T. H., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2012) Ant larval demand reduces aphid colony growth rates in an ant-aphid interaction. Insects, 3 (1). pp. 120-130. ISSN 2075-4450 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/insects3010120

Suggitt, A. J., Stefanescu, C., Paramo, F., Oliver, T., Anderson, B. J., Hill, J. K., Roy, D. B., Brereton, T. and Thomas, C. D. (2012) Habitat associations of species show consistent but weak responses to climate. Biology Letters, 8 (4). pp. 590-593. ISSN 1744-957X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2012.0112

Oliver, T. H., Gillings, S., Girardello, M., Rapacciuolo, G., Brereton, T. M., Siriwardena, G. M., Roy, D. B., Pywell, R. and Fuller, R. J. (2012) Population density but not stability can be predicted from species distribution models. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49 (3). pp. 581-590. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02138.x

Thomas, C. D., Gillingham, P. K., Bradbury, R. B., Roy, D. B., Anderson, B. J., Baxter, J. M., Bourn, N. A. D., Crick, H. Q. P., Findon, R. A., Fox, R., Hodgson, J. A., Holt, A. R., Morecroft, M. D., O'Hanlon, N. J., Oliver, T. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Procter, D. A., Thomas, J. A., Walker, K. J., Walmsley, C. A., Wilson, R. J. and Hill, J. K. (2012) Protected areas facilitate species' range expansions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109 (35). pp. 14063-14068. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1210251109

Oliver, T. H., Roy, D. B., Brereton, T. and Thomas, J. A. (2012) Reduced variability in range-edge butterfly populations over three decades of climate warming. Global Change Biology, 18 (5). pp. 1531-1539. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02659.x

Oliver, T. H., Smithers, R. J., Bailey, S., Walmsley, C. A. and Watts, K. (2012) A decision framework for considering climate change adaptation in biodiversity conservation planning. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49 (6). pp. 1247-1255. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12003

Powney, G. D., Roy, D. B., Chapman, D., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. H. (2011) Measuring functional connectivity using long-term monitoring data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2 (5). pp. 527-533. ISSN 2041-210X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00098.x

Hodgson, J. A., Thomas, C. D., Oliver, T. H., Anderson, B. J., Brereton, T. M. and Crone, E. E. (2011) Predicting insect phenology across space and time. Global Change Biology, 17 (3). pp. 1289-1300. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02308.x

Thomas, C. D., Hill, J. K., Anderson, B. J., Bailey, S., Beale, C. M., Bradbury, R. B., Bulman, C. R., Crick, H. Q. P., Eigenbrod, F., Griffiths, H. M., Kunin, W. E., Oliver, T. H., Walmsley, C. A., Watts, K., Worsfold, N. T. and Yardley, T. (2011) A framework for assessing threats and benefits to species responding to climate change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2 (2). pp. 125-142. ISSN 2041-210X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2010.00065.x

Oliver, T., Roy, D. B., Hill, J. K., Brereton, T. and Thomas, C. D. (2010) Heterogeneous landscapes promote population stability. Ecology Letters, 13 (4). pp. 473-484. ISSN 1461-023X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01441.x

Powney, G. D., Roy, D. B., Chapman, D. and Oliver, T. H. (2010) Synchrony of butterfly populations across species' geographic ranges. Oikos, 119 (10). pp. 1690-1696. ISSN 1600-0706 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2010.18168.x

Oliver, T., Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2009) Changes in habitat specificity of species at their climatic range boundaries. Ecology Letters, 12 (10). pp. 1091-1102. ISSN 1461-0248 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01367.x

Mashanova, A., Oliver, T. H. and Jansen, V. A. A. (2009) Evidence for intermittency and a truncated power law from highly resolved aphid movement data. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 7 (42). pp. 199-208. ISSN 1742-5662 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0121

Oliver, T. H., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2009) Tolerance traits and the stability of mutualism. Oikos, 118 (3). pp. 346-352. ISSN 0030-1299 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2008.17045.x

Oliver, T. H., Jones, I., Cook, J. M. and Leather, S. R. (2008) Avoidance responses of an aphidophagous ladybird, Adalia bipunctata, to aphid-tending ants. Ecological Entomology, 33 (4). pp. 523-528. ISSN 0307-6946 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2311.2008.01009.x

Fuller, R. J., Oliver, T. H. and Leather, S. R. (2008) Forest management effects on carabid beetle communities in coniferous and broadleaved forests: implications for conservation. Insect Conservation and Diversity, 1 (4). pp. 242-252. ISSN 1752-4598 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-4598.2008.00032.x

Oliver, T. H., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2008) Macroevolutionary patterns in the origin of mutualisms involving ants. Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 21 (6). pp. 1597-1608. ISSN 1010-061X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1420-9101.2008.01600.x

Oliver, T. H., Pettitt, T., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2008) Numerical abundance of invasive ants and monopolisation of exudate-producing resources - a chicken and egg situation. Insect Conservation & Diversity, 1 (4). pp. 208-214. ISSN 1752-458X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-4598.2008.00026.x

Timms, J. E., Oliver, T. H., Straw, N. A. and Leather, S. R. (2008) The effects of host plant on the coccinellid functional response: Is the conifer specialist Aphidecta obliterata (L.) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae) better adapted to spruce than the generalist Adalia bipunctata (L.) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae)? Biological Control, 47 (3). pp. 273-281. ISSN 1049-9644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2008.08.009

Oliver, T. H., Mashanova, A., Leather, S. R., Cook, J. M. and Jansen, V. A. A. (2007) Ant semiochemicals limit apterous aphid dispersal. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 274 (1629). pp. 3127-3131. ISSN 0962-8452 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2007.1251

Leahy, M. J. A., Oliver, T. H. and Leather, S. R. (2007) Feeding behaviour of the black pine beetle, Hylastes ater (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). Agricultural and Forest Entomology, 9 (2). pp. 115-124. ISSN 1461-9555 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-9563.2007.00328.x

Oliver, T.H. , Cook, J.M. and Leather, S.R. (2007) When are ant-attractant devices a worthwhile investment? Vicia faba extrafloral nectaries and Lasius niger ants. Population Ecology, 49 (3). pp. 265-273. ISSN 1438-3896 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10144-007-0044-6

Oliver, T. H., Timms, J. E. L., Taylor, A. and Leather, S. R. (2006) Oviposition responses to patch quality in the larch ladybird Aphidecta obliterata (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae): effects of aphid density, and con- and heterospecific tracks. Bulletin of Entomological Research, 96 (1). pp. 25-34. ISSN 0007-4853 doi: https://doi.org/10.1079/BER2005395

Book or Report Section

Oliver, T. H. (2018) Is the concept of ‘natural capital’ useful? In: Anderson, V. (ed.) Debating Nature's Value. Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 49-54. ISBN 978-3-319-99244-0 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99244-0_6

Oliver, T. H. (2018) Biodiversity generation and loss. In: Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Environmental Science. Oxford University Press. doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389414.013.96

Raffaelli, D., Bullock, J. M., Cinderby, S., Durance, I., Emmett, B., Harris, J., Hicks, K., Oliver, T. H., Paterson, D. and White, P. C. L. (2014) Big Data and ecosystem research programmes. In: Woodward, G., Dumbrell, A., Baird, D. and Hajibabaei, M. (eds.) Big Data in Ecology. Advances in Ecological Research, 51. Academic Press, pp. 42-74. ISBN 9780081004791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-099970-8.00004-X

Report

Giuntoli, J., Oliver, T., Kallis, G., Ramcilovic-Suominen, S. and Monbiot, G., Giuntoli, J. and Mubareka, S., eds. (2023) Exploring new visions for a sustainable bioeconomy. Report. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxemburg. pp64. ISBN 9789268002940 doi: https://doi.org/10.2760/79421

Berry, P., Boons, F., Doherty, B., Green, B., Hill, A., MacInnes, N., McGonigle, D., McQuatters-Gollop, A., Moller, S., Munoz, M., Oliver, T., Preece, G., Robinson, V., Sidhu, Y., Vaughan, A. and Willoughby, R., (2022) Integrating a systems approach into Defra. Report. HM Government

Senapathi, D., Bradbury, R., Broadmeadow, M., Brown, K., Crosher, I., Diamond, M., Duffield, S., Freeman, B., Harley, M., Hodgson, J., Maclean, I., Morecroft, M., Munday, P., Oliver, T., Pearce-Higgins, J., Riddle, N., Stevenson, M., Vanderpump, J., van Dijk, N. and Watts, O., (2020) Biodiversity 2020: climate change evaluation report. Report. Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), UK Government, London, UK.

Book

Oliver, T. (2020) The self delusion: the surprising science of our connection to each other and the natural world. Weidenfeld & Nicholson, London, pp304. ISBN 9781474611770

Other

Arnell, N., Jönsson, G., Oliver, T., Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583 and Gambhir, A. (2022) Climate change, ecosystem impacts and systemic risks. Grantham Institute Imperial College and University of Reading.