McEwen, L. J., Bryan, K., Black, A., Blake, J. and Afzal, M. (2021) Science-narrative explorations of 'drought thresholds' in the maritime Eden catchment, Scotland: implications for local drought risk management. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 9. 589980. ISSN 2296-665X doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2021.589980

Afzal, M., Vavlas, N. and Ragab, R. (2021) Modelling study to quantify the impact of future climate and land use changes on water resources availability at catchment scale. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12 (2). pp. 339-361. ISSN 2408-9354 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.117

Afzal, M. and Ragab, R. (2020) How do climate and land use changes affect the water cycle? Modelling study including future drought events prediction using reliable drought indices. Irrigation and Drainage, 69 (4). pp. 806-825. ISSN 1531-0353 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.2467

Afzal, M. and Ragab, R. (2020) Impact of the future climate and land use changes on the hydrology and water resources in South East England, UK. American Journal of Water Resources, 8 (5). pp. 218-231. ISSN 2333-4797 doi: https://doi.org/10.12691/ajwr-8-5-2

Afzal, M. and Ragab, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2887-7616 (2020) Assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on the hydrology at catchment scale: modelling approach including prediction of future drought events using drought indices. Applied Water Science, 10 (10). ISSN 2190-5487 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-020-01293-1

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Afzal, M., Hagg, W., Kapitsa, V., Kasatkin, N., Mayr, E., Rybak, O., Saidaliyeva, Z., Severskiy, I., Usmanova, Z., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Yaitskaya, N. and Zhumabayev, D. (2020) Emptying water towers? Impacts of future climate and glacier change on river discharge in the Northern Tien Shan, Central Asia. Water, 12 (3). 627. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w12030627

Ragab, R., Kaelin, A., Afzal, M. and Panagea, I. (2020) Application of Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) at different temporal scales to reduce the uncertainty level in modelled river flows. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65 (11). pp. 1856-1871. ISSN 0262-6667 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1764961

Schulz, C., Whitney, B. S., Rossetto, O. C., Neves, D. M., Crabb, L., de Oliveira, E. C., Lima, P. L. T., Afzal, M., Laing, A., de Souza Fernandes, L. C., da Silva, C. A., Steinke, V. A., Steinke, E. T. and Saito, C. H. (2019) Physical, ecological and human dimensions of environmental change in Brazil's Pantanal wetland: synthesis and research agenda. Science of the Total Environment, 687. pp. 1011-1027. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.023

Afzal, M. and Ragab, R. (2019) Drought risk under climate and land use changes: implication to water resource availability at catchment scale. Water, 11 (9). 1790. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11091790

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Afzal, M., Severskiy, I., Usmanova, Z., Saidaliyeva, Z., Kapitsa, V., Kazastkin, N. and Dolgikh, S. (2018) Changes in the mountain river discharge in the northern Tien Shan since the mid-20th Century: results from the analysis of a homogeneous daily streamflow data set from seven catchments. Journal of Hydrology, 564. pp. 1133-1152. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.08.001

Afzal, M., Battilani, A., Solimando, D. and Ragab, R. (2016) Improving water resources management using different irrigation strategies and water qualities: field and modelling study. Agricultural Water Management, 176. pp. 40-54. ISSN 0378-3774 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2016.05.005

Afzal, M., Gagnon, A. S. and Mansell, M. G. (2016) The impact of the variability and periodicity of rainfall on surface water supply systems in Scotland. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 7 (2). pp. 321-339. ISSN 2408-9354 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2015.136

Afzal, M., (2015) Integrating biotreated wastewater reuse and valorization with enhanced water use efficiency to support the Green Economy in EU and India. Report. Centre for Ecology and Hydrology pp126.

Afzal, M., Gagnon, A. S. and Mansell, M. G. (2015) The impact of projected changes in climate variability on the reliability of surface water supply in Scotland. Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, 15 (4). pp. 736-745. ISSN 1607-0798 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/ws.2015.027

Afzal, M., Gagnon, A. S. and Mansell, M. G. (2015) Changes in the variability and periodicity of precipitation in Scotland. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 119 (1). pp. 135-159. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1094-2

Afzal, M. (2011) Trends and variability in daily precipitation in Scotland. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 6. pp. 15-26. ISSN 1878-0296