Patterson, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9484-8410 and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2025) Climate models struggle to simulate observed North Pacific jet trends, even accounting for tropical Pacific sea surface temperature trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (4). e2024GL113561. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024GL113561

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2025) Signal-to-noise errors in early winter Euro-Atlantic predictions linked to weak ENSO teleconnections and pervasive jet biases. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. e4952. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4952

Gao, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6444-6544, Guo, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4793-6315, Lu, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8245-6930, Woolings, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5815-9079, Chen, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0288-5618, Guo, X., Kou, W., Zhang, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6569-9842, Leung, L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3221-9467, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Guo, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6276-6499, Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0625-1575, Gao, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4274-0811 and Wu, L. (2025) Enhanced simulation of atmospheric blocking in a high‐resolution earth system model: projected changes and implications for extreme weather events. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (3). e2024JD042045. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042045

Patterson, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9484-8410, Befort, D. J., O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Weisheimer, A. (2024) Drivers of the ECMWF SEAS5 seasonal forecast for the hot and dry European summer of 2022. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4851

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate, 37 (14). pp. 3791-3805. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Drouard, M., Ayarzagüena, B., Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2024) The role of storm-track dynamics in the intraseasonal variability of the winter ENSO teleconnection to the North Atlantic. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (761). pp. 2069-2086. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4691

Kolstad, E. W. and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2024) Causal oceanic feedbacks onto the winter NAO. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07128-y

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Brunner, L., Qasmi, S., Nogherotto, R., Ballinger, A. P., Booth, B., Befort, D. J., Knutti, R., Schurer, A. P., Ribes, A., Weisheimer, A., Coppola, E. and McSweeney, C. (2024) Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 95. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00648-8

Senapati, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5029-9731, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Pivotal role of mixed-layer depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL110057. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024GL110057

Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976, Schurer, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295 (2023) The importance of accounting for the north Atlantic oscillation when applying observational constraints to European climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (16). e2023GL103431. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023gl103431

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Patterson, M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Ruprich-Robert, Y. (2023) Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 14. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0

Befort, D. J., Brunner, L., Borchert, L. F., O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Mignot, J., Ballinger, A. P., Hegerl, G. C., Murphy, J. M. and Weisheimer, A. (2022) Combination of decadal predictions and climate projections in time: challenges and potential solutions. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (15). e2022GL098568. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2022GL098568

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A. and Wu, B. (2022) SST-driven variability of the East Asian summer jet on a decadal time-scale in CMIP6 models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (743). pp. 581-598. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4219

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2615-2636. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Befort, D. J., Weisheimer, A., Woollings, T., Ballinger, A. and Gabriele, H. (2021) Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (194). ISSN 2662-4435 doi: 10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7