2023

Fletcher, J. K., Diop, C. A., Adefisan, E., Ahiataku, M. A., Ansah, S. O., Birch, C. E., Burns, H. L., Clarke, S. J., Gacheru, J., James, T. D., Ngetich Tuikong, C. K., Koros, D., Indasi, V. S., Lamptey, B. L., Lawal, K. A., Parker, D. J., Roberts, A. J., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Visman, E., Warner, J., Woodhams, B. J., Youds, L. H., Ajayi, V. O., Bosire, E. N., Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Camara, C. A. T., Chanzu, B., Dione, C., Gitau, W., Groves, D., Groves, J., Hill, P. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120, Ishiyaku, I., Klein, C. M., Marsham, J. H., Mutai, B. K., Ndiaye, P. N., Osei, M., Popoola, T. I., Talib, J., Taylor, C. M. and Walker, D. (2023) Tropical Africa’s first testbed for high-impact weather forecasting and nowcasting. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (8). E1409-E1425. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-21-0156.1

Gbode, I. E., Ajayi, V. O., Adefisan, E. A., Okogbue, E. C., Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Olaniyan, E. A., Ogungbenro, S. B./, Oluleye, A., Lawal, K. A., Omotosho, J. A. and Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 (2023) Verification of multiresolution model forecasts of heavy rainfall events from 23 to 26 August 2017 over Nigeria. Meteorological Applications, 30 (4). e2135. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2135

2022

Parker, D. J., Blyth, A. M., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Dougill, A. J., Bain, C. L., de Coning, E., Diop-Kane, M., Foamouhoue, A. K., Lamptey, B., Ndiaye, O., Ruti, P., Adefisan, E. A., Amekudzi, L. K., Antwi-Agyei, P., Birch, C. E., Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Carr, H., Chanzu, B., Clarke, S. J., Coskeran, H., Danuor, S. K., de Andrade, F. M., Diakaria, K., Dione, C., Diop, C. A., Fletcher, J. K., Gaye, A. T., Groves, J. L., Gudoshava, M., Hartley, A. J., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Ibrahim, I., James, T. D., Lawal, K. A., Marsham, J. H., Mutemi, J. N., Okogbue, E. C., Olaniyan, E., Omoshoto, J. B., Portuphy, J., Roberts, A. J., Schwendike, J., Segele, Z. T., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Taylor, A. L., Taylor, C. M., Warnaars, T. A., Webster, S., Woodhams, B. J. and Youds, L. (2022) The African SWIFT project: growing science capability to bring about a revolution in weather prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (2). pp. 349-369. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0047.1

2021

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Webster, S., Stein, T. H.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887 (2021) Evaluating convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of precipitation over Southeast Asia. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (4). pp. 1199-1217. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0216.1

Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Woodhams, B. J., Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Birch, C. E., Webster, S., Bain, C. L., Hartley, A., Clarke, S., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X and Hill, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120 (2021) Do convection-permitting ensembles lead to more skilful short-range probabilistic rainfall forecasts over tropical East Africa? Weather and Forecasting, 36 (2). pp. 697-716. ISSN 1520-0434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0172.1

2019

Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Roberts, N. and Bröcker, J. (2019) The added value of convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of sea breeze compared to a Bayesian forecast driven by the global ensemble. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (721). pp. 1780-1798. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3531

Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887 (2019) Information gain that convective-scale models bring to probabilistic weather forecasts. PhD thesis, University of Reading. doi: https://doi.org/10.48683/1926.00085557

2018

Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887 and Rooney, G. G. (2018) Characteristics of colliding density currents: a numerical and theoretical study. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (715). pp. 1761-1771. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3337