2023

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, M., Mignot, J., Mohino, E., Pohl, B. and Zappa, G. (2023) Storylines of Sahel precipitation change: roles of the North Atlantic and Euro-Mediterranean temperature. JGR Atmospheres, 128 (16). e2023JD038712. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038712

2022

Bresson, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Zappa, G. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2022) The response of Northern Hemisphere polar lows to climate change in a 25 km high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (4). e2021JD035610. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035610

2021

Zappa, G., Bevacqua, E. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2021) Communicating potentially large but non-robust changes in multi-model projections of future climate. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (6). pp. 3657-3669. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7041

Zappa, G., Ceppi, P. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2021) Eurasian cooling in response to Arctic sea-ice loss is not proved by maximum covariance analysis. Nature Climate Change, 11. pp. 106-108. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00982-8

2020

Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2020) Shorter cyclone clusters modulate changes in European wintertime precipitation extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (12). 124005. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde7

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Mindlin, J., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Vera, C., Osman, M., Zappa, G., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2020) Storyline description of Southern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation and precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 4399-4421. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05234-1

Zappa, G., Ceppi, P. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2020) Time-evolving sea surface warming patterns modulate the climate change response of subtropical precipitation over land. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (9). pp. 4539-4545. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1911015117

Kretschmer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2756-9526, Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2020) The role of Barents-Kara sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 715-730. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-715-2020

2019

Zappa, G. (2019) Regional climate impacts of future changes in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation: a storylines view. Current Climate Change Reports, 5 (4). pp. 358-371. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00146-7

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Zappa, G. (2019) The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4095-4113. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3

2018

Hawcroft, M., Walsh, E., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Zappa, G. (2018) Significantly increased extreme precipitation expected in Europe and North America from extratropical cyclones. Environmental Research Letters, 13. 124006. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaed59

Ceppi, P., Zappa, G., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2018) Fast and slow components of the extratropical atmospheric circulation response to CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 31 (3). pp. 1091-1105. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0323.1

Li, C., Michel, C., Graff, L. S., Bethke, I., Zappa, G., Bracegirdle, T. J., Fischer, E., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Iversen, T., King, M. P., Krishnan, H., Lierhammer, L., Mitchell, D., Scinocca, J., Shiogama, H., Stone, D. A. and Wettstein, J. J. (2018) Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5C and 2.0C warming and implications for regional impacts. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (2). pp. 359-382. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-359-2018

Zappa, G., Pithan, F. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2018) Multimodel evidence for an atmospheric circulation response to Arctic sea ice loss in the CMIP5 future projections. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (2). pp. 1011-1019. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076096

2017

Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2017) Storylines of atmospheric circulation change for European regional climate impact assessment. Journal of Climate, 30 (16). pp. 6561-6577. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0807.1

Maraun, D., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Widmann, M., Zappa, G., Walton, D., Gutierrez, J. M., Hagemann, S., Richter, I., Soares, P. M. M., Hall, A. and Mearns, L. O. (2017) Towards process-informed bias correction of climate change simulations. Nature Climate Change, 7. pp. 764-773. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE3418

2016

Tous, M., Zappa, G., Romero, R., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2016) Projected changes in medicanes in the HadGEM3 N512 high-resolution global climate model. Climate Dynamics, 47 (5). pp. 1913-1924. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2941-2

Pithan, F., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Zappa, G. and Sandu, I. (2016) Climate model biases in jet streams, blocking and storm tracks resulting from missing orographic drag. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (13). pp. 7231-7240. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069551

2015

Zappa, G., Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2015) The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (10). 104012. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104012

Zappa, G., Hawcroft, M. K., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2015) Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8). pp. 1727-1738. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2426-8

Economou, T., Stephenson, D. B., Pinto, J. G., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Zappa, G. (2015) Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi-model ensemble of historical and future simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (693). pp. 3076-3087. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2591

Zappa, G., Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2015) Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation. Journal of Climate, 28 (16). pp. 6381-6397. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00823.1

2014

Zappa, G., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2014) Can polar lows be objectively identified and tracked in the ECMWF operational analysis and the ERA-Interim reanalysis? Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2596-2608. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00064.1

Manzini, E., Karpechko, A. Y., Anstey, J., Baldwin, M. P., Black, R. X., Cagnazzo, C., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Christiansen, B., Davini, P., Gerber, E., Giorgetta, M., Gray, L., Hardiman, S. C., Lee, Y.-Y., Marsh, D. R., McDaniel, B. A., Purich, A., Scaife, A. A., Shindell, D., Son, S.-W., Watanabe, S. and Zappa, G. (2014) Northern winter climate change: assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere–troposphere coupling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (13). pp. 7979-7998. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JD021403

Zappa, G., Masato, G., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Woollings, T. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2014) Linking Northern Hemisphere blocking and storm track biases in the CMIP5 climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (1). pp. 135-139. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058480

2013

Zappa, G., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Sansom, P. G. and Stephenson, D. B. (2013) A multimodel assessment of future projections of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones in the CMIP5 climate models. Journal of Climate, 26 (16). pp. 5846-5862. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00573.1

Zappa, G., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2013) The ability of CMIP5 models to simulate North Atlantic extratropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 26 (15). pp. 5379-5396. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00501.1

Sansom, P. G., Stephenson, D. B., Ferro, C. A. T., Zappa, G. and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2013) Simple uncertainty frameworks for selecting weighting schemes and interpreting multimodel ensemble climate change experiments. Journal of Climate, 26 (12). pp. 4017-4037. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00462.1

2012

Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Woollings, T. J., Zappa, G. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2012) How large are projected 21st century storm track changes? Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18707. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052873

2011

Zappa, G., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Navarra, A. (2011) Baroclinic stationary waves in aquaplanet models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (5). pp. 1023-1040. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3573.1