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Reintges, A., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Yeager, S. G. (2024) Subpolar North Atlantic mean state affects the response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0470.1

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M. W. K., Mecking, J. V., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics, 62 (5). pp. 3355-3374. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1 (In Press)

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Senapati, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5029-9731, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Pivotal role of mixed-layer depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL110057. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110057

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Menary, M. B. and Lai, M. W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). 20220194. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Jackson, L. C. (2023) Understanding the sensitivity of the North Atlantic subpolar overturning in different resolution versions of HadGEM3-GC3.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (10). e2023JC019672. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019672

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ndiaye, C. D., Song, C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea96

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Patterson, M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Ruprich-Robert, Y. (2023) Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 14. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M. B., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Mecking, J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Jones, C., Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) The role of anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the 1850-1985 strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Journal of Climate, 35 (20). pp. 3243-3263. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0124.1

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Bretonnière, P.-A., Cassou, C., Davini, P., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Martín-Rey, M., Moine, M.-P., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Seddon, J. and Senan, R. (2022) Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 59. pp. 805-836. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06157-9

Dimdore-Miles, O., Gray, L., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Sinha, B. (2022) Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22 (7). pp. 4867-4893. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4867-2022

Jackson, L. C., Biastoch, A., Buckley, M. W., Desbruyères, D. G., Frajka-Williams, E., Moat, B. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2022) The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 3. pp. 241-254. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2

Lai, W. K. M., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dunstone, N. (2022) Mechanisms of internal Atlantic multidecadal variability in HadGEM3-GC3.1 at two different resolutions. Journal of Climate, 35 (4). pp. 1365-1383. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0281.1

Bracegirdle, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739, Lu, H. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) Drivers of recent North Pacific decadal variability: the role of aerosol forcing. Earth's Future, 9 (12). e2021EF002249. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002249

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dunstone, N. J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a65

Menary, M. B., Mignot, J. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2021) Role of the Atlantic multidecadal variability in modulating East Asian climate. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 381-398. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05477-y

Polo, I., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Thomas, C. (2020) Can the boundary profiles at 26° N be used to extract buoyancy-forced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation signals? Ocean Science, 16 (5). pp. 1067-1088. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1067-2020

Sinha, B., Sévellec, F., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Nurser, G. (2020) Surging of global surface temperature due to decadal legacy of ocean heat uptake. Journal of Climate, 33 (18). pp. 8025-8045. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0874.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Aksenov, Y., Bracegirdle, T. J., Dimdore-Miles, O., Griffiths, P. T., Grosvenor, D. P., Hodson, D. L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Keeble, J., MacIntosh, C., Megann, A., Osprey, S., Povey, A. C., Schröder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Yang, M., Archibald, A. T., Carslaw, K. S., Gray, L., Jones, C., Kerridge, B., Knappett, D., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Russo, M., Sellar, A., Siddans, R., Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Walton, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9). e2020MS002126. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002126

Dunstone, N., Smith, D., Yeager, S., Danabasoglu, G., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hermanson, L., Eade, R., Ineson, S., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A. and Ren, H.-L. (2020) Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). 094083. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9f7d

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Eade, R., Athanasiadis, P., Bellucci, A., Bethke, I., Bilbao, R., Borchert, L. F., Caron, L.-P., Counillon, F., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Estella-Perez, V., Flavoni, S., Hermanson, L., Keenlyside, N., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., Mochizuki, T., Modali, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Müller, W. A., Nicoli, D., Ortega, P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruggieri, P., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Swingedouw, D., Wang, Y., Wild, S., Yeager, S., Yang, X. and Zhang, L. (2020) North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583. 7818. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Menary, M. B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Booth, B. B. B., Cassou, C., Gastineau, G., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Jones, C., Mignot, J., Ringer, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zhang, R. (2020) Aerosol-forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. e2020GL088166. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088166

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001995

Hermanson, L., Bilbao, R., Dunstone, N., Ménégoz, M., Ortega, P., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M., Strand, G., Timmreck, C., Yeager, S. and Danabasoglu, G. (2020) Robust multi-year climate impacts of volcanic eruptions in decadal prediction systems. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (9). e2019JD031739. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031739

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Processes shaping the spatial pattern and seasonality of the surface air temperature response to anthropogenic forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 3959-3975. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05211-8

Jackson, L. C., Dubois, C., Forget, G., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Harrison, M., Iovino, D., Kӧhl, A., Mignac, D., Masina, S., Peterson, K. A., Piecuch, C. G., Roberts, C., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Wilson, C., Wang, Y. and Zuo, H. (2019) The mean state and variability of the North Atlantic circulation: a perspective from ocean reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (12). pp. 9141-9170. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015210

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Tett, S. (2019) Projected near term changes in the East Asian summer monsoon and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (8). 084038. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab28a6

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Dunstone, N. (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2019) Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the global monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1765-1775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080903

Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N. P., McCarthy, G. D., New, A. L. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2019) Insights into decadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and ocean heat content variability from an eddy-permitting coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (18). pp. 6137-6161. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0709.1

Menary, M. B., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Ridley, J., Andrews, M. B., Dimdore-Miles, O. B., Deshayes, J., Eade, R., Gray, L., Ineson, S., Mignot, J., Roberts, C. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Wood, R. A. and Xavier, P. (2018) Preindustrial control simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (12). pp. 3049-3075. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001495

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Archibald, A., Cooper, F., Christensen, M., Gray, L. J., Holliday, N. P., Macintosh, C., McMillan, M., Moat, B., Russo, M., Tilling, R., Carslaw, K., Desbruyères, D., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Feltham, D. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Grosvenor, D. P., Josey, S., King, B., Lewis, A., McCarthy, G. D., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, New, A. L., O'Reilly, C. H., Osprey, S. M., Read, K., Scaife, A., Shepherd, A., Sinha, B., Smeed, D., Smith, D., Ridout, A., Woollings, T. and Yang, M. (2018) Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (12). pp. 5050-5076. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5815

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Forced decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 51 (9-10). pp. 3699-3715. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4105-7

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Dunstone, N. (2018) A role of the Atlantic Ocean in predicting summer surface air temperature over North East Asia? Climate Dynamics, 51 (1-2). pp. 473-491. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3935-z

Alexander-Turner, R., Ortega, P. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2018) How robust are the surface temperature fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on monthly time‐scales? Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (8). pp. 3559-3567. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2017GL076759

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, McCarthy, G. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sinha, B., Archibald, A. T. and Gray, L. J. (2018) Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the U.K. ACSIS program. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (2). pp. 415-425. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Polo, I., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Stevens, D. P. and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2018) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 50 (3-4). pp. 921-937. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2

Thornalley, D. J. R., Oppo, D. W., Ortega, P., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Brierley, C. M., Davis, R., Hall, I. R., Moffa-Sanchez, P., Rose, N. L., Spooner, P. T., Yashayaev, I. and Keigwin, L. D. (2018) Anomalously weak Labrador Sea convection and Atlantic overturning during the past 150 years. Nature, 556 (7700). pp. 227-230. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0007-4

Ortega, P., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Andrews, M. B. (2017) Mechanisms of decadal variability in the Labrador Sea and the wider North Atlantic in a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49 (7-8). pp. 2625-2647. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3467-y

Yeager, S. G. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2017) Recent progress in understanding and predicting Atlantic decadal climate variability. Current Climate Change Reports, 3 (2). pp. 112-127. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0064-z

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Pohl, B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2017) Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cda

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf1660

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2727

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wood, R. A. (2015) A mechanism of internal decadal atlantic ocean variability in a high-resolution coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 28 (19). pp. 7764-7785. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0106.1

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064360

Hermanson, L., Dunstone, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2014) A novel transport assimilation method for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26°N. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (685). pp. 2563-2572. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2321

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2014) An anatomy of the cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean in the 1960s and 1970s. Journal of Climate, 27 (21). pp. 8229-8243. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00301.1

Polo, I., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Balmaseda, M. A. (2014) The importance of wind and buoyancy forcing for the boundary density variations and the geostrophic component of the AMOC at 26°N. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 44 (9). pp. 2387-2408. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-13-0264.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2014) The interpretation and use of biases in decadal climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 27 (8). pp. 2931-2947. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00473.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2014) Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics, 42 (9-10). pp. 2353-2365. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2115-7

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2014) Atlantic overturning in decline? Nature Geoscience, 7 (1). pp. 2-3. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2050

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2013) Predictable climate impacts of the decadal changes in the ocean in the 1990s. Journal of Climate, 26 (17). pp. 6329-6339. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00827.1

Zhang, R., Delworth, T. L., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Dixon, K. W., Held, I. M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. J., Ting, M. and Vecchi, G. A. (2013) Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (4). pp. 1135-1144. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1222566

Robson, J.I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053370

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Gohar, L. K., Hurley, M. D., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Wallington, T. J. (2006) Revised IR spectrum, radiative efficiency and global warming potential of nitrogen trifluoride. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (10). doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026210

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