Article

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. ISSN 1684-9981 (In Press)

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2022) The composite development and structure of intense synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (3). pp. 1097-1112. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1097-2022

Day, J. J., Holland, M. M. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2018) Seasonal differences in the response of Arctic cyclones to climate change in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, 50 (9-10). pp. 3885-3903. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3767-x

Day, J. J. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2018) Growing land-sea temperature contrast and the intensification of Arctic cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (8). pp. 3673-3681. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL077587

Valdes, P. J., Armstrong, E., Badger, M. P. S., Bradshaw, C. D., Bragg, F., Davies-Barnard, T., Day, J. J., Farnsworth, A., Hopcroft, P. O., Kennedy, A. T., Lord, N. S., Lunt, D. J., Marzocchi, A., Parry, L. M., Roberts, W. H. G., Stone, E. J., Tourte, G. J. L. and Williams, J. H. T. (2017) The BRIDGE HadCM3 family of climate models: HadCM3@Bristol v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 10. pp. 3715-3743. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-16

Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Day, J. J. (2017) Towards seasonal Arctic shipping route predictions. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a60

Day, J. J., Svensson, G., Brooks, I. M., Bitz, C., Broman, L., Carver, G., Chevallier, M., Goessling, H., Hartung, K., Jung, T., Kay, J. E., Kolstad, E. W., Perovich, D., Screen, J., Siemen, S. and Váňa, F. (2017) The Abisko Polar Prediction School. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (3). pp. 445-447. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0119.1

Edinburgh, T. and Day, J. J. (2016) Estimating the extent of Antarctic summer sea ice during the Heroic Age of Antarctic Exploration. The Cryosphere, 10 (6). pp. 2721-2730. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2721-2016

Jung, T., Gordon, N. D., Bauer, P., Bromwich, D. H., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Dawson, J., Doblas-Reyes, F., Fairall, C., Goessling, H. F., Holland, M., Inoue, J., Iversen, T., Klebe, S., Lemke, P., Losch, M., Makshtas, A., Mills, B., Nurmi, P., Perovich, D., Reid, P., Renfrew, I. A., Smith, G., Svensson, G., Tolstykh, M. and Yang, Q. (2016) Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (9). pp. 1631-1647. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00246.1

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S., Collins, M., Goessling, H. F., Guemas, V., Guillory, A., Hurlin, W. J., Ishii, M., Keeley, S. P. E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Sigmond, M., Tatebe, H. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2016) The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (6). pp. 2255-2270. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2255-2016

Goessling, H. F., Jung, T., Klebe, S., Baeseman, J., Bauer, P., Chen, P., Chevallier, M., Dole, R., Gordon, N., Ruti, P., Bradley, A., Bromwich, D. H., Casati, B., Chechin, D., Day, J. J., Massonnet, F., Mills, B., Renfrew, I., Smith, G. and Tatusko, R. (2016) Paving the way for the year of polar prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (4). ES85-ES88. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00270.1

Goessling, H. F., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Jung, T. (2016) Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (4). pp. 1642-1650. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067232

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Keeley, S. (2016) Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 672-683. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2643

Tietsche, S., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Day, J. J. (2016) Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 331-346. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1

Guemas, V., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N., Germe, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D. and Tietsche, S. (2016) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 546-561. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2401

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066779

Day, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Tietsche, S. (2014) Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill? Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (21). pp. 7566-7575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061694

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Tietsche, S., Day, J.J., Guemas, V., Hurlin, W. J., Keeley, S.P.E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Collins, M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea-ice predictability in current GCMs. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (3). pp. 1035-1043. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058755

Day, J.J., Bamber, J. L. and Valdes, P. J. (2013) The Greenland Ice Sheet's surface mass balance in a seasonally sea-ice free Arctic. Journal of Geophysical Research : Earth Surface, 118 (3). pp. 1533-1544. ISSN 2169-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrf.20112

Day, J. J., Hargreaves, J. C., Annan, J. D. and Abe-Ouchi, A. (2012) Sources of multi-decadal variability in Arctic sea ice extent. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (3). 034011. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034011

Day, J. J., Bamber, J. L., Valdes, P. J. and Kohler, J. (2012) The impact of a seasonally ice free Arctic Ocean on the temperature, precipitation and surface mass balance of Svalbard. The Cryosphere, 6. pp. 35-50. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-6-35-2012

Book or Report Section

Jung, T., Bauer, P., Goessling, H. F., Gordon, N., Klebe, S., Bromwich, D. H., Doblas-Reyes, F., Day, J. J., Fairall, C. W., Holland, M., Iverson, T., Lemke, P., Mills, B., Nurmi, P., Perovich, D. K., Reid, P., Renfrew, I., Smith, G., Svensson, G. and Tolstykh, M. (2015) The WWRP Polar Prediction Project (PPP). In: Brunet, G., Jones, S. and Ruti, P. (eds.) Seamless prediction of the Earth system: from minutes to months. WMO, 1156. World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva, pp. 371-384. ISBN 9789263111562

Clifford, D. and Day, J. (2013) Impact of Northern Hemisphere snow on the Arctic Ocean in a climate model. In: Proceedings of Earth Observation and Cryosphere Science : 13-16 November 2012, Frascati, Italy. European Space Agency. ISBN 9789292212766

Thesis

Day, J. (2011) The impact of 21st century Arctic sea ice decline on the climate and mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet and Svalbard’s glaciers and ice caps. PhD thesis, University of Bristol.