2024

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3310 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Chan, W. C. H., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Darch, G., Facer-Childs, K., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 and Tanguy, M. (2024) Added value of seasonal hindcasts to create UK hydrological drought storylines. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 24. pp. 1065-1078. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1065-2024

2023

Lonsdale, K., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Coles, T., Lock, K., O’Connell, E., O’Hare, P. and Tompkins, E. (2023) Climate resilience: interpretations of the term and implications for practice. In: Dessai, S., Lonsdale, K., Lowe, J. and Harcourt, R. (eds.) Quantifying Climate Risk and Building Resilience in the UK. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, pp. 15-23. ISBN 9783031397288 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-39729-5_2

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dorling, S., Fowler, H., Hanlon, H., Jenkins, K. and Kennedy-Asser, A. (2023) Future changes in indicators of climate hazard and resource in the UK. In: Dessai, S., Lonsdale, K., Lowe, J. and Harcourt, R. (eds.) Quantifying Climate Risk and Building Resilience in the UK. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, pp. 145-161. ISBN 9783031397288 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-39729-5_10

Bernie, D., Garry, F., Jenkins, K., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dawkins, L., Ford, A., Kennedy-Asser, A., O’Hare, P., Perks, R., Ramsey, V. and Sayers, P. (2023) What has been learned about converting climate hazard data to climate risk information? In: Dessai, S., Lonsdale, K., Lowe, J. and Harcourt, R. (eds.) Quantifying Climate Risk and Building Resilience in the UK. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, pp. 163-176. ISBN 9783031397288 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-39729-5_11

Perks, R., Robson, C., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Cooper, J., Dawkins, L., Fuller, E., Kennedy-Asser, A., Nicholls, R. and Ramsey, V. (2023) What insights can the programme share on developing decision support tools? In: Dessai, S., Lonsdale, K., Lowe, J. and Harcourt, R. (eds.) Quantifying Climate Risk and Building Resilience in the UK. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, pp. 111-127. ISBN 9783031397288 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-39729-5_8

Chan, W. C.H., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Darch, G., Facer-Childs, K., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Tanguy, M. and van der Wiel, K. (2023) Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain. Journal of Hydrology, 625. 130074. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130074

2022

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Jönsson, G., Oliver, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4169-7313, Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583 and Gambhir, A. (2022) Climate change, ecosystem impacts and systemic risks. Grantham Institute Imperial College and University of Reading.

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2022) The implications of climate change for emergency planning. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 83. 103425. ISSN 2212-4209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103425

Romanello, M., Di Napoli, C., Drummond, P., Green, C., Kennard, H., Lampard, P., Scamman, D., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Ford, L. B., Belesova, K., Bowen, K., Cai, W., Callaghan, M., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Chambers, J., van Daalen, K. R., Dalin, C., Dasandi, N., Dasgupta, S., Davies, M., Dominguez-Salas, P., Dubrow, R., Ebi, K. L., Eckelman, M., Ekins, P., Escobar, L. E., Georgeson, L., Graham, H., Gunther, S. H., Hamilton, I., Hang, Y., Hänninen, R., Hartinger, S., He, K., Hess, J. J., Hsu, S.-C., Jankin, S., Jamart, L., Jay, O., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kinney, P., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lee, J. K. W., Lemke, B., Liu, Y., Liu, Z., Lott, M., Batista, M. L., Lowe, R., MacGuire, F., Sewe, M. O., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., McGushin, A., McMichael, C., Mi, Z., Milner, J., Minor, K., Minx, J. C., Mohajeri, N., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Munzert, S., Murray, K. A., Neville, T., Nilsson, M., Obradovich, N., O'Hare, M. B., Oreszczyn, T., Otto, M., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E. J. Z., Rocklöv, J., Salas, R. N., Semenza, J. C., Sherman, J. D., Shi, L., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Silbert, G., Sofiev, M., Springmann, M., Stowell, J., Tabatabaei, M., Taylor, J., Triñanes, J., Wagner, F., Wilkinson, P., Winning, M., Yglesias-González, M., Zhang, S., Gong, P., Montgomery, H. and Costello, A. (2022) The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels. The Lancet, 400 (10363). pp. 1619-1654. ISSN 1474-547X doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01540-9

Ruane, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5582-9217, Vautard, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5544-9903, Ranasinghe, R., Sillmann, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0219-5345, Coppola, E., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Cruz, F. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4074-3477, Dessai, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7879-9364, Iles, C. E., Islam, A. K. M. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2435-8280, Jones, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0904-3141, Rahimi, M., Carrascal, D. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0987-5017, Seneviratne, S. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9528-2917, Servonnat, J., Sörensson, A. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5093-9655, Sylla, M. B., Tebaldi, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9233-8903, Wang, W. and Zaaboul, R. (2022) The climatic impact‐driver framework for assessment of risk‐relevant climate information. Earth's Future, 10 (11). e2022EF002803. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002803

Chan, W. C. H., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Facer-Childs, K., Darch, G. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2022) Tracking the methodological development of climate change projections for UK river flows. Progress in Physical Geography, 46 (4). pp. 589-612. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/03091333221079201

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Freeman, A. (2022) The impact of climate change on policy‐relevant indicators of temperature extremes in the United Kingdom. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (2). e12. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.12

Chan, W. C. H., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Facer-Childs, K., Darch, G. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2022) Storylines of UK drought based on the 2010-2012 event. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26 (7). pp. 1755-1777. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1755-2022

Gambhir, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5079-4537, George, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2688-3388, McJeon, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0348-5704, Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bernie, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3522-8921, Mittal, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4718-0064, Köberle, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0328-4750, Lowe, J., Rogelj, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2056-9061 and Monteith, S. (2022) Near-term transition and longer-term physical climate risks of greenhouse gas emissions pathways. Nature Climate Change, 12. pp. 88-96. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01236-x

2021

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2021) The global-scale impacts of climate change. In: Rosenzweig, C., Parry, M. and De Mel, M. (eds.) Our Warming Planet: Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation. Lectures in climate change, 2. World Scientific Publishing, Singapore, pp. 69-89. ISBN 9789811238215 doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/9789811238222_0005

Romanello, M., McGushin, A., Di Napoli, C., Drummond, P., Hughes, N., Jamart, L., Kennard, H., Lampard, P., Solano Rodriguez, B., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Capstick, S., Chambers, J., Chu, L., Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Dalin, C., Dasandi, N., Dasgupta, S., Davies, M., Dominguez-Salas, P., Dubrow, R., Ebi, K. L., Eckelman, M., Ekins, P., Escobar, L. E., Georgeson, L., Grace, D., Graham, H., Gunther, S. H., Hartinger, S., He, K., Heaviside, C., Hess, J., Hsu, S.-C., Jankin, S., Jimenez, M. P., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kinney, P. L., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lee, J. K. W., Lemke, B., Liu, Y., Liu, Z., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., McMichael, C., Mi, Z., Milner, J., Minor, K., Mohajeri, N., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Munzert, S., Murray, K. A., Neville, T., Nilsson, M., Obradovich, N., Sewe, M. O., Oreszczyn, T., Otto, M., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E., Rocklöv, J., Salas, R. N., Semenza, J. C., Sherman, J., Shi, L., Springmann, M., Tabatabaei, M., Taylor, J., Trinanes, J., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Vu, B., Wagner, F., Wilkinson, P., Winning, M., Yglesias, M., Zhang, S., Gong, P., Montgomery, H., Costello, A. and Hamilton, I. (2021) The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future. The Lancet, 398 (10311). pp. 1619-1662. ISSN 0140-6736 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01787-6

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Freeman, A., Kay, A. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5526-1756, Rudd, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5996-6115 and Lowe, J. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8201-3926 (2021) Indicators of climate risk in the UK at different levels of warming. Environmental Research Communications, 3 (9). 095005. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac24c0

Kay, A. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5526-1756, Griffin, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-4561, Rudd, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5996-6115, Chapman, R. M., Bell, V. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0792-5650 and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2021) Low river flow across Great Britain. Advances in Water Resources, 151. 103909. ISSN 0309-1708 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103909

Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Vautard, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Coppola, E., Cruz, F. A., Dessai, S., Saiful Islam, A. K. M., Rahimi, M., Carrascal, D. R., Sillmann, J., Sylla, M. B., Tebaldi, C., Wang, W. and Zaaboul, R. (2021) Climate change information for regional impact and for risk assessment. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 1767-1926. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.014

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Freeman, A. (2021) The effect of climate change on agro-climatic indicators in the UK. Climatic Change, 165. 40. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03054-8

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Freeman, A. and Gazzard, R. (2021) The effect of climate change on indicators of fire danger in the UK. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (4). 044027. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd9f2

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Beagley, J., Belesova, K., Boykoff, M., Byass, P., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Capstick, S., Chambers, J., Coleman, S., Dalin, C., Daly, M., Dasandi, N., Dasgupta, S., Davies, M., Di Napoli, C., Dominguez-Salas, P., Drummond, P., Dubrow, R., Ebi, K. L., Eckelman, M., Ekins, P., Escobar, L. E., Georgeson, L., Golder, S., Grace, D., Graham, H., Haggar, P., Hamilton, I., Hartinger, S., Hess, J., Hsu, S.-C., Hughes, N., Jankin Mikhaylov, S., Jimenez, M. P., Kelman, I., Kennard, H., Kiesewetter, G., Kinney, P. L., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lampard, P., Lemke, B., Liu, Y., Liu, Z., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., McGushin, A., McMichael, C., Milner, J., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Munzert, S., Murray, K. A., Neville, T., Nilsson, M., Sewe, M. O., Oreszczyn, T., Otto, M., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Quinn, R., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4950-0183, Rocklöv, J., Romanello, M., Semenza, J. C., Sherman, J., Shi, L., Springmann, M., Tabatabaei, M., Taylor, J., Triñanes, J., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Vu, B., Wilkinson, P., Winning, M., Gong, P., Montgomery, H. and Costello, A. (2021) The 2020 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: responding to converging crises. Lancet, 397 (10269). pp. 129-170. ISSN 0140-6736 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32290-X

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Kay, A. L., Freeman, A., Rudd, A. C. and Lowe, J. A. (2021) Changing climate risk in the UK: a multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators. Climate Risk Management, 31. 100265. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265

2019

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Boykoff, M., Byass, P., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Capstick, S., Chambers, J., Dalin, C., Daly, M., Dasandi, N., Davies, M., Drummond, P., Dubrow, R., Ebi, K. L., Eckelman, M., Ekins, P., Escobar, L. E., Fernandez Montoya, L., Georgeson, L., Graham, H., Haggar, P., Hamilton, I., Hartinger, S., Hess, J., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lemke, B., Liu, Y., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Sewe, M. O., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., McGushin, A., Jankin Mikhaylov, S., Milner, J., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Murray, K., Munzert, S., Nilsson, M., Neville, T., Oreszczyn, T., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Phung, D., Pye, S., Quinn, R., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4950-0183, Rocklöv, J., Semenza, J. C., Sherman, J., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Tabatabaei, M., Taylor, J., Trinanes, J., Wilkinson, P., Costello, A., Gong, P. and Montgomery, H. (2019) The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. The Lancet, 394 (10211). pp. 1836-1878. ISSN 0140-6736 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32596-6

Fitton, N., Alexander, P., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bajzelj, B., Calvin, K., Doelman, J., Gerber, J. S., Havlik, P., Hasegawa, T., Herrero, M., Krisztin, T., van Meijl, H., Powell, T., Sands, R., Stehfest, E., West, P. C. and Smith, P. (2019) The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity. Global Environmental Change, 58. 101944. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101944

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Bernie, D. J., Nicholls, R., Brown, S., Challinor, A. and Osborn, T. (2019) The global and regional impacts of climate change under representative concentration pathway forcings and shared socioeconomic pathway socioeconomic scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab35a6

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Challinor, A. J. and Osborn, T. J. (2019) Global and regional impacts of climate change at different levels of global temperature increase. Climatic Change, 155 (3). pp. 377-391. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02464-z

2018

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Berry, H., Bouley, T., Boykoff, M., Byass, P., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Chambers, J., Daly, M., Dasandi, N., Davies, M., Depoux, A., Dominguez-Salas, P., Drummond, P., Ebi, K. L., Ekins, P., Montoya, L. F., Fischer, H., Georgeson, L., Grace, D., Graham, H., Hamilton, I., Hartinger, S., Hess, J., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lemke, B., Liang, L., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Sewe, M. O., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., Mikhaylov, S. J., Milner, J., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Murray, K., Nilsson, M., Neville, T., Oreszczyn, T., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Pye, S., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4950-0183, Rocklöv, J., Saxer, O., Schütte, S., Semenza, J. C., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Steinbach, R., Tabatabaei, M., Tomei, J., Trinanes, J., Wheeler, N., Wilkinson, P., Gong, P., Montgomery, H. and Costello, A. (2018) The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. The Lancet, 392 (10163). pp. 2479-2514. ISSN 01406736 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32594-7

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Qingchen, C., Ying, X., Junfeng, L., Tong, J., Guangsheng, Z., Kexiu, L., Brown, S., Challinor, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Koehler, A.-K., Nicholls, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Rensheng, C., Xiaomin, L. and Wentao, W. (2018) Direct risks of climate change. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 58-97.

Bailey, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Xiangwan, D., Yanhua, L., Jiashuang, Y. and Chao, C. (2018) Introduction. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 23-28.

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Nicholls, R., (2018) The potential impacts of climate change: a global and regional assessment to 2040. Report. WISER

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Lloyd-Hughes, B. and Osborn, T. J. (2018) The impacts avoided with a 1.5 °C climate target: a global and regional assessment. Climatic Change, 147 (1-2). pp. 61-76. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-2115-9

2017

Lowe, J. A., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Warren, R., Gambhir, A. J., Bernie, D. and Thompson, E. (2017) Avoiding dangerous climate: results from the AVOID2 programme. Weather, 72 (11). pp. 340-345. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3176

Wolf, E., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Friedlingstein, P., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Haigh, J., Haines, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Hoskins, B., Mace, G., Prentice, I. C., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978, Smith, P., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Turley, C., (2017) Climate updates: what have we learnt since the IPCC 5th Assessment Report? Report. The Royal Society, London, UK. pp36. ISBN 9781782523062

Rosenzweig, C., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ebi, K. L., Lotze-Campen, H., Raes, F., Rapley, C., Smith, M. S., Cramer, W., Frieler, K., Reyer, C. P. O., Schewe, J., van Vuuren, D. and Warszawski, L. (2017) Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of ISIMIP. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (1). 010301. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/010301

2016

Ruane, A. C., Teichmann, C., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Carter, T. R., Ebi, K. L., Frieler, K., Goodess, C. M., Hewitson, B., Horton, R., Kovats, R. S., Lotze, H. K., Mearns, L. O., Navarra, A., Ojima, D. S., Riahi, K., Rosenzweig, C., Themessl, M. and Vincent, K. (2016) The vulnerability, impacts, adaptation and climate services advisory board (VIACS AB v1.0) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (9). pp. 3493-3515. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3493-2016

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 475-487. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7

Gosling, S. N. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2016) A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 371-385. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0853-x

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2016) The global-scale impacts of climate change: the QUEST-GSI project. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 343-352. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1600-x

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P., Wheeler, T. R. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) The impacts of climate change across the globe: a multi-sectoral assessment. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 457-474. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1281-2

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Gosling, S. N. (2016) The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 387-401. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

Kwadijk, J., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Mudersbach, C., de Weerd, M., Kroon, A. and Quante, M. (2016) Recent change - river flow. In: Quante, M. and Colijn, F. (eds.) North Sea Region Climate Assessment. Regional Climate Studies. Springer, Cham, Switzerland, pp. 137-146. ISBN 9783319397436 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39745-0_4

2015

Harding, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Reynard, N., Prudhomme, C., Blyth, E. and Taylor, C. (2015) Climate change and hydrology. In: Rodda, J. C. and Robinson, M. (eds.) Progress in Modern Hydrology: Past, Present and Future. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, pp. 302-323. ISBN 9781119074274

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) A short guide to climate change risk. A Short Guide to Business Risk. Gower, Farnham, Surrey, pp226. ISBN 9781409453529

Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Black, R., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S. G. (2015) Focus on environmental risks and migration: causes and consequences. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 060201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/060201

Döll, P., Jiménez-Cisneros, B., Oki, T., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Benito, G., Cogley, J. G., Jiang, T., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Mwakalila, S. and Nishijima, A. (2015) Integrating risks of climate change into water management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60 (1). pp. 4-13. ISSN 0262-6667 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.967250

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Halliday, S., Battarbee, R. W., Skeffington, R. and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2015) The implications of climate change for the water environment in England. Progress in Physical Geography, 39 (1). pp. 93-120. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133314560369

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) The risk of drought. In: King, D., Schrag, D., Dadi, Z., Ye, Q. and Ghosh, A. (eds.) Climate Change: A Risk Assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, pp. 84-87.

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) The risk of river flooding. In: King, D., Schrag, D., Dadi, Z., Ye, Q. and Ghosh, A. (eds.) Climate Change: A Risk Assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, pp. 88-93.

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) The risk of water stress. In: King, D., Schrag, D., Dadi, Z., Ye, Q. and Ghosh, A. (eds.) Climate change: a risk assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, pp. 74-83.

2014

Huber, V., Schellnhuber, H. J., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Frieler, K., Friend, A. D., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Parry, M., Piontek, F., Rosenzweig, C., Schewe, J. and Warszawski, L. (2014) Climate impact research: beyond patchwork. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (2). pp. 399-408. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-399-2014

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Charlton, M. B. and Lowe, J. A. (2014) The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK. Journal of Hydrology, 510. pp. 424-435. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.046

Dankers, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) First look at changes in flood hazard in the inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3257-3261. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Prudhomme, C., Giuntoli, I., Robinson, E. L., Clark, D. B., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dankers, R., Fekete, B. M., Franssen, W., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hannah, D. M., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3262-3267. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222473110

Schewe, J., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Clark, D. B., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Fekete, B. M., Colon-Gonzalez, F. J., Gosling, S. N., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F. T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., Wisser, D., Albrecht, T., Frieler, K., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L. and Kabat, P. (2014) Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3245-3250. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222460110

Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O’Neill, B. C., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., Van Vuuren, D. P. and Zwickel, T. (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122 (3). pp. 363-372. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2014) Assessing the impacts of climate change on river flows in England using the UKCP09 climate change projections. Journal of Hydrology, 519. pp. 1723-1738. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.008

Jimenez Cisneros, B. E., Oki, T., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Benito, G., Cogley, J. G., Doll, P., Jiang, T. and Mwakalila, S. S. (2014) Freshwater resources. In: Field, C. B., Barros, V. R., Dokken, D. J., Mach, K. J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Bilir, T. E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K. L., Estrada, Y. O., Genova, R. C., Gimma, B., Kissel, E. S., Levy, A. N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P. R. and White, L. L. (eds.) Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 229-269.

2013

Kundzewicz, Z. W., Kanae, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Handmer, J., Nicholls, N., Peduzzi, P., Mechler, R., Bouwer, L. M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Mach, K., Muir-Wood, R., Brakenridge, G. R., Kron, W., Benito, G., Honda, Y., Takahashi, K. and Sherstyukov, B. (2013) Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (1). pp. 1-28. ISSN 2150-3435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.857411

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios. Climatic Change, 122 (1-2). pp. 127-140. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0948-4

Warren, R., Lowe, J. A., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hope, C., Berry, P., Brown, S., Gambhir, A., Gosling, S. N., Nicholls, R. J., O’Hanley, J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T., Price, J., Raper, S. C. B., Rose, G. and Vanderwal, J. (2013) The AVOID programme’s new simulations of the global benefits of stringent climate change mitigation. Climatic Change, 120 (1-2). pp. 55-70. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0814-4

Lloyd-Hughes, B., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2013) An evaluation of the spatiotemporal structure of large-scale European drought within the HiGEM climate model. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (8). pp. 2024-2035. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3570

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P. and Warren, R. F. (2013) A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3. pp. 512-519. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1793

Davie, J. C. S., Falloon, P. D., Kahana, R., Dankers, R., Betts, R., Portmann, F. T., Wisser, D., Clark, D. B., Ito, A., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Fekete, B., Tessler, Z., Wada, Y., Liu, X., Tang, Q., Hagemann, S., Stacke, T., Pavlick, R., Schaphoff, S., Gosling, S. N., Franssen, W. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2013) Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP. Earth System Dynamics, 4 (2). pp. 359-374. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-359-2013

Black, R., Adger, W. N. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2013) Migration and extreme environmental events: new agendas for global change research. Environmental Science & Policy, 27 (supp. 1). S1-S3. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.09.010

Black, R., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Adger, W. N., Thomas, D. and Geddes, A. (2013) Migration, immobility and displacement outcomes following extreme events. Environmental Science & Policy, 27 (supp. 1). S32-S43. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.09.001

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Gosling, S. N. (2013) The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale. Journal of Hydrology, 486. pp. 351-364. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.010

2012

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Moss, R., Edmonds, J., Thomson, A., Nakicenovic, N., Kram, T., Berkhout, F., Swart, R., Janetos, A., Rose, S. K. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2012) A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities. Global Environmental Change, 22 (1). pp. 21-35. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002

Gottschalk, P., Smith, J. U., Wattenbach, M., Bellarby, J., Stehfest, E., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Osborn, T. J., Jones, C. and Smith, P. (2012) How will organic carbon stocks in mineral soils evolve under future climate? Global projections using RothC for a range of climate change scenarios. Biogeosciences, 9 (8). pp. 3151-3171. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3151-2012

Geddes, A., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Black, R. and Thomas, D. S. G. (2012) Migration, environmental change, and the ‘challenges of governance’. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 30 (6). pp. 951-967. ISSN 1472-3425 doi: https://doi.org/10.1068/c3006ed

Ledbetter, R., Prudhomme, C. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2012) A method for incorporating climate variability in climate change impact assessments: sensitivity of river flows in the Eden catchment to precipitation scenarios. Climatic Change, 113 (3-4). pp. 803-823. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0386-0

Simelton, E., Fraser, E. D. G., Termansen, M., Benton, T. G., Gosling, S. N., South, A., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Challinor, A. J., Dougill, A. J. and Forster, P. M. (2012) The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought. Food Security, 4 (2). pp. 163-179. ISSN 1876-4517 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-012-0173-4

2011

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) Migration and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S1-S2. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.005

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S3-S11. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001

Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bertrand, N., Best, M., Folwell, S., Kabat, P., Koirala, S., Oki, T., Polcher, J., Stacke, T., Viterbo, P., Weedon, G. P., Yehm, P., Gerten, D., Gomes, S., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hanasaki, N., Harding, R. and Heinke, J. (2011) Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: setup and first results. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12 (5). pp. 869-884. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1324.1

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Policy: the perils of doing nothing. Nature Climate Change, 1. pp. 193-195. ISSN 1758-6787 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1157

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, van Vuuren, D. P. and Isaac, M. (2011) The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 592-603. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.015

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2011) The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 575-591. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003

Gosling, S. N. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis. Hydrological Processes, 25 (7). pp. 1129-1145. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7727

Todd, M., Taylor, R., Osborn, T., Kingston, D., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Gosling, S. (2011) Uncertainty in climate change impacts on basin-scale freshwater resources – preface to the special issue: the QUEST-GSI methodology and synthesis of results. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 1035-1046. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1035-2011

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Uncertainty in the relationship between climate forcing and hydrological response in UK catchments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 897-912. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-897-2011

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England - an assessment of draft Water Resources Management Plans. Global Environmental Change, 21 (1). pp. 238-248. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.012

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Incorporating climate change into water resources planning in England and Wales. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47 (3). pp. 541-549. ISSN 1752-1688 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00548.x

Gosling, S., Taylor, R. G., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Todd, M. C. (2011) A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (1). pp. 279-294. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-279-2011

2010

Gosling, S. N., Bretherton, D., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2010) Global hydrology modelling and uncertainty: running multiple ensembles with a campus grid. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1926). pp. 4005-4021. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0164

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2010) Adapting to climate change: an evolving research programme. Climatic Change, 100 (1). pp. 107-111. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9839-0

Tompkins, E.L., Adger, W.N., Boyd, E., Nicholson-Cole, S., Weatherhead, K. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2010) Observed adaptation to climate change: UK evidence of transition to a well-adapting society. Global Environmental Change, 20 (4). pp. 627-635. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.05.001

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Barker, T., Criqui, P., Bauer, N., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2010) Scenarios as the basis for assessment of mitigation and adaptation. In: Hulme, M. and Neufeldt, H. (eds.) Making Climate Change Work For Us. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 54-86. ISBN 9780521119412

Charlton, M., Bailey, A. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, (2010) Water for agriculture: implications for future policy and practice. Report. Royal Agricultural Society of England pp94.

2009

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Charlton, M. B. (2009) Adapting to the effects of climate change on water supply reliability. In: Adger, W.N., Lorenzoni, I. and O'Brien, K. L. (eds.) Adapting to climate change: thresholds, values, governance. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 42-53. ISBN 9780521764858

Parry, M. L., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Berry, P., Dodman, D., Fankhauser, S., Hope, C., Kovats, S., Nicholls, R., Satterthwaite, D., Tiffin, R. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Assessing the costs of adaptation to climate change: a review of the UNFCCC and other recent estimates. International Institute for Environment and Development and Grantham Institute for Climate Change, London, pp111. ISBN 9781843697459

Parry, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Berry, P., Dodman, D., Fankhauser, S., Hope, C., Kovats, S., Nicholls, R., Satterthwaite, D., Tiffin, R., Wheeler, T., Lowe, J. A. and Hanson, C. (2009) Report on reports: adaptation to climate change: assessing the costs. Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 51 (6). pp. 29-36. ISSN 1939-9154 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00139150903337423

Kingston, D., Todd, M., Taylor, R., Thompson, J. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2009) Uncertainty in the estimation of potential evapotranspiration under climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L20403. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040267

2008

Warren, R., de la Nava Santos, S., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bane, M., Barker, T., Barton, C., Ford, R., Füssel, H.-M., Hankin, R. K.S., Klein, R., Linstead, C., Kohler, J., Mitchell, T.D., Osborn, T.J., Pan, H., Raper, S.C.B., Riley, G., Schellnhüber, H.J., Winne, S. and Anderson, D. (2008) Development and illustrative outputs of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS), a multi-institutional modular integrated assessment approach for modelling climate change. Environmental Modelling and Software, 23 (5). pp. 592-610. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.09.002

Kundzewicz, Z., Mata, L., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Doll, P., Jimenez, B., Miller, K., Oki, T., Sen, Z. and Shiklomanov, I. (2008) The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53 (1). pp. 3-10. ISSN 0262-6667

Warren, R., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Nicholls, R. (2008) Regional impacts of climate change. In: Cuff, D. J. and Goudie, A. S. (eds.) The Oxford Companion to Global Change. Oxford University Press, USA, pp. 352-358. ISBN 9780195324884

Kundzewicz, Z.W., Mata, L.J., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Doll, P., Jimenez, B., Miller, K., Oki, T., Sen, Z. and Shiklomanov, I. (2008) The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53. pp. 3-10.

2007

Kundzewicz, Z. W., Mata, L. J., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Doll, P., Kabat, P., Jimenez, B., Miller, K., Oki, T., Zekai, S. and Shiklomanov, I. (2007) Freshwater resources and their management. In: Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J. and Hanson, C. E. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 173-210. ISBN 9780521880091

Yohe, G. W., Lasco, R. D., Ahmad, Q. K., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Cohen, S. J., Hope, C., Janetos, A. C. and Perez, R. T. (2007) Perspectives on climate change and sustainability. In: Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J. and Hanson, C. E. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 811-841. ISBN 9780521880091

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Chatterton, J. B. (2007) Reducing flood losses. In: Thorne, C. R., Evans, E. P. and Penning-Rowsell, E. C. (eds.) Future Flood and Coastal Erosion Risks in the UK. Thomas Telford, pp. 360-373. ISBN 9780727734495

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2007) Summary for Policymakers. In: Parry, M. L., Canziani, O. F., Palutikof, J. P., van der Linden, P. J. and Hanson, C. E. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 7-22. ISBN 9780521880091

2006

Scholze, M., Knorr, W., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Prentice, I.C. (2006) A climate change risk analysis for world ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103 (35). pp. 13116-13120. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0601816103

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Delaney, E. K. (2006) Adapting to climate change: public water supply in England and Wales. Climatic Change, 78 (2-4). pp. 227-255. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9067-9

Sear, D.A. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2006) The application of palaeohydrology in river management. Catena, 66 (1-2). pp. 169-183. ISSN 0341-8162 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2005.11.009