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Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) How and why Earth's climate is changing. In: Weather - A force of nature: Spectacular images from weather photographer of the year. Natural History Museum, London, England, pp. 6-7, pp. 192. ISBN 9780565095253

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850 (2021) IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 1-2. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.001

Arias, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Coppola, E., Jones, R. G., Krinner, G., Marotzke, J., Naik, V., Palmer, M. D., Plattner, G.-K., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Sillmann, J., Storelvmo, T., Thorne, P. W., Trewin, B., Rao, K. A., Adhikary, B., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Armour, K., Bala, G., Barimalala, R., Berger, S., Canadell, J. G., Cassou, C., Cherchi, A., Collins, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Collins, W. D., Connors, S. L., Corti, S., Cruz, F., Dentener, F. J., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Niang, A. D., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dosio, A., Douville, H., Engelbrecht, F., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P., Goldfarb, L., Gorodetskaya, I., Gutierrez, J. M., Hamdi, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hewitt, H. T., Hope, P., Islam, A. S., Jones, C., Kaufman, D. S., Kopp, R. E., Kosaka, Y., Kossin, J., Krakovska, S., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Mauritsen, T., Maycock, T. K., Meinshausen, M., Min, S.-K., Monteiro, P. M. S., Ngo-Duc, T., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Pirani, A., Raghavan, K., Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Ruiz, L., Sallée, J.-B., Samset, B. H., Sathyendranath, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Sörensson, A. A., Szopa, S., Takayabu, I., Tréguier, A.-M., van den Hurk, B., Vautard, R., von Schuckmann, K., Zaehle, S., Zhang, X. and Zickfeld., K. (2021) Technical summary. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group. Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.002

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Freeman, A. and Gazzard, R. (2021) The effect of climate change on indicators of fire danger in the UK. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (4). 044027. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd9f2

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Freeman, A. (2021) The effect of climate change on agro-climatic indicators in the UK. Climatic Change, 165. 40. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03054-8

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Kay, A. L., Freeman, A., Rudd, A. C. and Lowe, J. A. (2021) Changing climate risk in the UK: a multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators. Climate Risk Management, 31. 100265. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265

B

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Pinnington, E., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Lahive, F., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Cook, P., Daymond, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7597-9423, Hadley, P., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Cocoa plant productivity in West Africa under climate change: a modelling and experimental study. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (1). 014009. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f3

Brimicombe, C., Di Napoli, C., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Pappenberger, F., Petty, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2021) Borderless heat hazards with bordered impacts. Earth's Future, 9 (9). e2021EF002064. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002064

Brimicombe, C., Porter, J. J., Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2021) Heatwaves: an invisible risk in UK policy and research. Environmental Science & Policy, 116. pp. 1-7. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.021

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Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Plumpton, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C., (2021) NIMFRU briefing note: improving disaster response through a Livelihood Impact Based (LIMB) Flood Forecasting System. Technical Report. Zenodo

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Plumpton, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C., (2021) Reducing the cost and impact of disasters: National-scale Impact Based Forecasting of Flood Risk for Uganda. Technical Report. CERN, Geneva. pp5.

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Plumpton, H. (2021) Future climate of Africa. In: Nuttall, P. (ed.) Climate, Ticks and Disease. CABI Climate Change Series. CAB International, UK. ISBN 9781789249637

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C. and Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 (2021) Supporting climate-resilient planning at national and district levels: a pathway to multi-stakeholder decision-making in Uganda. In: Conway, D. and Vincent, K. (eds.) Climate Risk in Africa: Adaptation and Resilience. Palgrave-Macmillan, pp. 131-145. ISBN 9783030611590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61160-6_8

D

Daron, J., Allen, M., Bailey, M., Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Costella, C., Fournier, N., Graham, R., Hall, K., Kane, C., Lele, I., Petty, C., Pinder, N., Pirret, J., Stacey, J. and Ticehurst, H. (2021) Integrating seasonal climate forecasts into adaptive social protection in the Sahel. Climate and Development, 13 (6). pp. 543-550. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1825920

Dennehy, Z., Bilsborrow, J., Konyves, K., David, J. and Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 (2021) Dating daffodils to save species. In: Daffodil, Snowdrop and Tulip Yearbook. Royal Horticultural Society, pp. 17-19. ISBN 9780201379624

Douville, H., Raghavan, K., Renwick, J., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Arias, P. A., Barlow, M., Cerezo-Mota, R., Cherchi, A., Gan, T. Y., Gergis, J., Jiang, D., Khan, A., Mba, W. P., Rosenfeld, D., Tierney, J. and Zolina, O. (2021) Water cycle changes. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonno, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to 45 the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1055-1210. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.010

F

Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Ali, H., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Ban, N., Barbero, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8610-0018, Berg, P., Blenkinsop, S., Cabi, N. S., Chan, S., Dale, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1062-5771, Dunn, R. J. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2469-5989, Ekström, M., Evans, J. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1776-3429, Fosser, G., Golding, B., Guerreiro, S. B., Hegerl, G. C., Kahraman, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8180-1103, Kendon, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1538-2147, Lenderink, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1572-4867, Lewis, E., Li, X., O'Gorman, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1748-0816, Orr, H. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5021-1074, Peat, K. L., Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Pritchard, D., Schär, C., Sharma, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6758-0519, Stott, P. A., Villalobos-Herrera, R., Villarini, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9566-2370, Wasko, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9166-8289, Wehner, M. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5991-0082, Westra, S. and Whitford, A. (2021) Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 379 (2195). ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0542

Fowler, H. J., Lenderink, G., Prein, A. F., Westra, S., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Ban, N., Barbero, R., Berg, P., Blenkinsop, S., Do, H. X., Guerreiro, S. B., Haerter, J. O., Kendon, E., Lewis, E., Schaer, C., Sharma, A., Villarini, G., Wasko, C. and Zhang, X. (2021) Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2. pp. 107-122. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-00128-6

G

Gulev, S. K., Thorne, P. W., Ahn, J., Dentener, F. J., Domingues, C. M., Gerland, S., Gong, D., Kaufman, D. S., Nnamchi, H. C., Quaas, J., Rivera, J. A., Sathyendranath, S., Smith, S. L., Trewin, B., von Schuckmann, K., Vose, R. S., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2021) Changing state of the climate system. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 287-422. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.004

H

Hinkel, J., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Todman, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-294X, Fairgreave, R., Plumpton, H., Shepherd, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Petty, C. and Acidri, J. (2021) Policy, governance and institutions for reducing and managing losses and damages - decision making under uncertainty. In: Buckle, S., Lamhauge, N., Rocha, M., Stadler, B. and Chhun, B. (eds.) Managing climate risks, facing up to losses and damages. OECD Publishing, Paris, pp. 185-238. ISBN 9789264344396 doi: https://doi.org/10.1787/55ea1cc9-en

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 (2021) Global heat balance and heat uptake in potential temperature coordinates. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2021-2035. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05832-7

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Liu, F., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Li, Y., Zheng, X., Zhang, C. and Qian, H. (2021) Revisiting physical distancing threshold in indoor environment using infection-risk-based modeling. Environment International, 153. 106542. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2021.106542

Liu, F., Qian, H., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Zheng, X. (2021) The impact of indoor thermal stratification on the dispersion of human speech droplets. Indoor Air, 31 (2). pp. 369-382. ISSN 1600-0668 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ina.12737

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Seneviratne, S. I., Zhang, X., Adnan, M., Badi, W., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Ghosh, S., Iskandar, I., Kossin, J., Lewis, S., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Satoh, M., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Wehner, M., Zhou, B. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1513-1766. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013

T

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2021) Spiciness theory revisited, with new views on neutral density, orthogonality and passiveness. Ocean Science, 17 (1). pp. 203-219. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-203-2021

Titley, H. A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Harrigan, S., Pappenberger, F., Prudhomme, C., Robbins, J. C., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Zsoter, E. (2021) Key factors influencing the severity of fluvial flood hazard from tropical cyclones. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (7). pp. 1801-1817. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0250.1

U

Urban, A., Di Napoli, C. D., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Kyselý, J., Pappenberger, F., Sera, F., Schneider, R., Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Acquaotta, F., Ragettli, M. S., Íñiguez, C., Tobias, A., Indermitte, E., Orru, H., Jaakkola, J. J. K., Ryti, N. R. I., Pascal, M., Huber, V., Schneider, A., de Donato, F., Michelozzi, P. and Gasparrini, A. (2021) Evaluation of the ERA5 reanalysis-based Universal Thermal Climate Index on mortality data in Europe. Environmental Research, 198. 111227. ISSN 0013-9351 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2021.111227

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van der Schrier, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7395-8023, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Osso, A., Sousa, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0296-4204, Van de Vyver, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7142-4693, Van Schaeybroeck, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9507-7929, Coscarelli, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2779-1100, Pasqua, A. A., Petrucci, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6918-1135, Curley, M., Mietus, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9488-071X, Filipiak, J., Štěpánek, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8956-5590, Zahradníček, P., Brázdil, R., Řezníčková, L., van den Besselaar, E. J. M., Trigo, R. and Aguilar, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8384-377X (2021) The 1921 European drought: impacts, reconstruction and drivers. Climate of the Past, 17 (5). pp. 2201-2221. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2201-2021

Y

Yang, X., Yang, H., Ou, C., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Hang, J. (2021) Airborne transmission of pathogen-laden expiratory droplets in open outdoor space. Science of the Total Environment, 773. 145537. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145537

Yeh, S.-W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4549-1686, Song, S.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9447-1158, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, An, S.-I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-429X and Shin, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3199-7646 (2021) Contrasting response of hydrological cycle over land and ocean to a changing CO2 pathway. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 53. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00206-6

Young, H. R., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Acidri, J., Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C., Seaman, J. and Todman, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-294X (2021) Storylines for decision-making: climate and food security in Namibia. Climate and Development, 13 (6). pp. 515-528. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1808438