Article

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Decadal climate variability and the global energy balance. Past Global Changes, 25 (1). pp. 20-24. ISSN 2411-605X doi: 10.22498/pages.25.1.20

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Global energy budget: elusive origin of warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 7 (5). pp. 316-317. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3282

Bentamy, A., Piollé, J. F., Grouazel, A., Danielson, R., Gulev, S., Paul, F., Azelmat, H., Mathieu, P. P., von Schuckmann, K., Sathyendranath, S., Evers-King, H., Esau, I., Johannessen, J. A., Clayson, C. A., Pinker, R. T., Grodsky, S. A., Bourassa, M., Smith, S. R., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Valdivieso, M., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Chapron, B., Anderson, A., Hollmann, R. and Josey, S. A. (2017) Review and assessment of latent and sensible heat flux accuracy over the global oceans. Remote Sensing of Environment, 201. pp. 196-218. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2017.08.016

Bocquet, M. and Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 (2017) Four-dimensional ensemble variational data assimilation and the unstable subspace. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 69 (1). 1304504. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1080/16000870.2017.1304504

Bocquet, M., Gurumoorthy, K. S., Apte, A., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Grudzien, C. and Jones, C. K. R. T. (2017) Degenerate Kalman filter error covariances and their convergence onto the unstable subspace. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5 (1). pp. 304-333. ISSN 2166-2525 doi: 10.1137/16M1068712

Carella, G., Morris, A. K. R., Pascal, R. W., Yelland, M. J., Berry, D. I., Morak-Bozzo, S., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Kent, E. C. (2017) Measurements and models of the temperature change of water samples in Sea Surface Temperature buckets. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (706). pp. 2198-2209. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3078

Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Bocquet, M., Hannart, A. and Ghil, M. (2017) Estimating model evidence using data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703). pp. 866-880. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2972

Chevallier, M., Smith, G. C., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J.-F., Forget, G., Fujii, Y., Hernandez, F., Msadek, R., Peterson, K. A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Vernieres, G., Zuo, H., Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Ferry, N., Garric, G., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Keeley, S., Kovach, R. M., Kuragano, T., Masina, S., Tang, Y., Tsujino, H. and Wang, X. (2017) Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean–sea ice reanalyses from the ORA-IP project. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 1107-1136. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-2985-y

Cordoba, M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Kelly, G. A., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Waller, J. A. (2017) Diagnosing atmospheric motion vector observation errors for an operational high resolution data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (702). pp. 333-341. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2925

Delahaies, S., Roulstone, I. and Nichols, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2017) Constraining DALECv2 using multiple data streams and ecological constraints: analysis and application. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (7). pp. 2635-2650. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-2635-2017

Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2017) Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e

Goodliff, M., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2017) A weak-constraint 4DEnsembleVar. Part II: experiments with larger models. Tellus A, 69 (1). 1271565. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1080/16000870.2016.1271565

Gurumoorthy, K. S., Grudzien, C., Apte, A., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Jones, C. K. R. T. (2017) Rank deficiency of Kalman error covariance matrices in linear time-varying system with deterministic evolution. SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 55 (2). pp. 741-759. ISSN 0363-0129 doi: 10.1137/15M1025839

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. -S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2017) Upper tropospheric humidity [in “State of the Climate in 2016”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8). S25-S26. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2017BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Kent, E. C., Kennedy, J. J., Smith, T. M., Hirahara, S., Huang, B., Kaplan, A., Parker, D. E., Atkinson, C. P., Berry, D. I., Carella, G., Fukuda, Y., Ishii, M., Jones, P. D., Lindgren, F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Morak-Bozzo, S., Rayner, N. A., Venema, V., Yasui, S. and Zhang, H.-M. (2017) A call for new approaches to quantifying biases in observations of sea-surface temperature. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8). pp. 1601-1616. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00251.1

Lauer, A., Eyring, V., Righi, M., Buchwitz, M., Defourny, P., Evaldsson, M., Friedlingstein, P., de Jeu, R., de Leeuw, G., Loew, A., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Müller, B., Popp, T., Reuter, M., Sandven, S., Senftleben, D., Stengel, M., van Roozendael, M., Wenzel, S. and Willen, U. (2017) Benchmarking CMIP5 models with a subset of ESA CCI Phase 2 data using the ESMValTool. Remote Sensing of Environment, 203. pp. 9-39. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2017.01.007

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Mayer, M., Hyder, P., Loeb, N. G., Roberts, C. D., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Edwards, J. M. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2017) Evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based global net surface energy flux and uncertainty estimates. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122 (12). pp. 6250-6272. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2017JD026616

MacIntosh, C. R., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and von Schuckmann, K. (2017) Uncertainties in steric sea level change estimation during the satellite altimeter era: concepts and practices. Surveys in Geophysics, 38 (1). ISSN 0169-3298 doi: 10.1007/s10712-016-9387-x

Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Young, M., Greatrex, H., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Nkonde, E., Senkunda, S. and Alcántara, E. M. U. (2017) A new, long-term daily satellite-based rainfall dataset for operational monitoring in Africa. Scientific Data, 4. 170063. ISSN 2052-4463 doi: 10.1038/sdata.2017.63

Malavelle, F. F., Haywood, J. M., Jones, A., Gettelman, A., Clarisse, L., Bauduin, S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Karset, I. H. H., Kristjánsson, J. E., Oreopoulos, L., Cho, N., Lee, D., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Boucher, O., Grosvenor, D. P., Carslaw, K. S., Dhomse, S., Mann, G. W., Schmidt, A., Coe, H., Hartley, M. E., Dalvi, M., Hill, A. A., Johnson, B. T., Johnson, C. E., Knight, J. R., O’Connor, F. M., Partridge, D. G., Stier, P., Myhre, G., Platnick, S., Stephens, G. L., Takahashi, H. and Thordarson, T. (2017) Strong constraints on aerosol–cloud interactions from volcanic eruptions. Nature, 546 (7659). pp. 485-491. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/nature22974

Masina, S., Storto, A., Ferry, N., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Balmaseda, M., Zuo, H., Drevillon, M. and Parent, L. (2017) An ensemble of eddy-permitting global ocean reanalyses from the MyOcean project. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 813-841. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2728-5

Mason, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9699-8850, Chiu, J. C., Hogan, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157 and Tian, L. (2017) Improved rain rate and drop size retrievals from airborne Doppler radar. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17 (18). pp. 11567-11589. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-17-11567-2017

Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Day, J. J. (2017) Towards seasonal Arctic shipping route predictions. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a60

Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Paul, F., Popp, T., Ablain, M., Bontemps, S., Defourny, P., Hollmann, R., Lavergne, T., Laeng, A., de Leeuw, G., Mittaz, J., Poulsen, C., Povey, A. C., Reuter, M., Sathyendranath, S., Sandven, S., Sofeiva, V. F. and Wagner, W. (2017) Uncertainty information in climate data records from Earth observation. Earth System Science Data, 9 (2). pp. 511-527. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: 10.5194/essd-9-511-2017

Meyssignac, B., Piecuch, C. G., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Racault, M.-F., Palanisamy, H., MacIntosh, C., Sathyendranath, S. and Brewin, R. (2017) Causes of the regional variability in observed sea level, sea surface temperature and ocean colour over the period 1993-2011. Surveys in Geophysics, 38 (1). pp. 187-215. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-016-9383-1

Mulholland, D. P., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Sparrow, S. N. and Wallom, D. (2017) Climate model forecast biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 49 (5-6). pp. 1729-1746. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3407-x

Palmer, M. D., Roberts, C. D., Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Chepurin, G., Ferry, N., Fujii, Y., Good, S. A., Guinehut, S., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hernandez, F., Kohl, A., Lee, T., Martin, M. J., Masina, S., Masuda, S., Peterson, K. A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Vernieres, G., Wang, O. and Xue, Y. (2017) Ocean heat content variability and change in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 909-930. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2801-0

Petrie, R. E., Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297 and Cullen, M. J. P. (2017) The “ABC model”: a non-hydrostatic toy model for use in convective-scale data assimilation investigations. Geoscientific Model Development, 10. pp. 4419-4441. ISSN 1991-959X doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-4419-2017

Pinnington, E. M., Casella, E., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Morison, J. I. L., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220, Wilkinson, M. and Quaife, T. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2017) Understanding the effect of disturbance from selective felling on the carbon dynamics of a managed woodland by combining observations with model predictions. JGR-Biogeosciences, 122 (4). pp. 886-902. ISSN 2169-8961 doi: 10.1002/2017JG003760

Rollinson, C. R., Liu, Y., Raiho, A., Moore, D. J. P., McLachlan, J., Bishop, D. A., Dye, A., Matthes, J. H., Hessl, A., Hickler, T., Pederson, N., Poulter, B., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Schaefer, K., Steinkamp, J. and Dietze, M. C. (2017) Emergent climate and CO2 sensitivities of net primary productivity in ecosystem models do not agree with empirical data in temperate forests of eastern North America. Global Change Biology, 23 (7). pp. 2755-2767. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/gcb.13626

Shi, L., Alves, O., Wedd, R., Balmaseda, M. A., Chang, Y., Chepurin, G., Ferry, N., Fujyii, Y., Gaillard, F., Good, S. A., Guinehut, S., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hernandez, F., Lee, T., Palmer, M., Peterson, K. A., Masuda, S., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Vernieres, G., Wang, X. and Yin, Y. (2017) An assessment of upper ocean salinity content from the ocean reanalyses inter-comparison project (ORA-IP). Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 1009-1029. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2868-7

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2017) Estimating forecast error covariances for strongly coupled atmosphere-ocean 4D-Var data assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 145 (10). pp. 4011-4035. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0284.1

Storto, A., Masina, S., Balmaseda, M., Guinehut, S., Xue, Y., Szekely, T., Fukumori, I., Forget, G., Chang, Y.-S., Good, S. A., Kohl, A., Vernieres, G., Ferry, N., Peterson, K. A., Behringer, D., Ishii, M., Masuda, S., Fujii, Y., Toyoda, T., Yin, Y., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Barnier, B., Boyer, T., Lee, T., Gourrion, J., Wang, O., Heimback, P., Rosati, A., Kovach, R., Hernandez, F., Martin, M. J., Kamachi, M., Kuragano, T., Mogensen, K., Alves, O., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Wang, X. (2017) Steric sea level variability (1993-2010) in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses and objective analyses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 709-729. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2554-9

Thomas, C. M. and Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 (2017) Using lagged covariances in data assimilation. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 69 (1). 1377589. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1080/16000870.2017.1377589

Toyoda, T., Fujii, Y., Kuragano, T., Kamachi, M., Ishikawa, Y., Masuda, S., Sato, K., Awaji, T., Hernandez, F., Ferry, N., Guinehut, S., Martin, M. J., Peterson, K. A., Good, S. A., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Storto, A., Masina, S., Kohl, A., Zuo, H., Balmaseda, M., Yin, Y., Shi, L., Alves, O., Smith, G., Chang, Y.-S., Vernieres, G., Wang, X., Forget, G., Heimbach, P., Wang, O., Fukumori, I. and Lee, T. (2017) Intercomparison and validation of the mixed layer depth fields of global ocean syntheses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 753-773. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2637-7

Toyoda, T., Fujii, Y., Kuragano, T., Kosugi, N., Sasano, D., Kamachi, M., Ishikawa, Y., Masuda, S., Sato, K., Awaji, T., Hernandez, F., Ferry, N., Guinehut, S., Martin, M., Peterson, K. A., Good, S. A., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Storto, A., Masina, S., Kohl, A., Yin, Y., Shi, L., Alves, O., Smith, G., Chang, Y.-S., Vernieres, G., Wang, X., Forget, G., Heimbach, P., Wang, O., Fukumori, I., Lee, T., Zuo, H. and Balmaseda, M. (2017) Interannual-decadal variability of wintertime mixed layer depths in the North Pacific detected by an ensemble of ocean syntheses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 891-907. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2762-3

Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Drevillon, M., Ferry, N., Fujii, Y., Kohl, A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Wang, X., Waters, J., Xue, Y., Yin, Y., Barnier, B., Hernandez, F., Kumar, A., Lee, T., Masina, S. and Peterson, K. A. (2017) An assessment of air-sea heat fluxes from ocean and coupled reanalyses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 983-1008. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2843-3

Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2017) Particle Filters for nonlinear data assimilation in high-dimensional systems. Annales de la faculté des sciences de Toulouse Mathématiques, 26 (4). pp. 1051-1085. ISSN 0240-2963 doi: 10.5802/afst.1560

Walker, A. P., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, van Bodegom, P. M., De Kauwe, M. G., Keenan, T. F., Joiner, J., Lomas, M. R., MacBean, N., Chongang, X., Xiaojuan, Y. and Woodward, F. I. (2017) The impact of alternative trait-scaling hypotheses for the maximum photosynthetic carboxylation rate (Vcmax) on global gross primary production. New Phytologist, 215 (4). pp. 1370-1386. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: 10.1111/nph.14623

Williams, K., Gornall, J., Harper, A., Wiltshire, A., Hemming, D., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Arkebauer, T. and Scoby, D. (2017) Evaluation of JULES-crop performance against site observations of irrigated maize from Mead, Nebraska. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (3). pp. 1291-1320. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-1291-2017

Report

Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, (2017) Implications from opening Arctic sea routes. Foresight: Future of the Sea. Report. Government Office for Science, Gov.uk. pp39.