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Items where Division is "NCAS" and Year is 2025

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Number of items: 47.

A

Archibald, A. T., Sinha, B., Russo, M. R., Matthews, E., Squires, F. A., Abraham, N. L., Bauguitte, S. J.-B., Bannan, T. J., Bell, T. G., Berry, D., Carpenter, L. J., Coe, H., Coward, A., Edwards, P., Feltham, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Heard, D., Hopkins, J., Keeble, J., Kent, E. C., King, B., Lawrence, I. R., Lee, J., Macintosh, C. R., Megann, A., Moat, B. I., Read, K., Reed, C., Roberts, M. J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Schroeder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Smyth, T. J., Temple, L., Thamban, N., Whalley, L., Williams, S., Wu, H. and Yang, M. (2025) Data supporting the North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS) programme, including atmospheric composition; oceanographic and sea-ice observations (2016–2022); and output from ocean, atmosphere, land, and sea-ice models (1950–2050). Earth System Science Data, 17 (1). pp. 135-164. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: 10.5194/essd-17-135-2025

B

Bharati, P., Deb, P. and Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2025) Pacific Decadal Oscillation-driven interdecadal variability of snowfall over the Karakoram and the Western Himalayas. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6 (1). pp. 197-210. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-6-197-2025

Bharati, P., Deb, P., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Orr, A. and Dash, M. K. (2025) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 42 (3). pp. 427-437. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-024-4057-2

C

Camargo, S. J., Tippett, M. K., Sobel, A. H., Lee, C.-Y., Fosu, B. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2025) Tropical cyclones and associated environmental fields in CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 (In Press)

Carmo-Costa, T., Bilbao, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Teles-Machado, A. and Ortega, P. (2025) A multi-model analysis of the decadal prediction skill for the North Atlantic ocean heat content. Earth System Dynamics. ISSN 2190-4987 (In Press)

Cavalcante, L. C. V., Gomes, H. B., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Ray, P., Herdies, D. L., Barbosa, H. M. J., Gonçalves, W. A., Silva, M. C. L., de Brito, J. I. B., Nobre, J. P. G., Lyra, M. J. A. and Baltaci, H. (2025) Evaluation of easterly wave disturbances over the tropical South Atlantic in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 63 (1). 63. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07507-5

Cheng, Y., Wang, L., Chen, X., Zhou, T. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2025) A shorter duration of Indian summer monsoon in constrained projection. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (1). e2024GL112848. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2024GL112848

Chinta, S., Schlosser, C. A., Gao, X. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2025) Future changes in winter-time extratropical cyclones over South Africa from CORDEX-CORE simulations. Earth's Future, 13 (1). e2024EF005289. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2024EF005289

Cimadevilla, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8437-2068, Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Cofiño, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7719-979X (2025) The Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) virtual aggregation (CMIP6 v20240125). Geoscientific Model Development, 18 (8). pp. 2461-2478. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-2461-2025

D

Datti, A. D., Zeng, G., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Oo, K. T. and Chen, C. (2025) A Review of the arctic-West African monsoon nexus: How arctic sea ice decline influences monsoon system. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156 (1). 9. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-024-05255-4

Degioanni, A., Cabut, S., Condemi, S. and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2025) Climate change in Europe between 90 and 50kyr BP and Neanderthal territorial habitability. PLoS ONE, 20 (2). e0308690. ISSN 1932-6203 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308690

Dey, D., Joseph, L., Ray, A., Marsh, R., Skliris, N., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Ayantika, D. C., Mukhopadhyay, P., Chakraborty, A. and Sil, S. (2025) Interactions between subpolar and subtropical jet streams lead to extreme rainfall events over the north Indian subcontinent in June 2013 and July 2023. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 (In Press)

Dijkstra, I., Bloomfield, H. C. and Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2025) Identifying weather patterns responsible for renewable energy droughts over India. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 65. pp. 127-140. ISSN 1680-7359 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-65-127-2025

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2025) Drivers and mechanisms contributing to excess warming in Europe during recent decades. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8. 41. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00930-3

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Aksenov, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Colfescu, I., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hirschi, J., Josey, S., Lu, H., Mecking, J., Oltmanns, M., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rynders, S., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Weisheimer, A. (2025) Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability. Climate Dynamics, 63. 113. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07591-1

G

Gao, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6444-6544, Guo, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4793-6315, Lu, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8245-6930, Woolings, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5815-9079, Chen, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0288-5618, Guo, X., Kou, W., Zhang, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6569-9842, Leung, L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3221-9467, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Guo, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6276-6499, Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0625-1575, Gao, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4274-0811 and Wu, L. (2025) Enhanced simulation of atmospheric blocking in a high‐resolution earth system model: projected changes and implications for extreme weather events. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (3). e2024JD042045. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042045

Gentile, E. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6878-5145, Harris, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6072-8624, Zhao, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4996-7821, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tan, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7422-3317, Cheng, K.‐Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-7659 and Zhou, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5772-6203 (2025) Response of extreme North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones to a warmer climate in the GFDL X‐SHiELD kilometer‐scale global storm‐resolving model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (2). e2024GL112570. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024gl112570

Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M., Harris, L., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tan, Z., Cheng, K.-Y. and Zhou, L. (2025) Response of extreme North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones to a warmer climate in the GFDL X-SHiELD global storm-resolving model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (2). e2024GL112570. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2024GL112570

H

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Williams, R. G., Young, P., Berardelli, J., Burgess, S. N., Highwood, E., Randel, W., Roussenov, V., Smith, D. and Placky, B. W. (2025) Warming Stripes spark climate conversations: from the ocean to the stratosphere. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0212.1 (In Press)

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2025) Building and explaining data-driven energy demand models for Indian states. Environmental research: Energy. ISSN 2753-3751 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2025) A novel explainable deep learning framework for reconstructing South Asian palaeomonsoons. Climate of the Past, 21 (1). pp. 1-26. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: 10.5194/cp-21-1-2025

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Baudouin, J.-P., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dimri, A. P., Jellani, G., Pooja, Chattopadhyay, R., Cannon, F., Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P. and Palazzi, E. (2025) Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6 (1). pp. 43-112. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-6-43-2025

K

Kalshetti, M., Chattopadhyay, R., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Phani, R., Joseph, S. and Sahai, A. K. (2025) The skill of extended-range ERPAS and GloSea5 models in capturing extratropical-tropical interactions during the north Indian summer monsoon. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8834

Kelder, T., Heinrich, D., Klok, L., Thompson, V., Goulart, H. M. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Slater, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Wilby, R. L., Coughlan de Perez, E., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, van den Hurk, B., De Vries, H., van der Wiel, K., Schipper, L., Baez, A. C., van Bueren, E. and Fischer, E. M. (2025) How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather. Nature Communications, 16. 2382. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-57450-0

L

Lee, J., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 (2025) Disentangling anthropogenic and dynamic contributions to recent ocean warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8. 157. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-01043-7

Lichtenegger, T., Schaffer, A., Ossó, A., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Maraun, D. (2025) A cold frontal life cycle climatology and front–cyclone relationships over the North Atlantic and Europe. International Journal of Climatology. e8830. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8830

Lin, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Deng, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Fang, K. (2025) Deciphering the intermodel spread in projections of the impacts of Indian summer monsoon on ENSO under global warming. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (4). e2024JD042803. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042803

Lockwood, J., Athanasiadis, P., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Priestley, M., Roberts, M., Scaife, A., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Zappa, G. (2025) The effect of increasing model resolution on the Northern Hemisphere winter mid-latitude storm track: an equatorward shift due to contraction of the Hadley cell. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 (In Press)

M

Maciel-Tiburcio, A., Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Rodríguez-Hernández, O. (2025) Evaluating bias correction methods for wind power estimation using numerical meteorological models. Renewable Energy, 247. 122927. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.122927

Maraun, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4076-0456, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Ossó, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5653-4886 and Jury, M. (2025) Changes in event soil moisture-temperature coupling can intensify very extreme heat beyond expectations. Nature Communications, 16. 734. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-56109-0

Marcos, M., Amores, A., Agulles, M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2025) Global warming drives a threefold increase in persistence and 1°C rise in intensity of marine heatwaves. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122 (16). e2413505122. ISSN 1091-6490 doi: 10.1073/pnas.2413505122

Mishra, A. N., Maraun, D., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Zappa, G. and Ossó, A. (2025) Long-lasting intense cut-off lows to become more frequent in the Northern Hemisphere. Communications Earth & Environment, 6. 115. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02078-7

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Toumi, R. (2025) High prediction skill of decadal tropical cyclone variability in the North Atlantic and East Pacific in the met office decadal prediction system DePreSys4. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8 (1). 32. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00919-y

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nadoya, H. N., Pinto, I., Tamoffo, A. T. and Worou, K. (2025) Chapter 6 - Future changes in precipitation distributions over Africa. In: Akinsanola, A. A. and Adebiyi, A. A. (eds.) Aerosols and Precipitation Over Africa: Progress, Challenges, and Prospects. Elsevier, pp. 169-204. ISBN 9780443140501 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-44-314050-1.00011-6

Monerie, P.-A., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Toumi, R. (2025) High prediction skill of decadal tropical cyclone variability in the North Atlantic and East Pacific in the met office decadal prediction system DePreSys4. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. ISSN 2397-3722 (In Press)

Mousavizadeh, M., Alizadeh, O., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Simmonds, I. (2025) Causality in the winter interaction between extratropical storm tracks, atmospheric circulation, and Arctic sea ice loss. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (5). e2024JD042128. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042128

N

Ng, K. S., Leckebusch, G. C., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Zhang, Y. (2025) Mei-yu front assessment in CMIP6 earth system models during the East Asian Summer Monsoon. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 0899-8418 (In Press)

P

Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E., Schwendike, J., Marsham, J. H., Howard, E., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Mustafa, J. M. and Matthews, A. J. (2025) Physical controls on the variability of offshore propagation of convection from Sumatra. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (7). e2024JD042458. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042458

Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774, Yeager, S. and Evans, D. G. (2025) Coherence of the AMOC over the Subpolar North Atlantic on interannual to multiannual time scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (9). e2025GL115171. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2025GL115171

Pinheiro, H., Ambrizzi, T. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2025) Increased extreme precipitation in western North America from cut-off lows under a warming climate. Meteorology. ISSN 2674-0494 (In Press)

Q

Qian, S., Hu, H., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Yang, X.-Q. (2025) Do extratropical cyclones impact synoptic-scale variability of the Arctic Oscillation during cold season? Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (2). e2024GL112747. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024GL112747

R

Russo, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1061-7007, Bartholomew, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603, Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Mason, A. M., Neininger, E., James Perman, A. J., Sproson, D. A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6806-2599, Watson-Parris, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5312-4950 and Abraham, N. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3750-3544 (2025) Virtual integration of satellite and in-situ observation networks (VISION) v1.0: in-Situ observations simulator (ISO_simulator). Geoscientific Model Development, 18 (1). pp. 181-191. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-181-2025

S

Strnad, F. M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Boers, N. and Goswami, B. (2025) Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfalls between North India and the Sahel. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. e4946. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4946

V

Vitart, F., Robertson, A.W., Brookshaw, A., Caltabiano, N., Coelho, C.A.S., de Coning, E., Dirmeyer, P.A., Domeisen, D.I.V., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Kim, H.J., Lin, H., Kumar, A., Molod, A., Robbins, J., Segele, Z., Spillman, C.M., Stan, C., Takaya, Y., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, White, C.J. and Wu, T. (2025) The WWRP/WCRP S2S project and its achievements. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0047.1 (In Press)

Y

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Wei, W. (2025) Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling amplifies the change in extreme heat in inner East Asia under rapid summer warming. Environmental Research Letters, 20 (1). 014022. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad95a1

Z

Zhong, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Yang, Q. and Chen, D. (2025) Revisiting the interaction between Antarctic Sea ice and Southern Ocean cyclones. Journal of Geophysical Research. ISSN 0148-0227 (In Press)

Zhou, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1489-5143, Wang, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9679-5175, Tan, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4203-4770, Zhang, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6299-3357, Zelinka, M. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6570-5445, Wang, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9179-228X and Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383 (2025) Sea ice pattern effect on Earth’s energy budget is characterized by hemispheric asymmetry. Science Advances, 11 (9). eadr4248. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adr4248

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