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2024

Acosta, M. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7054-8168, Palomas, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2191-152X, Paronuzzi Ticco, S. V., Utrera, G., Biercamp, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6677-2164, Bretonniere, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3066-6685, Budich, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9274-4052, Castrillo, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1826-623X, Caubel, A., Doblas-Reyes, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6622-4280, Epicoco, I., Fladrich, U., Joussaume, S., Kumar Gupta, A., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Le Sager, P., Lister, G., Moine, M.-P., Rioual, J.-C., Valcke, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0438-5978, Zadeh, N. and Balaji, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7561-5438 (2024) The computational and energy cost of simulation and storage for climate science: lessons from CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (8). pp. 3081-3098. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3081-2024

Akinsanola, A., Wenhaji, C., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dixon, R., Tamoffo, A., Adeniyi, M., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., Silverio, K., Faye, A., Nangombe, S., Pokam, M., Vondou, D., Hart, N., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E., Kolli, R. K. and Susmitha, J. (2024) Modeling of precipitation over Africa: progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6 (In Press)

Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4007

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2024) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (12). e2312093121. ISSN 0027-8424

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vannière, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) On the realism of tropical cyclone intensification in global storm-resolving climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL109841. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109841

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2024) Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL108472. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108472

Bharati, P., Deb, P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Orr, A. and Dash, M. K. (2024) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 (In Press)

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). e2190. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2190

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Driscoll, S., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Harvey, N. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Vandaele, R. and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 93. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00638-w

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236

Delfino, R. J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Bagtasa, G. (2024) Sensitivity of Philippine historically damaging tropical cyclone events to surface and atmospheric temperature forcings. Regional Studies in Marine Science. 103595. ISSN 2352-4855 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103595 (In Press)

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2024) The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4859

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilizing climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6). e2023GL107448. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107448

Emerton, R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L. and Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean? Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2195. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2195

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Translation speed slowdown and poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 196. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00748-5

Fiedler, S., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Smith, C. J., Griffiths, P., Kramer, R. J., Takemura, T., Allen, R. J., Im, U., Kasoar, M., Modak, A., Turnock, S., Voulgarakis, A., Watson-Parris, D., Westervelt, D. M., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Schulz, M., Myhre, G. and Forster, P. M. (2024) Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (6). pp. 2387-2417. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Galea, D., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2024) Investigating differences between Tropical cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3 (2). e220046. ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0046.1

Govett, M., Bah, B., Bauer, P., Berod, D., Bouchet, V., Corti, S., Davis, C., Duan, Y., Graham, T., Honda, Y., Hines, A., Jean, M., Ishida, J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Li, J., Luterbacher, J., Muroi, C., Rowe, K., Schultz, M., Visbeck, M. and Williams, K. (2024) Exascale computing and data handling: challenges and opportunities for weather and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0220.1 (In Press)

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Couldrey, M. P., Exarchou, E., Griffies, S. M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Newsom, E., Saenko, O. A., Suzuki, T., Wu, Q., Urakawa, S. and Zanna, L. (2024) A new conceptual model of global ocean heat uptake. Climate Dynamics, 62 (3). pp. 1669-1713. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06989-z

Gudoshava, M., Nyinguro, P., Talib, J., Wainwright, C., Mwanthi, A., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, de Andrade, F., Mutemi, J., Gitau, W., Thompson, E., Gacheru, J., Marsham, J., Endris, H. S., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Segele, Z., Atheru, Z. and Artan, G. (2024) Drivers of sub-seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March-to-May seasons of 2018 to 2020. Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3310 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Hernández-Yepes, J.G., Rodríguez-Hernández, O., López-Villalobos, C.A. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 (2024) Atmospheric mesoscale modeling to simulate annual and seasonal wind speeds for wind energy production in Mexico. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 68. 103848. ISSN 2213-1388 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2024.103848

Howard, E., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Shipley, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7812-8309, Sanchez, C., Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E. and Matthews, A. J. (2024) Evaluation of multi-season convection-permitting atmosphere - mixed layer ocean simulations of the Maritime Continent. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (9). pp. 3815-3837. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3815-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 345-356. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-345-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2196. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2196

Iles, C. E., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Schuhen, N., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Lund, M. T. (2024) Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways. Nature Geoscience, 17. pp. 845-850. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01511-4

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

King, A. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5745, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Paik, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3655-4227, Lieber, R., Min, S.-K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6749-010X and Borowiak, A. R. (2024) Emergence of multivariate climate change signals. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (9). 094018. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad677f

Kolstad, E. W., Parker, D. J., MacLeod, D. A., Wainwright, C. M. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2024) Beyond the regional average: drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4829

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Ceppi, P. and Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655 (2024) A glimpse into the future: the 2023 ocean temperature and sea-ice extremes in the context of longer-term climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0209.1 (In Press)

Lamptey, B., Abded, S. S., Gudoshava, M., Mutemi, J., Bopape, M.-J., Adefisan, E. A., Igri, M. P., Seidou Sanda, I., Ndiaye, O., Parker, D. J., Dougill, A., Fink, A., Knippertz, P., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Kolstad, E. (2024) Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa. Nature Communications, 15 (1). 2664. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Lavender, S. L., Stirling, A. J., Whitall, M., Stratton, R., Daleu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2075-4902, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Lock, A. and Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553 (2024) The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parameterization: performance of CoMorph-A. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Layton-Matthews, K., Erikstad, K. E., Sandvik, H., Ballesteros, M., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Mesquita, M. d.S., Reiertsen, T. K., Yoccoz, N. G. and Bustnes, J. O. (2024) Path analysis reveals combined winter climate and pollution effects on the survival of a marine top predator. Journal of Animal Ecology. ISSN 1365-2656 (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Yang, S. (2024) Enhanced impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon under global warming and associated mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2). e2023GL106437. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106437

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Zhang, T. (2024) Diverse impacts of the Indian summer monsoon on ENSO among CMIP6 models and its possible causes. Environmental Research Letters, 45. ISSN 1748-9326 (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S., He, S. and Hu, Y. (2024) Causes of diverse impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon among CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0303.1

Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) Impact of Asian aerosols on the summer monsoon strongly modulated by regional precipitation biases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (12). pp. 7227-7252. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-7227-2024

Luterbacher, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4065-6883, Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7897-4660 and Xoplaki, E. (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). 39. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12030039

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Crétat, J. (2024) Internally driven variability of the Angola Low is the main source of uncertainty for the future changes in southern African precipitation. JGR Atmospheres, 129 (15). e2024JD041255. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041255

Müller, O. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9943-8368, McGuire, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28 (10). pp. 2179-2201. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2179-2024

Ng, K. S., Leckebusch, G. C. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2024) Improvement of decadal predictions of monthly extreme Mei-yu rainfall via a causality guided approach. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 (In Press)

Nischal, S., Attada, R., Hunt, K. M.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Barlow, M. (2024) Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India’s high mountain region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4661

Norgate, M., Tiwari, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7580-0446, Das, S. and Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129 (2024) On the heat waves over India and their future projections under different SSP scenarios from CMIP6 models. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8367

Palmer, M. D., Harrison, B. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hewitt, H. T., Lowe, J. A. and Weeks, J. H. (2024) A framework for physically consistent storylines of UK future mean sea level rise. Climatic Change, 177. 106. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03734-1

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1 (In Press)

Peng, Y., Guo, Y.-P., Zhao, J., Tan, Z.-M., Chen, X. and Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Tropical cyclogenesis bias over the central North Pacific in CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0224.1

Pinheiro, H. R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Gan, M. A. (2024) Exploring the vertical extent and deepening mechanisms of cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere: insights from eddy kinetic energy analysis. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Planton, Y. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9664-8180, Lee, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0016-7199, Wittenberg, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1680-8963, Gleckler, P. J., Guilyardi, É. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, McGregor, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3222-7042 and McPhaden, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8423-5805 (2024) Estimating uncertainty in simulated ENSO statistics. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (9). e2023MS004147. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms004147

Qian, S., Hu, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Yang, X.-Q. and Song, T. (2024) Synergistic forcing of the troposphere and stratosphere on explosively developing cyclones over the North Pacific during the cold season. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL110069. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110069

Reintges, A., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Yeager, S. G. (2024) Subpolar North Atlantic mean state affects the response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0470.1

Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Fuglestvedt, J. S. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) 2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability. Communications Earth and Environment, 5. 460. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01637-8

Senapati, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5029-9731, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Pivotal role of mixed-layer depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL110057. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110057

Sheng, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, H., Zhang, M., Lin, S., Si, P., Lott, F. C. and Li, Q. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on extremely persistent seasonal precipitation in Southern China during May–June 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (2). pp. 425-431. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0137.1

Sherriff-Tadano, S., Ivanovic, R., Gregoire, L., Lang, C., Gandy, N., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Edwards, T. L., Pollard, O. and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2024) Large ensemble simulations of the North American and Greenland ice sheets at the Last Glacial Maximum with a coupled atmospheric general circulation-ice sheet model. Climate of the Past, 20 (7). pp. 1489-1512. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1489-2024

Shi, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Zhang, C., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tao, A., Zhang, W. and Zheng, J. (2024) Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves. Nature Communications, 15. 174. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43532-4

Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8364

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Su, Q., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z

Tamoffo, A. T., Weber, T., Cabos, W., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Cook, K. H., Sein, D. V., Dosio, A., Klutse, N. A. B., Akintomide, A. A. and Jacob, D. (2024) West African monsoon system's responses to global ocean-regional atmosphere coupling. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0749.1

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. ISSN 1684-9981 (In Press)

Wallis, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-0899, Osborn, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Taylor, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3473-3478, Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8401

Wang, K., Zheng, Z., Zhu, X., Dong, W., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhang, W., Lott, F. C., Bu, L., Wang, Y., Li, H., Nading, N., Freychet, N., Wang, D. and Qiao, S. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on the extremely dry and hot summer of 2020 in Southern China and projected changes in the likelihood of the event. Weather and Climate Extremes, 45. 100706. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100706

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627

Xie, Y., Zhou, M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Mauzerall, D. L. (2024) Recent improvements in PM_2.5 air quality in India benefited from meteorological variation. Nature Sustainability. ISSN 2398-9629 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01366-y

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wei, W. and Yang, S. (2024) Anthropogenic impacts on amplified midlatitude European summer warming and rapid increase of heatwaves in recent decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16). e2024GL108982. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108982

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295, Schurer, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad57e3 (In Press)

Zhang, S., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2024) Spatiotemporal characteristics of the time of emergence for anthropogenic tropospheric temperature changes based on the CMIP6 multi-model results. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (4). 044052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad34e6

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M. W. K., Mecking, J. V., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics, 62 (5). pp. 3355-3374. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

de Andrade, F. M., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9

2023

Akhter, S., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2023) How well do high-resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal? Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3581-3604. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06745-3

Ali, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9846-6751, Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Fewer, but more intense, future tropical storms over the Ganges and Mekong basins. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (17). e2023GL104973. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl104973

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2169

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. T., Sananka, A., Aston, S., Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 (2023) Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa. Frontiers in climate, 4. 993511. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.993511

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Hillier, J., Griffin, A., Kay, A. L., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Pianosi, F., James, R., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Champion, A. and Bates, P. D. (2023) Co-occurring wintertime flooding and extreme wind over Europe, from daily to seasonal timescales. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39. 100550. ISSN 22120947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100550

Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Sexton, D. M. H. and Morice, C. P. (2023) Assessment of large-scale indices of surface temperature during the historical period in the CMIP6 ensembles. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2055-2072. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0398.1

Boland, E. J. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Jones, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8701-4506, Josey, S. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831 and Sinha, B. (2023) Ocean heat content responses to changing anthropogenic aerosol forcing strength: regional and multi‐decadal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (7). e2022JC018725. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jc018725

Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 (2023) Forecast-based action for conservation. Conservation Biology, 37 (3). e14054. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14054

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Burgard, C., Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Schäfer, R., Caillet, J., Finn, T.S. and Johnson, J.E. (2023) Emulating present and future simulations of melt rates at the base of Antarctic ice shelves with neural networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (12). e2023MS003829. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003829

Cael, B. B., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Ceppi, P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Goodwin, P., Gregory, J. M., Smith, C. J. and Williams, R. G. (2023) Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback. Science Advances, 9 (16). ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf9302

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Rudroff, C. M., Coelho, C. A.S. and Schongart, J. (2023) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus using dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Services, 30. 100342. ISSN Elsevier doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100342

Conroy, A., Titley, H., Rivett, R., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Brammer, A., Burton, A., Chakraborty, P., Chen, G., Cowan, L., Dunion, J. and Sarkar, A. (2023) Track forecast: operational capability and new techniques - summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 (1). pp. 64-80. ISSN 2225-6032 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., Hurlin, W. J., Jin, J., Jungclaus, J., Köhl, A., Liu, H., Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A., Savita, A., Suzuki, T., Yu, Z. and Zanna, L. (2023) Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2003-2309. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105993

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2023) The role of boundary layer processes in summer-time Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 617-638. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-617-2023

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Delfino, R. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bagtasa, G. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Response of damaging Philippines tropical cyclones to a warming climate using the pseudo global warming approach. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3499-3523. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06742-6

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Feng, Z., Lv, S., Sun, Y., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhai, P., Lin, Y., Shen, Y. and Zhong, W. (2023) Skillful seasonal prediction of typhoon track density using deep learning. Remote Sensing, 15 (7). 1797. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15071797

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Wolf, G. (2023) Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (8). pp. 2139-2152. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0300.1

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Fedorov, A. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X (2023) The effect of Indian Ocean temperature on the Pacific trade winds and ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL103230. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103230

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Guo, L. (2023) Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06954-w

Galea, D., Kunkel, J. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) TCDetect: a new method of detecting the presence of tropical cyclones using deep learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 2 (3). ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-22-0045.1

Gandy, N., Astfalck, L. C., Gregoire, L. J., Evanovich, R. F., Patterson, V. L., Sherriff-Tadano, S., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Williamson, D. and Rigby, R. (2023) De-tuning Albedo parameters in a coupled climate ice sheet model to simulate the North American ice sheet at the last glacial maximum. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 128 (8). e2023JF007250. ISSN 2169-9003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007250

Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6 (1). 219. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00540-x

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Grose, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8012-9960, Boschat, G., Trewin, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8186-7885, Round, V., Ashcroft, L., King, A. D., Narsey, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Australian climate warming: observed change from 1850 and global temperature targets. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 73 (1). pp. 30-43. ISSN 2206-5865 doi: https://doi.org/10.1071/ES22018

Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Zhu, J. (2023) Anthropogenic impacts on changes in summer extreme precipitation over China during 1961–2014: roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2633-2646. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06453-4

Hallam, S., McCarthy, G. D., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Josey, S. A., Harris, E., Düsterhus, A., Ogungbenro, S. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2023) The relationship between sea surface temperature anomalies, wind and translation speed and North Atlantic tropical cyclone rainfall over ocean and land. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (2). 025007. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acb31c

Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Cullen, M. (2023) Examining the dynamics of a Borneo vortex using a balance approximation tool. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (4). pp. 1019-1043. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-1019-2023

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (10). pp. 4424-4441. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8095

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Alexander, L. V. and Allan, R. J. (2023) Millions of digitized historical sea-level pressure observations rediscovered. Geoscience Data Journal, 10 (3). pp. 385-395. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.163

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Brohan, P., Burgess, S. N., Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, Compo, G. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5199-9633, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Haigh, I. D., Hersbach, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5330-7071, Kuijjer, K., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, McColl, C., Schurer, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Slivinski, L. and Williams, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8421-4481 (2023) Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (4). pp. 1465-1482. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1465-2023

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Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Wainwright, C. M., Nying'uro, P., Quaye, D., Ashong, J., Kiptum, C., Opoku, N. K., Thompson, E. M. and Lamptey, B. (2023) Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana. Weather, 78 (5). pp. 148-153. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4381

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Scaife, A. A. (2023) Signal‐to‐noise and predictable modes of variability in winter seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (755). pp. 2598-2616. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4522

Hoefler, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1333-9797, Stevens, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3795-0475, Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Baehr, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4696-8941, Schulthess, T., Stocker, T. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1245-2728, Taylor, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9003-4076, Klocke, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7405-013X, Manninen, P., Forster, P. M., Kölling, T., Gruber, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2085-2310, Anzt, H., Frauen, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8615-5702, Ziemen, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7095-5740, Klöwer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3920-4356, Kashinath, K., Schär, C., Fuhrer, O. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) Earth Virtualization Engines: a technical perspective. Computing in Science & Engineering, 25 (3). pp. 50-59. ISSN 1521-9615 doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2023.3311148

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G. -Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2023) A global perspective on the upper branch of the Hadley Cell. Journal of Climate, 36 (19). pp. 6749-6762. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0537.1

Hu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Xie, J., Tan, H., Zhou, B., Lin, S., He, J. and Zhao, L. (2023) Anthropogenic influence on 2022 extreme January–February precipitation in Southern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (11). E1935-E1940. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0136.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2023) Could artificial intelligence win the next Weather Photographer of the Year competition? Weather, 78 (4). pp. 108-112. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4348

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Using interpretable gradient-boosted decision-tree ensembles to uncover novel dynamical relationships governing monsoon low-pressure systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4582

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Zaz, S. N. (2023) Linking the North Atlantic Oscillation to winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya through disturbances of the subtropical jet. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2389-2403. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06450-7

Jackson, L. C. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) North Atlantic overturning and water mass transformation in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2871-2891. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06448-1

Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Hall, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3665-6322, Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2). pp. 443-455. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023

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Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Voldoire, A., Palmer, M. D., Geoffroy, O. and Killick, R. E. (2023) Historical ocean heat uptake in two pairs of CMIP6 models: global and regional perspectives. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2183-2203. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0468.1

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Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6632-8389, Jiang, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-9266, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2029-7385 and Heng, Z. (2023) Prediction of the diurnal variation of summertime precipitation over the Sichuan Basin by a regional model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (2). e2021JD036247. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036247

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, J., Furtado, K. and Zhuang, M. (2023) Sensitivity of simulated mesoscale convective systems over East Asia to the treatment of convection in a high-resolution GCM. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2783-2801. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06471-2

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Song, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3004-1749, Chen, H., Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7223-0022, Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Zhang, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8614-8070, Zhou, T., Zhuang, M., Furtado, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5166-112X, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Li, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2556-0891 (2023) Intensification of mesoscale convective systems in the East Asian rainband over the past two decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (16). e2023GL103595. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103595

Li, R., Liu, X., Xu, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) A comparative analysis of the attribution of extreme summer precipitation in south and north parts of the East China monsoon region—with the year 2020 as an example. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (15). pp. 7199-7217. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8260

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Tan, M. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Borneo Vortices in a warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 2. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00326-1

Liang, J., Tan, M. L., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 1151-1171. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5

Liao, X., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Liu, C., Lyu, X., Xue, Y., Bao, R., Li, J. and Qiao, F. (2023) Observed interannual relationship between ITCZ position and tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 36 (16). pp. 5587-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0865.1

Maharana, P., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Das, S., Tiwari, P. R., Norgate, M. and Raman, V. A. V. (2023) Projected changes in heatwaves and its impact on human discomfort over India due to global warming under the CORDEX-CORE framework. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04788-4

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

Maybee, B., Ward, N., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Marsham, J. H. (2023) Importance of Madden–Julian Oscillation phase to the interannual variability of East African rainfall. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (5). e1148. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1148

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Moudi Pascal, I., Kammalac Jores, T., Talib, J., Appolinaire, V. D., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Christian, N., Romeo-Ledoux, D. T., Fogang Michael, T., Marceline, M., Romeo, S. T., Dione, C., Thompson, E., Salih, A. A. M. and Ngaryamgaye, S. (2023) Strengthening weather forecast dissemination capabilities in Central Africa: case assessment of intense flooding in January 2020. Climate Services, 32. 100411. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100411

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Newsom, E., Zanna, L. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Background pycnocline depth constrains future Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105673. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105673

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Ren, Q., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Dai, Y., Jiang, X. and Yang, S. (2023) Seasonal effects of the Tibetan plateau on the cyclonic transient eddies: a system-centered view. Journal of Climate, 36 (17). pp. 6007-6020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0067.1

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Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tandon, N. F. (2023) Uncertainties in the Arctic Ocean response to CO₂: a process-based analysis. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06986-2

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Seddon, J., Stephens, A., Mizielinski, M. S., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Technology to aid the analysis of large-volume multi-institute climate model output at a Central Analysis Facility (PRIMAVERA Data Management Tool V2.10). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (22). pp. 6689-6700. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6689-2023

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Slangen, A. B.A., Palmer, M. D., Camargo, C. M. L., Church, J. A., Edwards, T. L., Hermans, T. H. J., Hewitt, H. T., Garner, G. G., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Kopp, R. E., Santos, V. M. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2023) The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 1. e7. ISSN 2754-7205 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.8

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Sohail, T., Irving, D. B., Zika, J. D. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Anthropogenic aerosols offsetting ocean warming less efficiently since the 1980s. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105374. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105374

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Wan, Z. (2023) Changing trend of temperature in nanjing and its correlation with some human activities in recent 41 years. Theoretical and Natural Science, 7 (1). pp. 92-99. ISSN 2753-8826 doi: https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/7/20230118

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Yao, Y., Zhang, Y., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Tamarin-Brodsky, T. (2023) Different propagation mechanisms of deep and shallow wintertime extratropical cyclones over the North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36 (23). pp. 8277-8297. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0674.1

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Zhang, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wen, Z., Guo, Y. and Chen, X. (2023) Relationship between the AMOC and the multidecadal variability of the midlatitude southern Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8761-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0198.1

Zhang, S., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sheng, C. (2023) Decadal modulation of the relationship between tropical southern Atlantic SST and subsequent ENSO by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL104878. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104878

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T., Latif, M., Song, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4105-8682, Park, W. and Reintges, A. (2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1

Zhao, Z., Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhu, J., Luo, N. and Gao, Z. (2023) A clustering-based multi-model ensemble projection of near-term precipitation changes over East China and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094050. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acef40

Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Wu, R. and Chen, D. (2023) Impact of data resolution on tracking Southern Ocean cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (1). pp. 3-22. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1

2022

Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, de Abreu, R. C. and , ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2022) Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 3105-3119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2 (Abatan, A.A., Tett, S.F.B., Dong, B. et al. Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2)

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Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2022) Consistent trends in dry spell length in recent observations and future projections. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (12). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL097231

White, C. J., Domeisen, D. I.V., Acharya, N., Adefisan, E. A., Anderson, M. L., Aura, S., Balogun, A. A., Bertram, D., Bluhm, S., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Browell, J., Büeler, D., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Chourio, X., Christel, I., Coelho, C. A. S., DeFlorio, M. J., Monache, L. D., García-Solórzano, A. M., Giuseppe, F. D., Goddard, L., Gibson, P. B., González, C. R., Graham, R. J., Graham, R. M., Grams, C. M., Halford, A., Huang, W. T. K., Jensen, K., Kilavi, M., Lawal, K. A., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, MacLeod, D., Manrique-Suñén, A., Martins, E. S. P. R., Maxwell, C. J., Merryfield, W. J., Muñoz, Á. G., Olaniyan, E., Otieno, G., Oyedepo, J. A., Palma, L., Pechlivanidis, I. G., Pons, D., Ralph, F. M., Reis, D. S., Remenyi, T. A., Risbey, J. S., Robertson, D. J. C., Robertson, A. W., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639, Soret, A., Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146, Todd, M. C., Tozer, C. R., Vasconcelos, F. C., Vigo, I., Waliser, D. E., Wetterhall, F. and Wilson, R. G. (2022) Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6). pp. 1448-1472. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0224.1

Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655, Zhai, X., Munday, D. and Joshi, M. (2022) The response of a baroclinic anticyclonic eddy to relative wind stress forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52 (9). pp. 2129-2142. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-22-0044.1

Wolf, G., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2022) Response of atmospheric quasi-stationary waves to La Niña conditions in Northern Hemisphere winter. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (745). pp. 1611-1622. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4261

Wu, Q. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2022) Estimating ocean heat uptake using boundary Green's functions: a perfect-model test of the method. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14 (12). e2022MS002999. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS002999

Yu, H., Yu, X., Zhou, Z., Wang, Y., Li, Y., Nanding, N., Freychet, N., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, D., Lott, F. C., Tett, S. F. B. and Sparrow, S. (2022) Attribution of April 2020 exceptional cold spell over Northeast China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0175.1

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Ryder, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) How well do the CMIP6 models simulate dust aerosols? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22. pp. 2095-2119. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-2095-2022

Zhao, X., Lu, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hong, X., Liu, J. and Sun, J. (2022) Tropical anomalies associated with the interannual variability of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent in boreal summer. Journal of Climate, 35 (17). pp. 5591-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0764.1

2021

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850 (2021) IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 1-2. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.001

Arias, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Coppola, E., Jones, R. G., Krinner, G., Marotzke, J., Naik, V., Palmer, M. D., Plattner, G.-K., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Sillmann, J., Storelvmo, T., Thorne, P. W., Trewin, B., Rao, K. A., Adhikary, B., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Armour, K., Bala, G., Barimalala, R., Berger, S., Canadell, J. G., Cassou, C., Cherchi, A., Collins, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Collins, W. D., Connors, S. L., Corti, S., Cruz, F., Dentener, F. J., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Niang, A. D., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dosio, A., Douville, H., Engelbrecht, F., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P., Goldfarb, L., Gorodetskaya, I., Gutierrez, J. M., Hamdi, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hewitt, H. T., Hope, P., Islam, A. S., Jones, C., Kaufman, D. S., Kopp, R. E., Kosaka, Y., Kossin, J., Krakovska, S., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Mauritsen, T., Maycock, T. K., Meinshausen, M., Min, S.-K., Monteiro, P. M. S., Ngo-Duc, T., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Pirani, A., Raghavan, K., Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Ruiz, L., Sallée, J.-B., Samset, B. H., Sathyendranath, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Sörensson, A. A., Szopa, S., Takayabu, I., Tréguier, A.-M., van den Hurk, B., Vautard, R., von Schuckmann, K., Zaehle, S., Zhang, X. and Zickfeld., K. (2021) Technical summary. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group. Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.002

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X (2021) The observed synoptic scale precipitation relationship between Western Equatorial Africa and Eastern Equatorial Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). pp. 582-601. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6711

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Historical variability and lifecycles of North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones originating in the tropics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (9). e2020JD033924. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033924

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2021) Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 4143-4162. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4172

Baldini, J. U.L., Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F.M., van Hunen, J., Baldini, L. M., Wynn, P. M., Jamieson, R. A., Ridley, H. E., Baker, A. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Walczak, I. W. and Fohlmeister, J. (2021) Detecting and quantifying palaeoseasonality in stalagmites using geochemical and modelling approaches. Quaternary Science Reviews, 254. 106784. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106784

Bashmachnikov, I. L., Fedorov, A. M., Golubkin, P. A., Vesman, A. V., Selyuzhenok, V. V., Gnatiuk, N. V., Gnatiuk, L. P., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Dukhovskoy, D. S. (2021) Mechanisms of interannual variability of deep convection in the Greenland Sea. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 174. 103557. ISSN 0967-0637 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2021.103557

Bellucci, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3766-1921, Athanasiadis, P. J., Scoccimarro, E., Ruggieri, P., Gualdi, S., Fedele, G., Haarsma, R. J., Garcia-Serrano, J., Castrillo, M., Putrahasan, D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Moine, M.-P., Roberts, C. D., Roberts, M. J., Seddon, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Air-Sea interaction over the Gulf Stream in an ensemble of HighResMIP present climate simulations. Climate Dynamics, 56 (7-8). pp. 2093-2111. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05573-z

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2615-2636. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Pinnington, E., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Lahive, F., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Cook, P., Daymond, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7597-9423, Hadley, P., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Cocoa plant productivity in West Africa under climate change: a modelling and experimental study. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (1). 014009. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f3

Blaker, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5454-0131, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2021) FORTE 2.0: a fast, parallel and flexible coupled climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (1). pp. 275-293. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-275-2021

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M., Stolpe, M. B., Rohrschneider, T., Zheng, Y. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Climate sensitivity increases under higher CO₂ levels due to feedback temperature dependence. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (4). e2020GL089074. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089074

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Gonzalez, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Lundquist, J., Stoop, L., Browell, J., Dargaville, R., De Felice, M., Gruber, K., Hilbers, A., Kies, A., Panteli, M., Thornton, H., Wohland, J., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2021) The importance of weather and climate to energy systems: a workshop on next generation challenges in energy-climate modelling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E159-E167. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0256.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2021) Pattern-based conditioning enhances sub-seasonal prediction skill of European national energy variables. Meteorological Applications, 28 (4). e2018. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2018

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2021) Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand, wind power and solar power generation for 28 European Countries. Earth System Science Data, 13 (5). ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Goodess, C. M., De Felice, M., Dubus, L., Bett, P. E. and Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. (2021) Quantifying the sensitivity of European power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections. Renewable Energy, 164. pp. 1062-1075. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.125

Bopape, M.-J., Plant, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Efstathiou, G. and Valdivieso Da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016 (2021) Effects of stability functions in a dynamic model convective boundary layer simulation. Atmospheric Science Letters, 22 (1). e1008. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1008

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Evans, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8649-0589 (2021) Mechanisms matter: predicting the ecological impacts of global change. Global Change Biology, 27 (9). pp. 1689-1691. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15527

Bracegirdle, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739, Lu, H. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f

Cezana, F. C., Goulart, E. V., Reis Jr, N. C. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2021) Analysis of pollutant entrainment From localised sources in a street network. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 179. pp. 241-258. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-020-00598-7

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Projected near-term changes in temperature extremes over China in the mid-twenty-first century and underlying physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1879-1894. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05566-y

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Johnson, S., Weisheimer, A., Shonk, J., Stockdale, T. N. and Senan, R. (2021) Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5). Climate Dynamics, 56 (9-10). pp. 2941-2957. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05624-5

Coelho, C. A. S., de Souza, D. C., Kubota, P. Y., Coelho, S. M. S. C., Menezes, L., Guimarães, B. S., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P., Cavalcanti, I. F. A., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Baker, J. C. A. (2021) Evaluation of climate simulations produced with the Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model version 1.2. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 873-898. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05508-8

Couldrey, M. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0587-0796, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Boeira Dias, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2965-2120, Dobrohotoff, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7315-042X, Domingues, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5100-4595, Garuba, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7931-7788, Griffies, S. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3711-236X, Haak, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9883-5086, Hu, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1337-287X, Ishii, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2564-5548, Jungclaus, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3849-4339, Köhl, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9777-674X, Marsland, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5664-5276, Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7168-7159, Savita, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2800-3636, Shao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3658-512X, Stammer, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5777-5347, Suzuki, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6259-6466, Todd, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5438-1011 and Zanna, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8472-4828 (2021) What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing? Climate Dynamics, 56 (1-2). pp. 155-187. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05471-4

Deroubaix, A., Labuhn, I., Camredon, M., Gaubert, B., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Popp, M., Ramarohetra, J., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Silvers, L. G. and Siour, G. (2021) Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. Nature Communications, 12. 5197. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25504-8

Dias da Silva, P. E., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Coutinho, M. M. (2021) How well does the HadGEM2-ES coupled model represent the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks? Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1145-1162. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05523-9

Dieppois, B., Capotondi, A., Pohl, B., Pan Chun, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 and Eden, J. (2021) ENSO diversity shows robust decadal variations that must be captured for accurate future projections. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1). 212. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00285-6

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) Drivers of recent North Pacific decadal variability: the role of aerosol forcing. Earth's Future, 9 (12). e2021EF002249. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002249

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Menary, M. B., Mignot, J. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Pohl, B. and Gaetani, M. (2021) The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4. 24. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00179-6

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dunstone, N. J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a65

Muelmenstaedt, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) The fall and rise of the global climate model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (9). ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002781

Muetzelfeldt, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Stirling, A. J. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2021) A climatology of tropical wind shear produced by clustering wind profiles from the Met Office Unified Model (GA7.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (6). pp. 4035-4049. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4035-2021

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Muita, R. R., Dougil, A. J., Mutemi, J., Aura, S., Graham, R., Awolala, D. O., Nkiaka, E., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Opijah, F. (2021) Understanding the role of user needs and perceptions related to sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts on farmers decisions in Kenya: a systematic review. Frontiers in climate, 3. 580556. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.580556

Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021

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Peatman, S. C., Schwendike, J., Birch, C. E., Marsham, J. H., Matthews, A. J. and Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2021) A local-to-large scale view of Maritime Continent rainfall: control by ENSO, MJO, and equatorial waves. Journal of Climate, 34 (22). pp. 8933-8953. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0263.1

Pinheiro, H., Gan, M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2021) Structure and evolution of intense austral cut-off lows. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (743). pp. 1-20. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3900

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Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Griffies, S. M., Couldrey, M. P. and Dias, F. B. (2021) Contribution of ocean physics and dynamics at different scales to heat uptake in low-resolution AOGCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (6). pp. 2017-2035. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0652.1

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Yool, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776, Palmiéri, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0226-5243, Jones, C. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7221-8127, de Mora, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5080-3149, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E. E., Nurser, A. J. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8653-9258, Hirschi, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1481-3697, Blaker, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5454-0131, Coward, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9111-7700, Blockley, E. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0489-4238 and Sellar, A. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2955-7254 (2021) Evaluating the physical and biogeochemical state of the global ocean component of UKESM1 in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (6). pp. 3437-3472. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3437-2021

Zanchettin, D., Bruni, S., Raicich, F., Lionello, P., Adloff, F., Androsov, A., Antonioli, F., Artale, V., Carminati, E., Ferrarin, C., Fofonova, F., Nicholls, R. J., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Sannino, G., Spada, G., Thiéblemont, R., Tsimplis, M., Umgiesser, G., Vignudelli, S., Wöppelmann, G. and Zerbini, S. (2021) Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article). Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (8). pp. 2463-2678. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Zhang, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Jin, R. (2021) Forced decadal changes in summer precipitation characteristics over China: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34 (6). pp. 1226-1241. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-020-0060-4

Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18609-18627. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18609-2021

Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 55-72. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05692-1

Zika, J. D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, McDonagh, E. L., Marzocchi, A. and Clement, L. (2021) Recent water mass changes reveal mechanisms of ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 34 (9). pp. 3461-3479. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

van der Schrier, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7395-8023, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Osso, A., Sousa, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0296-4204, Van de Vyver, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7142-4693, Van Schaeybroeck, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9507-7929, Coscarelli, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2779-1100, Pasqua, A. A., Petrucci, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6918-1135, Curley, M., Mietus, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9488-071X, Filipiak, J., Štěpánek, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8956-5590, Zahradníček, P., Brázdil, R., Řezníčková, L., van den Besselaar, E. J. M., Trigo, R. and Aguilar, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8384-377X (2021) The 1921 European drought: impacts, reconstruction and drivers. Climate of the Past, 17 (5). pp. 2201-2221. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2201-2021

2020

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L. S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zolina, O. (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472 (1). pp. 49-75. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14337

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001995

Andrews, T., Andrews, M. B., Bodas‐Salcedo, A., Jones, G. S., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Manners, J., Menary, M. B., Ridley, J., Ringer, M. A., Sellar, A. A., Senior, C. A. and Tang, Y. (2020) Forcings, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in HadGEM3‐GC3.1 and UKESM1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4377-4394. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001866

Archibald, A. T., O'Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Archer-Nicholls, S., P. Chipperfield, M., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Dennison, F., Dhomse, S. S., Griffiths, P. T., Hardacre, C., Hewitt, A. J., Hill, R. S., Johnson, C. E., Keeble, J., Köhler, M. O., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J. P., Ordóñez, C., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Pope, R. J., Russo, M. R., Savage, N. H., Sellar, A., Stringer, M., Wild, O., Turnock, S. T. and Zeng, G. (2020) Description and evaluation of the UKCA stratosphere–troposphere chemistry scheme (StratTrop vn 1.0) implemented in UKESM1. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (3). pp. 1223-1266. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-1223-2020

Bador, M., Boé, J., Terray, L., Alexander, L. V., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Bellucci, A., Haarsma, R., Koenigk, T., Moine, M.-P., Lohmann, K., Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Scoccimarro, E., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Seddon, J., Senan, R., Valcke, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2020) Impact of higher spatial atmospheric resolution on precipitation extremes over land in global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (3). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd032184

Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Belusic, D., Boeing, S. J., Brooke, J. K., Harlow, R. C., Harris, P. P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Jayakumar, A. and Mitra, A. K. (2020) A case-study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2891-2905. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3538

Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Fan, L., Wigneron, J. P., Weber, U., Reichstein, M., Fu, Z., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Haverd, V., Jain, A. K., Joetzjer, E., Knauer, J., Lienert, S., Loughran, T., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Tian, H., Viovy, N. and Zaehle, S. (2020) Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity. Science Advances, 6 (24). eaba2724. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2724

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M. and Abbot, D. S. (2020) Spatial radiative feedbacks from internal variability using multiple regression. Journal of Climate, 33 (10). pp. 4121-4140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0396.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Asfaw, D. T., Young, M., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Mwangi, E., Ambani, M., Waruru, S., Otieno, G., Todd, M. C. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2020) Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action. Meteorological Applications, 27 (5). e1959. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1959

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Ryu, Y., Chen, Q., De Kauwe, M. G. and Baldocchi, D. (2020) Influence of sun zenith angle on canopy clumping and the resulting impacts on photosynthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291. 108065. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108065

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Halford, A., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639 and Kjeld, J. (2020) Quantifying the potential for improved management of weather risk using subseasonal forecasting: the case of UK telecommunications infrastructure. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1849. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1849

Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Drew, D. R. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2020) Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design. Renewable Energy, 150. pp. 509-522. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.12.082

Collins, M., Barreiro, M., Frölicher, T., Kang, S., Karumuri, A., Roxy Koll, M., Singh, D., Tedeschi, R. G., Wang, G., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Wu, B. (2020) Frontiers in climate predictions and projections. Frontiers in climate, 2. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2020.571245

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 7 (2). pp. 116-134. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.93

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2020) Monsoon‐induced zonal asymmetries in moisture transport cause anomalous Pacific precipitation minus evaporation. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (18). e2020GL088. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088659

Cui, J., Piao, S., Huntingford, C., Wang, X., Lian, X., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Kooperman, G. J. (2020) Vegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO2-enriched climate. Nature Communications, 11. 5184. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18992-7

Di Capua, G., Runge, J., Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D. (2020) Dominant patterns of boreal summer interactions between tropics and mid-latitude: causal relationships and the role of timescales. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 519-539. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-519-2020

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, C. J., Andrews, M. B. and Forster, P. M. (2020) Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13). e2019GL085806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085806

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Attribution of 2012 extreme climate events: does air-sea interaction matter? Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1225-1245. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05321-3

Dosio, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Tchio, A. T., Sylla, M. B., Lennard, C., Jones, R., Terray, L., Nikulin, G. and Hewitson, B. (2020) A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (6). 064007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7fde

Dunstone, N., Smith, D., Yeager, S., Danabasoglu, G., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hermanson, L., Eade, R., Ineson, S., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A. and Ren, H.-L. (2020) Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). 094083. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9f7d

Emerton, R., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Ficchi, A., Hawker, L., de Wit, S., Speight, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8700-157X, Prudhomme, C., Rundell, P., West, R., Neal, J., Cuna, J., Harrigan, S., Titley, H., Magnusson, L., Pappenberger, F., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Stephens, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2020) Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: a critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 50. 101811. ISSN 2212-4209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101811

Estella-Perez, V., Mignot, J., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Swingedouw, D. and Reverdin, G. (2020) Advances in reconstructing the AMOC using sea surface observations of salinity. Climate Dynamics, 55 (3-4). pp. 975-992. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05304-4

Eunice Lo, Y. T., Mitchell, D. M., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Collins, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G. C., Joshi, M. and Stott, P. A. (2020) U.K. climate projections: Summer daytime and nighttime urban heat island changes in England’s major cities. Journal of Climate, 33 (20). pp. 9015-9030. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0961.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Guo, Y.-P. (2020) Western North Pacific tropical cyclones in the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System: performance and ENSO teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 33 (24). pp. 10489-10504. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0255.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Zhang, S. and Guo, L. (2020) Building sustainable science partnerships between early-career researchers to better understand and predict East Asia water cycle extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (6). E785-E789. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0039.1

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) Linking extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia to equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (727). pp. 665-684. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3699

Fletcher, J. K., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578, Martin, G. M., Birch, C. E., Mitra, A. K., Mrudula, G., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Taylor, C. M., Houze, R. A., Brodzik, S. R. and Bhat, G. S. (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic structure of the monsoon over southern India: new observations from the INCOMPASS IOP. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2867-2890. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3439

Gao, Y., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, DeMott, C. A. and Hsu, P.-C. (2020) Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in a superparameterized general circulation model: effects of air–sea coupling and ocean mean state. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (11). pp. 5191-5209. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5191-2020

Giddings, J., Matthews, A. J., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Heywood, K. J., Joshi, M. and Webber, B. G. M. (2020) The effect of seasonally and spatially varying chlorophyll on Bay of Bengal surface ocean properties and the South Asian Monsoon. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 635-655. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-635-2020

Goelzer, H., Nowicki, S., Payne, A., Larour, E., Seroussi, H., Lipscomb, W. H., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Abe-Ouchi, A., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Aschwanden, A., Barthel, A., Calov, R., Chambers, C., Choi, Y., Cuzzone, J., Dumas, C., Edwards, T., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Le clec'h, S., Lee, V., Leguy, G., Little, C., Lowry, D. P., Morlighem, M., Nias, I., Quiquet, A., Rückamp, M., Schlegel, N.-J., Slater, D. A., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Tarasov, L., van de Wal, R. and van den Broeke, M. (2020) The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6. The Cryosphere, 14 (9). pp. 3071-3096. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020

Goelzer, H., Noël, B. P. Y., Edwards, T. L., Fettweis, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Lipscomb, W. H., van de Wal, R. S. W. and van den Broeke, M. R. (2020) Remapping of Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance anomalies for large ensemble sea-level change projections. The Cryosphere, 14 (6). pp. 1747-1762. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-1747-2020

Gramcianinov, C. B., Campos, R. M., de Camargo, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Guedes Soares, C. and da Silva Dias, P. L. (2020) Analysis of Atlantic extratropical storm tracks characteristics in 41 years of ERA5 and CFSR/CFSv2 databases. Ocean Engineering, 216. 108111. ISSN 0029-8018 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.108111

Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2020) Large and irreversible future decline of the Greenland ice-sheet. The Cryosphere, 14 (12). pp. 4299-4322. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4299-2020

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Guo, Y.-P., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Tan, Z.-M. (2020) Impact of Indo-Pacific warm pool Hadley circulation on the seasonal forecast performance for summer precipitation over the western North Pacific. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba97c

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Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2020) Tracing future spring and summer drying in southern Africa to tropical lows and the Congo Air Boundary. Journal of Climate, 33 (14). pp. 6205-6228. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0755.1

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Huang, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dai, A., Chen, X., Clark, R., Jiang, J., Man, W., Murphy, J., Rostron, J., Wu, B., Zhang, L., Zhang, W. and Zou, L. (2020) The recent decline and recovery of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: relative roles of external forcing and internal variability. Journal of Climate, 33 (12). pp. 5035-5060. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0833.1

Jayakumar, A., Abel, S. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Mohandas, S., Sethunadh, J., O'Sullivan, D., Mitra, A. K. and Rajagopal, E. N. (2020) Performance of the NCMRWF convection-permitting model during contrasting monsoon phases of the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2928-2948. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3689

Jiang, X., Adames, Á. F., Kim, D., Maloney, E. D., Lin, H., Kim, H., Zhang, C., DeMott, C. A. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Fifty years of research on the Madden-Julian Oscillation: recent progress, challenges and perspectives. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (17). e2019JD030911. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030911

Juckes, M., Taylor, K. E., Durack, P. J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Mizielinski, M. S., Pamment, A., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Rixen, M. and Sénési, S. (2020) The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (1). pp. 201-224. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

Kershaw, P., Halsall, K., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bennett, V., Donegan, S., Iwi, A., Juckes, M., Pechorro, E., Petrie, R., Singleton, J., Stephens, A., Waterfall, A., Wilson, A. and Wood, A. (2020) Developing an open data portal for the ESA climate change initiative. Data Science Journal, 19 (1). ISSN 1683-1470 doi: https://doi.org/10.5334/dsj-2020-016

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Demott, C. A. (2020) Mean-state biases and interannual variability affect perceived sensitivities of the Madden-Julian oscillation to air-sea coupling. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (2). e2019MS001799. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001799

Krishnan, S., Ekman, A. M. L., Hansson, H.-C., Riipinen, I., Lewinschal, A., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dallafior, T. (2020) The roles of the atmosphere and ocean in driving Arctic warming due to European aerosol reductions. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (7). e2019GL086681. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086681

Lee, J. C. K., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Boxall, L. J. (2020) The links between the Madden-Julian oscillation and European weather regimes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 141 (1-2). pp. 567-586. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03223-2

Lehner, F., Deser, C., Maher, N., Marotzke, J., Fischer, E. M., Brunner, L., Knutti, R. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. Earth System Dynamics, 11 (2). pp. 491-508. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020

Lin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Wen, Z. (2020) The effects of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols on the inter-decadal change of the South China Sea summer monsoon in the late twentieth century. Climate Dynamics, 54 (7-8). pp. 3339-3354. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05175-9

Luo, F., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Su, Q., Chen, W., Dunstone, N., Li, S. and Gao, Y. (2020) Projected near-term changes of temperature extremes in Europe and China under different aerosol emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (3). 034013. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab6b34

Maddison, J. W., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Williams, K. D. (2020) Impact of model upgrades on diabatic processes in extratropical cyclones and downstream forecast evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1322-1350. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3739

Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Greatrex, H. and Young, M. (2020) TAMSAT. In: Levizzani, V., Kidd, C., Kirschbaum, D. B., Kummerow, C. D., Nakamura, K. and Turk, F. J. (eds.) Satellite Precipitation Measurement. Advances in Global Change Research, 1 (67). Springer, pp. 393-407. ISBN 9783030245672 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-24568-9_22

Menary, M. B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Booth, B. B. B., Cassou, C., Gastineau, G., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Jones, C., Mignot, J., Ringer, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zhang, R. (2020) Aerosol-forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. e2020GL088166. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088166

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Mindlin, J., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Vera, C., Osman, M., Zappa, G., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2020) Storyline description of Southern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation and precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 4399-4421. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05234-1

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Cook, P., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) Role of atmospheric horizontal resolution in simulating tropical and subtropical South American precipitation in HadGEM3-GC31. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (10). pp. 4749-4771. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4749-2020

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Gaetani, M., Mohino, E. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) Future evolution of the Sahel precipitation zonal contrast in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, 55 (9-10). pp. 2801-2821. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05417-w

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Sidibe, M. and Akinsanola, A. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0192-0082 (2020) Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1385-1401. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0

Morales-Ruvalcaba, C. F., Rodriguez-Hernandez, O., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. R. and Ramos, E. (2020) Estimating wind speed and capacity factors in Mexico using reanalysis data. Energy for Sustainable Development, 58. pp. 158-166. ISSN 0973-0826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2020.08.006

Nanding, N., Chen, Y., Wu, H., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F., Lott, F. C., Tett, S. F. B., Rico-Ramirez, M. A., Chen, Y., Huang, Z., Yan, Y., Li, D., Li, R., Wang, X. and Fan, X. (2020) Anthropogenic influences on 2019 July precipitation extremes over the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 8. 603061. ISSN 2296-665X doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.603061

Newsom, E., Zanna, L., Khatiwala, S. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2020) The influence of warming patterns on passive ocean heat uptake. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (18). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088429

Nowicki, S., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., Payne, A. J., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Asay-Davis, X. S., Barthel, A., Bracegirdle, T. J., Cullather, R., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hattermann, T., Jourdain, N. C., Kuipers Munneke, P., Larour, E., Little, C. M., Morlighem, M., Nias, I., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Slater, D., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Trusel, L. D., van den Broeke, M. R. and van de Wal, R. (2020) Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models. The Cryosphere, 14. pp. 2331-2368. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020

Palmer, M. D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bagge, M., Calvert, D., Hagedoorn, J. M., Howard, T., Klemann, V., Lowe, J. A., Roberts, C. D., Slangen, A. B. A. and Spada, G. (2020) Exploring the drivers of global and local sea-level change over the 21st century and beyond. Earth's Future, 8 (9). e2019EF001413. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001413

Pascoe, C., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Guilyardi, E., Juckes, M. and Taylor, K. E. (2020) Documenting numerical experiments in support of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (5). pp. 2149-2167. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2149-2020

Pereyra-Castro, K., Caetano, E., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Quintanilla-Montoya, A. L. (2020) Wind and wind power ramp variability over Northern Mexico. Atmosphere, 11 (12). 1281. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11121281

Plumpton, H. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2020) BRAVE: building understanding of climate variability into planning of groundwater supplies from low storage aquifers in Africa. In: Supporting the COP26 priorities through research on international development & climate change UK-funded research project showcase. UK Collaborative on Development Research (UKCDR), pp. 14-16.

Polo, I., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Thomas, C. (2020) Can the boundary profiles at 26° N be used to extract buoyancy-forced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation signals? Ocean Science, 16 (5). pp. 1067-1088. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1067-2020

Priestley, M. D. K., Ackerley, D., Catto, J. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, McDonald, R. E. and Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2020) An overview of the extratropical storm tracks in CMIP6 historical simulations. Journal of Climate, 33 (15). pp. 6315-6343. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0928.1

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Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Aksenov, Y., Bracegirdle, T. J., Dimdore-Miles, O., Griffiths, P. T., Grosvenor, D. P., Hodson, D. L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Keeble, J., MacIntosh, C., Megann, A., Osprey, S., Povey, A. C., Schröder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Yang, M., Archibald, A. T., Carslaw, K. S., Gray, L., Jones, C., Kerridge, B., Knappett, D., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Russo, M., Sellar, A., Siddans, R., Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Walton, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) The evaluation of the North Atlantic climate system in UKESM1 historical simulations for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9). e2020MS002126. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002126

Rugenstein, M., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Abe-Ouchi, A., Andrews, T., Beyerle, U., Cao, L., Chadha, T., Danabasoglu, G., Dufresne, J.-L., Duan, L., Foujols, M.-A., Frolicher, T., Geoffroy, O., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Knutti, R., Li, C., Marzocchi, A., Mauritsen, T., Menary, M., Moyer, E., Nazarenko, L., Paynter, D., Saint-Martin, D., Schmidt, G. A., Yamamoto, A. and Yang, S. (2020) LongRunMIP - motivation and design for a large collection of millennial-length AO-GCM simulations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (12). pp. 2551-2569. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0068.1

Rugenstein, M., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Andrews, T., Mauritsen, T., Li, C., Frӧlicher, T. L., Paynter, D., Danabasoglu, G., Yang, S., Dufresne, J.-L., Cao, L., Schmidt, G. A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Geoffroy, O. and Knutti, R. (2020) Equilibrium climate sensitivity estimated by equilibrating climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (4). e2019GL083898. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083898

Sainsbury, E. M., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350 and Bhatia, K. T. (2020) How important are post-tropical cyclones for European windstorm risk? Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (18). e2020GL089853. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089853

Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Athanasiadis, P., Barriopedro, D., Doblas-Reyes, F., Lohmann, K., Roberts, M. J., Sein, D. V., Roberts, C. D., Terray, L. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2020) Northern Hemisphere blocking simulation in current climate models: evaluating progress from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to 6 and sensitivity to resolution. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (1). pp. 277-292. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-277-2020

Schäfler, A., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Doyle, J. D., Rahm, S., Reitebuch, O., Weiler, F. and Witschas, B. (2020) Observation of jet stream winds during NAWDEX and characterization of systematic meteorological analysis errors. Monthly Weather Review, 148 (7). pp. 2889-2907. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0229.1

Sellar, A. A., Walton, J., Jones, C. G., Wood, R., Abraham, N. L., Andrejczuk, M., Andrews, M. B., Andrews, T., Archibald, A. T., de Mora, L., Dyson, H., Elkington, M., Ellis, R., Florek, P., Good, P., Gohar, L., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hogan, E., Iwi, A., Jones, C. D., Johnson, B., Kelley, D. I., Kettleborough, J., Knight, J. R., Köhler, M. O., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Liddicoat, S., Linova‐Pavlova, I., Mizielinski, M. S., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J., Neininger, E., O'Connor, F. M., Petrie, R., Ridley, J., Rioual, J.‐C., Roberts, M., Robertson, E., Rumbold, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Seddon, J., Shepherd, H., Shim, S., Stephens, A., Teixiera, J. C., Tang, Y., Williams, J., Wiltshire, A. and Griffiths, P. T. (2020) Implementation of U.K. Earth system models for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (4). e2019MS001946. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001946

Senior, C. A., Jones, C. G., Wood, R. A., Sellar, A., Belcher, S., Klein‐Tank, A., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Walton, J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Andrews, T. and Mulcahy, J. P. (2020) UK community Earth system modelling for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9). e2019MS002004. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002004

Seroussi, H., Nowicki, S., Payne, A. J., Goelzer, H., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Albrecht, T., Asay-Davis, X., Barthel, A., Calov, R., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Leguy, G. R., Lowry, D. P., Little, C. M., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S. F., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Schlegel, N.-J., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Sun, S., Trusel, L. D., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R. S. W., Winkelmann, R., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2020) ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century. The Cryosphere, 14 (9). pp. 3033-3070. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020

Shonk, J. K. P., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20 (23). pp. 14903-14915. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020

Silvy, Y., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Sallée, J.-B. and Durack, P. J. (2020) Human-induced changes to the global ocean water masses and their time of emergence. Nature Climate Change, 10. pp. 1030-1036. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0878-x

Sinha, B., Sévellec, F., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Nurser, G. (2020) Surging of global surface temperature due to decadal legacy of ocean heat uptake. Journal of Climate, 33 (18). pp. 8025-8045. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0874.1

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Eade, R., Athanasiadis, P., Bellucci, A., Bethke, I., Bilbao, R., Borchert, L. F., Caron, L.-P., Counillon, F., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Estella-Perez, V., Flavoni, S., Hermanson, L., Keenlyside, N., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., Mochizuki, T., Modali, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Müller, W. A., Nicoli, D., Ortega, P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruggieri, P., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Swingedouw, D., Wang, Y., Wild, S., Yeager, S., Yang, X. and Zhang, L. (2020) North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583. 7818. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2020) FAMOUS version xotzb (FAMOUS-ice): a GCM capable of energy- and water-conserving coupling to an ice sheet model. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-207 (In Press)

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) ESD Ideas: global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments. Earth System Dynamics, 11. pp. 751-754. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-751-2020

Talib, J., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the sensitivity of the ITCZ to convective mixing. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (12). e2020MS002322. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002322

Tamarin-Brodsky, T., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2020) Changes in northern hemisphere temperature variability shaped by regional warming patterns. Nature Geoscience, 13. pp. 414-421. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0576-3

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Processes shaping the spatial pattern and seasonality of the surface air temperature response to anthropogenic forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 3959-3975. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05211-8

Todd, A., Zanna, L., Couldrey, M., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wu, Q., Church, J. A., Farneti, R., Navarro-Labastida, R., Lyu, K., Saenko, O., Yang, D. and Zhang, X. (2020) Ocean-only FAFMIP: understanding regional patterns of ocean heat content and dynamic sea level change. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS002027. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002027

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Bhat, G. S., Martin, G. M., Parker, D. J., Taylor, C.M., Mitra, A. K., Tripathi, S. N., Milton, S., Rajagopal, E. N., Evans, J. G., Morrison, R., Pattnaik, S., Sekhar, M., Bhattacharya, B. K., Madan, R., Govindankutty, M., Fletcher, J. K., Willetts, P. D., Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578, Marsham, J. H., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Chakraborty, T., George, G., Krishnan, M., Sarangi, C., Belusic, D., Garcia-Carreras, L., Brooks, M., Webster, S., Brooke, J. K., Fox, C., Harlow, R. C., Langridge, J. M., Jayakumar, A., Boeing, S. J., Halliday, O., Bowles, J., Kent, J., O'Sullivan, D., Wilson, A., Woods, C., Rogers, S., Smout-Day, R., Tiddeman, D., Desai, D., Nigam, R., Paleri, S., Sattar, A., Smith, M., Anderson, D., Bauguitte, S., Carling, R., Chan, C., Devereau, S., Gratton, G., MacLeod, D., Nott, G., Pickering, M., Price, H., Rastall, S., Reed, C., Trembath, J., Woolley, A., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and New, B. (2020) Interaction of convective organisation with monsoon precipitation, atmosphere, surface and sea: the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign in India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2828-2852. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3633

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226 and Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X (2020) Idealised simulations of cyclones with robust symmetrically-unstable sting jets. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (1). pp. 63-91. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-63-2020

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2020) Airmass analysis of the processes driving the progression of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2949-2980. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3700

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Liu, Z., Samset, B. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lund, M. T., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L., Krishnan, S., Merikanto, J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2020) Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (20). pp. 11955-11977. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020

Wohland, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 and Wild, M. (2020) European multidecadal solar variability badly captured in all centennial reanalyses except CERA20C. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba7e6

Woiwode, W., Dörnbrack, A., Polichtchouk, I., Johansson, S., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Höpfner, M., Ungermann, J. and Friedl-Vallon, F. (2020) Technical note: lowermost-stratospheric moist bias in ECMWF IFS model diagnosed from airborne GLORIA observations during winter/spring 2016. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20. pp. 15379-15387. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-367

Wolf, G., Czaja, A., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Connection between sea surface anomalies and atmospheric quasi-stationary waves. Journal of Climate, 33 (1). pp. 201-212. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0751.1

Wu, W., Emerton, R., Duan, Q., Wood, A. W., Wetterhall, F. and Robertson, D. E. (2020) Ensemble flood forecasting: current status and future opportunities. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 7 (3). e1432. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1432

Yool, A., Palmiéri, J., Jones, C. G., Sellar, A. A., de Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E. E., Mulcahy, J. P., Wiltshire, A., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Stringer, M., Hill, R. S. R., Tang, Y., Walton, J., Blaker, A., Nurser, A. J. G., Coward, A. C., Hirschi, J., Woodward, S., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R. and Rumbold‐Jones, S. (2020) Spin‐up of UK Earth system model 1 (UKESM1) for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS001933. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001933

Young, H. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7997-9471 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Skill of seasonal rainfall and temperature forecasts for East Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 35 (5). pp. 1783-1800. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0061.1

Young, M., Heinrich, V., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Asfaw, D. T. (2020) Optimal spatial scales for seasonal forecasts over Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab94e9

Zhang, W., Li, W., Zhu, L., Ma, Y., Yang, L., Lott, F., Li, C., Dong, S., Tett, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sun, Y. (2020) Anthropogenic influence on 2018 summer persistent heavy and daily extreme rainfall in central western China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (1). S65-S70. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0147.1

Zhou, T., Zhang, W., Zhang, L., Zhang, X., Qian, Y., Peng, D., Ma, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic processes dominating the reduction of global land monsoon precipitation driven by anthropogenic aerosols emission. Science China Earth Sciences, 63 (7). pp. 919-933. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-019-9613-9

de Mora, L., Sellar, A. A., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Parker, R. J., Walton, J., Blackford, J. C. and Jones, C. G. (2020) Earth system music: music generated from the United Kingdom Earth System Model (UKESM1). Geoscience Communications, 3 (2). pp. 263-278. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-263-2020

2019

Asher, C., Britton, B., Coe, H., Collins, M., Few, S., Finlayson, B., Gilbert, A., Graven, H., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Haigh, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Highwood, E., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Marshall, S., Marsham, J., Shepherd, J., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Woolings, T. (2019) 30-second climate: the 50 most topical features, measurements and phenomena, each explained in half a minute. Ivy Press. ISBN 9781782405504

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Demory, M.-E., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Strachan, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2019) Enhanced climate change response of wintertime North Atlantic circulation, cyclonic activity and precipitation in a 25 km-resolution global atmospheric model. Journal of Climate, 32 (22). pp. 7763-7781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bouttes, N., Palmer, M. D. and Stott, P. (2019) Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure. Climate Dynamics, 53. pp. 5389-5413. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Boult, V. L., Fishlock, V., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Moss, C., Lee, P. C. and Sibly, R. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6828-3543 (2019) Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change. Conservation Science and Practice, 1 (9). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2578-4854 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.87

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, He, L. and Chen, J. M. (2019) Underestimation of global photosynthesis in Earth System Models due to representation of vegetation structure. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33 (11). pp. 1358-1369. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006135

Brooks, J., Allan, J. D., Williams, P. I., Liu, D., Fox, C., Haywood, J., Langridge, J. M., Highwood, E. J., Kompalli, S. K., O'Sullivan, D., Babu, S. S., Satheesh, S. K., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Coe, H. (2019) Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 5615-5634. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-1109

Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2019) A refined model for the Earth's global energy balance. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4781-4797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04825-x

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Aldridge, R. W., Grams, C. M. and Lee, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2019) Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland blocking weather regime. Weather and Climate Extremes, 25. 100218. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2019) Anthropogenic impacts on recent decadal change in temperature extremes over China: relative roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4342-9

Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Luo, F., Dunstone, N. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Attribution of recent trends in temperature extremes over China: role of changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions over Asia. Journal Of Climate, 32. pp. 7539-7560. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0777.1

Chen, Y., Chen, W., Su, Q., Luo, F., Sparrow, S., Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tett, S., Lott, F. and Wallom, D. (2019) Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017-like heat waves over Central-Eastern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0087.1

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1

Curio, J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) Climatology of Tibetan Plateau Vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1933-1950. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0021.1

Czaja, A., Frankignoul, C., Minobe, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2019) Simulating the midlatitude atmospheric circulation: what might we gain from high-resolution modeling of air-sea interactions? Current Climate Change Reports, 5. pp. 390-406. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5

Demott, C. A., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Tseng, W.-L., Burt, M. A., Gao, Y. and Randall, D. A. (2019) The convection connection: how ocean feedbacks affect tropical mean moisture and MJO propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 124 (22). pp. 11910-11931. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031015

Dentith, J. E., Ivanovic, R. F., Gregoire, L. J., Tindall, J. C. and Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2019) Ocean circulation drifts in multi-millennial climate simulations: the role of salinity corrections and climate feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 52 (3-4). pp. 1761-1781. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4243-y

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Impacts of recent decadal changes in Asian aerosols on the East Asian summer monsoon: roles of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3235-3256. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0 (Dong, B., Wilcox, L.J., Highwood, E.J. et al. Clim Dyn (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0)

Drew, D. R., Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. F. and Richards, A. (2019) Sunny windy Sundays. Renewable Energy, 138. pp. 870-875. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.029

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2019) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the prediction of 2016 western North Pacific tropical cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (723). pp. 2425-2444. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3571

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Guo, L. and Demory, M.-E. (2019) The contribution of tropical cyclones to the atmospheric branch of Middle America's hydrological cycle using observed and reanalysis tracks. Climate Dynamics, 53 (9-10). pp. 6145-6158. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04920-z

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Gao, Y., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, DeMott, C. A., Hsu, P.-C. and Klingaman, N. (2019) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the BSISO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (1). pp. 146-170. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029303

Gillett, Z. E., Arblaster, J. M., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Deushi, M., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Morgenstern, O., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K. A. and Tilmes, S. (2019) Evaluating the relationship between interannual variations in the Antarctic ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere surface climate in chemistry-climate models. Journal of Climate, 32 (11). pp. 3131-3151. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0273.1

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Zappa, G. (2019) The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4095-4113. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3

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Gramcianinov, C. B., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Camargo, R. (2019) The properties and genesis environments of South Atlantic cyclones. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4115-4140. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04778-1

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Griffies, S. M., Hughes, C. W., Lowe, J. A., Church, J. A., Fukimori, I., Gomez, N., Kopp, R. E., Landerer, F., Le Cozannet, G., Ponte, R. M., Stammer, D., Tamisiea, M. E. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2019) Concepts and terminology for sea level: mean, variability and change, both local and global. Surveys in Geophysics, 40 (6). pp. 1251-1289. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z

Guo, L., van der Ent, R., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Stephan, C. and Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 (2019) Moisture sources for East Asian precipitation: mean seasonal cycle and interannual variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20. pp. 657-672. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0188.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, Brohan, P., Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Richardson, H., Roy, M. and Thomas, S. (2019) Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists. Geoscience Data Journal, 6 (2). pp. 160-173. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.79

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Fæhn, T. and Fuglestvedt, J. (2019) The climate spiral demonstrates the power of sharing creative ideas. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (5). pp. 753-756. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0228.1

Hilbers, A. P., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A. (2019) Importance subsampling: improving power system planning under climate-based uncertainty. Applied Energy, 251. 113114. ISSN 0306-2619 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.04.110

Hinkel, J., Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Lambert, E., Le Cozannet, G., Lowe, J., McInnes, K. L., Nicholls, R. J., van der Pol, T. D. and van de Wal, R. (2019) Meeting user needs for sea level rise information: a decision analysis perspective. Earth's Future. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001071

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2019) Isoneutral control of effective diapycnal mixing in numerical ocean models with neutral rotated diffusion tensors. Ocean Science, 15. pp. 21-23. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-21-2019

Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2019) Prediction errors of tropical cyclones in the western north Pacific in the Met Office global forecast model. Weather and Forecasting, 34 (5). pp. 1189-1209. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0005.1

Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2019) Drylines in Southern Africa: Rediscovering the Congo Air Boundary. Journal of Climate, 32 (23). pp. 8223-8242. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0437.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) The role of the subtropical jet in deficient winter precipitation across the mid-Holocene Indus basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (10). pp. 5452-5459. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL081920

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Lakkis, G., Canziani, P., Yuchechen, A., Rocamora, L., Caferri, A., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and O'Neill, A. (2019) A 4D feature tracking algorithm: a multidimensional view of cyclone systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (719). pp. 395-417. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3436

Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Vitart, F. (2019) ENSO modulation of MJO teleconnections to the north Atlantic & Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (22). pp. 13535-13545. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084683

Lee, S. H., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Furtado, J. C. and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2019) Abrupt stratospheric vortex weakening associated with North Atlantic anticyclonic wave breaking. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (15). pp. 8563-8575. ISSN 2169-897X doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030940

Lin, Y.-J., Hwang, Y.-T., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2019) Uncertainty in the evolution of climate feedback traced to the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (21). pp. 12331-12339. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083084

Liu, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yin, Z., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Guo, Q. (2019) Continental drift, plateau uplift, and the evolutions of monsoon and arid regions in Asia, Africa, and Australia during the Cenozoic. Science China Earth Sciences, 62 (7). pp. 1053-1075. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-018-9337-8

Luo, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Li, S. (2019) Anthropogenically forced decadal change of South Asian summer monsoon across the mid‐1990s. JGR Atmospheres, 124 (2). pp. 806-824. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029195

MacDonald, A. M., Bell, R. A., Kebede, S., Azagegn, T., Yehualaeshet, T., Pichon, F., Young, M., McKenzie, A. A., Lapworth, D. J., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Calow, R. C. (2019) Groundwater and resilience to drought in the Ethiopian Highlands. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (9). 095003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab282f

Marchi, S., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Zunz, V., Tietsche, S., Day, J. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Reemergence of Antarctic sea ice predictability and its link to deep ocean mixing in global climate models. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 2775-2797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4292-2

Martin, G. M., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Comer, R. E., Dunstone, N. J., Scaife, A. A. and Zhang, D. (2019) Predictability of South China Sea summer monsoon onset. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 36 (3). pp. 253-260. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-8100-z

Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N. P., McCarthy, G. D., New, A. L. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2019) Insights into decadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and ocean heat content variability from an eddy-permitting coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (18). pp. 6137-6161. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0709.1

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Oudar, T. and Sanchez-Gomez, E. (2019) Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 52 (9-10). pp. 5947-5964. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4488-5

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Dunstone, N. (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Oliver, H., Shin, M., Matthews, D., Sanders, O., Bartholomew, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603, Clark, A., Fitzpatrick, B., van Haren, R., Hut, R. and Drost, N. (2019) Workflow automation for cycling systems. Computing in Science and Engineering, 21 (4). pp. 7-21. ISSN 1521-9615 doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2019.2906593

Parker, T., Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A., O'Reilly, C., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2019) Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (16). pp. 10159-10167. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084402

Peatman, S. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2019) Tropical cyclone-related precipitation over the northwest tropical Pacific in Met Office global operational forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 34 (4). pp. 923-941. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0017.1

Puy, M., Vialard, J., Lengaigne, M., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, DiNezio, P. N., Voldoire, A., Balmaseda, M., Madec, G., Menkes, C. and Mcphaden, M. J. (2019) Influence of Westerly Wind Events stochasticity on El Niño amplitude: the case of 2014 vs. 2015. Climate Dynamics, 52 (12). pp. 7435-7454. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3938-9

Roberts, M. J., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Blockley, E. W., Calvert, D., Coward, A., Hewitt, H. T., Jackson, L. C., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Mathiot, P., Roberts, C. D., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Seddon, J., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2019) Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Geoscientific Model Development, 12 (12). pp. 4999-5028. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4999-2019

Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Bollasina, M. A., Myhre, G. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2019) Emerging Asian aerosol patterns. Nature Geoscience, 12. pp. 582-584. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0424-5

Scaife, A. A., Camp, J., Comer, R., Davis, P., Dunstone, N., Gordon, M., MacLachlan, C., Martin, N., Nie, Y., Ren, H.-L., Roberts, M., Robinson, W., Smith, D. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2019) Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? Atmospheric Science Letters, 20 (8). e922. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.922

Sellar, A. A., Jones, C. G., Mulcahy, J., Tang, Y., Yool, A., Wiltshire, A., O'Connor, F. M., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Palmieri, J., Woodward, S., De Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Rumbold, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R., Johnson, C. E., Walton, J., Abraham, N. L., Andrews, M. B., Andrews, T., Archibald, A. T., Berthou, S., Burke, E., Blockley, E., Carslaw, K., Dalvi, M., Edwards, J., Folberth, G. A., Gedney, N.,