Items where Division is "NCAS"

Reading Faculties, Schools and Departments (1596)
- Science (1596)
  - School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences (1596)
    - NCAS (1596)

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Number of items at this level: 1596.

2024

Akinsanola, A., Wenhaji, C., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dixon, R., Tamoffo, A., Adeniyi, M., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., KC, S., Faye, A., Nangombe, S., Pokam, M., Vondou, D., Hart, N., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E., Kolli, R. K. and Susmitha, J. (2024) Modeling of precipitation over Africa: progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6 (In Press)

Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4007

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2024) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (12). e2312093121. ISSN 0027-8424

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vannière, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) On the realism of tropical cyclone intensification in global storm-resolving climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL109841. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109841

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2024) Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL108472. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108472

Bharati, P., Deb, P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Orr, A. and Dash, M. K. (2024) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 (In Press)

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). e2190. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2190

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Cheng, Y., Wang, L., Chen, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Wang, L. (2024) Constrained projections indicate less delay in onset of summer monsoon over the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (21). e2024GL110994. ISSN 1944-8007

Collins, M., Beverley, J. D., Bracegirdle, T. J., Catto, J., McCrystall, M., Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Freychet, N., Grist, J., Hegerl, G. C., Holland, P. R., Holmes, C., Josey, S. A., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lo, E., Lord, N., Mitchell, D., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Priestley, M. D. K., Scaife, A., Screen, J., Senior, N., Sexton, D., Shuckburgh, E., Siegert, S., Simpson, C., Stephenson, D. B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Thompson, V., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Woollings, T. (2024) Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world. Frontiers in Science, 2. 1340323. ISSN 2813-6330 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236

Crook, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1724-1479, Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Yik, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1128-7425 and Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2024) The structure of Borneo vortices and their relationship with cold surges, the Madden–Julian oscillation and equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4905

Delfino, R. J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Bagtasa, G. (2024) Sensitivity of Philippine historically damaging tropical cyclone events to surface and atmospheric temperature forcings. Regional Studies in Marine Science. 103595. ISSN 2352-4855 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103595 (In Press)

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2024) The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4859

Dijkstra, I. J., Bloomfield, H. C. and Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Identifying weather patterns responsible for renewable energy droughts over India. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO). ISSN 1680-7340 (In Press)

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilizing climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6). e2023GL107448. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107448

Emerton, R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L. and Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean? Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2195. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2195

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Translation speed slowdown and poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 196. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00748-5

Fiedler, S., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Smith, C. J., Griffiths, P., Kramer, R. J., Takemura, T., Allen, R. J., Im, U., Kasoar, M., Modak, A., Turnock, S., Voulgarakis, A., Watson-Parris, D., Westervelt, D. M., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Schulz, M., Myhre, G. and Forster, P. M. (2024) Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (6). pp. 2387-2417. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Galea, D., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2024) Investigating differences between Tropical cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3 (2). e220046. ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0046.1

Govett, M., Bah, B., Bauer, P., Berod, D., Bouchet, V., Corti, S., Davis, C., Duan, Y., Graham, T., Honda, Y., Hines, A., Jean, M., Ishida, J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Li, J., Luterbacher, J., Muroi, C., Rowe, K., Schultz, M., Visbeck, M. and Williams, K. (2024) Exascale computing and data handling: challenges and opportunities for weather and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0220.1 (In Press)

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Couldrey, M. P., Exarchou, E., Griffies, S. M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Newsom, E., Saenko, O. A., Suzuki, T., Wu, Q., Urakawa, S. and Zanna, L. (2024) A new conceptual model of global ocean heat uptake. Climate Dynamics, 62 (3). pp. 1669-1713. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06989-z

Gudoshava, M., Nyinguro, P., Talib, J., Wainwright, C., Mwanthi, A., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, de Andrade, F., Mutemi, J., Gitau, W., Thompson, E., Gacheru, J., Marsham, J., Endris, H. S., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Segele, Z., Atheru, Z. and Artan, G. (2024) Drivers of sub-seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March-to-May seasons of 2018 to 2020. Meteorological Applications, 31 (5). e70000. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70000

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3310 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Hermoso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1893-4181, Rivière, G., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Schemm, S. (2024) A dynamical interpretation of the intensification of the winter North Atlantic jet stream in reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 37 (22). pp. 5853-5881. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0757.1

Hernández-Yepes, J.G., Rodríguez-Hernández, O., López-Villalobos, C.A. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 (2024) Atmospheric mesoscale modeling to simulate annual and seasonal wind speeds for wind energy production in Mexico. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 68. 103848. ISSN 2213-1388 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2024.103848

Howard, E., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Shipley, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7812-8309, Sanchez, C., Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E. and Matthews, A. J. (2024) Evaluation of multi-season convection-permitting atmosphere - mixed layer ocean simulations of the Maritime Continent. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (9). pp. 3815-3837. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3815-2024

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Harrison, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2024) A novel explainable deep learning framework for reconstructing South Asian palaeomonsoons. Climate of the Past. ISSN 1814-9332 (In Press)

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Baudouin, J.-P., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dimri, A. P., Jellani, G., Pooja, -, Chattopadhyay, R., Cannon, F., Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P. and Palazzi, E. (2024) Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 345-356. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-345-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2196. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2196

Iles, C. E., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Schuhen, N., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Lund, M. T. (2024) Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways. Nature Geoscience, 17. pp. 845-850. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01511-4

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

King, A. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5745, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Paik, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3655-4227, Lieber, R., Min, S.-K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6749-010X and Borowiak, A. R. (2024) Emergence of multivariate climate change signals. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (9). 094018. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad677f

King, A. D., Ziehn, T., Chamberlain, M., Borowiak, A. R., Brown, J. R., Cassidy, L., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Grose, M., Maher, N., Paik, S., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. and Sengupta, A. (2024) Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5. Earth System Dynamics, 15 (5). pp. 1353-1383. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024

Kolstad, E. W., Parker, D. J., MacLeod, D. A., Wainwright, C. M. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2024) Beyond the regional average: drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4829

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Ceppi, P. and Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655 (2024) A glimpse into the future: the 2023 ocean temperature and sea-ice extremes in the context of longer-term climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E474-E485. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0209.1

Lamptey, B., Abded, S. S., Gudoshava, M., Mutemi, J., Bopape, M.-J., Adefisan, E. A., Igri, M. P., Seidou Sanda, I., Ndiaye, O., Parker, D. J., Dougill, A., Fink, A., Knippertz, P., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Kolstad, E. (2024) Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa. Nature Communications, 15 (1). 2664. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Lavender, S. L., Stirling, A. J., Whitall, M., Stratton, R., Daleu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2075-4902, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Lock, A. and Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553 (2024) The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parameterization: performance of CoMorph-A. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Layton-Matthews, K., Erikstad, K. E., Sandvik, H., Ballesteros, M., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Mesquita, M. d.S., Reiertsen, T. K., Yoccoz, N. G. and Bustnes, J. O. (2024) Path analysis reveals combined winter climate and pollution effects on the survival of a marine top predator. Journal of Animal Ecology. ISSN 1365-2656 (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Yang, S. (2024) Enhanced impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon under global warming and associated mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2). e2023GL106437. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106437

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Zhang, T. (2024) Diverse impacts of the Indian summer monsoon on ENSO among CMIP6 models and its possible causes. Environmental Research Letters, 45. ISSN 1748-9326 (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S., He, S. and Hu, Y. (2024) Causes of diverse impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon among CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0303.1

Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) Impact of Asian aerosols on the summer monsoon strongly modulated by regional precipitation biases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (12). pp. 7227-7252. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-7227-2024

Luterbacher, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4065-6883, Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7897-4660 and Xoplaki, E. (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). 39. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12030039

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Crétat, J. (2024) Internally driven variability of the Angola Low is the main source of uncertainty for the future changes in southern African precipitation. JGR Atmospheres, 129 (15). e2024JD041255. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041255

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sun, W. and Zhang, L. (2024) The profound influence of the North Atlantic Ocean on Northeast Asia: a comprehensive multi-model study. Atmospheric Science Letters. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1280

Müller, O. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9943-8368, McGuire, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28 (10). pp. 2179-2201. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2179-2024

Ng, K. S., Leckebusch, G. C. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2024) Improvement of decadal predictions of monthly extreme Mei-yu rainfall via a causality guided approach. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 (In Press)

Nischal, S., Attada, R., Hunt, K. M.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Barlow, M. (2024) Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India’s high mountain region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4661

Norgate, M., Tiwari, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7580-0446, Das, S. and Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129 (2024) On the heat waves over India and their future projections under different SSP scenarios from CMIP6 models. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8367

Palmer, M. D., Harrison, B. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hewitt, H. T., Lowe, J. A. and Weeks, J. H. (2024) A framework for physically consistent storylines of UK future mean sea level rise. Climatic Change, 177. 106. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03734-1

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1 (In Press)

Patterson, V. L., Gregoire, L.J., Ivanovic, R. F., Gandy, N., Owen, J., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Pollard, O. G., Astfalck, L. C. and Valdes, P. J. (2024) Contrasting the Penultimate Glacial Maximum and the Last Glacial Maximum (140 and 21 ka) using coupled climate–ice sheet modelling. Climate of the Past, 20 (10). pp. 2191-2218. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-2191-2024

Peng, Y., Guo, Y.-P., Zhao, J., Tan, Z.-M., Chen, X. and Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Tropical cyclogenesis bias over the central North Pacific in CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0224.1

Pinheiro, H. R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Gan, M. A. (2024) Exploring the vertical extent and deepening mechanisms of cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere: insights from eddy kinetic energy analysis. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Planton, Y. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9664-8180, Lee, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0016-7199, Wittenberg, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1680-8963, Gleckler, P. J., Guilyardi, É. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, McGregor, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3222-7042 and McPhaden, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8423-5805 (2024) Estimating uncertainty in simulated ENSO statistics. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (9). e2023MS004147. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms004147

Qian, S., Hu, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Yang, X.-Q. and Song, T. (2024) Synergistic forcing of the troposphere and stratosphere on explosively developing cyclones over the North Pacific during the cold season. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL110069. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110069

Reintges, A., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Yeager, S. G. (2024) Subpolar North Atlantic mean state affects the response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (21). pp. 5543-5559. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0470.1

Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Fuglestvedt, J. S. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) 2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability. Communications Earth and Environment, 5. 460. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01637-8

Samset, B. H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Allen, R. J. (2024) Broader research efforts and assessments needed to uncover the complex climate effects of regional changes in aerosol emissions. PLOS Climate, 3 (10). e0000508. ISSN 2767-3200 doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000508

Sanchez, C., Gray, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Volonte, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Pantillon, F., Berthou, S. and Davolio, S. (2024) The impact of preceding convection on the development of Medicane Ianos and the sensitivity to sea surface temperature. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Schaffer, A., Lichtenegger, T., Truhetz, H., Ossó, A., Oscar Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Maraun, D. (2024) Drivers of cold frontal hourly extreme precipitation: a climatological study over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (20). e2024GL111025. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gl111025

Senapati, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5029-9731, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Pivotal role of mixed-layer depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL110057. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110057

Sheng, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, H., Zhang, M., Lin, S., Si, P., Lott, F. C. and Li, Q. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on extremely persistent seasonal precipitation in Southern China during May–June 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (2). pp. 425-431. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0137.1

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Shi, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Zhang, C., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tao, A., Zhang, W. and Zheng, J. (2024) Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves. Nature Communications, 15. 174. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43532-4

Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8364

Su, Q., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z

Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Schewe, J., Walton, J., Zimmermann, K., Jones, C., Betts, R., Burton, C., Jones, C., Mengel, M., Reyer, C., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Weigel, K. (2024) Regional impacts poorly constrained by climate sensitivity. Earth's Future, 12 (12). e2024EF004901. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004901

Tamoffo, A. T., Weber, T., Cabos, W., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Cook, K. H., Sein, D. V., Dosio, A., Klutse, N. A. B., Akintomide, A. A. and Jacob, D. (2024) West African monsoon system's responses to global ocean-regional atmosphere coupling. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0749.1

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. ISSN 1684-9981 (In Press)

Wallis, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-0899, Osborn, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Taylor, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3473-3478, Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8401

Wang, K., Zheng, Z., Zhu, X., Dong, W., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhang, W., Lott, F. C., Bu, L., Wang, Y., Li, H., Nading, N., Freychet, N., Wang, D. and Qiao, S. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on the extremely dry and hot summer of 2020 in Southern China and projected changes in the likelihood of the event. Weather and Climate Extremes, 45. 100706. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100706

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627

Xie, J., Hsu, P.-C., Lee, J.-Y., Wang, L. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2024) Tropical intraseasonal oscillations as key driver and source of predictability for the 2022 Pakistan record-breaking rainfall event. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. ISSN 2397-3722 (In Press)

Xie, Y., Zhou, M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Mauzerall, D. L. (2024) Recent improvements in PM_2.5 air quality in India benefited from meteorological variation. Nature Sustainability. ISSN 2398-9629 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01366-y

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wei, W. and Yang, S. (2024) Anthropogenic impacts on amplified midlatitude European summer warming and rapid increase of heatwaves in recent decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16). e2024GL108982. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108982

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Wei, W. (2024) Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling amplifies the change in extreme heat in inner East Asia under rapid summer warming. Environmental Research Letters. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad95a1 (In Press)

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295, Schurer, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad57e3 (In Press)

Zhang, S., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2024) Spatiotemporal characteristics of the time of emergence for anthropogenic tropospheric temperature changes based on the CMIP6 multi-model results. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (4). 044052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad34e6

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M. W. K., Mecking, J. V., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics, 62 (5). pp. 3355-3374. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

de Andrade, F. M., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9

2023

Akhter, S., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2023) How well do high-resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal? Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3581-3604. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06745-3

Ali, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9846-6751, Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Fewer, but more intense, future tropical storms over the Ganges and Mekong basins. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (17). e2023GL104973. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl104973

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2169

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. T., Sananka, A., Aston, S., Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 (2023) Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa. Frontiers in climate, 4. 993511. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.993511

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Hillier, J., Griffin, A., Kay, A. L., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Pianosi, F., James, R., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Champion, A. and Bates, P. D. (2023) Co-occurring wintertime flooding and extreme wind over Europe, from daily to seasonal timescales. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39. 100550. ISSN 22120947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100550

Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Sexton, D. M. H. and Morice, C. P. (2023) Assessment of large-scale indices of surface temperature during the historical period in the CMIP6 ensembles. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2055-2072. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0398.1

Boland, E. J. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Jones, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8701-4506, Josey, S. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831 and Sinha, B. (2023) Ocean heat content responses to changing anthropogenic aerosol forcing strength: regional and multi‐decadal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (7). e2022JC018725. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jc018725

Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 (2023) Forecast-based action for conservation. Conservation Biology, 37 (3). e14054. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14054

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Burgard, C., Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Schäfer, R., Caillet, J., Finn, T.S. and Johnson, J.E. (2023) Emulating present and future simulations of melt rates at the base of Antarctic ice shelves with neural networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (12). e2023MS003829. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003829

Cael, B. B., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Ceppi, P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Goodwin, P., Gregory, J. M., Smith, C. J. and Williams, R. G. (2023) Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback. Science Advances, 9 (16). ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf9302

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Rudroff, C. M., Coelho, C. A.S. and Schongart, J. (2023) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus using dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Services, 30. 100342. ISSN Elsevier doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100342

Conroy, A., Titley, H., Rivett, R., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Brammer, A., Burton, A., Chakraborty, P., Chen, G., Cowan, L., Dunion, J. and Sarkar, A. (2023) Track forecast: operational capability and new techniques - summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 (1). pp. 64-80. ISSN 2225-6032 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., Hurlin, W. J., Jin, J., Jungclaus, J., Köhl, A., Liu, H., Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A., Savita, A., Suzuki, T., Yu, Z. and Zanna, L. (2023) Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2003-2309. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105993

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2023) The role of boundary layer processes in summer-time Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 617-638. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-617-2023

Croad, H. L., Shonk, J. K. P., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) The Indian Easterly Jet During the pre-monsoon season in India. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105400. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105400

Delfino, R. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bagtasa, G. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Response of damaging Philippines tropical cyclones to a warming climate using the pseudo global warming approach. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3499-3523. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06742-6

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Priyanthika Jayawardena, I. M. S. (2023) The influence of weather patterns and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme precipitation over Sri Lanka. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (14). e2023GL103727. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103727

Di Capua, G., Coumou, D., Van den Hurk, B., Weisheimer, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Donner, R. V. (2023) Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 701-723. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-701-2023

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Doane-Solomon, R., Befort, D. J., Camp, J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Weisheimer, A. (2023) The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts. Atmospheric Science Letters. e1190. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1190

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Hallam, S., McCarthy, G. D., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Josey, S. A., Harris, E., Düsterhus, A., Ogungbenro, S. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2023) The relationship between sea surface temperature anomalies, wind and translation speed and North Atlantic tropical cyclone rainfall over ocean and land. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (2). 025007. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acb31c

Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Cullen, M. (2023) Examining the dynamics of a Borneo vortex using a balance approximation tool. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (4). pp. 1019-1043. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-1019-2023

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Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Alexander, L. V. and Allan, R. J. (2023) Millions of digitized historical sea-level pressure observations rediscovered. Geoscience Data Journal, 10 (3). pp. 385-395. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.163

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Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Wainwright, C. M., Nying'uro, P., Quaye, D., Ashong, J., Kiptum, C., Opoku, N. K., Thompson, E. M. and Lamptey, B. (2023) Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana. Weather, 78 (5). pp. 148-153. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4381

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Jackson, L. C. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) North Atlantic overturning and water mass transformation in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2871-2891. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06448-1

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Li, R., Liu, X., Xu, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) A comparative analysis of the attribution of extreme summer precipitation in south and north parts of the East China monsoon region—with the year 2020 as an example. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (15). pp. 7199-7217. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8260

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Tan, M. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Borneo Vortices in a warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 2. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00326-1

Liang, J., Tan, M. L., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 1151-1171. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5

Liao, X., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Liu, C., Lyu, X., Xue, Y., Bao, R., Li, J. and Qiao, F. (2023) Observed interannual relationship between ITCZ position and tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 36 (16). pp. 5587-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0865.1

Maharana, P., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Das, S., Tiwari, P. R., Norgate, M. and Raman, V. A. V. (2023) Projected changes in heatwaves and its impact on human discomfort over India due to global warming under the CORDEX-CORE framework. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04788-4

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

Maybee, B., Ward, N., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Marsham, J. H. (2023) Importance of Madden–Julian Oscillation phase to the interannual variability of East African rainfall. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (5). e1148. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1148

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Moudi Pascal, I., Kammalac Jores, T., Talib, J., Appolinaire, V. D., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Christian, N., Romeo-Ledoux, D. T., Fogang Michael, T., Marceline, M., Romeo, S. T., Dione, C., Thompson, E., Salih, A. A. M. and Ngaryamgaye, S. (2023) Strengthening weather forecast dissemination capabilities in Central Africa: case assessment of intense flooding in January 2020. Climate Services, 32. 100411. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100411

Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2023) Intraseasonal oscillations of the Silk Road pattern lead to predictability in East Asian precipitation patterns and the Mei Yu front. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (1). 015003. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acb040

Newsom, E., Zanna, L. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Background pycnocline depth constrains future Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105673. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105673

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Racoma, B. A. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7778-7273, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Bagtasa, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5433-7122 (2023) The effect of the Cordillera mountain range on tropical cyclone rainfall in the Northern Philippines. Atmosphere, 14 (4). 643. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14040643

Ren, Q., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Dai, Y., Jiang, X. and Yang, S. (2023) Seasonal effects of the Tibetan plateau on the cyclonic transient eddies: a system-centered view. Journal of Climate, 36 (17). pp. 6007-6020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0067.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Menary, M. B. and Lai, M. W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). 20220194. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tandon, N. F. (2023) Uncertainties in the Arctic Ocean response to CO₂: a process-based analysis. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06986-2

Salvi, P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Ceppi, P. (2023) Time-evolving radiative feedbacks in the historical period. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (20). e2023JD038984. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038984

Seddon, J., Stephens, A., Mizielinski, M. S., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Technology to aid the analysis of large-volume multi-institute climate model output at a Central Analysis Facility (PRIMAVERA Data Management Tool V2.10). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (22). pp. 6689-6700. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6689-2023

Seroussi, H., Verjans, V., Nowicki, S., Payne, A. J., Goelzer, H., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Albrecht, T., Asay-Davis, X., Barthel, A., Calov, R., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Leguy, G. R., Lowry, D. P., Little, C. M., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S. F., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Schlegel, N.-J., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Sun, S., Trusel, L. D., Van Breedam, J., Van Katwyk, P., van de Wal, R. S. W., Winkelmann, R., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2023) Insights on the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty. The Cryosphere, 17 (12). pp. 5197-5217. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

Slangen, A. B.A., Palmer, M. D., Camargo, C. M. L., Church, J. A., Edwards, T. L., Hermans, T. H. J., Hewitt, H. T., Garner, G. G., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Kopp, R. E., Santos, V. M. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2023) The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 1. e7. ISSN 2754-7205 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.8

Smith, I. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7512-8370, Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2023) Clear-air turbulence trends over the North Atlantic in high-resolution climate models. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3063-3079. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06694-x

Sohail, T., Irving, D. B., Zika, J. D. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Anthropogenic aerosols offsetting ocean warming less efficiently since the 1980s. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105374. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105374

Suitters, C. C., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Transient anticyclonic eddies and their relationship to atmospheric block persistence. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 683-700. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-683-2023

Talib, J., Muller, O. V., Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2023) The representation of soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks across the Tibetan Plateau in CMIP6. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 40 (11). pp. 2063-2081. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2296-2

Tan, Y., Zhang, W., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Guo, Y. and Hoitink, A. J. F. (2023) Storm surge variability and prediction from ENSO and tropical cyclones. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (2). 024016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb1c8

Tang, H., Wang, J., Chen, Y., Tett, S. F. B., Sun, Y., Cheng, L., Sparrow, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) Human contribution to the risk of 2021 northwestern Pacific concurrent marine and terrestrial summer heat. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (3). E673-E679. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0238.1

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Tett, S. F. B., Cha, Y., Donovan, K., Geffers, G.-M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The impact of an extreme cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (10). E1807-E1816. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0196.1

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Strong surface winds in Storm Eunice. Part 1: storm overview and indications of sting-jet activity from observations and model data. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4402

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Wan, Z. (2023) Changing trend of temperature in nanjing and its correlation with some human activities in recent 41 years. Theoretical and Natural Science, 7 (1). pp. 92-99. ISSN 2753-8826 doi: https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/7/20230118

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Samset, B. H., Bollasina, M. A., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J. M., Lund, M. T., Makkonen, R., Merikanto, J., O'Donnell, D., Paynter, D. J., Persad, G. G., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K., Undorf, S. and Westervelt, D. M. (2023) The regional aerosol model intercomparison project (RAMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15). pp. 4451-4479. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4451-2023

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Xavier, P., Willett, M., Graham, T., Earnshaw, P., Copsey, D., Narayan, N., Marzin, C., Zhu, H., Sellar, A., Ackerley, D., Blockley, E., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Bushell, A., Choi, N., Chua, X. R., Guiavarc’h, C., Hassim, M., Heming, J., Hudson, D., Ineson, S., Jones, C., Keane, R. J., Kim, K., Kim, J., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, In Lee, M., Le, C., Martin, G., Mccabe, A., Moise, A., Ridley, J., Robert, L., Sahany, S., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Storkey, D., Tennant, W., Tomassini, L., Tsushima, Y., Weedon, G. P., West, A., Wheeler, M., Zhou, X. and Zhu, H., (2023) Assessment of the Met Office Global Coupled model version 5 (GC5)configurations. Report. Met Office, Exeter. pp41.

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Seasonal and interannual variation of equatorial waves in ERA5 and GloSea5. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (752). pp. 1109-1134. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/QJ.4460

Yao, Y., Zhang, Y., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Tamarin-Brodsky, T. (2023) Different propagation mechanisms of deep and shallow wintertime extratropical cyclones over the North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36 (23). pp. 8277-8297. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0674.1

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G., Schurer, A. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (7). e1159. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1159

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Zhang, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wen, Z., Guo, Y. and Chen, X. (2023) Relationship between the AMOC and the multidecadal variability of the midlatitude southern Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8761-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0198.1

Zhang, S., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sheng, C. (2023) Decadal modulation of the relationship between tropical southern Atlantic SST and subsequent ENSO by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL104878. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104878

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T., Latif, M., Song, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4105-8682, Park, W. and Reintges, A. (2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1

Zhao, Z., Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhu, J., Luo, N. and Gao, Z. (2023) A clustering-based multi-model ensemble projection of near-term precipitation changes over East China and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094050. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acef40

Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Wu, R. and Chen, D. (2023) Impact of data resolution on tracking Southern Ocean cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (1). pp. 3-22. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1

2022

Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, de Abreu, R. C. and , ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2022) Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 3105-3119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2 (Abatan, A.A., Tett, S.F.B., Dong, B. et al. Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2)

Andrews, T., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, Y., Armour, K. C., Paynter, D., Lin, P., Modak, A., Mauritsen, T., Cole, J. N. S., Medeiros, B., Benedict, J. J., Douville, H., Roehrig, R., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Ogura, T., Dufresne, J.-L., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2022) On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback. Journal of Geophysical Research, 127 (18). e2022JD036675. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036675

Athanasiadis, P. J., Ogawa, F., Omrani, N.-E., Keenlyside, N., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Haarsma, R., Roberts, M., Roberts, C., Novak, L. and Gualdi, S. (2022) Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. Journal of Climate, 35 (21). pp. 3379-3400. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0515.1

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J. R., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Stratton, R. and Roberts, M. (2022) Linking Equatorial African precipitation to Kelvin wave processes in the CP4-Africa convection-permitting regional climate simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79 (5). pp. 1271-1289. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0039.1

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350 (2022) Tropical cyclones: global decline in frequency. Nature Climate Change, 12. pp. 615-617. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01414-5

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Seddon, J., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Haarsma, R. J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Kapetanakis, D., Tourigny, E., Lohmann, K., Roberts, C. D. and Terray, L. (2022) Extratropical transition of tropical cyclones in a multiresolution ensemble of atmosphere-only and fully coupled global climate models. Journal of Climate, 35 (16). pp. 5283-5306. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0801.1

Befort, D. J., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Weisheimer, A. (2022) Seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific: dependence on model, resolution and stochastic physics. Journal of Climate, 35 (5). pp. 1385-1397. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0041.1

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Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic dynamical responses to changes in aerosol. In: Carslaw, K. S. (ed.) Aerosols and Climate. Elsevier, pp. 545-570. ISBN 9780128197660 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-819766-0.00018-3

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Bresson, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Zappa, G. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2022) The response of Northern Hemisphere polar lows to climate change in a 25 km high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (4). e2021JD035610. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035610

Castillo, J. M., Lewis, H. W., Mishra, A., Mitra, A., Polton, J., Brereton, A., Saulter, A., Arnold, A., Berthou, S., Clark, D., Crook, J., Das, A., Edwards, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Gupta, A., Joseph, S., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Momin, I., Pequignet, C., Sanchez, C., Saxby, J. and Valdivieso da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016 (2022) The Regional Coupled Suite (RCS-IND1): application of a flexible regional coupled modelling framework to the Indian region at km scale. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (10). pp. 4193-4223. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4193-2022

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Dione, C., Talib, J., Bwaka, A. M., Kamga, A. F., Bita Fouda, A. A., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Latt, A., Thompson, E., Lingani, C., Indasi, V., Adefisan, E. A. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2022) Improved sub-seasonal forecasts to support preparedness action for meningitis outbreak in Africa. Climate Services, 28. 100326. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100326

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Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 (2022) Recent decadal weakening of the summer Eurasian westerly jet attributable to anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Nature Communications, 13. 1148. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28816-5

Dyer, E., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Teferi Taye, M. (2022) July-September rainfall in the Greater Horn of Africa: the combined influence of the Mascarene and South Atlantic highs. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06287-0

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Hoang, L., Pura, A. G., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Luu, H., David, S. J., Duran, G. A. M. W. and Guo, Y.-p. (2022) A new approach to skillful seasonal prediction of Southeast Asia tropical cyclone occurrence. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (12). e2022JD036439. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036439

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Simon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0177-9442, Fedorov, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X and Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 (2022) Slowdown and recovery of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and a persistent North Atlantic warming hole induced by Arctic sea ice decline. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (16). e2022GL097967. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl097967

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Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Endris, H. S., Segele, Z. T., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Atheru, Z. and Artan, G. (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with early and late onset for eastern Africa short rains. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (12). pp. 6562-6578. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7627

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Hallouin, T., Ellis, R. J., Clark, D. B., Dadson, S. J., Hughes, A. G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lister, G. M. S. and Polcher, J. (2022) UniFHy v0.1.1: a community modelling framework for the terrestrial water cycle in Python. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (24). pp. 9177-9196. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9177-2022

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Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2022) Non-linear intensification of monsoon low pressure systems by the BSISO. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (4). pp. 1341-1358. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1341-2022

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Jackson, L. C., Biastoch, A., Buckley, M. W., Desbruyères, D. G., Frajka-Williams, E., Moat, B. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2022) The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 3. pp. 241-254. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2

Javed, A., Kumar, P., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Sein, D. V., Dubey, A. K. and Tiwari, G. (2022) Does the recent revival of Western disturbances govern the Karakoram Anomaly? Journal of Climate, 35 (13). pp. 4383-4402. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0129.1

Kalshetti, M., Chattopadhyay, R., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Phani, R., Joseph, S., Pattanaik, D. R. and Sahai, A. K. (2022) Eddy transport, wave-mean flow interaction, and Eddy forcing during the 2013 Uttarakhand extreme event in the reanalysis and S2S retrospective forecast data. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (16). pp. 8248-8268. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7706

Knippertz, P., Gehne, M., Kiladis, G. N., Kikuchi, K., Satheesh, A. R., Roundy, P. E., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Žagar, N., Dias, J., Fink, A. H., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schlueter, A., Sielmann, F. and Wheeler, M. C. (2022) The intricacies of identifying equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (747). pp. 2814-2852. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4338

Lai, W. K. M., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dunstone, N. (2022) Mechanisms of internal Atlantic multidecadal variability in HadGEM3-GC3.1 at two different resolutions. Journal of Climate, 35 (4). pp. 1365-1383. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0281.1

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2021

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Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Griffies, S. M., Couldrey, M. P. and Dias, F. B. (2021) Contribution of ocean physics and dynamics at different scales to heat uptake in low-resolution AOGCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (6). pp. 2017-2035. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0652.1

Salvi, P., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Interpreting the dependence of cloud-radiative adjustment on forcing agent. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (18). e2021GL093616. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093616

Sandu, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1215-3288, Massonnet, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4697-5781, Achter, G., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Arduini, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6564-1699, Bauer, P., Blockley, E., Bormann, N., Chevallier, M., Day, J., Dahoui, M., Fichefet, T., Flocco, D., Jung, T., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Laroche, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4886-5535, Lawrence, H., Kristiansen, J., Moreno‐Chamarro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7931-5149, Ortega, P., Poan, E., Ponsoni, L. and Randriamampianina, R. (2021) The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 3863-3877. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4182

Seneviratne, S. I., Zhang, X., Adnan, M., Badi, W., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Ghosh, S., Iskandar, I., Kossin, J., Lewis, S., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Satoh, M., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Wehner, M., Zhou, B. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1513-1766. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013

Senior, C. A., Marsham, J. H., Berthou, S., Burgin, L. E., Folwell, S. S., Kendon, E. J., Klein, C. M., Jones, R. G., Mittal, N., Rowell, D. P., Tomassini, L., Vischel, T., Becker, B., Birch, C. E., Crook, J., Dougill, A. J., Finney, D. L., Graham, R. J., Hart, N. C. G., Jack, C. D., Jackson, L. S., James, R., Koelle, B., Misiani, H., Mwalukanga, B., Parker, D. J., Stratton, R. A., Taylor, C. M., Tucker, S. O., Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Washington, R. and Willet, M. R. (2021) Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (6). E1206-E1223. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1

Shang, K., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Climatology and physical mechanisms of the tropospheric warm cores over the Tibetan Plateau and its vicinity. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 953-974. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05749-1

Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R. J., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Domínguez-Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jones, P. D., Kubota, H., Lee, T. C., Lorrey, A. M., Luterbacher, J., Mock, C. J., Przybylak, R. K., Pudmenzky, C., Slonosky, V. C., Tinz, B., Trewin, B., Wang, X. L., Wilkinson, C., Wood, K. and Wyszyński, P. (2021) An evaluation of the performance of the twentieth century reanalysis version 3. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1417-1438. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0505.1

Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) FAMOUS version xotzt (FAMOUS-ice): a GCM capable of energy- and water- conserving coupling to an ice sheet model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (9). pp. 5769-5787. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5769-2021

Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Mathiot, P., Siahaan, A., Lee, V., Cornford, S. L., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Payne, A. J., Jenkins, A., Holland, P. R., Ridley, J. K. and Jones, C. G. (2021) Coupling the U.K. Earth System Model to dynamic models of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (10). e2021MS002520. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002520

Talib, J., Taylor, C.M., Duan, A. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Intraseasonal soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks on the Tibetan Plateau circulation. Journal of Climate, 34 (5). pp. 1789-1807. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0377.1

Tan, M. L., Liang, J., Samat, N., Chan, N. W., Haywood, J. M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2021) Hydrological extremes and responses to climate change in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia, based on the CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Water, 13 (11). 1472. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w13111472

Taye, M. T., Dyer, E., Charles, K. J. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2021) Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: understanding local variations and their implications for water management decisions. Science of the Total Environment, 755 (Part 1). 142604. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142604

Thomas, S., Nicolau, S., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2021) How well do atmospheric reanalyses reproduce observed winds in coastal regions of Mexico? Meteorological Applications, 28 (5). e2023. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2023

Thomas, S. R., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2021) Drivers of extreme wind events in Mexico for wind power applications. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). E2321-E2340. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6848

Torres-Alavez, A., Glazer, R., Giorgi, F., Coppola, E., Gao, X., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Das, S., Ashfaq, M., Reale, M. and Sines, T. (2021) Future projections in tropical cyclone activity over multiple CORDEX domains from RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE simulations. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 1507-1531. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05728-6

Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Peatman, S. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2511-7649 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2021) The influence of air‐sea coupling on forecasts of the 2016 Indian summer monsoon and its intraseasonal variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 202-228. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3914

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Davini, P., Roberts, M. J., Strommen, K., Weisheimer, A., Plesca, E. and Corti, S. (2021) Impact of stochastic physics and model resolution on the simulation of tropical cyclones in climate GCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (11). pp. 4315-4341. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0507.1

Villafuerte II, M. Q., Lambrento, J. C. R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Cruz, F. T., Cinco, T. A. and Narisma, G. T. (2021) Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to convective parameterization schemes in RegCM4. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1625-1642. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05553-3

Volonte, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2021) Magnitude, scale, and dynamics of the 2020 Mei Yu rains and floods over China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 38. pp. 2082-2096. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1085-z

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (9). pp. 2339-2357. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-21-0017.1

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, D. L., Kilavi, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Marsham, J. H. (2021) Extreme rainfall in East Africa October 2019 – January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 26-31. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3824

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, J. H., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Future changes in seasonality in Eastern Africa from regional simulations with explicit and parametrised convection. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1367-1385. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0450.1

Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P., Castro, C., Chang, C.-P., Cook, K., Fu, R., Grimm, A. M., Ha, K.-J., Hendon, H., Kitoh, A., Krishnan, R., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Liu, J., Moise, A., Pascale, S., Roxy, M. K., Seth, A., Sui, C.-H., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Yang, S., Yun, K.-S., Zhang, L. and Zhou, T. (2021) Monsoons climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E1-E19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1

Wang, J., Church, J. A., Zhang, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Zanna, L. and Chen, X. (2021) Evaluation of the local sea-level budget at tide gauges since 1958. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (20). e2021GL094502. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094502

Wohland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8336-0009, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Pfenninger, S. (2021) Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). 064026. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abff89

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J. A., Hu, J. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Evolving patterns of sterodynamic sea-level rise under mitigation scenarios and insights from linear system theory. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 635-656. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05727-7

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 171-193. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1

Zanchettin, D., Bruni, S., Raicich, F., Lionello, P., Adloff, F., Androsov, A., Antonioli, F., Artale, V., Carminati, E., Ferrarin, C., Fofonova, F., Nicholls, R. J., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Sannino, G., Spada, G., Thiéblemont, R., Tsimplis, M., Umgiesser, G., Vignudelli, S., Wöppelmann, G. and Zerbini, S. (2021) Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article). Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (8). pp. 2463-2678. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Zhang, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Jin, R. (2021) Forced decadal changes in summer precipitation characteristics over China: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34 (6). pp. 1226-1241. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-020-0060-4

Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18609-18627. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18609-2021

Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 55-72. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05692-1

Zika, J. D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, McDonagh, E. L., Marzocchi, A. and Clement, L. (2021) Recent water mass changes reveal mechanisms of ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 34 (9). pp. 3461-3479. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

2020

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L. S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zolina, O. (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472 (1). pp. 49-75. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14337

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001995

Andrews, T., Andrews, M. B., Bodas‐Salcedo, A., Jones, G. S., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Manners, J., Menary, M. B., Ridley, J., Ringer, M. A., Sellar, A. A., Senior, C. A. and Tang, Y. (2020) Forcings, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in HadGEM3‐GC3.1 and UKESM1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4377-4394. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001866

Archibald, A. T., O'Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Archer-Nicholls, S., P. Chipperfield, M., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Dennison, F., Dhomse, S. S., Griffiths, P. T., Hardacre, C., Hewitt, A. J., Hill, R. S., Johnson, C. E., Keeble, J., Köhler, M. O., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J. P., Ordóñez, C., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Pope, R. J., Russo, M. R., Savage, N. H., Sellar, A., Stringer, M., Wild, O., Turnock, S. T. and Zeng, G. (2020) Description and evaluation of the UKCA stratosphere–troposphere chemistry scheme (StratTrop vn 1.0) implemented in UKESM1. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (3). pp. 1223-1266. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-1223-2020

Bador, M., Boé, J., Terray, L., Alexander, L. V., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Bellucci, A., Haarsma, R., Koenigk, T., Moine, M.-P., Lohmann, K., Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Scoccimarro, E., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Seddon, J., Senan, R., Valcke, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2020) Impact of higher spatial atmospheric resolution on precipitation extremes over land in global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (3). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd032184

Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Belusic, D., Boeing, S. J., Brooke, J. K., Harlow, R. C., Harris, P. P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Jayakumar, A. and Mitra, A. K. (2020) A case-study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2891-2905. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3538

Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Fan, L., Wigneron, J. P., Weber, U., Reichstein, M., Fu, Z., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Haverd, V., Jain, A. K., Joetzjer, E., Knauer, J., Lienert, S., Loughran, T., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Tian, H., Viovy, N. and Zaehle, S. (2020) Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity. Science Advances, 6 (24). eaba2724. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2724

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M. and Abbot, D. S. (2020) Spatial radiative feedbacks from internal variability using multiple regression. Journal of Climate, 33 (10). pp. 4121-4140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0396.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Asfaw, D. T., Young, M., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Mwangi, E., Ambani, M., Waruru, S., Otieno, G., Todd, M. C. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2020) Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action. Meteorological Applications, 27 (5). e1959. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1959

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Ryu, Y., Chen, Q., De Kauwe, M. G. and Baldocchi, D. (2020) Influence of sun zenith angle on canopy clumping and the resulting impacts on photosynthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291. 108065. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108065

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Halford, A., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639 and Kjeld, J. (2020) Quantifying the potential for improved management of weather risk using subseasonal forecasting: the case of UK telecommunications infrastructure. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1849. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1849

Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Drew, D. R. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2020) Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design. Renewable Energy, 150. pp. 509-522. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.12.082

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Eunice Lo, Y. T., Mitchell, D. M., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Collins, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G. C., Joshi, M. and Stott, P. A. (2020) U.K. climate projections: Summer daytime and nighttime urban heat island changes in England’s major cities. Journal of Climate, 33 (20). pp. 9015-9030. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0961.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Guo, Y.-P. (2020) Western North Pacific tropical cyclones in the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System: performance and ENSO teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 33 (24). pp. 10489-10504. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0255.1

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Fletcher, J. K., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578, Martin, G. M., Birch, C. E., Mitra, A. K., Mrudula, G., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Taylor, C. M., Houze, R. A., Brodzik, S. R. and Bhat, G. S. (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic structure of the monsoon over southern India: new observations from the INCOMPASS IOP. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2867-2890. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3439

Gao, Y., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, DeMott, C. A. and Hsu, P.-C. (2020) Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in a superparameterized general circulation model: effects of air–sea coupling and ocean mean state. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (11). pp. 5191-5209. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-5191-2020

Giddings, J., Matthews, A. J., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Heywood, K. J., Joshi, M. and Webber, B. G. M. (2020) The effect of seasonally and spatially varying chlorophyll on Bay of Bengal surface ocean properties and the South Asian Monsoon. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 635-655. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-635-2020

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Goelzer, H., Noël, B. P. Y., Edwards, T. L., Fettweis, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Lipscomb, W. H., van de Wal, R. S. W. and van den Broeke, M. R. (2020) Remapping of Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance anomalies for large ensemble sea-level change projections. The Cryosphere, 14 (6). pp. 1747-1762. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-1747-2020

Gramcianinov, C. B., Campos, R. M., de Camargo, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Guedes Soares, C. and da Silva Dias, P. L. (2020) Analysis of Atlantic extratropical storm tracks characteristics in 41 years of ERA5 and CFSR/CFSv2 databases. Ocean Engineering, 216. 108111. ISSN 0029-8018 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.108111

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Guimarães, B. S., Coelho, C. A. S., Woolnough, S., J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Kubota, P. Y., Bastarz, C. F., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P. and Souza, D. C. (2020) Configuration and hindcast quality assessment of a brazilian global sub‐seasonal prediction system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1067-1084. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3725

Guo, Y.-P., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Tan, Z.-M. (2020) Impact of Indo-Pacific warm pool Hadley circulation on the seasonal forecast performance for summer precipitation over the western North Pacific. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba97c

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Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Sanchez, C. and Schaefler, A. (2020) Diabatic generation of negative potential vorticity and its impact on the North Atlantic jet stream. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1477-1497. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3747

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Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502 and Bartholomew, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603 (2020) cfdm: a Python reference implementation of the CF data model. Journal of Open Source Software, 5 (54). 2717. ISSN 2475-9066 doi: https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.02717

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Hazra, V., Pattnaik, S., Sisodiya, A., Baisya, H., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Bhat, G. S. (2020) Assessing the performance of cloud microphysical parameterization over the Indian region: simulation of monsoon depressions and validation with INCOMPASS observations. Atmospheric Research, 239. 104925. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104925

Hermanson, L., Bilbao, R., Dunstone, N., Ménégoz, M., Ortega, P., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M., Strand, G., Timmreck, C., Yeager, S. and Danabasoglu, G. (2020) Robust multi-year climate impacts of volcanic eruptions in decadal prediction systems. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (9). e2019JD031739. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031739

Hewitt, H. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7432-6001, Roberts, M., Mathiot, P., Biastoch, A., Blockley, E., Chassignet, E. P., Fox-Kemper, B., Hyder, P., Marshall, D. P., Popova, E., Treguier, A.-M., Zanna, L., Yool, A., Yu, Y., Beadling, R., Bell, M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Arsouze, T., Bellucci, A., Castruccio, F., Gan, B., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, C. D., Van Roekel, L. and Zhang, Q. (2020) Resolving and parameterising the ocean mesoscale in earth system models. Current Climate Change Reports, 6. pp. 137-152. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00164-w

Hoskins, B. J., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Fonseca, R. M. (2020) The detailed dynamics of the June–August Hadley Cell. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (727). pp. 557-575. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3702

Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2020) Tracing future spring and summer drying in southern Africa to tropical lows and the Congo Air Boundary. Journal of Climate, 33 (14). pp. 6205-6228. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0755.1

Huang, W. T. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4292-2105, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Neal, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2678-6016, Sarran, C. and Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146 (2020) Weather regimes and patterns associated with temperature-related excess mortality in the UK: a pathway to sub-seasonal risk forecasting. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (12). 124052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abcbba

Huang, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dai, A., Chen, X., Clark, R., Jiang, J., Man, W., Murphy, J., Rostron, J., Wu, B., Zhang, L., Zhang, W. and Zou, L. (2020) The recent decline and recovery of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: relative roles of external forcing and internal variability. Journal of Climate, 33 (12). pp. 5035-5060. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0833.1

Jayakumar, A., Abel, S. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Mohandas, S., Sethunadh, J., O'Sullivan, D., Mitra, A. K. and Rajagopal, E. N. (2020) Performance of the NCMRWF convection-permitting model during contrasting monsoon phases of the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2928-2948. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3689

Jiang, X., Adames, Á. F., Kim, D., Maloney, E. D., Lin, H., Kim, H., Zhang, C., DeMott, C. A. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Fifty years of research on the Madden-Julian Oscillation: recent progress, challenges and perspectives. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (17). e2019JD030911. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030911

Juckes, M., Taylor, K. E., Durack, P. J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Mizielinski, M. S., Pamment, A., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Rixen, M. and Sénési, S. (2020) The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (1). pp. 201-224. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

Kershaw, P., Halsall, K., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bennett, V., Donegan, S., Iwi, A., Juckes, M., Pechorro, E., Petrie, R., Singleton, J., Stephens, A., Waterfall, A., Wilson, A. and Wood, A. (2020) Developing an open data portal for the ESA climate change initiative. Data Science Journal, 19 (1). ISSN 1683-1470 doi: https://doi.org/10.5334/dsj-2020-016

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Lee, J. C. K., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Boxall, L. J. (2020) The links between the Madden-Julian oscillation and European weather regimes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 141 (1-2). pp. 567-586. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03223-2

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Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226 and Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X (2020) Idealised simulations of cyclones with robust symmetrically-unstable sting jets. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (1). pp. 63-91. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-63-2020

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2020) Airmass analysis of the processes driving the progression of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2949-2980. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3700

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Liu, Z., Samset, B. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lund, M. T., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L., Krishnan, S., Merikanto, J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2020) Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (20). pp. 11955-11977. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020

Wohland, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 and Wild, M. (2020) European multidecadal solar variability badly captured in all centennial reanalyses except CERA20C. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba7e6

Woiwode, W., Dörnbrack, A., Polichtchouk, I., Johansson, S., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Höpfner, M., Ungermann, J. and Friedl-Vallon, F. (2020) Technical note: lowermost-stratospheric moist bias in ECMWF IFS model diagnosed from airborne GLORIA observations during winter/spring 2016. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20. pp. 15379-15387. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-367

Wolf, G., Czaja, A., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Connection between sea surface anomalies and atmospheric quasi-stationary waves. Journal of Climate, 33 (1). pp. 201-212. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0751.1

Wu, W., Emerton, R., Duan, Q., Wood, A. W., Wetterhall, F. and Robertson, D. E. (2020) Ensemble flood forecasting: current status and future opportunities. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 7 (3). e1432. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1432

Yool, A., Palmiéri, J., Jones, C. G., Sellar, A. A., de Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E. E., Mulcahy, J. P., Wiltshire, A., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Stringer, M., Hill, R. S. R., Tang, Y., Walton, J., Blaker, A., Nurser, A. J. G., Coward, A. C., Hirschi, J., Woodward, S., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R. and Rumbold‐Jones, S. (2020) Spin‐up of UK Earth system model 1 (UKESM1) for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS001933. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001933

Young, H. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7997-9471 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Skill of seasonal rainfall and temperature forecasts for East Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 35 (5). pp. 1783-1800. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0061.1

Young, M., Heinrich, V., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Asfaw, D. T. (2020) Optimal spatial scales for seasonal forecasts over Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab94e9

Zhang, W., Li, W., Zhu, L., Ma, Y., Yang, L., Lott, F., Li, C., Dong, S., Tett, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sun, Y. (2020) Anthropogenic influence on 2018 summer persistent heavy and daily extreme rainfall in central western China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (1). S65-S70. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0147.1

Zhou, T., Zhang, W., Zhang, L., Zhang, X., Qian, Y., Peng, D., Ma, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic processes dominating the reduction of global land monsoon precipitation driven by anthropogenic aerosols emission. Science China Earth Sciences, 63 (7). pp. 919-933. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-019-9613-9

de Mora, L., Sellar, A. A., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Parker, R. J., Walton, J., Blackford, J. C. and Jones, C. G. (2020) Earth system music: music generated from the United Kingdom Earth System Model (UKESM1). Geoscience Communications, 3 (2). pp. 263-278. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-263-2020

2019

Asher, C., Britton, B., Coe, H., Collins, M., Few, S., Finlayson, B., Gilbert, A., Graven, H., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Haigh, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Highwood, E., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Marshall, S., Marsham, J., Shepherd, J., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Woolings, T. (2019) 30-second climate: the 50 most topical features, measurements and phenomena, each explained in half a minute. Ivy Press. ISBN 9781782405504

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Demory, M.-E., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Strachan, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2019) Enhanced climate change response of wintertime North Atlantic circulation, cyclonic activity and precipitation in a 25 km-resolution global atmospheric model. Journal of Climate, 32 (22). pp. 7763-7781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bouttes, N., Palmer, M. D. and Stott, P. (2019) Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure. Climate Dynamics, 53. pp. 5389-5413. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Boult, V. L., Fishlock, V., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Moss, C., Lee, P. C. and Sibly, R. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6828-3543 (2019) Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change. Conservation Science and Practice, 1 (9). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2578-4854 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.87

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, He, L. and Chen, J. M. (2019) Underestimation of global photosynthesis in Earth System Models due to representation of vegetation structure. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33 (11). pp. 1358-1369. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006135

Brooks, J., Allan, J. D., Williams, P. I., Liu, D., Fox, C., Haywood, J., Langridge, J. M., Highwood, E. J., Kompalli, S. K., O'Sullivan, D., Babu, S. S., Satheesh, S. K., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Coe, H. (2019) Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 5615-5634. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-1109

Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2019) A refined model for the Earth's global energy balance. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4781-4797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04825-x

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Aldridge, R. W., Grams, C. M. and Lee, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2019) Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland blocking weather regime. Weather and Climate Extremes, 25. 100218. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2019) Anthropogenic impacts on recent decadal change in temperature extremes over China: relative roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4342-9

Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Luo, F., Dunstone, N. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Attribution of recent trends in temperature extremes over China: role of changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions over Asia. Journal Of Climate, 32. pp. 7539-7560. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0777.1

Chen, Y., Chen, W., Su, Q., Luo, F., Sparrow, S., Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tett, S., Lott, F. and Wallom, D. (2019) Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017-like heat waves over Central-Eastern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0087.1

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1

Curio, J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) Climatology of Tibetan Plateau Vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1933-1950. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0021.1

Czaja, A., Frankignoul, C., Minobe, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2019) Simulating the midlatitude atmospheric circulation: what might we gain from high-resolution modeling of air-sea interactions? Current Climate Change Reports, 5. pp. 390-406. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5

Demott, C. A., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Tseng, W.-L., Burt, M. A., Gao, Y. and Randall, D. A. (2019) The convection connection: how ocean feedbacks affect tropical mean moisture and MJO propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 124 (22). pp. 11910-11931. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031015

Dentith, J. E., Ivanovic, R. F., Gregoire, L. J., Tindall, J. C. and Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2019) Ocean circulation drifts in multi-millennial climate simulations: the role of salinity corrections and climate feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 52 (3-4). pp. 1761-1781. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4243-y

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Impacts of recent decadal changes in Asian aerosols on the East Asian summer monsoon: roles of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3235-3256. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0 (Dong, B., Wilcox, L.J., Highwood, E.J. et al. Clim Dyn (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0)

Drew, D. R., Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. F. and Richards, A. (2019) Sunny windy Sundays. Renewable Energy, 138. pp. 870-875. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.029

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2019) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the prediction of 2016 western North Pacific tropical cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (723). pp. 2425-2444. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3571

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Guo, L. and Demory, M.-E. (2019) The contribution of tropical cyclones to the atmospheric branch of Middle America's hydrological cycle using observed and reanalysis tracks. Climate Dynamics, 53 (9-10). pp. 6145-6158. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04920-z

Friedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O'Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Hauck, J., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Le Quéré, C., Bakker, D. C. E., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Anthoni, P., Barbero, L., Bastos, A., Bastrikov, V., Becker, M., Bopp, L., Buitenhuis, E., Chandra, N., Chevalier, F., Chini, L. P., Currie, K. I., Feely, R. A., Gehlen, M., Gilfillan, D., Gkritzalis, T., Goll, D. S., Gruber, N., Gutekunst, S., Harris, I., Kato, E., Klein Goldewijk, K., Korsbakken, J. I., Landschützer, P., Lauvset, S. K., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Marland, G., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Melton, J. R., Metzl, N., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Neill, C., Omar, A. M., Ono, T., Peregon, A., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rödenbeck, C., Séférian, R., Schwinger, J., Smith, N., Tans, P. P., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tubiello, F. N., ven der Werf, G. R., Wiltshire, A. J. and Zaehle, S. (2019) Global carbon budget 2019. Earth System Science Data, 11 (4). pp. 1783-1838. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1783-2019

Gao, Y., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, DeMott, C. A., Hsu, P.-C. and Klingaman, N. (2019) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the BSISO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (1). pp. 146-170. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029303

Gillett, Z. E., Arblaster, J. M., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Deushi, M., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Morgenstern, O., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K. A. and Tilmes, S. (2019) Evaluating the relationship between interannual variations in the Antarctic ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere surface climate in chemistry-climate models. Journal of Climate, 32 (11). pp. 3131-3151. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0273.1

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Zappa, G. (2019) The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4095-4113. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3

Goodess, C. M., Troccoli, A., Acton, C., Anel, J. A., Bett, P. E., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, De Felice, M., Dorling, S. E., Dubus, L., Penny, L., Percy, B., Ranchin, T., Thomas, C., Trolliet, M. and Wald, L. (2019) Advancing climate services for the European renewable energy sector through capacity building and user engagement. Climate Services, 16. 100139. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100139

Gramcianinov, C. B., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Camargo, R. (2019) The properties and genesis environments of South Atlantic cyclones. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4115-4140. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04778-1

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Griffies, S. M., Hughes, C. W., Lowe, J. A., Church, J. A., Fukimori, I., Gomez, N., Kopp, R. E., Landerer, F., Le Cozannet, G., Ponte, R. M., Stammer, D., Tamisiea, M. E. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2019) Concepts and terminology for sea level: mean, variability and change, both local and global. Surveys in Geophysics, 40 (6). pp. 1251-1289. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z

Guo, L., van der Ent, R., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Stephan, C. and Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 (2019) Moisture sources for East Asian precipitation: mean seasonal cycle and interannual variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20. pp. 657-672. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0188.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677,

University of Reading

CentAUR: Central Archive at the University of Reading