2024

Acosta, M. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7054-8168, Palomas, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2191-152X, Paronuzzi Ticco, S. V., Utrera, G., Biercamp, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6677-2164, Bretonniere, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3066-6685, Budich, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9274-4052, Castrillo, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1826-623X, Caubel, A., Doblas-Reyes, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6622-4280, Epicoco, I., Fladrich, U., Joussaume, S., Kumar Gupta, A., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Le Sager, P., Lister, G., Moine, M.-P., Rioual, J.-C., Valcke, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0438-5978, Zadeh, N. and Balaji, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7561-5438 (2024) The computational and energy cost of simulation and storage for climate science: lessons from CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (8). pp. 3081-3098. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3081-2024

Akinsanola, A., Wenhaji, C., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dixon, R., Tamoffo, A., Adeniyi, M., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., Silverio, K., Faye, A., Nangombe, S., Pokam, M., Vondou, D., Hart, N., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E., Kolli, R. K. and Susmitha, J. (2024) Modeling of precipitation over Africa: progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6 (In Press)

Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4007

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2024) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (12). e2312093121. ISSN 0027-8424

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vannière, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) On the realism of tropical cyclone intensification in global storm-resolving climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL109841. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109841

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2024) Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL108472. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108472

Bharati, P., Deb, P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Orr, A. and Dash, M. K. (2024) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 (In Press)

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). e2190. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2190

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Driscoll, S., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Harvey, N. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Vandaele, R. and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 93. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00638-w

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236

Delfino, R. J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Bagtasa, G. (2024) Sensitivity of Philippine historically damaging tropical cyclone events to surface and atmospheric temperature forcings. Regional Studies in Marine Science. 103595. ISSN 2352-4855 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103595 (In Press)

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2024) The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4859

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilizing climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6). e2023GL107448. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107448

Emerton, R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L. and Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean? Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2195. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2195

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Translation speed slowdown and poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 196. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00748-5

Fiedler, S., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Smith, C. J., Griffiths, P., Kramer, R. J., Takemura, T., Allen, R. J., Im, U., Kasoar, M., Modak, A., Turnock, S., Voulgarakis, A., Watson-Parris, D., Westervelt, D. M., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Schulz, M., Myhre, G. and Forster, P. M. (2024) Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (6). pp. 2387-2417. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Galea, D., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2024) Investigating differences between Tropical cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3 (2). e220046. ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0046.1

Govett, M., Bah, B., Bauer, P., Berod, D., Bouchet, V., Corti, S., Davis, C., Duan, Y., Graham, T., Honda, Y., Hines, A., Jean, M., Ishida, J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Li, J., Luterbacher, J., Muroi, C., Rowe, K., Schultz, M., Visbeck, M. and Williams, K. (2024) Exascale computing and data handling: challenges and opportunities for weather and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0220.1 (In Press)

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Couldrey, M. P., Exarchou, E., Griffies, S. M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Newsom, E., Saenko, O. A., Suzuki, T., Wu, Q., Urakawa, S. and Zanna, L. (2024) A new conceptual model of global ocean heat uptake. Climate Dynamics, 62 (3). pp. 1669-1713. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06989-z

Gudoshava, M., Nyinguro, P., Talib, J., Wainwright, C., Mwanthi, A., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, de Andrade, F., Mutemi, J., Gitau, W., Thompson, E., Gacheru, J., Marsham, J., Endris, H. S., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Segele, Z., Atheru, Z. and Artan, G. (2024) Drivers of sub-seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March-to-May seasons of 2018 to 2020. Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3310 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Hernández-Yepes, J.G., Rodríguez-Hernández, O., López-Villalobos, C.A. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 (2024) Atmospheric mesoscale modeling to simulate annual and seasonal wind speeds for wind energy production in Mexico. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 68. 103848. ISSN 2213-1388 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2024.103848

Howard, E., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Shipley, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7812-8309, Sanchez, C., Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E. and Matthews, A. J. (2024) Evaluation of multi-season convection-permitting atmosphere - mixed layer ocean simulations of the Maritime Continent. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (9). pp. 3815-3837. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3815-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 345-356. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-345-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2196. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2196

Iles, C. E., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Schuhen, N., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Lund, M. T. (2024) Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways. Nature Geoscience, 17. pp. 845-850. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01511-4

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

King, A. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5745, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Paik, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3655-4227, Lieber, R., Min, S.-K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6749-010X and Borowiak, A. R. (2024) Emergence of multivariate climate change signals. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (9). 094018. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad677f

Kolstad, E. W., Parker, D. J., MacLeod, D. A., Wainwright, C. M. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2024) Beyond the regional average: drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4829

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Ceppi, P. and Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655 (2024) A glimpse into the future: the 2023 ocean temperature and sea-ice extremes in the context of longer-term climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0209.1 (In Press)

Lamptey, B., Abded, S. S., Gudoshava, M., Mutemi, J., Bopape, M.-J., Adefisan, E. A., Igri, M. P., Seidou Sanda, I., Ndiaye, O., Parker, D. J., Dougill, A., Fink, A., Knippertz, P., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Kolstad, E. (2024) Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa. Nature Communications, 15 (1). 2664. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Lavender, S. L., Stirling, A. J., Whitall, M., Stratton, R., Daleu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2075-4902, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Lock, A. and Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553 (2024) The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parameterization: performance of CoMorph-A. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Layton-Matthews, K., Erikstad, K. E., Sandvik, H., Ballesteros, M., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Mesquita, M. d.S., Reiertsen, T. K., Yoccoz, N. G. and Bustnes, J. O. (2024) Path analysis reveals combined winter climate and pollution effects on the survival of a marine top predator. Journal of Animal Ecology. ISSN 1365-2656 (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Yang, S. (2024) Enhanced impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon under global warming and associated mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2). e2023GL106437. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106437

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Zhang, T. (2024) Diverse impacts of the Indian summer monsoon on ENSO among CMIP6 models and its possible causes. Environmental Research Letters, 45. ISSN 1748-9326 (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S., He, S. and Hu, Y. (2024) Causes of diverse impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon among CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0303.1

Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) Impact of Asian aerosols on the summer monsoon strongly modulated by regional precipitation biases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (12). pp. 7227-7252. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-7227-2024

Luterbacher, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4065-6883, Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7897-4660 and Xoplaki, E. (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). 39. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12030039

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Crétat, J. (2024) Internally driven variability of the Angola Low is the main source of uncertainty for the future changes in southern African precipitation. JGR Atmospheres, 129 (15). e2024JD041255. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041255

Müller, O. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9943-8368, McGuire, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28 (10). pp. 2179-2201. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2179-2024

Ng, K. S., Leckebusch, G. C. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2024) Improvement of decadal predictions of monthly extreme Mei-yu rainfall via a causality guided approach. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 (In Press)

Nischal, S., Attada, R., Hunt, K. M.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Barlow, M. (2024) Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India’s high mountain region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4661

Norgate, M., Tiwari, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7580-0446, Das, S. and Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129 (2024) On the heat waves over India and their future projections under different SSP scenarios from CMIP6 models. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8367

Palmer, M. D., Harrison, B. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hewitt, H. T., Lowe, J. A. and Weeks, J. H. (2024) A framework for physically consistent storylines of UK future mean sea level rise. Climatic Change, 177. 106. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03734-1

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1 (In Press)

Peng, Y., Guo, Y.-P., Zhao, J., Tan, Z.-M., Chen, X. and Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Tropical cyclogenesis bias over the central North Pacific in CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0224.1

Pinheiro, H. R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Gan, M. A. (2024) Exploring the vertical extent and deepening mechanisms of cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere: insights from eddy kinetic energy analysis. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Planton, Y. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9664-8180, Lee, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0016-7199, Wittenberg, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1680-8963, Gleckler, P. J., Guilyardi, É. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, McGregor, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3222-7042 and McPhaden, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8423-5805 (2024) Estimating uncertainty in simulated ENSO statistics. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16 (9). e2023MS004147. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms004147

Qian, S., Hu, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Yang, X.-Q. and Song, T. (2024) Synergistic forcing of the troposphere and stratosphere on explosively developing cyclones over the North Pacific during the cold season. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL110069. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110069

Reintges, A., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Yeager, S. G. (2024) Subpolar North Atlantic mean state affects the response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0470.1

Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Fuglestvedt, J. S. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) 2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability. Communications Earth and Environment, 5. 460. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01637-8

Senapati, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5029-9731, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Pivotal role of mixed-layer depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL110057. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110057

Sheng, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, H., Zhang, M., Lin, S., Si, P., Lott, F. C. and Li, Q. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on extremely persistent seasonal precipitation in Southern China during May–June 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (2). pp. 425-431. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0137.1

Sherriff-Tadano, S., Ivanovic, R., Gregoire, L., Lang, C., Gandy, N., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Edwards, T. L., Pollard, O. and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2024) Large ensemble simulations of the North American and Greenland ice sheets at the Last Glacial Maximum with a coupled atmospheric general circulation-ice sheet model. Climate of the Past, 20 (7). pp. 1489-1512. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-1489-2024

Shi, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Zhang, C., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tao, A., Zhang, W. and Zheng, J. (2024) Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves. Nature Communications, 15. 174. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43532-4

Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8364

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Su, Q., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z

Tamoffo, A. T., Weber, T., Cabos, W., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Cook, K. H., Sein, D. V., Dosio, A., Klutse, N. A. B., Akintomide, A. A. and Jacob, D. (2024) West African monsoon system's responses to global ocean-regional atmosphere coupling. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0749.1

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. ISSN 1684-9981 (In Press)

Wallis, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-0899, Osborn, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Taylor, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3473-3478, Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8401

Wang, K., Zheng, Z., Zhu, X., Dong, W., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhang, W., Lott, F. C., Bu, L., Wang, Y., Li, H., Nading, N., Freychet, N., Wang, D. and Qiao, S. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on the extremely dry and hot summer of 2020 in Southern China and projected changes in the likelihood of the event. Weather and Climate Extremes, 45. 100706. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100706

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627

Xie, Y., Zhou, M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Mauzerall, D. L. (2024) Recent improvements in PM_2.5 air quality in India benefited from meteorological variation. Nature Sustainability. ISSN 2398-9629 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01366-y

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wei, W. and Yang, S. (2024) Anthropogenic impacts on amplified midlatitude European summer warming and rapid increase of heatwaves in recent decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16). e2024GL108982. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108982

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295, Schurer, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad57e3 (In Press)

Zhang, S., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2024) Spatiotemporal characteristics of the time of emergence for anthropogenic tropospheric temperature changes based on the CMIP6 multi-model results. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (4). 044052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad34e6

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M. W. K., Mecking, J. V., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics, 62 (5). pp. 3355-3374. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

de Andrade, F. M., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9

2023

Akhter, S., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2023) How well do high-resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal? Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3581-3604. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06745-3

Ali, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9846-6751, Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Fewer, but more intense, future tropical storms over the Ganges and Mekong basins. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (17). e2023GL104973. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl104973

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2169

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. T., Sananka, A., Aston, S., Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 (2023) Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa. Frontiers in climate, 4. 993511. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.993511

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Hillier, J., Griffin, A., Kay, A. L., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Pianosi, F., James, R., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Champion, A. and Bates, P. D. (2023) Co-occurring wintertime flooding and extreme wind over Europe, from daily to seasonal timescales. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39. 100550. ISSN 22120947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100550

Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Sexton, D. M. H. and Morice, C. P. (2023) Assessment of large-scale indices of surface temperature during the historical period in the CMIP6 ensembles. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2055-2072. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0398.1

Boland, E. J. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Jones, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8701-4506, Josey, S. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831 and Sinha, B. (2023) Ocean heat content responses to changing anthropogenic aerosol forcing strength: regional and multi‐decadal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (7). e2022JC018725. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jc018725

Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 (2023) Forecast-based action for conservation. Conservation Biology, 37 (3). e14054. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14054

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Burgard, C., Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Schäfer, R., Caillet, J., Finn, T.S. and Johnson, J.E. (2023) Emulating present and future simulations of melt rates at the base of Antarctic ice shelves with neural networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (12). e2023MS003829. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003829

Cael, B. B., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Ceppi, P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Goodwin, P., Gregory, J. M., Smith, C. J. and Williams, R. G. (2023) Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback. Science Advances, 9 (16). ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf9302

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Rudroff, C. M., Coelho, C. A.S. and Schongart, J. (2023) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus using dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Services, 30. 100342. ISSN Elsevier doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100342

Conroy, A., Titley, H., Rivett, R., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Brammer, A., Burton, A., Chakraborty, P., Chen, G., Cowan, L., Dunion, J. and Sarkar, A. (2023) Track forecast: operational capability and new techniques - summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 (1). pp. 64-80. ISSN 2225-6032 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., Hurlin, W. J., Jin, J., Jungclaus, J., Köhl, A., Liu, H., Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A., Savita, A., Suzuki, T., Yu, Z. and Zanna, L. (2023) Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2003-2309. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105993

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2023) The role of boundary layer processes in summer-time Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 617-638. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-617-2023

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Delfino, R. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bagtasa, G. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Response of damaging Philippines tropical cyclones to a warming climate using the pseudo global warming approach. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3499-3523. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06742-6

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Feng, Z., Lv, S., Sun, Y., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhai, P., Lin, Y., Shen, Y. and Zhong, W. (2023) Skillful seasonal prediction of typhoon track density using deep learning. Remote Sensing, 15 (7). 1797. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15071797

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Wolf, G. (2023) Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (8). pp. 2139-2152. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0300.1

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Fedorov, A. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X (2023) The effect of Indian Ocean temperature on the Pacific trade winds and ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL103230. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103230

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Guo, L. (2023) Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06954-w

Galea, D., Kunkel, J. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) TCDetect: a new method of detecting the presence of tropical cyclones using deep learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 2 (3). ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-22-0045.1

Gandy, N., Astfalck, L. C., Gregoire, L. J., Evanovich, R. F., Patterson, V. L., Sherriff-Tadano, S., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Williamson, D. and Rigby, R. (2023) De-tuning Albedo parameters in a coupled climate ice sheet model to simulate the North American ice sheet at the last glacial maximum. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 128 (8). e2023JF007250. ISSN 2169-9003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007250

Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6 (1). 219. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00540-x

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Grose, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8012-9960, Boschat, G., Trewin, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8186-7885, Round, V., Ashcroft, L., King, A. D., Narsey, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Australian climate warming: observed change from 1850 and global temperature targets. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 73 (1). pp. 30-43. ISSN 2206-5865 doi: https://doi.org/10.1071/ES22018

Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Zhu, J. (2023) Anthropogenic impacts on changes in summer extreme precipitation over China during 1961–2014: roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2633-2646. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06453-4

Hallam, S., McCarthy, G. D., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Josey, S. A., Harris, E., Düsterhus, A., Ogungbenro, S. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2023) The relationship between sea surface temperature anomalies, wind and translation speed and North Atlantic tropical cyclone rainfall over ocean and land. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (2). 025007. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acb31c

Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Cullen, M. (2023) Examining the dynamics of a Borneo vortex using a balance approximation tool. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (4). pp. 1019-1043. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-1019-2023

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (10). pp. 4424-4441. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8095

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Alexander, L. V. and Allan, R. J. (2023) Millions of digitized historical sea-level pressure observations rediscovered. Geoscience Data Journal, 10 (3). pp. 385-395. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.163

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Brohan, P., Burgess, S. N., Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, Compo, G. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5199-9633, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Haigh, I. D., Hersbach, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5330-7071, Kuijjer, K., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, McColl, C., Schurer, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Slivinski, L. and Williams, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8421-4481 (2023) Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (4). pp. 1465-1482. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1465-2023

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Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Wainwright, C. M., Nying'uro, P., Quaye, D., Ashong, J., Kiptum, C., Opoku, N. K., Thompson, E. M. and Lamptey, B. (2023) Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana. Weather, 78 (5). pp. 148-153. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4381

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Scaife, A. A. (2023) Signal‐to‐noise and predictable modes of variability in winter seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (755). pp. 2598-2616. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4522

Hoefler, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1333-9797, Stevens, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3795-0475, Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Baehr, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4696-8941, Schulthess, T., Stocker, T. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1245-2728, Taylor, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9003-4076, Klocke, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7405-013X, Manninen, P., Forster, P. M., Kölling, T., Gruber, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2085-2310, Anzt, H., Frauen, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8615-5702, Ziemen, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7095-5740, Klöwer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3920-4356, Kashinath, K., Schär, C., Fuhrer, O. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) Earth Virtualization Engines: a technical perspective. Computing in Science & Engineering, 25 (3). pp. 50-59. ISSN 1521-9615 doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2023.3311148

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G. -Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2023) A global perspective on the upper branch of the Hadley Cell. Journal of Climate, 36 (19). pp. 6749-6762. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0537.1

Hu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Xie, J., Tan, H., Zhou, B., Lin, S., He, J. and Zhao, L. (2023) Anthropogenic influence on 2022 extreme January–February precipitation in Southern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (11). E1935-E1940. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0136.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2023) Could artificial intelligence win the next Weather Photographer of the Year competition? Weather, 78 (4). pp. 108-112. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4348

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Using interpretable gradient-boosted decision-tree ensembles to uncover novel dynamical relationships governing monsoon low-pressure systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4582

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Zaz, S. N. (2023) Linking the North Atlantic Oscillation to winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya through disturbances of the subtropical jet. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2389-2403. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06450-7

Jackson, L. C. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) North Atlantic overturning and water mass transformation in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2871-2891. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06448-1

Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Hall, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3665-6322, Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2). pp. 443-455. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023

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Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Voldoire, A., Palmer, M. D., Geoffroy, O. and Killick, R. E. (2023) Historical ocean heat uptake in two pairs of CMIP6 models: global and regional perspectives. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2183-2203. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0468.1

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Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6632-8389, Jiang, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-9266, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2029-7385 and Heng, Z. (2023) Prediction of the diurnal variation of summertime precipitation over the Sichuan Basin by a regional model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (2). e2021JD036247. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036247

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, J., Furtado, K. and Zhuang, M. (2023) Sensitivity of simulated mesoscale convective systems over East Asia to the treatment of convection in a high-resolution GCM. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2783-2801. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06471-2

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Song, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3004-1749, Chen, H., Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7223-0022, Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Zhang, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8614-8070, Zhou, T., Zhuang, M., Furtado, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5166-112X, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Li, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2556-0891 (2023) Intensification of mesoscale convective systems in the East Asian rainband over the past two decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (16). e2023GL103595. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103595

Li, R., Liu, X., Xu, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) A comparative analysis of the attribution of extreme summer precipitation in south and north parts of the East China monsoon region—with the year 2020 as an example. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (15). pp. 7199-7217. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8260

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Tan, M. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Borneo Vortices in a warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 2. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00326-1

Liang, J., Tan, M. L., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 1151-1171. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5

Liao, X., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Liu, C., Lyu, X., Xue, Y., Bao, R., Li, J. and Qiao, F. (2023) Observed interannual relationship between ITCZ position and tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 36 (16). pp. 5587-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0865.1

Maharana, P., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Das, S., Tiwari, P. R., Norgate, M. and Raman, V. A. V. (2023) Projected changes in heatwaves and its impact on human discomfort over India due to global warming under the CORDEX-CORE framework. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04788-4

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

Maybee, B., Ward, N., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Marsham, J. H. (2023) Importance of Madden–Julian Oscillation phase to the interannual variability of East African rainfall. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (5). e1148. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1148

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Moudi Pascal, I., Kammalac Jores, T., Talib, J., Appolinaire, V. D., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Christian, N., Romeo-Ledoux, D. T., Fogang Michael, T., Marceline, M., Romeo, S. T., Dione, C., Thompson, E., Salih, A. A. M. and Ngaryamgaye, S. (2023) Strengthening weather forecast dissemination capabilities in Central Africa: case assessment of intense flooding in January 2020. Climate Services, 32. 100411. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100411

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Newsom, E., Zanna, L. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Background pycnocline depth constrains future Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105673. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105673

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Ren, Q., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Dai, Y., Jiang, X. and Yang, S. (2023) Seasonal effects of the Tibetan plateau on the cyclonic transient eddies: a system-centered view. Journal of Climate, 36 (17). pp. 6007-6020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0067.1

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Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tandon, N. F. (2023) Uncertainties in the Arctic Ocean response to CO₂: a process-based analysis. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06986-2

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Seddon, J., Stephens, A., Mizielinski, M. S., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Technology to aid the analysis of large-volume multi-institute climate model output at a Central Analysis Facility (PRIMAVERA Data Management Tool V2.10). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (22). pp. 6689-6700. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6689-2023

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Slangen, A. B.A., Palmer, M. D., Camargo, C. M. L., Church, J. A., Edwards, T. L., Hermans, T. H. J., Hewitt, H. T., Garner, G. G., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Kopp, R. E., Santos, V. M. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2023) The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 1. e7. ISSN 2754-7205 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.8

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Sohail, T., Irving, D. B., Zika, J. D. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Anthropogenic aerosols offsetting ocean warming less efficiently since the 1980s. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105374. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105374

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Wan, Z. (2023) Changing trend of temperature in nanjing and its correlation with some human activities in recent 41 years. Theoretical and Natural Science, 7 (1). pp. 92-99. ISSN 2753-8826 doi: https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/7/20230118

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Yao, Y., Zhang, Y., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Tamarin-Brodsky, T. (2023) Different propagation mechanisms of deep and shallow wintertime extratropical cyclones over the North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36 (23). pp. 8277-8297. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0674.1

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Zhang, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wen, Z., Guo, Y. and Chen, X. (2023) Relationship between the AMOC and the multidecadal variability of the midlatitude southern Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8761-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0198.1

Zhang, S., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sheng, C. (2023) Decadal modulation of the relationship between tropical southern Atlantic SST and subsequent ENSO by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL104878. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104878

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T., Latif, M., Song, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4105-8682, Park, W. and Reintges, A. (2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1

Zhao, Z., Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhu, J., Luo, N. and Gao, Z. (2023) A clustering-based multi-model ensemble projection of near-term precipitation changes over East China and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094050. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acef40

Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Wu, R. and Chen, D. (2023) Impact of data resolution on tracking Southern Ocean cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (1). pp. 3-22. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1

2022

Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, de Abreu, R. C. and , ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2022) Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 3105-3119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2 (Abatan, A.A., Tett, S.F.B., Dong, B. et al. Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2)

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Philp, T. J., Champion, A. J., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Pigott, C., MacFarlane, A., Wragg, G. and Zhao, S. (2022) Identifying limitations when deriving probabilistic views of North Atlantic hurricane hazard from counterfactual ensemble NWP re-forecasts. In: Collins, J. M. and Done, J. M. (eds.) Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate. Hurricane Risk, 2 (2). Springer Cham, pp. 233-254. ISBN 9783031085673 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-08568-0_10

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Racoma, B. A. B., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Bagtasa, G. (2022) Tropical cyclone characteristics associated with extreme precipitation in the northern Philippines. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (6). pp. 3290-3307. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7416

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