2024

Acosta, M. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7054-8168, Palomas, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2191-152X, Paronuzzi Ticco, S. V., Utrera, G., Biercamp, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6677-2164, Bretonniere, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3066-6685, Budich, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9274-4052, Castrillo, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1826-623X, Caubel, A., Doblas-Reyes, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6622-4280, Epicoco, I., Fladrich, U., Joussaume, S., Kumar Gupta, A., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Le Sager, P., Lister, G., Moine, M.-P., Rioual, J.-C., Valcke, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0438-5978, Zadeh, N. and Balaji, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7561-5438 (2024) The computational and energy cost of simulation and storage for climate science: lessons from CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (8). pp. 3081-3098. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3081-2024

Akinsanola, A., Wenhaji, C., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dixon, R., Tamoffo, A., Adeniyi, M., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., KC, S., Faye, A., Nangombe, S., Pokam, M., Vondou, D., Hart, N., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E., Kolli, R. K. and Susmitha, J. (2024) Modeling of precipitation over Africa: progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6 (In Press)

Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4007

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2024) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (12). e2312093121. ISSN 0027-8424

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vannière, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) On the realism of tropical cyclone intensification in global storm-resolving climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL109841. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109841

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2024) Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL108472. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108472

Bharati, P., Deb, P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Orr, A. and Dash, M. K. (2024) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 (In Press)

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). e2190. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2190

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Bocquet, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2675-0347, Farchi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4162-8289, Finn, T. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9585-8349, Durand, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5588-549X, Cheng, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8707-2589, Chen, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2319-6937, Pasmans, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5076-5421 and Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 (2024) Accurate deep learning-based filtering for chaotic dynamics by identifying instabilities without an ensemble. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 34 (9). 091104. ISSN 1089-7682 doi: https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0230837

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Driscoll, S., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Harvey, N. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Vandaele, R. and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 93. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00638-w

Cheng, Y., Wang, L., Chen, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Wang, L. (2024) Constrained projections indicate less delay in onset of summer monsoon over the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 1944-8007 (In Press)

Collins, M., Beverley, J. D., Bracegirdle, T. J., Catto, J., McCrystall, M., Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Freychet, N., Grist, J., Hegerl, G. C., Holland, P. R., Holmes, C., Josey, S. A., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lo, E., Lord, N., Mitchell, D., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Priestley, M. D. K., Scaife, A., Screen, J., Senior, N., Sexton, D., Shuckburgh, E., Siegert, S., Simpson, C., Stephenson, D. B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Thompson, V., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Woollings, T. (2024) Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world. Frontiers in Science, 2. 1340323. ISSN 2813-6330 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236

Delfino, R. J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Bagtasa, G. (2024) Sensitivity of Philippine historically damaging tropical cyclone events to surface and atmospheric temperature forcings. Regional Studies in Marine Science. 103595. ISSN 2352-4855 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103595 (In Press)

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2024) The role of midlatitude dry air during the withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4859

Dijkstra, I. J., Bloomfield, H. C. and Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Identifying weather patterns responsible for renewable energy droughts over India. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO). ISSN 1680-7340 (In Press)

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilizing climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6). e2023GL107448. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107448

Emerton, R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L. and Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean? Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2195. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2195

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Translation speed slowdown and poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 196. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00748-5

Fiedler, S., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Smith, C. J., Griffiths, P., Kramer, R. J., Takemura, T., Allen, R. J., Im, U., Kasoar, M., Modak, A., Turnock, S., Voulgarakis, A., Watson-Parris, D., Westervelt, D. M., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Schulz, M., Myhre, G. and Forster, P. M. (2024) Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (6). pp. 2387-2417. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-2387-2024

Galea, D., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2024) Investigating differences between Tropical cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3 (2). e220046. ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0046.1

Govett, M., Bah, B., Bauer, P., Berod, D., Bouchet, V., Corti, S., Davis, C., Duan, Y., Graham, T., Honda, Y., Hines, A., Jean, M., Ishida, J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Li, J., Luterbacher, J., Muroi, C., Rowe, K., Schultz, M., Visbeck, M. and Williams, K. (2024) Exascale computing and data handling: challenges and opportunities for weather and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0220.1 (In Press)

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Couldrey, M. P., Exarchou, E., Griffies, S. M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Newsom, E., Saenko, O. A., Suzuki, T., Wu, Q., Urakawa, S. and Zanna, L. (2024) A new conceptual model of global ocean heat uptake. Climate Dynamics, 62 (3). pp. 1669-1713. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06989-z

Gudoshava, M., Nyinguro, P., Talib, J., Wainwright, C., Mwanthi, A., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, de Andrade, F., Mutemi, J., Gitau, W., Thompson, E., Gacheru, J., Marsham, J., Endris, H. S., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Segele, Z., Atheru, Z. and Artan, G. (2024) Drivers of sub-seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March-to-May seasons of 2018 to 2020. Meteorological Applications, 31 (5). e70000. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70000

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3310 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Hermoso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1893-4181, Rivière, G., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Schemm, S. (2024) A dynamical interpretation of the intensification of the winter North Atlantic jet stream in reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 37 (22). pp. 5853-5881. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0757.1

Hernández-Yepes, J.G., Rodríguez-Hernández, O., López-Villalobos, C.A. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 (2024) Atmospheric mesoscale modeling to simulate annual and seasonal wind speeds for wind energy production in Mexico. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 68. 103848. ISSN 2213-1388 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2024.103848

Howard, E., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Shipley, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7812-8309, Sanchez, C., Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E. and Matthews, A. J. (2024) Evaluation of multi-season convection-permitting atmosphere - mixed layer ocean simulations of the Maritime Continent. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (9). pp. 3815-3837. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-3815-2024

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Harrison, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2024) A novel explainable deep learning framework for reconstructing South Asian palaeomonsoons. Climate of the Past. ISSN 1814-9332 (In Press)

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Baudouin, J.-P., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dimri, A. P., Jellani, G., Pooja, -, Chattopadhyay, R., Cannon, F., Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P. and Palazzi, E. (2024) Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 345-356. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-345-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2196. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2196

Iles, C. E., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Schuhen, N., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Lund, M. T. (2024) Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways. Nature Geoscience, 17. pp. 845-850. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01511-4

Jones, C. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7221-8127, Adloff, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1519-754X, Booth, B. B. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0715-2141, Cox, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0679-2219, Eyring, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6887-4885, Friedlingstein, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3309-4739, Frieler, K., Hewitt, H. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7432-6001, Jeffery, H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2553-9953, Joussaume, S., Koenigk, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2051-743X, Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, O'Rourke, E., Roberts, M. J., Sanderson, B. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8635-4624, Séférian, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2571-2114, Somot, S., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, van Vuuren, D., Acosta, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7054-8168, Bentsen, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5441-4063, Bernardello, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4923-1582, Betts, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4929-0307, Blockley, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0489-4238, Boé, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2965-4721, Bracegirdle, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739, Braconnot, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1852-9178, Brovkin, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6420-3198, Buontempo, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1874-5380, Doblas-Reyes, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6622-4280, Donat, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0608-7288, Epicoco, I., Falloon, P., Fiore, S., Frölicher, T., Fučkar, N. S., Gidden, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0687-414X, Goessling, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9018-1383, Graversen, R. G., Gualdi, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7777-8935, Gutiérrez, J. M., Ilyina, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3475-4842, Jacob, D., Jones, C. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7141-9285, Juckes, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1770-2132, Kendon, E., Kjellström, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6495-1038, Knutti, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8303-6700, Lowe, J., Mizielinski, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3457-4702, Nassisi, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2857-4391, Obersteiner, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769, Regnier, P., Roehrig, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3903-3841, Salas y Mélia, D., Schleussner, C.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8471-848X, Schulz, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4493-4158, Scoccimarro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7987-4744, Terray, L., Thiemann, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2329-8511, Wood, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3960-9513, Yang, S. and Zaehle, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5602-7956 (2024) Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy. Earth System Dynamics, 15 (5). pp. 1319-1351. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

King, A. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5745, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Paik, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3655-4227, Lieber, R., Min, S.-K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6749-010X and Borowiak, A. R. (2024) Emergence of multivariate climate change signals. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (9). 094018. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad677f

King, A. D., Ziehn, T., Chamberlain, M., Borowiak, A. R., Brown, J. R., Cassidy, L., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Grose, M., Maher, N., Paik, S., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E. and Sengupta, A. (2024) Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5. Earth System Dynamics, 15 (5). pp. 1353-1383. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024

Kolstad, E. W., Parker, D. J., MacLeod, D. A., Wainwright, C. M. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2024) Beyond the regional average: drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4829

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Ceppi, P. and Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655 (2024) A glimpse into the future: the 2023 ocean temperature and sea-ice extremes in the context of longer-term climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E474-E485. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0209.1

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Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295, Schurer, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad57e3 (In Press)

Zhang, S., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2024) Spatiotemporal characteristics of the time of emergence for anthropogenic tropospheric temperature changes based on the CMIP6 multi-model results. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (4). 044052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad34e6

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M. W. K., Mecking, J. V., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics, 62 (5). pp. 3355-3374. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

de Andrade, F. M., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9

2023

Akhter, S., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2023) How well do high-resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal? Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3581-3604. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06745-3

Ali, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9846-6751, Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Fewer, but more intense, future tropical storms over the Ganges and Mekong basins. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (17). e2023GL104973. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl104973

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2169

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Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Sexton, D. M. H. and Morice, C. P. (2023) Assessment of large-scale indices of surface temperature during the historical period in the CMIP6 ensembles. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2055-2072. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0398.1

Boland, E. J. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Jones, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8701-4506, Josey, S. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831 and Sinha, B. (2023) Ocean heat content responses to changing anthropogenic aerosol forcing strength: regional and multi‐decadal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (7). e2022JC018725. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jc018725

Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 (2023) Forecast-based action for conservation. Conservation Biology, 37 (3). e14054. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14054

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Burgard, C., Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Schäfer, R., Caillet, J., Finn, T.S. and Johnson, J.E. (2023) Emulating present and future simulations of melt rates at the base of Antarctic ice shelves with neural networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (12). e2023MS003829. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003829

Cael, B. B., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Ceppi, P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Goodwin, P., Gregory, J. M., Smith, C. J. and Williams, R. G. (2023) Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback. Science Advances, 9 (16). ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf9302

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Conroy, A., Titley, H., Rivett, R., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Brammer, A., Burton, A., Chakraborty, P., Chen, G., Cowan, L., Dunion, J. and Sarkar, A. (2023) Track forecast: operational capability and new techniques - summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 (1). pp. 64-80. ISSN 2225-6032 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., Hurlin, W. J., Jin, J., Jungclaus, J., Köhl, A., Liu, H., Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A., Savita, A., Suzuki, T., Yu, Z. and Zanna, L. (2023) Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2003-2309. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105993

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Croad, H. L., Shonk, J. K. P., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) The Indian Easterly Jet During the pre-monsoon season in India. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105400. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105400

Delfino, R. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bagtasa, G. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Response of damaging Philippines tropical cyclones to a warming climate using the pseudo global warming approach. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3499-3523. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06742-6

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Priyanthika Jayawardena, I. M. S. (2023) The influence of weather patterns and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme precipitation over Sri Lanka. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (14). e2023GL103727. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103727

Di Capua, G., Coumou, D., Van den Hurk, B., Weisheimer, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Donner, R. V. (2023) Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 701-723. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-701-2023

Diong, J.-Y., Xavier, P., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Abdullah, F. A. (2023) Equatorial Rossby waves on Cold Surge Days and their impact on rainfall. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (754). pp. 2031-2047. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4493

Doane-Solomon, R., Befort, D. J., Camp, J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Weisheimer, A. (2023) The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts. Atmospheric Science Letters. e1190. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1190

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2023) Decadal trends in surface solar radiation and cloud cover over the North Atlantic sector during the last four decades: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2533-2546. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06438-3

Douglas, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5411-7656, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Revell, L. E. and Frame, D. J. (2023) Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (1). 014013. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca91e

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Roberts, M., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2023) An approach to link climate model tropical cyclogenesis bias to large-scale wind circulation modes. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (15). e2023GL103838. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103838

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2023) Equatorial waves as useful precursors to tropical cyclone occurrence and intensification. Nature Communications, 14 (511). ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36055-5

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Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Wolf, G. (2023) Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (8). pp. 2139-2152. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0300.1

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Fedorov, A. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X (2023) The effect of Indian Ocean temperature on the Pacific trade winds and ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL103230. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103230

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Guo, L. (2023) Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06954-w

Galea, D., Kunkel, J. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) TCDetect: a new method of detecting the presence of tropical cyclones using deep learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 2 (3). ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-22-0045.1

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Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6 (1). 219. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00540-x

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Grose, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8012-9960, Boschat, G., Trewin, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8186-7885, Round, V., Ashcroft, L., King, A. D., Narsey, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Australian climate warming: observed change from 1850 and global temperature targets. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 73 (1). pp. 30-43. ISSN 2206-5865 doi: https://doi.org/10.1071/ES22018

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Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Cullen, M. (2023) Examining the dynamics of a Borneo vortex using a balance approximation tool. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (4). pp. 1019-1043. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-1019-2023

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (10). pp. 4424-4441. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8095

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Alexander, L. V. and Allan, R. J. (2023) Millions of digitized historical sea-level pressure observations rediscovered. Geoscience Data Journal, 10 (3). pp. 385-395. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.163

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Hoefler, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1333-9797, Stevens, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3795-0475, Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Baehr, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4696-8941, Schulthess, T., Stocker, T. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1245-2728, Taylor, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9003-4076, Klocke, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7405-013X, Manninen, P., Forster, P. M., Kölling, T., Gruber, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2085-2310, Anzt, H., Frauen, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8615-5702, Ziemen, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7095-5740, Klöwer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3920-4356, Kashinath, K., Schär, C., Fuhrer, O. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) Earth Virtualization Engines: a technical perspective. Computing in Science & Engineering, 25 (3). pp. 50-59. ISSN 1521-9615 doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2023.3311148

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G. -Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2023) A global perspective on the upper branch of the Hadley Cell. Journal of Climate, 36 (19). pp. 6749-6762. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0537.1

Hu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Xie, J., Tan, H., Zhou, B., Lin, S., He, J. and Zhao, L. (2023) Anthropogenic influence on 2022 extreme January–February precipitation in Southern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (11). E1935-E1940. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0136.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2023) Could artificial intelligence win the next Weather Photographer of the Year competition? Weather, 78 (4). pp. 108-112. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4348

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Using interpretable gradient-boosted decision-tree ensembles to uncover novel dynamical relationships governing monsoon low-pressure systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4582

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Zaz, S. N. (2023) Linking the North Atlantic Oscillation to winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya through disturbances of the subtropical jet. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2389-2403. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06450-7

Jackson, L. C. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) North Atlantic overturning and water mass transformation in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2871-2891. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06448-1

Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Hall, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3665-6322, Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2). pp. 443-455. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023

Kopp, R. E., Garner, G. G., Hermans, T. H. J., Jha, S., Kumar, P., Reedy, A., Slangen, A. B. A., Turilli, M., Edwards, T. L., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Koubbe, G., Levermann, A., Merzky, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M. D. and Smith, C. (2023) The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-Level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (24). pp. 7461-7489. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Voldoire, A., Palmer, M. D., Geoffroy, O. and Killick, R. E. (2023) Historical ocean heat uptake in two pairs of CMIP6 models: global and regional perspectives. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2183-2203. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0468.1

Lehner, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4632-9701, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Pendergrass, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2542-1461 and Moore, F. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3866-9642 (2023) New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints. AGU Advances, 4 (4). e2023AV000887. ISSN 2576-604X doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023AV000887

Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6632-8389, Jiang, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-9266, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2029-7385 and Heng, Z. (2023) Prediction of the diurnal variation of summertime precipitation over the Sichuan Basin by a regional model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (2). e2021JD036247. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036247

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, J., Furtado, K. and Zhuang, M. (2023) Sensitivity of simulated mesoscale convective systems over East Asia to the treatment of convection in a high-resolution GCM. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2783-2801. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06471-2

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Song, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3004-1749, Chen, H., Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7223-0022, Prein, A. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Zhang, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8614-8070, Zhou, T., Zhuang, M., Furtado, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5166-112X, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Li, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2556-0891 (2023) Intensification of mesoscale convective systems in the East Asian rainband over the past two decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (16). e2023GL103595. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103595

Li, R., Liu, X., Xu, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) A comparative analysis of the attribution of extreme summer precipitation in south and north parts of the East China monsoon region—with the year 2020 as an example. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (15). pp. 7199-7217. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8260

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Tan, M. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Borneo Vortices in a warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 2. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00326-1

Liang, J., Tan, M. L., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 1151-1171. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5

Liao, X., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Liu, C., Lyu, X., Xue, Y., Bao, R., Li, J. and Qiao, F. (2023) Observed interannual relationship between ITCZ position and tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 36 (16). pp. 5587-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0865.1

Maharana, P., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Das, S., Tiwari, P. R., Norgate, M. and Raman, V. A. V. (2023) Projected changes in heatwaves and its impact on human discomfort over India due to global warming under the CORDEX-CORE framework. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04788-4

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

Maybee, B., Ward, N., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Marsham, J. H. (2023) Importance of Madden–Julian Oscillation phase to the interannual variability of East African rainfall. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (5). e1148. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1148

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, M., Mignot, J., Mohino, E., Pohl, B. and Zappa, G. (2023) Storylines of Sahel precipitation change: roles of the North Atlantic and Euro-Mediterranean temperature. JGR Atmospheres, 128 (16). e2023JD038712. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038712

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: the role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Earth's Future, 11 (2). e2022EF002995. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF002995

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ndiaye, C. D., Song, C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea96

Moudi Pascal, I., Kammalac Jores, T., Talib, J., Appolinaire, V. D., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Christian, N., Romeo-Ledoux, D. T., Fogang Michael, T., Marceline, M., Romeo, S. T., Dione, C., Thompson, E., Salih, A. A. M. and Ngaryamgaye, S. (2023) Strengthening weather forecast dissemination capabilities in Central Africa: case assessment of intense flooding in January 2020. Climate Services, 32. 100411. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100411

Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2023) Intraseasonal oscillations of the Silk Road pattern lead to predictability in East Asian precipitation patterns and the Mei Yu front. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (1). 015003. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acb040

Mulcahy, J. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0870-7380, Jones, C. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7221-8127, Rumbold, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Blockley, E. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0489-4238, Yool, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776, Walton, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7372-178X, Hardacre, C., Andrews, T., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Stringer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4061-5299, de Mora, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5080-3149, Harris, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4834-7746, Hill, R., Kelley, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1413-4969, Robertson, E. and Tang, Y. (2023) UKESM1.1: development and evaluation of an updated configuration of the UK Earth System Model. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (6). pp. 1569-1600. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-1569-2023

Newsom, E., Zanna, L. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Background pycnocline depth constrains future Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105673. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105673

O'Kane, T. J., Scaife, A. A., Kushnir, Y., Brookshaw, A., Buontempo, C., Carlin, D., Connell, R. K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Dunstone, N., Förster, K., Graça, A., Hobday, A. J., Kitsios, V., van der Laan, L., Lockwood, J., Merryfield, W. J., Paxian, A., Payne, M. R., Reader, M. C., Saville, G. R., Smith, D., Solaraju-Murali, B., Caltabiano, N., Carman, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Keenlyside, N., Kumar, A., Matei, D., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Raphael, M., Sparrow, M. and Wu, B. (2023) Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. Frontiers in Climate, 5. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626

O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Patterson, M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Ruprich-Robert, Y. (2023) Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 14. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0

Persad, G., Samset, B. H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Bollasina, M. A., Booth, B. B. B., Bonfils, C., Crocker, T., Joshi, M., Lund, M. T., Marvel, K., Merikanto, J., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., van Vuuren, D. P., Westervelt, D. M. and Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872 (2023) Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments. Environmental Research Climate, 2 (3). 032001. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acd6af

Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Jackson, L. C. (2023) Understanding the sensitivity of the North Atlantic subpolar overturning in different resolution versions of HadGEM3-GC3.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (10). e2023JC019672. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019672

Phadtare, J. A., Fletcher, J. K., Ross, A. N., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Burns, H. L. (2023) Unravelling the mechanism of summer monsoon rainfall modes over the West Coast of India using model simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (757). pp. 3164-3182. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4550

Priestley, M. D. K., Ackerley, D., Catto, J. L. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Drivers of biases in the CMIP6 extratropical storm tracks. Part I: Northern Hemisphere. Journal of Climate, 36 (5). pp. 1451-1467. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0976.1

Racoma, B. A. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7778-7273, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Bagtasa, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5433-7122 (2023) The effect of the Cordillera mountain range on tropical cyclone rainfall in the Northern Philippines. Atmosphere, 14 (4). 643. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14040643

Ren, Q., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Dai, Y., Jiang, X. and Yang, S. (2023) Seasonal effects of the Tibetan plateau on the cyclonic transient eddies: a system-centered view. Journal of Climate, 36 (17). pp. 6007-6020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0067.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Menary, M. B. and Lai, M. W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). 20220194. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tandon, N. F. (2023) Uncertainties in the Arctic Ocean response to CO₂: a process-based analysis. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06986-2

Salvi, P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Ceppi, P. (2023) Time-evolving radiative feedbacks in the historical period. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (20). e2023JD038984. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038984

Seddon, J., Stephens, A., Mizielinski, M. S., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Technology to aid the analysis of large-volume multi-institute climate model output at a Central Analysis Facility (PRIMAVERA Data Management Tool V2.10). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (22). pp. 6689-6700. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6689-2023

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Slangen, A. B.A., Palmer, M. D., Camargo, C. M. L., Church, J. A., Edwards, T. L., Hermans, T. H. J., Hewitt, H. T., Garner, G. G., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Kopp, R. E., Santos, V. M. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2023) The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 1. e7. ISSN 2754-7205 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.8

Smith, I. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7512-8370, Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2023) Clear-air turbulence trends over the North Atlantic in high-resolution climate models. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3063-3079. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06694-x

Sohail, T., Irving, D. B., Zika, J. D. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Anthropogenic aerosols offsetting ocean warming less efficiently since the 1980s. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105374. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105374

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Talib, J., Muller, O. V., Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2023) The representation of soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks across the Tibetan Plateau in CMIP6. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 40 (11). pp. 2063-2081. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2296-2

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Tang, H., Wang, J., Chen, Y., Tett, S. F. B., Sun, Y., Cheng, L., Sparrow, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) Human contribution to the risk of 2021 northwestern Pacific concurrent marine and terrestrial summer heat. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (3). E673-E679. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0238.1

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Tett, S. F. B., Cha, Y., Donovan, K., Geffers, G.-M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The impact of an extreme cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (10). E1807-E1816. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0196.1

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Strong surface winds in Storm Eunice. Part 1: storm overview and indications of sting-jet activity from observations and model data. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4402

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Wan, Z. (2023) Changing trend of temperature in nanjing and its correlation with some human activities in recent 41 years. Theoretical and Natural Science, 7 (1). pp. 92-99. ISSN 2753-8826 doi: https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/7/20230118

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Samset, B. H., Bollasina, M. A., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J. M., Lund, M. T., Makkonen, R., Merikanto, J., O'Donnell, D., Paynter, D. J., Persad, G. G., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K., Undorf, S. and Westervelt, D. M. (2023) The regional aerosol model intercomparison project (RAMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15). pp. 4451-4479. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-4451-2023

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Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2023) Rare event simulation of extreme European winter rainfall in an intermediate complexity climate model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (4). e2022MS003537. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003537

Xavier, P., Willett, M., Graham, T., Earnshaw, P., Copsey, D., Narayan, N., Marzin, C., Zhu, H., Sellar, A., Ackerley, D., Blockley, E., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Bushell, A., Choi, N., Chua, X. R., Guiavarc’h, C., Hassim, M., Heming, J., Hudson, D., Ineson, S., Jones, C., Keane, R. J., Kim, K., Kim, J., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, In Lee, M., Le, C., Martin, G., Mccabe, A., Moise, A., Ridley, J., Robert, L., Sahany, S., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Storkey, D., Tennant, W., Tomassini, L., Tsushima, Y., Weedon, G. P., West, A., Wheeler, M., Zhou, X. and Zhu, H., (2023) Assessment of the Met Office Global Coupled model version 5 (GC5)configurations. Report. Met Office, Exeter. pp41.

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Seasonal and interannual variation of equatorial waves in ERA5 and GloSea5. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (752). pp. 1109-1134. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/QJ.4460

Yao, Y., Zhang, Y., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Tamarin-Brodsky, T. (2023) Different propagation mechanisms of deep and shallow wintertime extratropical cyclones over the North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36 (23). pp. 8277-8297. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0674.1

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G., Schurer, A. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (7). e1159. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1159

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Zhang, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wen, Z., Guo, Y. and Chen, X. (2023) Relationship between the AMOC and the multidecadal variability of the midlatitude southern Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8761-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0198.1

Zhang, S., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sheng, C. (2023) Decadal modulation of the relationship between tropical southern Atlantic SST and subsequent ENSO by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL104878. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104878

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T., Latif, M., Song, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4105-8682, Park, W. and Reintges, A. (2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1

Zhao, Z., Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhu, J., Luo, N. and Gao, Z. (2023) A clustering-based multi-model ensemble projection of near-term precipitation changes over East China and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094050. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acef40

Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Wu, R. and Chen, D. (2023) Impact of data resolution on tracking Southern Ocean cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (1). pp. 3-22. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1

2022

Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, de Abreu, R. C. and , ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2022) Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 3105-3119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2 (Abatan, A.A., Tett, S.F.B., Dong, B. et al. Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2)

Andrews, T., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, Y., Armour, K. C., Paynter, D., Lin, P., Modak, A., Mauritsen, T., Cole, J. N. S., Medeiros, B., Benedict, J. J., Douville, H., Roehrig, R., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Ogura, T., Dufresne, J.-L., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2022) On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback. Journal of Geophysical Research, 127 (18). e2022JD036675. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036675

Athanasiadis, P. J., Ogawa, F., Omrani, N.-E., Keenlyside, N., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Haarsma, R., Roberts, M., Roberts, C., Novak, L. and Gualdi, S. (2022) Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. Journal of Climate, 35 (21). pp. 3379-3400. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0515.1

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J. R., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Stratton, R. and Roberts, M. (2022) Linking Equatorial African precipitation to Kelvin wave processes in the CP4-Africa convection-permitting regional climate simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79 (5). pp. 1271-1289. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0039.1

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350 (2022) Tropical cyclones: global decline in frequency. Nature Climate Change, 12. pp. 615-617. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01414-5

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Seddon, J., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Haarsma, R. J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Kapetanakis, D., Tourigny, E., Lohmann, K., Roberts, C. D. and Terray, L. (2022) Extratropical transition of tropical cyclones in a multiresolution ensemble of atmosphere-only and fully coupled global climate models. Journal of Climate, 35 (16). pp. 5283-5306. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0801.1

Befort, D. J., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Weisheimer, A. (2022) Seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific: dependence on model, resolution and stochastic physics. Journal of Climate, 35 (5). pp. 1385-1397. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0041.1

Bett, P. E., Thornton, H. E., Troccoli, A., De Felice, M., Suckling, E., Dubus, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2022) A simplified seasonal forecasting strategy, applied to wind and solar power in Europe. Climate Services, 27. 100318. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100318

Bhatia, K., Baker, A., Yang, W., Vecchi, G., Knutson, T., Murakami, H., Kossin, J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Dixon, K., Bronselaer, B. and Whitlock, C. (2022) A potential explanation for the global increase in tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 6626. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34321-6

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Deakin, M. and Greenwood, D. (2022) Hourly historical and near-future weather and climate variables for energy system modelling. Earth System Science Data, 14 (6). pp. 2749-2766. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-2749-2022

Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic dynamical responses to changes in aerosol. In: Carslaw, K. S. (ed.) Aerosols and Climate. Elsevier, pp. 545-570. ISBN 9780128197660 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-819766-0.00018-3

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Abdillahi, H. S., Bailey, M., Harris, C., Kilavi, M., Kniveton, D., MacLeod, D., Mwangi, E., Otieno, G., Rees, E., Rowhani, P., Taylor, O. and Todd, M. C. (2022) Towards drought impact-based forecasting in a multi-hazard context. Climate Risk Management, 35. 100402. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100402

Bresson, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Zappa, G. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2022) The response of Northern Hemisphere polar lows to climate change in a 25 km high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (4). e2021JD035610. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035610

Castillo, J. M., Lewis, H. W., Mishra, A., Mitra, A., Polton, J., Brereton, A., Saulter, A., Arnold, A., Berthou, S., Clark, D., Crook, J., Das, A., Edwards, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Gupta, A., Joseph, S., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Momin, I., Pequignet, C., Sanchez, C., Saxby, J. and Valdivieso da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016 (2022) The Regional Coupled Suite (RCS-IND1): application of a flexible regional coupled modelling framework to the Indian region at km scale. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (10). pp. 4193-4223. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4193-2022

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Guo, L., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Guimarães, B. S., Coelho, C. A. S., Kubota, P. Y., Young, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Baker, J. C. A. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) Subseasonal prediction performance for South American land–atmosphere coupling in extended austral summer. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e28. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.28

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Rudorff, C. M., Coelho, C. A. S. and Schöngart, J. (2022) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e18. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.18

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Guo, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6004-3884 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) Projected changes in the East Asian hydrological cycle for different levels of future global warming. Atmosphere, 13 (3). 405. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13030405

Clemént, L., McDonagh, E. L., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wu, Q., Marzocchi, A., Zika, J. D. and Nurser, A. J. G. (2022) Mechanisms of ocean heat uptake along and across isopycnals. Journal of Climate, 35 (15). pp. 4885-4904. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0793.1

Coelho, C. A. S., Baker, J. C. A., Spracklen, D. V., Kubota, P. Y., de Souza, D. C., Guimarães, B. S., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Hart, N., Zilli, M. and Jones, C. D. (2022) A perspective for advancing climate prediction services in Brazil. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e29. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.29

Coelho, C. A. S., de Souza, D. C., Kubota, P. Y., Cavalcanti, I. F. A., Baker, J. C. A., Figueroa, S. N., Firpo, M. A. F., Guimarães, B. S., Costa, S. M. S., Gonçalves, L. J. M., Bonatti, J. P., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 and Andrews, M. B. (2022) Assessing the representation of South American monsoon features in Brazil and UK climate model simulations. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e27. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.27

Connors, S., Dionne, M., Hanak, G., Musulin, R., Aellen, N., Amjad, M., Bowen, S., Carrascal, D. R., Coppola, E., Moro, E. D., Dosio, A., Faria, S. H., Gan, T. Y., Gomis, M., Gutierrez, J. M., Hope, P., Kopp, R., Krakovska, S., Leitzell, K., Maraun, D., Masson-Delmotte, V., Matthews, R., Maycock, T., Paddam, S., Plattner, G.-K., Pui, A., Rahimi, M., Ranasinghe, R., Rogelj, J., Ruane, A. C., Szopa, S., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vautard, R., Velichkova, Y., Weigel, A. and Zhang, X., (2022) Climate Science: A Summary for Actuaries - What the IPCC Climate Change Report 2021 Means for the Actuarial Profession. Technical Report. International Actuarial Association, Ottawa, Canada. pp61.

Cook, P. A., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Macdonald, D. M. J. and Sorensen, J. P. R. (2022) Projected increases in potential groundwater recharge and reduced evapotranspiration under future climate conditions in West Africa. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 41. 101076. ISSN 2214-5818 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101076

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2022) The role of teleconnection patterns in the variability and trends of growing season indices across Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (2). pp. 1072-1091. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7290

Delfino, R. J., Bagtasa, G., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) Sensitivity of simulating Typhoon Haiyan (2013) using WRF: the role of cumulus convection, surface flux parameterizations, spectral nudging, and initial and boundary conditions. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 22 (10). pp. 3285-3307. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3285-2022

Deoras, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2022) The structure of strong Indian monsoon low-pressure systems in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (746). pp. 2147-2166. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4296

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Dione, C., Talib, J., Bwaka, A. M., Kamga, A. F., Bita Fouda, A. A., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Latt, A., Thompson, E., Lingani, C., Indasi, V., Adefisan, E. A. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2022) Improved sub-seasonal forecasts to support preparedness action for meningitis outbreak in Africa. Climate Services, 28. 100326. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100326

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Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Hoang, L., Pura, A. G., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Luu, H., David, S. J., Duran, G. A. M. W. and Guo, Y.-p. (2022) A new approach to skillful seasonal prediction of Southeast Asia tropical cyclone occurrence. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (12). e2022JD036439. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036439

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Simon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0177-9442, Fedorov, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X and Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 (2022) Slowdown and recovery of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and a persistent North Atlantic warming hole induced by Arctic sea ice decline. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (16). e2022GL097967. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl097967

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Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Endris, H. S., Segele, Z. T., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Atheru, Z. and Artan, G. (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with early and late onset for eastern Africa short rains. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (12). pp. 6562-6578. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7627

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Jackson, L. C., Biastoch, A., Buckley, M. W., Desbruyères, D. G., Frajka-Williams, E., Moat, B. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2022) The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 3. pp. 241-254. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2

Javed, A., Kumar, P., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Sein, D. V., Dubey, A. K. and Tiwari, G. (2022) Does the recent revival of Western disturbances govern the Karakoram Anomaly? Journal of Climate, 35 (13). pp. 4383-4402. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0129.1

Kalshetti, M., Chattopadhyay, R., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Phani, R., Joseph, S., Pattanaik, D. R. and Sahai, A. K. (2022) Eddy transport, wave-mean flow interaction, and Eddy forcing during the 2013 Uttarakhand extreme event in the reanalysis and S2S retrospective forecast data. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (16). pp. 8248-8268. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7706

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Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2022) Effects of anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions on Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation: mechanisms and uncertainty. Journal of Climate, 35 (8). pp. 2305-2326. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0412.1

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Nischal, , Attada, R. and Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2022) Evaluating winter precipitation over the western Himalayas in a high-resolution Indian regional reanalysis using multi-source climate datasets. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 61 (11). pp. 1613-1633. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0172.1