Items where Division is "NCAS"

Reading Faculties, Schools and Departments (60084)
- Science (19368)
  - School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences (11162)
    - NCAS (1641)

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Number of items at this level: 1641.

2025

Archibald, A. T., Sinha, B., Russo, M. R., Matthews, E., Squires, F. A., Abraham, N. L., Bauguitte, S. J.-B., Bannan, T. J., Bell, T. G., Berry, D., Carpenter, L. J., Coe, H., Coward, A., Edwards, P., Feltham, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Heard, D., Hopkins, J., Keeble, J., Kent, E. C., King, B., Lawrence, I. R., Lee, J., Macintosh, C. R., Megann, A., Moat, B. I., Read, K., Reed, C., Roberts, M. J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Schroeder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Smyth, T. J., Temple, L., Thamban, N., Whalley, L., Williams, S., Wu, H. and Yang, M. (2025) Data supporting the North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS) programme, including atmospheric composition; oceanographic and sea-ice observations (2016–2022); and output from ocean, atmosphere, land, and sea-ice models (1950–2050). Earth System Science Data, 17 (1). pp. 135-164. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: 10.5194/essd-17-135-2025

Bharati, P., Deb, P. and Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2025) Pacific Decadal Oscillation-driven interdecadal variability of snowfall over the Karakoram and the Western Himalayas. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6 (1). pp. 197-210. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-6-197-2025

Bharati, P., Deb, P., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Orr, A. and Dash, M. K. (2025) ENSO-induced latitudinal variation of the subtropical jet modulates extreme winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 42 (3). pp. 427-437. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-024-4057-2

Cavalcante, L. C. V., Gomes, H. B., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Ray, P., Herdies, D. L., Barbosa, H. M. J., Gonçalves, W. A., Silva, M. C. L., de Brito, J. I. B., Nobre, J. P. G., Lyra, M. J. A. and Baltaci, H. (2025) Evaluation of easterly wave disturbances over the tropical South Atlantic in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 63 (1). 63. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07507-5

Cheng, Y., Wang, L., Chen, X., Zhou, T. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2025) A shorter duration of Indian summer monsoon in constrained projection. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (1). e2024GL112848. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2024GL112848

Chinta, S., Schlosser, C. A., Gao, X. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2025) Future changes in winter-time extratropical cyclones over South Africa from CORDEX-CORE simulations. Earth's Future, 13 (1). e2024EF005289. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2024EF005289

Datti, A. D., Zeng, G., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Oo, K. T. and Chen, C. (2025) A Review of the arctic-West African monsoon nexus: How arctic sea ice decline influences monsoon system. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156 (1). 9. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-024-05255-4

Degioanni, A., Cabut, S., Condemi, S. and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2025) Climate change in Europe between 90 and 50kyr BP and Neanderthal territorial habitability. PLoS ONE, 20 (2). e0308690. ISSN 1932-6203 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308690

Dijkstra, I., Bloomfield, H. C. and Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2025) Identifying weather patterns responsible for renewable energy droughts over India. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 65. pp. 127-140. ISSN 1680-7359 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-65-127-2025

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2025) Drivers and mechanisms contributing to excess warming in Europe during recent decades. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8. 41. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00930-3

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Aksenov, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Colfescu, I., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hirschi, J., Josey, S., Lu, H., Mecking, J., Oltmanns, M., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rynders, S., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Weisheimer, A. (2025) Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability. Climate Dynamics, 63. 113. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07591-1

Gentile, E. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6878-5145, Harris, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6072-8624, Zhao, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4996-7821, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tan, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7422-3317, Cheng, K.‐Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4246-7659 and Zhou, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5772-6203 (2025) Response of extreme North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones to a warmer climate in the GFDL X‐SHiELD kilometer‐scale global storm‐resolving model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (2). e2024GL112570. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024gl112570

Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M., Harris, L., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Tan, Z., Cheng, K.-Y. and Zhou, L. (2025) Response of extreme North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones to a warmer climate in the GFDL X-SHiELD global storm-resolving model. Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (2). e2024GL112570. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2024GL112570

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Williams, R. G., Young, P., Berardelli, J., Burgess, S. N., Highwood, E., Randel, W., Roussenov, V., Smith, D. and Placky, B. W. (2025) Warming Stripes spark climate conversations: from the ocean to the stratosphere. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0212.1 (In Press)

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2025) Building and explaining data-driven energy demand models for Indian states. Environmental research: Energy. ISSN 2753-3751 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2025) A novel explainable deep learning framework for reconstructing South Asian palaeomonsoons. Climate of the Past, 21 (1). pp. 1-26. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: 10.5194/cp-21-1-2025

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Baudouin, J.-P., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dimri, A. P., Jellani, G., Pooja, Chattopadhyay, R., Cannon, F., Arulalan, T., Shekhar, M. S., Sabin, T. P. and Palazzi, E. (2025) Western disturbances and climate variability: a review of recent developments. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6 (1). pp. 43-112. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-6-43-2025

Kalshetti, M., Chattopadhyay, R., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Phani, R., Joseph, S. and Sahai, A. K. (2025) The skill of extended-range ERPAS and GloSea5 models in capturing extratropical-tropical interactions during the north Indian summer monsoon. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8834

Kelder, T., Heinrich, D., Klok, L., Thompson, V., Goulart, H. M. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Slater, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Wilby, R. L., Coughlan de Perez, E., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, van den Hurk, B., De Vries, H., van der Wiel, K., Schipper, L., Baez, A. C., van Bueren, E. and Fischer, E. M. (2025) How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather. Nature Communications, 16. 2382. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-57450-0

Lichtenegger, T., Schaffer, A., Ossó,, A., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Maraun, D. (2025) A cold frontal life cycle climatology and front–cyclone relationships over the North Atlantic and Europe. International Journal of Climatology. e8830. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8830 (In Press)

Lin, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Deng, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Fang, K. (2025) Deciphering the intermodel spread in projections of the impacts of Indian summer monsoon on ENSO under global warming. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (4). e2024JD042803. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042803

Lockwood, J., Athanasiadis, P., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Priestley, M., Roberts, M., Scaife, A., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Zappa, G. (2025) The effect of increasing model resolution on the Northern Hemisphere winter mid-latitude storm track: an equatorward shift due to contraction of the Hadley cell. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 (In Press)

Maciel-Tiburcio, A., Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Rodríguez-Hernández, O. (2025) Evaluating bias correction methods for wind power estimation using numerical meteorological models. Renewable Energy, 247. 122927. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2025.122927

Maraun, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4076-0456, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Ossó, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5653-4886 and Jury, M. (2025) Changes in event soil moisture-temperature coupling can intensify very extreme heat beyond expectations. Nature Communications, 16. 734. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-56109-0

Mishra, A. N., Maraun, D., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Zappa, G. and Ossó, A. (2025) Long-lasting intense cut-off lows to become more frequent in the Northern Hemisphere. Communications Earth & Environment, 6. 115. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02078-7

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Toumi, R. (2025) High prediction skill of decadal tropical cyclone variability in the North Atlantic and East Pacific in the met office decadal prediction system DePreSys4. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8 (1). 32. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00919-y

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nadoya, H. N., Pinto, I., Tamoffo, A. T. and Worou, K. (2025) Chapter 6 - Future changes in precipitation distributions over Africa. In: Akinsanola, A. A. and Adebiyi, A. A. (eds.) Aerosols and Precipitation Over Africa: Progress, Challenges, and Prospects. Elsevier, pp. 169-204. ISBN 9780443140501 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-44-314050-1.00011-6

Monerie, P.-A., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Toumi, R. (2025) High prediction skill of decadal tropical cyclone variability in the North Atlantic and East Pacific in the met office decadal prediction system DePreSys4. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. ISSN 2397-3722 (In Press)

Mousavizadeh, M., Alizadeh, O., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Simmonds, I. (2025) Causality in the winter interaction between extratropical storm tracks, atmospheric circulation, and Arctic sea ice loss. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (5). e2024JD042128. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042128

Ng, K. S., Leckebusch, G. C., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Zhang, Y. (2025) Mei-yu front assessment in CMIP6 earth system models during the East Asian Summer Monsoon. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 0899-8418 (In Press)

Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E., Schwendike, J., Marsham, J. H., Howard, E., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Mustafa, J. M. and Matthews, A. J. (2025) Physical controls on the variability of offshore propagation of convection from Sumatra. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130 (7). e2024JD042458. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD042458

Pinheiro, H., Ambrizzi, T. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2025) Increased extreme precipitation in western North America from cut-off lows under a warming climate. Meteorology. ISSN 2674-0494 (In Press)

Qian, S., Hu, H., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Yang, X.-Q. (2025) Do extratropical cyclones impact synoptic-scale variability of the Arctic Oscillation during cold season? Geophysical Research Letters, 52 (2). e2024GL112747. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024GL112747

Russo, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1061-7007, Bartholomew, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603, Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Mason, A. M., Neininger, E., James Perman, A. J., Sproson, D. A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6806-2599, Watson-Parris, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5312-4950 and Abraham, N. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3750-3544 (2025) Virtual integration of satellite and in-situ observation networks (VISION) v1.0: in-Situ observations simulator (ISO_simulator). Geoscientific Model Development, 18 (1). pp. 181-191. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-18-181-2025

Strnad, F. M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Boers, N. and Goswami, B. (2025) Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfalls between North India and the Sahel. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. e4946. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4946

Vitart, F., Robertson, A.W., Brookshaw, A., Caltabiano, N., Coelho, C.A.S., de Coning, E., Dirmeyer, P.A., Domeisen, D.I.V., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Kim, H.J., Lin, H., Kumar, A., Molod, A., Robbins, J., Segele, Z., Spillman, C.M., Stan, C., Takaya, Y., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, White, C.J. and Wu, T. (2025) The WWRP/WCRP S2S project and its achievements. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0047.1 (In Press)

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Wei, W. (2025) Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling amplifies the change in extreme heat in inner East Asia under rapid summer warming. Environmental Research Letters, 20 (1). 014022. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad95a1

Zhou, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1489-5143, Wang, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9679-5175, Tan, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4203-4770, Zhang, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6299-3357, Zelinka, M. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6570-5445, Wang, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9179-228X and Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383 (2025) Sea ice pattern effect on Earth’s energy budget is characterized by hemispheric asymmetry. Science Advances, 11 (9). eadr4248. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adr4248

2024

Akinsanola, A., Wenhaji, C., Barimalala, R., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dixon, R., Tamoffo, A., Adeniyi, M., Ongoma, V., Diallo, I., Gudoshava, M., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, James, R., KC, S., Faye, A., Nangombe, S., Pokam, M., Vondou, D., Hart, N., Pinto, I., Kilavi, M., Hagos, S., Rajagopal, E., Kolli, R. K. and Susmitha, J. (2024) Modeling of precipitation over Africa: progress, challenges, and prospects. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-024-4187-6 (In Press)

Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adl4007

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2024) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (12). e2312093121. ISSN 0027-8424

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vannière, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) On the realism of tropical cyclone intensification in global storm-resolving climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (17). e2024GL109841. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2024GL109841

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2024) Understanding the intermittency of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic Pattern seasonal forecast skill in the Copernicus C3S multi-model ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL108472. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024GL108472

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). e2190. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.2190

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Ellis, J. and Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 (2024) A computationally lightweight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazards: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1. Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (22). pp. 8353-8372. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-17-8353-2024

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Cheng, Y., Wang, L., Chen, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Wang, L. (2024) Constrained projections indicate less delay in onset of summer monsoon over the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (21). e2024GL110994. ISSN 1944-8007

Clark, P. U., Shakun, J. D., Rosenthal, Y., Zhu, C., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Köhler, P., Liu, Z., Schrag, D. P. and Bartlein, P. J. (2024) Mean ocean temperature change and decomposition of the benthic δ¹⁸O record over the past 4.5 Myr. Climate of the Past. ISSN 1814-9324 (In Press)

Collins, M., Beverley, J. D., Bracegirdle, T. J., Catto, J., McCrystall, M., Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Freychet, N., Grist, J., Hegerl, G. C., Holland, P. R., Holmes, C., Josey, S. A., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lo, E., Lord, N., Mitchell, D., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Priestley, M. D. K., Scaife, A., Screen, J., Senior, N., Sexton, D., Shuckburgh, E., Siegert, S., Simpson, C., Stephenson, D. B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Thompson, V., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Woollings, T. (2024) Emerging signals of climate change from the equator to the poles: new insights into a warming world. Frontiers in Science, 2. 1340323. ISSN 2813-6330 doi: 10.3389/fsci.2024.1340323

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: 10.1002/gdj3.236

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Examining the sensitivity of ECMWF IFS weather forecasts to sea‐ice coupling for the summer‐time Arctic and cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4899

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Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 345-356. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-5-345-2024

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications, 31 (3). e2196. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.2196

Iles, C. E., Samset, B. H., Sandstad, M., Schuhen, N., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Lund, M. T. (2024) Strong regional trends in extreme weather over the next two decades under high- and low-emissions pathways. Nature Geoscience, 17. pp. 845-850. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: 10.1038/s41561-024-01511-4

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

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Kolstad, E. W., Parker, D. J., MacLeod, D. A., Wainwright, C. M. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2024) Beyond the regional average: drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4829

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Layton-Matthews, K., Erikstad, K. E., Sandvik, H., Ballesteros, M., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Mesquita, M. D.S., Reiertsen, T. K., Yoccoz, N. G. and Bustnes, J. O. (2024) Path analysis reveals combined winter climate and pollution effects on the survival of a marine top predator. Journal of Animal Ecology, 93 (9). pp. 1351-1364. ISSN 1365-2656 doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.14159

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Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S. and Zhang, T. (2024) Diverse impacts of the Indian summer monsoon on ENSO among CMIP6 models and its possible causes. Environmental Research Letters, 45. ISSN 1748-9326 (In Press)

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Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2024) Impact of Asian aerosols on the summer monsoon strongly modulated by regional precipitation biases. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (12). pp. 7227-7252. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-24-7227-2024

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Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Crétat, J. (2024) Internally driven variability of the Angola Low is the main source of uncertainty for the future changes in southern African precipitation. JGR Atmospheres, 129 (15). e2024JD041255. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2024JD041255

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Müller, O. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9943-8368, McGuire, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28 (10). pp. 2179-2201. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: 10.5194/hess-28-2179-2024

Ng, K. S., Leckebusch, G. C. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2024) Improvement of decadal predictions of monthly extreme Mei-yu rainfall via a causality guided approach. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 (In Press)

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Norgate, M., Tiwari, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7580-0446, Das, S. and Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129 (2024) On the heat waves over India and their future projections under different SSP scenarios from CMIP6 models. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8367

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Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate, 37 (14). pp. 3791-3805. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1

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Peng, Y., Guo, Y.-P., Zhao, J., Tan, Z.-M., Chen, X. and Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2024) Tropical cyclogenesis bias over the central North Pacific in CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0224.1

Pinheiro, H. R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Gan, M. A. (2024) Deepening mechanisms of cut-off lows in the Southern Hemisphere and the role of jet streams: insights from eddy kinetic energy analysis. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5 (3). pp. 881-894. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-5-881-2024

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Senapati, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5029-9731, O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Pivotal role of mixed-layer depth in Tropical Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15). e2024GL110057. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2024GL110057

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Sillmann, J., Raupach, T. H., Findell, K. L., Donat, M., Alves, L. M., Alexander, L., Borchert, L., de Amorim, P. B., Buontempo, C., Fischer, E. M., Franzke, C. L., Guan, B., Haasnoot, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jacob, D., Mahon, R., Maraun, D., Morrison, M. A., Poschlod, B., Ruane, A. C., Shampa, S., Stephenson, T., van der Wel, N., Wang, Z., Zhang, X. and Županić, J. (2024) Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1499765. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8364

Su, Q., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z

Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Schewe, J., Walton, J., Zimmermann, K., Jones, C., Betts, R., Burton, C., Jones, C., Mengel, M., Reyer, C., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Weigel, K. (2024) Regional impacts poorly constrained by climate sensitivity. Earth's Future, 12 (12). e2024EF004901. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2024EF004901

Tamoffo, A. T., Weber, T., Cabos, W., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Cook, K. H., Sein, D. V., Dosio, A., Klutse, N. A. B., Akintomide, A. A. and Jacob, D. (2024) West African monsoon system's responses to global ocean-regional atmosphere coupling. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0749.1

Thompson, E. M., Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Practical application of real-time sub-seasonal monsoon onset forecasting and monitoring for decision-making. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1441647. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1441647

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 24 (6). pp. 2115-2132. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: 10.5194/nhess-24-2115-2024

Wallis, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-0899, Osborn, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Taylor, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3473-3478, Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8401

Wang, K., Zheng, Z., Zhu, X., Dong, W., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhang, W., Lott, F. C., Bu, L., Wang, Y., Li, H., Nading, N., Freychet, N., Wang, D. and Qiao, S. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on the extremely dry and hot summer of 2020 in Southern China and projected changes in the likelihood of the event. Weather and Climate Extremes, 45. 100706. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100706

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4627

Xie, J., Hsu, P.-C., Lee, J.-Y., Wang, L. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2024) Tropical intraseasonal oscillations as key driver and source of predictability for the 2022 Pakistan record-breaking rainfall event. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7. 256. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00809-9

Xie, Y., Zhou, M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Mauzerall, D. L. (2024) Recent improvements in PM_2.5 air quality in India benefited from meteorological variation. Nature Sustainability. ISSN 2398-9629 doi: 10.1038/s41893-024-01366-y

Yin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wei, W. and Yang, S. (2024) Anthropogenic impacts on amplified midlatitude European summer warming and rapid increase of heatwaves in recent decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (16). e2024GL108982. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2024GL108982

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295, Schurer, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves. Environmental Research: Climate. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/ad57e3 (In Press)

Zhang, S., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2024) Spatiotemporal characteristics of the time of emergence for anthropogenic tropospheric temperature changes based on the CMIP6 multi-model results. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (4). 044052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad34e6

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M. W. K., Mecking, J. V., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2024) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics, 62 (5). pp. 3355-3374. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07069-y

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Ryder, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113 (2024) The key role of atmospheric absorption in the Asian summer monsoon response to dust emissions in CMIP6 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (23). pp. 13385-13402. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-24-13385-2024

de Andrade, F. M., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9

2023

Akhter, S., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2023) How well do high-resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal? Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3581-3604. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06745-3

Ali, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9846-6751, Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Fewer, but more intense, future tropical storms over the Ganges and Mekong basins. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (17). e2023GL104973. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023gl104973

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.2169

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. T., Sananka, A., Aston, S., Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 (2023) Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa. Frontiers in climate, 4. 993511. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.993511

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Hillier, J., Griffin, A., Kay, A. L., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Pianosi, F., James, R., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Champion, A. and Bates, P. D. (2023) Co-occurring wintertime flooding and extreme wind over Europe, from daily to seasonal timescales. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39. 100550. ISSN 22120947 doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2023.100550

Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Sexton, D. M. H. and Morice, C. P. (2023) Assessment of large-scale indices of surface temperature during the historical period in the CMIP6 ensembles. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2055-2072. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0398.1

Boland, E. J. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Jones, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8701-4506, Josey, S. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831 and Sinha, B. (2023) Ocean heat content responses to changing anthropogenic aerosol forcing strength: regional and multi‐decadal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (7). e2022JC018725. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1029/2022jc018725

Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 (2023) Forecast-based action for conservation. Conservation Biology, 37 (3). e14054. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: 10.1111/cobi.14054

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Burgard, C., Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Schäfer, R., Caillet, J., Finn, T.S. and Johnson, J.E. (2023) Emulating present and future simulations of melt rates at the base of Antarctic ice shelves with neural networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (12). e2023MS003829. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2023MS003829

Cael, B. B., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Ceppi, P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Goodwin, P., Gregory, J. M., Smith, C. J. and Williams, R. G. (2023) Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback. Science Advances, 9 (16). ISSN 2375-2548 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adf9302

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Rudroff, C. M., Coelho, C. A.S. and Schongart, J. (2023) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus using dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Services, 30. 100342. ISSN Elsevier doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100342

Conroy, A., Titley, H., Rivett, R., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Brammer, A., Burton, A., Chakraborty, P., Chen, G., Cowan, L., Dunion, J. and Sarkar, A. (2023) Track forecast: operational capability and new techniques - summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 12 (1). pp. 64-80. ISSN 2225-6032 doi: 10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., Hurlin, W. J., Jin, J., Jungclaus, J., Köhl, A., Liu, H., Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A., Savita, A., Suzuki, T., Yu, Z. and Zanna, L. (2023) Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2003-2309. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023GL105993

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2023) The role of boundary layer processes in summer-time Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 617-638. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-4-617-2023

Croad, H. L., Shonk, J. K. P., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) The Indian Easterly Jet During the pre-monsoon season in India. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105400. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2023GL105400

Delfino, R. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bagtasa, G. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Response of damaging Philippines tropical cyclones to a warming climate using the pseudo global warming approach. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3499-3523. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06742-6

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Priyanthika Jayawardena, I. M. S. (2023) The influence of weather patterns and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme precipitation over Sri Lanka. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (14). e2023GL103727. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2023GL103727

Di Capua, G., Coumou, D., Van den Hurk, B., Weisheimer, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Donner, R. V. (2023) Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 701-723. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-4-701-2023

Diong, J.-Y., Xavier, P., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Abdullah, F. A. (2023) Equatorial Rossby waves on Cold Surge Days and their impact on rainfall. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (754). pp. 2031-2047. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4493

Doane-Solomon, R., Befort, D. J., Camp, J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Weisheimer, A. (2023) The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts. Atmospheric Science Letters. e1190. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.1190

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2023) Decadal trends in surface solar radiation and cloud cover over the North Atlantic sector during the last four decades: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2533-2546. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06438-3

Douglas, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5411-7656, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Revell, L. E. and Frame, D. J. (2023) Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (1). 014013. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca91e

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Roberts, M., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2023) An approach to link climate model tropical cyclogenesis bias to large-scale wind circulation modes. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (15). e2023GL103838. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023GL103838

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2023) Equatorial waves as useful precursors to tropical cyclone occurrence and intensification. Nature Communications, 14 (511). ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-36055-5

Feng, Z., Lv, S., Sun, Y., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhai, P., Lin, Y., Shen, Y. and Zhong, W. (2023) Skillful seasonal prediction of typhoon track density using deep learning. Remote Sensing, 15 (7). 1797. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: 10.3390/rs15071797

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Wolf, G. (2023) Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (8). pp. 2139-2152. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0300.1

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Fedorov, A. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X (2023) The effect of Indian Ocean temperature on the Pacific trade winds and ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL103230. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023gl103230

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Guo, L. (2023) Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06954-w

Galea, D., Kunkel, J. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) TCDetect: a new method of detecting the presence of tropical cyclones using deep learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 2 (3). ISSN 2769-7525 doi: 10.1175/aies-d-22-0045.1

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Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6 (1). 219. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00540-x

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Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Zhu, J. (2023) Anthropogenic impacts on changes in summer extreme precipitation over China during 1961–2014: roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2633-2646. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06453-4

Hallam, S., McCarthy, G. D., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Josey, S. A., Harris, E., Düsterhus, A., Ogungbenro, S. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2023) The relationship between sea surface temperature anomalies, wind and translation speed and North Atlantic tropical cyclone rainfall over ocean and land. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (2). 025007. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: 10.1088/2515-7620/acb31c

Hardy, S., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Schwendike, J., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 and Cullen, M. (2023) Examining the dynamics of a Borneo vortex using a balance approximation tool. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (4). pp. 1019-1043. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-4-1019-2023

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (10). pp. 4424-4441. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.8095

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Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Compo, G. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5199-9633 and Sardeshmukh, P. D. (2023) ESD ideas: translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (5). pp. 1081-1084. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023

Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Wainwright, C. M., Nying'uro, P., Quaye, D., Ashong, J., Kiptum, C., Opoku, N. K., Thompson, E. M. and Lamptey, B. (2023) Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana. Weather, 78 (5). pp. 148-153. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.4381

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Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G. -Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2023) A global perspective on the upper branch of the Hadley Cell. Journal of Climate, 36 (19). pp. 6749-6762. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0537.1

Hu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Xie, J., Tan, H., Zhou, B., Lin, S., He, J. and Zhao, L. (2023) Anthropogenic influence on 2022 extreme January–February precipitation in Southern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (11). E1935-E1940. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0136.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2023) Could artificial intelligence win the next Weather Photographer of the Year competition? Weather, 78 (4). pp. 108-112. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.4348

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Using interpretable gradient-boosted decision-tree ensembles to uncover novel dynamical relationships governing monsoon low-pressure systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4582

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Zaz, S. N. (2023) Linking the North Atlantic Oscillation to winter precipitation over the Western Himalaya through disturbances of the subtropical jet. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2389-2403. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06450-7

Irbah, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3265-3148, Delanoë, J., van Zadelhoff, G.-J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1974-1998, Donovan, D. P., Kollias, P., Puigdomènech Treserras, B., Mason, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9699-8850, Hogan, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157 and Tatarevic, A. (2023) The classification of atmospheric hydrometeors and aerosols from the EarthCARE radar and lidar: the A-TC, C-TC and AC-TC products. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 16 (11). pp. 2795-2820. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-16-2795-2023

Jackson, L. C. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) North Atlantic overturning and water mass transformation in CMIP6 models. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2871-2891. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06448-1

Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Hall, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3665-6322, Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2). pp. 443-455. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-14-443-2023

Kopp, R. E., Garner, G. G., Hermans, T. H. J., Jha, S., Kumar, P., Reedy, A., Slangen, A. B. A., Turilli, M., Edwards, T. L., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Koubbe, G., Levermann, A., Merzky, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M. D. and Smith, C. (2023) The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-Level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (24). pp. 7461-7489. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Voldoire, A., Palmer, M. D., Geoffroy, O. and Killick, R. E. (2023) Historical ocean heat uptake in two pairs of CMIP6 models: global and regional perspectives. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2183-2203. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0468.1

Lehner, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4632-9701, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Pendergrass, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2542-1461 and Moore, F. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3866-9642 (2023) New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints. AGU Advances, 4 (4). e2023AV000887. ISSN 2576-604X doi: 10.1029/2023AV000887

Li, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6632-8389, Jiang, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1727-9266, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2029-7385 and Heng, Z. (2023) Prediction of the diurnal variation of summertime precipitation over the Sichuan Basin by a regional model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (2). e2021JD036247. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2021JD036247

Li, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4812-2184, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Chen, H., Li, J., Furtado, K. and Zhuang, M. (2023) Sensitivity of simulated mesoscale convective systems over East Asia to the treatment of convection in a high-resolution GCM. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2783-2801. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06471-2

Li, R., Liu, X., Xu, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) A comparative analysis of the attribution of extreme summer precipitation in south and north parts of the East China monsoon region—with the year 2020 as an example. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (15). pp. 7199-7217. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.8260

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Tan, M. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Borneo Vortices in a warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 2. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00326-1

Liang, J., Tan, M. L., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M. K., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Haywood, J. M. (2023) Projected near-term changes in monsoon precipitation over Peninsular Malaysia in the HighResMIP multi-model ensembles. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 1151-1171. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06363-5

Liao, X., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Liu, C., Lyu, X., Xue, Y., Bao, R., Li, J. and Qiao, F. (2023) Observed interannual relationship between ITCZ position and tropical cyclone frequency. Journal of Climate, 36 (16). pp. 5587-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0865.1

Maharana, P., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Das, S., Tiwari, P. R., Norgate, M. and Raman, V. A. V. (2023) Projected changes in heatwaves and its impact on human discomfort over India due to global warming under the CORDEX-CORE framework. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-023-04788-4

Marcheggiani, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, T. J. and Smith, D. (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2022GL102071

Maybee, B., Ward, N., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Marsham, J. H. (2023) Importance of Madden–Julian Oscillation phase to the interannual variability of East African rainfall. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (5). e1148. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.1148

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, M., Mignot, J., Mohino, E., Pohl, B. and Zappa, G. (2023) Storylines of Sahel precipitation change: roles of the North Atlantic and Euro-Mediterranean temperature. JGR Atmospheres, 128 (16). e2023JD038712. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2023JD038712

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Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ndiaye, C. D., Song, C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acea96

Moudi Pascal, I., Kammalac Jores, T., Talib, J., Appolinaire, V. D., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Christian, N., Romeo-Ledoux, D. T., Fogang Michael, T., Marceline, M., Romeo, S. T., Dione, C., Thompson, E., Salih, A. A. M. and Ngaryamgaye, S. (2023) Strengthening weather forecast dissemination capabilities in Central Africa: case assessment of intense flooding in January 2020. Climate Services, 32. 100411. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100411

Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2023) Intraseasonal oscillations of the Silk Road pattern lead to predictability in East Asian precipitation patterns and the Mei Yu front. Environmental Research Communications, 5 (1). 015003. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: 10.1088/2515-7620/acb040

Newsom, E., Zanna, L. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Background pycnocline depth constrains future Ocean Heat Uptake Efficiency. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105673. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023GL105673

O'Kane, T. J., Scaife, A. A., Kushnir, Y., Brookshaw, A., Buontempo, C., Carlin, D., Connell, R. K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Dunstone, N., Förster, K., Graça, A., Hobday, A. J., Kitsios, V., van der Laan, L., Lockwood, J., Merryfield, W. J., Paxian, A., Payne, M. R., Reader, M. C., Saville, G. R., Smith, D., Solaraju-Murali, B., Caltabiano, N., Carman, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Keenlyside, N., Kumar, A., Matei, D., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Raphael, M., Sparrow, M. and Wu, B. (2023) Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. Frontiers in Climate, 5. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626

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Persad, G., Samset, B. H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Bollasina, M. A., Booth, B. B. B., Bonfils, C., Crocker, T., Joshi, M., Lund, M. T., Marvel, K., Merikanto, J., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., van Vuuren, D. P., Westervelt, D. M. and Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872 (2023) Rapidly evolving aerosol emissions are a dangerous omission from near-term climate risk assessments. Environmental Research Climate, 2 (3). 032001. ISSN 2752-5295 doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/acd6af

Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Jackson, L. C. (2023) Understanding the sensitivity of the North Atlantic subpolar overturning in different resolution versions of HadGEM3-GC3.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (10). e2023JC019672. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1029/2023JC019672

Phadtare, J. A., Fletcher, J. K., Ross, A. N., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Burns, H. L. (2023) Unravelling the mechanism of summer monsoon rainfall modes over the West Coast of India using model simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (757). pp. 3164-3182. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4550

Priestley, M. D. K., Ackerley, D., Catto, J. L. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Drivers of biases in the CMIP6 extratropical storm tracks. Part I: Northern Hemisphere. Journal of Climate, 36 (5). pp. 1451-1467. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0976.1

Racoma, B. A. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7778-7273, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Bagtasa, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5433-7122 (2023) The effect of the Cordillera mountain range on tropical cyclone rainfall in the Northern Philippines. Atmosphere, 14 (4). 643. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: 10.3390/atmos14040643

Ren, Q., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Dai, Y., Jiang, X. and Yang, S. (2023) Seasonal effects of the Tibetan plateau on the cyclonic transient eddies: a system-centered view. Journal of Climate, 36 (17). pp. 6007-6020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0067.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Menary, M. B. and Lai, M. W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). 20220194. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: 10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tandon, N. F. (2023) Uncertainties in the Arctic Ocean response to CO₂: a process-based analysis. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06986-2

Salvi, P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Ceppi, P. (2023) Time-evolving radiative feedbacks in the historical period. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (20). e2023JD038984. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2023JD038984

Seddon, J., Stephens, A., Mizielinski, M. S., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Technology to aid the analysis of large-volume multi-institute climate model output at a Central Analysis Facility (PRIMAVERA Data Management Tool V2.10). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (22). pp. 6689-6700. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-6689-2023

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Sohail, T., Irving, D. B., Zika, J. D. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2023) Anthropogenic aerosols offsetting ocean warming less efficiently since the 1980s. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105374. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2023GL105374

Suitters, C. C., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Transient anticyclonic eddies and their relationship to atmospheric block persistence. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 683-700. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-4-683-2023

Talib, J., Muller, O. V., Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2023) The representation of soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks across the Tibetan Plateau in CMIP6. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 40 (11). pp. 2063-2081. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-023-2296-2

Tan, Y., Zhang, W., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Guo, Y. and Hoitink, A. J. F. (2023) Storm surge variability and prediction from ENSO and tropical cyclones. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (2). 024016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acb1c8

Tang, H., Wang, J., Chen, Y., Tett, S. F. B., Sun, Y., Cheng, L., Sparrow, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) Human contribution to the risk of 2021 northwestern Pacific concurrent marine and terrestrial summer heat. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (3). E673-E679. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0238.1

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Tett, S. F. B., Cha, Y., Donovan, K., Geffers, G.-M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The impact of an extreme cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (10). E1807-E1816. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0196.1

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Strong surface winds in Storm Eunice. Part 1: storm overview and indications of sting-jet activity from observations and model data. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.4402

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Strong surface winds in Storm Eunice. Part 2: airstream analysis. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.4401

Wan, Z. (2023) Changing trend of temperature in nanjing and its correlation with some human activities in recent 41 years. Theoretical and Natural Science, 7 (1). pp. 92-99. ISSN 2753-8826 doi: 10.54254/2753-8818/7/20230118

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Samset, B. H., Bollasina, M. A., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J. M., Lund, M. T., Makkonen, R., Merikanto, J., O'Donnell, D., Paynter, D. J., Persad, G. G., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K., Undorf, S. and Westervelt, D. M. (2023) The regional aerosol model intercomparison project (RAMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15). pp. 4451-4479. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-4451-2023

Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655, Zhai, X., Munday, D. and Joshi, M. (2023) Constraining an eddy energy dissipation rate due to relative wind stress for use in energy budget-based eddy parameterisations. Ocean Science, 19 (6). pp. 1669-1686. ISSN 1812-0792 doi: 10.5194/os-19-1669-2023

World Meteorological Organization, ., Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 and Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, (2023) Integrated weather and climate services in support of net zero energy transition: best practices from the WMO Commission for Weather, Climate, Water and Related Environmental Services and Applications. Report. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva. ISBN 9789263113122 (WMO-No. 1312)

Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2023) Rare event simulation of extreme European winter rainfall in an intermediate complexity climate model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (4). e2022MS003537. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2022MS003537

Xavier, P., Willett, M., Graham, T., Earnshaw, P., Copsey, D., Narayan, N., Marzin, C., Zhu, H., Sellar, A., Ackerley, D., Blockley, E., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Bushell, A., Choi, N., Chua, X. R., Guiavarc’h, C., Hassim, M., Heming, J., Hudson, D., Ineson, S., Jones, C., Keane, R. J., Kim, K., Kim, J., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, In Lee, M., Le, C., Martin, G., Mccabe, A., Moise, A., Ridley, J., Robert, L., Sahany, S., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Storkey, D., Tennant, W., Tomassini, L., Tsushima, Y., Weedon, G. P., West, A., Wheeler, M., Zhou, X. and Zhu, H., (2023) Assessment of the Met Office Global Coupled model version 5 (GC5)configurations. Report. Met Office, Exeter. pp41.

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2023) Seasonal and interannual variation of equatorial waves in ERA5 and GloSea5. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (752). pp. 1109-1134. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/QJ.4460

Yao, Y., Zhang, Y., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Tamarin-Brodsky, T. (2023) Different propagation mechanisms of deep and shallow wintertime extratropical cyclones over the North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36 (23). pp. 8277-8297. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0674.1

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G., Schurer, A. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (7). e1159. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.1159

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Zhang, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wen, Z., Guo, Y. and Chen, X. (2023) Relationship between the AMOC and the multidecadal variability of the midlatitude southern Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8761-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0198.1

Zhang, S., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sheng, C. (2023) Decadal modulation of the relationship between tropical southern Atlantic SST and subsequent ENSO by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL104878. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2023GL104878

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T., Latif, M., Song, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4105-8682, Park, W. and Reintges, A. (2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1

Zhao, Z., Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhu, J., Luo, N. and Gao, Z. (2023) A clustering-based multi-model ensemble projection of near-term precipitation changes over East China and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094050. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acef40

Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Wu, R. and Chen, D. (2023) Impact of data resolution on tracking Southern Ocean cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (1). pp. 3-22. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1

2022

Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, de Abreu, R. C. and ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2022) Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 3105-3119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2 (Abatan, A.A., Tett, S.F.B., Dong, B. et al. Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2)

Andrews, T., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Dong, Y., Armour, K. C., Paynter, D., Lin, P., Modak, A., Mauritsen, T., Cole, J. N. S., Medeiros, B., Benedict, J. J., Douville, H., Roehrig, R., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Ogura, T., Dufresne, J.-L., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2022) On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback. Journal of Geophysical Research, 127 (18). e2022JD036675. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2022JD036675

Athanasiadis, P. J., Ogawa, F., Omrani, N.-E., Keenlyside, N., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Haarsma, R., Roberts, M., Roberts, C., Novak, L. and Gualdi, S. (2022) Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. Journal of Climate, 35 (21). pp. 3379-3400. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0515.1

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J. R., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Stratton, R. and Roberts, M. (2022) Linking Equatorial African precipitation to Kelvin wave processes in the CP4-Africa convection-permitting regional climate simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79 (5). pp. 1271-1289. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-21-0039.1

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350 (2022) Tropical cyclones: global decline in frequency. Nature Climate Change, 12. pp. 615-617. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/s41558-022-01414-5

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Seddon, J., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Haarsma, R. J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Kapetanakis, D., Tourigny, E., Lohmann, K., Roberts, C. D. and Terray, L. (2022) Extratropical transition of tropical cyclones in a multiresolution ensemble of atmosphere-only and fully coupled global climate models. Journal of Climate, 35 (16). pp. 5283-5306. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0801.1

Befort, D. J., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Weisheimer, A. (2022) Seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific: dependence on model, resolution and stochastic physics. Journal of Climate, 35 (5). pp. 1385-1397. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0041.1

Bett, P. E., Thornton, H. E., Troccoli, A., De Felice, M., Suckling, E., Dubus, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2022) A simplified seasonal forecasting strategy, applied to wind and solar power in Europe. Climate Services, 27. 100318. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100318

Bhatia, K., Baker, A., Yang, W., Vecchi, G., Knutson, T., Murakami, H., Kossin, J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Dixon, K., Bronselaer, B. and Whitlock, C. (2022) A potential explanation for the global increase in tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 6626. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-34321-6

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Deakin, M. and Greenwood, D. (2022) Hourly historical and near-future weather and climate variables for energy system modelling. Earth System Science Data, 14 (6). pp. 2749-2766. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: 10.5194/essd-14-2749-2022

Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic dynamical responses to changes in aerosol. In: Carslaw, K. S. (ed.) Aerosols and Climate. Elsevier, pp. 545-570. ISBN 9780128197660 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-819766-0.00018-3

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Abdillahi, H. S., Bailey, M., Harris, C., Kilavi, M., Kniveton, D., MacLeod, D., Mwangi, E., Otieno, G., Rees, E., Rowhani, P., Taylor, O. and Todd, M. C. (2022) Towards drought impact-based forecasting in a multi-hazard context. Climate Risk Management, 35. 100402. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100402

Bresson, H., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Zappa, G. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2022) The response of Northern Hemisphere polar lows to climate change in a 25 km high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (4). e2021JD035610. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2021JD035610

Castillo, J. M., Lewis, H. W., Mishra, A., Mitra, A., Polton, J., Brereton, A., Saulter, A., Arnold, A., Berthou, S., Clark, D., Crook, J., Das, A., Edwards, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Gupta, A., Joseph, S., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Momin, I., Pequignet, C., Sanchez, C., Saxby, J. and Valdivieso da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016 (2022) The Regional Coupled Suite (RCS-IND1): application of a flexible regional coupled modelling framework to the Indian region at km scale. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (10). pp. 4193-4223. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-15-4193-2022

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Guo, L., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Guimarães, B. S., Coelho, C. A. S., Kubota, P. Y., Young, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Baker, J. C. A. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) Subseasonal prediction performance for South American land–atmosphere coupling in extended austral summer. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e28. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: 10.1002/cli2.28

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Rudorff, C. M., Coelho, C. A. S. and Schöngart, J. (2022) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e18. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: 10.1002/cli2.18

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Guo, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6004-3884 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) Projected changes in the East Asian hydrological cycle for different levels of future global warming. Atmosphere, 13 (3). 405. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: 10.3390/atmos13030405

Clemént, L., McDonagh, E. L., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wu, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0686-8922, Marzocchi, A., Zika, J. D. and Nurser, A. J. G. (2022) Mechanisms of ocean heat uptake along and across isopycnals. Journal of Climate, 35 (15). pp. 4885-4904. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0793.1

Coelho, C. A. S., Baker, J. C. A., Spracklen, D. V., Kubota, P. Y., de Souza, D. C., Guimarães, B. S., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Hart, N., Zilli, M. and Jones, C. D. (2022) A perspective for advancing climate prediction services in Brazil. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e29. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: 10.1002/cli2.29

Coelho, C. A. S., de Souza, D. C., Kubota, P. Y., Cavalcanti, I. F. A., Baker, J. C. A., Figueroa, S. N., Firpo, M. A. F., Guimarães, B. S., Costa, S. M. S., Gonçalves, L. J. M., Bonatti, J. P., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 and Andrews, M. B. (2022) Assessing the representation of South American monsoon features in Brazil and UK climate model simulations. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e27. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: 10.1002/cli2.27

Connors, S., Dionne, M., Hanak, G., Musulin, R., Aellen, N., Amjad, M., Bowen, S., Carrascal, D. R., Coppola, E., Moro, E. D., Dosio, A., Faria, S. H., Gan, T. Y., Gomis, M., Gutierrez, J. M., Hope, P., Kopp, R., Krakovska, S., Leitzell, K., Maraun, D., Masson-Delmotte, V., Matthews, R., Maycock, T., Paddam, S., Plattner, G.-K., Pui, A., Rahimi, M., Ranasinghe, R., Rogelj, J., Ruane, A. C., Szopa, S., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vautard, R., Velichkova, Y., Weigel, A. and Zhang, X., (2022) Climate Science: A Summary for Actuaries - What the IPCC Climate Change Report 2021 Means for the Actuarial Profession. Technical Report. International Actuarial Association, Ottawa, Canada. pp61.

Cook, P. A., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Macdonald, D. M. J. and Sorensen, J. P. R. (2022) Projected increases in potential groundwater recharge and reduced evapotranspiration under future climate conditions in West Africa. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 41. 101076. ISSN 2214-5818 doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101076

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2022) The role of teleconnection patterns in the variability and trends of growing season indices across Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 42 (2). pp. 1072-1091. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.7290

Delfino, R. J., Bagtasa, G., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) Sensitivity of simulating Typhoon Haiyan (2013) using WRF: the role of cumulus convection, surface flux parameterizations, spectral nudging, and initial and boundary conditions. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 22 (10). pp. 3285-3307. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: 10.5194/nhess-22-3285-2022

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Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M. B., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Mecking, J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Jones, C., Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) The role of anthropogenic aerosol forcing in the 1850-1985 strengthening of the AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Journal of Climate, 35 (20). pp. 3243-3263. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0124.1

Sainsbury, E. M., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Bhatia, K. T. (2022) What governs the interannual variability of recurving North Atlantic tropical cyclones? Journal of Climate, 35 (12). pp. 3627-3641. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0712.1

Sainsbury, E. M., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Bhatia, K. T. (2022) Why do some post-tropical cyclones impact europe? Monthly Weather Review, 150 (10). pp. 2553-2571. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-22-0111.1

Sainsbury, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5626-5583, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Bhatia, K. T. and Bourdin, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2635-5654 (2022) Can low-resolution CMIP6 ScenarioMIP models provide insight into future European post-tropical-cyclone risk? Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (4). pp. 1359-1379. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: 10.5194/wcd-3-1359-2022

Salvi, P., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2022) Interpreting differences in radiative feedbacks from aerosols versus greenhouse gases. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (8). e2022GL097766. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2022GL097766

Schuhen, N., Schaller, N., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Lledó, L., Cionni, I. and Sillmann, J. (2022) Predictive skill of teleconnection patterns in twentieth century seasonal hindcasts and their relationship to extreme winter temperatures in Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (11). e2020GL092360. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2020GL092360

Siahaan, A., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Holland, P., Jenkins, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Lee, V., Mathiot, P., Payne, T., Ridley, J. and Jones, C. (2022) The Antarctic contribution to 21st century sea-level rise predicted by the UK Earth System Model with an interactive ice sheet. The Cryosphere, 16 (10). pp. 4053-4086. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-16-4053-2022

Silvy, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7082-7375, Rousset, C., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Sallée, J.-B., Mignot, J., Ethé, C. and Madec, G. (2022) A modeling framework to understand historical and projected ocean climate change in large coupled ensembles. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (20). pp. 7683-7713. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-15-7683-2022

Sochat, V., May, N., Cosden, I., Martinez-Ortiz, C. and Bartholomew, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603 (2022) The Research Software Encyclopedia: a community framework to define research software. Journal of Open Research Software. ISSN 2049-9647 doi: 10.5334/jors.359

Srinivas, G., Vialard, J., Lengaigne, M., Izumo, T. and Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 (2022) Relative contributions of sea surface temperature and atmospheric nonlinearities to ENSO asymmetrical rainfall response. Journal of Climate, 35 (12). pp. 3725-3745. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-21-0257.1

Studholme, J., Fedorov, A. V., Gulev, S. K., Emanuel, K. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2022) Poleward expansion of tropical cyclone latitudes in warming climates. Nature Geoscience, 15. pp. 14-28. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/s41561-021-00859-1

Tamarin-Brodsky, T., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2022) A simple model for interpreting temperature variability and its higher-order changes. Journal of Climate, 35 (1). pp. 387-403. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0310.1

Tang, H., Wang, Z., Tang, B., Ma, Y., Pei, L., Tian, F., Wang, J., Nanding, N., Sparrow, S., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lott, F. C. (2022) Reduced probability of 2020 June–July persistent heavy Meiyu rainfall event in the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin under anthropogenic forcing. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (3). pp. 83-89. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0167.1

Tett, S. F. B., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Freychet, N., Cartis, C., Mineter, M. J. and Roberts, L. (2022) Does model calibration reduce uncertainty in climate projections? Journal of Climate, 35 (8). pp. 2585-2602. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0434.1

Tian, F., Li, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Freychet, N. and Sparrow, S. (2022) Physical processes of summer extreme rainfall interannual variability in eastern China. part I, observational analysis. Climate Dynamics, 59. pp. 201-217. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-06123-x

Tomassini, L. and Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2022) Tropical moist convection an important driver of Atlantic Hadley circulation variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (748). pp. 3287-3302. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4359

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2022) The composite development and structure of intense synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (3). pp. 1097-1112. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-3-1097-2022

Visman, E., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Todd, M., Mwangi, E., Dione, C., Gudoshava, M., Otieno, G., Ahiataku, M., Quaye, D., Lawal, K., Talib, J., Fletcher, J., Diop, A., Diedhiou, T., Ndiaye, D., Oloniyan, E., Nying'uro, P., Kiptum, C., Kilavi, M., Adefisan, E., Indasi, V., Waruru, S., Taylor, A. and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, (2022) Institutionalising co-production of weather and climate services: Learning from the African SWIFT and ForPAc projects. GCRF African SWIFT Policy Briefs. Report. University of Leeds

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2022) Characterising the interaction of tropical and extratropical air masses controlling East Asian summer monsoon progression using a novel frontal detection approach. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (2). pp. 575-599. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-3-575-2022

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2022) Consistent trends in dry spell length in recent observations and future projections. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (12). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2021GL097231

White, C. J., Domeisen, D. I.V., Acharya, N., Adefisan, E. A., Anderson, M. L., Aura, S., Balogun, A. A., Bertram, D., Bluhm, S., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Browell, J., Büeler, D., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Chourio, X., Christel, I., Coelho, C. A. S., DeFlorio, M. J., Monache, L. D., García-Solórzano, A. M., Giuseppe, F. D., Goddard, L., Gibson, P. B., González, C. R., Graham, R. J., Graham, R. M., Grams, C. M., Halford, A., Huang, W. T. K., Jensen, K., Kilavi, M., Lawal, K. A., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, MacLeod, D., Manrique-Suñén, A., Martins, E. S. P. R., Maxwell, C. J., Merryfield, W. J., Muñoz, Á. G., Olaniyan, E., Otieno, G., Oyedepo, J. A., Palma, L., Pechlivanidis, I. G., Pons, D., Ralph, F. M., Reis, D. S., Remenyi, T. A., Risbey, J. S., Robertson, D. J. C., Robertson, A. W., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639, Soret, A., Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146, Todd, M. C., Tozer, C. R., Vasconcelos, F. C., Vigo, I., Waliser, D. E., Wetterhall, F. and Wilson, R. G. (2022) Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6). pp. 1448-1472. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0224.1

Wilder, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1108-4655, Zhai, X., Munday, D. and Joshi, M. (2022) The response of a baroclinic anticyclonic eddy to relative wind stress forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 52 (9). pp. 2129-2142. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-22-0044.1

Wolf, G., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2022) Response of atmospheric quasi-stationary waves to La Niña conditions in Northern Hemisphere winter. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (745). pp. 1611-1622. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4261

Wu, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0686-8922 and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2022) Estimating ocean heat uptake using boundary Green's functions: a perfect-model test of the method. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14 (12). e2022MS002999. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2022MS002999

Yu, H., Yu, X., Zhou, Z., Wang, Y., Li, Y., Nanding, N., Freychet, N., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, D., Lott, F. C., Tett, S. F. B. and Sparrow, S. (2022) Attribution of April 2020 exceptional cold spell over Northeast China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0175.1

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Ryder, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) How well do the CMIP6 models simulate dust aerosols? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22. pp. 2095-2119. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-22-2095-2022

Zhao, X., Lu, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hong, X., Liu, J. and Sun, J. (2022) Tropical anomalies associated with the interannual variability of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent in boreal summer. Journal of Climate, 35 (17). pp. 5591-5603. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0764.1

2021

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850 (2021) IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 1-2. doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.001

Arias, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Coppola, E., Jones, R. G., Krinner, G., Marotzke, J., Naik, V., Palmer, M. D., Plattner, G.-K., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Sillmann, J., Storelvmo, T., Thorne, P. W., Trewin, B., Rao, K. A., Adhikary, B., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Armour, K., Bala, G., Barimalala, R., Berger, S., Canadell, J. G., Cassou, C., Cherchi, A., Collins, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Collins, W. D., Connors, S. L., Corti, S., Cruz, F., Dentener, F. J., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Niang, A. D., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dosio, A., Douville, H., Engelbrecht, F., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P., Goldfarb, L., Gorodetskaya, I., Gutierrez, J. M., Hamdi, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hewitt, H. T., Hope, P., Islam, A. S., Jones, C., Kaufman, D. S., Kopp, R. E., Kosaka, Y., Kossin, J., Krakovska, S., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Mauritsen, T., Maycock, T. K., Meinshausen, M., Min, S.-K., Monteiro, P. M. S., Ngo-Duc, T., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Pirani, A., Raghavan, K., Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Ruiz, L., Sallée, J.-B., Samset, B. H., Sathyendranath, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Sörensson, A. A., Szopa, S., Takayabu, I., Tréguier, A.-M., van den Hurk, B., Vautard, R., von Schuckmann, K., Zaehle, S., Zhang, X. and Zickfeld., K. (2021) Technical summary. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group. Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144. doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.002

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X (2021) The observed synoptic scale precipitation relationship between Western Equatorial Africa and Eastern Equatorial Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). pp. 582-601. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.6711

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Historical variability and lifecycles of North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones originating in the tropics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (9). e2020JD033924. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2020JD033924

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2021) Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 4143-4162. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4172

Baldini, J. U.L., Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F.M., van Hunen, J., Baldini, L. M., Wynn, P. M., Jamieson, R. A., Ridley, H. E., Baker, A. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Walczak, I. W. and Fohlmeister, J. (2021) Detecting and quantifying palaeoseasonality in stalagmites using geochemical and modelling approaches. Quaternary Science Reviews, 254. 106784. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106784

Bashmachnikov, I. L., Fedorov, A. M., Golubkin, P. A., Vesman, A. V., Selyuzhenok, V. V., Gnatiuk, N. V., Gnatiuk, L. P., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Dukhovskoy, D. S. (2021) Mechanisms of interannual variability of deep convection in the Greenland Sea. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 174. 103557. ISSN 0967-0637 doi: 10.1016/j.dsr.2021.103557

Bellucci, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3766-1921, Athanasiadis, P. J., Scoccimarro, E., Ruggieri, P., Gualdi, S., Fedele, G., Haarsma, R. J., Garcia-Serrano, J., Castrillo, M., Putrahasan, D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Moine, M.-P., Roberts, C. D., Roberts, M. J., Seddon, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Air-Sea interaction over the Gulf Stream in an ensemble of HighResMIP present climate simulations. Climate Dynamics, 56 (7-8). pp. 2093-2111. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05573-z

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2615-2636. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6

Blaker, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5454-0131, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2021) FORTE 2.0: a fast, parallel and flexible coupled climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (1). pp. 275-293. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-14-275-2021

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M., Stolpe, M. B., Rohrschneider, T., Zheng, Y. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Climate sensitivity increases under higher CO₂ levels due to feedback temperature dependence. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (4). e2020GL089074. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2020GL089074

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Gonzalez, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Lundquist, J., Stoop, L., Browell, J., Dargaville, R., De Felice, M., Gruber, K., Hilbers, A., Kies, A., Panteli, M., Thornton, H., Wohland, J., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2021) The importance of weather and climate to energy systems: a workshop on next generation challenges in energy-climate modelling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E159-E167. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0256.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2021) Pattern-based conditioning enhances sub-seasonal prediction skill of European national energy variables. Meteorological Applications, 28 (4). e2018. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.2018

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2021) Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand, wind power and solar power generation for 28 European Countries. Earth System Science Data, 13 (5). ISSN 1866-3516 doi: 10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Goodess, C. M., De Felice, M., Dubus, L., Bett, P. E. and Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. (2021) Quantifying the sensitivity of European power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections. Renewable Energy, 164. pp. 1062-1075. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.125

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Liu, H., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Tao, A. and Zhang, W. (2021) Intraseasonal variability of sea level in the Western North Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 126 (6). e2021JC017237. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2021JC017237

Liu, Y., Ren, H.-L., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Liu, J. and Zhang, P. (2021) Improving long-lead seasonal forecasts of precipitation over Southern China based on statistical downscaling using BCC_CSM1.1m. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 94. 101222. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101222

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Menary, M. B., Mignot, J. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Pohl, B. and Gaetani, M. (2021) The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4. 24. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00179-6

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Muita, R. R., Dougil, A. J., Mutemi, J., Aura, S., Graham, R., Awolala, D. O., Nkiaka, E., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Opijah, F. (2021) Understanding the role of user needs and perceptions related to sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts on farmers decisions in Kenya: a systematic review. Frontiers in climate, 3. 580556. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2021.580556

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Peatman, S. C., Schwendike, J., Birch, C. E., Marsham, J. H., Matthews, A. J. and Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2021) A local-to-large scale view of Maritime Continent rainfall: control by ENSO, MJO, and equatorial waves. Journal of Climate, 34 (22). pp. 8933-8953. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0263.1

Pinheiro, H., Gan, M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2021) Structure and evolution of intense austral cut-off lows. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (743). pp. 1-20. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3900

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Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Griffies, S. M., Couldrey, M. P. and Dias, F. B. (2021) Contribution of ocean physics and dynamics at different scales to heat uptake in low-resolution AOGCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (6). pp. 2017-2035. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0652.1

Salvi, P., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Interpreting the dependence of cloud-radiative adjustment on forcing agent. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (18). e2021GL093616. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2021GL093616

Sandu, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1215-3288, Massonnet, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4697-5781, Achter, G., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Arduini, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6564-1699, Bauer, P., Blockley, E., Bormann, N., Chevallier, M., Day, J., Dahoui, M., Fichefet, T., Flocco, D., Jung, T., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Laroche, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4886-5535, Lawrence, H., Kristiansen, J., Moreno‐Chamarro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7931-5149, Ortega, P., Poan, E., Ponsoni, L. and Randriamampianina, R. (2021) The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 3863-3877. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.4182

Seneviratne, S. I., Zhang, X., Adnan, M., Badi, W., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Ghosh, S., Iskandar, I., Kossin, J., Lewis, S., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Satoh, M., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Wehner, M., Zhou, B. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1513-1766. doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.013

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Shang, K., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Climatology and physical mechanisms of the tropospheric warm cores over the Tibetan Plateau and its vicinity. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 953-974. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05749-1

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Talib, J., Taylor, C.M., Duan, A. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Intraseasonal soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks on the Tibetan Plateau circulation. Journal of Climate, 34 (5). pp. 1789-1807. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0377.1

Tan, M. L., Liang, J., Samat, N., Chan, N. W., Haywood, J. M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2021) Hydrological extremes and responses to climate change in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia, based on the CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Water, 13 (11). 1472. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: 10.3390/w13111472

Taye, M. T., Dyer, E., Charles, K. J. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2021) Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: understanding local variations and their implications for water management decisions. Science of the Total Environment, 755 (Part 1). 142604. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142604

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Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (9). pp. 2339-2357. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0017.1

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, D. L., Kilavi, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Marsham, J. H. (2021) Extreme rainfall in East Africa October 2019 – January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 26-31. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.3824

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, J. H., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Future changes in seasonality in Eastern Africa from regional simulations with explicit and parametrised convection. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1367-1385. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0450.1

Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P., Castro, C., Chang, C.-P., Cook, K., Fu, R., Grimm, A. M., Ha, K.-J., Hendon, H., Kitoh, A., Krishnan, R., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Liu, J., Moise, A., Pascale, S., Roxy, M. K., Seth, A., Sui, C.-H., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Yang, S., Yun, K.-S., Zhang, L. and Zhou, T. (2021) Monsoons climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E1-E19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1

Wang, J., Church, J. A., Zhang, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Zanna, L. and Chen, X. (2021) Evaluation of the local sea-level budget at tide gauges since 1958. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (20). e2021GL094502. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2021GL094502

Wohland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8336-0009, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Pfenninger, S. (2021) Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). 064026. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abff89

Wu, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0686-8922, Zhang, X., Church, J. A., Hu, J. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Evolving patterns of sterodynamic sea-level rise under mitigation scenarios and insights from linear system theory. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 635-656. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05727-7

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 171-193. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1

Zanchettin, D., Bruni, S., Raicich, F., Lionello, P., Adloff, F., Androsov, A., Antonioli, F., Artale, V., Carminati, E., Ferrarin, C., Fofonova, F., Nicholls, R. J., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Sannino, G., Spada, G., Thiéblemont, R., Tsimplis, M., Umgiesser, G., Vignudelli, S., Wöppelmann, G. and Zerbini, S. (2021) Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article). Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (8). pp. 2463-2678. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: 10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Zhang, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Jin, R. (2021) Forced decadal changes in summer precipitation characteristics over China: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34 (6). pp. 1226-1241. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: 10.1007/s13351-020-0060-4

Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18609-18627. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-21-18609-2021

Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 55-72. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05692-1

Zika, J. D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, McDonagh, E. L., Marzocchi, A. and Clement, L. (2021) Recent water mass changes reveal mechanisms of ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 34 (9). pp. 3461-3479. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

2020

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L. S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zolina, O. (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472 (1). pp. 49-75. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: 10.1111/nyas.14337

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2019MS001995

Andrews, T., Andrews, M. B., Bodas‐Salcedo, A., Jones, G. S., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Manners, J., Menary, M. B., Ridley, J., Ringer, M. A., Sellar, A. A., Senior, C. A. and Tang, Y. (2020) Forcings, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in HadGEM3‐GC3.1 and UKESM1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4377-4394. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2019MS001866

Archibald, A. T., O'Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Archer-Nicholls, S., P. Chipperfield, M., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Dennison, F., Dhomse, S. S., Griffiths, P. T., Hardacre, C., Hewitt, A. J., Hill, R. S., Johnson, C. E., Keeble, J., Köhler, M. O., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J. P., Ordóñez, C., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Pope, R. J., Russo, M. R., Savage, N. H., Sellar, A., Stringer, M., Wild, O., Turnock, S. T. and Zeng, G. (2020) Description and evaluation of the UKCA stratosphere–troposphere chemistry scheme (StratTrop vn 1.0) implemented in UKESM1. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (3). pp. 1223-1266. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-1223-2020

Bador, M., Boé, J., Terray, L., Alexander, L. V., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Bellucci, A., Haarsma, R., Koenigk, T., Moine, M.-P., Lohmann, K., Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Scoccimarro, E., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Seddon, J., Senan, R., Valcke, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2020) Impact of higher spatial atmospheric resolution on precipitation extremes over land in global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (3). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2019jd032184

Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Belusic, D., Boeing, S. J., Brooke, J. K., Harlow, R. C., Harris, P. P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Jayakumar, A. and Mitra, A. K. (2020) A case-study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2891-2905. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3538

Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Fan, L., Wigneron, J. P., Weber, U., Reichstein, M., Fu, Z., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Haverd, V., Jain, A. K., Joetzjer, E., Knauer, J., Lienert, S., Loughran, T., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Tian, H., Viovy, N. and Zaehle, S. (2020) Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity. Science Advances, 6 (24). eaba2724. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aba2724

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: 10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M. and Abbot, D. S. (2020) Spatial radiative feedbacks from internal variability using multiple regression. Journal of Climate, 33 (10). pp. 4121-4140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0396.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1858

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Asfaw, D. T., Young, M., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Mwangi, E., Ambani, M., Waruru, S., Otieno, G., Todd, M. C. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2020) Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action. Meteorological Applications, 27 (5). e1959. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1959

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Ryu, Y., Chen, Q., De Kauwe, M. G. and Baldocchi, D. (2020) Influence of sun zenith angle on canopy clumping and the resulting impacts on photosynthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291. 108065. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108065

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Halford, A., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639 and Kjeld, J. (2020) Quantifying the potential for improved management of weather risk using subseasonal forecasting: the case of UK telecommunications infrastructure. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1849. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1849

Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Drew, D. R. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2020) Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design. Renewable Energy, 150. pp. 509-522. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.12.082

Collins, M., Barreiro, M., Frölicher, T., Kang, S., Karumuri, A., Roxy Koll, M., Singh, D., Tedeschi, R. G., Wang, G., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Wu, B. (2020) Frontiers in climate predictions and projections. Frontiers in climate, 2. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2020.571245

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 7 (2). pp. 116-134. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: 10.1002/gdj3.93

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2020) Monsoon‐induced zonal asymmetries in moisture transport cause anomalous Pacific precipitation minus evaporation. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (18). e2020GL088. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2020GL088659

Cui, J., Piao, S., Huntingford, C., Wang, X., Lian, X., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Kooperman, G. J. (2020) Vegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO2-enriched climate. Nature Communications, 11. 5184. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18992-7

Di Capua, G., Runge, J., Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D. (2020) Dominant patterns of boreal summer interactions between tropics and mid-latitude: causal relationships and the role of timescales. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 519-539. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-1-519-2020

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, C. J., Andrews, M. B. and Forster, P. M. (2020) Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13). e2019GL085806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2019GL085806

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Attribution of 2012 extreme climate events: does air-sea interaction matter? Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1225-1245. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05321-3

Dosio, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Tchio, A. T., Sylla, M. B., Lennard, C., Jones, R., Terray, L., Nikulin, G. and Hewitson, B. (2020) A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (6). 064007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7fde

Dunstone, N., Smith, D., Yeager, S., Danabasoglu, G., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hermanson, L., Eade, R., Ineson, S., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A. and Ren, H.-L. (2020) Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). 094083. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9f7d

Emerton, R., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Ficchi, A., Hawker, L., de Wit, S., Speight, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8700-157X, Prudhomme, C., Rundell, P., West, R., Neal, J., Cuna, J., Harrigan, S., Titley, H., Magnusson, L., Pappenberger, F., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Stephens, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2020) Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: a critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 50. 101811. ISSN 2212-4209 doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101811

Estella-Perez, V., Mignot, J., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Swingedouw, D. and Reverdin, G. (2020) Advances in reconstructing the AMOC using sea surface observations of salinity. Climate Dynamics, 55 (3-4). pp. 975-992. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05304-4

Eunice Lo, Y. T., Mitchell, D. M., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Collins, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G. C., Joshi, M. and Stott, P. A. (2020) U.K. climate projections: Summer daytime and nighttime urban heat island changes in England’s major cities. Journal of Climate, 33 (20). pp. 9015-9030. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0961.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Guo, Y.-P. (2020) Western North Pacific tropical cyclones in the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System: performance and ENSO teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 33 (24). pp. 10489-10504. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0255.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Zhang, S. and Guo, L. (2020) Building sustainable science partnerships between early-career researchers to better understand and predict East Asia water cycle extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (6). E785-E789. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0039.1

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) Linking extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia to equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (727). pp. 665-684. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3699

Fletcher, J. K., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578, Martin, G. M., Birch, C. E., Mitra, A. K., Mrudula, G., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Taylor, C. M., Houze, R. A., Brodzik, S. R. and Bhat, G. S. (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic structure of the monsoon over southern India: new observations from the INCOMPASS IOP. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2867-2890. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3439

Gao, Y., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, DeMott, C. A. and Hsu, P.-C. (2020) Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in a superparameterized general circulation model: effects of air–sea coupling and ocean mean state. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (11). pp. 5191-5209. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-5191-2020

Giddings, J., Matthews, A. J., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Heywood, K. J., Joshi, M. and Webber, B. G. M. (2020) The effect of seasonally and spatially varying chlorophyll on Bay of Bengal surface ocean properties and the South Asian Monsoon. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 635-655. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-1-635-2020

Goelzer, H., Nowicki, S., Payne, A., Larour, E., Seroussi, H., Lipscomb, W. H., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Abe-Ouchi, A., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Aschwanden, A., Barthel, A., Calov, R., Chambers, C., Choi, Y., Cuzzone, J., Dumas, C., Edwards, T., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Le clec'h, S., Lee, V., Leguy, G., Little, C., Lowry, D. P., Morlighem, M., Nias, I., Quiquet, A., Rückamp, M., Schlegel, N.-J., Slater, D. A., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Tarasov, L., van de Wal, R. and van den Broeke, M. (2020) The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6. The Cryosphere, 14 (9). pp. 3071-3096. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020

Goelzer, H., Noël, B. P. Y., Edwards, T. L., Fettweis, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Lipscomb, W. H., van de Wal, R. S. W. and van den Broeke, M. R. (2020) Remapping of Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance anomalies for large ensemble sea-level change projections. The Cryosphere, 14 (6). pp. 1747-1762. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-14-1747-2020

Gramcianinov, C. B., Campos, R. M., de Camargo, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Guedes Soares, C. and da Silva Dias, P. L. (2020) Analysis of Atlantic extratropical storm tracks characteristics in 41 years of ERA5 and CFSR/CFSv2 databases. Ocean Engineering, 216. 108111. ISSN 0029-8018 doi: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.108111

Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2020) Large and irreversible future decline of the Greenland ice-sheet. The Cryosphere, 14 (12). pp. 4299-4322. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-14-4299-2020

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Andrews, T., Ceppi, P., Mauritsen, T. and Webb, M. J. (2020) How accurately can the climate sensitivity to CO₂ be estimated from historical climate change? Climate Dynamics, 54 (1-2). pp. 129-157. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04991-y

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Huang, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dai, A., Chen, X., Clark, R., Jiang, J., Man, W., Murphy, J., Rostron, J., Wu, B., Zhang, L., Zhang, W. and Zou, L. (2020) The recent decline and recovery of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: relative roles of external forcing and internal variability. Journal of Climate, 33 (12). pp. 5035-5060. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0833.1

Jayakumar, A., Abel, S. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Mohandas, S., Sethunadh, J., O'Sullivan, D., Mitra, A. K. and Rajagopal, E. N. (2020) Performance of the NCMRWF convection-permitting model during contrasting monsoon phases of the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2928-2948. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3689

Jiang, X., Adames, Á. F., Kim, D., Maloney, E. D., Lin, H., Kim, H., Zhang, C., DeMott, C. A. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Fifty years of research on the Madden-Julian Oscillation: recent progress, challenges and perspectives. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (17). e2019JD030911. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2019JD030911

Juckes, M., Taylor, K. E., Durack, P. J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Mizielinski, M. S., Pamment, A., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Rixen, M. and Sénési, S. (2020) The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (1). pp. 201-224. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

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Maddison, J. W., Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Williams, K. D. (2020) Impact of model upgrades on diabatic processes in extratropical cyclones and downstream forecast evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1322-1350. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.3739

Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Greatrex, H. and Young, M. (2020) TAMSAT. In: Levizzani, V., Kidd, C., Kirschbaum, D. B., Kummerow, C. D., Nakamura, K. and Turk, F. J. (eds.) Satellite Precipitation Measurement. Advances in Global Change Research, 1 (67). Springer, pp. 393-407. ISBN 9783030245672 doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-24568-9_22

Menary, M. B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Booth, B. B. B., Cassou, C., Gastineau, G., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Jones, C., Mignot, J., Ringer, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zhang, R. (2020) Aerosol-forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geophysical Research Letters. e2020GL088166. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2020GL088166

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Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Cook, P., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) Role of atmospheric horizontal resolution in simulating tropical and subtropical South American precipitation in HadGEM3-GC31. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (10). pp. 4749-4771. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-4749-2020

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Gaetani, M., Mohino, E. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) Future evolution of the Sahel precipitation zonal contrast in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, 55 (9-10). pp. 2801-2821. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05417-w

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Sidibe, M. and Akinsanola, A. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0192-0082 (2020) Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1385-1401. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0

Morales-Ruvalcaba, C. F., Rodriguez-Hernandez, O., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. R. and Ramos, E. (2020) Estimating wind speed and capacity factors in Mexico using reanalysis data. Energy for Sustainable Development, 58. pp. 158-166. ISSN 0973-0826 doi: 10.1016/j.esd.2020.08.006

Nanding, N., Chen, Y., Wu, H., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F., Lott, F. C., Tett, S. F. B., Rico-Ramirez, M. A., Chen, Y., Huang, Z., Yan, Y., Li, D., Li, R., Wang, X. and Fan, X. (2020) Anthropogenic influences on 2019 July precipitation extremes over the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 8. 603061. ISSN 2296-665X doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2020.603061

Newsom, E., Zanna, L., Khatiwala, S. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2020) The influence of warming patterns on passive ocean heat uptake. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (18). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2020GL088429

Nowicki, S., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., Payne, A. J., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Asay-Davis, X. S., Barthel, A., Bracegirdle, T. J., Cullather, R., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hattermann, T., Jourdain, N. C., Kuipers Munneke, P., Larour, E., Little, C. M., Morlighem, M., Nias, I., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Slater, D., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Trusel, L. D., van den Broeke, M. R. and van de Wal, R. (2020) Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models. The Cryosphere, 14. pp. 2331-2368. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020

Palmer, M. D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bagge, M., Calvert, D., Hagedoorn, J. M., Howard, T., Klemann, V., Lowe, J. A., Roberts, C. D., Slangen, A. B. A. and Spada, G. (2020) Exploring the drivers of global and local sea-level change over the 21st century and beyond. Earth's Future, 8 (9). e2019EF001413. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2019EF001413

Pascoe, C., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Guilyardi, E., Juckes, M. and Taylor, K. E. (2020) Documenting numerical experiments in support of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (5). pp. 2149-2167. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-13-2149-2020

Pereyra-Castro, K., Caetano, E., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Quintanilla-Montoya, A. L. (2020) Wind and wind power ramp variability over Northern Mexico. Atmosphere, 11 (12). 1281. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: 10.3390/atmos11121281

Plumpton, H. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2020) BRAVE: building understanding of climate variability into planning of groundwater supplies from low storage aquifers in Africa. In: Supporting the COP26 priorities through research on international development & climate change UK-funded research project showcase. UK Collaborative on Development Research (UKCDR), pp. 14-16.

Polo, I., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Thomas, C. (2020) Can the boundary profiles at 26° N be used to extract buoyancy-forced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation signals? Ocean Science, 16 (5). pp. 1067-1088. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/os-16-1067-2020

Priestley, M. D. K., Ackerley, D., Catto, J. L., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, McDonald, R. E. and Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2020) An overview of the extratropical storm tracks in CMIP6 historical simulations. Journal of Climate, 33 (15). pp. 6315-6343. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0928.1

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Rugenstein, M., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Abe-Ouchi, A., Andrews, T., Beyerle, U., Cao, L., Chadha, T., Danabasoglu, G., Dufresne, J.-L., Duan, L., Foujols, M.-A., Frolicher, T., Geoffroy, O., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Knutti, R., Li, C., Marzocchi, A., Mauritsen, T., Menary, M., Moyer, E., Nazarenko, L., Paynter, D., Saint-Martin, D., Schmidt, G. A., Yamamoto, A. and Yang, S. (2020) LongRunMIP - motivation and design for a large collection of millennial-length AO-GCM simulations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (12). pp. 2551-2569. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0068.1

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Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Athanasiadis, P., Barriopedro, D., Doblas-Reyes, F., Lohmann, K., Roberts, M. J., Sein, D. V., Roberts, C. D., Terray, L. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2020) Northern Hemisphere blocking simulation in current climate models: evaluating progress from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 to 6 and sensitivity to resolution. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (1). pp. 277-292. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-1-277-2020

Schäfler, A., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Doyle, J. D., Rahm, S., Reitebuch, O., Weiler, F. and Witschas, B. (2020) Observation of jet stream winds during NAWDEX and characterization of systematic meteorological analysis errors. Monthly Weather Review, 148 (7). pp. 2889-2907. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0229.1

Sellar, A. A., Walton, J., Jones, C. G., Wood, R., Abraham, N. L., Andrejczuk, M., Andrews, M. B., Andrews, T., Archibald, A. T., de Mora, L., Dyson, H., Elkington, M., Ellis, R., Florek, P., Good, P., Gohar, L., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hogan, E., Iwi, A., Jones, C. D., Johnson, B., Kelley, D. I., Kettleborough, J., Knight, J. R., Köhler, M. O., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Liddicoat, S., Linova‐Pavlova, I., Mizielinski, M. S., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J., Neininger, E., O'Connor, F. M., Petrie, R., Ridley, J., Rioual, J.‐C., Roberts, M., Robertson, E., Rumbold, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Seddon, J., Shepherd, H., Shim, S., Stephens, A., Teixiera, J. C., Tang, Y., Williams, J., Wiltshire, A. and Griffiths, P. T. (2020) Implementation of U.K. Earth system models for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (4). e2019MS001946. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2019MS001946

Senior, C. A., Jones, C. G., Wood, R. A., Sellar, A., Belcher, S., Klein‐Tank, A., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Walton, J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Andrews, T. and Mulcahy, J. P. (2020) UK community Earth system modelling for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (9). e2019MS002004. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2019MS002004

Seroussi, H., Nowicki, S., Payne, A. J., Goelzer, H., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Albrecht, T., Asay-Davis, X., Barthel, A., Calov, R., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Leguy, G. R., Lowry, D. P., Little, C. M., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S. F., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Schlegel, N.-J., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Sun, S., Trusel, L. D., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R. S. W., Winkelmann, R., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2020) ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century. The Cryosphere, 14 (9). pp. 3033-3070. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020

Shonk, J. K. P., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20 (23). pp. 14903-14915. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020

Silvy, Y., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Sallée, J.-B. and Durack, P. J. (2020) Human-induced changes to the global ocean water masses and their time of emergence. Nature Climate Change, 10. pp. 1030-1036. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-0878-x

Sinha, B., Sévellec, F., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Nurser, G. (2020) Surging of global surface temperature due to decadal legacy of ocean heat uptake. Journal of Climate, 33 (18). pp. 8025-8045. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0874.1

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Eade, R., Athanasiadis, P., Bellucci, A., Bethke, I., Bilbao, R., Borchert, L. F., Caron, L.-P., Counillon, F., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Estella-Perez, V., Flavoni, S., Hermanson, L., Keenlyside, N., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., Mochizuki, T., Modali, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Müller, W. A., Nicoli, D., Ortega, P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruggieri, P., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Swingedouw, D., Wang, Y., Wild, S., Yeager, S., Yang, X. and Zhang, L. (2020) North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583. 7818. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) ESD Ideas: global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments. Earth System Dynamics, 11. pp. 751-754. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-11-751-2020

Talib, J., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the sensitivity of the ITCZ to convective mixing. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (12). e2020MS002322. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2020MS002322

Tamarin-Brodsky, T., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 (2020) Changes in northern hemisphere temperature variability shaped by regional warming patterns. Nature Geoscience, 13. pp. 414-421. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/s41561-020-0576-3

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Processes shaping the spatial pattern and seasonality of the surface air temperature response to anthropogenic forcing. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). pp. 3959-3975. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05211-8

Todd, A., Zanna, L., Couldrey, M., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wu, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0686-8922, Church, J. A., Farneti, R., Navarro-Labastida, R., Lyu, K., Saenko, O., Yang, D. and Zhang, X. (2020) Ocean-only FAFMIP: understanding regional patterns of ocean heat content and dynamic sea level change. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS002027. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2019MS002027

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Bhat, G. S., Martin, G. M., Parker, D. J., Taylor, C.M., Mitra, A. K., Tripathi, S. N., Milton, S., Rajagopal, E. N., Evans, J. G., Morrison, R., Pattnaik, S., Sekhar, M., Bhattacharya, B. K., Madan, R., Govindankutty, M., Fletcher, J. K., Willetts, P. D., Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578, Marsham, J. H., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Chakraborty, T., George, G., Krishnan, M., Sarangi, C., Belusic, D., Garcia-Carreras, L., Brooks, M., Webster, S., Brooke, J. K., Fox, C., Harlow, R. C., Langridge, J. M., Jayakumar, A., Boeing, S. J., Halliday, O., Bowles, J., Kent, J., O'Sullivan, D., Wilson, A., Woods, C., Rogers, S., Smout-Day, R., Tiddeman, D., Desai, D., Nigam, R., Paleri, S., Sattar, A., Smith, M., Anderson, D., Bauguitte, S., Carling, R., Chan, C., Devereau, S., Gratton, G., MacLeod, D., Nott, G., Pickering, M., Price, H., Rastall, S., Reed, C., Trembath, J., Woolley, A., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and New, B. (2020) Interaction of convective organisation with monsoon precipitation, atmosphere, surface and sea: the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign in India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2828-2852. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3633

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226 and Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X (2020) Idealised simulations of cyclones with robust symmetrically-unstable sting jets. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (1). pp. 63-91. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: 10.5194/wcd-1-63-2020

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Menon, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9347-0578 (2020) Airmass analysis of the processes driving the progression of the Indian summer monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2949-2980. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3700

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Liu, Z., Samset, B. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Lund, M. T., Nordling, K., Undorf, S., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L., Krishnan, S., Merikanto, J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2020) Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (20). pp. 11955-11977. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020

Wohland, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 and Wild, M. (2020) European multidecadal solar variability badly captured in all centennial reanalyses except CERA20C. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aba7e6

Woiwode, W., Dörnbrack, A., Polichtchouk, I., Johansson, S., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Höpfner, M., Ungermann, J. and Friedl-Vallon, F. (2020) Technical note: lowermost-stratospheric moist bias in ECMWF IFS model diagnosed from airborne GLORIA observations during winter/spring 2016. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20. pp. 15379-15387. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-2020-367

Wolf, G., Czaja, A., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Connection between sea surface anomalies and atmospheric quasi-stationary waves. Journal of Climate, 33 (1). pp. 201-212. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0751.1

Wu, W., Emerton, R., Duan, Q., Wood, A. W., Wetterhall, F. and Robertson, D. E. (2020) Ensemble flood forecasting: current status and future opportunities. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 7 (3). e1432. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: 10.1002/wat2.1432

Yool, A., Palmiéri, J., Jones, C. G., Sellar, A. A., de Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E. E., Mulcahy, J. P., Wiltshire, A., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Stringer, M., Hill, R. S. R., Tang, Y., Walton, J., Blaker, A., Nurser, A. J. G., Coward, A. C., Hirschi, J., Woodward, S., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R. and Rumbold‐Jones, S. (2020) Spin‐up of UK Earth system model 1 (UKESM1) for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (8). e2019MS001933. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2019MS001933

Young, H. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7997-9471 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Skill of seasonal rainfall and temperature forecasts for East Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 35 (5). pp. 1783-1800. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0061.1

Young, M., Heinrich, V., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Asfaw, D. T. (2020) Optimal spatial scales for seasonal forecasts over Africa. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab94e9

Zhang, W., Li, W., Zhu, L., Ma, Y., Yang, L., Lott, F., Li, C., Dong, S., Tett, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sun, Y. (2020) Anthropogenic influence on 2018 summer persistent heavy and daily extreme rainfall in central western China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (1). S65-S70. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0147.1

Zhou, T., Zhang, W., Zhang, L., Zhang, X., Qian, Y., Peng, D., Ma, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic processes dominating the reduction of global land monsoon precipitation driven by anthropogenic aerosols emission. Science China Earth Sciences, 63 (7). pp. 919-933. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: 10.1007/s11430-019-9613-9

de Mora, L., Sellar, A. A., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Parker, R. J., Walton, J., Blackford, J. C. and Jones, C. G. (2020) Earth system music: music generated from the United Kingdom Earth System Model (UKESM1). Geoscience Communications, 3 (2). pp. 263-278. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: 10.5194/gc-3-263-2020

2019

Asher, C., Britton, B., Coe, H., Collins, M., Few, S., Finlayson, B., Gilbert, A., Graven, H., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Haigh, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Highwood, E., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Marshall, S., Marsham, J., Shepherd, J., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Woolings, T. (2019) 30-second climate: the 50 most topical features, measurements and phenomena, each explained in half a minute. Ivy Press. ISBN 9781782405504

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Demory, M.-E., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Strachan, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2019) Enhanced climate change response of wintertime North Atlantic circulation, cyclonic activity and precipitation in a 25 km-resolution global atmospheric model. Journal of Climate, 32 (22). pp. 7763-7781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Bouttes, N., Palmer, M. D. and Stott, P. (2019) Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure. Climate Dynamics, 53. pp. 5389-5413. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Boult, V. L., Fishlock, V., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Moss, C., Lee, P. C. and Sibly, R. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6828-3543 (2019) Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change. Conservation Science and Practice, 1 (9). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2578-4854 doi: 10.1111/csp2.87

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, He, L. and Chen, J. M. (2019) Underestimation of global photosynthesis in Earth System Models due to representation of vegetation structure. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33 (11). pp. 1358-1369. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: 10.1029/2018GB006135

Brooks, J., Allan, J. D., Williams, P. I., Liu, D., Fox, C., Haywood, J., Langridge, J. M., Highwood, E. J., Kompalli, S. K., O'Sullivan, D., Babu, S. S., Satheesh, S. K., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Coe, H. (2019) Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 5615-5634. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-2018-1109

Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2019) A refined model for the Earth's global energy balance. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4781-4797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04825-x

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Aldridge, R. W., Grams, C. M. and Lee, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2019) Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland blocking weather regime. Weather and Climate Extremes, 25. 100218. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2019) Anthropogenic impacts on recent decadal change in temperature extremes over China: relative roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4342-9

Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Luo, F., Dunstone, N. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Attribution of recent trends in temperature extremes over China: role of changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions over Asia. Journal Of Climate, 32. pp. 7539-7560. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0777.1

Chen, Y., Chen, W., Su, Q., Luo, F., Sparrow, S., Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tett, S., Lott, F. and Wallom, D. (2019) Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017-like heat waves over Central-Eastern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0087.1

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1

Curio, J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) Climatology of Tibetan Plateau Vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1933-1950. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0021.1

Czaja, A., Frankignoul, C., Minobe, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2019) Simulating the midlatitude atmospheric circulation: what might we gain from high-resolution modeling of air-sea interactions? Current Climate Change Reports, 5. pp. 390-406. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: 10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5

Demott, C. A., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Tseng, W.-L., Burt, M. A., Gao, Y. and Randall, D. A. (2019) The convection connection: how ocean feedbacks affect tropical mean moisture and MJO propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 124 (22). pp. 11910-11931. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2019JD031015

Dentith, J. E., Ivanovic, R. F., Gregoire, L. J., Tindall, J. C. and Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2019) Ocean circulation drifts in multi-millennial climate simulations: the role of salinity corrections and climate feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 52 (3-4). pp. 1761-1781. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4243-y

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Impacts of recent decadal changes in Asian aerosols on the East Asian summer monsoon: roles of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3235-3256. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0 (Dong, B., Wilcox, L.J., Highwood, E.J. et al. Clim Dyn (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0)

Drew, D. R., Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. F. and Richards, A. (2019) Sunny windy Sundays. Renewable Energy, 138. pp. 870-875. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.029

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2019) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the prediction of 2016 western North Pacific tropical cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (723). pp. 2425-2444. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3571

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Guo, L. and Demory, M.-E. (2019) The contribution of tropical cyclones to the atmospheric branch of Middle America's hydrological cycle using observed and reanalysis tracks. Climate Dynamics, 53 (9-10). pp. 6145-6158. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04920-z

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Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2019) Drylines in Southern Africa: Rediscovering the Congo Air Boundary. Journal of Climate, 32 (23). pp. 8223-8242. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0437.1

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Shonk, J. K. P., Chiu, J. Y. C., Marshak, A., Giles, D. M., Huang, C.-H., Mace, G. G., Benson, S., Slutsker, I. and Holben, B. N. (2019) The impact of neglecting ice phase on cloud optical depth retrievals from AERONET cloud mode observations. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 12 (9). pp. 5087-5099. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-12-5087-2019

Shonk, J. K. P., Demissie, T. D. and Toniazzo, T. (2019) A double ITCZ phenomenology of wind errors in the equatorial Atlantic in seasonal forecasts with ECMWF models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 11383-11399. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-19-11383-2019

Sisodiya, A., Pattnaik, S., Baisya, H., Bhat, G. S. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) Simulation of location-specific severe thunderstorm events using high-resolution land data assimilation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 87. 101098. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.101098

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Thornton, H. E., Scaife, A., Hoskins, B., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Smith, D., Dunstone, N., Stringer, N. and Bett, P. E. (2019) Skilful seasonal prediction of winter gas demand. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (2). 024009. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaf338

Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Roberts, M. J., Roberts, C. D., Matsueda, M., Terray, L., Koenigk, T. and Senan, R. (2019) Multi-model evaluation of the sensitivity of the global energy budget and hydrological cycle to resolution. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6817-6846. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4547-y

Vautard, R., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Alvarez-Castro, C., Bellprat, O., Christiansen, B., Colfescu, I., Cowan, T., Doblas-Reyes, F., Eden, J., Hauser, M., Hegerl, G., Hempelmann, N., Klehmet, K., Lott, F., Nangini, C., Orth, R., Radanovics, S., Seneviratne, S. I., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Stott, P., Tett, S., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Yiou, P. (2019) Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 1187-1210. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6

Voldoire, A., Exarchou, E., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Demissie, T., Deppenmeier, A.-L., Frauen, C., Goubanova, K., Hazeleger, W., Keenlyside, N., Koseki, S., Prodhomme, C., Shonk, J., Toniazzo, T. and Traoré, A.-K. (2019) Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3481-3504. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04717-0

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) The impact of air-sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 7027-7044. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04973-0

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, J. H., Keane, R. J., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2019) ‘Eastern African paradox’ rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense long rains. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2. 34. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-019-0091-7

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N., Lewinschal, A., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Mechanisms for a remote response to Asian aerosol emissions in boreal winter. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 9081-9095. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acp-19-9081-2019

Wood, R. A., Rodríguez, J. M., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Jackson, L. C. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 6815-6834. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04956-1

Yang, Q., Ma, Z., Wu, P., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Zhang, L. (2019) Interdecadal seesaw of precipitation variability between North China and the Southwest US. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 2951-2968. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0082.1

Zanna, L., Khatiwala, S., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Ison, J. and Heimbach, P. (2019) Global reconstruction of historical ocean heat storage and transport. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116 (4). pp. 1126-1131. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1808838115

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y.‐O., Marsh, R., Yeager, S. G., Amrhein, D. E. and Little, C. M. (2019) A review of the role of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in Atlantic multidecadal variability and associated climate impacts. Reviews of Geophysics, 57 (2). pp. 316-375. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1029/2019RG000644

Zhang, W., Mei, X., Geng, X., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Jin, F.-F. (2019) A nonstationary ENSO-NAO relationship due to AMO modulation. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 33-43. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0365.1

Zhang, W., Wang, Z., Stuecker, M. F., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Jin, F.-F. and Geng, X. (2019) Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnections to the NAO. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 257-274. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4135-1

Zhao, Y.-B., Liang, X. S., Guan, Z. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2019) The asymmetric eddy-background flow interaction in the North Pacific storm track. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (719). pp. 575-596. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3453

de Abreu, R. C., Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Rudorff, N., Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Lott, F. C. and Sparrow, S. N. (2019) Contribution of anthropogenic climate change to April-May 2017 heavy precipitation over the Uruguay River basin. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0102.1

van der Wiel, K., Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Stoop, L., Blackport, R., Screen, J. and Selten, F. M. (2019) The influence of weather regimes on European renewable energy production and demand. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (9). 094010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab38d3

2018

Alexander-Turner, R., Ortega, P. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2018) How robust are the surface temperature fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on monthly time‐scales? Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (8). pp. 3559-3567. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2017GL076759

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2018) Overview of climate models and tropical extremes. In: Vuruputur, V., Sukhatme, J., Murtugudde, R. and Roca, R. (eds.) Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends. Elsevier, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9780128092484

Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Paynter, D., Silvers, L. G., Zhou, C., Mauritsen, T., Webb, M. J., Armour, K. C., Forster, P. M. and Titchner, H. (2018) Accounting for changing temperature patterns increases historical estimates of climate sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (16). pp. 8490-8499. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2018GL078887

Asfaw, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brown, M., Nicklin, K. J., Otu-Larbi, F., Pinnington, E., Challinor, A., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 and Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2018) TAMSAT-ALERT v1: a new framework for agricultural decision support. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (6). pp. 2353-2371. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-2353-2018

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Weisheimer, A. and Scaife, A. A. (2018) An intercomparison of skill and overconfidence/underconfidence of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in multimodel seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (15). pp. 7808-7817. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2018GL078838

Balaji, V., Taylor, K. E., Juckes, M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Durack, P. J., Lautenschlager, M., Blanton, C., Cinquini, L., Denvil, S., Elkington, M., Guiglielmo, F., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Kharin, S., Kindermann, S., Nikonov, S., Radhakrishnan, A., Stockhause, M., Weigel, T. and Williams, D. (2018) Requirements for a global data infrastructure in support of CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (9). pp. 3659-3680. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-3659-2018

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Coker, P. J. and Thornton, H. E. (2018) The changing sensitivity of power systems to meteorological drivers: a case study of Great Britain. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (5). 054028. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabff9

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2018) A critical assessment of the long term changes in the wintertime surface Arctic Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere storminess in the ERA20C reanalysis. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (9). 094004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aad5c5

Boljka, L., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 and Blackburn, M. (2018) On the coupling between barotropic and baroclinic modes of extratropical atmospheric variability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1853-1871. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0370.1

Booth, B. B., Harris, G. R., Jones, A., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Hawcroft, M. and Carslaw, K. S. (2018) Comments on “rethinking the lower bound on aerosol radiative forcing”. Journal of Climate, 31 (22). pp. 9407-9412. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0369.1

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2018) Weather, climate and the nature of predictability. In: Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry. Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 85-95. ISBN 9783319684178 doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_6

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2018) The nature of weather and climate impacts in the energy sector. In: Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry. Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 151-160. ISBN 9783319684178 doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_11

Ceppi, P., Zappa, G., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968 and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2018) Fast and slow components of the extratropical atmospheric circulation response to CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 31 (3). pp. 1091-1105. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0323.1

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Ferranti, L. and Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2018) The influence of the stratospheric state on North Atlantic weather regimes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (713). pp. 1140-1151. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3280

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2018) Drivers of the severity of the extreme hot summer of 2015 in western China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 32 (6). pp. 1002-1010. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: 10.1007/s13351-018-8004-y

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Dimri, A. P. and Thayyen, R. J. (2018) Climate change over Leh (Ladakh), India. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 131 (1-2). pp. 531-545. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-016-1989-1

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hannah, S. (2018) Projected changes in the Asian-Australian monsoon region in 1.5°C and 2.0°C global-warming scenarios. Earth's Future, 6 (3). pp. 339-358. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1002/2017EF000734

Christiansen, B., Alvarez-Castro, C., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Colfescu, I., Cowan, T., Eden, J., Hauser, M., Hempelmann, N., Klehmet, K., Lott, F., Nangini, C., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Orth, R., Stott, P., Tett, S., Vautard, R., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Yiou, P. (2018) Was the cold European winter 2009-2010 modified by anthropogenic climate change? An attribution study. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-17-0589.1

Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Bohnenstengel, S. I. and Kotthaus, S. (2018) Detection of sea-breeze events around London using a fuzzy-logic algorithm. Atmospheric Science Letters, 19 (9). e846. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.846

Collins, M., Minobe, S., Barreiro, M., Bordoni, S., Kaspi, Y., Kuwano-Yoshida, A., Keenlyside, N., Manzini, E., O'Reilly, C. H., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Xie, S.-P. and Zolina, O. (2018) Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 8. pp. 101-108. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8

Curio, J., Chen, Y., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Wong, K. C., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Li, Y. (2018) Comparison of a manual and an automated tracking method for Tibetan Plateau vortices. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 965-980. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7278-4

Day, J. J., Holland, M. M. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2018) Seasonal differences in the response of Arctic cyclones to climate change in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, 50 (9-10). pp. 3885-3903. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3767-x

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Karoly, D. J., Donat, M. G., Lewis, S. C. and Alexander, L. V. (2018) Understanding the role of sea surface temperature-forcing for variability in global temperature and precipitation extremes. Weather and Climate Extremes, 21. pp. 1-9. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2018.06.002

Dunning, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2018) Later wet seasons with more intense rainfall over Africa under future climate change. Journal of Climate, 31. pp. 9719-9738. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0102.1

George, G., Sarangi, C., Tripathi, S. N., Chakraborty, T. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2018) Vertical structure and radiative forcing of monsoon clouds over Kanpur during the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123 (4). pp. 2152-2174. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2017JD027759

Goelzer, H., Nowicki, S., Edwards, T., Beckley, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Calov, R., Gagliardini, O., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Greve, R., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Kennedy, J. H., Larour, E., Lipscomb, W. H., Le clec'h, S., Lee, V., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Payne, A. J., Rodehacke, C., Rückamp, M., Saito, F., Schlegel, N., Seroussi, H., Shepherd, A., Sun, S., van de Wal, R. and Ziemen, F. A. (2018) Design and results of the ice sheet model initialisation initMIP-Greenland: an ISMIP6 intercomparison. The Cryosphere, 12 (4). pp. 1433-1460. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-12-1433-2018

Goulart, E. V., Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 and Belcher, S. E. (2018) Dispersion of a passive scalar within and above an urban street network. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 166 (3). pp. 351-366. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-017-0315-5

Grose, M. R., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Colman, R. and Andrews, T. (2018) What climate sensitivity index is most useful for projections? Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (3). pp. 1559-1566. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2017GL075742

Guo, L., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Stephan, C. C. (2018) The contributions of local and remote atmospheric moisture fluxes to East Asian precipitation and its variability. Climate Dynamics, 51 (11-12). pp. 4139-4156. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-4064-4

Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Ambaum, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2018) An adiabatic mechanism for the reduction of jet meander amplitude by potential vorticity filamentation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75. pp. 4091-4106. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-18-0136.1

Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675, Soulhac, L., Fuka, V., Auerswald, T., Carpentieri, M., Hayden, P., Robins, A., Xie, Z.-T. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2018) Evaluation of fast atmospheric dispersion models in a regular street network. Environmental Fluid Mechanics, 18 (4). pp. 1007-1044. ISSN 1567-7419 doi: 10.1007/s10652-018-9587-7

Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2018) The impact of Indian Ocean mean-state biases in climate models on the representation of the East African short rains. Journal of Climate, 31 (16). pp. 6611-6631. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0804.1

Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2018) The impact of air–sea interactions on the representation of tropical precipitation extremes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (2). pp. 550-559. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1002/2017MS001252

Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2018) Characterizing the synoptic expression of the Angola low. Journal of Climate, 31 (17). pp. 7147-7165. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0017.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Curio, J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2018) Subtropical westerly jet influence on occurrence of western disturbances and Tibetan plateau vortices. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (16). pp. 8629-8636. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2018GL077734

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2018) Extreme daily rainfall in Pakistan and north India: scale-interactions, mechanisms, and precursors. Monthly Weather Review, 146 (4). pp. 1005-1022. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-17-0258.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2018) The evolution, seasonality, and impacts of western disturbances. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 278-290. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3200

Hyder, P., Edwards, J. M., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hewitt, H. T., Bracegirdle, T. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wood, R. A., Meijers, A. J. S., Mulcahy, J., Field, P., Furtado, K., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Williams, K. D., Copsey, D., Josey, S. A., Liu, C., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez, C., Ridley, J., Thorpe, L., Hardiman, S. C., Mayer, M., Berry, D. I. and Belcher, S. E. (2018) Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors. Nature Communications, 9 (1). 3625. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-05634-2

Kamieniecki, J. A., Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2018) The implications of an idealised large-scale circulation for mechanical work done by tropical convection. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (8). pp. 2533-2547. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0314.1

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Jones, C. G., Sellar, A., Storkey, D., Blockley, E., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Graham, T., Ridley, J., Blaker, A., Calvert, D., Copsey, D., Ellis, R., Hewitt, H., Hyder, P., Ineson, S., Mulcahy, J., Siahaan, A. and Walton, J. (2018) The low-resolution version of HadGEM3 GC3.1: development and evaluation for global climate. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (11). pp. 2865-2888. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1029/2018MS001370

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Rezny, M., Budich, R., Bauer, P., Behrens, J., Carter, M., Deconinck, W., Ford, R., Maynard, C., Mullerworth, S., Osuna, C., Porter, A., Serradell, K., Valcke, S., Wedi, N. and Wilson, S. (2018) Crossing the chasm: how to develop weather and climate models for next generation computers? Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (5). pp. 1799-1821. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-1799-2018

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Vinayachandran, P. N., Matthews, A. J., Kumar, K. V., Sanchez-Franks, A., Thushara, V., George, J., Vijith, V., Webber, B. G. M., Queste, B. Y., Roy, R., Sarkar, A., Baranowski, D. B., Bhat, G. S., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Peatman, S. C., Parida, C., Heywood, K. J., Hall, R., Kent, B., King, E. C., Nayak, A. A., Neema, C. P., Amol, P., Lotliker, A., Kankonkar, A., Gracias, D. G., Vernekar, S., Souza, A. C. D., Valluvan, G., Pargaonkar, S. M., Dinesh, K., Giddings, J. and Joshi, M. (2018) BoBBLE: ocean-atmosphere interaction and its impact on the South Asian monsoon. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). pp. 1569-1587. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0230.1

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Yiou, P., Hauser, M., Lott, F. C., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Colfescu, I., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hegerl, G., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change. Climate Dynamics, 50 (9-10). pp. 3537-3555. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3822-7

Williams, K. D., Copsey, D., Blockley, E. W., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Calvert, D., Comer, R., Davis., P., Graham, T., Hewitt, H. T., Hill, R., Hyder, P., Ineson, S., Johns, T. C., Keen, A. B., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Megann, A., Milton, S. F., Rae, J. G. L., Roberts, M. J., Scaife, A. A., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Storkey, D., Thorpe, L., Watterson, I. G., Walters, D. N., West, A., Wood, R. A., Woollings, T. and Xavier, P. K. (2018) The Met Office Global Coupled model 3.0 and 3.1 (GC3.0 & GC3.1) configurations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (2). pp. 357-380. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1002/2017MS001115

Wolf, G., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Czaja, A. (2018) Quasi-stationary waves and their impact on European weather and extreme events. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717). pp. 2431-2448. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3310

Wong, K. C., Liu, S., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, R. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2018) Different Asian monsoon rainfall responses to idealised orography sensitivity experiments in the HadGEM3-GA6 and FGOALS-FAMIL global climate models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 1049-1062. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7269-5

Woollings, T., Barnes, E., Hoskins, B., Kwon, Y.-O., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Li, C., Madonna, E., McGraw, M., Parker, T., Rodrigues, R., Spensberger, C. and Williams, K. (2018) Daily to decadal modulation of jet variability. Journal of Climate, 31 (4). pp. 1297-1314. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0286.1

Woollings, T., Barriopedro, D., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Son, S.-W., Martius, O., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Sillmann, J., Lupo, A. R. and Seneviratne, S. (2018) Blocking and its response to climate change. Current Climate Change Reports, 4 (3). pp. 287-300. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: 10.1007/s40641-018-0108-z

Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2018) The Madden-Julian Oscillation. In: Robertson, A. W. and Vitart, F. (eds.) Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting. Elsevier, pp. 93-117. ISBN 9780128117149 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00005-X

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Hoskins, B. (2018) Linking African easterly wave activity with equatorial waves and the influence of Rossby waves from the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1783-1809. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0184.1

Young, M. P., Chiu, J. C., Williams, C. J. R., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Stengel, M., Fielding, M. D. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2018) Spatio-temporal variability of warm rain events over southern West Africa from geostationary satellite observations for climate monitoring and model evaluation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (716). pp. 2311-2330. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3372

Zhang, L., Zhou, T., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Wu, P. and Roberts, M. (2018) The effect of horizontal resolution on the representation of the global monsoon annual cycle in Atmospheric General Circulation Models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 1003-1020. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7273-9

de Mora, L., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Sellar, A., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E., Jones, C. and Allen, J. I. (2018) BGC-val: a model- and grid-independent Python toolkit to evaluate marine biogeochemical models. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (10). pp. 4215-4240. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-11-4215-2018

2017

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Global energy budget: elusive origin of warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 7 (5). pp. 316-317. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3282

Balaji, V., Maisonnave, E., Zadeh, N., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Biercamp, J., Fladrich, U., Aloisio, G., Benson, R., Caubel, A., Durachta, J., Foujols, M.-A., Lister, G., Mocavero, S., Underwood, S. and Wright, G. (2017) CPMIP: measurements of real computational performance of Earth system models in CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 19-34. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-19-2017

Berner, J., Achatz, U., Batte, L., Bengtsson, L., De La Camara, A., Christensen, H. M., Colangeli, M., Coleman, D. R. B., Crommelin, D., Dolaptchiev, S. I., Franzke, C. L. E., Friederichs, P., Imkeller, P., Jarvinen, H., Juricke, S., Kitsios, V., Lott, F., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Mahajan, S., Palmer, T. N., Penland, C., Sakradzija, M., Von Storch, J.-S., Weisheimer, A., Weniger, M., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Yano, J.-I. (2017) Stochastic parameterization: towards a new view of weather and climate models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (3). pp. 565-588. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00268.1

Bethke, I., Outten, S., Otterå, O. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Wagner, S., Sigl, M. and Thorne, P. (2017) Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability. Nature Climate Change, 7 (11). pp. 799-805. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3394

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2017) The impact of climate variability and climate change on the GB power system. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Brown, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. and Otu-Larbi, F. (2017) Monitoring drought in Ghana using TAMSAT-ALERT: a new decision support system. Weather, 72 (7). pp. 201-205. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.3033

Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Drew, D. (2017) Determining the bounds of skilful forecast range for probabilistic prediction of system-wide wind power generation. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 26 (3). pp. 239-252. ISSN 0941-2948 doi: 10.1127/metz/2016/0751

Castro, I. P., Xie, Z.-T., Fuka, V., Robins, A. G., Carpentieri, M., Hayden, P., Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675 and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2017) Measurements and computations of flow in an urban street system. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 162 (2). pp. 207-230. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-016-0200-7

Chun, H.-Y., Kim, J.-H., Lee, D.-B., Kim, S.-H., Strahan, M., Pettegrew, B., Gill, P., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Schumann, U., Tenenbaum, J., Lee, Y.-G., Choi, H.-W., Song, I.-S., Park, Y.-J. and Sharman, R. D. (2017) Research collaborations for better predictions of aviation weather hazards. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (5). ES103-ES107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/bams-d-17-0010.1

Day, J. J., Svensson, G., Brooks, I. M., Bitz, C., Broman, L., Carver, G., Chevallier, M., Goessling, H., Hartung, K., Jung, T., Kay, J. E., Kolstad, E. W., Perovich, D., Screen, J., Siemen, S. and Váňa, F. (2017) The Abisko Polar Prediction School. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (3). pp. 445-447. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0119.1

De Leeuw, J., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Blackburn, M. (2017) Physical factors influencing regional precipitation variability attributed using an airmass trajectory method. Journal of Climate, 30 (18). pp. 7359-7378. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0547.1

Dimri, A. P., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Niyogi, D., Thayyen, R. J., Ray, K., Tripathi, S. N., Pandey, A. K. and Mohanty, U. C. (2017) Cloudbursts in Indian Himalayas: a review. Earth-Science Reviews, 168. pp. 1-23. ISSN 0012-8252 doi: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.03.006

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2017) Understanding the rapid summer warming and changes in temperature extremes since the mid-1990s over Western Europe. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1537-1554. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3158-8

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2017) Attribution of forced decadal climate change in coupled and uncoupled ocean-atmosphere model experiments. Journal of Climate, 30 (16). pp. 6203-6223. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0578.1

Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2017) Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e

Dutra, L. M. M., da Rocha, R. P., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Peres, J. R. R. and de Camargo, R. (2017) Structure and evolution of Subtropical Cyclone Anita as evaluated by heat and vorticity budgets. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (704). pp. 1539-1553. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3024

Efthimiou, G. C., Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675, Andronopoulos, S., Bartzis, J. G. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2017) A statistical model for the prediction of wind-speed probabilities in the atmospheric surface layer. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 163 (2). pp. 179-201. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: 10.1007/s10546-016-0221-2

Fang, Y., Wu, P., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Wu, T., Li, B., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Demory, M.-E. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2017) High-resolution simulation of the boreal summer intra-seasonal oscillation in Met Office unified model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (702). pp. 362-373. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2927

Frame, D., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Harrington, L. J. and de Roiste, M. (2017) Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates. Nature Climate Change, 7 (6). pp. 407-411. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3297

Guo, L., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Demory, M.-E. and Cobb, A. (2017) Contribution of tropical cyclones to atmospheric moisture transport and rainfall over East Asia. Journal of Climate, 30 (10). pp. 3853-3865. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0308.1

Harrington, L. J., Frame, D. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Joshi, M. (2017) Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114039. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa95ae

Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Blower, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Taylor, K. E. (2017) A data model of the Climate and Forecast metadata conventions (CF-1.6) with a software implementation (cf-python v2.1). Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (12). pp. 4619-4646. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-4619-2017

Hauser, M., Gudmundsson, L., Orth, R., Jezequel, A., Haustein, K., Vautard, R., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Seneviratne, S. I. (2017) Methods and model dependency of extreme event attribution: the 2015 European drought. Earth's Future. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1002/2017EF000612

Hawcroft, M., Dacre, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Forbes, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 (2017) Using satellite and reanalysis data to evaluate the representation of latent heating in extratropical cyclones in a climate model. Climate Dynamics, 48 (7). pp. 2255-2278. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3204-6

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Ortega, P., Suckling, E., Schurer, A., Hegerl, G., Jones, P., Joshi, M., Osborn, T. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mignot, J., Thorne, P. and van Oldenborgh, G. J. (2017) Estimating changes in global temperature since the preindustrial period. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (9). pp. 1841-1856. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/bams-d-16-0007.1

Herrera-Ramirez, D., Andreu-Hayles, L., del Valle, J. I., Santos, G. M. and Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 (2017) Nonannual tree rings in a climate-sensitive Prioria copaifera chronology in the Atrato River, Colombia. Ecology and Evolution, 7 (16). pp. 6334-6345. ISSN 2045-7758 doi: 10.1002/ece3.2905

Hunt, K. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2017) The effect of soil moisture perturbations on Indian Monsoon Depressions in a numerical weather prediction model. Journal of Climate, 30 (21). pp. 8811-8823. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0733.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2017) The effect of horizontal resolution on Indian monsoon depressions in the Met Office NWP model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (705). pp. 1756-1771. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.3030

Jackson, L. C., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Wood, R. A. (2017) Ocean and atmosphere feedbacks affecting AMOC hysteresis in a GCM. Climate Dynamics, 49 (1-2). pp. 173-191. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3336-8

Jayakumar, A., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Johnson, S., Rajagopal, E., Mohandas, S. and Mitra, A. (2017) Boreal summer sub-seasonal variability of the South Asian monsoon in the Met Office GloSea5 initialized coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 49 (5-6). pp. 2035-2059. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3423-x

Johnson, S. J., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Martin, G. and MacLachlan, C. (2017) An assessment of Indian monsoon seasonal forecasts and mechanisms underlying monsoon interannual variability in the Met Office GloSea5-GC2 system. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1447-1465. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3151-2

Joshi, M., von Glasow, R., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Paxton, C. G.M., Maycock, A. C., Lunt, D. J., Loptson, C. and Markwick, P. (2017) Global warming and ocean stratification: a potential result of large extraterrestrial impacts. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (8). pp. 3841-3848. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2017GL073330

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Jiang, X., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Waliser, D. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2017) Vertical structure and diabatic processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation. In: Chang, C.-P., Kuo, H.-C., Lau, N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Wheeler, M. C. (eds.) Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast (3rd Edition). World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, New Jersey, pp. 161-172. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: 10.1142/10305

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Martin, G. M. and Moise, A. (2017) ASoP (v1.0): a set of methods for analyzing scales of precipitation in general circulation models. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 57-83. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-57-2017

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Mayer, M., Hyder, P., Loeb, N. G., Roberts, C. D., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Edwards, J. M. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2017) Evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based global net surface energy flux and uncertainty estimates. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122 (12). pp. 6250-6272. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2017JD026616

Liu, H., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2017) Intraseasonal variability of winter precipitation over Central Asia and the Western Tibetan plateau from 1979 to 2013 and its relationship with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 79. pp. 31-42. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2017.07.001

Liu, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yin, Z.-Y., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Guo, Q. (2017) Continental drift and plateau uplift control origination and evolution of Asian and Australian monsoons. Scientific Reports, 7. 40344. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: 10.1038/srep40344

Marotzke, J., Jakob, C., Bony, S., Dirmeyer, P. A., O'Gorman, P. A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Quéré, C. L., Nowicki, S., Paulavets, K., Seneviratne, S. I., Stevens, B. and Tuma, M. (2017) Climate research must sharpen its view. Nature Climate Change, 7 (2). pp. 89-91. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3206

Martin, G. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Moise, A. F. (2017) Connecting spatial and temporal scales of tropical precipitation in observations and the MetUM-GA6. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 105-126. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-105-2017

Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Day, J. J. (2017) Towards seasonal Arctic shipping route predictions. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a60

Mitchell, D., AchutaRao, K., Allen, M., Bethke, I., Ciavarella, A., Forster, P., Fuglestvedt, J., Gillett, N., Haustein, K., Ingram, W., Iversen, T., Kharin, V., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Massey, N., Fischer, E., Schleussner, C.-F., Scinocca, J., Seland, Ø., Shiogama, H., Shuckburgh, E., Sparrow, S., Stone, D., Uhe, P., Urs, B., Wallom, D., Wehner, M. and Zaaboul, R. (2017) Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (2). pp. 571-583. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-571-2017

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Moine, M.-P., Terray, L. and Valcke, S. (2017) Quantifying the impact of early 21st century volcanic eruptions on global-mean surface temperature. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (5). 054010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6cb5

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E. and Boé, J. (2017) On the range of future Sahel precipitation projections and the selection of a sub-sample of CMIP5 models for impact studies. Climate Dynamics, 48 (7-8). pp. 2751-2770. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3236-y

Mora, C., Dousset, B., Caldwell, I. R., Powell, F. E., Geronimo, R. C., Bielecki, C. R., Counsell, C. W. W., Dietrich, B. S., Johnston, E. T., Louis, L. V., Lucas, M. P., McKenzie, M. M., Shea, A. G., Tseng, H., Giambelluca, T. W., Leon, L. R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Trauernicht, C. (2017) Global risk of deadly heat. Nature Climate Change, 7 (7). pp. 501-506. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3322

Ogata, T., Johnson, S. J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Demory, M.-E., Mizuta, R., Yoshida, K. and Arakawa, O. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of the Asian summer monsoon and its inter-model comparison between MRI-AGCM and MetUM. Climate Dynamics, 49 (9-10). pp. 3345-3361. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3517-5

Ortega, P., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Swingedouw, D., Mignot, J. and Nguyen, S. (2017) Reconstructing extreme AMOC events through nudging of the ocean surface: a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 49 (9-10). pp. 3425-3441. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3521-4

Ortega, P., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Andrews, M. B. (2017) Mechanisms of decadal variability in the Labrador Sea and the wider North Atlantic in a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49 (7-8). pp. 2625-2647. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3467-y

Parker, H. R., Boyd, E., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, James, R., Frederike, O. and Myles, A. (2017) Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate. Climate Policy, 17 (4). pp. 533-550. ISSN 1469-3062 doi: 10.1080/14693062.2015.1124750

Peyron, O., Combourieu-Nebout, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Goring, S., Andrieu-Ponel, V., Desprat, S., Fletcher, W., Gambin, B., Ioakim, C., Joannin, S., Kotthoff, U., Kouli, K., Montade, V., Pross, J., Sadori, L. and Magny, M. (2017) Precipitation changes in the Mediterranean basin during the Holocene from terrestrial and marine pollen records: a model–data comparison. Climate of the Past, 13 (3). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-2016-65

Santer, B. D., Fyfe, J. C., Pallotta, G., Flato, G. M., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Mann, M. E., Painter, J. F., Bonfils, C., Cvijanovic, I., Mears, C., Wentz, F. J., Po-Chedley, S., Fu, Q. and Zou, C.-Z. (2017) Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates. Nature Geoscience, 10 (7). pp. 478-485. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2973

Santos-Alamillos, F. J., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Thomaidis, N. S., Ruiz-Arias, J. A. and Pozo-Vazquez, D. (2017) Exploring the meteorological potential for planning a high performance European Electricity Super-grid: optimal power capacity distribution among countries. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114030. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f18

Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Demory, M.-E., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Strachan, J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Matsueda, M., Wehner, M. F. and Jung, T. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere blocking in four 25-km atmospheric global circulation models. Journal of Climate, 30 (1). pp. 337-358. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0100.1

Schneidereit, A., Peters, D. H. W., Grams, C. M., Keller, J. H., Wolf, G., Teubler, F., Riemer, M. and Martius, O. (2017) Enhanced tropospheric wave forcing of two anticyclones in the prephase of the January 2009 major stratospheric sudden warming event. Monthly Weather Review, 145 (5). pp. 1797-1815. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0242.1

Schurer, A. P., Mann, M. E., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Tett, S. F. B. and Hegerl, G. C. (2017) Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals. Nature Climate Change, 7 (8). pp. 563-567. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3345

Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Dixon, R. (2017) Extra-tropical cyclones. In: Foote, M., Hillier, J., Mitchell-Wallace, K. and Jones, M. (eds.) Natural Catastrophe Risk Management and Modelling: A Practitioners Guide. Wiley, Hoboken, USA, pp. 202-208, Chapter 3.3. ISBN 9781118906040 doi: 10.1002/9781118906057

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Sperber, K. R., Cusiner, E., Kitoh, A., Mechoso, C. R., Moise, A., Moufouma-Okia, W., Schiro, K. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2017) Chapter 7: Modelling monsoons. In: Chang, C.-P., Kuo, H.-C., Lau, N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Wheeler, M. C. (eds.) The Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast, 3rd edition. World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, Singapore, pp. 79-101. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: 10.1142/9789813200913_0007

Storer, L. N., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Joshi, M. M. (2017) Global response of clear-air turbulence to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (19). pp. 9976-9984. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2017GL074618

Suckling, E. B., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Eden, J. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2017) An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 48 (9). pp. 3115-3138. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3255-8

Swingedouw, D., Mignot, J., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Nguyen, S. and Ormières, L. (2017) Tentative reconstruction of the 1998–2012 hiatus in global temperature warming using the IPSL–CM5A–LR climate model. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 349 (8). pp. 369-379. ISSN 16310713 doi: 10.1016/j.crte.2017.09.014

Valdes, P. J., Armstrong, E., Badger, M. P. S., Bradshaw, C. D., Bragg, F., Davies-Barnard, T., Day, J. J., Farnsworth, A., Hopcroft, P. O., Kennedy, A. T., Lord, N. S., Lunt, D. J., Marzocchi, A., Parry, L. M., Roberts, W. H. G., Stone, E. J., Tourte, G. J. L. and Williams, J. H. T. (2017) The BRIDGE HadCM3 family of climate models: HadCM3@Bristol v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 10. pp. 3715-3743. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-2017-16

Vitart, F., Ardilouze, C., Bonet, A., Brookshaw, A., Chen, M., Codorean, C., Deque, M., Ferranti, L., Fucile, E., Fuentes, M., Hendon, H., Hodgson, J., Kang, H. S., Kumar, A., Lin, H., Liu, G., Liu, X., Malguzzi, P., Mallas, I., Manoussakis, M., Mastrangelo, D., MacLachlan, C., McLean, P., Minami, A., Mladek, R., Nakazawa, T., Najim, S., Nie, Y., Rixen, M., Robertson, A. W., Ruti, P., Sun, C., Takaya, Y., Tlostykh, M., Venuti, F., Waliser, D., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Wu, T., Won, D.-J., Xiao, H., Zaripov, R. and Zhang, L. (2017) The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction (S2S) project database. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (1). pp. 163-173. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0017.1

Volpi, D., Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2017) Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1841-1853. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3176-6

Walters, D., Brooks, M., Boutle, I., Melvin, T., Stratton, R., Vosper, S., Wells, H., Williams, K., Wood, N., Allen, T., Bushell, A., Copsey, D., Earnshaw, P., Edwards, J., Gross, M., Hardiman, S., Harris, C., Heming, J., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Levine, R., Manners, J., Martin, G., Milton, S., Mittermaier, M., Morcrette, C., Riddick, T., Roberts, M., Sanchez, C., Selwood, P., Stirling, A., Smith, C., Suri, D., Tennant, W., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Wilkinson, J., Willett, M., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Xavier, P. (2017) The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 6.0/6.1 and JULES Global Land 6.0/6.1 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (4). pp. 1487-1520. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-1487-2017

Willetts, P. D., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Martin, G. M., Mrudula, G., Hunt, K. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Parker, D. J., Taylor, C. M., Birch, C. E., Mitra, A. K., Heming, J. T. and Brooks, M. E. (2017) The 2015 Indian summer monsoon onset - phenomena, forecasting and research flight planning. Weather, 72 (6). pp. 168-175. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.2819

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2017) Increased light, moderate, and severe clear-air turbulence in response to climate change. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34 (5). pp. 576-586. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6268-2

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Alexander, M. J., Barnes, E. A., Butler, A. H., Davies, H. C., Garfinkel, C. I., Kushnir, Y., Lane, T. P., Lundquist, J. K., Martius, O., Maue, R. N., Peltier, W. R., Sato, K., Scaife, A. A. and Zhang, C. (2017) A census of atmospheric variability from seconds to decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (21). pp. 11201-11211. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2017GL075483

Wolf, E., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Friedlingstein, P., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Haigh, J., Haines, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Hoskins, B., Mace, G., Prentice, I. C., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978, Smith, P., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Turley, C., (2017) Climate updates: what have we learnt since the IPCC 5th Assessment Report? Report. The Royal Society, London, UK. pp36. ISBN 9781782523062

Yang, G. -Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Hoskins, B. (2017) The equivalent barotropic structure of waves in the tropical atmosphere in the Western Hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 74 (6). pp. 1689-1704. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-16-0267.1

Yeager, S. G. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2017) Recent progress in understanding and predicting Atlantic decadal climate variability. Current Climate Change Reports, 3 (2). pp. 112-127. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: 10.1007/s40641-017-0064-z

de Souza Custodio, M., da Rocha, R. P., Ambrizzi, T., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Demory, M.-E. (2017) Impact of increased horizontal resolution in coupled and atmosphere-only models of the HadGEM1 family upon the climate patterns of South America. Climate Dynamics, 48 (9). pp. 3341-3364. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3271-8

2016

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Lavers, D. A. and Champion, A. J. (2016) Diagnosing links between atmospheric moisture and extreme daily precipitation over the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (9). pp. 3191-3206. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: 10.1002/joc.4547

Allen, R. J., Landuyt, W. and Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541 (2016) An increase in aerosol burden and radiative effects in a warmer world. Nature Climate Change, 6. pp. 269-274. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate2827

Anderson, T. R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Jones, P. D. (2016) CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models. Endeavour, 40 (3). pp. 178-187. ISSN 0160-9327 doi: 10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002

Balan Sarojini, B., Stott, P. A. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2016) Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation. Nature Climate Change, 6 (7). pp. 669-675. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2976

Barlow, M., Zaitchik, B., Paz, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Evans, J. and Hoell, A. (2016) A review of drought in the Middle East and Southwest Asia. Journal of Climate, 29 (23). pp. 8547-8574. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00692.1

Behrens, E., Rickard, G., Morgenstern, O., Martin, T., Osprey, A. and Joshi, M. (2016) Southern Ocean deep convection in global climate models: a driver for variability of subpolar gyres and Drake Passage transport on decadal time scales. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (6). pp. 3905-3925. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: 10.1002/2015JC011286

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Greatrex, H., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 and Young, M. (2016) Incorporating satellite data into weather index-based insurance. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (10). ES203-ES206. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0148.1

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Greatrex, H., Mookerjee, A., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 and Brown, M. (2016) The use of remotely sensed rainfall for managing drought risk: a case study of weather index insurance in Zambia. Remote Sensing, 8 (4). 342. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: 10.3390/rs8040342

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Coker, P. J. and Thornton, H. E. (2016) Quantifying the increasing sensitivity of power systems to climate variability. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (12). 124025. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124025

Daleu, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2075-4902, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang, S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2016) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation. 2: comparison over non-uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 387-405. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: 10.1002/2015MS000570

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S., Collins, M., Goessling, H. F., Guemas, V., Guillory, A., Hurlin, W. J., Ishii, M., Keeley, S. P. E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Sigmond, M., Tatebe, H. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2016) The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (6). pp. 2255-2270. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-2255-2016

DeMott, C. A., Benedict, J. J., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Randall, D. A. (2016) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the MJO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (14). pp. 8350-8373. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2016JD025098

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Karoly, D. J., Lewis, S. C., Alexander, L. V. and Donat, M. G. (2016) A multiregion model evaluation and attribution study of historical changes in the area affected by temperature and precipitation extremes. Journal of Climate, 29 (23). pp. 8285-8299. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0164.1

Donat, M. G., Alexander, L. V., Herold, N. and Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869 (2016) Temperature and precipitation extremes in century-long gridded observations, reanalyses, and atmospheric model simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (19). 11,174-11,189. ISSN 2169-897X doi: 10.1002/2016JD025480

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2016) The 2015 European heat wave. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97. S57-S62. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0140.1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Chen, W., Liu, X., Lu, R. and Sun, Y. (2016) Abrupt summer warming and changes in temperature extremes over Northeast Asia since the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33 (9). pp. 1005-1023. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: 10.1007/s00376-016-5247-3

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Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2016) The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (19). pp. 11405-11424. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2016JD025428

Edinburgh, T. and Day, J. J. (2016) Estimating the extent of Antarctic summer sea ice during the Heroic Age of Antarctic Exploration. The Cryosphere, 10 (6). pp. 2721-2730. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-10-2721-2016

Eyring, V., Gleckler, P. J., Heinze, C., Stouffer, R. J., Taylor, K. E., Balaji, V., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Joussaume, S., Kindermann, S., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Meehl, G. A., Righi, M. and Williams, D. N. (2016) Towards improved and more routine Earth system model evaluation in CMIP. Earth System Dynamics, 7 (4). pp. 813-830. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-7-813-2016

Fyfe, J. C., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Mann, M. E., Santer, B. D., Flato, G. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Gillett, N. P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y. and Swart, N. C. (2016) Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 224-228. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2938

Goessling, H. F., Jung, T., Klebe, S., Baeseman, J., Bauer, P., Chen, P., Chevallier, M., Dole, R., Gordon, N., Ruti, P., Bradley, A., Bromwich, D. H., Casati, B., Chechin, D., Day, J. J., Massonnet, F., Mills, B., Renfrew, I., Smith, G. and Tatusko, R. (2016) Paving the way for the year of polar prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (4). ES85-ES88. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00270.1

Goessling, H. F., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Jung, T. (2016) Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (4). pp. 1642-1650. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL067232

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Birch, C. E., Roberts, M. J., Garcia-Carreras, L., Ackerley, D., Reeder, M. J., Lock, A. P. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2015) Sea-breeze dynamics and convection initiation: the influence of convective parameterization in weather and climate model biases. Journal of Climate, 28 (20). pp. 8093-8108. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00850.1

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Brown, S., Aplin, K. L., Jenkins, K., Mander, S., Walsh, C. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2015) Is there a Rhythm Of The Rain? An analysis of weather in popular music. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 198-204. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.2464

Burgess, M. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2015) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme cold winters in the UK. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 211-217. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.2476

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Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jacobs, P., Mann, M. E., Miller, S. K., Steinman, B. A., Stolpe, M. B. and Way, R. G. (2015) Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (15). pp. 6526-6534. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064888

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DeMott, C. A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1002/2014RG000478

Drew, D., Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. and Coker, P. (2015) The impact of future offshore wind farms on wind power generation in Great Britain. Resources, 4 (1). pp. 155-171. ISSN 2079-9276 doi: 10.3390/resources4010155

Drushka, K., Bellenger, H., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J. and Madec, G. (2015) Processes driving intraseasonal displacements of the eastern edge of the warm pool: the contribution of westerly wind events. Climate Dynamics, 44 (3-4). pp. 735-755. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2297-z

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Eden, J., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Suckling, E. B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015

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Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wood, R. A. (2015) A mechanism of internal decadal atlantic ocean variability in a high-resolution coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 28 (19). pp. 7764-7785. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0106.1

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064360

Nicol, J., Hogan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157, Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Hanley, K., Clark, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Halliwell, C. E., Lean, H. W. and Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 (2015) Convective updraught evaluation in high-resolution NWP simulations using single-Doppler radar measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (693). pp. 3177-3189. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2602

Nowack, P. J., Abraham, N. L., Maycock, A. C., Braesicke, P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Joshi, M. M., Osprey, A. and Pyle, J. A. (2015) A large ozone-circulation feedback and its implications for global warming assessments. Nature Climate Change, 5 (1). pp. 41-45. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2451

Otto, F., Boyd, E., Jones, R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, James, R., Parker, H. R. and Allen, M. (2015) Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications. Climatic Change, 132 (4). pp. 531-543. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0

Parker, H. R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Boyd, E., James, R., Otto, F. E. L. and Allen, M. R. (2015) Implications of event attribution for loss and damage policy. Weather, 70 (9). pp. 268-273. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.2542

Parton, G. A., Donegan, S., Pascoe, S., Stephens, A., Ventouras, S. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2015) MOLES3: implementing an ISO standards driven data catalogue. International Journal of Digital Curation, 10 (1). pp. 249-259. ISSN 1746-8256 doi: 10.2218/ijdc.v10i1.365

Prakash, S., Mitra, A. K., Momin, I. M., Rajagopal, E. N., Basu, S., Collins, M., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Achuto Rao, K. and Ashok, K. (2015) Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9). pp. 2326-2338. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.4129

Ray, S., Swingedouw, D., Mignot, J. and Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 (2015) Effect of surface restoring on subsurface variability in a climate model during 1949-2005. Climate Dynamics, 44 (9-10). pp. 2333-2349. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2358-3

Roberts, J., Plummer, C., Vance, T., van Ommen, T., Moy, A., Poynter, S., Treverrow, A., Curran, M. and George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2015) A 2000-year annual record of snow accumulation rates for Law Dome, East Antarctica. Climate of the Past, 11 (5). pp. 697-707. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-11-697-2015

Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Mizielinski, M. S., Demory, M.-E., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Strachan, J., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Bel, R. and Camp, J. (2015) Tropical cyclones in the UPSCALE ensemble of high resolution global climate models. Journal of Climate, 28 (2). pp. 574-596. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00131.1

Saenko, O. A., Yang, D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Spence, P. and Myers, P. G. (2015) Separating the influence of projected changes in air temperature and wind on patterns of sea level change and ocean heat content. Journal of Geophysical Research, 120 (8). pp. 5749-5765. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2015JC010928

Sherwood, S. C., Bony, S., Boucher, O., Bretherton, C., Forster, P. M., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Stevens, B. (2015) Adjustments in the forcing-feedback framework for understanding climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 217-228. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00167.1

Sippel, S., Mitchell, D., Black, M. T., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Harrington, L., Schaller, N. and Otto, F. E. L. (2015) Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9. pp. 25-35. ISSN 22120947 doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2015.06.004

Smith, D. M., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Coward, A. C., Eade, R., Hyder, P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, C. D. and Scaife, A. A. (2015) Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1205-1213. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062669

Smith, L. A., Suckling, E. B., Thompson, E. L., Maynard, T. and Du, H. (2015) Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 31-45. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1430-2

Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Parker, D. J., Hogan, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157, Birch, C., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Lister, G., Marsham, J. H. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2015) The representation of the West-African Monsoon vertical cloud structure in the Met Office Unified Model: an evaluation with CloudSat. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2614

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Kay, J. E. and Jahn, A. (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2483

Walsh, K. J. E., Camargo, S. J., Vecchi, G. A., Daloz, A. S., Elsner, J., Emanuel, K., Horn, M., Lim, Y.-K., Roberts, M., Patricola, C., Scoccimarro, E., Sobel, A. H., Strazzo, S., Villarini, G., Wehner, M., Zhao, M., Kossin, J. P., LaRow, T., Oouchi, K., Schubert, S., Wang, H., Bacmeister, J., Chang, P., Chauvin, F., Jablonowski, C., Kumar, A., Murakami, H., Ose, T., Reed, K. A., Saravanan, R., Yamada, Y., Zarzycki, C. M., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Jonas, J. A. and Henderson, N. (2015) Hurricanes and climate: the U.S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (6). pp. 997-1017. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00242.1

Wesselink, A., Challinor, A. J., Watson, J., Beven, K., Allen, I., Hanlon, H., Lopez, A., Lorenz, S., Otto, F., Morse, A., Rye, C., Saux-Picard, S., Stainforth, D. and Suckling, E. B. (2015) Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1213-1

Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Highwood, E. (2015) The 2014 hot, dry summer in Northeast Asia. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (12). S105-S110. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00123.1

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J., Booth, B. B. B. and Carslaw, K. S. (2015) Quantifying sources of inter-model diversity in the cloud albedo effect. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (5). pp. 1568-1575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL063301

Williams, P. D. and Kelsall, C. W. (2015) The dynamics of Baroclinic Zonal jets. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (3). pp. 1137-1151. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0027.1

Woollings, T., Franzke, C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Barnes, E. A., Raible, C. C. and Pinto, J. G. (2015) Contrasting interannual and multidecadal NAO variability. Climate Dynamics, 45 (1-2). pp. 539-556. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2237-y

Xavier, P. K., Petch, J. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Jiang, X., Waliser, D. E., Caian, M., Cole, J., Hagos, S. M., Hannay, C., Kim, D., Miyakawa, T., Pritchard, M. S., Roehrig, R., Shindo, E., Vitart, F. and Wang, H. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Biases and uncertainties at short range. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4749-4763. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022718

Xie, S.-P., Deser, C., Vecchi, G. A., Collins, M., Delworth, T. L., Hall, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Johnson, N. C., Cassou, C., Giannini, A. and Watanabe, M. (2015) Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 921-930. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate2689

Zappa, G., Hawcroft, M. K., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2015) Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8). pp. 1727-1738. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2426-8

Zhang, W., Li, H., Jin, F. F., Stuecker, M. F., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2015) The annual-cycle modulation of meridional asymmetry in ENSO’s atmospheric response and its dependence on ENSO zonal structure. Journal of Climate, 28 (14). pp. 5795-5812. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00724.1

Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2015) Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20). pp. 8570-8576. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL065703

de Leeuw, J., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Blackburn, M. (2015) Evaluation of ERA-Interim reanalysis precipitation products using England and Wales observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 798-806. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2395

von Larcher, T. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, eds. (2015) Modeling atmospheric and oceanic flows: insights from laboratory experiments and numerical simulations. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, pp368. ISBN 9781118855935

2014

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Climate change: dichotomy of drought and deluge. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 700-701. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2243

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, M., Smith, D. and Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (15). pp. 5588-5597. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL060962

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Bell, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Strachan, J. and Roberts, M. (2014) Simulation of the global ENSO–Tropical cyclone teleconnection by a high-resolution coupled general circulation model. Journal of Climate, 27 (17). pp. 6404-6422. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00559.1

Bellenger, H., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Leloup, J., Lengaigne, M. and Vialard, J. (2014) ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Climate Dynamics, 42 (7-8). pp. 1999-2018. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1783-z

Bennett, V., Kershaw, P., Pritchard, M., Churchill, J., Del Cano Novales, C., Juckes, M., Pascoe, S., Pepler, S., Stephens, A., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Muller, J.-P., Kaharbouche, S., Latter, B. and Styles, J. (2014) EO science from big EO data on the JASMIN-CEMS infrastructure. In: 2014 conference on Big Data from Space (BiDS’14), 12-14 November 2014, Frascati, pp. 53-55.

Blower, J., Alegre, R., Bennett, V. L., Clifford, D., Kershaw, P. J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lewis, J., Marsh, K., Nagni, M., O'Neill, A. and Phipps, R. (2014) Understanding climate data through commentary metadata: the CHARMe project. Communications in Computer and Information Science, 416. pp. 28-39. ISSN 1865-0929 doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-08425-1_4 (Theory and Practice of Digital Libraries -- TPDL 2013 Selected Workshops)

Brown, S., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Boyd, E., Standley, S., Allen, M., Clement, K., Gonzalo, A., Erwin, G., Michelle, S., Haseeb, I. and Maliha, S., Brown, S., ed. (2014) Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) scoping study: Annex 3 - Early warning system and risk assessment case studies. Climate, Environment, Infrastructure and Livelihoods Professional Evidence and Applied Knowledge Services (CEIL PEAKS) programme. Technical Report. Evidence on Demand with the assistance of the UK Department for International Development (DFID) pp53. doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.june2014.brown

Cai, W., Borlace, S., Lengaigne, M., van Rensch, P., Collins, M., Vecchi, G. A., Timmermann, A., Santoso, A., Mcphaden, M. J., Wu, L., England, M. H., Wang, G., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Jin, F.-F. (2014) Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 4 (2). pp. 111-116. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate2100

Cannon, D. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2014) An aggregated wind power generation model based on MERRA reanalysis data: MATLAB model and example data for the April 2014 wind farm distribution of Great Britain. University of Reading.

Chen, W., Lu, R. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2014) Intensified anticyclonic anomaly over the western North Pacific during El Niño decaying summer under a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (24). pp. 13637-13650. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/2014JD022199

Chen, W., Lu, R. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2014) Revisiting asymmetry for the decaying phases of El Niño and La Niña. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 7 (4). pp. 275-278. ISSN 1674-2834 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.13.0091

Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Goulart, E. V., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2014) Flow structure and near-field dispersion in arrays of building-like obstacles. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 125. pp. 52-68. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: 10.1016/j.jweia.2013.11.013

Cook, P. A. and Renfrew, I. A. (2014) Aircraft-based observations of air–sea turbulent ﬂuxes around the British Isles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 139-152. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2345

Crosier, J., Choularton, T. W., Westbrook, C. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2889-8815, Blyth, A. M., Bower, K. N., Connolly, P. J., Dearden, C., Gallagher, M. W., Cui, Z. and Nicol, J. C. (2014) Microphysical properties of cold frontal rainbands. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (681). pp. 1257-1268. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2206

Day, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Tietsche, S. (2014) Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill? Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (21). pp. 7566-7575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL061694

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Karoly, D. J., Lewis, S. C. and Alexander, L. V. (2014) An investigation of some unexpected frost day increases in southern Australia. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 64 (4). pp. 261-271. ISSN 1836-716X doi: 10.22499/2.6404.002

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2014) The 2013 hot, dry summer in Western Europe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95 (9). S61-S66. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Highwood, E. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2014) The impacts of European and Asian anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions on Sahel rainfall. Journal of Climate, 27 (18). pp. 7000-7017. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00769.1

Duncan, M., Crowley, K., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Edwards, S., Ewbank, R., Karbassi, P., McLaren, C., Penya, J. L., Obrecht, A., Seargent, S. and Visman, E., (2014) Integrating science into humanitarian and development planning and practice to enhance community resilience. Report. UK Collaborative on Development Sciences, London, UK. pp49.

Edwards, T. L., Fettweis, X., Gagliardini, O., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Goelzer, H., Gregory, J.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hoffman, M., Huybrechts, P., Payne, A. J., Perego, M., Price, S., Quiquet, A. and Ritz, C. (2014) Effect of uncertainty in surface mass balance--elevation feedback on projections of the future sea level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet. The Cryosphere, 8. pp. 195-208. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-8-195-2014

Edwards, T. L., Fettweis, X., Gagliardini, O., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Goelzer, H., Gregory, J.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hoffman, M., Huybrechts, P., Payne, A. J., Perego, M., Price, S., Quiquet, A. and Ritz, C. (2014) Probabilistic parameterisation of the surface mass balance--elevation feedback in regional climate model simulations of the Greenland ice sheet. The Cryosphere, 8 (1). pp. 181-194. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-8-181-2014

Field, P. R., Cotton, R. J., McBeath, K., Lock, A. P., Webster, S. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Improving a convection-permitting model simulation of a cold air outbreak. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 124-138. ISSN 00359009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2116

Fischer, E. M., Sedláček, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Knutti, R. (2014) Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (23). pp. 8554-8562. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062018

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Vera, C. S. (2014) Summer precipitation variability over South America on long and short intraseasonal timescales. Climate Dynamics, 43 (7). pp. 1993-2007. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-2023-2

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Polvani, L. M., Seager, R. and Correa, G. J. P. (2014) Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics, 42 (7). pp. 1775-1792. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1777-x

Gregory, J.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Church, J. A., Clark, P. U., Payne, A. J., Merrifield, M. A., Nerem, R. S., Nunn, P. D., Pfeffer, W. T. and Stammer, D. (2014) Comment on ``Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300'', by Horton et al. (2014). Quaternary Science Reviews, 97. pp. 193-194. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.05.024

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2013

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Hoskins, B., Fonseca, R., Blackburn, M. and Jung, T. (2012) Relaxing the Tropics to an ‘observed’ state: analysis using a simple baroclinic model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (667). pp. 1618-1626. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1881

Iwi, A. M., Hermanson, L., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Mechanisms linking volcanic aerosols to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Journal of Climate, 25 (8). pp. 3039-3051. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4067.1

Kageyama, M., Braconnot, P., Bopp, L., Caubel, A., Foujols, M.-A., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Khodri, M., Lloyd, J., Lombard, F., Mariotti, V., Marti, O., Roy, T. and Woillez, M.-N. (2012) Mid-holocene and last glacial maximum climate simulations with the IPSL model-part I: comparing IPSLCM5A to IPSLCM4. Climate Dynamics, 40 (9-10). pp. 2447-2468. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1488-8

Keeley, S., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2012) The impact of North Atlantic sea surface temperature errors on the simulation of North Atlantic European region climate. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (668). pp. 1774-1783. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1912

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 1: a literature survey of key rainfall drivers in Queensland Australia: rainfall variability and change. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp37. ISBN 9780975082737

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 2: Is the inter-annual variability in Queensland rainfall due to variability in rainfall frequency, intensity or both? Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp25. ISBN 9780980564129

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 3: empirical orthogonal teleconnection analysis of inter-annual variability in Queensland rainfall: understanding the influence of atmospheric drivers. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp39. ISBN 9780975082744

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 4: the ability of HiGEM to simulate Queensland's rainfall variability and its drivers. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp39. ISBN 9780975082744

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 5: projected changes in Queensland rainfall under double-CO2 conditions in the HiGEM model. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp63.

Krishnan, R., Sabin, T. P., Ayantika, D. C., Kitoh, A., Sugi, M., Murakami, H., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Slingo, J. M. and Rajendran, K. (2012) Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Climate Dynamics, 40 (1-2). pp. 187-211. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1317-0

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2012) Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18608. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052952

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Wang, Z. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2012) The influence of eddy parameterizations on the transport of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in coupled climate models. Ocean Modelling, 52-53. pp. 1-8. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.04.006

Lavers, D. A., Villarini, G., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F. and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2012) The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 117 (D20). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD018027

Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Balaji, V., Bentley, P., Callaghan, S., DeLuca, C., Denvil, S., Devine, G., Elkington, M., Ford, R.W., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Lautenschlager, M., Morgan, M., Moine, M.-P., Murphy, S., Pascoe, C., Ramthun, H., Slavin, P., Steenman-Clark, L., Toussaint, F., Treshansky, A. and Valcke, S. (2012) Describing Earth system simulations with the Metafor CIM. Geoscientific Model Development, 5 (6). pp. 1493-1500. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-5-1493-2012

Levine, R. C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2012) Dependence of Indian monsoon rainfall on moisture fluxes across the Arabian Sea and the impact of coupled model sea surface temperature biases. Climate Dynamics, 38 (11-12). pp. 2167-2190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1096-z

Li, C., Lu, R. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2012) Predictability of the western North Pacific summer climate demonstrated by the coupled models of ENSEMBLES. Climate Dynamics, 39 (1-2). pp. 329-346. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1274-z

Liu, C. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2012) Multi-satellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D03101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016568

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Huffman, G. J. (2012) Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L13803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052093

Liu, Y., Wu, G., Hong, J., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Duan, A., Bao, Q. and Zhou, L. (2012) Revisiting Asian monsoon formation and change associated with Tibetan Plateau forcing: II. Change. Climate Dynamics, 39 (5). pp. 1183-1195. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1335-y

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2012) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Part III: the shortwave flux feedback. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4275-4293. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00178.1

Loeb, N. G., Lyman, J. M., Johnson, G. C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Doelling, D. R., Wong, T., Soden, B. J. and Stephens, G. L. (2012) Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty. Nature Geoscience, 15. pp. 110-113. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1375

Lu, R.-y., Li, C.-F., Yang, S.-H. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2012) The coupled model predictability of the Western North Pacific summer monsoon with different leading times. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 5 (3). pp. 219-224. ISSN 1674-2834

MacPherson, L., Haigh, I. D., Mason, M., Wijeratne, S., Pattiaratchi, C. and George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2012) Extreme water level exceedance probabilities around Australia. Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1 (33). 53. ISSN 2156-1028 doi: 10.9753/icce.v33.currents.53

Mauritzen, C., Melsom, A. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Importance of density-compensated temperature change for deep North Atlantic Ocean heat uptake. Nature Geoscience, 5 (12). pp. 905-910. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1639

McCann, D. W., Knox, J. A. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2012) An improvement in clear-air turbulence forecasting based on spontaneous imbalance theory: the ULTURB algorithm. Meteorological Applications, 19 (1). pp. 71-78. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.260

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Fontaine, B. and Roucou, P. (2012) Expected future changes in the African monsoon between 2030 and 2070 using some CMIP3 and CMIP5 models under a medium-low RCP scenario. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D16). D16111. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD017510

O’Gorman, P. A., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Byrne, M. P. and Previdi, M. (2012) Energetic constraints on precipitation under climate change. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (3-4). pp. 585-608. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9159-6

Pascale, S., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083, Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2012) Vertical and horizontal processes in the global atmosphere and the maximum entropy production conjecture. Earth System Dynamics, 3. pp. 19-32. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-3-19-2012

Persechino, A., Mignot, J., Swingedouw, D., Labetoulle, S. and Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 (2012) Decadal predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and climate in the IPSL-CM5A-LR model. Climate Dynamics, 40 (9-10). pp. 2359-2380. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1466-1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Robson, J.I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL053370

Rycroft, M. J. and Harrison, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X (2012) Electromagnetic atmosphere-plasma coupling: the global atmospheric electric circuit. Space Science Reviews, 168 (1). pp. 363-384. ISSN 0038-6308 doi: 10.1007/s11214-011-9830-8

Sanchez-Lugo, A., Kennedy, J.J. and Berrisford, P. (2012) [Global climate] Surface temperature [in "State of the Climate in 2011"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (7). S14-S16. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2012BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (Supplement)

Santer, B. D., Painter, J. F., Mears, C. A., Doutriaux, C., Caldwell, P., Arblaster, J. M., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Gillett, N. P., Gleckler, P. J., Lanzante, J., Perlwitz, J., Solomon, S., Stott, P. A., Taylor, K. E., Terray, L., Thorne, P. W., Wehner, M. F., Wentz, F. J., Wigley, T. M. L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zou, C.-Z. (2012) Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110 (1). pp. 26-33. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1210514109

Saulière, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2012) Further investigation of the impact of idealised continents and SST distributions on the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (3). pp. 840-856. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0113.1

Scholze, M., Allen, I., Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Cornell, S. E., Huntingford, C., Joshi, M., Lowe, J., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Wild, O. (2012) Earth system models: a tool to understand changes in the Earth system. In: Cornell, S.E., Prentice, I.C. and House, J.I. (eds.) Understanding the Earth system: global change science for application. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 129-159. ISBN 9781107009363

Shaon, A., Callaghan, S., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Matthews, B., Osborn, T., Harpham, C. and Woolf, A. (2012) Opening up climate research: A linked data approach to publishing data provenance. International Journal of Digital Curation, 7 (1). pp. 163-173. ISSN 1746-8256 doi: 10.2218/ijdc.v7i1.223

Sijp, W. P., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Spence, P. (2012) The key role of the western boundary in linking the AMOC strength to the north-south pressure gradient. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42 (4). pp. 628-643. ISSN 1520-0485 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-11-0113.1

Sijp, W.P., England, M.H. and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2012) Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models Part I: equilibrium states. Journal of Climate, 25 (1). pp. 282-298. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4245.1

Simpson, I. R., Blackburn, M. and Haigh, J. D. (2012) A mechanism for the effect of tropospheric jet structure on the annular mode-like response to stratospheric forcing. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (7). pp. 2152-2170. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0188.1

Sinha, B., Blaker, A., Hirschi, J., Bonham, S., Brand, M., Josey, S., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Marotzke, J. (2012) Mountain ranges favour vigorous Atlantic Meridional Overturning. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L02705. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL050485

Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2012) The FAMOUS climate model (versions XFXWB and XFHCC): description update to version XDBUA. Geoscientific Model Development, 5 (1). pp. 269-276. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-5-269-2012

Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2012) The last glacial cycle: transient simulations with an AOGCM. Climate Dynamics, 38 (7-8). pp. 1545-1559. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007_s00382-011-1283-y

Srokosz, M., Baringer, M., Bryden, H., Cunningham, S., Delworth, T., Lozier, S., Marotzke, J. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Past, present and future change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (11). pp. 1663-1676. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00151.1

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2012) Atlantic Ocean influence on a shift in European climate in the 1990s. Nature Geoscience, 5. pp. 788-792. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1595

Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. H. and Marotzke, J. (2012) Assimilation of sea-ice concentration in a global climate model — physical and statistical aspects. Ocean Science Discussion, 9 (4). pp. 2403-2455. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/osd-9-2403-2012

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Annamalai, H. (2012) Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon. Nature Climate Change, 2. pp. 587-595. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate1495

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Joshi, M., Robertson, E. S. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2012) The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 811-826. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1254-3

Van Den Hoof, C. and Thiry, Y. (2012) Modelling of the natural chlorine cycling in a coniferous stand: implications for chlorine-36 behaviour in a contaminated forest environment. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, 107. pp. 56-67. ISSN 0265-931X doi: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2011.12.014

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: 10.1126/science.1222566

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2012) A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology. Journal of Hydrology, 420-421. pp. 1-16. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033

Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2012) Controlling the computational modes of the arbitrarily structured C-grid. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (10). pp. 3220-3234. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00221.1

Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Thuburn, J. and Cotter, C. J. (2012) Computational modes and grid imprinting on five quasi-uniform spherical C-grids. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (8). pp. 2734-2755. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00193.1

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Gray, L. J. (2012) Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high- and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117. D13115. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2012JD017597

Williams, C. J. R. and Kniveton, D. R. (2012) Atmosphere-land surface interactions and their influence on extreme rainfall and potential abrupt climate change over southern Africa. Climatic Change, 112 (3-4). pp. 981-996. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0266-7

Williams, C.J.R., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Kniveton, D.R. (2012) Diagnosing atmosphere–land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4). 044003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044003

Williams, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2012) Comment on “A modified leapfrog scheme for shallow water equations” by Wen-Yih Sun and Oliver M.T. Sun. Computers & Fluids, 62. p. 91. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2012.02.023

Williams, P. D. (2012) Climatic impacts of stochastic fluctuations in air–sea fluxes. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (10). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL051813

Williamson, D. L., Blackburn, M., Hoskins, B. J., Nakajima, K., Ohfuchi, W., Takahashi, Y. O., Hayashi, Y.-Y., Nakamura, H., Ishiwatari, M., McGregor, J. L., Borth, H., Wirth, V., Frank, H., Bechtold, P., Wedi, N. P., Tomita, H., Satoh, M., Zhao, M., Held, I. M., Suarez, M. J., Lee, M.-I., Watanabe, M., Kimoto, M., Liu, Y., Wang, Z., Molod, A., Rajendran, K., Kitoh, A. and Stratton, R. A., (2012) The APE atlas. NCAR Technical Note. TN-484+STR. Technical Report. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA. pp508. doi: 10.5065/D6FF3QBR

Woollings, T. and Blackburn, M. (2012) The North Atlantic jet stream under climate change and its relation to the NAO and EA patterns. Journal of Climate, 25 (3). pp. 886-902. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00087.1

Woollings, T., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Pinto, J. G., Reyers, M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2012) Response of the North Atlantic storm track to climate change shaped by ocean–atmosphere coupling. Nature Geoscience, 5 (5). pp. 313-317. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1438

Woollings, T., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Zahn, M. and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2012) On the role of the ocean in projected atmospheric stability changes in the Atlantic polar low region. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (24). L24802. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL054016

Wu, G., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Liang, X., Duan, A., Bao, Q. and Yu, J. (2012) Revisiting Asian monsoon formation and change associated with Tibetan Plateau forcing: I. Formation. Climate Dynamics, 39 (5). pp. 1169-1181. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1334-z

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hoskins, B. and Gray, L. (2012) The influence of the QBO on the propagation of equatorial waves into the stratosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (10). pp. 2959-2982. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0342.1

2011

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Combining satellite data and models to estimate cloud radiative effect at the surface and in the atmosphere. Meteorological Applications, 18 (3). pp. 324-333. ISSN 1469-8080 (special issue: 'Sensing the weather')

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Human influence on rainfall. Nature, 470 (7334). pp. 344-345. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/470344a

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Woodage, M. J., Milton, S. F., Brooks, M. E. and Haywood, J. M. (2011) Examination of long-wave radiative bias in general circulation models over North Africa during May–July. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1179-1192. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.717

Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Zveryaev, I.I. (2011) Variability in the summer season hydrological cycle over the Atlantic-Europe region 1979-2007. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (3). pp. 337-348. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2070

Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L. and Marshall, D. P. (2011) Spin-up and adjustment of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and global pycnocline. Journal of Marine Research, 69 (2-3). pp. 167-189. ISSN 1543-9542 doi: 10.1357/002224011798765330

Amezcua, J., Kalnay, E. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2011) The effects of the RAW filter on the climatology and forecast skill of the SPEEDY model. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (2). pp. 608-619. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3530.1

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Balan Sarojini, B., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Bigg, G.R., Blaker, A.T., Cameron, D., Edwards, N.R., Megann, A.P., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sinha, B. (2011) High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Ocean Science Discussion, 8. pp. 219-246. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/osd-8-219-2011

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Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) The present-day climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24. ISBN 9780521769570

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Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2011) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part II: Sea surface temperatures. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (8). pp. 1784-1805. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3674.1

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. M. C. and Smith, S. J. (2011) Changes in the Mediterranean climate during the Holocene: insights from global and regional climate modelling. Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 15-31. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610377528

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Brown, J. N., Fedorov, A. V. and Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 (2011) How well do coupled models replicate ocean energetics relevant to ENSO? Climate Dynamics, 36 (11-12). pp. 2147-2158. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0926-8

Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, White, N. J., Platten, S. M. and Mitrovica, J. X. (2011) Understanding and projecting sea level change. Oceanography, 24 (2). pp. 130-143. ISSN 1042-8275

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Cnossen, I., Lu, H., Bell, C. J., Gray, L. and Joshi, M. (2011) Solar signal propagation: the role of gravity waves and stratospheric sudden warmings. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116. D02118. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014535

Cook, P. A. and Roscoe, H. K. (2011) Changes in reactive stratospheric gases due to a change in Brewer–Dobson circulation: results from a simple model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 13 (1). pp. 49-54. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.362

De Tero, G., Toniazzo, T. and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2011) Ethiopian rainfall in climate models. In: Williams , C. J. R. and Kniveton , D. R. (eds.) African climate and climate change: physical, social and political perspective. Advances in Global Change Research (43). Springer, pp. 51-70. ISBN 9789048138418

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Dee, D., Berrisford, P., Bosilovich, M. G., Chelliah, M., Compo, G., Ebita, A., Jones, P. D., Kobayashi, S., Kumar, A., Rutledge, G., Saha, S., Sato, H., Simmons, A., Smith, C. and Vose, R. (2011) [Temperature] The use of reanalysis data for monitoring the state of the climate [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S34-S35. ISSN 1520-0477

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 121-131. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 103-119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Woollings, T. (2011) Changes of interannual NAO variability in response to greenhouse gases forcing. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1621-1641. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0936-6

Egea, G., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2011) Towards an improved and more flexible representation of water stress in coupled photosynthesis–stomatal conductance models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (10). pp. 1370-1384. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.05.019

Fontaine, B., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Gaetani, M. and Roucou, P. (2011) Climate adjustments over the African-Indian monsoon regions accompanying Mediterranean Sea thermal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116 (D23). D23122. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016273

Fontaine, B., Roucou, P. and Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2011) Changes in the African monsoon region at medium-term time horizon using 12 AR4 coupled models under the A1b emissions scenario. Atmospheric Science Letters, 12 (1). pp. 83-88. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.321

Frame, T. H. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6542-2173, Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083, Gray, S. L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2011) Ensemble prediction of transitions of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1288-1297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.829

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Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Balaji, V., Callaghan, S., DeLuca, C., Devine, G., Denvil, S., Ford, R., Pascoe, C., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Steenman-Clark, L. and Valcke, S. (2011) The CMIP5 model and simulation documentation: a new standard for climate modelling metadata. CLIVAR Exchanges, 56: 16 (2). pp. 42-46. ISSN 1026-0471

Hannachi, A., Mitchell, D., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2011) On the use of geometric moments to examine the continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (3). pp. 657-674. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3585.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability. Weather, 66 (7). pp. 175-179. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.761

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 24 (1). pp. 109-123. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 407-418. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

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Haywood, J. M., Johnson, B. T., Osborne, S. R., Baran, A. J., Brooks, M., Milton, S. F., Mulcahy, J., Walters, D., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Klaver, A., Formenti, P., Brindley, H. E., Christopher, S. and Gupta, P. (2011) Motivation, rationale and key results from the GERBILS Saharan dust measurement campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1106-1116. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.797

Jacoby, T. N. L., Read, P. L., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Young, R. M. B. (2011) Generation of inertia-gravity waves in the rotating thermal annulus by a localised boundary layer instability. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 105 (2-3). pp. 161-181. ISSN 0309-1929 doi: 10.1080/03091929.2011.560151

John, V.O., Holl, G., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S.A., Parker, D.E. and Soden, B.J. (2011) Clear-sky biases in satellite infrared estimates of upper tropospheric humidity and its trends. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D14108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD015355

Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lowe, J. and Frame, D. (2011) Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 407-412. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1261

Kershaw, P., Ananthakrishnan, R., Cinquini, L., Heimbigner, D. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2011) A modular access control architecture for the Earth system grid federation. In: International Conference on Grid Computing and Applications (GCA '11), 6-8 Jul 2011, Las Vegas, NV, pp. 3-9.

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 and Slingo, J. M. (2011) The impact of finer-resolution air-sea coupling on the intraseasonal oscillation of the Indian monsoon. Journal of Climate, 24 (10). pp. 2451-2468. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3868.1

Kruetzmann, N. C., Rack, W., McDonald, A. J. and George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2011) Snow accumulation and compaction derived from GPR data near Ross Island, Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 5 (2). pp. 391-404. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-5-391-2011

Lambert, F. H., Webb, M. J. and Joshi, M. (2011) The relationship between land–ccean surface temperature contrast and radiative forcing. Journal of Climate, 24 (13). pp. 3239-3256. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3893.1

Lavers, D., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783

Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Jones, C., Matthews, B., Pepler, S. and Callaghan, S. (2011) Citation and peer review of data: moving towards formal data publication. International Journal of Digital Curation, 6 (2). pp. 4-37. ISSN 1746-8256 doi: 10.2218/ijdc.v6i2.205

Lintner, B. R., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Neelin, J. D. (2011) Column water vapor statistics and their relationship to deep convection, vertical and horizontal circulation, and moisture structure at Nauru. Journal of Climate, 24 (20). pp. 5454-5466. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05015.1

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2011) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Part II: using AMIP runs to understand the heat flux feedback mechanisms. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1271-1292. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0895-y

Martin, G. M., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Culverwell, I. D., Halloran, P. R., Hardiman, S. C., Hinton, T. J., Jones, C. D., McDonald, R. E., McLaren, A. J., O'Connor, F. M., Roberts, M. J., Rodriguez, J. M., Woodward, S., Best, M. J., Brooks, M. E., Brown, A. R., Butchart, N., Dearden, C., Derbyshire, S. H., Dharssi, I., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Edwards, J. M., Falloon, P. D., Gedney, N., Gray, L. J., Hewitt, H. T., Hobson, M., Huddleston, M. R., Hughes, J., Ineson, S., Ingram, W. J., James, P. M., Johns, T. C., Johnson, C. E., Jones, A., Jones, C. P., Joshi, M. M., Keen, A. B., Liddicoat, S., Lock, A. P., Maidens, A. V., Manners, J. C., Milton, S. F., Rae, J. G. L., Ridley, J. K., Sellar, A., Senior, C. A., Totterdell, I. J., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Wiltshire, A. (2011) The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 4 (3). pp. 723-757. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-723-2011

Maycock, A. C., Keeley, S. P. E., Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2011) Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: implications for seasonal prediction. Climate Dynamics, 36 (1-2). pp. 309-321. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0665-x

Meredith, M. P., Woodworth, P. L., Chereskin, T. K., Marshall, D. P., Allison, L. C., Bigg, G. R., Donohue, K., Heywood, K. J., Hughes, C. W., Hibbert, A., Hogg, A. M., Johnson, H. L., Jullion, L., King, B., Leach, H., Lenn, Y.-D., Morales-Maqueda, M. A., Munday, D. R., Naveira-Garabato, A. C., Provost, C., Sallée, J.-B. and Sprintall, J. (2011) Sustained monitoring of the Southern Ocean at Drake Passage: past achievements and future priorities. Reviews of Geophysics, 49. RG4005. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1029/2010RG000348

Mitchell, D. M., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2011) The structure and evolution of the stratospheric vortex in response to natural forcings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D15110. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD015788

Mitchell, D., Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Gray, L. J. (2011) Characterising the variability and extremes of the stratospheric polar vortices using 2D moment analysis. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (6). pp. 1194-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3555.1

Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, eds. (2011) Water, life and civilisation: climate, environment and society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp543. ISBN 9780521769570

Munday, D. R., Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L. and Marshall, D. P. (2011) Remote forcing of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current by diapycnal mixing. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (8). L08609. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL046849

Nortcliff, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Potter, R. (2011) Current water demands and future strategies under changing climatic conditions. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 403-414. ISBN 9780521769570

Ortega, P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 37 (9-10). pp. 1771-1782. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1025-1

Pardaens, A. K., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Lowe, J. A. (2011) A model study of factors influencing projected changes in regional sea level over the 21st century. Climate Dynamics, 36 (9-10). pp. 2015-2033. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0738-x

Pascale, S., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 and Tailleux, R. G. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2011) Climate entropy budget of the HadCM3 atmosphere-ocean general circulation model and of FAMOUS, its low resolution version. Climate Dynamics, 36 (5-6). pp. 1189-1206. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0718-1

Peterson, T. C., Vautard, R., McVicar, T. R., Thépaut, J.-N. and Berrisford, P. (2011) [Atmosperic circulation] Surface winds over land [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S57-S57. ISSN 1520-0477

Poulsen, C. A., Watts, P. D., Thomas, G. E., Sayer, A. M., Siddans, R., Grainger, R. G., Lawrence, B. N., Campmany, E., Dean, S. M. and Arnold, C. (2011) Cloud retrievals from satellite data using optimal estimation: evaluation and application to ATSR. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 4. pp. 2389-2431. doi: 10.5194/amtd-4-2389-2011

Roberts, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Kuzucuoğlu, C., Perez, R. and Sadori, L. (2011) The mid-Holocene climatic transition in the Mediterranean: causes and consequences. The Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 3-13. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610388058

Sanchez-Lugo, A., Kennedy, J. J. and Berrisford, P. (2011) [Temperature] surface temperatures [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S36-S37. ISSN 1520-0477

Sayer, A. M., Poulsen, C. A., Arnold, C., Campmany, E., Dean, S., Ewen, G. B. L., Grainger, R. G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Siddans, R., Thomas, G. E. and Watts, P. D. (2011) Global retrieval of ATSR cloud parameters and evaluation (GRAPE): dataset assessment. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (8). pp. 3913-3936. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-3913-2011

Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Erdin, R., Willi, M., Frei, C., Berenguer, M. and Sempere-Torres, D. (2011) Geostatistical radar-raingauge combination with nonparametric correlograms: methodological considerations and application in Switzerland. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (5). pp. 1515-1536. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-15-1515-2011

Shaon, A., Callaghan, S., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Matthews, B., Woolf, A., Osborn, T. and Harpham, C. (2011) A linked data approach to publishing complex scientific workflows. In: 2011 IEEE Seventh International Conference on eScience, 5-8 Dec 2011, Stockholm, pp. 303-310.

Shaw, M. W. and Osborne, T. M. (2011) Geographic distribution of plant pathogens in response to climate change. Plant Pathology, 60 (1). pp. 31-43. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02407.x

Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. H. and Marotzke, J. (2011) Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (2). L02707. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL045698

Toniazzo, T., Abel, S. J., Wood, R., Mechoso, C. R., Allen, G. and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2011) Large-scale and synoptic meteorology in the south-east Pacific during the observations campaign VOCALS-REx in austral Spring 2008. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (10). pp. 4977-5009. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-4977-2011

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Slingo, J. M. (2011) Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Climate Dynamics, 36 (9-10). pp. 1717-1735. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0805-3

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Sperber, K., Slingo, J. M., Meehl, G., Mechoso, C. R., Kimoto, M. and Giannini, A. (2011) Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. In: Chang, C.-P., Ding, Y., Lau, G. N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Yasunari, T. (eds.) The global monsoon system: research and forecast, 2nd edition. World scientific series on Asia-Pacific weather and climate, 5. World Scientific/WMO, London Singapore New Jersey, pp. 421-454. ISBN 9789814343404

Van Den Hoof, C., Hanert, E. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2011) Simulating dynamic crop growth with an adapted land surface model – JULES-SUCROS: model development and validation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (2). pp. 137-153. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.09.011

Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Holmes, P., El Bastawesy, M., Smith, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) The hydrology of the Wadi Faynan. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 157-174. ISBN 9780521769570

Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Manley, R., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Guest, J., Al Numait, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2011) Future projections of water availability in a semi-arid region of the eastern Mediterranean: a case study of Wadi Hasa, Jordan. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 175-188. ISBN 9780521769570

Wang, Z., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Meredith, M. P. (2011) On the response of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport to climate change in coupled climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. C08011. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JC006757

Williams, D. N., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lautenschlager, M., Middleton, D. and Balaji, V. (2011) The Earth System Grid Federation: delivering globally accessible petascale data for CMIP5. In: Proceedings of the 32nd Asia-Pacific Advanced Network Meeting, New Delhi, pp. 121-130.

Williams, D. N., Taylor, K. E., Cinquini, L., Evans, B., Kawamiya, M., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Middleton, D. and ESGF Contributors (2011) The Earth System Grid Federation: software framework supporting CMIP5 data analysis and dissemination. CLIVAR Exchanges, 56: 16 (2). pp. 40-42.

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hoskins, B. J. and Slingo, J. M. (2011) Equatorial waves in opposite QBO phases. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (4). pp. 839-862. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3514.1

Yip, S., Ferro, C. A. T., Stephenson, D. B. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) A simple, coherent framework for partitioning uncertainty in climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 24 (17). pp. 4634-4643. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4085.1

Zachary, S., Dent, C. J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand. In: Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE, 24-29 July 2011, San DIego, CA, USA, pp. 1-8.

Zahn, M. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Changes in water vapor transports of the ascending branch of the tropical circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D18111. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016206

2010

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liepert, B. G. (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W. and Good, P. (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025205. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205

Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L., Marshall, D. P. and Munday, D. R. (2010) Where do winds drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L12605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL043355

Baker, A. , Asrat, A., Fairchild, I., Leng, M., Thomas, L. , Widmann, M., Jex, C. , Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Calsteren, P. v. and Bryant, C. (2010) Decadal-scale rainfall variability in Ethiopia recorded in an annually laminated, Holocene-age, stalagmite. Holocene, 20 (6). pp. 827-836. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610365934

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Hoskins, B. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2010) Water and society: past, present and future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5107-5110. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0216

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Rambeau, C. M. C. (2010) Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: insights from models and observations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5173-5184. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0199

Bouttes, N., Paillard, D. and Roche, D. (2010) Impact of brine-induced stratification on the glacial carbon cycle. Climate of the Past, 6 (5). pp. 575-589. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-6-575-2010

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2010) Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5185-5223. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0180

Bushell, A. C., Jackson, D. R., Butchart, N., Hardiman, S. C., Hinton, T. J., Osprey, S. M. and Gray, L. J. (2010) Sensitivity of GCM tropical middle atmosphere variability and climate to ozone and parametrized gravity wave changes. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D15101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD013340

Callaghan, S. A., Treshansky, A., Moine, M., Guilyardi, E., Alias, A., Balaji, V., Bojariu, R., Cofino, A. S., Denvil, S., Elkington, M., Ford, R., Kolaninski, M., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Steenman-Clark, L. and Valcke, S. (2010) The METAFOR project: preserving data through metadata standards for climate models and simulations. In: Proceedings of the 1st International Digital Preservation Interoperability Framework Symposium, April 21 - 23 2010, Dresden, Germany, 6:1-6:8.

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Kinnison, D. E., Akiyoshi, H., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., Lamarque, J. F., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Yamashita, Y., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Marchand, M., Mancini, E., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shibata, K., Shepherd, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Tian, W. and Waugh, D. W. (2010) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9473-9486. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010

Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2010) Impact of the Atlantic Ocean on the multidecadal fluctuation of El Nino–Southern Oscillation–South Asian monsoon relationship in a coupled general circulation model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D17109. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD013596

Collins, M., An, S.-I., Cai, W., Ganachaud, A., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Jin, F.-F., Jochum, M., Lengaigne, M., Power, S., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G. and Wittenberg, A. (2010) The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño. Nature Geoscience, 3 (6). pp. 391-397. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo868

Cunningham, S., Marsh, R., Wood, R., Wallace, C., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Dye, S. (2010) Atlantic Heat Conveyor (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation). In: Marine Climate Change Impacts Annual Report Card 2010-11, MCCIP Science Review. MCCIP, Lowestoft, 14 pp..

Dall’Amico , M., Stott, P. A., Scaife, A. A., Gray, L. J., Rosenlof, K. H. and Karpechko, A. Y. (2010) Impact of stratospheric variability on tropospheric climate change. Climate Dynamics, 34 (2-3). pp. 399-417. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0580-1

Dall’Amico, M., Gray, L. J., Rosenlof, K. H., Scaife, A. A., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Stott, P. A. (2010) Stratospheric temperature trends: impact of ozone variability and the QBO. Climate Dynamics, 34 (2-3). p. 381. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0604-x

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2010) Long-term effect of volcanic forcing on ocean heat content. Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L22701. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL045507

Hardiman, S. C., Butchart, N., Osprey, S. M., Gray, L. J., Bushell, A. C. and Hinton, T. J. (2010) The climatology of the middle atmosphere in a vertically extended version of the Met Office's climate model. Part I: mean state. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (5). pp. 1509-1525. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3337.1

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2010) Case studies in interannual to decadal climate predictability. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1169-1189. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0672-y

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Cassou, C., Keenlyside, N., Okumura, Y. and Zhou, T. (2010) Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A multimodel comparison. Climate Dynamics, 34 (7-8). pp. 1041-1058. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2

Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Neelin, J. D. (2010) Temporal relations of column water vapor and tropical precipitation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (4). pp. 1091-1105. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3284.1

Joshi, M. M., Webb, M. J., Maycock, A.C. and Collins, M. (2010) Stratospheric water vapour and high climate sensitivity in a version of the HadSM3 climate model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10. pp. 7161-7167. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-7161-2010

Lowe, J. A. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2010) A sea of uncertainty. Nature Reports Climate Change. pp. 42-43. ISSN 1753-9315 doi: 10.1038/climate.2010.30

Ngwana, T. I., Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 and Mbedzi, M. P. (2010) Impact of land cover changes on the South African climate. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 13 (1). 012009. ISSN 1755-1315 doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/13/1/012009

Palmer, T. and Williams, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, eds. (2010) Stochastic physics and climate modelling. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp496. ISBN 9780521761055

Pearson, K. J., Hogan, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Lister, G. M. S. and Holloway, C.E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2010) Evaluation of the model representation of the evolution of convective systems using satellite observations of outgoing longwave radiation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. A20206. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD014265

Peters, O., Deluca, A., Corral, A., Neelin, J. D. and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2010) Universality of rain event size distributions. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2010 (11). P11030. ISSN 1742-5468 doi: 10.1088/1742-5468/2010/11/P11030

Poulter, B., Hattermann, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Restrepo-Coupe, N., Heyder , U. and Cramer, W. (2010) Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology, 16 (9). pp. 2476-2495. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x

Ridley, J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Huybrechts, P. and Lowe, J. (2010) Thresholds for irreversible decline of the Greenland ice sheet. Climate Dynamics, 35 (6). pp. 1049-1057. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0646-0

Rodwell, M.J., Jung, T., Bechtold, P., Berrisford, P., Bormann, N., Cardinali, C., Ferranti, L., Hewson, T., Molteni, F., Wedi, N., Balmaseda, M.A., Balsamo, G., Bonavita, M., Buizza, R., Dahoui, M., Garcia-Mendez, A., Leutbecher, M., Lopez, P., Trémolet, Y. and Vitart, F., (2010) Developments in diagnostics research. Technical Report. ECMWF pp51.

Scaife, A. A., Woollings, T., Knight, J., Martin, G. and Hinton, T. (2010) Atmospheric blocking and mean biases in climate models. Journal of Climate, 23 (23). pp. 6143-6152. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3728.1

Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583, Underwood, F. M., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Nicoll, M. A. C. and Norris, K. J. (2010) Evidence for long-term regional changes in precipitation on the East Coast Mountains in Mauritius. International Journal of Climatology, 30 (8). pp. 1164-1177. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1953

Siddall, M., Abe-Ouchi, A., Andersen, M., Antonioli, F., Bamber, J., Bard, E., Clark, J., Clark, P., Deschamps, P., Dutton, A., Elliot, M., Gallup, C., Gomez, N., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Huybers, P., Kawarnura, K., Kelly, M., Lambeck, K., Lowell, T., Milrovica, J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Richards, D., Stanford, J., Stirling, C., Stocker, T., Thomas, A., Thompson, B., Toernqvist, T., Riveiros, N. V., Waelbroeck, C., Yokoyama, Y., Yu, S. and PALSEA Level WorkingGrp (2010) The sea-level conundrum: case studies from palaeo-archives. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25 (1). pp. 19-25. ISSN 0267-8179 doi: 10.1002/jqs.1270

Simpson, I. R., Blackburn, M., Haigh, J. D. and Sparrow, S. N. (2010) The impact of the state of the troposphere on the response to stratospheric heating in a simplified GCM. Journal of Climate, 23 (23). pp. 6166-6185. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3792.1

Thomas, G. E., Poulsen, C. A., Siddans, R., Sayer, A. M., Carboni, E., Marsh, S. H., Dean, S. M., Grainger, R. G. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2010) Validation of the GRAPE single view aerosol retrieval for ATSR-2 and insights into the long term global AOD trend over the ocean. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (10). pp. 4849-4866. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-4849-2010

Toniazzo, T., Mechoso, C. R., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Slingo, J. M. (2010) Upper-ocean heat budget and ocean eddy transport in the south-east Pacific in a high-resolution coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1309-1329. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0703-8

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hannachi, A. (2010) Is there regime behavior in monsoon convection in the late 20th century? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L16706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL044159

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Roberts, M., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Strachan, J., Demory, M.-E. and Slingo, J. (2010) Tropical Cyclones in a hieararchy of climate models of increasing resolution. In: Charabi, Y. (ed.) Indian ocean tropical cyclones and climate change. Earth and environmental science, 1. Springer, pp. 9-14. doi: 10.1007/978-90-481-3109-9_2

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, El-Bastawesy, M., Holmes, P. A. C., Butterfield, D., Nuimat, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2010) A model-based assessment of the effects of projected climate change on the water resources of Jordan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 368 (1931). pp. 5151-5172. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0207

Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Ringler, T., Piggott, M. and Wood, N. (2010) Challenges facing adaptive mesh modeling of the atmosphere and ocean. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91 (1). pp. 105-108. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2907.1

Williams, C., Kniveton, D. and Layberry, R. (2010) Idealized SST anomaly regional climate model experiments: a note of caution. Progress in Physical Geography, 34 (1). pp. 59-74. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: 10.1177/0309133309356738

Williams, C. J. R., Kniveton, D. R. and Layberry, R. (2010) Assessment of a climate model to reproduce rainfall variability and extremes over Southern Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99 (1-2). pp. 9-27. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-009-0124-y

Williams, P. D. (2010) The RAW filter: an improvement to the Robert–Asselin filter in semi-implicit integrations. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (6). pp. 1996-2007. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3601.1

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2010) Research resource review: Schultz DM 2009: Eloquent Science: A Practical Guide to Becoming a Better Writer, Speaker and Atmospheric Scientist. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society. 440 pp. US$45 paper. ISBN: 978 1 878220 91 2. Progress in Physical Geography, 34 (5). pp. 729-731. ISSN 0309-1333 doi: 10.1177/03091333100340050102

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Madec, G., Gualdi, S. and Scoccimarro, E. (2010) The role of mean ocean salinity in climate. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 49 (2-3). pp. 108-123. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2009.02.001

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Read, P. L. and Haine, T. W. N. (2010) Testing the limits of quasi-geostrophic theory: application to observed laboratory flows outside the quasi-geostrophic regime. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics , 649. pp. 187-203. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: 10.1017/S0022112009993405

Woollings, T. (2010) Dynamical influences on European climate: an uncertain future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1924). pp. 3733-3756. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0040

Woollings, T., Hannachi, A., Hoskins, B. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2010) A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing. Journal of Climate, 23 (6). pp. 1291-1307. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3087.1

Woollings, T., Hoskins, B., Blackburn, M., Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502 and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2010) Storm track sensitivity to sea surface temperature resolution in a regional atmosphere model. Climate Dynamics, 35 (2-3). pp. 341-353. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0554-3

Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Blossey, P.N., Xu, K.-M., Bechtold, P., Chaboureau, J.-P., Hosomi, T., Iacobellis, S.F., Luo, Y., Petch, J.C., Wong, R. and Xie, S. (2010) Modelling convective processes during the suppressed phase of the a Madden-Julian Oscillation: Comparing single-column models with cloud resolving models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (647). pp. 333-353. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.568

Wright, C. J., Osprey, S. M., Barnett, J. J., Gray, L. J. and Gille, J. C. (2010) High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder measurements of gravity wave activity in the 2006 Arctic stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D02105. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD011858

Wu, Y., Gan, G., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Garcia Gonzalez, R. (2010) Experimental measurement and numerical simulation of horizontal-coupled slinky ground source heat exchangers. Applied Thermal Engineering, 30 (16). pp. 2574-2583. ISSN 1359-4311 doi: 10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2010.07.008

Zawar-Reza, P., George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299, Storey, B. and Lawson, W. (2010) Summertime boundary layer winds over the Darwin–Hatherton glacial system, Antarctica: observed features and numerical analysis. Antarctic Science, 22 (6). pp. 619-632. ISSN 0954-1020 doi: 10.1017/s0954102010000817

Zveryaev, I. I. and Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2010) Summertime precipitation variability over europe and its links to atmospheric dynamics and evaporation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D12102. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2008JD011213

2009

Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and John, V.O. (2009) Monitoring changes in precipitation and radiative energy using satellite data and climate models. Proceedings of the 2009 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, P.55. S6, 37. ISSN 1011-3932

Andrews, T., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2009) A surface energy perspective on climate change. Journal of Climate, 22 (10). pp. 2557-2570. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2759.1

Balan Sarojini, B. and Von Storch, J.-S. (2009) Effects of fluctuating daily surface fluxes on the time-mean oceanic circulation. Climate Dynamics, 33 (1). pp. 1-18. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0575-y

Barber, C.R., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Ringer, M. (2009) Observations of changes in marine boundary layer clouds. Proceedings of the 2009 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, P.55. S6, 25. ISSN 1011-3932

Bell, C. J., Gray, L. J., Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Joshi, M. M. and Scaife, A. A. (2009) Stratospheric communication of El Nino teleconnections to European winter. Journal of Climate, 22 (15). pp. 4083-4096. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2717.1

Berrisford, P., Dee, D., Fielding, K., Fuentes, M., Kallberg, P., Kobayashi, S. and Uppala, S., (2009) The ERA-Interim Archive. ERA Report Series. 1. Technical Report. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading. pp16.

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2009) The impact of climate change on daily precipitation statistics for Jordan and Israel. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 192-200. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.233

Bouttes, N., Roche, D.M. and Paillard, D. (2009) Impact of strong deep ocean stratification on the glacial carbon cycle. Paleoceanography, 24 (PA3203). ISSN 1944-9186 doi: 10.1029/2008PA001707

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. J. and Blackburn, M. (2009) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic storm track. Part I: land-sea contrast and orography. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (9). pp. 2539-2558. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3078.1

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Woollings, T. J. and Vellinga, M. (2009) Tropical and extratropical responses of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation to a sustained weakening of the MOC. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3146-3155. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2594.1

Challinor, A., Osborne, T. M., Morse, A., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Wheeler, T. R., Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2009) Methods and resources for climate impacts research: achieving synergy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (6). pp. 836-848. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2008BAMS2403.1

Cook, P. A. and Roscoe, H. K. (2009) Variability and trends in stratospheric NO2 in Antarctic summer, and implications for stratospheric NOy. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (11). pp. 3601-3612. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-9-3601-2009

Coughlin, K. and Gray, L. J. (2009) A continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (2). pp. 531-540. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2792.1

Delrieu, G., Boudevillain, B., Nicol, J., Chapon, B., Kirstetter, P.-E., Andrieu, H. and Faure, D. (2009) Bollène-2002 experiment: radar quantitative precipitation estimation in the Cévennes–Vivarais region, France. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 48 (7). pp. 1422-1447. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: 10.1175/2008JAMC1987.1

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D.I.F., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, O'Neill, A. and Pardo-Iguzquiza, E. (2009) Evaluation of reanalysis rainfall estimates over Ethiopia. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (1). pp. 67-78. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1699

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dufresne, J.-L., Gualdi, S., Friedlingstein, P., Keenlyside, N., Maheras, P., Salas, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Terray, L. (2009) Understanding the processes governing climate variability and change, climate predictability and the probability of extreme events. In: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project. Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK, pp. 79-93.

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Understanding land-sea warming contrast in response to increasing greenhouse gases. Part I: Transient adjustment. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3079-3097. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2652.1

Donnadieu, Y., Goddéris, Y. and Bouttes, N. (2009) Exploring the climatic impact of the continental vegetation on the Mezosoic atmospheric CO2 and climate history. Climate of the Past, 5 (1). pp. 85-96. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-5-85-2009

Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Webb, M. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Boucher, O. (2009) Carbon dioxide induced stomatal closure increases radiative forcing of climate via a rapid reduction in low cloud. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L02703. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2008GL036273

Gray, L. J., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541 and Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 (2009) Stratospheric temperature and radiative forcing response to 11-year solar cycle changes in irradiance and ozone. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (8). 2402-2417 . ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS2866.1

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Jones, C. D., Cadule, P. and Friedlingstein, P. (2009) Quantifying carbon-cycle feedbacks. Journal of Climate, 22 (19). pp. 5232-5250. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2949.1

Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Braconnot, P., Jin, F. -F., Kim, S. T., Kolasinski, M., Li, T. and Musat, I. (2009) Atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in a coupled GCM with a modified atmospheric convection scheme. Journal of Climate, 22 (21). pp. 5698-5718. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2815.1

Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Wittenberg, A., Fedorov, A., Collins, M., Wang, C., Capotondi, A., van Oldenborgh, G. J. and Stockdale, T. (2009) Understanding El Niño in ocean-atmosphere general circulation models: progress and challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (3). pp. 325-340. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2008BAMS2387.1

Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hermanson, K. L., Liu, C. L., Putt, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Iwi, A. and Smith, D. (2009) Decadal climate prediction (project GCEP). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 925-937. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0178

Hannachi, A. and Dommenget , D. (2009) Is the Indian Ocean SST variability a homogeneous diffusion process. Climate Dynamics, 33 (4). pp. 535-547. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0512-5

Hannachi, A., Unkel , S., Trendafilov, N. T. and Jolliffe , I. T. (2009) Independent component analysis of climate data: A new look at EOF rotation. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 2797-2812. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2571.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: forecast skill and optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling. Journal of Climate, 22 (14). pp. 3960-3978. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2720.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (8). pp. 1095-1107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Climate predictability in the second year. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 367 (1890). pp. 913-916. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0181

Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Neelin, J. D. (2009) Moisture vertical structure, column water vapor, and tropical deep convection. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (6). pp. 1665-1683. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2806.1

Hu, H., Gray, L. J., Baldwin, M. P. and Jarvis, M. J. (2009) Life cycle of the QBO-modulated 11-year solar cycle signals in the Northern Hemispheric winter. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (641). 1030 -1043 . ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.419 (Unpublished)

Joshi, M. (2009) The effect of ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) on Ashes series results in Australia. Weather, 64 (7). pp. 178-180. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.403

Joshi, M. M. and Jones, G. (2009) The climatic effects of the direct injection of water vapour into the stratosphere by large volcanic eruptions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (16). pp. 6109-6118. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-9-6109-2009

Juckes, M. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2009) Inferred variables in data assimilation: quantifying sensitivity to inaccurate error statistics. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 61 (1). pp. 129-143. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00376.x

Keeley, S. P. E., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2009) Does the North Atlantic Oscillation show unusual persistence on intraseasonal timescales? Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L22706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL040367

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Inness, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5795-6841 and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Coupled simulations of the Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillation using a fine-resolution mixed-layer ocean model. In: ECMWF Workshop on Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions, 10-12 Nov 2008, Reading, pp. 195-205.

Kniveton, D. R., Layberry, R., Williams, C. J. R. and Peck, M. (2009) Trends in the start of the wet season over Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (9). pp. 1216-1225. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1792

Knox, J. A., McCann, D. W. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2009) "Application of the Lighthill-Ford theory of spontaneous imbalance to clear-air turbulence forecasting" :Reply. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (8). pp. 2511-2516. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3084.1

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Rahmstorf, S., Zickfeld, K., Vikebø, F. B., Sundby, S., Hofmann, M., Link, P. M., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W. and Jaeger, C. (2009) An Integrated Assessment of changes in the thermohaline circulation. Climatic Change, 96 (4). pp. 489-537. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9561-y

Latham, S.E., Cramer, R., Grant, M., Kershaw, P., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lowry, R., Lowe, D., O'Neill, K., Miller, P., Pascoe, S., Pritchard, M., Snaith, H. and Woolf, A. (2009) The NERC DataGrid services. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 1015-1019. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0238

Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lowry, R., Miller, P., Snaith, H. and Woolf, A. (2009) Information in environmental data grids. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 1003-1014. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0237

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 and Slingo, J. M. (2009) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 170-176. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.227

Lowe, D., Woolf, A., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Pascoe, S. (2009) Integrating the Climate Science Modelling Language with geospatial software and services. International Journal of Digital Earth, 2 (S1). pp. 29-39. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: 10.1080/17538940902866161

Marti, O., Braconnot, P., Dufresne, J.-L., Bellier, J., Benshila, R., Bony, S., Brockmann, P., Cadule, P., Caubel, A., Codron, F., Noblet, N., Denvil, S., Fairhead, L., Fichefet, T., Foujols, M.-A., Friedlingstein, P., Goosse, H., Grandpeix, J.-Y., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hourdin, F., Idelkadi, A., Kageyama, M., Krinner, G., Lévy, C., Madec, G., Mignot, J., Musat, I., Swingedouw, D. and Talandier, C. (2009) Key features of the IPSL ocean atmosphere model and its sensitivity to atmospheric resolution. Climate Dynamics, 34 (1). pp. 1-26. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0640-6

Matthewman, N. J., Esler, J. G., Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Polvani, L. (2009) A new look at stratospheric sudden warmings. Part III. Polar vortex evolution and vertical structure. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1566-1585. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2365.1

McDonald, A. J., George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Woollands, R. M. (2009) Can gravity waves significantly impact PSC occurrence in the Antarctic? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (22). pp. 8825-8840. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: 10.5194/acp-9-8825-2009

Meehl, G. A., Goddard, L., Murphy, J., Stouffer, R. J., Boer, G., Danabasoglu, G., Dixon, K., Giorgetta, M. A., Greene, A. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Karoly, D., Keenlyside, N., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Navarra, A., Pulwarty, R., Smith, D., Stammer, D. and Stockdale, T. (2009) Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (10). pp. 1467-1485. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1

Nutt, D. R. and Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2009) Algorithm for generating defective graphene sheets. Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation, 5 (7). pp. 1877-1882. ISSN 1549-9618 doi: 10.1021/ct900113f

Osborne, T. M., Slingo, J. M., Lawrence, D. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Examining the interaction of growing crops with local climate using a coupled crop-climate model. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1393-1411. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2494.1

Pearson, K. J., Hogan, R.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157, Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Lister, G. M. S. (2009) How well do high resolution models reproduce tropical convection? Proceedings of the 2009 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, P.55. S8, 44. ISSN 1011-3932

Roberts, M. J., Clayton, A., Demory, M.-E., Donners, J., Vidale, P.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Norton, W., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Stevens, D. P., Stevens, I., Wood, R. A. and Slingo, J. (2009) Impact of resolution on the tropical pacific circulation in a matrix of coupled models. Journal of Climate, 22 (10). pp. 2541-2556. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2537.1

Schwierz, C., Köllner-Heck, P., Zenklusen Mutter, E., Bresch, D. N., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Wild, M. and Schär, C. (2009) Modelling European winter wind storm losses in current and future climate. Climatic Change, 101 (3-4). pp. 485-514. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9712-1

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Stevens, I., Norton, W., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Harle, J. D., Jrrar, A., Stevens, D. P., Woodage, M. J., Demory, M.-E., Donners, J., Clark, D. B., Clayton, A., Cole, J. W., Wilson, S. S., Connolley, W. M., Davies, T. M., Iwi, A. M., Johns, T. C., King, J. C., New, A. L., Slingo, J. M., Slingo, A., Steenman-Clark, L. and Martin, G. M. (2009) U.K. HiGEM: The New U.K. High-Resolution Global Environment Model—Model Description and Basic Evaluation. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 1861-1896. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2508.1

Siddall, M., Clark, P., Thompson, W., Waelbroeck, C., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Stocker, T. (2009) The sea level conundrum: insights from paleo studies. EOS transactions, 90 (9). pp. 72-73. ISSN 0096-3941 doi: 10.1029/2009EO090007,

Simpson, I. R., Blackburn, M. and Haigh, J. D. (2009) The role of eddies in driving the tropospheric response to stratospheric heating perturbations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (5). pp. 1347-1365. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2008JAS2758.1

Slingo, J. M., Bates, K., Nikiforakis, N., Piggott, M., Roberts, M., Shaffrey, L., Stevens, I., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2009) Developing the next-generation climate system models: challenges and achievements. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 815-831. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0207

Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2009) A study of the sensitivity of ocean overturning circulation and climate to freshwater input in different regions of the North Atlantic. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L15701. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL038607

Sparrow, S. N., Blackburn, M. and Haigh, J. D. (2009) Annular variability and eddy-zonal flow interactions in a simplified atmospheric GCM. Part 1: Characterization of high and low frequency behaviour. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (10). pp. 3075-3094. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS2953.1

Tagliabue, A., Bopp, L., Roche, D.M., Bouttes, N., Dutay, J.-C., Alkama, R., Kageyama, M., Michel, E. and Paillard, D. (2009) Quantifying the roles of ocean circulation and biogeochemistry in governing ocean carbon-13 and atmospheric carbon dioxide at the last glacial maximum. Climate of the Past, 5 (4). pp. 695-706. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cp-5-695-2009

Thomas, G. E., Poulsen, C. A., Sayer, A. M., Marsh, S. H., Dean, S. M., Carboni, E., Siddans, R., Grainger, R. G. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2009) The GRAPE aerosol retrieval algorithm. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 2 (2). pp. 679-701. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: 10.5194/amt-2-679-2009

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate-change scenario. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (640). pp. 549-567. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.401

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon region. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 152-158. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.223

Waliser, D., Sperber, K., Hendon, H., Kim, D., Maloney, E., Wheeler, M., Weickmann, K., Zhang, C., Donner, L., Gottschalck, J., Higgins, W., Kang, I.-S., Legler, D., Moncrieff, M., Schubert, S., Stern, W., Vitart, F., Wang , B., Wang, W. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2009) MJO Simulation Diagnostics. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3006-3030. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2731.1

Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2009) Predicting mesh density for adaptive modelling of the global atmosphere. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1907). pp. 4523-4542. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2009.0151

Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Weller, H. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 and Fournier, A. (2009) Voronoi, Delaunay, and Block-Structured Mesh Refinement for Solution of the Shallow-Water Equations on the Sphere. Monthly Weather Review, 137 (12). pp. 4208-4224. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2009MWR2917.1

Wilby, R.L., Troni, J., Biot, Y., Tedd, L., Hewitson, B.C., Smith, D.M. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planning. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (9). pp. 1193-1215. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1839

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2009) A Proposed Modification to the Robert–Asselin Time Filter. Monthly Weather Review, 137 (8). pp. 2538-2546. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2009MWR2724.1

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2009) Rapid climate change: an overview for economists. International Journal of Green Economics, 3 (1). pp. 63-76. ISSN 1744-9928 doi: 10.1504/IJGE.2009.026492

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Haine, T., Read, P., Lewis, S. and Yamazaki, Y. (2009) QUAGMIRE v1.3: a quasi-geostrophic model for investigating rotating fluids experiments. Geoscientific Model Development, 2 (1). pp. 13-32.

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2009) Convectively coupled equatorial waves in high resolution Hadley centre climate models. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 1897-1919. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2630.1

Zhou, T., Yu, R., Zhang, J., Grange, H., Cassou, C., Deser, C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Keenlyside, N., Xin, X. and Okumura, Y. (2009) Why the western Pacific subtropical high has extended westward since the late 1970s. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 2199-2215. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2527.1

2008

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Palmer, P.I., Thomas, G.E., Arnold, C.P.G., Campmany, E., Carboni, E., Grainger, R.G., Poulsen, C., Siddans, R. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2008) Regional and seasonal variations of the Twomey indirect effect as observed by the ATSR-2 satellite instrument. Geophysical Research Letters, 35. L02811. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2007GL031394

Delworth, T. L., Clark, P. U., Holland, M., Johns, T., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Lynch-Stieglitz, C., Seager, R., Weaver, A. J. and Zhang, R. (2008) The potential for abrupt change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. In: Abrupt Climate Change. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U. S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, pp. 258-359.

Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2008) Exploring Multi-model atmospheric GCM Ensembles with ANOVA. Climate Dynamcs, 31 (7-8). pp. 973-986. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0372-z

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Inness, P.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5795-6841, Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 and Slingo, J.M. (2008) The Importance of High-Frequency Sea Surface Temperature Variability to the Intraseasonal Oscillation of Indian Monsoon Rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (23). pp. 6119-6140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2329.1

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Slingo, J.M. and Inness, P.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5795-6841 (2008) The intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon using TMI sea surface temperatures and ECMWF reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 21 (11). pp. 2519-2539. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1850.1

Krützmann, N. C., McDonald, A. J. and George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2008) Identification of mixing barriers in chemistry-climate model simulations using Rényi entropy. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (6). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2007gl032829

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 (2008) On Sandström's inferences from his tank experiments - a hundred years later. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 60 (5). pp. 819-836. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00350.x

Polo, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Losada, T. and García-Serrano, J. (2008) Tropical Atlantic variability modes (1979–2002). Part I: Time-evolving SST modes related to West African rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (24). pp. 6457-6475. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2607.1

SanchezGomez, E., Cassou, C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Keenlyside, N., Okumura, Y. and Zhou, T. (2008) North Atlantic weather regimes response to Indian-western Pacific Ocean warming: A multi-model study. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (15). L15706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2008GL034345

Tietsche, S. and Pikovsky, A. (2008) Chaotic destruction of Anderson localization in a nonlinear lattice. Europhysics Letters, 84 (1). 10006. ISSN 0295-5075 doi: 10.1209/0295-5075/84/10006

Weller, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 and Weller, H. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2008) A high-order arbitrarily unstructured finite-volume model of the global atmosphere: tests solving the shallow-water equations. International Journal for Numerical Methods in Fluids, 56 (8). pp. 1589-1596. ISSN 0271-2091 doi: 10.1002/fld.1595

Zheng, W., Braconnot, P., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Merkel, U. and Yu, Y. (2008) ENSO at 6ka and 21ka from ocean–atmosphere coupled model simulations. Climate Dynamics, 30 (7-8). pp. 745-762. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0320-3

2007

Dean, S. M., Flowerdew, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Eckermann, S. D. (2007) Parameterisation of orographic cloud dynamics in a GCM. Climate Dynamics, 28 (6). pp. 581-597. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0202-0

Li, Y., Lu, R. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2007) The ENSO-Asian monsoon interaction in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM. Journal of Climate, 20 (20). pp. 5164-5177. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4289.1

Lu, R., Li, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2007) Arctic Oscillation and Antarctic Oscillation in internal atmospheric variability. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 24 (1). pp. 152-162. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0152-4

Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 (2007) A POD-Galerkin approach to the atmospheric dynamics of Mars. DPhil thesis, University of Oxford.

McDonald, A. J., Baumgaertner, A. J. G., Fraser, G. J., George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Marsh, S. (2007) Empirical Mode Decomposition of the atmospheric wave field. Annales Geophysicae, 25 (2). pp. 375-384. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: 10.5194/angeo-25-375-2007

Monahan, K. P., Pan, L. L., McDonald, A. J., Bodeker, G. E., Wei, J., George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299, Barnet, C. D. and Maddy, E. (2007) Validation of AIRS v4 ozone profiles in the UTLS using ozonesondes from Lauder, NZ and Boulder, USA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 112 (D17). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2006jd008181

Osborne, T. M., Lawrence, D.M., Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J.M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2007) Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Global Change Biology, 13 (1). pp. 169-183. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01274.x

Parker, D., Folland, C., Scaife, A., Knight, J., Colman, A., Baines, P. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2007) Decadal to multidecadal variability and the climate change background. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. D18115. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2007JD008411

Salzmann, N., Frei, C., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Hoelzle, M. (2007) The application of Regional Climate Model output for the simulation of high-mountain permafrost scenarios. Global and Planetary Change, 56 (1-2). pp. 188-202. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.006

Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Slingo, J.M. (2007) El Nino in a Coupled Climate Model: Sensitivity to changes in mean state induced by heat flux and wind stress corrections. Journal of Climate, 20 (10). pp. 2273-2298. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4111.1

Studer, S., Stöckli, R., Appenzeller, C. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2007) A comparative study of satellite and ground-based phenology. International Journal of Biometeorology, 51 (5). pp. 405-414. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: 10.1007/s00484-006-0080-5

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2007) Climate response to basin-scale warming and cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 20 (5). pp. 891-907. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4038.1

Swingedouw, D., Braconnot, P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Marti, O. (2007) The impact of global freshwater forcing on the thermohaline circulation: adjustment of North Atlantic convection sites in a CGCM. Climate Dynamics, 28 (2-3). pp. 291-305. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0171-3

Williams, C. J. R., Kniveton, D. and Layberry, R. (2007) Climatic and oceanic associations with daily rainfall extremes over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 27 (1). pp. 93-108. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1376

2006

Adamson, D. S., Belcher, S. E., Hoskins, B. J. and Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 (2006) Boundary-layer friction in midlatitude cyclone. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 132 (614). pp. 101-124. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.04.145

Fraser, G. J., Marsh, S. H., Baggaley, W. J., Bennett, R. G. T., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, McDonald, A. J. and Plank, G. E. (2006) Small-scale structures in common-volume meteor wind measurements. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 68 (3-5). pp. 317-322. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2005.03.016

Frei, C., Schöll, R., Fukutome, S., Schmidli, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2006) Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate mode. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111. D06105. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2005JD005965

George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2006) United Kingdom windspeed: measurement, climatology, predictability and link to tropical Atlantic variability. PhD thesis, University College London.

Johns, T. C., Durman, C. F., Banks, H. T., Roberts, M. J., McLaren, A. J., Ridley, J. K., Senior, C. A., Williams, K. D., Jones, A., Rickard, G. J., Cusack, S., Ingram, W. J., Crucifix, M., Sexton, D. M. H., Joshi, M. M., Dong, B. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Hill, R. S. R., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Keen, A.B., Pardaens, A. K., Lowe, J. A., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Stark, S. and Searl, Y. (2006) The new Hadley Centre climate model HadGEM1: evaluation of coupled simulations. Journal Of Climate, 19. pp. 1327-1353. ISSN 1520-0442

Jones, C. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2006) CLADDIER: Citation, location and deposition in discipline and institutional repositories. D-Lib Magazine, 12 (2). ISSN 1082-9873

Juckes, M. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2006) Data assimilation for re-analyses: potential gains from full use of post-analysis-time observations. Tellus A, 58 (2). pp. 171-178. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00167.x

Lengaigne, M., Boulanger, J. P., Menkes, C. and Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2006) Influence of the seasonal cycle on the termination of El Nino events in a coupled general circulation model. Journal Of Climate, 19 (9). pp. 1850-1868. ISSN 1520-0442

Raible, C. C., Casty, C., Luterbacher, J., Pauling, A., Esper, J., Frank, D. C., Büntgen, U., Roesch, A. C., Tschuck, P., Wild, M., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Schär, C. and Wannerhide, H. (2006) Climate variability-observations, reconstructions, and model simulations for the Atlantic-European and Alpine region from 1500-2100 AD. Climatic Change, 79 (1). pp. 9-29. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9061-2

Schmidli, J., Frei, C. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2006) Downscaling from GCM precipitation: a benchmark for dynamical and statistical downscaling methods. International Journal of Climatology, 26 (5). pp. 679-689. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1287

2005

Dean, S., Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Grainger, R. and Heuff, D. (2005) Orographic cloud in a GCM: the missing cirrus. Climate Dynamics, 24 (7). pp. 771-780. ISSN 0930-7575

Slingo, J., Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Hoskins, B., Berrisford, P. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) The meteorology of the Western Indian Ocean, and the influence of the east African highlands. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826). pp. 25-42. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2004.1473

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2005) Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science, 309 (5731). pp. 115-118.

Woolf, A., Cramer, R., Gutierrez, M., Dam, K.K., Kondapalli, S., Latham, S., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lowry, R. and O'Neill, K. (2005) Standards-based data interoperability in the climate sciences. Meteorological Applications, 12 (1). pp. 9-22. ISSN 1469-8080

2004

Ajtic, J., Connor, B. J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bodeker, G. E., Hoppel, K. W., Rosenfield, J. E. and Heuff, D. N. (2004) Dilution of the Antarctic ozone hole into southern midlatitudes, 1998-2000. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109 (D17). D17107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2003JD004500

Cook, P. A., de Oliveira, C. R. E., Haigh, J. D. and Goddard, A. J. (2004) A finite element-spherical harmonics model for radiative transfer in inhomogeneous clouds. Part II. some applications. Atmospheric Research, 72 (1-4). pp. 223-237. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2004.03.021

Grant, J., Grainger, R. G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fraser, G. J., Von Biel, H. A., Heuff, D. N. and Plank, G. E. (2004) Retrieval of mesospheric electron densities using an optimal estimation inverse method. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 66 (5). pp. 381-392. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: 10.1016/j.jastp.2003.12.006

Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Slingo, J. (2004) Representing El Niño in coupled ocean–atmosphere GCMs: the dominant role of the atmospheric component. Journal of Climate, 17 (24). pp. 4623-4629. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-3260.1

Hagemann, S., Machenhauer, B., Jones, R., Christensen, O. B., Déqué, M., Jacob, D. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2004) Evaluation of water and energy budgets in regional climate models applied over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 23 (5). pp. 547-567. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-004-0444-7

Nicholls, M. E., Denning, A. S., Prihodko, L., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Baker, I., Davis, K. and Bakwin, P. (2004) A multiple-scale simulation of variations in atmospheric carbon dioxide using a coupled biosphere-atmospheric model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109 (D18). 117. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2003JD004482

Schär, C., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Frei, C., Luethi, D., Liniger, M. and Appenzeller, C. (2004) The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves. Nature, 427 (6972). pp. 332-336. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/nature02300

Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082 (2004) Role of the atmosphere in the seasonal phase locking of El Nino. Geophysical Research Letters, 31 (5). L24104. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2004GL021619

Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Slingo, J. M. and Davey, M. K. (2004) Seasonal predictability of ENSO teleconnections: the role of the remote ocean response. Climate Dynamics, 22 (5). pp. 511-526.

Stockli, R. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2004) European plant phenology and climate as seen in a 20-year AVHRR land-surface parameter dataset. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 25 (17). pp. 3303-3330. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: 10.1080/01431160310001618149

Terray, L., Demory, M.-E., Déqué, M., de Coetlogon, G. and Maisonnave, E. (2004) Simulation of late-twenty-first-century changes in wintertime atmospheric circulation over Europe due to anthropogenic causes. Journal of Climate, 17 (24). pp. 4630-4635. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-3244.1

2003

Ajtic, J., Connor, B. J., Randall, C. E., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bodecker, G. E., Rosenfeld, J. E. and Heuff, D. N. (2003) Antarctic air over New Zealand following vortex breakdown in 1998. Annales Geophysicae, 21 (11). pp. 2175-2183. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: 10.5194/angeo-21-2175-2003

Arnold, N. E., Cook, P. A., Robinson, T. R., Lester, M., Chapman, P. J. and Mitchell, N. (2003) Comparison of D-region Doppler drift winds measured by the SuperDARN Finland HF radar over an annual cycle using the Kiruna VHF meteor radar. Annales Geophysicae, 21 (10). pp. 2073-2082. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: 10.5194/angeo-21-2073-2003

Baker, I., Denning, A. S., Hanan, N., Prihodko, L., Uliasz, M., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Davis, K. and Bakwin, P. (2003) Simulated and observed fluxes of sensible and latent heat and CO2 at the WLEF-TV tower using SiB2.5. Global Change Biology, 9 (9). pp. 1262-1277. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00671.x

Denning, A. S., Nicholls, M., Prihodko, L., Baker, I., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Davis, K. and Bakwin, P. (2003) Simulated variations in atmospheric CO2 over a Wisconsin forest using a coupled ecosystem-atmosphere model. Global Change Biology, 9 (9). pp. 1241-1250. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00613.x

Frei, C., Christensen, J.H., Déqué, M., Jacob, D., Jones, R.G. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2003) Daily precipitation statistics in regional climate models: evaluation and intercomparison for the European Alps. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D3). pp. 65-84. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2002JD002287

Stephens, A., Marsh, K. P. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2003) Presenting a multi-terabyte dataset via the web. Proceedings of the ECMWF Ninth Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems.

Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2003) Influence of the ocean on North Atlantic climate variability 1871-1999. Journal Of Climate, 16. pp. 3296-3313. ISSN 1520-0442

Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Mathieu, P.P. (2003) The role of the Atlantic Ocean in climate forecasting. Proceedings of the ECMWF workshop on the role of the upper ocean in medium and extended range forecasting. In: ECMWF.

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Lüthi, D., Frei, C., Seneviratne, S. and Schär, C. (2003) Predictability and uncertainty in a regional climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D18). 4586. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2002JD002810

2002

Banks, H. T., Wood, R. A. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2002) Changes to Indian Ocean subantarctic mode water in a coupled climate model as CO2 forcing increases. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 32 (10). pp. 2816-2827. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/1520-0485(2002)032<2816:CTIOSM>2.0.CO;2

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Church, J. A. (2002) Changes in sea-level. Weather, 57 (8). pp. 287-295. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1256/004316502320517380

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Stott, P. A., Cresswell, D. J., Rayner, N. A., Gordon, C. and Sexton, D. M. H. (2002) Recent and future changes in Arctic sea ice simulated by the HadCM3 AOGCM. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (24). 2175. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2001GL014575

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Stouffer, R. J., Raper, S. C. B., Stott, P. A. and Rayner, N. A. (2002) An observationally based estimate of the climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate, 15 (22). pp. 3117-3121. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3117:AOBEOT>2.0.CO;2

Hagemann, S., Machenhauer, B., Christensen, O.B., Déqué, M., Jacob, D., Jones, R. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, (2002) Intercomparison of water and energy budgets simulated by regional climate models applied over Europe. Report. Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany. pp42. ISBN 0937-1060

Ponte, R. M., Rajamony, J. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2002) Ocean angular momentum signals in a climate model and implications for Earth rotation. Climate Dynamics, 19 (2). pp. 181-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-001-0216-6

Raper, S. C. B., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Stouffer, R. J. (2002) The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake on AOGCM transient temperature response. Journal of Climate, 15 (1). pp. 124-130. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0124:TROCSA>2.0.CO;2

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Weaver, A. J. and Eby, M. (2002) Distinguishing the influence of heat, freshwater, and momentum fluxes on ocean circulation and climate. Journal of Climate, 15 (24). pp. 3686-3697. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3686:DTIOHF>2.0.CO;2

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hoskins, B. J. and Lu, R. (2002) The relationship between the North American summer monsoon, the Rocky Mountains and the North Pacific subtropical anticyclone in HadAM3. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128 (586). pp. 2607-2622. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.01.145

Vellinga, M., Wood, R. A. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2002) Processes governing the recovery of a perturbed thermohaline circulation in HadCM3. Journal of Climate, 15 (7). pp. 764-780. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0764:PGTROA>2.0.CO;2

2001

Church, J. A. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2001) Sea level change. In: Steele, J. H., Turekian, K. K. and Thorpe, S. A. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences. Academic Press, pp. 2599-2604. ISBN 9780122274305 doi: 10.1006/rwos.2001.0268

Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Huybrechts, P., Kuhn, M., Lambeck, K., Nhuan, M. T., Qin, D. and Woodworth, P. L. (2001) Changes in sea level. In: Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K. and Johnson, C. A. (eds.) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of working group I to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 639-693. ISBN 0521807670 (Chapter 11)

Durman, C. F., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hassell, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Jones, R. G. and Murphy, J. M. (2001) A comparison of extreme European daily precipitation simulated by a global and a regional climate model for present and future climates. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (573). pp. 1005-1015. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.49712757316

George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Saunders, M. A. (2001) North Atlantic Oscillation impact on tropical North Atlantic winter atmospheric variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 28 (6). pp. 1015-1018. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2000gl012449

Gray, L.J., Drysdale, E.F., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Dunkerton, T.J. (2001) Model studies of the interannual variability of the northern-hemisphere stratospheric winter circulation: the role of the quasi-biennial oscillation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (574). pp. 1413-1432. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.49712757416

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Church, J. A., Boer, G. J., Dixon, K. W., Flato, G. M., Jackett, D. R., Lowe, J. A., O'Farrell, S. P., Roeckner, E., Russell, G. L., Stouffer, R. J. and Winton, M. (2001) Comparison of results from several AOGCMs for global and regional sea-level change 1900-2100. Climate Dynamics, 18 (3-4). pp. 225-240. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s003820100180

Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Stott, P. A. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (2001) Correlations between patterns of 19th and 20th century surface temperature change and HadCM2 Climate Model ensembles. Geophysical Research Letters, 28 (6). pp. 1007-1010. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2000GL011861

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2001) A gravity-wave induced quasi-biennial oscillation in a three-dimensional mechanistic model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (576). pp. 2005-2021. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/smsqj.57607

Lowe, J. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Flather, R. A. (2001) Changes in the occurrence of storm surges around the United Kingdom under a future climate scenario using a dynamic storm surge model driven by the Hadley Centre climate models. Climate Dynamics, 18 (3-4). pp. 179-188. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s003820100163

Osprey, S.M. and Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2001) A possible mechanism for in situ forcing of planetary waves in the summer extratropical mesosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 28 (7). pp. 1183-1186. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2000GL011984

Raper, S. C. B., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Osborn, T. J. (2001) Use of an upwelling-diffusion energy balance climate model to simulate and diagnose A/OGCM results. Climate Dynamics, 17 (8). pp. 601-613. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/PL00007931

Thorpe, R. B., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Johns, T. C., Wood, R. A. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (2001) Mechanisms determining the Atlantic thermohaline circulation response to greenhouse gas forcing in a non-flux-adjusted coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 14 (14). pp. 3102-3116. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3102:MDTATC>2.0.CO;2

Vialard, J., Menkes, C., Boulanger, J.-P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, McPhaden, M. J. and Madec, G. (2001) A model study of oceanic mechanisms affecting Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature during the 1997-98 El Niño. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 31 (7). pp. 1649-1675. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/1520-0485(2001)031<1649:AMSOOM>2.0.CO;2

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Slingo, J. (2001) The diurnal cycle in the tropics. Monthly Weather Review, 129 (4). pp. 784-801. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0784:TDCITT>2.0.CO;2

2000

Banks, H. T., Wood, R. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Johns, T. C. and Jones, G. S. (2000) Are observed decadal changes in intermediate water masses a signature of anthropogenic climate change? Geophysical Research Letters, 27 (18). pp. 2961-2964. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2000GL011601

Dalu, G. A., Pielke, R. A., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Baldi, M. (2000) Heat transport and weakening of atmospheric stability induced by mesoscale flows. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105 (D7). pp. 9349-9363. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/1999JD901064

Eugster, W., Rouse, W. R., Pielke Sr, R. A., Mcfadden, J. P., Baldocchi, D. D., Kittel, T. G. F., Chapin III, F. S., Liston, G. E., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Vaganov, E. and Chambers, S. (2000) Land-atmosphere energy exchange in Arctic tundra and boreal forest: available data and feedbacks to climate. Global Change Biology, 6 (S1). pp. 84-115. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2000.06015.x

Frame, D. J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fraser, G. J. and Burrage, M. D. (2000) A comparison between mesospheric wind measurements made near Christchurch (44 S, 173 E) using the high resolution doppler imager (HRDI) and a medium frequency (MF) radar. Annales Geophysicae, 18 (5). pp. 555-565. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: 10.1007/s00585-000-0555-3

Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C. A., Banks, H., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Johns, T. C., Mitchell, J. F. B. and Wood, R. A. (2000) The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics, 16 (2-3). pp. 147-168. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s003820050010

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2000) Vertical heat transports in the ocean and their effect on time-dependent climate change. Climate Dynamics, 16 (7). pp. 501-515. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s003820000059

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Lowe, J. A. (2000) Predictions of global and regional sea-level rise using AOGCMs with and without flux adjustment. Geophysical Research Letters, 27 (19). pp. 3069-3072. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/1999GL011228

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Tett, S. F. B. and Hibling, E. L. (2000) Camelot – a database for climate model output. Meteorological Applications, 7 (1). pp. 83-90. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1017/S1350482700001444

Hoskins, B. and Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2000) The equatorial response to higher latitude forcing. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57 (9). pp. 1197-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(2000)057<1197:TERTHL>2.0.CO;2

Mihailović, D. T., Lee, T. J., Pielke, R. A., Lalić, B., Arsenić, I. D., Rajković, B. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2000) Comparison of different boundary layer surface schemes using single point micrometeorological field data. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 67 (3-4). pp. 135-151. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s007040070003

Walko, R. L., Band, L. E., Baron, J., Kittel, T. G. F., Lammers, R., Lee, T. J., Ojima, D., Pielke Sr, R. A., Taylor, C., Tague, C., Tremback, C. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2000) Coupled atmosphere-biophysics-hydrology models for environmental modeling. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 39 (6). pp. 931-944. ISSN 0894-8763 doi: 10.1175/1520-0450(2000)039<0931:CABHMF>2.0.CO;2

1999

Bhaskaran, B., Mullan, A. B. and George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (1999) Modelling of atmospheric climate variations at Niwa. Weather and Climate, 19. pp. 23-35. ISSN 0111-5499 doi: 10.2307/44279925

Osborn, T. J., Conway, D., Hulme, M., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Jones, P. D. (1999) Air flow influences on local climate: observed and simulated mean relationships for the United Kingdom. Climate Research, 13 (3). pp. 173-191. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr013173

Pielke Sr, R. A., Walko, R. L., Steyaert, L. T., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Liston, G. E., Lyons, W. A. and Chase, T. N. (1999) The influence of anthropogenic landscape changes on weather in south Florida. Monthly Weather Review, 127 (7). pp. 1663-1672. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<1663:TIOALC>2.0.CO;2

Rosier, S. M. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (1999) The January 1992 stratospheric sudden warming: A role for tropical inertial instability? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 125 (559). pp. 2575-2596. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.49712555912

Wood, R. A., Keen, A. B., Mitchell, J. F. B. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (1999) Changing spatial structure of the thermohaline circulation in response to atmospheric CO2 forcing in a climate model. Nature, 399. pp. 572-575. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/21170

1998

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Oerlemans, J. (1998) Simulated future sea-level rise due to glacier melt based on regionally and seasonally resolved temperature changes. Nature, 391. pp. 474-476. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/35119

Plagmann, M., Marsh, S. H., Baggaley, W. J., Bennett, R. G. T., Deutsch, K. A., Fraser, G. J., Hernandez, G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Plank, G. E. and Smith, R. W. (1998) Annual variation of airglow heights derived from wind measurements. Geophysical Research Letters, 25 (24). pp. 4457-4460. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/1998GL900212

Taylor, C. M., Harding, R. J., Pielke, R. A., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Walko, R. L. and Pomeroy, J. W. (1998) Snow breezes in the boreal forest. Journal of Geophysical Research, 103 (D18). pp. 23087-23101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/98JD02004

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (1998) Contributions of land surface forced mesoscale circulations to the total heat, moisture and momentum budgets over BOREAS. PhD thesis, Colorado State University.

Walko, R. L., Pielke, R., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Eastman, J. and Lu, L. (1998) Influence of forest cover in the eastern United States on regional climate. In: Beniston, M. and Innes, J. L. (eds.) The impacts of climate variability on forests. Lecture Notes in Earth Sciences (74). Springer, London, pp. 93-98. ISBN 9783540646815

1997

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1997) The climate response to CO2 of the Hadley Centre coupled AOGCM with and without flux adjustment. Geophysical Research Letters, 24 (15). pp. 1943-1946. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/97GL01930

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Mitchell, J. F. B. and Brady, A. J. (1997) Summer drought in northern midlatitudes in a time-dependent CO2 climate experiment. Journal of Climate, 10 (4). pp. 662-686. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0662:SDINMI>2.0.CO;2

Harvey, D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Hoffert, M., Jain, A., Lal, M., Leemans, R., Raper, S., Wigley, T. and de Wolde, J. (1997) An introduction to simple climate models used in the IPCC second assessment report. IPCC Technical Paper (II). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. ISBN 9291691011

Hennessy, K. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1997) Changes in daily precipitation under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Climate Dynamics, 13 (9). pp. 667-680. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s003820050189

Johns, T. C., Carnell, R. E., Crossley, J. F., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Mitchell, J. F. B., Senior, C. A., Tett, S. F. B. and Wood, R. A. (1997) The second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM: model description, spinup and validation. Climate Dynamics, 13 (2). pp. 103-134. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s003820050155

Karl, T. R., Nicholls, N. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (1997) The coming climate. Scientific American, 276. pp. 78-83. ISSN 0036-8733 doi: 10.1038/scientificamerican0597-78

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (1997) Some aspects of the sensitivity of stratospheric climate simulation to model lid height. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ALL SERIES-, 102. p. 23. doi: 10.1029/97JD01771

Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (1997) The Effect of Parameterized Gravity Wave Drag on Simulations of the Middle Atmosphere During Northern Winter 1991/1992-General Evolution. NATO ASI SERIES I GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, 50. pp. 291-308.

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Pielke Sr, R.A., Steyaert, L.T. and Barr, A. (1997) Case study modeling of turbulent and mesoscale fluxes over the BOREAS region. Journal of geophysical research, 102 (D24). pp. 29167-29.

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Pielke, R. A., Steyaert, L. T. and Barr, A. (1997) Case study modeling of turbulent and mesoscale fluxes over the BOREAS region. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102 (D24). pp. 29167-29188. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/97JD02561

1996

Joshi, M. M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Lewis, S. R. (1996) The effect of spatial variations in unresolved topography on gravity wave drag in the Martian atmosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 23 (21). pp. 2927-2930. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/96GL02758

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Randel, W.J. (1996) Variability in the mesosphere observed by the Nimbus 6 pressure modulator radiometer. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ALL SERIES-, 101. p. 23. doi: 10.1029/96JD01652

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Hoskins, B. (1996) Propagation of Rossby waves of nonzero frequency. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 53 (16). pp. 2365-2378. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<2365:PORWON>2.0.CO;2

1995

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1995) Simulation of daily variability of surface temperature and precipitation over Europe in the current and 2 x COz climates using the UKMO climate model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 121 (526). pp. 1451-1476. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.49712152611

Joshi, M. M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Lewis, S. R. (1995) Gravity wave drag in three-dimensional atmospheric models of Mars. Journal of Geophysical Research, 100 (E10). pp. 21235-21245. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/95JE02486

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fraser, G.J., Vincent, R.A. and Phillips, A. (1995) The 4-day wave in the Antarctic mesosphere. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ALL SERIES-, 100. p. 18. doi: 10.1029/95JD01168.

Mitchell, J. F. B., Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tett, S. F. B. (1995) Climate response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols. Nature, 376. pp. 501-504. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/376501a0

Pielke, R. A. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (1995) The boreal forest and the polar front. Journal of Geophysical Research, 100 (D12). pp. 25755-25758. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/95JD02418

Pielke, R. A., Bernardet, L. R., Fitzpatrick,, P. J., Hertenstein, R. F., Jones, A. S., Lin, X., Nachamkin,, J. E., Nair, U. S., Papineau, J. M., Poulos, G. S., Savoie, M. H. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (1995) Standardized test to evaluate numerical weather prediction algorithms. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76 (1). pp. 46-48. ISSN 1520-0477

Silva Dias, M.A.F., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Blanco, C.M.R. (1995) Case study and numerical simulation of the summer regional circulation in São Paulo, Brazil. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 74 (4). pp. 371-388. ISSN 0006-8314

Stone, E. M., Stanford, J. L., Ziemke, J. R., Allen, D. R., Taylor, F. W., Rodgers, C. D., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fishbein, E. F., Elson, L. S. and Waters, J. W. (1995) Space-time integrity of improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder and microwave limb sounder temperature fields at Kelvin wave scales. Journal of Geophysical Research, 100 (D7). pp. 14089-14096. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/95JD01171

1994

Rosier, S., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Andrews, D. and Taylor, F. (1994) Dynamical evolution of the Northern stratosphere in early winter 1991-92, as observed by the improved Stratospheric and Mesospheric Sounder. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 51 (20). pp. 2783-2799. doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(1994)051<2783:DEOTNS>2.0.CO;2

Ruth, S., Remedios, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Taylor, F. (1994) Measurements of N2O by the UARS improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder during the early northern winter 1991/92. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 51 (20). pp. 2818-2833. doi: 10.1175/1520-0469(1994)051<2818:MONBTI>2.0.CO;2

1993

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (1993) Sea level changes under increasing atmospheric CO2 in a transient coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM experiment. Journal of Climate, 6 (12). pp. 2247-2262. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<2247:SLCUIA>2.0.CO;2

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Dowrick, N. J. (1993) The Sverdrup relation generalized to include bottom topography and friction — a new derivation and correction to Fofonoff. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 23 (8). pp. 1867-1869. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/1520-0485(1993)023<1867:TSRGTI>2.0.CO;2

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wigley, T. M. L. and Jones, P. D. (1993) Application of Markov models to area-average daily precipitation series and interannual variability in seasonal totals. Climate Dynamics, 8 (6). pp. 299-310. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/BF00209669

Reburn, W. J., Remedios, J. J., Ballard, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Taylor, F. W. (1993) Measurements of stratospheric NO2 by the improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder. Geophysical Research Letters, 20 (12). pp. 1231-1234. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/93GL01340

1992

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wigley, T. M. L. and Jones, P. D. (1992) Determining and interpreting the order of a two-state Markov chain: application to models of daily precipitation. Water Resources Research, 28 (5). pp. 1443-1446. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: 10.1029/92WR00477

Mitchell, J. F. B. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (1992) Climatic consequences of emissions and a comparison of IS92a and SA90. In: Houghton, J. T., Callander, B. A. and Varney, S. K. (eds.) Climate change 1992: the supplementary report to the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, pp. 173-175. ISBN 0521438292 (Annex)

1991

Cole, J. A., Slade, S., Jones, P. D. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (1991) Reliable yield of reservoirs and possible effects of climatic change. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 36 (6). pp. 579-598. ISSN 0262-6667 doi: 10.1080/02626669109492545

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Jones, P. D. and Wigley, T. M. L. (1991) Precipitation in Britain: an analysis of area-average data updated to 1989. International Journal of Climatology, 11 (3). pp. 331-345. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3370110308

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