Items where Division is "Department of Meteorology"

Reading Faculties, Schools and Departments (5941)
- Science (5941)
  - School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences (5941)
    - Department of Meteorology (5941)

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Number of items at this level: 5941.

2021

Abdalla, S., Abdeh Kolahchi, A., Ablain, M., Adusumilli, S., Aich Bhowmick, S., Alou-Font, E., Amarouche, L., Andersen, O. B., Antich, H., Aouf, L., Arbic, B., Armitage, T., Arnault, S., Artana, C., Aulicino, G., Ayoub, N., Badulin, S., Baker, S., Banks, C., Bao, L., Barbetta, S., Barceló-Llull, B., Barlier, F., Basu, S., Bauer-Gottwein, P., Becker, M., Beckley, B., Bellefond, N., Belonenko, T., Benkiran, M., Benkouider, T., Bennartz, R., Benveniste, J., Bercher, N., Berge-Nguyen, M., Bettencourt, J., Blarel, F., Blazquez, A., Blumstein, D., Bonnefond, P., Borde, F., Bouffard, J., Boy, F., Boy, J.-P., Brachet, C., Brasseur, P., Braun, A., Brocca, L., Brockley, D., Brodeau, L., Brown, S., Bruinsma, S., Bulczak, A., Buzzard, S., Cahill, M., Calmant, S., Calzas, M., Camici, S., Cancet, M., Capdeville, H., Carabajal, C. C., Carrere, L., Cazenave, A., Chassignet, E. P., Chauhan, P., Cherchali, S., Chereskin, T., Cheymol, C., Ciani, D., Cipollini, P., Cirillo, F., Cosme, E., Coss, S., Cotroneo, Y., Cotton, D., Couhert, A., Coutin-Faye, S., Crétaux, J.-F., Cyr, F., d’Ovidio, F., Darrozes, J., David, C., Dayoub, N., De Staerke, D., Deng, X., Desai, S., Desjonqueres, J.-D., Dettmering, D., Di Bella, A., Díaz-Barroso, L., Dibarboure, G., Dieng, H. B., Dinardo, S., Dobslaw, H., Dodet, G., Doglioli, A., Domeneghetti, A., Donahue, D., Dong, S., Donlon, C., Dorandeu, J., Drezen, C., Drinkwater, M., Du Penhoat, Y., Dushaw, B., Egido, A., Erofeeva, S., Escudier, P., Esselborn, S., Exertier, P., Fablet, R., Falco, C., Farrell, S. L., Faugere, Y., Femenias, P., Fenoglio, L., Fernandes, J., Fernández, J. G., Ferrage, P., Ferrari, R., Fichen, L., Filippucci, P., Flampouris, S., Fleury, S., Fornari, M., Forsberg, R., Frappart, F., Frery, M.-l., Garcia, P., Garcia-Mondejar, A., Gaudelli, J., Gaultier, L., Getirana, A., Gibert, F., Gil, A., Gilbert, L., Gille, S., Giulicchi, L., Gómez-Enri, J., Gómez-Navarro, L., Gommenginger, C., Gourdeau, L., Griffin, D., Groh, A., Guerin, A., Guerrero, R., Guinle, T., Gupta, P., Gutknecht, B. D., Hamon, M., Han, G., Hauser, D., Helm, V., Hendricks, S., Hernandez, F., Hogg, A., Horwath, M., Idžanović, M., Janssen, P., Jeansou, E., Jia, Y., Jia, Y., Jiang, L., Johannessen, J. A., Kamachi, M., Karimova, S., Kelly, K., Kim, S. Y., King, R., Kittel, C. M.M., Klein, P., Klos, A., Knudsen, P., Koenig, R., Kostianoy, A., Kouraev, A., Kumar, R., Labroue, S., Lago, L. S., Lambin, J., Lasson, L., Laurain, O., Laxenaire, R., Lázaro, C., Le Gac, S., Le Sommer, J., Le Traon, P.-Y., Lebedev, S., Léger, F., Legresy, B., Lemoine, F., Lenain, L., Leuliette, E., Levy, M., Lillibridge, J., Liu, J., Llovel, W., Lyard, F., MacIntosh, C., Makhoul Varona, E., Manfredi, C., Marin, F., Mason, E., Massari, C., Mavrocordatos, C., Maximenko, N., McMillan, M., Medina, T., Melet, A., Meloni, M., Mertikas, S., Metref, S., Meyssignac, B., Minster, J.-F., Moreau, T., Moreira, D., Morel, Y., Morrow, R., Moyard, J., Mulet, S., Naeije, M., Nerem, R. S., Ngodock, H., Nielsen, K., Nilsen, J. E. Ø., Niño, F., Nogueira Loddo, C., Noûs, C., Obligis, E., Otosaka, I., Otten, M., Oztunali Ozbahceci, B., P. Raj, R., Paiva, R., Paniagua, G., Paolo, F., Paris, A., Pascual, A., Passaro, M., Paul, S., Pavelsky, T., Pearson, C., Penduff, T., Peng, F., Perosanz, F., Picot, N., Piras, F., Poggiali, V., Poirier, É., Ponce de León, S., Prants, S., Prigent, C., Provost, C., Pujol, M.-I., Qiu, B., Quilfen, Y., Rami, A., Raney, R. K., Raynal, M., Remy, E., Rémy, F., Restano, M., Richardson, A., Richardson, D., Ricker, R., Ricko, M., Rinne, E., Rose, S. K., Rosmorduc, V., Rudenko, S., Ruiz, S., Ryan, B. J., Salaün, C., Sanchez-Roman, A., Sandberg Sørensen, L., Sandwell, D., Saraceno, M., Scagliola, M., Schaeffer, P., Scharffenberg, M. G., Scharroo, R., Schiller, A., Schneider, R., Schwatke, C., Scozzari, A., Ser-giacomi, E., Seyler, F., Shah, R., Sharma, R., Shaw, A., Shepherd, A., Shriver, J., Shum, C.K., Simons, W., Simonsen, S. B., Slater, T., Smith, W., Soares, S., Sokolovskiy, M., Soudarin, L., Spatar, C., Speich, S., Srinivasan, M., Srokosz, M., Stanev, E., Staneva, J., Steunou, N., Stroeve, J., Su, B., Sulistioadi, Y. B., Swain, D., Sylvestre-baron, A., Taburet, N., Tailleux, R., Takayama, K., Tapley, B., Tarpanelli, A., Tavernier, G., Testut, L., Thakur, P. K., Thibaut, P., Thompson, L., Tintoré, J., Tison, C., Tourain, C., Tournadre, J., Townsend, B., Tran, N., Trilles, S., Tsamados, M., Tseng, K.-H., Ubelmann, C., Uebbing, B., Vergara, O., Verron, J., Vieira, T., Vignudelli, S., Vinogradova Shiffer, N., Visser, P., Vivier, F., Volkov, D., von Schuckmann, K., Vuglinskii, V., Vuilleumier, P., Walter, B., Wang, J., Wang, C., Watson, C., Wilkin, J., Willis, J., Wilson, H., Woodworth, P., Yang, K., Yao, F., Zaharia, R., Zakharova, E., Zaron, E. D., Zhang, Y., Zhao, Z., Zinchenko, V. and Zlotnicki, V. (2021) Altimetry for the future: building on 25 years of progress. Advances in Space Research. ISSN 0273-1177 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2021.01.022

Allen, R. J., Horowitz, L. W., Naik, V., Oshima, N., O'Connor, F., Turnock, S., Shim, S., Le Sager, P., Van Noije, T., Tsigaridis, K., Bauer, S. E., Sentman, L. T., John, J. G., Broderick, C., Deushi, M., Folberth, G., Fujimori, S. and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850 (2021) Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions. Environmental Research Letters, 16. 034010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe06b

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Freeman, A. and Gazzard, R. (2021) The effect of climate change on indicators of fire danger in the UK. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (4). 044027. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd9f2

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Freeman, A. (2021) The effect of climate change on agro-climatic indicators in the UK. Climatic Change, 165. 40. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03054-8

Arnell, N. W., Kay, A. L., Freeman, A., Rudd, A. C. and Lowe, J. A. (2021) Changing climate risk in the UK: a multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators. Climate Risk Management, 31. 100265. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E., Williams, C. J., Yang, G.-Y. and Ferrett, S. (2021) The observed synoptic scale precipitation relationship between Western Equatorial Africa and Eastern Equatorial Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). pp. 582-601. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6711

Bailey, R. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2021-6557, Reiss, M. A., Arge, C. N., Möstl, C., Henney, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6038-6369, Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Amerstorfer, U. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1516-5441, Amerstorfer, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9024-6706, Weiss, A. J. and Hinterreiter, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1222-8243 (2021) Using gradient boosting regression to improve ambient solar wind model predictions. Space Weather, 19 (5). e2020SW002673. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002673

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Hodges, K. I., Schiemann, R. K. H. and Vidale, P. L. (2021) Historical variability and lifecycles of North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones originating in the tropics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (9). e2020JD033924. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033924

Baldini, J. U.L., Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F.M., van Hunen, J., Baldini, L. M., Wynn, P. M., Jamieson, R. A., Ridley, H. E., Baker, A. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Walczak, I. W. and Fohlmeister, J. (2021) Detecting and quantifying palaeoseasonality in stalagmites using geochemical and modelling approaches. Quaternary Science Reviews, 254. 106784. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106784

Bannister, R. N. (2021) Balance conditions in variational data assimilation for a high-resolution forecast model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4106 (In Press)

Bashmachnikov, I. L., Fedorov, A. M., Golubkin, P. A., Vesman, A. V., Selyuzhenok, V. V., Gnatiuk, N. V., Gnatiuk, L. P., Hodges, K. I. and Dukhovskoy, D. S. (2021) Mechanisms of interannual variability of deep convection in the Greenland Sea. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 174. 103557. ISSN 0967-0637 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2021.103557

Bevacqua, E., Shepherd, T. G., Watson, P. A. G., Sparrow, S., Wallom, D. and Mitchell, D. (2021) Larger spatial footprint of wintertime total precipitation extremes in a warmer climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (8). e2020GL091990. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091990

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H., Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6

Black, E., Pinnington, E., Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Lahive, F., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Cook, P., Daymond, A., Hadley, P., McGuire, P. C., Verhoef, A. and Vidale, P. L. (2021) Cocoa plant productivity in West Africa under climate change: a modelling and experimental study. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (1). 014009. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f3

Blair, G. S., Bassett, R., Bastin, L., Beevers, L., Borrajo, M. I., Brown, M., Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Dionescu, A., Edwards, L., Ferrario, M. A., Fraser, R., Fraser, H., Gardner, S., Henrys, P., Hey, T., Homann, S., Huijbers, C., Hutchison, J., Jonathan, P., Lamb, R., Laurie, S., Leeson, A., Leslie, D., McMillan, M., Nundloll, V., Oyebamiji, O., Philipson, J., Pope, V., Prudden, R., Reis, S., Salama, M., Samreen, F., Sejdinovic, D., Simm, W., Street, R., Thornton, L., Towe, R., Vande Hey, J., Vieno, M., Waller, J. and Watkins, J. (2021) The role of digital technologies in responding to the grand challenges of the natural environment: the Windermere accord. Patterns, 2 (1). 100156. ISSN 2666-3899 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patter.2020.100156

Blaker, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5454-0131, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2021) FORTE 2.0: a fast, parallel and flexible coupled climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (1). pp. 275-293. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-275-2021

Bloch, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6017-1619, Watt, C. E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3193-8993, Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Thompson, R. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2766-0952 and Agiwal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3999-9926 (2021) Constraining the location of the outer boundary of Earth’s outer radiation belt. Earth and Space Science, 8 (6). ISSN 2333-5084 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001610

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. (2021) Pattern-based conditioning enhances sub-seasonal prediction skill of European national energy variables. Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Gonzalez, P., Lundquist, J., Stoop, L., Browell, J., Dargaville, R., De Felice, M., Gruber, K., Hilbers, A., Kies, A., Panteli, M., Thornton, H., Wohland, J., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2021) The importance of weather and climate to energy systems: a workshop on next generation challenges in energy-climate modelling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E159-E167. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0256.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. (2021) Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand, wind power and solar power generation for 28 European Countries. Earth System Science Data, 13 (5). ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021

Bloomfield, H. C., Brayshaw, D. J., Troccoli, A., Goodess, C. M., De Felice, M., Dubus, L., Bett, P. E. and Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. (2021) Quantifying the sensitivity of European power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections. Renewable Energy, 164. pp. 1062-1075. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.125

Bopape, M.-J., Plant, B., Coceal, O., Efstathiou, G. and Valdivieso Da Costa, M. (2021) Effects of stability functions in a dynamic model convective boundary layer simulation. Atmospheric Science Letters, 22 (1). e1008. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1008

Bopape, M.-J. M., Waitolo, D., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Phaduli, E., Nkonde, E., Simfukwe, H., Mkandwire, S., Rakate, E. and Misha, R. (2021) Sensitivity of simulations of Zambian heavy rainfall events to the atmospheric boundary layer schemes. Climate, 9 (2). 38. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9020038

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Evans, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8649-0589 (2021) Mechanisms matter: predicting the ecological impacts of global change. Global Change Biology, 27 (9). pp. 1689-1691. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15527

Brajard, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0634-1482, Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Bocquet, M. and Bertino, L. (2021) Combining data assimilation and machine learning to infer unresolved scale parametrization. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 379 (2194). 20200086. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2020.0086

Brimicombe, C., Porter, J. J., Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F., Cornforth, R., Petty, C. and Cloke, H. L. (2021) Heatwaves: an invisible risk in UK policy and research. Environmental Science & Policy, 116. pp. 1-7. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.021

Brown, H., Liu, X., Pokhrel, R., Murphy, S., Lu, Z., Saleh, R., Mielonen, T., Kokkola, H., Bergman, T., Myhre, G., Skeie, R. B., Watson-Paris, D., Stier, P., Johnson, B., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Schulz, M., Vakkari, V., Beukes, J. P., van Zyl, P. G., Liu, S. and Chand, D. (2021) Biomass burning aerosols in most climate models are too absorbing. Nature Communications, 12 (1). 277. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20482-9

Burt, S. (2021) Two hundred years of thunderstorms in Oxford. Weather. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3884

Burt, S. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546 (2021) The UK’s highest low-level wind speed re-examined: the Fraserburgh gust of 13 February 1989. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 4-11. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3864

Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887, Woodhams, B. J., Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Birch, C. E., Webster, S., Bain, C. L., Hartley, A., Clarke, S., Ferrett, S. and Hill, P. (2021) Do convection-permitting ensembles lead to more skilful short-range probabilistic rainfall forecasts over tropical East Africa? Weather and Forecasting, 36 (2). pp. 697-716. ISSN 1520-0434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0172.1

Cain, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2062-6556, Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978, Frame, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0949-3994, Lynch, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7863-1767, Macey, A., Pierrehumbert, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5887-1197 and Allen, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1721-7172 (2021) Comment on ‘unintentional unfairness when applying new greenhouse gas emissions metrics at country level'. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). 068001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac02eb

Cezana, F. C., Goulart, E. V., Reis Jr, N. C. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2021) Analysis of pollutant entrainment From localised sources in a street network. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 179. pp. 241-258. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-020-00598-7

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Projected near-term changes in temperature extremes over China in the mid-twenty-first century and underlying physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05566-y

Chen, X., Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553, Zhang, J. A., Marks, F. D., Rogers, R. F. and Cione, J. J. (2021) Boundary layer recovery and precipitation symmetrization preceding rapid intensification of tropical cyclones under shear. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 78 (5). pp. 1523-1544. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-20-0252.1

Chen, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2319-6937, Simon, K. and Behrens, J. (2021) Extending legacy climate models by adaptive mesh refinement for single-component tracer transport: a case study with ECHAM6-HAMMOZ (ECHAM6.3-HAM2.3-MOZ1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (5). pp. 2289-2316. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-2289-2021

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Johnson, S., Weisheimer, A., Shonk, J., Stockdale, T. N. and Senan, R. (2021) Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5). Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575

Chi, Y., Scott, C., Shen, C., Barnard, L., Owens, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Xu, M., Zhang, J., Jones, S., Zhong, Z., Yu, B., Lang, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1904-3700, Wang, Y. and Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172 (2021) Modelling the observed distortion of multiple (ghost) CME fronts in STEREO Heliospheric imagers. The Astrophysical Journal Letters. ISSN 0004-637X (In Press)

Chiu, J. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8951-6913, Yang, C. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7685-4481, Van Leeuwen, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2325-5340, Feingold, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0774-2926, Wood, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1401-3828, Blanchard, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0515-3041, Mei, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4285-2749 and Wang, J. (2021) Observational constraints on warm cloud microphysical processes using machine learning and optimization techniques. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (2). e2020GL091236. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091236

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Plumpton, H., Cornforth, R. and Petty, C., (2021) NIMFRU briefing note: improving disaster response through a Livelihood Impact Based (LIMB) Flood Forecasting System. Technical Report. Zenodo

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Plumpton, H., Cornforth, R. and Petty, C., (2021) Reducing the cost and impact of disasters: National-scale Impact Based Forecasting of Flood Risk for Uganda. Technical Report. CERN, Geneva. pp5.

Clark, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Halliwell, C. and Flack, D. (2021) A physically-based stochastic boundary-layer perturbation scheme. Part I: formulation and evaluation in a convection-permitting model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 78 (3). pp. 727-746. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0291.1

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) The role of teleconnection patterns in the variability and trends of growing season indices across Europe. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7290

Da Silva, N. A., Webber, B. G. M., Matthews, A. J., Feist, M. M., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Bin Abdullah, M. F. A. (2021) Validation of GPM IMERG extreme precipitation in the Maritime Continent by station and radar data. Earth and Space Science. ISSN 2333-5084 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001738 (In Press)

Davies, E. E., Möstl, C., Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Weiss, A.J., Amerstorfer, T., Hinterreiter, J., Bauer, M. and Bailey, R.L. (2021) In situ multi-spacecraft and remote imaging observations of the first CME detected by Solar Orbiter and BepiColombo. Astronomy & Astrophysics. ISSN 0004-6361 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202040113 (In Press)

Deakin, M., Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Greenwood, D., Sheehy, S., Walker, S. and Taylor, P. C. (2021) Impacts of heat decarbonisation on system adequacy considering increased meteorological sensitivity. Applied Energy, 298. 117261. ISSN 0306-2619 (In Press)

Deoras, A., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) The four varieties of South Asian monsoon low-pressure systems and their modulation by tropical intraseasonal variability. Weather, 76 (6). pp. 194-200. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3997

Deoras, A., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Comparison of the prediction of Indian monsoon low pressure systems by subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction models. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (3). pp. 859-877. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0081.1

Deoras, A., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Comparison of the prediction of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems by Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (3). pp. 859-877. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0081.1

Di Napoli, C., Barnard, C., Prudhomme, C., Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2021) ERA5-HEAT: a global gridded historical dataset of human thermal comfort indices from climate reanalysis. Geoscience Data Journal, 8 (1). pp. 2-10. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.102

Dias da Silva, P. E., Hodges, K. I. and Coutinho, M. M. (2021) How well does the HadGEM2-ES coupled model represent the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks? Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05523-9

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2021) Recent trends in summer atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic/European region: is there a role for anthropogenic aerosols? Journal Of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0665.1 (In Press)

Dorigo, W., Dietrich, S., Aires, F., Brocca, L., Carter, S., Cretaux, J.-F., Dunkerely, D., Enomoto, H., Forsberg, R., Guentner, A., Hegglin, M. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2820-9044, Hollmann, R., Hurst, D. F., Johannessen, J. A., Kummerow, C., Lee, T., Luojus, K., Looser, U., Miralles, D. G., Pellet, V., Recknagel, T., Vargas, C. R., Schneider, U., Schoeneich, P., Schroder, M., Tapper, N., Vuglinsky, V., Wagner, W., Yu, L., Zappa, L., Zemp, M. and Aich, V. (2021) Closing the water cycle from observations across scales: where do we stand? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0316.1 (In Press)

Doyle, A., Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Temporal patterns in radar-observed convective cell development during the 2016 monsoon onset. Weather. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3969

Duan, Z., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Gao, C. Y., Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146, Liu, C., Wang, L., Li, Y. and Gao, Z. (2021) Seasonal and interannual variations in the surface energy fluxes of a rice–wheat rotation in Eastern China. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-20-0233.1

Endris, H. S., Hirons, L., Segele, Z. T., Gudoshava, M., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Artan, G. A. (2021) Evaluation of the skill of monthly precipitation forecasts from global prediction systems over the Greater Horn of Africa. Weather and Forecasting. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0177.1 (In Press)

Faulkner, A., Bulgin, C. E. and Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 (2021) Characterising industrial thermal plumes in coastal regions using 3-D numerical simulations. Environmental Research Communications, 3 (4). ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abf62e

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhang, W., Zhu, Z., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 and Chen, W. (2021) Variability and changes in Pearl River Delta water level: oceanic and atmospheric forcing perspectives. Journal of Hydrometeorology. ISSN 1525-7541 (In Press)

Feng, X., Li, H., Feng, X., Zhao, J. and Feng, W. (2021) Dependence of ocean wave return levels on water depth and sampling length: a focus on the South Yellow Sea. Ocean Engineering, 219. 108295. ISSN 0029-8018 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.108295

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Frame, T. H. A., Methven, J., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Webster, S., Stein, T. H.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Cafaro, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8063-4887 (2021) Evaluating convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of precipitation over Southeast Asia. Weather and Forecasting. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0216.1 (In Press)

Ficchi, A., Cloke, H., Neves, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1201-5720, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Coughlan de Perez, E., Zsoter, E., Pinto, I., Meque, A. and Stephens, E. (2021) Beyond El Niño: unsung climate modes drive African floods. Weather and Climate Extremes, 33. 100345. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100345

Flack, D., Clark, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Halliwell, C., Roberts, N., Gray, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Plant, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 and Lean, H. (2021) A physically-based stochastic boundary-layer perturbation scheme. Part II: perturbation growth within a super ensemble framework. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 78 (3). pp. 747-761. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0292.1

Flaounas, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9769-7817, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Teubler, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9107-7959 (2021) A process-based anatomy of Mediterranean cyclones: from baroclinic lows to tropical-like systems. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2 (1). pp. 255-279. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-255-2021

Fowler, H. J., Lenderink, G., Prein, A. F., Westra, S., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Ban, N., Barbero, R., Berg, P., Blenkinsop, S., Do, H. X., Guerreiro, S. B., Haerter, J. O., Kendon, E., Lewis, E., Schaer, C., Sharma, A., Villarini, G., Wasko, C. and Zhang, X. (2021) Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2. pp. 107-122. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-00128-6

Gentile, E. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6878-5145, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Barlow, J. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9022-6833, Lewis, H. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3581-6459 and Edwards, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5784-3218 (2021) The impact of atmosphere–ocean–wave coupling on the near-surface wind speed in forecasts of extratropical cyclones. Boundary-Layer Meteorology. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-021-00614-4

Gilbert, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5272-8894 and Kittel, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6586-9784 (2021) Surface melt and runoff on Antarctic ice shelves at 1.5°C, 2°C and 4°C of future warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (8). e2020GL091733. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091733

Graffino, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8264-3250, Farneti, R. and Kucharski, F. (2021) Low-frequency variability of the Pacific Subtropical Cells as reproduced by coupled models and ocean reanalyses. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05639-6

Graham, G. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3769-2587, Bakrania, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6225-9163, Rae, I. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2637-4786, Owen, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5982-4667, Walsh, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1682-1212 and Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453 (2021) Constraining suprathermal electron evolution in a Parker spiral field with Cassini observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 126 (6). e2020JA028669. ISSN 2169-9380 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA028669

Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Jones, T. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7669-1499 (2021) Composited structure of non-precipitating shallow cumulus clouds. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4101 (In Press)

Guezgouz, M., Jurasz, J., Chouai, M., Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 and Bekkouche, B. (2021) Assessment of solar and wind energy complementarity in Algeria. Energy Conversion and Management, 238. 114170. ISSN 0196-8904 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2021.114170

Guimaraes, B. d. S., Coelho, C. A. d. S., Woolnough, S. J., Kubota, P. Y., Bastarz, C. F., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P. and de Souza, D. C. (2021) An inter-comparison performance assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction model against four Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05589-5

Guo, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Bollasina, B., Turnock, S. T., Lund, M. T. and Zhang, L. (2021) Aerosol reductions outweigh circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-198 (In Press)

Haines, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9010-0720, Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Barnard, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9876-4612, Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Ruffenach, A., Boykin, K. and McGranaghan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9605-0007 (2021) Forecasting occurrence and intensity of geomagnetic activity with pattern‐matching approaches. Space Weather, 19 (6). ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002624

Hansen, E. S., Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K. E., Yoccoz, N. G., Anker-Nilssen, T., Bader, J., Descamps, S., Hodges, K., Mesquita, M. d. S., Reiertsen, T. K. and Varpe, Ø. (2021) Centennial relationships between ocean temperature and Atlantic puffin production reveal shifting decennial trends. Global Change Biology. ISSN 1365-2486 (In Press)

Harper, A. B., Williams, K. E., McGuire, P., Duran Rojas, M. C., Hemming, D., Verhoef, A., Huntingford, C., Rowland, L., Marthews, T., Eller, C. B., Mathison, C., Nobrega, R., Gedney, N., Vidale, P. L., Otu-Larbi, F., Panday, D., Garrigues, S., Wright, A., Slevin, D., De Kauwe, M. G., Blyth, E., Ardö, J., Black, A., Bonal, D., Buchmann, N., Burban, B., Fuchs, K., de Grandcourt, A., Mammarella, I., Merbold, L., Montagnani, L., Nouvellon, Y., Restrepo-Coupe, N. and Wohlfahrt, G. (2021) Improvement of modelling plant responses to low soil moisture in JULESvn4.9 and evaluation against flux tower measurements. Geoscientific Model Development. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2020-273 (In Press)

Harrison, G., Nicoll, K., Tilley, D. J., Marlton, G., Chindea, S., Dingley, G. P., Iravani, P., Cleaver, D. J., duBois, J. L. and Brus, D. (2021) Demonstration of a remotely piloted atmospheric measurement and charge release platform for geoengineering. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 38 (1). pp. 63-75. ISSN 1520-0426 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-20-0092.1

Harrison, R. G. and Burt, S. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546 (2021) Quantifying uncertainties in climate data: measurement limitations of naturally ventilated thermometer screens. Environmental Research Communications, 3 (6). 061005. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac0d0b

Hayakawa, H., Lockwood, M., Owens, M., Soma, M., P Besser, B. and van Driel, L. (2021) Graphical evidence for the solar coronal structure during the Maunder minimum: comparative study of the total eclipse drawings in 1706 and 1715. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 11. 1. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2020035

Hayman, G. D., Comyn-Platt, E., Huntingford, C., Harper, A. B., Powell, T., Cox, P. M., Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Webber, C., Lowe, J. A., Sitch, S., House, J. I., Doelmann, J. C., van Vuuren, D. P., Chadburn, S. E., Burke, E. J. and Gedney, N. (2021) Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options. Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 12 (2). pp. 513-544. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021

Haywood, J. M., Abel, S. J., Barrett, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Blyth, A., Bower, K. N., Brooks, M., Carslaw, K., Che, H., Coe, H., Cotterell, M. I., Crawford, I., Cui, Z., Davies, N., Dingley, B., Field, P., Formenti, P., Gordon, H., de Graaf, M., Herbert, R., Johnson, B., Jones, A. C., Langridge, J. M., Malavelle, F., Partridge, D. G., Peers, F., Redemann, J., Stier, P., Szpek, K., Taylor, J. W., Watson-Parris, D., Wood, R., Wu, H. and Zuidema, P. (2021) The CLoud–Aerosol–Radiation interaction and forcing: year 2017 (CLARIFY-2017) measurement campaign. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (2). pp. 1049-1084. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-1049-2021

Hegglin, M. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2820-9044, Tegtmeier, S., Anderson, J., Bourassa, A. E., Brohede, S., Degenstein, D., Froidevaux, L., Funke, B., Gille, J., Kasai, Y., Kyrola, E. T., Lumpe, J., Murtagh, D., Neu, J. L., Perot, K., Remsberg, E. E., Rozanov, A., Toohey, M., Urban, J., von Clarmann, T., Walker, K. A., Wang, H.-J., Arosio, C., Damadeo, R., Fuller, R. A., Lingenfelser, G., McLinden, C., Pendlebury, D., Roth, C., Ryan, N. J., Sioris, C., Smith, L. and Weigel, K. (2021) Overview and update of the SPARC Data Initiative: comparison of stratospheric composition measurements from satellite limb sounders. Earth System Science Data, 13. pp. 1855-1903. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-1855-2021

Hermoso, A., Homar, V. and Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 (2021) Potential of stochastic methods for improving convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of extreme events over the western Mediterranean. Atmospheric Research, 257. 105571. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105571

Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675, Ng, M., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Vidale, P. L. and McGuire, P. C. (2021) High-resolution global climate simulations: representation of cities. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (5). pp. 3266-3285. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7018

Hilbers, A., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A. (2021) Efficient quantification of the impact of demand and weather uncertainty in power system models. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 36 (3). pp. 1771-1779. ISSN 0885-8950 doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2020.3031187

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 (2021) Global heat balance and heat uptake in potential temperature coordinates. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05832-7

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2021) The detailed dynamics of the Hadley Cell. Part 2: December to February. Journal of Climate, 34 (2). pp. 805-823. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0504.1

Hoxey, R., Richards, P., Quinn, A., Robertson, A. and Gough, H. (2021) Measurements of the static pressure near the surface in the atmospheric boundary layer. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 209. 104487. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2020.104487

Hu, Z., Li, H., Liu, J., Qiao, S., Wang, D., Freychet, N., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Lott, F. C., Li, Q. and Dong, W. (2021) Was the extended rainy winter of 2018/2019 over the Middle and Lower reaches of the Yangtze River driven by anthropogenic forcing? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). S67-S73. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0127.1

Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Dimri, A. P. (2021) Synoptic-scale precursors of landslides in the western Himalaya and Karakoram. Science of the Total Environment, 776. 145895. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145895

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, R. K. H. (2021) How interactions between tropical depressions and western disturbances affect heavy precipitation in South Asia. Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0373.1

Hunt, K. M. R., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Stein, T. H. M., Fletcher, J. K. and Schiemann, R. H. (2021) Modes of coastal precipitation over southwest India and their relationship to intraseasonal variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 181-201. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3913

Hunting, E. R., Matthews, J., Fernández de Arróyabe Hernáez, P., England, S. J., Kourtidis, K., Koh, K., Nicoll, K., Harrison, R. G., Manser, K., Price, C., Dragovic, S., Cifra, M., Odzimek, A. and Robert, D. (2021) Challenges in coupling atmospheric electricity with biological systems. International Journal of Biometeorology, 65. pp. 45-58. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-020-01960-7

Hwong, Y. L., Song, S., Sherwood, S. C., Stirling, A. J., Rio, C., Roehrig, R., Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Fuchs, D., Maher, P. and Touzé-Peiffer, L. (2021) Characterizing convection schemes using their responses to imposed tendency perturbations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (5). e2021MS002461. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002461

Kay, A. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5526-1756, Griffin, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-4561, Rudd, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5996-6115, Chapman, R. M., Bell, V. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0792-5650 and Arnell, N. W. (2021) Low river flow across Great Britain. Advances in Water Resources, 151. 103909. ISSN 0309-1708 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103909

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Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Young, M., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Guimaraes, B., Guo, L., Woolnough, S., Coelho, C. A. S., Kubota, P. Y. and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Subseasonal prediction performance for austral summer South American rainfall. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 147-169. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0203.1

Kretschmer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2756-9526, Adams, S. V., Arribas, A., Prudden, R., Robinson, N., Saggioro, E. and Shepherd, T. G. (2021) Quantifying causal pathways of teleconnections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0117.1 (In Press)

Kudo, R., Diemoz, H., Estellés, V., Campanelli, M., Momoi, M., Marenco, F., Ryder, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113, Ijima, O., Uchiyama, A., Nakashima, K., Yamazaki, A., Nagasawa, R., Ohkawara, N. and Ishida, H. (2021) Optimal use of the Prede POM sky radiometer for aerosol, water vapor, and ozone retrievals. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 14 (5). pp. 3395-3426. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-3395-2021

Lakkis, S. G., Canziani, P., Rodriguez, J., Yuchechen, A., O´Neill, A., Albers, K. and Hodges, K. (2021) Early 21st century cyclone climatology: a 3D perspective. Basic characterization. Climate Dynamics, 41 (7). pp. 4019-4046. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7056

Lang, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1904-3700, Witherington, J., Turner, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4012-8004, Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453 and Riley, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1859-456X (2021) Improving solar wind forecasting using data assimilation. Space Weather, 19 (7). ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002698

Lee, D. S., Fahey, D. W., Skowron, A., Allen, M. R., Burkhardt, U., Chen, Q., Doherty, S. J., Freeman, S., Forster, P. M., Fuglestvedt, J., Gettelman, A., De León, R. R., Lim, L. L., Lund, M. T., Millar, R. J., Owen, B., Penner, J. E., Pitari, G., Prather, M. J., Sausen, R. and Wilcox, L. J. (2021) The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018. Atmospheric Environment, 244. 117834. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117834

Lee, S. (2021) Spotlight: the January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming. Weather, 76 (4). pp. 135-136. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3966

Lee, S. H. (2021) The stratospheric polar vortex and sudden stratospheric warmings. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 12-13. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3868

Lees, K. J., Khomik, M., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Hill, T., Klein, D., Ritson, J. and Artz, R. R. E. (2021) Assessing the reliability of peatland GPP measurements by remote sensing: from plot to landscape scale. Science of the Total Environment, 766. 142613. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142613

Letson, F. W., Barthelmie, R. J., Hodges, K. I. and Pryor, S. C. (2021) Windstorms in the Northeastern United States. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2020-345 (In Press)

Leung, T. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0056-284X, Leutbecher, M., Reich, S. and Shepherd, T. G. (2021) Forecast verification: relating deterministic and probabilistic metrics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4120 (In Press)

Li, B., Zhou, X., Ni, G., Cao, X., Tian, F. and Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146 (2021) A multi-factor integrated method of calculation unit delineation for hydrological modeling in large mountainous basins. Journal of Hydrology. 126180. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126180

Li, R., Li, D., Nanding, N., Wang, X., Fan, X., Chen, Y., Tian, F., Tett, S. F.B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lott, F. C. (2021) Anthropogenic influences on heavy precipitation during the 2019 extremely wet rainy season in Southern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). S103-S109. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0135.1 (Li et al. (2021): Anthropogenic influences on heavy precipitation during the 2019 extremely wet rainy season in Southern China. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., S103-S109.)

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M., Hodges, K. I., Tan, M. and Haywood, J. M. (2021) Climatology of Borneo Vortices in the HadGEM3-GC31 general 1 circulation odel. Journal of Climate. pp. 1-61. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0604.1

Lim, E.-P., Hendon, H. H., Butler, A. H., Thompson, D. W. J., Lawrence, Z. D., Scaife, A. A., Shepherd, T. G., Polichtchouk, I., Nakamura, H., Kobayashi, C., Comer, R., Coy, L., Dowdy, A., Garreaud, R. D., Newman, P. A. and Wang, G. (2021) The 2019 Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex weakening and its impacts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (6). pp. 1150-1171. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0112.1

Liu, H., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Tao, A. and Zhang, W. (2021) Intraseasonal variability of sea level in the Western North Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 126 (6). e2021JC017237. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017237

Liu, H.-Y., Wang, Y. and Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553 (2021) Intensity change of binary Tropical Cyclones (TCs) in idealized numerical simulations: two initially identical mature TCs. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 78 (4). pp. 1001-1020. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0116.1

Liu, Y., Ren, H.-L., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Liu, J. and Zhang, P. (2021) Improving long-lead seasonal forecasts of precipitation over Southern China based on statistical downscaling using BCC_CSM1.1m. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 94. 101222. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101222

Lloyd, E. A. and Shepherd, T. G. (2021) Climate change attribution and legal contexts: evidence and the role of storylines. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009 (In Press)

Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172 and Owens, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453 (2021) Cosmic meteorology. Astronomy & Geophysics, 62 (3). 3.12-3.19. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/astrogeo/atab065

Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Haines, C., Barnard, L. A., Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Scott, C. J., Chambodut, A. and McWilliams, K. A. (2021) Semi-annual, annual and Universal Time variations in the magnetosphere and in geomagnetic activity: 4. Polar Cap motions and origins of the Universal Time effect. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 11. 15. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2020077

Loeb, N. G., Su, W., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Ming, Y. (2021) Changes in clear-sky shortwave aerosol direct radiative effects since 2002. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (5). e2020JD034090. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034090

Lu, C., Jiang, J., Chen, R., Ullah, S., Yu, R., Lott, F. C., Tett, S. F. B. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Anthropogenic influence on 2019 May-June extremely low precipitation in southwestern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). S97-S102. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0128.1

Macneil, A. R., Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Wicks, R. T. and Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172 (2021) Evolving solar wind flow properties of magnetic inversions observed by Helios. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 501 (4). pp. 5379-5392. ISSN 0035-8711 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/staa3983

Marlton, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8466-6779, Charlton-Perez, A., Harrison, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X, Polichtchouk, I., Hauchecorne, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9888-6994, Keckhut, P., Wing, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2895-4012, Leblanc, T. and Steinbrecht, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0680-6729 (2021) Using a global network of temperature lidars to identify temperature biases in the upper stratosphere in ECMWF reanalyses. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-959 (In Press)

Mason, D., Bevington, J., Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Revilla-Romero, B., Smith, R., Vetra-Carvalho, S. and Cloke, H. (2021) Improving urban flood mapping by merging Synthetic Aperture Radar-derived flood footprints with flood hazard maps. Water, 13 (11). 1577. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w13111577

Mason, D. C., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Cloke, H. L. (2021) Floodwater detection in urban areas using Sentinel-1 and WorldDEM data. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 15 (3). 032003. ISSN 1931-3195 doi: https://doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.15.032003

McCorquodale, M. and Westbrook, C. (2021) TRAIL part 2: a comprehensive assessment of ice particle fall speed parametrisations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 605-626. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3936

McCorquodale, M. and Westbrook, C. (2021) TRAIL: a novel approach for studying the aerodynamics of ice particles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 589-604. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3935

McCusker, K., Westbrook, C. D. and Tyynelä, J. (2021) An accurate and computationally cheap microwave scattering method for ice aggregates: the Independent Monomer Approximation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (735). pp. 1202-1224. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3967

McGranaghan, R. M., Ziegler, J., Bloch, T., Hatch, S., Owens, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Gjerloev, J., Zhang, B. and Skone, S. (2021) Toward a next generation particle precipitation model: Mesoscale prediction through machine learning (a case study and framework for progress). Space Weather, 19 (6). e2020SW002684. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002684

Menary, M. B., Mignot, J. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues. Environmental Research Letters. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac06fb (In Press)

Mindlin, J., Shepherd, T. G., Vera, C. and Osman, M. (2021) Combined effects of global warming and ozone depletion/recovery on Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation and regional precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (12). e2021GL092568. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL092568

Ming, Y., Loeb, N. G., Lin, P., Shen, Z., Naik, V., Singer, C. E., Ward, R. X., Paulot, F., Zhang, Z., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Horowitz, L. W., Ginoux, P. A. and Ramaswamy, V. (2021) Assessing the influence of COVID-19 on the shortwave radiative fluxes over the East Asian Marginal Seas. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (3). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091699

Mirza, A. K., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Rooney, G. G., Simonin, D., Stone, E. K. and Waller, J. A. (2021) Comparing diagnosed observation uncertainties with independent estimates: a case study using aircraft‐based observations and a convection‐permitting data assimilation system. Atmospheric Science Letters. el01029. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1029

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Pohl, B. and Gaetani, M. (2021) The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4. 24. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00179-6

Morrison, W., Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415 (2021) Urban surface temperature observations from ground-based thermography: intra- and inter-facet variability. Urban Climate, 35. 100748. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2020.100748

Muetzelfeldt, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Stirling, A. J. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2021) A climatology of tropical wind shear produced by clustering wind profiles from the Met Office Unified Model (GA7.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (6). pp. 4035-4049. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4035-2021

Muller, O. V., Vidale, P. L., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Schiemann, R., Senan, R., Haarsma, R. J. and Jungclaus, J. H. (2021) Land–Atmosphere coupling sensitivity to GCMs resolution: a multimodel assessment of local and remote processes in the Sahel hot spot. Journal of Climate, 34 (3). pp. 967-985. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0303.1

O'Shea, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0489-1723, Crosier, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3086-4729, Dorsey, J., Gallagher, L., Schledewitz, W., Bower, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9802-3264, Schlenczek, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7247-465X, Borrmann, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4774-9380, Cotton, R., Westbrook, C. and Ulanowski, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4761-6980 (2021) Characterising optical array particle imaging probes: implications for small-ice-crystal observations. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 14 (3). pp. 1917-1939. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-1917-2021

Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-419-2021

Otkin, J. A., Potthast, R. W. E. and Lawless, A. S. (2021) Nonlinear conditional model bias estimation for data assimilation. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 20 (1). pp. 299-332. ISSN 1536-0040 doi: https://doi.org/10.1137/19M1294848

Owens, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Allanson, O. and Maunder, M. (2021) Zooming through the MIST. Astronomy & Geophysics, 62 (3). 3.24-3.27. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/astrogeo/atab067

Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Barnard, L. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9876-4612, Scott, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6411-5649, Haines, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9010-0720 and Macneil, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4802-1209 (2021) Extreme space-weather events and the solar cycle. Solar Physics, 296 (82). ISSN 0038-0938 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-021-01831-3

Pinheiro, H., Gan, M. and Hodges, K. (2021) Structure and evolution of intense austral cut-off lows. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (743). pp. 1-20. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3900

Pinnington, E., Amezcua, J., Cooper, E., Dadson, S., Ellis, R., Peng, J., Robinson, E., Morrison, R., Osborne, S. and Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2021) Improving soil moisture prediction of a high-resolution land surface model by parameterising pedotransfer functions through assimilation of SMAP satellite data. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25 (3). pp. 1617-1641. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1617-2021

Polkova, I., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Domeisen, D. I. V., King, M. P., Ruggieri, P., Athanasiadis, P., Dobrynin, M., Aarnes, Ø., Kretschmer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2756-9526 and Baehr, J. (2021) Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold-air outbreaks over the Barents Sea. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4038

Reiertsen, T. K., Layton-Matthews, K., Erikstad, K. E., Hodges, K., Ballesteros, M., Anker-Nilssen, T., Barrett, R. T., Benjaminsen, S., Bogdanova, M., Christensen-Dalsgaard, S., Daunt, F., Dehnhard, N., Harris, M. P., Langset, M., Lorentsen, S.-H., Newell, M., Sandøy-Braathen, V., Støyle-Bringsvor, I., Systad, G. H. and Wanless, S. (2021) Inter-population synchrony in adult survival and effects of climate and extreme weather in non-breeding areas of Atlantic puffins. Marine Ecology Progress Series. ISSN 0171-8630 doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps13809 (In Press)

Ren, H., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2021) Effects of misspecified time-correlated model error in the (ensemble) Kalman Smoother. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 573-588. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3934

Roberts, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4970-9032, Fletcher, J. K., Groves, J., Marsham, J. H., Parker, D. J., Blyth, A. M., Adefisan, E. A., Ajayi, V. O., Barrette, R., Coning, E., Dione, C., Diop, A., Foamouhoue, A. K., Gijben, M., Hill, P. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120, Lawal, K. A., Mutemi, J., Padi, M., Popoola, T. I., Rípodas, P., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 and Woodhams, B. J. (2021) Nowcasting for Africa: advances, potential and value. Weather. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3936

Rollinson, C. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0181-7293, Dawson, A., Raiho, A. M., Williams, J. W., Dietze, M. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2324-2518, Hickler, T., Jackson, S. T., McLachlan, J., Moore, D. J. P., Poulter, B., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Steinkamp, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7861-8789, Trachsel, M. and Morin, X. (2021) Forest responses to last‐millennium hydroclimate variability are governed by spatial variations in ecosystem sensitivity. Ecology Letters, 24 (3). pp. 498-508. ISSN 1461-023X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13667

Ruggieri, P., Bellucci, A., Nicol`ı, D., Athanasiadis, P., Gualdi, S., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Danabasoglu, G., Davini, P., Dunstone, N., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hermanson, L., Qasmi, S.¨ı., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Smith, D., Wild, S. and Zampieri, M. (2021) Atlantic multidecadal variability and North Atlantic jet: a multi-model view from the decadal climate prediction project. Journal of Climate, 34 (1). pp. 347-360. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0981.1

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D., Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Sampson, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4275-4877, Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Aydogdu, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1557-7502 and Jones, C. K.R.T. (2021) Ensemble Kalman Filter for non‐conservative moving mesh solvers with a joint physics and mesh location update. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3980

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Zhang, Y., Ciais, P., Boucher, O., Maignan, F., Bastos, A., Goll, D., Lurton, T., Viovy, N., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Li, L. (2021) Disentangling the impacts of anthropogenic aerosols on terrestrial carbon cycle during 1850-2014. Earth's Future. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002035 (In Press)

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05692-1

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C., Woolnough, S. J. and Black, E. (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

van Garderen, L., Feser, F. and Shepherd, T. G. (2021) A methodology for attributing the role of climate change in extreme events: a global spectrally nudged storyline. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS), 21 (1). pp. 171-186. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-171-2021

2020

Allan, D. and Allan, R. P. (2020) Seasonal changes in the North Atlantic cold anomaly: the influence of cold surface waters from coastal Greenland and warming trends associated with variations in subarctic sea ice cover. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (12). pp. 9040-9052. ISSN 2169-9275 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015379

Allan, R., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H. J. and Champion, A. J. (2020) Atmospheric precursors for intense summer rainfall over the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 40 (8). pp. 3849-3867. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6431

Allanson, O., Watt, C. E. J., Ratcliffe, H., Allison, H. J., Meredith, N. P., Bentley, S. N., Ross, J. P. J. and Glauert, S. A. (2020) Particle-in-cell experiments examine electron diffusion by whistler-mode waves: 2. Quasilinear and nonlinear dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 125 (7). e2020JA027949. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JA027949

Allen, J. R. M., Forrest, M., Hickler, T., Singarayer, J. S., Valdes, P. J. and Huntley, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3926-2257 (2020) Global vegetation patterns of the past 140,000 years. Journal of Biogeography, 47 (10). pp. 2073-2090. ISSN 1365-2699 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.13930

Allen, R. J., Turnock, S., Nabat, P., Neubauer, D., Lohmann, U., Olivie, D., Oshima, N., Michou, M., Wu, T., Zhang, J., Takemura, T., Schulz, M., Tsigaridis, K., Bauer, S. E., Emmons, L., Horowitz, L., Naik, V., van Noije, T., Bergman, T., Lamarque, J.-F., Zanis, P., Tegen, I., Westervelt, D. M., Le Sager, P., Good, P., Shim, S., O'Connor, F., Akritidis, D., Georgoulias, A. K., Deushi, M., Sentman, L. T., John, J., Fujimori, S. and Collins, W. J. (2020) Climate and air quality impacts due to mitigation of non-methane near-term climate forcers. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (16). pp. 9641-9663. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9641-2020

Allison, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9271-1197, Palmer, M. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7422-198X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hermanson, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1062-6731, Liu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6663-452X and Smith, D. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5708-694X (2020) Observations of planetary heating since the 1980s from multiple independent datasets. Environmental Research Communications, 2 (10). p. 101001. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abbb39

Ambaum, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2020) Thermal physics of the atmosphere. 2nd edition. Developments in weather and climate science (1). Elsevier, Amsterdam. ISBN 9780128244982

Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 (2020) Accurate, simple equation for saturated vapour pressure over water and ice. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (733). pp. 4252-5258. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3899

Amezcua, J., Nasholm, P., Blixt, M. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2020) Assimilation of atmospheric infrasound data to constrain tropospheric and stratospheric winds. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2634-2653. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3809

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J., Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D., Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T., Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. and Sutton, R. T. (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001995

Andrews, T., Andrews, M. B., Bodas‐Salcedo, A., Jones, G. S., Kuhlbrodt, T., Manners, J., Menary, M. B., Ridley, J., Ringer, M. A., Sellar, A. A., Senior, C. A. and Tang, Y. (2020) Forcings, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in HadGEM3‐GC3.1 and UKESM1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4377-4394. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001866

Anugerahanti, P., Roy, S. and Haines, K. (2020) Perturbed biology and physics signatures in a 1-D ocean biogeochemical model ensemble. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7. 549. ISSN 2296-7745 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00549

Aplin, K. L., Harrison, R. G., Füllekrug, M., Lanchester, B. and Becker, F. (2020) A scientific career launched at the start of the space age: Michael Rycroft at 80. History of Geo- and Space Sciences, 11 (1). pp. 105-121. ISSN 2190-5029 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hgss-11-105-2020

Arnal, L., Anspoks, L., Manson, S., Neumann, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3244-2578, Norton, T., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wolfenden, L. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2020) “Are we talking just a bit of water out of bank? Or is it Armageddon?” Front line perspectives on transitioning to probabilistic fluvial flood forecasts in England. Geoscience Communications, 3. pp. 203-232. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-203-2020

Ascott, M. J., Macdonald, D. M. J., Black, E., Verhoef, A., Nakohoun, P., Tirogo, J., Sandwidi, W. J. P., Bliefernicht, J., Sorensen, J. P. R. and Bossa, A. Y. (2020) In-situ observations and lumped parameter model reconstructions reveal intra-annual to multi-decadal variability in groundwater levels in sub-Saharan Africa. Water Resources Research, 56 (12). e2020WR028056. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028056

Ayarzagüena, B., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Butler, A. H., Hitchcock, P., Simpson, I. R., Polvani, L. M., Butchart, N., Gerber, E. P., Gray, L., Hassler, B., Lin, P., Lott, F., Manzini, E., Mizuta, R., Orbe, C., Osprey, S., Saint‐Martin, D., Sigmond, M., Taguchi, M., Volodin, E. M. and Watanabe, S. (2020) Uncertainty in the response of sudden stratospheric warmings and stratosphere‐troposphere coupling to quadrupled CO2 concentrations in CMIP6 models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (6). e2019JD032345. ISSN 2169-897X doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032345

Aylmer, J., Ferreira, D. and Feltham, D. (2020) Impacts of oceanic and atmospheric heat transports on sea-ice extent. Journal of Climate, 33 (16). pp. 7197-7215. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0761.1

Aylott, L., Burt, S. and Saunders, M. (2020) Northern Ireland’s longstanding record wind gust is almost certainly incorrect. Weather, 75 (1). pp. 8-13. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3613

Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297 (2020) The ABC-DA system (v1.4): a variational data assimilation system for convective-scale assimilation research with a study of the impact of a balance constraint. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (8). pp. 3789-3816. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3789-2020

Bannister, R. N., Chipilski, H. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. (2020) Techniques and challenges in the assimilation of atmospheric water observations for numerical weather prediction towards convective scales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (726). pp. 1-48. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3652

Barnard, L., Owens, M., Scott, C. and de Koning, C. (2020) Ensemble CME modelling constrained by heliospheric imager observations. AGU Advances, 1 (3). ISSN 2576-604X doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020AV000214

Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G., Belusic, D., Boeing, S. J., Brooke, J. K., Harlow, R. C., Harris, P. P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Jayakumar, A. and Mitra, A. K. (2020) A case-study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2891-2905. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3538

Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Fan, L., Wigneron, J. P., Weber, U., Reichstein, M., Fu, Z., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Haverd, V., Jain, A. K., Joetzjer, E., Knauer, J., Lienert, S., Loughran, T., McGuire, P. C., Tian, H., Viovy, N. and Zaehle, S. (2020) Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity. Science Advances, 6 (24). eaba2724. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2724

Bateson, A. W., Feltham, D. L., Schroeder, D., Hosekova, L., Ridley, J. K. and Aksenov, Y. (2020) Impact of sea ice floe size distribution on seasonal fragmentation and melt of Arctic sea ice. The Cryosphere, 14 (2). pp. 403-428. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-403-2020

Bell, Z., Dance, S. L. and Waller, J. A. (2020) Accounting for observation uncertainty and bias due to unresolved scales with the Schmidt-Kalman filter. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 72 (1). pp. 1-21. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2020.1831830

Bellouin, N., Davies, W., Shine, K. P., Quaas, J., Mülmenstädt, J., Forster, P. M., Smith, C., Lee, L., Regayre, L., Brasseur, G., Sudarchikova, N., Bouarar, I., Boucher, O. and Myhre, G. (2020) Radiative forcing of climate change from the Copernicus reanalysis of atmospheric composition. Earth System Science Data, 12 (3). pp. 1649-1677. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1649-2020

Bellouin, N., Quaas, J., Gryspeerdt, E., Kinne, S., Stier, P., Watson-Parris, D., Boucher, O., Carslaw, K. S., Christensen, M., Daniau, A.-L., Dufresne, J.-L., Feingold, G., Fiedler, S., Forster, P., Gettelman, A., Haywood, J.M., Lohmann, U., Malavelle, F., Mauritsen, T., McCoy, D.T., Myhre, G., Muelmenstaedt, J., Neubauer, D., Possner, A., Rugenstein, M., Sato, Y., Schulz, M., Schwartz, S.E., Sourdeval, O., Storelvmo, T., Toll, V., Winker, D. and Stevens, B. (2020) Bounding global aerosol radiative forcing of climate change. Reviews of Geophysics, 58 (1). e2019RG000660. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019RG000660

Bentley, S. N., Stout, J., Bloch, T. E. and Watt, C. E. J. (2020) Random forest model of ultra-low frequency magnetospheric wave power. Earth and Space Science, 7 (10). e2020EA001274. ISSN 2333-5084 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001274

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Shepherd, T. G. and Vrac, M. (2020) Brief communication: the role of using precipitation or river discharge data when assessing global coastal compound flooding. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS), 20. pp. 1765-1782. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1765-2020

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K., Shepherd, T. G., Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G. and Shepherd, T. G. (2020) Shorter cyclone clusters modulate changes in European wintertime precipitation extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (12). 124005. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde7

Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H. J., Freer, J., Hannah, D. M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L. and Wagener, T. (2020) Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: can we make a start as a community? Hydrological Processes, 34 (3). pp. 868-873. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13622

Biggart, M., Stocker, J., Doherty, R. M., Wild, O., Hollaway, M., Carruthers, D., Li, J., Zhang, Q., Wu, R., Kotthaus, S., Grimmond, S., Squires, F. A., Lee, J. and Shi, Z. (2020) Street-scale air quality modelling for Beijing during a winter 2016 measurement campaign. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (5). pp. 2755-2780. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-2755-2020

Birk, M., Wagner, G., Loos, J. and Shine, K. P. (2020) 3 µm water vapor self- and foreign-continuum: new method for determination and new insights into the self-continuum. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer, 253. 107134. ISSN 0022-4073 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jqsrt.2020.107134

Bloch, T., Watt, C., Owens, M., McInnes, L. and Macneil, A. R. (2020) Data-driven classification of coronal hole and streamer belt solar wind. Solar Physics, 295 (3). 41. ISSN 0038-0938 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-020-01609-z

Blockley, E., Vancoppenolle, M., Hunke, E., Bitz, C., Feltham, D., Lemieux, J.-F., Losch, M., Maisonnave, E., Notz, D., Rampal, P., Tietsche, S., Tremblay, B., Turner, A., Massonnet, F., Ólason, E., Roberts, A., Aksenov, Y., Fichefet, T., Garric, G., Iovino, D., Madec, G., Rousset, C., Salas y Melia, D. and Schroeder, D. (2020) The future of sea ice modelling: where do we go from here? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (8). E1304-E1311. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0073.1

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Suitters, C. and Drew, D. (2020) Meteorological drivers of European power system stress. Journal of Renewable Energy, 2020. pp. 1-12. ISSN 2314-4394 doi: https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/5481010

Bloomfield, H. C., Brayshaw, D. J. and Charlton-Perez, A. J. (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858

Bock, L., Lauer, A., Schlund, M., Barreiro, M., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Jones, C., Predoi, V., Meehl, G., Roberts, M. and Eyring, V. (2020) Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases with the ESMValTool. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (21). e2019JD032321. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032321

Bocquet, M., Brajard, J., Carrassi, A. and Bertino, L. (2020) Bayesian inference of chaotic dynamics by merging data assimilation, machine learning and expectation-maximization. Foundations of Data Science, 2 (1). pp. 55-80. ISSN 2639-8001 doi: https://doi.org/10.3934/fods.2020004

Boljka, L. and Shepherd, T.G. (2020) Multiscale extratropical barotropic variability on the subseasonal-to-seasonal timescale. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (726). pp. 301-313. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3676

Bonavita, M., Arcucci, R., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Dueben, P., Geer, A. J., Le Saux, B., Longépé, N., Mathieu, P.-P. and Raynaud, L. (2020) Machine learning for earth system observation and prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0307.1 (In Press)

Bopape, M.-J. M., Plant, R. S. and Coceal, O. (2020) Resolution dependence of turbulent structures in convective boundary layer simulations. Atmosphere, 11 (9). 986. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11090986

Boult, V. L., Asfaw, D. T., Young, M., Maidment, R., Mwangi, E., Ambani, M., Waruru, S., Otieno, G., Todd, M. C. and Black, E. (2020) Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action. Meteorological Applications, 27 (5). e1959. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1959

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T., Black, E., Ryu, Y., Chen, Q., De Kauwe, M. G. and Baldocchi, D. (2020) Influence of sun zenith angle on canopy clumping and the resulting impacts on photosynthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291. 108065. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108065

Brajard, J., Carrassi, A., Bocquet, M. and Bertino, L. (2020) Combining data assimilation and machine learning to emulate a dynamical model from sparse and noisy observations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model. Journal of Computational Science, 44. 101171. ISSN 2153-4136 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocs.2020.101171

Brayshaw, D. J., Halford, A., Smith, S. and Kjeld, J. (2020) Quantifying the potential for improved management of weather risk using subseasonal forecasting: the case of UK telecommunications infrastructure. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1849. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1849

Bröcker, J. and Bouallègue, Z. B. (2020) Stratified rank histograms for ensemble forecast verification under serial dependence. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (729). pp. 1976-1990. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3778

Buckingham, C. E., Lucas, N. S., Belcher, S. E., Rippeth, T. P., Grant, A. L. M., Le Sommer, J., Ajayi, A. O. and Naveira Garabato, A. C. (2020) The contribution of surface and submesoscale processes to turbulence in the open ocean surface boundary layer. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4066-4094. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001801

Bulgin, C. E., Merchant, C. J. and Ferreira, D. (2020) Tendencies, variability and persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies. Scientific Reports, 10. 7986. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-64785-9

Burt, S. (2020) New British and Irish Isles late-winter extreme barometric pressure, 29 March 2020. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3840

Burt, S. (2020) The gust that never was: a meteorological instrumentation mystery. Weather. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3830

Burt, S. and de Podesta, M. (2020) Response times of meteorological air temperature sensors. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2789-2800. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3817

Butler, A. H., Lawrence, Z. D., Lee, S. H., Lillo, S. P. and Long, C. S. (2020) Differences between the 2018 and 2019 stratospheric polar vortex split events. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (732). pp. 3503-3521. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3858

Cao, X., Lyu, H., Ni, G., Tian, F., Ma, Y. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2020) Spatial scale effect of surface routing and its parameter upscaling for urban flood simulation using a grid‐based model. Water Resources Research, 56 (2). e2019WR025468. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025468

Capel-Timms, I., Smith, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639, Sun, T. and Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415 (2020) Dynamic anthropogenic activitieS impacting heat emissions (DASHv1.0): development and evaluation. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (10). pp. 4891-4924. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4891-2020

Carrea, L., Woolway, I., Merchant, C., Dokulil, M. T., De Gasperi, C. L., de Eyto, E., Kelly, S., La Fuente, R. S., Marszelewski, W., May, L., Paterson, A. M., Pulkkanen, M., Rusak, J. A., Rusanovskaya, O., Schladow, S. G., Schmid, M., Shimaraeva, S. V., Silow, E. A., Timofeyev, M. A., Verburg, P., Watanabe, S. and Weyhenmeyer, G. A. (2020) Lake surface water temperature [in “State of the Climate in 2019”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (8). S26-S28. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2020BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Huang, W. T. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4292-2105 and Lee, S. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0986-0093 (2020) Impact of sudden stratospheric warmings on United Kingdom mortality. Atmospheric Science Letters. e1013. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1013

Cheng, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7304-2442, Aydoğdu, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1557-7502, Rampal, P., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Bertino, L. (2020) Probabilistic forecasts of sea ice trajectories in the arctic: impact of uncertainties in surface wind and ice cohesion. Oceans, 1 (4). pp. 326-342. ISSN 2673-1924 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans1040022

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Allanson, O., Watt, C., Ratcliffe, H., Meredith, N., Allison, H., Bentley, S., Bloch, T. and Glauert, S. (2019) Particle-in-cell experiments examine electron diffusion by whistler-mode waves: 1. Benchmarking with a cold plasma. Journal of Geophysical Research - Space Physics, 124 (11). pp. 8893-8912. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JA027088

Armstrong, E., Valdes, P., House, J. and Singarayer, J. (2019) Investigating the feedback between CO2, vegetation and the AMOC in a coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 2485-2500. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04634-2

Arnell, N., Lowe, J. A., Bernie, D. J., Nicholls, R., Brown, S., Challinor, A. and Osborn, T. (2019) The global and regional impacts of climate change under representative concentration pathway forcings and shared socioeconomic pathway socioeconomic scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab35a6

Arnell, N. W., Lowe, J. A., Challinor, A. J. and Osborn, T. J. (2019) Global and regional impacts of climate change at different levels of global temperature increase. Climatic Change, 155 (3). pp. 377-391. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02464-z

Arnold, D. W. D., Biggs, J., Dietterich, H. R., Vallejo Vargas, S., Wadge, G. and Mothes, P. (2019) Lava flow morphology at an erupting andesitic stratovolcano: a satellite perspective on El Reventador, Ecuador. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 372. pp. 34-47. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2019.01.009

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Baker, A. J., Schiemann, R., Hodges, K. I., Demory, M.-E., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J. and Vidale, P. L. (2019) Enhanced climate change response of wintertime North Atlantic circulation, cyclonic activity and precipitation in a 25 km-resolution global atmospheric model. Journal of Climate, 32 (22). pp. 7763-7781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1

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Benedetti, F., Ayata, S.‐D., Irisson, J.‐O., Adloff, F. and Guilhaumon, F. (2019) Climate change may have minor impact on zooplankton functional diversity in the Mediterranean Sea. Diversity and Distributions, 25 (4). pp. 568-581. ISSN 1472-4642 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12857

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Bentley, S. N. (2019) Predicting the effect of the solar wind on the ultra-low frequency plasma waves driving Earth’s radiation belts. PhD thesis, University of Reading. doi: https://doi.org/10.17864/1926.85255

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Beverley, J. D. (2019) The relationship between the circumglobal teleconnection, the Indian monsoon and European summer weather. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J., Baker, L. H., Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4

Beyer, R., Singarayer, J. S., Stock, J. T. and Manica, A. (2019) Environmental conditions do not predict diversification rates in the Bantu languages. Heliyon, 5 (10). e02630. ISSN 24058440 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02630

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M., Bouttes, N., Palmer, M. D. and Stott, P. (2019) Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure. Climate Dynamics, 53. pp. 5389-5413. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Blixt, E. M., Näsholm, S. P., Gibbons, S. J., Evers, L. G., Charlton-Perez, A., Orsolini, Y. J. and Kværna, T. (2019) Estimating tropospheric and stratospheric winds using infrasound from explosions. The Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, 146 (2973). pp. 973-982. ISSN 0001-4966 doi: https://doi.org/10.1121/1.5120183

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Boelee, L., Lumbroso, D. M., Samuels, P. G. and Cloke, H. L. (2019) Estimation of uncertainty in flood forecasts - a comparison of methods. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 12 (S1). e12516. ISSN 1753-318X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12516

Boult, V. L., Fishlock, V., Quaife, T., Hawkins, E., Moss, C., Lee, P. C. and Sibly, R. M. (2019) Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change. Conservation Science and Practice, 1 (9). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2578-4854 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.87

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T., Black, E., He, L. and Chen, J. M. (2019) Underestimation of global photosynthesis in Earth System Models due to representation of vegetation structure. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33 (11). pp. 1358-1369. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006135

Brooks, J., Allan, J. D., Williams, P. I., Liu, D., Fox, C., Haywood, J., Langridge, J. M., Highwood, E. J., Kompalli, S. K., O'Sullivan, D., Babu, S. S., Satheesh, S. K., Turner, A. G. and Coe, H. (2019) Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 5615-5634. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-1109

Brooks, J., Liu, D., Allan, J. D., Williams, P. I., Haywood, J., Highwood, E. J., Kompalli, S. K., Babu, S. S., Satheesh, S. K., Turner, A. G. and Coe, H. (2019) Black carbon physical and optical properties across northern India during pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19 (20). pp. 13079-13096. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-13079-2019

Bröcker, J. (2019) What is the correct cost functional for variational data assimilation? Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 389-399. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4146-y

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Burt, S. and Burt, T. (2019) Oxford weather and climate since 1767. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, pp544. ISBN 9780198834632

Burt, S. and Hawkins, E. (2019) Near-zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th-century observers and modern volunteers. International Journal of Climatology, 39 (11). pp. 4451-4466. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6084

Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A., Domeisen, D. I.V., Simpson, I. R. and Sjoberg, J. (2019) Predictability of Northern Hemisphere final stratospheric warmings and their surface impacts. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (17-18). pp. 10578-10588. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083346

Byrne, N. J., Shepherd, T. G. and Polichtchouk, I. (2019) Subseasonal-to-seasonal predictability of the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet during austral spring and early summer. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (13). pp. 6841-6855. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD030173

Cafaro, C., Frame, T. H. A., Methven, J., Roberts, N. and Broecker, J. (2019) The added value of convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of sea breeze compared to a Bayesian forecast driven by the global ensemble. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (721). pp. 1780-1798. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3531

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Centurioni, L. R., Turton, J., Lumpkin, R., Braasch, L., Brassington, G., Chao, Y., Charpentier, E., Chen, Z., Corlett, G., Dohan, K., Donlon, C., Gallage, C., Hormann, V., Ignatov, A., Ingleby, B., Jensen, R., Kelly-Gerreyn, B. A., Koszalka, I. M., Lin, X., Lindstrom, E., Maximenko, N., Merchant, C. J., Minnett, P., O'Carroll, A., Paluszkiewicz, T., Poli, P., Poulain, P.-M., Reverdin, G., Sun, X., Swail, V., Thurston, S., Wu, L., Yu, L., Wang, B. and Zhang, D. (2019) Global in situ observations of essential climate and ocean variables at the air–sea interface. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6. 419. ISSN 2296-7745 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00419

Ceppi, P. and Shepherd, T. G. (2019) The role of the stratospheric polar vortex for the austral jet response to greenhouse gas forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (12). pp. 6972-6979. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082883

Champion, A. J., Blenkinsop, S., Li, X.-F. and Fowler, H. J. (2019) Synoptic-scale precursors of extreme UK summer 3-hourly rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (8). pp. 4477-4489. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029664

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Aldridge, R. W., Grams, C. M. and Lee, R. (2019) Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland blocking weather regime. Weather and Climate Extremes, 25. 100218. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Bröcker, J., Stockdale, T. N. and Johnson, S. (2019) When and where do ECMWF seasonal forecast systems exhibit anomalously low signal‐to‐noise ratio? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (725). pp. 3466-3478. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3631

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Vukadinovic Greetham, D. and Hemingway, R. (2019) Storm naming and forecast communication: a case study of Storm Doris. Meteorological Applications, 26 (4). pp. 682-697. ISSN 1350-4827 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1794

Chen, W. and Dong, B. (2019) Anthropogenic impacts on recent decadal change in temperature extremes over China: relative roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4342-9

Chen, W., Dong, B., Wilcox, L., Luo, F., Dunstone, N. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Attribution of recent trends in temperature extremes over China: role of changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions over Asia. Journal Of Climate, 32. pp. 7539-7560. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0777.1

Chen, Y., Chen, W., Su, Q., Luo, F., Sparrow, S., Tian, F., Dong, B., Tett, S., Lott, F. and Wallom, D. (2019) Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017-like heat waves over Central-Eastern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0087.1

Chevuturi, A., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1

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Clarke, S. J., Gray, S. and Roberts, N. M. (2019) Downstream influence of mesoscale convective systems: part 1, influence on forecast evolution. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724). pp. 2933-2952. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3593

Clarke, S. J., Gray, S. L. and Roberts, N. M. (2019) Downstream influence of mesoscale convective systems: part 2, influence on ensemble forecast skill and spread. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724). pp. 2953-2972. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3613

Cooper, E. S. (2019) Improving flood prediction using data assimilation. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Cooper, E. S., Dance, S. L., Garcia-Pintado, J., Nichols, N. K. and Smith, P. (2019) Observation operators for assimilation of satellite observations in fluvial inundation forecasting. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23. pp. 2541-2559. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2541-2019

Cornforth, R., Parker, D., Diop-Kane, M., Fink, A., Lafore, J.-P., Laing, A., Afiesimama, E., Caughey, J., Diongue-Niang, A., Hamza, I., Harou, A., Kassimou, A., Lamb, P., Lamptey, B., Mumba, Z., Nnodu, I., Omotosho, J., Palmer, S., Parrish, P., Razafindrakoto, L.-G., Thiaw, W., Thorncroft, C. and Tompkins, A. (2019) The first Forecasters Handbook for West Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (11). pp. 2343-2351. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0273.1

Cornforth, R. J., Macdonald, D. M. J., Osbahr, H., Ciampi, L., Myers, J., Verhoef, A., Black, E. C., Ascott, M., Cook, P., Davis, H., Clark, H., Talens, C., Gahi, N., Haruna, S. and Petty, E.C., (2019) Possible futures for groundwater in Burkina Faso under a changing climate. Report. Zenodo doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3533108

Courtier, B. M., Stein, T. H. M., Harrison, R. G., Hanley, K. E. and Wilkinson, J. M. (2019) Intensification of single cell storms prior to lightning onset. Atmospheric Science Letters, 20 (4). e873. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.873

Crook, J., Klein, C., Folwell, S., Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Stratton, R. and Stein, T. (2019) Assessment of the representation of West African storm lifecycles in convection‐permitting simulations. Earth and Space Science, 6 (5). pp. 818-835. ISSN 2333-5084 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EA000491

Curio, J., Schiemann, R., Hodges, K. and Turner, A. G. (2019) Climatology of Tibetan Plateau Vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1933-1950. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0021.1

Czaja, A., Frankignoul, C., Minobe, S. and Vanniere, B. (2019) Simulating the midlatitude atmospheric circulation: what might we gain from high-resolution modeling of air-sea interactions? Current Climate Change Reports, 5. pp. 390-406. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5

D'Agostino, R., Bader, J., Bordoni, S., Ferreira, D. and Jungclaus, J. (2019) Northern Hemisphere monsoon response to mid-Holocene orbital forcing and greenhouse gas-induced global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1591-1601. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081589

Dacre, H. F., Martinez-Alvarado, O. and Mbengue, C. O. (2019) Linking atmospheric rivers and warm conveyor belt airflows. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20 (6). pp. 1183-1196. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0175.1

Damadeo, R., Hassler, B., Zawada, D. J., Frith, S. M., Ball, W. T., Chang, K.-L., Degenstein, D. A., Hubert, D., Misios, S., Petropavlovskikh, I., Roth, C. Z., Sofieva, V. F., Steinbrecht, W., Tourpali, K., Zerefos, C. S., Alsing, J., Balis, D., Coldewey-Egbers, M., Eleftheratos, K., Godin-Beekmann, S., Gruzdev, A., Kapsomenakis, J., Laeng, A., Laine, M., Maillard-Barras, E., Taylor, M., von Clarmann, T., Weber, M. and Wild, J. D. (2019) Chapter 4: The LOTUS regression model. In: Petropavlovskikh, I., Godin-Beekmann, S., Hubert, D., Damadeo, R., Hassler, B. and Sofieva, V. (eds.) SPARC/IO3C/GAW, 2019: SPARC/IO3C/GAW Report on Long-term Ozone Trends and Uncertainties in the Stratosphere. SPARC, pp. 37-50. doi: https://doi.org/10.17874/f899e57a20b (SPARC Report No. 9, GAW Report No. 241, WCRP-17/2018, available at www.sparc-climate.org/publications/sparc-reports)

Dance, S. L., Ballard, S. P., Bannister, R. N., Clark, P., Cloke, H. L., Darlington, T., Flack, D. L. A., Gray, S. L., Hawkness-Smith, L., Husnoo, N., Illingworth, A. J., Kelly, G. A., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Nichols, N. K., Nicol, J. C., Oxley, A., Plant, R. S., Roberts, N. M., Roulstone, I., Simonin, D., Thompson, R. J. and Waller, J. A. (2019) Improvements in forecasting intense rainfall: results from the FRANC (forecasting rainfall exploiting new data assimilation techniques and novel observations of convection) project. Atmosphere, 10 (3). 125. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10030125

Demott, C. A., Klingaman, N., Tseng, W.-L., Burt, M. A., Gao, Y. and Randall, D. A. (2019) The convection connection: how ocean feedbacks affect tropical mean moisture and MJO propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 124 (22). pp. 11910-11931. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031015

Denisenko, V., Rycroft, M. and Harrison, G. (2019) Mathematical simulation of the ionospheric electric field as a part of the Global Electric Circuit. Surveys in Geophysics, 40 (1). pp. 1-35. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-018-9499-6

Dentith, J. E., Ivanovic, R. F., Gregoire, L. J., Tindall, J. C. and Smith, R. (2019) Ocean circulation drifts in multi-millennial climate simulations: the role of salinity corrections and climate feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 52 (3-4). pp. 1761-1781. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4243-y

Dexheimer, D., Airey, M., Roesler, E., Longbottom, C., Nicoll, K., Kneifel, S., Mei, F., Harrison, G., Marlton, G. and Williams, P. (2019) Evaluation of ARM Tethered Balloon System instrumentation for supercooled liquid water and distributed temperature sensing in mixed-phase Arctic clouds. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 12 (12). pp. 6845-6864. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-12-6845-2019

Di Capua, G., Kretschmer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2756-9526, Runge, J., Alessandri, A., Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D. (2019) Long-lead statistical forecasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall based on causal precursors. Weather and Forecasting, 34 (5). pp. 1377-1394. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0002.1

Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2019) Verification of heat stress thresholds for a health-based heatwave definition. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 58 (6). pp. 1177-1194. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0246.1

Dirksen, M., Ronda, R. J., Theeuwes, N. E. and Pagani, G. A. (2019) Sky view factor calculations and its application in urban heat island studies. Urban Climate, 30. 100498. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2019.100498

Dong, B., Wilcox, L. J., Highwood, E. J. and Sutton, R. T. (2019) Impacts of recent decadal changes in Asian aerosols on the East Asian summer monsoon: roles of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3235-3256. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0 (Dong, B., Wilcox, L.J., Highwood, E.J. et al. Clim Dyn (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0)

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