Accessibility navigation


Storm surge frequency reduction in Venice under climate change

Troccoli, A., Zambon, F., Hodges, K. I. and Marani, M. (2012) Storm surge frequency reduction in Venice under climate change. Climatic Change, 113 (3-4). pp. 1065-1079. ISSN 1573-1480

Full text not archived in this repository.

To link to this article DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0093-x

Abstract/Summary

Increased tidal levels and storm surges related to climate change are projected to result in extremely adverse effects on coastal regions. Predictions of such extreme and small-scale events, however, are exceedingly challenging, even for relatively short time horizons. Here we use data from observations, ERA-40 reanalysis, climate scenario simulations, and a simple feature model to find that the frequency of extreme storm surge events affecting Venice is projected to decrease by about 30% by the end of the twenty-first century. In addition, through a trend assessment based on tidal observations we found a reduction in extreme tidal levels. Extrapolating the current +17 cm/century sea level trend, our results suggest that the frequency of extreme tides in Venice might largely remain unaltered under the projected twenty-first century climate simulations.

Item Type:Article
Refereed:Yes
Divisions:Faculty of Science > School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences > Environmental Systems Science Centre
ID Code:20636
Publisher:Springer

Centaur Editors: Update this record

Page navigation