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Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK

Wilby, R. L., Whitehead, P., Wade, A. J., Butterfield, D., Davis, R. J. and Watts, G. (2006) Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK. Journal of Hydrology, 330 (1-2). pp. 204-220. ISSN 0022-1694

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To link to this article DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.04.033

Abstract/Summary

An integrated approach to climate change impact assessment is explored by linking established models of regional climate (SDSM), water resources (CATCHMOD) and water quality (INCA) within a single framework. A case study of the River Kennet illustrates how the system can be used to investigate aspects of climate change uncertainty, deployable water resources, and water quality dynamics in upper and lower reaches of the drainage network. The results confirm the large uncertainty in climate change scenarios and freshwater impacts due to the choice of general circulation model (GCM). This uncertainty is shown to be greatest during summer months as evidenced by large variations between GCM-derived projections of future tow river flows, deployable yield from groundwater, severity of nutrient flushing episodes, and Long-term trends in surface water quality. Other impacts arising from agricultural land-use reform or delivery of EU Water Framework Directive objectives under climate change could be evaluated using the same framework. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Item Type:Article
Refereed:Yes
Divisions:Faculty of Science > School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science > Department of Geography and Environmental Science
Faculty of Science > School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science
Faculty of Science > School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science > Earth Systems Science
ID Code:4240
Uncontrolled Keywords:climate change uncertainty downscaling water resources water quality River Kennet MULTIPLE SOURCE ASSESSMENT NITROGEN MODEL SOUTHERN ENGLAND CHANGE SCENARIOS LAND-USE INCA FLOW UNCERTAINTY STREAM PHYTOPLANKTON
Additional Information:
Publisher:Elsevier

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