Article

Machete, R. L. (2013) Early warning with calibrated and sharper probabilistic forecasts. Journal of Forecasting, 32 (5). pp. 452-468. ISSN 1099-131X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2242

Machete, R. (2013) Contrasting probabilistic scoring rules. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 143 (10). pp. 1781-1790. ISSN 0378-3758 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jspi.2013.05.012

Machete, R. L. and Moroz, I. M. (2012) Initial distribution spread: A density forecasting approach. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, 241 (8). pp. 805-815. ISSN 0167-2789 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2012.01.007

Machete, R. L. (2011) Quantifying chaos: a tale of two maps. Physics Letters A, 375 (33). pp. 2992-2998. ISSN 0375-9601 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physleta.2011.06.047

Book or Report Section

Frigg, R., Bradley, S., Machete, R. L. and Smith, L. A. (2013) Probabilistic forecasting: why model imperfection is a poison pill. In: Andersen, H., Dieks, D., Gonzalez, W. J., Uebel, T. and Wheeler, G. (eds.) New Challenges to Philosophy of Science. The Philosophy of Science in a European Perspective, 4. Springer. ISBN 9789400758445