Large-scale context for the UK floods in summer 2007
Blackburn, M., Methven, J. and Roberts, N. (2008) Large-scale context for the UK floods in summer 2007. Weather, 63 (9). pp. 280-288. ISSN 0043-1656
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wea.322
This paper shows how the rainfall distribution over the UK, in the three major events on 13-15 June, 25 June and 20 July 2007, was related to troughs in the upper-level flow, and investigates the relationship of these features to a persistent large-scale flow pattern which extended around the northern hemisphere and its possible origins. Remote influences can be mediated by the propagation of large-scale atmospheric waves across the northern hemisphere and also by the origins of the air-masses that are wrapped into the developing weather systems delivering the rain to the UK. These dynamical influences are examined using analyses and forecasts produced by a range of atmospheric models.
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