Stochastic parameterization: uncertainties from convection
Plant, R. S., Keane, R. J., Tennant, W. J. and Whitall, M. A. W. (2011) Stochastic parameterization: uncertainties from convection. In: Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction Models, 20-24 June 2011. ECMWF, Shinfield park, Reading, pp. 233-242.
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In 2005, the ECMWF held a workshop on stochastic parameterisation, at which the convection was seen as being a key issue. That much is clear from the working group reports and particularly the statement from working group 1 that “it is clear that a stochastic convection scheme is desirable”. The present note aims to consider our current status in comparison with some of the issues raised and hopes expressed in that working group report.