Extreme precipitation and climate change: the potential impacts on flooding
Champion, A., Hodges, K. and Bengtsson, L. (2010) Extreme precipitation and climate change: the potential impacts on flooding. In: BHS Third International Symposium, Managing the Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, 19-23 July 2010, Newcastle University. (Proceedings of the BHS Third International Symposium)
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Recent extreme precipitation events have caused widespread flooding to the UK. The prediction of the intensity of such events in a warmer climate is important for adaption strategies against future events. This study highlights the importance of using high-resolution models to predict these events. Using a high-resolution GCM it is shown that extreme precipitation events are predicted to become more frequent under the IPCC A1B warming scenario. It is also shown that current forecast models have difficulty in predicting the location, timing and intensity of small scale precipitation in areas with significant orography.
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