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Ensemble flood forecasting: a review.

Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2009) Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. Journal of Hydrology, 375 (3-4). pp. 613-626. ISSN 0022-1694

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To link to this item DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005

Abstract/Summary

Operational medium range flood forecasting systems are increasingly moving towards the adoption of ensembles of numerical weather predictions (NWP), known as ensemble prediction systems (EPS), to drive their predictions. We review the scientific drivers of this shift towards such ‘ensemble flood forecasting’ and discuss several of the questions surrounding best practice in using EPS in flood forecasting systems. We also review the literature evidence of the ‘added value’ of flood forecasts based on EPS and point to remaining key challenges in using EPS successfully.

Item Type:Article
Refereed:Yes
Divisions:No Reading authors. Back catalogue items
Interdisciplinary centres and themes > Walker Institute
Faculty of Science > School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science > Earth Systems Science
Faculty of Science > School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science > Department of Geography and Environmental Science
ID Code:35053
Publisher:Elsevier

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