Items where Division is "Walker Institute"

Reading Faculties, Schools and Departments (721)
- Interdisciplinary Research Centres (IDRCs) (721)
  - Walker Institute (721)

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Number of items at this level: 721.

2024

Allan, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2069-0315 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2024) Odden ice melt linked to Labrador Sea ice expansions and the Great Salinity Anomalies of 1970–1995. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129 (4). e2023JC019988. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC019988

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2024) Droughts are blowing in the wind. Nature Water, 2 (3). pp. 223-224. ISSN 2731-6084 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-024-00209-6

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Douville, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6074-6467 (2024) An even drier future for the arid lands. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 121 (2). e2320840121. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2320840121

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Dalhatu Datti, A., Zeng, G., Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Pappenberger, F., Ahmad Abdullahi, B. and Onyejuruwa, A. (2024) Evaluation of satellite-based rainfall estimates against rain gauge observations across agro-climatic zones of Nigeria, West Africa. Remote Sensing, 16 (10). 1775. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16101755

Douville, H., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Arias, P. A. and Fisher, R. A. (2024) Call for caution regarding the efficacy of large-scale afforestation and its hydrological effects. Science of the Total Environment, 950. 175299. ISSN 1879-1026 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175299

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. -S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2024) Upper tropospheric humidity [in “State of the Climate in 2023”]. In: Blunden, J. and Boyer, T. (eds.) State of the Climate in 2023. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (8). American Meteorological Society, S59-S60. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2024BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Jones, T. S., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Pickles, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9809-6455 and David, J. (2024) Can gardeners identify ‘future invaders’? NeoBiota, 91. pp. 125-144. ISSN 1314-2488 doi: https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.91.110560

Liu, Z., Franzke, C. L. E., Novak, L., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Lembo, V. (2024) A systematic local view of the long-term changes of the atmospheric energy cycle. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-24-0106.1 (In Press)

Loeb, N. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2538-9644, Ham, S.-H., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Thorsen, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4405-3572, Meyssignac, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6325-9843, Kato, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7597-0886, Johnson, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8023-4020 and Lyman, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7200-4663 (2024) Observational assessment of changes in Earth's energy imbalance since 2000. Surveys in Geophysics. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09838-8

Rodell, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0106-7437, Barnoud, A., Robertson, F. R., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Bellas-Manley, A., Bosilovich, M. G., Chambers, D., Landerer, F., Loomis, B., Nerem, R. S., O’Neill, M. M., Wiese, D. and Seneviratne, S. I. (2024) An abrupt decline in global terrestrial water storage and its relationship with sea level change. Surveys in Geophysics. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09860-w

Saidaliyeva, Z., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Yapiyev, V., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Akbarov, F., Esenaman uulu, M., Kalashnikova, O., Kapitsa, V., Kasatkin, N., Rakhimov, I., Satylkanov, R., Sayakbaev, D., Semakova, E., Severskiy, I., Petrov, M., Umirzakov, G. and Usubaliev, R. (2024) Precipitation in the mountains of Central Asia: isotopic composition and source regions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24 (21). pp. 12203-12224. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-12203-2024

Saidaliyeva, Z., Muccione, V., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Bigler, S., Adler, C. and Yapiyev, V. (2024) Adaptation to climate change in the mountain regions of Central Asia: a systematic literature review. WIREs Climate Change, 15 (5). e891. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.891

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2024) Negative APE dissipation as the fundamental criterion for double diffusive instabilities. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics. ISSN 1469-7645 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2024.647 (In Press)

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Dubos, T. (2024) A simple and transparent method for improving the energetics and thermodynamics of seawater approximations: Static Energy Asymptotics (SEA). Ocean Modelling, 188. 102339. ISSN 1463-5011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102339

Trancoso, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9697-7005, Syktus, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1782-3073, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Croke, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1707-0377, Hoegh-Guldberg, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7510-6713 and Chadwick, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6767-5414 (2024) Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world’s population. Nature Communications, 15 (1). 483. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44513-3

2023

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2023) Amplified seasonal range in precipitation minus evaporation. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea36

Arias, P. A., Rendón, M. L., Martínez, J. A. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2023) Changes in atmospheric moisture transport over tropical South America: an analysis under a climate change scenario. Climate Dynamics, 61 (11-12). pp. 4949-4969. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06833-4

Brimicombe, C., Lo, C. H. B., Pappenberger, F., Di Napoli, C., Maciel, P., Quintino, T., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2023) Wet Bulb Globe Temperature: indicating extreme heat risk on a global grid. GeoHealth, 7 (2). e2022GH000701. ISSN 2471-1403 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GH000701

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J., Blunden, J., Boyer, T. and Bartow-Gillies, E., eds. (2023) Upper tropospheric humidity. State of the Climate in 2022. 104 (9). Report. American Meteorological Society, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (S55-S56)

Mitheu, F., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Petty, C., Ficchì, A., Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411 and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2023) Impact-based flood early warning for rural livelihoods in Uganda. Weather, Climate, and Society, 15 (3). pp. 525-539. ISSN 1948-8335 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-22-0089.1

Mitheu, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1655-449X, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Ficchì, A., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C. (2023) The utility of impact data in flood forecast verification for anticipatory actions: case studies from Uganda and Kenya. Journal of Flood Risk Management. e12911. ISSN 1753-318X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12911

Mussina, A., Raimbekova, Z., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Barandun, M., Narbayeva, K., Abdullayeva, A. and Nyssanbayeva, A. (2023) Mountain resilience: a tool for mudflow risk management in the Ile Alatau Mountains, Kazakhstan. Mountain Research and Development, 43 (1). ISSN 1994-7151 doi: https://doi.org/10.1659/mrd-journal-d-22-00004

Osso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5653-4886, Craig, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2023) An assessment of CMIP6 climate signals and biases in temperature, precipitation and soil moisture over Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 43 (12). pp. 5698-5719. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8169

Rother, H.-A., Dove, C. M., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C., Euripidou, R., Irlam, J., Gikungu, D., Chivese, T., Kutane, W., Jourou, A., van Bavel, B., Zavaleta, C. and Wright, C. Y. (2023) Q-Storming’ to identify challenges and opportunities for integrating health and climate adaptation measures in Africa. Journal of Climate Change and Health, 12. 100254. ISSN 2667-2782 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joclim.2023.100254

Selwood, E., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Saggioro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9543-6338, Petty, C. and Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696 (2023) Transboundary adaptation: local and regional benefits in the Middle East. In: Adaptation Gap Report 2023: Underfinanced. Underprepared. Inadequate investment and planning on climate adaptation leaves world exposed. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi. ISBN 9789280740929 (Case Study 6.)

Song, S.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9447-1158, Yeh, S.-W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4549-1686, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Xie, S.-P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3676-1325, An, S.-I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-429X and Park, H.-S. (2023) Climate sensitivity controls global precipitation hysteresis in a changing CO2 pathway. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 156. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00484-2

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2023) On the determination of the 3D velocity field in terms of conserved variables in a compressible ocean. Fluids, 8 (3). 94. ISSN 2311-5521 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids8030094

Wells, C., Petty, C., Saggioro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9543-6338 and Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, (2023) Pakistan climate change impact storylines based on existing literature. WITR0923/01. Technical Report. Walker Institute, University of Reading doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8359360

2022

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Freeman, A. (2022) The impact of climate change on policy‐relevant indicators of temperature extremes in the United Kingdom. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (2). e12. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.12

Arribas, A., Fairgrieve, R., Dhu, T., Bell, J., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Gooley, G., Hilson, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4114-6471, Luers, A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Street, R. and Wood, N. (2022) Climate risk assessment needs urgent improvement. Nature Communications, 13. 4326. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-31979-w

Brimicombe, C., Di Napoli, C., Quintino, T., Pappenberger, F., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2022) Thermofeel: a python thermal comfort indices library. SoftwareX, 18. 101005. ISSN 2352-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.softx.2022.101005

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Plumpton, H. J., Osbahr, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0130-2313, Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C. (2022) Building resilience through improving groundwater management for sustainable agricultural intensification in African Sahel. CABI Agriculture and Bioscience, 3. 63. ISSN 2662-4044 doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s43170-022-00131-5

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Saggioro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9543-6338, Petty, C., Pope, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2936-7052 and Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, (2022) Climate risk assessment for Iraq: The Southern Marshes eco-region and Persian Gulf and Shatt Al-Arab eco-region. Technical Report. Walker Institute, Geneva, Switzerland. pp82. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10572716

Douville, H., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Arias, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1726-6000, Betts, R. A., Caretta, M. A., Cherchi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0178-9264, Mukherji, A., Raghavan, K. and Renwick, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9141-2486 (2022) Water remains a blind spot in climate change policies. PLOS Water, 1 (12). e0000058. ISSN 2767-3219 doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000058

Falloon, P., Bebber, D. P., Dalin, C., Ingram, J., Mitchell, D., Hartley, T. N., Johnes, P. J., Newbold, T., Challinor, A. J., Finch, J., Galdos, M. V., Petty, C., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Bhunnoo, R., Pope, E., Enow, A., Borrion, A., Waterson, A., MacNeill, K. and Houldcroft, A. (2022) What do changing weather and climate shocks and stresses mean for the UK food system? Environmental Research Letters, 17 (5). 051001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac68f9

Harris, B. L., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2022) A moist available potential energy budget for an axisymmetric tropical cyclone. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79 (10). pp. 2493-2513. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-22-0040.1

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J., Blunden, J. and Boyer, T., eds. (2022) Upper Tropospheric Humidity. State of the Climate in 2021. 103 (8). Report. American Meteorological Society, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (S54-S55)

Lauritzen, P. H., Kevlahan, N. K.- R., Toniazzo, T., Eldred, C., Dubos, T., Gassmann, A., Larson, V. E., Jablonowski, C., Guba, O., Shipway, B., Harrop, B. E., Lemarié, F., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Herrington, A. R., Large, W., Rash, P. J., Donahue, A. S., Wan, H., Conley, A. and Bacmeister, J. T. (2022) Reconciling and improving formulations for thermodynamics and conservation principles in Earth System Models (ESMs). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14 (9). e2022MS003117. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003117

Mahmoud, S. H., Gan, T. Y., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Li, J. and Funk, C. (2022) Worsening drought of Nile basin under shift in atmospheric circulation, stronger ENSO and Indian Ocean dipole. Scientific Reports, 12. 8049. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12008-8

Mitheu, F., Petty, C., Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Butsatsa, J. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2022) Identifying the barriers and opportunities in the provision and use of weather and climate information for flood risk preparedness: the case of Katakwi District, Uganda. Frontiers in climate, 4. 908662. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.908662

Osso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5653-4886, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Maraun, D. (2022) Emerging new climate extremes over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 487-501. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05917-3

Petty, C., Ngoleka, S., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Achiro, E., Acidri, J., Ainslie, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7549-7643, Owuor, J. and Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 (2022) Adaptation planning: an integrated approach to understanding vulnerability in the Lake Victoria Basin. Frontiers in Climate, 3. 782534. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.782534 (Part of Research Topic "From observations to predictions and projections: opportunities and challenges for climate risk assessment and management in sub-Saharan Africa". ISBN: 9782832508855.)

Peña‐Angulo, D., Vicente‐Serrano, S. M., Domínguez‐Castro, F., Lorenzo‐Lacruz, J., Murphy, C., Hannaford, J., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Tramblay, Y., Reig‐Gracia, F. and El Kenawy, A. (2022) The complex and spatially diverse patterns of hydrological droughts across Europe. Water Resources Research, 58 (4). e2022WR031976. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR031976

Xie, X., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146 and Morrison, W. (2022) Impact of inter-building longwave radiative exchanges on building energy performance and indoor overheating. Building and Environment, 209. 108628. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2021.108628

2021

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) How and why Earth's climate is changing. In: Weather - A force of nature: Spectacular images from weather photographer of the year. Natural History Museum, London, England, pp. 6-7, pp. 192. ISBN 9780565095253

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850 (2021) IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 1-2. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.001

Arias, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Coppola, E., Jones, R. G., Krinner, G., Marotzke, J., Naik, V., Palmer, M. D., Plattner, G.-K., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Sillmann, J., Storelvmo, T., Thorne, P. W., Trewin, B., Rao, K. A., Adhikary, B., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Armour, K., Bala, G., Barimalala, R., Berger, S., Canadell, J. G., Cassou, C., Cherchi, A., Collins, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Collins, W. D., Connors, S. L., Corti, S., Cruz, F., Dentener, F. J., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Niang, A. D., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dosio, A., Douville, H., Engelbrecht, F., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P., Goldfarb, L., Gorodetskaya, I., Gutierrez, J. M., Hamdi, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hewitt, H. T., Hope, P., Islam, A. S., Jones, C., Kaufman, D. S., Kopp, R. E., Kosaka, Y., Kossin, J., Krakovska, S., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Mauritsen, T., Maycock, T. K., Meinshausen, M., Min, S.-K., Monteiro, P. M. S., Ngo-Duc, T., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Pirani, A., Raghavan, K., Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Ruiz, L., Sallée, J.-B., Samset, B. H., Sathyendranath, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Sörensson, A. A., Szopa, S., Takayabu, I., Tréguier, A.-M., van den Hurk, B., Vautard, R., von Schuckmann, K., Zaehle, S., Zhang, X. and Zickfeld., K. (2021) Technical summary. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group. Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.002

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Freeman, A. and Gazzard, R. (2021) The effect of climate change on indicators of fire danger in the UK. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (4). 044027. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd9f2

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Freeman, A. (2021) The effect of climate change on agro-climatic indicators in the UK. Climatic Change, 165. 40. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03054-8

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Kay, A. L., Freeman, A., Rudd, A. C. and Lowe, J. A. (2021) Changing climate risk in the UK: a multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators. Climate Risk Management, 31. 100265. ISSN 2212-0963 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265

Brimicombe, C., Di Napoli, C., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Pappenberger, F., Petty, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2021) Borderless heat hazards with bordered impacts. Earth's Future, 9 (9). e2021EF002064. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002064

Brimicombe, C., Porter, J. J., Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2021) Heatwaves: an invisible risk in UK policy and research. Environmental Science & Policy, 116. pp. 1-7. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.021

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Plumpton, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C., (2021) NIMFRU briefing note: improving disaster response through a Livelihood Impact Based (LIMB) Flood Forecasting System. Technical Report. Zenodo

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Plumpton, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C., (2021) Reducing the cost and impact of disasters: National-scale Impact Based Forecasting of Flood Risk for Uganda. Technical Report. CERN, Geneva. pp5.

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Plumpton, H. (2021) Future climate of Africa. In: Nuttall, P. (ed.) Climate, Ticks and Disease. CABI Climate Change Series. CAB International, UK. ISBN 9781789249637

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C. and Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 (2021) Supporting climate-resilient planning at national and district levels: a pathway to multi-stakeholder decision-making in Uganda. In: Conway, D. and Vincent, K. (eds.) Climate Risk in Africa: Adaptation and Resilience. Palgrave-Macmillan, pp. 131-145. ISBN 9783030611590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61160-6_8

Daron, J., Allen, M., Bailey, M., Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Costella, C., Fournier, N., Graham, R., Hall, K., Kane, C., Lele, I., Petty, C., Pinder, N., Pirret, J., Stacey, J. and Ticehurst, H. (2021) Integrating seasonal climate forecasts into adaptive social protection in the Sahel. Climate and Development, 13 (6). pp. 543-550. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1825920

Dennehy, Z., Bilsborrow, J., Konyves, K., David, J. and Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 (2021) Dating daffodils to save species. In: Daffodil, Snowdrop and Tulip Yearbook. Royal Horticultural Society, pp. 17-19. ISBN 9780201379624

Douville, H., Raghavan, K., Renwick, J., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Arias, P. A., Barlow, M., Cerezo-Mota, R., Cherchi, A., Gan, T. Y., Gergis, J., Jiang, D., Khan, A., Mba, W. P., Rosenfeld, D., Tierney, J. and Zolina, O. (2021) Water cycle changes. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonno, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to 45 the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1055-1210. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.010

Fowler, H. J., Lenderink, G., Prein, A. F., Westra, S., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Ban, N., Barbero, R., Berg, P., Blenkinsop, S., Do, H. X., Guerreiro, S. B., Haerter, J. O., Kendon, E., Lewis, E., Schaer, C., Sharma, A., Villarini, G., Wasko, C. and Zhang, X. (2021) Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2. pp. 107-122. ISSN 2662-138X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-00128-6

Gulev, S. K., Thorne, P. W., Ahn, J., Dentener, F. J., Domingues, C. M., Gerland, S., Gong, D., Kaufman, D. S., Nnamchi, H. C., Quaas, J., Rivera, J. A., Sathyendranath, S., Smith, S. L., Trewin, B., von Schuckmann, K., Vose, R. S., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2021) Changing state of the climate system. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 287-422. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.004

Hinkel, J., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Todman, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-294X, Fairgreave, R., Plumpton, H., Shepherd, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Petty, C. and Acidri, J. (2021) Policy, governance and institutions for reducing and managing losses and damages - decision making under uncertainty. In: Buckle, S., Lamhauge, N., Rocha, M., Stadler, B. and Chhun, B. (eds.) Managing climate risks, facing up to losses and damages. OECD Publishing, Paris, pp. 185-238. ISBN 9789264344396 doi: https://doi.org/10.1787/55ea1cc9-en

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 (2021) Global heat balance and heat uptake in potential temperature coordinates. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2021-2035. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05832-7

Liu, F., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Li, Y., Zheng, X., Zhang, C. and Qian, H. (2021) Revisiting physical distancing threshold in indoor environment using infection-risk-based modeling. Environment International, 153. 106542. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2021.106542

Liu, F., Qian, H., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Zheng, X. (2021) The impact of indoor thermal stratification on the dispersion of human speech droplets. Indoor Air, 31 (2). pp. 369-382. ISSN 1600-0668 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ina.12737

Seneviratne, S. I., Zhang, X., Adnan, M., Badi, W., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Ghosh, S., Iskandar, I., Kossin, J., Lewis, S., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Satoh, M., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Wehner, M., Zhou, B. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1513-1766. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2021) Spiciness theory revisited, with new views on neutral density, orthogonality and passiveness. Ocean Science, 17 (1). pp. 203-219. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-203-2021

Titley, H. A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Harrigan, S., Pappenberger, F., Prudhomme, C., Robbins, J. C., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Zsoter, E. (2021) Key factors influencing the severity of fluvial flood hazard from tropical cyclones. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (7). pp. 1801-1817. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0250.1

Urban, A., Di Napoli, C. D., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Kyselý, J., Pappenberger, F., Sera, F., Schneider, R., Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Acquaotta, F., Ragettli, M. S., Íñiguez, C., Tobias, A., Indermitte, E., Orru, H., Jaakkola, J. J. K., Ryti, N. R. I., Pascal, M., Huber, V., Schneider, A., de Donato, F., Michelozzi, P. and Gasparrini, A. (2021) Evaluation of the ERA5 reanalysis-based Universal Thermal Climate Index on mortality data in Europe. Environmental Research, 198. 111227. ISSN 0013-9351 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2021.111227

Yang, X., Yang, H., Ou, C., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Hang, J. (2021) Airborne transmission of pathogen-laden expiratory droplets in open outdoor space. Science of the Total Environment, 773. 145537. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145537

Yeh, S.-W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4549-1686, Song, S.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9447-1158, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, An, S.-I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-429X and Shin, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3199-7646 (2021) Contrasting response of hydrological cycle over land and ocean to a changing CO2 pathway. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 53. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00206-6

Young, H. R., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Acidri, J., Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C., Seaman, J. and Todman, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-294X (2021) Storylines for decision-making: climate and food security in Namibia. Climate and Development, 13 (6). pp. 515-528. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1808438

2020

Allan, D. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2020) Seasonal changes in the North Atlantic cold anomaly: the influence of cold surface waters from coastal Greenland and warming trends associated with variations in subarctic sea ice cover. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (12). pp. 9040-9052. ISSN 2169-9275 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015379

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H. J. and Champion, A. J. (2020) Atmospheric precursors for intense summer rainfall over the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 40 (8). pp. 3849-3867. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6431

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L. S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zolina, O. (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472 (1). pp. 49-75. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14337

Allison, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9271-1197, Palmer, M. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7422-198X, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hermanson, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1062-6731, Liu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6663-452X and Smith, D. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5708-694X (2020) Observations of planetary heating since the 1980s from multiple independent datasets. Environmental Research Communications, 2 (10). p. 101001. ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/abbb39

Bodai, T., Drótos, G., Herein, M., Lunkeit, F. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2020) The forced response of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation-Indian monsoon teleconnection in ensembles of Earth System Models. Journal of Climate, 33. pp. 2163-2182. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0341.1

Bouwer, R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Lapworth, D., Mcdonald, D., Marsham, J., Mittal, N., Petty, C., Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 and Way, C., (2020) Summary of FCFA work in Kenya. Report. Future Climate for Africa

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695 and Myers, J. (2020) Unlocking Africa's groundwater potential. [Video]

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Fairgreave, R. and Danert, K. (2020) Adapting for tomorrow’s environment - innovative, interdisciplinary research work supporting the development of climate resilient societies at the Walker Institute. [Video]

Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Myers, J., (2020) 'BRAVE' groundwater futures for Burkina Faso: critical planning for the water sector. Report. Walker Institute pp23. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3746621

Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Clegg, D. and Petty, C., (2020) The integrated database for African policymakers. Report. Walker Institute pp3. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3701722

Fazey, I., Schapke, N., Caniglia, G., Hodgson, A., Kendrick, I., Lyon, C., Page, G., Patterson, J., Reidy, C., Strasser, T., Verveen, S., Adams, D., Goldstein, B., Klaes, M., Leicester, G., Linyard, A., McCurdy, A., Ryan, P., Sharpe, B., Silvestri, G., Yansyah Abdurrahim, A., Abson, D., Samson Adetunji, O., Aldunce, P., Alvarez-Pereirax, C., Marie Amparo, J., Amundsen, H., Anderson, L., Andersson, L., Asquith, M., Augenstein, K., Barrie, J., Bent, D., Bentz, J., Bergsten, A., Berzonsky, C., Bina, O., Blackstock, K., Boehnert, J., Bradbury, H., Brand, C., Bohme, J., Mille Bojer, M., Carmen, E., Charli-Joseph, L., Choudhury, S., Chunhachoti-ananta, S., Cockburn, J., Colvin, J., Connon, I., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Cox, R., Cradock-Henry, N., Cramer, L., Cremaschi, A., Dannevig, H., Day, C., de Lima Hutchison, C., de Vrieze, A., Desai, V., Dolley, J., Duckett, D., Durrant, R., Egermann, M., Elsner, E., Fremantle, C., Fullwood-Thomas, J., Galafassi, D., Gobby, J., Golland, A., Kirana Gonz-lez-Padron, S., Gram-Hanssen, I., Grandin, J., Grenni, S., Gunnell, J., Gusmao, F., Hamann, M., Harding, B., Harper, G., Hesselgren, M., Hestad, D., Heykoop, C., Holm, J., Holstead, K., Hoolohan, C., Horcea-Milcu, A.-I., Geertruida Horlings, L., Howden, S., Angharad Howell, R., Insia Huque, S., Canedo, M., Yvonne Iro, C., Ives, C., John, B., Joshi, R., Juarez-Bourke, S., Wafula Juma, D., Karlsen, B. C., Kliem, L., Kloy, A., Kuenkel, P., Kunze, I., Lam, D., Lang, D., Larkin, A., Light, A., Luederitz, C., Luthe, T., Maguire, C., Mahecha-Groot, A.-M., Malcolm, J., Marshall, F., Maru, Y., McLachlan, C., Mmbando, P., Mohapatra, S., Moore, M.-L., Moriggi, A., Morley-Fletcher, M., Moser, S., Mueller, K. M., Mukute, M., Mühlemeier, S., Otto Naess, L., Nieto-Romero, M., Novo, P., O'Brien, K., O'Connell, D., O'Donnell, K., Olsson, P., Pearson, K. R., Pereira, L., Petridis, P., Peukert, D., Phear, N., Ren.e Pisters, S., Polsky, M., Pound, D., Preiser, R., Rahman, M. S., Reed, M., Revell, P., Rodriguez, I., Rogers, B. C., Rohr, J., Rosenberg, M. N., Ross, H., Russell, S., Ryan, M., Saha, P., Schleicher, K., Schneider, F., Scoville-Simonds, M., Searle, B., Sebhatu, S. P., Sesana, E., Silverman, H., Singh, C., Sterling, E., Stewart, S.-J., Tabara, D., Taylor, D., Thornton, P., Tribaldos, T. M., Tschakert, P., Uribe-Calvo, N., Waddell, S., Waddock, S., van der Merwe, L., van Mierlo, B., van Zwanenberg, P., Velarde, S. J., Washbourn, C.-L., Waylen, K., Weiser, A., Wight, I., Williams, S., Woods, M., Wolstenholme, R., Wright, N., Wunder, S., Wyllie, A. and Young, H. R. (2020) Transforming knowledge systems for life on Earth: visions of future systems and how to get there. Energy Research and Social Science, 70. 101724. ISSN 2214-6296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101724

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2020) Upper tropospheric humidity. In: Blunden, J. and Arndt, D. S. (eds.) State of the Climate in 2019. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101 (8). American Meteorological Society, S45-S46. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2020BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Liu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6663-452X, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Mayer, M., Hyder, P., Desbruyères, D., Cheng, L., Xu, J., Xu, F. and Zhang, Y. (2020) Variability in the global energy budget and transports 1985–2017. Climate Dynamics, 55. pp. 3381-3396. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05451-8

Liu, F., Qian, H., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Wang, S. and Zheng, X. (2020) A laboratory study of the expiratory airflow and particle dispersion in the stratified indoor environment. Building and Environment, 180. 106988. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2020.106988

Loeb, N. G., Wang, H., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Andrews, T., Armour, K., Cole, J. N.S., Dufresne, J.‐L., Forster, P., Gettelman, A., Guo, H., Mauritsen, T., Ming, Y., Paynter, D., Proistosescu, C., Stuecker, M. F., Willén, U. and Wyser, K. (2020) New generation of climate models track recent unprecedented changes in Earth's radiation budget observed by CERES. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (5). e2019GL086705. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086705

Meng, X., Zhou, J., Zhang, X., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Gong, H. and Gan, T. (2020) Optimization of the thermal environment of a small-scale data center in China. Energy, 196. 117080. ISSN 0360-5442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.117080

Plumpton, H. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2020) BRAVE: building understanding of climate variability into planning of groundwater supplies from low storage aquifers in Africa. In: Supporting the COP26 priorities through research on international development & climate change UK-funded research project showcase. UK Collaborative on Development Research (UKCDR), pp. 14-16.

Plumpton, H. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Furey, S., ed. (2020) Groundwater country profiles for seven UpGro consortium project countries in Africa. UpGro, https://upgro.org/. (UPGro (2020) “African Groundwater 2020: Online Final Report of the Unlocking the Potential of Groundwater for the Poor Programme (2013-2020), http://www.upgro.org)

Schwarz, M., Folini, D., Yang, S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Wild, M. (2020) Changes in atmospheric shortwave absorption as important driver of dimming and brightening. Nature Geoscience, 13 (2). pp. 110-115. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0528-y

Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604, (2020) Participatory action research using visual methods. Technical Report. Walker Institute doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3980769

Xiaoxiong, X., Sahin, O., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Yao, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4269-7224 (2020) Impact of neighbourhood-scale climate characteristics on building heating demand and night ventilation cooling potential. Renewable Energy, 150. pp. 943-956. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.11.148

Xiong, W. and Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411 (2020) Better agronomic management increases climate resilience of maize to drought in Tanzania. Atmoshpere, 11 (9). 982. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11090982

Young, H., Plumpton, H., Miret Barrio, J. A., Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, C., Todman, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-294X, O'Sullivan, D. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4889-056X, Wagstaff, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9400-8641, Mason, O., Shepherd, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Saabwe, C. and Talwisa, M., (2020) Sweet potato production in Uganda in a changing climate: what is the role for fertilisers. Working Paper. Walker Institute pp8. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3955098

Young, H. R., Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Todman, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1232-294X, Miret Barrio, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Petty, C., O'Sullivan, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4889-056X, Wagstaff, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9400-8641, Mason, O. and Talwisa, M., (2020) Assessing the impact of climate change on sweet potato in Uganda. Report. Walker Institute pp4. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3836642

Zhang, Y., Yang, X., Yang, H., Zhang, K., Wang, X., Hang, J., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Zhou, S. (2020) Numerical investigations of reactive pollutant dispersion and personal exposure in 3D urban-like models. Building and Environment, 169. 106569. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2019.106569

2019

Arnall, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6218-5926 (2019) Resettlement as climate change adaptation: what can be learned from state-led relocation in rural Africa and Asia? Climate and Development, 11 (3). pp. 253-263. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2018.1442799

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Bernie, D. J., Nicholls, R., Brown, S., Challinor, A. and Osborn, T. (2019) The global and regional impacts of climate change under representative concentration pathway forcings and shared socioeconomic pathway socioeconomic scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab35a6

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Challinor, A. J. and Osborn, T. J. (2019) Global and regional impacts of climate change at different levels of global temperature increase. Climatic Change, 155 (3). pp. 377-391. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02464-z

Asare, K., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Tarhule, A., Osbahr, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0130-2313, Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695 and Myers, J. (2019) RAINWATCH handbook: a step by step guide to using RAINWATCH, version 1.0. Zenodo - CERN Repository, pp43. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3366368

Burgin, L., Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604, Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Rowell, D., Marsham, J., Semazzi, F., Sabiti, G., Ainslie, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7549-7643, Araujo, J., Ascott, M., Clegg, D., Clenaghan, A., Lapworth, D., Lwiza, K., Macdonald, D., Petty, C. and Wainwright, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, (2019) Possible futures for rural East Africa under a changing climate: HyCRISTAL climate narrative rural infographic and Brief. Technical Report. Zenodo - CERN Repository doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3257288

Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Davis, H., Myers, J., Petty, C., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Asalu, A. and Plumpton, H. (2019) FAMVAC and Listening Group facilitation handbook. NIFMRU, pp43. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3369280

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Parker, D. J., Diop-Kane, M., Fink, A. H., Lafore, J.-P., Laing, A., Afiesimama, E., Caughey, J., Diongue-Niang, A., Hamza, I., Harou, A., Kassimou, A., Lamb, P., Lamptey, B., Mumba, Z., Nnodu, I., Omotosho, J., Palmer, S., Parrish, P., Razafindrakoto, L.-G., Thiaw, W., Thorncroft, C. and Tompkins, A. (2019) The first Forecasters Handbook for West Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (11). pp. 2343-2351. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0273.1

Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Macdonald, D. M. J., Osbahr, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0130-2313, Ciampi, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1240-7695, Myers, J., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Black, E. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Ascott, M., Cook, P., Davis, H., Clark, H., Talens, C., Gahi, N., Haruna, S. and Petty, E.C., (2019) Possible futures for groundwater in Burkina Faso under a changing climate. Report. Zenodo doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3533108

Duan, Q., Pappenberger, F., Wood, A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Schaake, J. C. (2019) Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. Springer. ISBN 9783642399268

Duan, S., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Li, Y. and Yang, X. (2019) The impact of building operations on urban heat/cool islands under urban densification: a comparison between naturally-ventilated and air-conditioned buildings. Applied Energy, 235. pp. 129-138. ISSN 0306-2619 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.108

Finney, D., Marsham, J., Rowell, D., Way, C., Evans, B., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Houghton-Carr, H., Mittal, N., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Anande, D., Anyah, R., Ascott, M., Black, E., Boorman, P., Booth, B., Bornemann, J., Burgin, L., Evans, J., Gudoshava, M., Kendon, E., Kisembe, J., Kondowe, A., Lapworth, D., Lopez-Gonzalez, G., Lwiza, K., Macdonald, D., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Misiani, H., Nakabugo, R., Sabiiti, G., Sangalugembe, C., Scanell, C., Segele, Z., Semazzi, F., Smith, K. R., Tadege, A., Tesfaye, K., Waniha, P., Wainwright, C., Wilby, R., Winterbourn, B. and Xia, S., (2019) Scientific understanding of East African climate change from the HyCRISTAL project. Technical Report. White Rose Research Online doi: https://doi.org/10.5518/100/19

Fitton, N., Alexander, P., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bajzelj, B., Calvin, K., Doelman, J., Gerber, J. S., Havlik, P., Hasegawa, T., Herrero, M., Krisztin, T., van Meijl, H., Powell, T., Sands, R., Stehfest, E., West, P. C. and Smith, P. (2019) The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity. Global Environmental Change, 58. 101944. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101944

Hochet, A. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2019) Comments on ‘‘Diathermal heat transport in a global ocean model’’. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 49 (8). pp. 2189-2193. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-19-0055.1

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2019) Isoneutral control of effective diapycnal mixing in numerical ocean models with neutral rotated diffusion tensors. Ocean Science, 15. pp. 21-23. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-21-2019

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2019) Upper tropospheric humidity [in "State of the Climate 2018"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9). American Meteorological Society, pp. 1625-1636. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Lin, Y., Chen, G., Chen, T., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Yuan, C., Gao, P. and Hang, J. (2019) The influence of advertisement boards, street and source layouts on CO dispersion and building intake fraction in three-dimensional urban-like models. Building and Environment, 150. pp. 297-321. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2019.01.012

Mechler, R., Calliari, E., Bouwer, L. M., Schinko, T., Surminski, S., Linnerooth-Bayer, J., Aerts, J., Botzen, W., Boyd, E., Deckard, N. D., Fuglestvedt, J. S., González-Eguino, M., Haasnoot, M., Handmer, J., Haque, M., Heslin, A., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Huggel, C., Huq, S., James, R., Jones, R. G., Juhola, S., Keating, A., Kienberger, S., Kreft, S., Kuik, O., Landauer, M., Laurien, F., Lawrence, J., Lopez, A., Liu, W., Magnuszewsk, P., Markandya, A., Mayer, B., McCallum, I., McQuistan, C., Meyer, L., Mintz-Woo, K., Montero-Colbert, A., Mysiak, J., Nalau, J., Noy, I., Oakes, R., Otto, F. E. L., Pervin, M., Roberts, E., Schäfer, L., Scussolini, P., Serdeczny, O., de Sherbinin, A., Simlinger, F., Sitati, A., Sultana, S., Young, H. R., van der Geest, K., van den Homberg, M., Wallimann-Helmer, I., Warner, K. and Zommers, Z. (2019) Science for loss and damage. Findings and propositions. In: Mechler, R., Bouwer, L. M., Schinko, T., Surminski, S. and Linnerooth-Bayer, J. (eds.) Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Concepts, Methods and Policy Options. Climate Risk Management, Policy and Governance (CRMPG). Springer, pp. 3-37. ISBN 9783319720265 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-72026-5_1

Mei, S.-J., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Zhao, F.-Y. and Wang, H.-Q. (2019) Street canyon ventilation and airborne pollution dispersion: 2-D versus 3-D CFD simulations. Sustainable Cities and Society, 50. 101700. ISSN 2210-6707 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2019.101700

Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Baugh, C. A. (2019) Cartograms for use in forecasting weather driven natural hazards. The Cartographic Journal, 56 (2). pp. 134-145. ISSN 0008-7041 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00087041.2018.1534358

Samuel, K. L. H. and Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2019) Disaster risk reduction, early warning systems and global health: critiquing the current systems-based approach. In: Samuel, K. L. H., Aronsson-Storrier, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6817-7943 and Nakjavani Bookmiller, K. (eds.) The Cambridge Handbook of Disaster Risk Reduction and International Law. Cambridge University Press, pp. 373-404. ISBN 9781108474122

Shi, L., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Matthews, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7408-6885, Wang, Z., Li, Y. and Liu, J. (2019) Impacts of urban microclimate on summertime sensible and latent energy demand for cooling in residential buildings of Hong Kong. Energy, 189. 116208. ISSN 0360-5442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.116208

Tong, L., Gao, J., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Wu, L., Zeng, L., Liu, G. and Wang, Y. (2019) A novel flow-guide device for uniform exhaust in a central air exhaust ventilation system. Building and Environment, 149. pp. 134-145. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2018.12.007

Wu, Q., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Liu, J. (2019) Research of near-wall thermodynamic state for indoor airflow over the vertical heating unit using TIV/PIV/RTD. Building and Environment, 165. 106406. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2019.106406

Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C., (2019) Climate and health in Africa: research and policy needs. Walker Institute Briefing Notes (WIBN). BN1117/01. Technical Report. Walker Institute, Reading, UK. pp11. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3510170

Young, H. R., Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Gaye, A. T. and Boyd, E. (2019) Event attribution science in adaptation decision-making: the context of extreme rainfall in urban Senegal. Climate and Development, 11 (9). pp. 812-824. ISSN 1756-5537 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2019.1571401

2018

Acidri, J., Petty, E., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Clegg, D., Ainslie, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7549-7643, Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604, Talwisa, M. and Clenaghan, A., (2018) Uganda - Synthesising Evidence for Targeted National Responses to Climate Change. Walker Briefing Note (WIBN). 0218/01. Report. Zenodo (CERN), Switzerland. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3510110

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2018) Overview of climate models and tropical extremes. In: Vuruputur, V., Sukhatme, J., Murtugudde, R. and Roca, R. (eds.) Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends. Elsevier, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9780128092484

Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3244-2578, Krzeminski, B. and Pappenberger, F. (2018) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22 (4). pp. 2057-2072. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Nicholls, R., (2018) The potential impacts of climate change: a global and regional assessment to 2040. Report. WISER

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Qingchen, C., Ying, X., Junfeng, L., Tong, J., Guangsheng, Z., Kexiu, L., Brown, S., Challinor, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Koehler, A.-K., Nicholls, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Rensheng, C., Xiaomin, L. and Wentao, W. (2018) Direct risks of climate change. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 58-97.

Bailey, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Xiangwan, D., Yanhua, L., Jiashuang, Y. and Chao, C. (2018) Introduction. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 23-28.

Bosela, M., Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, Castagneri, D., Sedmak, R., Biber, P., Carrer, M., Konopka, B., Nola, P., Nagel, T. A., Popa, I., Roibu, C. C., Svoboda, M., Trotsiuk, V. and Buntgen, U. (2018) Contrasting effects of environmental change factors on the radial growth of co-occurring European beech and fir trees across Europe. Science of the Total Environment, 615. pp. 1460-1469. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.092

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Tarhule, A., eds. (2018) African rainfall variability: science and society. Atmposhere (Special Issue). MDPI.

De Cruz, L., Schubert, S., Demaeyer, J., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Vannitsem, S. (2018) Exploring the Lyapunov instability properties of high-dimensional atmospheric and climate models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25 (2). pp. 387-412. ISSN 1607-7946 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-387-2018

Emerton, R., Zsoter, E., Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Muraro, D., Prudhomme, C., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Salamon, P. and Pappenberger, F. (2018) Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 11. pp. 3327-3346. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018

Gomez-Leal, I., Kaltenegger, L., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Lunkeit, F. (2018) Climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide and moist greenhouse threshold of earth-like planets under an increasing solar forcing. The Astrophysical Journal, 869 (2). 129. ISSN 0004-637X doi: https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/aaea5f

Harris, B. L. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2018) Assessment of algorithms for computing moist available potential energy. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (714). pp. 1501-1510. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3297

Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-Romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. and Thielen-del Pozo, J. (2018) Global flood forecasting for averting disasters worldwide. In: Schumann, G. J.-P., Bates, P. D., Apel, H. and Aronica, G. T. (eds.) Global Flood Hazard: Applications in Modeling, Mapping, and Forecasting. Geophysical Monograph Series (233). Wiley, pp. 205-228. ISBN 9781119217862 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119217886.ch12

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2018) Upper tropospheric humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2017"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). American Meteorological Society, S27-S28. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2018bamsstateoftheclimate.1

Jones, L., Harvey, B., Cochrane, L., Cantin, B., Conway, D., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, De Souza, K. and Kirbyshire, A. (2018) Designing the next generation of climate adaptation research for development. Regional Environmental Change, 18 (1). pp. 297-304. ISSN 1436-378X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1254-x

Liang, M., Czaja, A., Graversen, R. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2018) Poleward energy transport: is the standard definition physically relevant at all time scales? Climate Dynamics, 50 (5-6). pp. 1785-1797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3722-x

Liu, S., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Zhang, k. and Hang, J. (2018) Natural ventilation of a small-scale road tunnel by wind catchers: a CFD simulation study. Atmosphere, 9 (10). 411. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9100411

O'Brien, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9527-4076 (2018) In and around The Bay: water, fish, infrastructure. Film Studies, 19 (1). pp. 20-33. ISSN 1469-0314 doi: https://doi.org/10.7227/FS.19.0003

Plumpton, H., Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Finlayson, B. and Petty, E., (2018) Middle East and North Africa regional synthesis report - climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Plumpton, H., Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, E. and Finlayson, B., (2018) East Africa regional synthesis report - climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Plumpton, H., Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, E. and Finlayson, B., (2018) West Africa regional synthesis report (part I) - DfID climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Sebastiani, F., Campbell, R. A., Rastogi, K. and Pfrang, C. (2018) Night-time oxidation of surfactants at the air–water interface: effects of chain length, head group and saturation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18 (5). pp. 3249-3268. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-3249-2018

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Afzal, M., Severskiy, I., Usmanova, Z., Saidaliyeva, Z., Kapitsa, V., Kazastkin, N. and Dolgikh, S. (2018) Changes in the mountain river discharge in the northern Tien Shan since the mid-20th Century: results from the analysis of a homogeneous daily streamflow data set from seven catchments. Journal of Hydrology, 564. pp. 1133-1152. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.08.001

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2018) Local available energetics of multicomponent compressible stratified fluids. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 842. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2018.196

Tantet, A., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Dijkstra, H. A. (2018) Resonances in a chaotic attractor crisis of the Lorenz Flow. Journal of Statistical Physics, 170 (3). pp. 584-616. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-017-1938-0

Tantet, A., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Lunkeit, F. and Dijkstra, H. A. (2018) Crisis of the chaotic attractor of a climate model: a transfer operator approach. Nonlinearity, 31 (5). 2221. ISSN 1361-6544 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/aaaf42

Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Chavez, E. and Boogaard, H. (2018) Agro-meteorological risks to maize production in Tanzania: sensitivity of an adapted water requirements satisfaction index (WRSI) model to rainfall. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 73. pp. 77-87. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2018.04.008

Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2018) Evaluating a stochastic parametrization for a fast--slow system using the Wasserstein distance. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25 (2). pp. 413-427. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-413-2018

Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2018) A proof of concept for scale-adaptive parameterizations: the case of the Lorenz ’96 model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 63-75. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3184

Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 (2018) Movie making as critical pedagogy: conscientization through visual storytelling. Palgrave Studies in Communication for Social Change. Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 9783319969251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96926-8

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Berry, H., Bouley, T., Boykoff, M., Byass, P., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Chambers, J., Daly, M., Dasandi, N., Davies, M., Depoux, A., Dominguez-Salas, P., Drummond, P., Ebi, K. L., Ekins, P., Montoya, L. F., Fischer, H., Georgeson, L., Grace, D., Graham, H., Hamilton, I., Hartinger, S., Hess, J., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lemke, B., Liang, L., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Sewe, M. O., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., Mikhaylov, S. J., Milner, J., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Murray, K., Nilsson, M., Neville, T., Oreszczyn, T., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Pye, S., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4950-0183, Rocklöv, J., Saxer, O., Schütte, S., Semenza, J. C., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Steinbach, R., Tabatabaei, M., Tomei, J., Trinanes, J., Wheeler, N., Wilkinson, P., Gong, P., Montgomery, H. and Costello, A. (2018) The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. The Lancet, 392 (10163). pp. 2479-2514. ISSN 01406736 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32594-7

Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, E. and Saley Bana, Z., (2018) West Africa regional climate risk synthesis (extended) - DfID climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Šimanský, V. and Lukáč, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2018) Soil structure after 18 years of long-term different tillage systems and fertilisation in Haplic Luvisol. Soil & Water Research, 13. pp. 140-149. ISSN 1801-5395 doi: https://doi.org/10.17221/38/2017-SWR

2017

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Decadal climate variability and the global energy balance. Past Global Changes, 25 (1). pp. 20-24. ISSN 2411-605X doi: https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.20

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Global energy budget: elusive origin of warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 7 (5). pp. 316-317. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3282

Arnal, L., Wood, A. W., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Pappenberger, F. (2017) An efficient approach for estimating streamflow forecast skill elasticity. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18 (6). pp. 1715-1729. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0259.1

Barrett, T., Feola, G., Krylova, V. and Khusnitdinova, M. (2017) The application of Rapid Appraisal of Agricultural Innovation Systems (RAAIS) to agricultural adaptation to climate change in Kazakhstan: a critical evaluation. Agricultural Systems, 151. pp. 106-113. ISSN 0308-521X doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2016.11.014

Bee, G., Silacci, P., Ampuero-Kragten, S., Čandek-Potokar, M., Wealleans, A. L., Litten-Brown, J., Salminen, J.-P. and Mueller-Harvey, I. (2017) Hydrolysable tannin-based diet rich in gallotannins has a minimal impact on pig performance but significantly reduces salivary and bulbo-urethral gland size. Animal, 11 (9). pp. 1617-1625. ISSN 1751-7311 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731116002597

Boyd, E., James, R. A., Jones, R. G., Young, H. R. and Otto, F. E. L. (2017) A typology of loss and damage perspectives. Nature Climate Change, 7. pp. 723-729. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3389

Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Drew, D. (2017) Determining the bounds of skilful forecast range for probabilistic prediction of system-wide wind power generation. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 26 (3). pp. 239-252. ISSN 0941-2948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0751

Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, di Baldassarre, G., Landeg, O., Pappenberger, F. and Ramos, M.-H. (2017) Understanding disaster risk: hazard related issues - hydrological risk: flood. In: Poljanšek, K., Marín Ferrer, M., De Groeve, T. and Clark, I. (eds.) Science for Disaster Risk Management 2017: Knowing Better and Losing Less. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, pp. 198-208. ISBN 9789279606793 doi: https://doi.org/10.2788/842809

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Smith, P. J. and Wetterhall, F. (2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system? Environmental Research Letters, 12 (4). 044006. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa625a

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Mumba, Z. and Parker, D. (2017) Synoptic systems. In: Parker, D. J. and Diop-Kane, M. (eds.) Meteorology of tropical West Africa: the Forecasters’ Handbook. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, pp. 40-89. ISBN 9781118391303

Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2017) Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e

Efthimiou, G. C., Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675, Andronopoulos, S., Bartzis, J. G. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2017) A statistical model for the prediction of wind-speed probabilities in the atmospheric surface layer. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 163 (2). pp. 179-201. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-016-0221-2

Emerton, R., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Zsoter, E., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Pappenberger, F. (2017) Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard. Nature Communications, 8. 14796. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14796

Feola, G. (2017) Peasants facing economic, political and climatic changes: adaptation or transformation in the Colombian Andes? University of Reading. (Research brief)

Feola, G. (2017) Adaptive Institutions? Peasant institutions and natural models facing climatic and economic changes in the Colombian Andes. Journal of Rural Studies, 49. pp. 117-127. ISSN 0743-0167 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2016.10.007

Feola, G. and Butt, A. (2017) The diffusion of grassroots innovations for sustainability in Italy and Great Britain: an exploratory spatial data analysis. The Geographical Journal, 183 (1). pp. 16-33. ISSN 1475-4959 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12153

Galfi, V. M., Bodai, T. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2017) Convergence of extreme value statistics in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic atmospheric model. Complexity, 2017. 5340858. ISSN 1076-2787 doi: https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/5340858

Hang, J., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Wang, X., He, L., Wang, B. and Zhu, W. (2017) The influence of street layouts and viaduct settings on daily carbon monoxide exposure and intake fraction in idealized urban canyons. Environmental Pollution, 220 (Part A). pp. 72-86. ISSN 0269-7491 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2016.09.024

Horak, J., Kondrlova, E., Igaz, D., Simansky, V., Felber, R., Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, Balashov, E. and Bushkina, N. (2017) Biochar and biochar with N-fertilizer affect soil N2O emission in Haplic Luvisol. Biologia, 72 (9). pp. 995-1001. ISSN 0006-3088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1515/biolog-2017-0109

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. -S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2017) Upper tropospheric humidity [in “State of the Climate in 2016”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8). S25-S26. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2017BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Kapitsa, V., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Machguth, H., Severskiy, I. and Medeu, A. (2017) Assessment of evolution and risks of glacier lake outbursts in the Djungarskiy Alatau, Central Asia, using Landsat imagery and glacier bed topography modelling. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 17 (10). pp. 1837-1856. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1837-2017

Kelman, I., Upadhyay, H., Simonelli, A. C., Arnall, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6218-5926, Mohan, D., Lingaraj, G. J., Nair, S. and Webersik, C. (2017) Here and now: perceptions of Indian Ocean islanders on the climate change and migration nexus. Geografiska Annaler: Series B Human Geography, 99 (3). pp. 284-303. ISSN 1468-0467 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/04353684.2017.1353888

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Jiang, X., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Waliser, D. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2017) Vertical structure and diabatic processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation. In: Chang, C.-P., Kuo, H.-C., Lau, N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Wheeler, M. C. (eds.) Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast (3rd Edition). World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, New Jersey, pp. 161-172. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/10305

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Martin, G. M. and Moise, A. (2017) ASoP (v1.0): a set of methods for analyzing scales of precipitation in general circulation models. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 57-83. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-57-2017

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657 (2017) Response formulae for n-point correlations in statistical mechanical systems and application to a problem of coarse graining. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical, 50 (35). 355003. ISSN 1751-8113 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/aa812c

Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2017) Soil biodiversity and environmental change in European forests. Central European Forestry Journal, 63 (2-3). 0010. ISSN 2454-0358 doi: https://doi.org/10.1515/forj-2017-0010

Mady, C. and Chettiparamb, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7134-5725 (2017) Planning in the face of ‘deep divisions’: a view from Beirut, Lebanon. Planning Theory, 16 (3). pp. 296-317. ISSN 1741-3052 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/1473095216639087

Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Young, M., Greatrex, H., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Stein, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Nkonde, E., Senkunda, S. and Alcántara, E. M. U. (2017) A new, long-term daily satellite-based rainfall dataset for operational monitoring in Africa. Scientific Data, 4. 170063. ISSN 2052-4463 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.63

Martin, G. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Moise, A. F. (2017) Connecting spatial and temporal scales of tropical precipitation in observations and the MetUM-GA6. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 105-126. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-105-2017

Mitchell, D., AchutaRao, K., Allen, M., Bethke, I., Ciavarella, A., Forster, P., Fuglestvedt, J., Gillett, N., Haustein, K., Ingram, W., Iversen, T., Kharin, V., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Massey, N., Fischer, E., Schleussner, C.-F., Scinocca, J., Seland, Ø., Shiogama, H., Shuckburgh, E., Sparrow, S., Stone, D., Uhe, P., Urs, B., Wallom, D., Wehner, M. and Zaaboul, R. (2017) Half a degree additional warming, prognosis and projected impacts (HAPPI): background and experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (2). pp. 571-583. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-571-2017

Parker, H. R., Boyd, E., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, James, R., Frederike, O. and Myles, A. (2017) Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate. Climate Policy, 17 (4). pp. 533-550. ISSN 1469-3062 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2015.1124750

Parker, H. R., Lott, F. C., Cornforth, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Mitchell, D. M., Sparrow, S. and Wallon, D. (2017) A comparison of model ensembles for attributing 2012 West African rainfall. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (1). 014019. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5386

Rosenzweig, C., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ebi, K. L., Lotze-Campen, H., Raes, F., Rapley, C., Smith, M. S., Cramer, W., Frieler, K., Reyer, C. P. O., Schewe, J., van Vuuren, D. and Warszawski, L. (2017) Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of ISIMIP. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (1). 010301. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/12/1/010301

Sizmur, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9835-7195, McArthur, G., Risk, D., Tordon, R. and O'Driscoll, N. J. (2017) Gaseous mercury flux from salt marshes is mediated by solar radiation and temperature. Atmospheric Environment, 153. pp. 117-125. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.01.024

Skoda, M. W.A., Thomas, B., Hagreen, M., Sebastiani, F. and Pfrang, C. (2017) Simultaneous neutron reflectometry and infrared reflection absorption spectroscopy (IRRAS) study of mixed monolayer reactions at the air–water interface. RSC Advances, 7 (54). pp. 34208-34214. ISSN 2046-2069 doi: https://doi.org/10.1039/c7ra04900e

Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 (2017) Insider Windows in Nepal: a critical pedagogy for environmental communication. In: Milstein, T., Pileggi, M. and Morgan, E. L. (eds.) Environmental Communication Pedagogy and Practice. Routledge, London. ISBN 9781315562148 doi: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315562148

Walters, D., Brooks, M., Boutle, I., Melvin, T., Stratton, R., Vosper, S., Wells, H., Williams, K., Wood, N., Allen, T., Bushell, A., Copsey, D., Earnshaw, P., Edwards, J., Gross, M., Hardiman, S., Harris, C., Heming, J., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Levine, R., Manners, J., Martin, G., Milton, S., Mittermaier, M., Morcrette, C., Riddick, T., Roberts, M., Sanchez, C., Selwood, P., Stirling, A., Smith, C., Suri, D., Tennant, W., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Wilkinson, J., Willett, M., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Xavier, P. (2017) The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 6.0/6.1 and JULES Global Land 6.0/6.1 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (4). pp. 1487-1520. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1487-2017

Williams , A. R., Klaver, E. J., Laan, L. C., Ramsay, A., Fryganas, C., Difborg , R., Kringel , H., Reed, J. D., Mueller-Harvey, I., Skov, S., van Die, I. and Thamsborg, S. M. (2017) Co-operative suppression of inflammatory responses in human dendritic cells by proanthocyanidins and products from the parasitic nematode Trichuris suis. Immunology, 150 (3). pp. 312-328. ISSN 1365-2567 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/imm.12687

2016

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Lavers, D. A. and Champion, A. J. (2016) Diagnosing links between atmospheric moisture and extreme daily precipitation over the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (9). pp. 3191-3206. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4547

Araujo, J., Marsham, J., Rowell, D., Nkulumo, Z., Ainslie, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7549-7643, Clenaghan, A., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, De Giusti, G., Evans, B., Finney, D., Lapworth, D., Macdonald, D., Petty, C., Seaman, J., Semazzi, F. and Way, C., (2016) Africa's climate helping decision-makers make sense of climate information: Burning questions - East African climate variability and change. Future Climate for Africa. Report. Climate Development and Knowledge Network

Arnal, L., Ramos, M.-H., Coughlan de Perez, E., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wetterhall, F., van Andel, S.-J. and Pappenberger, F. (2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic ﬂood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (8). pp. 3109-3128. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2016) The global-scale impacts of climate change: the QUEST-GSI project. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 343-352. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1600-x

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Gosling, S. N. (2016) The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 387-401. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P., Wheeler, T. R. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) The impacts of climate change across the globe: a multi-sectoral assessment. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 457-474. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1281-2

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 475-487. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7

Balan Sarojini, B., Stott, P. A. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2016) Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation. Nature Climate Change, 6 (7). pp. 669-675. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2976

Becerra, R. and Pfrang, C. (2016) Kinetic studies of nitrate radicals: flash photolysis at 193 nm. International Journal of Chemical Kinetics, 48 (12). pp. 806-811. ISSN 1097-4601 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/kin.21035

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Greatrex, H., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 and Young, M. (2016) Incorporating satellite data into weather index-based insurance. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (10). ES203-ES206. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0148.1

Crisp, N. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2016) Climate change and resilience in the Great Lakes region of Africa. In: Crisp, N. (ed.) One World Health: An Overview of Global Health. CRC Press, London, pp. 107-109. ISBN 9781498739412

DeMott, C. A., Benedict, J. J., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Randall, D. A. (2016) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the MJO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (14). pp. 8350-8373. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025098

Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2016) The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (19). pp. 11405-11424. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025428

Edinburgh, T. and Day, J. J. (2016) Estimating the extent of Antarctic summer sea ice during the Heroic Age of Antarctic Exploration. The Cryosphere, 10 (6). pp. 2721-2730. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2721-2016

Emerton, R. E., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Pappenberger, F., Pagano, T. C., Weerts, A. H., Wood, A. W., Salamon, P., Brown, J. D., Hjerdt, N., Donnelly, C., Baugh, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2016) Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 3 (3). pp. 391-418. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1137

Evans, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270 (2016) Critical reflections on participatory dissemination: coproducing research messages with young people. In: Evans, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270, Holt, L. and Skelton, T. (eds.) Methodological Approaches. Geographies of children and young people, 2. Springer, Basel, pp. 67-96. ISBN 9789814585897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-4585-89-7_27-1

Evans, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270 (2016) Gendered struggles over land: shifting inheritance practices among the Serer in rural Senegal. Gender, Place and Culture, 23 (9). pp. 1360-1375. ISSN 1360-0524 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/0966369X.2016.1160872

Gosling, S. N. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2016) A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 371-385. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0853-x

Goulart, E. V., Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2016) Spatial and temporal variability of the concentration field from localized releases in a regular building array. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 159 (2). pp. 241-257. ISSN 1573-1472 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-016-0126-0

Hansen, T. V. A., Fryganas, C., Acevedo, N., Carballo, L. R., Thamsborg, S. M., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Williams, A. R. (2016) Proanthocyanidins inhibit Ascaris suum glutathione-S-transferase activity and increase susceptibility of larvae to levamisole and ivermectin in vitro. Parasitology International, 65 (4). pp. 336-339. ISSN 1873-0329 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.parint.2016.04.001

Hatew, B., Stringano, E., Mueller-Harvey, I., Hendriks, W. H., Hayot Carbonero, C., Smith, L. M. J. and Pellikaan, W. F. (2016) Impact of variation in structure of condensed tannins from sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia) on in vitro ruminal methan production and fermentation characteristics. Journal of Animal Physiology and Animal Nutrition, 100 (2). pp. 348-360. ISSN 1439-0396 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jpn.12336

Hill, P. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Chiu, J. C. and Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397 (2016) A multi-satellite climatology of clouds, radiation and precipitation in southern West Africa and comparison to climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (18). 10,857-10,879. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025246

Huyen, N. T., Fryganas, C., Uittenbogaard, G., Mueller-Harvey, I., Verstegen, M. W. A., Hendriks, W. H. and Pellikaan, W. F. (2016) Structural features of condensed tannins affect in vitro ruminal methane production and fermentation characteristics. Journal of Agricultural Science, 154 (8). pp. 1474-1487. ISSN 0021-8596 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859616000393

Johnson, S. J., Levine, R. C., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Martin, G. M., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Demory, M.-E. and Strachan, J. (2016) The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35◦ AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3-4). pp. 807-831. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1

Konopka, B., Pajtik, J., Marusak, R., Bosela, M. and Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2016) Specific leaf area and leaf area index in developing stands of Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies Karst. Forest Ecology and Management, 364. pp. 52-59. ISSN 0378-1127 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2015.12.005

Kumar, S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Zwiers, F., Lawrence, D. M. and Dirmeyer, P. A. (2016) Revisiting trends in wetness and dryness in the presence of internal climate variability and water limitations over land. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24). 10,867-10,875. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066858

Kwadijk, J., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Mudersbach, C., de Weerd, M., Kroon, A. and Quante, M. (2016) Recent change - river flow. In: Quante, M. and Colijn, F. (eds.) North Sea Region Climate Assessment. Regional Climate Studies. Springer, Cham, Switzerland, pp. 137-146. ISBN 9783319397436 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39745-0_4

Leroux, S., Bellon, G., Roehrig, R., Caian, M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Lafore, J.-P., Musat, I., Rio, C. and Tyteca, S. (2016) Inter-model comparison of sub-seasonal tropical variability in aquaplanet experimets: effect of a warm pool. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (4). pp. 1526-1551. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000683

Loeb, N. G., Wang, H., Cheng, A., Kato, S., Fasullo, J. T., Xu, K.-M. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2016) Observational constraints on atmospheric and oceanic cross-equatorial heat transports: revisiting the precipitation asymmetry problem in climate models. Climate Dynamics, 46 (9-10). pp. 3239-3257. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2016) Response operators for Markov processes in a finite state space: radius of convergence and link to the response theory for Axiom A systems. Journal of Statistical Physics, 162 (2). pp. 312-333. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-015-1409-4

Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, (2016) Tree and stand growth & productivity. LWEC Technical Paper. Technical Report. NERC pp28.

Macleod, D. A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 79-90. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2631

Mueller, A., Dutra, E., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Balsamo, G. and Pappenberger, F., (2016) Water infiltration and redistribution in Land Surface Models. Technical Memorandum. 791. Technical Report. ECMWF, Reading, UK.

Parker, H. R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Suarez, P., Allen, M., Boyd, E., James, R., Jones, R., Otto, F. and Walton, P. (2016) Using a game to engage stakeholders in extreme event attribution science. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 7 (4). pp. 353-365. ISSN 2095-0055 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-016-0105-6

Pascale, S., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Feng, X., Porporato, A. and ul Hasson, S. (2016) Projected changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells in a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3). pp. 1331-1350. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2648-4

Pookkandy, B., Dommenget, D., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Wales, S., Chung, C., Frauen, C. and Wolff, H. (2016) The role of local atmospheric forcing on the modulation of the ocean mixed layer depth in reanalysis and a coupled single column ocean model. Climate Dynamics, 47 (9-10). pp. 2991-3010. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3009-7

Ragone, F., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Lunkeit, F. (2016) A new framework for climate sensitivity and prediction: a modelling perspective. Climate Dynamics, 46 (5). pp. 1459-1471. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2657-3

Roche, L., Forrestal, P. J., Lanigan, G. J., Richards, K. G., Shaw, L. J. and Wall, D. P. (2016) Impact of fertiliser nitrogen formulation, and N stabilisers on nitrous oxide emissions in spring barley. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 233. pp. 229-237. ISSN 0167-8809 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2016.08.031

Ropiak, H. M., Desrues, O., Williams, A. R., Ramsay, A., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Thamsborg, S. M. (2016) Structure-activity relationship of condensed tannins and synergism with trans-cinnamaldehyde against Caenorhabditis elegans. Journal of Agricultural and Food Chemistry, 64 (46). pp. 8795-8805. ISSN 1520-5118 doi: https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jafc.6b03842

Rose, G., Osborne, T., Greatrex, H. and Wheeler, T. (2016) Impact of progressive global warming on the global-scale yield of maize and soybean. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 417-428. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1601-9

Ruane, A. C., Teichmann, C., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Carter, T. R., Ebi, K. L., Frieler, K., Goodess, C. M., Hewitson, B., Horton, R., Kovats, R. S., Lotze, H. K., Mearns, L. O., Navarra, A., Ojima, D. S., Riahi, K., Rosenzweig, C., Themessl, M. and Vincent, K. (2016) The vulnerability, impacts, adaptation and climate services advisory board (VIACS AB v1.0) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (9). pp. 3493-3515. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3493-2016

Schubert, S. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2016) Dynamical analysis of blocking events: spatial and temporal fluctuations of covariant Lyapunov vectors. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (698). pp. 2143-2158. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2808

Sietz, D. and Feola, G. (2016) Resilience in the rural Andes: critical dynamics, constraints and emerging opportunities. Regional Environmental Change, 16 (8). pp. 2163-2169. ISSN 1436-378X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-016-1053-9

Simansky, V., Horak, J., Igaz, D., Jonczak, J., Markiewicz, M., Felber, R., Rizhiya, E. Y. and Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2016) How dose of biochar and biochar with nitrogen can improve the parameters of soil organic matter and soil structure? Biologia, 71 (9). pp. 989-995. ISSN 0006-3088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1515/biolog-2016-0122

Singh, C., Dorward, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2831-3693 and Osbahr, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0130-2313 (2016) Developing a holistic approach to the analysis of farmer decision-making: implications for adaptation policy and practice in developing countries. Land Use Policy, 59. pp. 329-343. ISSN 0264-8377 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.06.041

Smith, P., House, J. I., Bustamante, M., Sobocká, J., Harper, R., Pan, G., West, P., Clark, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Adhya, T., Rumpel, C., Paustian, K., Kuikman, P., Cotrufo, M. F., Elliott, J. A., McDowell, R., Griffiths, R. I., Asakawa, S., Bondeau, A., Jain, A. K., Meersmans, J. and Pugh, T. A.M. (2016) Global change pressures on soils from land use and management. Global Change Biology, 22 (3). pp. 1008-1028. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13068

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2016) Generalised patched potential density and thermodynamic neutral density: two new physically-based quasi-neutral density variables for ocean water masses analyses and circulation studies. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46 (12). pp. 3571-3584. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-16-0072.1

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2016) Neutrality versus materiality: a thermodynamic theory of neutral surfaces. Fluids, 1 (4). 32. ISSN 2311-5521 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids1040032

Terdoo, F. and Feola, G. (2016) The vulnerability of rice value chains in sub-Saharan Africa: a review. Climate, 4 (3). 47. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli4030047

Thomsit-Ireland, F., Blanusa, T., Essah, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1349-5167 and Hadley, P. (2016) Controlling ivy attachment to wall surfaces by applying paints, metal meshes and sheets. Journal of Living Architecture, 3 (1). pp. 1-14.

Van Hulst, F. J. and Posthumus, H. (2016) Understanding (non-) adoption of conservation agriculture in Kenya using the reasoned action approach. Land Use Policy, 56. pp. 303-314. ISSN 0264-8377 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.03.002

Vannitsem, S. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2016) Statistical and dynamical properties of covariant lyapunov vectors in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model—multiscale effects, geometric degeneracy, and error dynamics. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical, 49 (22). 224001. ISSN 1751-8113 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8113/49/22/224001

Villada, A., Vanguelova, E. I., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696 and Shaw, L. (2016) Effect of air-drying pre-treatment on the characterization of forest soil carbon pools. Geoderma, 265. pp. 53-61. ISSN 0016-7061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2015.11.003

Wong, K. C., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X (2016) The computation of reference state and APE production by diabatic processes in an idealised tropical cyclone. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (700). pp. 2646-2657. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2854

Zveryaev, I. I., Zahn, M. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2016) Interannual variability in the summertime hydrological cycle over European regions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (10). pp. 5381-5394. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024425

ul Hasson, S., Pascale, S., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Boehner, J. (2016) Seasonal cycle of precipitation over major river basins in South and Southeast Asia: a review of the CMIP5 climate models data for present climate and future climate projections. Atmospheric Research, 180. 42 - 63. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.05.008

2015

Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Black, R., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S. G. (2015) Focus on environmental risks and migration: causes and consequences. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 060201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/060201

Allison, L., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Woollings, T. (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9

Anderson, B. T., Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Syktus, J. (2015) Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1190-1196. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062593

Arnall, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6218-5926 (2015) Resilience as transformative capacity: exploring the quadripartite cycle of structuration in a Mozambican resettlement programme. Geoforum, 66. pp. 26-36. ISSN 0016-7185 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2015.08.015

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) The risk of drought. In: King, D., Schrag, D., Dadi, Z., Ye, Q. and Ghosh, A. (eds.) Climate Change: A Risk Assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, pp. 84-87.

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) The risk of river flooding. In: King, D., Schrag, D., Dadi, Z., Ye, Q. and Ghosh, A. (eds.) Climate Change: A Risk Assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, pp. 88-93.

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) The risk of water stress. In: King, D., Schrag, D., Dadi, Z., Ye, Q. and Ghosh, A. (eds.) Climate change: a risk assessment. Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, pp. 74-83.

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2015) A short guide to climate change risk. A Short Guide to Business Risk. Gower, Farnham, Surrey, pp226. ISBN 9781409453529

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Halliday, S., Battarbee, R. W., Skeffington, R. and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2015) The implications of climate change for the water environment in England. Progress in Physical Geography, 39 (1). pp. 93-120. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133314560369

Balsamo, G., Albergel, C., Beljaars, A., Boussetta, S., Brun, E., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Dee, D., Dutra, E., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Pappenberger, F., de Rosnay, P., Stockdale, T. and Vitart, F. (2015) ERA-Interim/Land: a global land surface reanalysis data set. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19 (1). pp. 389-407. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-389-2015

Becerra, R., Cannady, J. P., Pfrang, C. and Walsh, R. (2015) Time-resolved gas-phase kinetic, quantum chemical and RRKM studies of the reaction of silylene with 2,5-dihydrofuran. Journal of Physical Chemistry A, 119 (46). pp. 11241-11253. ISSN 1089-5639 doi: https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jpca.5b07404

Beven, K., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Lamb, R. and Hunter, N. (2015) Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface. Science China Earth Sciences, 58 (1). pp. 25-35. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-014-5003-4

Blanusa, T., Fantozzi, F., Monaci, F. and Bargagli, R. (2015) Leaf trapping and retention of particles by holm oak and other common tree species in Mediterranean urban environments. Urban Forestry & Urban Greening, 14 (4). pp. 1095-1101. ISSN 1618-8667 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2015.10.004

Bowes, M. J., Jarvie, H. P., Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Loewenthal, M., Gozzard, E., Newman, J. R. and Palmer-Felgate, E. J. (2015) Characterising phosphorus and nitrate inputs to a rural river using high-frequency concentration-flow relationships. Science of the Total Environment, 511. pp. 608-620. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.12.086

Burgess, M. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2015) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme cold winters in the UK. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 211-217. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2476

Cannon, D.J., Brayshaw, D.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Coker, P.J. and Lenaghan, D. (2015) Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: a 33 year case study in Great Britain. Renewable Energy, 75. pp. 767-778. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.024

Cooper, S. J. and Wheeler, T. (2015) Adaptive governance: livelihood innovation for climate resilience in Uganda. Geoforum, 65. pp. 96-107. ISSN 0016-7185 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2015.07.015

DeMott, C. A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000478

Dixon, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4513-6337, Farrelly, L. and Pain, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1451-9252 (2015) A smart and sustainable urban future. Estates Gazette. pp. 100-102. ISSN 0014-1240

Döll, P., Jiménez-Cisneros, B., Oki, T., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Benito, G., Cogley, J. G., Jiang, T., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Mwakalila, S. and Nishijima, A. (2015) Integrating risks of climate change into water management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60 (1). pp. 4-13. ISSN 0262-6667 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.967250

Elbehri, A., Elliott, J. and Wheeler, T. (2015) Chapter 1: Climate change, food security and trade: An overview of global assessments and policy insights. In: Elbehri, A. (ed.) Climate Change and Food Systems: Global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, pp. 1-27. ISBN 9789251086995

Evans, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270, Mariwah, S. and Barima Antwi, K. (2015) Struggles over family land? Tree crops, land and labour in Ghana's Brong-Ahafo region. Geoforum, 67. pp. 24-35. ISSN 0016-7185 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2015.10.006

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Han, X., Hao, X., Lam, S. K., Wang, H., Li, Y., Wheeler, T., Ju, H. and Lin, E. (2015) Yield and nitrogen accumulation and partitioning in winter wheat under elevated CO2: A 3-year free-air CO2 enrichment experiment. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 209. pp. 132-137. ISSN 0167-8809 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2015.04.007

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Hoste, H., Torres-Acosta, J. F. J., Sandoval-Castro, C. A., Mueller-Harvey, I., Sotiraki, S., Louvandin, H., Thamsborg, S. M. and Terrill, T. H. (2015) Tannin containing legumes as a model for nutraceuticals against digestive parasites in livestock. Veterinary Parasitology, 212 (1-2). pp. 5-17. ISSN 0304-4017 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vetpar.2015.06.026

Huber, M., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2015) A traceable physical calibration of the vertical advection-diffusion equation for modelling ocean heat uptake. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (7). pp. 2333-2341. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063383

Jackson-Blake, L. A., Dunn, S. M., Helliwell, R. C., Skeffington, R. A., Stutter, M. I. and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2015) How well can we model stream phosphorus concentrations in agricultural catchments? Environmental Modelling and Software, 64. pp. 31-46. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.11.002

Jiang, X., Waliser, D. E., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Guan, B., Bellon, G., Crueger, T., DeMott, C., Hannay, C., Lin, H., Hu, W., Kim, D., Lappen, C.-L., Lu, M.-M., Ma, H.-Y., Miyakawa, T., Ridout, J. A., Schubert, S. D., Scinocca, J., Seo, K.-H., Shindo, E., Song, X., Stan, C., Tseng, W.-L., Wang, W., Wu, T., Wu, X., Wyser, K., Zhang, G. J. and Zhu, H. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: exploring key model physics in climate simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4718-4748. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022375

Kakani, V. G., Wheeler, T. R., Craufurd, P. Q. and Rachaputi, R. C. N. (2015) Effect of high temperature and water stress on groundnuts under field conditions. In: Mahalingam, R. (ed.) Combined Stresses in Plants. Springer International Publishing, London, pp. 159-180. ISBN 9783319078984 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07899-1_8

Karunaratne, A.S. and Wheeler, T. (2015) Observed relationships between maize yield and climate in Sri Lanka. Agronomy Journal, 107 (1). pp. 395-405. ISSN 1435-0645 doi: https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj14.0043

Kauffeldt, A., Halldin, S., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Xu, C.-Y. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2015) Imbalanced land-surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (11). pp. 4411-4417. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064230

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Jiang, X., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Waliser, D. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: synthesis and summary. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4671-4689. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023196

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Jiang, X., Waliser, D., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Caian, M., Hannay, C., Kim, D., Ma, H.-Y., Merryfield, W. J., Miyakawa, T., Pritchard, M., Ridout, J. A., Roehrig, R., Shindo, E., Vitart, F., Wang, H., Cavanaugh, N. R., Mapes, B. E., Shelly, A. and Zhang, G. J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Linking hindcast fidelity to simulated diabatic heating and moistening. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4690-4717. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022374

Klongsiriwet, C., Quijada, J., Williams, A. R., Mueller-Harvey, I., Williamson, E. M. and Hoste, H. (2015) Synergistic inhibition of Haemonchus contortus exsheathment by flavonoid monomers and condensed tannins. International Journal for Parasitology: Drugs and Drug Resistance, 5 (3). pp. 127-134. ISSN 2211-3207 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpddr.2015.06.001

Knippertz, P., Coe, H., Chiu, J. C., Evans, M. J., Fink, A. H., Kalthoff, N., Liousse, C., Mari, C., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Brooks, B., Danour, S., Flamant, C., Jegede, O. O., Lohou, F. and Marsham, J. H. (2015) The DACCIWA project: dynamics-aerosol-chemistry-cloud interactions in West Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (9). pp. 1451-1460. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00108.1

Li, B., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Sandberg, M. and Liu, J. (2015) Revisiting the ‘Venturi effect’ in passage ventilation between two non-parallel buildings. Building and Environment, 92 (2). pp. 714-722. ISSN 0360-1323 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.10.023

Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958 and Christina, A. (2015) Subsurface urban heat island and its effects on horizontal ground-source heat pump potential under climate change. Applied Thermal Engineering, 90. pp. 530-537. ISSN 1359-4311 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2015.07.025

Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Zhao, J., Yao, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4269-7224 and Shu, Z. (2015) Emergy-based sustainability assessment of different energy options for green buildings. Energy Conversion and Management, 100. pp. 97-102. ISSN 0196-8904 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2015.04.072

Min, B. R., Solaiman, S., Ramsay, A., Terrill, T. H. and Mueller-Harvey, I. (2015) The effects of tannin-containing ground pine bark diet upon nutrient digestion, nitrogen balance, and mineral retention in meat goats. Journal of Animal Science and Biotechnology, 6 (1). 25. ISSN 2049-1891 doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40104-015-0020-5

Osborne, T., Gornall, J.L., Hooker, J., Williams, K., Wiltshire, A., Betts, R.A. and Wheeler, T. (2015) JULES-crop: a parametrisation of crops in the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (4). pp. 1139-1155. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1139-2015

Otto, F., Boyd, E., Jones, R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, James, R., Parker, H. R. and Allen, M. (2015) Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications. Climatic Change, 132 (4). pp. 531-543. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0

Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Parker, D. J., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D. S. and Thielen, J. (2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy, 51. pp. 278-291. ISSN 1873-6416 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016

Pappenberger, F., Ramos, M. H., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Wetterhall, F., Alfieri, L., Bogner, K., Mueller, A. and Salamon, P. (2015) How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in Hydrological ensemble prediction. Journal of Hydrology, 522. pp. 697-713. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.024

Parker, H. R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Boyd, E., James, R., Otto, F. E. L. and Allen, M. R. (2015) Implications of event attribution for loss and damage policy. Weather, 70 (9). pp. 268-273. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2542

Pascale, S., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Feng, X., Porporato, A. and Hasson, S. u. (2015) Analysis of rainfall seasonality from observations and climate models. Climate Dynamics, 44 (11). pp. 3281-3301. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2278-2

Quijada, J., Fryganas, C., Ropiak, H. M., Ramsay, A., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Hoste, H. (2015) Anthelmintic activities against Haemonchus contortus or Trichostrongylus colubriformis from small ruminants are influenced by structural features of condensed tannins. Journal of Agricultural and Food Chemistry, 63 (28). pp. 6346-6354. ISSN 0021-8561 doi: https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.jafc.5b00831

Saenz, J. A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Butler, E. D., Hughes, G. O. and Oliver, K. I. C. (2015) Estimating Lorenz's reference state in an ocean with a nonlinear equation of state for seawater. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45 (5). pp. 1242-1257. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-14-0105.1

Schubert, S. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2015) Covariant Lyapunov vectors of a quasi-geostrophic baroclinic model: analysis of instabilities and feedbacks. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (693). pp. 3040-3055. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2588

Skeffington, R. A., Halliday, S. J., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Bowes, M. J. and Loewenthal, M. (2015) Using high-frequency water quality data to assess sampling strategies for the EU Water Framework Directive. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19. pp. 2491-2504. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2491-2015

Smith, D. M., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Coward, A. C., Eade, R., Hyder, P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, C. D. and Scaife, A. A. (2015) Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1205-1213. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062669

Smith, P., Cotrufo, M. F., Rumpel, C., Paustian, K., Kuikman, P. J., Elliott, J. A., McDowell, R., Griffiths, R. I., Asakawa, S., Bustamante, M., House, J. I., Sobocká, J., Harper, R., Pan, G., West, P. C., Gerber, J. S., Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Adhya, T., Scholes, R. J. and Scholes, M. C. (2015) Biogeochemical cycles and biodiversity as key drivers of ecosystem services provided by soils. SOIL Discussions, 2 (1). pp. 537-586. ISSN 2199-3998 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/soild-2-537-2015

Smith, P., Cotrufo, M. F., Rumpel, C., Paustian, K., Kuikman, P. J., Elliott, J. A., McDowell, R., Griffiths, R. I., Asakawa, S., Bustamante, M., House, J. I., Sobocká, J., Harper, R., Pan, G., West, P. C., Gerber, J. S., Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Adhya, T., Scholes, R. J. and Scholes, M. C. (2015) Biogeochemical cycles and biodiversity as key drivers of ecosystem services provided by soils. SOIL, 1 (2). pp. 665-685. ISSN 2199-398X doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/soil-1-665-2015

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066779

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Kay, J. E. and Jahn, A. (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2483

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2015) Observational and energetics constraints on the non-conservation of potential/Conservative Temperature and implications for ocean modelling. Ocean Modelling, 88. pp. 26-37. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.02.001

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2015) On the validity of single-parcel energetics to assess the importance of internal energy and compressibility effects in stratified fluids. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 767. R2. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2015.77

Twyman, C., Smith, T. and Arnall, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6218-5926 (2015) What is Carbon? Conceptualising carbon and capabilities in the context of community sequestration projects in the global South. WIREs Climate Change, 6 (6). pp. 627-641. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.367

Watts, G., Battarbee, R. W., Bloomfield, J. P., Crossman, J., Daccache, A., Durance, I., Elliott, J. A., Garner, G., Hannaford, J., Hannah, D. M., Hess, T., Jackson, C. R., Kay, A. L., Kernan, M., Knox, J., Mackay, J., Monteith, D. T., Ormerod, S. J., Rance, J., Stuart, M. E., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Wade, S. D., Weatherhead, K., Whitehead, P. G. and Wilby, R. L. (2015) Climate change and water in the UK: past changes and future prospects. Progress in Physical Geography, 39 (1). pp. 6-28. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133314542957

Wheeler, T. (2015) Chapter 11. Climate change impacts on food systems and implications for climate-compatible food policies. In: Elbehri, A. (ed.) Climate Change and Food Systems: Global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome, pp. 315-336. ISBN 9789251086995

Xavier, P. K., Petch, J. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Jiang, X., Waliser, D. E., Caian, M., Cole, J., Hagos, S. M., Hannay, C., Kim, D., Miyakawa, T., Pritchard, M. S., Roehrig, R., Shindo, E., Vitart, F. and Wang, H. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Biases and uncertainties at short range. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4749-4763. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022718

2014

Alghabari, F., Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, Jones, H. E. and Gooding, M. J. (2014) Effect of Rht alleles on the tolerance of wheat grain set to high temperature and drought stress during booting and anthesis. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science, 200 (1). pp. 36-45. ISSN 1439-037X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jac.12038

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Climate change: dichotomy of drought and deluge. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 700-701. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2243

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, M., Smith, D. and Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (15). pp. 5588-5597. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060962

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Charlton, M. B. and Lowe, J. A. (2014) The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK. Journal of Hydrology, 510. pp. 424-435. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.046

Bodai, T., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Lunkeit, F. and Boschi, R. (2014) Global instability in the Ghil--Sellers model. Climate Dynamics, 44 (11-12). pp. 3361-3381. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2206-5

Brown, S., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Boyd, E., Standley, S., Allen, M., Clement, K., Gonzalo, A., Erwin, G., Michelle, S., Haseeb, I. and Maliha, S., Brown, S., ed. (2014) Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) scoping study: Annex 3 - Early warning system and risk assessment case studies. Climate, Environment, Infrastructure and Livelihoods Professional Evidence and Applied Knowledge Services (CEIL PEAKS) programme. Technical Report. Evidence on Demand with the assistance of the UK Department for International Development (DFID) pp53. doi: https://doi.org/10.12774/eod_cr.june2014.brown

Cannon, D. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2014) An aggregated wind power generation model based on MERRA reanalysis data: MATLAB model and example data for the April 2014 wind farm distribution of Great Britain. University of Reading.

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2014) Assessing the impacts of climate change on river flows in England using the UKCP09 climate change projections. Journal of Hydrology, 519. pp. 1723-1738. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.008

Dankers, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) First look at changes in flood hazard in the inter-sectoral impact model intercomparison project ensemble. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3257-3261. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1302078110

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O’Neill, B. C., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., Van Vuuren, D. P. and Zwickel, T. (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change, 122 (3). pp. 363-372. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

Evans, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270, Mariwah, S. and Barima Antwi, K., (2014) Cashew cultivation, access to land and food security in Brong-Ahafo Region, Ghana: Preventing the intergenerational transmission of poverty. Research Note. 6. Report. Walker Institute, University of Reading, Reading, UK.

Fischer, E. M., Sedláček, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Knutti, R. (2014) Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (23). pp. 8554-8562. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062018

Futter, M. N., Erlandsson, M. A., Butterfield, D., Whitehead, P. G., Oni, S. K. and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2014) PERSiST: a flexible rainfall-runoff modelling toolkit for use with the INCA family of models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18 (2). pp. 855-873. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-855-2014

Gallavotti, G. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2014) Equivalence of non-equilibrium ensembles and representation of friction in turbulent flows: the Lorenz 96 model. Journal of Statistical Physics, 156 (6). pp. 1027-1065. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-014-1051-6

Godbold, D. L., Tullus, A., Kupper, P., Sober, J., Ostonen, I., Smith, A., Godbold, J. A. and Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2014) Elevated atmospheric CO2 and humidity delay leaf fall in Betula pendula, but not in Alnus glutinosa or Populus tremula × tremuloides. Annals of Forest Science, 71 (8). pp. 831-842. ISSN 1286-4560 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13595-014-0382-4

Greatrex, H., Grimes, D. and Wheeler, T. (2014) Advances in the stochastic modelling of satellite-derived rainfall estimates using a sparse calibration dataset. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15. pp. 1810-1831. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0145.1

Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Bowes, M. J., Gozzard, E., Newman, J. R., Loewenthal, M., Palmer-Felgate, E. J., Jarvie, H. P. and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2014) The water quality of the River Enborne, UK: observations from high-frequency Monitoring in a rural, lowland river system. Water, 6 (1). pp. 150-180. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w6010150

Hasson, S., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Khan, M. R., Petitta, M., Bolch, T. and Gioli, G. (2014) Early 21st century snow cover state over the western river basins of the Indus River system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18 (10). pp. 4077-4100. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4077-2014

Hasson, S., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Pascale, S. and Böhner, J. (2014) Seasonality of the hydrological cycle in major South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (1). pp. 67-87. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-67-2014

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Anderson, B., Diffenbaugh, N., Mahlstein, I., Betts, R., Hegerl, G., Joshi, M., Knutti, R., McNeall, D., Solomon, S., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Syktus, J. and Vecchi, G. (2014) Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates. Nature, 511 (7507). E3-E5. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13523

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Joshi, M. and Frame, D. (2014) Wetter then drier in some tropical areas. Nature Climate Change, 4 (8). pp. 646-647. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2299

Heap, M. J., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Lenoir, J. and Gavilán, R. G. (2014) Can the Iberian floristic diversity withstand near-future climate change? Open Journal of Ecology, 4 (17). pp. 1089-1101. ISSN 2162-1985 doi: https://doi.org/10.4236/oje.2014.417089

Huber, V., Schellnhuber, H. J., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Frieler, K., Friend, A. D., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Parry, M., Piontek, F., Rosenzweig, C., Schewe, J. and Warszawski, L. (2014) Climate impact research: beyond patchwork. Earth System Dynamics, 5 (2). pp. 399-408. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-399-2014

Jackson, L.C., Schaller, N., Smith, R.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Palmer, M.D. and Vellinga, M. (2014) Response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to a reversal of greenhouse gas increases. Climate Dynamics, 42 (11-12). pp. 3323-3336. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1842-5

James, R., Otto, F., Parker, H., Boyd, E., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Mitchell, D. and Allen, M. (2014) Characterising loss and damage from climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4 (11). pp. 938-939. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2411

Jimenez Cisneros, B. E., Oki, T., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Benito, G., Cogley, J. G., Doll, P., Jiang, T. and Mwakalila, S. S. (2014) Freshwater resources. In: Field, C. B., Barros, V. R., Dokken, D. J., Mach, K. J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Bilir, T. E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K. L., Estrada, Y. O., Genova, R. C., Gimma, B., Kissel, E. S., Levy, A. N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P. R. and White, L. L. (eds.) Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 229-269.

Journet, E., Balkanski, Y. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2014) A new data set of soil mineralogy for dust-cycle modeling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14 (8). pp. 3801-3816. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-3801-2014

King, A. D., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Jourdain, N. C. and Maher, P. (2014) Extreme rainfall variability in Australia: Patterns, drivers and predictability. Journal of Climate, 27 (15). pp. 6035-6050. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2014) Using a case-study approach to improve the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (685). pp. 2491-2505. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2314

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Brooks, M. and Milton, S. (2014) Comparing tropical precipitation simulated by the Met Office NWP and climate models with satellite observations. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 (1). pp. 200-214. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-13-082.1

Lorenz, M. M., Alkhafadji, L., Stringano, E., Nilsson, S., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Uden, P. (2014) Relationship between condensed tannin structures and their ability to precipitate feed proteins in the rumen. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 94 (5). pp. 963-968. ISSN 0022-5142 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jsfa.6344

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Blender, R., Herbert, C., Ragone, F., Pascale, S. and Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657 (2014) Mathematical and physical ideas for climate science. Reviews of Geophysics, 52 (4). pp. 809-859. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013RG000446

Lynch, K. J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2014) Verification of European subseasonal wind speed forecasts. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2978-2990. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00341.1

Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Stringer, M., Hewison, T., Roebeling, R. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2014) The 30-year TAMSAT African rainfall climatology and time-series (TARCAT) dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119 (18). pp. 10619-10644. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021927

Martin Calvo, M., Prentice, I. C. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2014) Climate versus carbon dioxide controls on biomass burning: a model analysis of the glacial–interglacial contrast. Biogeosciences, 11 (21). pp. 6017-6027. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-11-6017-2014

Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Giustarini, L., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Detection of flooded urban areas in high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images using double scattering. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 28. pp. 150-159. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.002

Pagano, T. C., Wood, A. W., Ramos, M.-H., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Clark, M. P., Cranston, M., Kavetski, D., Mathevet, T., Sorooshian, S. and Verkade, J. S. (2014) Challenges of operational river forecasting. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15 (4). pp. 1692-1707. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0188.1

Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 59 (3). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3

Perez-Sanz, A., Li, G., González-Sampériz, P. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2014) Evaluation of modern and mid-Holocene seasonal precipitation of the Mediterranean and northern Africa in the CMIP5 simulations. Climate of the Past, 10 (2). pp. 551-568. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-10-551-2014

Prudhomme, C., Giuntoli, I., Robinson, E. L., Clark, D. B., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dankers, R., Fekete, B. M., Franssen, W., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hannah, D. M., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y. and Wisser, D. (2014) Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3262-3267. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222473110

Ritson, J. P., Bell, M., Graham, N. J.D., Templeton, M. R., Brazier, R. E., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Freeman, C. and Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824 (2014) Simulated climate change impact on summer dissolved organic carbon release from peat and surface vegetation: implications for drinking water treatment. Water Research, 67. pp. 66-76. ISSN 0043-1354 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2014.09.015

Ritson, J.P., Graham, N.J.D., Templeton, M.R., Clark, J.M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Gough, R. and Freeman, C. (2014) The impact of climate change on the treatability of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in upland water supplies: A UK perspective. Science of the Total Environment, 473-474. pp. 714-730. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.12.095

Sampson, C. C., Fewtrell, T. J., O'Loughlin, F., Pappenberger, F., Bates, P., Freer, J. E. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) The impact of uncertain precipitation data on insurance loss estimates using a flood catastrophe model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18. pp. 2305-2324. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2305-2014

Schewe, J., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Clark, D. B., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Fekete, B. M., Colon-Gonzalez, F. J., Gosling, S. N., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F. T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., Wisser, D., Albrecht, T., Frieler, K., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L. and Kabat, P. (2014) Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9). pp. 3245-3250. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222460110

Semenov, M.A., Stratonovitch, P., Alghabari, F. and Gooding, M.J. (2014) Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change. Journal of Cereal Science, 59 (3). pp. 245-256. ISSN 0733-5210 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcs.2014.01.006

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Nosenko, G., Kutuzov, S., Rototaeva, O. and Khromova, T. (2014) Deglaciation of the Caucasus Mountains, Russia/Georgia, in the 21st century observed with ASTER satellite imagery and aerial photograpy. The Cryosphere, 8 (6). pp. 2367-2379. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-8-2367-2014

Skliris, N., Marsh, R., Josey, S. A., Good, S. A., Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Salinity changes in the world ocean since 1950 in relation to changing surface freshwater fluxes. Climate Dynamics, 43 (3-4). pp. 709-736. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2131-7

Skuras, D., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Psaltopoulos, D., Whitehead, P., Kontolainou, A. and Erlandsson, M. (2014) An interdisciplinary modelling approach asessing the cost-effectiveness of agri-environmental measures on reducing nutrient concentration to WFD thresholds under climate change: the case of the Louros catchment. Operational Research, 14 (2). pp. 205-224. ISSN 1109-2858 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12351-014-0158-5

Souvignet, M., Laux, P., Freer, J., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Thinh, D. Q., Thuc, T., Cullmann, J., Nauditt, A., Flugel, W.-A., Kunstmann, H. and Ribbe, L. (2014) Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes, 28 (4). pp. 1587-1601. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9693

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal, 180 (4). pp. 310-316. ISSN 1475-4959 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12103

Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Grimes, D., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Stringer, M., Chadwick, R. and Kayitakire, F. (2014) Extension of the TAMSAT satellite-based rainfall monitoring over Africa and from 1983 to present. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 (12). pp. 2805-2822. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0016.1

Wheeler, T. (2014) A changing climate for international development. Development in Practice, 24 (4). pp. 465-466. ISSN 0961-4524 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/09614524.2014.907774

Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., Murphy, C., O’Connor, P. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2014) The statistical downscaling model-decision centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications. Climate Research, 61 (3). pp. 259-276. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01254

Ye, J., He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Manful, D. Y. and Li, Z. (2014) Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1615-1628. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2243

2013

Armitage, J. D., Könyves, K., Bailey, J. P., David, J. C. and Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 (2013) A molecular, morphological and cytological investigation of the identity of non-native Ludwigia (Onagraceae) populations in Britain. New Journal of Botany, 3 (2). pp. 88-95. ISSN 2042-3497 doi: https://doi.org/10.1179/2042349713Y.0000000023

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios. Climatic Change, 122 (1-2). pp. 127-140. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0948-4

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Gosling, S. N. (2013) The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale. Journal of Hydrology, 486. pp. 351-364. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.010

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P. and Warren, R. F. (2013) A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3. pp. 512-519. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1793

Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Rosenzweig, C., Jones, J. W., Hatfield, J. L., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Rötter, R. P., Cammarano, D., Brisson, N., Basso, B., Martre, P., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grant, R., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Kersebaum, K. C., Müller, C., Naresh Kumar, S., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Travasso, M., Waha, K., Wallach, D., White, J. W., Williams, J. R. and Wolf, J. (2013) Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3 (9). pp. 827-832. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1916

Azuhnwi, B.N., Hertzberg, H., Arrigo, Y., Gutzwiller, A., Hess, H.D., Mueller-Harvey, I., Torgerson, P.R., Kreuzer, M. and Dohme-Meier, F. (2013) Investigation of sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia) cultivar differences on nitrogen balance and fecal egg count in artificially infected lambs. Journal of Animal Science, 91 (5). pp. 2342-2354. ISSN 0021-8812 doi: https://doi.org/10.2527/jas.2012-5351

Ba, J., Keenlyside, N. S., Park, W., Latif, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Ding, H. (2013) A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 41 (7-8). pp. 2133-2144. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1633-4

Bergamaschi, H., da Costa, S. M. S., Wheeler, T. and Challinor, A. J. (2013) Simulating maize yield in sub-tropical conditions of southern Brazil using Glam model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, 48 (2). pp. 132-140. ISSN 1678-3921 doi: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2013000200002

Bistinas, I., Oom, D., Sa, A. C.L., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C. and Pereira, J. M.C. (2013) Relationships between human population density and burned area at continental and global scales. PLoS ONE, 8 (12). ISSN 1932-6203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0081188

Black, R., Adger, W. N. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2013) Migration and extreme environmental events: new agendas for global change research. Environmental Science & Policy, 27 (supp. 1). S1-S3. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.09.010

Black, R., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Adger, W. N., Thomas, D. and Geddes, A. (2013) Migration, immobility and displacement outcomes following extreme events. Environmental Science & Policy, 27 (supp. 1). S32-S43. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.09.001

Bragg, F.J., Prentice, I.C., Harrison, S.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Eglinton, G., Foster, P.N., Rommerskirchen, F. and Rullkotter, J. (2013) Stable isotope and modelling evidence for CO2 as a driver of glacial–interglacial vegetation shifts in southern Africa. Biogeosciences, 10 (3). pp. 2001-2010. ISSN 1726-4189 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-2001-2013

Butler, E. D., Oliver, K. I., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2013) The ocean's gravitational potential energy budget in a coupled climate model. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (20). pp. 5417-5422. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057996

Chandramohan, P. and Shaw, M. W. (2013) Sulphate and sulphurous acid alter the relative susceptibility of wheat to Phaeosphaeria nodorum and Mycosphaerella graminicola. Plant Pathology, 62 (6). pp. 1342-1349. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ppa.12052

Charman, D.J., Beilman, D.W., Blaauw, M., Booth, R.K., Brewer, S., Chambers, F.M., Christen, J.A., Gallego-Sala, A., Harrison, S.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Hughes, P.D.M., Jackson, S.T., Korhola, A., Mauquoy, D., Mitchell, F.J.G., Prentice, I.C., van der Linden, M., De Vleeschouwer, F., Yu, Z.C., Alm, J., Bauer, I.E., Corish, Y.M.C., Garneau, M., Hohl, V., Huang, Y., Karofeld, E., Le Roux, G., Loisel, J., Moschen, R., Nichols, J.E., Nieminen, T.M., MacDonald, G.M., Phadtare, N.R., Rausch, N., Sillasoo, U., Swindles, G.T., Tuittila, E.-S., Ukonmaanaho, L., Valiranta, M., van Bellen, S., van Geel, B., Vitt, D.H. and Zhao, Y. (2013) Climate-related changes in peatland carbon accumulation during the last millennium. Biogeosciences, 10 (2). pp. 929-944. ISSN 1726-4189 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-929-2013

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J. and Thiemig, V. (2013) Operational flood forecasting in Europe. In: Wainwright, J. and Mulligan, M. (eds.) Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity. Wiley-Blackwell, New York, pp. 315-434. ISBN 9780470749111

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Crossman, J., Whitehead, P., Futter, M. N., Jin, L., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Castellazzi, M. and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2013) The interactive responses of water quality and hydrology to changes in multiple stressors, and implications for the long-term effective management of phosphorus. Science of the Total Environment, 454-455. pp. 230-244. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.02.033

Davie, J. C. S., Falloon, P. D., Kahana, R., Dankers, R., Betts, R., Portmann, F. T., Wisser, D., Clark, D. B., Ito, A., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Fekete, B., Tessler, Z., Wada, Y., Liu, X., Tang, Q., Hagemann, S., Stacke, T., Pavlick, R., Schaphoff, S., Gosling, S. N., Franssen, W. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2013) Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP. Earth System Dynamics, 4 (2). pp. 359-374. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-359-2013

Eby, M., Weaver, A.J., Alexander, K., Zickfeld, K., Abe-Ouchi, A., Cimatoribus, A.A., Crespin, E., Drijfhout, S.S., Edwards, N.R., Eliseev, A.V., Feulner, G., Fichefet, T., Forest, C.E., Goosse, H., Holden, P.B., Joos, F., Kawamiya, M., Kicklighter, D., Kienert, H., Matsumoto, K., Mokhov, I.I., Monier, E., Olsen, S.M., Pedersen, J.O.P., Perrette, M., Philippon-Berthier, G., Ridgwell, A., Schlosser, A., Schneider von Deimling, T., Shaffer, G., Smith, R.S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Spahnill, R., Sokolov, A.P., Steinacher, M., Tachiiri, K., Tokos, K., Yoshimori, M., Zeng, N. and Zhao, F. (2013) Historical and idealized climate model experiments: an intercomparison of Earth system models of intermediate complexity. Climate of the Past, 9. pp. 1111-1140. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1111-2013

Feola, G. (2013) Models of human behaviour in social-ecological systems. In: World Social Science Report 2013. Changing Global Environments. ISSC, UNESCO, pp. 321-325. doi: https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264203419-52-en

Feola, G. (2013) What (science for) adaptation to climate change in Colombian agriculture? A commentary on “A way forward on adaptation to climate change in Colombian agriculture: perspectives towards 2050” by J. Ramirez-Villegas, M. Salazar, A. Jarvis, C. E. Navarro-Valcines. Climatic Change, 119 (3-4). pp. 565-574. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0731-6

Feola, G. and Nunes, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0829-4130, (2013) Failure and success of transition initiatives: a study of the international replication of the transition movement. Research Note. 4. Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading, Reading.

Foley, A. M., Dalmonech, D., Friend, A. .D., Aires, F., Archibald, A., Bartlein, P. J., Bopp, L., Chappellaz, J., Cox, P., Edwards, N. R., Feulner, G., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Hopcroft, P. O., Jones, C. D., Kolassa, J., Levine, J., Prentice, I. C., Pyle, J., Vasquez Riveiros, N., Wolff, E. and Zaele, S. (2013) Evaluation of biospheric components in Earth system models using modern and palaeo-observations: the state-of-the-art. Biogeosciences, 10 (12). pp. 8305-8328. ISSN 1810-6285 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-8305-2013

Goddard, L., Kumar, A., Solomon, A., Smith, D., Boer, G., Gonzalez, P., Kharin, V., Merryfield, W., Deser, C., Mason, S. J., Kirtman, B. P., Msadek, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Fricker, T., Hegerl, G., Ferro, C. A. T., Stephenson, D. B., Meehl, G. A., Stockdale, T., Burgman, R., Greene, A. M., Kushnir, Y., Newman, M., Carton, J., Fukumori, I. and Delworth, T. (2013) A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments. Climate Dynamics, 40 (1-2). pp. 245-272. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1481-2

Grasso, M. and Feola, G. (2013) Human security and climate change in the Mediterranean region. In: Redclift, M. R. and Grasso, M. (eds.) Handbook on Climate change and Human Security. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, pp. 254-280. ISBN 9780857939104

Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Neal, C., Reynolds, B., Norris, D. and Kirchner, J. W. (2013) Upland streamwater nitrate dynamics across decadal to sub-daily timescales: a case study of Plynlimon, Wales. Biogeosciences, 10. pp. 8013-8038. ISSN 1726-4189 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-8013-2013

Hardisty, A., Roberts, D., Alonso, E., Arvanitidis, C., Badia, R. M., Basset, A., Blonda, P., Castelli, D., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Glöckner, F. O., Hagedorn, G., de Jong, Y., Konijn, J., Los, W., Manouselis, N., Obst, M., Sierra, S., De Wever, A. and Wremp, A.-M. (2013) Horizon 2020: a call to forge biodiversity links. Nature, 502 (7470). p. 171. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/502171d

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Bartlein, P. J., Prentice, I. C., Boyd, M., Hessler, I., Holmgren, K., Isumi, K. and Willis, K. (2013) Climate model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates. Climate Dynamics, 43 (3-4). pp. 671-688. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1922-6

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Morfopoulos, C., Srikanta Dani, K.G., Prentice, I. C., Arneth, A., Atwell, B. J., Barkley, M. P., Leishman, M. R., Loreto, F., Medlyn, B. E., Niinemets, U., Possell, M., Penuelas, J. and Wright, I. J. (2013) Volatile isoprenoid emissions from plastid to planet. New Phytologist, 197 (1). pp. 49-57. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.12021

Hasson, S., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Pascale, S. (2013) Hydrological cycle over South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics, 4 (2). pp. 199-217. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-199-2013

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Fricker, T. E., Challinor, A. J., Ferro, C. A. T., Ho, C. K. and Osborne, T. M. (2013) Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s. Global Change Biology, 19 (3). pp. 937-947. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12069

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Osborne, T. M., Ho, C. K. and Challinor, A. J. (2013) Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: an idealised case study over Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 19-31. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.04.007

He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Manful, D., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Bates, P., Wetterhall, F. and Parkes, B. (2013) Flood inundation dynamics and socioeconomic vulnerability under environmental change. In: Hossain, F. (ed.) Vulnerability of Water Resources to Climate. Climate Vulnerability, 5. Elsevier Sciences, pp. 241-255. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00508-6

Ho, C. K., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Bröcker, J., Hermanson, L., Murphy, J. M., Smith, D. M. and Eade, R. (2013) Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: the role of ensemble dispersion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (21). pp. 5770-5775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057630

Izumi, K., Bartlein, P. J. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2013) Consistent large-scale temperature responses in warm and cold climates. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (9). pp. 1817-1823. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50350

Kelley, D.I., Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Wang, H., Simard, M., Fisher, J.B. and Willis, K.O. (2013) A comprehensive benchmarking system for evaluating global vegetation models. Biogeosciences, 10. pp. 3313-3340. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-3313-2013

Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Syktus, J. (2013) On the drivers of inter-annual and decadal rainfall variability in Queensland, Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (10). pp. 2413-2430. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3593

Koehler, A.-K., Challinor, A. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Asseng, S. (2013) Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034016

Konopka, B., Pajtik, J., Noguchi, K. and Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2013) Replacing Norway spruce with European beech: a comparison of biomass and Net Primary Production patterns in young stands. Forest Ecology and Management, 302. pp. 185-192. ISSN 0378-1127 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2013.03.026

Kundzewicz, Z. W., Kanae, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Handmer, J., Nicholls, N., Peduzzi, P., Mechler, R., Bouwer, L. M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Mach, K., Muir-Wood, R., Brakenridge, G. R., Kron, W., Benito, G., Honda, Y., Takahashi, K. and Sherstyukov, B. (2013) Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (1). pp. 1-28. ISSN 2150-3435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.857411

Kutuzov, S., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Mikhalenko, V., Ginot, P., Lavrentiev, I. and Kemp, S. (2013) High-resolution provenance of desert dust deposited on Mt. Elbrus, Caucasus in 2009–2012 using snow pit and firn core records. The Cryosphere, 7. pp. 1481-1498. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-7-1481-2013

Lavers, D. A., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Villarini, G., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2013) Future changes in atmospheric rivers and their implications for winter flooding in Britain. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010

Li, G., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Izumi, K. and Prentice, I. C. (2013) Precipitation scaling with temperature in warm and cold climates: an analysis of CMIP5 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (15). pp. 4018-4024. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50730

Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2013) Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850–2100. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034002

Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The impracticality of a universal drought definition. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 117 (3-4). pp. 607-611. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-1025-7

Lloyd-Hughes, B., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2013) An evaluation of the spatiotemporal structure of large-scale European drought within the HiGEM climate model. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (8). pp. 2024-2035. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3570

Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D. I. F., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Greatrex, H., Rojas, O. and Leo, O. (2013) Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda. Meteorological Applications, 20 (3). pp. 308-317. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1283

Marlon, J. R., Bartlein, P. J., Daniau, A.-L., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Maezumi, S. Y., Power, M. J., Tinner, W. and Vanniere, B. (2013) Global biomass burning: a synthesis and review of Holocene paleofire records and their controls. Quaternary Science Reviews, 65. pp. 5-25. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.11.029

Oliver, K. I. C. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2013) Thermobaric control of gravitational potential energy generation by diapycnal mixing in the deep ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2). pp. 327-331. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054235

Osborne, T., Rose, G. and Wheeler, T. (2013) Variation in the global-scale impacts of climate change on crop productivity due to climate model uncertainty and adaptation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 183-194. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.07.006

Osborne, T. M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2013) Evidence for a climate signal in trends of global crop yield variability over the past 50 years. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). 024001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024001

Parkes, B. L., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., Neal, J. and Demeritt, D. (2013) Reducing inconsistencies in point observations of maximum flood inundation level. Earth Interactions, 17 (6). pp. 1-27. ISSN 1087-3562 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2012EI000475.1

Polo, I., Dong, B. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2013) Changes in tropical Atlantic interannual variability from a substantial weakening of the meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 41 (9-10). pp. 2765-2784. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1716-x

Polson, D., Hegerl, G. C., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Balan Sarojini, B. (2013) Have greenhouse gases intensified the contrast between wet and dry regions? Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (17). pp. 4783-4787. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50923

Pozzi, W., Sheffield, J., Stefanski, R., Cripe, D., Pulwarty, R., Vogt, J. V., Heim, R. R., Brewer, M. J., Svoboda, M., Westerhoff, R., Van Dijk, A. I.J.M., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Pappenberger, F., Werner, M., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Wagner, W., Schubert, S., Mo, K., Nicholson, M., Bettio, L., Nunez, L., van Beek, R., Bierkens, M., de Goncalves, L. G. G., de Mattos, J. G. Z. and Lawford, R. (2013) Towards global drought early warning capability: expanding international cooperation for the development of a framework for global drought monitoring and forecasting. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94 (6). pp. 776-785. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00176.1

Rankinen, K., Futter, M. N., Butterfield, D., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Skeffington, R., Arvola, L., Veijalainen, N., Huttunen, I. and Lepisto, A. (2013) Controls on inorganic nitrogen leaching from Finnish catchments assessed using a sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the INCA-N model. Boreal Environment Research, 18 (5). pp. 373-386.

Rankou, H., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Jury, S. L. and Christenhusz, M. J. M. (2013) The endemic flora of Morocco. Phytotaxa, 78 (1). pp. 1-69. ISSN 1179-3155 doi: https://doi.org/10.11646/phytotaxa.78.1.1

Schmidt, G. A., Annan, J. D., Bartlein, P. J., Cook, B. I., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hargreaves, J. C., Harrison, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Kageyama, M., Le Grande, A. N., Konecky, B., Lovejoy, S., Mann, M. E., Masson-Delmotte, V., Risi, C., Thompson, D., Timmermann, A., Tremblay, L.-B. and Yiou, Y. (2013) Using paleo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5. Climate of the Past, 9 (1). pp. 775-835. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-775-2013

Shabdin, Z., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Simpson, D. A. and Meekiong, K. (2013) Mapania multiflora, a distinctive new species of Cyperaceae (Mapanioideae) from Borneo. Kew Bulletin, 68 (4). pp. 673-678. ISSN 0075-5974 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12225-013-9474-9

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Kutuzov, S., White, K. H. and Nosenko, G. (2013) Using the significant dust deposition event on the glaciers of Mt. Elbrus, Caucasus Mountains, Russia on 5 May 2009 to develop a method for dating and "provenancing" of desert dust events recorded in snow pack. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13. pp. 1797-1808. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-1797-2013

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Guemas, V., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hazeleger, W., Hermanson, L., Ho, C. K., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Lean, J., Matei, D., Merryfield, W. J., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Rosati, A., Wouters, B. and Wyser, K. (2013) Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (11-12). pp. 2875-2888. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0

Smith, P. and Gregory, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 (2013) Climate change and sustainable food production. Proceedings of the Nutrition Society, 72 (1). pp. 21-28. ISSN 0029-6651 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0029665112002832

Steinmeyer, F. T., Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, Reynolds, M. P. and Jones, H. E. (2013) Quantifying the relationship between temperature regulation in the ear and floret development stage in wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) under heat and drought stress. Functional Plant Biology, 40 (7). pp. 700-707. ISSN 1445-4408 doi: https://doi.org/10.1071/FP12362

Stokes, C.R., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Evans, I.S. and Popovnin, V.V. (2013) Accelerated loss of alpine glaciers in the Kodar Mountains, south-eastern Siberia. Global and Planetary Change, 101. pp. 82-96. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.12.010

Stott, P., Good, P., Jones, G., Gillett, N. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2013) The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (1). 014024. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014024

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2013) Available potential energy and exergy in stratified fluids. Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics, 45. pp. 35-58. ISSN 1545-4479 doi: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-fluid-011212-140620

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2013) Available potential energy density for a multicomponent Boussinesq fluid with arbitrary nonlinear equation of state. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 735. pp. 499-518. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2013.509

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2013) Irreversible compressible work and APE dissipation in turbulent stratified fluid. Physica Scripta, T155. 014033. ISSN 1402-4896 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/0031-8949/2013/T155/014033

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Underwood, F. M. (2013) Describing seasonal variability in the distribution of daily effective temperatures for 1985-2009 compared to 1904-1984 for De Bilt, Holland. Meteorological Applications, 20 (4). pp. 394-404. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1297

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Wolff, E. W., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Knutti, R., Sanchez-Goni, M. F., Wild, O., Daniau, A.-L., Masson-Delmotte, V., Prentice, I. C. and Spahni, R. (2012) How has climate responded to natural perturbations? In: Cornell, S. E., Prentice, I. C., House, J. I. and Downy, C. J. (eds.) Understanding the earth system : global change science for application. Cambridge University Press, pp. 72-101. ISBN 9781107009363

Wood, E. F., Roundy, J. K., Troy, T. J., van Beek, R., Bierkens, M., Blyth, E., de Roo, A., Doll, P., Ek, M., Familglietti, J., Gochis, D., van de Giesen, N., Houser, P., Jaffe, P., Kollett, S., Lehner, B., Lettenmaier, D. P., Peters-Lidiard, C. D., Sivapalan, M., Sheffield, J., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 and Whitehead, P. (2012) Reply to comment by Keith J. Beven and Hannah L. Cloke on 'Hyperresolution global land surface modelling: meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth's terrestrial water'. Water Resources Research, 48 (1). W01802. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011202

Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657 and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2012) Disentangling multi-level systems: averaging, correlations and memory. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2012 (3). P03003. ISSN 1742-5468 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2012/03/P03003

Zhao, Y. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2012) Mid-Holocene monsoons: a multi-model analysis of the inter-hemispheric differences in the responses to orbital forcing and ocean feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 39 (6). pp. 1457-1487. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-001-1193-z

van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Moss, R., Edmonds, J., Thomson, A., Nakicenovic, N., Kram, T., Berkhout, F., Swart, R., Janetos, A., Rose, S. K. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2012) A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities. Global Environmental Change, 22 (1). pp. 21-35. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002

2011

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Human influence on rainfall. Nature, 470 (7334). pp. 344-345. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/470344a

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Incorporating climate change into water resources planning in England and Wales. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47 (3). pp. 541-549. ISSN 1752-1688 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00548.x

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Policy: the perils of doing nothing. Nature Climate Change, 1. pp. 193-195. ISSN 1758-6787 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1157

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Uncertainty in the relationship between climate forcing and hydrological response in UK catchments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 897-912. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-897-2011

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, van Vuuren, D. P. and Isaac, M. (2011) The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 592-603. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.015

Bao, H.-J., Zhao, L.-N., He, Y., Li, Z.-J., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F. and Manful, D. (2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 61-67. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) Migration and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S1-S2. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.005

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S3-S11. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001

Bullard, J., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Baddock, M., Drake, N., Gill, T., McTainsh, M. and Sun, Y. (2011) Preferential dust sources: a geomorphological classification designed and for use in global aerosol models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116 (F4). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JF002061

Carbonero, C. H., Mueller-Harvey, I., Brown, T. A. and Smith, L. (2011) Sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia): a beneficial forage legume. Plant Genetic Resource: Characterization and Utilization, 9 (1). pp. 70-85. ISSN 1479-263X doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1479262110000328

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England - an assessment of draft Water Resources Management Plans. Global Environmental Change, 21 (1). pp. 238-248. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.012

Ciais, P., Tagliabue, A., Cuntz, M., Bopp, L., Scholze, M., Hoffmann, G., Lourantou, A., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C., Kelley, D. I., Kovan, C. and Piao, S. L. (2011) Large inert carbon pool in the terrestrial biosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Geoscience (5). pp. 74-79. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1324

Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, van der Heijden, G. M. F., Palmer, S. M., Chapman, P. J. and Bottrell, S. H. (2011) Variation in the sensitivity of DOC release between different organic soils following H2SO4 and sea-salt additions. European Journal of Soil Science, 62 (2). pp. 267-284. ISSN 1351-0754 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2389.2010.01344.x

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Weisheimer, A. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology: fully coupled simulations with the ECMWF land surface scheme. In: ECMWF/WMO/WCRP Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and climate Prediction Models, 20-24 June 2011, ECMWF, Reading UK.

Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 and Yesson, C. (2011) Biodiversity informatics for climate change studies. In: Hodkinson, T., Jones, M., Waldren, S. and Parnell, J. (eds.) Climate change, ecology and systematics. Cambridge University Press, pp. 231-242. ISBN 9780521766098 (Chapter 10)

De Roo, A., Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Bogner, K., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Demeritt, D., Younis, J., Kalas, M., Bodis, K., Muraro, D. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). International Journal of Digital Earth, 4 (1). pp. 77-90. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17538947.2010.510302

Ellis, R. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3695-6894 (2011) Rice seed quality development and temperature during late development and maturation. Seed Science Research, 21 (2). pp. 95-101. ISSN 0960-2585 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960258510000425

Falchero, L., Brown, R., Hanley, S., Karp, A., Shield, I. and Mueller-Harvey, I. (2011) The structural diversity of condensed tannins in willows (salix spp.): a frist screening to improve the nutritional quality of ruminant products. Advances in Animal Biosciences, 2 (2). p. 410. ISSN 2040-4719

Faranda, D., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Turchetti, G. and Vaienti, S. (2011) Numerical convergence of the Block-Maxima approach to the generalized extreme value distribution. Journal of Statistical Physics, 145 (5). pp. 1156-1180. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-011-0234-7

Gosling, S., Taylor, R. G., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Todd, M. C. (2011) A comparative analysis of projected impacts of climate change on river runoff from global and catchment-scale hydrological models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (1). pp. 279-294. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-279-2011

Gosling, S. N. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2011) Simulating current global river runoff with a global hydrological model: model revisions, validation, and sensitivity analysis. Hydrological Processes, 25 (7). pp. 1129-1145. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7727

Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2011) Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO2-forced climate change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (5-6). pp. 893-914. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0847-6

Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bertrand, N., Best, M., Folwell, S., Kabat, P., Koirala, S., Oki, T., Polcher, J., Stacke, T., Viterbo, P., Weedon, G. P., Yehm, P., Gerten, D., Gomes, S., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hanasaki, N., Harding, R. and Heinke, J. (2011) Multimodel estimate of the global terrestrial water balance: setup and first results. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12 (5). pp. 869-884. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1324.1

Hadjikakou, M., Whitehead, P., Li, J., Futter, M., Hadjinicolaou, P. and Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885 (2011) Modelling nitrogen in the Yeşilirmak River catchment in Northern Turkey: impacts of future climate and environmental change and implications for nutrient management. Science of the Total Environment, 409 (12). pp. 2404-2418. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.02.038

Hannaford, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Keef, C., Parry, S. and Prudhomme, C. (2011) Examining the large-scale spatial coherence of European drought using regional indicators of precipitation and streamflow deficit. Hydrological Processes, 25 (7). pp. 1146-1162. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7725

Harris, B. M. and Highwood, E. (2011) A simple relationship between volcanic sulfate aerosol optical depth and surface temperature change simulated in an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116. D05109. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014581

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability. Weather, 66 (7). pp. 175-179. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.761

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Allison, L. C., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Woollings, T. J., Pohlmann, H. and de Cuevas, B. (2011) Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (10). L10605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047208

Helfter, C., Famulari, D., Phillips, G. J., Barlow, J. F., Wood, C., Grimmond, C. S. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415 and Nemitz, E. (2011) Controls of carbon dioxide concentrations and fluxes above central London. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (5). pp. 1913-1928. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-1913-2011

Heywood, V., Brummitt, R.K., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 and Seberg, O. (2011) Flowering plants: a concise pictorial guide. Kew Publishing, UK. ISBN 9781842464380

Johnson, S. N., Barton, A. T., Clark, K. E., Gregory, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833, McMenemy, L. S. and Hancock, R. D. (2011) Elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide impairs the performance of root-feeding vine weevils by modifying root growth and secondary metabolites. Global Change Biology, 17 (2). pp. 688-695. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02264.x

Kattge, J., Diaz, S., Lavorel, S., Prentice, I. C., Leadley, P., Bonisch, G., Garnier, E., Westoby, M., Reich, P. B., Wright, I. J., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Violle, C., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, van Bodegom, P. M., Reichstein, M., Soudzilovskaia, N. A., Ackerly, D. D., Anand, M., Atkin, O., Bahn, M., Baker, T. R., Baldocchi, D., Bekker, R., Blanco, C., Blonder, B., Bond, W., Bradstock, R., Bunker, D. E., Casanoves, F., Cavender-Bares, J., Chambers, J., Chapin, F. S., Chave, J., Coomes, D., Cornwell, W. K., Craine, J. M., Dobrin, B. H., Durka, W., Elser, J., Enquist, B. J., Esser, G., Estiarte, M., Fagan, W. F., Fang, J., Fernandez, F., Fidelis, A., Finegan, B., Flores, O., Ford, H., Frank, D., Freschet, G. T., Fyllas, N. M., Gallagher, R., Green, W., Gutierrez, A. G., Hickler, T., Higgins, S., Hodgson, J. G., Jalili, A., Jansen, S., Kerkhoff, A. J., Kirkup, D., Kitajima, K., Kleyer, M., Klotz, S., Knops, J. M. H., Kramer, K., Kuhn, I., Kurokawa, H., Laughlin, D., Lee, T. D., Leishman, M., Lens, F., Lenz, T., Lewis, S. L., Lloyd, J., Llusia, J., Louault, F., Ma, S., Mahecha, M. D., Manning, P., Massad, T., Medlyn, B., Messier, J., Moles, A., Muller, S., Nadrowski, K., Naeem, S., Niinemets, U., Nollert, S., Nuske, A., Ogaya, R., Joleksyn, J., Onipchenko, V. G., Onoda, Y., Ordonez, J., Overbeck, G., Ozinga, W., Patino, S., Paula, S., Pausas, J. G., Penuelas, J., Phillips, O. L., Pillar, V., Poorter, H., Poorter, L., Poschlod, P., Proulx, R., Rammig, A., Reinsch, S., Reu, B., Sack, L., Salgado, B., Sardans, J., Shiodera, S., Shipley, B., Sosinski, E., Soussana, J.-F., Swaine, E., Swenson, N., Thompson, K., Thornton, P., Waldram, M., Weiher, E., White, M., Wright, S. J., Zaehle, S., Zanne, A. E. and Wirth, C. (2011) TRY: a global database of plant traits. Global Change Biology, 17 (9). pp. 2905-2935. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02451.x

Lavers, D., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049783

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Ragone, F. (2011) Energetics of climate models: net energy balance and meridional enthalpy transport. Reviews of Geophysics, 49 (RG1001). ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000323

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Sarno, S. (2011) A statistical mechanical approach for the computation of the climatic response to general forcings. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (1). pp. 7-28. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-18-7-2011

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Fraedrich, K. and Ragone, F. (2011) New results on the thermodynamical properties of the climate system. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (10). pp. 2438-2458. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3713.1

McMahon, S. M., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Armbruster, W. S., Bartlein, P. J., Beale, C. M., Edwards, M. E., Kattge, J., Midgley, G., Morin, X. and Prentice, I. C. (2011) Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 26 (5). pp. 249-259. ISSN 0169-5347 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2011.02.012

Mitchell, D., Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 and Gray, L. J. (2011) Characterising the variability and extremes of the stratospheric polar vortices using 2D moment analysis. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (6). pp. 1194-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3555.1

Mooney, S., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Bartlein, P. J., Daniai, A.-L., Stevenson, J., Brownlie, K., Buckman, S., Cupper, M., Luly, J., Black, M., Colhoun, E., D'Costa, D., Dodson, J., Haberle, S., Hope, G. S., Kershaw, P., Kenyon, C., McKenzie, M. and Williams, N. (2011) Late Quaternary fire regimes of Australasia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 30 (1-2). pp. 28-46. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.10.010

Myhre, G., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978, Radel, G., Gauss, M., Isaksen, I.S.A., Tang, Q., Prather, M.J., Williams, J.E., van Velthoven, P., Dessens, O., Koffi, B., Szopa, S., Hoor, P., Grewe, V., Borken-Kleefeld, J., Berntsen, T.K. and Fuglestvedt, J.S. (2011) Radiative forcing due to changes in ozone and methane caused by the transport sector. Atmospheric Environment, 45. pp. 387-394. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.10.001

Osbahr, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0130-2313, Dorward, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2831-3693, Cooper, S. and Stern, R. (2011) Supporting agricultural innovation in Uganda to respond to climate risk: linking climate change and variability with farmer perceptions. Experimental Agriculture, 47 (2). pp. 293-316. ISSN 1469-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0014479710000785

Pacifico, F., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Jones, C. D., Arneth, A., Sitch, S., Weedon, G., Barkley, M. P., Palmer, P. I., Serca, D., Potosnak, M., Fu, T.-M., Goldstein, A., Bai, J. and Schurgers, G. (2011) Evaluation of a photosynthesis-based biogenic isoprene emission scheme in JULES and simulation of isoprene emissions under present-day climate conditions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (9). pp. 4371-4389. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-4371-2011 (28311-28354)

Pappenberger, F., Bogner, K., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Thielen, J. (2011) Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 27-32. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-27-2011

Pellikaan, W. F., Stringano, E., Leenaars, J., Bongers, D. J. G. M., Van Laar-Van Schuppen, S., Plant, J. and Mueller-Harvey, I. (2011) Evaluating the effects of tannins on the extent and rate of in vitro measured gas and methane production using the Automated Pressure Evaluation System (APES). Animal Feed Science and Technology, 166-167. pp. 377-390. ISSN 0377-8401 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.anifeedsci.2011.04.072

Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Bartlein, P. J. (2011) Global vegetation and terrestrial carbon cycle changes after the last ice age. New Phytologist, 189 (4). pp. 988-998. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03620.x

Prentice, I. C., Kelley, D. I., Foster, P. N., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Bartlein, P. J. (2011) Modelling fire and the terrestrial carbon balance. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 25 (3). GB3005. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GB003906

Prentice, I. C., Meng, T., Wang, H., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Ni, J. and Wang, G. (2011) Evidence of a universal scaling relationship for leaf CO2 drawdown along an aridity gradient. New Phytologist, 190 (1). pp. 169-180. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03579.x

Roberts, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Kuzucuoğlu, C., Perez, R. and Sadori, L. (2011) The mid-Holocene climatic transition in the Mediterranean: causes and consequences. The Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 3-13. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683610388058

Semenov, M. A. and Shewry, P. R. (2011) Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe. Scientific Reports, 1. 66. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep00066

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Popovnin, V., Aleynikov, A. and Stokes, C. R. (2011) Geodetic mass balance of Azarova glacier, Kodar Mountains, eastern Siberia, and its links to observed and projected climatic change. Annals of Glaciology, 52 (58). pp. 129-137. ISSN 1727-5644

Shaw, M. W. and Osborne, T. M. (2011) Geographic distribution of plant pathogens in response to climate change. Plant Pathology, 60 (1). pp. 31-43. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02407.x

Simpson, D. A., Yesson, C., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133, Couch, C. A. and Muasya, A. M. (2011) Climate change and Cyperaceae. In: Hodkinson, T., Jones, M., Waldren, S. and Parnell, J. (eds.) Climate change, ecology and systematics. Cambridge University Press, pp. 439-456. ISBN 9780521766098 (Chapter 19)

Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Todd, M., Taylor, R., Osborn, T., Kingston, D., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Gosling, S. (2011) Uncertainty in climate change impacts on basin-scale freshwater resources – preface to the special issue: the QUEST-GSI methodology and synthesis of results. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 1035-1046. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1035-2011

Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 21-25. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-21-2011

Wood, C. R. and Harrison, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X (2011) Scorch marks from the sky. Weather, 66 (2). pp. 39-41. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.657

Yesson, C. and Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 (2011) Biogeography of cyclamen: an application of phyloclimatic modelling. In: Hodkinson, T., Jones, M., Waldren, S. and Parnell, J. (eds.) Climate change, ecology and systematics. Cambridge University Press, pp. 265-279. ISBN 9780521766098 (Chapter 12)

Zachary, S., Dent, C. J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand. In: Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE, 24-29 July 2011, San DIego, CA, USA, pp. 1-8.

Zahn, M. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Changes in water vapor transports of the ascending branch of the tropical circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D18111. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016206

Zappa, G., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Navarra, A. (2011) Baroclinic stationary waves in aquaplanet models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (5). pp. 1023-1040. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3573.1

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2011) The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 575-591. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003

2010

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liepert, B. G. (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W. and Good, P. (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025205. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2010) Adapting to climate change: an evolving research programme. Climatic Change, 100 (1). pp. 107-111. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9839-0

Baum, A., Scully, P. J., Perrie, W., Liu, D. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2010) Mechanisms of femtosecond laser-induced refractive index modification of poly(methyl methacrylate). Journal of the Optical Society of America B-Optical Physics, 27 (1). pp. 107-111. ISSN 0030-3941 doi: https://doi.org/10.1364/JOSAB.27.000107

Charlton, M., Bailey, A. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, (2010) Water for agriculture: implications for future policy and practice. Report. Royal Agricultural Society of England pp94.

Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Dacre, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Maskell, K., Reynolds, R., South, R. and Wood, C. (2010) Meteorology and climate inspire secondary school students. School Science Review, 92 (339). pp. 75-82. ISSN 0036-6811

Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Billett, M. F., Coyle, M., Croft, S., Daniels, S., Evans, C. D., Evans, M., Freeman, C., Gallego-Sala, A. V., Heinemeyer, A., House, J. I., Monteith, D. T., Nayak, D., Orr, H. G., Prentice, I. C., Rose, R., Rowson, J., Smith, J. U., Smith, P., Tun, Y. M., Vanguelova, E., Wetterhall, F. and Worrall, F. (2010) Model inter-comparison between statistical and dynamic model assessments of the long-term stability of blanket peat in Great Britain (1940-2099). Climate Research, 45. pp. 227-248. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00974

Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Gallego-Sala, A. V., Allott, T. E. H., Chapman , S. J., Farewell, T., Freeman, C., House, J. I., Orr, H. G., Prentice, I. C. and Smith, P. (2010) Assessing the vulnerability of blanket peat to climate change using an ensemble of statistical bioclimatic envelope models. Climate Research, 45. pp. 131-150. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00929

Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Orr, H. G., Freer, J., House, J. I., Smith, P. and Freeman, C. (2010) Assessment of projected changes in upland environments using simple climatic indices. Climate Research, 45. pp. 87-104. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00923

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Jeffers, C., Wetterhall, F., Byrne, T., Lowe, J. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment UK with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD. Hydrological Processes, 24 (24). pp. 3476-3489. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7769

Dall'Osto, M., Harrison, R., Highwood, E. J., O'Dowd, C., Ceburnis, D., Querol, X. and Achterberg, E. (2010) Variation of the mixing state of Saharan dust particles with atmospheric transport. Atmospheric Environment, 44 (26). 3135 -3146 . ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.05.030

Daniau, A. -L., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Bartlein, P. J. (2010) Fire regimes during the last glacial. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (21-22). pp. 2918-2930. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.11.008 (special issue, SI)

Demeritt, D., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting. Meteorological Applications, 17 (2). pp. 209-222. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.194

Gosling, S. N., Bretherton, D., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2010) Global hydrology modelling and uncertainty: running multiple ensembles with a campus grid. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1926). pp. 4005-4021. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0164

Hagg, W., Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Mayer, C., Lambrecht, A. and Popovnin, V. (2010) A sensitivity study for water availability in the Northern Caucasus based on climate projections. Global and Planetary Change, 73 (3-4). pp. 161-171. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.05.005

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Sanchez Goni, M. F. (2010) Global patterns of vegetation response to millennial-scale variability and rapid climate change during the last glacial period. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (21-22). pp. 2957-2980. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.07.016

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Marlon, J. and Bartlein, P. J. (2010) Fire in the Earth System. In: Dodson, J. (ed.) Changing Climates, Earth Systems and Society. International Year of Planet Earth. Springer-Verlag, pp. 21-48. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8716-4_3

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C., Barboni, D., Kohfield, K. E., Ni, J. and Sutra, J.-P. (2010) Ecophysiological and bioclimatic foundations for a global plant functional classification. Journal of Vegetation Science, 21 (2). pp. 300-317. ISSN 1100-9233 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1654-1103.2009.01144.x

He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Bao, H., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Li, Z., Pappenberger, F., Hu, Y., Manful, D. and Huang, Y. (2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11 (2). pp. 132-138. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.270

Heap, M. J. and Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 (2010) Automated pre-processing strategies for species occurrence data used in biodiversity modelling. Lecture Notes in Computer Science: Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, Part I (6279). pp. 517-526. ISSN 0302-9743 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15384-6

House, J. I., Orr, H. G., Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Gallego-Sala, A. V., Freeman, C., Prentice, I. C. and Smith, P. (2010) Climate change and the British Uplands: evidence for decision-making. Climate Research, 45. pp. 3-12. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00982

Jagadish, S.V.K., Cairns, J., Lafitte, R., Wheeler, T. R., Price, A.H. and Craufurd, P. Q. (2010) Genetic analysis of heat tolerance at anthesis in rice. Crop Science, 50 (5). pp. 1633-1641. ISSN 0011-183X doi: https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci2009.09.0516

Jagadish, S.V.K., Muthurajan, R., Oane, R., Wheeler, T. R., Heuer, S., Bennett, J. and Craufurd, P. Q. (2010) Physiological and proteomic approaches to address heat tolerance during anthesis in rice (Oryza sativa L.). Journal of Experimental Botany, 61 (1). pp. 143-156. ISSN 0022-0957 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp289

Li, S., Wheeler, T., Challinor, A., Lin, E., Xu, Y. and Ju, H. (2010) Simulating the impacts of global warming on wheat in China using a large area crop model. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 24 (1). pp. 123-135. ISSN 0894-0525

Li, S., Wheeler, T. R., Challinor, A., Lin, E., Ju, H. and Xu, Y. (2010) The observed relationships between wheat and climate in China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150 (11). pp. 1412-1419. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.07.003

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Fraedrich, K. and Lunkeiot, F. (2010) Thermodynamic analysis of snowball Earth hysteresis experiment: Efficiency, entropy production and irreversibility. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (646). pp. 2-11. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.543

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Fraedrich, K. and Lunkeit, F. (2010) Thermodynamics of climate change: generalized sensitivities. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (20). pp. 9729-9737. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9729-2010

McConnell, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113, Formenti, P., Highwood, E. J. and Harrison, M. A. J. (2010) Using aircraft measurements to determine the refractive index of Saharan dust during the DODO Experiments. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (6). pp. 3081-3098. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-3081-2010

McMeeking, G., Hamburger, T., Liu, D., Flynn, M., Morgan, W., Northway, M., Highwood, E. J., Krejci, R., Allan, J., Minikin, A. and Coe, H. (2010) Black carbon measurements in the boundary layer over western and northern Europe. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9393-9414. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9393-2010

Morgan, W., Allan, J., Bower, K., Esselborn, M., Harris, B., Henzing, J., Highwood, E. J., Kiendler-Scharr, A., Mcmeeking, G., Mensah, A., Northway, M., Osborne, S., Williams, P., Krejci, R. and Coe, H. (2010) Enhancement of the aerosol direct radiative effect by semi-volatile aerosol components: airborne measurements in North-Western Europe. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (17). pp. 8251-8171. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-8151-2010

Ni, J., Yu, G., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Prentice, I. C. (2010) Palaeovegetation in China during the late Quaternary: Biome reconstructions based on a global scheme of plant functional types. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 289 (1-4). pp. 44-61. ISSN 0031-0182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.02.008

Nobert, S., Demeritt, D. and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2010) Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 3 (1). pp. 72-79. ISSN 1753-318X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1753-318X.2009.01056.x

Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Balsamo, G.-P. and Oki, T. (2010) Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system. International Journal of Climatology, 30. pp. 2155-2174. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2028

Poulter, B., Hattermann, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Restrepo-Coupe, N., Heyder , U. and Cramer, W. (2010) Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology, 16 (9). pp. 2476-2495. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x

Power, M. J., Marlon, J. R., Bartlein, P. J. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2010) Fire history and the Global Charcoal Database: a new tool for hypothesis testing and data exploration. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 291 (1-2). pp. 52-59. ISSN 0031-0182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2009.09.014 (special issue, SI)

Sanchez Goni, M. F. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2010) Millennial-scale climate variability and vegetation changes during the last glacial: concepts and terminology. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (21-22). pp. 2823-2827. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.11.014 (Special issues, SI)

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Nosenko, G., Khromova, T. and Muraveyev, A. (2010) Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the mid-20th century: An assessment using remote sensing and PRECIS regional climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D16107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD012976

Tailleux, R. G. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2010) Entropy versus APE production: on the buoyancy power input in the oceans energy cycle. Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L22603. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044962

Tailleux, R.G.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2010) Identifying and quantifying nonconservative energy production/destruction terms in hydrostatic Boussinesq primitive equation models. Ocean Modelling, 34 (3-4). pp. 125-136. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.05.003

Teixeira, M.A.C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1205-3233 and Belcher, S. E. (2010) On the structure of Langmuir turbulence. Ocean modelling, 31 (3-4). pp. 105-119. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2009.10.007

Theodoridou, K., Aufrere, J., Andueza, D., Pourrat, J., Le Morvan, A., Stringano, E., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Baumont, R. (2010) The effect of condensed tannins in fresh sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia) on in vivo and in situ digestion in sheep. Animal Feed Science and Technology, 160 (1-2). pp. 23-38. ISSN 0377-8401 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.anifeedsci.2010.06.007

Thonicke, K., Spessa, A., Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Dong, L. and Carmona-Moreno, C. (2010) The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model. Biogeosciences, 7 (6). pp. 1991-2011. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-7-1991-2010

Tompkins, E.L., Adger, W.N., Boyd, E., Nicholson-Cole, S., Weatherhead, K. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2010) Observed adaptation to climate change: UK evidence of transition to a well-adapting society. Global Environmental Change, 20 (4). pp. 627-635. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.05.001

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hannachi, A. (2010) Is there regime behavior in monsoon convection in the late 20th century? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L16706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044159

Wheeler, T. and Kay, M. (2010) Food crop production, water and climate change in the developing world. Outlook on Agriculture, 39 (4). 239 -243. ISSN 0030-7270 doi: https://doi.org/10.5367/oa.2010.0017

Wood, C. R. (2010) Adapting our cities for future climates: 17 February 2010. Weather, 65 (11). pp. 307-309. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.602

Wu, Y., Gan, G., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Garcia Gonzalez, R. (2010) Experimental measurement and numerical simulation of horizontal-coupled slinky ground source heat exchangers. Applied Thermal Engineering, 30 (16). pp. 2574-2583. ISSN 1359-4311 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2010.07.008

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Barker, T., Criqui, P., Bauer, N., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2010) Scenarios as the basis for assessment of mitigation and adaptation. In: Hulme, M. and Neufeldt, H. (eds.) Making Climate Change Work For Us. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 54-86. ISBN 9780521119412

van den Bosch, F., Fraaije, B. A., van den Berg, F. and Shaw, M. W. (2010) Evolutionary bi-stability in pathogen transmission mode. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 277. pp. 1735-1742. ISSN 1471-2954 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2009.2211

2009

Ackerley, D., Highwood, E. J., Harrison, M., McConnell, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113, Joshi, M. M., Walters, D., Milton, S., Greed, G. and Brooks, M. (2009) The development of a new dust uplift scheme in the Met Office Unified Model. Meteorological Applications, 16 (4). pp. 445-460. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.141

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Charlton, M. B. (2009) Adapting to the effects of climate change on water supply reliability. In: Adger, W.N., Lorenzoni, I. and O'Brien, K. L. (eds.) Adapting to climate change: thresholds, values, governance. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 42-53. ISBN 9780521764858

Betts, R.A., Falloon, P.D., Gornall, J., Kaye, N., Wiltshire, A. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Climate change and food security. In: Climate Sense. Tudor Rose, Leicester, pp. 39-41. ISBN 9789263110435

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Pappenberger, F. (2009) Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. Journal of Hydrology, 375 (3-4). pp. 613-626. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005

Cordova, C. E., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Mudie, P. J., Riehl, S., Leroy, S. A. G. and Ortiz, N. (2009) Pollen, plant macrofossil and charcoal records for palaeovegetation reconstruction in the Mediterranean-Black Sea Corridor since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary International, 197. pp. 12-26. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2007.06.015

Durant, A. J., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Watson, I. M. and Balkanski, Y. (2009) Sensitivity of direct radiative forcing by mineral dust to particle characteristics. Progress in Physical Geography, 33 (1). pp. 80-102. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133309105034

George, T. S., Richardson, A. E., Li , S. S., Gregory, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 and Daniell, T. J. (2009) Extracellular release of a heterologous phytase from roots of transgenic plants: does manipulation of rhizosphere biochemistry impact microbial community structure? FEMS Microbiology Ecology, 70 (3). pp. 433-445. ISSN 1574-6941 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-6941.2009.00762.x

Gosling, S. N., Lowe, J. and McGregor, G. (2009) Projected impacts on heat-related mortality from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 6. 142010. ISSN 1755-1315 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1307/6/14/142010

Gosling, S. N., McGregor, G. and Lowe, J. (2009) Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change. International Journal of Biometeorology, 53 (1). pp. 31-51. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-008-0189-9

Gregory, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833, Johnson, S. N., Newton, A. C. and Ingram, J. S. I. (2009) Integrating pests and pathogens into the climate change/food security debate. Journal of Experimental Botany, 60 (10). pp. 2827-2838. ISSN 0022-0957 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erp080

Hargreaves, C. E., Gregory, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 and Bengough, A. G. (2009) Measuring root traits in barley (Hordeum vulgare ssp vulgare and ssp spontaneum) seedlings using gel chambers, soil sacs and X-ray microtomography. Plant and Soil, 316 (1-2). pp. 285-297. ISSN 0032-079X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-008-9780-4

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Climate predictability in the second year. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 367 (1890). pp. 913-916. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0181

Keeley, S. P. E., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2009) Does the North Atlantic Oscillation show unusual persistence on intraseasonal timescales? Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L22706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040367

Kingston, D., Todd, M., Taylor, R., Thompson, J. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2009) Uncertainty in the estimation of potential evapotranspiration under climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L20403. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040267

Li, Y., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Zhao, P. and Ju, J. (2009) Simulations of the impacts of dynamic vegetation and interannual and interdecadal variability of Asian summer monsoon with modern and mid-Holocene orbital forcings. Global and Planetary Change, 66 (3-4). pp. 235-252. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.12.013

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2009) Evidence of dispersion relations for the nonlinear response of the Lorenz 63 system. Journal of Statistical Physics, 134 (2). pp. 381-400. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-008-9675-z

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2009) Symmetry-break in Voronoi tessellations. Symmetry, 1 (1). pp. 21-54. ISSN 2073-8994 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/sym1010021

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2009) Thermodynamic efficiency and entropy production in the climate system. Physical Review E, 80 (2). 021118-021118. ISSN 1539-3755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.80.021118

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2009) Three-dimensional random Voronoi tessellations: From cubic crystal lattices to Poisson point processes. Journal of Statistical Physics, 134 (1). pp. 185-206. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-008-9668-y

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Fraedrich, K. (2009) Symmetry breaking, mixing, instability, and low frequency variability in a minimal Lorenz-like system. Physical Review E, 80 (2). 026313. ISSN 1539-3755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.80.026313

Meng, T.-T., Ni, J. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2009) Plant morphometric traits and climate gradients in northern China: a meta-analysis using quadrat and flora data. Annals of Botany, 104 (6). pp. 1217-1229. ISSN 1095-8290 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcp230

Pacifico, F., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Jones, C. D. and Sitch, S. (2009) Isoprene emissions and climate. Atmospheric Environment, 43 (39). pp. 6121-6135. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.09.002

Parry, M. L., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Berry, P., Dodman, D., Fankhauser, S., Hope, C., Kovats, S., Nicholls, R., Satterthwaite, D., Tiffin, R. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Assessing the costs of adaptation to climate change: a review of the UNFCCC and other recent estimates. International Institute for Environment and Development and Grantham Institute for Climate Change, London, pp111. ISBN 9781843697459

Parry, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Berry, P., Dodman, D., Fankhauser, S., Hope, C., Kovats, S., Nicholls, R., Satterthwaite, D., Tiffin, R., Wheeler, T., Lowe, J. A. and Hanson, C. (2009) Report on reports: adaptation to climate change: assessing the costs. Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 51 (6). pp. 29-36. ISSN 1939-9154 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00139150903337423

Prentice, I. C. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2009) Ecosystem effects of CO2 concentration: evidence from past climates. Climate of the Past, 5 (3). pp. 297-307. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-5-297-2009

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Hagg, W., Hassell, D., Stokes, C. R. and Popovnin, V. (2009) Climate change, glacier retreat, and water availability in the Caucasus region. In: Jones, J. A. A., Vardanian , T. G. and Hakopian, C. (eds.) Threats to global water security. NATO science for peace and security series C: environmental security . Springer, pp. 131-143. ISBN 9789048123445 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-2344-5

Vitolo, R., Ruti, P. M., Dell'Aquila, A., Felici, M., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Speranza, A. (2009) Accessing extremes of mid-latitudinal wave activity: methodology and application. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 61 (1). pp. 35-49. ISSN 0280-6495

2008

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F. and Renaud, J.-P. (2008) Multi-method global sensitivity analysis (MMGSA) for modelling floodplain hydrological processes. Hydrological Processes, 22 (11). pp. 1660-1674. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6734

Crompton, L. A. and Wheeler, T. R. (2008) Abstracts of communications: proceedings of the fortieth meeting of the Agricultural Research Modellers' Group. Journal of Agricultural Science, 146 (6). pp. 717-731. ISSN 0021-8596 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859608008083

Gregory, P.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 and Ingram, J.S.I. (2008) Climate change and the current 'food crisis'. CAB Reviews: Perspectives in Agriculture, Veterinary Science, Nutrition and Natural Resources, 3 (099). ISSN 1749-8848 doi: https://doi.org/10.1079/PAVSNNR20083099

Ingram, J.S.I., Gregory, P.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 and Izac, A.-M. (2008) The role of agronomic research in climate change and food security policy. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 126 (1-2). pp. 4-12. ISSN 0167-8809 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2008.01.009

Kayastha, R. B. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2008) Changes of the equilibrium line altitude since the Little Ice Age in the Nepalese Himalayas. Annals of Glaciology, 48 (1). pp. 93-99. ISSN 1727-5644 doi: https://doi.org/10.3189/172756408784700581

Kundzewicz, Z., Mata, L., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Doll, P., Jimenez, B., Miller, K., Oki, T., Sen, Z. and Shiklomanov, I. (2008) The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53 (1). pp. 3-10. ISSN 0262-6667

Li, L. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2008) Simulations of the impact of orbital forcing and ocean on the Asian summer monsoon during the Holocene. Global and Planetary Change, 60 (3-4). pp. 505-522. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.06.002

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2008) From symmetry breaking to Poisson Point Process in 2D Voronoi Tessellations: the generic nature of hexagons. Journal of Statistical Physics, 130. pp. 1047-1062. ISSN 0022-4715

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2008) Response theory for equilibrium and non-equilibrium statistical mechanics: causality and generalized Kramers-Kronig relations. Journal of Statistical Physics, 131 (3). pp. 543-558. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-008-9498-y

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Danihlik, R., Kriegerova, I. and Speranza, A. (2008) Hydrological cycle in the Danube basin in present-day and XXII century simulations by IPCCAR4 global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113. D09107-D09107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD009167

Mahmood-ul-Hassan, M. and Gregory, P.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 (2008) The role of rainfall intensity and soil in determining rates of flow through cryoturbated chalk. Pakistan Journal of Scientific and Industrial Research, 51 (5). pp. 235-241. ISSN 0030-9885

Mueller-Harvey, I. (2008) Sustainable farming practices for optimising the synthesis of natural and veterinary products. In: Scaife, J. R. and Vercoe, P. E. (eds.) Harvesting knowledge, pharming opportunities. British Society of Animal Science, pp. 21-34. ISBN 9780906562635

Polo, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Losada, T. and García-Serrano, J. (2008) Tropical Atlantic variability modes (1979–2002). Part I: Time-evolving SST modes related to West African rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (24). pp. 6457-6475. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2607.1

Warren, R., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Nicholls, R. (2008) Regional impacts of climate change. In: Cuff, D. J. and Goudie, A. S. (eds.) The Oxford Companion to Global Change. Oxford University Press, USA, pp. 352-358. ISBN 9780195324884

Warren, R., de la Nava Santos, S., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Bane, M., Barker, T., Barton, C., Ford, R., Füssel, H.-M., Hankin, R. K.S., Klein, R., Linstead, C., Kohler, J., Mitchell, T.D., Osborn, T.J., Pan, H., Raper, S.C.B., Riley, G., Schellnhüber, H.J., Winne, S. and Anderson, D. (2008) Development and illustrative outputs of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS), a multi-institutional modular integrated assessment approach for modelling climate change. Environmental Modelling and Software, 23 (5). pp. 592-610. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.09.002

Wohlfahrt, J., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Braconnot, P., Hewitt, C. D., Kitoh, A., Mikolajewicz, U., Otto-Bliesner, B. L. and Weber, S. L. (2008) Evaluation of coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations of northern hemisphere extratropical climates in the mid-Holocene. Climate Dynamics, 31 (7-8). pp. 871-890. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0415-5

Yu, G., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Chen, X. and Zheng, Y. (2008) Late Quaternary palaeoclimate simulations and data-model comparisons for the East Asia monsoon system. In: Fu, C. B. (ed.) Changes in the Human-Monsoon system of East Asia in the Context of Global Change. SCOPE/START Rapid Assessment Project. World Scientific Publishing, Part 1. A Review of Global Change Research in East Asia.. ISBN 9789812832412

2007

Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Joussaume, S., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Hewitt, C. D., Kagayama, M., Kitoh, A., Loutre, M.-F., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Ramstein, G., Valdes, P., Weber, L., Yu, Y. and Zhao, Y. (2007) Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum, Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. Climate of the Past, 3 (2). pp. 261-277. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-3-261-2007

Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Joussaume, S., Petershcmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Fichefet, T., Hewitt, C. D., Kagayama, M., Kitoh, A., Loutre, M.-F., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Ramstein, G., Valdes, P., Weber, L., Yu, Y. and Zhao, Y. (2007) Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum, Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. Climate of the Past, 3 (2). pp. 279-296. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-3-279-2007

Edwards, T., Crucifix, M. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2007) Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve estimates of global warming. Progress in Physical Geography, 31 (5). pp. 481-500. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133307083295

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2007) Data-model comparisons. In: Encyclopedia of Quaternary Sience. Elsevier.

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2007) The role of ocean and vegetation feedbacks in the mid-Holocene: how realistic are the models? In: Kutzbach, G. (ed.) Climate Variability and Change: Past, Present and Future - John E Kutzbach Symposium. Centre for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison, pp. 167-187.

Lavorel, S., Diaz, S., Cornelissen, H., Garnier, E., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, McIntyre, S., Pausas, J., Perez-Harguindeguy, N. and Urcely, C. (2007) Plant functional types: are we getting any closer to the Holy Grail? In: Canadell, J., Pitelka, L. F. and Pataki, D. (eds.) Terrestrial Ecosystems in a changing World. Springer-Verlag, pp. 149-164.

Li, S., Wheeler, T. R. and Challinor, A. (2007) Development of large area wheat crop model for studying climate change impacts in China. Journal of Agricultural Science, 145 (6). p. 647. ISSN 0021-8596 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0021859607007459

Liu, Y., Sun, Y. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2007) A numerical study on the early Holocene climate. Chinese Journal of Geophysics (Chinese Edition), 50 (5). pp. 1337-1350.

Prentice, I. C., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Hickler, T., Lucht, W., Sitch, S., Smith, B. and Sykes, M. T. (2007) Dynamic vegetation modelling: quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change. In: Canadell, J., Pitelka, L. F. and Pataki, D. (eds.) Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. Springer-Verlag, 175-192.

Zhao, Y., Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Yiou, P. and Marti, O. (2007) Simulated changes in the relationship between tropical ocean temperatures and the western African monsoon during the mid-Holocene. Climate Dynamics, 28 (5). pp. 533-551. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0196-7

2006

Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Delaney, E. K. (2006) Adapting to climate change: public water supply in England and Wales. Climatic Change, 78 (2-4). pp. 227-255. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9067-9

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Anderson, M. G., McDonnell, J. J. and Renaud, J. -P. (2006) Using numerical modelling to evaluate the capillary fringe groundwater ridging hypothesis of streamflow generation. Journal of Hydrology, 316 (1-4). pp. 141-162. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.04.017

Ni, J., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C., Kutzbach, J. E. and Sitch, S. (2006) Impact of climate variability on present and Holocene vegetation: a model-based study. Ecological Modelling, 191 (3-4). pp. 469-486. ISSN 0304-3800 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.05.019

Scholze, M., Knorr, W., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Prentice, I.C. (2006) A climate change risk analysis for world ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103 (35). pp. 13116-13120. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0601816103

Sear, D.A. and Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2006) The application of palaeohydrology in river management. Catena, 66 (1-2). pp. 169-183. ISSN 0341-8162 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2005.11.009

Sinha, R., Smykatz-Kloss, W., Stuben, D., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Berner, Z. and Kramer, U. (2006) Late Quaternary palaeoclimatic reconstruction from the lacustrine sediments of the Sambhar playa core. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 233 (3-4). pp. 252-270. ISSN 0031-0182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2005.09.012

2005

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2005) Snowlines at the Last Glacial Maximum and tropical cooling. Quaternary International, 138-139. pp. 5-7. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2005.02.002

Kageyama, M., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Abe-Ouchi, A. (2005) The depression of tropical snow lines at the Last Glacial Maximum: what can we learn from climate and model experiments? Quaternary International, 138-139. pp. 202-219. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2005.02.013

Kohfield, K. E., Le Quere, C., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Anderson, R. F. (2005) Role of marine biology in glacial-interglacial CO2 cycles. Science, 308 (5718). pp. 74-78. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1105375

Le Quere, C., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C., Buitenhuis, E. T., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Cluastre, H., Cotrim da Cunha, L., Geider, R., Giraud, X., Klaas, C., Kohfield, K. E., Legendre, L., Manizza, M., Platt, T., Rivkin, R. B., Sathyendranath, S., Uitz, J., Watson, A. J. and Wolf-Gladrow, D. (2005) Ecosystem dynamics based on plankton functional types for global ocean biogeochemistry models. Global Change Biology, 11 (11). pp. 2016-2040. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.1004.x

Mark, B., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Spessa, A., New, A., Evans, D. and Helmens, K. (2005) Tropical snowline changes at the last glacial maximum: A global assessment. Quaternary International (138-139). pp. 168-201. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2005.02.012

Osmaston, H. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2005) The Late Quaternary glaciation of Africa: A regional synthesis. Quaternary International (138-139). pp. 32-54. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2005.02.005

Zhao, Y., Braconnot, P., Marti, O., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Hewitt, C., Kitoh, A., Liu, Z., Mikolajewicz, U., Otto-Bliesner, B. and Weber, S. L. (2005) A multi-model analysis of the role of the ocean on the African and Indian monsoon during mid-Holocene. Climate Dynamics, 25 (7-8). pp. 777-800. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-005-0075-7

2004

Barboni, D., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Bartlein, P. J., Jalut, G., New, M., Prentice, I. C., Sanchez-Goni, M. F., Spessa, A., Davis, B. and Stevenson, A. C. (2004) Relationships between plant traits and climate in the Mediterranean region: an analysis based on pollen data. Journal of Vegetation Science, 15 (5). pp. 635-646. ISSN 1100-9233 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1654-1103.2004.tb02305.x

Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Joussaume, S., Hewitt, C. D., Kitoh, A., Kutzbach, J., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B., Syktus, J. and Weber, S. L. (2004) Evaluation of PMIP coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations of the mid-Holocene. In: Battarbee, R. W., Gasse, F. and Stickley, C. E. (eds.) Past Climate Variability through Europe and Africa. Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 515-533.

Liu, Z., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Kutzbach, J. E. and Otto-Bliesner, B. (2004) Global monsoons in the mid-Holocene and oceanic feedback. Climate Dynamics, 22 (2-3). pp. 157-182. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-003-0372-y

Miles, G.M., Grainger, R.G. and Highwood, E.J. (2004) The significance of volcanic eruption strength and frequency for climate. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 130 (602). pp. 2361-2376. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.03.60

Pickett, E. J., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Hope, G., Harle, K., Dodson, J. R., Kershaw, A. P., Prentice, I. C., Backhouse, J., Colhoun, E. A., D'Costa, D., Flenley, J., Grindrod, J., Haberle, S., Hassell, C., Kenyon, C., Macphail, M., Martin, A. H., McKenzie, M., Newsome, J. C., Penny, D., Powell, J., Raine, J. I., Southern, W., Stevenson, J., Sutra, J. P., Thomas, I., van der Kaars, S. and Ward, J. (2004) Pollen-based reconstructions of biome distributions for Australia, Southeast Asia and the Pacific (SEAPAC region) at 0,6000 and 18,000 14C yr B.P. Journal of Biogeography, 31 (9). pp. 1381-1444. ISSN 1365-2699 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2004.01001.x

Tegen, I., Werner, M., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Kohfeld, K. E. (2004) Relative importance of climate and land use in determining present and future global soil dust emission. Geophysical Research Letters, 31 (5). L05105. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL019216

Wohlfahrt, J., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Braconnot, P. (2004) Synergistic feedbacks between ocean and vegetation on mid- and high-latitude climates during the mid-Holocene. Climate Dynamics, 22 (2-3). pp. 223-238. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-003-0379-4

2003

Bigelow, N. H., Brubaker, L. B., Edwards, M. E., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C., Anderson, P. M., Andreev, A. A., Bartlein, P. J., Christensen, T. R., Cramer, W., Kaplan, J. O., Lozhkin, A. V., Matveyeva, N. V., Murray, D. F., McGuire, A. D., Razzhivin, V. Y., Ritchie, J. C., Smith, B., Walker, D. A., Gayewski, K., Wolf, V., Holmqvist, B. H., Igarashi, Y., Kremenetski, K., Paus, A., Pisaric, M. F. J. and Volkova, V. S. (2003) Climate change and Arctic ecosystems: 1. Vegetation changes north of 55°N between the last glacial maximum, mid-Holocene, and present. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D19). 108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002558

Claquin, T., Roelandt, C., Kohfeld, K. E., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Prentice, I. C., Balkanski, Y., Bergametti, G., Hansson, M., Mahowald, N., Rodhe, H. and Schulz, M. (2003) Radiative forcing effect of ice-age dust. Climate Dynamics, 20 (2-3). pp. 193-202. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-002-0269-1

Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Renaud, J.-P., Claxton, A. J., McDonnell, J. J., Anderson, M. G., Blake, J. R. and Bates, P. D. (2003) The effect of model configuration on modelled hillslope–riparian interactions. Journal of Hydrology, 279 (1-4). pp. 167-181. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00177-X

Engelstadter, S., Kohfeld, K. E., Tegen, I. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2003) Controls of dust emissions by vegetation and topographic depressions: an evaluation using dust storm frequency data. Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (6). 1294. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002GL016471

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2003) Contributing to global change science: the ethics, obligations and opportunities of working with palaeo-environmental databases. Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift, 57 (1). pp. 1-8. doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00291950310000776

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Prentice, I. C. (2003) Climate and CO2 controls on global vegetation distribution at the last glacial maximum: analysis based on palaeovegetation data, biome modelling and palaeoclimate simulations. Global Change Biology, 9 (7). pp. 983-1004. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00640.x

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Kutzbach, J. E., Liu, Z., Bartlein, P. J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Muhs, D., Prentice, I. C. and Thompson, R. S. (2003) Mid-Holocene climates of the Americas: a dynamical response to changed seasonality. Climate Dynamics, 20 (7-8). pp. 663-688. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-002-0300-6

Kaplan, J. O., Bigelow, N. H., Bartlein, P. J., Christensen, T. R., Cramer, W., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Matveyeva, N. V., Mcguire, A. D., Murray, D. F., Prentice, I. C., Razzhivin, V. Y., Smith, B., Walker, D. A., Anderson, P. M., Andreev, A. A., Brubaker, L. B., Edwards, M. E. and Lozhkin, A. V. (2003) Climate change and Arctic ecosystems II: Modeling palaeodata-model comparisons and future projections. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D19). 8171. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002559

Kohfeld, K. E. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2003) Glacial-interglacial changes in dust deposition on the Chinese Loess Plateau. Quaternary Science Reviews, 22 (18-19). pp. 1859-1878. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0277-3791(03)00166-5

Shin, S. I., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B., Brady, E. C., Kutzbach, J. E. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2003) A simulation of the last glacial maximum climate using the NCAR-CCSM. Climate Dynamics, 20 (2-3). pp. 127-151. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-002-0260-x

Vavrus, S. and Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 (2003) The impact of sea ice dynamics on the Arctic climate system. Climate Dynamics, 20 (7-8). pp. 741-757. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-003-0309-5

2002

Werner, M., Tegen, I., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Kohfeld, K. E., Prentice, I. C., Balkanski, Y., Rodhe, H. and Roelandt, C. (2002) Seasonal and interannual variability of the mineral dust cycle under present and glacial climate conditions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 107 (D24). 4744. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002365

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