Abstract/Summary

Flash floods in small- to medium-sized catchments and intense precipitation over cities caused by severe local storms pose increasing threats to our society. For the timely prediction of such events, the value of high-resolution and high-quality QPE and corresponding forecasts cannot be overrated. Seamless predictions harmonizing nowcasting and numerical weather prediction (NWP) across forecast lead times from minutes to days would greatly help to improve the value and efficiency of warnings. Organized by the Research Unit on Near-Realtime Precipitation Estimation and Prediction (RealPEP, www2.meteo.uni-bonn.de/realpep) and supported by the Project on Seamless Integrated Forecasting System (SINFONY, www.dwd .de/DE/forschung/forschungsprogramme/sinfony_iafe/sinfony_node.html) of the German Meteorological Service (DWD), an international 3-day online conference was held from 5 to 7 October 2020, dedicated to Precipitation and Flash-Flood Predictions from Minutes to Days (https://indico .scc.kit.edu/event/883/). Most speakers agreed to have their presentations recorded, which we uploaded to YouTube for further distribution (see, e.g., on the conference homepage, https:// indico.scc.kit.edu/event/883/page/588-recorded-talks). The speakers were both invited experts in the respective research fields and researchers from the RealPEP and SINFONY projects. Talks and discussions could be followed on video stream. Interaction between the about 250 participants was enabled by entering written questions and comments via a dedicated tool, which allowed for voting and thus also ranking questions. Registered participants could enter chat rooms from where they could be moved to the speaker room for posing the questions directly to the speakers and the auditorium. On the last day of the conference podium discussions with selected speakers summarized talks and discussions and elaborated on overarching problems, ideas, and developments in the fields of quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), quantitative precipitation nowcasting (QPN), quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF), flash-flood prediction (FFP), and their organization into seamless prediction systems, which also constituted the topics of the five sessions during the conference. We report here in particular on the outcomes of the panel discussions.