A two-tiered approach to long-range climate forecastingBengtsson, L., Schlese, U., Roeckner, E., Latif, M., Barnett, T. and Graham, N. (1993) A two-tiered approach to long-range climate forecasting. Science, 261 (5124). pp. 1026-1029. ISSN 0036-8075 Full text not archived in this repository. It is advisable to refer to the publisher's version if you intend to cite from this work. See Guidance on citing. To link to this item DOI: 10.1126/science.261.5124.1026 Abstract/SummaryLong-range global climate forecasts were made by use of a model for predicting a tropical Pacific sea-surface temperature (SST) in tandem with an atmospheric general circulation model. The SST is predicted first at long lead times into the future. These ocean forecasts are then used to force the atmospheric model and so produce climate forecasts at lead times of the SST forecasts. Prediction of seven large climatic events of the 1970s to 1990s by this technique are in good agreement with observations over many regions of the globe.
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