Information entropy and measures of market riskPele, D. T., Lazar, E. and Dufour, A. (2017) Information entropy and measures of market risk. Entropy, 19 (5). 226. ISSN 1099-4300
It is advisable to refer to the publisher's version if you intend to cite from this work. See Guidance on citing. To link to this item DOI: 10.3390/e19050226 Abstract/SummaryIn this paper we investigate the relationship between the information entropy of the distribution of intraday returns and intraday and daily measures of market risk. Using data on the EUR/JPY exchange rate, we find a negative relationship between entropy and intraday Value-at-Risk, and also between entropy and intraday Expected Shortfall. This relationship is then used to forecast daily Value-at-Risk, using the entropy of the distribution of intraday returns as a predictor.
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