Long-range prediction and the stratosphereScaife, A. A., Baldwin, M. P., Butler, A. H., Charlton-Perez, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Domeisen, D. I. V., Garfinkel, C.I., Hardiman, S. C., Haynes, P., Karpechko, A. Y., Lim, E.-P., Noguchi, S., Perlwitz, J., Polvani, L., Richter, J. H., Scinocca, J., Sigmond, M., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Son, S.-W. and Thompson, D. W. J. (2022) Long-range prediction and the stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22. pp. 2601-2623. ISSN 1680-7316
It is advisable to refer to the publisher's version if you intend to cite from this work. See Guidance on citing. To link to this item DOI: 10.5194/acp-22-2601-2022 Abstract/SummaryOver recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere interaction, and the extension of long-range forecasts to explicitly include the stratosphere. These advances are now allowing for new and improved capability in long-range prediction. We present an overview of this development and show how the inclusion of the stratosphere in forecast systems aids monthly, seasonal, and annual-to-decadal climate predictions and multidecadal projections. We end with an outlook towards the future and identify areas of improvement that could further benefit these rapidly evolving predictions.
Download Statistics DownloadsDownloads per month over past year Altmetric Deposit Details University Staff: Request a correction | Centaur Editors: Update this record |