Experiences of co-producing sub-seasonal forecast products for agricultural application in Kenya and Ghana
Hirons, L.
It is advisable to refer to the publisher's version if you intend to cite from this work. See Guidance on citing. To link to this item DOI: 10.1002/wea.4381 Abstract/SummaryThe development and application of new sub-seasonal forecasting products in the agricultural sectors of Ghana and Kenya are described. Using a co-production approach transforms the role of the forecast user from merely a recipient of forecast information to being involved in the forecast product development process. This approach is resource intensive, but it can improve the application of forecasts in decision-making by giving the in-country services the agility to respond to local needs. Sub-seasonal forecasts (1–4 weeks) have potential to aid agricultural planning. Realising this potential requires the co-production of reliable forecast products with agricultural users. The African SWIFT (Science for Weather Information and Forecasting Techniques) project ran a 2-year sub-seasonal forecasting testbed bringing together forecast users, producers and researchers in Africa and the United Kingdom to co-produce bespoke forecasts. Here, agricultural case studies in Ghana and Kenya show having direct access to the sub-seasonal data in real time gave local operational centres the agency to iteratively develop, communicate and visualise the forecast information in an appropriate way to support agricultural decision-making.
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