Downloads

AchutaRao K and Sperber K (2006). ENSO Simulations in Coupled Ocean––Atmosphere Models: Are the Current Models Better? Climate Dynamics 27: 1—16. Balmaseda MA, Mogensen K and Weaver AT (2013). Evaluation of the ECMWF Ocean Reanalysis System ORAS4. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 139: 1,132—1,161. Barnston AG, Tippett MK, L’Heureux ML, Li S and DeWitt DG (2012). Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions during 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93: 631—651. Bellenger H, Guilyardi E, Leloup J, Lengaigne M and Vialard J (2014). ENSO Representation in Climate Models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Climate Dynamics 42: 1,999—2,018. Bernie DJ, Guilyardi E, Madec G, Slingo JM, Woolnough SJ and Cole J (2008). Impact of Resolving the Diurnal Cycle in an Ocean–Atmosphere GCM. Part 2: a Diurnally Coupled CGCM. Climate Dynamics 31: 909—925. Boyle J, Klein S, Zhang G, Xie S and Wei X (2008). Climate Model Forecast Experiments for TOGA COARE. Monthly Weather Review 136: 808—832. Cane MA, Zebiak SE and Dolan SC (1986. Experimental Forecasts of El Niño. Nature 321: 827—832. Chikira M (2010). A Cumulus Parameterisation with State-Dependent Entrainment Rate. Part II: Impact on Climatology in a General Circulation Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 67: 2,194—2,211. Dai F, Yu R, Zhang X, Yu Y and Li J (2005). Impacts of an Improved Low-Level Cloud Scheme on the Eastern Pacific ITCZ–Cold Tongue Complex. Advances in Atmospheric Physics 22: 559—574. De Szoeke SP and Xie SP (2008). The Tropical Eastern Pacific Seasonal Cycle: Assessment of Errors and Mechanisms in IPCC AR4 Coupled Ocean—Atmosphere General Circulation Models. Journal of Climate 21: 2,573—2,590. Dee DP, Uppala SM, Simmons AJ, Berrisford P, Poli P, Kobayashi S, Andrae U, Balmaseda MA and Co-authors (2011). The ERA-Interim Reanalysis: Configuration and Performance of the Data Assimilation System. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 137: 553—597. Flato G, Marotzke J, Abiodun B, Braconnot P, Chou SC, Collins W, Cox P, Driouech F, Emori S, Eyring V, Forest C, Gleckler P, Guilyardi E, Jakob C, Kattsov V, Reason C and Rummukainen M (2013). Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) -- Stocker, TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V and Midgley PM (eds). Cambridge University Press. Gill AE (1980). Some Simple Solutions for Heat-Induced Tropical Circulation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 106: 447—462. Guilyardi E (2006). El Niño–Mean State–Seasonal Cycle Interactions in a Multi-Model Ensemble. Climate Dynamics 26: 329—348. Hirota N, Takayabu YN, Watanabe M and Kimoto M (2011). Precipitation Reproducability over Tropical Oceans and Its Relationship to the Double ITCZ Problem in CMIP3 and MIROC5 Climate Models. Journal of Climate 24: 4,859—4,873. Huang B, Hu ZZ and Jha B (2007). Evolution of Model Systematic Errors in the Tropical Atlantic Basin from Coupled Climate Hindcasts. Climate Dynamics 28: 668—682. Hwang YT and Frierson DMM (2013). Link between the Double-Intertropical-Convergence-Zone Problem and Cloud Biases over the Southern Ocean. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 110: 4,935—4,940. Kummerow C, Simpson J, Thiele O, Barnes W, Chang ATC, Stocker E, Adler RF, Hou A and Co-authors (2000). The Status of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) after Two Years in Orbit. Journal of Applied Meteorology 39: 1,965—1,982. Latif M, Sperber K, Arblaster J, Braconnot P, Chen D, Colman A, Cubasch U, Cooper C and Co-authors (2001). ENSIP: the El Niño Simulation Intercomparison Project. Climate Dynamics 18: 255—276. Li G and Xie SP (2014). Tropical Biases in CMIP5 Multimodel Ensemble: the Excessive Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue and Double ITCZ Problems. Journal of Climate 27: 1,765—1,780. Lin JL (2007). The Double-ITCZ Problem in IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs: Ocean–Atmosphere Feedback Analysis. Journal of Climate 20: 4,497—4,525. MacLachlan C, Arribas A, Peterson KA, Maidens A, Fereday D, Scaife AA, Gordon M, Vellinga M and Co-authors (2014). Global Seasonal Forecast System Version 5 (GloSea5): a High-Resolution Seasonal Forecast System. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 141: 1,072—1,084. Madec G (2008). NEMO Reference Manual, Ocean Dynamics Component: NEMO-OPA. Note du Pole de Modelisation 27, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace. Magnusson L, Balmaseda MA, Corti S, Molteni F and Stockdale T (2013). Evaluation of Forecast Strategies for Seasonal and Decadal Forecasts in Presence of Systematic Model Errors. Climate Dynamics 41: 2,393—2,409. Martin GM, Milton SF, Senior CA, Brooks ME and Ineson S (2010). Analysis and Reduction of Systematic Errors through a Seamless Approach to Modelling Weather and Climate. Journal of Climate 23: 5,933—5,957. Mechoso CR, Losada T, Koseki S, Mohino-Harris E, Keenlyside N, Castaño-Tierno A, Myers TA, Rodriguez-Fonseca B and Toniazzo T (2016). Can Reducing the Incoming Energy Flux over the Southern Ocean in a CGCM Improve its Simulation of Tropical Climate? Geophysical Research Letters 43: 11,057—11,063. Mechoso CR, Robertson AW, Barth N, Davey MK, Delecluse P, Gent PR, Ineson S, Kirtman B and Co-authors (1995). The Seasonal Cycle over the Tropical Pacific in Coupled Ocean—Atmosphere General Circulation Models. Monthly Weather Review 123: 2,825—2,838. Misra V, Marx L, Brunke M and Zeng X (2008). The Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Bias in a Coupled Climate Model. Journal of Climate 21: 5,852—5,869. Molteni F, Stockdale T, Balmaseda M, Balsamo G, Buizza R, Ferranti L, Magnusson L, Mogensen K, Palmer T and Vitart F (2011). The New ECMWF Seasonal Forecast System (System 4). ECMWF Technical Memorandum #656. Neelin JD, Latif M, Allaart MAF, Cane MA, Cubasch U, Gates WL, Gent PR, Ghil M and Co-authors (1992). Tropical Air-Sea Interaction in General Circulation Models. Climate Dynamics 7: 73—104. Praveen Kumar B, Vialard J, Lengaigne M, Murty VSN, McPhaden MJ (2012). TropFlux: Air-Sea Fluxes for the Global Tropical Oceans – Description and Evaluation. Climate Dynamics 38: 1,521—1,543. Phillips TJ, Potter GL, Williamson DL, Cederwall RT, Boyle JS, Fiorino M, Hnilo JJ, Olson G, Xie S and Yio JJ (2004). Evaluating Parameterisations in General Circulation Models: Climate Simulation Meets Weather Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85: 1,903—1,915. Reynolds RW, Rayner NA, Smith TM, Stokes DC and Wang W (2002). An Improved In-Situ and Satellite SST Analysis for Climate. Journal of Climate 15: 1,609—1,625. Reynolds RW, Smith TM, Liu C, Chelton DB, Casey KS and Schlax, MG (2007). Daily High-Resolution-Blended Analyses for Sea-Surface Temperature. Journal of Climate 20: 5,473—5,496. Saha S, Moorthi S, Wu X, Wang J, Nadiga S, Tripp P, Behringer D, Hou YT and Co-authors (2014). The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2. Journal of Climate 27: 2,185—2,208. Smith DM, Scaife AA and Kirtman BP (2012). What Is the Current State of Scientific Knowledge with Regard to Seasonal and Decadal Forecasting? Environmental Research Letters 7. Song X and Zhang G (2009). Convection Parameterisation, Tropical Pacific Double ITCZ, and Upper-Ocean Biases in the NCAR CCSM3. Part I: Climatology and Atmospheric Feedback. Journal of Climate 22: 4,299—4,315. Stockdale TN (1997): Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Forecasts in the Presence of Climate Drift. Monthly Weather Review 125: 809—818. Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ and Meehl GA (2012). An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93: 485—498. Toniazzo T and Woolnough SJ (2014). Development of Warm SST Errors in the Southern Tropical Atlantic in CMIP5 Decadal Hindcasts. Climate Dynamics 43: 2,889—2,913. Vannière B, Guilyardi E, Madec G, Doblas-Reyes FJ and Woolnough S (2012). Using Seasonal Hindcasts to Understand the Origin of the Equatorial Cold Tongue Bias in CGCMs and Its Impact on ENSO. Climate Dynamics 40: 963—981. Vannière B, Guilyardi E, Toniazzo T, Madec G and Woolnough S (2014). A Systematic Approach to Identify the Sources of Tropical SST Errors in Coupled Models Using the Adjustment of Initialised Experiments. Climate Dynamics 43: 2,261—2,282. Vialard J, Menkes C, Boulanger J, Delecluse P, Guilyardi E, McPhaden MJ and Madec, G (2001). A Model Study of Oceanic Mechanisms Affecting Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature during the 1997—1998 El Niño. Journal of Physical Oceanography 31: 1,649—1,675. Weisheimer A, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Palmer TN, Alessandri A, Arribas A, Déqué M, Keenlyside N, MacVean M, Navarra A and Rogel P (2009). ENSEMBLES: a New Multi-Model Ensemble for Seasonal-to-Annual Predictions – Skill and Progress beyond DEMETER in Forecasting Tropical Pacific SSTs. Geophysical Research Letters 36. Williams KD, Bodas-Salcedo A, Déqué M, Fermepin S, Medeiros B, Watanabe M, Jakob C, Klein SA, Senior CA and Williamson DL (2013). The Transpose-AMIP II Experiment and Its Application to the Understanding of Southern Ocean Cloud Biases in Climate Models. Journal of Climate 26: 3,258—3,274. Williams KD and Brooks ME (2008). Initial Tendencies of Cloud Regimes in the Met Office Unified Model. Journal of Climate 21: 833—840. Xie P and Arkin PA (1997). Global Precipitation: a 17-Year Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates and Numerical Model Outputs. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78: 2,539—2,558. Yu L and Weller RA (2007): Objectively Analysed Air-Sea Heat Fluxes for the Global Ice-Free Oceans (1981—2005). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 88: 527—539. Zhang X, Liu H and Zhang M (2013). Double ITCZ in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters 42: 8,651—8,659. Zhang Y, Rossow WB, Lacis AA, Oinas V and Mishchenko, MI (2004). Calculation of Radiative Fluxes from the Surface to Top of Atmosphere Based on ISCCP and Other Global Data Sets: Refinements of the Radiative Transfer Model and the Input Data. Journal of Geophysical Research 109. Zheng Y, Lin JL and Shinoda T (2012). The Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Simulated by IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs: Upper Ocean Heat Budget and Feedback Analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research 117.