Article

Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3244-2578, Krzeminski, B. and Pappenberger, F. (2018) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22 (4). pp. 2057-2072. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018

Bosela, M., Lukac, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334, Castagneri, D., Sedmak, R., Biber, P., Carrer, M., Konopka, B., Nola, P., Nagel, T. A., Popa, I., Roibu, C. C., Svoboda, M., Trotsiuk, V. and Buntgen, U. (2018) Contrasting effects of environmental change factors on the radial growth of co-occurring European beech and fir trees across Europe. Science of the Total Environment, 615. pp. 1460-1469. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.092

De Cruz, L., Schubert, S., Demaeyer, J., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Vannitsem, S. (2018) Exploring the Lyapunov instability properties of high-dimensional atmospheric and climate models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25 (2). pp. 387-412. ISSN 1607-7946 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-387-2018

Emerton, R., Zsoter, E., Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Muraro, D., Prudhomme, C., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Salamon, P. and Pappenberger, F. (2018) Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 11. pp. 3327-3346. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018

Gomez-Leal, I., Kaltenegger, L., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Lunkeit, F. (2018) Climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide and moist greenhouse threshold of earth-like planets under an increasing solar forcing. The Astrophysical Journal, 869 (2). 129. ISSN 0004-637X doi: https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/aaea5f

Harris, B. L. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2018) Assessment of algorithms for computing moist available potential energy. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (714). pp. 1501-1510. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3297

Jones, L., Harvey, B., Cochrane, L., Cantin, B., Conway, D., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, De Souza, K. and Kirbyshire, A. (2018) Designing the next generation of climate adaptation research for development. Regional Environmental Change, 18 (1). pp. 297-304. ISSN 1436-378X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1254-x

Liang, M., Czaja, A., Graversen, R. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2018) Poleward energy transport: is the standard definition physically relevant at all time scales? Climate Dynamics, 50 (5-6). pp. 1785-1797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3722-x

Liu, S., Luo, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2082-3958, Zhang, k. and Hang, J. (2018) Natural ventilation of a small-scale road tunnel by wind catchers: a CFD simulation study. Atmosphere, 9 (10). 411. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos9100411

O'Brien, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9527-4076 (2018) In and around The Bay: water, fish, infrastructure. Film Studies, 19 (1). pp. 20-33. ISSN 1469-0314 doi: https://doi.org/10.7227/FS.19.0003

Sebastiani, F., Campbell, R. A., Rastogi, K. and Pfrang, C. (2018) Night-time oxidation of surfactants at the air–water interface: effects of chain length, head group and saturation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18 (5). pp. 3249-3268. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-3249-2018

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Afzal, M., Severskiy, I., Usmanova, Z., Saidaliyeva, Z., Kapitsa, V., Kazastkin, N. and Dolgikh, S. (2018) Changes in the mountain river discharge in the northern Tien Shan since the mid-20th Century: results from the analysis of a homogeneous daily streamflow data set from seven catchments. Journal of Hydrology, 564. pp. 1133-1152. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.08.001

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2018) Local available energetics of multicomponent compressible stratified fluids. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 842. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2018.196

Tantet, A., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 and Dijkstra, H. A. (2018) Resonances in a chaotic attractor crisis of the Lorenz Flow. Journal of Statistical Physics, 170 (3). pp. 584-616. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-017-1938-0

Tantet, A., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Lunkeit, F. and Dijkstra, H. A. (2018) Crisis of the chaotic attractor of a climate model: a transfer operator approach. Nonlinearity, 31 (5). 2221. ISSN 1361-6544 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/aaaf42

Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Chavez, E. and Boogaard, H. (2018) Agro-meteorological risks to maize production in Tanzania: sensitivity of an adapted water requirements satisfaction index (WRSI) model to rainfall. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 73. pp. 77-87. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2018.04.008

Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2018) Evaluating a stochastic parametrization for a fast--slow system using the Wasserstein distance. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25 (2). pp. 413-427. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-413-2018

Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2018) A proof of concept for scale-adaptive parameterizations: the case of the Lorenz ’96 model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 63-75. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3184

Watts, N., Amann, M., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Belesova, K., Berry, H., Bouley, T., Boykoff, M., Byass, P., Cai, W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Chambers, J., Daly, M., Dasandi, N., Davies, M., Depoux, A., Dominguez-Salas, P., Drummond, P., Ebi, K. L., Ekins, P., Montoya, L. F., Fischer, H., Georgeson, L., Grace, D., Graham, H., Hamilton, I., Hartinger, S., Hess, J., Kelman, I., Kiesewetter, G., Kjellstrom, T., Kniveton, D., Lemke, B., Liang, L., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Sewe, M. O., Martinez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., Mikhaylov, S. J., Milner, J., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrissey, K., Murray, K., Nilsson, M., Neville, T., Oreszczyn, T., Owfi, F., Pearman, O., Pencheon, D., Pye, S., Rabbaniha, M., Robinson, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4950-0183, Rocklöv, J., Saxer, O., Schütte, S., Semenza, J. C., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Steinbach, R., Tabatabaei, M., Tomei, J., Trinanes, J., Wheeler, N., Wilkinson, P., Gong, P., Montgomery, H. and Costello, A. (2018) The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. The Lancet, 392 (10163). pp. 2479-2514. ISSN 01406736 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32594-7

Šimanský, V. and Lukáč, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8535-6334 (2018) Soil structure after 18 years of long-term different tillage systems and fertilisation in Haplic Luvisol. Soil & Water Research, 13. pp. 140-149. ISSN 1801-5395 doi: https://doi.org/10.17221/38/2017-SWR

Book or Report Section

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2018) Overview of climate models and tropical extremes. In: Vuruputur, V., Sukhatme, J., Murtugudde, R. and Roca, R. (eds.) Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends. Elsevier, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9780128092484

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Qingchen, C., Ying, X., Junfeng, L., Tong, J., Guangsheng, Z., Kexiu, L., Brown, S., Challinor, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Koehler, A.-K., Nicholls, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Rensheng, C., Xiaomin, L. and Wentao, W. (2018) Direct risks of climate change. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 58-97.

Bailey, R., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Xiangwan, D., Yanhua, L., Jiashuang, Y. and Chao, C. (2018) Introduction. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 23-28.

Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-Romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. and Thielen-del Pozo, J. (2018) Global flood forecasting for averting disasters worldwide. In: Schumann, G. J.-P., Bates, P. D., Apel, H. and Aronica, G. T. (eds.) Global Flood Hazard: Applications in Modeling, Mapping, and Forecasting. Geophysical Monograph Series (233). Wiley, pp. 205-228. ISBN 9781119217862 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119217886.ch12

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2018) Upper tropospheric humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2017"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). American Meteorological Society, S27-S28. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2018bamsstateoftheclimate.1

Report

Acidri, J., Petty, E., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Clegg, D., Ainslie, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7549-7643, Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604, Talwisa, M. and Clenaghan, A., (2018) Uganda - Synthesising Evidence for Targeted National Responses to Climate Change. Walker Briefing Note (WIBN). 0218/01. Report. Zenodo (CERN), Switzerland. doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3510110

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 and Nicholls, R., (2018) The potential impacts of climate change: a global and regional assessment to 2040. Report. WISER

Plumpton, H., Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Finlayson, B. and Petty, E., (2018) Middle East and North Africa regional synthesis report - climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Plumpton, H., Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, E. and Finlayson, B., (2018) East Africa regional synthesis report - climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Plumpton, H., Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, E. and Finlayson, B., (2018) West Africa regional synthesis report (part I) - DfID climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Young, H., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Petty, E. and Saley Bana, Z., (2018) West Africa regional climate risk synthesis (extended) - DfID climate risk analysis to inform DFID's country development diagnostics. Report. DFID

Book

Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Tarhule, A., eds. (2018) African rainfall variability: science and society. Atmposhere (Special Issue). MDPI.

Walker, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2176-8604 (2018) Movie making as critical pedagogy: conscientization through visual storytelling. Palgrave Studies in Communication for Social Change. Palgrave Macmillan. ISBN 9783319969251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96926-8