Items where Author is "Hawkins, Professor Ed"
Group by: Item Type | No Grouping Number of items: 137. Article
Hawkins, Ed
Tett, Simon F. B., Cha, YoungHwa, Donovan, Kate, Geffers, Gina-Maria and Hawkins, Ed
Teleti, Praveen
King, Andrew David
Lehner, Flavio
Hawkins, Ed
Yule, Emma L.
O'Kane, Terence J., Scaife, Adam A., Kushnir, Yochanan, Brookshaw, Anca, Buontempo, Carlo, Carlin, David, Connell, Richenda K., Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Dunstone, Nick, Förster, Kristian, Graça, Antonio, Hobday, Alistair J., Kitsios, Vassili, van der Laan, Larissa, Lockwood, Julia, Merryfield, William J., Paxian, Andreas, Payne, Mark R., Reader, M. Catherine, Saville, Geoffrey R., Smith, Doug, Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan, Caltabiano, Nico, Carman, Jessie, Hawkins, Ed
Harvey, Ben
Hawkins, Ed
Hawkins, Ed
Grose, Michael R.
Joshi, Manoj
Douglas, Hunter Callum
Harrison, Giles
Ortega, Pablo, Blockley, Edward W., Køltzow, Morten, Massonnet, François, Sandu, Irina, Svensson, Gunilla, Acosta Navarro, Juan C., Arduini, Gabriele, Batté, Lauriane, Bazile, Eric, Chevallier, Matthieu, Cruz-García, Rubén, Day, Jonathan J., Fichefet, Thierry, Flocco, Daniela, Gupta, Mukesh, Hartung, Kerstin, Hawkins, Ed
Lorrey, Andrew M., Pearce, Petra R., Allan, Rob, Wilkinson, Clive, Woolley, John-Mark, Judd, Emily, Mackay, Stuart, Rawhat, Sudhir, Slivinski, Laura, Wilkinson, Sally, Hawkins, Ed
Osso, Albert
Sandu, Irina
Dittus, Andrea J.
King, Andrew D., Kale Sniderman, J. M., Dittus, Andrea J.
Baker, Laura, Shaffrey, Len and Hawkins, Ed
Dacre, Helen F., Western, Luke M., Say, Daniel, O'Doherty, Simon, Arnold, Tim, Rennick, Chris and Hawkins, Ed
Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R. J., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Domínguez-Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. Shonk, Jonathan K. P., Turner, Andrew G., Chevuturi, Amulya, Wilcox, Laura J., Dittus, Andrea J. and Hawkins, Ed (2020) Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20 (23). pp. 14903-14915. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-14903-2020 Craig, Philip M. and Hawkins, Ed (2020) Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 7 (2). pp. 116-134. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.93 Wilcox, Laura J., Liu, Zhen, Samset, Bjørn H., Hawkins, Ed, Lund, Marianne T., Nordling, Kalle, Undorf, Sabine, Bollasina, Massimo, Ekman, Annica M. L., Krishnan, Srinath, Merikanto, Joonas and Turner, Andy G. (2020) Accelerated increases in global and Asian summer monsoon precipitation from future aerosol reductions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (20). pp. 11955-11977. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-11955-2020
Sutton, Rowan Dittus, Andrea J., Hawkins, Ed, Wilcox, Laura J., Sutton, Rowan, Smith, Christopher J., Andrews, Martin B. and Forster, Piers M. (2020) Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13). e2019GL085806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085806 Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, Maher, Nicola, Marotzke, Jochem, Fischer, Erich M., Brunner, Lukas, Knutti, Reto and Hawkins, Ed (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. Earth System Dynamics, 11 (2). pp. 491-508. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020
Hawkins, E.
Eunice Lo, Y. T., Mitchell, Daniel M., Bohnenstengel, Sylvia I., Collins, Mat, Hawkins, Ed Wood, Richard A., Rodríguez, José M., Smith, Robin S., Jackson, Laura C. and Hawkins, Ed (2019) Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 6815-6834. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04956-1 Hawkins, Ed, Burt, Stephen, Brohan, Philip, Lockwood, Mike, Richardson, Harriett, Roy, Marjory and Thomas, Simon (2019) Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists. Geoscience Data Journal, 6 (2). pp. 160-173. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.79 Valdivieso Da Costa, Maria, Owens, Mathew J., Scott, Chris J., Hawkins, Ed, Burt, Stephen and Craig, Philip (2019) Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993. Geoscience Data Journal, 6 (2). pp. 222-233. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.75 Boult, Victoria L., Fishlock, Vicki, Quaife, Tristan, Hawkins, Ed, Moss, Cynthia, Lee, Phyllis C. and Sibly, Richard M. (2019) Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change. Conservation Science and Practice, 1 (9). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2578-4854 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.87 Hawkins, Ed, Fæhn, Taran and Fuglestvedt, Jan (2019) The climate spiral demonstrates the power of sharing creative ideas. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (5). pp. 753-756. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0228.1 Marchi, Sylvain, Fichefet, Thierry, Goosse, Hugues, Zunz, Violette, Tietsche, Steffen, Day, Jonathan and Hawkins, Ed (2019) Reemergence of Antarctic sea ice predictability and its link to deep ocean mixing in global climate models. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 2775-2797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4292-2 Kushnir, Yochanan, Scaife, Adam A., Arritt, Raymond, Balsamo, Gianpaolo, Boer, George, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Hawkins, Ed, Kimoto, Masahide, Kolli, Rupa Kumar, Kumar, Arun, Matei, Daniela, Matthes, Katja, Müller, Wolfgang A., O'Kane, Terence, Perlwitz, Judith, Power, Scott, Raphael, Marilyn, Shimpo, Akihiko, Smith, Doug, Tuma, Matthias and Wu, Bo (2019) Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate. Nature Climate Change, 9. pp. 94-101. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7 Hegerl, Gabriele C., Brönnimann, Stefan, Cowan, Tim, Friedman, Andrew R., Hawkins, Ed, Iles, Carley, Müller, Wolfgang, Schurer, Andrew and Undorf, Sabine (2019) Causes of climate change over the historical record. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (12). 123006. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557 Burt, Stephen and Hawkins, Ed (2019) Near-zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th-century observers and modern volunteers. International Journal of Climatology, 39 (11). pp. 4451-4466. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6084 Slivinski, Laura C., Compo, Gilbert P., Whitaker, Jeffrey S., Sardeshmukh, Prashant D., Giese, Benjamin S., McColl, Chesley, Allan, Rob, Yin, Xungang, Vose, Russell, Titchner, Holly, Kennedy, John, Spencer, Lawrence J., Ashcroft, Linden, Brönnimann, Stefan, Brunet, Manola, Camuffo, Dario, Cornes, Richard, Cram, Thomas A., Crouthamel, Richard, Domínguez‐Castro, Fernando, Freeman, J. Eric, Gergis, Joëlle, Hawkins, Ed, Jones, Philip D., Jourdain, Sylvie, Kaplan, Alexey, Kubota, Hisayuki, Blancq, Frank Le, Lee, Tsz‐Cheung, Lorrey, Andrew, Luterbacher, Jürg, Maugeri, Maurizio, Mock, Cary J., Moore, G.W. Kent, Przybylak, Rajmund, Pudmenzky, Christa, Reason, Chris, Slonosky, Victoria C., Smith, Catherine A., Tinz, Birger, Trewin, Blair, Valente, Maria Antónia, Wang, Xiaolan L., Wilkinson, Clive, Wood, Kevin and Wyszyński, Przemysław (2019) Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724). pp. 2876-2908. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3598 Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E., Bilbao, R., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Doescher, R., Dunstone, N. J., Eade, R., Hermanson, L., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Koenigk, T., Kushnir, Y., Matei, D., Meehl, G. A., Menegoz, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mochizuki, T., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Rixen, M., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Tuma, M., Wyser, K., Yang, X. and Yeager, S. (2018) Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (21). pp. 11895-11903. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362 Stammer, D., Bracco, A., Braconnot, P., Brasseur, G. P., Griffies, S. M. and Hawkins, E. (2018) Science directions in a post-COP21-world of transient climate change: enabling regional to local predictions in support of reliable climate information. Earth's Future, 6 (11). pp. 1498-1507. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000979 Cassou, Christophe, Kushnir, Yochanan, Hawkins, Ed, Pirani, Anna, Kucharski, Fred, Kang, In-Sik and Caltabiano, Nico (2018) Decadal climate variability and predictability: challenges and opportunities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (3). pp. 479-490. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0286.1 Mora, Camilo, Spirandelli, Daniele, Franklin, Erik C., Lynham, John, Kantar, Michael B., Miles, Wendy, Smith, Charlotte Z., Freel, Kelle, Moy, Jade, Louis, Leo V., Barba, Evan W., Bettinger, Keith, Frazier, Abby G., Colburn IX, John F., Hanasaki, Naota, Hawkins, Ed, Hirabayashi, Yukiko, Knorr, Wolfgang, Little, Christopher M., Emanuel, Kerry, Sheffield, Justin, Patz, Jonathan A. and Hunter, Cynthia L. (2018) Broad threat to humanity from cumulative climate hazards intensified by greenhouse gas emissions. Nature Climate Change, 8. pp. 1062-1071. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0315-6 Schurer, A. P., Cowtan, K., Hawkins, E., Mann, M. E., Scott, V. and Tett, S. F. B. (2018) Interpretations of the Paris climate target. Nature Geoscience, 11. pp. 220-221. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0086-8 Owens, Mathew J., Lockwood, Mike, Hawkins, Ed, Usoskin, Ilya, Jones, Gareth S., Barnard, Luke, Schurer, Andrew and Fasullo, John (2017) The Maunder minimum and the Little Ice Age: an update from recent reconstructions and climate simulations. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 7. A33. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2017034 Harrington, Luke J., Frame, David J., Hawkins, Ed and Joshi, Manoj (2017) Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114039. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa95ae Bethke, Ingo, Outten, Stephen, Otterå, Odd Helge, Hawkins, Ed, Wagner, Sebastian, Sigl, Michael and Thorne, Peter (2017) Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability. Nature Climate Change, 7 (11). pp. 799-805. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3394 Hawkins, Ed, Ortega, Pablo, Suckling, Emma, Schurer, Andrew, Hegerl, Gabi, Jones, Phil, Joshi, Manoj, Osborn, Timothy J., Masson-Delmotte, Valérie, Mignot, Juliette, Thorne, Peter and van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan (2017) Estimating changes in global temperature since the preindustrial period. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (9). pp. 1841-1856. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-16-0007.1 Melia, N., Haines, K., Hawkins, E. and Day, J. J. (2017) Towards seasonal Arctic shipping route predictions. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (8). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a60 Santer, Benjamin D., Fyfe, John C., Pallotta, Giuliana, Flato, Gregory M., Meehl, Gerald A., England, Matthew H., Hawkins, Ed, Mann, Michael E., Painter, Jeffrey F., Bonfils, Céline, Cvijanovic, Ivana, Mears, Carl, Wentz, Frank J., Po-Chedley, Stephen, Fu, Qiang and Zou, Cheng-Zhi (2017) Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates. Nature Geoscience, 10 (7). pp. 478-485. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2973 Mora, Camilo, Dousset, Bénédicte, Caldwell, Iain R., Powell, Farrah E., Geronimo, Rollan C., Bielecki, Coral R., Counsell, Chelsie W. W., Dietrich, Bonnie S., Johnston, Emily T., Louis, Leo V., Lucas, Matthew P., McKenzie, Marie M., Shea, Alessandra G., Tseng, Han, Giambelluca, Thomas W., Leon, Lisa R., Hawkins, Ed and Trauernicht, Clay (2017) Global risk of deadly heat. Nature Climate Change, 7 (7). pp. 501-506. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3322 Suckling, Emma B., van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Eden, Jonathan M. and Hawkins, Ed (2017) An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 48 (9). pp. 3115-3138. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3255-8 Lockwood, Mike, Owens, Mat, Hawkins, Ed, Jones, Gareth S. and Usoskin, Ilya (2017) Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age. Astronomy & Geophysics, 58 (2). 2.17-2.23. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/astrogeo/atx057 Volpi, Danila, Guemas, Virginie, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Hawkins, Ed and Nichols, Nancy K. (2017) Decadal climate prediction with a refined anomaly initialisation approach. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1841-1853. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3176-6
Marotzke, Jochem, Jakob, Christian, Bony, Sandrine, Dirmeyer, Paul A., O'Gorman, Paul A., Hawkins, Ed Shaffrey, Len C., Hodson, Daniel, Robson, Jon, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, Ed, Polo, Irene, Stevens, I., Sutton, Rowan T., Lister, Grenville, Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x Schurer, Andrew P., Mann, Michael E., Hawkins, Ed, Tett, Simon F. B. and Hegerl, Gabriele C. (2017) Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals. Nature Climate Change, 7 (8). pp. 563-567. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3345 Frame, Dave, Joshi, Manoj, Hawkins, Ed, Harrington, Luke J. and de Roiste, Mairead (2017) Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates. Nature Climate Change, 7 (6). pp. 407-411. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3297 Richardson, Mark, Cowtan, Kevin, Hawkins, Ed and Stolpe, Martin B. (2016) Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. Nature Climate Change, 6 (10). pp. 931-935. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3066 Melia, Nat, Haines, Keith and Hawkins, Ed (2016) Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (18). pp. 9720-9728. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069315 Anderson, Thomas R., Hawkins, Ed and Jones, Philip D. (2016) CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models. Endeavour, 40 (3). pp. 178-187. ISSN 0160-9327 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002 Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan (2016) Connecting climate model projections of global temperature change with the real world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (6). pp. 963-980. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00154.1 Day, Jonny J., Tietsche, Steffen, Collins, Mat, Goessling, Helge F., Guemas, Virginie, Guillory, Anabelle, Hurlin, William J., Ishii, Masayoshi, Keeley, Sarah P. E., Matei, Daniela, Msadek, Rym, Sigmond, Michael, Tatebe, Hiroaki and Hawkins, Ed (2016) The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (6). pp. 2255-2270. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-2255-2016 Hawkins, Ed, Smith, Robin S., Gregory, Jonathan M. and Stainforth, David A. (2016) Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Climate Dynamics, 46 (11). pp. 3807-3819. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8 Harrington, Luke J., Frame, David J., Fischer, Erich M., Hawkins, Ed, Joshi, Manoj and Jones, Chris D. (2016) Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (5). 055007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007 Holmes, Caroline R., Woollings, Tim, Hawkins, Ed and de Vries, Hylke (2016) Robust future changes in temperature variability under greenhouse gas forcing and the relationship with thermal advection. Journal of Climate, 29 (6). pp. 2221-2236. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00735.1 Goessling, H. F., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Hawkins, E. and Jung, T. (2016) Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (4). pp. 1642-1650. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067232 Fyfe, John C., Meehl, Gerald A., England, Matthew H., Mann, Michael E., Santer, Benjamin D., Flato, Gregory M., Hawkins, Ed, Gillett, Nathan P., Xie, Shang-Ping, Kosaka, Yu and Swart, Neil C. (2016) Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 224-228. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2938 Hawkins, Ed, Tietsche, Steffen, Day, Jonathan J., Melia, Nathanael, Haines, Keith and Keeley, Sarah (2016) Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 672-683. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2643 Tietsche, Steffen, Hawkins, Ed and Day, Jonathan J. (2016) Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 331-346. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1 Guemas, Virginie, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward, Chevallier, Matthieu, Day, Jonathan J., Déqué, Michel, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Fučkar, Neven, Germe, Agathe, Hawkins, Ed, Keeley, Sarah, Koenigk, Torben, Salas y Mélia, David and Tietsche, Steffen (2016) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 546-561. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2401 Good, Peter, Booth, Ben B. B., Chadwick, Robin, Hawkins, Ed, Jonko, Alexandra and Lowe, Jason Anthony (2016) Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming. Nature Communications, 7. 13667. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms13667 Eden, Jonathan, van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Hawkins, Ed and Suckling, Emma B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015 Melia, Nathaneal, Haines, Keith and Hawkins, Ed (2015) Improved Arctic sea-ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations. The Cryosphere, 9 (6). pp. 2237-2251. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-2237-2015 Sutton, Rowan, Suckling, Emma and Hawkins, Ed (2015) What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373. 20140426. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0426 Allison, Lesley, Hawkins, Ed and Woollings, Tim (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9 King, Andrew D., Donat, Markus G., Fischer, Erich M., Hawkins, Ed, Alexander, Lisa V., Karoly, David J., Dittus, Andrea J., Lewis, Sophie C. and Perkins, Sarah E. (2015) The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (9). 094015. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015 Xie, Shang-Ping, Deser, Clara, Vecchi, Gabriel A., Collins, Matthew, Delworth, Thomas L., Hall, Alex, Hawkins, Ed, Johnson, Nathaniel C., Cassou, Christophe, Giannini, Alessandra and Watanabe, Masahiro (2015) Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 921-930. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2689 Cowtan, Kevin, Hausfather, Zeke, Hawkins, Ed, Jacobs, Peter, Mann, Michael E., Miller, Sonya K., Steinman, Byron A., Stolpe, Martin B. and Way, Robert G. (2015) Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (15). pp. 6526-6534. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064888 Swart, Neil C., Fyfe, John C., Hawkins, Ed, Kay, Jennifer E. and Jahn, Alexandra (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2483 Hawkins, Ed, McNeall, Doug, Williams, Jonny, Stephenson, David and Carlson, Dave (2015) Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales. Nature, 519 (7543). p. 291. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/519291d Anderson, Bruce T., Lintner, Benjamin R., Langenbrunner, Baird, Neelin, J. David, Hawkins, Ed and Syktus, Jozef (2015) Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1190-1196. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062593 Usoskin, I. G., Arlt, R., Asvestari, E., Hawkins, Ed, Käpylä, M., Kovaltsov, G. A., Krivova, N., Lockwood, Mike, Mursula, K., O'Reilly, J., Owens, Mathew, Scott, Chris J., Sokoloff, D. D., Solanki, S. K., Soon, W. and Vaquero, J. M. (2015) The Maunder minimum (1645-1715) was indeed a grand minimum: a reassessment of multiple datasets. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 581. A95. ISSN 0004-6361 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201526652 Fischer, E. M., Sedláček, J., Hawkins, Ed and Knutti, R. (2014) Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (23). pp. 8554-8562. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062018 Day, Jonny, Hawkins, Ed and Tietsche, Steffen (2014) Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill? Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (21). pp. 7566-7575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061694 Hawkins, Ed, Joshi, Manoj and Frame, Dave (2014) Wetter then drier in some tropical areas. Nature Climate Change, 4 (8). pp. 646-647. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2299 Hawkins, Ed, Anderson, Bruce, Diffenbaugh, Noah, Mahlstein, Irina, Betts, Richard, Hegerl, Gabi, Joshi, Manoj, Knutti, Reto, McNeall, Doug, Solomon, Susan, Sutton, Rowan, Syktus, Jozef and Vecchi, Gabriel (2014) Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates. Nature, 511 (7507). E3-E5. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13523 Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1 Hawkins, Ed, Dong, Buwen, Robson, Jon, Sutton, Rowan and Smith, Doug (2014) The interpretation and use of biases in decadal climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 27 (8). pp. 2931-2947. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00473.1 Hawkins, Ed, Edwards, Tamsin and McNeall, Doug (2014) Pause for thought. Nature Climate Change, 4 (3). pp. 154-156. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2150 Meehl, Gerald A, Goddard, Lisa, Boer, George, Burgman, Robert, Branstator, Grant, Cassou, Christophe, Corti, Susanna, Danabasoglu, Gokham, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Hawkins, Ed, Karspeck, Alicia, Kimoto, Masahide, Kumar, Arun, Matei, Daniela, Mignot, Juliette, Msadek, Rym, Pohlmann, Holger, Rienecker, Michele, Rosati, Tony, Schneider, Edwin, Smith, Doug, Sutton, Rowan, Teng, Haiyan, Van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Vecchi, Gabriel and Yeager, Stephen (2014) Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95 (2). pp. 243-267. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1 Robson, Jon, Hodson, Dan, Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan (2014) Atlantic overturning in decline? Nature Geoscience, 7 (1). pp. 2-3. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2050 Tietsche, S., Day, J.J., Guemas, V., Hurlin, W J, Keeley, S.P.E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Collins, M. and Hawkins, E. (2014) Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea-ice predictability in current GCMs. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (3). pp. 1035-1043. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058755 Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., Murphy, C., O’Connor, P. and Hawkins, Ed (2014) The statistical downscaling model-decision centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications. Climate Research, 61 (3). pp. 259-276. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01254 Smith, Doug M., Scaife, Adam A., Boer, George J., Caian, Mihaela, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Guemas, Virginie, Hawkins, Ed, Hazeleger, Wilco, Hermanson, Leon, Ho, Chun Kit, Ishii, Masayoshi, Kharin, Viatcheslav, Kimoto, Masahide, Kirtman, Ben, Lean, Judith, Matei, Daniela, Merryfield, William J., Müller, Wolfgang A., Pohlmann, Holger, Rosati, Anthony, Wouters, Bert and Wyser, Klaus (2013) Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (11-12). pp. 2875-2888. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0 Ho, Chun Kit, Hawkins, Ed, Shaffrey, Len, Broecker, Jochen, Hermanson, Leon, Murphy, James M., Smith, Doug M. and Eade, Rosie (2013) Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: the role of ensemble dispersion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (21). pp. 5770-5775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL057630 Hawkins, Ed and Jones, Phil D. (2013) On increasing global temperatures: 75 years after Callendar. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (677). pp. 1961-1963. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2178 Ba, Jin, Keenlyside, Noel S., Park, Wonsun, Latif, Mojib, Hawkins, Ed and Ding, Hui (2013) A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 41 (7-8). pp. 2133-2144. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1633-4 Goddard, L., Kumar, A., Solomon, A., Smith, D., Boer, G., Gonzalez, P., Kharin, V., Merryfield, W., Deser, C., Mason, S. J., Kirtman, B. P., Msadek, R., Sutton, Rowan, Hawkins, Ed, Fricker, T., Hegerl, G., Ferro, C. A. T., Stephenson, D. B., Meehl, G. A., Stockdale, T., Burgman, R., Greene, A. M., Kushnir, Y., Newman, M., Carton, J., Fukumori, I. and Delworth, T. (2013) A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments. Climate Dynamics, 40 (1-2). pp. 245-272. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1481-2 Koehler, Ann-Kristin, Challinor, Andrew J, Hawkins, Ed and Asseng, Senthold (2013) Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034016 Ho, Chun Kit, Hawkins, Ed, Shaffrey, Len and Underwood, Fiona M. (2013) Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (3-4). pp. 917-935. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1531-9 Hodson, Daniel L. R., Keeley, Sarah P. E., West, Alex, Ridley, Jeff, Hawkins, Ed and Hewitt, Helene T. (2013) Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections. Climate Dynamics, 40 (11-12). pp. 2849-2865. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1512-z Vermeulen, S. J., Challinor, A. J., Thornton, P. K., Campbell, B. M., Eriyagama, N., Vervoort, J. M., Kinyangi, J., Jarvis, A., Laderach, P., Ramirez-Villegas, J., Nicklin, K. J., Hawkins, Ed and Smith, D. R. (2013) Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110 (21). pp. 8357-8362. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1219441110 Booth, B. B. B., Bernie, D., McNeall, D., Hawkins, Ed, Caesar, J., Boulton, C., Friedlingstein, P. and Sexton, D. M. H. (2013) Scenario and modelling uncertainty in global mean temperature change derived from emission-driven global climate models. Earth System Dynamics, 4 (1). pp. 95-108. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-95-2013 Hawkins, Ed, Osborne, Tom M., Ho, Chun Kit and Challinor, Andrew J. (2013) Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: an idealised case study over Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 19-31. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.04.007 Hawkins, Ed, Fricker, Thomas E., Challinor, Andrew J., Ferro, Christopher A. T., Ho, Chun Kit and Osborne, Tom M. (2013) Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s. Global Change Biology, 19 (3). pp. 937-947. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12069 van Oldenborgh, G. J., Doblas Reyes, F. J., Drijfhout, S. S. and Hawkins, Ed (2013) Reliability of regional climate model trends. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (1). 014055. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014055 Stott, Peter, Good, Peter, Jones, Gareth, Gillett, Nathan and Hawkins, Ed (2013) The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (1). 014024. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014024 Vecchi, Gabriel A., Msadek, Rym, Delworth, Thomas L., Dixon, Keith W., Guilyardi, Eric, Hawkins, Ed, Karspeck, Alicia R., Mignot, Juliette, Robson, Jon, Rosati, Anthony and Zhang, Rong (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1222566 Chalmers, Nicky, Highwood, Eleanor Jo, Hawkins, Ed, Sutton, Rowan T. and Wilcox, Laura Jenny (2012) Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18709. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052848 Hawkins, Ed and Vidale, Pier Luigi (2012) Meteorology: Counting the coming storms. Nature Climate Change, 2 (8). pp. 574-575. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1639 Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan (2012) Time of emergence of climate signals. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (1). L01702. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL050087 Hawkins, Ed, Robson, Jon, Sutton, Rowan, Smith, Doug and Keenlyside, Noel (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3 Joshi, Manoj, Hawkins, Ed, Sutton, Rowan, Lowe, Jason and Frame, Dave (2011) Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 407-412. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE1261 Yip, S., Ferro, C. A. T., Stephenson, D. B. and Hawkins, E. (2011) A simple, coherent framework for partitioning uncertainty in climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 24 (17). pp. 4634-4643. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4085.1 Hawkins, Ed (2011) Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability. Weather, 66 (7). pp. 175-179. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.761 Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan T. (2011) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 407-418. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6 Hawkins, Ed, Smith, Robin S., Allison, Lesley C., Gregory, Jonathan M., Woollings, Tim J., Pohlmann, H. and de Cuevas, B. (2011) Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (10). L10605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047208 Hawkins, Edward and Sutton, Rowan (2011) Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 24 (1). pp. 109-123. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1 Ortega, Pablo, Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan (2011) Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 37 (9-10). pp. 1771-1782. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1025-1 Poulter, Bebjamin, Hattermann, Fred, Hawkins, Ed, Zaehle, Sonke, Sitch, Sitch, Restrepo-Coupe, Natalie, Heyder , Ursula and Cramer, Wolfgang (2010) Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology, 16 (9). pp. 2476-2495. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x Charlton-Perez, Andrew James, Hawkins, Edward, Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Kinnison, D. E., Akiyoshi, H., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., Lamarque, J. F., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Yamashita, Y., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Marchand, M., Mancini, E., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shibata, K., Shepherd, Ted, Tian, W. and Waugh, D. W. (2010) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9473-9486. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010 Meehl, Gerald A., Goddard, Lisa, Murphy, James, Stouffer, Ronald J., Boer, George, Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Dixon, Keith, Giorgetta, Marco A., Greene, Arthur M., Hawkins, Ed, Hegerl, Gabriele, Karoly, David, Keenlyside, Noel, Kimoto, Masahide, Kirtman, Ben, Navarra, Antonio, Pulwarty, Roger, Smith, Doug, Stammer, Detlef and Stockdale, Timothy (2009) Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (10). pp. 1467-1485. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1 Hawkins, Edward and Sutton, Rowan Timothy (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (8). pp. 1095-1107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1 Hawkins, Edward and Sutton, Rowan Timothy (2009) Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: forecast skill and optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling. Journal of Climate, 22 (14). pp. 3960-3978. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2720.1 Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan (2008) Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (11). L11603. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL034059 Hawkins, Ed and Sutton, Rowan (2007) Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions. Climate Dynamics, 29 (7-8). pp. 745-762. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0263-8 Book or Report Section
Allan, Richard P.
Gulev, S. K., Thorne, P. W., Ahn, J., Dentener, F. J., Domingues, C. M., Gerland, S., Gong, D., Kaufman, D. S., Nnamchi, H. C., Quaas, J., Rivera, J. A., Sathyendranath, S., Smith, S. L., Trewin, B., von Schuckmann, K., Vose, R. S., Allan, Richard
Arias, Paola A., Bellouin, Nicolas Arnell, Nigel, Qingchen, C., Ying, X., Junfeng, L., Tong, J., Guangsheng, Z., Kexiu, L., Brown, Sally, Challinor, Andrew, Hawkins, Ed, Koehler, Ann-Kristin, Nicholls, Robert, Sutton, Rowan, Rensheng, C., Xiaomin, L. and Wentao, W. (2018) Direct risks of climate change. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 58-97. ReportWolf, Eric, Arnell, Nigel, Friedlingstein, Pierre, Gregory, Jonathan, Haigh, Joanna, Haines, Andy, Hawkins, Ed, Hegerl, Gabriele, Hoskins, Brian, Mace, Georgina, Prentice, Iain Colin, Shine, Keith, Smith, Peter, Sutton, Rowan and Turley, Carol, (2017) Climate updates: what have we learnt since the IPCC 5th Assessment Report? Report. The Royal Society, London, UK. pp36. ISBN 9781782523062 Melia, Nathanael, Haines, Keith and Hawkins, Ed, (2017) Implications from opening Arctic sea routes. Foresight: Future of the Sea. Report. Government Office for Science, Gov.uk. pp39. Book
Asher, Claire, Britton, Ben, Coe, Hugh, Collins, Matthew, Few, Sheridan, Finlayson, Brian, Gilbert, Alyssa, Graven, Heather, Grimmond, Sue |
