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Items where Author is "Broecker, Dr Jochen"

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Article

Ho, C. K., Hawkins, E., Shaffrey, L., Broecker, J., Hermanson, L., Murphy, J. M., Smith, D. M. and Eade, R. (2013) Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: the role of ensemble dispersion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (21). pp. 5770-5775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2013GL057630

Gundermann, J., Kantz, H. and Broecker, J. (2013) Crooks' fluctuation theorem for a process on a two dimensional fluid field. Physical Review Letters, 110 (23). 234502. ISSN 0031-9007 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.110.234502

Broecker, J. (2012) Evaluating raw ensembles with the continuous ranked probability score. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (667). pp. 1611-1617. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1891

Broecker, J. and Szendro, I. G. (2012) Sensitivity and out-of-sample error in continuous time data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (664). pp. 785-801. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.940

Broecker, J. (2012) Estimating reliability and resolution of probability forecasts through decomposition of the empirical score. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 655-667. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1191-1

Siegert, S., Broecker, J. and Kantz, H. (2012) Rank histograms of stratified Monte-Carlo ensembles. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (12). pp. 1558-1571. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00302.1

Bröcker, J., Siegert, S. and Kantz, H. (2011) Comment on ``Conditional Exceedance Probabilities''. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (10). pp. 3322-3324. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2011MWR3658.1

Siegert, S., Broecker, J. and Kantz, H. (2011) Predicting outliers in ensemble forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (660). pp. 1887-1897. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.868

Broecker, J. and Kantz, H. (2011) The concept of exchangeability in ensemble forecasting. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (1). pp. 1-5. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-18-1-2011

Broecker, J. (2010) On variational data assimilation in continuous time. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (652). pp. 1906-1919. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.695

Broecker, J. (2010) Regularized logistic models for probabilistic forecasting and diagnostics. Monthly Weather Review, 138 (2). pp. 592-604. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/2009MWR3126.1

Broecker, J., Engster, D. and Parlitz, U. (2009) Probabilistic evaluation of time series models : a comparison of several approaches. Chaos, 19 (4). ISSN 1089-7682

Broecker, J. (2009) Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (643). 1512 - 1519. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.456

Broecker, J. and Smith, L. A. (2008) From ensemble forecasts to predictive distribution functions. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 60 (4). pp. 663-678. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00333.x

Broecker, J. (2008) On reliability analysis of multi-categorical forecasts. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 15 (4). pp. 661-673. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-15-661-2008

Book or Report Section

Broecker, J. (2011) Probability forecasts. In: Jolliffe, I.T. and Stephenson, D. B. (eds.) Forecast verification : a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science. 2nd ed. Wiley-Blackwell, Oxford, pp. 119-139. ISBN 9780470660713

Hallerberg, S., Broecker, J. and Kantz, H. (2008) Prediction of extreme events. In: Donner, R. V. and Barbosa, S. M. (eds.) Nonlinear time series analysis in the geosciences : applications in climatology, geodynamics, and solar-terrestrial physics. Lecture notes in earth sciences, 112. Springer, Berlin ; London, pp. 35-59. ISBN 9783540789376

This list was generated on Fri Oct 24 08:53:45 2014 BST.

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