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The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities

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Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477

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To link to this item DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Abstract/Summary

Nearly 40 participants from universities (Oxford, Reading, Exeter, Leeds, Lincoln), the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) and operational forecasting centers (Met Office, ECMWF) in the UK as well as from the Hebrew University in Jerusalem and NCAR in Boulder gathered - primarily in person - to discuss our current understanding of the so-called signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts and develop ideas to resolve it.

Item Type:Article
Refereed:No
Divisions:Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > NCAS
Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
ID Code:115047
Publisher:American Meteorological Society
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