Article

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2012) Regime dependent changes in global precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 827-840. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1134-x

Bogner, K., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Pappenberger, F., De Roo, A. and Thielen, J. (2012) Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment. International Journal of River Basin Management, 10 (1). pp. 1-12. ISSN 1814-2060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2011.625359

Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Kageyama, M., Bartlein, P. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B. and Zhao, Y. (2012) Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data. Nature Climate change, 2. pp. 417-424. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1456

Evans, C. D., Jones, T. G., Burden, A., Ostle, N., Zieliński, P., Cooper, M. D.A., Peacock, M., Clark, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, Oulehle, F., Cooper, D. and Freeman, C. (2012) Acidity controls on dissolved organic carbon mobility in organic soils. Global Change Biology, 18 (11). pp. 3317-3331. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02794.x

Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Braud, I. (2012) Incorporation of water vapour transfer in the JULES Land Surface Model: implications for key soil variables and land surface fluxes. Water Resources Research, 48 (5). W05538. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011811

Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9498-6696, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Main, B., Gan, G. and Wu, Y. (2012) Interactions between the physical soil environment and a horizontal ground coupled heat pump, for a domestic site in the UK. Renewable Energy, 44. pp. 141-153. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2012.01.080

Geddes, A., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Black, R. and Thomas, D. S. G. (2012) Migration, environmental change, and the ‘challenges of governance’. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 30 (6). pp. 951-967. ISSN 1472-3425 doi: https://doi.org/10.1068/c3006ed

Gottschalk, P., Smith, J. U., Wattenbach, M., Bellarby, J., Stehfest, E., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Osborn, T. J., Jones, C. and Smith, P. (2012) How will organic carbon stocks in mineral soils evolve under future climate? Global projections using RothC for a range of climate change scenarios. Biogeosciences, 9 (8). pp. 3151-3171. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-3151-2012

Gregory, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4118-4833 and Marshall, B. (2012) Attribution of climate change: a methodology to estimate the potential contribution to increases in potato yield in Scotland since 1960. Global Change Biology, 18 (4). pp. 1372-1388. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02601.x

Halliday, S. J., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Skeffington, R. A., Neal, C., Reynolds, B., Rowland, P., Neal, M. and Norris, D. (2012) An analysis of long-term trends, seasonality and short-term dynamics in water quality data from Plynlimon, Wales. Science of the Total Environment, 434. pp. 186-200. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.10.052

Hao, X.Y., Han, X., Lam, S.K., Wheeler, T., Ju, H., Wang, H.R., Li, Y.C. and Lin, E.D. (2012) Effects of fully open-air CO2 elevation on leaf ultrastructure, photosynthesis and yield of two soybean cultivars. Photosynthetica, 50 (3). pp. 362-370. ISSN 1573-9058 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11099-012-0043-5

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Time of emergence of climate signals. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (1). L01702. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL050087

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2012) Meteorology: Counting the coming storms. Nature Climate Change, 2 (8). pp. 574-575. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1639

Heap, M. J., Culham, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7440-0133 and Osborne, J. (2012) The benefits of a compute cluster approach to high spatial resolution biodiversity richness modelling: projecting the impact of climate change on Mediterranean flora. The International Journal of Climate Change: Impacts and Responses, 4 (1). pp. 115-128. ISSN 1835-7156

Hunt, F. K., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2012) The vertical structure of oceanic Rossby waves: a comparison of high-resolution model data to theoretical vertical structures. Ocean Science, 8 (1). pp. 19-35. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-8-19-2012

Knox, J., Hess, T., Daccache, A. and Wheeler, T. (2012) Climate change impacts on crop productivity in Africa and South Asia. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (3). 034032. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034032 (Unpublished)

Krishnan, R., Sabin, T. P., Ayantika, D. C., Kitoh, A., Sugi, M., Murakami, H., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Slingo, J. M. and Rajendran, K. (2012) Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Climate Dynamics, 40 (1-2). pp. 187-211. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1317-0

Lavers, D. A., Villarini, G., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F. and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2012) The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 117 (D20). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018027

Lazar, A., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Whitehead, P., Neal, C. and Loewenthal, M. (2012) Reconciling observed and modelled phytoplankton dynamics in a major lowland UK river system, the Thames. Hydrology Research, 43 (3). pp. 576-588. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2012.029

Ledbetter, R., Prudhomme, C. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2012) A method for incorporating climate variability in climate change impact assessments: sensitivity of river flows in the Eden catchment to precipitation scenarios. Climatic Change, 113 (3-4). pp. 803-823. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0386-0

Liu, C. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2012) Multi-satellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D03101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016568

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Huffman, G. J. (2012) Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L13803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052093

Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2012) A spatio-temporal structure-based approach to drought characterisation. International Journal of Climatology, 32 (3). pp. 406-418. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2280

Loeb, N. G., Lyman, J. M., Johnson, G. C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Doelling, D. R., Wong, T., Soden, B. J. and Stephens, G. L. (2012) Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty. Nature Geoscience, 15. pp. 110-113. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1375

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2012) Stochastic perturbations to dynamical systems: a response theory approach. Journal of Statistical Physics, 146 (4). pp. 774-786. ISSN 1572-9613 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10955-012-0422-0,

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Faranda, D. and Willeit, M. (2012) Bistable systems with stochastic noise: virtues and limits of effective one-dimensional Langevin equations. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19 (1). pp. 9-22. ISSN 1607-7946 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-19-9-2012

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Faranda, D., Turchetti, G. and Vaienti, S. (2012) Extreme value distribution for singular measures. Chaos, 22 (2). 023135. ISSN 1089-7682 doi: https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4718935

Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Kuna, T., Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657 and Faranda, D. (2012) Relevance of sampling schemes in light of Ruelle's linear response theory. Nonlinearity, 25 (5). p. 1311. ISSN 1361-6544 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/0951-7715/25/5/1311

Madan, P., Jagadish, S. V. K., Craufurd, P. Q., Fitzgerald, M., Lafarge, T. and Wheeler, T. R. (2012) Effect of elevated CO2 and high temperature on seed-set and grain quality of rice. Journal of Experimental Botany, 63 (10). pp. 3843-3852. ISSN 0022-0957 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/ers077

Medici, C., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 and Frances, F. (2012) Does increased hydrochemical model complexity decrease robustness? Journal of Hydrology, 440-41. pp. 1-13. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.02.047

Pacifico, F., Folberth, G.A., Jones, C.D., Harrison, S.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Collins, W.J. (2012) Sensitivity of biogenic isoprene emissions to past, present and future environmental conditions and implications for atmospheric chemistry. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D22). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018276

Parry, S., Hannaford, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B. and Prudhomme, C. (2012) Multi-year droughts in Europe: analysis of development and causes. Hydrology Research, 43 (5). pp. 689-703. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2012.024

Pawlocwicz, P., McDougall, T. J., Feistel, R. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2012) An historical perspective on the development of the thermodynamic equation of seawater - 2010. Ocean Science, 8. pp. 161-174. ISSN 1812-0784

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Kutuzov, S., White, K. and Nosenko, G. (2012) Using the significant dust deposition event on the glaciers of Mt. Elbrus, Caucasus Mountains, Russia on 5 May 2009 to develop a method for dating and provenancing of desert dust events recorded in snow pack. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 12. pp. 24437-24467. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-12-24437-2012

Shahgedanova, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2320-3885, Nosenko, G., Bushueva, I. and Ivanov, M. (2012) Changes in area and geodetic mass balance of small glaciers, polar Urals, Russia, 1950-2008. Journal of Glaciology, 58 (211). pp. 953-964. ISSN 0022-1430 doi: https://doi.org/10.3189/2012JoG11J233

Simelton, E., Fraser, E. D. G., Termansen, M., Benton, T. G., Gosling, S. N., South, A., Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Challinor, A. J., Dougill, A. J. and Forster, P. M. (2012) The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought. Food Security, 4 (2). pp. 163-179. ISSN 1876-4517 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-012-0173-4

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2012) On the generalized eigenvalue problem for the Rossby wave vertical velocity in the presence of mean flow and topography. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42 (6). pp. 1045-1050. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-010.1

Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2012) Thermodynamics/dynamics coupling in weakly compressible turbulent stratified fluids. ISRN Thermodynamics, 2012. 609701. ISSN 2090-5211 doi: https://doi.org/10.5402/2012/609701

Tisseuil, C., Vrac, M., Grenouillet, G., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Gevrey, M., Oberdorff, T., Grodwohl, J.-B. and Lek, S. (2012) Strengthening the link between climate, hydrological and species distribution modeling to assess the impacts of climate change on freshwater biodiversity. Science of the Total Environment, 424. pp. 193-201. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.02.035

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Palmer-Felgate, E. J., Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Loewenthal, M., Jarvie, H. J., Bowes, M. J., Greenway, G. M., Haswell, S. J., Bell, I. M., Joly, E., Fallatah, A., Neal, C., Williams, R. J., Gozzard, E. and Newman, J. R. (2012) Hydrochemical processes in lowland rivers: insights from in situ, high-resolution monitoring. Hydrology and Earth System Science, 16 (11). pp. 4323-4342. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4323-2012

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2012) A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology. Journal of Hydrology, 420-421. pp. 1-16. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033

Wheeler, T. (2012) Agriculture: wheat crops feel the heat. Nature Climate Change, 2 (3). pp. 152-153. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1425

Williams, C.J.R., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Kniveton, D.R. (2012) Diagnosing atmosphere–land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4). 044003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044003

Wood, E. F., Roundy, J. K., Troy, T. J., van Beek, R., Bierkens, M., Blyth, E., de Roo, A., Doll, P., Ek, M., Familglietti, J., Gochis, D., van de Giesen, N., Houser, P., Jaffe, P., Kollett, S., Lehner, B., Lettenmaier, D. P., Peters-Lidiard, C. D., Sivapalan, M., Sheffield, J., Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 and Whitehead, P. (2012) Reply to comment by Keith J. Beven and Hannah L. Cloke on 'Hyperresolution global land surface modelling: meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth's terrestrial water'. Water Resources Research, 48 (1). W01802. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011202

Wouters, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5418-7657 and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2012) Disentangling multi-level systems: averaging, correlations and memory. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2012 (3). P03003. ISSN 1742-5468 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2012/03/P03003

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van Vuuren, D. P., Riahi, K., Moss, R., Edmonds, J., Thomson, A., Nakicenovic, N., Kram, T., Berkhout, F., Swart, R., Janetos, A., Rose, S. K. and Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436 (2012) A proposal for a new scenario framework to support research and assessment in different climate research communities. Global Environmental Change, 22 (1). pp. 21-35. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.08.002

Book or Report Section

Abrantes, F., Voelker, A. (H. L.), Sierro, F. J., Naughton, F., Rodrigues, T., Cacho, I., Ariztegui, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Sicre, M.-A. and Batista, L. (2012) Paleoclimate variability in the Mediterranean region. In: Lionello, P. (ed.) The Climate of the Mediterranean Region. Elsevier, London, pp. 1-86. ISBN 9780124160422 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00001-X

Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903 and Bartlein, P. (2012) Records from the past, lessons for the future: what the palaeo-record implies about mechanisms of global change. In: Henderson-Sellers, A. and McGuffie, K. (eds.) The Future of the World's Climate. 2nd ed. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 403-436. ISBN 9780123869173

Lu, Y., Powlson, D., Norse, D., Chadwick, D., Conway, D., Ford-Lloyd, B., Maxted, N., Smith, P. and Wheeler, T. (2012) Sustaining China’s agriculture in a changing climate: a multidisciplinary action through UK-China cooperation. In: Wollenberg, E., Nihart, A., Tapio-Biström , M.-L. and Grieg-Gran, M. (eds.) Climate Change Mitigation and Agriculture. Earthscan, pp. 203-214. ISBN 9781849713931

Mooney, S. D., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Bartlein, P. J. and Stevenson, J. (2012) The prehistory of fire in Australia. In: Bradstock, R. A., Gill, A. M. and Williams, R. J. (eds.) Flammable Australia, Fire Regimes, Biodiversity and Ecosystems in a Changing World. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood, Vic., pp. 3-26. ISBN 9780643104822

Scholze, M., Allen, I., Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Cornell, S. E., Huntingford, C., Joshi, M., Lowe, J., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Wild, O. (2012) Earth system models: a tool to understand changes in the Earth system. In: Cornell, S.E., Prentice, I.C. and House, J.I. (eds.) Understanding the Earth system: global change science for application. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 129-159. ISBN 9781107009363

Wolff, E. W., Harrison, S. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5687-1903, Knutti, R., Sanchez-Goni, M. F., Wild, O., Daniau, A.-L., Masson-Delmotte, V., Prentice, I. C. and Spahni, R. (2012) How has climate responded to natural perturbations? In: Cornell, S. E., Prentice, I. C., House, J. I. and Downy, C. J. (eds.) Understanding the earth system : global change science for application. Cambridge University Press, pp. 72-101. ISBN 9781107009363

Report

Artz, R. R. E., Donnelly, D., Cuthbert, A., Evans, C., Smart, S., Reed, M., Kenter, J. and Clark, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0412-8824, (2012) Restoration of lowland raised bogs in Scotland: emissions savings and the implications of a changing climate on lowland raised bog condition. Technical Report. Scottish Wildlife Trust and The James Hutton Institute pp80.

Evans, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4599-5270, (2012) Inheritance, access to resources and poverty in Serer families in Senegal. Research Note. 1. Walker Institute for Climate System Research, University of Reading, Reading. pp23.

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 1: a literature survey of key rainfall drivers in Queensland Australia: rainfall variability and change. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp37. ISBN 9780975082737

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 2: Is the inter-annual variability in Queensland rainfall due to variability in rainfall frequency, intensity or both? Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp25. ISBN 9780980564129

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 3: empirical orthogonal teleconnection analysis of inter-annual variability in Queensland rainfall: understanding the influence of atmospheric drivers. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp39. ISBN 9780975082744

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 4: the ability of HiGEM to simulate Queensland's rainfall variability and its drivers. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp39. ISBN 9780975082744

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, (2012) Rainfall in Queensland: Part 5: projected changes in Queensland rainfall under double-CO2 conditions in the HiGEM model. Technical Report. Queensland Government, Brisbane, Australia. pp63.

Book

Bengtsson, L., Koumoutsaris, S., Bonnet, R. -M., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Fröhlich, C., Heintzenberg, J., Ingmann, P., Kandel, R., Loeb, N. G., Soden, B. and Trenberth, K. E. (2012) Observing and Modeling Earth's Energy Flows. Space Sciences Series of ISSI, 41. Springer. ISBN 9789400743267