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Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2018) Overview of climate models and tropical extremes. In: Vuruputur, V., Sukhatme, J., Murtugudde, R. and Roca, R. (eds.) Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends. Elsevier, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9780128092484

Asfaw, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brown, M., Nicklin, K. J., Otu-Larbi, F., Pinnington, E., Challinor, A., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 and Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2018) TAMSAT-ALERT v1: a new framework for agricultural decision support. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (6). pp. 2353-2371. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2353-2018

B

Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297, Migliorini, S., Rudd, A. C. and Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488 (2018) Methods of investigating forecast error sensitivity to ensemble size in a limited-area convection-permitting ensemble. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions. 260. ISSN 1991-962X doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-260

Berry, D. I., Corlett, G. K., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828 and Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 (2018) Stability assessment of the (A)ATSR sea surface temperature climate dataset from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative. Remote Sensing, 10 (1). 126. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10010126

Block, T., Embacher, S., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Donlon, C. (2018) High performance software framework for the calculation of satellite-to-satellite data matchups (MMS version 1.2). Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (6). pp. 2419-2427. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2419-2018

Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Ghent, D., Klueser, L., Popp, T., Poulsen, C. and Sogacheva, L. (2018) Quantifying uncertainty in satellite-retrieved land surface temperature from cloud detection errors. Remote Sensing, 10 (4). 616. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10040616

C

Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Bocquet, M., Bertino, L. and Evensen, G. (2018) Data assimilation in the geosciences: an overview of methods, issues, and perspectives. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9 (5). e535. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.535

Chavez-Arroyo, R., Fernades-Correia, P., Lozano-Galiana, S., Sanz-Rodrigo, J., Amezcua, J. and Probst, O. (2018) A novel approach to statistical-dynamical downscaling for long-term wind resource predictions. Meteorological Applications, 25 (2). pp. 171-183. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1678

Cooper, E. S., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Garcia-Pintado, J., Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127 (2018) Observation impact, domain length and parameter estimation in data assimilation for flood forecasting. Environmental Modelling and Software, 104. pp. 199-214. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.03.013

D

Dunning, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2018) Later wet seasons with more intense rainfall over Africa under future climate change. Journal of Climate, 31. pp. 9719-9738. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0102.1

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Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Boisseson, E. (2018) Coupling of surface air and sea surface temperatures in the CERA-20C reanalysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 195-207. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3194

Flamant, C., Knippertz, P., Fink, A. H., Akpo, A., Brooks, B., Chiu, C. J., Coe, H., Danuor, S., Evans, M., Jegede, O., Kalthoff, N., Konaré, A., Liousse, C., Lohou, F., Mari, C., Schlager, H., Schwarzenboeck, A., Adler, B., Amekudzi, L., Aryee, J., Ayoola, M., Batenburg, A. M., Bessardon, G., Borrmann, S., Brito, J., Bower, K., Burnet, F., Catoire, V., Colomb, A., Denjean, C., Fosu-Amankwah, K., Hill, P. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120, Lee, J., Lothon, M., Maranan, M., Marsham, J., Meynadier, R., Ngamini, J.-B., Rosenberg, P., Sauer, D., Smith, V., Stratmann, G., Taylor, J. W., Voigt, C. and Yoboué, V. (2018) The Dynamics-Aerosol-Chemistry-Cloud Interactions in West Africa field campaign: overview and research highlights. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (1). pp. 83-104. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0256.1

Fowler, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3650-3948, Dance, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Waller, J. (2018) On the interaction of observation and prior error correlations in data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (710). pp. 48-62. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3183

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Global Sea Level Budget Group, W. C. R. P., Cazenave, A. and Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 (2018) Global sea level budget 1993-present. Earth System Science Data, 10 (3). pp. 1551-1590. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2018-53

Grudzien, C., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Bocquet, M. (2018) Asymptotic forecast uncertainty and the unstable subspace in the presence of additive model error. SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 6 (4). pp. 1335-1363. ISSN 2166-2525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1137/17M114073X

Grudzien, C., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Bocquet, M. (2018) Chaotic dynamics and the role of covariance inflation for reduced rank Kalman filters with model error. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 25 (3). pp. 633-648. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-633-2018

H

Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 (2018) Ocean reanalyses. In: Chassignet, E. P., Pascual, A., Tintoré, J. and Verron, J. (eds.) New Frontiers in Operational Oceanography. GODAE OceanView. ISBN 9781720549970 doi: https://doi.org/10.17125/gov2018

Hill, P. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Chiu, J. C., Bodas-Salcedo, A. and Knippertz, P. (2018) Quantifying the contribution of different cloud types to the radiation budget in southern West Africa. Journal of Climate, 31. pp. 5273-5291. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0586.1

Hill, P. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9745-2120, Chiu, J. C., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Chern, J.-D. (2018) Characterizing the radiative effect of rain using a global ensemble of cloud resolving simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (10). pp. 2453-2470. ISSN 19422466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001415

Hogan, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3180-5157, Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 and Braghiere, R. (2018) Fast matrix treatment of 3-D radiative transfer in vegetation canopies: SPARTACUS-Vegetation 1.1. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (1). pp. 339-350. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-339-2018

Hyder, P., Edwards, J. M., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hewitt, H. T., Bracegirdle, T. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Wood, R. A., Meijers, A. J. S., Mulcahy, J., Field, P., Furtado, K., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Williams, K. D., Copsey, D., Josey, S. A., Liu, C., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez, C., Ridley, J., Thorpe, L., Hardiman, S. C., Mayer, M., Berry, D. I. and Belcher, S. E. (2018) Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors. Nature Communications, 9 (1). 3625. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-05634-2

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John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2018) Upper tropospheric humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2017"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). American Meteorological Society, S27-S28. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2018bamsstateoftheclimate.1

L

Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2018) Unrealistic increases in wind speed explain reduced eastern Pacific heat flux in reanalyses. Journal of Climate, 31 (8). pp. 2981-2993. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0642.1

Liu, M., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Guan, L. and Mittaz, J. P. D. (2018) Inter-calibration of HY-1B/COCTS thermal infrared channels with MetOp-A/IASI. Remote Sensing, 10 (8). 1173. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10081173

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Mason, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9699-8850, Chiu, C. J., Hogan, R. J., Moisseev, D. and Kneifel, S. (2018) Retrievals of riming and snow density from vertically‐pointing Doppler radars. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123 (24). pp. 13807-13834. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028603

Mignac, D., Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 (2018) South Atlantic meridional transports from NEMO-based model simulations and reanalyses. Ocean Science, 14 (1). pp. 53-68. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-53-2018

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Oljača, L., Bröcker, J. and Kuna, T. (2018) Almost sure error bounds for data assimilation in dissipative systems with unbounded observation noise. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 17 (4). pp. 2882-2914. ISSN 1536-0040 doi: https://doi.org/10.1137/17M1162305

Otkin, J. A., Potthast, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6794-2500 and Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2018) Nonlinear bias correction for satellite data assimilation using Taylor series polynomials. Monthly Weather Review, 146 (1). pp. 263-285. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-17-0171.1

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Pearson, K., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828 and Donlon, C. (2018) The role of Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 channels within an optimal estimation scheme for sea surface temperature. Remote Sensing, 10 (1). 90. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10010090 (special issue 'Sea Surface Temperature Retrievals from Remote Sensing')

Pinheiro, F. R., Van Leeuwen, P. J. and Parlitz, U. (2018) An ensemble framework for time delay synchronisation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (711(partB)). pp. 305-316. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3204

Pinnington, E., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2018) Impact of remotely sensed soil moisture and precipitation on soil moisture prediction in a data assimilation system with the JULES land surface model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22 (4). pp. 2575-2588. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2575-2018

Prettyman, J., Kuna, T. and Livina, V. (2018) A novel scaling indicator of early warning signals helps anticipate tropical cyclones. Europhysics Letters, 121 (1). 10002. ISSN 0295-5075 doi: https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/121/10002

Pulido, M., Tandeo, P., Bocquet, M., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Lucini, M. (2018) Stochastic parameterization identification using ensemble Kalman filtering combined with maximum likelihood methods. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 70 (1). pp. 1-17. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2018.1442099

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Rabatel, M., Rampal, P., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Bertino, L. and Jones, C. K. R. T. (2018) Impact of rheology on probabilistic forecasts of sea ice trajectories: application for search and rescue operations in the Arctic. The Cryosphere, 12 (3). pp. 935-953. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-935-2018

Rasmussen, T. A. S., Hoyer, J. L., Ghent, D., Bulgin, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4368-7386, Dybkjaer, G., Ribergaard, M. H., Nielsen-Englyst, P. and Madsen, K. S. (2018) Impact of assimilation of sea-ice surface temperatures on a coupled ocean and sea-ice model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123 (4). pp. 2440-2460. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC013481

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Archibald, A., Cooper, F., Christensen, M., Gray, L. J., Holliday, N. P., Macintosh, C., McMillan, M., Moat, B., Russo, M., Tilling, R., Carslaw, K., Desbruyères, D., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Feltham, D. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Grosvenor, D. P., Josey, S., King, B., Lewis, A., McCarthy, G. D., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, New, A. L., O'Reilly, C. H., Osprey, S. M., Read, K., Scaife, A., Shepherd, A., Sinha, B., Smeed, D., Smith, D., Ridout, A., Woollings, T. and Yang, M. (2018) Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (12). pp. 5050-5076. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5815

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Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2018) Treating sample covariances for use in strongly coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (1). pp. 445-454. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017gl075534

T

Tabeart, J. M., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Waller, J. A. (2018) The conditioning of least squares problems in variational data assimilation. Numerical Linear Algebra with Applications, 25 (5). e2165. ISSN 1099-1506 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/nla.2165

V

Vetra-Carvalho, S., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Nerger, L., Bart, A., Altaf, M. U., Brasseur, P., Kirchgessner, P. and Beckers, J.-M. (2018) State-of-the-art stochastic data assimilation methods for high-dimensional non-Gaussian problems. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 70 (1). 1445364. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2018.1445364

W

Waller, J. A., Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2018) Technical note: assessment of observation quality for data assimilation in flood models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22. pp. 3983-3992. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3983-2018

Y

Young, M. P., Chiu, J. C., Williams, C. J. R., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Stengel, M., Fielding, M. D. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2018) Spatio-temporal variability of warm rain events over southern West Africa from geostationary satellite observations for climate monitoring and model evaluation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (716). pp. 2311-2330. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3372

Z

Zhang, H., Beggs, H., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Wang, X. H., Majewski, L., Kiss, A. E., Rodriguez, J., Thorpe, L., Gentemann, C. and Brunke, M. (2018) Comparison of SST diurnal variation models over the Tropical Warm Pool region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123 (5). pp. 3467-3488. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JC013517

Zhu, M., Van Leeuwen, P. J. and Zhang, W. (2018) Estimating model error covariances using particle filters. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (713). pp. 1310-1320. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3132