Article

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, Michela, Mignot, Juliette, Mohino, Elsa, Pohl, Benjamin and Zappa, Giuseppe (2023) Storylines of Sahel precipitation change: roles of the North Atlantic and Euro-Mediterranean temperature. JGR Atmospheres, 128 (16). e2023JD038712. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038712

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Robson, Jon I., Ndiaye, Cassien D., Song, Cenyao and Turner, Andrew G. (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acea96 (In Press)

Marcheggiani, Andrea ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3571-608X, Robson, Jon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. and Smith, Doug (2023) Decadal predictability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet in winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (8). e2022GL102071. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102071

O'Reilly, Christopher H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Patterson, Matthew, Robson, Jon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Hodson, Daniel ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Ruprich-Robert, Yohan (2023) Challenges with interpreting the impact of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using SST-restoring experiments. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6. 14. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00335-0

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Dittus, Andrea J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Wilcox, Laura J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, Andy G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) Uncertainty in simulating twentieth century West African precipitation trends: the role of anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Earth's Future, 11 (2). e2022EF002995. ISSN 2328-4277

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Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wilcox, Laura J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Turner, Andrew G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2022) Effects of anthropogenic aerosol and greenhouse gas emissions on Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation: mechanisms and uncertainty. Journal of Climate, 35 (8). pp. 2305-2326. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0412.1

Dieppois, Bastien, Capotondi, Antonietta, Pohl, Benjamin, Pan Chun, Kwok, Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 and Eden, Jonathan (2021) ENSO diversity shows robust decadal variations that must be captured for accurate future projections. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1). 212. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00285-6

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, Jon I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dunstone, Nick J. and Turner, Andrew George ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2a65

Deroubaix, Adrien, Labuhn, Inga, Camredon, Marie, Gaubert, Benjamin, Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Popp, Max, Ramarohetra, Johanna, Ruprich-Robert, Yohan, Silvers, Levi G. and Siour, Guillaume (2021) Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. Nature Communications, 12. 5197. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25504-8

Ruprich-Robert, Yohan, Moreno-Chamarro, Eduardo, Levine, Xavier, Bellucci, Alessio, Cassou, Christophe, Castruccio, Frederic, Davini, Paolo, Eade, Rosie, Gastineau, Guillaume, Hermanson, Leon, Hodson, Dan, Lohmann, Katja, Lopez-Parages, Jorge, Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, Dario, Qasmi, Said, Roberts, Christopher D., Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia, Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Dunstone, Nick, Martin-Rey, Marta, Msadek, Rym, Robson, Jon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, Doug and Tourigny, Etienne (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, Jon ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, Buwen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Hodson, Daniel (2021) Role of the Atlantic multidecadal variability in modulating East Asian climate. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 381-398. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05477-y

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Pohl, Benjamin and Gaetani, Marco (2021) The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4. 24. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00179-6

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia, Gaetani, Marco, Mohino, Elsa and Dong, Buwen ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) Future evolution of the Sahel precipitation zonal contrast in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, 55 (9-10). pp. 2801-2821. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05417-w

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Chevuturi, Amulya ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Cook, Peter, Klingaman, Nicholas P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, Christopher E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2020) Role of atmospheric horizontal resolution in simulating tropical and subtropical South American precipitation in HadGEM3-GC31. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (10). pp. 4749-4771. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4749-2020

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Wainwright, Caroline M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Sidibe, Moussa and Akinsanola, Akintomide Afolayan ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0192-0082 (2020) Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1385-1401. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0

Dunstone, Nick, Smith, Doug, Yeager, Steve, Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Hermanson, Leon, Eade, Rosemary, Ineson, Sarah, Robson, Jon I., Scaife, Adam A. and Ren, Hong-Li (2020) Skilful interannual climate prediction from two large initialised model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (9). 094083. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9f7d

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Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Robson, Jon, Dong, Buwen, Dieppois, Bastien, Pohl, Benjamin and Dunstone, Nick (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Foltz, G. R., Brandt, P., Richter, I., Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., Hernandez, F., Dengkker, M., Rodrigues, R. R., Schmidt, J. O., Yu, L., Lefevre, N., Cotrim Da Cunha, L., McPhaden, M. J., Araujo, M., Karstensen, J., Hahn, J., Martin-Rey, M., Patricola, C. M., Poli, P., Zuidema, P., Hummels, R., Perez, R. C., Hatje, V., Lubbecke, J. F., Polo, I., Lumpkin, R., Bourles, B., Asuquo, F. E., Lehodey, P., Conchon, A., Chang, P., Dandin, P., Schmid, C., Sutton, A., Giordani, H., Xue, Y., Illig, S., Losada, T., Grodsky, S. A., Gasparin, F., Lee, T., Mohino, E., Nobre, P., Wanninkhof, R., Keenlyside, N., Garcon, B., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Nnamchi, H. C., Drevillon, M., Storto, A., Remy, E., Lazar, A., Speich, S., Goes, M., Dorrington, T., Johns, W. E., Moum, J. N., Robinson, C., Perruche, C., de Souza, R. B., Gaye, A. T., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Castellanos, P., Benson, N. U., Hounkonnou, M. N., Trotte Duha, J., Laxenaire, R. and Reul, N. (2019) The tropical Atlantic observing system. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6 (206). ISSN 2296-7745 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00206

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Robson, Jon, Dong, Buwen, Hodson, Daniel L. R. and Klingaman, Nicholas P. (2019) Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the global monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1765-1775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080903

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Oudar, Thomas and Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia (2019) Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 52 (9-10). pp. 5947-5964. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4488-5

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Robson, Jon, Dong, Buwen and Dunstone, Nick (2018) A role of the Atlantic Ocean in predicting summer surface air temperature over North East Asia? Climate Dynamics, 51 (1-2). pp. 473-491. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3935-z

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Coquart, Laure, Maisonnave, Eric, Moine, Marie-Pierre, Terray, Laurent and Valcke, Sophie (2017) Decadal prediction skill using a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49. pp. 3527-3550. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3528-x

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Moine, Marie-Pierre, Terray, Laurent and Valcke, Sophie (2017) Quantifying the impact of early 21st century volcanic eruptions on global-mean surface temperature. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (5). 054010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa6cb5

Pohl, Benjamin, Macron, Clémence and Monerie, Paul-Arthur (2017) Fewer rainy days and more extreme rainfall by the end of the century in Southern Africa. Scientific Reports, 7. 46466. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/srep46466

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia and Boé, Julien (2017) On the range of future Sahel precipitation projections and the selection of a sub-sample of CMIP5 models for impact studies. Climate Dynamics, 48 (7-8). pp. 2751-2770. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3236-y

Monerie, Paul-Arthur, Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia, Pohl, Benjamin, Robson, Jon and Dong, Buwen (2017) Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cda

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, Michela and Roucou, Pascal (2016) On the projected increase of Sahel rainfall during the late rainy season. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (13). pp. 4373-4383. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4638

Fontaine, Bernard, Janicot, Serge and Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2013) Recent changes in air temperature, heat waves occurrences, and atmospheric circulation in Northern Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (15). pp. 8536-8552. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50667

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Roucou, Pascal and Fontaine, Bernard (2013) Mid-century effects of climate change on African monsoon dynamics using the A1B emission scenario. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (4). pp. 881-896. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3476

Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Fontaine, Bernard and Roucou, Pascal (2012) Expected future changes in the African monsoon between 2030 and 2070 using some CMIP3 and CMIP5 models under a medium-low RCP scenario. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D16). D16111. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD017510

Fontaine, Bernard, Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Gaetani, Marco and Roucou, Pascal (2011) Climate adjustments over the African-Indian monsoon regions accompanying Mediterranean Sea thermal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116 (D23). D23122. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016273

Fontaine, Bernard, Roucou, Pascal and Monerie, Paul-Arthur ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2011) Changes in the African monsoon region at medium-term time horizon using 12 AR4 coupled models under the A1b emissions scenario. Atmospheric Science Letters, 12 (1). pp. 83-88. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.321