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Allison, L., Hawkins, E. and Woollings, T. (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Anderson, B. T., Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Hawkins, E. and Syktus, J. (2015) Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1190-1196. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M. and Webb, M. J. (2015) The dependence of radiative forcing and feedback on evolving patterns of surface temperature change in climate models. Journal of Climate, 28 (4). pp. 1630-1648. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Baker, A. J., Sodemann, H., Baldini, J. U. L., Breitenbach, S. F. M., Johnson, K. R., van Hunen, J. and Zhang, P. (2015) Seasonality of westerly moisture transport in the East Asian summer monsoon and its implications for interpreting precipitation δ18O. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120 (12). pp. 5850-5862. ISSN 2169-8996 doi:

Belcher, S. E., Coceal, O., Goulart, E. V., Rudd, A. C. and Robins, A. G. (2015) Processes controlling atmospheric dispersion through city centres. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 763. pp. 51-81. ISSN 0022-1120 doi:

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M. and Bouttes, N. (2015) Analysis of the regional pattern of sea level change due to ocean dynamics and density changes for 1993-2099 in observations and CMIP5 AOGCMs. Climate Dynamics, 45 (9). pp. 2647-2666. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Birch, C. E., Roberts, M. J., Garcia-Carreras, L., Ackerley, D., Reeder, M. J., Lock, A. P. and Schiemann, R. (2015) Sea-breeze dynamics and convection initiation: the influence of convective parameterization in weather and climate model biases. Journal of Climate, 28 (20). pp. 8093-8108. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Bouttes, N., Good, P., Gregory, J. M. and Lowe, J. A. (2015) Nonlinearity of ocean heat uptake during warming and cooling in the FAMOUS climate model. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (7). pp. 2409-2416. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Bouttes, N., Roche, D. M., Mariotti, V. and Bopp, L. (2015) Including an ocean carbon cycle model into iLOVECLIM (v1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (5). pp. 1563-1576. ISSN 1991-9603 doi:

Brown, S., Aplin, K. L., Jenkins, K., Mander, S., Walsh, C. and Williams, P. D. (2015) Is there a Rhythm Of The Rain? An analysis of weather in popular music. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 198-204. ISSN 0043-1656 doi:

Burgess, M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme cold winters in the UK. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 211-217. ISSN 1477-8696 doi:

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K. M., Collins, M., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Kug, J.-S., Lengaigne, M., Mcphaden, M. J., Takahashi, K., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G. A., Watanabe, M. and Wu, L. (2015) ENSO and greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 5 (9). pp. 849-859. ISSN 1758-6798 doi:

Cai, W., Wang, G., Santoso, A., McPhaden, M. J., Wu, L., Jin, F.-F., Timmermann, A., Collins, M., Vecchi, G. A., Lengaigne, M., England, M. H., Dommenget, D., Takahashi, K. and Guilyardi, E. (2015) Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 132-137. ISSN 1758-6798 doi:

Cannon, D.J., Brayshaw, D.J., Methven, J., Coker, P.J. and Lenaghan, D. (2015) Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: a 33 year case study in Great Britain. Renewable Energy, 75. pp. 767-778. ISSN 0960-1481 doi:

Capotondi, A., Wittenberg, A. T., Newman, M., Di Lorenzo, E., Yu, J.-Y., Braconnot, P., Cole, J., Dewitte, B., Giese, B., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Karnauskas, K., Kirtman, B., Lee, T., Schneider, N., Xue, Y. and Yeh, S.-W. (2015) Understanding ENSO diversity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (6). pp. 921-938. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Champion, A. J., Allan, R. P. and Lavers, D. A. (2015) Atmospheric rivers do not explain UK summer extreme rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (14). pp. 6731-6741. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

Chen, W., Lee, J.-Y., Lu, R., Dong, B. and Ha, K.-J. (2015) Intensified impact of tropical Atlantic SST on the western North Pacific summer climate under a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8). pp. 2033-2046. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Clark, P. U., Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M. and Payne, A. J. (2015) Recent progress in understanding and projecting regional and global mean sea-level change. Current Climate Change Reports, 1 (4). pp. 224-246. ISSN 2198-6061 doi:

Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E., Jacobs, P., Mann, M. E., Miller, S. K., Steinman, B. A., Stolpe, M. B. and Way, R. G. (2015) Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (15). pp. 6526-6534. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, S. J., Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang, S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2015) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation: 1. Comparison over uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7 (4). pp. 1576-1601. ISSN 1942-2466 doi:

Daloz, A. S., Camargo, S. J., Kossin, J. P., Emanuel, K., Horn, M., Jonas, J. A., Kim, D., LaRow, T., Lim, Y.-K., Patricola, C. M., Roberts, M., Scoccimarro, E., Shaevitz, D., Vidale, P. L., Wang, H., Wehner, M. and Zhao, M. (2015) Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Journal of Climate, 28 (4). pp. 1333-1361. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

DeMott, C. A., Klingaman, N. P. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi:

Drew, D., Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D., Barlow, J. and Coker, P. (2015) The impact of future offshore wind farms on wind power generation in Great Britain. Resources, 4 (1). pp. 155-171. ISSN 2079-9276 doi:

Drushka, K., Bellenger, H., Guilyardi, E., Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J. and Madec, G. (2015) Processes driving intraseasonal displacements of the eastern edge of the warm pool: the contribution of westerly wind events. Climate Dynamics, 44 (3-4). pp. 735-755. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Dunning, C. M., Turner, A. G. and Brayshaw, D. J. (2015) The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 064002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi:

Economou, T., Stephenson, D. B., Pinto, J. G., Shaffrey, L. C. and Zappa, G. (2015) Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi-model ensemble of historical and future simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (693). pp. 3076-3087. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Eden, J., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E. and Suckling, E. B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-9603 doi:

Exarchou, E., Kuhlbrodt, T., Gregory, J. M. and Smith, R. S. (2015) Ocean heat uptake processes: a model intercomparison. Journal of Climate, 28 (2). pp. 887-908. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Fedorov, A. V., Hu, S., Lengaigne, M. and Guilyardi, E. (2015) The impact of westerly wind bursts and ocean initial state on the development, and diversity of El Niño events. Climate Dynamics, 44 (5-6). pp. 1381-1401. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Franzke, C. L. E., O'Kane, T. J., Berner, J., Williams, P. D. and Lucarini, V. (2015) Stochastic climate theory and modeling. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 6 (1). pp. 63-78. ISSN 1757-7799 doi:

Good, P., Lowe, J. A., Andrews, T., Wiltshire, A., Chadwick, R., Ridley, J. K., Menary, M. B., Bouttes, N., Dufresne, J.-L., Gregory, J. M., Schaller, N. and Shiogama, H. (2015) Nonlinear regional warming with increasing CO₂ concentration. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 138-142. ISSN 1758-678X doi:

Gregory, J. M., Andrews, T. and Good, P. (2015) The inconstancy of the transient climate response parameter under increasing CO₂. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373. 20140417. ISSN 1364-503X doi:

Guo, L., Turner, A. and Highwood, E. (2015) Impacts of 20th century aerosol emissions on the South Asian monsoon in the CMIP5 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (11). pp. 6367-6378. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:

Harvey, B. J., Shaffrey, L. C. and Woollings, T. J. (2015) Deconstructing the climate change response of the Northern Hemisphere wintertime storm tracks. Climate Dynamics, 45 (9). pp. 2847-2860. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Hawkins, E., McNeall, D., Williams, J., Stephenson, D. and Carlson, D. (2015) Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales. Nature, 519 (7543). p. 291. ISSN 0028-0836 doi:

Hegerl, G. C., Black, E., Allan, R. P., Ingram, W. J., Polson, D., Trenberth, K. E., Chadwick, R. S., Arkin, P. A., Sarojini, B. B., Becker, A., Dai, A., Durack, P. J., Easterling, D., Fowler, H. J., Kendon, E. J., Huffman, G. J., Liu, C., Marsh, R., New, M., Osborn, T. J., Skliris, N., Stott, P. A., Vidale, P.-L., Wijffels, S. E., Wilcox, L. J., Willett, K. M. and Zhang, X. (2015) Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (7). pp. 1097-1115. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Hirons, L.C., Klingaman, N.P. and Woolnough, S.J. (2015) MetUM-GOML: a near-globally coupled atmosphere–ocean-mixed-layer model. Geoscientific Model Development, 8. pp. 363-379. ISSN 1991-962X doi:

Holloway, C. E., Woolnough, S. J. and Lister, G. M. S. (2015) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part II: Processes leading to differences in MJO development. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (7). pp. 2719-2743. ISSN 1520-0469 doi:

Howard, E., McC. Hogg, A., Waterman, S. and Marshall, D. P. (2015) The injection of zonal momentum by buoyancy forcing in a southern ocean model. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45 (1). pp. 259-271. ISSN 0022-3670 doi:

Jiang, X., Waliser, D. E., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J., Guan, B., Bellon, G., Crueger, T., DeMott, C., Hannay, C., Lin, H., Hu, W., Kim, D., Lappen, C.-L., Lu, M.-M., Ma, H.-Y., Miyakawa, T., Ridout, J. A., Schubert, S. D., Scinocca, J., Seo, K.-H., Shindo, E., Song, X., Stan, C., Tseng, W.-L., Wang, W., Wu, T., Wu, X., Wyser, K., Zhang, G. J. and Zhu, H. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: exploring key model physics in climate simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4718-4748. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

King, A. D., Donat, M. G., Fischer, E. M., Hawkins, E., Alexander, L. V., Karoly, D. J., Dittus, A. J., Lewis, S. C. and Perkins, S. E. (2015) The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (9). 094015. ISSN 1748-9326 doi:

Klingaman, N. P., Jiang, X., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Waliser, D. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: synthesis and summary. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4671-4689. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S., Jiang, X., Waliser, D., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Caian, M., Hannay, C., Kim, D., Ma, H.-Y., Merryfield, W. J., Miyakawa, T., Pritchard, M., Ridout, J. A., Roehrig, R., Shindo, E., Vitart, F., Wang, H., Cavanaugh, N. R., Mapes, B. E., Shelly, A. and Zhang, G. J. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Linking hindcast fidelity to simulated diabatic heating and moistening. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4690-4717. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

Knippertz, P., Coe, H., Chiu, J. C., Evans, M. J., Fink, A. H., Kalthoff, N., Liousse, C., Mari, C., Allan, R., Brooks, B., Danour, S., Flamant, C., Jegede, O. O., Lohou, F. and Marsham, J. H. (2015) The DACCIWA project: dynamics-aerosol-chemistry-cloud interactions in West Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (9). pp. 1451-1460. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Kuhlbrodt, T., Gregory, J. and Shaffrey, L. (2015) A process-based analysis of ocean heat uptake in an AOGCM with an eddy-permitting ocean component. Climate Dynamics, 45 (11). pp. 3205-3226. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Liu, X., Guo, Q., Guo, Z., Yin, Z.-Y., Dong, B. and Smith, R. (2015) Where were the monsoon regions and arid zones in Asia prior to the Tibetan Plateau uplift? National Science Review, 2 (4). pp. 403-416. ISSN 2053-714X doi:

Liu, X., Sun, H., Miao, Y., Dong, B. and Yin, Z.-Y. (2015) Impacts of uplift of northern Tibetan Plateau and formation of Asian inland deserts on regional climate and environment. Quaternary Science Reviews, 116. pp. 1-14. ISSN 0277-3791 doi:

Lopez, A., Suckling, E. B., Otto, F. E. L., Lorenz, A., Rowlands, D. and Allen, M. R. (2015) Towards a typology for constrained climate model forecasts. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 15-29. ISSN 0165-0009 doi:

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R., Robson, J. I., Sutton, R. T., Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R., Robson, J. I., Sutton, R. T. and Wood, R. A. (2015) A mechanism of internal decadal atlantic ocean variability in a high-resolution coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 28 (19). pp. 7764-7785. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Nicol, J., Hogan, R., Stein, T., Hanley, K., Clark, P., Halliwell, C. E., Lean, H. W. and Plant, R. S. (2015) Convective updraught evaluation in high-resolution NWP simulations using single-Doppler radar measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (693). pp. 3177-3189. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Nowack, P. J., Abraham, N. L., Maycock, A. C., Braesicke, P., Gregory, J. M., Joshi, M. M., Osprey, A. and Pyle, J. A. (2015) A large ozone-circulation feedback and its implications for global warming assessments. Nature Climate Change, 5 (1). pp. 41-45. ISSN 1758-678X doi:

Otto, F., Boyd, E., Jones, R., Cornforth, R., James, R., Parker, H. R. and Allen, M. (2015) Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications. Climatic Change, 132 (4). pp. 531-543. ISSN 0165-0009 doi:

Parker, H. R., Cornforth, R., Boyd, E., James, R., Otto, F. E. L. and Allen, M. R. (2015) Implications of event attribution for loss and damage policy. Weather, 70 (9). pp. 268-273. ISSN 0043-1656 doi:

Parton, G. A., Donegan, S., Pascoe, S., Stephens, A., Ventouras, S. and Lawrence, B. N. (2015) MOLES3: implementing an ISO standards driven data catalogue. International Journal of Digital Curation, 10 (1). pp. 249-259. ISSN 1746-8256 doi:

Prakash, S., Mitra, A. K., Momin, I. M., Rajagopal, E. N., Basu, S., Collins, M., Turner, A. G., Achuto Rao, K. and Ashok, K. (2015) Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9). pp. 2326-2338. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:

Ray, S., Swingedouw, D., Mignot, J. and Guilyardi, E. (2015) Effect of surface restoring on subsurface variability in a climate model during 1949-2005. Climate Dynamics, 44 (9-10). pp. 2333-2349. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Roberts, J., Plummer, C., Vance, T., van Ommen, T., Moy, A., Poynter, S., Treverrow, A., Curran, M. and George, S. (2015) A 2000-year annual record of snow accumulation rates for Law Dome, East Antarctica. Climate of the Past, 11 (5). pp. 697-707. ISSN 1814-9324 doi:

Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Mizielinski, M. S., Demory, M.-E., Schiemann, R., Strachan, J., Hodges, K., Bel, R. and Camp, J. (2015) Tropical cyclones in the UPSCALE ensemble of high resolution global climate models. Journal of Climate, 28 (2). pp. 574-596. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Saenko, O. A., Yang, D., Gregory, J. M., Spence, P. and Myers, P. G. (2015) Separating the influence of projected changes in air temperature and wind on patterns of sea level change and ocean heat content. Journal of Geophysical Research, 120 (8). pp. 5749-5765. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

Sherwood, S. C., Bony, S., Boucher, O., Bretherton, C., Forster, P. M., Gregory, J. M. and Stevens, B. (2015) Adjustments in the forcing-feedback framework for understanding climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 217-228. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Sippel, S., Mitchell, D., Black, M. T., Dittus, A. J., Harrington, L., Schaller, N. and Otto, F. E. L. (2015) Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9. pp. 25-35. ISSN 22120947 doi:

Smith, D. M., Allan, R., Coward, A. C., Eade, R., Hyder, P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, C. D. and Scaife, A. A. (2015) Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1205-1213. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Smith, L. A., Suckling, E. B., Thompson, E. L., Maynard, T. and Du, H. (2015) Towards improving the framework for probabilistic forecast evaluation. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 31-45. ISSN 1573-1480 doi:

Stein, T. H. M., Parker, D. J., Hogan, R. J., Birch, C., Holloway, C. E., Lister, G., Marsham, J. H. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) The representation of the West-African Monsoon vertical cloud structure in the Met Office Unified Model: an evaluation with CloudSat. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E. and Jahn, A. (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi:

Walsh, K. J. E., Camargo, S. J., Vecchi, G. A., Daloz, A. S., Elsner, J., Emanuel, K., Horn, M., Lim, Y.-K., Roberts, M., Patricola, C., Scoccimarro, E., Sobel, A. H., Strazzo, S., Villarini, G., Wehner, M., Zhao, M., Kossin, J. P., LaRow, T., Oouchi, K., Schubert, S., Wang, H., Bacmeister, J., Chang, P., Chauvin, F., Jablonowski, C., Kumar, A., Murakami, H., Ose, T., Reed, K. A., Saravanan, R., Yamada, Y., Zarzycki, C. M., Vidale, P. L., Jonas, J. A. and Henderson, N. (2015) Hurricanes and climate: the U.S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (6). pp. 997-1017. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Wesselink, A., Challinor, A. J., Watson, J., Beven, K., Allen, I., Hanlon, H., Lopez, A., Lorenz, S., Otto, F., Morse, A., Rye, C., Saux-Picard, S., Stainforth, D. and Suckling, E. B. (2015) Equipped to deal with uncertainty in climate and impacts predictions: lessons from internal peer review. Climatic Change, 132 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 0165-0009 doi:

Wilcox, L., Dong, B., Sutton, R. and Highwood, E. (2015) The 2014 hot, dry summer in Northeast Asia. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (12). S105-S110. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Wilcox, L. J., Highwood, E. J., Booth, B. B. B. and Carslaw, K. S. (2015) Quantifying sources of inter-model diversity in the cloud albedo effect. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (5). pp. 1568-1575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Williams, P. D. and Kelsall, C. W. (2015) The dynamics of Baroclinic Zonal jets. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (3). pp. 1137-1151. ISSN 1520-0469 doi:

Woollings, T., Franzke, C., Hodson, D. L. R., Dong, B., Barnes, E. A., Raible, C. C. and Pinto, J. G. (2015) Contrasting interannual and multidecadal NAO variability. Climate Dynamics, 45 (1-2). pp. 539-556. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Xavier, P. K., Petch, J. C., Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J., Jiang, X., Waliser, D. E., Caian, M., Cole, J., Hagos, S. M., Hannay, C., Kim, D., Miyakawa, T., Pritchard, M. S., Roehrig, R., Shindo, E., Vitart, F. and Wang, H. (2015) Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Biases and uncertainties at short range. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (10). pp. 4749-4763. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

Xie, S.-P., Deser, C., Vecchi, G. A., Collins, M., Delworth, T. L., Hall, A., Hawkins, E., Johnson, N. C., Cassou, C., Giannini, A. and Watanabe, M. (2015) Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 921-930. ISSN 1758-6798 doi:

Zappa, G., Hawcroft, M. K., Shaffrey, L., Black, E. and Brayshaw, D. J. (2015) Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8). pp. 1727-1738. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Zhang, W., Li, H., Jin, F. F., Stuecker, M. F., Turner, A. G. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The annual-cycle modulation of meridional asymmetry in ENSO’s atmospheric response and its dependence on ENSO zonal structure. Journal of Climate, 28 (14). pp. 5795-5812. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F. and Turner, A. G. (2015) Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20). pp. 8570-8576. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

de Leeuw, J., Methven, J. and Blackburn, M. (2015) Evaluation of ERA-Interim reanalysis precipitation products using England and Wales observations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 798-806. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Book or Report Section

Jung, T., Bauer, P., Goessling, H. F., Gordon, N., Klebe, S., Bromwich, D. H., Doblas-Reyes, F., Day, J. J., Fairall, C. W., Holland, M., Iverson, T., Lemke, P., Mills, B., Nurmi, P., Perovich, D. K., Reid, P., Renfrew, I., Smith, G., Svensson, G. and Tolstykh, M. (2015) The WWRP Polar Prediction Project (PPP). In: Brunet, G., Jones, S. and Ruti, P. (eds.) Seamless prediction of the Earth system: from minutes to months. WMO, 1156. World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva, pp. 371-384. ISBN 9789263111562


Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2015) El Niño 2015/2016 impact analysis, monthly outlook December 2015. Report. Evidence on Demand doi:

Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2015) El Niño 2015/2016 impact analysis, monthly outlook November 2015. Report. Evidence on Demand doi:

Hirons, L. and Klingaman, N., (2015) El Niño 2015/2016: impact analysis of past El Niños. Report. Evidence on Demand doi:

Conference or Workshop Item

Black, E., Tarnavsky, E., Greatrex, H., Maidment, R., Mookerjee, A., Quaife, T. and Price, J. (2015) Exploiting satellite-based rainfall for weather index insurance: the challenges of spatial and temporal aggregation. In: First International electronic conference on Remote Sensing, 22 Jun - 5 Jul 2015. doi: (Vol 1: f002)


von Larcher, T. and Williams, P. D., eds. (2015) Modeling atmospheric and oceanic flows: insights from laboratory experiments and numerical simulations. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, pp368. ISBN 9781118855935

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