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Items where Division is "NCAS" and Year is 2021

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Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E., Williams, C. J., Yang, G.-Y. and Ferrett, S. (2021) The observed synoptic scale precipitation relationship between Western Equatorial Africa and Eastern Equatorial Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). pp. 582-601. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:


Baker, A. J. ORCID:, Hodges, K. I., Schiemann, R. K. H. and Vidale, P. L. (2021) Historical variability and lifecycles of North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones originating in the tropics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (9). e2020JD033924. ISSN 2169-8996 doi:

Baker, L., Shaffrey, L. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: (2021) Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Baldini, J. U.L., Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F.M., van Hunen, J., Baldini, L. M., Wynn, P. M., Jamieson, R. A., Ridley, H. E., Baker, A. H. ORCID:, Walczak, I. W. and Fohlmeister, J. (2021) Detecting and quantifying palaeoseasonality in stalagmites using geochemical and modelling approaches. Quaternary Science Reviews, 254. 106784. ISSN 0277-3791 doi:

Bashmachnikov, I. L., Fedorov, A. M., Golubkin, P. A., Vesman, A. V., Selyuzhenok, V. V., Gnatiuk, N. V., Gnatiuk, L. P., Hodges, K. I. and Dukhovskoy, D. S. (2021) Mechanisms of interannual variability of deep convection in the Greenland Sea. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 174. 103557. ISSN 0967-0637 doi:

Bellucci, A. ORCID:, Athanasiadis, P. J., Scoccimarro, E., Ruggieri, P., Gualdi, S., Fedele, G., Haarsma, R. J., Garcia-Serrano, J., Castrillo, M., Putrahasan, D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Moine, M.-P., Roberts, C. D., Roberts, M. J., Seddon, J. and Vidale, P. L. (2021) Air-Sea interaction over the Gulf Stream in an ensemble of HighResMIP present climate simulations. Climate Dynamics, 56 (7-8). pp. 2093-2111. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID:, Baker, L. H., Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Black, E., Pinnington, E., Wainwright, C. ORCID:, Lahive, F., Quaife, T. ORCID:, Allan, R. P. ORCID:, Cook, P., Daymond, A., Hadley, P., McGuire, P. C., Verhoef, A. and Vidale, P. L. (2021) Cocoa plant productivity in West Africa under climate change: a modelling and experimental study. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (1). 014009. ISSN 1748-9326 doi:

Blaker, A. T. ORCID:, Joshi, M. ORCID:, Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. ORCID:, Smith, R. S. ORCID: and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2021) FORTE 2.0: a fast, parallel and flexible coupled climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (1). pp. 275-293. ISSN 1991-9603 doi:

Bloch-Johnson, J., Rugenstein, M., Stolpe, M. B., Rohrschneider, T., Zheng, Y. and Gregory, J. M. (2021) Climate sensitivity increases under higher CO₂ levels due to feedback temperature dependence. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (4). e2020GL089074. ISSN 0094-8276 doi:

Bloomfield, H. ORCID:, Gonzalez, P., Lundquist, J., Stoop, L., Browell, J., Dargaville, R., De Felice, M., Gruber, K., Hilbers, A., Kies, A., Panteli, M., Thornton, H., Wohland, J., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: (2021) The importance of weather and climate to energy systems: a workshop on next generation challenges in energy-climate modelling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E159-E167. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID:, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID:, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: and Charlton-Perez, A. (2021) Pattern-based conditioning enhances sub-seasonal prediction skill of European national energy variables. Meteorological Applications, 28 (4). e2018. ISSN 1469-8080 doi:

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID:, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID:, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: and Charlton-Perez, A. (2021) Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand, wind power and solar power generation for 28 European Countries. Earth System Science Data, 13 (5). ISSN 1866-3516 doi:

Bloomfield, H. C., Brayshaw, D. J., Troccoli, A., Goodess, C. M., De Felice, M., Dubus, L., Bett, P. E. and Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. (2021) Quantifying the sensitivity of European power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections. Renewable Energy, 164. pp. 1062-1075. ISSN 0960-1481 doi:

Bopape, M.-J., Plant, B., Coceal, O., Efstathiou, G. and Valdivieso Da Costa, M. (2021) Effects of stability functions in a dynamic model convective boundary layer simulation. Atmospheric Science Letters, 22 (1). e1008. ISSN 1530-261X doi:

Boult, V. L. ORCID: and Evans, L. C. ORCID: (2021) Mechanisms matter: predicting the ecological impacts of global change. Global Change Biology, 27 (9). pp. 1689-1691. ISSN 1365-2486 doi:


Cezana, F. C., Goulart, E. V., Reis Jr, N. C. and Coceal, O. ORCID: (2021) Analysis of pollutant entrainment From localised sources in a street network. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 179. pp. 241-258. ISSN 0006-8314 doi:

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: (2021) Projected near-term changes in temperature extremes over China in the mid-twenty-first century and underlying physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Chevuturi, A. ORCID:, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID:, Rudorff, C. M., Coelho, C. A. S. and Schöngart, J. (2021) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus. Climate Resilience and Sustainability. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: (In Press)

Couldrey, M. P. ORCID:, Gregory, J. M. ORCID:, Boeira Dias, F. ORCID:, Dobrohotoff, P. ORCID:, Domingues, C. M. ORCID:, Garuba, O. ORCID:, Griffies, S. M. ORCID:, Haak, H. ORCID:, Hu, A. ORCID:, Ishii, M. ORCID:, Jungclaus, J. ORCID:, Köhl, A. ORCID:, Marsland, S. J. ORCID:, Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A. ORCID:, Savita, A. ORCID:, Shao, A. ORCID:, Stammer, D. ORCID:, Suzuki, T. ORCID:, Todd, A. ORCID: and Zanna, L. ORCID: (2021) What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing? Climate Dynamics, 56 (1-2). pp. 155-187. ISSN 1432-0894 doi:

Craig, P. M. ORCID: and Allan, R. P. ORCID: (2021) The role of teleconnection patterns in the variability and trends of growing season indices across Europe. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:


Deroubaix, A., Labuhn, I., Camredon, M., Gaubert, B., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID:, Popp, M., Ramarohetra, J., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Silvers, L. G. and Siour, G. (2021) Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. Nature Communications, 12. 5197. ISSN 2041-1723 doi:

Dias da Silva, P. E., Hodges, K. I. and Coutinho, M. M. (2021) How well does the HadGEM2-ES coupled model represent the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks? Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Dieppois, B., Capotondi, A., Pohl, B., Pan Chun, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: and Eden, J. (2021) ENSO diversity shows robust decadal variations that must be captured for accurate future projections. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1). 212. ISSN 2662-4435 doi:

Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Sorensson, A. A., Almazroui, M., Dosio, A., Gutowski, W. J., Haarsma, R., Hamdi, R., Hewitson, B., Kwon, W.-T., Lamptey, B. L., Maraun, D., Stephenson, T. S., Takayabu, I., Terray, L., Turner, A. ORCID: and Zuo, Z. (2021) Linking global to regional climate change. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Pean, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekci, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. (In Press)

Dong, B. ORCID: and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: (2021) Recent trends in summer atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic/European region: is there a role for anthropogenic aerosols? Journal Of Climate, 34 (16). pp. 6777-6795. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C., Woolnough, S. J. and Black, E. (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi:


Edwards, T. L., Nowicki, S., Marzeion, B., Hock, R., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., Jourdain, N. C., Slater, D., Turner, F., Smith, C. J., McKenna, C. M., Simon, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Gregory, J. M., Larour, E., Lipscomb, W. H., Payne, A. J., Shepherd, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Albrecht, T., Anderson, B., Asay-Davis, X., Aschwanden, A., Barthel, A., Bliss, A., Calov, R., Chambers, C., Champollion, N., Choi, Y., Cullather, R., Cuzzone, J., Dumas, C., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Fujita, K., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huss, M., Huybrechts, P., Immerzeel, W., Kleiner, T., Kraaijenbrink, P., Le clec'h, S., Lee, V., Leguy, G. R., Little, C. M., Lowry, D. P., Malles, J.-H., Martin, D. F., Maussion, F., Morlighem, M., O'Neill, J. F., Nias, I., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S., Quiquet, A., Radić, V., Reese, R., Rounce, D. R., Ruckamp, M., Sakai, A., Shafer, C., Schlegel, N.-J., Shannon, S., Smith, R. S. ORCID:, Straneo, F., Sun, S., Tarasov, L., Trusel, L. D., Breedam, J. V., van de Wal, R., van den Broeke, M., Winkelmann, R., Zekollari, H., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2021) Projected land ice contributions to 21st century sea level rise. Nature, 593. pp. 74-82. ISSN 0028-0836 doi:

Endris, H. S., Hirons, L., Segele, Z. T., Gudoshava, M., Woolnough, S. ORCID: and Artan, G. A. (2021) Evaluation of the skill of monthly precipitation forecasts from global prediction systems over the Greater Horn of Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (4). pp. 1275-1298. ISSN 0882-8156 doi:


Feng, X. ORCID:, Klingaman, N. ORCID: and Hodges, K. (2021) Poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to changes in cyclone seasonality. Nature Communications. ISSN 2041-1723 (In Press)

Feng, X. ORCID:, Zhang, W., Zhu, Z., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: and Chen, W. (2021) Variability and changes in Pearl River Delta water level: oceanic and atmospheric forcing perspectives. Journal of Hydrometeorology. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: (In Press)

Feng, X., Li, H., Feng, X., Zhao, J. and Feng, W. (2021) Dependence of ocean wave return levels on water depth and sampling length: a focus on the South Yellow Sea. Ocean Engineering, 219. 108295. ISSN 0029-8018 doi:

Ficchi, A., Cloke, H., Neves, C. ORCID:, Woolnough, S. ORCID:, Coughlan de Perez, E., Zsoter, E., Pinto, I., Meque, A. and Stephens, E. (2021) Beyond El Niño: unsung climate modes drive African floods. Weather and Climate Extremes, 33. 100345. ISSN 2212-0947 doi:


Graffino, G. ORCID:, Farneti, R. and Kucharski, F. (2021) Low-frequency variability of the Pacific Subtropical Cells as reproduced by coupled models and ocean reanalyses. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Guimaraes, B. d. S., Coelho, C. A. d. S., Woolnough, S. J., Kubota, P. Y., Bastarz, C. F., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P. and de Souza, D. C. (2021) An inter-comparison performance assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction model against four Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Guo, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID:, Bollasina, B., Turnock, S. T., Lund, M. T. and Zhang, L. (2021) Aerosol reductions outweigh circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: (In Press)


Hansen, E. S., Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K. E., Yoccoz, N. G., Anker-Nilssen, T., Bader, J., Descamps, S., Hodges, K., Mesquita, M. d. S., Reiertsen, T. K. and Varpe, Ø. (2021) Centennial relationships between ocean temperature and Atlantic puffin production reveal shifting decennial trends. Global Change Biology. ISSN 1365-2486 (In Press)

Hermans, T. H. J., Gregory, J. M., Palmer, M. D., Ringer, M. A., Katsman, C. A. and Slangen, A. B. A. (2021) Projecting global mean sea-level change using CMIP6 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (5). e2020GL092064. ISSN 1944-8007 doi:

Hertwig, D. ORCID:, Ng, M., Grimmond, S. ORCID:, Vidale, P. L. and McGuire, P. C. (2021) High-resolution global climate simulations: representation of cities. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (5). pp. 3266-3285. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:

Hilbers, A., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: and Gandy, A. (2021) Efficient quantification of the impact of demand and weather uncertainty in power system models. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 36 (3). pp. 1771-1779. ISSN 0885-8950 doi:

Hirons, L., Thompson, E., Dione, C., Indasi, V. S., Kilavi, M., Nkiaka, E., Talib, J., Visman, E., Adefisan, E. A., de Andrade, F., Ashong, J., Mwesigwa, J. B., Boult, V. ORCID:, Diédhiou, T., Konte, O., Gudoshava, M., Kiptum, C., Amoah, R. K., Lamptey, B., Lawal, K. A., Muita, R., Nzekwu, R., Nying'uro, P., Ochieng, W., Olaniyan, E., Opoku, N. K., Endris, H. S., Segele, Z., Igri, P. M., Mwangi, E. and Woolnough, S. ORCID: (2021) Using co-production to improve the appropriate use of sub-seasonal forecasts in Africa. Climate Services. CLISER-D-20-00052R2. ISSN 2405-8807 (In Press)

Hirons, L., Woolnough, S. ORCID:, Dione, C., Thompson, E., de Andrade, F., Talib, J., Konte, O., Diedhiou, T., Quaye, D., Opoku, N., Lawal, K., Olaniyan, E., Nying'uro, P., Kiptum, C., Gudoshava, M., Phillips, L., Youds, L., Parker, D. and Blyth, A., (2021) Exploiting sub-seasonal forecast predictability in Africa: a key to sustainable development. Report. University of Leeds, Leeds. doi:

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID:, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: and Ferreira, D. ORCID: (2021) Global heat balance and heat uptake in potential temperature coordinates. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G. Y. ORCID: (2021) The detailed dynamics of the Hadley Cell. Part 2: December to February. Journal of Climate, 34 (2). pp. 805-823. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Hu, Z., Li, H., Liu, J., Qiao, S., Wang, D., Freychet, N., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID:, Lott, F. C., Li, Q. and Dong, W. (2021) Was the extended rainy winter of 2018/2019 over the Middle and Lower reaches of the Yangtze River driven by anthropogenic forcing? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). S67-S73. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Hunt, K. M. R., Turner, A. G. ORCID:, Stein, T. H. M., Fletcher, J. K. and Schiemann, R. H. (2021) Modes of coastal precipitation over southwest India and their relationship to intraseasonal variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 181-201. ISSN 1477-870X doi:

Hwong, Y. L., Song, S., Sherwood, S. C., Stirling, A. J., Rio, C., Roehrig, R., Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S. ORCID:, Fuchs, D., Maher, P. and Touzé-Peiffer, L. (2021) Characterizing convection schemes using their responses to imposed tendency perturbations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (5). e2021MS002461. ISSN 1942-2466 doi:


Jimenez, J. C., Marengo, J. A., Alves, L. M., Sulca, J. C., Takahashi, K., Ferrett, S. and Collins, M. (2021) The role of ENSO flavors and TNA on recent droughts over Amazon forests and the Northeast Brazil region. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (7). pp. 3761-3780. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:


Klingaman, N. P. ORCID:, Young, M., Chevuturi, A. ORCID:, Guimaraes, B., Guo, L., Woolnough, S., Coelho, C. A. S., Kubota, P. Y. and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: (2021) Subseasonal prediction performance for austral summer South American rainfall. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 147-169. ISSN 0882-8156 doi:

Kreussler, P. ORCID:, Caron, L.‐P. ORCID:, Wild, S. ORCID:, Tomas, S. L., Chauvin, F. ORCID:, Moine, M.‐P., Roberts, M. J., Ruprich‐Robert, Y., Seddon, J. ORCID:, Valcke, S. ORCID:, Vannière, B. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: (2021) Tropical cyclone integrated kinetic energy in an ensemble of HighResMIP simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (5). e2020GL090963. ISSN 1944-8007 doi:


Lakkis, S. G., Canziani, P., Rodriguez, J., Yuchechen, A., O´Neill, A., Albers, K. and Hodges, K. (2021) Early 21st century cyclone climatology: a 3D perspective. Basic characterization. Climate Dynamics, 41 (7). pp. 4019-4046. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Lawal, K., A., Olaniyan, E., Ishiyaku, I., Hirons, L., C., Thompson, E., Talib, J., Boult, V., L., Ogungbenro, S. B., Gbode, E. I., Ajayi, V. O., Okogbue, E. C., Adefisan, E., A., Indasi, V., S., Youds, L., Nkiaka, E., Stone, D. A., Nzekwu, R., Folorunso, O., Oyedepo, J., A., New, M., G. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: (2021) Progress and challenges of demand-led co-produced sub-seasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) climate forecasts in Nigeria. Frontiers in climate. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: (In Press)

Lee, D. S., Fahey, D. W., Skowron, A., Allen, M. R., Burkhardt, U., Chen, Q., Doherty, S. J., Freeman, S., Forster, P. M., Fuglestvedt, J., Gettelman, A., De León, R. R., Lim, L. L., Lund, M. T., Millar, R. J., Owen, B., Penner, J. E., Pitari, G., Prather, M. J., Sausen, R. and Wilcox, L. J. (2021) The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate forcing for 2000 to 2018. Atmospheric Environment, 244. 117834. ISSN 1352-2310 doi:

Letson, F. W., Barthelmie, R. J., Hodges, K. I. and Pryor, S. C. (2021) Intense windstorms in the northeastern United States. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (7). ISSN 1684-9981 doi:

Li, R., Li, D., Nanding, N., Wang, X., Fan, X., Chen, Y., Tian, F., Tett, S. F.B., Dong, B. ORCID: and Lott, F. C. (2021) Anthropogenic influences on heavy precipitation during the 2019 extremely wet rainy season in Southern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). S103-S109. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: (Li et al. (2021): Anthropogenic influences on heavy precipitation during the 2019 extremely wet rainy season in Southern China. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., S103-S109.)

Liang, J., Catto, J. L., Hawcroft, M., Hodges, K. I., Tan, M. and Haywood, J. M. (2021) Climatology of Borneo Vortices in the HadGEM3-GC31 general 1 circulation odel. Journal of Climate. pp. 1-61. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Liu, H., Feng, X. ORCID:, Tao, A. and Zhang, W. (2021) Intraseasonal variability of sea level in the Western North Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 126 (6). e2021JC017237. ISSN 0148-0227 doi:

Liu, Y., Ren, H.-L., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID:, Liu, J. and Zhang, P. (2021) Improving long-lead seasonal forecasts of precipitation over Southern China based on statistical downscaling using BCC_CSM1.1m. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 94. 101222. ISSN 0377-0265 doi:

Liu, Z., Bollasina, M. A., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID:, Rodriguez, J. M. and Regayre, L. A. (2021) Contrasting the role of regional and remote circulation in driving Asian monsoon biases in MetUM GA7.1. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (14). e2020JD034342. ISSN 2169-8996 doi:

Lu, C., Jiang, J., Chen, R., Ullah, S., Yu, R., Lott, F. C., Tett, S. F. B. and Dong, B. ORCID: (2021) Anthropogenic influence on 2019 May-June extremely low precipitation in southwestern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). S97-S102. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:


Menary, M. B., Mignot, J. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: (2021) Skilful decadal predictions of subpolar North Atlantic SSTs using CMIP model-analogues. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). ISSN 1748-9326 doi:

Menon, A., Turner, A. ORCID:, Volonte, A. ORCID:, Taylor, C. M., Webster, S. and Martin, G. (2021) The role of mid-tropospheric moistening and land surface wetting in the progression of the 2016 Indian monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: (In Press)

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID:, Pohl, B. and Gaetani, M. (2021) The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4. 24. ISSN 2397-3722 doi:

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID:, Robson, J. I. ORCID:, Dunstone, N. J. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: (2021) Skilful seasonal predictions of Global Monsoon summer precipitation with DePreSys3. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi:

Muelmenstaedt, J. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: (2021) The fall and rise of the global climate model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (9). ISSN 1942-2466 doi:

Muetzelfeldt, M. R. ORCID:, Plant, R. S. ORCID:, Clark, P. A. ORCID:, Stirling, A. J. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: (2021) A climatology of tropical wind shear produced by clustering wind profiles from the Met Office Unified Model (GA7.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (6). pp. 4035-4049. ISSN 1991-9603 doi:

Muita, R. R., Dougil, A. J., Mutemi, J., Aura, S., Graham, R., Awolala, D. O., Nkiaka, E., Hirons, L. and Opijah, F. (2021) Understanding the role of user needs and perceptions related to sub-seasonal and seasonal forecasts on farmers decisions in Kenya: a systematic review. Frontiers in climate, 3. 580556. ISSN 2624-9553 doi:


Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID:, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID:, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi:

Osso, A. ORCID:, Allan, R. P. ORCID:, Hawkins, E. ORCID:, Shaffrey, L. and Maraun, D. (2021) Emerging new climate extremes over Europe. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: (In Press)


Parker, D. J., Blyth, A. M., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID:, Dougill, A. J., Bain, C. L., de Coning, E., Foamouhoue, A. K., Lamptey, B., Ndiaye, O., Ruti, P., Adefisan, E. A., Amekudzi, L. K., Antwi-Agyei, P., Birch, C. E., Cafaro, C. ORCID:, Carr, H., Chanzu, B., Clarke, S. J., Coskeran, H., Danuor, S. K., de Andrade, F. M., Diakaria, K., Dione, C., Diop, C. A., Hartley, A. J., Hirons, L. C., Ibrahim, I., James, T. D., Lawal, K. A., Marsham, J. H., Mutemi, J. N., Okogbue, E. C., Olaniyan, E., Omoshoto, J. B., Portuphy, J., Roberts, A. J., Schwendike, J., Segele, Z. T., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID:, Taylor, A. L., Taylor, C. M., Warnaars, T. A., Webster, S., Woodhams, B. J. and Youds, L. (2021) The African SWIFT project: growing science capability to bring about a revolution in weather prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: (In Press)

Payne, A. J., Nowicki, S., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Albrecht, T., Asay-Davis, X., Aschwanden, A., Barthel, A., Bracegirdle, T. J., Calov, R., Chambers, C., Choi, Y., Cullather, R., Cuzzone, J., Dumas, C., Edwards, T. L., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Goelzer, H., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. M., Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Kleiner, T., Munneke, P. K., Larour, E., Le clec'h, S., Lee, V., Leguy, G., Lipscomb, W. H., Little, C. M., Lowry, D. P., Morlighem, M., Nias, I., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S. F., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Ruckamp, M., Schlegel, N.-J., Seroussi, H., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Slater, D., Smith, R. S., Straneo, F., Sun, S., Tarasov, L., Trusel, L. D., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R., van den Broeke, M., Winkelmann, R., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2021) Future sea level change under CMIP5 and CMIP6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (16). e2020GL091741. ISSN 1944-8007 doi:

Pinheiro, H., Gan, M. and Hodges, K. (2021) Structure and evolution of intense austral cut-off lows. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (743). pp. 1-20. ISSN 1477-870X doi:


Reiertsen, T. K., Layton-Matthews, K., Erikstad, K. E., Hodges, K., Ballesteros, M., Anker-Nilssen, T., Barrett, R. T., Benjaminsen, S., Bogdanova, M., Christensen-Dalsgaard, S., Daunt, F., Dehnhard, N., Harris, M. P., Langset, M., Lorentsen, S.-H., Newell, M., Sandøy-Braathen, V., Støyle-Bringsvor, I., Systad, G. H. and Wanless, S. (2021) Inter-population synchrony in adult survival and effects of climate and extreme weather in non-breeding areas of Atlantic puffins. Marine Ecology Progress Series. ISSN 0171-8630 doi: (In Press)

Ruggieri, P., Bellucci, A., Nicol`ı, D., Athanasiadis, P., Gualdi, S., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Danabasoglu, G., Davini, P., Dunstone, N., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Harvey, B. ORCID:, Hermanson, L., Qasmi, S.¨ı., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Smith, D., Wild, S. and Zampieri, M. (2021) Atlantic multidecadal variability and North Atlantic jet: a multi-model view from the decadal climate prediction project. Journal of Climate, 34 (1). pp. 347-360. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D., Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID:, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID:, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi:


Salvi, P., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. (2021) Interpreting the dependence of cloud-radiative adjustment on forcing agent. Geophysical Research Letters. e2021GL093616. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: (In Press)

Senior, C. A., Marsham, J. H., Berthou, S., Burgin, L. E., Folwell, S. S., Kendon, E. J., Klein, C. M., Jones, R. G., Mittal, N., Rowell, D. P., Tomassini, L., Vischel, T., Becker, B., Birch, C. E., Crook, J., Dougill, A. J., Finney, D. L., Graham, R. J., Hart, N. C. G., Jack, C. D., Jackson, L. S., James, R., Koelle, B., Misiani, H., Mwalukanga, B., Parker, D. J., Stratton, R. A., Taylor, C. M., Tucker, S. O., Wainwright, C. M. ORCID:, Washington, R. and Willet, M. R. (2021) Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (6). E1206-E1223. ISSN 0003-0007 doi:

Shang, K., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: (2021) Climatology and physical mechanisms of the tropospheric warm cores over the Tibetan Plateau and its vicinity. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R. J., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Domínguez-Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID:, Jones, P. D., Kubota, H., Lee, T. C., Lorrey, A. M., Luterbacher, J., Mock, C. J., Przybylak, R. K., Pudmenzky, C., Slonosky, V. C., Tinz, B., Trewin, B., Wang, X. L., Wilkinson, C., Wood, K. and Wyszyński, P. (2021) An evaluation of the performance of the twentieth century reanalysis version 3. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1417-1438. ISSN 0894-8755 doi:

Smith, R. ORCID:, George, S. ORCID: and Gregory, J. (2021) FAMOUS version xotzt (FAMOUS-ice): a GCM capable of energy- and water- conserving coupling to an ice sheet model. Geoscientific Model Development. ISSN 1991-9603 (In Press)

Smith, R. S. ORCID:, Mathiot, P., Siahaan, A., Lee, V., Cornford, S. L., Gregory, J. M., Payne, A. J., Jenkins, A., Holland, P. R., Ridley, J. K. and Jones, C. G. (2021) Coupling the U.K. Earth System Model to dynamic models of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. e2021MS002520. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: (In Press)


Tamarin-Brodsky, T., Hodges, K., Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. (2021) A simple model for interpreting temperature variability and its higher-order changes. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 (In Press)

Tan, M. L., Liang, J., Samat, N., Chan, N. W., Haywood, J. M. and Hodges, K. (2021) Hydrological extremes and responses to climate change in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia, based on the CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Water, 13 (11). 1472. ISSN 2073-4441 doi:

Taye, M. T., Dyer, E., Charles, K. J. and Hirons, L. C. (2021) Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: understanding local variations and their implications for water management decisions. Science of the Total Environment, 755 (Part 1). 142604. ISSN 0048-9697 doi:

Thomas, S., Nicolau, S., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: (2021) How well do atmospheric reanalyses reproduce observed winds in coastal regions of Mexico? Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Thomas, S. R., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID:, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: (2021) Drivers of extreme wind events in Mexico for wind power applications. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). E2321-E2340. ISSN 0899-8418 doi:

Torres-Alavez, A., Glazer, R., Giorgi, F., Coppola, E., Gao, X., Hodges, K., Das, S., Ashfaq, M., Reale, M. and Sines, T. (2021) Future projections in tropical cyclone activity over multiple CORDEX domains from RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE simulations. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:


Valdivieso, M. ORCID:, Peatman, S. C. ORCID: and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: (2021) The influence of air‐sea coupling on forecasts of the 2016 Indian summer monsoon and its intraseasonal variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 202-228. ISSN 0035-9009 doi:

Vidale, P. L., Hodges, K., Vanniere, B. ORCID:, Davini, P., Roberts, M. J., Strommen, K., Weisheimer, A., Plesca, E. and Corti, S. (2021) Impact of stochastic physics and model resolution on the simulation of tropical cyclones in climate GCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (11). pp. 4315-4341. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Villafuerte II, M. Q., Lambrento, J. C. R., Hodges, K. I., Cruz, F. T., Cinco, T. A. and Narisma, G. T. (2021) Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to convective parameterization schemes in RegCM4. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Volonte, A. ORCID:, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID:, Schiemann, R., Turner, A. ORCID: and Klingaman, N. ORCID: (2021) Magnitude, scale, and dynamics of the 2020 Mei Yu rains and floods over China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. ISSN 0256-1530 (In Press)


Wainwright, C. M. ORCID:, Black, E. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: (2021) Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (9). pp. 2339-2357. ISSN 1525-7541 doi:

Wainwright, C. M., Finney, D. L., Kilavi, M., Black, E. and Marsham, J. H. (2021) Extreme rainfall in East Africa October 2019 – January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 26-31. ISSN 0043-1656 doi:

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID:, Marsham, J. H., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L. and Black, E. (2021) Future changes in seasonality in Eastern Africa from regional simulations with explicit and parametrised convection. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1367-1385. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P., Castro, C., Chang, C.-P., Cook, K., Fu, R., Grimm, A. M., Ha, K.-J., Hendon, H., Kitoh, A., Krishnan, R., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Liu, J., Moise, A., Pascale, S., Roxy, M. K., Seth, A., Sui, C.-H., Turner, A., Yang, S., Yun, K.-S., Zhang, L. and Zhou, T. (2021) Monsoons climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E1-E19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi:

Wohland, J. ORCID:, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: and Pfenninger, S. (2021) Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). 064026. ISSN 1748-9326 doi:

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J. A., Hu, J. and Gregory, J. M. (2021) Evolving patterns of sterodynamic sea-level rise under mitigation scenarios and insights from linear system theory. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:


Yang, G.-Y. ORCID:, Ferrett, S., Woolnough, S., Methven, J. and Holloway, C. ORCID: (2021) Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 171-193. ISSN 0882-8156 doi:


Zanchettin, D., Bruni, S., Raicich, F., Lionello, P., Adloff, F., Androsov, A., Antonioli, F., Artale, V., Carminati, E., Ferrarin, C., Fofonova, F., Nicholls, R. J., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Sannino, G., Spada, G., Thiéblemont, R., Tsimplis, M., Umgiesser, G., Vignudelli, S., Wöppelmann, G. and Zerbini, S. (2021) Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article). Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (8). pp. 2463-2678. ISSN 1684-9981 doi:

Zhang, B., Dong, B. ORCID: and Jin, R. (2021) Forced decadal changes in summer precipitation characteristics over China: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34 (6). pp. 1226-1241. ISSN 2198-0934 doi:

Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID:, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: (In Press)

Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID:, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi:

Zhao, A., Ryder, C. ORCID: and Wilcox, L. ORCID: (2021) How well do the CMIP6 models simulate dust aerosols? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions. ISSN 1680-7375 (In Press)

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi:

Zika, J. D., Gregory, J. M., McDonagh, E. L., Marzocchi, A. and Clement, L. (2021) Recent water mass changes reveal mechanisms of ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 34 (9). pp. 3461-3479. ISSN 1520-0442 doi:

This list was generated on Tue Oct 19 12:46:30 2021 UTC.

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