Items where Division is "NCAS" and Year is 2021

Group by: Creators/Editors | Item Type | No Grouping

Number of items: 125.

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850 (2021) IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 1-2. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.001

Arias, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Coppola, E., Jones, R. G., Krinner, G., Marotzke, J., Naik, V., Palmer, M. D., Plattner, G.-K., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Sillmann, J., Storelvmo, T., Thorne, P. W., Trewin, B., Rao, K. A., Adhikary, B., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Armour, K., Bala, G., Barimalala, R., Berger, S., Canadell, J. G., Cassou, C., Cherchi, A., Collins, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Collins, W. D., Connors, S. L., Corti, S., Cruz, F., Dentener, F. J., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Niang, A. D., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dosio, A., Douville, H., Engelbrecht, F., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P., Goldfarb, L., Gorodetskaya, I., Gutierrez, J. M., Hamdi, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hewitt, H. T., Hope, P., Islam, A. S., Jones, C., Kaufman, D. S., Kopp, R. E., Kosaka, Y., Kossin, J., Krakovska, S., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Mauritsen, T., Maycock, T. K., Meinshausen, M., Min, S.-K., Monteiro, P. M. S., Ngo-Duc, T., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Pirani, A., Raghavan, K., Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Ruiz, L., Sallée, J.-B., Samset, B. H., Sathyendranath, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Sörensson, A. A., Szopa, S., Takayabu, I., Tréguier, A.-M., van den Hurk, B., Vautard, R., von Schuckmann, K., Zaehle, S., Zhang, X. and Zickfeld., K. (2021) Technical summary. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group. Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.002

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X (2021) The observed synoptic scale precipitation relationship between Western Equatorial Africa and Eastern Equatorial Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). pp. 582-601. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6711

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Historical variability and lifecycles of North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones originating in the tropics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (9). e2020JD033924. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033924

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2021) Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 4143-4162. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4172

Baldini, J. U.L., Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F.M., van Hunen, J., Baldini, L. M., Wynn, P. M., Jamieson, R. A., Ridley, H. E., Baker, A. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Walczak, I. W. and Fohlmeister, J. (2021) Detecting and quantifying palaeoseasonality in stalagmites using geochemical and modelling approaches. Quaternary Science Reviews, 254. 106784. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106784

Bashmachnikov, I. L., Fedorov, A. M., Golubkin, P. A., Vesman, A. V., Selyuzhenok, V. V., Gnatiuk, N. V., Gnatiuk, L. P., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Dukhovskoy, D. S. (2021) Mechanisms of interannual variability of deep convection in the Greenland Sea. Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, 174. 103557. ISSN 0967-0637 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2021.103557

Bellucci, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3766-1921, Athanasiadis, P. J., Scoccimarro, E., Ruggieri, P., Gualdi, S., Fedele, G., Haarsma, R. J., Garcia-Serrano, J., Castrillo, M., Putrahasan, D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Moine, M.-P., Roberts, C. D., Roberts, M. J., Seddon, J. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2021) Air-Sea interaction over the Gulf Stream in an ensemble of HighResMIP present climate simulations. Climate Dynamics, 56 (7-8). pp. 2093-2111. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05573-z

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J., Weisheimer, A. and O'Reilly, C. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650 (2021) Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 2615-2636. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05825-6

Blaker, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5454-0131, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Sinha, B., Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2021) FORTE 2.0: a fast, parallel and flexible coupled climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (1). pp. 275-293. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-275-2021

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M., Stolpe, M. B., Rohrschneider, T., Zheng, Y. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Climate sensitivity increases under higher CO₂ levels due to feedback temperature dependence. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (4). e2020GL089074. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089074

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Gonzalez, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Lundquist, J., Stoop, L., Browell, J., Dargaville, R., De Felice, M., Gruber, K., Hilbers, A., Kies, A., Panteli, M., Thornton, H., Wohland, J., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2021) The importance of weather and climate to energy systems: a workshop on next generation challenges in energy-climate modelling. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E159-E167. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0256.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2021) Pattern-based conditioning enhances sub-seasonal prediction skill of European national energy variables. Meteorological Applications, 28 (4). e2018. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2018

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087 and Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220 (2021) Sub-seasonal forecasts of demand, wind power and solar power generation for 28 European Countries. Earth System Science Data, 13 (5). ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2259-2021

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Goodess, C. M., De Felice, M., Dubus, L., Bett, P. E. and Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. (2021) Quantifying the sensitivity of European power systems to energy scenarios and climate change projections. Renewable Energy, 164. pp. 1062-1075. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.125

Bopape, M.-J., Plant, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Efstathiou, G. and Valdivieso Da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016 (2021) Effects of stability functions in a dynamic model convective boundary layer simulation. Atmospheric Science Letters, 22 (1). e1008. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1008

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Evans, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8649-0589 (2021) Mechanisms matter: predicting the ecological impacts of global change. Global Change Biology, 27 (9). pp. 1689-1691. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15527

Bracegirdle, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8868-4739, Lu, H. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2021) Early-winter North Atlantic low-level jet latitude biases in climate models: implications for simulated regional atmosphere-ocean linkages. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac417f

Cezana, F. C., Goulart, E. V., Reis Jr, N. C. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2021) Analysis of pollutant entrainment From localised sources in a street network. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 179. pp. 241-258. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-020-00598-7

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Projected near-term changes in temperature extremes over China in the mid-twenty-first century and underlying physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1879-1894. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05566-y

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Johnson, S., Weisheimer, A., Shonk, J., Stockdale, T. N. and Senan, R. (2021) Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5). Climate Dynamics, 56 (9-10). pp. 2941-2957. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05624-5

Coelho, C. A. S., de Souza, D. C., Kubota, P. Y., Coelho, S. M. S. C., Menezes, L., Guimarães, B. S., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P., Cavalcanti, I. F. A., Sampaio, G., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Baker, J. C. A. (2021) Evaluation of climate simulations produced with the Brazilian Global Atmospheric Model version 1.2. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 873-898. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05508-8

Deroubaix, A., Labuhn, I., Camredon, M., Gaubert, B., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Popp, M., Ramarohetra, J., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Silvers, L. G. and Siour, G. (2021) Large uncertainties in trends of energy demand for heating and cooling under climate change. Nature Communications, 12. 5197. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25504-8

Dias da Silva, P. E., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Coutinho, M. M. (2021) How well does the HadGEM2-ES coupled model represent the Southern Hemisphere storm tracks? Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1145-1162. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05523-9

Dieppois, B., Capotondi, A., Pohl, B., Pan Chun, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 and Eden, J. (2021) ENSO diversity shows robust decadal variations that must be captured for accurate future projections. Communications Earth & Environment, 2 (1). 212. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00285-6

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2021) Drivers of recent North Pacific decadal variability: the role of aerosol forcing. Earth's Future, 9 (12). e2021EF002249. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002249

Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Sorensson, A. A., Almazroui, M., Dosio, A., Gutowski, W. J., Haarsma, R., Hamdi, R., Hewitson, B., Kwon, W.-T., Lamptey, B. L., Maraun, D., Stephenson, T. S., Takayabu, I., Terray, L., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Zuo, Z. (2021) Linking global to regional climate change. In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Pean, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekci, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2021) Recent trends in summer atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic/European region: is there a role for anthropogenic aerosols? Journal Of Climate, 34 (16). pp. 6777-6795. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0665.1

Edwards, T. L., Nowicki, S., Marzeion, B., Hock, R., Goelzer, H., Seroussi, H., Jourdain, N. C., Slater, D., Turner, F., Smith, C. J., McKenna, C. M., Simon, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Larour, E., Lipscomb, W. H., Payne, A. J., Shepherd, A., Agosta, C., Alexander, P., Albrecht, T., Anderson, B., Asay-Davis, X., Aschwanden, A., Barthel, A., Bliss, A., Calov, R., Chambers, C., Champollion, N., Choi, Y., Cullather, R., Cuzzone, J., Dumas, C., Felikson, D., Fettweis, X., Fujita, K., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huss, M., Huybrechts, P., Immerzeel, W., Kleiner, T., Kraaijenbrink, P., Le clec'h, S., Lee, V., Leguy, G. R., Little, C. M., Lowry, D. P., Malles, J.-H., Martin, D. F., Maussion, F., Morlighem, M., O'Neill, J. F., Nias, I., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S., Quiquet, A., Radić, V., Reese, R., Rounce, D. R., Ruckamp, M., Sakai, A., Shafer, C., Schlegel, N.-J., Shannon, S., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Sun, S., Tarasov, L., Trusel, L. D., Breedam, J. V., van de Wal, R., van den Broeke, M., Winkelmann, R., Zekollari, H., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2021) Projected land ice contributions to 21st century sea level rise. Nature, 593. pp. 74-82. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y

Endris, H. S., Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Segele, Z. T., Gudoshava, M., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Artan, G. A. (2021) Evaluation of the skill of monthly precipitation forecasts from global prediction systems over the Greater Horn of Africa. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (4). pp. 1275-1298. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0177.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2021) Poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to changes in cyclone seasonality. Nature Communications, 12. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26369-7

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhang, W., Zhu, Z., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 and Chen, W. (2021) Variability and changes in Pearl River Delta water level: oceanic and atmospheric forcing perspectives. Journal of Hydrometeorology. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-21-0037.1

Feng, X., Li, H., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhao, J. and Feng, W. (2021) Dependence of ocean wave return levels on water depth and sampling length: a focus on the South Yellow Sea. Ocean Engineering, 219. 108295. ISSN 0029-8018 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.108295

Ficchi, A., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Neves, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1201-5720, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Coughlan de Perez, E., Zsoter, E., Pinto, I., Meque, A. and Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2021) Beyond El Niño: unsung climate modes drive African floods. Weather and Climate Extremes, 33. 100345. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100345

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Ziel, F. (2021) A new approach to extended-range multi-model forecasting: sequential learning algorithms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 4269-4289. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/QJ.4177

Graffino, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8264-3250, Farneti, R. and Kucharski, F. (2021) Low-frequency variability of the Pacific Subtropical Cells as reproduced by coupled models and ocean reanalyses. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 3231-3254. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05639-6

Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vautrey, J. L. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2021) The role of tropopause polar vortices in the intensification of summer Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2 (4). pp. 1303-1324. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-1303-2021

Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Ackerley, D. and Suri, D. (2021) Development of a prototype real-time sting-jet precursor tool for forecasters. Weather, 76 (11). pp. 369-373. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3889

Guimaraes, B. d. S., Coelho, C. A. d. S., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Kubota, P. Y., Bastarz, C. F., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P. and de Souza, D. C. (2021) An inter-comparison performance assessment of a Brazilian global sub-seasonal prediction model against four sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 2359-2375. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05589-5

Guo, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Bollasina, B., Turnock, S. T., Lund, M. T. and Zhang, L. (2021) Competing effects of aerosol reductions and circulation changes for future improvements in Beijing haze. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 21 (19). pp. 15299-15308. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15299-2021

Hansen, E. S., Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K. E., Yoccoz, N. G., Anker-Nilssen, T., Bader, J., Descamps, S., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Mesquita, M. d. S., Reiertsen, T. K. and Varpe, Ø. (2021) Centennial relationships between ocean temperature and Atlantic puffin production reveal shifting decennial trends. Global Change Biology, 27 (16). pp. 3753-3764. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15665

Hardacre, C., Mulcahy, J. P., Pope, R. J., Jones, C. G., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Li, C., Johnson, C. and Turnock, S. T. (2021) Evaluation of SO2, SO42− and an updated SO2 dry deposition parameterization in UKESM1. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18465-18497. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18465-2021

Herbert, R., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Joshi, M., Highwood, E. and Frame, D. (2021) Nonlinear response of Asian summer monsoon precipitation to emission reductions in South and East Asia. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (1). 014005. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac3b19

Hermans, T. H. J., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Palmer, M. D., Ringer, M. A., Katsman, C. A. and Slangen, A. B. A. (2021) Projecting global mean sea-level change using CMIP6 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (5). e2020GL092064. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL092064

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Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Griffies, S. M., Couldrey, M. P. and Dias, F. B. (2021) Contribution of ocean physics and dynamics at different scales to heat uptake in low-resolution AOGCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (6). pp. 2017-2035. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0652.1

Salvi, P., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Interpreting the dependence of cloud-radiative adjustment on forcing agent. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (18). e2021GL093616. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093616

Sandu, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1215-3288, Massonnet, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4697-5781, Achter, G., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Arduini, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6564-1699, Bauer, P., Blockley, E., Bormann, N., Chevallier, M., Day, J., Dahoui, M., Fichefet, T., Flocco, D., Jung, T., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Laroche, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4886-5535, Lawrence, H., Kristiansen, J., Moreno‐Chamarro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7931-5149, Ortega, P., Poan, E., Ponsoni, L. and Randriamampianina, R. (2021) The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741). pp. 3863-3877. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4182

Seneviratne, S. I., Zhang, X., Adnan, M., Badi, W., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Ghosh, S., Iskandar, I., Kossin, J., Lewis, S., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Satoh, M., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Wehner, M., Zhou, B. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 1513-1766. doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.013

Senior, C. A., Marsham, J. H., Berthou, S., Burgin, L. E., Folwell, S. S., Kendon, E. J., Klein, C. M., Jones, R. G., Mittal, N., Rowell, D. P., Tomassini, L., Vischel, T., Becker, B., Birch, C. E., Crook, J., Dougill, A. J., Finney, D. L., Graham, R. J., Hart, N. C. G., Jack, C. D., Jackson, L. S., James, R., Koelle, B., Misiani, H., Mwalukanga, B., Parker, D. J., Stratton, R. A., Taylor, C. M., Tucker, S. O., Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Washington, R. and Willet, M. R. (2021) Convection permitting regional climate change simulations for understanding future climate and informing decision making in Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (6). E1206-E1223. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1

Shang, K., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2021) Climatology and physical mechanisms of the tropospheric warm cores over the Tibetan Plateau and its vicinity. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 953-974. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05749-1

Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R. J., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Domínguez-Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jones, P. D., Kubota, H., Lee, T. C., Lorrey, A. M., Luterbacher, J., Mock, C. J., Przybylak, R. K., Pudmenzky, C., Slonosky, V. C., Tinz, B., Trewin, B., Wang, X. L., Wilkinson, C., Wood, K. and Wyszyński, P. (2021) An evaluation of the performance of the twentieth century reanalysis version 3. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1417-1438. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0505.1

Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) FAMOUS version xotzt (FAMOUS-ice): a GCM capable of energy- and water- conserving coupling to an ice sheet model. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (9). pp. 5769-5787. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5769-2021

Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Mathiot, P., Siahaan, A., Lee, V., Cornford, S. L., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Payne, A. J., Jenkins, A., Holland, P. R., Ridley, J. K. and Jones, C. G. (2021) Coupling the U.K. Earth System Model to dynamic models of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (10). e2021MS002520. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002520

Talib, J., Taylor, C.M., Duan, A. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Intraseasonal soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks on the Tibetan Plateau circulation. Journal of Climate, 34 (5). pp. 1789-1807. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0377.1

Tan, M. L., Liang, J., Samat, N., Chan, N. W., Haywood, J. M. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2021) Hydrological extremes and responses to climate change in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia, based on the CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Water, 13 (11). 1472. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w13111472

Taye, M. T., Dyer, E., Charles, K. J. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2021) Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: understanding local variations and their implications for water management decisions. Science of the Total Environment, 755 (Part 1). 142604. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142604

Thomas, S., Nicolau, S., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2021) How well do atmospheric reanalyses reproduce observed winds in coastal regions of Mexico? Meteorological Applications, 28 (5). e2023. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2023

Thomas, S. R., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2021) Drivers of extreme wind events in Mexico for wind power applications. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). E2321-E2340. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6848

Torres-Alavez, A., Glazer, R., Giorgi, F., Coppola, E., Gao, X., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Das, S., Ashfaq, M., Reale, M. and Sines, T. (2021) Future projections in tropical cyclone activity over multiple CORDEX domains from RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE simulations. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 1507-1531. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05728-6

Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Peatman, S. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2511-7649 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2021) The influence of air‐sea coupling on forecasts of the 2016 Indian summer monsoon and its intraseasonal variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 202-228. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3914

Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Davini, P., Roberts, M. J., Strommen, K., Weisheimer, A., Plesca, E. and Corti, S. (2021) Impact of stochastic physics and model resolution on the simulation of tropical cyclones in climate GCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (11). pp. 4315-4341. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0507.1

Villafuerte II, M. Q., Lambrento, J. C. R., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Cruz, F. T., Cinco, T. A. and Narisma, G. T. (2021) Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to convective parameterization schemes in RegCM4. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1625-1642. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05553-3

Volonte, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2021) Magnitude, scale, and dynamics of the 2020 Mei Yu rains and floods over China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 38. pp. 2082-2096. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1085-z

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (9). pp. 2339-2357. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-21-0017.1

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, D. L., Kilavi, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Marsham, J. H. (2021) Extreme rainfall in East Africa October 2019 – January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 26-31. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3824

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, J. H., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Future changes in seasonality in Eastern Africa from regional simulations with explicit and parametrised convection. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1367-1385. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0450.1

Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P., Castro, C., Chang, C.-P., Cook, K., Fu, R., Grimm, A. M., Ha, K.-J., Hendon, H., Kitoh, A., Krishnan, R., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Liu, J., Moise, A., Pascale, S., Roxy, M. K., Seth, A., Sui, C.-H., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Yang, S., Yun, K.-S., Zhang, L. and Zhou, T. (2021) Monsoons climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E1-E19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1

Wang, J., Church, J. A., Zhang, X., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Zanna, L. and Chen, X. (2021) Evaluation of the local sea-level budget at tide gauges since 1958. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (20). e2021GL094502. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094502

Wohland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8336-0009, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Pfenninger, S. (2021) Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). 064026. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abff89

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J. A., Hu, J. and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2021) Evolving patterns of sterodynamic sea-level rise under mitigation scenarios and insights from linear system theory. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 635-656. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05727-7

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 171-193. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1

Zanchettin, D., Bruni, S., Raicich, F., Lionello, P., Adloff, F., Androsov, A., Antonioli, F., Artale, V., Carminati, E., Ferrarin, C., Fofonova, F., Nicholls, R. J., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Sannino, G., Spada, G., Thiéblemont, R., Tsimplis, M., Umgiesser, G., Vignudelli, S., Wöppelmann, G. and Zerbini, S. (2021) Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article). Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (8). pp. 2463-2678. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Zhang, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Jin, R. (2021) Forced decadal changes in summer precipitation characteristics over China: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34 (6). pp. 1226-1241. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-020-0060-4

Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18609-18627. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18609-2021

Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 55-72. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05692-1

Zika, J. D., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, McDonagh, E. L., Marzocchi, A. and Clement, L. (2021) Recent water mass changes reveal mechanisms of ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 34 (9). pp. 3461-3479. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

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