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Allen, R. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1616-9719, Samset, B. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8013-1833, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Fisher, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-9227 (2024) Are northern hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas–driven warming? Science Advances, 10 (13). eadl4007. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adl4007

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. (2024) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121 (12). e2312093121. ISSN 0027-8424

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: a case study of the African elephant conservation sector. Meteorological Applications, 31 (2). e2190. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2190

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Rees, E. and Nderitu, E. (2024) A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1332233. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1332233

Charlton-Perez, A., Dacre, H., Driscoll, S., Gray, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Harvey, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0973-5794, Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Lee, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Vandaele, R. and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2024) Do AI models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based models? A quantitative evaluation case study of Storm Ciarán. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. ISSN 2397-3722 (In Press)

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilising climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6). e2023GL107448. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107448

Emerton, E., Hodges, K., Stephens, L., Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L. and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean? Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Galea, D., Hodges, K. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2024) Investigating differences between Tropical cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3 (2). e220046. ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0046.1

Gregory, J. M., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Couldrey, M. P., Exarchou, E., Griffies, S. M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Newsom, E., Saenko, O. A., Suzuki, T., Wu, Q., Urakawa, S. and Zanna, L. (2024) A new conceptual model of global ocean heat uptake. Climate Dynamics, 62 (3). pp. 1669-1713. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06989-z

Howard, E., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Shipley, D., Sanchez, C., Peatman, S. C., Birch, C. E. and Matthews, A. J. (2024) Evaluation of multi-season convection permitting atmosphere - mixed layer ocean simulations of the Maritime Continent. Geoscientific Model Development. ISSN 1991-9603 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Ceppi, P. and Wilder, T. (2024) A glimpse into the future: the 2023 ocean temperature and sea-ice extremes in the context of longer-term climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0209.1 (In Press)

Lamptey, B., Abded, S. S., Gudoshava, M., Mutemi, J., Bopape, M.-J., Adefisan, E. A., Igri, M. P., Seidou Sanda, I., Ndiaye, O., Parker, D. J., Dougill, A., Fink, A., Knippertz, P., Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Kolstad, E. (2024) Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa. Nature Communications, 15 (1). 2664. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Lavender, S. L., Stirling, A. J., Whitall, M., Stratton, R., Daleu, C., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Lock, A. and Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553 (2024) The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parameterization: performance of CoMorph-A. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Yang, S. (2024) Enhanced impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon under global warming and associated mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2). e2023GL106437. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106437

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S., He, S. and Hu, Y. (2024) Causes of diverse impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon among CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0303.1

Luterbacher, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4065-6883, Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7897-4660 and Xoplaki, E. (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). 39. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12030039

Nischal, S., Attada, R., Hunt, K. M.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Barlow, M. (2024) Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India’s high mountain region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4661

Norgate, M., Tiwari, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7580-0446, Das, S. and Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129 (2024) On the heat waves over India and their future projections under different SSP scenarios from CMIP6 models. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8367

Patterson, M., O'Reilly, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8630-1650, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Woollings, T. (2024) Disentangling North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere coupling using circulation analogues. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0602.1 (In Press)

Sheng, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, H., Zhang, M., Lin, S., Si, P., Lott, F. C. and Li, Q. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on extremely persistent seasonal precipitation in Southern China during May–June 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (2). pp. 425-431. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0137.1

Sherriff-Tadano, S., Ivanovic, R., Gregoire, L., Lang, C., Gandy, N., Gregory, J., Edwards, T. L., Pollard, O. and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2024) Large ensemble simulations of the North American and Greenland ice sheets at the Last Glacial Maximum with a coupled atmospheric general circulation-ice sheet model. Climate of the Past. ISSN 1814-9332 (In Press)

Shi, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Zhang, C., Hodges, K. I., Tao, A., Zhang, W. and Zheng, J. (2024) Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves. Nature Communications, 15. 174. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43532-4

Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8364

Stevens, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3795-0475, Adami, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0731-3969, Ali, T., Anzt, H., Aslan, Z., Attinger, S., Bäck, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6107-667X, Baehr, J., Bauer, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3205-6055, Bernier, N., Bishop, B., Bockelmann, H., Bony, S., Brasseur, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6794-9497, Bresch, D. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8431-4263, Breyer, S., Brunet, G., Buttigieg, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4366-3088, Cao, J., Castet, C., Cheng, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4912-9879, Dey Choudhury, A., Coen, D., Crewell, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1251-5805, Dabholkar, A., Dai, Q., Doblas-Reyes, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6622-4280, Durran, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6390-2584, El Gaidi, A., Ewen, C., Exarchou, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1240-1368, Eyring, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6887-4885, Falkinhoff, F., Farrell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0644-7164, Forster, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6078-0171, Frassoni, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9716-4006, Frauen, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8615-5702, Fuhrer, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0682-1374, Gani, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6966-0520, Gerber, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6010-6638, Goldfarb, D., Grieger, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0985-8479, Gruber, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2085-2310, Hazeleger, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4566-958X, Herken, R., Hewitt, C., Hoefler, T., Hsu, H.-H., Jacob, D., Jahn, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6580-2579, Jakob, C., Jung, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2651-1293, Kadow, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6537-3690, Kang, I.-S., Kang, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4635-275X, Kashinath, K., Kleinen-von Königslöw, K., Klocke, D., Kloenne, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3201-6432, Klöwer, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3920-4356, Kodama, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8252-7479, Kollet, S., Kölling, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8742-2706, Kontkanen, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5373-3537, Kopp, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0376-7851, Koran, M., Kulmala, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3464-7825, Lappalainen, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3221-2318, Latifi, F., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lee, J. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3986-9753, Lejeun, Q. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9152-3197, Lessig, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2740-6815, Li, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2556-0891, Lippert, T., Luterbacher, J., Manninen, P., Marotzke, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9857-9900, Matsouoka, S., Merchant, C., Messmer, P., Michel, G., Michielsen, K., Miyakawa, T., Müller, J., Munir, R., Narayanasetti, S., Ndiaye, O., Nobre, C., Oberg, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-805X, Oki, R., Özkan-Haller, T., Palmer, T., Posey, S., Prein, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6250-179X, Primus, O., Pritchard, M., Pullen, J., Putrasahan, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6485-5601, Quaas, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7057-194X, Raghavan, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0433-7818, Ramaswamy, V., Rapp, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1508-5900, Rauser, F., Reichstein, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5736-1112, Revi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7712-9262, Saluja, S., Satoh, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3580-8897, Schemann, V., Schemm, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1601-5683, Schnadt Poberaj, C., Schulthess, T., Senior, C., Shukla, J., Singh, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3374-7149, Slingo, J., Sobel, A., Solman, S., Spitzer, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5100-076X, Stier, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1191-0128, Stocker, T., Strock, S., Su, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4889-1669, Taalas, P., Taylor, J., Tegtmeier, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9206-3161, Teutsch, G., Tompkins, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0975-6691, Ulbrich, U. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7558-6622, Vidale, P.-L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, Wu, C.-M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9295-7181, Xu, H., Zaki, N., Zanna, L., Zhou, T. and Ziemen, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7095-5740 (2024) Earth Virtualization Engines (EVE). Earth System Science Data, 16 (4). pp. 2113-2122. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-2113-2024

Su, Q., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z

Vessey, A. F., Hodges, K. I., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Day, J. J. (2024) The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. ISSN 1684-9981 (In Press)

Wallis, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-0899, Osborn, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Taylor, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3473-3478, Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8401

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G., Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3). E651-E659. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627

Xie, Y., Zhou, M., Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Mauzerall, D. L. (2024) Recent improvements in PM_2.5 air quality in India benefited from meteorological variation. npj Urban Sustainability. ISSN 2661-8001 (In Press)

Zhang, S., Liu, X. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2024) Spatiotemporal characteristics of the time of emergence for anthropogenic tropospheric temperature changes based on the CMIP6 multi-model results. Environmental Research Letters, 19 (4). 044052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad34e6

de Andrade, F. M., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Skill assessment and sources of predictability for the leading modes of sub-seasonal Eastern Africa short rains variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07244-9