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King, A. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5745, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Paik, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3655-4227, Lieber, R., Min, S.-K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6749-010X and Borowiak, A. R.
(2024)
Emergence of multivariate climate change signals.
Environmental Research Letters, 19 (9).
094018.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad677f
Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3310 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2024)
GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain.
Geoscience Communication, 7 (3).
pp. 161-165.
ISSN 2569-7110
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-161-2024
Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4159-1295, Schurer, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Ballinger, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3704-1976 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2024)
Using analogues to predict changes in future UK heatwaves.
Environmental Research: Climate.
ISSN 2752-5295
doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad57e3
(In Press)
Müller, O. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9943-8368, McGuire, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2024)
River flow in the near future: a global perspective in the context of a high-emission climate change scenario.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28 (10).
pp. 2179-2201.
ISSN 1607-7938
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2179-2024
Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2024)
Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilizing climate.
Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6).
e2023GL107448.
ISSN 1944-8007
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107448
Wallis, E. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2475-0899, Osborn, T. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Taylor, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3473-3478, Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2024)
Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations.
International Journal of Climatology.
ISSN 1097-0088
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Luterbacher, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4065-6883, Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7897-4660 and Xoplaki, E.
(2024)
The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe.
Climate, 12 (3).
39.
ISSN 2225-1154
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Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2024)
Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers.
Geoscience Data Journal.
ISSN 2049-6060
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King, A. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-5745, Douglas, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5411-7656, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Borowiak, A. R.
(2023)
Climate change emergence over people’s lifetimes.
Environmental Research: Climate, 2 (4).
041002.
ISSN 2752-5295
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Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Compo, G. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5199-9633 and Sardeshmukh, P. D.
(2023)
ESD ideas: translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world.
Earth System Dynamics, 14 (5).
pp. 1081-1084.
ISSN 2190-4987
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023
Tett, S. F. B., Cha, Y., Donovan, K., Geffers, G.-M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2023)
The impact of an extreme cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (10).
E1807-E1816.
ISSN 1520-0477
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Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Wood, K. R.
(2023)
Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks.
Geoscience Data Journal.
ISSN 2049-6060
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Lehner, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4632-9701, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Pendergrass, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2542-1461 and Moore, F. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3866-9642
(2023)
New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints.
AGU Advances, 4 (4).
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ISSN 2576-604X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023AV000887
Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2023)
Storylines for future changes of the North Atlantic jet and associated impacts on the UK.
International Journal of Climatology, 43 (10).
pp. 4424-4441.
ISSN 1097-0088
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Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Alexander, L. V. and Allan, R. J.
(2023)
Millions of digitized historical sea-level pressure observations rediscovered.
Geoscience Data Journal, 10 (3).
pp. 385-395.
ISSN 2049-6060
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Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G., Schurer, A. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2023)
Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context.
Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (7).
e1159.
ISSN 1530-261X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1159
O'Kane, T. J., Scaife, A. A., Kushnir, Y., Brookshaw, A., Buontempo, C., Carlin, D., Connell, R. K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Dunstone, N., Förster, K., Graça, A., Hobday, A. J., Kitsios, V., van der Laan, L., Lockwood, J., Merryfield, W. J., Paxian, A., Payne, M. R., Reader, M. C., Saville, G. R., Smith, D., Solaraju-Murali, B., Caltabiano, N., Carman, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Keenlyside, N., Kumar, A., Matei, D., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Raphael, M., Sparrow, M. and Wu, B.
(2023)
Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions.
Frontiers in Climate, 5.
ISSN 2624-9553
doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626
Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Brohan, P., Burgess, S. N., Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, Compo, G. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5199-9633, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Haigh, I. D., Hersbach, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5330-7071, Kuijjer, K., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, McColl, C., Schurer, A. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3622, Slivinski, L. and Williams, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8421-4481
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Rescuing historical weather observations improves quantification of severe windstorm risks.
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (4).
pp. 1465-1482.
ISSN 1684-9981
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Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, McCarthy, M., Murphy, C., Ross, C., Baldock, M., Brazier, J., Hersee, G., Huntley, J., Meats, R., O'Grady, J., Scrimgeour, I. and Silk, T.
(2023)
Millions of historical monthly rainfall observations taken in the UK and Ireland rescued by citizen scientists.
Geoscience Data Journal, 10 (2).
pp. 246-261.
ISSN 2049-6060
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Grose, M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8012-9960, Boschat, G., Trewin, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8186-7885, Round, V., Ashcroft, L., King, A. D., Narsey, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2023)
Australian climate warming: observed change from 1850 and global temperature targets.
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 73 (1).
pp. 30-43.
ISSN 2206-5865
doi: https://doi.org/10.1071/ES22018
Douglas, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5411-7656, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Revell, L. E. and Frame, D. J.
(2023)
Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6.
Environmental Research Letters, 18 (1).
014013.
ISSN 1748-9326
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Joshi, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811, Hall, R. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3665-6322, Stevens, D. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7283-4405 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2023)
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends.
Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2).
pp. 443-455.
ISSN 2190-4987
doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023
Harrison, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X, Nicoll, K. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5580-6325, Joshi, M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2022)
Empirical evidence for multidecadal scale global atmospheric electric circuit modulation by the El Niño-southern oscillation.
Environmental Research Letters, 17 (12).
124048.
ISSN 1748-9326
doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca68c
Ortega, P., Blockley, E. W., Køltzow, M., Massonnet, F., Sandu, I., Svensson, G., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Arduini, G., Batté, L., Bazile, E., Chevallier, M., Cruz-García, R., Day, J. J., Fichefet, T., Flocco, D., Gupta, M., Hartung, K., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hinrichs, C., Magnusson, L., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Pérez-Montero, S., Ponsoni, L., Semmler, T., Smith, D., Sterlin, J., Tjernström, M., Välisuo, I. and Jung, T.
(2022)
Improving Arctic weather and seasonal climate prediction: recommendations for future forecast systems evolution from the European project APPLICATE.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (10).
E2203-E2213.
ISSN 0003-0007
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0083.1
Lorrey, A. M., Pearce, P. R., Allan, R., Wilkinson, C., Woolley, J.-M., Judd, E., Mackay, S., Rawhat, S., Slivinski, L., Wilkinson, S., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Quesnel, P. and Compo, G. P.
(2022)
Meteorological data rescue: citizen science lessons learned from Southern Weather Discovery.
Patterns, 3 (6).
100495.
ISSN 2666-3899
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Osso, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5653-4886, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Maraun, D.
(2022)
Emerging new climate extremes over Europe.
Climate Dynamics, 58.
pp. 487-501.
ISSN 0930-7575
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Sandu, I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1215-3288, Massonnet, F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4697-5781, Achter, G., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Arduini, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6564-1699, Bauer, P., Blockley, E., Bormann, N., Chevallier, M., Day, J., Dahoui, M., Fichefet, T., Flocco, D., Jung, T., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Laroche, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4886-5535, Lawrence, H., Kristiansen, J., Moreno‐Chamarro, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7931-5149, Ortega, P., Poan, E., Ponsoni, L. and Randriamampianina, R.
(2021)
The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: insights from the APPLICATE and YOPP projects.
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741).
pp. 3863-3877.
ISSN 1477-870X
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Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. M. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493
(2021)
Drivers of recent North Pacific decadal variability: the role of aerosol forcing.
Earth's Future, 9 (12).
e2021EF002249.
ISSN 2328-4277
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002249
King, A. D., Kale Sniderman, J. M., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Brown, J. R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Ziehn, T.
(2021)
Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels.
Nature Climate Change, 11.
pp. 1010-1013.
ISSN 1758-678X
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Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2021)
Has the risk of a 1976 north-west European summer drought and heatwave event increased since the 1970s due to climate change?
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741).
pp. 4143-4162.
ISSN 1477-870X
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Dacre, H. F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4328-9126, Western, L. M., Say, D., O'Doherty, S., Arnold, T., Rennick, C. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
(2021)
Detectability of COVID-19 global emissions reductions in local CO2 concentration measurements.
Environmental Research Letters, 16 (9).
094043.
ISSN 1748-9326
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Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559 and Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850
(2021)
IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers.
In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.)
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An evaluation of the performance of the twentieth century reanalysis version 3.
Journal of Climate, 34 (4).
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ISSN 0894-8755
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Gulev, S. K., Thorne, P. W., Ahn, J., Dentener, F. J., Domingues, C. M., Gerland, S., Gong, D., Kaufman, D. S., Nnamchi, H. C., Quaas, J., Rivera, J. A., Sathyendranath, S., Smith, S. L., Trewin, B., von Schuckmann, K., Vose, R. S., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Collins, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677
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Changing state of the climate system.
In: Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. (eds.)
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Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144.
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Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 20 (23).
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ISSN 1680-7375
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Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers.
Geoscience Data Journal, 7 (2).
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doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010
Meehl, G. A., Goddard, L., Murphy, J., Stouffer, R. J., Boer, G., Danabasoglu, G., Dixon, K., Giorgetta, M. A., Greene, A. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Karoly, D., Keenlyside, N., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Navarra, A., Pulwarty, R., Smith, D., Stammer, D. and Stockdale, T.
(2009)
Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful?
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (10).
pp. 1467-1485.
ISSN 1520-0477
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1
Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2009)
The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (8).
pp. 1095-1107.
ISSN 1520-0477
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2009)
Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: forecast skill and optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling.
Journal of Climate, 22 (14).
pp. 3960-3978.
ISSN 1520-0442
doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2720.1
Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2008)
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.
Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (11).
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ISSN 0094-8276
doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL034059
Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583
(2007)
Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions.
Climate Dynamics, 29 (7-8).
pp. 745-762.
ISSN 0930-7575
doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0263-8
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