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Bannister, R. N., Migliorini, S. and Dixon, M. A. G. (2011) Ensemble prediction for nowcasting with a convection-permitting model - II: forecast error statistics. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (3). pp. 497-512. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00500.x

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Froude, L. S. R. (2010) TIGGE: Comparison of the prediction of northern hemisphere extratropical cyclones by different ensemble prediction systems. Weather and Forecasting, 25. pp. 819-836. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: 10.1175/2010WAF2222326.1

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. (2011) Conditioning and preconditioning of the variational data assimilation problem. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 252-256. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.025

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. (2011) Conditioning of incremental variational data assimilation, with application to the Met Office system. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (4). pp. 782-792. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2011.00527.x

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Hale, A.J., Calder, E.S., Loughlin, S.C., Wadge, G. and Ryan, G.A. (2009) Modelling the lava dome extruded at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, August 2005–May 2006. Part II: Rockfall activity and talus deformation. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 187 (1-2). pp. 69-84. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.08.014

Hale, A.J., Calder, E.S., Wadge, G., Loughlin, S.C. and Ryan, G.A. (2009) Modelling the lava dome extruded at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, August 2005–May 2006. Part I: Dome shape and internal structure. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 187 (1-2). pp. 53-68. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.08.023

Harrison, R. G., Nicoll, K., Ulanowski, Z. J. and Mather, T. (2010) Self-charging of the Eyjafjallajökull volcanic ash plume. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 024004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024004

Haywood, J. M., Johnson, B. T., Osborne, S. R., Baran, A. J., Brooks, M., Milton, S. F., Mulcahy, J., Walters, D., Allan, R. P., Klaver, A., Formenti, P., Brindley, H. E., Christopher, S. and Gupta, P. (2011) Motivation, rationale and key results from the GERBILS Saharan dust measurement campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1106-1116. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.797

Hoffmann, A., Clifford, D., Aulinas, J., Carton, J., Deconinck, F., Esen, B., Huesing, J., Kern, K., Kox, S., Krejci, D., Krings, T., Lohrey, S., Romano, P., Topham, R. and Weitnauer, C. (2012) A novel satellite mission concept for upper air water vapour, aerosol and cloud observations using integrated path differential absorption LiDAR limb sounding. Remote Sensing, 4 (4). pp. 867-910. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: 10.3390/rs4040867

Hogan, R., Tian , L., Brown , P. R.A., Westbrook, C., Heymsfield, A. J. and Eastment, J. D. (2012) Radar scattering from ice aggregates using the horizontally aligned oblate spheroid approximation. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 51 (3). pp. 655-671. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: 10.1175/JAMC-D-11-074.1

John, V.O., Holl, G., Allan, R., Buehler, S.A., Parker, D.E. and Soden, B.J. (2011) Clear-sky biases in satellite infrared estimates of upper tropospheric humidity and its trends. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D14108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2010JD015355

Jung, T., Miller, M. J., Palmer, T. N., Powers, P., Wedi, N., Achuthavarier, D., Adams, J. M., Altshuler, E. L., Cash, B. A., Kinter III, J. L., Marx, L., Stan, C. and Hodges, K. I. (2012) High-resolution global climate simulations with the ECMWF model in Project Athena: experimental design, model climate, and seasonal forecast skill. Journal of Climate, 25 (9). pp. 3155-3172. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00265.1

Kaiser-Weiss, A. K. and Migliorini, G. (2011) Quasi-optimal assimilation of satellite retrievals for incremental 4D-Var. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 287-292. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.016

Keesman, K. J. and Stappers, R. (2004) Nonlinear set-membership estimation: a support vector machine approach. Journal of inverse and ill-posed problems, 12 (1). pp. 27-42. ISSN 1569-3945 doi: 10.1515/156939404773972752

Komorowski, J.-C., Legendre, Y., Christopher, T., Bernstein, M., Stewart, R., Joseph, E., Fournier, N., Chardot, L., Finizola, A., Wadge, G., Syers, R., Williams, C. and Bass, V. (2010) Insights into processes and deposits of hazardous vulcanian explosions at Soufrière Hills Volcano during 2008 and 2009 (Montserrat, West Indies). Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L00E19. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL042558

Lavers, D., Allan, R., Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. and Wade, A. (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783

Lavers, D. A., Villarini, G., Allan, R. P., Wood, E. F. and Wade, A. J. (2012) The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 117 (D20). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD018027

Liu, C. and Allan, R. (2012) Multi-satellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D03101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016568

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. and Huffman, G. J. (2012) Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L13803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052093

Loeb, N. G., Lyman, J. M., Johnson, G. C., Allan, R. P., Doelling, D. R., Wong, T., Soden, B. J. and Stephens, G. L. (2012) Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty. Nature Geoscience, 15. pp. 110-113. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1375

Maidment, R. I., Grimes, D. I. F., Allan, R. P., Greatrex, H., Rojas, O. and Leo, O. (2012) Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda. Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1283 (In Press)

Manganello, J. V., Hodges, K. I., Kinter III, J. L., Cash , B. A., Marx, L., Jung , T. , Achuthavarier, D., Adams, J. M., Altshuler, E. L., Huang, B., Jin, E. K., Stan, C., Towers, P. and Wedi, N. (2012) Tropical cyclone climatology in a 10-km global atmospheric GCM: toward weather-resolving climate modeling. Journal of Climate, 25. pp. 3867-3893. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00346.1

Mason, D., Davenport, I., Neal, J., Schumann , G. and Bates, P. (2011) A near real-time algorithm for flood detection in urban and rural areas using high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images. 2nd International Conference on Space Technology (ICST), 2011 . doi: 10.1109/ICSpT.2011.6064673

Mason, D., Davenport, I., Neal, J., Schumann, G. and Bates, P. (2012) Near real-time flood detection in urban and rural areas using high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 50 (8). pp. 3041-3052. ISSN 0196-2892 doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2011.2178030

Mason, D. C., Scott, T. R. and Dance, S. L. (2010) Remote sensing of intertidal morphological change in Morecambe Bay, U.K., between 1991 and 2007. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 87 (3). pp. 487-496. ISSN 0272-7714 doi: 10.1016/j.ecss.2010.01.015

Migliorini, S. (2012) On the equivalence between radiance and retrieval assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (1). pp. 258-265. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-10-05047.1

Migliorini, S., Dixon, M., Bannister, R. and Ballard, S. (2011) Ensemble prediction for nowcasting with a convection-permitting model—I: description of the system and the impact of radar-derived surface precipitation rates. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (3). pp. 468-496. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00503.x

Moodey, A. J. F., Lawless, A. S., Potthast, R. W. E. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2013) Nonlinear error dynamics for cycled data assimilation methods. Inverse Problems, 29 (2). 025002. ISSN 0266-5611 doi: 10.1088/0266-5611/29/2/025002

Neal, J., Schumann, G., Fewtrell, T., Budimir, M., Bates, P. and Mason, D. (2011) Evaluating a new LISFLOOD-FP formulation with data from the summer 2007 floods in Tewkesbury, UK. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 4 (2). pp. 88-95. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2011.01093.x

Odbert, H.M. and Wadge, G. (2009) Time series analysis of lava flux. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 188 (4). pp. 305-314. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.09.005

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Pearson, K. J., Lister, G. M. S., Birch, C. E., Allan, R. P., Hogan, R. J. and Woolnough, S. J. (2013) Modelling the diurnal cycle of tropical convection across the "Grey Zone". Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Petrie, R. E. and Bannister, R. N. (2011) A method for merging flow-dependent forecast error statistics from an ensemble with static statistics for use in high resolution variational data assimilation. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 387-391. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2011.01.037

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Ryan, G. A., Loughlin, S. C., James, M. R., Jones, L. D., Calder, E. S., Christopher, T., Strutt, M. H. and Wadge, G. (2010) Growth of the lava dome and extrusion rates at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, West Indies: 2005–2008. Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L00E08. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL041477

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Schumann, G. J.-P., Neal, J. C., Mason, D. C. and Bates, P. D. (2011) The accuracy of sequential aerial photography and SAR data for observing urban flood dynamics, a case study of the UK summer 2007 floods. Remote Sensing of Environment, 115 (10). pp. 2536-2546. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2011.04.039

Smith, G. and Haines, K. (2009) Evaluation of the S(T) assimilation method with the Argo dataset. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (640). pp. 739-756. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.395

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Stappers, R. and Barkmeijer, J. (2012) Gaussian quadrature 4D-VAR. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870x (In Press)

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Stephens, E. M., Bates, P. D., Freer, J. and Mason, D. (2012) The impact of uncertainty in satellite data on the assessment of flood inundation models. Journal of Hydrology, 414-41. pp. 162-173. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.040 (414-415, 162-173)

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Book or Report Section

Schumann, G.J.-P., Bates, P.D., Di Baldassarre, G. and Mason, D. (2012) The use of radar imagery in riverine flood inundation studies. In: Carbonneau, P. and Piegay, H. (eds.) Fluvial Remote Sensing for Science and Management. Advancing river restoration and management. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, pp. 115-140. ISBN 9781119940791 doi: 10.1002/9781119940791.ch6

Wadge, G. (2010) Assessing the pyroclastic flow hazards from dome collapse at Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat. In: Thordarson, T., Self, S., Rowlands, S. and Hoskuldsson, A. (eds.) Studies in Volcanology: the Legacy of George Walker. IAVCEI Publications, IAVCEI 2. Geological Society London/ IAVCEI , London, pp. 211-224. ISBN 9781862392809

Report

Ager, G., Wadge, G., Tragheim, D. and Jordan, C. (2008) Volcanic eruption of 29th July 2008 on the island of Montserrat. Technical Report. British Geological Survey pp48.

Wadge, G., Aspinall, W. and Barclay, J. (2009) Risk-based policy support for volcanic hazard mitigation. Project Report. Foreign and Commonwealth Office (Unpublished)

Conference or Workshop Item

Champion, A., Hodges, K. and Bengtsson, L. (2010) Extreme precipitation and climate change: the potential impacts on flooding. In: BHS Third International Symposium, Managing the Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, 19-23 July 2010, Newcastle University. (Proceedings of the BHS Third International Symposium)

Neal, J. C., Schumann, G. J.-P., Bates, P. D. and Mason, D. C. (2010) Estimating discharge from inundation imagery. In: American Geophysical Union (Fall Meeting), 13-17 December 2010, San Francisco. (Unpublished)

Sandells, M., Flerchinger, G., Gurney, R. and Marks, D. (2010) Physics-based modelling for remote sensing of snow. In: British Hydrological Society Third International Symposium: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, 19-23 July 2010, Newcastle University, UK.

Book

Bengtsson, L., Koumoutsaris, S., Bonnet, R. -M., Allan, R. P., Fröhlich, C., Heintzenberg, J., Ingmann, P., Kandel, R., Loeb, N. G., Soden, B. and Trenberth, K. E. (2012) Observing and Modeling Earth's Energy Flows. Space Sciences Series of ISSI, 41. Springer. ISBN 9789400743267

Audio

Sandells, M., Nelson, S. and Hollingham, R. (2011) The Earth's magnetic field, snow, and Chernobyl. [Audio]