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Abrantes, F., Voelker, A. (H. L.), Sierro, F. J., Naughton, F., Rodrigues, T., Cacho, I., Ariztegui, D., Brayshaw, D., Sicre, M.-A. and Batista, L. (2012) Paleoclimate variability in the Mediterranean region. In: Lionello, P. (ed.) The Climate of the Mediterranean Region. Elsevier, London, pp. 1-86. ISBN 9780124160422 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00001-X

Ackerley, D., Highwood, E. J., Harrison, M., McConnell, C., Joshi, M. M., Walters, D., Milton, S., Greed, G. and Brooks, M. (2009) The development of a new dust uplift scheme in the Met Office Unified Model. Meteorological Applications, 16 (4). pp. 445-460. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: DOI:10.1002/met.141

Alghabari, F., Lukac, M., Jones, H. E. and Gooding, M. J. (2014) Effect of Rht alleles on the tolerance of wheat grain set to high temperature and drought stress during booting and anthesis. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science, 200 (1). pp. 36-45. ISSN 1439-037X doi: 10.1111/jac.12038

Allan, R. (2012) Regime dependent changes in global precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 827-840. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1134-x

Allan, R. P. (2011) Human influence on rainfall. Nature, 470 (7334). pp. 344-345. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/470344a

Allan, R. P. and Liepert, B. G. (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Allan, R. P., Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W. and Good, P. (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025205. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205

Armitage, J. D., Könyves, K., Bailey, J. P., David, J. C. and Culham, A. (2013) A molecular, morphological and cytological investigation of the identity of non-native Ludwigia (Onagraceae) populations in Britain. New Journal of Botany, 3 (2). pp. 88-95. ISSN 2042-3497 doi: 10.1179/2042349713Y.0000000023

Arnell, N. (2011) Incorporating climate change into water resources planning in England and Wales. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47 (3). pp. 541-549. ISSN 1752-1688 doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00548.x

Arnell, N. (2011) Policy: the perils of doing nothing. Nature Climate Change, 1. pp. 193-195. ISSN 1758-6787 doi: 10.1038/nclimate1157

Arnell, N. (2011) Uncertainty in the relationship between climate forcing and hydrological response in UK catchments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 897-912. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-15-897-2011

Arnell, N. and Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios. Climatic Change. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0948-4

Arnell, N. W. (2010) Adapting to climate change: an evolving research programme. Climatic Change, 100 (1). pp. 107-111. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9839-0

Arnell, N. W. and Charlton, M. B. (2009) Adapting to the effects of climate change on water supply reliability. In: Adger, W.N., Lorenzoni, I. and O'Brien, K. L. (eds.) Adapting to climate change: thresholds, values, governance. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 42-53. ISBN 9780521764858

Arnell, N. W. and Delaney, E. K. (2006) Adapting to climate change: public water supply in England and Wales. Climatic Change, 78 (2-4). pp. 227-255. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9067-9

Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N. (2014) The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5

Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N. (2013) The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale. Journal of Hydrology, 486. pp. 351-364. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.02.010

Arnell, N. W., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. and Zelazowski, P. (2014) Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1034-7

Arnell, N. W., Charlton, M. B. and Lowe, J. A. (2014) The effect of climate policy on the impacts of climate change on river flows in the UK. Journal of Hydrology, 510. pp. 424-435. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.12.046

Arnell, N. W., Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P. and Warren, R. F. (2013) A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3. pp. 512-519. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate1793

Arnell, N. W., van Vuuren, D. P. and Isaac, M. (2011) The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 592-603. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.01.015

Artz, R. R. E., Donnelly, D., Cuthbert, A., Evans, C., Smart, S., Reed, M., Kenter, J. and Clark, J., (2012) Restoration of lowland raised bogs in Scotland: emissions savings and the implications of a changing climate on lowland raised bog condition. Technical Report. Scottish Wildlife Trust and The James Hutton Institute pp80.

Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Rosenzweig, C., Jones, J. W., Hatfield, J. L., Ruane, A. C., Boote, K. J., Thorburn, P. J., Rötter, R. P., Cammarano, D., Brisson, N., Basso, B., Martre, P., Aggarwal, P. K., Angulo, C., Bertuzzi, P., Biernath, C., Challinor, A. J., Doltra, J., Gayler, S., Goldberg, R., Grant, R., Heng, L., Hooker, J., Hunt, L. A., Ingwersen, J., Izaurralde, R. C., Kersebaum, K. C., Müller, C., Naresh Kumar, S., Nendel, C., O’Leary, G., Olesen, J. E., Osborne, T., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Semenov, M. A., Shcherbak, I., Steduto, P., Stöckle, C., Stratonovitch, P., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Travasso, M., Waha, K., Wallach, D., White, J. W., Williams, J. R. and Wolf, J. (2013) Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature Climate Change. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate1916

Azuhnwi, B.N., Hertzberg, H., Arrigo, Y., Gutzwiller, A., Hess, H.D., Mueller-Harvey, I., Torgerson, P.R., Kreuzer, M. and Dohme-Meier, F. (2013) Investigation of sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia) cultivar differences on nitrogen balance and fecal egg count in artificially infected lambs. Journal of Animal Science, 91 (5). pp. 2342-2354. ISSN 0021-8812 doi: 10.2527/jas.2012-5351


Ba, J., Keenlyside, N. S., Park, W., Latif, M., Hawkins, E. and Ding, H. (2013) A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 41 (7-8). pp. 2133-2144. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1633-4

Bao, H.-J., Zhao, L.-N., He, Y., Li, Z.-J., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Manful, D. (2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 61-67. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011

Barboni, D., Harrison, S. P., Bartlein, P. J., Jalut, G., New, M., Prentice, I. C., Sanchez-Goni, M. F., Spessa, A., Davis, B. and Stevenson, A. C. (2004) Relationships between plant traits and climate in the Mediterranean region: an analysis based on pollen data. Journal of Vegetation Science, 15. pp. 635-646. ISSN 1100-9233

Baum, A., Scully, P. J., Perrie, W., Liu, D. and Lucarini, V. (2010) Mechanisms of femtosecond laser-induced refractive index modification of poly(methyl methacrylate). Journal of the Optical Society of America B-Optical Physics, 27 (1). 107-111 . ISSN 0030-3941 doi: 10.1364/JOSAB.27.000107

Bengtsson, L., Koumoutsaris, S., Bonnet, R. -M., Allan, R. P., Fröhlich, C., Heintzenberg, J., Ingmann, P., Kandel, R., Loeb, N. G., Soden, B. and Trenberth, K. E. (2012) Observing and Modeling Earth's Energy Flows. Space Sciences Series of ISSI, 41. Springer. ISBN 9789400743267

Bergamaschi , H., da Costa , S. M. S., Wheeler, T. and Challinor , A. J. (2013) Simulating maize yield in sub-tropical conditions of southern Brazil using Glam model. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira , 48 (2). pp. 132-140. ISSN 1678-3921 doi: 10.1590/S0100-204X2013000200002

Betts, R.A., Falloon, P.D., Gornall, J., Kaye, N., Wiltshire, A. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Climate change and food security. In: Climate Sense. Tudor Rose, Leicester, pp. 39-41. ISBN 9789263110435

Bigelow, N. H., Brubaker, L. B., Edwards, M. E., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Anderson, P. M., Andreev, A. A., Bartlein, P. J., Christensen, T. R., Cramer, W., Kaplan, J. O., Lozhkin, A. V., Matveyeva, N. V., Murray, D. F., McGuire, A. D., Razzhivin, V. Y., Ritchie, J. C., Smith, B., Walker, D. A., Gayewski, K., Wolf, V., Holmqvist, B. H., Igarashi, Y., Kremenetski, K., Paus, A., Pisaric, M. F. J. and Volkova, V. S. (2003) Climate change and Arctic ecosystems: 1. Vegetation changes north of 55°N between the last glacial maximum, mid-Holocene, and present. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D19). 108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2002JD002558

Bistinas, I., Oom, D., Sa, A. C.L., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C. and Pereira, J. M.C. (2013) Relationships between human population density and burned area at continental and global scales. PLoS ONE, 8 (12). ISSN 1932-6203 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0081188

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Black, S. and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, R., Adger, W. N. and Arnell, N. W. (2013) Migration and extreme environmental events: new agendas for global change research. Environmental Science & Policy, 27 (supp. 1). S1-S3. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.09.010

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) Migration and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S1-S2. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.005

Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N., Dercon, S., Geddes, A. and Thomas, D. S.G. (2011) The effect of environmental change on human migration. Global Environmental Change, 21S (1). S3-S11. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001

Black, R., Arnell, N. W., Adger, W. N., Thomas, D. and Geddes, A. (2013) Migration, immobility and displacement outcomes following extreme events. Environmental Science & Policy, 27 (supp. 1). S32-S43. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.09.001

Bogner, K., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., De Roo, A. and Thielen, J. (2012) Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment. International Journal of River Basin Management, 10 (1). pp. 1-12. ISSN 1814-2060 doi: 10.1080/15715124.2011.625359

Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Joussaume, S., Hewitt, C. D., Kitoh, A., Kutzbach, J., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B., Syktus, J. and Weber, S. L. (2004) Evaluation of PMIP coupled ocean-atmosphere simulations of the mid-Holocene. In: Battarbee, R. W., Gasse, F. and Stickley, C. E. (eds.) Past Climate Variability through Europe and Africa. Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, pp. 515-533.

Braconnot, P., Harrison, S. P., Kageyama, M., Bartlein, P. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Abe-Ouchi, A., Otto-Bliesner, B. and Zhao, Y. (2012) Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data. Nature Climate change, 2. pp. 417-424. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate1456

Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S. P., Joussaume, S., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Hewitt, C. D., Kagayama, M., Kitoh, A., Loutre, M.-F., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Ramstein, G., Valdes, P., Weber, L., Yu, Y. and Zhao, Y. (2007) Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum, Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. Climate of the Past, 3. pp. 261-277. ISSN 1814-9324

Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Harrison, S. P., Joussaume, S., Petershcmitt, J.-Y., Abe-Ouchi, A., Crucifix, M., Fichefet, T., Hewitt, C. D., Kagayama, M., Kitoh, A., Loutre, M.-F., Marti, O., Merkel, U., Ramstein, G., Valdes, P., Weber, L., Yu, Y. and Zhao, Y. (2007) Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum, Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. Climate of the Past, 3. pp. 279-296. ISSN 1814-9324

Bragg, F.J., Prentice, I.C., Harrison, S.P., Eglinton, G., Foster, P.N., Rommerskirchen, F. and Rullkotter, J. (2013) Stable isotope and modelling evidence for CO2 as a driver of glacial–interglacial vegetation shifts in southern Africa. Biogeosciences, 10 (3). pp. 2001-2010. ISSN 1726-4189 doi: 10.5194/bg-10-2001-2013

Bullard, J., Harrison, S. P., Baddock, M., Drake, N., Gill, T., McTainsh, M. and Sun, Y. (2011) Preferential dust sources: a geomorphological classification designed and for use in global aerosol models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116 (F4). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JF002061

Butler, E. D., Oliver, K. I., Gregory, J. M. and Tailleux, R. (2013) The ocean's gravitational potential energy budget in a coupled climate model. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2013GL057996


Carbonero, C. H., Mueller-Harvey, I., Brown, T. A. and Smith, L. (2011) Sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia): a beneficial forage legume. Plant Genetic Resource: Characterization and Utilization, 9 (1). pp. 70-85. ISSN 1479-263X doi: 10.1017/S1479262110000328

Chandramohan, P. and Shaw, M. W. (2013) Sulphate and sulphurous acid alter the relative susceptibility of wheat to Phaeosphaeria nodorum and Mycosphaerella graminicola. Plant Pathology. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: 10.1111/ppa.12052

Charlton, M., Bailey, A. and Arnell, N., (2010) Water for agriculture: implications for future policy and practice. Report. Royal Agricultural Society of England pp94.

Charlton, M. B. and Arnell, N. W. (2011) Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England - an assessment of draft Water Resources Management Plans. Global Environmental Change, 21 (1). pp. 238-248. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.07.012

Charlton-Perez, A., Dacre, H., Maskell, K., Reynolds, R., South, R. and Wood, C. (2010) Meteorology and climate inspire secondary school students. School Science Review, 92 (339). pp. 75-82. ISSN 0036-6811

Charman, D.J., Beilman, D.W., Blaauw, M., Booth, R.K., Brewer, S., Chambers, F.M., Christen, J.A., Gallego-Sala, A., Harrison, S.P., Hughes, P.D.M., Jackson, S.T., Korhola, A., Mauquoy, D., Mitchell, F.J.G., Prentice, I.C., van der Linden, M., De Vleeschouwer, F., Yu, Z.C., Alm, J., Bauer, I.E., Corish, Y.M.C., Garneau, M., Hohl, V., Huang, Y., Karofeld, E., Le Roux, G., Loisel, J., Moschen, R., Nichols, J.E., Nieminen, T.M., MacDonald, G.M., Phadtare, N.R., Rausch, N., Sillasoo, U., Swindles, G.T., Tuittila, E.-S., Ukonmaanaho, L., Valiranta, M., van Bellen, S., van Geel, B., Vitt, D.H. and Zhao, Y. (2013) Climate-related changes in peatland carbon accumulation during the last millennium. Biogeosciences, 10 (2). pp. 929-944. ISSN 1726-4189 doi: 10.5194/bg-10-929-2013

Ciais, P., Tagliabue, A., Cuntz, M., Bopp, L., Scholze, M., Hoffmann, G., Lourantou, A., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Kelley, D. I., Kovan, C. and Piao, S. L. (2011) Large inert carbon pool in the terrestrial biosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. Nature Geoscience (5). pp. 74-79. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/NGEO1324

Claquin, T., Roelandt, C., Kohfeld, K. E., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Balkanski, Y., Bergametti, G., Hansson, M., Mahowald, N., Rodhe, H. and Schulz, M. (2003) Radiative forcing effect of ice-age dust. Climate Dynamics, 20. pp. 193-202. ISSN 0930-7575

Clark, J. M. , Billett, M. F., Coyle, M., Croft, S., Daniels, S., Evans, C. D., Evans, M., Freeman, C., Gallego-Sala, A. V., Heinemeyer, A., House, J. I., Monteith, D. T., Nayak, D., Orr, H. G., Prentice, I. C., Rose, R., Rowson, J., Smith, J. U., Smith, P., Tun, Y. M., Vanguelova, E., Wetterhall, F. and Worrall, F. (2010) Model inter-comparison between statistical and dynamic model assessments of the long-term stability of blanket peat in Great Britain (1940-2099). Climate Research, 45. pp. 227-248. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr00974

Clark, J. M., Gallego-Sala, A. V., Allott, T. E. H., Chapman , S. J., Farewell, T., Freeman, C., House, J. I., Orr, H. G., Prentice, I. C. and Smith, P. (2010) Assessing the vulnerability of blanket peat to climate change using an ensemble of statistical bioclimatic envelope models. Climate Research, 45. pp. 131-150. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr00929

Clark, J. M., Orr, H. G., Freer, J., House, J. I., Smith, P. and Freeman, C. (2010) Assessment of projected changes in upland environments using simple climatic indices. Climate Research, 45. pp. 87-104. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr00923

Clark, J. M., van der Heijden, G. M. F., Palmer, S. M., Chapman, P. J. and Bottrell, S. H. (2011) Variation in the sensitivity of DOC release between different organic soils following H2SO4 and sea-salt additions. European Journal of Soil Science, 62 (2). pp. 267-284. ISSN 1351-0754 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2389.2010.01344.x

Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2009) Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. Journal of Hydrology, 375 (3-4). pp. 613-626. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005

Cloke, H. L., Jeffers, C., Wetterhall, F., Byrne, T., Lowe, J. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment UK with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD. Hydrological Processes, 24 (24). pp. 3476-3489. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.7769

Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J. and Thiemig, V. (2013) Operational flood forecasting in Europe. In: Wainwright, J. and Mulligan, M. (eds.) Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity. Wiley-Blackwell, New York, pp. 315-434. ISBN 9780470749111

Cloke, H. L., Weisheimer, A. and Pappenberger , F. (2011) Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology: fully coupled simulations with the ECMWF land surface scheme. In: ECMWF/WMO/WCRP Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and climate Prediction Models, 20-24 June 2011, ECMWF, Reading UK.

Cooper, P. J. M., Stern, R. D., Noguer, M. and Gathenya, J. M. (2013) Climate change adaptation strategies in Sub-Saharan Africa: foundations for the future. In: Singh, B. R. (ed.) Realities, Impacts Over Ice Cap, Sea Level and Risks. InTech Open, pp. 327-356. ISBN 9789535109341 doi: 10.5772/55133

Cordova, C. E., Harrison, S. P., Mudie, P. J., Riehl, S., Leroy, S. A. G. and Ortiz, N. (2009) Pollen, plant macrofossil and charcoal records for palaeovegetation reconstruction in the Mediterranean-Black Sea Corridor since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary International, 197. pp. 12-26. doi: 10.1016/j.quaint.2007.06.015

Crompton, L. A. and Wheeler, T. R. (2008) Abstracts of communications: proceedings of the fortieth meeting of the Agricultural Research Modellers' Group. Journal of Agricultural Science, 146 (6). pp. 717-731. ISSN 0021-8596 doi: 10.1017/S0021859608008083

Crossman, J., Whitehead, P., Futter, M. N., Jin, L., Shahgedanova, M., Castellazzi, M. and Wade, A. (2013) The interactive responses of water quality and hydrology to changes in multiple stressors, and implications for the long-term effective management of phosphorus. Science of the Total Environment, 454-455. pp. 230-244. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.02.033

Culham, A. and Yesson, C. (2011) Biodiversity informatics for climate change studies. In: Hodkinson, T., Jones, M., Waldren, S. and Parnell, J. (eds.) Climate change, ecology and systematics. Cambridge University Press, pp. 231-242. ISBN 9780521766098 (Chapter 10)


Dall'Osto, M., Harrison, R., Highwood, E. J., O'Dowd, C., Ceburnis, D., Querol, X. and Achterberg, E. (2010) Variation of the mixing state of Saharan dust particles with atmospheric transport. Atmospheric Environment, 44 (26). 3135 -3146 . ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.05.030

Daniau, A. -L., Harrison, S. P. and Bartlein, P. J. (2010) Fire regimes during the last glacial. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (21-22). pp. 2918-2930. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.11.008 (special issue, SI)

De Roo, A., Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Bogner, K., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. L., Demeritt, D., Younis, J., Kalas, M., Bodis, K., Muraro, D. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). International Journal of Digital Earth, 4 (1). pp. 77-90. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: 10.1080/17538947.2010.510302

Demeritt, D., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting. Meteorological Applications, 17 (2). pp. 209-222. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.194

Durant, A. J., Harrison, S. P., Watson, I. M. and Balkanski, Y. (2009) Sensitivity of direct radiative forcing by mineral dust to particle characteristics. Progress in Physical Geography, 33 (1). pp. 80-102. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: 10.1177/0309133309105034


Ebi, K. L., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Edmonds, J., Kriegler, E., Mathur, R., O’Neill, B. C., Riahi, K., Winkler, H., Van Vuuren, D. P. and Zwickel, T. (2013) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions. Climatic Change. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3

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Garcia Gonzalez, R., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L., Main, B., Gan, G. and Wu, Y. (2012) Interactions between the physical soil environment and a horizontal ground coupled heat pump, for a domestic site in the UK. Renewable Energy, 44. pp. 141-153. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.01.080

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Gosling, S. N., McGregor, G. and Lowe, J. (2009) Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change. International Journal of Biometeorology, 53 (1). pp. 31-51. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: 10.1007/s00484-008-0189-9

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Grasso, M. and Feola, G. (2013) Human security and climate change in the Mediterranean region. In: Redclift, M. R. and Grasso, M. (eds.) Handbook on Climate change and Human Security. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, pp. 254-280. ISBN 9780857939104

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Hadjikakou, M., Whitehead, P., Li, J., Futter, M., Hadjinicolaou, P. and Shahgedanova, M. (2011) Modelling nitrogen in the Yeşilirmak River catchment in Northern Turkey: impacts of future climate and environmental change and implications for nutrient management. Science of the Total Environment, 409 (12). pp. 2404-2418. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.02.038

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Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Wade, A. J., Neal, C., Reynolds, B., Norris, D. and Kirchner, J. W. (2013) Upland streamwater nitrate dynamics across decadal to sub-daily timescales: a case study of Plynlimon, Wales. Biogeosciences, 10. pp. 8013-8038. ISSN 1726-4189 doi: 10.5194/bg-10-8013-2013

Halliday, S. J., Wade, A. J., Skeffington, R. A., Neal, C., Reynolds, B., Rowland, P., Neal, M. and Norris, D. (2012) An analysis of long-term trends, seasonality and short-term dynamics in water quality data from Plynlimon, Wales. Science of the Total Environment, 434. pp. 186-200. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.10.052

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Harrison, S. P. (2005) Snowlines at the Last Glacial Maximum and tropical cooling. Quaternary International, 138-139. pp. 5-7. ISSN 1040-6182

Harrison, S. P. (2007) The role of ocean and vegetation feedbacks in the mid-Holocene: how realistic are the models? In: Kutzbach, G. (ed.) Climate Variability and Change: Past, Present and Future - John E Kutzbach Symposium. Centre for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison, pp. 167-187.

Harrison, S. P. and Bartlein, P. (2012) Records from the past, lessons for the future: what the palaeo-record implies about mechanisms of global change. In: Henderson-Sellers, A. and McGuffie, K. (eds.) The Future of the World's Climate. 2nd ed. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 403-436. ISBN 9780123869173

Harrison, S. P. and Prentice, I. C. (2003) Climate and CO2 controls on global vegetation distribution at the last glacial maximum: analysis based on palaeovegetation data, biome modelling and palaeoclimate simulations. Global Change Biology, 9. pp. 983-1004. ISSN 1365-2486

Harrison, S. P. and Sanchez Goni, M. F. (2010) Global patterns of vegetation response to millennial-scale variability and rapid climate change during the last glacial period. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (21-22). pp. 2957-2980. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.07.016

Harrison, S. P., Kutzbach, J. E., Liu, Z., Bartlein, P. J., Otto-Bliesner, B., Muhs, D., Prentice, I. C. and Thompson, R. S. (2003) Mid-Holocene climates of the Americas: a dynamical response to changed seasonality. Climate Dynamics, 20 (7-8). pp. 663-688. ISSN 0930-7575

Harrison, S. P., Marlon, J. and Bartlein, P. J. (2010) Fire in the Earth System. In: Dodson, J. (ed.) Changing Climates, Earth Systems and Society. International Year of Planet Earth. Springer-Verlag, pp. 21-48. doi: 10.1007/978-90-481-8716-4_3

Harrison, S. P., Morfopoulos, C., Srikanta Dani, K.G., Prentice, I. C., Arneth, A., Atwell, B. J., Barkley, M. P., Leishman, M. R., Loreto, F., Medlyn, B. E., Niinemets, U., Possell, M., Penuelas, J. and Wright, I. J. (2013) Volatile isoprenoid emissions from plastid to planet. New Phytologist, 197 (1). pp. 49-57. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: 10.1111/nph.12021

Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Barboni, D., Kohfield, K. E., Ni, J. and Sutra, J.-P. (2010) Ecophysiological and bioclimatic foundations for a global plant functional classification. Journal of Vegetation Science, 21 (2). pp. 300-317. ISSN 1100-9233 doi: 10.1111/j.1654-1103.2009.01144.x

Harrison, S.P., Bartlein, P.J., Prentice, I.C., Boyd, M., Hessler, I., Holmgren, K., Isumi, K. and Willis, K. (2013) Model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1922-6

Hawkins, E. (2011) Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability. Weather, 66 (7). pp. 175-179. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.761

Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2012) Time of emergence of climate signals. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (1). L01702. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL050087

Hawkins, E. and Vidale, P. L. (2012) Meteorology: Counting the coming storms. Nature Climate Change, 2 (8). pp. 574-575. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate1639

Hawkins, E., Fricker, T. E., Challinor, A. J., Ferro, C. A. T., Ho, C. K. and Osborne, T. M. (2013) Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s. Global Change Biology, 19 (3). pp. 937-947. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/gcb.12069

Hawkins, E., Osborne, T. M., Ho, C. K. and Challinor, A. J. (2013) Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: an idealised case study over Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 19-31. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.04.007

Hawkins, E., Robson, J., Sutton, R., Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Hawkins, E., Smith, R. S., Allison, L. C., Gregory, J. M., Woollings, T. J., Pohlmann, H. and de Cuevas, B. (2011) Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (10). L10605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL047208

He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Manful, D., Cloke, H. L., Bates, P., Wetterhall, F. and Parkes, B. (2013) Flood inundation dynamics and socioeconomic vulnerability under environmental change. In: Hossain, F. (ed.) Climate Vulnerability. Elsevier Sciences. (In Press)

He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Bao, H., Cloke, H., Li, Z., Pappenberger, F., Hu, Y., Manful, D. and Huang, Y. (2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11 (2). pp. 132-138. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.270

Heap, M. J. and Culham, A. (2010) Automated pre-processing strategies for species occurrence data used in biodiversity modelling. Lecture Notes in Computer Science: Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, Part I (6279). pp. 517-526. ISSN 0302-9743 doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-15384-6

Heap, M. J., Culham, A. and Osborne, J. (2012) The benefits of a compute cluster approach to high spatial resolution biodiversity richness modelling: projecting the impact of climate change on Mediterranean flora. The International Journal of Climate Change: Impacts and Responses, 4. ISSN 1835-7156 (In Press)

Helfter, C., Famulari, D., Phillips, G. J., Barlow, J. F., Wood, C., Grimmond, C. S. B. and Nemitz, E. (2011) Controls of carbon dioxide concentrations and fluxes above central London. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (5). pp. 1913-1928. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-1913-2011

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. (2009) Climate predictability in the second year. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 367 (1890). pp. 913-916. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0181

Heywood, V., Brummitt, R.K., Culham, A. and Seberg, O. (2011) Flowering plants: a concise pictorial guide. Kew Publishing, UK. ISBN 9781842464380

Ho, C. K., Hawkins, E., Shaffrey, L., Broecker, J., Hermanson, L., Murphy, J. M., Smith, D. M. and Eade, R. (2013) Examining reliability of seasonal to decadal sea surface temperature forecasts: the role of ensemble dispersion. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (21). pp. 5770-5775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2013GL057630

House, J. I., Orr, H. G., Clark, J. M., Gallego-Sala, A. V., Freeman, C., Prentice, I. C. and Smith, P. (2010) Climate change and the British Uplands: evidence for decision-making. Climate Research, 45. pp. 3-12. ISSN 0936-577X doi: 10.3354/cr00982

Hunt, F. K., Tailleux, R. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2012) The vertical structure of oceanic Rossby waves: a comparison of high-resolution model data to theoretical vertical structures. Ocean Science, 8 (1). pp. 19-35. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/os-8-19-2012


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Jagadish, S.V.K., Cairns, J., Lafitte, R., Wheeler, T. R., Price, A.H. and Craufurd, P. Q. (2010) Genetic analysis of heat tolerance at anthesis in rice. Crop Science, 50 (5). pp. 1633-1641. ISSN 0011-183X doi: 10.2135/cropsci2009.09.0516

Jagadish, S.V.K., Muthurajan, R., Oane, R., Wheeler, T. R., Heuer, S., Bennett, J. and Craufurd, P. Q. (2010) Physiological and proteomic approaches to address heat tolerance during anthesis in rice (Oryza sativa L.). Journal of Experimental Botany, 61 (1). pp. 143-156. ISSN 0022-0957 doi: 10.1093/jxb/erp289

Johnson, S. N., Barton, A. T., Clark, K. E., Gregory, P. J., McMenemy, L. S. and Hancock, R. D. (2011) Elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide impairs the performance of root-feeding vine weevils by modifying root growth and secondary metabolites. Global Change Biology, 17 (2). pp. 688-695. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02264.x

Journet, E., Balkanski, Y. and Harrison, S. P. (2013) A new data set of soil mineralogy for dust-cycle modelling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 13 (9). pp. 23943-23993. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acpd-13-23943-2013


Kageyama, M., Harrison, S. P. and Abe-Ouchi, A. (2005) The depression of tropical snow lines at the Last Glacial Maximum: what can we learn from climate and model experiments? Quaternary International, 138-139. pp. 202-219. ISSN 1040-6182

Kaplan, J. O., Bigelow, N. H., Bartlein, P. J., Christensen, T. R., Cramer, W., Harrison, S. P., Matveyeva, N. V., Mcguire, A. D., Murray, D. F., Prentice, I. C., Razzhivin, V. Y., Smith, B., Walker, D. A., Anderson, P. M., Andreev, A. A., Brubaker, L. B., Edwards, M. E. and Lozhkin, A. V. (2003) Climate change and Arctic ecosystems II: Modeling palaeodata-model comparisons and future projections. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D19). 8171. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2002JD002559

Kattge, J., Diaz, S., Lavorel, S., Prentice, I. C., Leadley, P., Bonisch, G., Garnier, E., Westoby, M., Reich, P. B., Wright, I. J., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Violle, C., Harrison, S. P., van Bodegom, P. M., Reichstein, M., Soudzilovskaia, N. A., Ackerly, D. D., Anand, M., Atkin, O., Bahn, M., Baker, T. R., Baldocchi, D., Bekker, R., Blanco, C., Blonder, B., Bond, W., Bradstock, R., Bunker, D. E., Casanoves, F., Cavender-Bares, J., Chambers, J., Chapin, F. S., Chave, J., Coomes, D., Cornwell, W. K., Craine, J. M., Dobrin, B. H., Durka, W., Elser, J., Enquist, B. J., Esser, G., Estiarte, M., Fagan, W. F., Fang, J., Fernandez, F., Fidelis, A., Finegan, B., Flores, O., Ford, H., Frank, D., Freschet, G. T., Fyllas, N. M., Gallagher, R., Green, W., Gutierrez, A. G., Hickler, T., Higgins, S., Hodgson, J. G., Jalili, A., Jansen, S., Kerkhoff, A. J., Kirkup, D., Kitajima, K., Kleyer, M., Klotz, S., Knops, J. M. H., Kramer, K., Kuhn, I., Kurokawa, H., Laughlin, D., Lee, T. D., Leishman, M., Lens, F., Lenz, T., Lewis, S. L., Lloyd, J., Llusia, J., Louault, F., Ma, S., Mahecha, M. D., Manning, P., Massad, T., Medlyn, B., Messier, J., Moles, A., Muller, S., Nadrowski, K., Naeem, S., Niinemets, U., Nollert, S., Nuske, A., Ogaya, R., Joleksyn, J., Onipchenko, V. G., Onoda, Y., Ordonez, J., Overbeck, G., Ozinga, W., Patino, S., Paula, S., Pausas, J. G., Penuelas, J., Phillips, O. L., Pillar, V., Poorter, H., Poorter, L., Poschlod, P., Proulx, R., Rammig, A., Reinsch, S., Reu, B., Sack, L., Salgado, B., Sardans, J., Shiodera, S., Shipley, B., Sosinski, E., Soussana, J.-F., Swaine, E., Swenson, N., Thompson, K., Thornton, P., Waldram, M., Weiher, E., White, M., Wright, S. J., Zaehle, S., Zanne, A. E. and Wirth, C. (2011) TRY: a global database of plant traits. Global Change Biology, 17 (9). pp. 2905-2935. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02451.x

Kayastha, R. B. and Harrison, S. P. (2008) Changes of the equilibrium line altitude since the Little Ice Age in the Nepalese Himalayas. Annals of Glaciology, 48 (1). pp. 93-99. ISSN 1727-5644 doi: 10.3189/172756408784700581

Keeley, S. P. E., Sutton, R. T. and Shaffrey, L. C. (2009) Does the North Atlantic Oscillation show unusual persistence on intraseasonal timescales? Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L22706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL040367

Kelley, D.I., Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S.P., Wang, H., Simard, M., Fisher, J.B. and Willis, K.O. (2013) A comprehensive benchmarking system for evaluating global vegetation models. Biogeosciences, 10. pp. 3313-3340. ISSN 1726-4170 doi: 10.5194/bg-10-3313-2013

Kingston, D., Todd, M., Taylor, R., Thompson, J. and Arnell, N. W. (2009) Uncertainty in the estimation of potential evapotranspiration under climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L20403. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: DOI:10.1029/2009GL040267

Klingaman, N. and Woolnough, S. (2013) Using a case-study approach to improve the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2314 (In Press)

Klingaman, N., Woolnough, S. and Syktus, J. (2013) On the drivers of inter-annual and decadal rainfall variability in Queensland, Australia. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (10). pp. 2413-2430. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3593

Knox, J., Hess, T., Daccache, A. and Wheeler, T. (2012) Climate change impacts on crop productivity in Africa and South Asia. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (3). 034032. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034032 (Unpublished)

Koehler, A.-K., Challinor, A. J., Hawkins, E. and Asseng, S. (2013) Influences of increasing temperature on Indian wheat: quantifying limits to predictability. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034016

Kohfeld, K. E. and Harrison, S. P. (2003) Glacial-interglacial changes in dust deposition on the Chinese Loess Plateau. Quaternary Science Reviews, 22. pp. 1859-1878. ISSN 0277-3791

Kohfield, K. E., Le Quere, C. and Harrison, S. P. (2005) Role of marine biology in glacial-interglacial CO2 cycles. Science, 308. pp. 74-78. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: 10.1126/science.1105375

Konopka, B., Pajtik, J., Noguchi, K. and Lukac, M. (2013) Replacing Norway spruce with European beech: a comparison of biomass and Net Primary Production patterns in young stands. Forest Ecology and Management. ISSN 0378-1127 (In Press)

Krishnan, R., Sabin, T. P., Ayantika, D. C., Kitoh, A., Sugi, M., Murakami, H., Turner, A. G. , Slingo, J. M. and Rajendran, K. (2012) Will the South Asian monsoon overturning circulation stabilize any further? Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1317-0 (In Press)

Kundzewicz, Z. W., Kanae, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Handmer, J., Nicholls, N., Peduzzi, P., Mechler, R., Bouwer, L. M., Arnell, N., Mach, K., Muir-Wood, R., Brakenridge, G. R., Kron, W., Benito, G., Honda, Y., Takahashi, K. and Sherstyukov, B. (2013) Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives. Hydrological Sciences Journal. ISSN 2150-3435 doi: 10.1080/02626667.2013.857411

Kundzewicz, Z., Mata, L., Arnell, N. W., Doll, P., Jimenez, B., Miller, K., Oki, T., Sen, Z. and Shiklomanov, I. (2008) The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53 (1). pp. 3-10. ISSN 0262-6667

Kutuzov, S., Shahgedanova, M., Mikhalenko, V., Ginot, P., Lavrentiev, I. and Kemp, S. (2013) High-resolution provenance of desert dust deposited on Mt. Elbrus, Caucasus in 2009–2012 using snow pit and firn core records. The Cryosphere, 7. pp. 1481-1498. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-7-1481-2013


Lavers, D., Allan, R., Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. and Wade, A. (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783

Lavers, D. A., Allan, R. P., Villarini, G., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Brayshaw, D. J. and Wade, A. J. (2013) Future changes in atmospheric rivers and their implications for winter flooding in Britain. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010

Lavers, D. A., Villarini, G., Allan, R. P., Wood, E. F. and Wade, A. J. (2012) The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 117 (D20). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD018027

Lavorel, S., Diaz, S., Cornelissen, H., Garnier, E., Harrison, S. P., McIntyre, S., Pausas, J., Perez-Harguindeguy, N. and Urcely, C. (2007) Plant functional types: are we getting any closer to the Holy Grail? In: Canadell, J., Pitelka, L. F. and Pataki, D. (eds.) Terrestrial Ecosystems in a changing World. Springer-Verlag, pp. 149-164.

Lazar, A., Wade, A., Whitehead, P., Neal, C. and Loewenthal, M. (2012) Reconciling observed and modelled phytoplankton dynamics in a major lowland UK river system, the Thames. Hydrology Research, 43 (3). pp. 576-588. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: 10.2166/nh.2012.029

Le Quere, C., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Buitenhuis, E. T., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Cluastre, H., Cotrim da Cunha, L., Geider, R., Giraud, X., Klaas, C., Kohfield, K. E., Legendre, L., Manizza, M., Platt, T., Rivkin, R. B., Sathyendranath, S., Uitz, J., Watson, A. J. and Wolf-Gladrow, D. (2005) Ecosystem dynamics based on plankton functional types for global ocean biogeochemistry models. Global Change Biology, 11 (11). pp. 2016-2040. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.1004.x

Ledbetter, R., Prudhomme, C. and Arnell, N. (2012) A method for incorporating climate variability in climate change impact assessments: sensitivity of river flows in the Eden catchment to precipitation scenarios. Climatic Change, 113 (3-4). pp. 803-823. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0386-0

Li, L. and Harrison, S. P. (2008) Simulations of the impact of orbital forcing and ocean on the Asian summer monsoon during the Holocene. Global and Planetary Change, 60 (3-4). pp. 505-522. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.06.002

Li, S., Wheeler, T., Challinor, A., Lin, E., Xu, Y. and Ju, H. (2010) Simulating the impacts of global warming on wheat in China using a large area crop model. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 24 (1). pp. 123-135. ISSN 0894-0525

Li, S., Wheeler, T. R. and Challinor, A. (2007) Development of large area wheat crop model for studying climate change impacts in China. Journal of Agricultural Science, 145 (6). p. 647. ISSN 0021-8596 doi: 10.1017/S0021859607007459

Li, S., Wheeler, T. R., Challinor, A., Lin, E., Ju, H. and Xu, Y. (2010) The observed relationships between wheat and climate in China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 150 (11). pp. 1412-1419. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.07.003

Li, Y., Harrison, S. P., Zhao, P. and Ju, J. (2009) Simulations of the impacts of dynamic vegetation and interannual and interdecadal variability of Asian summer monsoon with modern and mid-Holocene orbital forcings. Global and Planetary Change, 66 (3-4). pp. 235-252. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.12.013

Lister, G., Harrison, S. P., Izumi, K. and Prentice, I. C. (2013) Precipitation scaling with temperature in warm and cold climates: an analysis of CMIP5 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (15). pp. 4018-4024. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/grl.50730

Liu, C. and Allan, R. (2012) Multi-satellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117. D03101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2011JD016568

Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. (2013) Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850–2100. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034002

Liu, C., Allan, R. P. and Huffman, G. J. (2012) Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L13803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052093

Liu, Y., Sun, Y. and Harrison, S. P. (2007) A numerical study on the early Holocene climate. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 50. pp. 1337-1350.

Liu, Z., Harrison, S. P., Kutzbach, J. E. and Otto-Bliesner, B. (2004) Global monsoons in the mid-Holocene and oceanic feedback. Climate Dynamics, 22. pp. 157-182. ISSN 0930-7575

Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The impracticality of a universal drought definition. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007/s00704-013-1025-7

Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2012) A spatio-temporal structure-based approach to drought characterisation. International Journal of Climatology, 32 (3). pp. 406-418. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2280

Lloyd-Hughes, B., Shaffrey, L. C., Vidale, P. L. and Arnell, N. W. (2013) An evaluation of the spatiotemporal structure of large-scale European drought within the HiGEM climate model. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (8). pp. 2024-2035. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3570

Loeb, N. G., Lyman, J. M., Johnson, G. C., Allan, R. P., Doelling, D. R., Wong, T., Soden, B. J. and Stephens, G. L. (2012) Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty. Nature Geoscience, 15. pp. 110-113. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1375

Lorenz, M. M., Alkhafadji, L., Stringano, E., Nilsson, S., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Uden, P. (2014) Relationship between condensed tannin structures and their ability to precipitate feed proteins in the rumen. Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture, 94 (5). pp. 963-968. ISSN 0022-5142 doi: 10.1002/jsfa.6344

Lu, Y., Powlson, D., Norse, D., Chadwick, D., Conway, D., Ford-Lloyd, B., Maxted, N., Smith, P. and Wheeler, T. (2012) Sustaining China’s agriculture in a changing climate: a multidisciplinary action through UK-China cooperation. In: Wollenberg, E., Nihart, A., Tapio-Biström , M.-L. and Grieg-Gran, M. (eds.) Climate Change Mitigation and Agriculture. Earthscan, pp. 203-214. ISBN 9781849713931 (In Press)

Lucarini, V. (2009) Evidence of dispersion relations for the nonlinear response of the Lorenz 63 system. Journal of Statistical Physics, 134 (2). pp. 381-400. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: 10.1007/s10955-008-9675-z

Lucarini, V. (2008) From symmetry breaking to Poisson Point Process in 2D Voronoi Tessellations: the generic nature of hexagons. Journal of Statistical Physics, 130. pp. 1047-1062. ISSN 0022-4715

Lucarini, V. (2008) Response theory for equilibrium and non-equilibrium statistical mechanics: causality and generalized Kramers-Kronig relations. Journal of Statistical Physics, 131 (3). pp. 543-558. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: 10.1007/s10955-008-9498-y

Lucarini, V. (2012) Stochastic perturbations to dynamical systems: a response theory approach. Journal of Statistical Physics, 146 (4). pp. 774-786. ISSN 1572-9613 doi: 10.1007/s10955-012-0422-0,

Lucarini, V. (2009) Symmetry-break in Voronoi tessellations. Symmetry, 1 (1). pp. 21-54. ISSN 2073-8994 doi: 10.3390/sym1010021

Lucarini, V. (2009) Thermodynamic efficiency and entropy production in the climate system. Physical Review E, 80 (2). 021118-021118. ISSN 1539-3755 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.021118

Lucarini, V. (2009) Three-dimensional random Voronoi tessellations: From cubic crystal lattices to Poisson point processes. Journal of Statistical Physics, 134 (1). pp. 185-206. ISSN 0022-4715 doi: 10.1007/s10955-008-9668-y

Lucarini, V. and Fraedrich, K. (2009) Symmetry breaking, mixing, instability, and low frequency variability in a minimal Lorenz-like system. Physical Review E, 80 (2). 026313. ISSN 1539-3755 doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.026313

Lucarini, V. and Ragone, F. (2011) Energetics of climate models: net energy balance and meridional enthalpy transport. Reviews of Geophysics, 49 (RG1001). ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1029/2009RG000323

Lucarini, V. and Sarno, S. (2011) A statistical mechanical approach for the computation of the climatic response to general forcings. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18 (1). pp. 7-28. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-18-7-2011

Lucarini, V., Danihlik, R., Kriegerova, I. and Speranza, A. (2008) Hydrological cycle in the Danube basin in present-day and XXII century simulations by IPCCAR4 global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113. D09107-D09107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2007JD009167

Lucarini, V., Faranda, D. and Willeit, M. (2012) Bistable systems with stochastic noise: virtues and limits of effective one-dimensional Langevin equations. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19 (1). pp. 9-22. ISSN 1607-7946 doi: 10.5194/npg-19-9-2012

Lucarini, V., Faranda, D., Turchetti, G. and Vaienti, S. (2012) Extreme value distribution for singular measures. Chaos, 22 (2). 023135. ISSN 1089-7682 doi: 10.1063/1.4718935

Lucarini, V., Fraedrich, K. and Lunkeiot, F. (2010) Thermodynamic analysis of snowball Earth hysteresis experiment: Efficiency, entropy production and irreversibility. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (646). pp. 2-11. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.543

Lucarini, V., Fraedrich, K. and Lunkeit, F. (2010) Thermodynamics of climate change: generalized sensitivities. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (20). pp. 9729-9737. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-9729-2010

Lucarini, V., Fraedrich, K. and Ragone, F. (2011) New results on the thermodynamical properties of the climate system. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (10). pp. 2438-2458. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3713.1

Lucarini, V., Kuna, T., Wouters, J. and Faranda, D. (2012) Relevance of sampling schemes in light of Ruelle's linear response theory. Nonlinearity, 25 (5). p. 1311. ISSN 1361-6544 doi: 10.1088/0951-7715/25/5/1311


Madan, P., Jagadish, S. V. K., Craufurd, P. Q., Fitzgerald, M., Lafarge, T. and Wheeler, T. R. (2012) Effect of elevated CO2 and high temperature on seed-set and grain quality of rice. Journal of Experimental Botany. ISSN 0022-0957 doi: 10.1093/jxb/ers077 (In Press)

Mahmood-ul-Hassan, M. and Gregory, P.J. (2008) The role of rainfall intensity and soil in determining rates of flow through cryoturbated chalk. Pakistan Journal of Scientific and Industrial Research, 51 (5). pp. 235-241. ISSN 0030-9885

Maidment, R. I., Grimes, D. I. F., Allan, R. P., Greatrex, H., Rojas, O. and Leo, O. (2013) Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda. Meteorological Applications, 20 (3). pp. 308-317. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1283

Mark, B., Harrison, S. P., Spessa, A., New, A., Evans, D. and Helmens, K. (2005) Tropical snowline changes at the last glacial maximum: A global assessment. Quaternary International (138-139). pp. 168-201. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: 10.1016/j.quaint.2005.02.012

Marlon, J. R., Bartlein, P. J., Daniau, A.-L., Harrison, S. P., Maezumi, S. Y., Power, M. J., Tinner, W. and Vanniere, B. (2013) Global biomass burning: a synthesis and review of Holocene paleofire records and their controls. Quaternary Science Reviews, 65. pp. 5-25. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.11.029

Martin Calvo, M., Prentice, I.C. and Harrison, S. P. (2014) Climate versus carbon dioxide controls on biomass burning: a model of the glacial-interglacial contrast. Biogeosciences Discussions, 11. pp. 2569-2593. ISSN 1810-6285 doi: 10.5194/bgd-11-2569-2014

McConnell, C. L., Formenti, P., Highwood, E. J. and Harrison, M. A. J. (2010) Using aircraft measurements to determine the refractive index of Saharan dust during the DODO Experiments. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (6). pp. 3081-3098. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-3081-2010

McMahon, S. M., Harrison, S. P., Armbruster, W. S., Bartlein, P. J., Beale, C. M., Edwards, M. E., Kattge, J., Midgley, G., Morin , X. and Prentice, I. C. (2011) Improving assessment and modelling of climate change impacts on global terrestrial biodiversity. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 26 (5). pp. 249-259. ISSN 0169-5347 doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2011.02.012

McMeeking, G., Hamburger, T., Liu, D., Flynn, M., Morgan, W., Northway, M., Highwood, E. J., Krejci, R., Allan, J., Minikin, A. and Coe, H. (2010) Black carbon measurements in the boundary layer over western and northern Europe. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9393-9414. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-9393-2010

Medici, C., Wade, A. J. and Frances, F. (2012) Does increased hydrochemical model complexity decrease robustness? Journal of Hydrology, 440-41. pp. 1-13. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.02.047

Meng, T.-T., Ni, J. and Harrison, S. P. (2009) Plant morphometric traits and climate gradients in northern China: a meta-analysis using quadrat and flora data. Annals of Botany, 104 (6). pp. 1217-1229. ISSN 1095-8290 doi: 10.1093/aob/mcp230

Miles, G.M., Grainger, R.G. and Highwood, E.J. (2004) The significance of volcanic eruption strength and frequency for climate. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 130 (602). pp. 2361-2376. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.03.60

Mitchell, D., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Gray, L. J. (2011) Characterising the variability and extremes of the stratospheric polar vortices using 2D moment analysis. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (6). pp. 1194-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3555.1

Mooney, S. D., Harrison, S. P., Bartlein, P. J. and Stevenson, J. (2012) The prehistory of fire in Australia. In: Bradstock, R. A., Gill, A. M. and Williams, R. J. (eds.) Flammable Australia, Fire Regimes, Biodiversity and Ecosystems in a Changing World. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood, Vic., pp. 3-26. ISBN 9780643104822

Mooney, S., Harrison, S. P., Bartlein, P. J., Daniai, A.-L., Stevenson, J., Brownlie, K., Buckman, S., Cupper, M., Luly, J., Black, M., Colhoun, E., D'Costa, D., Dodson, J., Haberle, S., Hope, G. S., Kershaw, P., Kenyon, C., McKenzie, M. and Williams, N. (2011) Late Quaternary fire regimes of Australasia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 30 (1-2). pp. 28-46. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.10.010

Morgan, W., Allan, J., Bower, K., Esselborn, M., Harris, B., Henzing, J., Highwood, E. J., Kiendler-Scharr, A., Mcmeeking, G., Mensah, A., Northway, M., Osborne, S., Williams, P., Krejci, R. and Coe, H. (2010) Enhancement of the aerosol direct radiative effect by semi-volatile aerosol components: airborne measurements in North-Western Europe. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (17). pp. 8251-8171. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-10-8151-2010

Mueller-Harvey, I. (2008) Sustainable farming practices for optimising the synthesis of natural and veterinary products. In: Scaife, J. R. and Vercoe, P. E. (eds.) Harvesting knowledge, pharming opportunities. British Society of Animal Science, pp. 21-34. ISBN 9780906562635

Myhre, G., Shine, K. P., Radel, G., Gauss, M., Isaksen, I.S.A., Tang, Q., Prather, M.J., Williams, J.E., van Velthoven, P., Dessens, O., Koffi, B., Szopa, S., Hoor, P., Grewe, V., Borken-Kleefeld, J., Berntsen, T.K. and Fuglestvedt, J.S. (2011) Radiative forcing due to changes in ozone and methane caused by the transport sector. Atmospheric Environment, 45. pp. 387-394. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2010.10.001


Ni, J., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Kutzbach, J. E. and Sitch, S. (2006) Impact of climate variability on present and Holocene vegetation: a model-based study. Ecological Modelling, 191 (3-4). pp. 469-486. ISSN 0304-3800 doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.05.019

Ni, J., Yu, G., Harrison, S. P. and Prentice, I. C. (2010) Palaeovegetation in China during the late Quaternary: Biome reconstructions based on a global scheme of plant functional types. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 289 (1-4). pp. 44-61. ISSN 0031-0182 doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.02.008

Nobert, S., Demeritt, D. and Cloke, H. (2010) Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 3 (1). pp. 72-79. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2009.01056.x


Oliver, K. I. C. and Tailleux, R. (2013) Thermobaric control of gravitational potential energy generation by diapycnal mixing in the deep ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2). pp. 327-331. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL054235

Osbahr, H., Dorward, P., Cooper, S. and Stern, R. (2011) Supporting agricultural innovation in Uganda to respond to climate risk: linking climate change and variability with farmer perceptions. Experimental Agriculture, 47 (2). pp. 293-316. ISSN 1469-4441 doi: 10.1017/S0014479710000785

Osborne, T., Rose, G. and Wheeler, T. (2013) Variation in the global-scale impacts of climate change on crop productivity due to climate model uncertainty and adaptation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 183-194. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.07.006

Osborne, T. M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2013) Evidence for a climate signal in trends of global crop yield variability over the past 50 years. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). 024001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024001

Osmaston, H. and Harrison, S. P. (2005) The Late Quaternary glaciation of Africa: A regional synthesis. Quaternary International (138-139). pp. 32-54. ISSN 1040-6182 doi: 10.1016/j.quaint.2005.02.005


Pacifico, F., Folberth, G.A., Jones, C.D., Harrison, S.P. and Collins, W.J. (2012) Sensitivity of biogenic isoprene emissions to past, present and future environmental conditions and implications for atmospheric chemistry. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D22). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD018276

Pacifico, F., Harrison, S. P., Jones, C. D. and Sitch, S. (2009) Isoprene emissions and climate. Atmospheric Environment, 43 (39). pp. 6121-6135. ISSN 1352-2310 doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.09.002

Pacifico, F., Harrison, S. P., Jones, C. D., Arneth, A., Sitch, S., Weedon, G., Barkley, M. P., Palmer, P. I., Serca, D., Potosnak, M., Fu, T.-M., Goldstein, A., Bai, J. and Schurgers, G. (2011) Evaluation of a photosynthesis-based biogenic isoprene emission scheme in JULES and simulation of isoprene emissions under present-day climate conditions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (9). pp. 4371-4389. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-11-4371-2011 (28311-28354)

Pappenberger, F., Bogner, K., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. L. and Thielen, J. (2011) Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 27-32. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-27-2011

Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G.-P. and Oki, T. (2010) Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system. International Journal of Climatology, 30. pp. 2155-2174. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2028

Parkes, B. L., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Neal, J. and Demeritt, D. (2013) Reducing inconsistencies in point observations of maximum flood inundation level. Earth Interactions, 17 (6). pp. 1-27. ISSN 1087-3562 doi: 10.1175/2012EI000475.1

Parry, M. L., Arnell, N. W., Berry, P., Dodman, D., Fankhauser, S., Hope, C., Kovats, S., Nicholls, R., Satterthwaite, D., Tiffin, R. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Assessing the costs of adaptation to climate change: a review of the UNFCCC and other recent estimates. International Institute for Environment and Development and Grantham Institute for Climate Change, London, pp111. ISBN 9781843697459

Parry, S., Hannaford, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B. and Prudhomme, C. (2012) Multi-year droughts in Europe: analysis of development and causes. Hydrology Research, 43 (5). pp. 689-703. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: 10.2166/nh.2012.024

Pawlocwicz, P., McDougall, T. J., Feistel, R. and Tailleux, R. (2012) An historical perspective on the development of the thermodynamic equation of seawater - 2010. Ocean Science, 8. pp. 161-174. ISSN 1812-0784

Pellikaan, W. F., Stringano, E., Leenaars, J., Bongers, D. J. G. M., Van Laar-Van Schuppen, S., Plant, J. and Mueller-Harvey, I. (2011) Evaluating the effects of tannins on the extent and rate of in vitro measured gas and methane production using the Automated Pressure Evaluation System (APES). Animal Feed Science and Technology, 166-167. pp. 377-390. ISSN 0377-8401 doi: 10.1016/j.anifeedsci.2011.04.072

Perez-Sanz, A., Li, G., González-Sampériz, P. and Harrison, S. P. (2013) Evaluation of seasonal climates of northern Africa and the Mediterranean in the CMIP5 simulations. Climate of the Past Discussions, 9. pp. 5347-5389. ISSN 1814-9359 doi: 10.5194/cpd-9-5347-2013

Pickett, E. J., Harrison, S. P., Hope, G., Harle, K., Dodson, J. R., Kershaw, A. P., Prentice, I. C., Backhouse, J., Colhoun, E. A., D'Costa, D., Flenley, J., Grindrod, J., Haberle, S., Hassell, C., Kenyon, C., Macphail, M., Martin, A. H., McKenzie, M., Newsome , J. C., Penny, D., Powell, J., Raine, J. I., Southern, W., Stevenson, J., Sutra, J. P., Thomas, I., van der Kaars, S. and Ward, J. (2004) Pollen-based reconstructions of biome distributions for Australia, Southeast Asia and the Pacific (SEAPAC region) at 0,6000 and 18,000 14C yr B.P. Journal of Biogeography, 31. pp. 1381-1444. ISSN 0305-0270

Polo, I., Dong, B. W. and Sutton, R. T. (2013) Changes in tropical Atlantic interannual variability from a substantial weakening of the meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1716-x

Polo, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Losada, T. and García-Serrano, J. (2008) Tropical Atlantic variability modes (1979–2002). Part I: Time-evolving SST modes related to West African rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (24). pp. 6457-6475. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2607.1

Polson, D., Hegerl, G. C., Allan, R. and Balan Sarojini, B. (2013) Have greenhouse gases intensified the contrast between wet and dry regions? Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (17). pp. 4783-4787. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/grl.50923

Poulter, B., Hattermann, F., Hawkins, E., Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Restrepo-Coupe, N., Heyder , U. and Cramer, W. (2010) Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology, 16 (9). pp. 2476-2495. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x

Power, M. J., Marlon, J. R., Bartlein, P. J. and Harrison, S. P. (2010) Fire history and the Global Charcoal Database: a new tool for hypothesis testing and data exploration. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 291 (1-2). pp. 52-59. ISSN 0031-0182 doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2009.09.014 (special issue, SI)

Power, M. J., Marlon, J., Ortiz, N., Bartlein, P. J., Harrison, S. P., Mayle, F. E., Ballouche, A. and Bradshaw, R. H. W. (2008) Changes in fire regimes since the Last Glacial Maximum: an assessment based on a global synthesis and analysis of charcoal data. Climate Dynamics, 30 (7-8). pp. 887-907. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0334-x

Pozzi, W., Sheffield, J., Stefanski, R., Cripe, D., Pulwarty, R., Vogt, J. V., Heim, R. R., Brewer, M. J., Svoboda, M., Westerhoff, R., Van Dijk, A. I.J.M., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Pappenberger, F., Werner, M., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F., Wagner, W., Schubert, S., Mo, K., Nicholson, M., Bettio, L., Nunez, L., van Beek, R., Bierkens, M., de Goncalves, L. G. G., de Mattos, J. G. Z. and Lawford, R. (2013) Towards global drought early warning capability: expanding international cooperation for the development of a framework for global drought monitoring and forecasting. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00176

Prentice, I. C. and Harrison, S. P. (2009) Ecosystem effects of CO2 concentration: evidence from past climates. Climate of the Past, 5 (3). pp. 297-307. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: 10.5194/cp-5-297-2009

Prentice, I. C., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Harrison, S. P., Hickler, T., Lucht, W., Sitch, S., Smith, B. and Sykes, M. T. (2007) Dynamic vegetation modelling: quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change. In: Canadell, J., Pitelka, L. F. and Pataki, D. (eds.) Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. Springer-Verlag, 175-192.

Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S. P. and Bartlein, P. J. (2011) Global vegetation and terrestrial carbon cycle changes after the last ice age. New Phytologist, 189 (4). pp. 988-998. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03620.x

Prentice, I. C., Kelley, D. I., Foster, P. N., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison, S. P. and Bartlein, P. J. (2011) Modelling fire and the terrestrial carbon balance. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 25 (3). GB3005. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: 10.1029/2010GB003906

Prentice, I. C., Meng, T., Wang, H., Harrison, S. P., Ni, J. and Wang, G. (2011) Evidence of a universal scaling relationship for leaf CO2 drawdown along an aridity gradient. New Phytologist, 190 (1). pp. 169-180. ISSN 1469-8137 doi: 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03579.x


Rankinen, K., Futter, M. N., Butterfield, D., Wade, A. J., Skeffington, R., Arvola, L., Veijalainen, N., Huttunen, I. and Lepisto, A. (2013) Controls on inorganic nitrogen leaching from Finnish catchments assessed using a sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the INCA-N model. Boreal Environment Research, 18 (5). pp. 373-386.

Rankou, H., Culham, A., Jury, S. L. and Christenhusz, M. J. M. (2013) The endemic flora of Morocco. Phytotaxa, 78 (1). pp. 1-69. ISSN 1179-3155 doi: 10.11646/phytotaxa.78.1.1

Ritson, J.P., Graham, N.J.D., Templeton, M.R., Clark, J.M., Gough, R. and Freeman, C. (2014) The impact of climate change on the treatability of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in upland water supplies: A UK perspective. Science of the Total Environment, 473-474. pp. 714-730. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.12.095

Roberts, N., Brayshaw, D., Kuzucuoğlu, C., Perez, R. and Sadori, L. (2011) The mid-Holocene climatic transition in the Mediterranean: causes and consequences. The Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 3-13. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610388058

Robson, J., Sutton, R., Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1


Sanchez Goni, M. F. and Harrison, S. P. (2010) Millennial-scale climate variability and vegetation changes during the last glacial: concepts and terminology. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29 (21-22). pp. 2823-2827. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.11.014 (Special issues, SI)

Schmidt, G. A., Annan, J. D., Bartlein, P. J., Cook, B. I., Guilyardi, E., Hargreaves, J. C., Harrison, S., Kageyama, M., Le Grande, A. N., Konecky, B., Lovejoy, S., Mann, M. E., Masson-Delmotte, V., Risi, C., Thompson, D., Timmermann, A., Tremblay, L.-B. and Yiou, Y. (2013) Using paleo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5. Climate of the Past, 9 (1). pp. 775-835. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: 10.5194/cpd-9-775-2013

Scholze, M., Allen, I., Collins, B., Cornell, S. E., Huntingford, C., Joshi, M., Lowe, J., Smith, R. and Wild, O. (2012) Earth system models: a tool to understand changes in the Earth system. In: Cornell, S.E., Prentice, I.C. and House, J.I. (eds.) Understanding the Earth system: global change science for application. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 129-159. ISBN 9781107009363

Scholze, M., Knorr, W., Arnell, N. W. and Prentice, I.C. (2006) A climate change risk analysis for world ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103 (35). pp. 13116-13120. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.0601816103

Sear, D.A. and Arnell, N. W. (2006) The application of palaeohydrology in river management. Catena, 66 (1-2). pp. 169-183. ISSN 0341-8162 doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2005.11.009

Semenov , M.A., Stratonovitch, P., Alghabari, F. and Gooding, M.J. (2014) Adapting wheat in Europe for climate change. Journal of Cereal Science. ISSN 0733-5210 (In Press)

Semenov, M. A. and Shewry, P. R. (2011) Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe. Scientific Reports, 1. 66. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: 10.1038/srep00066

Shabdin, Z., Culham, A., Simpson, D. A. and Meekiong, K. (2013) Mapania multiflora, a distinctive new species of Cyperaceae (Mapanioideae) from Borneo. Kew Bulletin. ISSN 0075-5974 doi: 10.1007/s12225-013-9474-9

Shahgedanova, M., Hagg, W., Hassell, D., Stokes, C. R. and Popovnin, V. (2009) Climate change, glacier retreat, and water availability in the Caucasus region. In: Jones, J. A. A., Vardanian , T. G. and Hakopian, C. (eds.) Threats to global water security. NATO science for peace and security series C: environmental security . Springer, pp. 131-143. ISBN 9789048123445 doi: 10.1007/978-90-481-2344-5

Shahgedanova, M., Kutuzov, S., White, K. and Nosenko, G. (2012) Using the significant dust deposition event on the glaciers of Mt. Elbrus, Caucasus Mountains, Russia on 5 May 2009 to develop a method for dating and provenancing of desert dust events recorded in snow pack. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, 12. pp. 24437-24467. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: 10.5194/acpd-12-24437-2012

Shahgedanova, M., Kutuzov, S., White, K. H. and Nosenko, G. (2013) Using the significant dust deposition event on the glaciers of Mt. Elbrus, Caucasus Mountains, Russia on 5 May 2009 to develop a method for dating and "provenancing" of desert dust events recorded in snow pack. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13. pp. 1797-1808. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-13-1797-2013

Shahgedanova, M., Nosenko, G., Bushueva, I. and Ivanov, M. (2012) Changes in area and geodetic mass balance of small glaciers, polar Urals, Russia, 1950-2008. Journal of Glaciology, 58 (211). pp. 953-964. ISSN 0022-1430 doi: 10.3189/2012JoG11J233

Shahgedanova, M., Nosenko, G., Khromova, T. and Muraveyev, A. (2010) Glacier shrinkage and climatic change in the Russian Altai from the mid-20th century: An assessment using remote sensing and PRECIS regional climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D16107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: 10.1029/2009JD012976

Shahgedanova, M., Popovnin, V., Aleynikov, A. and Stokes, C. R. (2011) Geodetic mass balance of Azarova glacier, Kodar Mountains, eastern Siberia, and its links to observed and projected climatic change. Annals of Glaciology, 52 (58). pp. 129-137. ISSN 1727-5644

Shaw, M. W. and Osborne, T. M. (2011) Geographic distribution of plant pathogens in response to climate change. Plant Pathology, 60 (1). pp. 31-43. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02407.x

Shin, S. I., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B., Brady, E. C., Kutzbach, J. E. and Harrison, S. P. (2003) A simulation of the last glacial maximum climate using the NCAR-CCSM. Climate Dynamics, 20. pp. 127-151. ISSN 0930-7575

Simelton, E., Fraser, E. D. G., Termansen, M., Benton, T. G., Gosling, S. N., South, A., Arnell, N. W., Challinor, A. J., Dougill, A. J. and Forster, P. M. (2012) The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought. Food Security, 4 (2). pp. 163-179. ISSN 1876-4517 doi: 10.1007/s12571-012-0173-4

Simpson, D. A., Yesson, C., Culham, A., Couch, C. A. and Muasya, A. M. (2011) Climate change and Cyperaceae. In: Hodkinson, T., Jones, M., Waldren, S. and Parnell, J. (eds.) Climate change, ecology and systematics. Cambridge University Press, pp. 439-456. ISBN 9780521766098 (Chapter 19)

Sinha, R., Smykatz-Kloss, W., Stuben, D., Harrison, S. P., Berner, Z. and Kramer, U. (2006) Late Quaternary palaeoclimatic reconstruction from the lacustrine sediments of the Sambhar playa core. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 233 (3-4). pp. 252-270. ISSN 0031-0182 doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2005.09.012

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Guemas, V., Hawkins, E., Hazeleger, W., Hermanson, L., Ho, C. K., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Lean, J., Matei, D., Merryfield, W. J., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Rosati, A., Wouters, B. and Wyser, K. (2013) Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (11-12). pp. 2875-2888. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0

Smith, P. and Gregory, P. J. (2013) Climate change and sustainable food production. Proceedings of the Nutrition Society, 72 (1). pp. 21-28. ISSN 0029-6651 doi: 10.1017/S0029665112002832

Smith, S., Wade, A., Black, E., Brayshaw, D., Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Souvignet, M., Laux, P., Freer, J., Cloke, H., Thinh, D. Q., Thuc, T., Cullmann, J., Nauditt, A., Flugel, W.-A., Kunstmann, H. and Ribbe, L. (2013) Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9693

Steinmeyer, F.T., Lukac, M., Reynolds, M.P. and Jones, H. (2013) Quantifying the relationship between temperature regulation in the ear and floret development stage in wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) under heat and drought stress. Functional Plant Biology. ISSN 1445-4408 (In Press)

Stokes, C.R., Shahgedanova, M., Evans, I.S. and Popovnin, V.V. (2013) Accelerated loss of alpine glaciers in the Kodar Mountains, south-eastern Siberia. Global and Planetary Change, 101. pp. 82-96. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.12.010

Stott, P., Good, P., Jones, G., Gillett, N. and Hawkins, E. (2013) The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (1). 014024. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014024


Tailleux, R. (2013) Available potential energy and exergy in stratified fluids. Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics, 45. pp. 35-58. ISSN 1545-4479 doi: 10.1146/annurev-fluid-011212-140620

Tailleux, R. (2013) Available potential energy density for a multicomponent Boussinesq fluid with arbitrary nonlinear equation of state. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics. ISSN 0022-1120 (In Press)

Tailleux, R. (2013) Irreversible compressible work and APE dissipation in turbulent stratified fluid. Physica Scripta, T155. 014033. ISSN 1402-4896 doi: 10.1088/0031-8949/2013/T155/014033

Tailleux, R. (2012) On the generalized eigenvalue problem for the Rossby wave vertical velocity in the presence of mean flow and topography. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42 (6). pp. 1045-1050. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-12-010.1

Tailleux, R. (2012) Thermodynamics/dynamics coupling in weakly compressible turbulent stratified fluids. ISRN Thermodynamics, 2012. 609701. ISSN 2090-5211 doi: 10.5402/2012/609701

Tailleux, R. G. J. (2010) Entropy versus APE production: on the buoyancy power input in the oceans energy cycle. Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L22603. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL044962

Tailleux, R.G.J. (2010) Identifying and quantifying nonconservative energy production/destruction terms in hydrostatic Boussinesq primitive equation models. Ocean Modelling, 34 (3-4). pp. 125-136. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.05.003

Tang, R., Clark, J. M., Bond, T., Graham, N., Hughes, D. and Freeman, C. (2013) Assessment of potential climate change impacts on peatland dissolved organic carbon release and drinking water treatment from laboratory experiments. Environmental Pollution, 173. pp. 270-277. ISSN 0269-7491 doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2012.09.022

Tegen, I., Werner, M., Harrison, S. P. and Kohfeld, K. E. (2004) Relative importance of climate and land use in determining present and future global soil dust emission. Geophysical Research Letters, 31 (5). L05105. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2003GL019216

Teixeira, M.A.C. and Belcher, S. E. (2010) On the structure of Langmuir turbulence. Ocean modelling, 31 (3-4). pp. 105-119. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2009.10.007

Theodoridou, K., Aufrere, J., Andueza, D., Pourrat, J., Le Morvan, A., Stringano, E., Mueller-Harvey, I. and Baumont, R. (2010) The effect of condensed tannins in fresh sainfoin (Onobrychis viciifolia) on in vivo and in situ digestion in sheep. Animal Feed Science and Technology, 160 (1-2). pp. 23-38. ISSN 0377-8401 doi: 10.1016/j.anifeedsci.2010.06.007

Thonicke, K., Spessa, A., Prentice, I. C., Harrison, S. P., Dong, L. and Carmona-Moreno, C. (2010) The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model. Biogeosciences, 7 (6). pp. 1991-2011. ISSN 1726-4170

Tisseuil, C., Vrac, M., Grenouillet, G., Wade, A. J., Gevrey, M., Oberdorff, T., Grodwohl, J.-B. and Lek, S. (2012) Strengthening the link between climate, hydrological and species distribution modeling to assess the impacts of climate change on freshwater biodiversity. Science of the Total Environment, 424. pp. 193-201. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2012.02.035

Todd, M., Taylor, R., Osborn, T., Kingston, D., Arnell, N. and Gosling, S. (2011) Uncertainty in climate change impacts on basin-scale freshwater resources – preface to the special issue: the QUEST-GSI methodology and synthesis of results. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 1035-1046. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-15-1035-2011

Tompkins, E.L., Adger, W.N., Boyd, E., Nicholson-Cole, S., Weatherhead, K. and Arnell, N. (2010) Observed adaptation to climate change: UK evidence of transition to a well-adapting society. Global Environmental Change, 20 (4). pp. 627-635. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.05.001

Turner, A. G. and Hannachi, A. (2010) Is there regime behavior in monsoon convection in the late 20th century? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L16706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL044159


Underwood, F. M. (2013) Describing seasonal variability in the distribution of daily effective temperatures for 1985-2009 compared to 1904-1984 for De Bilt, Holland. Meteorological Applications, 20 (4). pp. 394-404. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1297


Vavrus, S. and Harrison, S. P. (2003) The impact of sea ice dynamics on the Arctic climate system. Climate Dynamics, 20 (7-8). pp. 741-757. ISSN 0930-7575

Vitolo, R., Ruti, P. M., Dell'Aquila, A., Felici, M., Lucarini, V. and Speranza, A. (2009) Accessing extremes of mid-latitudinal wave activity: methodology and application. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 61 (1). pp. 35-49. ISSN 0280-6495

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Arnell, N., Barker, T., Criqui, P., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2011) The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 21 (2). pp. 575-591. ISSN 0959-3780 doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.003

van Vuuren, D. P., Isaac, M., Kundzewicz, Z., Arnell, N. , Barker, T., Criqui, P., Bauer, N., Berkhout, F., Hilderink, H., Hinkel, J., Hof, A., Kitous, A., Kram, T., Mechler, R. and Scrieciu, S. (2010) Scenarios as the basis for assessment of mitigation and adaptation. In: Hulme, M. and Neufeldt, H. (eds.) Making Climate Change Work For Us. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 54-86. ISBN 9780521119412

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van den Bosch, F., Fraaije, B. A., van den Berg, F. and Shaw, M. W. (2010) Evolutionary bi-stability in pathogen transmission mode. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 277. pp. 1735-1742. ISSN 1471-2954 doi: 10.1098/rspb.2009.2211


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This list was generated on Sun Apr 20 01:41:26 2014 BST.

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