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Jump to: A hybrid levitator for atmospheric science: an unexplored tool to probe physics and chemistry of model systems for particulate matter in the atmosphere | A modeling study of the impact of meso-scale air sea interactions over the Gulf Stream on weather and climate | A scalable dynamical core for Next Generation Weather and Climate Prediction - Phase 2 | A simplified and robust gut model for assessing health risks from soil pollutants - FOLLOW ON FUNDING | APPOSITE: Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal to Inter-annual Timescales. | AVOID - Avoiding dangerous climate change through stabilising greenhouse gas concentrations | Adaptive Mesh Modelling of the Global Atmosphere | Advanced Climate Technology Urban Atmospheric Laboratory (ACTUAL) | Advanced Tools for Exposure Assessment and Biomonitoring (A-TEAM) | Airborne monitoring of space weather and radioactivity | Arctic Research Programme: identifying uncertainties in arctic climate prediction | Assessing Ensemble Flood Forecasts at the Key Spatial and Temporal Scales | Astronomy and Astrophysics | AtmosFOAM parallel scaling on HECToR and New Test Cases which expose Grid Scale Oscillations | Atmosphere to ocean momentum transfer by sea ice | Attributing impacts of external climate drivers on extreme weather in Africa | Building Resilience Amongst Communities in Europe (emBRACE) | Building understanding of climate variability into planning of groundwater supplies from low storage aquifers in Africa - Second Phase (BRAVE2) | Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling | Charged Particle Effects on Clouds | ClearfLo: Clean Air for London | Climate Model Initialisation and Improvement using Particle Filters CLIMIP | Cloud System Resolving Modelling of the Tropical Atmosphere | DYNamics and predictability of the Atlantic Meridonal Overturning and Climate (DYNAMOC) | Developing enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputs | Developing enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputs - ADDITIONAL FUNDS | Diabatic influences on mesoscale structures in extratropical storms | Diagnosing Earth's Energy Pathways in the Climate System (DEEP-C) | Dispersion of localised releases in a street network (DIPLOS) | Doctoral Training Grant (DTG) to provide funding for 7 PhD studentship(s) | Doctoral Training Grant (DTG) to provide funding for 8 PhD studentships | Driving Space Weather Forecasts with Real Data | Dynamical and microphysical evolution of convective storms (DYMECS) | Dynamics-aerosol-chemistry-cloud interactions in West Africa (DACCIWA) | ECLIPSE: Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-Lived Pollutants | ERror Growth in Operational Data Initialised Coupled Systems (ERGODICS) | Earthworm secreted calcite granules - constructing a new terrestrial palaeo-environment thermometer and quantifying carbon sequestration potential | Evaluation and parameterisation of individual-based models of animal populations | Exploiting multi-wavelength radar Doppler spectra to characterise the microphysics of ice hydrometeors | Extratropical Climate Change in the Upper Troposphere and the Routing of Aircraft (EXTRA) | FFIR Programme Co-ordination | FUSE: Floodplain Underground SEnsors - A high-density, wireless, underground Sensor Network to quantify floodplain hydro-ecological interactions | Fennec - the Saharan Climate System - ESSC | Fundamental influences of large-scale wave dynamics on tropical weather systems | Genomic approaches to inference of population history and multi species community assembly | Global Observatory of Lake Responses to Environmental Change (GloboLakes) | Global Scale Impacts of Climate Change: A Multi-Spectral Analysis | Global scale impacts of climate change: a multi-sectoral analysis | High density temperature measurements within the urban environment (HiTemp) | Historical Ocean Surface Temperatures: Adjustment, Charcterisation and Evaluation (HOSTACE) | Hybrid data assimilation for coupled atmosphere-ocean models | HydroOlogical cYcle Understanding via Process-bAsed GlObal Detection, Attribution and prediction (horyuji PAGODA) - ADDITIONAL FUNDS | Hydrological extremes and feedbacks in the changing water cycle | IMPETUS: Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making | INFLAME - Indoor Contamination with Flame Retardant Chemicals: Causes and Impacts | Impact of Spatio-Climatic Variability on Environment-Hosted Land based Renewables: Microclimates | Impact of soil chemistry and diet on rates of calcite production by the earthworm Lumbricus rubellus | Improving simple climate models through a traceable and process-based analysis of aocean heat uptake in AOGCMs and observations | Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa (HyCRISTAL) | Integration activity linking DIAMET, DEMON and TEMPEST: Linking physical processes to storm structure in weather and climate prediction models | Interaction of Convective Organization and Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea (INCOMPASS) | Joint Climate Research Project (2 x 3 year posts at Reading) | KTP / Willis | Looking inside the continents from space: insights into earthquake hazard and crustal deformation | Measuring incipient lava dome collapse | Model human digestive system for the determination of bioaccessibility of environmental pollutants. | More Operational Radiosonde SEnsors (MORSE) | Moving meshes for Global Atmospheric Modelling | NCAS CMS 2010/11 | NCAS CMS 2011/12 | NCAS CMS 2012/13 | NCAS CMS 2013/14 | NCAS CMS 2015/16 | NCAS Climate 2014/15 | NCAS Weather 2014/15 | NCAS: Climate | NCAS: Weather 2013/14 | NCEO - Mission Support - Reading - Gurney | NCEO - Year 1 | NCEO - Year 5 | NCEO Phase 2 | NCEO Year 6 | NCEO Year 7 | Next generation Numerical Weather Prediction: 4DVar ensembles and Particle Filters | Novel technologies for in situ environmental monitoring: linking sensor development to improved pollutant transport models | Nucleation and ageing of aerosol particles generated in the reactions of ozone with selected terpenes | PRESTO (PREcipitation STructures over Orography | Predicting the Climate of the Coming Decade | Probability, Uncertainty and Risk in the Environment | Projected Responses of Extreme Precipitation and Atmospheric Radiative Energy (PREPARE) | RAPID - Risk Assessment, Probability and Impacts Team (RAPIT) | Reading solar system science | Realistic sea ice melt in climate models using field observations and theory | Reanalysis of the AMOC | Satellite data for weather index insurance: scaling out (SatWIN-Scale) | Seasonal-to-decadal climate Prediction for the improvement of European Climate Services (SPECS) | South American Biomass Burning Analysis (SAMBBA) | South Asian Precipitation: a SEamless Assessment - SAPRISE | Stochastic Parameterization of Deep Convection in Short-Range Ensemble Weather Forecasts | Stratospheric Network for the Assessment of Predictability (SNAP) | Studying airborne atmospheric aerosol in an ultrasonic trap | Susceptibility of catchments to Intense rainfall and flooding (SINATRA) | TEMPEST: Testing and Evaluating Model Predictions of European Storms | The Africa Climate Exchange (ACX) | The Development of a Local Urban Climate Model and its Application to the Intelligent Development of Cities (LUCID) 16/1/8 Subcontract with ARUP | The Environment of the Arctic: Climate Ocean and Sea Ice (TEA-COSI) | The Multi-Scale Response of Water Quality, Biodiversity and C Sequestration to Coupled Macronutrient Cycling from Source to Sea | The Organization of Tropical Rainfall | The future of the Indian monsoon - Fellowship | The role of air-sea interactions on sub-seasonal and seasonal variability (RAISINS) | Transformation and Resilience on Urban Coasts | Transitions Between Suppressed and Active Convection Coupled to Large-Scale Tropical Circulations | Treatment of model bias in coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation | URBan ANthrpogenic heat FLUX from Earth observation Satellites (URBANFLUXES) | Understanding energetic particle effects on atmospheric processes | Value of the Rapid array for climate predictions (VALOR) | iSTAR-D: The contribution to sea-level rise from the Amundsen Sea sector of Antarctica
Number of items: 359.

A hybrid levitator for atmospheric science: an unexplored tool to probe physics and chemistry of model systems for particulate matter in the atmosphere

Pfrang, C., Rastogi, K., Cabrera-Martinez, E. R., Seddon, A. M., Dicko, C., Labrador, A., Plivelic, T. C., Cowieson, N. and Squires, A. M. (2017) Complex three–dimensional self-assembly in proxies for atmospheric aerosols. Nature Communications, 8. 1724. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-01918-1

A modeling study of the impact of meso-scale air sea interactions over the Gulf Stream on weather and climate

Vanniere, B., Czaja, A. and Dacre, H. (2017) Contribution of the cold sector of extratropical cyclones to mean state features in winter. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (705). pp. 1990-2000. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3058

Vannière, B., Czaja, A., Dacre, H. and Woollings, T. (2017) A “cold path” for the Gulf Stream–troposphere connection. Journal of Climate, 30 (4). pp. 1363-1379. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0749.1

Vanniere, B., Czaja, A., Dacre, H., Woollings, T. and Parfitt, R. (2016) A potential vorticity signature for the cold sector of winter extratropical cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 432-442. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2662

A scalable dynamical core for Next Generation Weather and Climate Prediction - Phase 2

Chen, Y., Weller, H., Pring, S. and Shaw, J. (2017) Comparison of dimensionally-split and multi-dimensional atmospheric transport schemes for long time-steps. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (708). pp. 2764-2779. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3125

Weller, H. and Shahrokhi, A. (2014) Curl free pressure gradients over orography in a solution of the fully compressible Euler equations with implicit treatment of acoustic and gravity waves. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (12). pp. 4439-4457. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00054.1

Weller, H., Browne, P., Budd, C. and Cullen, M. (2016) Mesh adaptation on the sphere using optimal transport and the numerical solution of a Monge-Ampère type equation. Journal of Computational Physics, 308. pp. 102-123. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2015.12.018

A simplified and robust gut model for assessing health risks from soil pollutants - FOLLOW ON FUNDING

Collins, C., Craggs, M., Garcia-Alcega, S., Kademoglou, K. and Lowe, S. (2015) Towards a unified approach for the determination of the bioaccessibility of organic pollutants. Environment International, 78. pp. 24-31. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2015.02.005

APPOSITE: Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal to Inter-annual Timescales.

Jung, T., Gordon, N. D., Bauer, P., Bromwich, D. H., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Dawson, J., Doblas-Reyes, F., Fairall, C., Goessling, H. F., Holland, M., Inoue, J., Iversen, T., Klebe, S., Lemke, P., Losch, M., Makshtas, A., Mills, B., Nurmi, P., Perovich, D., Reid, P., Renfrew, I. A., Smith, G., Svensson, G., Tolstykh, M. and Yang, Q. (2016) Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (9). pp. 1631-1647. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00246.1

Goessling, H. F., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Hawkins, E. and Jung, T. (2016) Predictability of the Arctic sea ice edge. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (4). pp. 1642-1650. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067232

Guemas, V., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D. and Tietsche, S. (2016) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 546-561. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2401

Hawkins, E., Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Melia, N., Haines, K. and Keeley, S. (2016) Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 672-683. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2643

Melia, N., Haines, K. and Hawkins, E. (2015) Improved Arctic sea-ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations. The Cryosphere, 9 (6). pp. 2237-2251. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-2237-2015

Jung, T., Bauer, P., Goessling, H. F., Gordon, N., Klebe, S., Bromwich, D. H., Doblas-Reyes, F., Day, J. J., Fairall, C. W., Holland, M., Iverson, T., Lemke, P., Mills, B., Nurmi, P., Perovich, D. K., Reid, P., Renfrew, I., Smith, G., Svensson, G. and Tolstykh, M. (2015) The WWRP Polar Prediction Project (PPP). In: Brunet, G., Jones, S. and Ruti, P. (eds.) Seamless prediction of the Earth system: from minutes to months. WMO, 1156. World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva, pp. 371-384. ISBN 9789263111562

Day, J., Hawkins, E. and Tietsche, S. (2014) Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill? Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (21). pp. 7566-7575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061694

Day, J. J., Tietsche, S. and Hawkins, E. (2014) Pan-Arctic and regional sea ice predictability: initialization month dependence. Journal of Climate, 27 (12). pp. 4371-4390. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00614.1

Tietsche, S., Day, J.J., Guemas, V., Hurlin, W. J., Keeley, S.P.E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Collins, M. and Hawkins, E. (2014) Seasonal to interannual Arctic sea-ice predictability in current GCMs. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (3). pp. 1035-1043. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058755

Clifford, D. and Day, J. (2013) Impact of Northern Hemisphere snow on the Arctic Ocean in a climate model. In: Proceedings of Earth Observation and Cryosphere Science : 13-16 November 2012, Frascati, Italy. European Space Agency. ISBN 9789292212766

Holmes, C. R., Woollings, T., Hawkins, E. and de Vries, H. (2016) Robust future changes in temperature variability under greenhouse gas forcing and the relationship with thermal advection. Journal of Climate, 29 (6). pp. 2221-2236. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00735.1

Tietsche, S., Hawkins, E. and Day, J. J. (2016) Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 331-346. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E. and Jahn, A. (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2483

AVOID - Avoiding dangerous climate change through stabilising greenhouse gas concentrations

Arnell, N. and Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios. Climatic Change, 122 (1-2). pp. 127-140. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0948-4

Adaptive Mesh Modelling of the Global Atmosphere

Weller, H. and Shahrokhi, A. (2014) Curl free pressure gradients over orography in a solution of the fully compressible Euler equations with implicit treatment of acoustic and gravity waves. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (12). pp. 4439-4457. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00054.1

Weller, H. (2013) Non-orthogonal version of the arbitrary polygonal C-grid and a new diamond grid. Geoscientific Model Development, 7. pp. 779-797. ISSN 1991-959X doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-779-2014

Weller, H., Browne, P., Budd, C. and Cullen, M. (2016) Mesh adaptation on the sphere using optimal transport and the numerical solution of a Monge-Ampère type equation. Journal of Computational Physics, 308. pp. 102-123. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2015.12.018

Advanced Climate Technology Urban Atmospheric Laboratory (ACTUAL)

Barlow, J. F. (2014) Progress in observing and modelling the urban boundary layer. Urban Climate, 10 (2). pp. 216-240. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2014.03.011

Advanced Tools for Exposure Assessment and Biomonitoring (A-TEAM)

Collins, C., Craggs, M., Garcia-Alcega, S., Kademoglou, K. and Lowe, S. (2015) Towards a unified approach for the determination of the bioaccessibility of organic pollutants. Environment International, 78. pp. 24-31. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2015.02.005

Airborne monitoring of space weather and radioactivity

Yaniv, R., Yair, Y., Price, C., Nicoll, K., Harrison, G., Artamonov, A. and Usoskin, I. (2016) Balloon measurements of the vertical ionization profile over southern Israel and comparison to mid-latitude observations. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 149. pp. 87-92. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2016.10.003

Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Stratiform cloud electrification: comparison of theory with multiple in-cloud measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (700). pp. 2679-2691. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2858

Nicoll, K. A., Harrison, R. G., Silva, H. G., Salgado, R., Melgao, M. and Bortoli, D. (2018) Electrical sensing of the dynamical structure of the planetary boundary layer. Atmospheric Research, 202. pp. 81-95. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.11.009

Arctic Research Programme: identifying uncertainties in arctic climate prediction

Petrie, R. E., Shaffrey, L. C. and Sutton, R. T. (2015) Atmospheric impact of Arctic Sea ice loss in a coupled ocean–atmosphere simulation. Journal of Climate, 28 (24). pp. 9606-9622. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0316.1

Petrie, R. E., Shaffrey, L. C. and Sutton, R. T. (2015) Atmospheric response in summer linked to recent Arctic sea ice loss. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (691). pp. 2070-2076. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2502 (Part B)

Assessing Ensemble Flood Forecasts at the Key Spatial and Temporal Scales

Stephens, E., Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066779

Astronomy and Astrophysics

Owens, M. J., McCracken, K. G., Lockwood, M. and Barnard, L. (2015) The heliospheric Hale cycle over the last 300 years and its implications for a “lost” late 18th century solar cycle. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 5. A30. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2015032

AtmosFOAM parallel scaling on HECToR and New Test Cases which expose Grid Scale Oscillations

Lock, S.-J., Wood, N. and Weller, H. (2014) Numerical analyses of Runge–Kutta implicit–explicit schemes for horizontally explicit, vertically implicit solutions of atmospheric models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1654-1669. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2246

Atmosphere to ocean momentum transfer by sea ice

Martin, T., Tsamados, M., Schroeder, D. and Feltham, D. (2016) The impact of variable sea ice roughness on changes in Arctic Ocean surface stress: a model study. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121 (3). pp. 1931-1952. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011186

Attributing impacts of external climate drivers on extreme weather in Africa

Parker, H. L., Boyd, E., Cornforth, R., James, R., Frederike, O. and Myles, A. (2017) Stakeholder perceptions of event attribution in the loss and damage debate. Climate Policy, 17 (4). pp. 533-550. ISSN 1469-3062 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2015.1124750

Otto, F., Boyd, E., Jones, R., Cornforth, R., James, R., Parker, H. L. and Allen, M. (2015) Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: A preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications. Climatic Change, 132 (4). pp. 531-543. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1432-0

Parker, H. R., Cornforth, R., Boyd, E., James, R., Otto, F. E. L. and Allen, M. R. (2015) Implications of event attribution for loss and damage policy. Weather, 70 (9). pp. 268-273. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2542

James, R., Otto, F., Parker, H., Boyd, E., Cornforth, R., Mitchell, D. and Allen, M. (2014) Characterising loss and damage from climate change. Nature Climate Change, 4 (11). pp. 938-939. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2411

Building Resilience Amongst Communities in Europe (emBRACE)

Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C. and Kotthaus, S. (2015) How is urbanization altering local and regional climate? In: Seto, K. C., Solecki, W. D. and Griffith, C. A. (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of Urbanization and Global Environmental Change. Routledge. ISBN 9780415732260

Building understanding of climate variability into planning of groundwater supplies from low storage aquifers in Africa - Second Phase (BRAVE2)

Jones, L., Harvey, B., Cochrane, L., Cantin, B., Conway, D., Cornforth, R., De Souza, K. and Kirbyshire, A. (2017) Designing the next generation of climate adaptation research for development. Regional Environmental Change. ISSN 1436-378X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1254-x

Brown, M., Black, E., Asfaw, D. and Otu-Larbi, F. (2017) Monitoring drought in Ghana using TAMSAT-ALERT: a new decision support system. Weather, 72 (7). pp. 201-205. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3033

Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling

Lecomte, O., Fichefet, T., Flocco, D., Schroeder, D. and Vancoppenolle, M. (2015) Interactions between wind-blown snow redistribution and melt ponds in a coupled ocean–sea ice model. Ocean Modelling, 87. pp. 67-80. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.12.003

Charged Particle Effects on Clouds

Yaniv, R., Yair, Y., Price, C., Nicoll, K., Harrison, G., Artamonov, A. and Usoskin, I. (2016) Balloon measurements of the vertical ionization profile over southern Israel and comparison to mid-latitude observations. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 149. pp. 87-92. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2016.10.003

Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Stratiform cloud electrification: comparison of theory with multiple in-cloud measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (700). pp. 2679-2691. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2858

Nicoll, K. A., Harrison, R. G., Silva, H. G., Salgado, R., Melgao, M. and Bortoli, D. (2018) Electrical sensing of the dynamical structure of the planetary boundary layer. Atmospheric Research, 202. pp. 81-95. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.11.009

ClearfLo: Clean Air for London

Barlow, J. F. (2014) Progress in observing and modelling the urban boundary layer. Urban Climate, 10 (2). pp. 216-240. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2014.03.011

Helfter, C., Tremper, A. H., Halios, C. H., Kotthaus, S., Bjorkegren, A., Grimmond, C. S. B., Barlow, J. F. and Nemitz, E. (2016) Spatial and temporal variability of urban fluxes of methane, carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide above London, UK. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (16). pp. 10543-10557. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-10543-2016

Visser, S., Slowik, J. G., Furger, M., Zotter, P., Bukowiecki, N., Dressler, R., Flechsig, U., Appel, K., Green, D. C., Tremper, A. H., Young, D. E., Williams, P. I., Allan, J. D., Herndon, S. C., Williams, L. R., Mohr, C., Xu, L., Ng, N. L., Detournay, A., Barlow, J. F., Halios, C. H., Fleming, Z. L., Baltensperger, U. and Prévôt, A. S. H. (2015) Kerb and urban increment of highly time-resolved trace elements in PM10, PM2.5 and PM1.0 winter aerosol in London during ClearfLo 2012. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (5). pp. 2367-2386. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-2367-2015

Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2014) Energy exchange in a dense urban environment Part II: impact of spatial heterogeneity of the surface. Urban Climate, 10 (2). pp. 281-307. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2013.10.001

Kotthaus, S., Smith, T. E.L., Wooster, M. J. and Grimmond, C. S. B. (2014) Derivation of an urban materials spectral library through emittance and reflectance spectroscopy. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 94. pp. 194-212. ISSN 0924-2716 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2014.05.005

Lindberg, F., Grimmond, C. S. B., Yogeswaran, N., Kotthaus, S. and Allen, L. (2013) Impact of city changes and weather on anthropogenic heat flux in Europe 1995–2015. Urban Climate, 4. pp. 1-15. ISSN 2212-0955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2013.03.002

Hunt, J. C., Timoshkina, Y. V., Bohnenstengel, S. I. and Belcher, S. (2013) Implications of climate change for expanding cities worldwide. Proceedings of the ICE - Urban Design and Planning, 166 (4). 241 -254 . ISSN 1755-0807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1680/udap.10.00062

Bohnenstengel, S. I., Hamilton, I., Davies, M. and Belcher, S. E. (2013) Impact of anthropogenic heat emissions on London's temperatures. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (679). pp. 687-698. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2144

Crawford, B., Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C., Morrison, W. and Kotthaus, S. (2017) Spatial and temporal patterns of surface-atmosphere energy exchange in a dense urban environment using scintillometry. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703). pp. 817-833. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2967

Climate Model Initialisation and Improvement using Particle Filters CLIMIP

Browne, P. A. and Wilson, S. (2015) A simple method for integrating a complex model into an ensemble data assimilation system using MPI. Environmental Modelling & Software, 68. pp. 122-128. ISSN 1364-8152 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.02.003

Browne, P. A. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2015) Twin experiments with the equivalent weights particle filter and HadCM3. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2621

Goodliff, M., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2015) Comparing hybrid data assimilation methods on the Lorenz 1963 model with increasing nonlinearity. Tellus A, 67. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v67.26928

Cloud System Resolving Modelling of the Tropical Atmosphere

Stein, T. H. M., Parker, D. J., Hogan, R. J., Birch, C., Holloway, C. E., Lister, G., Marsham, J. H. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) The representation of the West-African Monsoon vertical cloud structure in the Met Office Unified Model: an evaluation with CloudSat. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2614

Holloway, C. E., Woolnough, S. J. and Lister, G. M. S. (2015) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part II: Processes leading to differences in MJO development. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (7). pp. 2719-2743. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0308.1

Holloway, C. E. and Woolnough, S. J. (2016) The sensitivity of convective aggregation to diabatic processes in idealized radiative-convective equilibrium simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 166-195. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000511

Tobin, I., Bony, S., Holloway, C. E., Grandpeix, J.-Y., Seze, G., Coppin, D., Woolnough, S. J. and Roca, R. (2013) Does convective aggregation need to be represented in cumulus parameterizations? Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5 (4). pp. 692-703. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jame.20047

DYNamics and predictability of the Atlantic Meridonal Overturning and Climate (DYNAMOC)

Ortega, P., Robson, J., Sutton, R. T. and Andrews, M. B. (2017) Mechanisms of decadal variability in the Labrador Sea and the wider North Atlantic in a high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics, 49 (7-8). pp. 2625-2647. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3467-y

Yeager, S. G. and Robson, J. I. (2017) Recent progress in understanding and predicting Atlantic decadal climate variability. Current Climate Change Reports, 3 (2). pp. 112-127. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0064-z

Zhang, R., Sutton, R., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf1660

Robson, J., Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2727

Robson, J., Polo, I., Hodson, D. L. R., Stevens, D. P. and Shaffrey, L. C. (2017) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2

Developing enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputs

Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 59 (3). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3

Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 59 (3). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3

Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2015) The potential of flood forecasting using a variable-resolution global Digital Terrain Model and flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Frontiers in Earth Science, 3. 43. ISSN 2296-6463 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2015.00043

Developing enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputs - ADDITIONAL FUNDS

Neal, J. C., Odoni, N. A., Trigg, M. A., Freer, J. E., Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D., Wood, M. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Efficient incorporation of channel cross-section geometry uncertainty into regional and global scale flood inundation models. Journal of Hydrology, 529. pp. 169-183. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.07.026

Champion, A. J. and Hodges, K. (2014) Importance of resolution and model configuration when downscaling extreme precipitation. Tellus A, 66. 23993. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.23993

Mason, D., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Dance, S. (2014) Improving flood inundation monitoring and modelling using remotely sensed data. Civil Engineering Surveyor. pp. 34-37.

Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D., Dance, S. L., Cloke, H., Neal, J. C., Freer, J. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Satellite-supported flood forecasting in river networks: a real case study. Journal of Hydrology, 523. pp. 706-724. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.084

Diabatic influences on mesoscale structures in extratropical storms

Harvey, B., Methven, J., Eagle, C. and Lean, H. (2017) Does the representation of flow structure and turbulence at a cold front converge on multi-scale observations with model resolution? Monthly Weather Review, 145 (11). pp. 4345-4363. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0479.1

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Gray, S. L. and Methven, J. (2016) Diabatic processes and the evolution of two contrasting summer extratropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (9). pp. 3251-3276. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0395.1

Swinbank, R., Kyouda, M., Buchanan, P., Froude, L., Hamill, T. M., Hewson, T. D., Keller, J. H., Matsueda, M., Methven, J., Pappenberger, F., Scheuerer, M., Titley, H. A., Wilson, L. and Yamaguchi, M. (2016) The TIGGE project and its achievements. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (1). pp. 49-67. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00191.1

Plant, R. S. and Martinez-Alvarado, O. (2015) Spectral and bulk mass-flux representations. In: Plant, R. S. and Yano, J.-I. (eds.) Parameterization of atmospheric convection. Vol 1. Theoretical background and formulation. Series on the science of climate change. World Scientific, Imperial College Press, London, pp. 249-272. ISBN 9781783266906

Bannister, R. (2015) How is the balance of a forecast ensemble affected by adaptive and non-adaptive localization schemes? Monthly Weather Review, 143 (9). pp. 3680-3699. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00379.1

Frame, T. H. A., Methven, J., Roberts, N. M. and Titley, H. A. (2015) Predictability of frontal waves and cyclones. Weather and Forecasting, 30 (5). pp. 1291-1302. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0039.1

Chagnon, J. M. and Gray, S. L. (2015) A diabatically-generated potential vorticity structure near the extratropical tropopause in three simulated extratropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 143 (6). pp. 2337-2347. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00092.1

Methven, J. (2015) Potential vorticity in warm conveyor belt outflow. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1065-1071. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2393

Vaughan, G., Methven, J., Anderson, D., Antonescu, B., Baker, L., Baker, T. P., Ballard, S. P., Bower, K. N., Brown, P. R. A., Chagnon, J., Choularton, T. W., Chylik, J., Connolly, P. J., Cook, P. A., Cotton, R. J., Crosier, J., Dearden, C., Dorsey, J. R., Frame, T. H. A., Gallagher, M. W., Goodliff, M., Gray, S. L., Harvey, B. J., Knippertz, P., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Lloyd, G., Martinez-Alvarado, O., Nicol, J., Norris, J., Öström, E., Owen, J., Parker, D. J., Plant, R. S., Renfrew, I. A., Roberts, N. M., Rosenberg, P., Rudd, A. C., Schultz, D. M., Taylor, J. P., Trzeciak, T., Tubbs, R., Vance, A. K., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Wellpott, A. and Woolley, A. (2015) Cloud banding and winds in intense European cyclones: results from the DIAMET project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (2). pp. 249-265. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00238.1

Martinez-Alvarado, O., Baker, L. H., Gray, S. L., Methven, J. and Plant, R. S. (2014) Distinguishing the cold conveyor belt and sting jet air streams in an intense extratropical cyclone. Monthly Weather Review, 142 (8). pp. 2571-2595. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00348.1

Martinez-Alvarado, O. and Plant, R. S. (2014) Parameterised diabatic processes in numerical simulations of an extratropical cyclone. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1742-1755. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2254

Martinez-Alvarado, O. (2014) Implications of model error for numerical climate prediction. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, 1 (1). pp. 131-153. ISSN 2198-5634 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npgd-1-131-2014

Baker, L., Rudd, A., Migliorini, S. and Bannister, R. (2014) Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 21. pp. 19-39. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-21-19-2014 (special issue 'Ensemble methods in geophysical sciences')

Gray, S. L., Dunning, C. M., Methven, J., Masato, G. and Chagnon, J. M. (2014) Systematic model forecast error in Rossby wave structure. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (8). pp. 2979-2987. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059282

Harvey, B. J., Methven, J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2016) Rossby wave propagation on potential vorticity fronts with finite width. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 794. pp. 775-797. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2016.180

Diagnosing Earth's Energy Pathways in the Climate System (DEEP-C)

Liu, C., Allan, R. P., Mayer, M., Hyder, P., Loeb, N. G., Roberts, C. D., Valdivieso, M., Edwards, J. M. and Vidale, P. L. (2017) Evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based global net surface energy flux and uncertainty estimates. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122 (12). pp. 6250-6272. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD026616

Liu, C., Allan, R. P., Berrisford, P., Mayer, M., Hyder, P., Loeb, N., Smith, D., Vidale, P.-L. and Edwards, J. M. (2015) Combining satellite observations and reanalysis energy transports to estimate global net surface energy fluxes 1985-2012. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120 (18). pp. 9374-9389. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD023264

Smith, D. M., Allan, R., Coward, A. C., Eade, R., Hyder, P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, C. D. and Scaife, A. A. (2015) Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1205-1213. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062669

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Loeb, N. G., Palmer, M. D., Roberts, M., Smith, D. and Vidale, P.-L. (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (15). pp. 5588-5597. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060962

Loeb, N. G., Wang, H., Cheng, A., Kato, S., Fasullo, J. T., Xu, K.-M. and Allan, R. (2016) Observational constraints on atmospheric and oceanic cross-equatorial heat transports: revisiting the precipitation asymmetry problem in climate models. Climate Dynamics, 46 (9-10). pp. 3239-3257. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z

MacIntosh, C. R., Allan, R. P., Baker, L. H., Bellouin, N., Collins, W., Mousavi, Z. and Shine, K. P. (2016) Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3). pp. 1263-1271. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067231

Dispersion of localised releases in a street network (DIPLOS)

Goulart, E. V., Coceal, O., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2016) Spatial and temporal variability of the concentration field from localized releases in a regular building array. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 159 (2). pp. 241-257. ISSN 1573-1472 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-016-0126-0

Doctoral Training Grant (DTG) to provide funding for 7 PhD studentship(s)

Glinton, M. R., Gray, S. L., Chagnon, J. M. and Morcrette, C. J. (2017) Modulation of precipitation by conditional symmetric instability release. Atmospheric Research, 185. pp. 186-201. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.10.013

Keat, W. J., Westbrook, C. D. and Illingworth, A. J. (2016) High-precision measurements of the co-polar correlation coefficient: non-Gaussian errors and retrieval of the dispersion parameter µ in rainfall. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 55 (7). pp. 1615-1632. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0272.1

Doctoral Training Grant (DTG) to provide funding for 8 PhD studentships

Shaw, J., Weller, H., Methven, J. and Davies, T. (2017) Multidimensional method-of-lines transport for atmospheric flows over steep terrain using arbitrary meshes. Journal of Computational Physics, 344. pp. 86-107. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JCP.2017.04.061

Hayer, C. S., Wadge, G., Edmonds, M. and Christopher, T. (2016) Sensitivity of OMI SO2 measurements to variable eruptive behaviour at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 312. pp. 1-10. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2016.01.014

Driving Space Weather Forecasts with Real Data

Tucker-Hood, K., Scott, C., Owens, M., Jackson, D., Barnard, L., Davies, J. A., Crothers, S., Lintott, C., Simpson, R., Savani, N. P., Wilkinson, J., Harder, B., Eriksson, G. M., Baeten, E. M. L. and Wan Wah, L. L. (2015) Validation of a priori CME arrival predictions made using real-time heliospheric imager observations. Space Weather, 13 (1). pp. 35-48. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014SW001106

Lockwood, M., Nevanlinna, H., Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. and Scott, C. J. (2014) Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 4: Near-Earth solar wind speed, IMF, and open solar flux. Annales Geophysicae, 32 (4). pp. 383-399. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-32-383-2014

Lockwood, M., Nevanlinna, H., Vokhmyanin, M., Ponyavin, D., Sokolov, S., Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. and Scott, C. J. (2014) Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 3: improved representation of solar cycle 11. Annales Geophysicae, 32 (4). pp. 367-381. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-32-367-2014

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. and Barnard, L. (2014) Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux and streamer belt width: 1. correction of the sunspot number record since 1874. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 (7). pp. 5172-5182. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA019970

Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. and Barnard, L. (2014) Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux and streamer belt width: 2. Comparison with the geomagnetic data. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 (7). pp. 5183-5192. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA019972

Lockwood, M. and Owens, M. J. (2014) Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux and streamer belt width: 3. Modelling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 119 (7). pp. 5193-5209. ISSN 2169-9402 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JA019973

Barnard, L., Scott, C.J., Owens, M., Lockwood, M., Crothers, S. R., Davies, J. A. and Harrison, R. A. (2015) Differences between the CME fronts tracked by an expert, an automated algorithm, and the Solar Stormwatch project. Space Weather, 13 (10). pp. 709-725. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015SW001280

Owens, M. J., McCracken, K. G., Lockwood, M. and Barnard, L. (2015) The heliospheric Hale cycle over the last 300 years and its implications for a “lost” late 18th century solar cycle. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 5. A30. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2015032

Dynamical and microphysical evolution of convective storms (DYMECS)

Stein, T., Hogan, R., Clark, P., Halliwell, C., Hanley, K., Lean, H., Nicol, J. and Plant, R. S. (2015) The DYMECS project: a statistical approach for the evaluation of convective storms in high-resolution NWP models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (6). pp. 939-951. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00279.1

Dynamics-aerosol-chemistry-cloud interactions in West Africa (DACCIWA)

Dunning, C. M., Black, E. C. L. and Allan, R. P. (2016) The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (19). pp. 11405-11424. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025428

ECLIPSE: Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-Lived Pollutants

MacIntosh, C. R., Allan, R. P., Baker, L. H., Bellouin, N., Collins, W., Mousavi, Z. and Shine, K. P. (2016) Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (3). pp. 1263-1271. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL067231

ERror Growth in Operational Data Initialised Coupled Systems (ERGODICS)

Mulholland, D. P., Haines, K., Sparrow, S. N. and Wallom, D. (2017) Climate model forecast biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 49 (5-6). pp. 1729-1746. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3407-x

Earthworm secreted calcite granules - constructing a new terrestrial palaeo-environment thermometer and quantifying carbon sequestration potential

Versteegh, E. A. A., Black, S. and Hodson, M. E. (2017) Carbon isotope fractionation between amorphous calcium carbonate and calcite in earthworm-produced calcium carbonate. Applied Geochemistry, 78. pp. 351-356. ISSN 0883-2927 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeochem.2017.01.017

Versteegh, E. A. A., Black, S. and Hodson, M. E. (2014) Environmental controls on the production of calcium carbonate by earthworms. Soil Biology & Biochemistry, 70. pp. 159-161. ISSN 0038-0717 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2013.12.013

Hodson, M., Black, S., Brinza, L., Carpenter, D., Lambkin, D., Mosselmans, F., Palumbo-Roe, B., Schofield, P., Sizmur, T. and Versteegh, E. (2014) Biology as an agent of chemical and mineralogical change in soil. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science, 10. pp. 114-117. ISSN 1878-5220 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeps.2014.08.039

Evaluation and parameterisation of individual-based models of animal populations

van der Vaart, E., Johnston, A. S. A. and Sibly, R. M. (2016) Predicting how many animals will be where: how to build, calibrate and evaluate individual-based models. Ecological Modelling, 326. pp. 113-123. ISSN 0304-3800 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.08.012

van der Vaart, E., Beaumont, M. A., Johnston, A. S. A. and Sibly, R. M. (2015) Calibration and evaluation of individual-based models using Approximate Bayesian Computation. Ecological Modelling, 312. pp. 182-190. ISSN 0304-3800 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.05.020

Exploiting multi-wavelength radar Doppler spectra to characterise the microphysics of ice hydrometeors

Stein, T. H. M., Westbrook, C. D. and Nicol, J. (2015) Fractal geometry of aggregate snowflakes revealed by triple wavelength radar measurements. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (1). pp. 176-183. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062170

Extratropical Climate Change in the Upper Troposphere and the Routing of Aircraft (EXTRA)

Irvine, E. A., Shine, K. P. and Stringer, M. A. (2016) What are the implications of climate change for trans-Atlantic aircraft routing and flight time? Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 47. pp. 44-53. ISSN 1361-9209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2016.04.014

Irvine, E. A. and Shine, K. P. (2015) Ice supersaturation and the potential for contrail formation in a changing climate. Earth System Dynamics, 6 (2). pp. 555-568. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-555-2015

FFIR Programme Co-ordination

Flack, D. L. A., Gray, S. L., Plant, R. S., Lean, H. W. and Craig, G. C. (2017) Convective-scale perturbation growth across the spectrum of convective regimes. Monthly Weather Review. ISSN 0027-0644 (In Press)

Fowler, A., Dance, S. and Waller, J. (2017) On the interaction of observation and prior error correlations in data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3183 (In Press)

Waller, J. A., Simonin, D., Dance, S. L., Nichols, N. K. and Ballard, S. P. (2016) Diagnosing observation error correlations for Doppler radar radial winds in the Met Office UKV model using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (10). pp. 3533-3551. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0340.1

Waller, J. A., Ballard, S. P., Dance, S. L., Kelly, G., Nichols, N. K. and Simonin, D. (2016) Diagnosing horizontal and inter-channel observation error correlations for SEVIRI observations using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Remote Sensing, 8 (7). 851. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8070581

Flack, D. L. A., Plant, R. S., Gray, S. L., Lean, H. W., Keil, C. and Craig, G. C. (2016) Characterisation of convective regimes over the British Isles. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (696). pp. 1541-1553. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2758

Waller, J. A., Dance, S. L. and Nichols, N. K. (2016) Theoretical insight into diagnosing observation error correlations using observation-minus-background and observation-minus-analysis statistics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 418-431. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2661

FUSE: Floodplain Underground SEnsors - A high-density, wireless, underground Sensor Network to quantify floodplain hydro-ecological interactions

Punalekar, S., Verhoef, A., Tatarenko, I. V. , van der Tol, C., Macdonald, D. M. J. , Marchant, B., Gerard, F., White, K. and Gowing, D. (2016) Characterization of a highly biodiverse floodplain meadow using hyperspectral remote sensing within a plant functional trait framework. Remote Sensing, 8 (2). 112. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8020112

Fennec - the Saharan Climate System - ESSC

Ryder, C., McQuaid, J., Flamant, C., Rosenberg, P., Washington, R., Brindley, H., Highwood, E., Marsham, J., Parker, D., Todd, M., Banks, J., Brooke, J., Engelstaedter, S., Estelles, V., Formenti, P., Garcia-Carreras, L., Kocha, C., Marenco, F., Sodemann, H., Allen, C., Bourdon, A., Bart, M., Cavazos-Guerra, C., Chevaillier, S., Crosier, J., Darbyshire, E., Dean, A., Dorsey, J., Kent, J., O'Sullivan, D., Schepanski, K., Szpek, K., Trembath, J. and Woolley, A. (2015) Advances in understanding mineral dust and boundary layer processes over the Sahara from Fennec aircraft observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (14). pp. 8479-8520. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-8479-2015

Rosenberg, P. D., Parker, D. J., Ryder, C., Marsham, J. H., Garcia-Carreras, L., Dorsey, J. R., Brooks, I. M., Dean, A. R., Crosier, J., McQuaid, J. B. and Washington, R. (2014) Quantifying particle size and turbulent scale dependence of dust uplift in the Sahara using aircraft measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research, 119 (12). pp. 7577-7598. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JD021255

Fundamental influences of large-scale wave dynamics on tropical weather systems

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G.-Y. (2016) The longitudinal variation of equatorial waves due to propagation on a varying zonal flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73 (2). pp. 605-620. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0167.1

Yang, G.-Y. and Hoskins, B. J. (2016) ENSO related variation of equatorial MRG and Rossby waves and forcing from higher latitudes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (699). pp. 2488-2504. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2842

Genomic approaches to inference of population history and multi species community assembly

Darwell, C. T. and Cook, J. M. (2017) Cryptic diversity in a fig wasp community-morphologically differentiated species are sympatric but cryptic species are parapatric. Molecular Ecology, 26 (3). pp. 937-950. ISSN 1365-294X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.13985

Global Observatory of Lake Responses to Environmental Change (GloboLakes)

Politi, E., MacCallum, S., Cutler, M. E. J., Merchant, C. J., Rowan, J. S. and Dawson, T. P. (2016) Selection of a network of large lakes and reservoirs suitable for global environmental change analysis using Earth Observation. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 37 (13). pp. 3042-3060. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2016.1192702

Global Scale Impacts of Climate Change: A Multi-Spectral Analysis

Arnell, N. and Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2013) The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios. Climatic Change, 122 (1-2). pp. 127-140. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0948-4

Global scale impacts of climate change: a multi-sectoral analysis

Arnell, N. (2016) The global-scale impacts of climate change: the QUEST-GSI project. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 343-352. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1600-x

High density temperature measurements within the urban environment (HiTemp)

Chapman, L., Muller, C. L., Young, D. T., Warren, E. L., Grimmond, C. S. B., Cai, X.-M. and Ferranti, E. J. S. (2015) The Birmingham Urban Climate Laboratory: an open meteorological test bed and challenges of the smart city. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (9). pp. 1545-1560. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00193.1

Chapman, L., Muller, C. L., Young, D. T., Warren, E. L., Grimmond, C. S. B., Cai, X.-M. and Ferranti, E. J. S. (2015) The Birmingham Urban Climate Laboratory: an open meteorological test bed and challenges of the smart city. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (9). pp. 1545-1560. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00193.1

Historical Ocean Surface Temperatures: Adjustment, Charcterisation and Evaluation (HOSTACE)

Kent, E. C., Kennedy, J. J., Smith, T. M., Hirahara, S., Huang, B., Kaplan, A., Parker, D. E., Atkinson, C. P., Berry, D. I., Carella, G., Fukuda, Y., Ishii, M., Jones, P. D., Lindgren, F., Merchant, C. J., Morak-Bozzo, S., Rayner, N. A., Venema, V., Yasui, S. and Zhang, H.-M. (2017) A call for new approaches to quantifying biases in observations of sea-surface temperature. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8). pp. 1601-1616. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00251.1

Carella, G., Morris, A. K. R., Pascal, R. W., Yelland, M. J., Berry, D. I., Morak-Bozzo, S., Merchant, C. J. and Kent, E. C. (2017) Measurements and models of the temperature change of water samples in Sea Surface Temperature buckets. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (706). pp. 2198-2209. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3078

Morak-Bozzo, S., Merchant, C. J., Kent, E. C., Berry, D. I. and Carella, G. (2016) Climatological diurnal variability in sea surface temperature characterized from drifting buoy data. Geoscience Data Journal, 3 (1). pp. 20-28. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.35

Hybrid data assimilation for coupled atmosphere-ocean models

Smith, P. J., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. (2017) Treating sample covariances for use in strongly coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 0094-8276 (In Press)

Smith, P. J., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. (2017) Estimating forecast error covariances for strongly coupled atmosphere-ocean 4D-Var data assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 145 (10). pp. 4011-4035. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0284.1

HydroOlogical cYcle Understanding via Process-bAsed GlObal Detection, Attribution and prediction (horyuji PAGODA) - ADDITIONAL FUNDS

Balan Sarojini, B., Stott, P. A. and Black, E. (2016) Detection and attribution of human influence on regional precipitation. Nature Climate Change, 6 (7). pp. 669-675. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2976

Allan, R. P. (2014) Climate change: dichotomy of drought and deluge. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 700-701. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2243

Polson, D., Hegerl, G. C., Allan, R. and Balan Sarojini, B. (2013) Have greenhouse gases intensified the contrast between wet and dry regions? Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (17). pp. 4783-4787. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50923

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

Hydrological extremes and feedbacks in the changing water cycle

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

IMPETUS: Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making

Robson, J., Polo, I., Hodson, D. L. R., Stevens, D. P. and Shaffrey, L. C. (2017) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2

Kennedy, D., Parker, T., Woollings, T., Harvey, B. and Shaffrey, L. (2016) The response of high-impact blocking weather systems to climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (13). pp. 7250-7258. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069725

Macleod, D. A., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 79-90. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2631

INFLAME - Indoor Contamination with Flame Retardant Chemicals: Causes and Impacts

Collins, C., Craggs, M., Garcia-Alcega, S., Kademoglou, K. and Lowe, S. (2015) Towards a unified approach for the determination of the bioaccessibility of organic pollutants. Environment International, 78. pp. 24-31. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2015.02.005

Impact of Spatio-Climatic Variability on Environment-Hosted Land based Renewables: Microclimates

Zachary, S., Dent, C. J. and Brayshaw, D. (2011) Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand. In: Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE, 24-29 July 2011, San DIego, CA, USA, pp. 1-8.

Impact of soil chemistry and diet on rates of calcite production by the earthworm Lumbricus rubellus

Hodson, M., Black, S., Brinza, L., Carpenter, D., Lambkin, D., Mosselmans, F., Palumbo-Roe, B., Schofield, P., Sizmur, T. and Versteegh, E. (2014) Biology as an agent of chemical and mineralogical change in soil. Procedia Earth and Planetary Science, 10. pp. 114-117. ISSN 1878-5220 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeps.2014.08.039

Improving simple climate models through a traceable and process-based analysis of aocean heat uptake in AOGCMs and observations

Tailleux, R. (2016) Generalised patched potential density and thermodynamic neutral density: two new physically-based quasi-neutral density variables for ocean water masses analyses and circulation studies. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46 (12). pp. 3571-3584. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-16-0072.1

Tailleux, R. (2015) Observational and energetics constraints on the non-conservation of potential/Conservative Temperature and implications for ocean modelling. Ocean Modelling, 88. pp. 26-37. ISSN 1463-5003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.02.001

Saenz, J. A., Tailleux, R., Butler, E. D., Hughes, G. O. and Oliver, K. I. C. (2015) Estimating Lorenz's reference state in an ocean with a nonlinear equation of state for seawater. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 45 (5). pp. 1242-1257. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-14-0105.1

Huber, M., Tailleux, R., Ferreira, D., Kuhlbrodt, T. and Gregory, J. (2015) A traceable physical calibration of the vertical advection-diffusion equation for modelling ocean heat uptake. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (7). pp. 2333-2341. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063383

Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa (HyCRISTAL)

Jones, L., Harvey, B., Cochrane, L., Cantin, B., Conway, D., Cornforth, R., De Souza, K. and Kirbyshire, A. (2017) Designing the next generation of climate adaptation research for development. Regional Environmental Change. ISSN 1436-378X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1254-x

Crisp, N. and Cornforth, R. (2016) Climate change and resilience in the Great Lakes region of Africa. In: One World Health: An Overview of Global Health. CRC Press, London, pp. 107-109. ISBN 9781498739412

Integration activity linking DIAMET, DEMON and TEMPEST: Linking physical processes to storm structure in weather and climate prediction models

Pearson, K. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Methven, J. and Hodges, K. I. (2014) Can a climate model reproduce extreme regional precipitation events over England and Wales? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1466-1472. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2428

Interaction of Convective Organization and Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea (INCOMPASS)

Rai, P., Joshi, M., Dimri, A. P. and Turner, A. (2017) The role of potential vorticity anomalies in the Somali Jet on Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal variability. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3865-9

Hunt, K. M. and Turner, A. G. (2017) The effect of soil moisture perturbations on Indian Monsoon Depressions in a numerical weather prediction model. Journal of Climate. ISSN 1520-0442 (In Press)

Willetts, P. D., Turner, A. G., Martin, G. M., Mrudula, G., Hunt, K. M., Parker, D. J., Taylor, C. M., Birch, C. E., Mitra, A. K., Heming, J. T. and Brooks, M. E. (2017) The 2015 Indian summer monsoon onset - phenomena, forecasting and research flight planning. Weather, 72 (6). pp. 168-175. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2819

Joint Climate Research Project (2 x 3 year posts at Reading)

Johnson, S. J., Levine, R. C., Turner, A. G., Martin, G. M., Woolnough, S. J., Schiemann, R., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Demory, M.-E. and Strachan, J. (2016) The resolution sensitivity of the South Asian monsoon and Indo-Pacific in a global 0.35◦ AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 46 (3-4). pp. 807-831. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2614-1

Schiemann, R., Demory, M.-E., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J., Vidale, P. L., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Matsueda, M., Wehner, M. F. and Jung, T. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere blocking in four 25-km atmospheric global circulation models. Journal of Climate, 30 (1). pp. 337-358. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0100.1

Ogata, T., Johnson, S. J., Schiemann, R., Demory, M.-E., Mizuta, R., Yoshida, K. and Arakawa, O. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of the Asian summer monsoon and its inter-model comparison between MRI-AGCM and MetUM. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3517-5

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2371

KTP / Willis

Schiemann, R., Demory, M.-E., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J., Vidale, P. L., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Matsueda, M., Wehner, M. F. and Jung, T. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere blocking in four 25-km atmospheric global circulation models. Journal of Climate, 30 (1). pp. 337-358. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0100.1

Looking inside the continents from space: insights into earthquake hazard and crustal deformation

Wadge, G., Biggs, J., Lloyd, R. and Kendall, J.-M. (2016) Historical volcanism and the state of stress in the East African Rift System. Frontiers in Earth Science, 4. 86. ISSN 2296-6463 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2016.00086

Measuring incipient lava dome collapse

Hayer, C. S., Wadge, G., Edmonds, M. and Christopher, T. (2016) Sensitivity of OMI SO2 measurements to variable eruptive behaviour at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 312. pp. 1-10. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2016.01.014

Model human digestive system for the determination of bioaccessibility of environmental pollutants.

Collins, C., Craggs, M., Garcia-Alcega, S., Kademoglou, K. and Lowe, S. (2015) Towards a unified approach for the determination of the bioaccessibility of organic pollutants. Environment International, 78. pp. 24-31. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2015.02.005

More Operational Radiosonde SEnsors (MORSE)

Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Stratiform cloud electrification: comparison of theory with multiple in-cloud measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (700). pp. 2679-2691. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2858

Nicoll, K. A., Harrison, R. G., Silva, H. G., Salgado, R., Melgao, M. and Bortoli, D. (2018) Electrical sensing of the dynamical structure of the planetary boundary layer. Atmospheric Research, 202. pp. 81-95. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.11.009

Moving meshes for Global Atmospheric Modelling

Weller, H., Browne, P., Budd, C. and Cullen, M. (2016) Mesh adaptation on the sphere using optimal transport and the numerical solution of a Monge-Ampère type equation. Journal of Computational Physics, 308. pp. 102-123. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2015.12.018

NCAS CMS 2010/11

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D., Robson, J., Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E., Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T., Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

NCAS CMS 2011/12

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D., Robson, J., Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E., Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T., Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

NCAS CMS 2012/13

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D., Robson, J., Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E., Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T., Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

NCAS CMS 2013/14

Watson-Parris, D., Schutgens, N., Cook, N., Kipling, Z., Kershaw, P., Gryspeerdt, E., Lawrence, B. and Stier, P. (2016) Community Intercomparison Suite (CIS) v1.4.0: a tool for intercomparing models and observations. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (9). pp. 3093-3110. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3093-2016

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D., Robson, J., Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E., Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T., Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

NCAS CMS 2015/16

Jones, M., Blower, J., Lawrence, B. and Osprey, A. (2016) Investigating read performance of Python and NetCDF when using HPC parallel filesystems. In: Taufer, M. , Mohr, B. and Kunkel, J. M. (eds.) High Performance Computing. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 9945. Springer International Publishing, Cham, Switzerland, pp. 153-168. ISBN 9783319460789 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-46079-6_12

NCAS Climate 2014/15

Dunning, C. M., Black, E. C. L. and Allan, R. P. (2016) The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (19). pp. 11405-11424. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025428

Hoskins, B. J. and Yang, G.-Y. (2016) The longitudinal variation of equatorial waves due to propagation on a varying zonal flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73 (2). pp. 605-620. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0167.1

Schiemann, R., Demory, M.-E., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J., Vidale, P. L., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Matsueda, M., Wehner, M. F. and Jung, T. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere blocking in four 25-km atmospheric global circulation models. Journal of Climate, 30 (1). pp. 337-358. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0100.1

Ogata, T., Johnson, S. J., Schiemann, R., Demory, M.-E., Mizuta, R., Yoshida, K. and Arakawa, O. (2017) The resolution sensitivity of the Asian summer monsoon and its inter-model comparison between MRI-AGCM and MetUM. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3517-5

Jackson, L. C., Smith, R. S. and Wood, R. A. (2017) Ocean and atmosphere feedbacks affecting AMOC hysteresis in a GCM. Climate Dynamics, 49 (1-2). pp. 173-191. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3336-8

Joshi, M., von Glasow, R., Smith, R. S., Paxton, C. G.M., Maycock, A. C., Lunt, D. J., Loptson, C. and Markwick, P. (2017) Global warming and ocean stratification: a potential result of large extraterrestrial impacts. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (8). pp. 3841-3848. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073330

Klingaman, N. P., Jiang, X., Xavier, P. K., Petch, J., Waliser, D. and Woolnough, S. J. (2017) Vertical structure and diabatic processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation. In: Chang, C.-P., Kuo, H.-C., Lau, N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Wheeler, M. C. (eds.) Global Monsoon System: Research and Forecast (3rd Edition). World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate, 9. World Scientific, New Jersey, pp. 161-172. ISBN 9789813200906 doi: https://doi.org/10.1142/10305

Fang, Y., Wu, P., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Wu, T., Li, B., Vidale, P. L., Demory, M.-E. and Schiemann, R. (2017) High-resolution simulation of the boreal summer intra-seasonal oscillation in Met Office unified model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (702). pp. 362-373. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2927

Leroux, S., Bellon, G., Roehrig, R., Caian, M., Klingaman, N. P., Lafore, J.-P., Musat, I., Rio, C. and Tyteca, S. (2016) Inter-model comparison of sub-seasonal tropical variability in aquaplanet experimets: effect of a warm pool. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (4). pp. 1526-1551. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000683

Zhang, L., Wu, P., Zhou, T., Roberts, M. J. and Schiemann, R. (2016) Added value of high resolution models in simulating global precipitation characteristics. Atmospheric Science Letters, 17 (12). pp. 646-657. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.715

Pookkandy, B., Dommenget, D., Klingaman, N., Wales, S., Chung, C., Frauen, C. and Wolff, H. (2016) The role of local atmospheric forcing on the modulation of the ocean mixed layer depth in reanalysis and a coupled single column ocean model. Climate Dynamics, 47 (9-10). pp. 2991-3010. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3009-7

Zhang, W., Li, H., Stuecker, M. F., Jin, F.-F. and Turner, A. (2016) A new understanding of El Niño's impact over East Asia: dominance of the ENSO combination mode. Journal of Climate, 29 (12). pp. 4347-4359. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0104.1

Vellinga, M., Roberts, M., Vidale, P. L., Mizielinski, M. S., Demory, M.-E., Schiemann, R., Strachan, J. and Bain, C. (2016) Sahel decadal rainfall variability and the role of model horizontal resolution. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (1). pp. 326-333. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066690

Liu, X., Guo, Q., Guo, Z., Yin, Z.-Y., Dong, B. and Smith, R. (2015) Where were the monsoon regions and arid zones in Asia prior to the Tibetan Plateau uplift? National Science Review, 2 (4). pp. 403-416. ISSN 2053-714X doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/nsr/nwv068

Burgess, M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme cold winters in the UK. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 211-217. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2476

Klingaman, N. and Woolnough, S. (2014) The role of air–sea coupling in the simulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation in the Hadley Centre model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (684). pp. 2272-2286. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2295

Vanniere, B., Guilyardi, E., Toniazzo, T., Madec, G. and Woolnough, S. (2014) A systematic approach to identify the sources of tropical SST errors in coupled models using the adjustment of initialised experiments. Climate Dynamics, 43 (7-8). pp. 2261-2282. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2051-6

King, A. D., Klingaman, N. P., Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Jourdain, N. C. and Maher, P. (2014) Extreme rainfall variability in Australia: Patterns, drivers and predictability. Journal of Climate, 27 (15). pp. 6035-6050. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00715.1

Yang, G.-Y. and Hoskins, B. J. (2016) ENSO related variation of equatorial MRG and Rossby waves and forcing from higher latitudes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (699). pp. 2488-2504. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2842

Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F. and Turner, A. G. (2015) Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20). pp. 8570-8576. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065703

Kumar, S., Allan, R. P., Zwiers, F., Lawrence, D. M. and Dirmeyer, P. A. (2016) Revisiting trends in wetness and dryness in the presence of internal climate variability and water limitations over land. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24). 10,867-10,875. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066858

DeMott, C. A., Benedict, J. J., Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J. and Randall, D. A. (2016) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the MJO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (14). pp. 8350-8373. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025098

DeMott, C. A., Klingaman, N. P. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000478

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D., Robson, J., Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E., Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T., Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

NCAS Weather 2014/15

Harvey, B. J., Methven, J. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2016) Rossby wave propagation on potential vorticity fronts with finite width. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 794. pp. 775-797. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2016.180

Coceal, O., Goulart, E. V., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2014) Flow structure and near-field dispersion in arrays of building-like obstacles. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 125. pp. 52-68. ISSN 0167-6105 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2013.11.013

Goulart, E. V., Coceal, O., Branford, S., Thomas, T. G. and Belcher, S. E. (2016) Spatial and temporal variability of the concentration field from localized releases in a regular building array. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 159 (2). pp. 241-257. ISSN 1573-1472 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-016-0126-0

NCAS: Climate

Woollings, T., Franzke, C., Hodson, D. L. R., Dong, B., Barnes, E. A., Raible, C. C. and Pinto, J. G. (2015) Contrasting interannual and multidecadal NAO variability. Climate Dynamics, 45 (1-2). pp. 539-556. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2237-y

Hodson, D. L. R., Robson, J. I. and Sutton, R. T. (2014) An anatomy of the cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean in the 1960s and 1970s. Journal of Climate, 27 (21). pp. 8229-8243. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00301.1

NCAS: Weather 2013/14

Weijenborg, C., Chagnon, J. M., Friederichs, P., Gray, S. L. and Hense, A. (2017) Coherent evolution of potential vorticity anomalies associated with deep moist convection. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (704). pp. 1254-1267. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3000

NCEO - Mission Support - Reading - Gurney

Woodage, M. and Woodward, S. (2014) U.K. HiGEM: impacts of desert dust radiative forcing in a high-resolution atmospheric GCM. Journal Of Climate, 27 (15). pp. 5907-5928. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00556.1

NCEO - Year 1

Bannister, R. N. (2010) The role of balance in data assimilation. In: Fitt, A. D., Norbury, J., Ockendon, H. and Wilson, E. (eds.) Progress in Industrial Mathematics at ECMI 2008. Mathematics in Industry (15). Springer, pp. 393-399. ISBN 9783642121098

NCEO - Year 5

Bingham, R. J., Haines, K. and Lea, D. (2015) A comparison of GOCE and drifter-based estimates of the North Atlantic steady-state surface circulation. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 35 (A). pp. 140-150. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2014.03.012

NCEO Phase 2

Dunning, C. M., Black, E. C. L. and Allan, R. P. (2016) The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (19). pp. 11405-11424. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025428

NCEO Year 6

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. and Nichols, N. K. , (2014) Conditioning and preconditioning of the optimal state estimation problem. Mathematics Preprint Series. 2014-08. Technical Report. Dept of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Reading pp21.

NCEO Year 7

Loeb, N. G., Wang, H., Cheng, A., Kato, S., Fasullo, J. T., Xu, K.-M. and Allan, R. (2016) Observational constraints on atmospheric and oceanic cross-equatorial heat transports: revisiting the precipitation asymmetry problem in climate models. Climate Dynamics, 46 (9-10). pp. 3239-3257. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z

Storto, A., Masina, S., Balmaseda, M., Guinehut, S., Xue, Y., Szekely, T., Fukumori, I., Forget, G., Chang, Y.-S., Good, S. A., Kohl, A., Vernieres, G., Ferry, N., Peterson, K. A., Behringer, D., Ishii, M., Masuda, S., Fujii, Y., Toyoda, T., Yin, Y., Valdivieso, M., Barnier, B., Boyer, T., Lee, T., Gourrion, J., Wang, O., Heimback, P., Rosati, A., Kovach, R., Hernandez, F., Martin, M. J., Kamachi, M., Kuragano, T., Mogensen, K., Alves, O., Haines, K. and Wang, X. (2017) Steric sea level variability (1993-2010) in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses and objective analyses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 709-729. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2554-9

Palmer, M. D., Roberts, C. D., Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Chepurin, G., Ferry, N., Fujii, Y., Good, S. A., Guinehut, S., Haines, K., Hernandez, F., Kohl, A., Lee, T., Martin, M. J., Masina, S., Masuda, S., Peterson, K. A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M., Vernieres, G., Wang, O. and Xue, Y. (2017) Ocean heat content variability and change in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 909-930. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2801-0

Masina, S., Storto, A., Ferry, N., Valdivieso, M., Haines, K., Balmaseda, M., Zuo, H., Drevillon, M. and Parent, L. (2017) An ensemble of eddy-permitting global ocean reanalyses from the MyOcean project. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 813-841. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2728-5

Shi, L., Alves, O., Wedd, R., Balmaseda, M. A., Chang, Y., Chepurin, G., Ferry, N., Fujyii, Y., Gaillard, F., Good, S. A., Guinehut, S., Haines, K., Hernandez, F., Lee, T., Palmer, M., Peterson, K. A., Masuda, S., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M., Vernieres, G., Wang, X. and Yin, Y. (2017) An assessment of upper ocean salinity content from the ocean reanalyses inter-comparison project (ORA-IP). Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 1009-1029. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2868-7

Toyoda, T., Fujii, Y., Kuragano, T., Kamachi, M., Ishikawa, Y., Masuda, S., Sato, K., Awaji, T., Hernandez, F., Ferry, N., Guinehut, S., Martin, M. J., Peterson, K. A., Good, S. A., Valdivieso, M., Haines, K., Storto, A., Masina, S., Kohl, A., Zuo, H., Balmaseda, M., Yin, Y., Shi, L., Alves, O., Smith, G., Chang, Y.-S., Vernieres, G., Wang, X., Forget, G., Heimbach, P., Wang, O., Fukumori, I. and Lee, T. (2017) Intercomparison and validation of the mixed layer depth fields of global ocean syntheses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 753-773. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2637-7

Toyoda, T., Fujii, Y., Kuragano, T., Kosugi, N., Sasano, D., Kamachi, M., Ishikawa, Y., Masuda, S., Sato, K., Awaji, T., Hernandez, F., Ferry, N., Guinehut, S., Martin, M., Peterson, K. A., Good, S. A., Valdivieso, M., Haines, K., Storto, A., Masina, S., Kohl, A., Yin, Y., Shi, L., Alves, O., Smith, G., Chang, Y.-S., Vernieres, G., Wang, X., Forget, G., Heimbach, P., Wang, O., Fukumori, I., Lee, T., Zuo, H. and Balmaseda, M. (2017) Interannual-decadal variability of wintertime mixed layer depths in the North Pacific detected by an ensemble of ocean syntheses. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 891-907. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2762-3

Chevallier, M., Smith, G. C., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J.-F., Forget, G., Fujii, Y., Hernandez, F., Msadek, R., Peterson, K. A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M., Vernieres, G., Zuo, H., Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Ferry, N., Garric, G., Haines, K., Keeley, S., Kovach, R. M., Kuragano, T., Masina, S., Tang, Y., Tsujino, H. and Wang, X. (2017) Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean–sea ice reanalyses from the ORA-IP project. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 1107-1136. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-2985-y

Cordoba, M., Dance, S. L., Kelly, G. A., Nichols, N. K. and Waller, J. A. (2017) Diagnosing atmospheric motion vector observation errors for an operational high resolution data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (702). pp. 333-341. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2925

Bannister, R. N. (2017) A review of operational methods of variational and ensemble-variational data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703). pp. 607-633. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2982

Bonan, B., Nichols, N. K., Baines, M. J. and Partridge, D. (2017) Data assimilation for moving mesh methods with an application to ice sheet modelling. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 24 (3). pp. 515-534. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-24-515-2017

Quaife, T. and Cripps, E. (2016) Bayesian analysis of uncertainty in the GlobCover 2009 land cover product at climate model grid scale. Remote Sensing, 8 (4). 314. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs8040314

Bonan, B., Baines, M., Nichols, N. and Partridge, D. (2016) A moving-point approach to model shallow ice sheets: a study case with radially symmetrical ice sheets. The Cryosphere, 10 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1-2016

Balmaseda, M. A., Hernandez, F., Storto, A., Palmer, M. D., Alves, O., Shi, L., Smith, G. C., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M., Barnier, B., Behringer, D., Boyer, T., Chang, Y.S., Chepurin, G. A., Ferry, N., Forget, G., Fujii, Y., Good, S., Guinehut, S., Haines, K., Ishikawa, Y., Keeley, S., Kohl, A., Lee, T., Martin, M. J., Masina, S., Masuda, S., Meyssignac, B., Mogensen, K., Parent, L., Peterson, K. A., Tang, Y. M., Yin, Y., Vernieres, G., Wang, X., Waters, J., Wedd, R., Wang, O., Xue, Y., Chevallier, M., Lemieux, J. F., Dupont, F., Kuragano, T., Kamachi, M., Awaji, T., Caltabiano, A., Wilmer-Becker, K. and Gaillard, F. (2015) The Ocean Reanalysis Intercomparison project (ORA-IP). Journal of Operational Oceanography, 8 (sup1). s80-s97. ISSN 1755-8778 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/1755876X.2015.1022329

Zobitz, J.M., Moore, D. J.P., Quaife, T., Braswell, B. H., Bergeson, A., Anthony, J. A. and Monson, R. K. (2014) Joint data assimilation of satellite reflectance and net ecosystem exchange data constrains ecosystem carbon fluxes at a high-elevation subalpine forest. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 195-196. pp. 73-88. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.04.011

Goodliff, M., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2017) A weak-constraint 4DEnsembleVar. Part II: experiments with larger models. Tellus A, 69 (1). 1271565. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2016.1271565

Amezcua, J., Goodliff, M. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2017) A weak-constraint 4DEnsembleVar. Part I: formulation and simple model experiments. Tellus A, 69 (1). 1271564. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2016.1271564

Next generation Numerical Weather Prediction: 4DVar ensembles and Particle Filters

Goodliff, M., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2015) Comparing hybrid data assimilation methods on the Lorenz 1963 model with increasing nonlinearity. Tellus A, 67. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v67.26928

Goodliff, M., Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2017) A weak-constraint 4DEnsembleVar. Part II: experiments with larger models. Tellus A, 69 (1). 1271565. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2016.1271565

Amezcua, J., Goodliff, M. and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2017) A weak-constraint 4DEnsembleVar. Part I: formulation and simple model experiments. Tellus A, 69 (1). 1271564. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2016.1271564

Amezcua, J. and Williams, P. D. (2015) The composite-tendency Robert–Asselin–Williams (RAW) filter in semi-implicit integrations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (688). pp. 764-773. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2391

Amezcua, J. and Van Leeuwen, P. (2014) Gaussian anamorphosis in the analysis step of the EnKF: a joint state-variable/observation approach. Tellus A, 66. 23493. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.23493

Novel technologies for in situ environmental monitoring: linking sensor development to improved pollutant transport models

Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Wade, A. J., Bowes, M. J., Gozzard, E., Newman, J. R., Loewenthal, M., Palmer-Felgate, E. J. and Jarvie, H. P. (2015) High-frequency water quality monitoring in an urban catchment: hydrochemical dynamics, primary production and implications for the Water Framework Directive. Hydrological Processes, 29 (15). pp. 3388-3407. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10453

Nucleation and ageing of aerosol particles generated in the reactions of ozone with selected terpenes

Pfrang, C., Rastogi, K., Cabrera-Martinez, E. R., Seddon, A. M., Dicko, C., Labrador, A., Plivelic, T. C., Cowieson, N. and Squires, A. M. (2017) Complex three–dimensional self-assembly in proxies for atmospheric aerosols. Nature Communications, 8. 1724. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-01918-1

PRESTO (PREcipitation STructures over Orography

Fairman, J. G., Schultz, D. M., Kirshbaum, D. J., Gray, S. L. and Barrett, A. I. (2017) Climatology of size, shape and intensity of precipitation features over Great Britain and Ireland. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18 (6). pp. 1595-1615. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0222.1

Fairman, J. G., Schultz, D. M., Kirshbaum, D. J., Gray, S. L. and Barrett, A. I. (2016) Climatology of banded precipitation over the contiguous United States. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (12). pp. 4553-4568. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0015.1

Barrett, A. I., Gray, S., Kirshbaum, D. J., Roberts, N. M., Schultz, D. M. and Fairman, J. G. (2016) The utility of convection-permitting ensembles for the prediction of stationary convective bands. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (3). pp. 1093-1114. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0148.1

Fairman, J. G., Schultz, D. M., Kirshbaum, D. J., Gray, S. L. and Barrett, A. I. (2015) A radar-based rainfall climatology of Great Britain and Ireland. Weather, 70 (5). pp. 153-158. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2486

Barrett, A. I., Gray, S. L., Kirshbaum, D. J., Roberts, N. M., Schultz, D. M. and Fairman Jr, J. G. (2015) Synoptic versus orographic control on stationary convective banding. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1101-1113. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2409 (Part B)

Predicting the Climate of the Coming Decade

Holmes, C. R., Woollings, T., Hawkins, E. and de Vries, H. (2016) Robust future changes in temperature variability under greenhouse gas forcing and the relationship with thermal advection. Journal of Climate, 29 (6). pp. 2221-2236. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00735.1

Tietsche, S., Hawkins, E. and Day, J. J. (2016) Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 331-346. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E. and Jahn, A. (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2483

Harrington, L. J., Frame, D. J., Hawkins, E. and Joshi, M. (2017) Seasonal cycles enhance disparities between low- and high-income countries in exposure to monthly temperature emergence with future warming. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114039. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa95ae

Bethke, I., Outten, S., Otterå, O. H., Hawkins, E., Wagner, S., Sigl, M. and Thorne, P. (2017) Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability. Nature Climate Change, 7 (11). pp. 799-805. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3394

Frame, D., Joshi, M., Hawkins, E., Harrington, L. J. and de Roiste, M. (2017) Population-based emergence of unfamiliar climates. Nature Climate Change, 7 (6). pp. 407-411. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3297

Richardson, M., Cowtan, K., Hawkins, E. and Stolpe, M. B. (2016) Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. Nature Climate Change, 6 (10). pp. 931-935. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3066

Anderson, T. R., Hawkins, E. and Jones, P. D. (2016) CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models. Endeavour, 40 (3). pp. 178-187. ISSN 0160-9327 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002

Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. (2016) Connecting climate model projections of global temperature change with the real world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (6). pp. 963-980. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00154.1

Hawkins, E., Smith, R. S., Gregory, J. M. and Stainforth, D. A. (2016) Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Climate Dynamics, 46 (11). pp. 3807-3819. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8

Harrington, L. J., Frame, D. J., Fischer, E. M., Hawkins, E., Joshi, M. and Jones, C. D. (2016) Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (5). 055007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007

Fyfe, J. C., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Mann, M. E., Santer, B. D., Flato, G. M., Hawkins, E., Gillett, N. P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y. and Swart, N. C. (2016) Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 224-228. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2938

King, A. D., Donat, M. G., Fischer, E. M., Hawkins, E., Alexander, L. V., Karoly, D. J., Dittus, A. J., Lewis, S. C. and Perkins, S. E. (2015) The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (9). 094015. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015

Xie, S.-P., Deser, C., Vecchi, G. A., Collins, M., Delworth, T. L., Hall, A., Hawkins, E., Johnson, N. C., Cassou, C., Giannini, A. and Watanabe, M. (2015) Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 921-930. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2689

Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E., Jacobs, P., Mann, M. E., Miller, S. K., Steinman, B. A., Stolpe, M. B. and Way, R. G. (2015) Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (15). pp. 6526-6534. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064888

Hawkins, E., Joshi, M. and Frame, D. (2014) Wetter then drier in some tropical areas. Nature Climate Change, 4 (8). pp. 646-647. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2299

Hawkins, E., Anderson, B., Diffenbaugh, N., Mahlstein, I., Betts, R., Hegerl, G., Joshi, M., Knutti, R., McNeall, D., Solomon, S., Sutton, R., Syktus, J. and Vecchi, G. (2014) Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates. Nature, 511 (7507). E3-E5. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13523

Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., Murphy, C., O’Connor, P. and Hawkins, E. (2014) The statistical downscaling model-decision centric (SDSM-DC): conceptual basis and applications. Climate Research, 61 (3). pp. 259-276. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01254

Lockwood, M., Owens, M., Hawkins, E., Jones, G. S. and Usoskin, I. (2017) Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age. Astronomy & Geophysics, 58 (2). 2.17-2.23. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/astrogeo/atx057

Eden, J., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E. and Suckling, E. B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015

Probability, Uncertainty and Risk in the Environment

Lickiss, M., Mulder, K. J., Black, A., Charlton-Perez, A. J., McCloy, R. A. and Chandler, R. (2017) Developing a quick guide on presenting data and uncertainty. Weather, 72 (9). pp. 266-269. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2998

Mulder, K. J., Lickiss, M., Harvey, N., Black, A., Charlton-Perez, A., Dacre, H. and McCloy, R. (2017) Visualizing volcanic ash forecasts: scientist and stakeholder decisions using different graphical representations and conflicting forecasts. Weather, Climate and Society, 9 (3). pp. 333-348. ISSN 1948-8327 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0062.1

Harvey, N. J., Huntley, N., Dacre, H., Goldstein, M., Thomson, D. and Webster, H. (2016) Multi-level emulation of a volcanic ash transport and dispersion model to quantify sensitivity to uncertain parameters. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science Discussions. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2016-288 (In Press)

Dacre, H. F., Harvey, N. J., Webley, P. W. and Morton, D. (2016) How accurate are volcanic ash simulations of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (7). pp. 3534-3547. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024265

Wilkins, K. L., Mackie, S., Watson, M., Webster, H. N., Thomson, D. J. and Dacre, H. F. (2016) Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting. Annals of Geophysics, 57. ISSN 2037-416X doi: https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6624 (Fast Track 2)

Harvey, N. and Dacre, H. (2016) Spatial evaluation of volcanic ash forecasts using satellite observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (2). pp. 861-872. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-861-2016

Abraham, S., Bartlett, R., Standage, M., Black, A., Charlton-Perez, A. and McCloy, R. (2015) Do location specific forecasts pose a new challenge for communicating uncertainty? Meteorological Applications, 22 (3). pp. 554-562. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1487

Dacre, H., Grant, A., Harvey, N., Thomson, D., Webster, H. and Marenco, F. (2015) Volcanic ash layer depth: processes and mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (2). pp. 637-645. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062454

Projected Responses of Extreme Precipitation and Atmospheric Radiative Energy (PREPARE)

Field, P. R., Cotton, R. J., McBeath, K., Lock, A. P., Webster, S. and Allan, R. P. (2014) Improving a convection-permitting model simulation of a cold air outbreak. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (678). pp. 124-138. ISSN 00359009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2116

Allan, R. P., Liu, C., Zahn, M., Lavers, D. A., Koukouvagias, E. and Bodas-Salcedo, A. (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations. Surveys in Geophysics, 35 (3). pp. 533-552. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z

RAPID - Risk Assessment, Probability and Impacts Team (RAPIT)

Allison, L., Hawkins, E. and Woollings, T. (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9

Reading solar system science

Barnard, L., Scott, C.J., Owens, M., Lockwood, M., Crothers, S. R., Davies, J. A. and Harrison, R. A. (2015) Differences between the CME fronts tracked by an expert, an automated algorithm, and the Solar Stormwatch project. Space Weather, 13 (10). pp. 709-725. ISSN 1542-7390 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015SW001280

Owens, M. J., McCracken, K. G., Lockwood, M. and Barnard, L. (2015) The heliospheric Hale cycle over the last 300 years and its implications for a “lost” late 18th century solar cycle. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 5. A30. ISSN 2115-7251 doi: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2015032

Lockwood, M., Owens, M., Hawkins, E., Jones, G. S. and Usoskin, I. (2017) Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age. Astronomy & Geophysics, 58 (2). 2.17-2.23. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/astrogeo/atx057

Realistic sea ice melt in climate models using field observations and theory

Tsamados, M., Feltham, D., Petty, A., Schroeder, D. and Flocco, D. (2015) Processes controlling surface, bottom and lateral melt of Arctic sea ice in a state of the art sea ice model. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373 (2052). 20140167. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0167

Flocco, D., Feltham, D. L., Bailey, E. and Schroeder, D. (2015) The refreezing of melt ponds on Arctic sea ice. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120 (2). pp. 647-659. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC010140

Reanalysis of the AMOC

Thomas, C. M. and Haines, K. (2017) Using lagged-covariances in data assimilation. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 69 (1). 1377589. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1377589

Thomas, C. M. and Haines, K. (2017) Using lagged covariances in data assimilation. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 69 (1). 1377589. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1377589

Satellite data for weather index insurance: scaling out (SatWIN-Scale)

Brown, M., Black, E., Asfaw, D. and Otu-Larbi, F. (2017) Monitoring drought in Ghana using TAMSAT-ALERT: a new decision support system. Weather, 72 (7). pp. 201-205. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3033

Seasonal-to-decadal climate Prediction for the improvement of European Climate Services (SPECS)

Yeager, S. G. and Robson, J. I. (2017) Recent progress in understanding and predicting Atlantic decadal climate variability. Current Climate Change Reports, 3 (2). pp. 112-127. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-017-0064-z

Zhang, R., Sutton, R., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf1660

Robson, J., Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2727

Robson, J., Polo, I., Hodson, D. L. R., Stevens, D. P. and Shaffrey, L. C. (2017) Decadal prediction of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in the HiGEM high-resolution climate model. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3649-2

Hodson, D. L. R., Robson, J. I. and Sutton, R. T. (2014) An anatomy of the cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean in the 1960s and 1970s. Journal of Climate, 27 (21). pp. 8229-8243. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00301.1

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D., Robson, J., Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E., Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T., Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Eden, J., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E. and Suckling, E. B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015

Robson, J., Sutton, R. and Smith, D. (2014) Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics, 42 (9-10). pp. 2353-2365. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2115-7

South American Biomass Burning Analysis (SAMBBA)

Johnson, B. T., Haywood, J. M., Langridge, J. M., Darbyshire, E., Morgan, W. T. , Szpek, K., Brooke, J. K. , Marenco, F., Coe, H., Artaxo, P., Longo, K. M., Mulcahy, J. P., Mann, G., Dalvi, M. and Bellouin, N. (2016) Evaluation of biomass burning aerosols in the HadGEM3 climate model with observations from the SAMBBA field campaign. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (22). pp. 14657-14685. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-14657-2016

South Asian Precipitation: a SEamless Assessment - SAPRISE

Zhang, W., Wang, Y., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F. and Turner, A. G. (2015) Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20). pp. 8570-8576. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065703

Guo, L., Turner, A. and Highwood, E. (2015) Impacts of 20th century aerosol emissions on the South Asian monsoon in the CMIP5 models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (11). pp. 6367-6378. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-6367-2015

Guo, L., Turner, A. G. and Highwood, E. J. (2016) Local and remote impacts of aerosol species on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in a GCM. Journal of Climate, 29 (19). pp. 6937-6955. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0728.1

Prakash, S., Mitra, A. K., Momin, I. M., Rajagopal, E. N., Basu, S., Collins, M., Turner, A. G., Achuto Rao, K. and Ashok, K. (2015) Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9). pp. 2326-2338. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4129

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2371

Stochastic Parameterization of Deep Convection in Short-Range Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Keane, R. J., Plant, R. S. and Tennant, W. J. (2016) Evaluation of the Plant–Craig stochastic convection scheme (v2.0) in the ensemble forecasting system MOGREPS-R (24 km) based on the Unified Model (v7.3). Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (5). pp. 1921-1935. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1921-2016

Stratospheric Network for the Assessment of Predictability (SNAP)

Tripathi, O. P., Baldwin, M., Charlton-Perez, A., Charron, M., Cheung, J. C. H., Eckermann, S. D., Gerber, E., Jackson, D. R., Kuroda, Y., Lang, A., Mclay, J., Mizuta, R., Reynolds, C., Roff, G., Sigmond, M., Son, S.-W. and Stockdale, T. (2016) Examining the predictability of the Stratospheric Sudden Warming of January 2013 using multiple NWP systems. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (5). pp. 1935-1960. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0010.1

Butler, A. H., Arribas, A., Athanassiadou, M., Baehr, J., Calvo, N., Charlton-Perez, A., Déqué, M., Domeisen, D. I.V., Fröhlich, K., Hendon, H., Imada, Y., Ishii, M., Iza, M., Karpechko, A. Y., Kumar, A., MacLachlan, C., Merryfield, W. J., Müller, W. A., O'Neill, A., Scaife, A. A., Scinocca, J., Sigmond, M., Stockdale, T. N. and Yasuda, T. (2016) The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: do stratosphere-resolving models make better seasonal climate predictions in boreal winter? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (696). pp. 1413-1427. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2743

Tripathi, O. P., Baldwin, M., Charlton-Perez, A., Charron, M., Eckermann, S. D., Gerber, E., Harrison, R. G., Jackson, D. R., Kim, B.-M., Kuroda, Y., Lang, A., Mahmood, S., Mizuta, R., Roff, G., Sigmond, M. and Son, S.-W. (2015) Review: the predictability of the extra-tropical stratosphere on monthly timescales and its impact on the skill of tropospheric forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 987-1003. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2432 (Part B)

Tripathi, O. P., Charlton-Perez, A., Sigmond, M. and Vitart, F. (2015) Enhanced long-range forecast skill in boreal winter following stratospheric strong vortex conditions. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (10). 104007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104007

Studying airborne atmospheric aerosol in an ultrasonic trap

Becerra, R. and Pfrang, C. (2016) Kinetic studies of nitrate radicals: flash photolysis at 193 nm. International Journal of Chemical Kinetics, 48 (12). pp. 806-811. ISSN 1097-4601 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/kin.21035

Pfrang, C., Rastogi, K., Cabrera-Martinez, E. R., Seddon, A. M., Dicko, C., Labrador, A., Plivelic, T. C., Cowieson, N. and Squires, A. M. (2017) Complex three–dimensional self-assembly in proxies for atmospheric aerosols. Nature Communications, 8. 1724. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-01918-1

Susceptibility of catchments to Intense rainfall and flooding (SINATRA)

Stephens, E., Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066779

Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D., Dance, S. L., Cloke, H., Neal, J. C., Freer, J. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Satellite-supported flood forecasting in river networks: a real case study. Journal of Hydrology, 523. pp. 706-724. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.084

Kumar, S., Allan, R. P., Zwiers, F., Lawrence, D. M. and Dirmeyer, P. A. (2016) Revisiting trends in wetness and dryness in the presence of internal climate variability and water limitations over land. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (24). 10,867-10,875. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066858

Mueller, A., Dutra, E., Cloke, H., Verhoef, A., Balsamo, G. and Pappenberger, F., (2016) Water infiltration and redistribution in Land Surface Models. Technical Memorandum. 791. Technical Report. ECMWF, Reading, UK.

Allan, R. P., Lavers, D. A. and Champion, A. J. (2016) Diagnosing links between atmospheric moisture and extreme daily precipitation over the UK. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (9). pp. 3191-3206. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4547

Zveryaev, I. I., Zahn, M. and Allan, R. P. (2016) Interannual variability in the summertime hydrological cycle over European regions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (10). pp. 5381-5394. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024425

Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2016) Evidence of a topographic signal in surface soil moisture derived from ENVISAT ASAR wide swath data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 45. pp. 178-186. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2015.02.004

Mason, D. C., Trigg, M., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L., Neal, J. C. and Bates, P. D. (2016) Improving the TanDEM-X Digital Elevation Model for flood modelling using flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Remote Sensing of Environment, 173. pp. 15-28. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.11.018

Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Parker, D. J., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D. S. and Thielen, J. (2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy, 51. pp. 278-291. ISSN 1873-6416 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016

Champion, A. J., Allan, R. P. and Lavers, D. A. (2015) Atmospheric rivers do not explain UK summer extreme rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (14). pp. 6731-6741. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022863

Kauffeldt, A., Halldin, S., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Xu, C.-Y. and Cloke, H. L. (2015) Imbalanced land-surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (11). pp. 4411-4417. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064230

Pappenberger, F., Ramos, M. H., Cloke, H. L., Wetterhall, F., Alfieri, L., Bogner, K., Mueller, A. and Salamon, P. (2015) How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in Hydrological ensemble prediction. Journal of Hydrology, 522. pp. 697-713. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.024

Beven, K., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F., Lamb, R. and Hunter, N. (2015) Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface. Science China Earth Sciences, 58 (1). pp. 25-35. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-014-5003-4

Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2015) The potential of flood forecasting using a variable-resolution global Digital Terrain Model and flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Frontiers in Earth Science, 3. 43. ISSN 2296-6463 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2015.00043

TEMPEST: Testing and Evaluating Model Predictions of European Storms

Hawcroft, M., Dacre, H., Forbes, R., Hodges, K., Shaffrey, L. and Stein, T. (2017) Using satellite and reanalysis data to evaluate the representation of latent heating in extratropical cyclones in a climate model. Climate Dynamics, 48 (7). pp. 2255-2278. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3204-6

Hawcroft, M., Shaffrey, L., Hodges, K. and Dacre, H. (2012) How much Northern Hemisphere precipitation is associated with extratropical cyclones? Geophysical Research Letters, 39. ISSN 0094-8276

The Africa Climate Exchange (ACX)

Brown, S., Cornforth, R., Boyd, E., Standley, S., Allen, M., Clement, K., Gonzalo, A., Erwin, G., Michelle, S., Haseeb, I. and Maliha, S., Brown, S., ed. (2014) Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) scoping study: Annex 3 - Early warning system and risk assessment case studies. Climate, Environment, Infrastructure and Livelihoods Professional Evidence and Applied Knowledge Services (CEIL PEAKS) programme. Technical Report. Evidence on Demand with the assistance of the UK Department for International Development (DFID) pp53. doi: https://doi.org/10.12774/eod_cr.june2014.brown

Duncan, M., Crowley, K., Cornforth, R., Edwards, S., Ewbank, R., Karbassi, P., McLaren, C., Penya, J. L., Obrecht, A., Seargent, S. and Visman, E., (2014) Integrating science into humanitarian and development planning and practice to enhance community resilience. Report. UK Collaborative on Development Sciences, London, UK. pp49.

The Development of a Local Urban Climate Model and its Application to the Intelligent Development of Cities (LUCID) 16/1/8 Subcontract with ARUP

Hunt, J. C., Timoshkina, Y. V., Bohnenstengel, S. I. and Belcher, S. (2013) Implications of climate change for expanding cities worldwide. Proceedings of the ICE - Urban Design and Planning, 166 (4). 241 -254 . ISSN 1755-0807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1680/udap.10.00062

Bohnenstengel, S. I., Hamilton, I., Davies, M. and Belcher, S. E. (2013) Impact of anthropogenic heat emissions on London's temperatures. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (679). pp. 687-698. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2144

The Environment of the Arctic: Climate Ocean and Sea Ice (TEA-COSI)

Petrie, R. E., Shaffrey, L. C. and Sutton, R. T. (2015) Atmospheric impact of Arctic Sea ice loss in a coupled ocean–atmosphere simulation. Journal of Climate, 28 (24). pp. 9606-9622. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0316.1

Petrie, R. E., Shaffrey, L. C. and Sutton, R. T. (2015) Atmospheric response in summer linked to recent Arctic sea ice loss. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (691). pp. 2070-2076. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2502 (Part B)

The Multi-Scale Response of Water Quality, Biodiversity and C Sequestration to Coupled Macronutrient Cycling from Source to Sea

Emmett, B. A., Cooper, D., Smart, S., Jackson, B., Thomas, A., Cosby, B., Evans, C., Glanville, H., McDonald, J. E., Malham, S. K., Marshall, M., Jarvis, S., Rajko-Nenow, P., Webb, G. P., Ward, S., Rowe, E., Jones, L., Vanbergen, A. J., Keith, A., Carter, H., Pereira, M. G., Hughes, S., Lebron, I., Wade, A. and Jones, D. L. (2016) Spatial patterns and environmental constraints on ecosystem services at a catchment scale. Science of the Total Environment, 572. pp. 1586-1600. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.04.004

Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Wade, A. J., Bowes, M. J., Reed, D. S., Jarvie, H. P. and Loewenthal, M. (2016) Riparian shading controls instream spring phytoplankton and benthic diatom growth. Environmental Science: Process and Impacts, 18 (6). pp. 677-689. ISSN 2050-7895 doi: https://doi.org/10.1039/C6EM00179C

Halliday, S. J., Skeffington, R. A., Wade, A. J., Bowes, M. J., Gozzard, E., Newman, J. R., Loewenthal, M., Palmer-Felgate, E. J. and Jarvie, H. P. (2015) High-frequency water quality monitoring in an urban catchment: hydrochemical dynamics, primary production and implications for the Water Framework Directive. Hydrological Processes, 29 (15). pp. 3388-3407. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10453

The Organization of Tropical Rainfall

Holloway, C. E., Woolnough, S. J. and Lister, G. M. S. (2015) The effects of explicit versus parameterized convection on the MJO in a large-domain high-resolution tropical case study. Part II: Processes leading to differences in MJO development. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 72 (7). pp. 2719-2743. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0308.1

Stein, T. H. M., Holloway, C. E., Tobin, I. and Bony, S. (2017) Observed relationships between cloud vertical structure and convective aggregation over tropical ocean. Journal of Climate, 30 (6). pp. 2187-2207. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0125.1

Holloway, C. E. (2017) Convective aggregation in realistic convective-scale simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9 (2). pp. 1450-1472. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS000980

Holloway, C. E. and Woolnough, S. J. (2016) The sensitivity of convective aggregation to diabatic processes in idealized radiative-convective equilibrium simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (1). pp. 166-195. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000511

Tobin, I., Bony, S., Holloway, C. E., Grandpeix, J.-Y., Seze, G., Coppin, D., Woolnough, S. J. and Roca, R. (2013) Does convective aggregation need to be represented in cumulus parameterizations? Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5 (4). pp. 692-703. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/jame.20047

The future of the Indian monsoon - Fellowship

Guo, L., Turner, A. G. and Highwood, E. J. (2016) Local and remote impacts of aerosol species on Indian summer monsoon rainfall in a GCM. Journal of Climate, 29 (19). pp. 6937-6955. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0728.1

Prakash, S., Mitra, A. K., Momin, I. M., Rajagopal, E. N., Basu, S., Collins, M., Turner, A. G., Achuto Rao, K. and Ashok, K. (2015) Seasonal intercomparison of observational rainfall datasets over India during the southwest monsoon season. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (9). pp. 2326-2338. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4129

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G., Woolnough, S. J., Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2371

Zhang, W., Jin, F.-F. and Turner, A. (2014) Increasing Autumn drought over Southern China associated with ENSO regime shift. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (11). pp. 4020-4026. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060130

The role of air-sea interactions on sub-seasonal and seasonal variability (RAISINS)

DeMott, C. A., Benedict, J. J., Klingaman, N. P., Woolnough, S. J. and Randall, D. A. (2016) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the MJO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (14). pp. 8350-8373. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025098

DeMott, C. A., Klingaman, N. P. and Woolnough, S. J. (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000478

Martin, G. M., Klingaman, N. P. and Moise, A. F. (2017) Connecting spatial and temporal scales of tropical precipitation in observations and the MetUM-GA6. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 105-126. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-105-2017

Klingaman, N. P., Martin, G. M. and Moise, A. (2017) ASoP (v1.0): a set of methods for analyzing scales of precipitation in general circulation models. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 57-83. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-57-2017

Voigt, A., Biasutti, M., Scheff, J., Bader, J., Bordoni, S., Codron, F., Dixon, R. D., Jonas, J., Kang, S. M., Klingaman, N. P., Leung, R., Lu, J., Mapes, B., Maroon, E. A., McDermid, S., Park, J.-y., Roehrig, R., Rose, B. E. J., Russell, G. L., Seo, J., Toniazzo, T., Wei, H.-H., Yoshimori, M. and Zepptello, L. R. V. (2016) The tropical rain belts with an annual cycle and a continent model intercomparison project: TRACMIP. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (4). pp. 1868-1891. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000748

Transformation and Resilience on Urban Coasts

Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C. and Kotthaus, S. (2015) How is urbanization altering local and regional climate? In: Seto, K. C., Solecki, W. D. and Griffith, C. A. (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of Urbanization and Global Environmental Change. Routledge. ISBN 9780415732260

Crawford, B., Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C., Morrison, W. and Kotthaus, S. (2017) Spatial and temporal patterns of surface-atmosphere energy exchange in a dense urban environment using scintillometry. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703). pp. 817-833. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2967

Transitions Between Suppressed and Active Convection Coupled to Large-Scale Tropical Circulations

Yano, J.-I. and Ambaum, M. H. P. (2017) Moist static energy: definition, reference constants, a conservation law, and effects on buoyancy. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (708). pp. 2727-2734. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3121

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S. and Woolnough, S. J. (2017) Using the weak-temperature gradient approximation to evaluate parameterizations: an example of the transition from suppressed to active convection. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS000940 (In Press)

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S., Woolnough, S. J., Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang, S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2015) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation: 1. Comparison over uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7 (4). pp. 1576-1601. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000468

Treatment of model bias in coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation

Howes, K. E., Fowler, A. M. and Lawless, A. S. (2017) Accounting for model error in strong-constraint 4DVar data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (704). pp. 1227-1240. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2996

Fowler, A. M. and Lawless, A. S. (2016) An idealized study of coupled atmosphere-ocean 4D-Var in the presence of model error. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (10). pp. 4007-4030. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0420.1

URBan ANthrpogenic heat FLUX from Earth observation Satellites (URBANFLUXES)

Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C. and Kotthaus, S. (2015) How is urbanization altering local and regional climate? In: Seto, K. C., Solecki, W. D. and Griffith, C. A. (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of Urbanization and Global Environmental Change. Routledge. ISBN 9780415732260

Crawford, B., Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C., Morrison, W. and Kotthaus, S. (2017) Spatial and temporal patterns of surface-atmosphere energy exchange in a dense urban environment using scintillometry. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (703). pp. 817-833. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2967

Understanding energetic particle effects on atmospheric processes

Sliva, H. G., Lopes, F. M., Pereira, S., Nicoll, K., Barbosa, S. M., Conceicao, R., Neves, S., Harrison, R. G. and Collares Pereira, M. (2016) Saharan dust electrification perceived by a triangle of atmospheric electricity stations in Southern Portugal. Journal of Electrostatics, 84. pp. 106-120. ISSN 0304-3886 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.elstat.2016.10.002

Yaniv, R., Yair, Y., Price, C., Nicoll, K., Harrison, G., Artamonov, A. and Usoskin, I. (2016) Balloon measurements of the vertical ionization profile over southern Israel and comparison to mid-latitude observations. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 149. pp. 87-92. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2016.10.003

Nicoll, K. A. and Harrison, R. G. (2016) Stratiform cloud electrification: comparison of theory with multiple in-cloud measurements. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (700). pp. 2679-2691. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2858

Nicoll, K. A., Harrison, R. G., Silva, H. G., Salgado, R., Melgao, M. and Bortoli, D. (2018) Electrical sensing of the dynamical structure of the planetary boundary layer. Atmospheric Research, 202. pp. 81-95. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.11.009

Value of the Rapid array for climate predictions (VALOR)

Robson, J., Sutton, R. and Smith, D. (2014) Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics, 42 (9-10). pp. 2353-2365. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2115-7

iSTAR-D: The contribution to sea-level rise from the Amundsen Sea sector of Antarctica

Morris, E. M., Mulvaney, R., Arthern, R. J., Davies, D., Gurney, R. J., Lambert, P., De Rydt, J., Smith, A. M., Tuckwell, R. J. and Winstrup, M. (2017) Snow densification and recent accumulation along the iSTAR traverse, Pine Island Glacier, Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface. ISSN 2169-9003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JF004357 (In Press)

This list was generated on Mon Dec 18 16:40:42 2017 UTC.

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