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Number of items at this level: 1529.

2024

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2024) Global change in agricultural flash drought over the 21st century. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 209-220. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.236

Emerton, E., Hodges, K., Stephens, L., Amelie, V., Mustafa, M., Rakotomavo, Z., Coughlan de Perez, E., Magnusson, L. and Vidale, P. L. (2024) How well can global ensemble forecasts predict tropical cyclones in the southwest Indian Ocean? Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 (2024) Increasing frequency and lengthening season of western disturbances is linked to increasing strength and delayed northward migration of the subtropical jet. Weather and Climate Dynamics. ISSN 2698-4016 (In Press)

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2024) Quantifying renewable energy potential and realised capacity in India: opportunities and challenges. Meteorological Applications. ISSN 1469-8080 (In Press)

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Ceppi, P. and Wilder, T. (2024) A glimpse into the future: the 2023 ocean temperature and sea-ice extremes in the context of longer-term climate change. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0209.1 (In Press)

Lavender, S. L., Stirling, A. J., Whitall, M., Stratton, R., Daleu, C., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Lock, A. and Gu, J.-F. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7752-4553 (2024) The use of idealised experiments in testing a new convective parameterization: performance of CoMorph-A. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X (In Press)

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Yang, S. (2024) Enhanced impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon under global warming and associated mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (2). e2023GL106437. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106437

Lin, S., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yang, S., He, S. and Hu, Y. (2024) Causes of diverse impacts of ENSO on the Southeast Asian summer monsoon among CMIP6 models. Journal of Climate, 37 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0303.1

Luterbacher, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973, Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4065-6883, Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7897-4660 and Xoplaki, E. (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). 39. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12030039

Nischal, S., Attada, R., Hunt, K. M.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Barlow, M. (2024) Underlying physical mechanisms of winter precipitation extremes over India’s high mountain region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4661

Norgate, M., Tiwari, P. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7580-0446, Das, S. and Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129 (2024) On the heat waves over India and their future projections under different SSP scenarios from CMIP6 models. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8367

Sheng, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wang, H., Zhang, M., Lin, S., Si, P., Lott, F. C. and Li, Q. (2024) Anthropogenic influences on extremely persistent seasonal precipitation in Southern China during May–June 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (2). pp. 425-431. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0137.1

Shi, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Zhang, C., Hodges, K. I., Tao, A., Zhang, W. and Zheng, J. (2024) Global increase in tropical cyclone ocean surface waves. Nature Communications, 15. 174. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43532-4

Simpson, I., Hanna, E., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Sun, Y. and Wei, H.-L. (2024) North Atlantic atmospheric circulation indices: links with summer and winter temperature and precipitation in north-west Europe, including persistence and variability. International Journal of Climatology. ISSN 1097-0088 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8364

Su, Q., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2024) Anthropogenic influence on decadal changes of concurrent hot and dry events over China around the mid-1990s. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 41 (2). pp. 233-246. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2319-z

Weisheimer, A., Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Bröcker, J., Garfinkel, C. I., Hardiman, S. C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Palmer, T. N., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Scaife, A. A., Screen, J. A., Shepherd, T. G., Smith, D. N. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) The signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts: revisiting our understanding and identifying future priorities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0019.1 (In Press)

Wolf, G., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Frame, T. H. A., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2024) Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection-permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical-dynamical method based on equatorial wave information. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4627

2023

Akhter, S., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Hodges, K. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2023) How well do high-resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal? Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3581-3604. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06745-3

Ali, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9846-6751, Fowler, H. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8848-3606, Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Roberts, M. J. (2023) Fewer, but more intense, future tropical storms over the Ganges and Mekong basins. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (17). e2023GL104973. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl104973

Armour, K. C., Proistosescu, C., Dong, Y., Hahn, L. C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Pauling, A. G., Wills, R. C. J., Andrews, T., Stuecker, M. F., Po-Chedley, S., Mitevski, I., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. (2023) Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ISSN 0027-8424 (In Press)

Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Charlton-Perez, A. and Mattu, K. L. (2023) Skilful sub-seasonal forecasts of aggregated temperature over Europe. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2169. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2169

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. T., Sananka, A., Aston, S., Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 and Maidment, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 (2023) Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa. Frontiers in climate, 4. 993511. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.993511

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Hillier, J., Griffin, A., Kay, A. L., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Pianosi, F., James, R., Kumar, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2253-4129, Champion, A. and Bates, P. D. (2023) Co-occurring wintertime flooding and extreme wind over Europe, from daily to seasonal timescales. Weather and Climate Extremes, 39. 100550. ISSN 22120947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100550

Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M., Sexton, D. M. H. and Morice, C. P. (2023) Assessment of large-scale indices of surface temperature during the historical period in the CMIP6 ensembles. Journal of Climate, 36 (7). pp. 2055-2072. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0398.1 (In Press)

Boland, E. J. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2430-7763, Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Jones, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8701-4506, Josey, S. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1683-8831 and Sinha, B. (2023) Ocean heat content responses to changing anthropogenic aerosol forcing strength: regional and multi‐decadal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (7). e2022JC018725. ISSN 2169-9291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022jc018725

Boult, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469 (2023) Forecast-based action for conservation. Conservation Biology, 37 (3). e14054. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14054

Bulgin, C. E., Mecking, J. V., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Jevrejeva, S., McCarroll, N. F., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Sinha, B. (2023) Dynamic sea-level changes and potential implications for storm surges in the UK: a storylines perspective. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (4). 044033. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acc6df

Burgard, C., Jourdain, N.C., Mathiot, P., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Schäfer, R., Caillet, J., Finn, T.S. and Johnson, J.E. (2023) Emulating present and future simulations of melt rates at the base of Antarctic ice shelves with neural networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (12). e2023MS003829. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003829

Cael, B. B., Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Ceppi, P., Fredriksen, H.-B., Goodwin, P., Gregory, J. M., Smith, C. J. and Williams, R. G. (2023) Energy budget diagnosis of changing climate feedback. Science Advances, 9 (16). ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf9302

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Rudroff, C. M., Coelho, C. A.S. and Schongart, J. (2023) Forecasting annual maximum water level for the Negro River at Manaus using dynamical seasonal predictions. Climate Services, 30. 100342. ISSN Elsevier doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100342

Conroy, A., Titley, H., Rivett, R., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Hodges, K., Brammer, A., Burton, A., Chakraborty, P., Chen, G., Cowan, L., Dunion, J. and Sarkar, A. (2023) Track forecast: operational capability and new techniques - summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Tropical Cyclone Research and Review. ISSN 2225-6032 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.05.002 (In Press)

Couldrey, M. P., Gregory, J. M., Dong, X., Garuba, O., Haak, H., Hu, A., Hurlin, W. J., Jin, J., Jungclaus, J., Köhl, A., Liu, H., Ojha, S., Saenko, O. A., Savita, A., Suzuki, T., Yu, Z. and Zanna, L. (2023) Greenhouse-gas forced changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and related worldwide sea-level change. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2003-2309. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06386-y

Croad, H. L., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E., Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X and Hodges, K. I. (2023) A climatology of summer-time Arctic cyclones using a modified phase space. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (22). e2023GL105993. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105993

Croad, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5124-4860, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Keeley, S. P. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8046-765X and Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X (2023) The role of boundary layer processes in summer-time Arctic cyclones. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 617-638. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-617-2023

Croad, H. L., Shonk, J. K. P., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hodges, K. I. (2023) The Indian Easterly Jet During the pre-monsoon season in India. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105400. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105400

Delfino, R. J., Vidale, P. L., Bagtasa, G. and Hodges, K. (2023) Response of damaging Philippines tropical cyclones to a warming climate using the pseudo global warming approach. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3499-3523. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06742-6

Deoras, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5407-6520, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Priyanthika Jayawardena, I. M. S. (2023) The influence of weather patterns and the Madden-Julian Oscillation on extreme precipitation over Sri Lanka. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (14). e2023GL103727. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103727

Di Capua, G., Coumou, D., Van den Hurk, B., Weisheimer, A., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Donner, R. V. (2023) Validation of boreal summer tropical-extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 701-723. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-701-2023

Diong, J.-Y., Xavier, P., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Abdullah, F. A. (2023) Equatorial Rossby waves on Cold Surge Days and their impact on rainfall. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (754). pp. 2031-2047. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4493

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Collins, M., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Reversal of projected European summer precipitation decline in a stabilising climate. Geophysical Research Letters. ISSN 1944-8007 (In Press)

Doane-Solomon, R., Befort, D. J., Camp, J., Hodges, K. and Weisheimer, A. (2023) The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts. Atmospheric Science Letters. e1190. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1190

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2023) Decadal trends in surface solar radiation and cloud cover over the North Atlantic sector during the last four decades: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2533-2546. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06438-3

Douglas, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5411-7656, Harrington, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1699-6119, Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Revell, L. E. and Frame, D. J. (2023) Changes to population-based emergence of climate change from CMIP5 to CMIP6. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (1). 014013. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca91e

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Toumi, R., Roberts, M., Hodges, K. I. and Vidale, P. L. (2023) An approach to link climate model tropical cyclogenesis bias to large-scale wind circulation modes. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (15). e2023GL103838. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103838

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hodges, K. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2023) Equatorial waves as useful precursors to tropical cyclone occurrence and intensification. Nature Communications, 14 (511). ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36055-5

Feng, Z., Lv, S., Sun, Y., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Zhai, P., Lin, Y., Shen, Y. and Zhong, W. (2023) Skillful seasonal prediction of typhoon track density using deep learning. Remote Sensing, 15 (7). 1797. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15071797

Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Wolf, G. (2023) Hybrid dynamical-statistical forecasts of the risk of rainfall in South East Asia dependent on equatorial waves. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (8). pp. 2139-2152. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0300.1

Ferster, B. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9241-518X, Fedorov, A. V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5428-1117, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625 and Mignot, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4894-898X (2023) The effect of Indian Ocean temperature on the Pacific trade winds and ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL103230. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103230

Fiedler, S., Naik, V., O'Connor, F. M., Smith, C. J., Pincus, R., Griffiths, P., Kramer, R., Takemura, T., Allen, R. J., Im, U., Kasoar, M., Modak, A., Turnock, S., Voulgarakis, A., Watson-Parris, D., Westervelt, D. M., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Schulz, M., Myhre, G. and Forster, P. M. (2023) Interactions between atmospheric composition and climate change - progress in understanding and future opportunities from AerChemMIP, PDRMIP, and RFMIP. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions. ISSN 1991-962X doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2023-29 (In Press)

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Guo, L. (2023) Effect of global and regional SST biases on the East Asian Summer Monsoon in the MetUM GA7 and GC3 configurations. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06954-w

Galea, D., Hodges, K. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) Investigating differences between Tropical Cyclone detection systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems. ISSN 2769-7525 (In Press)

Galea, D., Kunkel, J. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2023) TCDetect: a new method of detecting the presence of tropical cyclones using deep learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 2 (3). ISSN 2769-7525 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-22-0045.1

Gandy, N., Astfalck, L. C., Gregoire, L. J., Evanovich, R. F., Patterson, V. L., Sherriff-Tadano, S., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Williamson, D. and Rigby, R. (2023) De-tuning Albedo parameters in a coupled climate ice sheet model to simulate the North American ice sheet at the last glacial maximum. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 128 (8). e2023JF007250. ISSN 2169-9003 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007250

Gentile, E. S., Zhao, M. and Hodges, K. (2023) Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6 (1). 219. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00540-x

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Howard, E., Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Frame, T. H. A., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2023) Weather patterns in Southeast Asia: enhancing high-impact weather sub-seasonal forecast skill. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (750). pp. 19-39. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4378

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Racoma, B. A. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7778-7273, Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Bagtasa, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5433-7122 (2023) The effect of the Cordillera mountain range on tropical cyclone rainfall in the Northern Philippines. Atmosphere, 14 (4). 643. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14040643

Ren, Q., Hodges, K. I., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Dai, Y., Jiang, X. and Yang, S. (2023) Seasonal effects of the Tibetan plateau on the cyclonic transient eddies: a system-centered view. Journal of Climate, 36 (17). pp. 6007-6020. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0067.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Menary, M. B. and Lai, M. W.K. (2023) Contrasting internally and externally generated Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the role for AMOC in CMIP6 historical simulations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 381 (2262). 20220194. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0194

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M. and Tandon, N. F. (2023) Uncertainties in the Arctic Ocean response to CO₂: a process-based analysis. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06986-2

Salvi, P., Gregory, J. M. and Ceppi, P. (2023) Time-evolving radiative feedbacks in the historical period. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128 (20). e2023JD038984. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038984

Seroussi, H., Verjans, V., Nowicki, S., Payne, A. J., Goelzer, H., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Agosta, C., Albrecht, T., Asay-Davis, X., Barthel, A., Calov, R., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Gladstone, R., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. M., Greve, R., Hattermann, T., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Leguy, G. R., Lowry, D. P., Little, C. M., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Pelle, T., Price, S. F., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Schlegel, N.-J., Shepherd, A., Simon, E., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Straneo, F., Sun, S., Trusel, L. D., Van Breedam, J., Van Katwyk, P., van de Wal, R. S. W., Winkelmann, R., Zhao, C., Zhang, T. and Zwinger, T. (2023) Insights on the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty. The Cryosphere, 17 (12). pp. 5197-5217. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

Slangen, A. B.A., Palmer, M. D., Camargo, C. M. L., Church, J. A., Edwards, T. L., Hermans, T. H. J., Hewitt, H. T., Garner, G. G., Gregory, J. M., Kopp, R. E., Santos, V. M. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2023) The evolution of 21st century sea-level projections from IPCC AR5 to AR6 and beyond. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures, 1. e7. ISSN 2754-7205 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2022.8

Smith, I. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7512-8370, Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2023) Clear-air turbulence trends over the North Atlantic in high-resolution climate models. Climate Dynamics, 61 (7-8). pp. 3063-3079. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06694-x

Sohail, T., Irving, D. B., Zika, J. D. and Gregory, J. M. (2023) Anthropogenic aerosols offsetting ocean warming less efficiently since the 1980s. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (23). e2023GL105374. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105374

Suitters, C. C., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Hodges, K. I., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Transient anticyclonic eddies and their relationship to atmospheric block persistence. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (3). pp. 683-700. ISSN 2698-4016 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-683-2023

Tan, Y., Zhang, W., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Guo, Y. and Hoitink, A. J. F. (2023) Storm surge variability and prediction from ENSO and tropical cyclones. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (2). 024016. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb1c8

Tang, H., Wang, J., Chen, Y., Tett, S. F. B., Sun, Y., Cheng, L., Sparrow, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2023) Human contribution to the risk of 2021 northwestern Pacific concurrent marine and terrestrial summer heat. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (3). E673-E679. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0238.1

Teleti, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-8488, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Wood, K. R. (2023) Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks. Geoscience Data Journal. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.222

Tett, S. F. B., Cha, Y., Donovan, K., Geffers, G.-M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The impact of an extreme cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (10). E1807-E1816. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0196.1

Volonté, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Gray, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X, Clark, P. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1001-9226, Martínez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379 and Ackerley, D. (2023) Strong surface winds in Storm Eunice. Part 1: storm overview and indications of sting-jet activity from observations and model data. Weather. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4402

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Wan, Z. (2023) Changing trend of temperature in nanjing and its correlation with some human activities in recent 41 years. Theoretical and Natural Science, 7 (1). pp. 92-99. ISSN 2753-8826 doi: https://doi.org/10.54254/2753-8818/7/20230118

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Allen, R. J., Samset, B. H., Bollasina, M. A., Griffiths, P. T., Keeble, J. M., Lund, M. T., Makkonen, R., Merikanto, J., O'Donnell, D., Paynter, D. J., Persad, G. G., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Takemura, T., Tsigaridis, K., Undorf, S. and Westervelt, D. M. (2023) The regional aerosol model intercomparison project (RAMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15). pp. 4451-4479. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2022-249

Wilder, T., Zhai, X., Munday, D. and Joshi, M. (2023) Constraining an eddy energy dissipation rate due to relative wind stress for use in energy budget-based eddy parameterisations. Ocean Science, 19 (6). pp. 1669-1686. ISSN 1812-0792 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1669-2023

Wouters, J., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2023) Rare event simulation of extreme European winter rainfall in an intermediate complexity climate model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15 (4). e2022MS003537. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003537

Xavier, P., Willett, M., Graham, T., Earnshaw, P., Copsey, D., Narayan, N., Marzin, C., Zhu, H., Sellar, A., Ackerley, D., Blockley, E., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Bushell, A., Choi, N., Chua, X. R., Guiavarc’h, C., Hassim, M., Heming, J., Hudson, D., Ineson, S., Jones, C., Keane, R. J., Kim, K., Kim, J., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, In Lee, M., Le, C., Martin, G., Mccabe, A., Moise, A., Ridley, J., Robert, L., Sahany, S., Schiemann, R. K. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Storkey, D., Tennant, W., Tomassini, L., Tsushima, Y., Weedon, G. P., West, A., Wheeler, M., Zhou, X. and Zhu, H., (2023) Assessment of the Met Office Global Coupled model version 5 (GC5)configurations. Report. Met Office, Exeter. pp41.

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Hodges, K. (2023) Seasonal and interannual variation of equatorial waves in ERA5 and GloSea5. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (752). pp. 1109-1134. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/QJ.4460

Yao, Y., Zhang, Y., Hodges, K. I. and Tamarin-Brodsky, T. (2023) Different propagation mechanisms of deep and shallow wintertime extratropical cyclones over the North Pacific. Journal of Climate, 36 (23). pp. 8277-8297. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0674.1

Yule, E. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-2217, Hegerl, G., Schurer, A. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (7). e1159. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.1159

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2023) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Zhang, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wen, Z., Guo, Y. and Chen, X. (2023) Relationship between the AMOC and the multidecadal variability of the midlatitude southern Indian Ocean. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8761-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0198.1

Zhang, S., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sheng, C. (2023) Decadal modulation of the relationship between tropical southern Atlantic SST and subsequent ENSO by Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (20). e2023GL104878. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104878

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T., Latif, M., Song, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4105-8682, Park, W. and Reintges, A. (2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1

Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lai, M., Mecking, J., Yeager, S. and Petit, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7922-9363 (2023) Large diversity in AMOC internal variability across NEMO-based climate models. Climate Dynamics. ISSN 1432-0894 (In Press)

Zhao, Z., Guo, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Zhu, J., Luo, N. and Gao, Z. (2023) A clustering-based multi-model ensemble projection of near-term precipitation changes over East China and its uncertainty. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094050. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acef40

Zhong, R., Yang, Q., Hodges, K., Wu, R. and Chen, D. (2023) Impact of data resolution on tracking Southern Ocean cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, 151 (1). pp. 3-22. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0121.1

2022

Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, de Abreu, R. C. and , ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2022) Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Climate Dynamics, 58. pp. 3105-3119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2 (Abatan, A.A., Tett, S.F.B., Dong, B. et al. Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Clim Dyn (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06091-2)

Andrews, T., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Gregory, J. M., Dong, Y., Armour, K. C., Paynter, D., Lin, P., Modak, A., Mauritsen, T., Cole, J. N. S., Medeiros, B., Benedict, J. J., Douville, H., Roehrig, R., Koshiro, T., Kawai, H., Ogura, T., Dufresne, J.-L., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2022) On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback. Journal of Geophysical Research, 127 (18). e2022JD036675. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036675

Athanasiadis, P. J., Ogawa, F., Omrani, N.-E., Keenlyside, N., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Vidale, P. L., Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Haarsma, R., Roberts, M., Roberts, C., Novak, L. and Gualdi, S. (2022) Mitigating climate biases in the mid-latitude North Atlantic by increasing model resolution: SST gradients and their relation to blocking and the jet. Journal of Climate, 35 (21). pp. 3379-3400. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0515.1

Ayesiga, G., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Williams, C. J. R., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Stratton, R. and Roberts, M. (2022) Linking Equatorial African precipitation to Kelvin wave processes in the CP4-Africa convection-permitting regional climate simulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 79 (5). pp. 1271-1289. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0039.1

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350 (2022) Tropical cyclones: global decline in frequency. Nature Climate Change, 12. pp. 615-617. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01414-5

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Befort, D. J., Hodges, K. I. and Weisheimer, A. (2022) Seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones over the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific: dependence on model, resolution and stochastic physics. Journal of Climate, 35 (5). pp. 1385-1397. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0041.1

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Bhatia, K., Baker, A., Yang, W., Vecchi, G., Knutson, T., Murakami, H., Kossin, J., Hodges, K., Dixon, K., Bronselaer, B. and Whitlock, C. (2022) A potential explanation for the global increase in tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 6626. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-34321-6

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Deakin, M. and Greenwood, D. (2022) Hourly historical and near-future weather and climate variables for energy system modelling. Earth System Science Data, 14 (6). pp. 2749-2766. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-2749-2022

Bollasina, M. A. and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2022) Atmospheric and oceanic dynamical responses to changes in aerosol. In: Carslaw, K. S. (ed.) Aerosols and Climate. Elsevier, pp. 545-570. ISBN 9780128197660 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-819766-0.00018-3

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Bresson, H., Hodges, K. I., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Zappa, G. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2022) The response of Northern Hemisphere polar lows to climate change in a 25 km high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127 (4). e2021JD035610. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035610

Castillo, J. M., Lewis, H. W., Mishra, A., Mitra, A., Polton, J., Brereton, A., Saulter, A., Arnold, A., Berthou, S., Clark, D., Crook, J., Das, A., Edwards, J., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Gupta, A., Joseph, S., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Momin, I., Pequignet, C., Sanchez, C., Saxby, J. and Valdivieso da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016 (2022) The Regional Coupled Suite (RCS-IND1): application of a flexible regional coupled modelling framework to the Indian region at km scale. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (10). pp. 4193-4223. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4193-2022

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Guo, L., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989, Guimarães, B. S., Coelho, C. A. S., Kubota, P. Y., Young, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Baker, J. C. A. and Vidale, P. L. (2022) Subseasonal prediction performance for South American land–atmosphere coupling in extended austral summer. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (1). e28. ISSN 2692-4587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/cli2.28

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2021

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Baldini, J. U.L., Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F.M., van Hunen, J., Baldini, L. M., Wynn, P. M., Jamieson, R. A., Ridley, H. E., Baker, A. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Walczak, I. W. and Fohlmeister, J. (2021) Detecting and quantifying palaeoseasonality in stalagmites using geochemical and modelling approaches. Quaternary Science Reviews, 254. 106784. ISSN 0277-3791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106784

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Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Mathiot, P., Siahaan, A., Lee, V., Cornford, S. L., Gregory, J. M., Payne, A. J., Jenkins, A., Holland, P. R., Ridley, J. K. and Jones, C. G. (2021) Coupling the U.K. Earth System Model to dynamic models of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13 (10). e2021MS002520. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002520

Talib, J., Taylor, C.M., Duan, A. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2021) Intraseasonal soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks on the Tibetan Plateau circulation. Journal of Climate, 34 (5). pp. 1789-1807. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0377.1

Tan, M. L., Liang, J., Samat, N., Chan, N. W., Haywood, J. M. and Hodges, K. (2021) Hydrological extremes and responses to climate change in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia, based on the CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Water, 13 (11). 1472. ISSN 2073-4441 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/w13111472

Taye, M. T., Dyer, E., Charles, K. J. and Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 (2021) Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: understanding local variations and their implications for water management decisions. Science of the Total Environment, 755 (Part 1). 142604. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142604

Thomas, S., Nicolau, S., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2021) How well do atmospheric reanalyses reproduce observed winds in coastal regions of Mexico? Meteorological Applications, 28 (5). e2023. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2023

Thomas, S. R., Martinez-Alvarado, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5285-0379, Drew, D. and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2021) Drivers of extreme wind events in Mexico for wind power applications. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (S1). E2321-E2340. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6848

Torres-Alavez, A., Glazer, R., Giorgi, F., Coppola, E., Gao, X., Hodges, K., Das, S., Ashfaq, M., Reale, M. and Sines, T. (2021) Future projections in tropical cyclone activity over multiple CORDEX domains from RegCM4 CORDEX-CORE simulations. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 1507-1531. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05728-6

Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Peatman, S. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2511-7649 and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2021) The influence of air‐sea coupling on forecasts of the 2016 Indian summer monsoon and its intraseasonal variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (734). pp. 202-228. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3914

Vidale, P. L., Hodges, K., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Davini, P., Roberts, M. J., Strommen, K., Weisheimer, A., Plesca, E. and Corti, S. (2021) Impact of stochastic physics and model resolution on the simulation of tropical cyclones in climate GCMs. Journal of Climate, 34 (11). pp. 4315-4341. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0507.1

Villafuerte II, M. Q., Lambrento, J. C. R., Hodges, K. I., Cruz, F. T., Cinco, T. A. and Narisma, G. T. (2021) Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to convective parameterization schemes in RegCM4. Climate Dynamics, 56. pp. 1625-1642. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05553-3

Volonte, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0278-952X, Muetzelfeldt, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6851-7351, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2021) Magnitude, scale, and dynamics of the 2020 Mei Yu rains and floods over China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 38. pp. 2082-2096. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-1085-z

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (9). pp. 2339-2357. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-21-0017.1

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Finney, D. L., Kilavi, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Marsham, J. H. (2021) Extreme rainfall in East Africa October 2019 – January 2020 and context under future climate change. Weather, 76 (1). pp. 26-31. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3824

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, J. H., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Future changes in seasonality in Eastern Africa from regional simulations with explicit and parametrised convection. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1367-1385. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0450.1

Wang, B., Biasutti, M., Byrne, M. P., Castro, C., Chang, C.-P., Cook, K., Fu, R., Grimm, A. M., Ha, K.-J., Hendon, H., Kitoh, A., Krishnan, R., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Liu, J., Moise, A., Pascale, S., Roxy, M. K., Seth, A., Sui, C.-H., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Yang, S., Yun, K.-S., Zhang, L. and Zhou, T. (2021) Monsoons climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (1). E1-E19. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1

Wang, J., Church, J. A., Zhang, X., Gregory, J. M., Zanna, L. and Chen, X. (2021) Evaluation of the local sea-level budget at tide gauges since 1958. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (20). e2021GL094502. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094502

Wohland, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8336-0009, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Pfenninger, S. (2021) Mitigating a century of European renewable variability with transmission and informed siting. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (6). 064026. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abff89

Wu, Q., Zhang, X., Church, J. A., Hu, J. and Gregory, J. M. (2021) Evolving patterns of sterodynamic sea-level rise under mitigation scenarios and insights from linear system theory. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 635-656. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05727-7

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Ferrett, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4726-847X, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2021) Real-time identification of equatorial waves and evaluation of waves in global forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 171-193. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0144.1

Yool, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9879-2776, Palmiéri, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0226-5243, Jones, C. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7221-8127, de Mora, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5080-3149, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E. E., Nurser, A. J. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8653-9258, Hirschi, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1481-3697, Blaker, A. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5454-0131, Coward, A. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9111-7700, Blockley, E. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0489-4238 and Sellar, A. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2955-7254 (2021) Evaluating the physical and biogeochemical state of the global ocean component of UKESM1 in CMIP6 historical simulations. Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (6). pp. 3437-3472. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3437-2021

Zanchettin, D., Bruni, S., Raicich, F., Lionello, P., Adloff, F., Androsov, A., Antonioli, F., Artale, V., Carminati, E., Ferrarin, C., Fofonova, F., Nicholls, R. J., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Sannino, G., Spada, G., Thiéblemont, R., Tsimplis, M., Umgiesser, G., Vignudelli, S., Wöppelmann, G. and Zerbini, S. (2021) Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article). Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 21 (8). pp. 2463-2678. ISSN 1684-9981 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Zhang, B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Jin, R. (2021) Forced decadal changes in summer precipitation characteristics over China: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34 (6). pp. 1226-1241. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-020-0060-4

Zhang, J., Furtado, K., Turnock, S. T., Mulcahy, J. P., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Booth, B. B., Sexton, D., Wu, T., Zhang, F. and Liu, Q. (2021) The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth System Models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21 (24). pp. 18609-18627. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-18609-2021

Zhang, L., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N. J., Paynter, D. J., Hu, S., Bollasina, M., Li, D., Shonk, J. K. P. and Zou, L. (2021) Future changes in Beijing haze events under different anthropogenic aerosol emission scenarios. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21. pp. 7499-7514. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-7499-2021

Zhao, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2021) Interdecadal weakening of the cross-equatorial flows over the Maritime Continent during the boreal summer in the mid-1990s: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 57. pp. 55-72. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05692-1

Zika, J. D., Gregory, J. M., McDonagh, E. L., Marzocchi, A. and Clement, L. (2021) Recent water mass changes reveal mechanisms of ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 34 (9). pp. 3461-3479. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0355.1

de Andrade, F. M., Young, M. P., MacLeod, D., Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2021) Subseasonal precipitation prediction for Africa: forecast evaluation and sources of predictability. Weather and Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 265-284. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0054.1

van der Schrier, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7395-8023, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Osso, A., Sousa, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0296-4204, Van de Vyver, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7142-4693, Van Schaeybroeck, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9507-7929, Coscarelli, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2779-1100, Pasqua, A. A., Petrucci, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6918-1135, Curley, M., Mietus, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9488-071X, Filipiak, J., Štěpánek, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8956-5590, Zahradníček, P., Brázdil, R., Řezníčková, L., van den Besselaar, E. J. M., Trigo, R. and Aguilar, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8384-377X (2021) The 1921 European drought: impacts, reconstruction and drivers. Climate of the Past, 17 (5). pp. 2201-2221. ISSN 1814-9332 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2201-2021

2020

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Barlow, M., Byrne, M. P., Cherchi, A., Douville, H., Fowler, H. J., Gan, T. Y., Pendergrass, A. G., Rosenfeld, D., Swann, A. L. S., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Zolina, O. (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472 (1). pp. 49-75. ISSN 1749-6632 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14337

Andrews, M. B., Ridley, J. K., Wood, R. A., Andrews, T., Blockley, E. W., Booth, B., Burke, E., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Florek, P., Gray, L. J., Haddad, S., Hardiman, S. C., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Hogan, E., Jones, G. S., Knight, J. R., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Misios, S., Mizielinski, M. S., Ringer, M. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2020) Historical simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 for CMIP6. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (6). e2019MS001995. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001995

Andrews, T., Andrews, M. B., Bodas‐Salcedo, A., Jones, G. S., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Manners, J., Menary, M. B., Ridley, J., Ringer, M. A., Sellar, A. A., Senior, C. A. and Tang, Y. (2020) Forcings, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in HadGEM3‐GC3.1 and UKESM1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4377-4394. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001866

Archibald, A. T., O'Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Archer-Nicholls, S., P. Chipperfield, M., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Dennison, F., Dhomse, S. S., Griffiths, P. T., Hardacre, C., Hewitt, A. J., Hill, R. S., Johnson, C. E., Keeble, J., Köhler, M. O., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J. P., Ordóñez, C., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Pope, R. J., Russo, M. R., Savage, N. H., Sellar, A., Stringer, M., Wild, O., Turnock, S. T. and Zeng, G. (2020) Description and evaluation of the UKCA stratosphere–troposphere chemistry scheme (StratTrop vn 1.0) implemented in UKESM1. Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (3). pp. 1223-1266. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-1223-2020

Bador, M., Boé, J., Terray, L., Alexander, L. V., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Bellucci, A., Haarsma, R., Koenigk, T., Moine, M.-P., Lohmann, K., Putrasahan, D. A., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Scoccimarro, E., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Seddon, J., Senan, R., Valcke, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2020) Impact of higher spatial atmospheric resolution on precipitation extremes over land in global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (3). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jd032184

Barton, E. J., Taylor, C. M., Parker, D. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Belusic, D., Boeing, S. J., Brooke, J. K., Harlow, R. C., Harris, P. P., Hunt, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Jayakumar, A. and Mitra, A. K. (2020) A case-study of land-atmosphere coupling during monsoon onset in northern India. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2891-2905. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3538

Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Fan, L., Wigneron, J. P., Weber, U., Reichstein, M., Fu, Z., Anthoni, P., Arneth, A., Haverd, V., Jain, A. K., Joetzjer, E., Knauer, J., Lienert, S., Loughran, T., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Tian, H., Viovy, N. and Zaehle, S. (2020) Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity. Science Advances, 6 (24). eaba2724. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2724

Bevacqua, E., Vousdoukas, M. I., Zappa, G., Hodges, K., Shepherd, T. G., Maraun, D., Mentaschi, L. and Feyen, L. (2020) More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment, 1 (1). 47. ISSN 2662-4435 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00044-z

Bloch-Johnson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8465-5383, Rugenstein, M. and Abbot, D. S. (2020) Spatial radiative feedbacks from internal variability using multiple regression. Journal of Climate, 33 (10). pp. 4121-4140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0396.1

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Charlton-Perez, A. J. (2020) Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1858. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858

Boult, V. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7572-5469, Asfaw, D. T., Young, M., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Mwangi, E., Ambani, M., Waruru, S., Otieno, G., Todd, M. C. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2020) Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action. Meteorological Applications, 27 (5). e1959. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1959

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Ryu, Y., Chen, Q., De Kauwe, M. G. and Baldocchi, D. (2020) Influence of sun zenith angle on canopy clumping and the resulting impacts on photosynthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291. 108065. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108065

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Halford, A., Smith, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5053-4639 and Kjeld, J. (2020) Quantifying the potential for improved management of weather risk using subseasonal forecasting: the case of UK telecommunications infrastructure. Meteorological Applications, 27 (1). e1849. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1849

Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Drew, D. R. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2020) Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design. Renewable Energy, 150. pp. 509-522. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.12.082

Collins, M., Barreiro, M., Frölicher, T., Kang, S., Karumuri, A., Roxy Koll, M., Singh, D., Tedeschi, R. G., Wang, G., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Wu, B. (2020) Frontiers in climate predictions and projections. Frontiers in climate, 2. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2020.571245

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 7 (2). pp. 116-134. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.93

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774 and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2020) Monsoon‐induced zonal asymmetries in moisture transport cause anomalous Pacific precipitation minus evaporation. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (18). e2020GL088. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088659

Cui, J., Piao, S., Huntingford, C., Wang, X., Lian, X., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Kooperman, G. J. (2020) Vegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO2-enriched climate. Nature Communications, 11. 5184. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18992-7

Di Capua, G., Runge, J., Donner, R. V., van den Hurk, B., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. and Coumou, D. (2020) Dominant patterns of boreal summer interactions between tropics and mid-latitude: causal relationships and the role of timescales. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2). pp. 519-539. ISSN 2698-4024 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-519-2020

Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, C. J., Andrews, M. B. and Forster, P. M. (2020) Sensitivity of historical climate simulations to uncertain aerosol forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13). e2019GL085806. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085806

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2020) Attribution of 2012 extreme climate events: does air-sea interaction matter? Climate Dynamics, 55 (5-6). pp. 1225-1245. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05321-3

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Emerton, R., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Ficchi, A., Hawker, L., de Wit, S., Speight, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8700-157X, Prudhomme, C., Rundell, P., West, R., Neal, J., Cuna, J., Harrigan, S., Titley, H., Magnusson, L., Pappenberger, F., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Stephens, L. (2020) Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: a critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 50. 101811. ISSN 2212-4209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101811

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Eunice Lo, Y. T., Mitchell, D. M., Bohnenstengel, S. I., Collins, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G. C., Joshi, M. and Stott, P. A. (2020) U.K. climate projections: Summer daytime and nighttime urban heat island changes in England’s major cities. Journal of Climate, 33 (20). pp. 9015-9030. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0961.1

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Hodges, K. and Guo, Y.-P. (2020) Western North Pacific tropical cyclones in the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System: performance and ENSO teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 33 (24). pp. 10489-10504. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0255.1

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Goelzer, H., Noël, B. P. Y., Edwards, T. L., Fettweis, X., Gregory, J. M., Lipscomb, W. H., van de Wal, R. S. W. and van den Broeke, M. R. (2020) Remapping of Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance anomalies for large ensemble sea-level change projections. The Cryosphere, 14 (6). pp. 1747-1762. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-1747-2020

Gramcianinov, C. B., Campos, R. M., de Camargo, R., Hodges, K., Guedes Soares, C. and da Silva Dias, P. L. (2020) Analysis of Atlantic extratropical storm tracks characteristics in 41 years of ERA5 and CFSR/CFSv2 databases. Ocean Engineering, 216. 108111. ISSN 0029-8018 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2020.108111

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Gregory, J. M., Andrews, T., Ceppi, P., Mauritsen, T. and Webb, M. J. (2020) How accurately can the climate sensitivity to CO₂ be estimated from historical climate change? Climate Dynamics, 54 (1-2). pp. 129-157. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04991-y

Guimarães, B. S., Coelho, C. A. S., Woolnough, S., J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Kubota, P. Y., Bastarz, C. F., Figueroa, S. N., Bonatti, J. P. and Souza, D. C. (2020) Configuration and hindcast quality assessment of a brazilian global sub‐seasonal prediction system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1067-1084. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3725

Guo, Y.-P., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Tan, Z.-M. (2020) Impact of Indo-Pacific warm pool Hadley circulation on the seasonal forecast performance for summer precipitation over the western North Pacific. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (10). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba97c

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Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Sanchez, C. and Schaefler, A. (2020) Diabatic generation of negative potential vorticity and its impact on the North Atlantic jet stream. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (728). pp. 1477-1497. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3747

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Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502 and Bartholomew, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603 (2020) cfdm: a Python reference implementation of the CF data model. Journal of Open Source Software, 5 (54). 2717. ISSN 2475-9066 doi: https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.02717

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Hazra, V., Pattnaik, S., Sisodiya, A., Baisya, H., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Bhat, G. S. (2020) Assessing the performance of cloud microphysical parameterization over the Indian region: simulation of monsoon depressions and validation with INCOMPASS observations. Atmospheric Research, 239. 104925. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104925

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Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675, Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Hendry, M. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3941-7543, Saunders, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2788-6134, Wang, Z. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8355-2454, Jeoffrion, M., Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460, McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Bohnenstengel, S. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6170-5774, Ward, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8881-185X and Kotthaus, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4051-0705 (2020) Urban signals in high-resolution weather and climate simulations: role of urban land-surface characterisation. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 142. pp. 701-728. ISSN 0177-798X doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03294-1

Hewitt, H. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7432-6001, Roberts, M., Mathiot, P., Biastoch, A., Blockley, E., Chassignet, E. P., Fox-Kemper, B., Hyder, P., Marshall, D. P., Popova, E., Treguier, A.-M., Zanna, L., Yool, A., Yu, Y., Beadling, R., Bell, M., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Arsouze, T., Bellucci, A., Castruccio, F., Gan, B., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, C. D., Van Roekel, L. and Zhang, Q. (2020) Resolving and parameterising the ocean mesoscale in earth system models. Current Climate Change Reports, 6. pp. 137-152. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00164-w

Hoskins, B. J., Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Fonseca, R. M. (2020) The detailed dynamics of the June–August Hadley Cell. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (727). pp. 557-575. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3702

Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2020) Tracing future spring and summer drying in southern Africa to tropical lows and the Congo Air Boundary. Journal of Climate, 33 (14). pp. 6205-6228. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0755.1

Huang, W. T. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4292-2105, Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Neal, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2678-6016, Sarran, C. and Sun, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-6146 (2020) Weather regimes and patterns associated with temperature-related excess mortality in the UK: a pathway to sub-seasonal risk forecasting. Environmental Research Letters, 15 (12). 124052. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abcbba

Huang, X., Zhou, T., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Dai, A., Chen, X., Clark, R., Jiang, J., Man, W., Murphy, J., Rostron, J., Wu, B., Zhang, L., Zhang, W. and Zou, L. (2020) The recent decline and recovery of Indian summer monsoon rainfall: relative roles of external forcing and internal variability. Journal of Climate, 33 (12). pp. 5035-5060. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0833.1

Jayakumar, A., Abel, S. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Mohandas, S., Sethunadh, J., O'Sullivan, D., Mitra, A. K. and Rajagopal, E. N. (2020) Performance of the NCMRWF convection-permitting model during contrasting monsoon phases of the 2016 INCOMPASS field campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731). pp. 2928-2948. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3689

Jiang, X., Adames, Á. F., Kim, D., Maloney, E. D., Lin, H., Kim, H., Zhang, C., DeMott, C. A. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2020) Fifty years of research on the Madden-Julian Oscillation: recent progress, challenges and perspectives. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125 (17). e2019JD030911. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030911

Juckes, M., Taylor, K. E., Durack, P. J., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Mizielinski, M. S., Pamment, A., Peterschmitt, J.-Y., Rixen, M. and Sénési, S. (2020) The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31). Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (1). pp. 201-224. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

Kershaw, P., Halsall, K., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bennett, V., Donegan, S., Iwi, A., Juckes, M., Pechorro, E., Petrie, R., Singleton, J., Stephens, A., Waterfall, A., Wilson, A. and Wood, A. (2020) Developing an open data portal for the ESA climate change initiative. Data Science Journal, 19 (1). ISSN 1683-1470 doi: https://doi.org/10.5334/dsj-2020-016

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Demott, C. A. (2020) Mean-state biases and interannual variability affect perceived sensitivities of the Madden-Julian oscillation to air-sea coupling. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12 (2). e2019MS001799. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001799

Krishnan, S., Ekman, A. M. L., Hansson, H.-C., Riipinen, I., Lewinschal, A., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Dallafior, T. (2020) The roles of the atmosphere and ocean in driving Arctic warming due to European aerosol reductions. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (7). e2019GL086681. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086681

Lee, J. C. K., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 and Boxall, L. J. (2020) The links between the Madden-Julian oscillation and European weather regimes. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 141 (1-2). pp. 567-586. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03223-2

Lehner, F., Deser, C., Maher, N., Marotzke, J., Fischer, E. M., Brunner, L., Knutti, R. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6. Earth System Dynamics, 11 (2). pp. 491-508. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020

Lin, Z., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Wen, Z. (2020) The effects of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols on the inter-decadal change of the South China Sea summer monsoon in the late twentieth century. Climate Dynamics, 54 (7-8). pp. 3339-3354. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05175-9

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Zhou, T., Zhang, W., Zhang, L., Zhang, X., Qian, Y., Peng, D., Ma, S. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) The dynamic and thermodynamic processes dominating the reduction of global land monsoon precipitation driven by anthropogenic aerosols emission. Science China Earth Sciences, 63 (7). pp. 919-933. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-019-9613-9

de Mora, L., Sellar, A. A., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Parker, R. J., Walton, J., Blackford, J. C. and Jones, C. G. (2020) Earth system music: music generated from the United Kingdom Earth System Model (UKESM1). Geoscience Communications, 3 (2). pp. 263-278. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-263-2020

2019

Asher, C., Britton, B., Coe, H., Collins, M., Few, S., Finlayson, B., Gilbert, A., Graven, H., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Haigh, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Highwood, E., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Marshall, S., Marsham, J., Shepherd, J., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Woolings, T. (2019) 30-second climate: the 50 most topical features, measurements and phenomena, each explained in half a minute. Ivy Press. ISBN 9781782405504

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. I., Demory, M.-E., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Strachan, J. and Vidale, P. L. (2019) Enhanced climate change response of wintertime North Atlantic circulation, cyclonic activity and precipitation in a 25 km-resolution global atmospheric model. Journal of Climate, 32 (22). pp. 7763-7781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1

Beverley, J. D., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Johnson, S. J. and Weisheimer, A. (2019) The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 3729-3771. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4371-4

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M., Bouttes, N., Palmer, M. D. and Stott, P. (2019) Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure. Climate Dynamics, 53. pp. 5389-5413. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Boult, V. L., Fishlock, V., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Moss, C., Lee, P. C. and Sibly, R. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6828-3543 (2019) Human‐driven habitat conversion is a more immediate threat to Amboseli elephants than climate change. Conservation Science and Practice, 1 (9). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2578-4854 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.87

Braghiere, R. K., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, He, L. and Chen, J. M. (2019) Underestimation of global photosynthesis in Earth System Models due to representation of vegetation structure. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33 (11). pp. 1358-1369. ISSN 1944-9224 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006135

Brooks, J., Allan, J. D., Williams, P. I., Liu, D., Fox, C., Haywood, J., Langridge, J. M., Highwood, E. J., Kompalli, S. K., O'Sullivan, D., Babu, S. S., Satheesh, S. K., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Coe, H. (2019) Vertical and horizontal distribution of sub-micron aerosol chemical composition and physical characteristics across Northern India, during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 5615-5634. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2018-1109

Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. M. (2019) A refined model for the Earth's global energy balance. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4781-4797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04825-x

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Aldridge, R. W., Grams, C. M. and Lee, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2019) Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland blocking weather regime. Weather and Climate Extremes, 25. 100218. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2019) Anthropogenic impacts on recent decadal change in temperature extremes over China: relative roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4342-9

Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Luo, F., Dunstone, N. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Attribution of recent trends in temperature extremes over China: role of changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions over Asia. Journal Of Climate, 32. pp. 7539-7560. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0777.1

Chen, Y., Chen, W., Su, Q., Luo, F., Sparrow, S., Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tett, S., Lott, F. and Wallom, D. (2019) Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017-like heat waves over Central-Eastern China. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0087.1

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Martin, G. M. and MacLachlan, C. (2019) Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2). Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6599-6617. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4536-1

Curio, J., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Hodges, K. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) Climatology of Tibetan Plateau Vortices in reanalysis data and a high-resolution global climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1933-1950. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0021.1

Czaja, A., Frankignoul, C., Minobe, S. and Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X (2019) Simulating the midlatitude atmospheric circulation: what might we gain from high-resolution modeling of air-sea interactions? Current Climate Change Reports, 5. pp. 390-406. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5

Demott, C. A., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Tseng, W.-L., Burt, M. A., Gao, Y. and Randall, D. A. (2019) The convection connection: how ocean feedbacks affect tropical mean moisture and MJO propagation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 124 (22). pp. 11910-11931. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031015

Dentith, J. E., Ivanovic, R. F., Gregoire, L. J., Tindall, J. C. and Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2019) Ocean circulation drifts in multi-millennial climate simulations: the role of salinity corrections and climate feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 52 (3-4). pp. 1761-1781. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4243-y

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Highwood, E. J. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Impacts of recent decadal changes in Asian aerosols on the East Asian summer monsoon: roles of aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3235-3256. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0 (Dong, B., Wilcox, L.J., Highwood, E.J. et al. Clim Dyn (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04698-0)

Drew, D. R., Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. F. and Richards, A. (2019) Sunny windy Sundays. Renewable Energy, 138. pp. 870-875. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.029

Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. I. (2019) The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the prediction of 2016 western North Pacific tropical cyclones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (723). pp. 2425-2444. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3571

Franco-Díaz, A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L., Guo, L. and Demory, M.-E. (2019) The contribution of tropical cyclones to the atmospheric branch of Middle America's hydrological cycle using observed and reanalysis tracks. Climate Dynamics, 53 (9-10). pp. 6145-6158. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04920-z

Friedlingstein, P., Jones, M. W., O'Sullivan, M., Andrew, R. M., Hauck, J., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Sitch, S., Le Quéré, C., Bakker, D. C. E., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Anthoni, P., Barbero, L., Bastos, A., Bastrikov, V., Becker, M., Bopp, L., Buitenhuis, E., Chandra, N., Chevalier, F., Chini, L. P., Currie, K. I., Feely, R. A., Gehlen, M., Gilfillan, D., Gkritzalis, T., Goll, D. S., Gruber, N., Gutekunst, S., Harris, I., Kato, E., Klein Goldewijk, K., Korsbakken, J. I., Landschützer, P., Lauvset, S. K., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Marland, G., McGuire, P. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6592-4966, Melton, J. R., Metzl, N., Munro, D. R., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Nakaoka, S.-I., Neill, C., Omar, A. M., Ono, T., Peregon, A., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rödenbeck, C., Séférian, R., Schwinger, J., Smith, N., Tans, P. P., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tubiello, F. N., ven der Werf, G. R., Wiltshire, A. J. and Zaehle, S. (2019) Global carbon budget 2019. Earth System Science Data, 11 (4). pp. 1783-1838. ISSN 1866-3516 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1783-2019

Gao, Y., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, DeMott, C. A., Hsu, P.-C. and Klingaman, N. (2019) Diagnosing ocean feedbacks to the BSISO: SST-modulated surface fluxes and the moist static energy budget. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (1). pp. 146-170. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029303

Gillett, Z. E., Arblaster, J. M., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Deushi, M., Jöckel, P., Kinnison, D. E., Morgenstern, O., Plummer, D. A., Revell, L. E., Rozanov, E., Schofield, R., Stenke, A., Stone, K. A. and Tilmes, S. (2019) Evaluating the relationship between interannual variations in the Antarctic ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere surface climate in chemistry-climate models. Journal of Climate, 32 (11). pp. 3131-3151. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0273.1

Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Zappa, G. (2019) The contribution of North Atlantic atmospheric circulation shifts to future wind speed projections for wind power over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4095-4113. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04776-3

Goodess, C. M., Troccoli, A., Acton, C., Anel, J. A., Bett, P. E., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, De Felice, M., Dorling, S. E., Dubus, L., Penny, L., Percy, B., Ranchin, T., Thomas, C., Trolliet, M. and Wald, L. (2019) Advancing climate services for the European renewable energy sector through capacity building and user engagement. Climate Services, 16. 100139. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2019.100139

Gramcianinov, C. B., Hodges, K. I. and Camargo, R. (2019) The properties and genesis environments of South Atlantic cyclones. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 4115-4140. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04778-1

Gregory, J. M., Griffies, S. M., Hughes, C. W., Lowe, J. A., Church, J. A., Fukimori, I., Gomez, N., Kopp, R. E., Landerer, F., Le Cozannet, G., Ponte, R. M., Stammer, D., Tamisiea, M. E. and van de Wal, R. S. W. (2019) Concepts and terminology for sea level: mean, variability and change, both local and global. Surveys in Geophysics, 40 (6). pp. 1251-1289. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z

Guo, L., van der Ent, R., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Stephan, C. and Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221 (2019) Moisture sources for East Asian precipitation: mean seasonal cycle and interannual variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20. pp. 657-672. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0188.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Burt, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-6546, Brohan, P., Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Richardson, H., Roy, M. and Thomas, S. (2019) Hourly weather observations from the Scottish Highlands (1883–1904) rescued by volunteer citizen scientists. Geoscience Data Journal, 6 (2). pp. 160-173. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.79

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Fæhn, T. and Fuglestvedt, J. (2019) The climate spiral demonstrates the power of sharing creative ideas. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (5). pp. 753-756. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0228.1

Hilbers, A. P., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A. (2019) Importance subsampling: improving power system planning under climate-based uncertainty. Applied Energy, 251. 113114. ISSN 0306-2619 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.04.110

Hinkel, J., Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M., Lambert, E., Le Cozannet, G., Lowe, J., McInnes, K. L., Nicholls, R. J., van der Pol, T. D. and van de Wal, R. (2019) Meeting user needs for sea level rise information: a decision analysis perspective. Earth's Future. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001071

Hochet, A., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Ferreira, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3243-9774, Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2019) Isoneutral control of effective diapycnal mixing in numerical ocean models with neutral rotated diffusion tensors. Ocean Science, 15. pp. 21-23. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-21-2019

Hodges, K. I. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2019) Prediction errors of tropical cyclones in the western north Pacific in the Met Office global forecast model. Weather and Forecasting, 34 (5). pp. 1189-1209. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0005.1

Howard, E. and Washington, R. (2019) Drylines in Southern Africa: Rediscovering the Congo Air Boundary. Journal of Climate, 32 (23). pp. 8223-8242. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0437.1

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) The role of the subtropical jet in deficient winter precipitation across the mid-Holocene Indus basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (10). pp. 5452-5459. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL081920

Hunt, K. M. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1480-3755, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2019) Representation of western disturbances in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 1997-2011. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0420.1

Lakkis, G., Canziani, P., Yuchechen, A., Rocamora, L., Caferri, A., Hodges, K. and O'Neill, A. (2019) A 4D feature tracking algorithm: a multidimensional view of cyclone systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (719). pp. 395-417. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3436

Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Vitart, F. (2019) ENSO modulation of MJO teleconnections to the north Atlantic & Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (22). pp. 13535-13545. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084683

Lee, S. H., Charlton-Perez, A., Furtado, J. C. and Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2019) Abrupt stratospheric vortex weakening associated with North Atlantic anticyclonic wave breaking. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (15). pp. 8563-8575. ISSN 2169-897X doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030940

Lin, Y.-J., Hwang, Y.-T., Ceppi, P. and Gregory, J. (2019) Uncertainty in the evolution of climate feedback traced to the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (21). pp. 12331-12339. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083084

Liu, X., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Yin, Z., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Guo, Q. (2019) Continental drift, plateau uplift, and the evolutions of monsoon and arid regions in Asia, Africa, and Australia during the Cenozoic. Science China Earth Sciences, 62 (7). pp. 1053-1075. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-018-9337-8

Luo, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tian, F. and Li, S. (2019) Anthropogenically forced decadal change of South Asian summer monsoon across the mid‐1990s. JGR Atmospheres, 124 (2). pp. 806-824. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029195

MacDonald, A. M., Bell, R. A., Kebede, S., Azagegn, T., Yehualaeshet, T., Pichon, F., Young, M., McKenzie, A. A., Lapworth, D. J., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Calow, R. C. (2019) Groundwater and resilience to drought in the Ethiopian Highlands. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (9). 095003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab282f

Marchi, S., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Zunz, V., Tietsche, S., Day, J. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Reemergence of Antarctic sea ice predictability and its link to deep ocean mixing in global climate models. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 2775-2797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4292-2

Martin, G. M., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Comer, R. E., Dunstone, N. J., Scaife, A. A. and Zhang, D. (2019) Predictability of South China Sea summer monsoon onset. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 36 (3). pp. 253-260. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-8100-z

Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N. P., McCarthy, G. D., New, A. L. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2019) Insights into decadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and ocean heat content variability from an eddy-permitting coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (18). pp. 6137-6161. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0709.1

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Oudar, T. and Sanchez-Gomez, E. (2019) Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 52 (9-10). pp. 5947-5964. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4488-5

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Dunstone, N. (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Oliver, H., Shin, M., Matthews, D., Sanders, O., Bartholomew, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6180-3603, Clark, A., Fitzpatrick, B., van Haren, R., Hut, R. and Drost, N. (2019) Workflow automation for cycling systems. Computing in Science and Engineering, 21 (4). pp. 7-21. ISSN 1521-9615 doi: https://doi.org/10.1109/MCSE.2019.2906593

Parker, T., Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A., O'Reilly, C., Baker, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2019) Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (16). pp. 10159-10167. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084402

Peatman, S. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Hodges, K. I. (2019) Tropical cyclone-related precipitation over the northwest tropical Pacific in Met Office global operational forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 34 (4). pp. 923-941. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0017.1

Puy, M., Vialard, J., Lengaigne, M., Guilyardi, E., DiNezio, P. N., Voldoire, A., Balmaseda, M., Madec, G., Menkes, C. and Mcphaden, M. J. (2019) Influence of Westerly Wind Events stochasticity on El Niño amplitude: the case of 2014 vs. 2015. Climate Dynamics, 52 (12). pp. 7435-7454. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3938-9

Roberts, M. J., Baker, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Blockley, E. W., Calvert, D., Coward, A., Hewitt, H. T., Jackson, L. C., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Mathiot, P., Roberts, C. D., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Seddon, J., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X and Vidale, P. L. (2019) Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments. Geoscientific Model Development, 12 (12). pp. 4999-5028. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4999-2019

Samset, B. H., Lund, M. T., Bollasina, M. A., Myhre, G. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2019) Emerging Asian aerosol patterns. Nature Geoscience, 12. pp. 582-584. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0424-5

Scaife, A. A., Camp, J., Comer, R., Davis, P., Dunstone, N., Gordon, M., MacLachlan, C., Martin, N., Nie, Y., Ren, H.-L., Roberts, M., Robinson, W., Smith, D. and Vidale, P. L. (2019) Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? Atmospheric Science Letters, 20 (8). e922. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.922

Sellar, A. A., Jones, C. G., Mulcahy, J., Tang, Y., Yool, A., Wiltshire, A., O'Connor, F. M., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Palmieri, J., Woodward, S., De Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Rumbold, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R., Johnson, C. E., Walton, J., Abraham, N. L., Andrews, M. B., Andrews, T., Archibald, A. T., Berthou, S., Burke, E., Blockley, E., Carslaw, K., Dalvi, M., Edwards, J., Folberth, G. A., Gedney, N., Griffiths, P. T., Harper, A. B., Hendry, M. A., Hewitt, A. J., Johnson, B., Jones, A., Jones, C. D., Keeble, J., Liddicoat, S., Morgenstern, O., Parker, R. J., Predoi, V., Robertson, E., Siahaan, A., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Woodhouse, M. T., Zeng, G. and Zerroukat, M. (2019) UKESM1: description and evaluation of the UK Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (12). pp. 4513-4558. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001739

Shannon, S., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Wiltshire, A., Payne, T., Huss, M., Betts, R., Caesar, J., Koutroulis, A., Jones, D. and Harrison, S. (2019) Global glacier volume projections under high-end climate change scenarios. The Cryosphere, 13. pp. 325-350. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2018-35

Shonk, J. K. P., Chiu, J. Y. C., Marshak, A., Giles, D. M., Huang, C.-H., Mace, G. G., Benson, S., Slutsker, I. and Holben, B. N. (2019) The impact of neglecting ice phase on cloud optical depth retrievals from AERONET cloud mode observations. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 12 (9). pp. 5087-5099. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-12-5087-2019

Shonk, J. K. P., Demissie, T. D. and Toniazzo, T. (2019) A double ITCZ phenomenology of wind errors in the equatorial Atlantic in seasonal forecasts with ECMWF models. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 11383-11399. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-11383-2019

Sisodiya, A., Pattnaik, S., Baisya, H., Bhat, G. S. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) Simulation of location-specific severe thunderstorm events using high-resolution land data assimilation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 87. 101098. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.101098

Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Whitaker, J. S., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Giese, B. S., McColl, C., Allan, R., Yin, X., Vose, R., Titchner, H., Kennedy, J., Spencer, L. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Crouthamel, R., Domínguez‐Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jones, P. D., Jourdain, S., Kaplan, A., Kubota, H., Blancq, F. L., Lee, T.‐C., Lorrey, A., Luterbacher, J., Maugeri, M., Mock, C. J., Moore, G.W. K., Przybylak, R., Pudmenzky, C., Reason, C., Slonosky, V. C., Smith, C. A., Tinz, B., Trewin, B., Valente, M. A., Wang, X. L., Wilkinson, C., Wood, K. and Wyszyński, P. (2019) Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724). pp. 2876-2908. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3598

Stephan, C. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) A mechanism for the recently increased interdecadal variability of the Silk Road Pattern. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 717-736. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0405.1

Stevens, B., Satoh, M., Auger, L., Biercamp, J., Bretherton, C. S., Chen, X., Düben, P., Judt, F., Khairoutdinov, M., Klocke, D., Kodama, C., Kornblueh, L., Lin, S.-J., Neumann, P., Putman, W. M., Röber, N., Shibuya, R., Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Vidale, P. L., Wedi, N. and Zhou, L. (2019) DYAMOND: the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 6. 61. ISSN 2197-4284 doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-019-0304-z

Stone, D. A., Christidis, N., Folland, C., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Perlwitz, J., Shiogama, H., Wehner, M. F., Wolski, P., Cholia, S., Krishnan, H., Murray, D., Angélil, O., Beyerle, U., Ciavarella, A., Dittus, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Quan, X.-W. and Tadross, M. (2019) Experiment design of the International CLIVAR C20C+ Detection and Attribution project. Weather and Climate Extremes, 24. 100206. ISSN 2212-0947 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100206

Storer, L. N., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Gill, P. G. (2019) Aviation turbulence: dynamics, forecasting, and response to climate change. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 176 (5). pp. 2081-2095. ISSN 0033-4553 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-018-1822-0

Su, Q. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2019) Projected near-term changes in three types of heat waves over China under RCP4.5. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 3751-3769. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04743-y

Su, Q. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2019) Recent decadal changes in heat waves over China: drivers and mechanisms. Journal of Climate, 32 (14). pp. 4215-4234. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0479.1

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Climate science needs to take risk assessment much more seriously. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9). pp. 1637-1642. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0280.1

Tamarin-Brodsky, T., Hodges, K., Hoskins, B. J. and Shepherd, T. G. (2019) A dynamical perspective on atmospheric temperature variability and its response to climate change. Journal of Climate, 32 (6). pp. 1707-1724. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0462.1

Thornton, H. E., Scaife, A., Hoskins, B., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Smith, D., Dunstone, N., Stringer, N. and Bett, P. E. (2019) Skilful seasonal prediction of winter gas demand. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (2). 024009. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf338

Vanniere, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-400X, Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Roberts, M. J., Roberts, C. D., Matsueda, M., Terray, L., Koenigk, T. and Senan, R. (2019) Multi-model evaluation of the sensitivity of the global energy budget and hydrological cycle to resolution. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6817-6846. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4547-y

Vautard, R., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Alvarez-Castro, C., Bellprat, O., Christiansen, B., Colfescu, I., Cowan, T., Doblas-Reyes, F., Eden, J., Hauser, M., Hegerl, G., Hempelmann, N., Klehmet, K., Lott, F., Nangini, C., Orth, R., Radanovics, S., Seneviratne, S. I., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Stott, P., Tett, S., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Yiou, P. (2019) Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 1187-1210. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6

Voldoire, A., Exarchou, E., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Demissie, T., Deppenmeier, A.-L., Frauen, C., Goubanova, K., Hazeleger, W., Keenlyside, N., Koseki, S., Prodhomme, C., Shonk, J., Toniazzo, T. and Traoré, A.-K. (2019) Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the tropical Atlantic. Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6). pp. 3481-3504. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04717-0

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Hirons, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2019) The impact of air-sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 7027-7044. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04973-0

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Marsham, J. H., Keane, R. J., Rowell, D. P., Finney, D. L., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2019) ‘Eastern African paradox’ rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense long rains. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2. 34. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-019-0091-7

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dunstone, N., Lewinschal, A., Bollasina, M., Ekman, A. M. L. and Highwood, E. J. (2019) Mechanisms for a remote response to Asian aerosol emissions in boreal winter. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19. pp. 9081-9095. ISSN 1680-7375 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-9081-2019

Wood, R. A., Rodríguez, J. M., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Jackson, L. C. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 6815-6834. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04956-1

Yang, Q., Ma, Z., Wu, P., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Zhang, L. (2019) Interdecadal seesaw of precipitation variability between North China and the Southwest US. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 2951-2968. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0082.1

Zanna, L., Khatiwala, S., Gregory, J. M., Ison, J. and Heimbach, P. (2019) Global reconstruction of historical ocean heat storage and transport. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116 (4). pp. 1126-1131. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1808838115

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y.‐O., Marsh, R., Yeager, S. G., Amrhein, D. E. and Little, C. M. (2019) A review of the role of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in Atlantic multidecadal variability and associated climate impacts. Reviews of Geophysics, 57 (2). pp. 316-375. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019RG000644

Zhang, W., Mei, X., Geng, X., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Jin, F.-F. (2019) A nonstationary ENSO-NAO relationship due to AMO modulation. Journal of Climate, 32. pp. 33-43. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0365.1

Zhang, W., Wang, Z., Stuecker, M. F., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Jin, F.-F. and Geng, X. (2019) Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnections to the NAO. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 257-274. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4135-1

Zhao, Y.-B., Liang, X. S., Guan, Z. and Hodges, K. I. (2019) The asymmetric eddy-background flow interaction in the North Pacific storm track. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (719). pp. 575-596. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3453

de Abreu, R. C., Cunningham, C., Rudorff, C. M., Rudorff, N., Abatan, A. A., Tett, S. F. B., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Lott, F. C. and Sparrow, S. N. (2019) Contribution of anthropogenic climate change to April-May 2017 heavy precipitation over the Uruguay River basin. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0102.1

van der Wiel, K., Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Stoop, L., Blackport, R., Screen, J. and Selten, F. M. (2019) The influence of weather regimes on European renewable energy production and demand. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (9). 094010. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab38d3

2018

Alexander-Turner, R., Ortega, P. and Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2018) How robust are the surface temperature fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Meridional Circulation on monthly time‐scales? Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (8). pp. 3559-3567. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2017GL076759

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2018) Overview of climate models and tropical extremes. In: Vuruputur, V., Sukhatme, J., Murtugudde, R. and Roca, R. (eds.) Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends. Elsevier, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9780128092484

Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M., Paynter, D., Silvers, L. G., Zhou, C., Mauritsen, T., Webb, M. J., Armour, K. C., Forster, P. M. and Titchner, H. (2018) Accounting for changing temperature patterns increases historical estimates of climate sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (16). pp. 8490-8499. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078887

Asfaw, D., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brown, M., Nicklin, K. J., Otu-Larbi, F., Pinnington, E., Challinor, A., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259 and Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2018) TAMSAT-ALERT v1: a new framework for agricultural decision support. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (6). pp. 2353-2371. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2353-2018

Baker, L. H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0738-9488, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Weisheimer, A. and Scaife, A. A. (2018) An intercomparison of skill and overconfidence/underconfidence of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in multimodel seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (15). pp. 7808-7817. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078838

Balaji, V., Taylor, K. E., Juckes, M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Durack, P. J., Lautenschlager, M., Blanton, C., Cinquini, L., Denvil, S., Elkington, M., Guiglielmo, F., Guilyardi, E., Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Kharin, S., Kindermann, S., Nikonov, S., Radhakrishnan, A., Stockhause, M., Weigel, T. and Williams, D. (2018) Requirements for a global data infrastructure in support of CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (9). pp. 3659-3680. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3659-2018

Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Coker, P. J. and Thornton, H. E. (2018) The changing sensitivity of power systems to meteorological drivers: a case study of Great Britain. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (5). 054028. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabff9

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hodges, K. I. and Vidale, P. L. (2018) A critical assessment of the long term changes in the wintertime surface Arctic Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere storminess in the ERA20C reanalysis. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (9). 094004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aad5c5

Boljka, L., Shepherd, T. G. and Blackburn, M. (2018) On the coupling between barotropic and baroclinic modes of extratropical atmospheric variability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1853-1871. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0370.1

Booth, B. B., Harris, G. R., Jones, A., Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Hawcroft, M. and Carslaw, K. S. (2018) Comments on “rethinking the lower bound on aerosol radiative forcing”. Journal of Climate, 31 (22). pp. 9407-9412. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0369.1

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2018) Weather, climate and the nature of predictability. In: Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry. Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 85-95. ISBN 9783319684178 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_6

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2018) The nature of weather and climate impacts in the energy sector. In: Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry. Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 151-160. ISBN 9783319684178 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_11

Ceppi, P., Zappa, G., Shepherd, T. G. and Gregory, J. M. (2018) Fast and slow components of the extratropical atmospheric circulation response to CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 31 (3). pp. 1091-1105. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0323.1

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Ferranti, L. and Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559 (2018) The influence of the stratospheric state on North Atlantic weather regimes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (713). pp. 1140-1151. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3280

Chen, W. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2018) Drivers of the severity of the extreme hot summer of 2015 in western China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 32 (6). pp. 1002-1010. ISSN 2198-0934 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-018-8004-y

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Dimri, A. P. and Thayyen, R. J. (2018) Climate change over Leh (Ladakh), India. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 131 (1-2). pp. 531-545. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-016-1989-1

Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hannah, S. (2018) Projected changes in the Asian-Australian monsoon region in 1.5°C and 2.0°C global-warming scenarios. Earth's Future, 6 (3). pp. 339-358. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000734

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Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Bohnenstengel, S. I. and Kotthaus, S. (2018) Detection of sea-breeze events around London using a fuzzy-logic algorithm. Atmospheric Science Letters, 19 (9). e846. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.846

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Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Bilbao, R., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Caron, L.-P., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Doescher, R., Dunstone, N. J., Eade, R., Hermanson, L., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Koenigk, T., Kushnir, Y., Matei, D., Meehl, G. A., Menegoz, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mochizuki, T., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Rixen, M., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Tuma, M., Wyser, K., Yang, X. and Yeager, S. (2018) Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (21). pp. 11895-11903. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079362

Sparrow, S. N., Su, Q., Tian, F., Li, S., Chen, Y., Chen, W., Luo, F., Freychet, N., Lott, F. C., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Tett, S. and Wallom, D. (2018) Attributing human influence on July 2017 Chinese heatwave: the influence of sea-surface temperatures. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (11). ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae356

Stammer, D., Bracco, A., Braconnot, P., Brasseur, G. P., Griffies, S. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2018) Science directions in a post-COP21-world of transient climate change: enabling regional to local predictions in support of reliable climate information. Earth's Future, 6 (11). pp. 1498-1507. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000979

Stephan, C. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Demory, M.-E. and Guo, L. (2018) Interannual rainfall variability over China in the MetUM GA6 and GC2 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (5). pp. 1823-1847. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1823-2018

Stephan, C. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Demory, M.-E. and Guo, L. (2018) Intraseasonal summer rainfall variability over China in the MetUM GA6 and GC2 configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (8). pp. 3215-3233. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3215-2018

Stephan, C. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Demory, M.-E. and Guo, L. (2018) A comprehensive analysis of coherent rainfall patterns in China and potential drivers. Part I: interannual variability. Climate Dynamics, 50 (11-12). pp. 4405-4424. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3882-8

Stephan, C. C., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Vidale, P. L., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Demory, M.-E. and Guo, L. (2018) A comprehensive analysis of coherent rainfall patterns in China and potential drivers. Part II: intraseasonal variability. Climate Dynamics, 51 (1-2). pp. 17-33. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3904-6

Stephan, C. C., Ng, Y. H. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2018) On northern-hemisphere wave patterns associated with winter rainfall events in China. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 1021-1034. ISSN 1861-9533 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-7267-7

Storkey, D., Blaker, A. T., Mathiot, P., Megann, A., Aksenov, Y., Blockley, E. W., Calvert, D., Graham, T., Hewitt, H. T., Hyder, P., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Rae, J. G. L. and Sinha, B. (2018) UK Global Ocean GO6 and GO7: a traceable hierarchy of model resolutions. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (8). pp. 3187-3213. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3187-2018

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) ESD ideas: a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WGI to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (4). pp. 1155-1158. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1155-2018

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, McCarthy, G. D., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sinha, B., Archibald, A. T. and Gray, L. J. (2018) Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and the U.K. ACSIS program. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (2). pp. 415-425. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1

Talib, J., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2018) The role of the cloud radiative effect in the sensitivity of the Intertropical Convergence Zone to convective mixing. Journal of Climate, 31 (17). pp. 6821-6838. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0794.1

Thornalley, D. J. R., Oppo, D. W., Ortega, P., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Brierley, C. M., Davis, R., Hall, I. R., Moffa-Sanchez, P., Rose, N. L., Spooner, P. T., Yashayaev, I. and Keigwin, L. D. (2018) Anomalously weak Labrador Sea convection and Atlantic overturning during the past 150 years. Nature, 556 (7700). pp. 227-230. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0007-4

Thornhill, G. D., Ryder, C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9892-6113, Highwood, E. J., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Johnson, B. T. (2018) The effect of South American biomass burning aerosol emissions on the regional climate. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18 (8). pp. 5321-5342. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-5321-2018

Timmermann, A., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., Jin, F.-F., Cai, W., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Stuecker, M. F., Stein, K., Wittenberg, A. T., Yun, K.-S., Bayr, T., Chen, H.-C., Chikamoto, Y., Dewitte, B., Dommenget, D., Grothe, P., Guilyardi, E., Ham, Y.-G., Hayashi, M., Ineson, S., Kang, D., Kim, S., Kim, W., Lee, J.-Y., Li, T., Luo, J.-J., McGregor, S., Planton, Y., Power, S., Rashid, H., Ren, H.-L., Santoso, A., Takahashi, K., Todd, A., Wang, G., Wang, G., Xie, R., Yang, W.-H., Yeh, S.-W., Yoon, J., Zeller, E. and Zhang, X. (2018) El niño-southern oscillation complexity. Nature, 559 (7715). pp. 535-545. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6

Toh, Y. Y., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Johnson, S. J. and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2018) Maritime continent seasonal climate biases in AMIP experiments of the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 50 (3-4). pp. 777-800. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3641-x

Troccoli, A., Goodess, C., Jones, P., Penny, L., Dorling, S., Harpham, C., Dubus, L., Parey, S., Claudel, S., Khong, D.-H., Bett, P. E., Thornton, H., Ranchin, T., Wald, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M., De Felice, M., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Suckling, E., Percy, B. and Blower, J. (2018) Creating a proof-of-concept climate service to assess future renewable energy mixes in Europe: an overview of the C3S ECEM project. Advances in Science and Research, 15. pp. 191-205. ISSN 1992-0636 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-15-191-2018

Vera, C. S., Alvarez, M. S., Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Liebmann, B. and Kiladis, G. N. (2018) Seasonal cycle of precipitation variability in South America on intraseasonal timescales. Climate Dynamics, 51 (5-6). pp. 1991-2001. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3994-1

Vinayachandran, P. N., Matthews, A. J., Kumar, K. V., Sanchez-Franks, A., Thushara, V., George, J., Vijith, V., Webber, B. G. M., Queste, B. Y., Roy, R., Sarkar, A., Baranowski, D. B., Bhat, G. S., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Peatman, S. C., Parida, C., Heywood, K. J., Hall, R., Kent, B., King, E. C., Nayak, A. A., Neema, C. P., Amol, P., Lotliker, A., Kankonkar, A., Gracias, D. G., Vernekar, S., Souza, A. C. D., Valluvan, G., Pargaonkar, S. M., Dinesh, K., Giddings, J. and Joshi, M. (2018) BoBBLE: ocean-atmosphere interaction and its impact on the South Asian monsoon. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). pp. 1569-1587. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0230.1

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Yiou, P., Hauser, M., Lott, F. C., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Colfescu, I., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hegerl, G., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change. Climate Dynamics, 50 (9-10). pp. 3537-3555. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3822-7

Williams, K. D., Copsey, D., Blockley, E. W., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Calvert, D., Comer, R., Davis., P., Graham, T., Hewitt, H. T., Hill, R., Hyder, P., Ineson, S., Johns, T. C., Keen, A. B., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Megann, A., Milton, S. F., Rae, J. G. L., Roberts, M. J., Scaife, A. A., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Storkey, D., Thorpe, L., Watterson, I. G., Walters, D. N., West, A., Wood, R. A., Woollings, T. and Xavier, P. K. (2018) The Met Office Global Coupled model 3.0 and 3.1 (GC3.0 & GC3.1) configurations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10 (2). pp. 357-380. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2017MS001115

Wolf, G., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Czaja, A. (2018) Quasi-stationary waves and their impact on European weather and extreme events. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717). pp. 2431-2448. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3310

Wong, K. C., Liu, S., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Schiemann, R. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2018) Different Asian monsoon rainfall responses to idealised orography sensitivity experiments in the HadGEM3-GA6 and FGOALS-FAMIL global climate models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 1049-1062. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-7269-5

Woollings, T., Barnes, E., Hoskins, B., Kwon, Y.-O., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Li, C., Madonna, E., McGraw, M., Parker, T., Rodrigues, R., Spensberger, C. and Williams, K. (2018) Daily to decadal modulation of jet variability. Journal of Climate, 31 (4). pp. 1297-1314. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0286.1

Woollings, T., Barriopedro, D., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Son, S.-W., Martius, O., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Sillmann, J., Lupo, A. R. and Seneviratne, S. (2018) Blocking and its response to climate change. Current Climate Change Reports, 4 (3). pp. 287-300. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0108-z

Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2018) The Madden-Julian Oscillation. In: Robertson, A. W. and Vitart, F. (eds.) Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting. Elsevier, pp. 93-117. ISBN 9780128117149 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00005-X

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Woolnough, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Hodges, K. and Hoskins, B. (2018) Linking African easterly wave activity with equatorial waves and the influence of Rossby waves from the Southern Hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75 (6). pp. 1783-1809. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-17-0184.1

Young, M. P., Chiu, J. C., Williams, C. J. R., Stein, T. H. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9215-5397, Stengel, M., Fielding, M. D. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2018) Spatio-temporal variability of warm rain events over southern West Africa from geostationary satellite observations for climate monitoring and model evaluation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (716). pp. 2311-2330. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3372

Zhang, L., Zhou, T., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Wu, P. and Roberts, M. (2018) The effect of horizontal resolution on the representation of the global monsoon annual cycle in Atmospheric General Circulation Models. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8). pp. 1003-1020. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-018-7273-9

de Mora, L., Yool, A., Palmieri, J., Sellar, A., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Popova, E., Jones, C. and Allen, J. I. (2018) BGC-val: a model- and grid-independent Python toolkit to evaluate marine biogeochemical models. Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (10). pp. 4215-4240. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4215-2018

2017

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Global energy budget: elusive origin of warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 7 (5). pp. 316-317. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3282

Balaji, V., Maisonnave, E., Zadeh, N., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Biercamp, J., Fladrich, U., Aloisio, G., Benson, R., Caubel, A., Durachta, J., Foujols, M.-A., Lister, G., Mocavero, S., Underwood, S. and Wright, G. (2017) CPMIP: measurements of real computational performance of Earth system models in CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (1). pp. 19-34. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-19-2017

Berner, J., Achatz, U., Batte, L., Bengtsson, L., De La Camara, A., Christensen, H. M., Colangeli, M., Coleman, D. R. B., Crommelin, D., Dolaptchiev, S. I., Franzke, C. L. E., Friederichs, P., Imkeller, P., Jarvinen, H., Juricke, S., Kitsios, V., Lott, F., Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471, Mahajan, S., Palmer, T. N., Penland, C., Sakradzija, M., Von Storch, J.-S., Weisheimer, A., Weniger, M., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Yano, J.-I. (2017) Stochastic parameterization: towards a new view of weather and climate models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (3). pp. 565-588. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00268.1

Bethke, I., Outten, S., Otterå, O. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Wagner, S., Sigl, M. and Thorne, P. (2017) Potential volcanic impacts on future climate variability. Nature Climate Change, 7 (11). pp. 799-805. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3394

Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2017) The impact of climate variability and climate change on the GB power system. PhD thesis, University of Reading.

Brown, M., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Asfaw, D. and Otu-Larbi, F. (2017) Monitoring drought in Ghana using TAMSAT-ALERT: a new decision support system. Weather, 72 (7). pp. 201-205. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3033

Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Drew, D. (2017) Determining the bounds of skilful forecast range for probabilistic prediction of system-wide wind power generation. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 26 (3). pp. 239-252. ISSN 0941-2948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1127/metz/2016/0751

Castro, I. P., Xie, Z.-T., Fuka, V., Robins, A. G., Carpentieri, M., Hayden, P., Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675 and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2017) Measurements and computations of flow in an urban street system. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 162 (2). pp. 207-230. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-016-0200-7

Chun, H.-Y., Kim, J.-H., Lee, D.-B., Kim, S.-H., Strahan, M., Pettegrew, B., Gill, P., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Schumann, U., Tenenbaum, J., Lee, Y.-G., Choi, H.-W., Song, I.-S., Park, Y.-J. and Sharman, R. D. (2017) Research collaborations for better predictions of aviation weather hazards. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (5). ES103-ES107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-17-0010.1

Day, J. J., Svensson, G., Brooks, I. M., Bitz, C., Broman, L., Carver, G., Chevallier, M., Goessling, H., Hartung, K., Jung, T., Kay, J. E., Kolstad, E. W., Perovich, D., Screen, J., Siemen, S. and Váňa, F. (2017) The Abisko Polar Prediction School. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (3). pp. 445-447. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0119.1

De Leeuw, J., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Blackburn, M. (2017) Physical factors influencing regional precipitation variability attributed using an airmass trajectory method. Journal of Climate, 30 (18). pp. 7359-7378. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0547.1

Dimri, A. P., Chevuturi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2815-7221, Niyogi, D., Thayyen, R. J., Ray, K., Tripathi, S. N., Pandey, A. K. and Mohanty, U. C. (2017) Cloudbursts in Indian Himalayas: a review. Earth-Science Reviews, 168. pp. 1-23. ISSN 0012-8252 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.03.006

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2017) Understanding the rapid summer warming and changes in temperature extremes since the mid-1990s over Western Europe. Climate Dynamics, 48 (5). pp. 1537-1554. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3158-8

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2017) Attribution of forced decadal climate change in coupled and uncoupled ocean-atmosphere model experiments. Journal of Climate, 30 (16). pp. 6203-6223. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0578.1

Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2017) Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114001. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e

Dutra, L. M. M., da Rocha, R. P., Lee, R. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1946-5559, Peres, J. R. R. and de Camargo, R. (2017) Structure and evolution of Subtropical Cyclone Anita as evaluated by heat and vorticity budgets. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (704). pp. 1539-1553. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3024

Efthimiou, G. C., Hertwig, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-2675, Andronopoulos, S., Bartzis, J. G. and Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755 (2017) A statistical model for the prediction of wind-speed probabilities in the atmospheric surface layer. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 163 (2). pp. 179-201. ISSN 0006-8314 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-016-0221-2

Fang, Y., Wu, P., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Wu, T., Li, B., Vidale, P. L., Demory, M.-E. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2017) High-resolution simulation of the boreal summer intra-seasonal oscillation in Met Office unified model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (702). pp. 362-373. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2927

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Suckling, E. B., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Eden, J. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2017) An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts. Climate Dynamics, 48 (9). pp. 3115-3138. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3255-8

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2016

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Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2016) Sea ice decline and 21st century trans-Arctic shipping routes. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (18). pp. 9720-9728. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069315

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Biasutti, M. and Roucou, P. (2016) On the projected increase of Sahel rainfall during the late rainy season. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (13). pp. 4373-4383. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4638

Nowicki, S. M. J., Payne, A., Larour, E., Seroussi, H., Goelzer, H., Lipscomb, W., Gregory, J., Abe-Ouchi, A. and Shepherd, A. (2016) Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (12). pp. 4521-4545. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-4521-2016

Parker, D. J., Willetts, P., Birch, C., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Marsham, J. H., Taylor, C. M., Kolusu, S. and Martin, G. M. (2016) The interaction of moist convection and mid-level dry air in the advance of the onset of the Indian monsoon. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (699). pp. 2256-2272. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2815

Parker, H. R., Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556, Suarez, P., Allen, M., Boyd, E., James, R., Jones, R., Otto, F. and Walton, P. (2016) Using a game to engage stakeholders in extreme event attribution science. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 7 (4). pp. 353-365. ISSN 2095-0055 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-016-0105-6

Pookkandy, B., Dommenget, D., Klingaman, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Wales, S., Chung, C., Frauen, C. and Wolff, H. (2016) The role of local atmospheric forcing on the modulation of the ocean mixed layer depth in reanalysis and a coupled single column ocean model. Climate Dynamics, 47 (9-10). pp. 2991-3010. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3009-7

Puy, M., Vialard, J., Lengaigne, M. and Guilyardi, E. (2016) Modulation of equatorial Pacific westerly/easterly wind events by the Madden-Julian oscillation and convectively-coupled Rossby waves. Climate Dynamics, 46 (7-8). pp. 2155-2178. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2695-x

Quennehen, B., Raut, J.-C., Law, K. S., Daskalakis, N., Ancellet, G., Clerbaux, C., Kim, S.-W., Lund, M. T., Myhre, G., Olivié, D. J. L., Safieddine, S., Skeie, R. B., Thomas, T. L., Tsyro, S., Bazureau, A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Hu, M., Kanakidou, M., Klimont, Z., Kupiainen, K., Myriokefalitakis, S., Quaas, J., Rumbold, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541, Schulz, M., Cherian, R., Shimizu, A., Wang, J., Yoon, S.-C. and Zhu, T. (2016) Multi-model evaluation of short-lived pollutant distributions over East Asia during summer 2008. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 (17). pp. 10765-10792. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-10765-2016

Richardson, M., Cowtan, K., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Stolpe, M. B. (2016) Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. Nature Climate Change, 6 (10). pp. 931-935. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3066

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2727

Rugenstein, M. A. A., Gregory, J. M., Schaller, N., Sedláček, J. and Knutti, R. (2016) Multi-annual ocean-atmosphere adjustments to radiative forcing. Journal of Climate, 29 (15). pp. 5643-5659. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0312.1

Shaw, J. and Weller, H. (2016) Comparison of terrain following and cut cell grids using a non-hydrostatic model. Monthly Weather Review, 144 (6). pp. 2085-2099. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0226.1

Steptoe, H., Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 and Highwood, E. J. (2016) Is there a robust effect of anthropogenic aerosols on the Southern Annular Mode? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (17). 10,029-10,042. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024218

Tietsche, S., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Day, J. J. (2016) Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 331-346. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1

Tous, M., Zappa, G., Romero, R., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Vidale, P. L. (2016) Projected changes in medicanes in the HadGEM3 N512 high-resolution global climate model. Climate Dynamics, 47 (5). pp. 1913-1924. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2941-2

Vellinga, M., Roberts, M., Vidale, P. L., Mizielinski, M. S., Demory, M.-E., Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Strachan, J. and Bain, C. (2016) Sahel decadal rainfall variability and the role of model horizontal resolution. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (1). pp. 326-333. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066690

Voigt, A., Biasutti, M., Scheff, J., Bader, J., Bordoni, S., Codron, F., Dixon, R. D., Jonas, J., Kang, S. M., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Leung, R., Lu, J., Mapes, B., Maroon, E. A., McDermid, S., Park, J.-y., Roehrig, R., Rose, B. E. J., Russell, G. L., Seo, J., Toniazzo, T., Wei, H.-H., Yoshimori, M. and Zepptello, L. R. V. (2016) The tropical rain belts with an annual cycle and a continent model intercomparison project: TRACMIP. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8 (4). pp. 1868-1891. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2016MS000748

Watson-Parris, D., Schutgens, N., Cook, N., Kipling, Z., Kershaw, P., Gryspeerdt, E., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Stier, P. (2016) Community Intercomparison Suite (CIS) v1.4.0: a tool for intercomparing models and observations. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (9). pp. 3093-3110. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3093-2016

Weller, H., Browne, P., Budd, C. and Cullen, M. (2016) Mesh adaptation on the sphere using optimal transport and the numerical solution of a Monge-Ampère type equation. Journal of Computational Physics, 308. pp. 102-123. ISSN 0021-9991 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcp.2015.12.018

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Joshi, M. M. (2016) Clear-air turbulence in a changing climate. In: Sharman, R. and Lane, T. (eds.) Aviation turbulence: processes, detection, prediction. Springer, pp. 465-480. ISBN 9783319236292 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-23630-8_23

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Howe, N. J., Gregory, J. M., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Joshi, M. M. (2016) Improved climate simulations through a stochastic parameterization of ocean eddies. Journal of Climate, 29 (24). pp. 8763-8781. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0746.1

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Hoskins, B. J. (2016) ENSO related variation of equatorial MRG and Rossby waves and forcing from higher latitudes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (699). pp. 2488-2504. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2842

Zhang, L., Wu, P., Zhou, T., Roberts, M. J. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2016) Added value of high resolution models in simulating global precipitation characteristics. Atmospheric Science Letters, 17 (12). pp. 646-657. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.715

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaf1660

Zhang, W., Li, H., Stuecker, M. F., Jin, F.-F. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2016) A new understanding of El Niño's impact over East Asia: dominance of the ENSO combination mode. Journal of Climate, 29 (12). pp. 4347-4359. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0104.1

Zhou, T., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Kinter, J. L., Wang, B., Qian, Y., Chen, X., Wu, B., Wang, B., Liu, B., Zou, L. and Bian, H. (2016) GMMIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: Global Monsoons Model Inter-comparison Project. Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (10). pp. 3589-3604. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3589-2016

Zveryaev, I. I., Zahn, M. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2016) Interannual variability in the summertime hydrological cycle over European regions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121 (10). pp. 5381-5394. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024425

de Leeuw, J., Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Blackburn, M. (2016) Variability and trends in England and Wales precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (8). pp. 2823-2836. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4521

2015

Allison, L., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Woollings, T. (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9

Anderson, B. T., Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Syktus, J. (2015) Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1190-1196. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062593

Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M. and Webb, M. J. (2015) The dependence of radiative forcing and feedback on evolving patterns of surface temperature change in climate models. Journal of Climate, 28 (4). pp. 1630-1648. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00545.1

Baker, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2697-1350, Sodemann, H., Baldini, J. U. L., Breitenbach, S. F. M., Johnson, K. R., van Hunen, J. and Zhang, P. (2015) Seasonality of westerly moisture transport in the East Asian summer monsoon and its implications for interpreting precipitation δ18O. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120 (12). pp. 5850-5862. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022919

Belcher, S. E., Coceal, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0705-6755, Goulart, E. V., Rudd, A. C. and Robins, A. G. (2015) Processes controlling atmospheric dispersion through city centres. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics, 763. pp. 51-81. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2014.661

Bilbao, R. A. F., Gregory, J. M. and Bouttes, N. (2015) Analysis of the regional pattern of sea level change due to ocean dynamics and density changes for 1993-2099 in observations and CMIP5 AOGCMs. Climate Dynamics, 45 (9). pp. 2647-2666. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2499-z

Birch, C. E., Roberts, M. J., Garcia-Carreras, L., Ackerley, D., Reeder, M. J., Lock, A. P. and Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 (2015) Sea-breeze dynamics and convection initiation: the influence of convective parameterization in weather and climate model biases. Journal of Climate, 28 (20). pp. 8093-8108. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00850.1

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411, Greatrex, H., Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Mookerjee, A., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 and Price, J. (2015) Exploiting satellite-based rainfall for weather index insurance: the challenges of spatial and temporal aggregation. In: First International electronic conference on Remote Sensing, 22 Jun - 5 Jul 2015. doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/ecrs-1-f002 (Vol 1: f002)

Bouttes, N., Good, P., Gregory, J. M. and Lowe, J. A. (2015) Nonlinearity of ocean heat uptake during warming and cooling in the FAMOUS climate model. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (7). pp. 2409-2416. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062807

Bouttes, N., Roche, D. M., Mariotti, V. and Bopp, L. (2015) Including an ocean carbon cycle model into iLOVECLIM (v1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (5). pp. 1563-1576. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-1563-2015

Brown, S., Aplin, K. L., Jenkins, K., Mander, S., Walsh, C. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2015) Is there a Rhythm Of The Rain? An analysis of weather in popular music. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 198-204. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2464

Burgess, M. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2015) Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme cold winters in the UK. Weather, 70 (7). pp. 211-217. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2476

Bush, S. J., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Martin, G. M. and Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 (2015) The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM General Circulation Model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (686). pp. 311-326. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2371

Cai, W., Santoso, A., Wang, G., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Cobb, K. M., Collins, M., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Kug, J.-S., Lengaigne, M., Mcphaden, M. J., Takahashi, K., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G. A., Watanabe, M. and Wu, L. (2015) ENSO and greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 5 (9). pp. 849-859. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2743

Cai, W., Wang, G., Santoso, A., McPhaden, M. J., Wu, L., Jin, F.-F., Timmermann, A., Collins, M., Vecchi, G. A., Lengaigne, M., England, M. H., Dommenget, D., Takahashi, K. and Guilyardi, E. (2015) Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 132-137. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2492

Cannon, D.J., Brayshaw, D.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Coker, P.J. and Lenaghan, D. (2015) Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: a 33 year case study in Great Britain. Renewable Energy, 75. pp. 767-778. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.024

Capotondi, A., Wittenberg, A. T., Newman, M., Di Lorenzo, E., Yu, J.-Y., Braconnot, P., Cole, J., Dewitte, B., Giese, B., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Karnauskas, K., Kirtman, B., Lee, T., Schneider, N., Xue, Y. and Yeh, S.-W. (2015) Understanding ENSO diversity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (6). pp. 921-938. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00117.1

Champion, A. J., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Lavers, D. A. (2015) Atmospheric rivers do not explain UK summer extreme rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 120 (14). pp. 6731-6741. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022863

Chen, W., Lee, J.-Y., Lu, R., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Ha, K.-J. (2015) Intensified impact of tropical Atlantic SST on the western North Pacific summer climate under a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8). pp. 2033-2046. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2454-4

Clark, P. U., Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M. and Payne, A. J. (2015) Recent progress in understanding and projecting regional and global mean sea-level change. Current Climate Change Reports, 1 (4). pp. 224-246. ISSN 2198-6061 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0024-4

Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jacobs, P., Mann, M. E., Miller, S. K., Steinman, B. A., Stolpe, M. B. and Way, R. G. (2015) Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (15). pp. 6526-6534. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064888

Daleu, C. L., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Sessions, S., Herman, M. J., Sobel, A., Wang, S., Kim, D., Cheng, A., Bellon, G., Peyrille, P., Ferry, F., Siebesma, P. and van Ulft, L. (2015) Intercomparison of methods of coupling between convection and large-scale circulation: 1. Comparison over uniform surface conditions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7 (4). pp. 1576-1601. ISSN 1942-2466 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015MS000468

Daloz, A. S., Camargo, S. J., Kossin, J. P., Emanuel, K., Horn, M., Jonas, J. A., Kim, D., LaRow, T., Lim, Y.-K., Patricola, C. M., Roberts, M., Scoccimarro, E., Shaevitz, D., Vidale, P. L., Wang, H., Wehner, M. and Zhao, M. (2015) Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Journal of Climate, 28 (4). pp. 1333-1361. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00646.1

DeMott, C. A., Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303 and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2015) Atmosphere-ocean coupled processes in the Madden-Julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics, 53 (4). pp. 1099-1154. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014RG000478

Drew, D., Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. and Coker, P. (2015) The impact of future offshore wind farms on wind power generation in Great Britain. Resources, 4 (1). pp. 155-171. ISSN 2079-9276 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/resources4010155

Drushka, K., Bellenger, H., Guilyardi, E., Lengaigne, M., Vialard, J. and Madec, G. (2015) Processes driving intraseasonal displacements of the eastern edge of the warm pool: the contribution of westerly wind events. Climate Dynamics, 44 (3-4). pp. 735-755. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2297-z

Dunning, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2015) The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 064002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002

Economou, T., Stephenson, D. B., Pinto, J. G., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Zappa, G. (2015) Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi-model ensemble of historical and future simulations. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (693). pp. 3076-3087. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2591

Eden, J., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Suckling, E. B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015

Exarchou, E., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Gregory, J. M. and Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2015) Ocean heat uptake processes: a model intercomparison. Journal of Climate, 28 (2). pp. 887-908. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00235.1

Fedorov, A. V., Hu, S., Lengaigne, M. and Guilyardi, E. (2015) The impact of westerly wind bursts and ocean initial state on the development, and diversity of El Niño events. Climate Dynamics, 44 (5-6). pp. 1381-1401. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2126-4

Franzke, C. L. E., O'Kane, T. J., Berner, J., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Lucarini, V. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9392-1471 (2015) Stochastic climate theory and modeling. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 6 (1). pp. 63-78. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.318

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Zhang, W., Jin, F.-F. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2014) Increasing Autumn drought over Southern China associated with ENSO regime shift. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (11). pp. 4020-4026. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL060130

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Simpson, I. R., Blackburn, M. and Haigh, J. D. (2012) A mechanism for the effect of tropospheric jet structure on the annular mode-like response to stratospheric forcing. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (7). pp. 2152-2170. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-0188.1

Sinha, B., Blaker, A., Hirschi, J., Bonham, S., Brand, M., Josey, S., Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Marotzke, J. (2012) Mountain ranges favour vigorous Atlantic Meridional Overturning. Geophysical Research Letters, 39. L02705. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL050485

Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 (2012) The FAMOUS climate model (versions XFXWB and XFHCC): description update to version XDBUA. Geoscientific Model Development, 5 (1). pp. 269-276. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-269-2012

Smith, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Gregory, J. (2012) The last glacial cycle: transient simulations with an AOGCM. Climate Dynamics, 38 (7-8). pp. 1545-1559. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007_s00382-011-1283-y

Srokosz, M., Baringer, M., Bryden, H., Cunningham, S., Delworth, T., Lozier, S., Marotzke, J. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Past, present and future change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (11). pp. 1663-1676. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00151.1

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2012) Atlantic Ocean influence on a shift in European climate in the 1990s. Nature Geoscience, 5. pp. 788-792. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1595

Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. H. and Marotzke, J. (2012) Assimilation of sea-ice concentration in a global climate model — physical and statistical aspects. Ocean Science Discussion, 9 (4). pp. 2403-2455. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/osd-9-2403-2012

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Annamalai, H. (2012) Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon. Nature Climate Change, 2. pp. 587-595. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1495

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Joshi, M., Robertson, E. S. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2012) The effect of Arabian Sea optical properties on SST biases and the South Asian summer monsoon in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 811-826. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1254-3

Van Den Hoof, C. and Thiry, Y. (2012) Modelling of the natural chlorine cycling in a coniferous stand: implications for chlorine-36 behaviour in a contaminated forest environment. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, 107. pp. 56-67. ISSN 0265-931X doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvrad.2011.12.014

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1222566

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2012) A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology. Journal of Hydrology, 420-421. pp. 1-16. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033

Weller, H. (2012) Controlling the computational modes of the arbitrarily structured C-grid. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (10). pp. 3220-3234. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00221.1

Weller, H., Thuburn, J. and Cotter, C. J. (2012) Computational modes and grid imprinting on five quasi-uniform spherical C-grids. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (8). pp. 2734-2755. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00193.1

Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Gray, L. J. (2012) Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high- and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117. D13115. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD017597

Williams, C. J. R. and Kniveton, D. R. (2012) Atmosphere-land surface interactions and their influence on extreme rainfall and potential abrupt climate change over southern Africa. Climatic Change, 112 (3-4). pp. 981-996. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0266-7

Williams, C.J.R., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Kniveton, D.R. (2012) Diagnosing atmosphere–land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4). 044003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044003

Williams, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2012) Comment on “A modified leapfrog scheme for shallow water equations” by Wen-Yih Sun and Oliver M.T. Sun. Computers & Fluids, 62. p. 91. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compfluid.2012.02.023

Williams, P. D. (2012) Climatic impacts of stochastic fluctuations in air–sea fluxes. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (10). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051813

Williamson, D. L., Blackburn, M., Hoskins, B. J., Nakajima, K., Ohfuchi, W., Takahashi, Y. O., Hayashi, Y.-Y., Nakamura, H., Ishiwatari, M., McGregor, J. L., Borth, H., Wirth, V., Frank, H., Bechtold, P., Wedi, N. P., Tomita, H., Satoh, M., Zhao, M., Held, I. M., Suarez, M. J., Lee, M.-I., Watanabe, M., Kimoto, M., Liu, Y., Wang, Z., Molod, A., Rajendran, K., Kitoh, A. and Stratton, R. A., (2012) The APE atlas. NCAR Technical Note. TN-484+STR. Technical Report. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA. pp508. doi: https://doi.org/10.5065/D6FF3QBR

Woollings, T. and Blackburn, M. (2012) The North Atlantic jet stream under climate change and its relation to the NAO and EA patterns. Journal of Climate, 25 (3). pp. 886-902. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00087.1

Woollings, T., Gregory, J. M., Pinto, J. G., Reyers, M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2012) Response of the North Atlantic storm track to climate change shaped by ocean–atmosphere coupling. Nature Geoscience, 5 (5). pp. 313-317. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1438

Woollings, T., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Zahn, M. and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2012) On the role of the ocean in projected atmospheric stability changes in the Atlantic polar low region. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (24). L24802. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054016

Wu, G., Liu, Y., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Liang, X., Duan, A., Bao, Q. and Yu, J. (2012) Revisiting Asian monsoon formation and change associated with Tibetan Plateau forcing: I. Formation. Climate Dynamics, 39 (5). pp. 1169-1181. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1334-z

Yang, G.-Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hoskins, B. and Gray, L. (2012) The influence of the QBO on the propagation of equatorial waves into the stratosphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (10). pp. 2959-2982. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-0342.1

2011

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Combining satellite data and models to estimate cloud radiative effect at the surface and in the atmosphere. Meteorological Applications, 18 (3). pp. 324-333. ISSN 1469-8080 (special issue: 'Sensing the weather')

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Human influence on rainfall. Nature, 470 (7334). pp. 344-345. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/470344a

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Woodage, M. J., Milton, S. F., Brooks, M. E. and Haywood, J. M. (2011) Examination of long-wave radiative bias in general circulation models over North Africa during May–July. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1179-1192. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.717

Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Zveryaev, I.I. (2011) Variability in the summer season hydrological cycle over the Atlantic-Europe region 1979-2007. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (3). pp. 337-348. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2070

Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L. and Marshall, D. P. (2011) Spin-up and adjustment of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and global pycnocline. Journal of Marine Research, 69 (2-3). pp. 167-189. ISSN 1543-9542 doi: https://doi.org/10.1357/002224011798765330

Amezcua, J., Kalnay, E. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2011) The effects of the RAW filter on the climatology and forecast skill of the SPEEDY model. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (2). pp. 608-619. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3530.1

Aplin, K. L. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2011) Meteorological phenomena in Western classical orchestral music. Weather, 66 (11). pp. 300-306. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.765

Balan Sarojini, B., Gregory, J., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Bigg, G.R., Blaker, A.T., Cameron, D.R., Edwards, N.R., Megann, A.P., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sinha, B. (2011) High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Ocean Science, 7 (4). pp. 471-486. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-7-471-2011

Balan Sarojini, B., Gregory, J. M., Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107, Bigg, G.R., Blaker, A.T., Cameron, D., Edwards, N.R., Megann, A.P., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sinha, B. (2011) High frequency variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Ocean Science Discussion, 8. pp. 219-246. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/osd-8-219-2011

Berrisford, P., Dee, D., Poli, P., Brugge, R., Fielding, K., Fuentes, M., Kallberg, P., Kobayashi, S., Uppala, S. and Simmons, A., (2011) The ERA-Interim archive, version 2.0. ERA report series. 1. Technical Report. ECMWF pp23.

Berrisford, P., Kållberg, P., Kobayashi, S., Dee, D., Uppala, S., Simmons, A. J., Poli, P. and Sato, H. (2011) Atmospheric conservation properties in ERA-Interim. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (659). pp. 1381-1399. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.864

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Connecting climate and hydrological models for impacts studies. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 63-68. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) The present-day climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24. ISBN 9780521769570

Bouttes, N., Paillard, D., Roche, D. M., Brovkin, V. and Bopp, L. (2011) Last Glacial Maximum CO2 and δ13C successfully reconciled. Geophysical Research Letters. L02705. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044499

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2011) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part II: Sea surface temperatures. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (8). pp. 1784-1805. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3674.1

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. M. C. and Smith, S. J. (2011) Changes in the Mediterranean climate during the Holocene: insights from global and regional climate modelling. Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 15-31. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683610377528

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Fordham, R. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2011) The impact of large scale atmospheric circulation patterns on wind power generation and its potential predictability: a case study over the UK. Renewable Energy, 36 (8). pp. 2087-2096. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.025

Brown, J. N., Fedorov, A. V. and Guilyardi, E. (2011) How well do coupled models replicate ocean energetics relevant to ENSO? Climate Dynamics, 36 (11-12). pp. 2147-2158. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0926-8

Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M., White, N. J., Platten, S. M. and Mitrovica, J. X. (2011) Understanding and projecting sea level change. Oceanography, 24 (2). pp. 130-143. ISSN 1042-8275

Church, J. A., White, N. J., Konikow, L. F., Domingues, C. M., Cogley, J. G., Rignot, E., Gregory, J. M., Van den Broeke, M. R., Monaghan, A. J. and Velicogna, I. (2011) Revisiting the Earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophysical Research Letters, 38. L18601. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048794

Cnossen, I., Lu, H., Bell, C. J., Gray, L. and Joshi, M. (2011) Solar signal propagation: the role of gravity waves and stratospheric sudden warmings. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 116. D02118. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014535

Cook, P. A. and Roscoe, H. K. (2011) Changes in reactive stratospheric gases due to a change in Brewer–Dobson circulation: results from a simple model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 13 (1). pp. 49-54. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.362

De Tero, G., Toniazzo, T. and Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2011) Ethiopian rainfall in climate models. In: Williams , C. J. R. and Kniveton , D. R. (eds.) African climate and climate change: physical, social and political perspective. Advances in Global Change Research (43). Springer, pp. 51-70. ISBN 9789048138418

Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A. C. M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A. J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S. B., Hersbach, H., Hólm, E. V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A. P., Monge-Sanz, B. M., Morcrette, J.-J., Park, B.-K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J.-N. and Vitart, F. (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (656). pp. 553-597. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828 (Part A)

Dee, D., Berrisford, P., Bosilovich, M. G., Chelliah, M., Compo, G., Ebita, A., Jones, P. D., Kobayashi, S., Kumar, A., Rutledge, G., Saha, S., Sato, H., Simmons, A., Smith, C. and Vose, R. (2011) [Temperature] The use of reanalysis data for monitoring the state of the climate [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S34-S35. ISSN 1520-0477

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part II. Seasonal forecasting. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 121-131. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0896-x

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D. I. F. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2011) Teleconnections between Ethiopian summer rainfall and sea surface temperature: part I. Observation and modelling. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 103-119. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0837-8

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Woollings, T. (2011) Changes of interannual NAO variability in response to greenhouse gases forcing. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1621-1641. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0936-6

Egea, G., Verhoef, A. and Vidale, P. L. (2011) Towards an improved and more flexible representation of water stress in coupled photosynthesis–stomatal conductance models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (10). pp. 1370-1384. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.05.019

Fontaine, B., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Gaetani, M. and Roucou, P. (2011) Climate adjustments over the African-Indian monsoon regions accompanying Mediterranean Sea thermal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116 (D23). D23122. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016273

Fontaine, B., Roucou, P. and Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559 (2011) Changes in the African monsoon region at medium-term time horizon using 12 AR4 coupled models under the A1b emissions scenario. Atmospheric Science Letters, 12 (1). pp. 83-88. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.321

Frame, T. H. A., Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083, Gray, S. L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8658-362X and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2011) Ensemble prediction of transitions of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1288-1297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.829

Gregory, J. M. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2011) Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO2-forced climate change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (5-6). pp. 893-914. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0847-6

Gregory, J. M. and Tailleux, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2011) Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO2-forced climate change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (5-6). pp. 893-914. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0847-6

Guilyardi, E., Balaji, V., Callaghan, S., DeLuca, C., Devine, G., Denvil, S., Ford, R., Pascoe, C., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Steenman-Clark, L. and Valcke, S. (2011) The CMIP5 model and simulation documentation: a new standard for climate modelling metadata. CLIVAR Exchanges, 56: 16 (2). pp. 42-46. ISSN 1026-0471

Hannachi, A., Mitchell, D., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2011) On the use of geometric moments to examine the continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (3). pp. 657-674. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3585.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability. Weather, 66 (7). pp. 175-179. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.761

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 24 (1). pp. 109-123. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 407-418. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Allison, L. C., Gregory, J. M., Woollings, T. J., Pohlmann, H. and de Cuevas, B. (2011) Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (10). L10605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047208

Haywood, J. M., Johnson, B. T., Osborne, S. R., Baran, A. J., Brooks, M., Milton, S. F., Mulcahy, J., Walters, D., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Klaver, A., Formenti, P., Brindley, H. E., Christopher, S. and Gupta, P. (2011) Motivation, rationale and key results from the GERBILS Saharan dust measurement campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1106-1116. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.797

Jacoby, T. N. L., Read, P. L., Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 and Young, R. M. B. (2011) Generation of inertia-gravity waves in the rotating thermal annulus by a localised boundary layer instability. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, 105 (2-3). pp. 161-181. ISSN 0309-1929 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/03091929.2011.560151

John, V.O., Holl, G., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S.A., Parker, D.E. and Soden, B.J. (2011) Clear-sky biases in satellite infrared estimates of upper tropospheric humidity and its trends. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D14108. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD015355

Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lowe, J. and Frame, D. (2011) Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 407-412. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE1261

Kershaw, P., Ananthakrishnan, R., Cinquini, L., Heimbigner, D. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2011) A modular access control architecture for the Earth system grid federation. In: International Conference on Grid Computing and Applications (GCA '11), 6-8 Jul 2011, Las Vegas, NV, pp. 3-9.

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Weller, H. and Slingo, J. M. (2011) The impact of finer-resolution air-sea coupling on the intraseasonal oscillation of the Indian monsoon. Journal of Climate, 24 (10). pp. 2451-2468. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3868.1

Kruetzmann, N. C., Rack, W., McDonald, A. J. and George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2011) Snow accumulation and compaction derived from GPR data near Ross Island, Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 5 (2). pp. 391-404. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-5-391-2011

Lambert, F. H., Webb, M. J. and Joshi, M. (2011) The relationship between land–ccean surface temperature contrast and radiative forcing. Journal of Climate, 24 (13). pp. 3239-3256. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI3893.1

Lavers, D., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL049783

Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Jones, C., Matthews, B., Pepler, S. and Callaghan, S. (2011) Citation and peer review of data: moving towards formal data publication. International Journal of Digital Curation, 6 (2). pp. 4-37. ISSN 1746-8256 doi: https://doi.org/10.2218/ijdc.v6i2.205

Lintner, B. R., Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Neelin, J. D. (2011) Column water vapor statistics and their relationship to deep convection, vertical and horizontal circulation, and moisture structure at Nauru. Journal of Climate, 24 (20). pp. 5454-5466. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05015.1

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E. and Weller, H. (2011) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Part II: using AMIP runs to understand the heat flux feedback mechanisms. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1271-1292. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0895-y

Martin, G. M., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Collins, W. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Culverwell, I. D., Halloran, P. R., Hardiman, S. C., Hinton, T. J., Jones, C. D., McDonald, R. E., McLaren, A. J., O'Connor, F. M., Roberts, M. J., Rodriguez, J. M., Woodward, S., Best, M. J., Brooks, M. E., Brown, A. R., Butchart, N., Dearden, C., Derbyshire, S. H., Dharssi, I., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Edwards, J. M., Falloon, P. D., Gedney, N., Gray, L. J., Hewitt, H. T., Hobson, M., Huddleston, M. R., Hughes, J., Ineson, S., Ingram, W. J., James, P. M., Johns, T. C., Johnson, C. E., Jones, A., Jones, C. P., Joshi, M. M., Keen, A. B., Liddicoat, S., Lock, A. P., Maidens, A. V., Manners, J. C., Milton, S. F., Rae, J. G. L., Ridley, J. K., Sellar, A., Senior, C. A., Totterdell, I. J., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L. and Wiltshire, A. (2011) The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 4 (3). pp. 723-757. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-4-723-2011

Maycock, A. C., Keeley, S. P. E., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2011) Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: implications for seasonal prediction. Climate Dynamics, 36 (1-2). pp. 309-321. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0665-x

Meredith, M. P., Woodworth, P. L., Chereskin, T. K., Marshall, D. P., Allison, L. C., Bigg, G. R., Donohue, K., Heywood, K. J., Hughes, C. W., Hibbert, A., Hogg, A. M., Johnson, H. L., Jullion, L., King, B., Leach, H., Lenn, Y.-D., Morales-Maqueda, M. A., Munday, D. R., Naveira-Garabato, A. C., Provost, C., Sallée, J.-B. and Sprintall, J. (2011) Sustained monitoring of the Southern Ocean at Drake Passage: past achievements and future priorities. Reviews of Geophysics, 49. RG4005. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010RG000348

Mitchell, D. M., Gray, L. and Charlton-Perez, A. (2011) The structure and evolution of the stratospheric vortex in response to natural forcings. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D15110. ISSN 2156-2202 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD015788

Mitchell, D., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Gray, L. J. (2011) Characterising the variability and extremes of the stratospheric polar vortices using 2D moment analysis. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (6). pp. 1194-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3555.1

Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, eds. (2011) Water, life and civilisation: climate, environment and society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp543. ISBN 9780521769570

Munday, D. R., Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L. and Marshall, D. P. (2011) Remote forcing of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current by diapycnal mixing. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (8). L08609. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL046849

Nortcliff, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Potter, R. (2011) Current water demands and future strategies under changing climatic conditions. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 403-414. ISBN 9780521769570

Ortega, P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 37 (9-10). pp. 1771-1782. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1025-1

Pardaens, A. K., Gregory, J. M. and Lowe, J. A. (2011) A model study of factors influencing projected changes in regional sea level over the 21st century. Climate Dynamics, 36 (9-10). pp. 2015-2033. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0738-x

Pascale, S., Gregory, J. M., Ambaum, M. H. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6824-8083 and Tailleux, R. G. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8998-9107 (2011) Climate entropy budget of the HadCM3 atmosphere-ocean general circulation model and of FAMOUS, its low resolution version. Climate Dynamics, 36 (5-6). pp. 1189-1206. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0718-1

Peterson, T. C., Vautard, R., McVicar, T. R., Thépaut, J.-N. and Berrisford, P. (2011) [Atmosperic circulation] Surface winds over land [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S57-S57. ISSN 1520-0477

Poulsen, C. A., Watts, P. D., Thomas, G. E., Sayer, A. M., Siddans, R., Grainger, R. G., Lawrence, B. N., Campmany, E., Dean, S. M. and Arnold, C. (2011) Cloud retrievals from satellite data using optimal estimation: evaluation and application to ATSR. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions, 4. pp. 2389-2431. doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amtd-4-2389-2011

Roberts, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Kuzucuoğlu, C., Perez, R. and Sadori, L. (2011) The mid-Holocene climatic transition in the Mediterranean: causes and consequences. The Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 3-13. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683610388058

Sanchez-Lugo, A., Kennedy, J. J. and Berrisford, P. (2011) [Temperature] surface temperatures [in "State of the Climate in 2010"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6). S36-S37. ISSN 1520-0477

Sayer, A. M., Poulsen, C. A., Arnold, C., Campmany, E., Dean, S., Ewen, G. B. L., Grainger, R. G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Siddans, R., Thomas, G. E. and Watts, P. D. (2011) Global retrieval of ATSR cloud parameters and evaluation (GRAPE): dataset assessment. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (8). pp. 3913-3936. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-3913-2011

Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856, Erdin, R., Willi, M., Frei, C., Berenguer, M. and Sempere-Torres, D. (2011) Geostatistical radar-raingauge combination with nonparametric correlograms: methodological considerations and application in Switzerland. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (5). pp. 1515-1536. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1515-2011

Shaon, A., Callaghan, S., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Matthews, B., Woolf, A., Osborn, T. and Harpham, C. (2011) A linked data approach to publishing complex scientific workflows. In: 2011 IEEE Seventh International Conference on eScience, 5-8 Dec 2011, Stockholm, pp. 303-310.

Shaw, M. W. and Osborne, T. M. (2011) Geographic distribution of plant pathogens in response to climate change. Plant Pathology, 60 (1). pp. 31-43. ISSN 0032-0862 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02407.x

Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. H. and Marotzke, J. (2011) Recovery mechanisms of Arctic summer sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (2). L02707. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045698

Toniazzo, T., Abel, S. J., Wood, R., Mechoso, C. R., Allen, G. and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2011) Large-scale and synoptic meteorology in the south-east Pacific during the observations campaign VOCALS-REx in austral Spring 2008. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11 (10). pp. 4977-5009. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-11-4977-2011

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Slingo, J. M. (2011) Using idealized snow forcing to test teleconnections with the Indian summer monsoon in the Hadley Centre GCM. Climate Dynamics, 36 (9-10). pp. 1717-1735. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0805-3

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876, Sperber, K., Slingo, J. M., Meehl, G., Mechoso, C. R., Kimoto, M. and Giannini, A. (2011) Modelling monsoons: understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. In: Chang, C.-P., Ding, Y., Lau, G. N.-C., Johnson, R. H., Wang, B. and Yasunari, T. (eds.) The global monsoon system: research and forecast, 2nd edition. World scientific series on Asia-Pacific weather and climate, 5. World Scientific/WMO, London Singapore New Jersey, pp. 421-454. ISBN 9789814343404

Van Den Hoof, C., Hanert, E. and Vidale, P. L. (2011) Simulating dynamic crop growth with an adapted land surface model – JULES-SUCROS: model development and validation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151 (2). pp. 137-153. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.09.011

Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Holmes, P., El Bastawesy, M., Smith, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) The hydrology of the Wadi Faynan. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 157-174. ISBN 9780521769570

Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Manley, R., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Guest, J., Al Numait, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2011) Future projections of water availability in a semi-arid region of the eastern Mediterranean: a case study of Wadi Hasa, Jordan. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 175-188. ISBN 9780521769570

Wang, Z., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Meredith, M. P. (2011) On the response of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport to climate change in coupled climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. C08011. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JC006757

Williams, D. N., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lautenschlager, M., Middleton, D. and Balaji, V. (2011) The Earth System Grid Federation: delivering globally accessible petascale data for CMIP5. In: Proceedings of the 32nd Asia-Pacific Advanced Network Meeting, New Delhi, pp. 121-130.

Williams, D. N., Taylor, K. E., Cinquini, L., Evans, B., Kawamiya, M., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Middleton, D. and ESGF Contributors, (2011) The Earth System Grid Federation: software framework supporting CMIP5 data analysis and dissemination. CLIVAR Exchanges, 56: 16 (2). pp. 40-42.

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Hoskins, B. J. and Slingo, J. M. (2011) Equatorial waves in opposite QBO phases. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (4). pp. 839-862. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JAS3514.1

Yip, S., Ferro, C. A. T., Stephenson, D. B. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) A simple, coherent framework for partitioning uncertainty in climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 24 (17). pp. 4634-4643. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JCLI4085.1

Zachary, S., Dent, C. J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand. In: Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE, 24-29 July 2011, San DIego, CA, USA, pp. 1-8.

Zahn, M. and Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Changes in water vapor transports of the ascending branch of the tropical circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 116. D18111. ISSN 2156–2202 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016206

2010

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liepert, B. G. (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W. and Good, P. (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025205. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205

Allison, L. C., Johnson, H. L., Marshall, D. P. and Munday, D. R. (2010) Where do winds drive the Antarctic Circumpolar Current? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L12605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL043355

Baker, A. , Asrat, A., Fairchild, I., Leng, M., Thomas, L. , Widmann, M., Jex, C. , Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Calsteren, P. v. and Bryant, C. (2010) Decadal-scale rainfall variability in Ethiopia recorded in an annually laminated, Holocene-age, stalagmite. Holocene, 20 (6). pp. 827-836. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683610365934

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Hoskins, B. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2010) Water and society: past, present and future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5107-5110. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0216

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Rambeau, C. M. C. (2010) Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: insights from models and observations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5173-5184. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0199

Bouttes, N., Paillard, D. and Roche, D. (2010) Impact of brine-induced stratification on the glacial carbon cycle. Climate of the Past, 6 (5). pp. 575-589. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-6-575-2010

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2010) Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5185-5223. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0180

Bushell, A. C., Jackson, D. R., Butchart, N., Hardiman, S. C., Hinton, T. J., Osprey, S. M. and Gray, L. J. (2010) Sensitivity of GCM tropical middle atmosphere variability and climate to ozone and parametrized gravity wave changes. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D15101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013340

Callaghan, S. A., Treshansky, A., Moine, M., Guilyardi, E., Alias, A., Balaji, V., Bojariu, R., Cofino, A. S., Denvil, S., Elkington, M., Ford, R., Kolaninski, M., Lautenschlager, M., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Steenman-Clark, L. and Valcke, S. (2010) The METAFOR project: preserving data through metadata standards for climate models and simulations. In: Proceedings of the 1st International Digital Preservation Interoperability Framework Symposium, April 21 - 23 2010, Dresden, Germany, 6:1-6:8.

Charlton-Perez, A. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Eyring, V., Cionni, I., Bodeker, G. E., Kinnison, D. E., Akiyoshi, H., Frith, S. M., Garcia, R., Gettelman, A., Lamarque, J. F., Nakamura, T., Pawson, S., Yamashita, Y., Bekki, S., Braesicke, P., Chipperfield, M. P., Dhomse, S., Marchand, M., Mancini, E., Morgenstern, O., Pitari, G., Plummer, D., Pyle, J. A., Rozanov, E., Scinocca, J., Shibata, K., Shepherd, T., Tian, W. and Waugh, D. W. (2010) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of stratospheric ozone over the 21st century. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (19). pp. 9473-9486. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9473-2010

Chen, W., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Lu, R. (2010) Impact of the Atlantic Ocean on the multidecadal fluctuation of El Nino–Southern Oscillation–South Asian monsoon relationship in a coupled general circulation model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D17109. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013596

Collins, M., An, S.-I., Cai, W., Ganachaud, A., Guilyardi, E., Jin, F.-F., Jochum, M., Lengaigne, M., Power, S., Timmermann, A., Vecchi, G. and Wittenberg, A. (2010) The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño. Nature Geoscience, 3 (6). pp. 391-397. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo868

Cunningham, S., Marsh, R., Wood, R., Wallace, C., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 and Dye, S. (2010) Atlantic Heat Conveyor (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation). In: Marine Climate Change Impacts Annual Report Card 2010-11, MCCIP Science Review. MCCIP, Lowestoft, 14 pp..

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Dall’Amico, M., Gray, L. J., Rosenlof, K. H., Scaife, A. A., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Stott, P. A. (2010) Stratospheric temperature trends: impact of ozone variability and the QBO. Climate Dynamics, 34 (2-3). p. 381. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0604-x

Gregory, J. M. (2010) Long-term effect of volcanic forcing on ocean heat content. Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L22701. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045507

Hardiman, S. C., Butchart, N., Osprey, S. M., Gray, L. J., Bushell, A. C. and Hinton, T. J. (2010) The climatology of the middle atmosphere in a vertically extended version of the Met Office's climate model. Part I: mean state. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (5). pp. 1509-1525. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3337.1

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2010) Case studies in interannual to decadal climate predictability. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1169-1189. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0672-y

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Cassou, C., Keenlyside, N., Okumura, Y. and Zhou, T. (2010) Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A multimodel comparison. Climate Dynamics, 34 (7-8). pp. 1041-1058. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2

Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Neelin, J. D. (2010) Temporal relations of column water vapor and tropical precipitation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (4). pp. 1091-1105. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3284.1

Joshi, M. M., Webb, M. J., Maycock, A.C. and Collins, M. (2010) Stratospheric water vapour and high climate sensitivity in a version of the HadSM3 climate model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10. pp. 7161-7167. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-7161-2010

Lowe, J. A. and Gregory, J. M. (2010) A sea of uncertainty. Nature Reports Climate Change. pp. 42-43. ISSN 1753-9315 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/climate.2010.30

Ngwana, T. I., Demory, M.-E., Vidale, P. L., Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 and Mbedzi, M. P. (2010) Impact of land cover changes on the South African climate. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 13 (1). 012009. ISSN 1755-1315 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/13/1/012009

Palmer, T. and Williams, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, eds. (2010) Stochastic physics and climate modelling. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp496. ISBN 9780521761055

Pearson, K. J., Hogan, R. J., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Lister, G. M. S. and Holloway, C.E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2010) Evaluation of the model representation of the evolution of convective systems using satellite observations of outgoing longwave radiation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. A20206. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014265

Peters, O., Deluca, A., Corral, A., Neelin, J. D. and Holloway, C. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 (2010) Universality of rain event size distributions. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment, 2010 (11). P11030. ISSN 1742-5468 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2010/11/P11030

Poulter, B., Hattermann, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Restrepo-Coupe, N., Heyder , U. and Cramer, W. (2010) Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology, 16 (9). pp. 2476-2495. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x

Ridley, J., Gregory, J. M., Huybrechts , P. and Lowe, J. (2010) Thresholds for irreversible decline of the Greenland ice sheet. Climate Dynamics, 35 (6). pp. 1049-1057. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0646-0

Rodwell, M.J., Jung, T., Bechtold, P., Berrisford, P., Bormann, N., Cardinali, C., Ferranti, L., Hewson, T., Molteni, F., Wedi, N., Balmaseda, M.A., Balsamo, G., Bonavita, M., Buizza, R., Dahoui, M., Garcia-Mendez, A., Leutbecher, M., Lopez, P., Trémolet, Y. and Vitart, F., (2010) Developments in diagnostics research. Technical Report. ECMWF pp51.

Scaife, A. A., Woollings, T., Knight, J., Martin, G. and Hinton, T. (2010) Atmospheric blocking and mean biases in climate models. Journal of Climate, 23 (23). pp. 6143-6152. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3728.1

Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583, Underwood, F. M., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Nicoll, M. A. C. and Norris, K. J. (2010) Evidence for long-term regional changes in precipitation on the East Coast Mountains in Mauritius. International Journal of Climatology, 30 (8). pp. 1164-1177. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1953

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Simpson, I. R., Blackburn, M., Haigh, J. D. and Sparrow, S. N. (2010) The impact of the state of the troposphere on the response to stratospheric heating in a simplified GCM. Journal of Climate, 23 (23). pp. 6166-6185. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3792.1

Thomas, G. E., Poulsen, C. A., Siddans, R., Sayer, A. M., Carboni, E., Marsh, S. H., Dean, S. M., Grainger, R. G. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2010) Validation of the GRAPE single view aerosol retrieval for ATSR-2 and insights into the long term global AOD trend over the ocean. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10 (10). pp. 4849-4866. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-4849-2010

Toniazzo, T., Mechoso, C. R., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Slingo, J. M. (2010) Upper-ocean heat budget and ocean eddy transport in the south-east Pacific in a high-resolution coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1309-1329. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0703-8

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Hannachi, A. (2010) Is there regime behavior in monsoon convection in the late 20th century? Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L16706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044159

Vidale, P. L., Roberts, M., Hodges, K., Strachan, J., Demory, M.-E. and Slingo, J. (2010) Tropical Cyclones in a hieararchy of climate models of increasing resolution. In: Charabi, Y. (ed.) Indian ocean tropical cyclones and climate change. Earth and environmental science, 1. Springer, pp. 9-14. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-3109-9_2

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, El-Bastawesy, M., Holmes, P. A. C., Butterfield, D., Nuimat, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2010) A model-based assessment of the effects of projected climate change on the water resources of Jordan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 368 (1931). pp. 5151-5172. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0207

Weller, H., Ringler, T., Piggott, M. and Wood, N. (2010) Challenges facing adaptive mesh modeling of the atmosphere and ocean. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91 (1). pp. 105-108. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2907.1

Williams, C., Kniveton, D. and Layberry, R. (2010) Idealized SST anomaly regional climate model experiments: a note of caution. Progress in Physical Geography, 34 (1). pp. 59-74. ISSN 1477-0296 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133309356738

Williams, C. J. R., Kniveton, D. R. and Layberry, R. (2010) Assessment of a climate model to reproduce rainfall variability and extremes over Southern Africa. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99 (1-2). pp. 9-27. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0124-y

Williams, P. D. (2010) The RAW filter: an improvement to the Robert–Asselin filter in semi-implicit integrations. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (6). pp. 1996-2007. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3601.1

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2010) Research resource review: Schultz DM 2009: Eloquent Science: A Practical Guide to Becoming a Better Writer, Speaker and Atmospheric Scientist. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society. 440 pp. US$45 paper. ISBN: 978 1 878220 91 2. Progress in Physical Geography, 34 (5). pp. 729-731. ISSN 0309-1333 doi: https://doi.org/10.1177/03091333100340050102

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Guilyardi, E., Madec, G., Gualdi, S. and Scoccimarro, E. (2010) The role of mean ocean salinity in climate. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 49 (2-3). pp. 108-123. ISSN 0377-0265 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2009.02.001

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Read, P. L. and Haine, T. W. N. (2010) Testing the limits of quasi-geostrophic theory: application to observed laboratory flows outside the quasi-geostrophic regime. Journal Of Fluid Mechanics , 649. pp. 187-203. ISSN 0022-1120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112009993405

Woollings, T. (2010) Dynamical influences on European climate: an uncertain future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1924). pp. 3733-3756. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0040

Woollings, T., Hannachi, A., Hoskins, B. and Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2010) A regime view of the North Atlantic Oscillation and its response to anthropogenic forcing. Journal of Climate, 23 (6). pp. 1291-1307. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI3087.1

Woollings, T., Hoskins, B., Blackburn, M., Hassell, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502 and Hodges, K. (2010) Storm track sensitivity to sea surface temperature resolution in a regional atmosphere model. Climate Dynamics, 35 (2-3). pp. 341-353. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0554-3

Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Blossey, P.N., Xu, K.-M., Bechtold, P., Chaboureau, J.-P., Hosomi, T., Iacobellis, S.F., Luo, Y., Petch, J.C., Wong, R. and Xie, S. (2010) Modelling convective processes during the suppressed phase of the a Madden-Julian Oscillation: Comparing single-column models with cloud resolving models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136 (647). pp. 333-353. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.568

Wright, C. J., Osprey, S. M., Barnett, J. J., Gray, L. J. and Gille, J. C. (2010) High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder measurements of gravity wave activity in the 2006 Arctic stratosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D02105. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD011858

Wu, Y., Gan, G., Verhoef, A., Vidale, P. L. and Garcia Gonzalez, R. (2010) Experimental measurement and numerical simulation of horizontal-coupled slinky ground source heat exchangers. Applied Thermal Engineering, 30 (16). pp. 2574-2583. ISSN 1359-4311 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.applthermaleng.2010.07.008

Zawar-Reza, P., George, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299, Storey, B. and Lawson, W. (2010) Summertime boundary layer winds over the Darwin–Hatherton glacial system, Antarctica: observed features and numerical analysis. Antarctic Science, 22 (6). pp. 619-632. ISSN 0954-1020 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/s0954102010000817

Zveryaev, I. I. and Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2010) Summertime precipitation variability over europe and its links to atmospheric dynamics and evaporation. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115. D12102. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011213

2009

Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and John, V.O. (2009) Monitoring changes in precipitation and radiative energy using satellite data and climate models. Proceedings of the 2009 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, P.55. S6, 37. ISSN 1011-3932

Andrews, T., Forster, P. M. and Gregory, J. M. (2009) A surface energy perspective on climate change. Journal of Climate, 22 (10). pp. 2557-2570. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2759.1

Balan Sarojini, B. and Von Storch, J.-S. (2009) Effects of fluctuating daily surface fluxes on the time-mean oceanic circulation. Climate Dynamics, 33 (1). pp. 1-18. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0575-y

Barber, C.R., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Ringer, M. (2009) Observations of changes in marine boundary layer clouds. Proceedings of the 2009 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, P.55. S6, 25. ISSN 1011-3932

Bell, C. J., Gray, L. J., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Joshi, M. M. and Scaife, A. A. (2009) Stratospheric communication of El Nino teleconnections to European winter. Journal of Climate, 22 (15). pp. 4083-4096. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2717.1

Berrisford, P., Dee, D., Fielding, K., Fuentes, M., Kallberg, P., Kobayashi, S. and Uppala, S., (2009) The ERA-Interim Archive. ERA Report Series. 1. Technical Report. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading. pp16.

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2009) The impact of climate change on daily precipitation statistics for Jordan and Israel. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 192-200. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.233

Bouttes, N., Roche, D.M. and Paillard, D. (2009) Impact of strong deep ocean stratification on the glacial carbon cycle. Paleoceanography, 24 (PA3203). ISSN 1944-9186 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008PA001707

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. J. and Blackburn, M. (2009) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic storm track. Part I: land-sea contrast and orography. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (9). pp. 2539-2558. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3078.1

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Woollings, T. J. and Vellinga, M. (2009) Tropical and extratropical responses of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation to a sustained weakening of the MOC. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3146-3155. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2594.1

Challinor, A., Osborne, T. M., Morse, A., Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Wheeler, T. R., Weller, H. and Vidale, P. L. (2009) Methods and resources for climate impacts research: achieving synergy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (6). pp. 836-848. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008BAMS2403.1

Cook, P. A. and Roscoe, H. K. (2009) Variability and trends in stratospheric NO2 in Antarctic summer, and implications for stratospheric NOy. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (11). pp. 3601-3612. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-3601-2009

Coughlin, K. and Gray, L. J. (2009) A continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (2). pp. 531-540. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2792.1

Delrieu, G., Boudevillain, B., Nicol, J., Chapon, B., Kirstetter, P.-E., Andrieu, H. and Faure, D. (2009) Bollène-2002 experiment: radar quantitative precipitation estimation in the Cévennes–Vivarais region, France. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 48 (7). pp. 1422-1447. ISSN 1558-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JAMC1987.1

Diro, G. T., Grimes, D.I.F., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, O'Neill, A. and Pardo-Iguzquiza, E. (2009) Evaluation of reanalysis rainfall estimates over Ethiopia. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (1). pp. 67-78. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1699

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dufresne, J.-L., Gualdi, S., Friedlingstein, P., Keenlyside, N., Maheras, P., Salas, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Terray, L. (2009) Understanding the processes governing climate variability and change, climate predictability and the probability of extreme events. In: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project. Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK, pp. 79-93.

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Gregory, J. M. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Understanding land-sea warming contrast in response to increasing greenhouse gases. Part I: Transient adjustment. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3079-3097. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2652.1

Donnadieu, Y., Goddéris, Y. and Bouttes, N. (2009) Exploring the climatic impact of the continental vegetation on the Mezosoic atmospheric CO2 and climate history. Climate of the Past, 5 (1). pp. 85-96. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-5-85-2009

Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Webb, M. J., Gregory, J. M. and Boucher, O. (2009) Carbon dioxide induced stomatal closure increases radiative forcing of climate via a rapid reduction in low cloud. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L02703. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL036273

Gray, L. J., Rumbold, S. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8138-4541 and Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 (2009) Stratospheric temperature and radiative forcing response to 11-year solar cycle changes in irradiance and ozone. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (8). 2402-2417 . ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS2866.1

Gregory, J. M., Jones, C. D., Cadule, P. and Friedlingstein, P. (2009) Quantifying carbon-cycle feedbacks. Journal of Climate, 22 (19). pp. 5232-5250. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2949.1

Guilyardi, E., Braconnot, P., Jin, F. -F., Kim, S. T., Kolasinski, M., Li, T. and Musat, I. (2009) Atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in a coupled GCM with a modified atmospheric convection scheme. Journal of Climate, 22 (21). pp. 5698-5718. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2815.1

Guilyardi, E., Wittenberg, A., Fedorov, A., Collins, M., Wang, C., Capotondi, A., van Oldenborgh, G. J. and Stockdale, T. (2009) Understanding El Niño in ocean-atmosphere general circulation models: progress and challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (3). pp. 325-340. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008BAMS2387.1

Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hermanson, K. L., Liu, C. L., Putt, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Iwi, A. and Smith, D. (2009) Decadal climate prediction (project GCEP). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 925-937. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0178

Hannachi, A. and Dommenget , D. (2009) Is the Indian Ocean SST variability a homogeneous diffusion process. Climate Dynamics, 33 (4). pp. 535-547. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0512-5

Hannachi, A., Unkel , S., Trendafilov, N. T. and Jolliffe , I. T. (2009) Independent component analysis of climate data: A new look at EOF rotation. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 2797-2812. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2571.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: forecast skill and optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling. Journal of Climate, 22 (14). pp. 3960-3978. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2720.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (8). pp. 1095-1107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Climate predictability in the second year. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 367 (1890). pp. 913-916. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0181

Holloway, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9903-8989 and Neelin, J. D. (2009) Moisture vertical structure, column water vapor, and tropical deep convection. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (6). pp. 1665-1683. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2806.1

Hu, H., Gray, L. J., Baldwin, M. P. and Jarvis, M. J. (2009) Life cycle of the QBO-modulated 11-year solar cycle signals in the Northern Hemispheric winter. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (641). 1030 -1043 . ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.419 (Unpublished)

Joshi, M. (2009) The effect of ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) on Ashes series results in Australia. Weather, 64 (7). pp. 178-180. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.403

Joshi, M. M. and Jones, G. (2009) The climatic effects of the direct injection of water vapour into the stratosphere by large volcanic eruptions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (16). pp. 6109-6118. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-6109-2009

Juckes, M. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2009) Inferred variables in data assimilation: quantifying sensitivity to inaccurate error statistics. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 61 (1). pp. 129-143. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00376.x

Keeley, S. P. E., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2009) Does the North Atlantic Oscillation show unusual persistence on intraseasonal timescales? Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L22706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL040367

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Weller, H., Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514, Inness, P. M. and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Coupled simulations of the Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillation using a fine-resolution mixed-layer ocean model. In: ECMWF Workshop on Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions, 10-12 Nov 2008, Reading, pp. 195-205.

Kniveton, D. R., Layberry, R., Williams, C. J. R. and Peck, M. (2009) Trends in the start of the wet season over Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (9). pp. 1216-1225. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1792

Knox, J. A., McCann, D. W. and Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2009) "Application of the Lighthill-Ford theory of spontaneous imbalance to clear-air turbulence forecasting" :Reply. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (8). pp. 2511-2516. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS3084.1

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Rahmstorf, S., Zickfeld, K., Vikebø, F. B., Sundby, S., Hofmann, M., Link, P. M., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W. and Jaeger, C. (2009) An Integrated Assessment of changes in the thermohaline circulation. Climatic Change, 96 (4). pp. 489-537. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9561-y

Latham, S.E., Cramer, R., Grant, M., Kershaw, P., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lowry, R., Lowe, D., O'Neill, K., Miller, P., Pascoe, S., Pritchard, M., Snaith, H. and Woolf, A. (2009) The NERC DataGrid services. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 1015-1019. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0238

Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lowry, R., Miller, P., Snaith, H. and Woolf, A. (2009) Information in environmental data grids. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 1003-1014. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0237

Lloyd, J., Guilyardi, E., Weller, H. and Slingo, J. M. (2009) The role of atmosphere feedbacks during ENSO in the CMIP3 models. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 170-176. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.227

Lowe, D., Woolf, A., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Pascoe, S. (2009) Integrating the Climate Science Modelling Language with geospatial software and services. International Journal of Digital Earth, 2 (S1). pp. 29-39. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17538940902866161

Marti, O., Braconnot, P., Dufresne, J.-L., Bellier, J., Benshila, R., Bony, S., Brockmann, P., Cadule, P., Caubel, A., Codron, F., Noblet, N., Denvil, S., Fairhead, L., Fichefet, T., Foujols, M.-A., Friedlingstein, P., Goosse, H., Grandpeix, J.-Y., Guilyardi, E., Hourdin, F., Idelkadi, A., Kageyama, M., Krinner, G., Lévy, C., Madec, G., Mignot, J., Musat, I., Swingedouw, D. and Talandier, C. (2009) Key features of the IPSL ocean atmosphere model and its sensitivity to atmospheric resolution. Climate Dynamics, 34 (1). pp. 1-26. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-009-0640-6

Matthewman, N. J., Esler, J. G., Charlton-Perez, A. J. and Polvani, L. (2009) A new look at stratospheric sudden warmings. Part III. Polar vortex evolution and vertical structure. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1566-1585. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2365.1

McDonald, A. J., George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Woollands, R. M. (2009) Can gravity waves significantly impact PSC occurrence in the Antarctic? Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9 (22). pp. 8825-8840. ISSN 1680-7324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-9-8825-2009

Meehl, G. A., Goddard, L., Murphy, J., Stouffer, R. J., Boer, G., Danabasoglu, G., Dixon, K., Giorgetta, M. A., Greene, A. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Karoly, D., Keenlyside, N., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Navarra, A., Pulwarty, R., Smith, D., Stammer, D. and Stockdale, T. (2009) Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (10). pp. 1467-1485. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1

Nutt, D. R. and Weller, H. (2009) Algorithm for generating defective graphene sheets. Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation, 5 (7). pp. 1877-1882. ISSN 1549-9618 doi: https://doi.org/10.1021/ct900113f

Osborne, T. M., Slingo, J. M., Lawrence, D. and Wheeler, T. R. (2009) Examining the interaction of growing crops with local climate using a coupled crop-climate model. Journal of Climate, 22 (6). pp. 1393-1411. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2494.1

Pearson, K. J., Hogan, R.J., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Lister, G. M. S. (2009) How well do high resolution models reproduce tropical convection? Proceedings of the 2009 EUMETSAT Meteorological Satellite Conference, P.55. S8, 44. ISSN 1011-3932

Roberts, M. J., Clayton, A., Demory, M.-E., Donners, J., Vidale, P.L., Norton, W., Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Stevens, D. P., Stevens, I., Wood, R. A. and Slingo, J. (2009) Impact of resolution on the tropical pacific circulation in a matrix of coupled models. Journal of Climate, 22 (10). pp. 2541-2556. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2537.1

Schwierz, C., Köllner-Heck, P., Zenklusen Mutter, E., Bresch, D. N., Vidale, P. L., Wild, M. and Schär, C. (2009) Modelling European winter wind storm losses in current and future climate. Climatic Change, 101 (3-4). pp. 485-514. ISSN 0165-0009 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9712-1

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Stevens, I., Norton, W., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Harle, J. D., Jrrar, A., Stevens, D. P., Woodage, M. J., Demory, M.-E., Donners, J., Clark, D. B., Clayton, A., Cole, J. W., Wilson, S. S., Connolley, W. M., Davies, T. M., Iwi, A. M., Johns, T. C., King, J. C., New, A. L., Slingo, J. M., Slingo, A., Steenman-Clark, L. and Martin, G. M. (2009) U.K. HiGEM: The New U.K. High-Resolution Global Environment Model—Model Description and Basic Evaluation. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 1861-1896. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2508.1

Siddall, M., Clark, P., Thompson, W., Waelbroeck, C., Gregory, J. M. and Stocker, T. (2009) The sea level conundrum: insights from paleo studies. EOS transactions, 90 (9 ). pp. 72-73. ISSN 0096-3941 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009EO090007, 2009

Simpson, I. R., Blackburn, M. and Haigh, J. D. (2009) The role of eddies in driving the tropospheric response to stratospheric heating perturbations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (5). pp. 1347-1365. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JAS2758.1

Slingo, J. M., Bates, K., Nikiforakis, N., Piggott, M., Roberts, M., Shaffrey, L., Stevens, I., Vidale, P. L. and Weller, H. (2009) Developing the next-generation climate system models: challenges and achievements. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 815-831. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2008.0207

Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778 and Gregory, J. M. (2009) A study of the sensitivity of ocean overturning circulation and climate to freshwater input in different regions of the North Atlantic. Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L15701. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL038607

Sparrow, S. N., Blackburn, M. and Haigh, J. D. (2009) Annular variability and eddy-zonal flow interactions in a simplified atmospheric GCM. Part 1: Characterization of high and low frequency behaviour. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (10). pp. 3075-3094. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JAS2953.1

Tagliabue, A., Bopp, L., Roche, D.M., Bouttes, N., Dutay, J.-C., Alkama, R., Kageyama, M., Michel, E. and Paillard, D. (2009) Quantifying the roles of ocean circulation and biogeochemistry in governing ocean carbon-13 and atmospheric carbon dioxide at the last glacial maximum. Climate of the Past, 5 (4). pp. 695-706. ISSN 1814-9324 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-5-695-2009

Thomas, G. E., Poulsen, C. A., Sayer, A. M., Marsh, S. H., Dean, S. M., Carboni, E., Siddans, R., Grainger, R. G. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2009) The GRAPE aerosol retrieval algorithm. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 2 (2). pp. 679-701. ISSN 1867-8548 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2-679-2009

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Subseasonal extremes of precipitation and active-break cycles of the Indian summer monsoon in a climate-change scenario. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (640). pp. 549-567. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.401

Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Slingo, J. M. (2009) Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon region. Atmospheric Science Letters, 10 (3). pp. 152-158. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.223

Waliser, D., Sperber, K., Hendon, H., Kim, D., Maloney, E., Wheeler, M., Weickmann, K., Zhang, C., Donner, L., Gottschalck, J., Higgins, W., Kang, I.-S., Legler, D., Moncrieff, M., Schubert, S., Stern, W., Vitart, F., Wang , B., Wang, W. and Woolnough, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0500-8514 (2009) MJO Simulation Diagnostics. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3006-3030. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2731.1

Weller, H. (2009) Predicting mesh density for adaptive modelling of the global atmosphere. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1907). pp. 4523-4542. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2009.0151

Weller, H., Weller, H. G. and Fournier, A. (2009) Voronoi, Delaunay, and Block-Structured Mesh Refinement for Solution of the Shallow-Water Equations on the Sphere. Monthly Weather Review, 137 (12). pp. 4208-4224. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009MWR2917.1

Wilby, R.L., Troni, J., Biot, Y., Tedd, L., Hewitson, B.C., Smith, D.M. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planning. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (9). pp. 1193-1215. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1839

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2009) A Proposed Modification to the Robert–Asselin Time Filter. Monthly Weather Review, 137 (8). pp. 2538-2546. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2009MWR2724.1

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820 (2009) Rapid climate change: an overview for economists. International Journal of Green Economics, 3 (1). pp. 63-76. ISSN 1744-9928 doi: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGE.2009.026492

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Haine, T., Read, P., Lewis, S. and Yamazaki, Y. (2009) QUAGMIRE v1.3: a quasi-geostrophic model for investigating rotating fluids experiments. Geoscientific Model Development, 2 (1). pp. 13-32.

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477, Slingo, J. M. and Hoskins, B. J. (2009) Convectively coupled equatorial waves in high resolution Hadley centre climate models. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 1897-1919. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2630.1

Zhou, T., Yu, R., Zhang, J., Grange, H., Cassou, C., Deser, C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Keenlyside, N., Xin, X. and Okumura, Y. (2009) Why the western Pacific subtropical high has extended westward since the late 1970s. Journal of Climate, 22 (8). pp. 2199-2215. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2527.1

2008

Bulgin, C. E., Palmer, P.I., Thomas, G.E., Arnold, C.P.G., Campmany, E., Carboni, E., Grainger, R.G., Poulsen, C., Siddans, R. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2008) Regional and seasonal variations of the Twomey indirect effect as observed by the ATSR-2 satellite instrument. Geophysical Research Letters, 35. L02811. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL031394

Delworth, T. L., Clark, P. U., Holland, M., Johns, T., Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729, Lynch-Stieglitz, C., Seager, R., Weaver, A. J. and Zhang, R. (2008) The potential for abrupt change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. In: Abrupt Climate Change. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U. S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, pp. 258-359.

Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2008) Exploring Multi-model atmospheric GCM Ensembles with ANOVA. Climate Dynamcs, 31 (7-8). pp. 973-986. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0372-z

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Inness, P.M., Weller, H. and Slingo, J.M. (2008) The Importance of High-Frequency Sea Surface Temperature Variability to the Intraseasonal Oscillation of Indian Monsoon Rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (23). pp. 6119-6140. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2329.1

Klingaman, N. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-9303, Weller, H., Slingo, J.M. and Inness, P.M. (2008) The intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon using TMI sea surface temperatures and ECMWF reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 21 (11). pp. 2519-2539. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1850.1

Krützmann, N. C., McDonald, A. J. and George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2008) Identification of mixing barriers in chemistry-climate model simulations using Rényi entropy. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (6). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007gl032829

Kuhlbrodt, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2328-6729 (2008) On Sandström's inferences from his tank experiments - a hundred years later. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 60 (5). pp. 819-836. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00350.x

Polo, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Losada, T. and García-Serrano, J. (2008) Tropical Atlantic variability modes (1979–2002). Part I: Time-evolving SST modes related to West African rainfall. Journal of Climate, 21 (24). pp. 6457-6475. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2607.1

SanchezGomez, E., Cassou, C., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Keenlyside, N., Okumura, Y. and Zhou, T. (2008) North Atlantic weather regimes response to Indian-western Pacific Ocean warming: A multi-model study. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (15). L15706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL034345

Tietsche, S. and Pikovsky, A. (2008) Chaotic destruction of Anderson localization in a nonlinear lattice. Europhysics Letters, 84 (1). 10006. ISSN 0295-5075 doi: https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/84/10006

Weller, H. and Weller, H. G. (2008) A high-order arbitrarily unstructured finite-volume model of the global atmosphere: tests solving the shallow-water equations. International Journal for Numerical Methods in Fluids, 56 (8). pp. 1589-1596. ISSN 0271-2091 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/fld.1595

Zheng, W., Braconnot, P., Guilyardi, E., Merkel, U. and Yu, Y. (2008) ENSO at 6ka and 21ka from ocean–atmosphere coupled model simulations. Climate Dynamics, 30 (7-8). pp. 745-762. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-007-0320-3

2007

Dean, S. M., Flowerdew, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Eckermann, S. D. (2007) Parameterisation of orographic cloud dynamics in a GCM. Climate Dynamics, 28 (6). pp. 581-597. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0202-0

Li, Y., Lu, R. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2007) The ENSO-Asian monsoon interaction in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM. Journal of Climate, 20 (20). pp. 5164-5177. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4289.1

Lu, R., Li, Y. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2007) Arctic Oscillation and Antarctic Oscillation in internal atmospheric variability. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 24 (1). pp. 152-162. ISSN 0256-1530 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-007-0152-4

McDonald, A. J., Baumgaertner, A. J. G., Fraser, G. J., George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Marsh, S. (2007) Empirical Mode Decomposition of the atmospheric wave field. Annales Geophysicae, 25 (2). pp. 375-384. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-25-375-2007

Monahan, K. P., Pan, L. L., McDonald, A. J., Bodeker, G. E., Wei, J., George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299, Barnet, C. D. and Maddy, E. (2007) Validation of AIRS v4 ozone profiles in the UTLS using ozonesondes from Lauder, NZ and Boulder, USA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 112 (D17). ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2006jd008181

Osborne, T. M., Lawrence, D.M., Challinor, A. J., Slingo, J.M. and Wheeler, T. R. (2007) Development and assessment of a coupled crop-climate model. Global Change Biology, 13 (1). pp. 169-183. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01274.x

Parker, D., Folland, C., Scaife, A., Knight, J., Colman, A., Baines, P. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2007) Decadal to multidecadal variability and the climate change background. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112. D18115. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD008411

Salzmann, N., Frei, C., Vidale, P. L. and Hoelzle, M. (2007) The application of Regional Climate Model output for the simulation of high-mountain permafrost scenarios. Global and Planetary Change, 56 (1-2). pp. 188-202. ISSN 0921-8181 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.006

Spencer, H., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Slingo, J.M. (2007) El Nino in a Coupled Climate Model: Sensitivity to changes in mean state induced by heat flux and wind stress corrections. Journal of Climate, 20 (10). pp. 2273-2298. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4111.1

Studer, S., Stöckli, R., Appenzeller, C. and Vidale, P. L. (2007) A comparative study of satellite and ground-based phenology. International Journal of Biometeorology, 51 (5). pp. 405-414. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-006-0080-5

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2007) Climate response to basin-scale warming and cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 20 (5). pp. 891-907. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4038.1

Swingedouw, D., Braconnot, P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E. and Marti, O. (2007) The impact of global freshwater forcing on the thermohaline circulation: adjustment of North Atlantic convection sites in a CGCM. Climate Dynamics, 28 (2-3). pp. 291-305. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-006-0171-3

Williams, C. J. R., Kniveton, D. and Layberry, R. (2007) Climatic and oceanic associations with daily rainfall extremes over southern Africa. International Journal of Climatology, 27 (1). pp. 93-108. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1376

2006

Adamson, D. S., Belcher, S. E., Hoskins, B. J. and Plant, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022 (2006) Boundary-layer friction in midlatitude cyclone. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 132 (614). pp. 101-124. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.145

Fraser, G. J., Marsh, S. H., Baggaley, W. J., Bennett, R. G. T., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, McDonald, A. J. and Plank, G. E. (2006) Small-scale structures in common-volume meteor wind measurements. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 68 (3-5). pp. 317-322. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2005.03.016

Frei, C., Schöll , R., Fukutome, S., Schmidli, J. and Vidale, P. L. (2006) Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate mode. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111. D06105. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD005965

George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (2006) United Kingdom windspeed: measurement, climatology, predictability and link to tropical Atlantic variability. PhD thesis, University College London.

Johns, T. C., Durman, C. F., Banks, H. T., Roberts, M. J., McLaren, A. J., Ridley, J. K., Senior, C. A., Williams, K. D., Jones, A., Rickard, G. J., Cusack, S., Ingram, W. J., Crucifix, M., Sexton, D. M. H., Joshi, M. M., Dong, B. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Spencer, H., Hill, R. S. R., Gregory, J. M., Keen, A.B., Pardaens, A. K., Lowe, J. A., Bodas-Salcedo, A., Stark, S. and Searl, Y. (2006) The new Hadley Centre climate model HadGEM1: evaluation of coupled simulations. Journal Of Climate, 19. pp. 1327-1353. ISSN 1520-0442

Jones, C. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2006) CLADDIER: Citation, location and deposition in discipline and institutional repositories. D-Lib Magazine, 12 (2). ISSN 1082-9873

Juckes, M. and Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2006) Data assimilation for re-analyses: potential gains from full use of post-analysis-time observations. Tellus A, 58 (2). pp. 171-178. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00167.x

Lengaigne, M., Boulanger, J. P., Menkes, C. and Spencer, H. (2006) Influence of the seasonal cycle on the termination of El Nino events in a coupled general circulation model. Journal Of Climate, 19 (9). pp. 1850-1868. ISSN 1520-0442

Raible, C. C., Casty, C., Luterbacher, J., Pauling, A., Esper, J., Frank, D. C., Büntgen , U., Roesch, A. C., Tschuck, P., Wild, M., Vidale, P. L., Schär, C. and Wannerhide, H. (2006) Climate variability-observations, reconstructions, and model simulations for the Atlantic-European and Alpine region from 1500-2100 AD. Climatic Change, 79 (1). pp. 9-29. ISSN 1573-1480 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9061-2

Schmidli, J., Frei, C. and Vidale, P. L. (2006) Downscaling from GCM precipitation: a benchmark for dynamical and statistical downscaling methods. International Journal of Climatology, 26 (5). pp. 679-689. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1287

2005

Dean, S., Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Grainger, R. and Heuff, D. (2005) Orographic cloud in a GCM: the missing cirrus. Climate Dynamics, 24 (7). pp. 771-780. ISSN 0930-7575

Slingo, J., Spencer, H., Hoskins, B., Berrisford, P. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) The meteorology of the Western Indian Ocean, and the influence of the east African highlands. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363 (1826). pp. 25-42. ISSN 1364-503X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2004.1473

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2005) Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science, 309 (5731). pp. 115-118.

Woolf, A., Cramer, R., Gutierrez, M., Dam, K.K., Kondapalli, S., Latham, S., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Lowry, R. and O'Neill, K. (2005) Standards-based data interoperability in the climate sciences. Meteorological Applications, 12 (1). pp. 9-22. ISSN 1469-8080

2004

Ajtic, J., Connor, B. J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bodeker, G. E., Hoppel, K. W., Rosenfield, J. E. and Heuff, D. N. (2004) Dilution of the Antarctic ozone hole into southern midlatitudes, 1998-2000. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109 (D17). D17107. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2003JD004500

Cook, P. A., de Oliveira, C. R. E., Haigh, J. D. and Goddard, A. J. (2004) A finite element-spherical harmonics model for radiative transfer in inhomogeneous clouds. Part II. some applications. Atmospheric Research, 72 (1-4). pp. 223-237. ISSN 0169-8059 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2004.03.021

Grant, J., Grainger, R. G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fraser, G. J., Von Biel, H. A., Heuff, D. N. and Plank, G. E. (2004) Retrieval of mesospheric electron densities using an optimal estimation inverse method. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 66 (5). pp. 381-392. ISSN 1364-6826 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2003.12.006

Guilyardi, E. and Slingo, J. (2004) Representing El Niño in coupled ocean–atmosphere GCMs: the dominant role of the atmospheric component. Journal of Climate, 17 (24). pp. 4623-4629. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3260.1

Hagemann, S., Machenhauer, B., Jones, R., Christensen, O. B., Déqué, M., Jacob, D. and Vidale, P. L. (2004) Evaluation of water and energy budgets in regional climate models applied over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 23 (5). pp. 547-567. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-004-0444-7

Hagemann, S., Machenhauer, B., Jones, R., Christensen, O. B., Déqué, M., Jacob, D. and Vidale, P. L. (2004) Evaluation of water and energy budgets in regional climate models applied over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 23 (5). pp. 547-567. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-004-0444-7

Nicholls, M. E., Denning, A. S., Prihodko, L., Vidale, P. L., Baker, I., Davis, K. and Bakwin, P. (2004) A multiple-scale simulation of variations in atmospheric carbon dioxide using a coupled biosphere-atmospheric model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109 (D18). 117. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2003JD004482

Schär , C., Vidale, P. L., Frei, C., Luethi, D., Liniger, M. and Appenzeller, C. (2004) The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves. Nature, 427 (6972). pp. 332-336. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02300

Spencer, H., Slingo, J. M. and Davey, M. K. (2004) Seasonal predictability of ENSO teleconnections: the role of the remote ocean response. Climate Dynamics, 22 (5). pp. 511-526.

Spencer, H. (2004) Role of the atmosphere in the seasonal phase locking of El Nino. Geophysical Research Letters, 31 (5). L24104. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL021619

Stockli, R. and Vidale, P. L. (2004) European plant phenology and climate as seen in a 20-year AVHRR land-surface parameter dataset. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 25 (17). pp. 3303-3330. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160310001618149

Terray, L., Demory, M.-E., Déqué, M., de Coetlogon, G. and Maisonnave, E. (2004) Simulation of late-twenty-first-century changes in wintertime atmospheric circulation over Europe due to anthropogenic causes. Journal of Climate, 17 (24). pp. 4630-4635. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3244.1

2003

Ajtic, J., Connor, B. J., Randall, C. E., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Bodecker, G. E., Rosenfeld, J. E. and Heuff, D. N. (2003) Antarctic air over New Zealand following vortex breakdown in 1998. Annales Geophysicae, 21 (11). pp. 2175-2183. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-21-2175-2003

Arnold, N. E., Cook, P. A., Robinson, T. R., Lester, M., Chapman, P. J. and Mitchell, N. (2003) Comparison of D-region Doppler drift winds measured by the SuperDARN Finland HF radar over an annual cycle using the Kiruna VHF meteor radar. Annales Geophysicae, 21 (10). pp. 2073-2082. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-21-2073-2003

Baker, I., Denning, A. S., Hanan, N., Prihodko, L., Uliasz, M., Vidale, P. L., Davis, K. and Bakwin, P. (2003) Simulated and observed fluxes of sensible and latent heat and CO2 at the WLEF-TV tower using SiB2.5. Global Change Biology, 9 (9). pp. 1262-1277. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00671.x

Denning, A. S., Nicholls, M., Prihodko, L., Baker, I., Vidale, P. L., Davis, K. and Bakwin, P. (2003) Simulated variations in atmospheric CO2 over a Wisconsin forest using a coupled ecosystem-atmosphere model. Global Change Biology, 9 (9). pp. 1241-1250. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00613.x

Frei, C., Christensen, J.H., Déqué, M., Jacob, D., Jones, R.G. and Vidale, P. L. (2003) Daily precipitation statistics in regional climate models: evaluation and intercomparison for the European Alps. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D3). pp. 65-84. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002287

Stephens, A., Marsh, K. P. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2003) Presenting a multi-terabyte dataset via the web. Proceedings of the ECMWF Ninth Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems.

Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2003) Influence of the ocean on North Atlantic climate variability 1871-1999. Journal Of Climate, 16. pp. 3296-3313. ISSN 1520-0442

Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Mathieu, P.P. (2003) The role of the Atlantic Ocean in climate forecasting. Proceedings of the ECMWF workshop on the role of the upper ocean in medium and extended range forecasting. In: ECMWF.

Vidale, P. L., Lüthi, D., Frei, C., Seneviratne, S. and Schär, C. (2003) Predictability and uncertainty in a regional climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D18). 4586. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002810

2002

Banks, H. T., Wood, R. A. and Gregory, J. M. (2002) Changes to Indian Ocean subantarctic mode water in a coupled climate model as CO2 forcing increases. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 32 (10). pp. 2816-2827. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(2002)032<2816:CTIOSM>2.0.CO;2

Gregory, J. M. and Church, J. A. (2002) Changes in sea-level. Weather, 57 (8). pp. 287-295. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/004316502320517380

Gregory, J. M., Stott, P. A., Cresswell, D. J., Rayner, N. A., Gordon, C. and Sexton, D. M. H. (2002) Recent and future changes in Arctic sea ice simulated by the HadCM3 AOGCM. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (24). 2175. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL014575

Gregory, J. M., Stouffer, R. J., Raper, S. C. B., Stott, P. A. and Rayner, N. A. (2002) An observationally based estimate of the climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate, 15 (22). pp. 3117-3121. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3117:AOBEOT>2.0.CO;2

Hagemann, S., Machenhauer, B., Christensen, O.B., Déqué, M., Jacob, D., Jones, R. and Vidale, P. L., (2002) Intercomparison of water and energy budgets simulated by regional climate models applied over Europe. Report. Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany. pp42. ISBN 0937-1060

Ponte, R. M., Rajamony, J. and Gregory, J. M. (2002) Ocean angular momentum signals in a climate model and implications for Earth rotation. Climate Dynamics, 19 (2). pp. 181-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-001-0216-6

Raper, S. C. B., Gregory, J. M. and Stouffer, R. J. (2002) The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake on AOGCM transient temperature response. Journal of Climate, 15 (1). pp. 124-130. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0124:TROCSA>2.0.CO;2

Saenko, O. A., Gregory, J. M., Weaver, A. J. and Eby, M. (2002) Distinguishing the influence of heat, freshwater, and momentum fluxes on ocean circulation and climate. Journal of Climate, 15 (24). pp. 3686-3697. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3686:DTIOHF>2.0.CO;2

Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X, Hoskins, B. J. and Lu, R. (2002) The relationship between the North American summer monsoon, the Rocky Mountains and the North Pacific subtropical anticyclone in HadAM3. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128 (586). pp. 2607-2622. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.01.145

Vellinga, M., Wood, R. A. and Gregory, J. M. (2002) Processes governing the recovery of a perturbed thermohaline circulation in HadCM3. Journal of Climate, 15 (7). pp. 764-780. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0764:PGTROA>2.0.CO;2

2001

Church, J. A. and Gregory, J. M. (2001) Sea level change. In: Steele, J. H., Turekian, K. K. and Thorpe, S. A. (eds.) Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences. Academic Press, pp. 2599-2604. ISBN 9780122274305 doi: https://doi.org/10.1006/rwos.2001.0268

Church, J. A., Gregory, J. M., Huybrechts, P., Kuhn, M., Lambeck, K., Nhuan, M. T., Qin, D. and Woodworth, P. L. (2001) Changes in sea level. In: Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K. and Johnson, C. A. (eds.) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of working group I to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, pp. 639-693. ISBN 0521807670 (Chapter 11)

Durman, C. F., Gregory, J. M., Hassell, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5106-7502, Jones, R. G. and Murphy, J. M. (2001) A comparison of extreme European daily precipitation simulated by a global and a regional climate model for present and future climates. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (573). pp. 1005-1015. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712757316

George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Saunders, M. A. (2001) North Atlantic Oscillation impact on tropical North Atlantic winter atmospheric variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 28 (6). pp. 1015-1018. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000gl012449

Gray, L.J., Drysdale, E.F., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Dunkerton, T.J. (2001) Model studies of the interannual variability of the northern-hemisphere stratospheric winter circulation: the role of the quasi-biennial oscillation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (574). pp. 1413-1432. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712757416

Gregory, J. M., Church, J. A., Boer, G. J., Dixon, K. W., Flato, G. M., Jackett, D. R., Lowe, J. A., O'Farrell, S. P., Roeckner, E., Russell, G. L., Stouffer, R. J. and Winton, M. (2001) Comparison of results from several AOGCMs for global and regional sea-level change 1900-2100. Climate Dynamics, 18 (3-4). pp. 225-240. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820100180

Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M., Stott, P. A. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (2001) Correlations between patterns of 19th and 20th century surface temperature change and HadCM2 Climate Model ensembles. Geophysical Research Letters, 28 (6). pp. 1007-1010. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL011861

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2001) A gravity-wave induced quasi-biennial oscillation in a three-dimensional mechanistic model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (576). pp. 2005-2021. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1256/smsqj.57607

Lowe, J. A., Gregory, J. M. and Flather, R. A. (2001) Changes in the occurrence of storm surges around the United Kingdom under a future climate scenario using a dynamic storm surge model driven by the Hadley Centre climate models. Climate Dynamics, 18 (3-4). pp. 179-188. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820100163

Osprey, S.M. and Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (2001) A possible mechanism for in situ forcing of planetary waves in the summer extratropical mesosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 28 (7). pp. 1183-1186. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL011984

Raper, S. C. B., Gregory, J. M. and Osborn, T. J. (2001) Use of an upwelling-diffusion energy balance climate model to simulate and diagnose A/OGCM results. Climate Dynamics, 17 (8). pp. 601-613. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/PL00007931

Thorpe, R. B., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C., Wood, R. A. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (2001) Mechanisms determining the Atlantic thermohaline circulation response to greenhouse gas forcing in a non-flux-adjusted coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 14 (14). pp. 3102-3116. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3102:MDTATC>2.0.CO;2

Vialard, J., Menkes, C., Boulanger, J.-P., Delecluse, P., Guilyardi, E., McPhaden, M. J. and Madec, G. (2001) A model study of oceanic mechanisms affecting Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature during the 1997-98 El Niño. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 31 (7). pp. 1649-1675. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(2001)031<1649:AMSOOM>2.0.CO;2

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Slingo, J. (2001) The diurnal cycle in the tropics. Monthly Weather Review, 129 (4). pp. 784-801. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0784:TDCITT>2.0.CO;2

2000

Banks, H. T., Wood, R. A., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C. and Jones, G. S. (2000) Are observed decadal changes in intermediate water masses a signature of anthropogenic climate change? Geophysical Research Letters, 27 (18). pp. 2961-2964. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2000GL011601

Dalu, G. A., Pielke, R. A., Vidale, P. L. and Baldi, M. (2000) Heat transport and weakening of atmospheric stability induced by mesoscale flows. Journal of Geophysical Research, 105 (D7). pp. 9349-9363. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/1999JD901064

Eugster, W., Rouse, W. R., Pielke Sr, R. A., Mcfadden, J. P., Baldocchi, D. D., Kittel, T. G. F., Chapin III, F. S., Liston, G. E., Vidale, P. L., Vaganov, E. and Chambers, S. (2000) Land-atmosphere energy exchange in Arctic tundra and boreal forest: available data and feedbacks to climate. Global Change Biology, 6 (S1). pp. 84-115. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2000.06015.x

Frame, D. J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fraser, G. J. and Burrage, M. D. (2000) A comparison between mesospheric wind measurements made near Christchurch (44 S, 173 E) using the high resolution doppler imager (HRDI) and a medium frequency (MF) radar. Annales Geophysicae, 18 (5). pp. 555-565. ISSN 0992-7689 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00585-000-0555-3

Gordon, C., Cooper, C., Senior, C. A., Banks, H., Gregory, J. M., Johns, T. C., Mitchell, J. F. B. and Wood, R. A. (2000) The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics, 16 (2-3). pp. 147-168. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050010

Gregory, J. M. (2000) Vertical heat transports in the ocean and their effect on time-dependent climate change. Climate Dynamics, 16 (7). pp. 501-515. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820000059

Gregory, J. M. and Lowe, J. A. (2000) Predictions of global and regional sea-level rise using AOGCMs with and without flux adjustment. Geophysical Research Letters, 27 (19). pp. 3069-3072. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/1999GL011228

Gregory, J. M., Tett, S. F. B. and Hibling, E. L. (2000) Camelot – a database for climate model output. Meteorological Applications, 7 (1). pp. 83-90. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1350482700001444

Hoskins, B. and Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 (2000) The equatorial response to higher latitude forcing. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57 (9). pp. 1197-1213. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2000)057<1197:TERTHL>2.0.CO;2

Mihailović, D. T., Lee, T. J., Pielke, R. A., Lalić, B., Arsenić, I. D., Rajković, B. and Vidale, P. L. (2000) Comparison of different boundary layer surface schemes using single point micrometeorological field data. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 67 (3-4). pp. 135-151. ISSN 1434-4483 doi: 10.1007%2Fs007040070003

Mihailović, D. T., Lee, T. J., Pielke, R. A., Lalić, B., Arsenić, I. D., Rajković, B. and Vidale, P. L. (2000) Comparison of different boundary layer surface schemes using single point micrometeorological field data. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 67 (3). pp. 135-151. ISSN 1434-4483

Walko, R. L., Band, L. E., Baron, J., Kittel, T. G. F., Lammers, R., Lee, T. J., Ojima, D., Pielke Sr, R. A., Taylor, C., Tague, C., Tremback, C. and Vidale, P. L. (2000) Coupled atmosphere-biophysics-hydrology models for environmental modeling. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 39 (6). pp. 931-944. ISSN 0894-8763 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(2000)039<0931:CABHMF>2.0.CO;2

1999

Bhaskaran, B., Mullan, A. B. and George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 (1999) Modelling of atmospheric climate variations at Niwa. Weather and Climate, 19. pp. 23-35. ISSN 0111-5499 doi: https://doi.org/10.2307/44279925

Osborn, T. J., Conway, D., Hulme, M., Gregory, J. M. and Jones, P. D. (1999) Air flow influences on local climate: observed and simulated mean relationships for the United Kingdom. Climate Research, 13 (3). pp. 173-191. ISSN 0936-577X doi: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr013173

Pielke Sr, R. A., Walko, R. L., Steyaert, L. T., Vidale, P. L., Liston, G. E., Lyons, W. A. and Chase, T. N. (1999) The influence of anthropogenic landscape changes on weather in south Florida. Monthly Weather Review, 127 (7). pp. 1663-1672. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<1663:TIOALC>2.0.CO;2

Rosier, S. M. and Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (1999) The January 1992 stratospheric sudden warming: A role for tropical inertial instability? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 125 (559). pp. 2575-2596. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712555912

Wood, R. A., Keen, A. B., Mitchell, J. F. B. and Gregory, J. M. (1999) Changing spatial structure of the thermohaline circulation in response to atmospheric CO2 forcing in a climate model. Nature, 399. pp. 572-575. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/21170

1998

Gregory, J. M. and Oerlemans, J. (1998) Simulated future sea-level rise due to glacier melt based on regionally and seasonally resolved temperature changes. Nature, 391. pp. 474-476. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/35119

Plagmann, M., Marsh, S. H., Baggaley, W. J., Bennett, R. G. T., Deutsch, K. A., Fraser, G. J., Hernandez, G., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Plank, G. E. and Smith, R. W. (1998) Annual variation of airglow heights derived from wind measurements. Geophysical Research Letters, 25 (24). pp. 4457-4460. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/1998GL900212

Taylor, C. M., Harding, R. J., Pielke, R. A., Vidale, P. L., Walko, R. L. and Pomeroy, J. W. (1998) Snow breezes in the boreal forest. Journal of Geophysical Research, 103 (D18). pp. 23087-23101. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/98JD02004

Vidale, P. L. (1998) Contributions of land surface forced mesoscale circulations to the total heat, moisture and momentum budgets over BOREAS. PhD thesis, Colorado State University.

Walko, R. L., Pielke, R., Vidale, P. L., Eastman, J. and Lu, L. (1998) Influence of forest cover in the eastern United States on regional climate. In: Beniston, M. and Innes, J. L. (eds.) The impacts of climate variability on forests. Lecture Notes in Earth Sciences (74). Springer, London, pp. 93-98. ISBN 9783540646815

1997

Gregory, J. M. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1997) The climate response to CO2 of the Hadley Centre coupled AOGCM with and without flux adjustment. Geophysical Research Letters, 24 (15). pp. 1943-1946. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/97GL01930

Gregory, J. M., Mitchell, J. F. B. and Brady, A. J. (1997) Summer drought in northern midlatitudes in a time-dependent CO2 climate experiment. Journal of Climate, 10 (4). pp. 662-686. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0662:SDINMI>2.0.CO;2

Harvey, D., Gregory, J. M., Hoffert, M., Jain, A., Lal, M., Leemans, R., Raper, S., Wigley, T. and de Wolde, J. (1997) An introduction to simple climate models used in the IPCC second assessment report. IPCC Technical Paper (II). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. ISBN 9291691011

Hennessy, K. J., Gregory, J. M. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1997) Changes in daily precipitation under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Climate Dynamics, 13 (9). pp. 667-680. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050189

Johns, T. C., Carnell, R. E., Crossley, J. F., Gregory, J. M., Mitchell, J. F. B., Senior, C. A., Tett, S. F. B. and Wood, R. A. (1997) The second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM: model description, spinup and validation. Climate Dynamics, 13 (2). pp. 103-134. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050155

Karl, T. R., Nicholls, N. and Gregory, J. M. (1997) The coming climate. Scientific American, 276. pp. 78-83. ISSN 0036-8733 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/scientificamerican0597-78

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (1997) Some aspects of the sensitivity of stratospheric climate simulation to model lid height. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ALL SERIES-, 102. p. 23. doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/97JD01771

Lawrence, B.N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 (1997) The Effect of Parameterized Gravity Wave Drag on Simulations of the Middle Atmosphere During Northern Winter 1991/1992-General Evolution. NATO ASI SERIES I GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, 50. pp. 291-308.

Vidale, P. L., Pielke Sr, R.A., Steyaert, L.T. and Barr, A. (1997) Case study modeling of turbulent and mesoscale fluxes over the BOREAS region. Journal of geophysical research, 102 (D24). pp. 29167-29.

Vidale, P. L., Pielke, R. A., Steyaert, L. T. and Barr, A. (1997) Case study modeling of turbulent and mesoscale fluxes over the BOREAS region. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102 (D24). pp. 29167-29188. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/97JD02561

1996

Joshi, M. M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Lewis, S. R. (1996) The effect of spatial variations in unresolved topography on gravity wave drag in the Martian atmosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 23 (21). pp. 2927-2930. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/96GL02758

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Randel, W.J. (1996) Variability in the mesosphere observed by the Nimbus 6 pressure modulator radiometer. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ALL SERIES-, 101. p. 23. doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/96JD01652

Yang, G. Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7450-3477 and Hoskins, B. (1996) Propagation of Rossby waves of nonzero frequency. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 53 (16). pp. 2365-2378. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1996)053<2365:PORWON>2.0.CO;2

1995

Gregory, J. M. and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1995) Simulation of daily variability of surface temperature and precipitation over Europe in the current and 2 x COz climates using the UKMO climate model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 121 (526). pp. 1451-1476. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49712152611

Joshi, M. M., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Lewis, S. R. (1995) Gravity wave drag in three-dimensional atmospheric models of Mars. Journal of Geophysical Research, 100 (E10). pp. 21235-21245. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/95JE02486

Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fraser, G.J., Vincent, R.A. and Phillips, A. (1995) The 4-day wave in the Antarctic mesosphere. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ALL SERIES-, 100. p. 18. doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/95JD01168.

Mitchell, J. F. B., Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M. and Tett, S. F. B. (1995) Climate response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols. Nature, 376. pp. 501-504. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/376501a0

Pielke, R. A. and Vidale, P. L. (1995) The boreal forest and the polar front. Journal of Geophysical Research, 100 (D12). pp. 25755-25758. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/95JD02418

Pielke, R. A., Bernardet, L. R., Fitzpatrick,, P. J., Hertenstein, R. F., Jones, A. S., Lin, X., Nachamkin,, J. E., Nair, U. S., Papineau, J. M., Poulos, G. S., Savoie, M. H. and Vidale, P. L. (1995) Standardized test to evaluate numerical weather prediction algorithms. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76 (1). pp. 46-48. ISSN 1520-0477

Silva Dias, M.A.F., Vidale, P. L. and Blanco, C.M.R. (1995) Case study and numerical simulation of the summer regional circulation in São Paulo, Brazil. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 74 (4). pp. 371-388. ISSN 0006-8314

Stone, E. M., Stanford, J. L., Ziemke, J. R., Allen, D. R., Taylor, F. W., Rodgers, C. D., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Fishbein, E. F., Elson, L. S. and Waters, J. W. (1995) Space-time integrity of improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder and microwave limb sounder temperature fields at Kelvin wave scales. Journal of Geophysical Research, 100 (D7). pp. 14089-14096. ISSN 0148-0227 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/95JD01171

1994

Rosier, S., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Andrews, D. and Taylor, F. (1994) Dynamical evolution of the Northern stratosphere in early winter 1991-92, as observed by the improved Stratospheric and Mesospheric Sounder. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 51 (20). pp. 2783-2799. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1994)051<2783:DEOTNS>2.0.CO;2

Ruth, S., Remedios, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Taylor, F. (1994) Measurements of N2O by the UARS improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder during the early northern winter 1991/92. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 51 (20). pp. 2818-2833. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1994)051<2818:MONBTI>2.0.CO;2

1993

Gregory, J. M. (1993) Sea level changes under increasing atmospheric CO2 in a transient coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM experiment. Journal of Climate, 6 (12). pp. 2247-2262. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<2247:SLCUIA>2.0.CO;2

Gregory, J. M. and Dowrick, N. J. (1993) The Sverdrup relation generalized to include bottom topography and friction — a new derivation and correction to Fofonoff. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 23 (8). pp. 1867-1869. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1993)023<1867:TSRGTI>2.0.CO;2

Gregory, J. M., Wigley, T. M. L. and Jones, P. D. (1993) Application of Markov models to area-average daily precipitation series and interannual variability in seasonal totals. Climate Dynamics, 8 (6). pp. 299-310. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00209669

Reburn, W. J., Remedios, J. J., Ballard, J., Lawrence, B. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860 and Taylor, F. W. (1993) Measurements of stratospheric NO2 by the improved stratospheric and mesospheric sounder. Geophysical Research Letters, 20 (12). pp. 1231-1234. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/93GL01340

1992

Gregory, J. M., Wigley, T. M. L. and Jones, P. D. (1992) Determining and interpreting the order of a two-state Markov chain: application to models of daily precipitation. Water Resources Research, 28 (5). pp. 1443-1446. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/92WR00477

Mitchell, J. F. B. and Gregory, J. M. (1992) Climatic consequences of emissions and a comparison of IS92a and SA90. In: Houghton, J. T., Callander, B. A. and Varney, S. K. (eds.) Climate change 1992: the supplementary report to the IPCC scientific assessment. Cambridge University Press, pp. 173-175. ISBN 0521438292 (Annex)

1991

Cole, J. A., Slade, S., Jones, P. D. and Gregory, J. M. (1991) Reliable yield of reservoirs and possible effects of climatic change. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 36 (6). pp. 579-598. ISSN 0262-6667 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/02626669109492545

Gregory, J. M., Jones, P. D. and Wigley, T. M. L. (1991) Precipitation in Britain: an analysis of area-average data updated to 1989. International Journal of Climatology, 11 (3). pp. 331-345. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370110308

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